Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Gold May Temporarily Correct Under Resistance Pressure📊 Market Overview: • Gold reached resistance around $3,365–$3,370/oz before showing signs of cooling due to mild profit-taking. • Ongoing trade tensions and geopolitical risks — such as President Trump’s tariff plan — continue to support safe-haven demand, driving gold close to a three-week high. • Strong central bank purchases reinforce the long-term bullish outlook. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,365–$3,370 • Nearest Support: $3,300–$3,320 • EMA 09: Price is currently below the EMA 09, suggesting a potential short-term pullback. (Price is still above the EMA50, supporting the recent uptrend.) • Candlestick patterns / Volume / Momentum: o RSI near 57 – neutral but slightly declining. o MACD and ADX remain bullish, indicating underlying strength but with possible short-term consolidation ahead. 📌 Outlook: Gold may experience a short-term pullback if it fails to break through the $3,365–$3,370 zone and geopolitical tensions ease. However, the medium-to-long-term trend remains bullish, especially as central banks continue to accumulate gold and global risks persist. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: SELL XAU/USD: $3,363–$3,366 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3,369 BUY XAU/USD : $3,317–$3,320 🎯 Take Profit: 40/80/200 pips ❌ Stop Loss: $3,214
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
DXY Weekly Update — July 14, 2025⌛ Timeframe: . 📆 Analysis Date: July 14, 2025 . 🎯 Weekly Bias: Bearish-to-Neutral (Potential for retracement or reversal) 🔎 Market Overview: ⬇️ Persistent USD Weakness: DXY has dropped nearly 10% YTD, marking the steepest half-year decline since 1986. 📉 Rate Cut Expectations: Markets are pricing in a potential 75bps rate cut by the Fed in H2 2025, pushing yields and the dollar lower. 📦 Trade War Fears: Renewed tariff risks (targeting EU, Japan, Mexico, South Korea) aren't boosting demand for USD — a signal of lost safe-haven appeal. ⚖️ Central Bank Diversification: Global reserve managers are rotating into gold and away from USD, weakening long-term structural demand. 🌀 Sentiment & Risk Appetite: 💸 Liquidity Demand is Soft: DXY is retesting a 4H fair value gap (97.10–97.30), suggesting potential short-term consolidation or correction. 🌍 Risk-On Mood Returns: According to Goldman Sachs, the USD is trading more like a "risk asset" than a haven, aligning with rising equity appetite. 📉 Technical Landscape: 🟠 4H Structure: If DXY breaks below 97.00, next support lies at 96.37, followed by 95.50–96.00. Consolidation expected if price remains within the FVG. 🔻 Key Resistance: 97.70–98.20 zone. A break above this area could change the tone to bullish. 📌 Summary: 🔷 Fundamentals show long-term dollar weakening (rates, trade tension, reserve shifts) 🔷 Sentiment aligns with risk-on appetite and reduced USD demand 🔷 Technicals at critical level; break below 97.00 opens room for correction, break above 97.70 shifts bias bullish . . . . 🟠 Bias: Bearish to Neutral Watch Levels: 97.00 support, 97.70–98.20 resistance ⚠️ Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always apply risk management. ✅ If you like this analysis, don't forget to like 👍, follow 🧠, and share your thoughts below 💬!
TVC:DXYShort
by Apollo_Capital
S&P500 Slips Ahead of CPI & Earnings SeasonEquities began the week under pressure, with the S&P 500 dropping 0.5%, slipping below the 6,230-resistance area. Although the Fed minutes released last week indicate that most members are open to cutting rates this year, inflation data and second-quarter earnings could change that trajectory. Upcoming Events to Watch: • CPI Release (Tuesday 14:30 SAST): A cooler-than-expected print would support a breakout in risk assets. A hot reading could shift expectations toward policy tightening, weighing on equities. • Q2 Earnings Season: Major banks including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup will report this week. Strong earnings may cushion the market, while any weakness could exacerbate volatility. S&P500 Technical View: • Immediate Resistance: 6,230 • Potential Upside: A cooler CPI could see the index rally toward 6,290. • Support Levels: Should inflation surprise to the upside, the index may slide to 6,190, or even 6,150 in extended selling.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by FDGCapital
Gold Eyes CPI as Tariffs BiteGold (XAU/USD) continues to push higher, recently hitting $3,360. The latest catalyst: escalating trade tensions, as President Trump imposes a fresh round of 30% tariffs on EU and Mexican goods. This is boosting safe-haven demand and weighing on the dollar, albeit modestly. Still, with the Federal Reserve signalling a cautious stance on rate cuts, gold may need an additional spark to clear long-term resistance. Chart Setup: • Current Resistance: Gold is trading just below $3,365, a multi-session ceiling. • Indicators: The RSI remains above 50, reflecting bullish momentum. • Breakout Potential: A strong CPI print tomorrow could challenge this uptrend. But if CPI cools, gold could test the $3,400 psychological barrier. • Pullback Risk: A drop below $3,350 (23.6% Fibonacci) could bring us back to the $3,340–$3,320 support zone. Markets are on edge ahead of Tuesday's U.S. CPI report, which may significantly influence inflation expectations, Fed policy, and safe-haven demand.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by FDGCapital
Ethereum Breaks $3,000: Hype Meets UtilityEthereum (ETH) has surged above $3,000, driven by a wave of retail and institutional momentum following the presale success of Little Pepe (LILPEPE), a meme coin built on a new Ethereum-compatible Layer 2 network. With over $5 million raised during the presale, the appetite for meme-coin ecosystems continues to fuel Ethereum’s utility narrative, giving it both technical and psychological strength. Key Levels to Watch: • Short-term Structure (H4 Chart): ETH is currently forming a bullish flag pattern, a continuation structure that often precedes further upside. • Upside Scenario: A confirmed breakout above $3,100 could extend the rally to $3,200, and potentially test $3,300, a level of major historical resistance. • Downside Risk: Failure to hold current levels may see ETH retrace back toward $2,900, with the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $2,600 acting as the next support zone. If sentiment in the broader crypto market remains elevated and Bitcoin holds firm near all-time highs, Ethereum’s bullish setup may have further room to run.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by FDGCapital
Want to Know What Happens in Crypto? Check Silver InsteadThe Gold/Silver ratio is one of the key indicators that highlights major turning points in modern economic history. Similarly, the ETH/BTC ratio is widely followed as a gauge of strength in the crypto market and the beginning of altcoin seasons. Interestingly, these two ratios also appear to correlate well with each other. As adoption of both Ethereum and Bitcoin has grown, the Gold/Silver and BTC/ETH ratios have started to move more closely together. They often follow similar patterns, with tops and bottoms forming one after the other. For clarity, this analysis uses the BTC/ETH ratio rather than ETH/BTC. Historically, BTC/ETH tends to lead during market tops, followed by a similar move in the Gold/Silver ratio. This pattern has been observed repeatedly since 2020. When it comes to bottoms, the timing between the two ratios is usually tighter, as seen during the 2020, 2021, and 2024 lows. The latest signal came from a top in the BTC/ETH ratio, and the Gold/Silver ratio now appears to be following that move. Given the cyclical nature of crypto markets, both ETH and silver could be at the early stages of new upward trends. For a potential trend reversal, it may be wise to keep a closer eye on silver in the coming weeks.
by ftdsystem
Nifty holds important support zone.Nifty Analysis: Support and Upside Targets Market Recap - Opening: Nifty opened flat, showing little directional bias at the start. - Intraday Move: The index was dragged down towards the important support zone of 25,050–25,000 - Bounce: From this support zone, Nifty rebounded and managed to close above 25,080. Technical Outlook: Key Support Zone - Support Range: 25,050–25,000 Significance: This zone has acted as a strong support, with buyers stepping in to defend it. - Implication: As long as Nifty sustains above this zone, the short-term trend remains positive. Upside Targets If Nifty holds above the support: - Immediate Targets: 25,200 and 25,300 are the next levels to watch for upward momentum. - Long-Term Targets: 25,500 and 25,700 remain the key targets if the bullish momentum continues. Summary - Bullish View: Sustaining above 25,000–25,050 support zone keeps the index in a positive bias. - Bearish Risk: A decisive break below 25,000 could lead to further downside. - Strategy: Traders may consider staying long as long as Nifty holds above the support zone, watching for the mentioned targets. Note: Always use appropriate risk management and monitor for any changes in market sentiment or global cues that may impact index movement.
NSE:NIFTY
by siddhantsamaiya
Report - 10 jully, 2025Germany Pushes European Rearmament — Supply Chain Call to Action Key Developments German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius demands the defense industry “stop complaining and deliver,” pushing for accelerated production. Berlin plans to raise annual defense spending to €162 billion by 2029 (+70% vs. current), the largest defense expansion since WWII. Focus on munitions, drones, tanks, submarines, fighter jets. Long-term contracts with annual purchase obligations to provide production certainty and encourage new capacity. Meeting with US Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to secure US support and coordinate Patriot missile supply (Germany has only 6 left). Despite Ukraine’s renewed requests, Germany will not send Taurus long-range missiles. Strategic Analysis Germany’s pivot (the "Zeitenwende") signals a historic shift toward a leadership role in European defense, stepping up as US support for continental security wanes. The move reshapes Europe's industrial base and procurement priorities, creating a structural, multiyear demand boom in defense production. This strategic acceleration responds to: Russia's aggression and rapid advances in Ukraine. A fragmented EU defense industry needing standardization and scale. The risk that delays in rearmament could embolden adversaries. Market & Investment Implications Bullish outlook for European defense primes: Rheinmetall, Hensoldt, KMW, and MBDA. Strong orders pipeline supports supplier valuations and capital investments. Defense-focused ETFs and long-cycle industrial funds gain attractiveness. Potential execution risks: capacity bottlenecks and regulatory procurement hurdles. North Korea’s Unconditional Support to Russia — New Security Axis Key Developments Kim Jong Un pledges "unconditional support" for Russia’s Ukraine war effort during Lavrov’s visit. North Korea has reportedly sent 13,000 troops and 12 million artillery shells since October, with plans for more troops this summer. Joint military and economic ties deepening: possible new infrastructure projects and North Korean goods in Russian markets. Strategic Analysis The explicit military alliance between Moscow and Pyongyang cements a new anti-Western axis in Northeast Asia. North Korean boots on the ground in Ukraine (even indirectly) create significant escalation risks and could legitimize wider allied responses. Market & Security Implications Increases global defense spending momentum, particularly in missile defense and artillery systems. Heightens regional security risk premium in Northeast Asia, reinforcing demand for US-Japan-Korea trilateral cooperation. Potential new sanctions regimes targeting Russian and North Korean trade. EU to Intensify Foreign Subsidy Investigations Key Developments EU to expand probes into foreign-subsidized companies, particularly Chinese, using the Foreign Subsidies Regulation (FSR). Target sectors: chemicals, pharmaceuticals, cars, batteries, and green tech. FSR empowers Brussels to block public procurement bids, M&A deals, and restrict single-market access. Strategic Analysis A clear industrial policy pivot: Brussels seeks to protect European value chains, local talent, and technological sovereignty. The EU is signaling it will emulate China’s own JV requirements to force knowledge transfer and local investment. Market & Corporate Implications Defensive boost for EU industrial and tech players — potential reshoring and local capacity expansion. Risks for Chinese EV, solar, and battery players in Europe. New compliance costs and operational hurdles for multinationals with Chinese JV exposure. EU Temporarily Suspends Tariff Retaliation Against US Key Developments EU delays €21 billion in planned retaliatory tariffs on US exports following Trump’s 30% tariff threat. Negotiations ongoing; additional €72 billion of potential retaliatory measures being prepared. Germany’s finance minister stresses continued “serious talks,” warning of possible decisive countermeasures if negotiations fail. Strategic Analysis EU seeks to avoid a major trade war escalation that could hit vulnerable industries (aircraft, agriculture, luxury goods). The postponement reflects both economic pragmatism and strategic patience. Market Implications Near-term relief for European cyclical exporters and automotive supply chains. Volatility risk persists; underlying uncertainty keeps global supply chain hedging active. Global Health Risks from Western Aid Cuts Key Developments Wellcome Trust warns that sharp cuts in Western aid (e.g., 83% of USAID programs, UK’s 40% cut) could lead to deaths exceeding those caused by COVID-19 in Africa and other regions. Reductions threaten vaccination programs, HIV/AIDS prevention, and basic health infrastructure. Strategic & Social Implications Rising health crises could create regional instability, migration pressures, and political fragility. Potential for emergent humanitarian crises to undermine global economic resilience and security. Crypto Firms Move Toward US Banking Integration Key Developments Ripple, Circle, and BitGo seek national banking charters; Kraken to launch crypto-backed debit/credit cards. Trump administration’s pro-digital asset stance and proposed Genius Act accelerating integration of stablecoins with Treasury backing. Strategic Analysis Crypto players are rapidly shifting from an anti-establishment stance to a regulated model, seeking legitimacy and direct ties to the US banking system. This is a major strategic pivot toward mass-market adoption and integration. Market Implications Growth catalysts for regulated digital asset ecosystems. Opportunities in infrastructure (custody, payment rails, compliance tech). Regulatory framework evolution remains a key risk factor. US-Japan Relations Enter Critical Phase Key Developments Sharp deterioration in US-Japan ties as Trump imposes tariffs and demands higher defense spending (up to 3.5% of GDP). Japan’s requests for tariff exemptions rebuffed; possible alliance strain. US threatens to halt Okinawa troop relocation plans, creating a defense strategy crisis. Strategic Analysis Deepening transactional approach by US administration risks destabilizing one of Washington’s most strategic alliances. Japan’s ability to recalibrate is limited, leading to potential security vulnerabilities vis-à-vis China and North Korea. Market & Policy Implications Elevated geopolitical risk premium in Asia-Pacific. Potential reassessment of Japanese defense contractors and broader regional security investments. Possible long-term tailwinds for local defense and cybersecurity initiatives. Copper Tariff Uncertainty — Global Supply Chain Alert Key Developments US plans 50% copper tariffs from August 1; manufacturers seek clarity. Copper critical for EVs, semiconductors, defense, and green infrastructure. Stockpiles may last 6–9 months; longer-term supply risk remains acute. Strategic & Market Implications Significant inflationary pressures in downstream sectors. Supply chain disruptions could affect US manufacturing competitiveness, defense readiness, and green transition timelines. Potential opportunities for non-US copper producers and recyclers. Apollo's UK Pension Play — Bulk Annuities Strategy Key Developments Athora (Apollo-backed) acquires Pension Insurance Corporation for £5.7bn, entering the UK’s £500bn pension de-risking market. Signals strategy shift as US private capital increasingly integrates with retirement and insurance liabilities. Strategic Analysis Apollo’s model of “permanent capital” (buying long-duration liabilities to invest in high-yielding private assets) advances further into Europe. The move addresses demographic pressures and opens new fee streams. Market Implications Bullish for Apollo and similar alternative asset managers. Heightened scrutiny by regulators on risk transfer and solvency. UK pension de-risking market consolidation may create opportunities for specialized asset managers. Overall Global Themes & Recommendations Themes Structural defense rearmament and deterrence strategies reshaping Europe and Asia. Geopolitical realignments create new economic blocs and challenge global supply chains. Rise of state-supported industrial policies in Europe (FSR) and US (tariffs). Growing integration of crypto into mainstream finance under a friendlier US regulatory regime. Recommendations Overweight: European and US defense primes, cybersecurity, regulated crypto infrastructure. Underweight: Asian export-heavy sectors highly exposed to US tariff risk, particularly Japan. Selective Long: European industrial reshoring beneficiaries, US pension risk transfer facilitators. Monitor: Copper and critical mineral supply chains for inflation pass-through and supply constraints.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
GBP/USD (GU) Weekly Outlook – July 15–19, 2025🔍 Price Enters Extreme Discount – Bounce or Breakdown? After a clean break in structure and multiple bearish rejections, GBP/USD has entered extreme discount territory. Price is now testing a high-probability reaction zone near the weak low around 1.3440. 📊 Key Technical Zones: 🔻 Weak Low: 1.3440 🔵 1H OB (HP) below weak low: Potential liquidity draw 🔺 Retracement Targets: 0.25 = 1.3500 0.50 = 1.3535 0.75 = 1.3575 🟥 FVG resistance zone: 1.3575–1.3600 🧲 Draw on liquidity: Sub 1.3440 or PDH rejection area 🧠 Base Case: 📈 Expecting a short-term bullish reaction from the extreme discount zone 📉 Bias remains bearish overall unless structure shifts decisively 🎯 Weekly Trade Plan: ✅ Plan A: Watch for bullish CHoCH near 1.3440–1.3450 TP1: 1.3500 TP2: 1.3535–1.3575 🔁 Plan B: If price sweeps lower into OB (below 1.3440) → Look for bullish structure shift on LTF ❌ Invalidation: Sustained break and close below 1.3425 → opens path toward 1.3360s 📌 Price is deep into discount, but without confirmation there is no trade. Patience for reaction setups is key.
by stairwaytoprofit
Long Opportunity: Boeing Could Take Flight Next WeekCurrent Price: $226.84 Direction: LONG Targets: - T1 = $233.00 - T2 = $238.00 Stop Levels: - S1 = $223.00 - S2 = $218.00 **Wisdom of Professional Traders:** This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Boeing. **Key Insights:** Boeing continues to be a key player in the aerospace industry. Strong demand in its commercial airplane segments, coupled with resilient defense contracts, provides the company with stability. The ongoing recovery in airline travel globally adds further momentum to growth, presenting opportunities to capitalize on this positive outlook. Boeing's concerted efforts to address operational inefficiencies and ramp up production capacity also add value, particularly as the company pivots to meet increasing demand in the commercial aviation industry. The aerospace giant has also benefited from favorable regulatory measures and accelerated demand recovery in Asia and Europe, key regions for international travel plays. Boeing's focus on ramping up production of the 737 MAX series while maintaining strong growth in its aftermarket services positions it for sustained revenue gains. **Recent Performance:** Boeing has demonstrated steady upward movement over recent sessions while largely consolidating within a tight technical range. Volumes have remained consistent, signaling sustained investor confidence despite broader market uncertainties. The current price action shows a favorable risk-to-reward setup approaching key resistance levels. **Expert Analysis:** Market sentiment remains optimistic due to strong tailwinds in the commercial aviation sector. Analysts point to Boeing's better-than-expected execution on fulfilling delayed orders, particularly for the 737 MAX. Despite concerns over persistent supply chain disruptions, experts note that Boeing's strategic partnerships and operational agility mitigate the long-term risks. Investors are encouraged by the company's forward guidance, although higher material costs remain a watch point for margins. Technically, Boeing is testing critical resistance at $230. Analysts view a break of this region as a trigger for additional gains, leading to breakout opportunities toward the $240 level. **News Impact:** Boeing recently increased its production targets for 2024 and announced strategic moves to expand global service offerings. Positive sentiment surrounding favorable regulatory measures, coupled with improving demand for replacement planes and international travel, has boosted outlooks. Continued commitments from airline giants to upgrade fleets support robust future order flow. **Trading Recommendation:** A long position in Boeing at the current price of $226.84 targets a movement to $233.00 (T1) and $238.00 (T2). Stops should be placed at $223.00 (S1) and $218.00 (S2) to limit downside risks. This trade benefits from near-term positive catalysts, including volume consistency, strong market sentiment, and supportive global travel demand recovery.
NYSE:BALong
by CrowdWisdomTrading