S&P500 - Preparing For The Final Bullrun!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is still heading higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the S&P500 has been creating new all time highs for the past couple of months, charts are clearly telling us that this bullrun is not over yet. We already saw two textbook cycles of +90% each and during 2025, we will see the completion of the third and final bullrun.
Levels to watch: $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Beyond Technical Analysis
Meta Platforms - The Breakout Rally To $1.000!Meta Platforms ( NASDAQ:META ) is about to break out:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Ever since Meta Platforms - formerly known as Facebook - was listed on the Nasdaq, this stock has been creating new all time highs over and over again. Also over the past couple of months, momentum was pretty strong and a triangle breakout seems inevitable.
Levels to watch: $650, $1.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Hims & Hers - Cheap Health saftyNYSE:HIMS is a platform in the US that takes care of peoples health. They help with everything from skincare to mental or physical treatment. The app provides free licensed providers consultations. Which i think is a gamer breaker in the US, since the cost from going to the doctors is so high, after what i have heard.
The price has broken through two old tops, one in 2021 and one in 2024, and now those tops are used as a bottom. Plus the RSI is turning just a little lower then the SMA. This indicates a bull run.
The Q3 earnings was doubled the expected, and since the price can go a lot over the indicators as seen in 2021 it could go on the rocket ship again
NAS100USD: Transitioning from Sell-Side to Buy-Side CurveGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, NAS100USD has been delivering bearish institutional order flow, characteristic of the sell-side curve. However, bullish institutional order flow is beginning to emerge, indicating a potential shift to the buy-side curve. This creates an opportunity to explore buy setups, provided confluences align with confirmation.
Key Observations:
1. Bullish Order Block as Support:
Price is currently reacting to a bullish order block, which is aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG). This confluence establishes a strong institutional support zone.
2. Reclaimed Order Block:
A previously reclaimed order block has been broken to the upside, suggesting that it may now act as support, reinforcing bullish momentum.
3. Discount Pricing:
Price is currently within a discount zone, making it an attractive area to seek buy opportunities with targets at premium liquidity pools.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Look for confirmations around the bullish order block and reclaimed order block to justify entering long positions.
Targets:
Aim for liquidity pools at premium levels, such as highs, where institutions are likely to offload positions.
By aligning with the emerging bullish narrative and observing institutional behavior, we can position ourselves to capitalize on this potential market shift. As always, patience and confirmation are key.
Kind Regards,
The Architect
A bad day to Buy Stock in the modern day Auschwitz (CXW)The shadow of institutionalized human trafficking is a dark thread woven throughout history, manifesting in forms as grim as the forced labor camps of Auschwitz and Buchenwald during World War II. These institutions, while created under vastly different circumstances, share a grim purpose: commodifying human beings for profit or power. Today, while we no longer see camps of that scale or explicit cruelty, the echoes of these practices remain embedded in modern systems like for-profit prison companies, such as CoreCivic (CXW).
CoreCivic operates at the intersection of justice and capitalism, profiting from the incarceration of individuals. The concept of institutional human trafficking persists, albeit under sanitized terms like “private correctional facilities” and “detention services.” Just as Auschwitz and Buchenwald profited off human exploitation under totalitarian regimes, today’s private prison systems derive revenue from incarcerating individuals, raising questions about morality, governance, and capitalism.
This article explores how CoreCivic’s performance, seasonality, and responsiveness to political landscapes tell the story of a company entrenched in this modern institutional framework, particularly as it navigates the political winds of the Trump and Biden administrations.
CoreCivic’s Financial and Market Performance
CoreCivic (CXW) operates as one of the largest private prison companies in the United States. As of today:
Market Capitalization: $2.45 billion.
Revenue Stability: Quarterly revenue ranges between $390 million and $520 million.
Earnings Growth: CoreCivic's earnings have shown resilience, with positive surprises in some quarters, such as Q4 2023 and Q2 2024, though inconsistency remains a challenge.
Technical Indicators:
Overall Technical Rating: Sell / Short
Moving Averages: Sell signals dominate across short- and mid-term moving averages (e.g., EMA 10, 20, 30).
Oscillators: Mixed signals, with some like Bull Bear Power suggesting a buy, while others like MACD signal a sell.
Long-term indicators (e.g., SMA 200) lean toward a more neutral or bullish outlook.
Analyst Forecast and Recommendations: 3 analysts rate it a strong buy, 1 as hold, and none as sell. Near-term technical ratings are bearish, but the long-term outlook is optimistic based on analyst forecasts.
1-4 Year Price Target: $28.75, representing a potential +32.86% upside.
- Minimum target: $25.00 (+15.63%).
- Maximum target (short target): $32.00 (+48.01%).
Price Performance:
YTD performance is relatively flat at -0.28%, with significant gains over 6 months (+49.11%) and 1 year (+45.90%).
Weekly performance has dipped by -4.61%, signaling possible short-term weakness.
Seasonality Trends:
CoreCivic exhibits predictable seasonal performance, with stronger months historically observed in October and November:
November 2016: A +57.16% gain, aligning with the Trump election and expectations of favorable policies for private prison companies.
November 2022: Another standout month with a +61.69% return, likely tied to seasonal adjustments and specific market expectations.
Weaker months, such as August and September, reflect broader market pressures or reduced contract announcements. For instance:
August 2017: A -16.46% loss following political shifts and public criticism of private prisons.
September 2023: A -8.20% decline, signaling continued volatility.
Comparing Trump and Biden Administrations’ Impacts on CoreCivic
Trump’s First Term (2017-2020):
Under President Trump, CoreCivic saw policies that bolstered the private prison industry:
Pro-Privatization Rhetoric: The administration expanded contracts with private prison operators, benefiting CoreCivic directly.
Immigration Detention Surge: Policies like family separations at the border led to increased use of private detention facilities.
Performance: CoreCivic thrived during this period, with standout months like January 2017 (+18.72%) and November 2016 (+57.16%), reflecting investor confidence in sustained revenue growth.
Biden’s Term (2021-Present):
In contrast, President Biden’s administration adopted a more critical stance:
Executive Orders: Early in his term, Biden issued an order to phase out federal contracts with private prisons. While the impact was limited to certain contracts, the signal was clear: a reduced reliance on privatized incarceration.
Market Volatility: CoreCivic’s performance became more erratic, with sharp losses like August 2022 (-50.30%) and rebound months such as November 2022 (+61.69%).
The Ethical Quandary of CoreCivic’s Business Model
CoreCivic's operations invite ethical scrutiny. Critics argue that private prisons create a perverse incentive to maintain high incarceration rates, disproportionately affecting marginalized communities. This mirrors historic systems of exploitation, where profit motives overshadowed human rights. While CoreCivic may not directly engage in the atrocities of Auschwitz or Buchenwald, the parallels of commodifying human beings cannot be ignored.
Both systems demonstrate how institutions can profit from human suffering, whether under the guise of national security or law enforcement. As we analyze CoreCivic's financial data, we must confront the uncomfortable reality of what drives its profits—and how society enables such systems.
Unless you want to purchase a get out of concentration camp free card, buy CXW isn't just morally and ethically wrong, it's financially incompetent as it will inevitably run into issues related to changes in local and federal government, civil rights lawsuits, mismanagement issue, all for mediocre performance compared to entire REIT asset class which generally produce a dividend without the moral issues.
USOIL - Long SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key swing low and left untouched swing high.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of strength, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price higher.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
SHORT GOLDUncertainty about the arrival of Trump with all the current geopolitical situation raised the price of gold in spite of usd strength. Price is currently in the strong resistance zone, also here is supply zone 2730-2750 created when Trump was elected president. I expect liquidity grab above the last top , reaction and confirmation on the smaller charts (h4/h1) for entering a sell position.
If the price breaks and closes above 2750, the zone become strong support and from there i expect further growth in future to a new ATH
Keep shorting gold, target 2730-2720Dear traders,
During today’s retracement, gold reached an intraday low near 2736 before rebounding above 2750. Will gold continue its upward momentum?
In my opinion, the recent pullback to the 2736 level is far from sufficient to establish a complete correction. Although gold has rebounded above 2750, it has yet to break yesterday’s high. If a lower high forms near the 2760 technical resistance zone, gold is likely to maintain its current downward trend. Furthermore, the formation of a single candlestick with a long lower shadow on the lower timeframes does not constitute strong and reliable support, which suggests limited upside potential. This rebound could also serve as a bull trap, enticing buyers before resuming the decline.
From a short-term trading perspective, I continue to advocate for shorting gold, targeting the 2730–2720 support zone. Bros, are you still optimistic about the decline of gold? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 156.100 area, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 156.100 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
CFX Analysis: Potential Breakout After Double Bottom Formatationhello guys!
Double Bottom Formation: The price has established a solid support zone around $0.1504, forming the base of a double bottom pattern. This structure indicates buyer strength and the potential for upward movement.
Target Level: The breakout target is set at $0.1564, which aligns with a previous resistance zone. This level represents the next hurdle for the bulls.
Two Scenarios:
Scenario 1: A direct continuation of the bullish momentum towards the $0.1564 level.
Scenario 2: A pullback to retest the neckline ($0.1504-$0.1510 area) before a potential rally to the target.
Stop Loss Placement: A break below $0.1483 would invalidate the bullish setup, making it a suitable stop-loss level for risk management.
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Strategy:
For Long Positions: Enter on a breakout above $0.1539 with a target of $0.1564. Alternatively, wait for a retest of the neckline before entering.
Risk Management: Place a stop-loss below $0.1483 to limit downside risk.
23-1 USDCHF:the pair is in an upward movement and lags other USD pairs. It has fallen in the past few days but is now finding its way up again. Our signal system is neutral but with a Score of 3 which is made up of Cot Data 2, Retail sentiment 0, Seasonality -1, Trend reading -2,
GDP 1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI 0,
Retail Sales 0, Inflation 0, Employment Change 0, Unemployment Rate 2, Interest Rates 0. Here you can see that only the seasonal pattern and the trend are positive but the rest is positive. We executed a buy at 0.907.
Gold: Potential Correction After Testing Key Resistance Levelshello guys!
Key Resistance Zone: The price has reacted strongly at this confluence of resistance, signaling the potential exhaustion of the recent bullish momentum.
Correction Scenario: A pullback to the breakout (BO) level, represented by the blue area, appears likely as the price consolidates below the resistance. This region could provide a strong support level, potentially around $2,710-$2,730.
Channel Dynamics: The price is still within an ascending channel, suggesting that a retracement would be corrective rather than a trend reversal. The lower bounds of the blue area or the midline of the channel could serve as dynamic support.
Confirmation Needed: If the price fails to hold above the BO level (blue area), the next support targets would lie near $2,678 (Fibonacci retracement zone), which aligns with the prior market structure.
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Strategy for Traders:
For Shorts: Short-term traders can look for rejection signals at the current resistance, targeting the BO level for potential profit-taking.
23-1 Oil: all signals are green when it comes to a long trend. Only oil reacts differently. The signals of our system show that long trend. The price of oil drops towards the 50% fib., measured from the bottom at the beginning of this year and the top on 15 Jan. We have entered a sell but keep an eye on the price in case of a pull back. The sell was executed at 76,400.
Prime Buying Opportunity for Crude Oil Nearing
Crude oil is currently consolidating around the $75 level. A glance at the daily MACD reveals a close but no crossover of the MACD and signal lines. A bearish close today could signal a downturn, but a bullish close would likely see the MACD resume its upward trend.
Since its correction from $79, the price has been holding above the midpoint of the January 10th bullish candle at $74.66. This level, also coinciding with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart, is a crucial support zone. Given the significant volume accumulated in the first week of January, this presents a compelling opportunity for aggressive swing trading.
Today's oil inventory report is expected to act as a catalyst for a bullish reversal. While the market is bearish on oil supply expansion due to Trump's election, technical analysis suggests further upside potential. We recommend adopting a buy-on-dip strategy.
For daily insights into Nasdaq, oil, and gold, please follow and subscribe to my analysis.
SIEMENS KEY LEVELS FOR 24/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
DIVISLAB KEY LEVELS FOR 24/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
DIXON KEY LEVELS FOR 24/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
GLENMARK KEY LEVELS FOR 24/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.