PALANTIR vs S&P500 INDEX. WILL AI UPBEAT TYCOON BUFFETT ITSELFFar far ago, somewhere in another Galaxy, in late December, 2024 (yet before The Second Coming of Trump), @TradingView asked at it awesome Giveaway: Happy Holidays & Merry Christmas.
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
Here's what we answered:
1️⃣ What was your best trade this year?
- Surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
I followed Palantir all the year since January, 2024, from $16 per share, watch here .
Current result is 5X, to $80 per share.
Also I added more Palantir after SP500 Index inclusion in September 2024 watch here .
Current result is 2.6X, from $30 to $80 per share.
2️⃣ What is your trading goal for 2025?
- Once again, surely Palantir NASDAQ:PLTR 💖
It's gone 6 months or so... (Duh..? Ahaha.. 6 months already, really? 😸😸😸)
Let see what's happened next at the main graph PLTR/SPX
First of all, let me explain in a few words what does this graph mean.
Rising (Blue) candle means Palantir PLTR monthly return is better vs SPX
Falling (Red) candle means Palantir PLTR monthly return is worse vs SPX
Conclusion
Palantir. The stock that outperformed S&P 500 Index, 12 consecutive months in a row.
Palantir. The stock that printed 12x since inception. 5.5x over the past twelve month and 1.8x in the year 2025 (one the best results so far over the all S&P 500 Index components).
Palantir. The stock that goes to UPBEAT Tycoon Buffett record, that has been achieved in early 1990s (in 1992-93 Berkshire Hathway outperformed S&P 500 Index for straight TWELVE MONTHS).
Palantir. The stock that goes to repeat Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT record, that has been achieved in 1990s (in 1996-97 Microsoft outperformed S&P 500 Index for straight THIRTEEN MONTHS).
Palantir. Were we right with this stock on contest and won it? Exactly! Even though our prize has been toadly strangled. 🤭
//P.S. We did not find any biggest series then 13-month straight gain. Microsoft 13 straght months superiority over S&P500 index is the biggest ever series in history we found.
//P.P.S. Just one day left (June 30, 2025) to a very potential and a very historical event.
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎
Beyond Technical Analysis
Intel - The rally starts!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - creates a major bottom:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
For approximately a full year, Intel has not been moving anywhere. Furthermore Intel now trades at the exact same level as it was a decade ago. However price is forming a solid bottom formation at a key support level. Thus we can expect a significant move higher.
Levels to watch: $25.0
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift.
Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight
Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning.
In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically:
Buying the $84 puts
Selling the $80 puts
This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement.
Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings
Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report:
EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY)
Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY)
For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts:
EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%)
Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%)
While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts.
Valuation Metrics
From a valuation standpoint:
Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02
PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26
This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings.
Industry Outlook
The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
Safe Entry Zone ARQQ 4ever ZoneQuantum stocks in free money Ranging Zone.
Green is buy.
Red is sell.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone.
Target is Take Profit line.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Safe Entry Zone NIOGreen Zone Is Safe Entry and Retest before exploding higher.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
GBPUSD Could Highly Step to MoonGBPUSD is showing strong potential for a bullish breakout, supported by the ongoing decline in the US Dollar Index. If current momentum holds, the pair could test the 1.3820 resistance level in the coming sessions.
📉 Dollar Weakness as Key Driver
The fundamental backdrop favours the British pound as the US dollar continues to weaken, influenced by: Trade wisely best of luck Buddies.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
GOLD Expected Bearish TrendXAUUSD Gold Bearish Trend Outlook
Gold remains in a bearish trend, with technical weakness confirmed as support was tested on Friday. The metal continues to trade under pressure, driven by investor caution ahead of the upcoming U.S. Core PCE Index — a key inflation gauge.
If the data comes in higher than expected, it could delay Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, further weighing on gold prices. However, if the Core PCE data disappoints to the downside, rate cut hopes in July may resurface, providing a potential support base for gold.
Key Levels to Watch:
Immediate Support: 3365
Major Support Zone: 3350
Resistance: 3295 / 3305
Keep Eye on all data share your idea about this analysis we need support from you Guys.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Analytical Weaknesses:
1. Support Zone Already Broken (Wick Penetration):
The candlestick wick clearly pierced the support level drawn on the chart.
This indicates that buyers are weak at that level — the support is not holding firmly.
Relying on this support for a bullish bias is risky, as it may soon turn into resistance.
2. Volume Confirms Weakness, Not Strength:
The bounce from the support zone happens on low or declining volume, suggesting lack of strong buying interest.
A legitimate bullish reversal should be backed by a volume surge — here, that’s absent.
3. False Sense of Recovery:
The analysis shows arrows projecting straight up to the “Target” level, implying a smooth bullish recovery.
This is unrealistic given the recent choppy price action and repeated failures to hold gains above 107,200.
Price action suggests uncertainty or distribution, not clean bullish momentum.
4. Tight Range and High Volatility Ignored:
Price has been ranging between ~106,400 and ~107,600 with rapid whipsaws.
This kind of structure is often indicative of indecision, and setting a clear directional target without breakout confirmation is premature
Rhythm of the Great BearUndead Bear Captain's Log
April 27, 2025
Will make one final attempt to chart and navigate the murky waters of the Great Bear.
XLF may be a good candidate with still distinct waves, like XRT, XLRE and XHB.
All other sectors, especially SPY are skewed by tech, same-day options and basically unchartable.
I call this map the rhythm of the great bear. It is for my own use, as I like attuning to the waves of the great ocean, the beat of music or the rise and fall of civilizations.
XBI is the nascent child, XLK the moody teen, SPY the resilient adult and DJI the steady grandparent. In markets, I think it is the child that shows the way to growth and decline. XBI shows signs of the Great Bear, having stumbled through an initial decline in 2023 and crawled its way through 2 years of recovery, the so called running flat correction.
This market has thrived through over a decade of MMT, pummeled briefly by covid, only to receive the greatest injection of digital print since all of history. The little people are suffering the effects of inflation everywhere. Wages have barely budged since 20 years ago, yet housing prices have quadupled, automobiles and everything else Mom & Dad can think of have at least doubled. People are literally crumbling toward the lowest rung of Maslow's hierachy, able only to take care of basic needs.
Beneath the streets of folks struggling to survive, we can uncover that the housing market existing home sales is basically at its lowest point since the GFC and banks are still struggling to manage the bond sell-off over the last 5 years.
On top of this decade of MMT mess, the half sane President has declared cold war on basically the entire world. He points the finger of USA's problems at everyone exept USA and magically believes USA can somehow snap factories and skilled workers into existence out of thin air to make America great again without its friends, partners (and slaves). Yet 160 year East-West civilization cycles say otherwise. In fact it points to power eventually returning to the Eastern world.
The sudden viscious market decline followed by Trump backpedalling and market rebound are strong signs of an initial wave 1, wave 2. It can wake up the bear. It can thunder the quake. It can bring on the tsunami where 15-25 such waves can arrive at an unimaginable velocity.
When such waves arrive, what is any man, woman, child to do? Who can ride such waves without a chart? The waters will flip ships, smash hulls, rip entire masts off of galleons.
Yet, with a proper chart, one could ride it like a pirate and secure the ONE PIECE.
Arr, arr, I sail into the storm, full of courage, a wee bit of wit, and an insane amount of folly!!!
Arr, arr, this be the end of the captain's log.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Premature Breakout Bias:
The chart shows price repeatedly rejecting the resistance zone (highlighted in red).
The arrow assumes a clean breakout without confirmation — this is speculative, as the price hasn’t closed convincingly above the resistance.
This could easily turn into a false breakout or double top if price fails again.
2. Volume Mismatch:
A breakout should be backed by strong bullish volume. However, the current volume is mixed and not showing a clear surge in buyer strength.
Lack of volume confirmation makes the breakout less reliable.
3. Ignoring Recent Rejections:
The red zone was tested multiple times in the last sessions without success. That typically signals strong supply or institutional selling.
Repeating this setup without accounting for historical failure adds downside risk.
4. Missing Bearish Scenario:
No alternate path is considered. A failed breakout could lead to a pullback toward 144.00 or lower, especially with U.S. news events (indicated by the flag).
A balanced analysis should always prepare for both breakout and rejection.
5. Macroeconomic Event Risk:
Similar to the GBP/USD chart, this one also shows an upcoming U.S. economic event. That could heavily move USD/JPY, and technical setups may become invalid fast.
The analysis ignores the need to wait for the news catalyst or confirmation after the release.
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints:
1. Labeling Error – "Bullish" in a Bearish Trend:
The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend starting after the peak on June 28.
Despite this, the word "Bullish" is used alongside a downward zigzag, which is misleading. This is not a bullish structure — it's a bearish continuation pattern or possibly a bear flag, which suggests further downside.
Using “Bullish” here may confuse traders into thinking a reversal is expected, while the actual trend favors further decline.
2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern:
There's no double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, or any bullish candlestick formation (e.g., engulfing or hammer) to indicate a likely bullish reversal.
Without strong reversal signals, expecting a bullish move here lacks technical support.
3. Target Box Ambiguity:
The “Target” box is not clearly justified. There are no Fibonacci levels, previous support zones, or measured move explanations backing it.
A target should be based on a technical level — such as the bottom of a previous range, a support zone, or a projection from a pattern.
Market next target 🔍 Disruption Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart
1. "Support" Label Positioned at the Current Price Level
Disruption: The chart marks 1.1705 as “Support,” but price is sitting directly on or slightly above it.
Challenge: If price is already breaking through or hovering at support without bouncing, it’s a sign of weakness — this zone may no longer be valid as support.
✅ Correction: Re-label this area as “Potential Resistance” if a breakdown confirms.
---
2. Directional Bias Assumes Continuation Without Confirmation
Disruption: Three yellow arrows indicate a bearish continuation, yet no bearish candlestick pattern, volume spike, or break-close-below-support has been confirmed.
Challenge: This is a premature projection that lacks price action validation.
✅ Correction: Wait for a confirmed candle close below 1.1700 with increased volume to validate the move.
---
3. Volume Ignored Despite Clear Clues
Disruption: There is rising volume during the move down near support — this could indicate either strong selling or smart money accumulation.
Challenge: Volume analysis is completely overlooked, missing a critical layer of confirmation.
✅ Correction: Analyze the volume spike on the red candles; if followed by weak follow-through, a bullish reversal may be setting up instead
Market next move 🔍 Disruptive Analysis of the Original Chart
1. Labeling Conflict: "Bullish" with Bearish Arrow
Disruption: The term "Bullish" is written, yet the arrow clearly shows a downward movement. This is contradictory.
Challenge: A downward movement typically suggests bearish sentiment. Either the label is incorrect, or the directional analysis is flawed.
2. Support/Resistance Confusion
Disruption:
The chart shows "Support" at around 36.15 but labels the zone below it as "Target" and "Resistance", which is illogical.
Resistance should be above the current price; support below.
Challenge: It appears that the analyst has inverted the traditional roles of support and resistance.
3. Unclear Volume Interpretation
Disruption: The volume at the bottom is not analyzed or discussed. Yet volume spikes correlate with high selling pressure near resistance.
Challenge: Without volume context, predicting price movement is speculative.
Eaton Corporation ($ETN) – Strong High in Sight, Structural ExpaNYSE:ETN has officially broken out of its multi-month compression range, reclaiming key BOS zones and leaving behind a clear discount-to-premium trajectory. With demand reestablished near equilibrium and strong follow-through volume, we’re now eyeing a run toward the structural high at $422.46.
🔍 Technical Highlights (1D):
✅ Confirmed BOS after sweeping discount and reclaiming mid-channel support
🔴 Premium zone at $366–$390 is the only major resistance before upside extension
🔼 Smart Money Concepts: Clean CHoCH → BOS → Expansion
🧭 Price is now inside an HTF ascending channel with measured move targeting upper trendline near $420–$440
🧠 Macro Context & Catalysts:
⚙️ Eaton benefits from strong secular demand in electrification, infrastructure, and defense sectors
🏗️ Tailwinds from the Inflation Reduction Act, grid modernization, and global energy transition
💰 Institutional rotation into high-cash-flow industrials with clean balance sheets
📊 June's PMI data hints at reacceleration in U.S. manufacturing
🧪 Trade Setup:
Entry Zone: $350–$356 (on pullbacks into breakout candle)
Stop Loss: Below $340 (invalidates HTF BOS)
Targets:
🎯 TP1: $366 (premium zone)
🎯 TP2: $390–$422 (final structure target)
📊 Bias: Bullish Continuation
📆 Timeframe: Multi-week swing
🧠 For educational use only – not financial advice.
🔗 Posted by WaverVanir_International_LLC
(APA7: TradingView, 2025)
Zoom Communications ($ZM) – Discount Demand Zone Reversal in ProAfter an extended corrective move, NASDAQ:ZM has tapped into the 0.618–0.786 discount Fib zone around $75.72, aligned with BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals. Price structure suggests a bullish reversal with upside targets of $87–$93 over the coming weeks.
🔍 Technical Overview (1H):
📉 CHoCH > BOS confirms early accumulation
🧊 Price swept weak low, reclaimed equilibrium
🟦 Demand zone defended at $75.72
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $82.71 (0.886 Fib)
TP2: $85.07 (1.0 Fib)
TP3: $89.95–93.05 (1.236–1.382 extension)
🤖 WaverVanir DSS Forecast (AI-Powered):
📈 15-Day Prediction: $79.99 (+3.9%)
🚀 30-Day Prediction: $87.35 (+13.5%)
🔵 Sentiment Score: 38/100 (recovering from bearish cycle)
🌐 Macro + Fundamental Catalysts:
Tech Rotation into Discounted SaaS Stocks: AI fatigue has redirected capital into cash-flow positive companies like Zoom.
Lower Treasury Yields: Easing yields support long-duration growth names.
Upcoming Earnings (Q2): Low expectations + short interest = potential squeeze on positive surprise.
Enterprise AI Integration: Zoom’s recent push into workplace AI could unlock new investor narratives.
Buyback Potential: Zoom has a strong balance sheet with buyback flexibility, increasing downside protection.
📌 Trade Plan:
🔹 Entry: $76.00–$77.80
🔻 Stop Loss: Below $75.00
🎯 Target: $87.00–$93.00
🛑 Invalidation: Loss of BOS and demand zone breach
✅ Bias: Bullish Recovery Setup
📆 Time Horizon: 15–30 days
📈 Style: Swing / Position
🧠 For educational purposes only – not financial advice.
🔗 Posted by WaverVanir_International_LLC
(APA7: TradingView, 2025)
Retest of New Highs and Pullback Zone✨ By MJTrading:
Chart Overview:
AUDUSD reached a 2025 new high around 0.65600 before pulling back sharply. Price broke out of a consolidation wedge and is now retesting the prior breakout and dynamic support area.
🔹 Key Points:
Structure: Clear impulse move to new highs, followed by corrective pullback.
Support Zone: Blue box ~0.6480–0.6500 could act as a demand area if price extends lower.
EMAs: Price testing the 60 EMA (~0.6523) after losing short-term momentum.
Trade Setup:
Entry: 0.65250
SL: 0.65510
TP1: 0.65000
(Please Manage your Risk)( Ideal: 1% Per Trade)
Possible Scenarios:
Bullish reaction from current EMA support or the blue demand zone.
Deeper retracement if price fails to hold above 0.6500.
💡 Note:
This chart highlights how prior consolidation and breakout zones can offer potential retest entries in trending markets.
Thanks for your time an attention...
Follow for more setups.
#MJTrading
#AUDUSD #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #TradingView #FX
EURUSD – 2 Potential Intraday Setups (5-Min Chart)Chart Overview:
This 5-min EURUSD chart shows two example trade setups aligned with the main uptrend. These are shared purely for learning how to recognize and plan structured entries.
(Details are being shown in m5 chart- if this in not working for you please follow to be able to see it- as it is a private idea)
🔹 Example Trade 1 – 3rd Touch of Triangle Support
✅ Context:
Price retested the lower boundary of a broad triangle/wedge for the third time—often a strong area for reactive buys in an uptrend.
✅ Plan Concept:
Entry: Reversal signal on the 3rd touch.
Stop: Below the signal bar low.
Target: Mid to upper wedge area (or TP2).
🔹 Example Trade 2 – Breakout of Descending Flag
✅ Context:
After bouncing off trendline support, price formed a descending flag consolidation.
✅ Plan Concept:
Entry: Break and close above flag resistance.
Stop: Below the strong breakout candle.
Target: Extension toward recent highs (or TP2).
💡 Important:
These examples are not signals and not executed trades—they illustrate a possible planning process for traders studying price action strategies.
💡 Why These Matter:
Both setups align with the primary uptrend, use clear structure for risk placement, and rely on confirmation before entry.
🔹 Note:
These are educational examples only, not trade signals.
💬 Do you study similar setups? Share your charts and thoughts!
Thanks for your attention and your time...
Follow for more setups
#EURUSD #Forex #TradingEducation #PriceAction #IntradayTrading #BreakoutTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LearnTrading #TradingView
Gold topped...GM gents, it seems OANDA:XAUUSD will reverse the advance here, a weekly timeframe down trend has fired just now. It's either the start of a correction or a reversal of the huge trend it had since Oct 2023.
The arrows on chart show the spots where the weekly timeframe trend reversed, so you get an idea of what to expect.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.