GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇
🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.
💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀
🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃
📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)
🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG
🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up
🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100
🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse
🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone
✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken
🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸
Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095
Confluence:
Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)
Imbalance zone
FIBO 61.8% + structure break
Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep
SL: Below $3,078
TP1: $3,130
TP2: $3,145
TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)
🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨
Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148
Confluence:
All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)
HTF OB rejection
Weakness shown on M15
Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing
SL: Above $3,155
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,100
TP3: $3,085
🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs
📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise
🧘♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.
👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love!
Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
Beyond Technical Analysis
AUD/USD - Sell SetupThis pair has been showing us some choppy price action for a little while now with some small price movements but we are finally starting to see some movements
Higher Time frames show us a break of support as well as a breakout trade from this Liquidity Trend in the Long Term
The Short Term movement Im looking for will be price respecting this Supply zone and sweeping Buy Side Liquidity before taking out our protected Low. I will then refer to my entry model before entering
We currently have sellers momentum, also are below the 200 EMA
Good luck to the Traders that follow
Don't FOMO read this!Remember to not FOMO into CRYPTOCAP:BTC and altcoins on massive green candles!
Tomorrow, the Trump tariffs will officially hit, and the market could dump!
If this happens, don't panic, but instead capitalise on the opportunity to buy the dip!
Remember, profits are made when you BUY LOW AND SELL HIGH!
Gold's Soaring Bull Market: How to Capitalize on the UptrendRecently, the bulls have been surging and hitting new highs repeatedly. In this turbulent upward trend, have you successfully ridden the wave and reaped substantial profits, or have you encountered obstacles at every turn on the investment path? Regardless of your past gains and losses, there is hope to achieve an investment breakthrough with the help of Jhon.
Currently, the gold market is performing strongly, with large bullish candlesticks emerging one after another, and the daily candlestick chart also closes in the green. Gold is heading towards the $3200 mark, and it is only a matter of time before this threshold is broken through. The moving averages are diverging upwards, and the slope continues to rise. The candlestick chart has a lower shadow, all of which are typical bullish signals.
During this period, every time gold experiences a slight pullback, it is quickly engulfed by large bullish candlesticks, indicating that the bullish trend is solid. Therefore, today we maintain the strategy of going long on dips. When the price retraces to around the support level of 3110, we can place a long position. If the market strengthens and this level is not reached, we can consider going long near the low point of around 3120.
XAUUSD
buy@3110-3120
tp:3140-3150-3160
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
MSFT long pre-market at 374.47As those who follow me know, NASDAQ:MSFT is one of my favorite stocks to trade. It boast a return/day held that all-time is about 5x the average daily return for the market. I've literally never lost a trade involving MSFT, and I don't think this will be the first time. I'm fully expecting this one to take longer than the 9 trading days average, but it could always flip in a day, too.
Another fun fact - MSFT just recorded its 4th consecutive monthly decline. That's only happened twice in the last 39 years. The last time it did was in 2008 and 12 months later it was up over 50%. Not looking to be in the trade for that long, obviously, but someone might be interested in that nugget. BTW - the time before that was 2005 and it was up 12 months later then, too, just not as significantly.
I'll add to my position strategically, given the downtrend in MSFT and the market, and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Alibaba - Don't Forget Chinese Stocks Now!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) still remains super interesting:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we saw the very expected parabolic rally on Alibaba about four months ago, Alibaba is now perfectly retesting major previous structure. Yes, we could see a short term pullback in the near future but this just offers a perfect break and retest after the rounding bottom pattern.
Levels to watch: $110, $140
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOOGL - Elliott Wave Final ShowdownGOOGL has dropped over 27.28% , reaching a minor profit-booking zone. The $150 level serves as a key demand zone, where a potential price reversal could occur. The formation is either expanded flat or a running flat on the daily timeframe chart.
Confirmation is best observed near the lower trendline of the parallel channel. If bearish momentum persists, prices may decline further to the $142-$140 range before a strong rebound. Once the correction ends, the upside targets are $168, $180, and $195.
A new low will form if the previous low is breached. Further research will be uploaded soon.
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
ARM stock: long-term potentialIs the recent decline an opportunity for massive upward potential? 💡
ARM stock holds strong long-term potential, as evident from past price movements. Recent quarterly data suggests the stock has been oversold, creating a possible setup for a rebound. To regain momentum, the stock needs to maintain key support between the 86 and 95 range.
Invest in Europe's defence renaissanceMany said it could not be done and would never happen. But the European defence industry is undergoing a paradigm shift. The geopolitical landscape has shifted dramatically, and delayed action is no longer an option. With rising global instability and the return of President Trump to the White House, European leaders must act decisively to ensure security, strategic autonomy, and industrial resilience in defence. This is not just a short-term response—it marks the beginning of a multi-year investment cycle poised to benefit European defence industries over their US counterparts.
A game-changer: The European Defence Industrial Strategy
For decades, Europe has relied too heavily on US defence capabilities, leaving its defence industry fragmented and dependent on non-EU (European Union) suppliers. However, with uncertainty surrounding US military commitments, European nations are fast-tracking plans to build a stronger, more self-reliant defence industry that can meet the security challenges of today and the future.
The European Defence Industrial Strategy (EDIS) is Europe’s most ambitious attempt yet to transform its defence capabilities1. The strategy aims to unify and strengthen Europe’s defence sector by prioritising joint procurement, innovation, and collaboration among member states.
The urgent measures driving this transformation include:
Rebuilding European defence manufacturing: by 2030, at least 50% of EU defence procurement must come from European manufacturers, rising to 60% by 2035. This is essential to reduce reliance on non-EU suppliers, particularly the US.
Enhancing intra-European defence trade: the EU is aiming to boost defence trade within the bloc to 35% of the total defence market value, fostering a stronger, more integrated industrial base.
Collaborative procurement surge: currently, only 18% of EU defence equipment is procured jointly. By 2030, this must rise to 40%, ensuring lower costs, better interoperability, and a more resilient supply chain.
Redirecting defence budgets toward Europe: governments are being pushed to shift their defence spending away from external actors (like the US) and toward European manufacturers, mitigating risks associated with foreign dependency.
Incentives to accelerate investment: the EU is exploring joint procurement tax incentives and VAT waivers to encourage faster and larger-scale European defence collaborations.
These measures collectively aim to build a more self-reliant and resilient European defence industry while reducing dependency on non-EU suppliers.
Policy-driven capital allocation towards European defence companies
While the US defence industry has been a strong performer in the past, European defence stocks are now positioned for superior long-term growth due to this sustained investment cycle and structural policy shift. The US defence budget is already near record highs, limiting future upside for stocks. Not to mention, DOGE2 is looking to cut costs with defence spending increasingly targeted. In contrast, Europe is at the start of a multi-year rearmament cycle, with significant upside for European contractors. European defence firms are experiencing record-high order books, ensuring stable, long-term revenue growth. Rheinmetall posted a 1.8x book-to-bill3, on top of its 1.7x ratio in 2023, reflecting robust demand for its portfolio of munitions and combat vehicles4. Saab's order intake totalled 79.2 bn krona, or a book-to-bill of 1.8x, with international customers accounting for 80%2. In comparison, order activity for US defence contractors is less heated but still healthy, averaging 1.2x5.
The shift in European defence spending is not temporary—it is structural. With Europe entering a multi-year defence upcycle, investors have a rare opportunity to participate in one of the most significant industrial transformations of our time, but the choice of investment vehicle will be critical for unlocking that potential.
Sources:
1 European Commission: Joint communication to the European Parliament, the Council as of August 2024.
2 Department of Government Efficiency.
3 Book-to-bill is a key metric used in the defence and manufacturing industries to measure the strength of incoming orders relative to completed sales.
4&5 Company Filings, WisdomTree, Bloomberg as of 31 December 2024.
6 WisdomTree, FactSet as of 28 February 2025.
7 P/E = price-to-earnings.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Six conviction trades for 2025: seize the new market narrativeWhile developed economies have shifted to easing policies, opening the way for a broadening of the market away from technology mega stocks, the economic outlook remains uncertain. The violent reaction to DeepSeek’s launch early in the year clearly highlights the nervousness of markets and their ultra concentration. In the first few weeks of the year, the Trump administration has also been implementing its agenda at breakneck speed, leading to heightened uncertainties around trade frictions, inflation dynamics, and geopolitical upheaval. In that context, it is important to rethink investment positionings that may have worked in 2024, acknowledging the potential for volatility and numerous changes of directions.
In this uncertain environment, WisdomTree’s research team presents its six highest-conviction investment ideas for 2025.
1. Can the Magnificent Seven dominate for a third year in a row?
Few storylines have captured the investor imagination recently as much as the Magnificent Seven —a cohort of mega-cap technology stocks that propelled US equity benchmarks to remarkable gains. While these tech giants remain influential, we see scope for 2025 to become a year of ‘broadening out’.
Macro rationale
Resilience in corporate fundamentals and earnings growth: high quality growth stocks continue to be supported by strong fundamentals and growth could benefit from continued momentum after two years of domination.
Value resilience and broadening: with uncertainty increasing around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) trajectory and inflationary pressures created by potential tariffs, value stocks may benefit and offer some diversification. Energy and Financials should also benefit from a wave of deregulation under the new Trump regime.
The case for a value/growth barbell strategy in US equities: a barbell strategy between US large cap quality Growth and US large cap Value equities leverages complementary strengths to navigate 2025. This approach allows investors to:
Capitalise on the Value factor’s extreme discount to Growth.
Enable investors to capture opportunities across market cycles.
Create a balance between growth potential and valuation-driven safety.
2. Unlocking value in Japan
Japan’s economic transformation story continues to gain traction as the country moves beyond four decades of stagnant nominal growth and sporadic deflationary episodes. While 2024 was the best year for Japanese equities since 1989, we believe that the Japanese renaissance still has further room to run.
Macro rationale
Resilience in corporate fundamentals and earnings growth: high quality growth stocks continue to be supported by strong fundamentals and growth could benefit from continued momentum after two years of domination.
Favourable currency tailwinds: the yen’s multi-year weakness augments the competitiveness of Japanese exporters, fuelling strong earnings from overseas revenue. Stable core inflation (outside of food) and talks about bond purchases by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) indicate that the BOJ will prevent the yen from appreciating too much.
Earnings and tariffs: Corporate earnings growth remains very strong after 2 years of improvement, and our analysis shows that the market is underreacting to those fundamentals. Furthermore, Japan may be able to secure a tariff carve-out from the US, leading to strengthening competitive positioning versus Europe and China.
3. A Trump card for emerging markets small caps
Emerging markets (EM) have struggled over the past decade, underweighted by many global investors and burned by repeated episodes of dollar strength, trade frictions, and slower growth in China. However, the narrative is a lot more positive going into 2025.
Macro rationale
An EM comeback: with the Federal Reserve maintaining an accommodative stance on monetary policy, China unleashing coordinated fiscal and monetary stimulus, and a wave of EM sovereign ratings upgrades, tailwinds have been picking up strongly for emerging markets.
But some clouds remain on the horizon: unfortunately, the Trump administration’s focus on a strong dollar and tariffs could slow down the recovery.
EM smalls caps as the solution: EM small caps typically derive a larger share of revenues from their home countries, insulating them somewhat from US tariffs or the dollar ‘s strength. In a scenario where the global trade outlook remains uncertain, these domestically oriented firms can thrive on internal consumer growth, as rising middle-class demographics in markets like India, Indonesia, and parts of Latin America continue to drive local consumer demand.
4. Cybersecurity at the crossroads of AI, geopolitical tensions, and quantum computing
The first few weeks of 2025 saw a resurgence of software stocks, with cybersecurity companies jumping in front of semiconductors or AI stocks. Continued corporate and government spending, as well as the imperative to protect the AI revolution, position cybersecurity for robust growth in 2025.
Macro rationale
AI’s security gap: rapid AI adoption brings higher data volumes and more software vulnerabilities, forcing enterprises to bolster their cyber defences. We expect a wave of spending on next-generation cloud solutions, zero-trust architecture, and quantum-proof encryption.
Elevated geopolitical risks: heightened tensions—from continuing conflicts and new trade disputes—translate into more frequent state-sponsored cyber-attacks. This, in turn, drives increased defence budgets and corporate vigilance.
US deregulation: since the US election, software companies have benefitted from deregulation expectations. Cybersecurity, cloud, and blockchain posted some of the strongest thematic gains in the first few weeks of the year.
5. Precious potential: silver’s breakout moment
While gold often steals the headlines, silver has quietly staged a meaningful rally, underpinned by both safe-haven demand and its essential role in green technologies, such as solar photovoltaics. 2025 could be silver’s ‘catch-up’ year.
Macro rationale
Haven meets industrial: silver exhibits a unique duality—part precious metal and part industrial commodity. If risk aversion flares, silver typically follows gold upward. If global growth holds steady, silver benefits from manufacturing demand. Countries worldwide, led by China and the US, are rapidly expanding solar capacity. Newer solar cell technology requires even higher silver content, providing a price tailwind.
Gold correlation: geopolitical tensions and looser monetary policy are offering gold new tailwinds, and silver will also benefit from the catch-up effect.
Limited supply growth: silver’s byproduct nature makes supply tight, as mining companies are not incentivised to expand production simply for silver alone. This supply-demand imbalance supports a more bullish price outlook.
6. Institutional adoption of digital assets is redefining multi-asset portfolios
After navigating a series of regulatory speed bumps, digital assets, led by bitcoin, have entered 2025 with growing mainstream acceptance. Key catalysts have included the expansion of physical bitcoin exchange-traded product (ETP) listings across major exchanges and the gradual emergence of regulatory frameworks that remove operational frictions. We believe most multi-asset portfolios remain structurally under-allocated to cryptocurrencies as a neutral position in digital assets (as illustrated by the market portfolio) should be around 1.5%.
Macro rationale
Portfolio diversification: bitcoin’s correlation to equities and bonds is low, providing a diversification benefit. Even small allocations have, historically, improved risk-adjusted returns.
Institutional inflows: pension funds, endowments, and sovereign wealth funds are steadily warming to digital assets, pointing to a rising tide of flows. As coverage by mainstream analysts grows, digital assets are increasingly viewed through the lens of asset class fundamentals rather than speculation alone.
Technological leaps: alongside bitcoin, developments in Ethereum scaling, stablecoins for global payments, and the tokenisation of real-world assets are reshaping how capital markets function. The resulting network effects may boost confidence in the broader crypto ecosystem.
Conclusion
In an environment that may reward conviction and flexibility, these six investment ideas offer distinct avenues to harness the opportunities emerging in 2025. Whether you seek cyclical upside, defensive yield, or secular growth themes, we believe these high-conviction calls exemplify WisdomTree’s mission: delivering innovative, research-driven solutions in a world of constant change.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
ATH 3180 - What do you think?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️Gold surged to another record high on Monday, surpassing the $3,100 mark for the first time and reaching an all-time peak of $3,137 during the Asian session before slightly retreating. Ongoing uncertainty surrounding U.S. trade policies and the upcoming Liberation Day on April 2 has kept market sentiment cautious, prompting investors to seek safety in the yellow metal as a haven asset.
➡️ Risk appetite weakens as traders wait for the announcement of additional tariffs on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs reported that the probability of a U.S. Recession had risen from 20% to 35%, driven mainly by growing pessimism among businesses and enterprises regarding the economic outlook, as well as Washington's increasing acceptance of a deeper economic downturn.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The long-term trend of gold will increase in the near future due to tariff policies and the possibility of economic recession in the United States.
➡️ However, gold will have a slight corrective rally today:
RSI enters the overbought zone and shows signs of divergence
Buyers will pause in the short term to monitor for the upcoming February 4 if the tariff policy is negative
➡️Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3150 - 3157 - 3180
Support zone: 3127 - 3113 - 3100
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3113- 3115
❌SL: 3108 | ✅TP: 3118 – 3123 – 3130
👉Buy Gold 3127 - 3130
❌SL: 3122| ✅TP: 3135 – 3140 – 3145
👉Sell Gold 3149 – 3151 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3155 | ✅TP: 3146– 3143 – 3140
👉Sell Gold 3179 – 3181
❌SL: 3185 | ✅TP: 3175– 3170 – 3165
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold extended higher, look for signs of exhaustionGold is extending higher, tapping into untested liquidity above. However, signs of exhaustion are creeping in. Watch for potential liquidity sweeps before reversals.
Key Untapped Liquidity Zones
Upside: $3,182 - $3,189
Downside: $3,103 - $3,094
🔴 Sell Setups (Short)
1️⃣ Intraday Reversal Short
Entry Zone: $3,182 - $3,189
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,193
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,150 (First reaction)
TP2: $3,128 (Key liquidity)
TP3: $3,103 (Imbalance fill)
📌 Reasoning:
Untested supply at $3,182-$3,189
Price may sweep liquidity above $3,180 before a sharp rejection
2️⃣ Aggressive Short (Scalp)
Entry Zone: $3,150 - $3,153
Stop Loss (SL): Above $3,157
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $3,117
TP3: $3,103
📌 Reasoning:
Liquidity grab before a possible retrace
Strong momentum-based rejection expected
🟢 Buy Setups (Long)
3️⃣ Safe Long (Key Demand Zone)
Entry Zone: $3,103 - $3,094
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,089
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,128
TP2: $3,150
TP3: $3,182
📌 Reasoning:
Untested demand at $3,103-$3,094
Imbalance below $3,103 should act as a magnet
Liquidity sitting at $3,094
4️⃣ Deep Liquidity Sweep Buy
Entry Zone: $3,074 - $3,067
Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,060
Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP1: $3,103
TP2: $3,128
TP3: $3,150
📌 Reasoning:
Liquidity sweep target at $3,074-$3,067
If price taps this zone, a high-probability reversal could follow
Heavy imbalance would need correction
👀 Keep an Eye On:
1️⃣ DXY movements—if the dollar strengthens, gold may struggle to break higher.
2️⃣ News events—major economic data could trigger liquidity grabs before reversals.
3️⃣ Reactions at key levels—watch for wicks, aggressive rejections, and volume spikes.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Good luck on the market today.
Copper is red hot right now. Here’s whyCopper’s COMEX price hit a new high on 26th March making the red metal red hot right now. The first three months of 2025 have seen industrial metals make noticeable gains with the Bloomberg Industrial Metals Subindex up 10.55% year to date1. Copper’s gains, however, stand out for numerous reasons.
Tariffs
The additional premium of COMEX prices over the London Metal Exchange (LME) prices reflects aggressive buying by US traders importing copper in anticipation of a possible 25% tariff on copper imports. This speculation has been fuelled by President Trump last month ordering a probe into the threat to national security from the imports of copper. As aluminium imports were also recently subjected to tariffs, markets are speculating that copper might be next.
This rush has triggered a shift in global flows, with metal moving out of LME warehouses and into US Comex facilities, where copper is held on a “duty paid” basis to avoid future levies. As traders front-run potential policy changes, this behaviour is tightening global supply and fuelling price gains, adding to a market already under pressure from rising demand and a looming supply squeeze.
Demand
China has given an additional boost to copper prices having announced a new action plan to boost domestic consumption by raising household incomes. The stimulus is seen as a positive signal for copper demand, especially as retail sales have already shown stronger-than-expected growth early in the year. China has also set itself a GDP growth target of 5% for 2025, and so far this year, its manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) has remained in expansionary territory — a sign that the economy is holding steady. With momentum building across consumption and manufacturing, copper is getting a fresh tailwind despite lingering weakness in the property sector.
Further support for industrial metals, including copper, has come from Germany’s recently unveiled €1 trillion infrastructure and defence spending plan — a move that will inevitably drive greater demand for base metals.
Supply
Supply tightness in the copper market is being driven by several structural and emerging challenges. Exceptionally low processing fees—caused by an oversupply of smelting capacity, particularly in China—have placed financial strain on global smelters, prompting companies like Glencore to halt operations at its facility in the Philippines. Looking ahead, Indonesia’s proposal to shift from a flat 5% copper mining royalty to a progressive rate of 10–17% risks discouraging future production growth. These supply-side pressures come as the International Copper Study Group reported a slight global copper deficit in January 2025. While a similar shortfall at the start of 2024 eventually turned into a surplus, this time the combination of weakening smelting economics, policy headwinds, and solid demand could make the current deficit more persistent and impactful.
Several major copper miners have recently downgraded their production estimates for 2025, adding further pressure to an already tight market. Glencore suspended output at its Altonorte smelter in Chile2, while Freeport-McMoRan delayed refined copper sales from its Manyar smelter in Indonesia due to a fire3. Anglo American expects lower output from its Chilean operations amid maintenance and water challenges, and First Quantum Minerals faces reduced grades and scheduled downtime4. These disruptions are likely to tighten global copper concentrate supply, potentially widening the market’s supply-demand imbalance just as demand continues to strengthen.
Sources:
1 Source: Bloomberg, based on total return index as of 28 March 2025.
2 Reuters, March 26, 2025
3 Reuters, October 16, 2024
4 Metal.com. February 14, 2025
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
DXY is bearish, dont fade this move, BUY EURUSD AND GBPUSDI dont really know what the market is waiting for, why it has been ranging this few days but one thing is certain, the move downwards is certain. I will be really suprised if DXY moves up from here.
Dont miss out of this move, I'm begging.
My initial position is still open and I've added more from this point.
Follow me as my trades are market order and not limit orders so you will see and trade it on time
Cybercriminals are winning—cybersecurity must strike back nowI recently created a website, but soon after launching it, I noticed it wasn’t appearing in Google searches. While researching how to fix this, I received an email with step-by-step instructions on what to do. Nothing about it seemed suspicious—not even the sender’s address. But when I used artificial intelligence (AI) to verify its authenticity, it was flagged as suspicious.
A few years ago, phishing emails had obvious red flags—poor grammar, strange formatting, or sketchy links. Today, with AI-powered tools at their disposal, cybercriminals are far more sophisticated. And if they’re getting smarter, cybersecurity must become smarter still.
The unbearable cost of a data breach
In 2024, the average cost of a data breach soared to nearly $5 million1. And that’s just the average—meaning many breaches resulted in far greater losses. While this number has been rising for years, 2024 saw a sharp uptick, underscoring how the widespread adoption of advanced AI tools is making cybercriminals smarter and attacks more costly than ever.
“Attack speeds could increase up to 100x as threat actors leverage generative AI” – Palo Alto Networks
In many cases, the true cost of a data breach goes beyond dollars and cents—it’s immeasurable. What happens when customer trust in a business’ security is shattered? The reputational damage could be irreversible. What if a hospital is hacked and a life is lost? The stakes couldn’t be higher. That’s why cybersecurity isn’t just a priority—it’s a necessity. And the world is finally waking up to that reality.
When cybercriminals compromise a target, their intention is to infiltrate the organisation via a weak link and move deeper into the network. E-crime breakout time refers to how quickly they escalate control—spreading from the initial breach to critical systems, stealing data, disabling security, or deploying ransomware. Some attackers achieve this in under an hour, making rapid detection and response crucial. In 2024, the fastest recorded time attackers were able to do this was 51 seconds2.
Attackers aren't always relying on emails—the nuisance calls we receive can often be quite nefarious. Vishing (voice phishing) attacks involve cybercriminals using phone calls to impersonate trusted entities, such as banks, government agencies, or service providers, to trick victims into revealing sensitive information or transferring money. These scams have surged dramatically, with a 442% increase in vishing in H2 2024 vs H1 20243, highlighting how criminals are exploiting human trust over the phone to bypass traditional cybersecurity defences.
A few weeks ago, I saw a post on LinkedIn of a man surrounded by police officers. He was telling the story of how he physically hacked into an organisation, walking through security checkpoints, accessing restricted areas, and pushing his luck until he finally got caught. But this wasn’t a real attack—it was a penetration test, a controlled security exercise designed to identify vulnerabilities before actual criminals exploit them. Organisations conduct these tests because hackers are employing increasingly sophisticated social engineering techniques—manipulating people rather than systems—to bypass security and gain access. The threat is growing, with 79% of attacks in 2024 being malware-free, up from 40% in 20194, proving that cybercriminals don’t always need malware when they can simply trick humans into opening the door.
High profile attacks underscore geopolitical risks
At the outset of 2024, concerns about cyber risks in the election year were widespread. While many countries navigated the electoral cycle without major known cyber incidents, Romania's December presidential election was notably annulled due to allegations of Russian interference. Far-right candidate Calin Georgescu's unexpected lead in the first round prompted investigations revealing a coordinated online campaign and cyberattacks supporting his candidacy, leading the courts to void the election.
In the same month, the US Treasury Department reported a significant cybersecurity breach attributed to Chinese state-sponsored hackers. The attackers exploited a third-party software provider to access Treasury workstations and unclassified documents. The breach involved the theft of a security key, allowing remote access to the department's systems. Although China’s foreign ministry denied these allegations, the incident underscores the growing intersection of geopolitical and cybersecurity risks.
Executives are concerned about risks from AI
A recent World Economic Forum survey5 of executives revealed that 66% believe AI and machine learning will have the biggest impact on cybersecurity in the next 12 months. Yet, 63% admitted their organisations lack processes to assess the security of AI tools before deploying them—highlighting a critical gap between innovation and risk management.
Cybersecurity must stay one step ahead
Cybersecurity must constantly innovate, leveraging cutting-edge technology to stay one step ahead of evolving threats. This relentless race between defenders and attackers is what makes cybersecurity such an exciting and dynamic field. Recent headlines around quantum computing suggest that the age of quantum might be closer than we once thought—a future where a quantum computer could shatter even the most sophisticated encryption effortlessly. This would redefine cybersecurity as we know it. Whether it’s quantum computing, AI, or blockchain, every breakthrough introduces new vulnerabilities, and safeguarding them must be a proactive pursuit, not a reactive one. Because if we wait until the attack happens, it might already be too late.
Sources:
1 IBM, 2025.
2 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025.
3 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025.
4 Source: CrowdStrike 2025 Global Threat Report, March 2025.
5 Source: World Economic Forum, Global Cybersecurity Report 2025.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
USD/CAD Trend Before Tariffs Announced🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair extended its rally for the third consecutive day on Monday, climbing toward 1.4360 as investors anticipate the impact of reciprocal tariffs imposed by U.S. President Donald Trump on Canada, set to take effect on Wednesday, also known as "Liberation Day."
➡️ Last week, President Trump indicated that Canada would face tariffs, but both he and Prime Minister Carney expressed optimism regarding their weekend trade discussions. Reports suggest that Carney has reassured provincial leaders that the tariffs imposed on Canada might be lower than initially feared and may not be applied broadly across the entire economy.
➡️ For now, the Canadian dollar is in a waiting game ahead of Wednesday's announcement, followed by potential negotiations to mitigate or avoid the tariffs altogether.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Before Wednesday this week, negative sentiment will weigh on CAD. Until there is information about tariff easing or the two sides have a separate agreement, then the situation will be reviewed. In short, USD/CAD is still supported by Trump's tariff news in the short term
➡️ Currently, the bRSI of this pair is in the overbought zone, so there will be a technical pullback. So consider strong support levels to be able to buy at a good price
➡️ Analyze based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy USD/CAD 1.4335– 1.4345
❌SL: 1.4300 | ✅TP: 1.4380 – 1.4430
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Why is Eth Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020Why is Ethereum Falling? ETH/BTC Ratio Hits All-Time Low Since 2020
The cryptocurrency market is a volatile landscape, constantly shifting and evolving. Recent data has revealed a significant development: the Ethereum to Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) ratio has plummeted to an all-time low since 2020. This stark decline, currently resting at a mere 0.02 has ignited a wave of speculation and concern within the crypto community, raising questions about Ethereum's current standing and future trajectory.
The ETH/BTC ratio serves as a crucial metric for comparing the relative performance of Ethereum against Bitcoin. When the ratio falls, it indicates that Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum, and conversely, a rising ratio suggests Ethereum's ascendancy. The current dramatic drop highlights a significant divergence in the fortunes of these two leading cryptocurrencies.
The backdrop to this decline is multifaceted. Bitcoin, often seen as the “digital gold” of the crypto world, has exhibited remarkable resilience and strengthened its position. This consolidation is likely driven by several factors, including increased institutional adoption, regulatory clarity in some jurisdictions, and its established reputation as a store of value. These factors have contributed to a sense of stability and confidence in Bitcoin, attracting capital and bolstering its market position.
Ethereum, on the other hand, has faced challenges in maintaining its momentum. While it remains the leading platform for smart contracts and decentralized applications (dApps), it has struggled to keep pace with Bitcoin's surge. Several factors contribute to this relative underperformance.
Firstly, regulatory uncertainty surrounding Ethereum and its classification has cast a shadow over its future prospects. The evolving regulatory landscape, particularly in major economies like the United States, has created a sense of unease among investors. The lack of clear guidelines and the potential for stricter regulations have dampened enthusiasm and limited institutional investment.
Secondly, Ethereum has faced competition from emerging layer-1 blockchains that offer faster transaction speeds and lower fees. These “Ethereum killers,” as they are sometimes called, have attracted developers and users seeking alternatives to Ethereum's perceived limitations. While Ethereum has undergone significant upgrades, such as the transition to proof-of-stake (The Merge), the benefits have not yet translated into a sustained surge in its relative value.
Thirdly, the overall market sentiment has played a role. Bitcoin's narrative as a safe haven and store of value has resonated strongly during periods of economic uncertainty. In contrast, Ethereum, with its focus on innovation and development, is perceived as a riskier asset. When market volatility increases, investors often gravitate towards the perceived safety of Bitcoin.
The decline in the ETH/BTC ratio raises several critical questions. Is Ethereum in trouble? Is this a temporary setback or a sign of a more fundamental shift in the crypto landscape?
While the current situation is concerning, it is essential to consider the long-term potential of Ethereum. Its robust ecosystem, driven by a vibrant community of developers and innovators, remains a significant asset. Ethereum's role in powering decentralized finance (DeFi), non-fungible tokens (NFTs), and other emerging technologies positions it as a crucial player in the future of the internet.
Furthermore, Ethereum's ongoing development efforts, including layer-2 scaling solutions and future upgrades, aim to address its scalability and efficiency challenges. These improvements could potentially revitalize Ethereum's performance and restore its competitive edge.
However, the current market dynamics suggest that Ethereum faces an uphill battle. To regain its footing, it needs to overcome regulatory hurdles, address its scalability issues, and effectively communicate its value proposition to a broader audience.
The cryptocurrency market is notoriously unpredictable, and past performance is not indicative of future results. The ETH/BTC ratio could rebound, or it could continue its downward trajectory. The outcome will depend on a complex interplay of factors, including regulatory developments, technological advancements, and market sentiment.
In the meantime, the low ETH/BTC ratio serves as a stark reminder of the dynamic nature of the cryptocurrency market. It underscores the importance of diversification and the need for investors to consider the risks and potential rewards of each asset carefully.
The current situation also highlights the need for Ethereum developers and community members to focus on the core values of the project, and to continue to innovate and improve the technology. Ultimately, the success of Ethereum will depend on its ability to adapt to the changing landscape and deliver on its promise of a decentralized and equitable future.
In conclusion, while the record low ETH/BTC ratio raises concerns about Ethereum's current standing, it is premature to declare its demise. The cryptocurrency market is constantly evolving, and Ethereum's long-term potential remains significant. However, the current challenges demand a proactive and strategic approach to ensure its continued relevance and success in the years to come.
Pendulum pick for KR - short tgt 44I have many tens of thousands of dollars worth of home renovations to do, so why not ask my dowsing/spirit team to help find me a stock that can help PAY for these expenses and then some?
I'm a dowser, btw, so all my ideas & levels come from this form of information gathering. So woo woo ;)
The pick is from all of NYSE, so it's a lot. I'll admit, when I've done this in the past I've seen stocks have way better moves faster & I'm like, "why didn't you give me THAT one?!"
Regardless, I'm not going to disrespect the guidance, but just try to be more pointed in my intention. I did ask for this one to be a quick move, but I don't think it will be.
I do, however, have good confidence the target will hit. I did not look at the chart before I finished the reading & had a target. It's a way to see how accurate the level & info might be, so I was definitely happy the chart & levels look reasonable. It's literally at a multi year high & the dowsing said it's at a swing high.
Out the gate on this reading, it was saying swing trade short, & soon. It might get up to 69.
Anyway, when I ask about the 44 level (tgt), twice I get that the "target is reached". I tried to get the amount of time this takes & got the months around May/June as an exit, but it could easily be a few months. It's a 36% drop from 69 if it reaches there.
I drew the trendlines just to see how it behaves there. Maybe that'll help as a confirmation/trigger to short since it has been relatively strong.
That's it. Hopefully, this can pay some bills!!
AUDCHF time to see changes?
OANDA:AUDCHF much upsides-downsides we are not see some special moves here from start of Mart.
Today we are have RBA, AUD looks like its gather power, currently price exepcting to come in zone and break of same expecting in this week.
CHF showing self weak and with other pairs, like CAD and GBP.
SUP zone: 0.55000
RES zone: 0.56200, 0.56600
Will DNUT test $1.86? Looks like DNUT will continue to go lower before going back up.
I like buying at $2.75 - $2.25 range and scale into a trade as price gets to $1.86
Have some before it goes back to it's fair market value or tangible book value $6.68
Feels like more down before an upwards move back to the upside