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Silver (XAG/USD) Analysis Using Mirror Market Concepts + Target📌 Overview: In this analysis, I’ve applied MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) to Silver’s recent price action. MMC helps traders like us identify symmetry, psychological zones, and repetitive structures in the market. This chart is a textbook example of how buyers and sellers leave patterns behind that we can mirror to predict what comes next. Let’s dig deep into this elegant setup 👇 📈 1. The Curve Zone Support – Foundation for the Move At the base of the chart, you’ll notice a curved support zone drawn in black. This isn’t just any random support—this is a rounded structure that shows how price gradually transitioned from bearish to bullish over time. This Curve Zone Support indicates: Sellers are getting exhausted. Buyers are quietly stepping in, absorbing all sell-side pressure. The market is preparing for an upside breakout. This zone also aligns with mirror behavior—what price did before, it's setting up to do again. 🟣 2. Mirror Market Concepts in Action MMC teaches us to reflect past structures into the future. Here’s how it plays out: Previous dips into the curve zone were followed by strong bullish pushes. Recent price action mimics earlier structures, forming mini-cups and curved bases. This behavior suggests that Silver is mirroring its own bullish reversal structure again. It’s like watching history repeat itself—with new energy. 🟡 3. Demand Zone + Break of Structure (BOS) Around the $33.00 level, price dipped into a marked demand zone (highlighted in light purple). This is where buyers jumped back in and pushed price up again—proving strong interest at this level. You’ll also notice a Minor Break of Structure (BOS) above this demand zone, showing: A small, but significant shift in market sentiment. Short-term trend change from bearish to bullish. Fuel for the next leg up. This BOS acts as confirmation that price is ready to move toward the target. 🎯 4. Targeting Major Resistance – $34.50 Zone The ultimate goal is the Major Resistance Zone around $34.50. This zone has been tested before and caused strong rejections. But here’s the key difference now: Price is approaching this level with momentum, structure, and buyer interest. If MMC continues to play out, this zone could be taken out or at least retested for potential breakout continuation. This area is marked as your Target Zone and is aligned with the mirrored projection. 🧠 5. What the Market Psychology Tells Us Let’s not just read candles—let’s read the mind of the market: Buyers are patiently absorbing every dip. Sellers are losing control at each attempt to push price down. The curve base structure is signaling accumulation. Demand zones are holding perfectly. Minor BOS adds more weight to bullish bias. All these are classic MMC psychological footprints. ⚙️ Trade Plan (Educational Purpose Only): 🔹 Bullish Bias: Entry: On confirmation above the minor BOS or demand retest. Stop: Below the recent demand zone. Target: $34.50 Major Resistance area. 🔹 Bearish Watch: If price rejects from the curve or fails to hold above demand zone… Price could revisit $32.50 or lower to re-test curve zone again. 📘 Final Thoughts: This chart is a masterclass in how Mirror Market Concepts work. From the curve zone support to the demand hold, and now a clear target in sight, everything is lining up beautifully. If you’re a price action trader, this is the kind of structure you wait weeks for. If the bullish scenario plays out, we could see Silver make a strong run toward the $34.50 resistance zone in the coming days. Keep your eyes on: Curve zone support holding Demand confirmation
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Bitcoin MMC Analysis – Mirror Market Concepts in Action + Target📌 Overview: In this idea, I’m using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) to break down Bitcoin’s current price behavior. MMC is a powerful way to spot repetitive price patterns, psychological zones, and mirrored moves that help us predict where the market might go next. Let’s break down what this chart is really telling us. 👇 🔁 1. Mirror Market Concept in Play MMC is all about symmetry. Think of it like looking into a mirror—what price did on the left side, it might repeat (or mirror) on the right side. Look at the two rounded zones (highlighted in light blue ellipses). Price dipped into the support zone, formed a rounded bottom, and then shot up. A similar pattern is forming again on the right-hand side. This mirroring behavior gives us a clue that price could follow the same path upward again. 📉 2. Trendline Resistance – A Key Level The chart shows a clear descending trendline that has been respected multiple times. Every time price tries to break above this line, it gets rejected. This tells us that sellers are still in control at that level. Until this trendline is broken cleanly, bullish momentum remains capped. However, multiple tests of the trendline also indicate it's getting weaker, so a breakout might be coming. 🟪 3. Support Zone – Buyer’s Stronghold See the purple shaded area near $108,400? That’s the support zone. Price bounced off this area several times, showing that buyers are defending this level. This zone is important because: If it holds, we can expect another upward push. If it breaks, price could drop to the next support level (not shown here, but could be around $107,000–$107,500 based on structure). 🎯 4. Previous Target Hit – New Target Identified Using MMC, we previously predicted a move up to around $110,800, and that target has been successfully hit (labeled as "Previous Target" in the chart). Now, a new target zone is forming around $109,600–$109,800, marked on the right side of the chart. If price breaks above the trendline and central zone, this is the next likely destination. 🔵 5. Central Ellipse Zone – Compression Area The blue ellipse on the right side represents a central zone—an area of price compression and indecision. In MMC, this is where price builds up energy before a move. It acts like a spring: the longer price consolidates here, the bigger the breakout move will be. Right now, BTC is compressing in this central zone. This is a critical moment. The breakout direction from here could decide the short-term trend. 📊 Trade Plan Ideas: 🔹 Bullish Scenario: Wait for a clean breakout above the trendline and central zone. Look for a retest of the breakout area (confirmation). Target the $109,600–$109,800 zone. 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break the trendline and drops below the support zone at $108,400… We could expect a deeper pullback toward $107,000–$107,500. 🔹 Key Levels: Resistance: $109,200 (trendline area), $109,800 (target zone) Support: $108,400 (zone), $107,500 (next major support if broken) 📘 Final Thoughts: This chart is a perfect example of how MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) can give us a visual roadmap of what price might do next. It’s not about guessing—it’s about recognizing the psychological patterns that repeat over and over in the markets. Right now, Bitcoin is sitting at a decision point: Break above the trendline = possible bullish continuation Break below support = likely bearish shift Watch the central zone closely—because the next big move could start from right there. 🔍
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
AUD/NZD - Strong Bullish Trade Setup🔥 AUD/NZD 8H Bullish Setup – Demand Zone + Liquidity Grab 📍 Current Structure: Price is pulling back into a refined demand zone, perfectly aligned with the 71% Fibonacci retracement. This zone also holds trendline support from the higher timeframe — strong structural confluence. Price is forming a corrective wave, likely completing a classic ABC pattern down into demand. 📊 Volume Insight: A volume spike at the lows hints at aggressive buying — likely institutional. Smart money may be accumulating just before a bullish push. 📈 Play Idea: Looking for price to react inside the 71% zone, potentially forming a bullish engulfing or BOS (break of structure). Clear target is Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) above recent highs — that's where stops are clustered. 🧠 Confluences: Demand Zone ✅ 71% Fib Level ✅ Trendline Support ✅ Volume Spike ✅ Buy Side Liquidity Target ✅ 🎯 Bias: Strongly Bullish Waiting for a clean trigger — bullish candle confirmation or BOS. This setup screams smart money accumulation.
Long
by jamesibartram
Gold at a Psychological Level Gold has now risen to 100 times its previously fixed price of $35 per ounce. Is this a psychological milestone signaling a correction ahead, or is there still more upside potential? Under the Gold Reserve Act of 1934, gold was officially priced at $35, a rate maintained until 1971, when President Nixon suspended the dollar’s convertibility into gold, effectively ending the gold standard. This historic move, known as the “Nixon Shock,” allowed gold to trade freely in the market. By December the same year, the market price had already climbed to around $43–44 per ounce. So why has gold risen from $35 to $3,500? Gold is widely recognized as a hedge against inflation—but in reality, it has proven to be more than that. Let’s consider this: If inflation had compounded at the target rate of 2% per year since 1971, gold should be priced at $102 today. But at $3,500, the also implied that the compounded annual growth rate is around 8.9%. So, what explains this outperformance? One key driver is the expansion of the money supply, especially through debt, and more critically, debt financed by money printing. Periods of high inflation are can be preceded by an unjustified increase in the money supply, not backed by corresponding income or production output. In 2018, we saw the beginning of Trump’s Tariff 1.0. Since the anticipation of Trump’s Tariff 2.0, I’ve incorporated a framework I call the QTD Matrix—which stands for Quantitative Easing, Tariffs, and Debt—to track the trajectory of gold prices. As long as we continue to see: • Central banks deploying Quantitative Easing during crises, • Ongoing or escalating Tariff wars, and • Persistent growth in national Debt, It is reasonable to expect gold to remain firm and potentially break into new highs. Historical Observations: • Let’s start with Gold vs QE. Each major wave of QE has triggered a significant rally in gold—from Japan’s QE in 2001, to US QE1, QE2, and QE3 following the 2008 crisis, and the massive Covid-era QE in 2020. • Next Gold vs Tariffs. When Trump’s Tariff 1.0 was announced in August 2018, gold pivoted on that very day and began trending higher. In October 2022, Biden’s export controls on advanced chips acted as a tariff-equivalent event, once again prompting gold to rise. After Trump's re-election in November last year, markets began pricing in Tariff 2.0, and gold responded by trending upward once more. • Finally Gold vs Debt. Gold has also moved in close tandem with the rising US debt over the years. As of now, I believe that QE (Q), Tariffs (T), and Debt (D) will remain in play. Hence, it's reasonable to expect: • The cost of living to remain elevated, • Inflationary pressures to persist, and • Gold prices to continue their long-term uptrend. That said, I’m also noticing technical and psychological resistance in the mid-term after it reached $3,500. This is a quarterly chart, once I have identified its primary uptrend line, I would like to mirror it to its significant peak (going back way back the 1980s, a period of high inflation), which appears to intersect around the psychological level of $3,500. With the trade war currently on pause, gold may temporarily take a breather. But as long as QTD remains intact, it may just be a matter of time before gold tests its recent resistance—and, if broken, continues its upward trajectory. We should also ask: Is there any possibility that the Q, T, or D could shift in the opposite direction? If so, that could be a positive sign for equity markets. Micro Gold Futures & Options Ticker: MGC Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $1.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com www.cmegroup.com
COMEX:GC1!Short
by konhow
Gold May Undergo Short-Term Correction as USD Rebounds📊 Market Overview: Gold (XAU/USD) is trading around $3,320/oz on May 28, 2025, after failing to break above a key resistance zone. The US dollar’s recovery and rising Treasury yields are putting short-term pressure on gold, despite lingering geopolitical tensions. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,330 – $3,360 • Nearest Support: $3,280 – $3,235 • EMA 09: Price is currently above the EMA 09, indicating that the upward trend remains intact. • RSI Indicator: RSI stays above the 50 level, suggesting momentum is still bullish. • Candlestick Pattern: A doji near the $3,330 zone signals market indecision. 📌 Outlook: Gold may see a mild correction if the USD continues to strengthen. However, holding above $3,280 would keep the bullish momentum alive. 💡 Suggested Trading Strategy: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,330 🎯 TP: $3,310 (200 pips) ❌ SL: $3,340 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,285 🎯 TP: $3,305 (200 pips) ❌ SL: $3,275
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
Whales Wrote the Rules stop your imagination and Lose more Is it true that whales control the charts, or is it just another trading myth? Why does everything look perfect—until the exact opposite happens? This analysis reveals how smart money traps retail traders in plain sight. Hello✌ Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material. 🎯 Analytical Insight on XRP: XRP is showing classic signs of compression, resembling a tightly wound spring ready to release. Momentum is building, and a breakout appears imminent based on current price structure and volume behavior 📈. While my long-term outlook remains significantly bullish, this setup suggests a conservative upside of at least 18%, with a key target in focus at $2.70 🚀. Now , let's dive into the educational section, 📊 TradingView Tools to Track Whale Behavior One of the most powerful truths in trading is this: Smart money always leaves a trace—you just need to know where and how to look. TradingView provides some powerful tools to help you identify those footprints. Volume Profile (Fixed Range / Session Volume): Use this tool to spot where the most volume was traded in specific ranges. These high-volume areas often signal zones where whales have entered or exited positions. Smart Money Concepts / Order Blocks : Now natively available in TradingView for Pro+ and Premium plans, these highlight potential manipulation zones, institutional footprints, and key support/resistance levels. Liquidity Zones: Use custom indicators like Liquidity Pools Detector or combine ATR with price structure to visualize high-risk/high-reward zones—whales love ambushing retail here. Practical Tip: Open the Bitcoin chart. Apply the Volume Profile Fixed Range tool across a two-week range. Look for areas with the highest volume concentration—these are likely whale action zones. Now overlay the Order Block indicator. You’ll often find those zones overlap. 🧠 Understanding Whale Behavior Whales typically act when the crowd is at extreme fear or greed. They move against the market’s emotional wave—and to do that, they need to mislead the herd. They create setups that look obvious but are designed to trap. 🐟 How Retail Traders Get Hunted Here’s the classic trap: The market makes a fake drop → panic selling → retail goes short. Then whales step in, absorb liquidity, push price up → retail goes long too late. Finally, whales dump at the top, and price collapses again. 🔄 Whale Playbook: The Four Phases Silent Accumulation Fake Breakout Pump Distribution During Peak Greed Dump + Liquidity Grab You’ll find this playbook hidden in plain sight—if you stop chasing noise and start tracking volume, liquidity, and sentiment. ⚠️ Why Retail Always Ends Up on the Wrong Side Because they’re looking for confirmation, not truth. Whales exploit this—chart patterns, indicators, and fake breakouts are all part of the trap. You need more than candles—you need context. 🔍 Chart Patterns or Psychological Traps? Patterns like Head & Shoulders, Wyckoff Phases, or Triangles? Whales know you’re watching them. They use these patterns as bait. Unless combined with volume confirmation and liquidity context, most patterns are psychological illusions. 🧭 How to Follow the Smart Money Study candle behavior with volume (Volume Spread Analysis) Drop to lower timeframes to confirm liquidity zones Use Anchored VWAP from major pivot highs/lows Watch for divergence between price and volume—especially at highs/lows 💡 Conclusion: There’s no holy grail in trading—but if you start thinking like a whale instead of chasing them, you’ll stop being the bait. Use TradingView’s institutional-level tools to decode real market intentions. Next time you spot a "perfect breakout," ask: who's on the other side of this trade—and why? always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅. Give me some energy !! ✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box. Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Education
by MadWhale
7
The Day Ahead Key Economic Data United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (May) Insight into regional manufacturing. Weak data may increase rate cut expectations. Dallas Fed Services Activity Measures service sector strength; can affect Fed rate outlook. Germany Unemployment Claims Rate (May) Higher unemployment could support a more dovish ECB. Import Price Index (April) Key for inflation outlook; may influence euro and bund yields. France PPI, Consumer Spending, Q1 Payrolls Indicators of inflation and consumer strength. Can affect Eurozone equities and ECB expectations. Australia CPI (April) Major driver for AUD and rate expectations. A high print could push AUD higher. Central Bank Events FOMC Minutes Traders will watch for signals on inflation concerns and future rate path. Fed Speakers: Williams, Kashkari Comments may influence expectations for Fed policy shifts. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey Insight into Eurozone inflation expectations. Affects EUR. RBNZ Decision Direct impact on NZD. A hawkish stance could lift NZD. Earnings (Market Movers) NVIDIA High-impact for NASDAQ and AI stocks. Watch for volatility and options activity. Salesforce Key for tech sector sentiment, especially SaaS names. Synopsys, Agilent, Abercrombie & Fitch Sector-specific insights: semis, health, consumer. Bond Auctions US 2-Year FRN US 5-Year Notes Auctions may impact Treasury yields and USD. Weak demand could push yields higher. Trading Focus Watch USD, AUD, EUR, NZD around data and central bank events. NVIDIA earnings could shift tech and AI market sentiment. Treasury yield curve may move on Fed minutes and auctions. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's Ultimate Market Journal🌌The Ultra Idea : d-MR96nBa's🌠Ultimate Market Journal🎨 Hello Fellow Travelers It's been some time since I've posted a Fresh Idea, though I've remained actively trading. What better way to mark my TradView return, than to start an Ultimate Market Journal. Financial Markets have taken my deep interest again recently, especially as we seem to be at a time of accelerating change and shifting regimes. I believe many opportunities abound to those with open, flexible and creative minds. A bit more about myself. I've been involved with financial markets in one form or fashion for 18 years now. I started out like most of us, approaching the game with fundamental analysis, only to later incorporate and then fully graduate to T/A. I'm a natural Contrarian. My brand of technical analysis is as much about aesthetics, creative expression, discovering hidden truths and applying Universal Principles as it is running the numbers. I'm starting this off with Ultra Bond Futures, as UB's are the trading instrument I've come to specialise in, having had the most ongoing consistent success trading. This by no means is going to be a "I bought here and sold there" type of Journal, as that's not my style. Nor am I going to focus on a single market instrument, observation or style of analysis. I'd like this to become a repository of accumulated wisdom and unique market perceptives. I've just begun contemplating what this may evolve into in time, and I invite you to join me in taking this Leap d-MR96nBa🌌 Concept Inversion📈📉 Seek out and analyse whatever moves exactly inverse to what you intend to trade. If you're having trouble discerning trend or observing price patterns, check the inverse. This can be an excellent technique for exposing Bias. This can work particularly well for currency traders, though can be Universally applied. For US Ultra Bonds, the inverse is the US 30 Year Yield Ultra Bond Futures US 30 Year Yield Currency traders, say you're about to trade AUD/CHF Check out the CHF/AUD chart first, if they both appear Bullish or Bearish, you've got a Bias. AUD/CHF CHF/AUD GBP/JPY JPY/GBP EUR/USD USD/EUR Are there any examples of Inversion in Trading you'd like to share ? What else is on my🧠 Well just casually, I believe we're currently witnessing Peak Bitcoin in it's entire Life-cycle. Have we Bull Trapped & Breakaway Gapped on Berkshire Hathaway BRK.B It's in the Detail
CBOT:UB1!Education
by d-MR96nBa
Support/resistance has now been decisively broken.EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Daily Timeframe Overview Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not intended as financial advice. Please conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. The EUR/USD pair has recently shown a notable technical development on the daily chart. A key trendline that has previously acted as dynamic support/resistance has now been decisively broken. Following the breakout, the price action has returned to retest this trendline from below—a common behavior that traders often refer to as a "break-and-retest" setup. Adding further weight to this area is the presence of a breaker block, which is overlapping with the retesting zone. This convergence of technical structures increases the probability of a bearish rejection from this level. Should the market respect this zone as resistance, we can expect a potential downward move targeting the nearest Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has been highlighted on the chart. However, traders should also consider a contingency scenario. If the FVG fails to act as a price magnet or support zone, further downside pressure could take the pair toward lower levels—specifically, the recent swing lows, which may serve as the next major support area. This scenario aligns with the current market momentum and structure, but as always, price action confirmation and risk management are crucial.
Short
by Peter_Wade
IPI - Fertilizer Trade: A Forgotten Play, Geopolitical upsideWhenever a resolution to the Russia-Ukraine war materializes, agricultural restoration will be one of the first and most critical steps, not just for Ukraine's battered fields but also for Russia's export infrastructure. Both countries are central to global wheat markets, and reviving output means ramping up fertilizer usage, especially potash. That sets the stage for renewed interest in fertilizer producers. Potash, also known as potassium chloride, is an important nutrient for plants. It helps them resist drought, strengthens their roots, and increases crop yields. Unlike more energy-intensive nitrogen fertilizers, potash supply is concentrated and not easily ramped up. Belarus and Russia are among the top 10 world potash exporters, but sanctions and supply chain bottlenecks have impacted their volumes. Ukraine will need to import significant amounts of potash to rebuild its ag base. Global potash demand could rise sharply as post-war reconstruction efforts kick in, and that makes Western suppliers a critical piece of the puzzle The market may not be pricing in this recovery narrative just yet. Fertilizer stocks popped in 2022, but most have been rangebound or sold off since as supply chains stabilized and the commodity cycle cooled off. But structurally, if global potash demand starts ramping again, especially from a fresh buyer like Ukraine coming back, the upside case for U.S.-based producers becomes clearer. Macro themes like agricultural recovery after war are slow-building but often explosive once recognized. The fertilizer story is one of them. If you're positioning ahead of that curve, it's not just about trading. It's also about recognizing that geopolitical peace, when it comes, won't just be about diplomacy. It'll be about digging back into the soil and starting over. Intrepid Potash may be one of the most overlooked names in the market right now. It is tucked away in the fertilizer sector, has low volume, and is not hyped. But that quiet tape hides an interesting setup. After a boom-bust cycle following the 2022 commodity shock, IPI has been grinding through a long consolidation. Now, with potash prices stabilizing and geopolitical risk still unresolved, the stock is showing early signs of an uptrend. And with options cheap and sentiment nonexistent, this could be a classic contrarian long. 2022: IPI surged alongside fertilizer peers after Russia's invasion of Ukraine sparked global fears of food insecurity and disrupted potash supply chains. 2023–2024: The stock gave up those gains as: Central banks hiked aggressively, capping inflation-linked trades. Potash prices corrected from panic highs. Broader commodity sentiment turned defensive. Now (Mid-2025): IPI is starting to build out around long-term support. Price action is tightening, and early momentum signals are starting to flash. This isn't a runaway rally yet, but it's building the right kind of structure. Call options with a ~$45-$50 target expiring December (can also use call spreads) Option premiums are still cheap, reflecting low implied volatility and a market because nobody 'in their right mind' is looking at this yet. If Russia-Ukraine negotiations resume or if even partial de-escalation happens, the market may quickly reprice ag rebuild stories. Fertilizer demand from Ukraine could spike, and with Belarusian and Russian supply still under partial sanctions, Western producers like IPI could benefit disproportionately. If the Fed signals that it's near the end of its tightening cycle or even hints at cuts in late 2025, rate-sensitive commodity equities could start to re-rate higher. That would relieve pressure on capex-intensive names like IPI. Global potash prices are off their highs but showing signs of stabilization. If demand forecasts pick up, prices don't need to move explosively higher, just holding firm or ticking higher could expand margins and renew investor interest & sentiment  With few traders active in IPI's options, implied volatility remains low. Any volume-driven breakout (or narrative shift) could trigger a fast repricing. Think of this as a "volatility catch-up" play in addition to a directional one.
NYSE:IPILong
by RomanoRnr