Important Support and Resistance Zone: 252.75-268.07
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(TSLA 1M chart)
The 252.75-268.07 zone is an important support and resistance zone.
If it falls below 252.75, it is likely to fall to around 173.22.
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(1D chart)
In order to turn into an uptrend, it must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported and rise near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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Beyond Technical Analysis
aud friday quant zonesCheck out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
Do ask if you have any question
Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
slight bull tilt already. nzdjpy friday quant zonesslight bull tilt
Check out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
Do ask if you have any question
Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
gold friday quant zonesbottom wicks for longs
top wicks for shorts
slight bull tilt
Check out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
Do ask if you have any question
Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
UK100 - PREPARE FOR ANOTHER SHORT Team, yesterday we shorted the UK100 with successful on double short volume as mentioned, and we almost put them into recession, lolz.
Today We are going to set up a short positions
Today, our short position will be at 8748-8762 - add small short volume
Double up on 8776-83
Target 1 at 8725-36
Target 2 at 8702-08
Cryptocurrency and Stocks will DecoupleI still remember the AI saying that NVDA was going to 320 "in the near future." This was back in June 2024. No matter when you asked the AI, its only prediction would be up, it couldn't make an analysis based on the data coming from the chart. The program wasn't very intelligent, that's what I concluded.
I disagreed. NVDA is going down and this is now fully confirmed.
We are seeing a very long distribution phase and the crash is now taking place.
Ok, but what about Bitcoin?
Bitcoin will decouple from traditional markets, just look at the news.
While Cryptocurrency is due a generational bullish wave, the stock market is due a generational retrace.
I honestly don't know how the stock market will perform but I can look at individual charts. NVDA is bearish and going down strong.
NVDA, TSLA, the SPX, the NDX and Crypto are not the same. These are two completely different monsters.
The SPX and NDX is landline.
Crypto is free wireless internet for all.
The SPX and the NDX is centralization and control.
Bitcoin is decentralization, innovation, technology and freedom.
Times change.
The stock market will recover and it is sure to continue growing long-term.
Will the establishment let it crash or will they jump in and pump it up?
I don't know. But NVDA is bearish and going down. What one does, the rest follows.
But, what about Bitcoin? Bitcoin is going up.
It is very simple. They will decouple, they will not move together anymore. Many, many Altcoins are trading at bottom prices, many stocks are trading high up.
The giant stocks will crash, while the Cryptocurrency market goes up. This is one more of the reasons why we are about to experience the biggest bull-market in the history of Crypto.
People are evolving, the world is changing. We are changing from centralized monopoly money, to a free decentralized technology that is available for all.
Money is not the paper, the shiny stone or the codes; money is what we decide to use for the purpose of exchanging value.
At one time, salt used to be money as well as cows. Sea shells, glass and cacao are also on the list. People used to use these things as money.
The argument that Bitcoin has no value is obviously flawed. If you want to buy a Bitcoin you have to pay a price, that's value, nothing more.
If we decide to use something as money, it becomes money.
Bitcoin is money for the new generation.
The old generation dies out and a new one takes its place.
Life will continue to evolve and money will do the same.
Now it is Bitcoin, later down the road it will be something else. But Bitcoin has value, it is really expensive and it will continue to grow.
After the crash, NVDA will recover for sure.
Namaste.
AUS200 - PREPARE TO GO LONG ENTRYGood morning Everyone,
Today when the AUS200 open in 20 minutes, i will consider entry long - but small at 8208-18 ranges,
May consider adding long at 8182-92 but I need to review how significantly the DOW will fall or recover before I am attempting .
Please ensure stop loss around 8165-69
Our target 1 - at 8142-56
Target 2 at 8256-83
Amd - Please Look At The Structure!Amd ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is about to retest massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For about 5 years Amd has been trading in a decent rising channel formation. That's exactly the reason for why we saw the harsh drop starting in the beginning of 2024. But as we are speaking, Amd is about to retest a massive confluence of support which could lead to a beautiful reversal.
Levels to watch: $100
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Opening (IRA): TNA April 17th 29 Covered Call... for a 28.28 debit.
Comments: Adding at strikes better than what I currently have on. Selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 28.28/share
Max Profit: .72
ROC at Max: 2.55%
50% Max: .36
ROC at 50% Max: 1.28%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes better than what I currently have on, roll out short call in the event my take profit is not hit.
BTC BBand Dribble (v. 2)Other idea isn't updating due to the kalman filter I think
This uses 1.5stdev and +/- atr depending on lower or upper bband
I am mostly short in altcoins
This may also contribute to a new btc.d high (maybe?)
I like statistics and this will be my first time trading off a htf event
Opening (IRA): SOXL May 16th 17 Covered Call... for a 15.68 debit.
Comments: Laddering out a smidge here, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 15.68
Max Profit: 1.32
ROC at Max: 8.42%
50% Max: .66
ROC at 50% Max: 4.21%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals, assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
Opening (IRA): IBIT May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 35.79 debit.
Comments: Laddering out a smidge here, selling the -84 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 16 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 35.79
Max Profit: 1.21
ROC at Max: 3.38%
50% Max: .62
ROC at 50% Max: 1.69%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, add at intervals assuming I can get in at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call if my take profit is not hit.
EUR/GBP Bearish Retest – Downtrend Continuation Below 0.8300Chart Analysis & Trade Setup:
The EUR/GBP 2-hour chart highlights a strong downtrend with a descending trendline acting as resistance. The price recently tested a key horizontal resistance zone near 0.8300, rejecting it for a potential continuation lower.
Technical Breakdown:
📉 Descending Trendline: The price has respected the trendline resistance, marked by two key rejection points (black and red arrows).
📊 Support Turned Resistance: The previous support near 0.8300 has now flipped into resistance after a breakdown.
🔄 Bearish Retest Formation: Price is expected to retest 0.8300 before continuing the downtrend.
📌 Bearish Outlook: If the price holds below 0.8300, we can expect further downside toward new lows.
Trade Plan:
✅ Entry: Consider a short position near 0.8290 - 0.8300 on bearish confirmation.
🎯 Target 1: 0.8220 (Previous low).
🎯 Target 2: 0.8180 (Next key support zone).
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 0.8325, to protect against an invalidation of the bearish setup.
Conclusion:
EUR/GBP remains in a clear downtrend, with a bearish rejection at 0.8300 acting as a key trigger for further downside. Traders should watch for a clean retest before entering short positions.
📊 Bearish Retest in Play – EUR/GBP Targets Lower Levels! 🚀
$QQQ Getting Over Sold?NASDAQ:QQQ I am stalking a bounce on the Q’s. From an intraday high (all time high) to an intraday low on this chart is about 6.2%. I would expect at least a dead cat bounce in the short term, but the market may not deliver for me. Having said that, I have an alert set on this 30-minute chart on the Downtrend line. “If” that triggers, I will go to a 5- or 10-minute chart to see if there is a good risk reward entry. And if I take the trade, it will be meant to be a day trade (of which I am not a fan) but it could turn to a swing trade “if” it gives me at least a 2% cushion.
I know I have a lot of "ifs" on this one, but isn't that the way it is?
I had posted another chart on the NASDAQ:QQQ index with a link below. I had said in that one that a pullback to the 510 “area” would not negate the longer-term uptrend. But one must be open to all outcomes.
EUR/USD Bullish Reversal Setup – Key Support at 1.0330-1.0367Overview:
The EUR/USD 8-hour chart presents a bullish reversal scenario, with price retracing after breaking an ascending channel. The market is approaching a critical Fibonacci retracement zone (1.0367 - 1.0330), which aligns with a strong support level. A bullish rebound from this area could push price towards the supply zone near 1.0700.
Key Technical Analysis:
Rising Wedge Breakdown: Price recently broke below the ascending wedge, signaling a short-term bearish move.
Fibonacci Retracement: The 0.5 (1.0367) and 0.618 (1.0330) levels act as potential reversal zones.
Support Zone: The market is approaching a demand area where buyers are likely to step in.
Reversal Expectation: A bullish bounce from the Fibonacci zone could lead to a strong move back toward the previous resistance area (1.0700 - 1.0750).
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry: Look for a long position near 1.0367 - 1.0330 after bullish confirmation.
🎯 Target 1: 1.0500 (Short-term resistance).
🎯 Target 2: 1.0650 (Intermediate target).
🎯 Target 3: 1.0700 - 1.0750 (Major resistance).
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 1.0300 to minimize risk.
Conclusion:
EUR/USD is testing a crucial Fibonacci support zone, and if buyers step in, a strong rally toward 1.0700 is likely. Traders should watch for bullish confirmations before entering long positions.
📈 Bullish Bias – Watch for a Reversal from Key Support! 🚀
XAUUSD strong down opportunity soon 1. Trendline Validity
The current trendline is drawn as a downward channel. However, are there enough touches to validate it as a strong trendline? Sometimes, trendlines can be subjective and might not hold.
2. Support & Resistance Strength
The chart marks a "strong selling zone" at resistance, but does it have historical significance? If this level hasn’t been tested multiple times, it might not be as strong.
The support area is expected to hold, but gold is volatile. Is there a fundamental reason supporting a bounce from there?
3. Alternative Scenarios
What if gold breaks out of the downtrend instead of continuing lower? A breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish expectation.
Instead of a clean bounce at support, price could consolidate sideways or even break below.
4. Fundamental Factors
Are there any upcoming economic events (such as FOMC meetings, CPI reports, or geopolitical tensions) that could disrupt this technical setup?