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Beyond Technical Analysis

I'm a little nervous about this one - LONG QRVO at 83.02The chart is a mess. There's really no support close by after the big post earnings pop. 5 red candles in 6 days. Trump tariffs taking effect this weekend...nobody in their right mind should take this trade. So why did I? A) I literally have only JNPR in my portfolio when it comes to tech, so I am underrepresented in the space. B) anyone who follows me already knows what I'm about to say... my algo made me do it. 295-2 with an average gain of 1.93% in an average of 13 trading days (.15%/day - about 3.5x the average return of the market). It has had some rough trades in the last year (long holds and more lots of capital committed than I'd like), but this is a probability game for me, so I'm hoping it'll go as smoothly as my other trades have lately. I'm prepared for that not to be the case, though. I don't like what the market did today and I think it could be a bumpy ride next week. I may regret not just leaving this money in AMEX:BIL over the weekend, but that's the trading life. Wish me luck. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:QRVOLong
by redwingcoach
3
Broadcom - This was just the first all time high!Broadcom - NASDAQ:AVGO - just created new highs: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) Over the course of the past three months, Broadcom has been rallying an impressive +80%. However looking at market structure, all of the previous "dump and pump" was not unexpected. Following this recent bullish strength, Broadcom is likely to channel a lot higher. Levels to watch: $250, $400 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AVGOLong
by basictradingtv
5
Intel - The rally starts!Intel - NASDAQ:INTC - creates a major bottom: (click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻) For approximately a full year, Intel has not been moving anywhere. Furthermore Intel now trades at the exact same level as it was a decade ago. However price is forming a solid bottom formation at a key support level. Thus we can expect a significant move higher. Levels to watch: $25.0 Keep your long term vision! Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by basictradingtv
18
Watching for Pullback Below $84 in Citigroup (C)Over the past month, Citigroup shares have appreciated 8.58%, outperforming both the Finance sector's 1.91% gain and the S&P 500's 3.92% increase. This relative outperformance may signal strength, but short-term positioning and market structure suggest a potential shift. Expecting a Sharp Move Below $84 – Option Flow Insight Despite the recent strength, I anticipate a significant downward move below the $84 level in the upcoming week. This expectation is based on notable option activity detected in the Times & Sales feed, specifically large put orders suggesting bearish positioning. In response to this setup, I plan to execute a bearish vertical spread, specifically: Buying the $84 puts Selling the $80 puts This strategy limits downside risk while still profiting from a potential retracement. Fundamental Picture Ahead of Earnings Citigroup's next earnings release is scheduled for July 15, 2025. The company is expected to report: EPS of $1.70 (+11.84% YoY) Revenue of $20.85B (+3.51% YoY) For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimate forecasts: EPS of $7.38 (+24.03%) Revenue of $83.84B (+3.33%) While these figures suggest healthy growth, it's important to note that recent analyst estimate revisions have been modestly negative, with the EPS estimate decreasing 0.27% over the last 30 days. Citigroup currently holds a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold), reflecting a neutral sentiment from analysts. Valuation Metrics From a valuation standpoint: Forward P/E: 10.75, notably below the industry average of 15.02 PEG ratio: 0.61, versus the industry average of 1.26 This indicates that Citigroup is undervalued relative to its peers, especially when considering growth prospects, which could provide some support. However, short-term bearish flows may dominate price action heading into earnings. Industry Outlook The Financial - Investment Bank industry, which includes Citigroup, currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 96, placing it in the top 40% of over 250 industry groups. Historically, industries in the top half outperform those in the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1.
NYSE:CShort
by Wiiso
Safe Entry Zone ARQQ 4ever ZoneQuantum stocks in free money Ranging Zone. Green is buy. Red is sell. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NASDAQ:ARQQ
by Faisalzor
Safe Entry Zone TeslaGreen Zone is Safe Entry Zone. Target is Take Profit line. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Faisalzor
Safe Entry Zone NIOGreen Zone Is Safe Entry and Retest before exploding higher. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:NIO
by Faisalzor
GBPUSD Could Highly Step to MoonGBPUSD is showing strong potential for a bullish breakout, supported by the ongoing decline in the US Dollar Index. If current momentum holds, the pair could test the 1.3820 resistance level in the coming sessions. 📉 Dollar Weakness as Key Driver The fundamental backdrop favours the British pound as the US dollar continues to weaken, influenced by: Trade wisely best of luck Buddies. Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
Long
by MrMartin_11
1
GOLD Expected Bearish TrendXAUUSD Gold Bearish Trend Outlook Gold remains in a bearish trend, with technical weakness confirmed as support was tested on Friday. The metal continues to trade under pressure, driven by investor caution ahead of the upcoming U.S. Core PCE Index — a key inflation gauge. If the data comes in higher than expected, it could delay Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, further weighing on gold prices. However, if the Core PCE data disappoints to the downside, rate cut hopes in July may resurface, providing a potential support base for gold. Key Levels to Watch: Immediate Support: 3365 Major Support Zone: 3350 Resistance: 3295 / 3305 Keep Eye on all data share your idea about this analysis we need support from you Guys.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11
1
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Analytical Weaknesses: 1. Support Zone Already Broken (Wick Penetration): The candlestick wick clearly pierced the support level drawn on the chart. This indicates that buyers are weak at that level — the support is not holding firmly. Relying on this support for a bullish bias is risky, as it may soon turn into resistance. 2. Volume Confirms Weakness, Not Strength: The bounce from the support zone happens on low or declining volume, suggesting lack of strong buying interest. A legitimate bullish reversal should be backed by a volume surge — here, that’s absent. 3. False Sense of Recovery: The analysis shows arrows projecting straight up to the “Target” level, implying a smooth bullish recovery. This is unrealistic given the recent choppy price action and repeated failures to hold gains above 107,200. Price action suggests uncertainty or distribution, not clean bullish momentum. 4. Tight Range and High Volatility Ignored: Price has been ranging between ~106,400 and ~107,600 with rapid whipsaws. This kind of structure is often indicative of indecision, and setting a clear directional target without breakout confirmation is premature
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Rhythm of the Great BearUndead Bear Captain's Log April 27, 2025 Will make one final attempt to chart and navigate the murky waters of the Great Bear. XLF may be a good candidate with still distinct waves, like XRT, XLRE and XHB. All other sectors, especially SPY are skewed by tech, same-day options and basically unchartable. I call this map the rhythm of the great bear. It is for my own use, as I like attuning to the waves of the great ocean, the beat of music or the rise and fall of civilizations. XBI is the nascent child, XLK the moody teen, SPY the resilient adult and DJI the steady grandparent. In markets, I think it is the child that shows the way to growth and decline. XBI shows signs of the Great Bear, having stumbled through an initial decline in 2023 and crawled its way through 2 years of recovery, the so called running flat correction. This market has thrived through over a decade of MMT, pummeled briefly by covid, only to receive the greatest injection of digital print since all of history. The little people are suffering the effects of inflation everywhere. Wages have barely budged since 20 years ago, yet housing prices have quadupled, automobiles and everything else Mom & Dad can think of have at least doubled. People are literally crumbling toward the lowest rung of Maslow's hierachy, able only to take care of basic needs. Beneath the streets of folks struggling to survive, we can uncover that the housing market existing home sales is basically at its lowest point since the GFC and banks are still struggling to manage the bond sell-off over the last 5 years. On top of this decade of MMT mess, the half sane President has declared cold war on basically the entire world. He points the finger of USA's problems at everyone exept USA and magically believes USA can somehow snap factories and skilled workers into existence out of thin air to make America great again without its friends, partners (and slaves). Yet 160 year East-West civilization cycles say otherwise. In fact it points to power eventually returning to the Eastern world. The sudden viscious market decline followed by Trump backpedalling and market rebound are strong signs of an initial wave 1, wave 2. It can wake up the bear. It can thunder the quake. It can bring on the tsunami where 15-25 such waves can arrive at an unimaginable velocity. When such waves arrive, what is any man, woman, child to do? Who can ride such waves without a chart? The waters will flip ships, smash hulls, rip entire masts off of galleons. Yet, with a proper chart, one could ride it like a pirate and secure the ONE PIECE. Arr, arr, I sail into the storm, full of courage, a wee bit of wit, and an insane amount of folly!!! Arr, arr, this be the end of the captain's log.
AMEX:XLFShort
by supere
2
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints: 1. Premature Breakout Bias: The chart shows price repeatedly rejecting the resistance zone (highlighted in red). The arrow assumes a clean breakout without confirmation — this is speculative, as the price hasn’t closed convincingly above the resistance. This could easily turn into a false breakout or double top if price fails again. 2. Volume Mismatch: A breakout should be backed by strong bullish volume. However, the current volume is mixed and not showing a clear surge in buyer strength. Lack of volume confirmation makes the breakout less reliable. 3. Ignoring Recent Rejections: The red zone was tested multiple times in the last sessions without success. That typically signals strong supply or institutional selling. Repeating this setup without accounting for historical failure adds downside risk. 4. Missing Bearish Scenario: No alternate path is considered. A failed breakout could lead to a pullback toward 144.00 or lower, especially with U.S. news events (indicated by the flag). A balanced analysis should always prepare for both breakout and rejection. 5. Macroeconomic Event Risk: Similar to the GBP/USD chart, this one also shows an upcoming U.S. economic event. That could heavily move USD/JPY, and technical setups may become invalid fast. The analysis ignores the need to wait for the news catalyst or confirmation after the release.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption & Counterpoints: 1. Labeling Error – "Bullish" in a Bearish Trend: The chart clearly shows a strong downtrend starting after the peak on June 28. Despite this, the word "Bullish" is used alongside a downward zigzag, which is misleading. This is not a bullish structure — it's a bearish continuation pattern or possibly a bear flag, which suggests further downside. Using “Bullish” here may confuse traders into thinking a reversal is expected, while the actual trend favors further decline. 2. No Confirmed Reversal Pattern: There's no double bottom, inverse head and shoulders, or any bullish candlestick formation (e.g., engulfing or hammer) to indicate a likely bullish reversal. Without strong reversal signals, expecting a bullish move here lacks technical support. 3. Target Box Ambiguity: The “Target” box is not clearly justified. There are no Fibonacci levels, previous support zones, or measured move explanations backing it. A target should be based on a technical level — such as the bottom of a previous range, a support zone, or a projection from a pattern.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next target 🔍 Disruption Analysis of the EUR/USD Chart 1. "Support" Label Positioned at the Current Price Level Disruption: The chart marks 1.1705 as “Support,” but price is sitting directly on or slightly above it. Challenge: If price is already breaking through or hovering at support without bouncing, it’s a sign of weakness — this zone may no longer be valid as support. ✅ Correction: Re-label this area as “Potential Resistance” if a breakdown confirms. --- 2. Directional Bias Assumes Continuation Without Confirmation Disruption: Three yellow arrows indicate a bearish continuation, yet no bearish candlestick pattern, volume spike, or break-close-below-support has been confirmed. Challenge: This is a premature projection that lacks price action validation. ✅ Correction: Wait for a confirmed candle close below 1.1700 with increased volume to validate the move. --- 3. Volume Ignored Despite Clear Clues Disruption: There is rising volume during the move down near support — this could indicate either strong selling or smart money accumulation. Challenge: Volume analysis is completely overlooked, missing a critical layer of confirmation. ✅ Correction: Analyze the volume spike on the red candles; if followed by weak follow-through, a bullish reversal may be setting up instead
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔍 Disruptive Analysis of the Original Chart 1. Labeling Conflict: "Bullish" with Bearish Arrow Disruption: The term "Bullish" is written, yet the arrow clearly shows a downward movement. This is contradictory. Challenge: A downward movement typically suggests bearish sentiment. Either the label is incorrect, or the directional analysis is flawed. 2. Support/Resistance Confusion Disruption: The chart shows "Support" at around 36.15 but labels the zone below it as "Target" and "Resistance", which is illogical. Resistance should be above the current price; support below. Challenge: It appears that the analyst has inverted the traditional roles of support and resistance. 3. Unclear Volume Interpretation Disruption: The volume at the bottom is not analyzed or discussed. Yet volume spikes correlate with high selling pressure near resistance. Challenge: Without volume context, predicting price movement is speculative.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Eaton Corporation ($ETN) – Strong High in Sight, Structural ExpaNYSE:ETN has officially broken out of its multi-month compression range, reclaiming key BOS zones and leaving behind a clear discount-to-premium trajectory. With demand reestablished near equilibrium and strong follow-through volume, we’re now eyeing a run toward the structural high at $422.46. 🔍 Technical Highlights (1D): ✅ Confirmed BOS after sweeping discount and reclaiming mid-channel support 🔴 Premium zone at $366–$390 is the only major resistance before upside extension 🔼 Smart Money Concepts: Clean CHoCH → BOS → Expansion 🧭 Price is now inside an HTF ascending channel with measured move targeting upper trendline near $420–$440 🧠 Macro Context & Catalysts: ⚙️ Eaton benefits from strong secular demand in electrification, infrastructure, and defense sectors 🏗️ Tailwinds from the Inflation Reduction Act, grid modernization, and global energy transition 💰 Institutional rotation into high-cash-flow industrials with clean balance sheets 📊 June's PMI data hints at reacceleration in U.S. manufacturing 🧪 Trade Setup: Entry Zone: $350–$356 (on pullbacks into breakout candle) Stop Loss: Below $340 (invalidates HTF BOS) Targets: 🎯 TP1: $366 (premium zone) 🎯 TP2: $390–$422 (final structure target) 📊 Bias: Bullish Continuation 📆 Timeframe: Multi-week swing 🧠 For educational use only – not financial advice. 🔗 Posted by WaverVanir_International_LLC (APA7: TradingView, 2025)
NYSE:ETNLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Zoom Communications ($ZM) – Discount Demand Zone Reversal in ProAfter an extended corrective move, NASDAQ:ZM has tapped into the 0.618–0.786 discount Fib zone around $75.72, aligned with BOS (Break of Structure) and CHoCH (Change of Character) signals. Price structure suggests a bullish reversal with upside targets of $87–$93 over the coming weeks. 🔍 Technical Overview (1H): 📉 CHoCH > BOS confirms early accumulation 🧊 Price swept weak low, reclaimed equilibrium 🟦 Demand zone defended at $75.72 🎯 Targets: TP1: $82.71 (0.886 Fib) TP2: $85.07 (1.0 Fib) TP3: $89.95–93.05 (1.236–1.382 extension) 🤖 WaverVanir DSS Forecast (AI-Powered): 📈 15-Day Prediction: $79.99 (+3.9%) 🚀 30-Day Prediction: $87.35 (+13.5%) 🔵 Sentiment Score: 38/100 (recovering from bearish cycle) 🌐 Macro + Fundamental Catalysts: Tech Rotation into Discounted SaaS Stocks: AI fatigue has redirected capital into cash-flow positive companies like Zoom. Lower Treasury Yields: Easing yields support long-duration growth names. Upcoming Earnings (Q2): Low expectations + short interest = potential squeeze on positive surprise. Enterprise AI Integration: Zoom’s recent push into workplace AI could unlock new investor narratives. Buyback Potential: Zoom has a strong balance sheet with buyback flexibility, increasing downside protection. 📌 Trade Plan: 🔹 Entry: $76.00–$77.80 🔻 Stop Loss: Below $75.00 🎯 Target: $87.00–$93.00 🛑 Invalidation: Loss of BOS and demand zone breach ✅ Bias: Bullish Recovery Setup 📆 Time Horizon: 15–30 days 📈 Style: Swing / Position 🧠 For educational purposes only – not financial advice. 🔗 Posted by WaverVanir_International_LLC (APA7: TradingView, 2025)
NASDAQ:ZMLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC