BITCOIN NEXT MOVES!Bitcoin’s Next Move
In the long run, it's clear—Bitcoin is the new digital gold. Any dip at this stage is a potential opportunity. With over 7 years of experience in Bitcoin analysis, I believe in the bigger picture and long-term value.
If you'd like me to analyze or give insights on any other coin, feel free to ask. And don’t forget to follow for more crypto updates and analysis!
Beyond Technical Analysis
USDCAD Long 4/24/2025USD/CAD Long Setup – 4H Demand Bounce + Fib Confluence Ahead of Jobless Claims
Looking to long USD/CAD based on a confluence of technical structure and macro catalysts.
Daily Chart:
Yesterday printed a bullish engulfing candle, signaling strong buyer intent and continuation of the broader uptrend.
4H Chart:
Price pulled back into a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the recent leg, aligning perfectly with a well-defined 4H demand zone.
Importantly, no 4H candle has closed below the body of the previous bullish engulfing, suggesting buyers are holding control.
Trade Expectation:
Expecting this to be a correction within a trend, not a reversal — looking for a continuation that retests the highs and pushes for a breakout beyond 1.3900.
Fundamental Catalyst:
Today’s U.S. unemployment claims release will be the key driver. A lower-than-expected print could fuel USD strength and send this pair accelerating to new short-term highs.
Target Zone:
First target is a retest of the recent high; extended target is a break above 1.3900, which opens the door to higher timeframe expansion.
Stop: Just below the 4H demand zone, respecting the structural invalidation of the Fib level.
This is a clean trend-continuation play with both technical alignment and fundamental tailwinds.
NVDIA Short to T1 2 Setups here.
- Both T1 and T2 will be hit as part of my price return to zero system (inflexion points).
- I'm shorting to T1 first and then reverse into long for T2. If it heads to T2 first I'll simply stay in my original T1 short for the duration.
It is of course easy to say that this will either go up or down :-). My system defines targets and there is no rules to say that can only produce a target in one direction. Based on what I see I know with around 95% accuracy that it will hit both with a reasonable timescale. I just don't know which one comes first :).
Either way I'm shorting to T1 in the first instance. It may hit T2 first but that doesn't bother my trading as I still expect T1. I won't go down the route of a martingale to T! if it goes to T2 first!! that's just asking for trouble regardless of confidence levels!
CRUDE OILPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
XAUUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
EURUSDPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
US NAS100Preferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
USDJPY Analysis 4H Time-frame Let’s break down the analysis in detail:
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1. Key Zones & Market Structure
You've identified important supply and demand zones:
Supply Zone (around 158.886):
Price hit this zone and sharply reversed. You've marked it with a yellow box, showing a strong area of sellers.
This is a major resistance zone that was tested twice, forming a possible double top structure.
Demand Zone (around 139.694 - 139.576):
This level previously acted as a strong support.
Price reacted here again, which might indicate bullish interest. You marked this zone well with a yellow box.
---
2. Market Reaction & Rejection Points
In the second image, you circled:
Major highs and lows, showing previous price reactions.
These marks point out liquidity zones—areas where price likely took out stop-losses before reversing.
---
3. Price Action Narrative
Here’s the likely narrative from your analysis:
Uptrend into Supply Zone (158.886) → Rejection → Strong bearish move.
Price finds support in Demand Zone (139.694) → Rejection wick → Signs of a bullish reversal.
Current Price (around 142.9) is pushing back into a potential minor resistance (possibly a breaker or previous support turned resistance around 143–145 zone).
---
4. Timeframes Used
You're using both daily (1D) and 4-hour (4H) timeframes.
The 4H chart helps you zoom into entry confirmations (e.g., rejections, liquidity grabs), while the 1D gives you overall structure and key zones.
---
5. Trade Opportunity Analysis
Based on this, a typical analysis conclusion could be:
> “The price of USD/JPY has reached a significant daily demand zone (around 139.7) where historical price action shows strong buying interest. Price has formed a potential higher low and is showing bullish signs, including a strong rejection wick and a recovery back above minor resistance. If price breaks and holds above the 143–145 zone, the next target could be the mid-resistance at 154.793, and eventually retest the supply zone around 158.886, depending on macro conditions and momentum.”
EURJPY: Short Setup with Target Zones in FocusEURJPY outlines a clear W-X-Y corrective pattern. Wave (W) ended at 161.297 , followed by an upward corrective move in Wave (X), which topped at 162.665 with a classic ABC formation.
Currently, the price is hovering around 162.084, likely forming Wave B of the final Y leg. A brief move higher could complete this B wave before the pair resumes its decline toward the 160.922–160.680 area, which marks the projected end of Wave C of (Y).
The broader correction is framed by two descending blue trendlines, providing dynamic resistance and support, while a short-term red ascending trendline is currently holding the price action but may soon give way. If the price stalls or rejects around the 162.3–162.5 zone, it could signal the start of the next leg down, making it a potential setup for short positions. After the reversal from Wave Y, potential upside targets are 161.600, 162.500 , and 163.100 .
We will update it soon!
Gold Potential Ideas - April 23, ahead of Unemployment Claims📉 Macro Snapshot – April 24, 2025
Gold is currently trading at 3337, stuck in mid-structure between supply at 3384–3414 and demand stacked between 3255–3260 and 3224–3233.
🕒 Key time today: Unemployment Claims and Durable Goods Orders hit. High-impact potential.
Expectations:
🔺 Strong data → possible spike down into buy zones
🔻 Weak data → potential liquidity grab into sell zones first
No confirmed shift unless 3344 is broken or 3220 is reclaimed. This is a reaction day, not a breakout day. Let price come to levels — and strike with confirmation.
🔴 SELL ZONES
🔴 Sell Zone 1: 3384 – 3393
🧱 Confluences: HTF imbalance + OB + structural trap zone
🛡 SL: 3398
🎯 TP1: 3365
🎯 TP2: 3341
🎯 TP3: 3310
🔴 Sell Zone 2: 3410 – 3415
🧱 Confluences: Premium OB + liquidity grab zone
🛡 SL: 3421
🎯 TP1: 3384
🎯 TP2: 3362
🎯 TP3: 3330
🔴 Sell Zone 3: 3450 – 3457
🧱 Confluences: Untouched HTF OB + psychological stop hunt
🛡 SL: 3465
🎯 TP1: 3410
🎯 TP2: 3380
🎯 TP3: 3341
🟢 BUY ZONES
🟢 Buy Zone 1: 3274 – 3282
📍 Strong support pocket — demand + Asia low
🛡 SL: 3264
🎯 TP1: 3300
🎯 TP2: 3330
🎯 TP3: 3350
🟢 Buy Zone 2: 3250– 3260
🧠 Confluences: Deep OB + liquidity grab + structural base
🛡 SL: 3245
🎯 TP1: 3272
🎯 TP2: 3300
🎯 TP3: 3313
🟢 Buy Zone 3: 3224 – 3233
📍 HTF EQ + reactive demand
🛡 SL: 3218
🎯 TP1: 3255
🎯 TP2: 3280
🎯 TP3: 3303
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
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April 24, 2025 - Not getting fired (yet)Hello everyone, it’s April 24, 2025, welcome back to another wild episode of “Trumponomics: The Market Edition.” For the second day in a row, global markets are on the rise, and yes, it’s all thanks to the Trump playbook: slap tariffs everywhere, terrify the market, escalate tensions, then toss out a gesture of peace and voilà — rally mode engaged.
The key word this morning? Relief. Relief that Trump might chill out on China, and Powell isn’t getting fired (yet). But let’s not pop the champagne too soon — anyone betting against a weekend plot twist from Trump hasn’t been paying attention.
In the US, the Fed’s Beige Book (a.k.a. the economy’s mood diary) painted a picture that’s… let’s say “limp but not lifeless.” Only 5 of the 12 Fed districts saw growth, and even that was more “walker with tennis balls” than Olympic sprint. Inflation? Creeping in slowly, with companies sharpening their price-hike pencils just in case Trump cranks up the tariff heat again. Employment? Not awful, but nothing to brag about. And uncertainty? It was mentioned 80 times in the report. That’s not a joke.
Meanwhile, auto sales are up — not because the economy’s booming, but because Americans are panic-buying ahead of expected price surges from more tariffs. Business travel is tanking, and tourism’s taking a nosedive. Welcome to the “Not-quite-a-crisis-but-definitely-not-fine” States of America.
As for OANDA:XAUUSD , after a brief flirtation with $3,500, it’s cooled down to $3,337. BLACKBULL:WTI is holding at $62.86. And INDEX:BTCUSD ? It’s back in the spotlight at $92,000 and climbing — yes, people are talking about it again, which should tell you something about the vibe out there.
On the politics front, Trump hinted that the tariff moratorium could be revoked for some countries, and he’s back to pestering Powell to cut rates. Classic. Meanwhile, Wall Street is just trying not to get whiplash. NYSE:BA numbers came in better than feared, and NASDAQ:NVDA supply chain via INX looks solid despite wild swings.
Today’s economic calendar includes durable goods data and jobless claims in the CME_MINI:ES1! are down 0.2% — looks like investors are just bracing for the next Trump curveball.
TL;DR: Markets are riding the Trump-coaster, gold cooled off, crypto’s surging, and America’s economy is wobbling but still upright — for now. Keep your helmets on.
NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation Likely After Liquidity GrabGreetings Traders!
As we transition into the New York session, increased market volatility is expected. Currently, NAS100USD is showing signs of potential further bearish continuation. This outlook is supported by a draw on liquidity toward downside liquidity pools and a notable inefficiency—an unfilled gap left earlier in the week.
Key Observations:
1. Unfilled Gap – A Draw on Liquidity:
The market has left behind an inefficiency in the form of a price gap, which typically acts as a magnet for price. Although such inefficiencies are not always filled immediately, they often become targets for future price movement as the market seeks balance.
2. Reclaimed Order Block Breach – Engineered Liquidity:
Price has recently broken below a reclaimed order block that was serving as a temporary resistance zone. This indicates that the market was hunting for liquidity at a relatively premium price—above a key resistance level. The presence of relatively equal highs in this area further supports the notion that this was an engineered liquidity zone.
Engineered liquidity refers to zones designed by smart money to entice retail participation. Once sufficient liquidity is gathered, institutions then drive price through these zones to execute large sell orders at a premium.
3. Downside Targets – Liquidity Pools and Gaps:
With resistance now confirmed as engineered liquidity, smart money is likely to shift focus to the downside. Key targets include liquidity pools at lower price levels and the aforementioned inefficiency, which represents an area of fair value—ideal for profit-taking and potential continuation of institutional selling.
Trading Strategy:
Monitor price for confirmation within any short-term retracements. Selling opportunities aligned with institutional intent may present themselves as price gravitates toward the inefficiency and deeper liquidity zones.
Stay focused, remain patient, and ensure all trades align with your trading plan.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
Trading EURUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 22/04/2025We've executed 4 trades so far this week using the Judas Swing Strategy and in this write up, we're breaking down exactly how each one played out. We didn't get any trading opportunities on Monday but Tuesday gave us textbook setups on both FX:EURUSD and OANDA:AUDUSD , and if you’ve been following this series, you know the Judas Swing Strategy thrives where liquidity lies and manipulation gives way to opportunity.
Tuesday’s price action on FX:EURUSD opened with familiar signs: ranging structure and liquidity building on both sides. By 09:05 EST, price made the typical fakeout a sharp move to the downside that swept the lows and trapped breakout sellers.
This gave us confirmation to look for the real move, the reversal.
Price broke structure to the upside, creating a Fair Value Gap. As expected, price retraced into that imbalance, and we executed the buy.
Entry: 1.14677
SL: 1.14559
TP: 1.14913
Take profit was cleanly hit with minimal drawdown. No stress. No second-guessing
OANDA:AUDUSD printed a similar setup. The fake move to the downside swept liquidity below an earlier low and shifted structure to the upside. We entered buy once price returned to fill the Fair Value Gap
The trade nearly hit TP but reversed just shy of it, eventually stopping us out.
Entry: 0.63868
SL: 0.63770
TP: 0.64064
It stung a little, but here's where our data-driven edge comes in. We follow a set-and-forget execution model because our backtesting shows that this approach works more in our favor than not. Situations like this will happen. Sometimes price dances around your TP before flipping. It’s part of trading
The next day was a solid one using the Judas Swing strategy, this time across both OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. Let’s walk through how the setups unfolded on Wednesday and why both trades played out almost identically in terms of narrative and structure.
The session kicked off with a consolidation forming, setting up a clean range to be targeted. Liquidity had built up nicely above the highs and lows of the pre-market structure. Classic.
As expected, once our session started, price punched higher, sweeping the buy-side liquidity above the early session range. This was our Judas move a strategic fakeout to trigger breakout longs and inject liquidity.
But the key here is what came next.
Price immediately stalled after the sweep and printed a clean break of structure to the downside. That shift was our clue that the buy-side move was done and the real selloff was likely on deck for OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD.
Price pulled back into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) formed during displacement, giving us a clean entry setup:
Entry: 0.64130
SL: 0.64360
TP: 0.63669
As soon as we entered, the trade moved with conviction minimal drawdown and a smooth ride into target but the OANDA:NZDUSD couldn't hit TP and the trade is still running
#USDJPY: 2050+ Pips Swing Buy| Trend Confirmed| Comment Views? **FX:USDJPY** A significant market movement has confirmed, indicating the potential for a substantial bullish swing that could reach approximately 2050 pips. Three targets have been identified, allowing you to select the one that aligns best with your analysis. The primary catalyst for this move is the reversal of the Japanese Yen (JPY) to a bearish trend. It is crucial to employ precise risk management techniques and exercise caution during this period.
Good luck and trade safely.
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Build a bag levels on LOFI USD / BULLISH! LOFI - build a bag between this price range $0.015- $0.020
I like the concept and RWA value - Lofi's social and environmental initiatives, such as building water wells in Nigerian communities and partnering with Stoked Plastic to remove ocean-bound plastic, can be considered part of the Real-World Asset (RWA) category in the context of blockchain and DeFi, but with nuances.
LOFI can easily pop into the $.20-$0.40 cent range when the price of SUI goes up.
Gold's short-term decline continues⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) regained strong upward momentum during the Asian session on Thursday, rebounding sharply from the previous day’s steep decline and ending a two-day losing streak near the $3,260 weekly low. The renewed buying interest comes amid lingering concerns over the protracted trade impasse between the US and China, following US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s comments indicating that the standoff could drag on.
Compounding market anxiety is the persistent uncertainty surrounding President Donald Trump’s tariff policies and their broader implications for global growth. These factors have fueled a fresh wave of safe-haven demand, driving investors back toward gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Still under selling pressure, gold price is consolidating below the downtrend line. Trading around 3300 and lower.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3412- 3414 SL 3419
TP1: $3390
TP2: $3380
TP3: $3370
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3228 - $3230 SL $3223
TP1: $3240
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3260
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold surged and then fell back to fluctuate, pay attention to 33
The first goal of trading is survival, and the second is profit.
📌 Driving events
After experiencing the biggest drop in five months, gold prices rose on Thursday (April 24) and returned to above the 3300 mark.
After US President Trump hinted that tariffs on China might be reduced and expressed no intention to remove Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, the market's risk aversion has cooled down. Gold hit a high of $3,367 during the Asian trading session, which can be regarded as ice and fire!
📊Comment analysis
For participants in the gold market, the impact of this price plunge is self-evident. The stock prices of gold mining companies have fallen accordingly, and the production capacity that expanded in the early stage due to the rise in gold prices may face the risk of shrinking profits.
At present, gold is under obvious pressure from above, and what needs to be paid attention to now is that the current round of gold adjustments is likely to continue, which means that it is not time to buy the bottom yet!
💰Strategy Package
Except for the early morning wave, the strength of the hourly line rebound is actually somewhat weak. As for the European session, Labaron is more inclined to continue to be bearish, and the current first round of rebound pressure is around 3350! If the rebound is in place, you can continue to try short orders!
⭐️ Note: Labaron hopes that traders can properly manage their funds
- Choose the number of lots that matches your funds
- Profit is 4-7% of the fund account
- Stop loss is 1-3% of the fund account