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Canadian National Railway has huge upside potentialA decades old trendline still unbroken after months of correction, the Canadian economy seems to be in a great position considering the circumstances. After conducting a simple technical analysis predicting a second leg up the upside potential is enormous if I am right about this. The downside is I am looking at a monthly chart so this will need to be a position trade or long term investment to achieve the desired results. Even if my target is reached I will likely hold onto the stock for years afterwards because the company will continue to make money. The intrinsic value for CNI is between $120 and $225 so it is well below the intrinsic value making any new position on it now at a bargain deal. I will likely be allocating a significant portion of my portfolio to it in the next few days to weeks.
NYSE:CNILong
by Capitalist_Zach
RAI Golden Cross 50 crosses 100 day SMARAI Just Flashed a Golden Cross: Why This Microcap AI Token Could Be Poised for a Massive Breakout If you’ve been sleeping on Reploy AI ($RAI), now might be your last chance before it enters price discovery. This week, RAI printed a textbook golden cross, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) crossing above the 100-day SMA—a classic technical signal that often precedes explosive upward momentum. 🔍 What’s a Golden Cross? For the uninitiated, a golden cross is a highly bullish chart pattern that occurs when a shorter-term moving average crosses above a longer-term moving average. In this case, the 50-day SMA just overtook the 100-day SMA, confirming a shift in long-term trend direction from bearish to bullish. Historically, golden crosses on small-cap tokens like RAI have preceded major rallies—often signaling a new uptrend backed by growing investor confidence and increasing volume. 📈 RAI’s Technical Setup Screams Asymmetry Golden Cross confirmed: 50-day SMA has crossed above the 100-day SMA Higher lows + RSI strengthening: Hidden bullish divergence was already flashing on the daily Breakout zone overhead: A move above recent resistance could trigger a parabolic move Microcap advantage: With a current market cap still under $4 million, the upside is enormous 🧠 Why RAI Is More Than Just a Chart Play RAI isn’t just another low-float pump. It’s a real AI infrastructure play, powering next-gen language models and tooling in the decentralized stack. In a world where AI and blockchain are converging, Reploy AI is building the pipes, and early adopters know the next OpenAI won’t be centralized. DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure) meets AI execution layer RAI is creator-owned, open, and permissionless Momentum is growing in both community and dev activity 🎯 Price Targets Based on Prior Golden Crosses If history is any guide, golden crosses on microcap AI tokens often lead to 5–10x returns in the following months. For RAI, that means: Base Case: $0.21–0.40 ($20M–$40M market cap) Upside Case: $0.65+ ($60M+ market cap, still microcap territory) With the AI narrative heating up again and microcaps starting to rotate, RAI could be next in line to explode. ⚠️ Final Thoughts: Get In Before the Herd Golden crosses don’t flash often, and when they do—especially on fundamentally promising microcaps like RAI—they can be once-in-a-cycle signals. The technicals have aligned, and the fundamentals are quietly gaining momentum. This is your warning shot. RAI is golden-crossing into a new era. Not financial advice. Do your own research. But if you're reading this, you're early. 🟡🚀
Long
by DanOxAm
StochRSI indicator and support and resistance levels Hello, traders. If you "follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is slightly different from the StochRSI indicator on the right. The StochRSI indicator on the left chart is the StochRSI indicator provided by default in TradingView, and the StochRSI indicator on the right chart is an indicator with a modified formula. The StochRSI indicator is a leading indicator that is reflected almost in real time. Therefore, it reacts sensitively to price changes. Although it is advantageous because it reacts sensitively, it also increases the possibility of being caught in a fake, so I thought that a slight delay(?) was necessary, and so I created the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. If you look at the relationship between the K and D of the StochRSI indicators on the two charts, you can see that there is a big difference. In the end, you can predict the movement by checking whether the movement of the K line has escaped the overbought or oversold section. However, I think that you will receive information that can determine the sustainability of the trend depending on the positional relationship between K and D. Therefore, it is important to distinguish the inflection points that occur in the StochRSI indicator. This is because these inflection points provide important information for drawing trend lines. Therefore, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart, which better expresses the inflection point, is being used to draw the trend line. (Unfortunately, this indicator was not registered on TradingView because I did not explain it well.) - As a new candle was created, the StochRSI indicator on the left chart is showing an inflection point on the K line. The StochRSI indicator on the right chart is showing a transition to a state where K < D. We will have to check whether the inflection point was created only when today's candle closes, but I think that the fact that it is showing this pattern means that there is a high possibility of a change in the future trend. Since the next volatility period is expected to start around July 2nd (July 1st-3rd), I think it has started to show meaningful movements. - It is true that you want to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price. However, because of this greed, one mistake can lead to a loss that can overturn nine victories, so you should always be careful. Therefore, if possible, it is better to check for support and respond. In that sense, I think it is worth referring to the relationship between K and D of the StochRSI indicator on the left chart. This is because the actual downtrend is likely to start when K < D. - In order to check for support, you definitely need support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Ignoring this and checking for support at the drawn support and resistance points can result in not being able to apply the chart you drew to actual trading. Therefore, you should draw support and resistance points first before starting a trade. Otherwise, if you draw support and resistance points after starting a trade, you are more likely to set support and resistance points that reflect your subjective thoughts, so as I mentioned earlier, you are more likely to lose faith in the chart you drew. If this phenomenon continues, it will eventually lead to leaving the investment market. - It is important to determine whether there is support by checking the correlation between the StochRSI indicator and other indicators at the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Even if the inflection point of the StochRSI indicator or other indicators occurs at a point other than the support and resistance points you drew, you should consider it as something that occurred beyond your ability to handle. In other words, you should observe the price movement but not actually trade. As I mentioned earlier, if you start to violate this, you will become less and less able to trust the chart you drew. - Accordingly, the basic trading strategy I suggest is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are expressed as average values, they may move in the opposite direction to the basic trading strategy. In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is resisted and falls, there is a possibility of a stepwise downward trend, and if the HA-High indicator is supported and rises, there is a possibility of a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, the basic trading strategy mentioned above can be considered a trading strategy in the box section. In the case of deviating from this box section, it is highly likely to occur before and after the volatility period indicated by the relationship between the trend line using the StochRSI indicator mentioned above and the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts. Therefore, special care is required when conducting new transactions during the volatility period. This is because there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake when trading during the volatility period. - The DOM(60) and DOM(-60) indicators are good indicators to look at together with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. The DOM indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the DMI, OBV, and MOMENTUM indicators. Therefore, the DOM(60) indicator is likely to be at the end of the high point range, and the DOM(060) indicator is likely to be at the end of the low point range. In the explanation of the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, - I said that if the HA-Low indicator receives resistance and falls, there is a possibility that a stepwise downtrend will begin, - and if the HA-High indicator receives support and rises, there is a possibility that a stepwise uptrend will begin. In order for an actual stepwise downtrend to begin, the price must fall below DOM(-60), and in order for a stepwise uptrend to begin, it must rise above DOM(60). In other words, the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section and the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section can be seen as support and resistance sections. - If these correlations start to appear, I think you will be able to create a trading strategy that fits your investment style without being swayed by price volatility and proceed with trading. The reason for analyzing charts is to trade. Therefore, the shorter the time for chart analysis, the better, and you should increase the start of creating a trading strategy. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. --------------------------------------------------
Education
by readCrypto
CRM: Wave Structure Analysis. WaverVanir International LLC · CRM Weekly Outlook · Published June 28 2025 Ticker: CRM | Chart: Weekly 🔹 Catalyst • Q2 FY26 earnings on August 27 2025 after market close (TipRanks, 2025) • Dreamforce conference mid September 2025 🔹 Macro Environment • Fed likely to hold rates at July 30 meeting (Binance News, 2025) • Enterprise IT budgets remain resilient amid cost pressure 🔹 Technical Setup • Weekly ORB demand zone at 239 supports price • Wave 1 high at 296 and corrective wave 2 near 260–270 signals wave 3 start • Resistance clusters at 336 (1.618 Fibonacci), 362 (2.0 Fibonacci), and extended target near 403 🔹 Trade Plan & Risk 1. Entry: Long near 274–276 on pullback 2. Stop: Below 265 to limit drawdown 3. Targets: 1. Scale out at 336 2. Add or trim at 362 3. Full exit near 403 4. Position size: Risk ≤ 1.5 percent of portfolio 5. Trail: Move stop to breakeven once 336 is taken, then trail beneath higher lows 🔹 Options Play • Strategy: Sep 2025 bull call spread – Buy 280 call – Sell 320 call • Defined risk equals net debit, breakeven ~ 283, max gain if CRM ≥ 320 #CRM #Salesforce #Stocks #TradingPlan #Options References Binance News. (2025, June 27). Federal Reserve’s July rate decision likely to remain unchanged. Retrieved June 28 2025 from www.binancenews.com TipRanks. (2025). Salesforce CRM earnings dates, call summary & reports. Retrieved June 28 2025 from www.tipranks.com
NYSE:CRMLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EUR/USD Holds Above Support – Watching 1.17400 and BeyondHi Everyone, As highlighted, a successful bounce from the near-term support at 1.16680 provided a retest of the 1.17400 zone. Looking ahead, we expect price action to revisit this level in the coming week. A confirmed break above this resistance could open the path toward 1.18000, where we anticipate encountering dynamic resistance. As outlined in our analysis last week, we anticipated a continued move higher toward the 1.16564 and 1.18325 levels, provided price held above 1.14483. Price respected this level, and EUR/USD extended its rally, reaching our first key target at 1.16564 and pushing above 1.17400 — marking the highest level since February 2022. We will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price reach this level. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend toward the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
2
Bullish Bias Holds for GBP/USD – Focus on 1.37500 BreakHi everyone, A strong push up from our highlighted support level at 1.33800 toward 1.36850 saw GBP/USD enter a brief period of consolidation. During the week, price action ranged between this newly established support and the 1.37500 resistance level. Looking ahead, we anticipate a decisive break above 1.37500, which could open the way for further upside. As previously noted, the clearance of these levels strengthens our expectation for further upside, with the next key level of interest around 1.38400. We'll be watching to see how price action develops from here. We’ll continue to provide updates on the projected path for GBP/USD as price approaches this target. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, and we expect the rally to continue extending further from the 1.20991 January low towards 1.40000 and 1.417000. We’ll be keeping you updated throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for the week ahead. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
1
Down the road - Gold Outlook June 30 - July 24, 2025FX_IDC:XAUUSD 📰 The past weeks has been a wild ride for gold prices, caught between the fiery conflict in the Middle East and a deluge of crucial economic data from the U.S. 📈 Adding to this, a detailed technical analysis provides a deeper look into gold's immediate future. **Geopolitical Drama Unfolds & Peace Prevails!** 🕊️ ceasefire negotiations. Initially, gold was shrouded in uncertainty 🌫️ due to the Iran-Israel war, with markets bracing for potential U.S. involvement and a full-blown escalation. Daily tit-for-tat attacks between Iran and Israel kept everyone on edge, and the question of U.S. intervention remained a nail-biter 😬, though President Trump did announce a 14-day "timeout". Then came the dramatic twist on June 21st: "Operation Midnighthammer" saw the U.S. unleash bunker-buster bombs on Iranian uranium enrichment facilities. 💥 Short time later, the U.S. declared mission accomplished, stating their goal of destroying these sites was achieved, and no further attacks would follow. Iran's response, "Operation Annunciation of Victory," on the following Monday, involved missile strikes on U.S. military bases in Qatar and Iraq. 🚀 Interestingly, these attacks were pre-announced, allowing for safe evacuations and thankfully, no casualties. 🙏 The biggest surprise came from President Trump as he declared, "Congratulations world, it's time for peace!" 🎉 He then brokered a ceasefire between Israel and Iran, which, despite being fragile, largely held, leading to the war's end.🤝 Both nations, as expected, officially claimed victory – a common move to satisfy their citizens. 🏅 Personally, I was genuinely surprised that the U.S.President mediated ceasefire, actually brought the conflict to a close – but it's a welcome outcome! 🙏 **Economic Data & Fed's Steady Hand** 💹🏛️ The cessation of hostilities triggered a steady downward slide in gold prices from June 24th to 27th. ⬇️ This dip initially met some market resistance but it ultimately prevailed, especially with the release of mixed U.S. economic data, which, despite being varied, was generally interpreted positively by the market. The spotlight also shone on the Federal Reserve, with several representatives speaking and Fed Chair Jerome Powell undergoing a two-day Senate hearing. 🎤👨‍⚖️ Powell meticulously explained the Fed's rationale for holding interest rates steady, despite market pressures. 🤷 However, recent whispers suggest the Federal Reserve might actually cut rates in September! 😮 ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 India / Pakistan Pakistan rejected claims that it supported militant groups active in Indian Kashmir. India issued a formal protest but reported no fresh border clashes during the week. Outlook 🔮: De-escalation is possible in the short term. However, unresolved disputes over water rights (Indus Treaty) could reignite tensions. Gaza Conflict Heavy Israeli airstrikes killed dozens in Gaza, including civilians near aid centers. The UN warned that U.S.-backed aid systems are failing. Humanitarian corridors remain blocked. Outlook 🔮: Ceasefire talks may resume in July, but success depends on international pressure and safe humanitarian access. Russia / Ukraine Russia advanced 36 sq mi in eastern Ukraine, deploying outdated T-62 tanks. Ukraine reinforced defensive lines, aided by Western military packages. Outlook 🔮: The front remains volatile. Sustained Western support will be key to halting further Russian gains. U.S. – China Trade War A breakthrough deal was signed for China to fast-track rare-earth exports to the U.S. Talks on tech transfer and tariffs continue behind closed doors. Outlook 🔮: A phased de-escalation is possible, but deep trust issues linger, especially over semiconductors and AI. 🌐 Global Trade War Several countries, including Brazil and Thailand, imposed fresh restrictions on Chinese imports, echoing the U.S. stance. Global supply chains remain fragmented. Outlook 🔮: Trade blocs like the EU and Mercosur may take on greater importance as countries hedge against rising protectionism. Trump vs. Powell Fed Chair Powell resisted political pressure, stating rate cuts are unlikely before September. Trump called him “stubborn” and demanded immediate easing. Outlook 🔮: The Fed’s independence is under strain. If Trump wins re-election, major policy shifts could follow. 📈 U.S. Inflation Despite tariffs, core inflation remains elevated. Powell warned of persistent price pressures. Trump insists the Fed should cut rates to boost growth. Outlook 🔮: A rate cut later in 2025 is possible—if labor market data weakens. Until then, inflation will remain politically explosive. ## Technical View 📐📈 **Current Market Context:** Gold plummeted to $3,273.67 USD/t.oz on June 27, 2025, marking a 1.65% drop from the previous day, which confirms the strong bearish momentum. The price action shows a significant retreat from recent highs around $3,400. **ICT (Inner Circle Trader) Methodology Analysis:** * **Market Structure:** The trend is clearly bearish, with a definitive break of structure (BOS) to the downside. * **Order Blocks:** Several bearish order blocks have been identified at prior resistance levels, specifically in the $3,380-$3,400 range. * **Fair Value Gaps (FVG):** The aggressive sell-off has created multiple imbalances, particularly in the $3,350-$3,320 range. * **Liquidity Pools:** Buy-side liquidity above $3,400 has been swept. Sell-side liquidity is now accumulating below the $3,270 lows, which is the current target zone. * **Session Analysis:** The London session showed aggressive selling, followed by a continuation of bearish momentum in the New York session. The Asia session could see consolidation or further declines. * **Smart Money Concepts:** Heavy selling pressure suggests "smart money" distribution. There's been strong bearish displacement from $3,380 down to $3,270, indicating the market is currently in a "sell program" phase. **Gann Analysis:** * **Gann Angles & Time Cycles:** The primary 1x1 Gann angle has been broken, pointing to continued weakness. Key price squares indicate resistance at $3,375 (25²) and support at $3,249 (57²). Daily cycles suggest a potential turning point around June 30-July 1, while weekly cycles indicate continued pressure through early July. * **Gann Levels:** * Resistance: $3,375, $3,400, $3,481 (59²) * Support: $3,249, $3,136, $3,025 **Fibonacci Analysis:** * **Key Retracement Levels (from recent swing high to low):** * 78.6%: $3,378 (Strong resistance) * 61.8%: $3,348 (Key resistance zone) * 50.0%: $3,325 (Psychological level) * 38.2%: $3,302 (Minor resistance) * 23.6%: $3,285 (Current area of interest) * **Fibonacci Extensions (Downside Targets):** * 127.2%: $3,245 * 161.8%: $3,195 * 261.8%: $3,095 * **Time-Based Fibonacci:** The next significant time cluster is July 2-3, 2025, with a major cycle completion expected around July 15-17, 2025. **Institutional Levels & Volume Analysis:** * **Key Institutional Levels:** * Major Resistance: $3,400 (psychological + institutional) * Secondary Resistance: $3,350-$3,375 (order block cluster) * Primary Support: $3,250-$3,270 (institutional accumulation zone) * Major Support: $3,200 (monthly pivot area) * **Volume Profile Analysis:** * High Volume Node (HVN): $3,320-$3,340 (fair value area) * Low Volume Node (LVN): $3,280-$3,300 (potential acceleration zone) * Point of Control (POC): Currently around $3,330 **Central Bank & Hedge Fund Levels:** Based on recent COT data and institutional positioning, heavy resistance is seen at $3,400-$3,430, where institutions likely distributed. An accumulation zone for "smart money" re-entry is anticipated at $3,200-$3,250. **Cycle Timing Analysis:** * **Short-Term Cycles (Intraday):** Bearish momentum is expected to continue for another 12-18 hours. A daily cycle low is likely between June 29-30, with a potential reversal zone on July 1-2 for the 3-day cycle. * **Medium-Term Cycles:** The current weekly cycle is in week 3 of a 4-week decline. The monthly cycle indicates a mid-cycle correction within a larger uptrend. For the quarterly cycle, Q3 2025 could see a major low formation. * **Seasonal Patterns:** July-August is typically a weaker period for gold ("Summer Doldrums"). September has historically been strong for precious metals ("September Effect"), setting up for a potential major move higher in Q4 2025 ("Year-End Rally"). **Trading Strategy & Levels:** * **Bearish Scenario (Primary):** * Entry: Sell rallies into the $3,320-$3,350 resistance zone. * Targets: $3,250, $3,200, $3,150. * Stop Loss: Above $3,380. * **Bullish Scenario (Secondary):** * Entry: Buy support at $3,250-$3,270 with confirmation. * Targets: $3,320, $3,375, $3,400. * Stop Loss: Below $3,230. **Key Events to Watch:** * **US PCE Data:** Fresh downside risks could emerge ahead of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data release. * **Fed Communications:** Any hawkish rhetoric from the Federal Reserve could further pressure gold. * **Geopolitical Developments:** Ongoing global events could trigger safe-haven demand. **Conclusion:** The technical picture for gold suggests continued short-term weakness, with the metal testing its 2025 trend line at $3,290 following last week's rejection at the $3,430 resistance. However, the longer-term outlook remains constructive, given gold's robust performance year-to-date. Key support at $3,250-$3,270 will be crucial in determining the next significant price movement. **Upcoming Week's Economic Calendar (June 29 - July 4, 2025):** 🗓️🌍 🗓️ Get ready for these important economic events (EDT) * ** Sunday , June 29, 2025** * 21:30 CNY: Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 49.6, Previous: 49.5 * ** Monday , June 30, 2025** * 09:45 USD: Chicago PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 42.7, Previous: 40.5 * ** Tuesday , July 1, 2025** * 05:00 EUR: CPI (YoY) (Jun) - Forecast: 2.0%, Previous: 1.9% * 09:30 USD: Fed Chair Powell Speaks * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 52.0, Previous: 52.0 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 48.8, Previous: 48.5 * 10:00 USD: ISM Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 70.2, Previous: 69.4 * 10:00 USD: JOLTS Job Openings (May) - Forecast: 7.450M, Previous: 7.391M * ** Wednesday , July 2, 2025** * 08:15 USD: ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun) - Forecast: 80K, Previous: 37K * 10:30 USD: Crude Oil Inventories - Forecast: -5.836M * ** Thursday , July 3, 2025** * Holiday: United States - Independence Day (Early close at 13:00) 🇺🇸⏰ * 08:30 USD: Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) (Jun) - Forecast: 0.3%, Previous: 0.4% * 08:30 USD: Initial Jobless Claims - Forecast: 239K, Previous: 236K * 08:30 USD: Nonfarm Payrolls (Jun) - Forecast: 129K, Previous: 139K * 08:30 USD: Unemployment Rate (Jun) - Forecast: 4.2%, Previous: 4.2% * 09:45 USD: S&P Global Services PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 53.1, Previous: 53.1 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun) - Forecast: 50.3, Previous: 49.9 * 10:00 USD: ISM Non-Manufacturing Prices (Jun) - Forecast: 68.7 * ** Friday , July 4, 2025** * All Day: Holiday - United States - Independence Day 🎆 **Gold Price Forecast for the Coming Week** 🔮💰 Given last week's market movements, there's a strong likelihood that the downward trend in gold prices will continue.🔽 However, fresh news can always flip the script! 🔄 As of now, I expect gold to dip further to $3255 by mid-next week. Yet, a brief rebound towards $3300 isn't out of the question before a potential drop to $3200 by week's end or early the following week. 🤞 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by Wick-Sniper
GBPCHF bearish for the week of 30 JuneI am planning to short GBPCHF next week. A Head and shoulder pattern in an existing bearish move signifies a continuation. My trade will be executed on H1 time frame with confluence factors that support a bearish continuation. A break below the neck line and pull back followed by a strong bearish candle would be ideal. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
GU Friday Bearish ReviewHi everyone, GBP/USD played out exactly as per forecast (link below if you'd like to revisit): It was fairly simple price action to forecast, price sweeped 1.375 initially, taking out the Asian highs and the similar equal highs (liquidity) Before then creating its bearish leg towards the next liquidity zone of 1.37. I was able to jump onto a few moves throughout both London & NY (have thrown in those screenshots onto the chart for you guys) Regards, Aman | SMC Wolf FX 1-1 student onboarding is currently open (website in my signature & profile)
by SMCWolfFX
Realio ($RIO): The Most Undervalued RWA Gem 500-1000x GrowthHow a $40M Underdog Could Become the BlackRock x Nasdaq x Coinbase of Tokenized Private Assets⚡️ TL;DR Realio is building the rails for a tokenized financial future: real estate, private equity, venture funds, private credit, and compliant secondary markets via a FINRA-registered ATS (tZERO). While the market focuses on flashy RWA narratives like Ethena or Ondo, Realio has quietly launched the infrastructure layer that will serve as the picks-and-shovels for trillions of off-chain assets coming on-chain. And at a $40M valuation, this is arguably the highest asymmetric upside in crypto RWAs right now. 📊 The Market Is 1000x Bigger Than People Realize Before diving into Realio's product stack, let’s contextualize just how big the RWA opportunity really is: Asset Class Global Market Size U.S. Market Size Real Estate (res + com) $613T $200T Private Equity + VC $11.7T $5.6T Private Credit $1.5T $1T Art, Collectibles, Gold $2T+ $500B+ Treasuries / Yield Funds $25T $7T Just 1% of these assets moving on-chain = a $6T tokenized asset market—and someone needs to issue, custody, manage, and trade those RWAs. That’s where Realio shines. 🧱 Realio: Infrastructure, Not Just a Narrative ✅ Live Platform White-label issuance, investor onboarding (KYC/AML), compliance layers, and integration with tZERO ATS for U.S.-compliant trading. ✅ Asset Agnostic Real estate, equity, credit, commodities — Realio can tokenize any private asset, and already has with deals like St. Regis Aspen. ✅ Native Tokens NYSE:RIO – governance, protocol-level staking LSE:RST – smart compliance & validation layer $LMX – liquidity mining token for ecosystem bootstrap 🧮 Base Case: $4.1B Market Cap Breakdown (100x from today) This is based on modest adoption across each vertical using conservative serviceable addressable market (SAM) assumptions: Vertical Realio Capture Revenue Potential Market Cap Contribution 🇺🇸 Real Estate (res + com) $2B tokenized $30M $300M 🧠 Private Equity / Venture $2.5B AUM $50M $600M 🔁 tZERO ATS Trading Volume $500M volume $7.5M $150M 🏦 Private Credit / Debt $200M AUM $6M $100M 🛰 RST Protocol Infrastructure N/A TBD $150M 💧 LMX Token / Liquidity Layer N/A N/A $200M Subtotal — — $1.5B Platform Premium (2.7x) — — $2.6B BASE CASE MARKET CAP — — $4.1B Even a 0.1–0.5% share in each vertical gets you there. But that’s not the moonshot. 🚀 Upside Case: $25.4B+ Market Cap This scenario assumes: RWA market on-chain penetration hits 1–2% globally Realio becomes a top 3 infrastructure player for compliant RWA issuance and trading Broader institutional adoption and LP demand for secondary liquidity Upside Capture Table Vertical Realio Capture Revenue Potential Valuation Multiple Upside Market Cap 🇺🇸 Real Estate (0.1% of $200T) $200B tokenized $3B+ in fees 10x $8.0B 🧠 Private Equity (0.5% of $5.6T) $28B tokenized $560M 12x $6.7B 🏦 Private Credit (0.3% of $1T) $3B tokenized $60M 10x $600M 🔁 Secondary ATS Volume $5B traded/year $75M 15x $1.1B 🛰 RST Protocol Node Ecosystem Global validator infra N/A Platform value $4.0B 💧 LMX Liquidity + DEX Stack Curated RWA trading hub Network effects Ecosystem value $5.0B Upside Total — — — $25.4B 🧠 Why Realio > Ethena, Ondo, Lumia (in Scope + Compliance) Project Use Case Compliance Ready Live Assets Secondary Trading Valuation (Jun '25) Realio Tokenization Infra + Trading ✅ U.S. Ready ✅ Yes ✅ tZERO ATS $40M Ethena Synthetic USD + yield ❌ Offshore only ❌ Derivatives ❌ $1.2B Ondo Tokenized Treasuries ✅ Yes ✅ Yes ✅ Coinbase $1.5B Lumia Treasury yield stablecoin ✅ Yes Early stage ❌ $180M 🔮 Final Thoughts: Bet on the Rails, Not the Train Every major financial revolution is won not by the speculative use cases—but by the infrastructure that enables them: AWS powered the cloud revolution Ethereum powered the DeFi boom Realio could power the $10T+ tokenized private asset wave The base case? A 100x. The upside case? A Coinbase-style rerating to $25B+ as the market matures. And today? You can buy NYSE:RIO before the herd even notices. Disclosure: This is not investment advice. Author holds $RIO.
Long
by DanOxAm
2
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋 What are your thoughts on BITCOIN? In our previous outlook, we anticipated a pullback to the channel bottom followed by a bullish move, and so far, price has followed that scenario perfectly. Bitcoin is now approaching the channel top and a major resistance zone. At this point, we are watching two potential scenarios: Scenario 1 – Pullback Before Continuation: If price rejects the resistance, a correction toward the midline of the channel (which aligns with a key support level) may occur. This could offer a strong entry point for the next bullish wave. Scenario 2 – Breakout and Retest: If Bitcoin breaks above the channel and resistance zone, we can look for buy opportunities on the pullback to the broken level, with potential targets at higher levels. Price action in this area is crucial. Both a midline pullback and a resistance breakout could provide valuable trading setups. Is Bitcoin gearing up for a breakout, or is another correction coming first? Share your view below! 🤔👇 Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Long
by HAMED_AZ
9
ETH could be about to rip into a short-term rallyWhile the stock market has seen surprising upside in the past weeks (presumably due to pricing in rate cuts / a more positive liquidity picture / high expectations for Q2), crypto has lagged behind. I don't believe anything significantly above current prices - no matter in which market - is sustainable for now, but we can certainly milk it for whatever it's worth. Notably, BTC has shown way more resilience and dominance in the current cycle so far. This makes sense in a high interest environment. However, within the bias of the markets pricing in expectations for rate cuts and as such more liquidity, we could also assume that demand for assets other than "safe havens" would now increase as well, leading us to the biased conclusion that we could see altcoins wildly outperforming BTC over the next weeks. Indeed, if we look at the BTC chart, technicals such as VWAP stddevs show significantly less potential for upside if compared to ETH in the current moment in time. We therefore would focus on ETH at this point (as money flow seems to cycle BTC->ETH->Others). PLEASE NOTE: SL and TP are not accurate. This is not a precise trading idea. Please use your own judgement in accordance with your trading style.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by variable_not_defined
1
Silver-The Next Gold?The precious metals market is abuzz with a compelling question: Is silver poised to become the next gold? As gold continues its record-breaking ascent, investors and analysts are turning their attention to silver, which has demonstrated remarkable performance and potential in 2025. Let’s dive into the factors driving silver’s price, expert forecasts, and what the future may hold for this dynamic metal. Silver’s 2025 Surge: Outpacing Expectations Silver prices have surged impressively in 2025, recently trading above $34 per ounce—a 14% year-to-date increase that outpaces many other commodities. This rally is not just a speculative spike; it’s underpinned by robust fundamentals, including: Gold’s record run, which historically pulls silver prices higher due to their strong correlation Persistent supply deficits, with 2025 marking the fifth consecutive year of market shortfall Soaring industrial demand, especially from the green technology and electronics sectors Renewed safe-haven buying amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties #commodity #silver #gold #xau #metals #finance #market #trading #portfolio #analysis
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
by signalgo
FX quarter end : a high-probability recurring patternAs we approach the end of June, a well-known phenomenon among FX traders is once again coming into focus: when currencies have diverged significantly over the course of a month or quarter, we often see a technical correction into the final trading session, with partial pullbacks in the pairs that had previously moved the most. This end-of-month or quarter pattern is not random. It is the predictable result of recurring institutional flows. Recently, the US dollar has notably weakened against most major currencies. As a result, we could anticipate a modest bounce in the dollar to close out the month and start the new week, as various participants are likely to adjust their positions accordingly. Performance of FX futures contracts from Sunday, June 1 to Friday, June 27: Swiss Franc +3.71% Euro +3.61% British Pound +1.95% New Zealand Dollar +1.58% Australian Dollar +1.50% Canadian Dollar +0.67% Japanese Yen +0.16% Performance of FX futures contracts from Tuesday, April 1 to Friday, June 27: Swiss Franc +10.73% Euro +8.40% New Zealand Dollar +6.90% British Pound +6.26% Canadian Dollar +5.23% Australian Dollar +4.80% Japanese Yen +3.68% These figures illustrate a broad-based decline in the dollar during June and over the entire second quarter. Historically, such imbalances open the door to late-stage adjustments, with currencies that have risen sharply often seeing modest technical pullbacks. This is a setup closely monitored by FX traders, who view it as a high-probability opportunity based on a pattern that is rare, but remarkably consistent. FX rebalancing: mechanics and market players At the heart of these adjustments lies one key concept: rebalancing. This is the process by which institutional players, pension funds, insurers, central banks, passive managers, bond funds, corporates adjust their FX exposures to stay in line with the targets defined in their mandates. Every month, the value of their assets (equities, bonds, alternatives) and currency holdings fluctuate. If a currency appreciates sharply, its weight in the portfolio may become too high. Conversely, if a currency weakens, exposure might fall below target. Rebalancing involves buying or selling FX to return to those target allocations. This process is recurring, predictable, and usually concentrated in a narrow window, the final hours of the trading month, just before the London 4pm fix. Quarter-ends tend to be even more pronounced, as many investors revisit long-term strategic allocations at that time. Many of these adjustments are driven by systematic models using fixed thresholds, which adds to the consistency and timing of these flows. Ideal setup: low volatility, high impact June 2025 ends in a particularly calm environment: equity markets are stable or even rising, and the VIX is trading near its yearly lows, signs of a quiet and balanced market that favors more technical trading. This context is favorable for strategies aiming to take advantage of rebalancing effects, as in the absence of new announcements or unexpected events, these adjustments are likely to have a tangible impact on prices. Conversely, in a more volatile market environment, such adjustments could be drowned out by larger flows (such as a flight to quality), thus having a reduced or even negligible impact. FX options: another layer of flows Another important factor on Monday, June 30: a large number of FX options expire at 10am New York (3pm London). These expiries cover several major pairs, with significant notional amounts concentrated near current spot levels. According to what is currently being whispered on trading desk chat rooms, we expect the following large expiries: EUR/USD: €3.0bn at 1.1650 (below spot) USD/JPY: $1.6bn at 145.50 (above spot) USD/CHF: $1.8bn at 0.8000 (above spot) GBP/USD: £1.0bn at 1.3600 (below spot) AUD/USD: A$1.1bn at 0.6425 (below spot) When spot approaches these strikes, option holders or sellers may intervene to "pin" prices, based on their delta exposure. This behavior can amplify technical price movements in the hours before expiration. When these heavy expirations align with month/quarter end rebalancing flows in a quiet, low-volatility market, it creates a strong potential cocktail for tactical moves, conducive to a dollar rebound into the fix. How to trade the pattern effectively Here’s a simplified roadmap to navigate this recurring pattern: Identify monthly or quarterly extremes: look for the currencies that gained or lost the most over the period; Assess the market environment: a low VIX, no major data or central bank events, meaningful trends, and significant options expiries are ideal conditions; Use liquid and transparent instruments: Sep 2025 FX futures (standard, e-mini or micro) are currently the most suitable products for active positioning Set realistic expectations: aim for a 0.5% to 1.0% pullback, not a full-blown trend reversal Manage risk properly: as with any strategy, always use a stop-loss. This is quantitative trading, not fortune-telling. If the USD continues to weaken despite the setup, be ready to exit swiftly. In short... Quarter/month end FX rebalancing is one of the few market events where anticipated institutional flows can create repeatable, high-probability trading opportunities. These flows stem from real portfolio needs and systematic re-hedging, and are often amplified by option expiries and technical positioning. This setup provides a great educational case study for any trader seeking to better understand hidden FX dynamics. There’s no secret indicator or crystal ball here, just a solid grasp of structural flows and timing. From a personal standpoint, after over 20 years trading currencies, this strategy remains one of my favorites: simple, effective, and highly instructive. I encourage you to study it closely, and observe its behavior during upcoming month-end windows. --- When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/ . This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6E1!Education
by satelysfx
Technical Analysis – UNO MINDA LTD (June 27, 2025)UNO MINDA is showing strong bullish momentum after forming a base and reclaiming the 200 EMA. The breakout from the falling channel and consolidation near resistance suggest strength. As long as it sustains above ₹1020, accumulation in the 1100–1110 range is favorable for a move toward ₹1300+ Weekly Chart:- Daily Chart:- The stock has: Formed a strong base around ₹850–₹900. Broken above the 200-day EMA with strength. Recently made higher highs and higher lows, which is a bullish price structure. Consolidated near a resistance zone (around ₹1100–₹1120) and is now trying to break above it. Chart Pattern Insight: The stock was earlier trading within a downward-sloping channel (black trendlines). It has recently broken out of the upper boundary of this channel. A horizontal resistance zone (highlighted in red) around ₹1110 is currently being tested. If the price closes convincingly above ₹1120, it would confirm a bullish breakout.
NSE:UNOMINDALong
by Game_0f_Pivot
ETH - Intergalactic, Planetary, Intergalactic, PlanetarySun Lines (Gold Fences): These vertical yellow posts mark the high-noon moments when Solar power kicks off major stampedes. Note how the late-2021 Sun line lit the fuse for ETH’s first big buck, and the spring 2024 fence set the stage for that gallop up to nearly $4,800. Earth-Mars Synodic Ropes (Blue Lassos): These sweeping blue arcs show us when Earth and Mars line up in the sky—and in price rhythm. Each blue lasso tends to corral momentum, either roping in a rally or reining in a sell-off. Early 2023’s synodic rope kept bears at bay, while the latest loop around June 2025 hints at a pick-me-up near $2,400. Mars Heliocentric Rails (Red Corral Bars): The red lines are Mars’s own heliocentric fences—tough support and resistance levels that often drive price back toward the barn. When ETH bucked above a Mars line in mid-2022, it stalled for months; when it fell through a red rail in early 2025, it trailed off toward $1,500. Trail Ahead: We’ve just passed another Sun post and are nearing a Mars corral bar around $2,200–2,300. If the blue synodic rope holds, expect a gentle trot back up toward $2,800; if ol’ Mars drags us off-trail, we might be bucked back toward $1,600. Keep your eyes on those planetary fences—the next cosmic roundup’s comin’ soon! BYBIT:ETHUSDT.P
by cowboycharts