EURUSD Long: Wave 3 of 3This is a detailed analysis of EURUSD. Over here, I pointed out the following:
1. We are going into a wave 3 of 3 up.
2. A false breakdown to complete a double combination w-x-y.
3. Wave 1=3 target of 1.16477.
4. Aggressive Stop at 1.12951; Conservative Stop at 1.12553.
5. Bias of USD Short (de-dollarization).
Good luck!
Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD (Gold/USD) – Smart Money Setup with Key Zones & Target 🧠 Market Summary:
This chart shows a classic Smart Money Concept (SMC) play. We're looking at how big players (banks, institutions) trap retail traders, push price through liquidity zones, and move toward their real targets.
📌 Detailed Breakdown:
1️⃣ Ellipse Zone (Left Side – Accumulation Phase)
This shaded ellipse shows where price was moving sideways in a tight range. This is a classic accumulation zone, meaning big players were quietly building their long positions.
✅ Price stayed in this range from May 20–21 before breaking out with strong bullish candles.
👉 What this means: Institutions are loading up. Once they’re filled, they push price upward fast.
2️⃣ Central Zone of Market (Green Diamond)
After the breakout, price made a small pause/retest, which we marked with a green diamond.
This is a re-accumulation area—a temporary consolidation before another push up. It’s also a mid-point, showing the “central engine” of this price move.
👉 What this means: Market still bullish here, collecting more orders.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (Top of Chart)
Price reached this supply zone near 3,360–3,370 and immediately faced strong rejection.
You can see:
Long wicks at the top
Bearish pressure stepping in
Start of a curve formation
👉 What this means: Big players are offloading their long positions and preparing for a reversal.
4️⃣ Rounded Top Curve (Distribution Phase)
Notice the arc shape drawn over the candles.
This is a distribution pattern — a rounding top that shows price is topping out slowly. It’s often a sign that smart money is exiting while trapping late buyers.
🔻Price then dropped aggressively, breaking structure.
5️⃣ BOS (Break of Structure)
A major bearish signal occurred here.
Price broke a recent low and created a BOS (Break of Structure) — a strong confirmation that the market has shifted from bullish to bearish.
👉 What this means: Now we look for retracement entries to go short.
6️⃣ 50% Retracement + Reversal Area
After the BOS, price pulled back to the 50% Fibonacci level and hit a small resistance zone (highlighted in purple). This is a classic area for smart entries.
✅ This level rejected price again — showing bearish confirmation.
7️⃣ Target Zone – 3,330.055
A clean, well-defined target area where:
Liquidity rests
Previous orders may get triggered
Market could react strongly
👉 If price pushes into this zone again, expect a reaction (either continuation or a reversal).
8️⃣ Support Zone – 3,290.345
This is your final support zone if the market continues to drop.
If price breaks this support, it could open room for a larger bearish move.
🎯 Trading Plan (Example):
📈 If price retraces to 3,330.055 and shows rejection → consider short setup
📉 Watch 3,290.345 for bounce or breakdown
❌ Invalidation: Break above 3,370 (major resistance)
💡 Bonus Tip – Trading Psychology:
“Smart money doesn’t chase. It waits for the trap to be set, then strikes with precision.”
Stay patient. Don’t rush entries. Let price come to your zones.
🏁 Summary:
This chart is a full example of smart money manipulation, showing:
Accumulation → Expansion → Distribution → Breakdown
BOS + 50% retrace = high-probability short
Key zones: 3,330 (Target) & 3,290 (Support)
📢 Don’t Forget:
If this analysis helped, drop a like, share, or comment your view below!
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #SmartMoney #PriceAction #TradingView #Minds #ForexStrategy #GoldSetup #SMC #LiquidityZones
Gold Elliott wave analysis 5/28/2025In my view, gold is currently in wave five of the Grand Supercycle Wave V, which I began counting from around the year 1833. While many investors expect gold prices to skyrocket further due to geopolitical tensions, de-globalization, and growing concerns over asset bubbles—evidenced by large-scale stock selloffs and a shift toward cash holdings—I believe much of this fear is already priced in.
As for my price target, I expect gold to complete its final wave at around $3,600–$3,700. This projection is based on the assumption that wave five (in cream color) will likely be equal in length to wave one, especially considering that wave three is the extended wave. After reaching this peak, I anticipate a significant downturn—similar to the crash between 1980 and 2001—which could form a massive wave two correction potentially lasting for decades.
An additional factor supporting my outlook is the upcoming Saturn–Neptune conjunction in 2025–2026. According to financial astrology, previous Saturn–Neptune cycles have been closely associated with recessions, financial crises, and economic restructuring. These periods often expose bubbles, fraud, or excessive optimism. Given the elevated level of gold prices today, which may be considered a bubble, this suggests that a major correction in gold could be approaching.
Roche Strengthens Its Bet Against the “Superbug”By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades
Zosurabalpin: A New Hope Against Antimicrobial Resistance
Swiss pharmaceutical giant Roche (SWX: ROG) has just taken a major step forward in the fight against bacterial resistance: its new antibiotic zosurabalpin is entering Phase 3 clinical trials. The compound targets acinetobacter baumannii, a highly resistant Gram-negative bacterium that causes serious infections such as pneumonia and sepsis, with mortality rates ranging from 40% to 60%, according to Larry Tsai, Chief Medical Officer at Genentech, Roche’s U.S. subsidiary.
The clinical trial is set to begin in late 2025 or early 2026, involving approximately 400 patients across more than 100 international sites. If successful, zosurabalpin would become the first new class of antibiotics targeting Gram-negative bacteria in over 50 years, marking a historic milestone in pharmaceutical development.
Strategic Return to the Antibiotics Arena
After stepping away from antibiotic research for several years, Roche re-entered the field in the past decade, just as the WHO warned of the growing threat of antimicrobial resistance, which could lead to up to 10 million deaths annually by 2050. This move underlines Roche’s renewed commitment to innovation in critical areas of global health.
Economic Context and Market Position
So far in 2025, Roche has delivered mixed financial results. In its first-quarter report, revenue grew 2% year-on-year, driven by its diagnostics division, while its oncology segment remains solid. However, margin pressures persist, and the biotech landscape remains fiercely competitive.
On the stock market, Roche shares have remained relatively stable around 250 Swiss francs, with investors showing caution toward the company’s pace of innovation in the post-pandemic era. The move to Phase 3 for zosurabalpin may shift that perception and position Roche as a pioneer in a long-overlooked segment of the pharmaceutical industry: next-generation antibiotics.
Technical Analysis
The stock has been trading within a range between 249.6 and 303.2 francs, peaking at 323.6 francs in late March, followed by a sharp correction that found support at 244 francs in early April. The current point of control lies slightly below the midpoint of the range at 263 francs. The RSI sits at 49.11%, indicating a relatively balanced momentum. Moving average crossovers suggest a potential price correction, as the 200-day average recently crossed below the 50-day average.
Conclusion
Roche’s latest advance could not only save thousands of lives but also restore the company’s leadership in the fight against infectious diseases. If all goes according to plan, zosurabalpin could be available before 2030, ushering in a new era in modern medicine.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
BTC 4H – Final Shakeout Before Markup?Bitcoin continues to coil below ATH resistance, now forming a second symmetrical pennant after the first flagpole breakout. Price is wedged between the ascending trendline support and persistent ATH rejection (~109.8K) — and the next move could define the entire Phase D → Phase E transition.
🧠 Wyckoff Reaccumulation Context:
✅ Spring + Test confirmed ~May 19
✅ Multiple LPS retests held around 107–108K
✅ Two clear SOS rallies tested above the creek
📌 Currently in late Phase D, facing third rejection from ATH
⚠️ Compression Observations:
RSI (14): 49.88 → neutral to bearish momentum
Volume: No conviction from either side
Lower BB + BU lows (~107K): A logical Spring zone for a potential wick-down fakeout
Price remains within channel and trendline support
🔄 Key Scenarios:
🟡 Bullish (Spring + Markup)
Wick below trendline to 107K zone
RSI bounce + green volume spike
Break + close above 110K → Confirms Phase E Markup
🎯 Targets:
Measured Move 1: 116,199
Measured Move 2 (Pennant): 119,958
Fib Cluster: 117,444 – 118,234
🔴 Bearish Breakdown
Close below 107K LPS with volume
RSI drops < 45
Structural failure → risks reversion to AR (~100.6K) and possibly BC
🧭 Conclusion:
Bitcoin is in the decision apex of a second pennant. If we see a wick-down + bounce (Spring-like behavior), it could be the last reload before a markup wave.
But without volume and momentum, this remains a fragile structure — stay patient, let the chart confirm.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Pennant #CryptoTA #BTC4H #VolumeAnalysis #RSI
Are we breaking up or getting rejected? Read belowStrong resistance here, is usd optimism coming back or no? let us know~~
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information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
Market next target
⚠️ Disruption Points:
1. Dubious Support Zone
The boxed zone (highlighted as support) shows multiple rejections but no clear bullish rejection candles (e.g., no hammer, bullish engulfing).
This may be a false base forming before another breakdown, especially with declining volume.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern
The chart lacks a proper reversal structure like a double bottom, inverse head-and-shoulders, or bullish divergence.
A few sideways candles ≠ trend reversal—this might just be consolidation before further drop.
3. Weak Buyer Commitment
Volume has steadily decreased as the price attempted to base out.
If buyers were serious, we’d expect to see surging green volume bars, not this tapering activity.
4. Downtrend Still Dominant
The overall market structure is still lower highs and lower lows.
Jumping into a long trade against the trend without a confirmed break above the last swing high (≈1.13250) is premature.
5. Risk-Reward Imbalance
The arrowed path assumes an ideal rise without considering realistic pullbacks or market resistance.
If a stop is set below 1.12800 (support low) and the target is 1.13400, reward is tight compared to the risk, especially if price continues chopping sideways.
Market next move 🚨 Disruptive Take on the Current Silver-CFD Setup (1 h)
⚠️ Key Issue Why It Undermines the Long-Target Thesis
1. Target looks “wishful” The arrow projects a move into the 33.55–33.60 zone without price ever clearing the nearest resistance band around 33.30–33.35. A premature target can bait traders into chasing the tail end of a relief rally.
2. Volume doesn’t back the bounce Notice how the big green climb out of the pit on the 27 th started on strong volume, but the last 10–12 candles show shrinking green bars. Demand is decaying as price inches higher—a classic recipe for a bull trap.
3. Momentum is stalling The most recent candle printed red right at the dotted mid-line, hinting at exhaustion. Without a fresh momentum kick (e.g., higher high ➜ bullish engulfing), upside continuation is statistically fragile.
4. Structure still favors lower highs The broader pattern since the 25–26 th is a series of lower swing-highs. Until that diagonal is broken decisively, every uptick remains a counter-trend bounce, not a new up-trend.
5. Macro landmine ahead The U.S. flag icon marks an impending data release. Silver’s intraday volatility tends to spike on USD events; any dollar strength could instantly unwind the thin-volume rise. Trading into news with no contingency ≠ smart risk.
6. Stop-loss placement is unclear Without a clearly defined invalidation level (e.g., below 33.00 or under the 27 th swing-low), the R-R profile is lopsided: limited upside room vs. plenty of air underneath.
Market next move 🚨 Disruption Analysis of the Gold CFD Chart
1. Over-Optimistic Target Placement
The target is placed significantly above the current market trend without substantial confirmation of a reversal.
The recent bullish candles are weak and not supported by volume spikes.
There's a bearish engulfing pattern forming, suggesting a possible continuation of the downtrend.
2. Weak Volume Confirmation
The rise in price does not coincide with a strong increase in buying volume.
Volume bars are mixed and not clearly favoring buyers, indicating market indecision rather than strength.
3. False Bottom Assumption
The assumption that the market has bottomed on the 27th is speculative.
Without a double-bottom pattern or significant bullish divergence on an RSI/MACD (not shown here), the upward bias is unjustified.
4. Price Action Breakdown
Lower highs and lower lows are still visible.
The short bounce could be a retracement rather than a trend reversal.
5. Macro or Fundamental Events Ignored
Given the presence of the US flag icon (economic event), any upcoming data release (like GDP, interest rates, etc.) could drastically alter market direction.
Trading before news without adjusting targets and stops is risky.
FICO's Monopoly: Cracks in the Credit Kingdom?For decades, Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) has maintained an unparalleled grip on the American credit system. Its FICO score became the de facto standard for assessing creditworthiness, underpinning virtually every mortgage, loan, and credit card. This dominance was cemented by a highly profitable business model: the three major credit bureaus—Equifax, Experian, and TransUnion—each paid FICO for independent licenses, generating a significant percentage of revenue per inquiry and establishing a seemingly unassailable monopoly.
However, this long-standing reign now faces an unprecedented challenge. The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) Director, Bill Pulte, recently signaled a potential shift to a "2-out-of-3" model for credit bureaus. This seemingly technical adjustment carries profound implications, as it could render one of FICO's three bureau licenses redundant, potentially evaporating up to 33% of its highly profitable revenue. Director Pulte has also publicly criticized FICO's recent 41% increase in wholesale mortgage score fees, contributing to significant declines in FICO's stock price and drawing broader regulatory scrutiny over its perceived anti-competitive practices.
This regulatory pressure extends beyond FICO's immediate revenue, hinting at a broader dismantling of the traditional credit monopoly. The FHFA's actions could pave the way for alternative credit scoring models, like VantageScore, and encourage innovation from fintech companies and other data sources. This increased competition threatens to reshape the landscape of credit assessment, potentially leading to a more diversified and competitive market where FICO's once-unchallenged position is significantly diluted.
Despite these formidable headwinds, FICO retains considerable financial strength, boasting impressive profit margins and robust revenue growth, particularly within its Scores segment. The company's Software segment, offering a decision intelligence platform, also presents a significant growth opportunity, with projected increases in annual recurring revenue. While FICO navigates this pivotal period of regulatory scrutiny and emerging competition, its ability to adapt and leverage its diversified business will be crucial in determining its future role in the evolving American credit market.
just correction or something more? Let us know~Do you think it is just a correction or something more? Let us know~~
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information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
RBA Could Still Cut Despite Higher AU CPI: AU paid in focusToday I take a quick look at Australia's inflation figures and outline why I think the RBA could still cut in July, before moving on to charts for AUD/USD, AUD/NZD, EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
/GC GC1! GOLD Futures (GCM2025) – An Analysis by WaverVanir DSSThis setup presents a potential bearish scenario underpinned by Smart Money Concepts, volume analysis, and structure invalidation at premium zones.
🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
Weak High in Premium Zone:
Price failed to convincingly break above the last swing high, forming a weak high.
Rejection from this premium supply area indicates a lack of bullish follow-through.
Change of Character (CHoCH) → Bearish Bias:
Recent CHoCH printed after a bullish BOS earlier in the structure.
Suggests potential shift from bullish structure to distribution phase.
Volume Analysis:
Volume is declining on bullish candles while spiking on red – early distribution signal.
Imbalance zones remain unfilled.
Target Zones:
📌 Equilibrium Zone ~ $3,040–$3,080.
📌 Secondary Demand Zones: $2,960 and $2,880.
Stronger demand and liquidity pockets rest lower, potentially magnetizing price.
📉 Probabilistic Forecast:
🔻 65% chance of retracement to equilibrium zone within the next 5–10 sessions.
🔺 35% chance of bullish invalidation if price reclaims and closes above $3,350.
🔄 Strategy Idea (Not Financial Advice):
Look for confirmation of lower highs or liquidity grabs around $3,310–$3,330 for potential short entries.
Tight stop above weak high; target near equilibrium.
📊 Powered by: WaverVanir DSS | SMC | Volume Imbalances | Order Flow Bias
#GoldFutures #SMC #VolumeProfile #TradingView #WaverVanir #AlgoTrading #MacroTA
Buy Idea for MQG (Macquarie Group Ltd)📈 Buy Idea – MQG.ASX
🔹 Entry: $210.49
🔹 Stop: $201.80 (Risk ~4.1%)
🔹 Target 1: $227.50
🔹 Target 2: $238+
🔹 R:R: ~1:3
Setup:
– Tight sideways consolidation near 50MA
– Strong volume support near $205 zone
– Bullish engulfing candle into breakout zone
– Sector strength: Financials stabilizing post RBA cut
– Clean technical base + upside momentum potential
Why It Works:
🔸 High-quality name with macro tailwind (lower rates = banking boost)
🔸 Tight risk with upside if it breaks out above $215
🔸 Good institutional interest & dividend tailwind
🚨 Trigger Alert: Add above $215 for momentum confirmation
🔔 Monitor closely for follow-through above resistance
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
Super performance candidate NYSE:SNOW , cloud-based data platform leader in its fast growing industry as its business model is expected to grow significantly, with strong customer growth and integrating with the A.I rush, positioning itself to capture significant market share.
Sitting at a RS Rating of 94,
I have reasons to believe this security could increase
Selling pressure, gold price continues to fall below 3285?⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices declined by nearly 2% on Monday, slipping below the $3,300 mark, as investor sentiment improved following U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone tariffs on European Union imports. The renewed risk appetite, coupled with a modest rebound in the U.S. Dollar from last week’s losses, placed pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
The move came after a weekend call between President Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen, which resulted in the U.S. deferring the planned 50% tariffs on EU goods until July 9. The development eased global trade concerns, prompting a shift away from safe-haven assets—excluding the Greenback—and helped propel global equity markets higher.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Accumulated price zone around 3300, under selling pressure, mainly waiting for important economic news this week: GDP, FOMC
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3363- 3365 SL 3370
TP1: $3352
TP2: $3340
TP3: $3325
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3266- $3268 SL $3261
TP1: $3277
TP2: $3286
TP3: $3300
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Is Bitcoin Ready for Its Next Leg Up? Here’s What We Know So FarBitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD is so back — not just back like “we recovered the dip,” but back like “new all-time highs, let’s go shopping for Lambos on moons” back.
If you’ve been following our Top Stories coverage, you’ll know that the OG token vaulted past $109,500 last week, then kissed $111,900 in “Tom Cruise falling off a building” style. Only that there wasn’t a fall to the ground. Instead, Bitcoin prices got stuck near $110,000 and are now waiting for the next catalyst.
Where are we in the cycle? The memes are pumping. Maxis are chest-thumping (this one’s for you, Saylor ). And the market? Well, it’s trying to figure out if this rocket still has fuel, or if we’re hovering at apogee before gravity reminds us it’s still a thing.
Let’s break down what’s really going on — with numbers, context, and just enough forecast to keep it spicy.
🚀 Bitcoin Goes Bionic
Call it what you want — a breakout, a blowoff, or a moonshot — Bitcoin just rewrote the record books. The OG coin is up 48% since its April lows, a run that’s as explosive as it is poetic.
Remember the bearish chants echoing when BTC dipped near $74,000 in early spring? And all those Bitcoin permabears saying it’s all going to zero? Yeah, those are suddenly hard to hear over the rocket engines.
This is the moment Bitcoin believers have been waiting for. Institutional interest continues to show inflows are strong. Adoption is real and making solid progress. And price action is loud — loud enough to drown out the skeptics still quoting tulip bubbles from 1637.
💥 Why the Breakout? A Perfect Storm
Looking at the fundamentals and the technicals — this wasn’t a fluke. It was a perfect cocktail of macro tailwinds, regulatory green lights, and unrelenting digital gold fever.
ETF flows? Exchange-traded funds are collecting record levels of fresh capital — all eleven of them .
Institutional demand? Climbing faster than Saylor can tweet.
Macro backdrop? Soft dollar, muted inflation, and a shiny 90-day trade truce between the US and China paired with one between the US and the EU .
Regulatory mood? A lot less hostile than the Biden administration, with a stablecoin bill clearing the Senate’s procedural vote and Texas passing a law to hold Bitcoin in its reserve fund.
Bitcoin didn’t ride the wave — it was the wave. And with volatility finally working for traders, not against them, the rally gained real traction.
📉 Not All Risk is Behind Us
Now before we start naming stars after Satoshi, let’s pump the brakes (just a little). The flagship crypto might be chilling around $110,000, but this asset class has the emotional range (and discipline) of a toddler. We’ve seen rallies like this before. We’ve also seen how quickly they unravel.
Upcoming economic data could throw a wrench in the gears. Here’s what to watch for this week:
Wednesday: Fed minutes
Thursday: GDP figures
Friday: Core PCE inflation
Any surprises here — especially hotter-than-expected inflation or hawkish Fed sentiment — could rattle the risk-on party. Bitcoin loves liquidity. If the Fed hints at tightening, the rocket might need to refuel mid-air.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch
Technically, the $111,900 print is your short-term ceiling. It’s the new line in the sand — the price everyone’s watching, waiting for a clean break or a hard rejection.
On the downside, $105,000–$106,000 is developing as support. Break that, and $100,000 becomes the psychological safety net. Below that? Well, let’s not talk about it unless we have to.
Until then, price is consolidating. Think of it like a pit stop — a chance for bulls to breathe, for bears to panic quietly, and for traders to argue about Fibonacci levels.
🛰️ Is $120K Next? Or Is This the Top?
But let’s dig into it a little bit. The real question is whether this rally still has legs. Some traders are calling $120,000 a “magnet level.” Others are treating current prices like the top and selling into strength.
The answer? Probably both.
Momentum is still there — just cooled off a bit. Volume’s down slightly. Social buzz is still high up there. The market’s in a classic “wait-and-see” phase, prepping for a bigger move in either direction.
What could break the stalemate?
A blockbuster inflation report (bullish if soft).
Another policy win from Washington.
Or the most powerful force of all: a dovish stance from the man who moves markets with a simple “Good afternoon” (bonus points if you guess who that is!)
📢 Final Word: Celebrate, But Stay Sharp
If you’ve been long since the dip, this is your moment. Pop some virtual (or real?) champagne. Screenshot that green PnL. Post a gif of Elon and Trump dancing.
But if you’re entering now, zoom out. Yes, momentum is bullish. Yes, fundamentals are stronger than ever. But Bitcoin doesn’t do straight lines for long. And your stop-loss isn’t going to set itself.
Whether $120K is next or we pull back to reset, the next few sessions will be crucial.
Your move : Are you buying this breakout? Waiting for confirmation? Or just enjoying the view from orbit? Let us know how you’re playing this Bitcoin beast — because one thing’s certain: it’s never boring up here.
Price Action and Technical Analysis says I should BUY S&P 500!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
GAMUDA CONT MARK UPThis is a continuation of my prev post
**Refer link below
In Wyckoff Methode , The Formation of BUEC is a sign that further price advancement will continue
to the phase E (Marking up outside the Trading Range)
The BUEC in this formation, coincide with a Local Spring
On Top of that, with a Feather's weight & Springboard in it
With a Trigger Bar today, position initiated as attached
PureWyckoff
The Great Erosion: Why I Hedge With BitcoinBy Coach Miranda Miner
Look at this chart. It doesn’t scream. It doesn’t panic. It simply tells the truth.
Over the past decade, major fiat currencies have quietly lost their purchasing power. The Chinese Yuan has been debased by 61%, the US Dollar by 46%, the Euro by 38%, the British Pound by 34%, and even the Japanese Yen, often praised for its stability, has fallen 29%. And yet, central banks speak as if things are under control.
They tell us inflation is “transitory.” They say rate hikes are temporary. They promise normalization. But as we’ve seen, normalization often means sacrificing the value of your hard-earned money.
This is not a conspiracy. This is macroeconomic policy at work.
The Reality Behind Currency Debasement
Since the global financial crisis of 2008, central banks like the Federal Reserve (the Fed) have resorted to unprecedented monetary policy tools—quantitative easing, low interest rates, and now liquidity injections whenever markets tremble. The Fed’s balance sheet ballooned from under $1 trillion pre-crisis to nearly $9 trillion at its peak.
Each time the Fed prints more dollars to buy assets and prop up markets, the money supply increases. When this happens without a corresponding increase in goods and services, what do you get? Inflation.
And when inflation accelerates beyond control, currency debasement follows. Your dollars buy less. Your savings silently shrink.
It’s not just the Fed. The European Central Bank, Bank of England, and People’s Bank of China have followed similar paths. Governments and their central banks are running deficits and solving them by diluting the very currency people save in.
Don’t Just Trust Banks—Understand Incentives
Let me ask you a simple question: Do you think your bank cares more about your financial freedom, or about their own bottom line?
Look at the recent collapses: Silicon Valley Bank, Credit Suisse, and Signature Bank. We were told the system was stable. Then it cracked—overnight.
Even NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC , and NYSE:WFC —the biggest banks—are still at the mercy of regulatory changes, interest rate whiplashes, and geopolitical shocks. Don’t forget: banks are leveraged institutions. They lend more than they own.
Meanwhile, you earn 1-2% on your savings while inflation eats away 6-8% per year. That’s a guaranteed loss.
The Bitcoin Hedge: Scarcity in a World of Printing
Now compare that with Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ).
Bitcoin has a fixed supply: 21 million coins, ever. No Fed. No central authority. No backroom stimulus deal. Its supply is encoded and transparent. Every four years, the Bitcoin halving cuts the rate of new issuance, making BTC more scarce over time.
In April 2024, we witnessed the most recent halving. The mining reward dropped from 6.25 to 3.125 BTC per block. In economic terms, the supply shock began fueling upward price pressure—exactly as it did in 2012, 2016, and 2020.
Meanwhile, institutional demand surged. After the SEC approved spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, trillions of dollars were unlocked. Funds like BlackRock’s IBIT, Fidelity’s FBTC, and ARK Invest’s ARKB have been aggressively accumulating Bitcoin.
In fact, by January 2025, ETFs acquired 51,500 BTC in a single week. During that same period, only 13,850 BTC were mined. That’s a 3.7x supply squeeze.
Let that sink in.
Bitcoin is the Antithesis of Fiat
Bitcoin is not a gamble. It is insurance against the failure of the fiat system.
For traders like us, it’s a strategic asset. For long-term investors, it’s a savings technology. For people in unstable economies—think Argentina, Lebanon, Turkey—Bitcoin is freedom.
Even in the Philippines, I see it. OFWs sending money home are starting to learn about Bitcoin on the Lightning Network, bypassing remittance fees from NYSE:WU or $ML.
As Coach Miranda Miner, I always teach: Discipline. Risk Management. Malasakit.
This is not about being anti-bank. This is about being pro-freedom.
Retail and Institutional Alignment
For the first time, retail traders and Wall Street giants are eyeing the same asset. That alignment is rare.
NASDAQ:TSLA holds over 10,000 BTC.
NASDAQ:MSTR (MicroStrategy) holds more than 300,000 BTC and continues to raise capital just to buy more.
El Salvador, a sovereign nation, now holds Bitcoin in a strategic reserve. Their president even uses geothermal volcano energy to mine BTC sustainably.
This is no longer fringe. This is mainstream adoption in motion.
But What About Volatility?
Yes, Bitcoin is volatile. That’s true. But let’s flip the script.
If something is volatile but trending upward in the long run—like Bitcoin—doesn’t it make sense to accumulate wisely?
Versus keeping wealth in a stable asset—like fiat—that consistently loses value. That’s slow bleeding. It’s not volatility. It’s erosion.
A Strategic Framework for 2025
Here’s what I advise fellow traders and investors:
Hedge your fiat exposure. Don’t keep all your assets in cash or peso.
Use dollar-cost averaging ( GETTEX:DCA ) to buy CRYPTOCAP:BTC regularly.
Allocate responsibly. You don’t need to go all-in. Even 5–10% exposure can protect your portfolio.
Track macro events. Monitor Fed rate decisions, CPI prints, and ETF flows.
Avoid hype. Study fundamentals. Bitcoin rewards research, not impulse.
The Takeaway
The currencies we grew up trusting have quietly betrayed us.
This isn’t fear-mongering. This is risk awareness.
If you believe in working hard, you should also believe in protecting that hard work. And Bitcoin offers that shield—not because it’s perfect, but because it’s mathematically incorruptible.
You owe it to yourself to understand the shift happening before your eyes.
So yes, I hedge with $BTC. Because in a world of ever-weakening paper, digital scarcity is power.
—Coach Miranda MinerCEO, Global Miranda Miner GroupDiscipline. Risk Management. Malasakit.