Will we soon see a bullish EURUSD?You could say that my argument is far fetched (and I would not argue that), but hear me out please!!
Weekly chart
Note that the green zone has held as support for the most part. The 20sma is quite far above price, will price revert to the mean? This pair has tried to break below the zone for several weeks recently, but failed.
Daily chart (above)
We can see a double top around 1.1189 where the bears gained control. There also could be a double bottom at 1.0343, maybe.. Look at the relatively large bearish candle 3 days ago, it does show a lot of power and momentum behind the bears. But where did all that power go? I don't see any momentum in the next 2 days with the bears, actually maybe the bulls are trying to take over. The quick recovery of price from the big bearish move looks like what many traders call a false break. Is it that? time will tell.
H4 chart
You can now see that price has been consolidating for the past few days (yellow box) and this does look like accumulation of orders. The bears did try to push through strongly but failed. In fact a lower high was formed when the bulls succeeded to break above that structure with some strength (BOS at 1.04122).
I realize that this happened on a Friday and during the holiday period when volume is low and reading price action at these times is less reliable.
But I do believe that if you are still trading, then paying very close attention to EURUSD could be beneficial. Watch other pairs too to see if the USD is getting weaker.
Merry Christmas, happy holidays and have a great 2025
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
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It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Beyond Technical Analysis
The Ultimate Day Trading Framework: Rules for Consistent SuccessThese are general trading rules that serve as a foundation for your strategy. You must work on them further to develop a precise plan tailored to your preferences, the markets you trade, your time zone, and other related variables. The goal is to create a clear, actionable framework that you can follow consistently every single trading day. 🔍📈📊
General Trading Rules
Categorize Observations into Binary Decisions
Simplify decisions into two options (e.g., Risk On vs. Risk Off).
Decision determines the trade approach. ⚖️
Follow a Rule-Based System
Rules are essential for processing setups quickly and accurately. 🛠️
Focus on keeping the process simple and systematic.
Market Conditions
Trend vs. Trading Range
Trend:
Look to swing more of your position.
Uptrend: Prioritize buying. 📈
Downtrend: Prioritize selling. 📉
Trading Range:
Buy low and sell high (scalping focus). 💱
Risk Management
Evaluate Risk On vs. Risk Off for each setup. 🚦
Probability Assessment
Categorize setups as High Probability vs. Low Probability. ✅❌
Execution
Stay Agile
Constantly assess market conditions and adapt strategies accordingly. 🔄
Focus on Key Setups
On average, expect about 40 setups per day.
Be selective and only act on setups that meet your criteria. 🎯
By personalizing these rules and following them diligently, you can bring clarity and consistency to your trading process.
Weekend Crypto Pulse: $BTC at $95,415 & $ETH Leading DeFi – Top Good morning, champions! ☀️
While traditional markets take a breather, crypto keeps the grind alive. 🕒
CRYPTOCAP:BTC holds strong at $95,415, still defying gravity,
and CRYPTOCAP:ETH sits at $3,527, the DeFi heartbeat going strong.
Weekend movers:
📈 CRYPTOCAP:AVAX up 4.5%, turning heads in the Layer-1 race.
📈 CRYPTOCAP:SOL climbing 3.2%, showing resilience in its recovery arc.
Take a moment today: plan, prep, sip that coffee. 🛠️ Balance your charts with a bit of mindfulness—crypto’s a marathon, not a sprint.
What’s your strategy for today’s market movers? Any hidden gems on your radar? Let’s share some insights. 💡
Btc next moveFirst scenario:
The price reaches the red box (small green candles), then the powerful red candle and further decline to 90500
Second scenario:
The price breaks the box with strong candles and reaches 108350 after the pullback.
If any of the above scenarios happened, we take a long or short position. After completing the scenario, the next move is analyzed.
LUCE/USDT ell Signal 📉 Sell Signal for LUCE/USDT
✅ Suggestion: I anticipate a downward movement for this asset. You can open a market sell position now.
🎯 Target Levels: The first targets have been labeled and are expected to be reached soon. 🚨
💬 For effective signal management and to access more profitable setups:
1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊
2️⃣ Send me a private message for further guidance.
💎 Let’s trade smart and profit together! 💰
Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis📉 Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) Analysis
⏰ Timeframe: 4-Hour
✅ Trend: Currently, Bitcoin is showing a bearish structure in the 4-hour timeframe.
🎯 Expectation: I anticipate further downside movement for Bitcoin, aligning with the arrow drawn in the analysis.
💬 For updates on this signal and access to more profitable setups:
1️⃣ Follow my TradingView page 📊
2️⃣ Send me a private message for additional guidance.
💎 Let’s navigate the market together! 💰
chz usdt idea!"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
Doge idea!"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
When and Where this Bull Market Ends / BTC.D and TOTAL3 BehaviorCRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
Bitcoin Dominance and Alt Season Trigger:
The chart indicates that when Bitcoin Dominance reaches around 59%-64%, there’s a high chance of an BTC dominance market correction. This level often signals the end of a Bitcoin rally and the start of funds flowing into altcoins.
You can use this dominance level as a timing signal to anticipate the start of the next alt season.
Historical Patterns and Timelines:
Key vertical markers show important dates from past cycles, such as 2018, 2021, and projected points for 2025. These points highlight recurring patterns that can help forecast the end of the current Bitcoin rally.
TOTAL3 Index Trends Relative to BTC:
The TOTAL3 index (all altcoins excluding BTC and ETH) shows that after Bitcoin Dominance declines, TOTAL3 often experiences a sharp rise. This pattern has repeated in previous cycles, hinting at a potential similar move in the upcoming alt season.
Bitcoin Price Rallies and Corrections:
The lower chart shows Bitcoin's bullish and bearish phases, typically lasting between 450 to 550 days. This timeframe can help estimate the remaining duration of the current Bitcoin rally.
Future Predictions:
Based on the chart, Bitcoin Dominance is expected to reach critical levels again in 2025, potentially marking the start of the next major alt season. While this timeline depends on market conditions and investor behavior, it offers a general framework.
Total3 dumping, BTC crash. The untold reason.You'll hear it all over Twitter and YouTube: "The FED scared investors, and they decided to pull their money out, blah blah."
Let's be real—that's utter nonsense.
Investors had no real reason to pull money out of altcoins. Where would they move it to? The real story lies with the whales manipulating CRYPTOCAP:BTC to trap the ones who sold their CRYPTOCAP:BTC too early..
Here’s what really happened: we had a mini altseason, where many CRYPTOCAP:BTC holders took profits and shifted into altcoins. This caused a pump in CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3 and a drop in BTC.D.
But then, to punish these moves and siphon off profits, the whales decided to crash CRYPTOCAP:BTC , conveniently using the FOMC as a cover.
If you sold CRYPTOCAP:BTC at, say, 100k and moved into riskier assets like SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI , SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:BONK , or CRYPTOCAP:UNI , the whales made you lose 40%-50% of your capital by dumping CRYPTOCAP:BTC just 10%. Where did that lost value go? Straight into their pockets.
I know people who thought they were being clever, saying, "This is the peak; I'm moving to alts for x2 or x3 gains." Now they’ve lost 50% and are kicking themselves, wishing they’d never sold their $BTC.
This isn’t random. It’s not a coincidence. It’s a coordinated play to vacuum up the profits from anyone thinking they could outsmart the system.
DYOR.