Reacting to Market Volatility: Visa Trading Insights for Next We- Recent Performance: Visa has experienced fluctuations along with the broader
market in recent weeks. The current price stands at 317.71, reflecting the
overall market volatility driven by concerns around interest rates and
economic indicators. Despite the turmoil, Visa's resilience and established
market position suggest a strong foundation for future performance.
- Key Insights: Investors should closely monitor Visa's stock as potential
buying opportunities may arise if broader market sentiment stabilizes. Given
the current price range, Visa is well-positioned to benefit if the market
rebounds, particularly through any positive movements in consumer spending
trends.
- Expert Analysis: Market sentiment is mixed, with analysts advising caution
before committing to new positions. Although some sectors, especially
technology, show promise, the prevailing negativity could lead to short-term
setbacks. Experts recommend watching key levels for signs of a bottom
formation that could favor Visa's stock.
- Price Targets:
Next week targets are set at T1 = 330, T2 = 345.
Stop levels are established at S1 = 310, S2 = 295,
- News Impact: The Federal Reserve's recent interest rate cuts and upcoming
economic data releases, particularly those concerning consumer spending, are
pivotal for Visa. Market participants should remain vigilant for any changes
in economic outlook that could impact transaction volumes and overall
revenue growth for Visa.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Invest in Tesla for a Potential Bounce Back Next Week
Tesla has recently faced significant volatility, retreating sharply from
previous highs around $488 to a current level of $421.06. This price movement
reflects persistent selling pressure and profit-taking among investors, with the
stock closing near critical support levels. The broader tech sector's mixed
performance further complicates investor sentiment, as stocks like Apple and
Amazon also experience fluctuations. Amid this backdrop, many analysts remain
optimistic about Tesla's potential, particularly due to advancements in low-cost
electric vehicles and its autonomous driving technology.
Investors should note certain actionable insights: the current support sits at
$419 and $415, and a breach of these levels could signal further declines
towards $400. Conversely, watch resistance levels at $438 and $449.50, as a
breakout above these could indicate a potential bullish reversal. As sentiments
fluctuate, Tesla's recent recall concerning nearly 700,000 vehicles due to a
tire pressure monitoring issue has introduced additional volatility, impacting
short-term trading behavior and investor confidence.
Expert opinions appear divided on Tesla's valuation with some, like Ron Baron,
foreseeing a potential market cap of $5 trillion over the next decade based on
long-term advancements in EV technology. On the other hand, caution arises from
concerns over the stock’s current overvaluation in a bearish market environment.
Traders must keep a keen eye on Tesla's price movements and broader market
conditions as both contribute to the overall sentiment and trading strategies.
For next week, price targets based on professional traders' insights are set as
follows: Next week targets are T1 at $430 and T2 at $440, suggesting a potential
recover if bullish momentum develops. For managing downside risk, stop levels
are set at S1 at $415 and S2 at $410, ensuring that the strategy is aligned with
market fluctuations.
The recall announcement has generated mixed reactions; while providing needed
updates, it raises investor concerns regarding operational integrity and
potential long-term impacts on market confidence. Additionally, Tesla’s ongoing
efforts to develop a new autonomous driving platform and production of low-cost
electric vehicles position it as a key player in the evolving EV market
landscape. Investors will need to monitor these developments closely to assess
their effects on stock performance and market sentiment.
S&P 500 Outlook: Navigating Volatility with CautionRecent Performance: The S&P 500 has faced notable volatility recently, driven
by fluctuating Federal Reserve policies and various economic indicators.
Currently at 5930.85, the index reflects broader market trends that have
seen significant declines across major indices. Notably, only 25% of S&P
stocks are trading above their 50-day moving average, pointing to underlying
weakness despite some sectors demonstrating resilience, particularly
technology and consumer discretionary.
- Key Insights: Investors should remain cautious given the current market
conditions. The technology sector, exemplified by strong performances from
companies like Apple and Nvidia, appears to be a safe haven amid broader
declines. The focus should be on waiting for confirmation of potential
market reversals before making new investment commitments, given the
uncertain narratives around inflation and Federal Reserve policies.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts remain cautious about the S&P 500's immediate
trajectory. The prevailing sentiment is to be watchful for confirmations of
market changes, with emphasis on inflation dynamics and central bank
strategies heavily influencing market movements. Market experts continue to
monitor sector performance closely, noting that while technology shines,
financials lag behind with notable weakness.
- Price Targets: For next week, the key price targets and stop levels are as
follows:
- Next week targets: T1: 6000, T2: 6060
- Stop levels: S1: 5848, S2: 5770
The S&P 500 must stay above 5900 to indicate healthier market conditions, and
short traders should be vigilant as they consider market dynamics with potential
reversals in play.
- News Impact: Recent hawkish stances from the Federal Reserve, coupled with
economic data surrounding PCE inflation, have contributed to the S&P 500's
volatility. While there are glimmers of hope for a rally, the hovering risk
of recession remains. Increased consumer confidence and monitoring housing
market metrics will be crucial in assessing future movements within the
index.
Conclusion: Amid current market volatility, investors should adopt a cautious
approach, observing key support and resistance levels as the S&P 500 navigates
the complexities of end-of-year trading dynamics.
Gold may reach 2584.00 again ?! Gold move now in wedge pattern and it's near to the high limit of the pattern and also supply zone (2633.00: 2639.00) if gold still under this zone and inside pattern i expect that we may see gold drop to 2622.00, 2613.00, 2634.00 and 2584.00 again.
on the other side if the gold success to break through supply zone it will continue Rasing to 2650.00 then 2655.00.
US Nas 100 . 4H4-Hour Timeframe Analysis for NAS 100U
In the 4-hour timeframe, we have observed a confirmed bullish trend. The price has reached a short-term peak and established this level, allowing for a pullback that can facilitate liquidity accumulation. If this pullback holds, we anticipate upward movement toward our identified target.
However, we must remain cautious. If the Order Block Decisional fails, we will revise our selling strategy accordingly. In addition, should the Order Block Extreme be confirmed in the specified area, we may reconsider re-entering a buy position. It is essential to keep trades open until we hit our Fibonacci-based take-profit targets.
gold on neutral buy or sell#XAUUSD price have been declining between 2622-2626, now we wait for breakout above 2632 for bullish to occur above 2650 which have a retracment back 2632 for bullish formation but below 2624 have bearish range await, the candlestick isn't strong to make further move. Buy stop 2632, SL 2624 which is sell stop also, TP 2650 for sell also.
US Nas 100Hello everyone, dear traders! I am Fereydoon Bahrami, a trader and market analyst focused on Forex. Today, we will conduct an in-depth analysis of the NAS 100U chart and review our insights
NAS 100U Chart Analysis
Greetings and best wishes to you all. Based on our analysis today, we have received confirmation of a bullish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. In this analysis, the price has reached and established a short-term peak within the 4-hour chart. Following a pullback to accumulate liquidity, we can anticipate a potential price increase towards the specified target on the chart. This represents our first entry point, which I have indicated on the chart.
However, should the **Order Block Decisional** prove ineffective, I will revise the selling strategy and share it with you. Additionally, I have identified another **Order Block Extreme**. If this Order Block fails and we implement the selling strategy, once we receive confirmation in this zone, we will re-enter a buying position. Furthermore, the price targets (Take Profit levels) have been established using Fibonacci retracement levels; it is essential that if we enter a trade, we maintain it until we achieve the designated target.
Fundamental Analysis for the Week (December 16 to December 22, 2024)
To enhance the accuracy of our analysis, let’s highlight the fundamental factors that have impacted the market over the past week:
1. **Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Report**: On Friday, December 20, 2024, the NFP report was released, indicating a drop in the unemployment rate to 4% along with an increase in the number of new jobs created, exceeding expectations. This positive data serves as a potential macroeconomic indicator of growth in the U.S. economy, which could bolster NAS 100U.
2. **Inflation Data**: On December 18, data regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was released, showing a 0.3% increase from the previous month. This has raised concerns regarding a potential interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve. If this trend persists, it could exert pressure on the markets.
3. **Federal Reserve Signals**: Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials hinted at the possibility of an interest rate increase in the upcoming meeting, which may positively influence financial markets. Such developments can lead to increased volatility and prompt investors to closely analyze the status of NAS 100U and other indices.
4. **Global Economic Influences**: In the past week, global markets have been affected by geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and trade disputes with China. The economic and political decisions made by major world powers have had a significant impact on NAS 100U and other U.S. indices, leading to market fluctuations.
Scenarios
Now, we can summarize our three scenarios as follows:
1. **Bullish Scenario**: With the price stabilization at the short-term peak and a pullback for liquidity accumulation, we expect the price to rise toward the target identified on the chart. This represents our first entry point.
2. **Selling Scenario**: If **Order Block Decisional** fails, we will update our selling entry strategy and will enter a trade upon confirmation.
3. **Re-buy Scenario**: If **Order Block Extreme** is validated in a specific region, we can re-enter a buying position. It is crucial to emphasize maintaining the trade until we reach the targets outlined by Fibonacci levels.
By considering these analyses alongside the fundamental news, we aim to assist you in making informed trading decisions. Join us as we embark on this pathway to mutual success. Thank you!
Fereydoon Bahrami
"A retail trader in the Wall Street trading Center (Forex)."
Bitcoin's Struggles Persist as Market Faces Continued Downturn.Bitcoin’s struggles continue as the asset fails to initiate a notable recovery, with its price hovering around $96,000. The cryptocurrency market, known for its volatility, has seen significant fluctuations over the past week, impacting both Bitcoin and altcoins.
Bitcoin's Recent Performance
Last Monday and Tuesday, Bitcoin posted fresh gains, surging above $108,000 to mark its latest all-time high. However, the landscape shifted dramatically following the latest Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday evening. Bitcoin reacted with an immediate price drop to under $100,000, signalling the start of a downward trend.
The sell-off intensified over the subsequent days, culminating in a sharp decline to $92,000 by Friday. Although Bitcoin managed to halt its freefall and briefly recovered to over $99,000 on Saturday morning, the relief was short-lived. By Sunday, Bitcoin's price had fallen back to $96,000, where it remains currently.
Market Dynamics and Influencing Factors
Several factors could influence Bitcoin's price in the coming week:
Regulatory Developments: Any new regulations or policy changes affecting cryptocurrencies could impact market sentiment.
Macroeconomic Indicators: Data on inflation, interest rates, and economic growth can influence investor behaviour in the crypto market.
Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment among retail and institutional investors plays a crucial role in price movements.
For now, Bitcoin’s market cap stands at $1.9 trillion, with its dominance over altcoins just shy of 55%.
Altcoins in Similar State
Altcoins have mirrored Bitcoin's struggles, experiencing similar or even more severe declines in recent days. Major altcoins like XRP, ADA, AVAX, SHIB, DOGE, and ETH have all remained in the red. Over the past day, DOT, XLM, SUI, and APT have also registered further declines.
One notable exception among the larger-cap altcoins is AAVE, which has bucked the trend with a significant price surge. The asset has gained roughly 10%, now sitting at $340 amid the broader market correction.
Market Overview
The cumulative market capitalization of all crypto assets has dropped to $3.460 trillion, reflecting the broader market downturn. Despite the current challenges, the resilience of the cryptocurrency market suggests that recovery could be on the horizon once the influencing factors stabilize.
As we move into the new trading week, traders and investors should remain vigilant, keeping an eye on key economic indicators and market sentiment. The coming days will be critical in determining whether Bitcoin and the broader crypto market can regain their footing and initiate a recovery.
US100 Trade LogUS100 has reached the daily FVG , providing a short setup at the 0.5 level with at least "1:2 RRR" and 1% risk.
Any fill above the midpoint is ideal, aiming for a correction into the weekly Kijun .
Recent Fed hawkishness, softening global growth, and tightening liquidity support a downside move. Stops go just above the FVG high; ride the drop toward weekly support.
XAUUSD Hello traders and investor
What are your thoughts on gold?
Gold. After a significant drop last week
Has shown a reaction near the support
Zone and entered a corrective phase this
Upward correction is expected to
Continue until the price reaches the
Specified resistance zone,
Based on the market structure. It is
Anticipated that after completing the
Correction the price will likely reverse
From the resistance zone and decline
Towards the identified support level.
❤️
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Merrry ChristmaXXauuuTo continue providing you with free value, I need your support. A simple like and follow from you means the world to me and makes a huge difference to my work.
🔥 Happy Monday, everyone! 🔥
🎄The Christmas week is about to begin🎄 I’ll keep posting but will take a break from live sessions.
❤️ I wish you all a 🎄 Merry Christmas 🎄 – spend it with your loved ones and recharge your energy.
And remember: don’t throw away all the hard work you’ve done so far! Avoid being influenced by a market that, due to the year-end closure and the holidays, might be unreliable.
| GOLD ANALYSIS |
Short-term structures for our colleague Gold remain bearish.
I’ll stay short from interesting levels.
The long-term macro perspective is still bullish, but there are currently no conditions to consider significant re-entries.
Potential levels are lower, so the key areas I’ll focus on are as follows: .
As usual, we’ll meet live at 2:30 PM. I avoid trading during the Asian and London sessions, preferring to wait for the 2:30 PM news and the New York open.
In the meantime, I wish you a great day.
We’ll continue sharing analyses and holding live sessions on TradingView.
For any questions, doubts, or requests, feel free to comment or message me!
I’ll be happy to reply.
- HAPPY TRADING
- MANAGE YOUR RISK
- BE PATIENT
WTI Crude Oil: Mastering Price Action for Profitable Trades!TVC:USOIL
ALEXGOLDDHUNTER Chart Analysis: WTI Crude Oil 1-Hour Timeframe
Key Levels and Zones
Support Levels:
Around $68.70 - $68.80
$69.50 (Break of Structure - BOS)
Resistance Levels:
Around $70.00
$70.16 (Short 2022 Model)
Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Between $69.80 - $70.00
Indicators:
RSI: 61.59 (neutral to slightly bullish)
MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line
Volume: High trading activity around key levels
Buy Strategy
Entry Point:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the support level around $68.70 - $68.80.
Confirm the trend continuation with a Break of Structure (BOS) above $69.50.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss below the recent support level at around $68.50 to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
First target at the 0.5 Fibonacci level around $69.80.
Second target at the Fair Value Gap (FVG) between $69.80 - $70.00.
Sell Strategy
Entry Point:
Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance level around $70.16.
Confirm the trend continuation with a Change of Character (CHoCH) below $69.50.
Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss above the recent resistance level at around $70.30 to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
First target at the Break of Structure (BOS) level around $69.50.
Second target at the support level around $68.70 - $68.80.
VIP Signal Format (lowercase)
entry: $68.70 - $68.80 (buy) tp1: $69.80 tp2: $70.00 sl: $68.50
entry: $70.16 (sell) tp1: $69.50 tp2: $68.70 - $68.80 sl: $70.30
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading financial instruments involves significant risk, and you should consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
TEMPORARY SELLS ON NASDAQGood day traders, today we have beautiful market structure on Nasdaq as you can see on the 15m timeframe the market gave us a bearish market structure shift after reaching the FVG on the right, we are in the london killzone i am looking for this market to trade down to the level @21098.7 so that I can execute my buys(long term positions) so do not worry if you missed the perfect entry on this one, there will be more during the day.currently we are selling to buy
ENTRY:21538.1
SL:21616.8
TP:21098.7
HAWK TUAH IT'S A TOPTops in any bounce will be a bull trap that noobs cheer for new highs that won't come - we're now entering the bagholder phase...all the fools who entered this market late will start getting really defensive and sensitive over their positions until they're completely rekt then they will just disappear like the last cycle.
Master Gold Trading with Precise Price Action Strategies!FXOPEN:XAUUSD
Alexgoldhunter Chart Analysis: CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ) 1-Hour Timeframe
Current Market Structure
Current Price: $2,623.689
Resistance Levels:
2,650.000 USD
2,645.861 USD
2,635.056476 USD (0.786 Fibonacci level)
2,629.61603 USD (0.705 Fibonacci level)
2,623.775288 USD (0.618 Fibonacci level)
Support Levels:
2,615.847 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level)
2,607.921412 USD (0.382 Fibonacci level)
2,588.000 USD
2,578.000 USD
Indicators
RSI: 63.41 (indicating neutral to slightly bullish sentiment)
MACD: Shows bullish momentum with the MACD line above the signal line
Volume Profile: High trading activity around $2,700, indicating strong support/resistance zones
Buy Strategy
Confirmation:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2,615.847 USD).
Ensure RSI remains above 50, indicating bullish momentum.
Entry: Enter a buy position around the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($2,615.847 USD).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the next support level at $2,578.000 USD to manage risk.
Take Profit: Aim for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, targeting around $2,645.861 USD (resistance level) and $2,650.000 USD.
Sell Strategy
Confirmation:
Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the resistance levels around $2,650.000 USD.
Ensure RSI remains below 50, indicating bearish momentum.
Entry: Enter a sell position around the resistance level at $2,650.000 USD.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the strong resistance level at $2,655.000 USD to manage risk.
Take Profit: Aim for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, targeting around $2,615.847 USD (0.5 Fibonacci level) and $2,607.921412 USD (0.382 Fibonacci level).
VIP Signal Format
entry: $2,615.847 USD tp1: $2,645.861 USD tp2: $2,650.000 USD sl: $2,578.000 USD
This analysis uses price action techniques to generate a structured buy and sell strategy for CFDs on Gold (US$/OZ). If you need further details or adjustments, feel free to let me know! 📈😊
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
Silver (XAGUSD): Precision Buy/Sell Strategies for Optimal GainsCAPITALCOM:SILVER
Chart Analysis: Silver (XAGUSD) 1-Hour Timeframe
Current Market Structure
Strong High: Significant resistance level near the top of the chart.
Swing Low: Key support level near the bottom.
Break of Structure (BOS): Indicates a potential reversal or continuation.
Order Block (OB): Areas highlighted in green where institutional buying or selling might have occurred.
Breakout Block (BB): Potential breakout area near the top.
Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
0.382: $29.108
0.5: $29.222
0.618: $29.336
0.705: $29.450
0.786: $29.498
Indicators
RSI: 61.59 (neutral to slightly bullish)
MACD: Bullish momentum with histogram at 0.567 and signal line at -4.915
Volume Profile: High volume areas indicating strong support or resistance.
Buy Strategy
Confirmation:
Look for bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing) near the OB zone around $28.850 - $29.000.
Ensure RSI is above 50, indicating bullish momentum.
Entry: Enter a buy position around the OB zone ($28.850 - $29.000).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the swing low at around $28.700 to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
First target at the 0.5 Fibonacci level ($29.222).
Second target at the 0.786 Fibonacci level ($29.498).
Sell Strategy
Confirmation:
Look for bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing) near the strong high or BB zone around $29.688.
Ensure RSI is below 50, indicating bearish momentum.
Entry: Enter a sell position around the strong high ($29.688).
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the strong high at around $29.800 to minimize risk.
Take Profit:
First target at the 0.618 Fibonacci level ($29.336).
Second target at the OB zone around $28.850 - $29.000.
VIP Signal Format
ENTRY: $28.850 - $29.000 (Buy near this level) TP1: $29.222 TP2: $29.498 SL: $28.700
This analysis combines price action techniques with key technical indicators to provide a comprehensive buy and sell strategy for Silver (XAGUSD). If you have any more questions or need further adjustments, feel free to let me know! 📈😊
Follow @Alexgoldhunter for more strategic ideas and minds
Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis.Crypto Market Update: Key Developments and Analysis
1. Trump Nominates Stephen Miran as Chairman of Economic Advisory Council
President-elect Donald Trump has nominated Stephen Miran as Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors, a position that will play a crucial role in shaping economic policy for the incoming administration. Miran, who previously served as a senior advisor to the Treasury Department in 2021, is well-known for his advocacy of deregulation to promote innovation across various sectors in the United States.
In a statement on social media, Miran expressed his excitement about the nomination: "I am beyond honoured that President Trump has chosen me to lead his Council of Economic Advisers. I look forward to working to help implement the President's policy agenda to create a booming, noninflationary economy that brings prosperity to all Americans!"
The crypto community has responded positively to Miran's nomination, largely due to his pro-innovation stance and openness towards digital assets and cryptocurrencies. His appointment is seen as a potential catalyst for more favourable regulatory environments for the crypto industry.
2. Bitcoin Social Sentiment Drops to Yearly Low, Signalling BTC Breakout
Social sentiment around Bitcoin has reached its lowest point in 2024, suggesting a possible recovery above the $100,000 mark for the world’s largest cryptocurrency. As of December 22, Bitcoin's price is down over 10% from its all-time high of above $108,300 recorded on December 17, trading at around $97,150.
This 10% correction has led to a significant drop in social media sentiment, with an average ratio of four to five positive versus negative Bitcoin-related comments. Market intelligence platform Sentiment highlighted this shift in a recent post, noting: “Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD, and that's good news for contrarians who know markets move in the opposite direction of retail's expectations.”
Other crypto analysts are also predicting an end to Bitcoin’s current correction below $100,000. Notably, Bitcoin’s daily chart showed three consecutive red candles for the first time since early November, a period that coincided with Donald Trump's US election victory. This historical pattern has led some to speculate that Bitcoin may soon experience a bullish reversal.
3. Interpol Issues "Red Notice" for Hex Founder Richard Heart
The international law enforcement organization, Interpol, has issued a "Red Notice" for Richard Schueler, also known as Richard Heart, the founder of Hex. Schueler is wanted by Finnish authorities for allegedly committing tax fraud and assault.
A Red Notice is a global request for law enforcement to locate and provisionally arrest a person, but it is not an international arrest warrant. Schueler is also listed on Europe’s most wanted fugitives list, where detailed allegations include physically assaulting a 16-year-old victim and committing tax evasion between June 2, 2020, and April 2, 2024.
The issuance of the Red Notice comes just three months after a remand order was initially issued for Schueler on September 13, according to Finnish public broadcaster Yle. This development has sent shockwaves through the crypto community, as Schueler is a well-known figure in the space.
These key developments in the crypto world highlight the dynamic nature of the market and the importance of staying informed. As the week progresses, traders and investors should closely monitor these stories and their potential impact on the broader financial landscape..