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Calibrating Trading Indicators for Different MarketsCalibrating Trading Indicators for Different Markets: A Beginner's Guide (Simple Steps to Adjust RSI , MACD , and Other Tools for Better Results) Key Idea : Just like you'd tune a guitar differently for rock vs. classical music, trading tools like RSI or MACD need adjustments depending on what you're trading (stocks, crypto, forex) and how it moves. This guide shows you how to tweak these tools using price swings (pivot points) to make them work better for your specific asset. --- Why "One Size Fits All" Doesn't Work Most traders use default settings for indicators (like RSI's 14-day period). But these defaults were created for "average " markets. Real markets aren't average! Example: - Crypto ( CME:BTC1! ) : Super volatile → Needs faster, more sensitive indicators. - Blue-Chip Stocks ( NASDAQ:AAPL ) : Less wild swings → Needs slower, smoother indicators. If you use the same RSI settings for both, you'll get bad signals. Calibration fixes this. --- The Pivot Point Method for Calibration One effective approach to calibration is measuring the natural rhythm of price swings between high and low points. Here's how to do it step by step: Step 1: Find Pivot Points on Your Chart Pivot points are like "price turning points." Use TradingView's ZigZag indicator (or draw them manually) to spot these swings. How to Add ZigZag on TradingView : 1. Open your chart. 2. Click "Indicators" → Search " ZigZag " → Select it. 3. Adjust settings (defaults work fine for starters). The ZigZag will draw lines between significant highs (peaks) and lows (valleys). --- Step 2: Measure the "Rhythm" of the Market Count the bars (candles) between pivot points to find the market's natural cycle. Example : - If Bitcoin swings from peak to peak every 14 bars on average, its "cycle" is 14 bars. - If Apple does this every 16 bars, its cycle is 16 bars. In the picture above, we used the Williams Fractal to identify pivots. Formula for Indicator Settings : - RSI Period = Half the average cycle → If cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. - MACD Settings : Fast EMA = ¼ cycle, Slow EMA = ½ cycle → Cycle = 16 → Fast EMA = 4, Slow EMA = 8 --- Step 3: Test Your Calibrated Indicators Backtest on TradingView : 1. Add your indicator (e.g., RSI) with the new settings. 2. Use the Strategy Tester (click "Add to Chart" → " RSI Strategy ") to see if signals improve. Look For : - Fewer false signals (e.g., RSI saying "oversold" too early). - Clearer trends (MACD crossovers matching price moves). --- Calibrating Popular Indicators (Simple Rules) 1. RSI (Relative Strength Index) - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Half the average cycle length. - Example : Cycle = 16 bars → RSI = 8 days. Why It Works : Shorter RSI reacts faster to volatile markets (like crypto). 2. MACD - Default : 12, 26, 9. - Calibrated : - Fast EMA = ¼ of cycle. - Slow EMA = ½ of cycle. - Signal Line = ⅙ of cycle. - Example : Cycle = 20 → Fast = 5, Slow = 10, Signal = 3. Why It Works : Matches the asset's natural momentum shifts. 3. Williams %R - Default : 14 days. - Calibrated : Same as RSI (half the cycle). --- How to Avoid Common Mistakes Mistake 1 : Overfitting (Making It Too Perfect for the Past) - Problem : If you calibrate too precisely to old data, it might fail in the future. - Fix : Test on 2 types of data: 1. Training Data : First 70% of your chart (to calibrate). 2. Testing Data : Last 30% (to check if it still works). Mistake 2 : Ignoring Market Changes - Problem : What works today might not work next month. - Fix : Recheck your settings every 3 months or after big news (e.g., Fed rate hikes). --- Free Tools to Help (No Coding Needed) 1. TradingView's "Auto-Detect Cycle" Scripts Search for indicators like "Cycle", "RSI Adaptive" or " Rainbow Adaptive RSI " in TradingView's public library. These automatically calculate cycle lengths (Not tested). 2. Adaptive MACD/RSI Indicators Try pre-built adaptive indicators like: - Adaptive MACD : Adjusts itself based on volatility. - Dynamic Pivot : Uses pivots to set stop-loss and take-profit levels. --- Building a Simple Pivot Calibration System Basic ZigZag Calibrator Method : 1. Add ZigZag to your chart. 2. Manually count the bars between 5 recent swings. 3. Calculate the average → Divide by 2 → Use that number for your RSI/MACD. Example : - Swings: 12, 14, 16, 10, 8 bars → Average = 12. - Calibrated RSI = 6 days. --- Why This Works (Without the Math) Markets move in waves. By matching your indicator's speed to the wave length, you "surf" the trend instead of fighting it. Research shows adaptive methods like this beat default settings. The Science Behind It When you calibrate to an instrument's natural rhythm: - Oscillators (RSI, %R) catch extremes at the right time - Trend indicators (MACD) signal changes faster - Volatility bands (Bollinger Bands) expand and contract appropriately --- A Step Further: Multi-Timeframe Calibration For even better results, calibrate across timeframes: 1. Calculate cycles on daily charts for swing trading 2. Calculate cycles on 4-hour charts for day trading 3. Use both calibrated indicators together for confirmation --- Final Tips for Beginners 1. Start Small : Calibrate one indicator (like RSI) first. 2. Use Free Tools : TradingView has thousands of free scripts to automate calculations. 3. Keep Records : Document what settings work for which assets. 4. Be Patient : Finding the right calibration takes time, but the results are worth it. Calibration isn't about being perfect—it's about making your tools work better for specific markets . Happy trading!
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by TradeVizion
3
Breaking: $EOS Surged 20% Today Amidst a Falling Wedge PatternBuilt and integrated in the Binance Smart chain (BSC) NYSE:EOS coin spiked 20% today amidst a falling wedge pattern with technical patterns indicating a second legged up with a 180% surge in sight. With the RSI at 79 momentum is increasing and the bulls are striving to push this altcoin to the $1 pivot. The asset is already trading above key moving averages, and with the daily candle stick depicting a bullish Harumi pattern, a trend continuation might be imminent. However, there might be short term correction to cool off before picking liquidity up. What Is EOS Network? The EOS Network is an open-source blockchain platform that prioritizes high performance, flexibility, security, and developer experience. As a third-generation blockchain platform powered by the EOS virtual machine, EOS has an extensible WebAssembly engine for deterministic execution of near fee-less transactions. EOS is the market's most scalable, divisible, and programmable digital currency. EOS is a Delegated Proof of Stake (DPoS) network where stakeholders have the authority to select node operators. EOS is fully decentralized power doesn't reside in the hands of block miners, but rather all parties involved in the EOS Network. EOS Price Live Data The live EOS price today is $0.832481 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $749,481,793 USD. EOS is up 19.40% in the last 24 hours, with a live market cap of $1,295,646,252 USD. It has a circulating supply of 1,556,368,173 EOS coins and a max. supply of 2,100,000,000 EOS coins.
Long
by DEXWireNews
Bitcoin Update: Testing Critical Resistance LevelsCurrent Market Analysis Bitcoin is currently in a crucial position as it challenges the resistance of the downtrend channel. The current price action shows that Bitcoin is testing a significant technical level that has acted as resistance throughout the recent downtrend. What makes this particular test interesting is that the supply signature appears to be weakening compared to previous instances when Bitcoin approached this resistance level. The Importance of the Confluence Level This represents a critical confluence point where multiple technical factors align, creating a stronger resistance zone. Breaking above this level would be technically significant as it could trigger what analysts refer to as a "Change of Behavior" in Bitcoin's price action. A Change of Behavior often precedes larger trend reversals, making this current test particularly noteworthy for market participants trying to determine Bitcoin's next major move. However, caution remains the prevailing sentiment until confirmation occurs. What Needs to Happen Next The market remains skeptical about Bitcoin's ability to continue higher without first clearing this technical hurdle. This reflects the technical reality that downtrend channels often require decisive breaks on higher volume to confirm their invalidation. While early signs appear promising with selling pressure seemingly diminishing, a clear breakout has not yet materialized. Volume Requirements for Confirmation A key component missing from the current picture is sufficient trading volume to support a breakout. This highlights an important technical principle in market analysis: significant technical breaks generally require increased volume to validate the move and increase the probability of continuation. Without this volume component, fake breakouts become more likely, potentially trapping buyers who entered positions prematurely. To summarize the current Bitcoin situation: Price is testing the resistance of the downtrend channel Supply signature (selling pressure) appears to be weakening A break above the confluence level could trigger a Change of Behavior Confirmation requires breaking above resistance with increased volume While early signs of weakening selling pressure provide some optimism, a cautious stance remains appropriate until Bitcoin can decisively break above the confluence resistance level with appropriate volume confirmation. Traders and investors should watch for this potential breakout, as it could signal a more significant shift in Bitcoin's price trend if the technical conditions described are met in the coming trading sessions.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Wyckoff_Analytics
Bitcoin Price Trap Alert! Don't Get Fooled🚀 BTC is showing a small price hike, but DON'T mistake it for an uptrend! 🚀 📉 The market is still in a downtrend, and the price is entering a Bearish Order Block, which is a strong resistance zone. Many traders fall for this trap, thinking the market is reversing, but it's just a liquidity grab before another drop. ⚠️ Be cautious! Smart money waits for confirmations instead of jumping in blindly. Don't FOMO into the trap! 📊 Chart insights: ✔️ BTC is rejecting from a key resistance level ✔️ Downtrend is still intact ✔️ High chance of a bearish move from here 🔥 Stay smart, trade safe, and don't get caught in the bull trap! 🔥 #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #BTC #TradingAlert #BearishTrap
Short
by AtaUrRehman_pakistan
Can Gold Continue Higher? Last month, I pointed out that Large Speculators started to close out their net-long positions in Gold futures, betting on the possibility of a reversal as they attempted to time the market turn at all-time highs. This behavior continued for several weeks, yet Gold’s price continued its upward rally, leaving many traders scratching their heads. What’s particularly puzzling is the lack of chasing in this rally, especially considering the massive price movement since then. This is particularly surprising because Large Speculators, for the most part, are trend-followers — and right now, the trend in Gold is unmistakably bullish. When comparing positioning in Gold to Silver, there’s a distinct difference. While Large Speculators initially followed the rally in Silver, continuing to buy as Silver lagged behind Gold, this strategy was much more reactive. Silver’s underperformance relative to Gold made sense, given that Silver is more crowded than Gold — meaning there’s less demand and fewer buyers. The key takeaway from this analysis is that the Commitment of Traders (COT) report can offer valuable insights into which market presents the better risk/reward trade. In this case, the COT report highlighted Gold as the superior trend to follow, especially for traders looking to capitalize on precious metals amidst all the tariff news and rising market uncertainty. By using the COT, traders can refine their strategies to focus on trends with more significant potential, rather than getting distracted by more volatile, crowded trades.
COMEX:GC1!
by Crowded_Market_Report
EUR/GBP: Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview Asset: Euro / British Pound (EUR/GBP) Timeframe: 1-hour (1H) Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 19:21 UTC Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView Current Price (at the time of the chart): Open: 0.83668 High: 0.83670 Low: 0.83260 Close: 0.83635 Change: -0.00035 (-0.04%) Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 0.83100 to 0.84447, with the current price around 0.83642 (ask) and 0.83635 (bid). Chart Elements and Technical Analysis 1. Candlestick Price Action The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of EUR/GBP, showing price movements from mid-March to early April 2025. Trend Context: Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a downtrend, declining from around 0.84200 (March 12) to a low of 0.83260 (March 25). This indicates a bearish trend leading into the pattern formation. Following this decline, the price began to consolidate, forming the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which suggests a potential reversal from bearish to bullish. Recent Price Action: On April 2, the price appears to have broken out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, closing above the resistance level with a bullish candle. The current price of 0.83642 is above the breakout level, supporting the bullish thesis. 2. Chart Pattern: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern Identification: The chart highlights an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, a bullish reversal pattern that typically forms after a downtrend. It consists of three troughs: Left Shoulder: A low around 0.83400 (March 20), followed by a bounce. Head: A deeper low at 0.83260 (March 25), marking the lowest point of the pattern. Right Shoulder: A higher low around 0.83400 (March 30), indicating diminishing selling pressure. The neckline is drawn by connecting the highs between the shoulders (around 0.83600–0.83700), sloping slightly downward in this case. Pattern Dynamics: The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. The left shoulder and head represent selling pressure, while the higher right shoulder indicates buyers stepping in at a higher level, showing increased demand. The breakout occurs when the price closes above the neckline, confirming the reversal. In this chart, the breakout is confirmed around April 2, with the price closing above the neckline at approximately 0.83600–0.83700. Breakout Confirmation: The price broke above the neckline on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 0.83635. The current price of 0.83642 is holding above the breakout level, which is a positive sign for bulls. The breakout level aligns with the resistance zone, making the move significant as it also clears this key barrier. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support Level: A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.83425 (approximately 0.8340–0.8345). This level corresponds to the lows of the left and right shoulders, where buyers stepped in to defend the price. It also aligns with the lower boundary of the pattern, reinforcing its importance. Resistance Level: A resistance zone is marked around 0.83700 (approximately 0.8365–0.8375). This level corresponds to the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern and a previous high from March 19. It acted as a barrier during the pattern formation but has now been broken, turning it into potential support on a retest. Target Level: The target for the breakout is projected at 0.84447. This target is calculated using the standard method for Head and Shoulders patterns: measuring the height of the pattern (from the head at 0.83260 to the neckline at 0.83700, which is 0.00440) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point (0.83700 + 0.00440 = 0.84140). The target of 0.84447 is slightly higher, possibly adjusted for the next significant resistance. The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the target (0.84447). 4. Stop Loss and Risk Management Stop Loss: The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 0.83425. Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back below the neckline and the right shoulder, the trade is exited with a controlled loss. The distance from the breakout level (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, representing the risk on the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00627 (0.75%) to the target. The risk is 0.00275 (from 0.83700 to 0.83425), and the reward is 0.00627 (from 0.83700 to 0.84447), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.28:1 (0.00627 / 0.00275). This is a favorable ratio for a trading setup. 5. Additional Annotations Pattern Components: The chart labels the Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder, clearly identifying the structure of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. A blue arrow labeled “Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern” points to the formation, making it easy to recognize. Arrows and Labels: A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 0.83425 zone, indicating where buyers have defended the price. A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 0.83700 zone, highlighting the neckline and the breakout area. A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 0.84447, showing the projected price objective. A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 0.83425, indicating the risk management level. Price Labels on the Right Axis: The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 0.83642 (red) and bid price at 0.83635 (black), reflecting the live market spread. Trading Setup Breakdown Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup: Entry: Position: Long (buy) EUR/GBP. Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the neckline of the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025, at approximately 0.83700. Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the neckline, with the current price at 0.83642, slightly below the high of 0.83670 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the neckline (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart. Stop Loss: Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 0.83425. Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the neckline and breaches the right shoulder, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited. Risk: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the stop loss (0.83425) is 0.00275, or approximately 0.33% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Level: The target is set at 0.84447. Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the pattern projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension toward the next significant resistance. Reward: The distance from the entry (0.83700) to the target (0.84447) is 0.00627, or approximately 0.75% of the entry price. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.28:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.00275), the potential reward is over 2 units (0.00627). Trade Management: Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the target at 0.84447, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling. Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at a minor resistance level (e.g., 0.84000) and let the remaining position run toward the target. Broader Market Context Trend Analysis: The broader trend before the pattern was bearish, as evidenced by the decline from 0.84200 to 0.83260. The Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern suggests a potential reversal to the upside, with the breakout confirming this shift. The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 0.84000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of an Inverse Head and Shoulders breakout includes: Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover). Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength. Market Factors: EUR/GBP is influenced by factors like Eurozone and UK economic data, interest rate differentials, and Brexit-related developments. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider: Economic Data: Key releases like UK GDP, Eurozone inflation, or central bank statements around this time could impact the pair. Geopolitical Events: Any developments related to UK-EU relations or global risk sentiment could drive volatility in EUR/GBP. Potential Risks and Considerations False Breakout: If the price fails to hold above the neckline (0.83700) and falls back below the right shoulder, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 0.83425 mitigates this risk. Resistance at 0.84000: The price may encounter resistance around 0.84000, a psychological level and a previous high. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near this level. Market Volatility: EUR/GBP can be volatile on a 1-hour timeframe, especially around economic data releases. Unexpected news could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely. Timeframe Limitations: This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management. Conclusion The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for EUR/GBP based on an Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The price has broken out above the neckline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 0.84447. Key levels include support at 0.83425 (where the stop loss is placed) and the neckline resistance at 0.83700, which the price must hold above to maintain the bullish thesis. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.28:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders. However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on EUR/GBP or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
LYFT stock is a grower and undervalued, future 10x ?LYFT stock is trading a low pe and has a potential smooth 25% annual growth rate to EPS for next years. PE price /earnings is low at around 11. More cash than debt on the balance sheet, making them a little cheaper. easily should be worth 20-25 PE for a fair price. Growth rate should make LYFT even trade a potential premium. Im in for the value, but if retail gets behind LYFT, could be more exciting even. Cheers, be safe. #LYFT #LYFTstock #uber #Ev #AV #tesla #rivian #autonomousvehigles
NASDAQ:LYFTLong
by ValuePig
2
Navigating the Range Ahead of Tariffs Announcement📢 News 📢 President Trump is set to announce new tariffs today, April 2, 2025, at 4 p.m. Eastern Time. This initiative, dubbed "Liberation Day," aims to boost U.S. manufacturing by targeting imports like autos, steel, and pharmaceuticals. 📦💊 However, economists warn that these measures could lead to higher consumer costs and disrupt trade relations. 📉💹 This news might influence market sentiment and could have implications for gold trading. Keep an eye on how the market reacts! 📈💰 📊XAUUSD 1H Analysis (Current Situation) Market Structure: The market is in a clear bullish trend with strong momentum from the previous sessions. Recent price action shows consolidation near 3,132, suggesting a potential liquidity build-up. There is a higher high formation, but rejection from the supply zone around 3,139 - 3,150. Key Technical Zones & Confluences: Supply Zone / Potential Sell Area: 3,139 - 3,150: If price reacts with strong rejections here, a potential short opportunity may emerge. 3,165 - 3,182: If price breaks above 3,150, this is the next key resistance area. Demand Zone / Potential Buy Areas: 3,110 - Strong Rejection Zone: If price pulls back here and finds bullish confirmations (e.g., bullish engulfing, liquidity grab), a long entry could be valid. 3,092 - 3,075 Potential Buy Zone: A deeper retracement into this level could provide a sniper entry opportunity. 🔴 Sell Setup Entry Zone: $3,133 - $3,135 SL: Above $3,138 (tight protection) TP1: $3,128 (first reaction) TP2: $3,117 (liquidity zone) TP3: $3,103 (full move) 📌 Reasoning: Mid-range premium pricing (not at extreme highs but still valid) Multiple rejections in this zone (potential shift in order flow) Possible short-term retrace before continuation 🔴 Sell Idea Entry Zone: $3,145 - $3,150 SL: Above $3,153 (small wick safety) TP1: $3,132 (reaction level) TP2: $3,128 (stronger demand) TP3: $3,117 (full imbalance fill) 📌 Reasoning: Liquidity grab potential above $3,145 Imbalance & order block confluence Possible rejection from premium supply 🟢 Buy idea Entry Zone: $3,094 - $3,089 Stop Loss (SL): Below $3,085 Take Profit (TP) Levels: TP1: $3,117 TP2: $3,128 TP3: $3,150 📌 Reasoning: Unmitigated demand zone Imbalance around $3,094 suggests a reaction Strong liquidity pockets nearby 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your own plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
EUR/USD: Bullish Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetLet’s analyze the 1-hour candlestick chart of EUR/USD (Euro / U.S. Dollar) on TradingView, published by GoldMasterTraders on April 2, 2025, at 19:04 UTC. The chart highlights a trading setup based on a Falling Wedge pattern, indicating a potential bullish breakout. I’ll describe the chart pattern and the trading setup in detail. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Falling Wedge pattern, which is a bullish chart pattern that typically signals a reversal or continuation of an uptrend. A Falling Wedge forms when the price consolidates between two downward-sloping trendlines that converge over time, with the upper trendline (resistance) sloping more steeply than the lower trendline (support). Appearance on the Chart: The Falling Wedge is clearly marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle. The pattern began forming around March 19, after a sharp decline from 1.9400 to 1.8700, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Falling Wedges are typically bullish, meaning the price is expected to break out to the upside. The chart shows the price breaking above the upper trendline of the wedge around April 2, 2025, with a strong bullish candle, confirming the breakout. The breakout level is around 1.90840, and the price has moved slightly above this level, closing at 1.90864 at the time of the chart. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 1.90730 (approximately 1.9070–1.9080). This level acted as a base during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 23 and March 30). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its significance as a key area of buying interest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 1.92000 (approximately 1.9190–1.9210). This level corresponds to a previous high reached on March 19, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 1.92110. This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of 0.00435 (0.40%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 1.90840) to the target (1.92110). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested below the support level at 1.90730. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a manageable loss. The stop loss is just below the breakout level (1.90840), with a distance of approximately 0.00110, representing the risk on the trade. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a long (buy) position after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline at approximately 1.90840. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level at 1.90730 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (1.90840) to the stop loss (1.90730) is 0.00110, or about 0.06% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 1.92110, which is near the next significant resistance level. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.01270, or a 0.40% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.00110 (from 1.90840 to 1.90730), and the reward is 0.01270 (from 1.90840 to 1.92110), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 11.55:1 (0.01270 / 0.00110). This is an exceptionally high risk-reward ratio, making the setup very attractive, though traders should ensure the breakout is well-confirmed due to the tight stop loss. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the wedge formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 1.9400 (March 13) to 1.8700 (March 19), indicating a strong bearish trend. The Falling Wedge represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the upside breakout suggests a potential reversal or at least a corrective move higher. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Bullish momentum signals, such as an RSI above 50 or a bullish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: EUR/USD is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Eurozone economic data, and interest rate differentials. A bullish move in EUR/USD could be driven by a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data) or positive Eurozone developments. Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bullish setup for EUR/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken above the wedge’s upper trendline, confirming a bullish move with a target of 1.92110. The setup includes a stop loss at 1.90730 to manage risk, offering an impressive risk-reward ratio of 11.55:1. Key levels to watch include the support at 1.90730 and the resistance at 1.92000. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
USD/JPY Trend Before and After Tariff Announcement✍ ✍ ✍ USD/JPY news: ➡️ Federal Reserve officials have indicated that interest rates should remain in the current range of 4.25%–4.50% for an extended period until they can assess the impact of Trump’s tariffs on inflation and economic growth. ➡️ Stronger-than-expected US ADP data provided significant support for the sharp rise in USD/JPY. ➡️ Meanwhile, the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakened against other currencies, as Trump’s policies could have a significant impact on Japan’s economic growth, given its status as one of the US’s key trading partners. Personal opinion: ➡️ Trump’s tariff policies will significantly impact the economy nhant65. So JPY will weaken and USD/JPY will be strongly supported ➡️ Analyze based on physical dimensions - support and quantify reasonable volume with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆Set up price zone: 👉Buy USD/JPY 149.75 – 149.85 ❌SL: 149.40| ✅TP: 150.45 – 150.95 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Long
by FM-ForexMastermind
8
JPY/USD: Bearish Triangle Pattern Breakout Towards TargetChart Pattern: Triangle Pattern Pattern Description Type: The chart identifies a Triangle Pattern, which is a type of consolidation pattern that can act as either a continuation or reversal pattern depending on the preceding trend and the breakout direction. Triangles are characterized by converging trendlines, indicating a period of indecision in the market as the price range narrows. Specific Type: This appears to be a Symmetrical Triangle, as the upper and lower trendlines converge at a similar angle, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have clear control during the consolidation phase. Appearance on the Chart: The Triangle Pattern is marked with two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the higher lows, sloping upward. The pattern began forming around March 27, after a sharp downtrend, and continued until the breakout on April 2, 2025. Breakout Direction: Symmetrical Triangles can break out in either direction, but they often continue the preceding trend. In this case, the preceding trend was bearish (a sharp decline from 0.006720 to 0.006640), and the breakout is to the downside, confirming a bearish continuation. The chart shows the price breaking below the lower trendline of the triangle around April 2, 2025, with a strong bearish candle, indicating a confirmed bearish breakout. Key Levels and Trading Setup 1. Support Level A horizontal support zone is marked around 0.006640 (approximately 0.00664–0.00665). This level acted as a base during the triangle formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The price has now broken below this support, turning it into a resistance level on any potential retest. 2. Resistance Level A resistance zone is marked around 0.006705 (approximately 0.00670–0.00671). This level corresponds to a previous high within the triangle and aligns with the upper boundary of the triangle at the time of the breakout. After the breakout, this resistance level is where the stop loss is placed, as a move back above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 3. Target The target for the breakout is projected at 0.006599 (approximately 0.00660). This target is likely calculated by measuring the height of the triangle at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance downward from the breakout point. The chart indicates a potential move of -0.000604 (-0.96%), which aligns with the distance from the breakout level (around 0.006654) to the target (0.006599). 4. Stop Loss A stop loss is suggested above the resistance level at 0.006705. This placement ensures that if the breakout fails and the price moves back above the triangle’s lower trendline (now acting as resistance), the trade is exited with a manageable loss. Trading Setup Summary Entry: The setup suggests entering a short (sell) position after the price breaks below the lower trendline of the Triangle Pattern, which occurred around April 2, 2025. The breakout is confirmed by a strong bearish candle closing below the trendline at approximately 0.006654. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the resistance level at 0.006705 to protect against a false breakout or reversal. The distance from the breakout level (0.006654) to the stop loss (0.006705) is 0.000051, representing the risk on the trade. Take Profit/Target: Aim for the target at 0.006599, which is the projected price objective based on the triangle’s height. The distance from the breakout level to the target is 0.000055, or a 0.96% move. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk is 0.000051 (from 0.006654 to 0.006705), and the reward is 0.000055 (from 0.006654 to 0.006599), giving a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08 (0.000055 / 0.000051). While this ratio is slightly above 1:1, it’s on the lower side for a typical trading setup, so traders should ensure high confidence in the breakout. Additional Observations Price Action Context: Before the triangle formed, the price experienced a sharp decline from 0.006720 (March 23) to 0.006640 (March 27), indicating a strong bearish trend. The triangle represents a consolidation phase within this downtrend, and the downside breakout suggests a continuation of the bearish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a triangle breakout would include: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong selling pressure. Bearish momentum signals, such as an RSI below 50 or a bearish MACD crossover. Traders might want to check these indicators for additional confirmation of the breakout’s strength. Timeframe: This is a 1-hour chart, so the setup is intended for short-term trading, with the target potentially being reached within a few hours to a day. Market Context: USD/JPY is influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, Japanese yen safe-haven demand, and interest rate differentials. A bearish move in USD/JPY could be driven by a stronger yen (e.g., due to risk-off sentiment) or a weaker dollar (e.g., due to dovish U.S. economic data). Conclusion The TradingView idea presents a bearish setup for USD/JPY based on a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern on the 1-hour chart. The price has broken below the triangle’s lower trendline, confirming a bearish continuation with a target of 0.006599. The setup includes a stop loss at 0.006705 to manage risk, offering a risk-reward ratio of approximately 1:1.08. Key levels to watch include the former support (now resistance) at 0.006640 and the resistance at 0.006705. Traders should consider additional confirmation from volume and momentum indicators, as well as broader market conditions, before executing the trade. Since this chart is from April 2, 2025, market conditions may have evolved, and I can assist with searching for more recent data if needed!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge | Upside Potential Ahead!Market Overview: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart is displaying a Falling Wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal structure. This indicates that the downtrend is weakening, and a potential breakout could lead to a strong upside move. 🔹 Key Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout Bitcoin has been trading inside a falling wedge, marked by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a contraction in volatility. A breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge is forming, suggesting a bullish reversal and the start of an uptrend. Falling wedges typically lead to a rally equal to the height of the pattern, giving a measured move target of $114,334. 2️⃣ Price Action & Confirmation Levels A clean breakout above $87,000 would confirm bullish momentum. If price successfully retests the wedge’s upper boundary and holds support, further bullish continuation is expected. The psychological level of $100,000 could act as an interim resistance before the final target is reached. 3️⃣ Upside Target & Resistance Zones The measured move suggests a potential rally towards $114,334, aligning with previous resistance zones. This target represents a 30.55% gain from the breakout level. Traders should watch for pullbacks and retests as part of the breakout confirmation. 📈 Trading Plan - Long Setup 🔹 Entry: Look for a confirmed breakout above $87,000, or a retest of support. 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $84,000, protecting against false breakouts. 🔹 Take Profit: $100,000 - $114,334 (previous resistance & measured move target). 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Strong bullish setup with favorable upside potential. 🛑 Risk Factors to Consider ⚠️ A failed breakout and a drop below $83,000 would invalidate the bullish setup. ⚠️ External factors such as macroeconomic events, regulatory news, and BTC ETF developments could influence volatility. Final Thought The breakout from the falling wedge signals a potential bullish continuation for Bitcoin, with targets set around $114,334. Traders should watch for confirmation above $87,000 and manage risk accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
Buy BitcoinThe idea that Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) tend to go up around 70 days after global liquidity (M2) increases is based on how liquidity drives risk asset prices—especially in speculative markets like crypto. Here's a breakdown of why this happens, particularly with the 70-day lag: 🔍 What is M2 Global Liquidity? M2 includes: Cash Checking deposits Savings accounts Other near-money assets When global M2 increases, it usually means central banks are easing (e.g., lowering rates, injecting liquidity), which tends to: Increase money supply Lower the cost of capital Make riskier assets more attractive 💸 Why Does BTC/ETH React to M2? Crypto = High-Beta Asset Class BTC and ETH are risk-on assets, meaning they thrive when: Investors are optimistic There's more disposable capital floating around Liquidity Flows Down the Risk Curve When liquidity enters the system: It first boosts safe assets (e.g., bonds, large-cap stocks) Then mid-cap equities Finally flows into speculative plays like crypto Crypto’s Reaction is Delayed (~70 Days) This 70-day lag happens because: Institutions take time to reallocate capital Retail follows after they see initial market strength It takes time for M2 to affect sentiment, demand, and actual buying 📊 Empirical Backing Analysts like Arthur Hayes, Macro Alf, and others have noted: BTC price often correlates with global M2, with a lag of 60–90 days Crypto tends to front-run rate cuts, but lags money supply changes ⏱️ Summary: Why the 70-Day Lag? Cause Effect Global M2 rises Money becomes more available Institutions adjust portfolios Risk-on flows begin Investors re-enter crypto Demand for BTC/ETH increases ~70 days later BTC/ETH prices begin to climb
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rossjohnson47
XAG/USD Bullish Setup - Falling Wedge Breakout Towards TargetChart Overview Asset: Silver / U.S. Dollar (XAG/USD) Timeframe: 1-hour (1H) Date and Time: Published on April 2, 2025, at 11:17 UTC Publisher: GoldMasterTraders on TradingView Current Price (at the time of the chart): Open: 33.82300 High: 33.89005 Low: 33.79435 Close: 33.88880 Change: -0.05780 (-0.20%) Price on the Right Axis: The price scale ranges from approximately 32.80000 to 35.25000, with the current price around 33.88880. Chart Elements and Technical Analysis 1. Candlestick Price Action The chart displays a 1-hour candlestick representation of XAG/USD, showing price movements from late March to early April 2025. Trend Context: Prior to the formation of the pattern, the price experienced a sharp rally from around 32.80000 (March 21) to a high near 34.60000 (March 27). This indicates a strong bullish trend. Following this rally, the price entered a consolidation phase, forming lower highs and lower lows, which is characteristic of the Falling Wedge pattern. Recent Price Action: On April 2, the price appears to have broken out of the wedge pattern, closing above the upper trendline with a strong bullish candle. The current price of 33.88880 is above the breakout level, suggesting a potential continuation of the uptrend. 2. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge Pattern Identification: The chart highlights a Falling Wedge pattern, a bullish chart pattern that can act as either a reversal or continuation pattern. In this case, given the preceding uptrend, it’s likely a continuation pattern. A Falling Wedge is characterized by two converging trendlines: Upper Trendline (Resistance): Connects the lower highs, sloping downward. Lower Trendline (Support): Connects the lower lows, also sloping downward but at a less steep angle than the upper trendline. The wedge started forming around March 27, after the price peaked near 34.60000, and continued until the breakout on April 2. Pattern Dynamics: The narrowing range between the trendlines indicates decreasing selling pressure and a potential buildup of buying interest. Falling Wedges typically resolve with a breakout to the upside, as the price breaks above the upper trendline, signaling a resumption of the prior trend (bullish in this case). Breakout Confirmation: The price broke above the upper trendline of the wedge on April 2, with a strong bullish candle closing at 33.88880. This breakout is a key signal for a potential upward move. The breakout level appears to be around 33.85000–33.90000, and the price is currently holding above this level, which is a positive sign for bulls. 3. Key Support and Resistance Levels Support Level: A horizontal support zone is marked around 33.58553 (approximately 33.58–33.60). This level acted as a significant support during the wedge formation, with the price bouncing off this zone multiple times (e.g., on March 28 and March 31). The support level aligns with the lower boundary of the wedge, reinforcing its importance as a key area of buying interest. Resistance Level: A resistance zone is marked around 34.60000 (approximately 34.60–34.80). This level corresponds to the high reached on March 27, before the wedge formation began. It represents a significant barrier where selling pressure previously emerged. After the breakout, the price is expected to test this resistance as part of the bullish move. Target Level: The target for the breakout is projected at 34.82470 (approximately 34.82). This target is likely calculated using the standard method for wedge patterns: measuring the height of the wedge at its widest point (from the highest high to the lowest low within the pattern) and projecting that distance upward from the breakout point. The target of 34.82470 is just above the resistance zone, suggesting that a break above 34.60000 could lead to further upside toward this level. 4. Stop Loss and Risk Management Stop Loss: The stop loss is suggested below the support level at 33.58553. Placing the stop loss below this level ensures that if the breakout fails and the price falls back into the wedge, the trade is exited with a controlled loss. The distance from the breakout level (around 33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is approximately 0.31447, which represents the risk on the trade. Risk-Reward Ratio: The chart indicates a risk-reward ratio of 0.9467 (2.80% / 9,469.7). The potential reward is the distance from the breakout level (33.90000) to the target (34.82470), which is approximately 0.92470, or a 2.80% gain. The risk is the distance to the stop loss (0.31447), making the risk-reward ratio approximately 2.94:1 (0.92470 / 0.31447), which is favorable for a trading setup. 5. Additional Annotations Arrows and Labels: A blue arrow labeled “Falling Wedge” points to the pattern, clearly identifying it for viewers. A green arrow labeled “Support Level” points to the 33.58553 zone, indicating where buyers have stepped in. A red arrow labeled “Resistance Level” points to the 34.60000 zone, highlighting the next significant barrier. A blue arrow labeled “Target” points to 34.82470, showing the projected price objective. A blue arrow labeled “Stop Loss” points to 33.58553, indicating the risk management level. Price Labels on the Right Axis: The right axis shows key price levels, with the current ask price at 33.89900 (red) and bid price at 33.88558 (black), reflecting the live market spread. Trading Setup Breakdown Based on the chart, here’s the detailed trading setup: Entry: Position: Long (buy) XAG/USD. Entry Point: The setup suggests entering after the price breaks out above the upper trendline of the Falling Wedge, which occurred around 33.85000–33.90000 on April 2. Confirmation: The breakout is confirmed by a strong bullish candle closing above the trendline, with the current price at 33.88880, slightly below the high of 33.89005 but still above the breakout level. Traders might wait for a retest of the breakout level (now acting as support) for a safer entry, though this isn’t explicitly suggested in the chart. Stop Loss: Level: Place the stop loss below the support level at 33.58553. Rationale: This placement protects against a false breakout. If the price falls back below the wedge’s upper trendline and breaches the support, the bullish thesis is invalidated, and the trade should be exited. Risk: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the stop loss (33.58553) is 0.31447, or approximately 0.93% of the entry price. Take Profit/Target: Level: The target is set at 34.82470. Rationale: This target is derived from the height of the wedge projected upward from the breakout point. It also aligns with a logical extension beyond the resistance at 34.60000. Reward: The distance from the entry (33.90000) to the target (34.82470) is 0.92470, or approximately 2.80% of the entry price. Risk-Reward Ratio: The risk-reward ratio is approximately 2.94:1, which is attractive for a trading setup. For every unit of risk (0.31447), the potential reward is nearly 3 units (0.92470). Trade Management: Trailing Stop: Once the price approaches the resistance at 34.60000, traders might consider trailing the stop loss to lock in profits, especially if the price shows signs of stalling. Partial Profit Taking: Some traders might take partial profits at the resistance level (34.60000) and let the remaining position run toward the target. Broader Market Context Trend Analysis: The broader trend before the wedge was bullish, as evidenced by the rally from 32.80000 to 34.60000. The Falling Wedge, therefore, acts as a consolidation within this uptrend, and the breakout suggests a continuation of the bullish trend. The price action after the breakout will be critical. A strong move toward 34.60000 with high volume would confirm the bullish momentum. Volume and Momentum: The chart doesn’t display volume or momentum indicators (e.g., RSI, MACD). However, a typical confirmation of a Falling Wedge breakout includes: Volume: An increase in volume on the breakout candle, indicating strong buying interest. Momentum: A bullish signal from indicators like RSI (e.g., moving above 50 or 70) or MACD (e.g., a bullish crossover). Traders should check these indicators to validate the breakout’s strength. Market Factors: Silver prices are influenced by factors like U.S. dollar strength, interest rates, inflation expectations, and geopolitical events. On April 2, 2025, traders should consider: U.S. Dollar Index (DXY): A weakening dollar typically supports higher silver prices. Economic Data: Key releases like U.S. non-farm payrolls, inflation data, or Federal Reserve statements around this time could impact silver. Geopolitical Events: Any risk-off sentiment (e.g., due to global tensions) could drive safe-haven demand for silver. Potential Risks and Considerations False Breakout: If the price fails to hold above the breakout level (33.85000–33.90000) and falls back into the wedge, the setup is invalidated. The stop loss at 33.58553 mitigates this risk. Resistance at 34.60000: The resistance level has previously capped the price, and there’s a risk of rejection at this level. Traders should watch for bearish price action (e.g., a shooting star or bearish engulfing candle) near 34.60000. Market Volatility: Silver can be volatile, especially on a 1-hour timeframe. Unexpected news or economic data could lead to sharp price swings, potentially triggering the stop loss prematurely. Timeframe Limitations: This is a short-term setup on a 1-hour chart, so the target might be reached within hours to a couple of days. However, intraday noise could lead to choppy price action, requiring active trade management. Conclusion The TradingView chart by GoldMasterTraders presents a well-structured bullish trading setup for XAG/USD based on a Falling Wedge pattern. The price has broken out above the wedge’s upper trendline on April 2, 2025, signaling a potential move toward the target of 34.82470. Key levels include support at 33.58553 (where the stop loss is placed) and resistance at 34.60000, which the price must overcome to reach the target. The setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio of approximately 2.94:1, making it an attractive trade for short-term traders. However, traders should confirm the breakout with additional indicators (e.g., volume, RSI) and monitor broader market conditions, as this chart is a snapshot from April 2, 2025, and market dynamics may have evolved since then. If you’d like to search for more recent data on XAG/USD or check the outcome of this setup, I can assist with that!
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
(ETH/USD) Breakout from Falling Wedge – Bullish Momentum Ahead?Ethereum (ETH/USD) Breakout from Falling Wedge – Bullish Momentum Ahead? This 4-hour Ethereum chart shows a breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a bullish reversal formation. The price has started forming higher lows, signaling potential upside movement. The projected target is around $2,411, indicating a significant recovery. A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further upward momentum. Traders may consider long positions while monitoring resistance levels. 📌 Key Levels: Support: ~$1,879 Target: ~$2,411 Resistance Zones: $2,100 - $2,200 Would you like me to refine this further? 🚀
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by PIPsOptimizer
Opening (IRA): XBI May 16th -85C/December 19th 50C LCD*... for a 29.50 debit. Comments: Adding to my XBI position at or near 52-week lows, buying the back month 90 delta and selling the front month -30 delta that pays for all of the extrinsic in the long. (The 50C is depicted at a higher strike so that it fits on the chart). Metrics: Buying Power Effect: 29.50 Max Profit: 5.50 ROC at Max: 18.64% 50% Max: 2.25 ROC at 50% Max: 9.37% Will generally look to take profit at 50% max and/or roll out short call to reduce downside break even. * -- Long call diagonal.
AMEX:XBILong
by NaughtyPines