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GARDEN REACH SHIPBUILDERS: Breakout Potential - Watch for EntryEntry Price: Aggressive / Risk-Takers: Await a clear weekly close above ₹2,850, with sustained high volumes. Entry around ₹2,850-₹2,900. Target Price 1 (T1): ₹3,200 (Based on previous highs and extension) Target Price 2 (T2): ₹3,600 (Based on Fibonacci extensions and chart patterns) Stop Loss (SL): ₹2,600 (Closing basis below immediate support, previous resistance) DISCLAIMER This report is prepared for informational purposes only and is not intended as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities. The information contained herein is based on technical analysis and publicly available data, which are believed to be reliable, but no guarantee is made as to their accuracy or completeness. Investing in equities involves risks, and investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
NSE:GRSE
by rmhetre15
$NVDA – Earnings Super Bubble?🚨 Nvidia is reporting earnings tomorrow, and the market is waiting with bated breath. While analysts pile on with hyper-bullish predictions extrapolating the AI super bubble, they seem to ignore one glaring fact: 👉 The last time Nvidia beat earnings, the stock crashed -45% shortly after. Technical view: We’re near resistance at the previous post-earnings high. RSI sits at 63.80, hinting at possible exhaustion. Volume spikes hint at indecision, not confirmation. This could be a make or break moment for NASDAQ:NVDA and by extension, the entire Tech sector.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by SmartSignalss
Steepening Yields & Uncertainty: What says the Bond Markets? CBOT:ZN1! US Yield Curve in Image Above Showing yields on May 27, 2024 vs May 27, 2025 . What happened in a year and how to understand this? Looking at the image above, the yield curve was inverted on this day last year. Comparing last year’s term structure to today’s, we can see that the yield curve has steepened sharply. What does this signify? Let’s dive deeper as we share our insights and assessment of what the bond market is doing. At the March 16, 2022, meeting, the FED finally pivoted away from their "transitory inflation" narrative to a significant supply shocks narrative—supply-demand imbalances and Russia-Ukraine war-related uncertainty. This started a rate hike cycle, with rates peaking at 5.25%–5.50% in the July 26, 2023, meeting. The Fed Funds rate was reduced by 100 bps, with a cut of 50 bps on September 18, 2024, and two cuts of 25 bps in the November and December 2024 meetings. The FED paused its rate cutting at the start of the year, citing—as we have all heard recently—that the inflation outlook remains tilted to the upside, and given policy uncertainty and trade tariffs, the risk to slowing growth continues to increase. Businesses are holding back spending due to this confusion and continued uncertainty. ** Refer to the image of FED rate path above. The start of the rate hike cycle also began the FED’s balance sheet reduction program—from a peak of $8.97 trillion to the current balance of $6.69 trillion. **Refer to the image of FED's balance sheet above. Rates remained elevated at these levels to bring down inflation, which peaked at 9.1% in June 2022. Inflation has currently eased to 2.3% as of April 2025. Refer to the CPI YoY image above. Ray Dalio, Jamie Dimon, and most recently non-voter Kashkari (FED) highlighted stagflationary risks. FED Chair Powell noted risks to both sides of its dual mandate in its most recent meeting March 19, 2025. In the March meeting, they also announced a slower pace of reducing Treasury securities, agency debt, and agency mortgage-backed securities. In this announcement, Treasury securities reduction slowed from $25 billion to $5 billion per month, while maintaining agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities reduction at the same pace. Many participants and analysts noted this as a dovish pivot. However, given the current market conditions and the supply-demand imbalance emerging within US Treasury and bond markets, we note the rising yields. The yield curve steepening signifies that investors want better return on their bond holdings. The interesting turn of events here is that US Treasuries and bonds have not provided the safety they usually do in times of uncertainty and policy risk. The dollar has fallen in tandem with bonds, resulting in a devalued dollar and rising yields. Thirty-year yields touched the 5% level, and the DXY index traded at levels last seen in March 2022. Looking deeper under the hood, we note that a repeat of COVID-pandemic-style stimulus measures may perhaps result in an uncontrollable inflation spiral. The ballooning twin deficits—i.e., trade and budget deficits—with the new “Big Beautiful Bill,” or as some analysts joked, noting this as a foreshadowing of the newest credit rating: “BBB.” Any black swan event may just be the catalyst needed to tip these dominoes to start falling. As we previously noted in some of our commentary, debt service payments are now more than defense spending. The new bill, once passed, is going to add another $2.5 trillion to the deficit. While the deficit is an issue in the US, it is important to note that it is a global issue. The key question here will be: in due time, will the US bond market and US dollar regain their usual haven status? Or will we continue seeing diversification into Gold, Bitcoin, and global markets? So, to summarize these mechanics playing out in the US and global markets—in our view—sure, the US administration, one may debate, is not helping by creating this environment of uncertainty in global trade, coupled with a worsening deficit and higher-for-longer rates. The markets currently are perhaps at their most unpredictable stage, with so much going on in the US and across the world. It is still too early to write off US exceptionalism, and there will be value in rotating back to US markets once the dust on policy uncertainty settles. We suggest that investors stay diversified, watch for any upside surprises to the inflation and do not chase yields blindly as the move may already be overstretched. It is also our view that we are past the extreme policy uncertainty having already noted Trump put when ES Futures fell over 20%. Although note that near All-time highs or at 6000 level, we are likely to see further headline risks until trade deals are locked in. As always, be nimble, pragmatic and be ready to adjust with evolving market conditions. Definitions Plain-language definition: A “basis point” (bps) is 0.01%. So, a 50 bps cut = 0.50% reduction in interest rates. Plain-language definition: A steep yield curve means long-term interest rates are much higher than short-term ones. This can reflect rising inflation expectations or increased risk. A “black swan event”—an unpredictable crisis—could set off a chain reaction if confidence in US finances weakens further. Trade deficit: Importing more than exports Budget deficit: Government spending far more than it earns
CBOT:ZN1!
by EdgeClear
JPY/USD – Clean Rejection from Mini Resistance | Bearish Move🔻 1. Major & Mini Resistance Zones Mini Resistance Zone: This is a key supply area that aligns with previous highs and recent structure points. As the price approaches this level, it tends to react due to unfilled sell orders and trapped buyers. The chart shows a rejection from this mini resistance zone — visible through strong bearish candles. This suggests institutional selling pressure has entered the market. Major Resistance is still untouched above, which becomes a clear invalidation level for any short bias. If price breaks and sustains above it, the bearish idea would be invalidated. 🔄 2. MMC (Mirror Market Concepts) at Work The MMC idea is clearly illustrated. The price movement after the last major drop is mirrored on the right side: Strong rally > Formation of lower highs > Resistance retest > Sharp decline These mirrored behaviors often hint at psychological repetition in the market, driven by trader memory and order placement. The bearish movement after retesting the mini resistance looks nearly identical to the previous leg on the left — reinforcing the idea that we may see a similar downside structure repeat. 🌀 3. Central Zone Area – Liquidity Trap and Reaction Point The Central Zone Area is labeled where a previous sharp bounce occurred. This zone is critical for several reasons: It acted as support multiple times. It’s also where a liquidity grab occurred — shown with a long wick — before a reversal rally. In current price action, this zone may again act as a magnet for price, as institutions seek liquidity to fuel further moves. Once price reaches it, expect a temporary bounce or reaction. 📐 4. 50% Fibonacci Retracement Confluence The projected target sits right on the 50% retracement level of the previous bullish leg. Institutions frequently target the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci zones to rebalance orders and create continuation moves. This target zone is marked in purple and is aligned with historical support, adding confluence. 📉 5. Sharp Bearish Reversal from Structure You can observe a very clear shift in momentum: The uptrend was broken with a strong bearish engulfing candle. That move wiped out several minor bullish structures — a sign of structure collapse. This breakdown, combined with the resistance rejection and MMC mirroring, strongly supports a bearish continuation bias. 📊 6. Previous Targets and Structure Memory The previous targets and historical swing points are not just annotations — they represent real zones of order flow memory. When price revisits these levels, you often see reactions (reversals, consolidations, or continuation). 🎯 Trade Plan (Based on Chart): Bias: Bearish Entry Zone: After rejection confirmation at mini resistance Target Zone: 0.00675 area (50% retracement) Invalidation: Close above 0.00715 (Major Resistance) ✅ Conclusion: This JPY/USD 4H chart beautifully showcases the power of technical structure, Mirror Market Concepts, and liquidity-focused trading. With a clean rejection from mini resistance, a history of mirrored bearish setups, and a confluence target at the 50% zone, this chart suggests a high-probability short opportunity for disciplined traders.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
The Biggest Turning Point Isn’t in the Market — It’s in YouHard truth: No new strategy, indicator, or tool will work until you change how you operate. Here’s why: Strategy hopping is fear wearing a costume. If you keep switching tools after every loss, you’re not refining — you’re running. You don’t need more — you need fewer, better decisions. Simplifying your process is harder than adding new ideas. But that’s where edge lives. Belief is the multiplier. Without conviction, you’ll quit before any system has time to work. 🚀 The shift? For us, it was trusting what we built — TrendGo. When we finally stopped tweaking and started trusting the system, everything changed: our mindset, our consistency, our results. The best tool is worthless if you don’t believe in your process. 🧠 Start there.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by TrendGo_Official
Gold prices steady in recovery above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices fell over 0.50% on Monday, weighed down by reduced demand for safe-haven assets after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a delay in the imposition of tariffs on the European Union (EU). Trading activity remained subdued due to market closures in both the United States and the United Kingdom for public holidays. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,336. Sentiment improved following Trump’s Sunday statement, which postponed the implementation of the 50% tariffs on EU goods to July 9. As a result, gold came under pressure, retreating after last week’s impressive 4.86% surge—its strongest weekly performance since early April. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Gold price continues to maintain the accumulation price range of 3300 - 3367, in recovery momentum ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3389- 3392 SL 3396 TP1: $3380 TP2: $3368 TP3: $3350 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3285- $3287 SL $3280 TP1: $3295 TP2: $3310 TP3: $3325 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
2
Gold Daily Plan – 27 May 2025 | Sniper Eyes OnlyHey GoldMinds! Hope you’re ready – price action is about to get spicy. We’re coming off a slow Monday, but Tuesday’s bringing a real battlefield between bulls and bears. Here’s what you need to watch like a hawk: Key Structure Zones to Watch ABOVE PRICE 3,347 – 3,353: First real resistance — expect quick reactions. If price stalls here, scalp sellers could step in. Eyes on for short-term fade, but not the main battle zone! 3,360 – 3,370: The premium supply and real strong high zone. If price pushes here, watch for fakeouts, stop hunts, or sharp reversals. This is where the big bears get interested! BELOW PRICE 3,339 – 3,342: Micro support and flip area. If bulls hold this, we can see another push up. If it breaks, momentum likely shifts down fast. 3,328 – 3,335: First solid demand for sniper entries. Best spot for a confirmed buy if price sweeps this area and shows rejection. 3,310 – 3,318: Deep discount demand — the last real defense before we talk about a bigger correction. If we get here, expect a wild reaction or “nothing zone” if broken. Bias & Confluence Trend: Bullish bias, but momentum is fading and liquidity is thick up top. EMAs (5/21/50/100): Tightening up, watch for a fresh cross if volatility spikes. RSI: Neutral, with hidden bearish divergence possible at 3,360+. FVG/OBs: Marked in the key zones, especially above 3,347 and below 3,335. Liquidity: Above 3,353 and below 3,335 — sweeps are highly likely before real direction. Sniper Plan for Tuesday If price pushes into 3,347–3,353, don’t chase — wait for a reaction or sweep, then short only with confirmation. If price rockets to 3,360–3,370, eyes wide open for a sweep and sharp rejection. This is “hunt zone” for high-probability shorts. If price dips to 3,339–3,342, monitor for bounce, but don’t rush buys unless you see confirmation. True buy interest at 3,328–3,335 — best sniper long setups if price wicks this area and rejects hard. Final support at 3,310–3,318 — “do or die” for the bulls. Quick Take 📉 Don’t get chopped in the middle — play the real zones! Wait for the market to give you confirmation at the extremes. Sniper trading only, no FOMO. 📈 If you’re not sure, let the dust settle. Remember, patience = profits. 🔥 Drop a 🚀 if you’re ready to catch the next big move! What’s your bias for Tuesday? Follow & Comment below and let’s crush this week together. — GoldFxMinds
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldFxMinds
13
DOGE VS XRP | Which one has a better situation in 2025DOGE/XRP is currently showing signs of a potential bullish reversal after bouncing from a strong historical support zone around 0.075–0.085. The price has formed a possible higher low and is attempting to push above the 0.10 resistance level. Increasing volume at the bottom and improving structure indicate growing buying pressure. Both RSI and MACD suggest early bullish momentum. RSI appears to be recovering from oversold conditions, and MACD likely shows a recent bullish crossover. If price breaks and holds above 0.12, it could open the way toward 0.16 and 0.21. A failure to break resistance, however, could result in another retest of lower support.
Long
by MergicNet
Silver (XAG/USD) | MMC Retest in Play – Eyes on $33.55 TargetThis 1-hour chart of Silver (XAG/USD) presents a clean and compelling bullish setup, applying Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) in combination with classical price action, support/resistance flips, and trendline analysis. It outlines a likely bullish continuation scenario based on how price respects key structural levels. 🧩 1. Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) Overview MMC views the market as a symmetrical organism, where past price behavior on one side of a pattern tends to be “mirrored” on the other side. Here, we see the market reflecting previous structural behaviors through: Symmetrical lows and highs Balanced corrective structures Repeatable retests of trendline support This creates a roadmap for anticipating price reactions, especially around previously respected levels. 🔸 2. Trendline Support – Anchoring Bullish Momentum The rising trendline is a major structural feature. It's been respected three times previously (highlighted with blue circles), providing strong bullish support. Current price is once again approaching this trendline. A bounce here would confirm continued higher-low structure. If trendline is broken, it may invalidate the bullish setup — so this acts as the key decision point. 🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip) The chart marks a wide SR Interchange Zone, previously resistance, now turned into support. This flip is a critical area for accumulation and re-entry by institutional players. Price bounced from this zone earlier. The current structure suggests price may retest this zone again during a potential fakeout or liquidity grab. This level is a magnet zone for stop-hunting before continuation. 🔸 4. “Type of Retesting” – MMC Style This chart specifically labels a "Type of Retesting", which refers to a deeper liquidity sweep where: Price breaks minor support to tap trendline or SR zone liquidity. Then reclaims the structure and resumes the uptrend. This is a mirror market behavior — where past retests serve as a template for future ones. Expectation is for the same type of bounce from the trendline/SR area as seen before. 🔸 5. Projected Path – Bullish Scenario The expected flow includes: Price dips back into the trendline + SR Interchange confluence. Forms a higher low (marked with arrows). Breaks minor resistance levels toward Major Resistance at $33.556. This zone acts as the target — derived from the previous swing high and structural mirror projection. The target zone aligns with a key Fibonacci and historical resistance level — giving extra weight to this forecast. 🔸 6. Volume and Confirmation (Trader Tip) While volume is not shown on this chart, experienced traders would: Watch for volume divergence or spikes near the SR zone. Seek candle confirmation (like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or strong wicks) near the trendline/SR confluence before entering. 🎯 Trading Plan Summary: Entry Zone: Near trendline + SR Interchange support zone. Stop Loss: Below the SR zone or swing low. First Target: Return to $33.20–33.30 range. Main Target: $33.556 (marked target zone on chart). Invalidation: Strong break and close below trendline + SR zone, with no bounce. 📘 Educational Notes (For Traders): Trendline retests are best traded in confluence with horizontal levels. SR flips provide high-confidence zones for reaction. MMC adds a predictive edge by recognizing repeating behavior and structure across mirrored segments of the chart. This setup rewards patience, especially during consolidation near major support. ⚠️ Risk Management Reminder: Always manage risk properly. Even with high-probability setups like this, price may wick below or fake out. Wait for confirmation. Avoid over-leveraging or premature entries.
OANDA:XAGUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
BTCUSD Curve Breakout & MMC Structure | Targeting $111KIn this idea, we apply Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), a method of analyzing symmetrical price behavior to forecast key market moves. This BTC/USD 15-minute chart showcases a beautiful execution of MMC principles, blending curved structure analysis, SR interchange, and trendline dynamics to capture a compelling bullish opportunity. 🧩 Chart Structure Analysis (Detailed Breakdown): 🔸 1. Curve Line Formation & Mirror Market Concepts (MMC): The centerpiece of this analysis is the curved market structure, which resembles a cup-like formation. Using MMC, the market is seen as reacting in mirrored patterns — left side = right side. In this context, the curve mimics the balance of supply and demand over time, providing a visual roadmap of potential price behavior. Curve Line Resistance: The upper black arc served as dynamic resistance. Curve Line Support: The lower arc acted as dynamic support. Once price broke above the curved resistance, it confirmed a bullish market structure shift, triggering a key breakout signal. 🔸 2. Breakout & Retest Pattern: Following the curve line resistance breakout, price pulled back for a retest, validating the structure. This is a high-probability continuation setup where: The breakout confirms bullish interest. The retest confirms that former resistance is now support. This retest occurred exactly near the intersection of: Curve Line Support SR Interchange Zone (gray shaded area) Trendline Support This confluence adds strength to the bullish outlook. 🔸 3. SR Interchange Zone (Support/Resistance Flip): The horizontal SR Interchange area is a key pivot zone, where price previously faced resistance. After the breakout, price came back to this level and found strong buying interest, flipping it into support. This acts as a reaccumulation zone. Price rejected from this zone with a clean bullish impulse. 🔸 4. Trendline Support Validation: After the retest, price formed a new ascending trendline, respected multiple times by price. This ascending trendline acts as a guide for trailing stop placements or re-entry zones. Price remained above this trendline, reinforcing bullish structure integrity. 🔸 5. Central Zone & Liquidity Sweep: The Central Zone marked a midpoint in the curve, which: Acts as a balance point between the mirrored halves. Is often used as a liquidity grab area before direction continuation. Price dipped into this zone, likely collecting stop orders or liquidity before reversing higher — a classic MMC behavior. 🔸 6. 50% Retracement Level: A horizontal marker near the 50% retracement level serves as a psychological and technical barrier. As of the last candle: Price is hovering around this midpoint. A breakout above this level would trigger further bullish movement toward the target zone. Traders often look for volume expansion at this point to confirm conviction. 🔸 7. Target Zone (Projected via Curve Symmetry & Range Extension): The target zone is marked near $111,600, based on: Mirror projection of the curve's depth (height symmetry). Range extension from the curve’s breakout. Potential measured move based on pre- and post-breakout range. This level represents a logical exit or partial TP zone for long positions. 📈 Trading Plan Summary: Entry Zone: After breakout and retest around the SR Interchange/Curve Support/Trendline Confluence. Support Confirmation: Trendline holding and bullish structure above central zone. Mid-Target: 50% retracement breakout ($110,400). Main Target: $111,600+ target zone based on curve projection. Invalidation: Clear break below trendline and loss of SR flip zone. 🔍 Educational Takeaways: Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) are highly effective in anticipating symmetrical price behavior. Confluence of curved breakout, SR flip, and trendline validation provides high confidence in trade setups. Market symmetry helps define logical targets, entries, and risk zones. Always look for a pullback to structure — the best trades often come after the breakout and confirmation. 🚨 Risk Management Reminder: As always, proper risk management is crucial. Wait for confirmation before entering, and use stop-losses below structural levels (such as the trendline or SR Interchange zone) to limit downside risk.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
CRM Salesforce Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CRM before this rally: nor sold this top: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CRM Salesforce prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 250usd strike price Puts with an expiration date of 2025-6-20, for a premium of approximately $5.15. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:CRMShort
by TopgOptions
Market next move . Support Fatigue / Breakdown Risk Observation: Price has tested the red support zone multiple times. Disruption: Repeated tests of support often weaken it. If it breaks, a sharp drop may follow. Implication: Instead of bouncing, EUR/USD could slide below 1.13200, triggering stop-losses. --- 2. Lack of Bullish Volume Confirmation Observation: The recent candles show low volume on bullish attempts. Disruption: Weak demand at support indicates hesitation among buyers. Implication: Without a volume spike, any bounce may be short-lived or fail entirely. --- 3. Bearish Momentum Still Intact Observation: Price action shows consistent lower highs and lower lows. Disruption: The short-term trend is still bearish, so this could be a pause before continuation down. Implication: A false bullish break could trap long traders before a drop resumes. --- 4. Fundamental Risks (USD Strength) Disruption: Any U.S. data surprises or hawkish Fed comments (noted by U.S. event icons on the chart) could push USD higher, dragging EUR/USD down. Implication: Technical bounce setups could be invalidated by macro events.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
ETH Continues Bullish Momentum Above Broken TrendlineHello guys! Ethereum has shown a strong bullish rally, breaking through a long-standing descending trendline with significant momentum. Currently, price action is consolidating above the broken trendline, which may now act as a support zone. 🔹 Scenario 1 (Bullish Continuation): If ETH holds above the current range and confirms the broken trendline as support, we could see a continuation toward higher resistance levels around $3,500 and beyond. 🔹 Scenario 2 (Deeper Retest): Alternatively, a pullback toward the $2,200–$2,300 area (highlighted zone) could offer a better accumulation point before the next bullish leg resumes. This setup suggests that as long as ETH remains above the key support levels, the bullish structure remains intact.
by melikatrader94
11
Market next move 1. False Breakout / Bull Trap Risk Observation: Price just touched the support and bounced slightly. Disruption: If buyers fail to push above the next resistance (around 32.95–33.00), it could be a bull trap. Implication: The bounce might just be a short-covering rally before another leg down. --- 2. Weak Buying Volume Observation: The bounce lacks strong green volume bars so far. Disruption: Weak volume on the bounce suggests limited buyer conviction. Implication: Without a volume surge, the upward move could fizzle out quickly. --- 3. Lower High Structure Observation: The trend before the support touch is clearly down. Disruption: This bounce may only form a lower high before continuation lower. Implication: The larger trend remains bearish unless 33.20+ is reclaimed with strength. --- 4. Fundamental Headwinds Disruption: Any upcoming data like strong USD, rising interest rates, or weak industrial demand could push silver down despite technical setups. Implication: Bullish setups could fail fast due to macroeconomic pressure.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 1. Potential Bear Trap Scenario Observation: The highlighted consolidation area could be a support zone. Disruption: If the price quickly reclaims and holds above this zone (around 3,292), it could be a bear trap. This might attract buyers looking for a false breakdown reversal. Implication: This could lead to a short-term rally instead of continuation lower. --- 2. Volume Divergence Observation: Despite the breakdown, the selling volume seems to taper off compared to the previous heavy down move. Disruption: Lower volume on a breakdown can signal weakening bearish momentum. Price might consolidate or even reverse. Implication: Watch for bullish volume spikes as a sign of reversal interest. --- 3. Oversold RSI or Momentum Indicators Disruption: If momentum indicators like RSI (not visible on this chart) show oversold conditions, this may suggest a relief bounce is more likely than further immediate downside. Implication: Short-term traders could get trapped if they short too late. --- 4. Fundamental Triggers Disruption: Any sudden positive news for gold (e.g. economic uncertainty, lower bond yields, central bank demand) can reverse this technical setup quickly. Implication: Be cautious trading solely on technicals in sensitive markets like gold.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
XAUUSD SMC Bullish AnalysisThe market structure shows clear bullish and bearish Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Change of Character (CHoCH) zones. • I am applying a liquidity sweep and order block entry model. ⁠Market Structure Overview • The chart starts with a bullish rally, followed by multiple BOSs to the downside, indicating a bearish market structure. • Then, there’s a shift as CHoCH occurs — a Change of Character, often marking the beginning of a potential bullish shift. • A recent CHoCH is marked near the bottom, signaling a potential reversal point. Liquidity Concepts • Sell-side liquidity was taken at the recent low (indicated by liquidity grabs marked with “$$$$”). • The blue zone at the bottom represents a bullish demand zone / Order Block (OB) where liquidity has been swept and the price is expected to react bullishly. Order Blocks & Zones • The large red and pink areas at the top are Bearish Supply Zones / Bearish Order Blocks. • The blue zone at the bottom is the Bullish Order Block the trader is focusing on for a potential long entry. • A note on the chart says: “We’ll be looking to long from this area once the bullish OB has been respected and sellside liquidity has been taken.” ⁠Anticipated Price Action • A projected path is drawn showing price forming a higher low, then breaking structure to the upside. • The trade idea is to go long after the demand zone is respected and a new BOS to the upside confirms bullish intent. • The path includes retracements and BOSs, indicating a bullish structure shift. • Target zones are marked above, with areas of interest around $3,310, $3,325, and higher into the $3,340–$3,350 zones. Key SMC Concepts Used • Break of Structure (BOS): To confirm trend direction shifts. • Change of Character (CHoCH): To signal potential reversals. • Liquidity Sweeps: To trap retail and create institutional entries. • Order Blocks (OB): Institutional demand and supply zones. • Market Structure Shift: After liquidity is taken, the market shifts in the opposite direction. Summary of the Setup • Bias: Bullish, contingent on the bullish order block holding. • Trigger: CHoCH and BOS to the upside from the OB zone. • Entry Area: Around $3,280–$3,293 (blue zone). • Targets: $3,310, $3,325, and potentially higher into supply at $3,341–$3,350. • Invalidation: Break and close below the blue OB zone would invalidate the bullish setup.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by jayrollings