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Beyond Technical Analysis

BTC before final moments: ready to jump? (1H)Hello, fellow traders! I want to share my thoughts on BTC. Looking at the 1H chart, we see the price has recently touched the weekly resistance line. It is now hovering just above the line instead of breaking out, which is ideal. I've adjusted the time of the US election and Federal reserve interest rate announcement based on where I live. The US election is scheduled on the 5th and the initial result will most likely be available before the day ends. Even if it doesn't, general projection would be informative enough to stimulate the market to move accordingly. Western states including California will be the last to close the polls and start processing the votes, but it's likely that the outcome become clear enough before they even finish the process. So my guess is the market would already start moving by 10-11PM (ETZ) since market tends to move ahead based on assumptions. This is around 6PM of 6th in where I live. If the vote process takes longer (because of the close race or whatever other reasons) than usual, it might take additional 2-3 days which would cause a lot of volatilities that would eventually abate as the result becomes more comprehensible. I also want to address the US federal reserve interest rate announcement which is scheduled this Thursday - just after the election. This will again impact the crypto market heavily - many are expecting the rate cut for economical growth and if this is true, chances of BTC bull run will definitely increase. Many are predicting BTC to reach ATH, even up to 90k, 100k, 1m, and some are saying that the bull run will begin no matter who becomes the next potus. Back to the chart, we see price slightly rebounding as it touches the weekly resistance line. However, the breakout of the downtrend (marked as a red line) is yet to happen. If the outcome of this election and the interest rate announcement come out favorable to the market, I can only imagine a breakout, then a bull run starting with big momentum. I've read a lot of posts, comments and news about BTC, I see some saying the halving will begin after the election, others saying BTC will double - interestingly both side had evidence to back them up. Maybe both are true! I don't think we can comfortably rely on the past data. People have different strategies, different experiences, resulting in different conclusion. What I understand though is nature of market movements - it moves according to the psychology. And the outcome of the upcoming election and change of interest rate will definitely either encourage people to invest more or withdraw their investments. Conclusion: My strategy for BTC is if the breakout (of the red line) occurs and both election and interest rate come out favorable for the market, I will enter LONG. All the hypes around BTC, current election predictions, news about rate cut really give us the excitement but I don't want to assume anything yet. I'm just hoping the timing of the breakout aligns with these two events to maximize momentum. Frankly, I'm looking forward to seeing the results but I'm also not going to try to predict them because I've been wrong many times and have learned from those experiences not to make predictions. Instead, I will react. If the market moves opposite direction, we'll just simply enter opposite position and take profit. It's that simple.
Long
by QJEEE
2
GBP, HUGE UPSIDE! Back to Long-standing 38-year support!!!I checked GBP tri-monthly chart which is not usually posted here -- and the pair is already telling us something on the direction it wants to go at broader long term spectrum. On the tri monthly data, GBP has started shifting its trend --- bouncing off it perfectly on a 38-year long standing very solid support. The pair's last visit to this price range was on April 1985. The pair is back at 1.0 FIB LEVEL (on tri-monthly) -- this is outrageously beyond bargain. Histogram wise, another higher lows was created conveying the current price range to be the last base price before the series of incoming series of ascend. Incoming Price valuation will be above average -- and that's an understatement. Bubble up volume (bottom indicator) finally appeared after almost 2 years (last one was July 2021). This is the 2nd straight appearance in 6 months this year, cementing the intention of the pair's target direction. Confidence on this pair's long term direction is firm. A 10% increase from current price within the next 12-16 months (very long candle on tri-monthly) is very possible. Spotted at 1.25 TAYOR. Safeguard capital always.
Long
by JSAL
10
Nasdaq (NDX): US Election Hype vs RealityThe US Elections are just around the corner – a global event that everyone is eagerly anticipating. But the big question remains: Will the election results really have a massive impact on the financial markets? Or, at the end of the day, does it even matter who wins – Kamala Harris or Donald Trump? 🤔 We shared our view months ago: It doesn’t matter who takes the presidency. We firmly believe that a major market correction is inevitable, regardless of the election outcome. The timing? Impossible to predict. But one thing is clear: the warning signs are everywhere. From rising unemployment and skyrocketing debt to relentless inflation, the economic data paints a bleak picture, reinforcing our thesis. Looking at the weekly NASDAQ:NDX chart, a drop of over 20% could definitely happen. This isn’t something to ignore. But even in the middle of this chaos, there is a golden opportunity: A significant downturn could present a rare chance to accumulate high-quality assets at very cheap prices. This could be the moment to build a perfect portfolio, positioning yourself for long-term gains when the market rebounds. So, how should you approach this? See the upcoming volatility as an opportunity, not a threat. Secure your open positions, stay adaptable, keep an eye on the markets, and buy strong assets undervalued. And most importantly: Sit back and enjoy the show that both the markets and the political landscape are about to deliver! 🍿
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by freeguy_by_wmc
2
NIFTY 50 and BANKNIFTY Predtiction: 06 November 2024Nifty forming a bullish piercing cancel which indicates a small upmove and it's also creating a head and shoulder pattern where the right head is getting created. Banknifty forms a bullish engulfing candle which also shows bullish moves. If in Nifty and Banknifty today's high get break it will show an upward move. But still, 24500 and 52500 are the big resistance for Nifty and BankNifty respectively. Option Chain: The OI data of the Nifty option chain shows heavy call writing at 24300 and 24500 levels even after today's call unwinding and support at 24000. Banknifty does not have that much resistance, but there is some resistance at 52500 and 53000, and some support at 51500. PCR: Nifty 50 overall PCR and near ATM is 0.7 which is neutral. Banknifty overall PCR is 1.05 and around ATM is 0.63. OI Data: FII is natural. Pro short 2L call and 3L puts shorts. Client shorts 4L calls and 6.5L puts. Future Data: Still FII sold 2550 Cr in today's market. Trade: In the morning hours, the market will go up and then it will go down. Tomorrow market may will try to reach mid of today candle to hit the SL of week trader and give the chance to enter to the new trader.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by mayankkumar8520
Election Day Trade: GBPUSDToday marks a significant moment in the United States—Election Day—and as traders, we know that market sentiment can be influenced by political events. This morning, I took a strategic position on GBPUSD, entering the trade at 1.29623. With the current price now at 1.30266, the trade is showing promising momentum. The volatility associated with elections can create unique opportunities. In this case, the British pound seems to be gaining traction against the dollar, likely reflecting optimism or reactions to the unfolding political landscape. The key to successful trading on days like today is staying vigilant, managing risk, and being ready to adjust your strategy based on incoming news and market reactions. As always, I emphasize the importance of having a solid exit plan. With the market currently moving in my favor, I’m assessing the best points for taking profits while also remaining aware of potential reversals as the day progresses. What trades are you taking today, and how are you navigating the uncertainties of Election Day? Share your thoughts and strategies in the comments below! Your perspective could spark valuable conversations among fellow traders. (All Trading Ideas are shared for Educational Purposes. Trade the market at your own risk.)
Long
by TLTurnerTV
2
BNB SWING LONG IDEA - ALTCOIN SEASON - BNB CHAINBNB is one of the most stable coins in the crypto market. With Binance officially backing it, BNB is relatively safer compared to other altcoins. Technical Analysis: The price hit and wicked into the monthly demand zone during the August 5th dump, showing a strong rejection and initiating an upward trend. This move established a weekly demand zone by breaking the weekly structure, and as it did so, it created a daily demand zone, which is a significant area for me. Currently, the price is back into the daily demand and has reached the optimal trade entry zone according to the Fibonacci levels. I anticipate an upward movement from here in the coming days. Targets: The initial target is $613-$619, with potential to reach the all-time high at $722. Note: Watch out for the U.S. Presidential Election, as it may cause volatility with long wicks that could stop out positions.
Long
by UA_CAPITAL
1 Year of Bitcoin Bull Run Remaining? In the chart above, we’re analyzing Bitcoin’s historical cycles to see if the current cycle follows a similar pattern. Bear Run (1 Year): In each of the last three cycles, Bitcoin experienced a bear market lasting exactly 1 year from the all-time high (ATH). This phase saw a significant drop in price as the market corrected. Bull Run from Bottom (1,064 Days): In the last two cycles, once the bottom was established, Bitcoin entered a consistent bull market that lasted approximately 1,064 days. During this period, the price gradually climbed, eventually reaching new highs. Current Bitcoin Cycle: So far, the current cycle appears to be following the same pattern as previous cycles. We’ve already experienced a 1-year bear market after reaching the previous all-time high (ATH). Currently, we have completed 2 years of a bull run from the bottom, aligning with the 1,064-day bull run observed in past cycles. Based on this historical pattern, we may have 1 year of bull run remaining, which could potentially push Bitcoin to new highs by late 2025. If this trend continues, it suggests a strong opportunity for growth over the next year, mirroring the end phase of past cycles. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC Regards Hexa
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HexaTrades
Understanding the Dogecoin Hype: What Sets It Apart from BitcoinWhile Bitcoin, the cryptocurrency titan, Dogecoin, the meme coin birthed from a joke, has defied expectations and surged upwards. This unexpected surge has piqued the interest of investors and crypto enthusiasts alike, prompting the question: Why is Dogecoin rising while Bitcoin is falling? The Elon Musk Factor One of the primary drivers of Dogecoin's price surge is the unwavering support of tech billionaire Elon Musk. Known for his penchant for cryptocurrencies and his playful tweets, Musk has repeatedly endorsed Dogecoin, often referring to it as his "favorite cryptocurrency." His influence over social media and his massive following have propelled Dogecoin to new heights, attracting a dedicated community of "Dogecoin Army" supporters. The Meme Coin Phenomenon Dogecoin's rise can also be attributed to the broader meme coin phenomenon. Meme coins, often born from internet memes and viral trends, have gained significant traction in recent years. These coins, including Shiba Inu and Pepe Coin, have capitalized on social media buzz and community-driven enthusiasm. Dogecoin, as the original meme coin, continues to benefit from this trend. Diversification and Risk Appetite As Bitcoin's price fluctuates, investors may seek diversification within the cryptocurrency market. Dogecoin, with its relatively low price and high volatility, can be an attractive option for those looking to speculate and potentially earn significant returns. Additionally, as the broader cryptocurrency market matures, investors are becoming more comfortable with risk, leading to increased interest in meme coins like Dogecoin. The Role of Exchanges and Trading Platforms Cryptocurrency exchanges and trading platforms have played a crucial role in popularizing Dogecoin. By listing Dogecoin and providing trading pairs with major cryptocurrencies, these platforms have made it easier for investors to buy, sell, and trade the coin. The increased liquidity and accessibility have contributed to Dogecoin's price surge. The Future of Dogecoin While Dogecoin's future remains uncertain, its recent price surge highlights the unpredictable nature of the cryptocurrency market. The coin's success is largely driven by social media sentiment, Elon Musk's endorsements, and the broader meme coin phenomenon. As long as these factors remain positive, Dogecoin could continue to defy expectations and achieve new heights. However, it's important to note that investing in cryptocurrencies, including Dogecoin, is highly speculative and carries significant risks. Investors should conduct thorough research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. In conclusion, Dogecoin's rise amidst Bitcoin's fall can be attributed to a combination of factors, including Elon Musk's support, the meme coin phenomenon, diversification, and increased liquidity. While the future of Dogecoin remains uncertain, its recent performance has demonstrated the power of community and social media in shaping the cryptocurrency market.
by bryandowningqln
FinNifty Support and Resistance Levels For 6th Nov 2024I’ve created a chart highlighting the key support and resistance levels for #FinNifty, designed to help traders make informed decisions. These levels provide critical insights for understanding potential price movements, enabling traders to identify ideal entry and exit points. Use these levels to gain a clearer perspective on Sensex trends and optimize your trades with greater confidence. Remember, these levels serve as guidance, so always combine them with your own analysis and risk management.
NSE:FINNIFTY1!Long
by Prabhu2020
Trump vs. Harris: Economic and Policy Impacts on the U.S. Introduction: The U.S. presidential election is one of the most critical events in global politics, shaping the future of the country’s policies. This year, voters face a significant choice between two candidates with distinct approaches: Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. Their policies will influence the economic, social, and environmental future of the U.S. This script explores the key focus areas of both campaigns, their policy priorities, and the potential impact on the U.S. economy and national debt. 1. Economic Focus in Campaigns: Donald Trump: Tax Cuts and Deregulation: Trump emphasizes reducing taxes and deregulating industries to stimulate economic growth. He believes this approach helps businesses thrive and creates jobs. Job Creation and Manufacturing: Trump aims to bring back manufacturing jobs to the U.S., reduce outsourcing, and bolster domestic industries. Trade Policies: His "America First" trade policies focus on renegotiating trade deals to benefit American workers and industries. Stock Market Performance: Trump often points to stock market gains as an indicator of economic health and success under his administration. Kamala Harris: Economic Equity and Middle-Class Support: Harris advocates for policies that support the middle class, such as raising the minimum wage and providing tax relief for lower-income families. Investment in Green Economy: Her plan involves creating jobs through investment in renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure, aiming for long-term economic growth. Healthcare as Economic Policy: Harris believes in reducing healthcare costs, arguing that affordable healthcare boosts economic productivity. Support for Small Businesses: She proposes targeted support for small businesses, especially those owned by women and minorities, to foster inclusive growth. 2. Policy Focus in Campaigns: Donald Trump: Immigration and Border Security: Trump’s policies focus on strict immigration control and border security to protect American jobs and safety. "America First" Policy: This policy emphasizes prioritizing U.S. interests in trade, defense, and foreign relations, appealing to nationalistic sentiments. Law and Order: Trump advocates for strong law enforcement to tackle crime and violence, particularly in urban areas. Kamala Harris: Healthcare Reform: Harris promotes expanding access to affordable healthcare, with reforms aimed at improving the healthcare system. Climate Change and Green Policies: She strongly supports measures to combat climate change through renewable energy and environmental regulations. Social Justice and Equality: Harris focuses on criminal justice reform, racial equality, and reducing income inequality. Women's Rights and Reproductive Health: She advocates for protecting women’s rights, including access to reproductive healthcare and equal pay. 3. Impact on U.S. Debt: Donald Trump: Tax Cuts and Defense Spending: His tax cuts, similar to those in the 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, are expected to reduce government revenue and potentially increase the national debt by $1.5 trillion over a decade. Short-Term Debt Impact: Increased defense spending could further elevate the debt unless offset by spending cuts elsewhere. Kamala Harris: Healthcare and Green Investments: Harris’s plans for healthcare expansion and green initiatives could increase the debt by $3.0 trillion over the next decade, unless funded by higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations. Long-Term Debt Impact: While these investments aim for sustainable growth, the initial cost could significantly raise the national debt if not managed carefully. Conclusion: In this election, Americans are choosing between two very different visions for the country’s future. Donald Trump’s focus on tax cuts, deregulation, and strong national policies contrasts with Kamala Harris’s emphasis on healthcare reform, climate action, and social justice. Understanding the economic and policy implications of each candidate's platform is crucial for voters. This decision will shape not only the U.S. economy but also its social fabric and global standing for years to come. Impact on the Global Economy: This election will not only determine the direction of U.S. domestic policies but also significantly influence the global economy. The current geopolitical landscape, including ongoing conflicts, adds to the complexity. The policies of the next U.S. administration could shift trade dynamics, global markets, and international alliances, particularly during a time of heightened tensions and uncertainty. Risk Management During the Election: During election periods, markets can be highly volatile due to uncertainty. To protect against potential losses, traders should: 1. Reduce Position Sizes: Lower your exposure to minimize the impact of sudden price swings. 2. Set Tight Stop Losses: Use stop-loss orders to limit potential losses. 3. Avoid Overtrading: Stay disciplined and avoid making impulsive decisions based on market noise. 4. Hedge Positions: Consider hedging strategies, such as options, to manage risk. 5. Stay Informed: Keep track of election-related news and updates to adjust your strategies accordingly. 6. Increase Cash Reserves: Holding more cash reduces risk exposure and provides flexibility. By following these risk management strategies, traders can navigate the election period more safely and protect their capital.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by SroshMayi
What would you do?What would you do if CRO continues to crab between 0.10$ and 0.07$ till next year? We all want CRO to make big breakouts, however unless CDC brings back public incentives, perks, it is doubtful that the general public would want to take a risk in this coin. Doesn't help either that CDC mentions CRONOS very little on their social pages. It is almost like a neglected child that is fed and burnt once in a while. CDC do you still love CRONOS? Do you still love those supporting your company from the beginning? Where are the incentives for the rest of us? Or is all benefits reserved and rebalanced for Icy holders and above? Perhaps that's the case... Anyhow, stay safe all Cronos holders, that includes me :')
by Cryptolistica
1
Trade Recaps: EURUSD - SHORT, GBPJPY - SHORT, 05/11/2024EU Bias Analysis: Although Price is deeply discounted on the HTF's and the 4H has started trending higher, A shift of 1H structure from a 4H Bearish Order Block presented an opportunity for short positions as price corrected into IRL. Grade: High Risk GJ Bias Analysis: Price is trading at a weekly premium and is establishing a 4H bearish trend after a break to the downside and correction higher, pending a continuation lower. Short entries aligned with the current 1H bearish range and entry confirmation was received after a TBL sweep and 15M distribution lower. Grade: Low Risk
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
AUD/NZD is Holding Strong at Trendline SupportAUD/NZD is currently in an uptrend, with the trendline acting as a strong support level. Currently, the price has pulled back to this support level, and based on technical analysis, we believe that it will likely bounce upwards from here. Our target for this upward movement is around 1.1060. This setup suggests a good buying opportunity, given that the support holds and the uptrend continues. If the price action aligns, we could see a strong push toward our target, as buyers step in at this support level.
Long
by FXTradingAnalysis
6