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ETH/USDT | Potential Trend Reversal from Monthly Demand Zone📉 Market Overview: ETH/USDT is currently holding within a strong monthly demand zone, showing signs of possible accumulation. Price has tested this level and indicating a potential reaction. 🔍 Key Trading Conditions: ✅ Liquidity Sweep: If price sweeps the daily previous low, this could be a liquidity grab to trap sellers. ✅ Market Structure Shift (MSS): If price breaks a key lower high to the upside, it would confirm a short term bullish structure shift, signaling a potential trend reversal. 📊 Trade Plan: 🎯 Bullish Confirmation: Wait for a clear MSS to the upside on lower timeframes (4H/1H). 🔹 Entry: After a successful daily low sweep & bullish confirmation. 🔹 SL: Below the liquidity sweep low. 🔹 TP1: Mid-range supply zone. 🔹 TP2: Previous structural highs. 🚨 Risk Management: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Monitor price action around key levels. Manage risk with proper stop-loss placement. 📌 Conclusion: If ETH sweeps liquidity and shifts structure bullishly, we can expect a potential reversal. Stay patient and let price confirm the move! 📈 Like & Follow for More Market Updates! 🚀
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Naveed_Azam_Zarrar
1
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position. Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level. Confluences for EU Buys: - Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind. - Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest. - Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target. - DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU. Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28900 back up to 1.30000I’m looking for long opportunities around the 5-hour demand zone, aiming to take price back up to the 6-hour supply zone, where I will then look for potential sell setups. Since price is currently positioned between these key levels, I will wait to see where it starts to slow down and how it reacts. Ideally, I want to see accumulation in the demand zone and distribution in the supply zone before making any decisions. However, overall, my bias for GU remains bullish, especially as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken. Confluences for GU Buys: - A clear 5-hour demand zone presents a potential buying opportunity. - Liquidity remains to the upside, which price may target before a reversal. - DXY has shifted bearish, indicating a potential bullish move for GBP/USD. - Price has been consistently bullish on the higher timeframe over the past few weeks. Note: If price breaks below the nearby demand zone, I will expect a temporary bearish trend to form.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
NVDA Silicon Slippage: The Bearish Case for NVDA in 5 ContractsNVDA Bearish Options Thesis — “AI’s Reality Check” A $500 Bet Against Hype, Headwinds, and a Tired Rally Underlying: NVIDIA (NVDA) Current Price: $109.67 Strategy: Buy 5x $90 PUTs expiring May 2, 2025 @ $1.00 Total Cost (Risk): $500 Breakeven: $89.00 Max Value at Expiry: $45,000 (if NVDA → $0) Target Zone: $85–$95 Risk/Reward Profile: Asymmetric 1:9+ 🧠 Thesis Summary: Why NVDA Could Drop NVIDIA, the undisputed champion of the AI GPU race, now finds itself under increasing pressure from macro forces, competition, and sentiment. This trade capitalizes on a short-term reversal thesis into earnings season and macro repricing. 🚨 Key Catalysts for Downside: 🧬 1. AI Hype Fatigue The market is cooling on generative AI names after 12+ months of hype. Investor sentiment is shifting toward monetization over narrative — which hits NVDA’s high-multiple story. 💥 2. DeepSeek & Chinese Competition The emergence of DeepSeek (a competitive LLM) raises the risk of a hardware shift in the East. China accelerating self-sufficiency in chips = reduced NVDA demand. 📉 3. Macro Headwinds & Tariffs Renewed trade war tensions threaten advanced chip exports. Tariffs and tighter regulations = real demand compression for NVDA’s top-line growth. 📊 4. Technical Breakdown Confirmed Weekly close below Fib 0.382 ($109.44) — now resistance. RSI at 41.44 — weak and trending down. Below VWAP ($113.65), signaling momentum shift. "NVIDIA isn't breaking down because it's bad — it's breaking down because the market is waking up." 💰 Trade Breakdown: 5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00 (May 2, 2025) Metric Value Contracts 5 Cost per Contract $100 Total Premium $500 Breakeven $89.00 Max Gain $45,000 Max Loss $500 (premium only) 📊 P&L Scenarios (5 Contracts) NVDA Price Drop % Intrinsic Value Total Payout Net Profit ROI (%) $100 -8.8% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $95 -13.4% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $90 -17.9% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $85 -22.5% $5.00 $2,500 $2,000 400% $82.70 -24.6% $7.30 $3,650 $3,150 630% $80 -27.1% $10.00 $5,000 $4,500 900% 🧮 Technical Levels to Watch Level Price Notes VWAP $113.65 Rejected 0.382 Fib $109.44 Just breached 0.5 Fib $96.07 Strong support 0.618 Fib $82.70 Bearish target RSI 41.44 Weak momentum ✅ Summary Factor Insight Total Spent $500 (5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00) Breakeven $89.00 Risk Fully capped at $500 Potential Return Up to $4,500 (900%) if NVDA → $80 Catalyst Market re-rating AI, earnings unknowns, regulatory clouds Trade Horizon 33 days — high velocity post-breakdown possible
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheHouseofTrade
Is Bitcoin going to start rising?The latest U.S. economic data has brought significant impacts. The core PCE inflation witnessed a 0.4% month - on - month increase, hitting the highest growth in a year, with a year - on - year rise of 2.8%, exceeding market anticipations. Meanwhile, the long - term inflation expectation from the University of Michigan has soared to a 32 - year high, intensifying market concerns about inflation's resurgence. Currently, the market remains enveloped in macro - risks, pending a softening of market sentiment. Turning to the Bitcoin market, as depicted in today's price trend (the current BTCUSDT price is $82,338.01, dropping by $2,086.37, a 2.47% decline), the K - line chart analysis indicates a downward trend. The Williams indicator signals an oversold condition. Additionally, trading volume has contracted recently, with both price and volume decreasing, suggesting a sluggish and inactive market. Nevertheless, if Bitcoin can stabilize above $82,000 and there are signs of capital reflux, gradual position - building may be considered, with a target price set above $90,000. Investors must recognize that the Bitcoin market brims with uncertainties. Variables such as forthcoming U.S. economic data, regulatory policies, and geopolitical scenarios will all sway Bitcoin prices. In this volatile financial landscape, meticulous analysis and judicious decision - making are of utmost importance for investors navigating the Bitcoin market. BTCUSDT buy@82000-83000 tp:84500-86500 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JohnGonzalez7
1
U.S. Econ Shocks: Bitcoin & Profit SignalsThe latest U.S. economic data has brought significant impacts. The core PCE inflation witnessed a 0.4% month - on - month increase, hitting the highest growth in a year, with a year - on - year rise of 2.8%, exceeding market anticipations. Meanwhile, the long - term inflation expectation from the University of Michigan has soared to a 32 - year high, intensifying market concerns about inflation's resurgence. Currently, the market remains enveloped in macro - risks, pending a softening of market sentiment. Turning to the Bitcoin market, as depicted in today's price trend (the current BTCUSDT price is $82,338.01, dropping by $2,086.37, a 2.47% decline), the K - line chart analysis indicates a downward trend. The Williams indicator signals an oversold condition. Additionally, trading volume has contracted recently, with both price and volume decreasing, suggesting a sluggish and inactive market. Nevertheless, if Bitcoin can stabilize above $82,000 and there are signs of capital reflux, gradual position - building may be considered, with a target price set above $90,000. Investors must recognize that the Bitcoin market brims with uncertainties. Variables such as forthcoming U.S. economic data, regulatory policies, and geopolitical scenarios will all sway Bitcoin prices. In this volatile financial landscape, meticulous analysis and judicious decision - making are of utmost importance for investors navigating the Bitcoin market. BTCUSDT buy@82000-83000 tp:84500-86500 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
2
ACH/USDT - Potential Bounce Incoming 30%+ Gains PossibleI'm analyzing the ACH/USDT 4-hour chart and spotting signs of a potential rebound. Here’s what I’m seeing: ✅ Support Zone: Price is testing a key support level around $0.02119, which has held strong in the past. The market appears to be accumulating in this area. ✅ EMA Crossovers: The chart shows a bearish crossover between the 12 EMA and 20 EMA, but watch for a bullish reversal as price approaches this support. Potential for a rebound if the EMAs cross back to the upside. ✅ Volume Delta Analysis: There's a notable increase in volume with a Delta Volume of 28.42%, indicating heightened interest at these levels. ✅ Reversal Probability: The chart shows an impressive 85.6% reversal probability, suggesting a strong chance of a bullish move soon. ✅ Targets: Looking for a potential 30%+ bounce towards key resistance levels at $0.02559, $0.02657, and $0.02845. 📉 Risk Management: Setting a stop loss slightly below the $0.02119 support level to minimize risk in case of further downside. 📈 If support holds and momentum shifts, a strong move upward could follow. Stay vigilant! 🚨 Not financial advice. Always do your own research.
Long
by ictc3d
The "Good" Crypto Narrative Is OverIt's been a while since I've done a bit of a deep-dive on this market and why I don't believe it'll sustain a significantly higher value in the future. I no longer have the stamina to write a long-winded post. It's exhausting at this point, and I don't need to reiterate it. Instead, I'll summarize recent developments and their impact on the crypto narrative. 1) The TOTAL crypto market cap currently rests below the all-time high from 2021. This is even including stablecoins. There is $144B worth of USDT currently in circulation. In 2021, that number was $80B. Meanwhile, stock indexes and several individual stocks are significantly up from their last peaks. From a "store of value" standpoint, this doesn't look great, particularly factoring in inflation. Adjusted for inflation, Bitcoin itself is sitting below its inflation-adjusted 2021 all-time high, which is around $84K. 2) Bitcoin active addresses are back to 2017 levels and BELOW the levels from even the previous bear market! This implies that "authentic" adoption has stagnated and begun a decline. studio.glassnode.com 3) In the eyes of a growing number of investors, Trump and Elon's crypto push has only solidified the crypto market as a joke and as a global symbol of greed and corruption. 4) Gold has far outpaced Bitcoin as a store of value during this recent period of turbulence, disproving Bitcoin as a possible safe haven. Here is the Bitcoin/Gold chart for reference: 5) Still, if cryptocurrencies completely ceased to exist, there would be no net-negative effect on the world. In fact, it may be a net-positive. Unless this suddenly changes, crypto does not have any real world value. You cannot say this about most MIL:1T + markets: If most major companies and resources ceased to exist, we'd see a very significant (mostly negative) impact on our daily lives, almost immediately. In summary, I don't think people will be coming in droves to invest in this market. I think that ship has sailed. The opportunity for it to prove itself has waned, and it has been overtaken by largely bad actors. If anything, I think people are more likely to be forced to buy it than enter the market willingly. From a technical standpoint, a breakdown from the big uptrend channel in the chart above would likely confirm that the top is in. --------------------------------------------- Beware, a crypto narrative still exists, but it's only the one fed to us by those in power. It will be important not to fall for it. I worry that people will be forced to own cryptocurrencies, at the expense of their freedom. And even in a situation where crypto prices continue to increase, it is unlikely to be seen positively. Once we graduate from these strange and confusing times, rife with dissociation, monopolies, grift, and power consolidation, it seems more likely that humanity will look at crypto as part of an uncomfortable past. If we never move on to more optimistic times, and things continue to become more dystopian, well, then that would be a time where crypto adopters can say, "hey, we were right!" But...at what cost? Regardless, it will always be possible to profit from the volatility, hence my attempts at trading a little recently, with a focus on Litecoin. So, trading opportunities will present themselves, which will keep at least some people interested in this market. I think it is unlikely to be enough liquidity to sustain significant new all-time highs. Here is my last big post, where I detailed more reasoning - this was prior to the Bitcoin ETF's: And here is a recent post, where I describe how my own thoughts about the market evolved, from when I first entered in 2017 to the present: As always, this represents only my opinion, and is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not as financial advice. There are many other opinions out there. It is your responsibility to develop critical thinking. Thanks for reading as always! -Victor Cobra
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALShort
by VictorCobra
5 Key Points for Blockchain Future5 Key Points for Blockchain Future 【old articles published on 2022】 During 2020-2022, the blockchain industry experienced extremely rapid changes. From 2019 to the first half of 2020, there were almost no interesting primary projects and new ideas, until Compound directly drove the Defi boom, then followed by DEX, NFT, Metaverse, GameFi, and the upsurge of entrepreneurship. However, all industries of life follow the law of nature and the law of harmony between Yin and Yang. When the tide rises, the tide will ebb. The last wave of the X to Earn boom will be driven by StepN in 2022, when the "grand debut" of the LUNA crash, the top 3 in the industry, directly cools down the overheated market just like the arrival of the moon at night. Combined with the global supply-side imbalances caused by the Fed's interest rate hike strategy and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the market has experienced extreme volatility and uncertainty. The sudden breakup of two supposedly friendly exchanges, Binance and FTX, is an indirect reminder that we are living in a period of extreme instability and diversification. The black swan and the white swan are more indistinguishable. There are great opportunities and uncertainties in the future. In order to better embrace the new rhythm, we may pay attention to the following five points: (The Chinese version was published at Nov, if you like reading Chinese, you can find that version) 1. The blockchain world will expand larger ecosystems and exchanges, but not need as many. From the historical trend, everything is going to be unified after merger and elimination, and it is the same in the field of blockchain. Now, the ecology of the large platform of the layer 1 public chain has gradually entered the white-hot stage of the competition. With the test of the bear market, it is inevitable that more than one LUNA and FTX will leave and be eliminated from the projects and exchanges we are familiar with. BINANCE:LUNAUSDT BYBIT:FTTUSDT Of course, the fierce competition is also the alchemist of high-quality ecology, to test who can stabilize the internal situation to grasp the historical trend and become the next chain on the world leader. Therefore, risk avoidance and allocation should be done as early as possible. Focus on projects with long-term value and stay away from projects with lip service and over-the-top bragging. 2. Conduct spiritual enrichment exercises as early as possible to meet the alternative fantasy world brought by the metaverse and Virtual age and effectively deal with deeper loneliness. The continuous progress of science and technology often brings more convenient living conditions and a more lonely spiritual world. With quick access to information, cool virtual effects, and big trends in VR and AR, we can basically see the future moving towards movies like and . According to the law of conservation of the universe, spiritual energy must also be conserved. For a simple example, when technology was not developed in the 1980s and 1990s, the friends who asked you to go downstairs to play every day, and the children born after the 2000s and 2010s basically play with iPad in their childhood. The latter has significantly more communication online, while the former has more face-to-face offline, and this sense of loneliness and distance will only get bigger as the tech trend flows. However, many post-00s suffer from depression and other mental diseases at an early age. The premature bombardment of technology and information is more likely to destroy people's spirits before the barriers and defensive lines of values are built. In the high-octane world of fintech, it's even more complicated, with an extra layer of Money that magnifies its power by at least 2.5 times. Therefore, as early as possible to carry out the psychological construction of the spiritual level, we can avoid inadaptation suffering as early as possible when the tide of The Times comes. A small number of people are eliminated by competition, and most of them are eliminated by The Times ( we can start with some classic books). 3. Most projects said that they have Tech DNA but actually not Tech, Blockchain will be everywhere Real Tech projects tend to survive bear markets. Because they only need computers and shelter, they can continue to develop the project and do not need to spend a lot of money to hire too many expensive technical personnel. (Like Airbnb's early stage) This is important for the early and mid-term development of a project, and it is also crucial for engineers to resist the temptation of blockchain technology to make it easier when they are suddenly faced with the temptation of huge financing. Therefore, sometimes, projects under the guise of technology and slogan are often more deceiving than pyramid projects, because people will be CPUed. But one thing is certain, blockchain technology will be everywhere in the next five years, and the closest and fastest popularization should be: Historical relics NFT, ticketing systems (such as Ant Financial ticketing application, World Cup ticketing application), authentication systems (property ownership certificate, education certificate, birth certificate, etc.) and object traceability (various blockchain applications in milk, wine, luxury goods), the popularity of asset tokenization (apartment ownership, company tokenization, etc.), And countries' recognition of BTC as a currency outside the asset. Let ourselves catch up with the trend of The Times as soon as possible, in order to catch the last train more effectively. Because it's already branching out. 4. People understand hot water hurts hands. But in the face of hot trends and hot spots, we often flock to and forget the risk. What is very easy to understand in our daily lives is often reversed when applied to the same things in other areas. For example, the simplest way to avoid hot water is because hot water has our physical nervous system acting as a force to protect the stress response, and can also avoid excessive injury. But the market contains the risk of hot topics, our spirit is often paralyzed in the temptation of interests, thus ultimately causing regrets and loss of money. Therefore, in the future virtual and technological era, there will be more sugar-coating bombardment, so our judgment to keep relatively objective has become a very important ability. So that you can ride on the hot trend, but also have a protection system to prevent yourself from injury. This is something that someone who is very good at following hot spots has been teaching us. Each time, he walked in with hot topics, fool the investors, and walked away. The most obvious of these is NFT, GameFi's early hype. 5. Value will not change its core nature as times change. But it is a harder test of self-choice judgment and self-recognition ability. With the development of The Times and technology, they will become more and more intertwined with each other. Once a very simple business model, it may become more relevant after the integration of blockchain, VR, AR, and other technologies. But the core is still the same, just as a normal man, no matter how fancy he is, no matter how coquettish he is, his physical structure is also male (except for surgery). But the test of judgment and cognitive ability is more demanding, and complex at the same time, there are more opportunities. Because there are likely to be more Hamlets for the same enterprise or project, it is particularly important to keep updating our learning pool. At the same time, the influence of individuals like KOL on society will be further enhanced Summary: 2022 is a transitional year before a new era, and in the next 20-30 years, there is a high probability that we will enter a more technological phase in which humans are not separated. In this stage, in my opinion, the most critical point is the second of the five points. Material and technological progress may lead to spiritual regression, but the good news is that our cultural foundation is deep enough. If you can understand Traditional Chinese, it will be a much more spiritual gem. Enough to fill our hearts and make us fully ready for the new world. Blockchain technology, whether public chain, private chain, or alliance chain, or sidechain is a big trend in technology popularization. It won't die even though some people hold negative views on it, but won't create gods because of some pyramid. For an ordinary person like us, the best way is to keep learning to enrich ourselves, and keep calm at all times, and stay away from the complicated and mixed-up areas of special strategies. This article has no financial advice or any guidance content
by OuChiBoy
CADJPY analysis for a Sell!!!!Here’s a sell-side analysis for CAD/JPY on the 2H chart based on your updated screenshot: ⸻ Pair: CAD/JPY Timeframe: 2H Current Price: ~104.656 Market Bias: Short-term bearish shift from previous bullish trend ⸻ Sell Analysis Overview: 1. Bearish Structure Forming Below 105.300–105.600 • Price recently broke below a major support zone (~105.300–105.600), which is now turning into a resistance zone. • This rejection aligns with the concept of structure flipping — previous support now acting as resistance. • The marked “Sell Structure Forming Below” zone highlights this key area for short positions on pullbacks. 2. Multiple Rejections at 105.866 • There are clear lower highs forming, with repeated rejections around 105.866 (circled). • Each attempt to push higher has failed, showing strong bearish pressure and exhaustion from buyers. 3. Breakdown of Key Moving Averages • Price has closed below both the 50 EMA and 100 EMA, which are beginning to curl downward — a common signal of a trend reversal. • Momentum has shifted, and sellers are currently in control. 4. Liquidity Grab + Breakdown • After a false breakout to the upside, price grabbed liquidity around 105.866 and quickly reversed. • This aligns with smart money behavior: sweeping highs before dropping — a classic bearish trap. 5. Short-Term Target Zone • The current bearish move has a clear downside target in the 103.600–103.800 zone, which is marked as an “Area of Liquidity”. • If this zone breaks cleanly, extended targets sit around 101.800–101.400, where fresh demand and buy structure are likely to form. ⸻ Sell Plan & Risk Management: • Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the 105.300–105.600 zone to look for bearish confirmation (e.g., bearish engulfing, rejection wick). • Stop Loss: Above 105.866 (invalidates structure) • Take Profit Levels: • TP1: 103.600 (liquidity zone) • TP2: 101.800 (demand zone) • TP3: 101.400 (long-term structure support) ⸻ Final Thoughts: CAD/JPY is now showing early signs of a bearish trend reversal after a clean breakdown of structure and liquidity sweep at highs. As long as the price remains below 105.600, the bias remains bearish. A bounce from 104.500 could temporarily delay the drop, but deeper downside is likely if that level gives way.
Short
by DBFXTrader
FNV has reached a key resistance around 158.2FNV has reached a key resistance around 158.2. There are two factors suggesting a continuation of the upward trend: Prolonged Sideways Movement: The stock has been trading sideways for an extended period, and this time, the 158.2 level is more likely to be broken. Robust Upward Momentum: The recent upward move toward the key resistance appears strong and persistent, indicating buying interest. However, there are some cautionary signs: Significant YTD Increase: The stock has risen considerably this year, driven by a sharp increase in gold prices. Historical Return Limits: FNV has almost reached the 70th percentile of its historical returns, suggesting that the potential upside may be limited to around 20% based on past performance. Resistance-Induced Selling Pressure: Reaching a key resistance level could trigger selling as investors take profits. Overall Conclusion: While FNV shows signs of potential upward continuation due to strong momentum and a prolonged consolidation period, the limited upside based on historical returns and the risk of profit-taking at a key resistance level warrant caution. A breakout above 158.2 could signal further gains, but the room for upside may be relatively modest. Monitoring for confirmation before entering new positions or considering partial profit-taking on existing holdings would be a prudent approach.
NYSE:FNV
by Quantific-Solutions