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Nasdaq Short: Weak Tech & Key Data AheadTaking advantage of the current bearish momentum in the Nasdaq with a daily short setup. Recent price action reveals a double-top pattern and a significant trendline break, suggesting potential downside. As we approach critical economic data releases, volatility is expected, which could fuel further bearish movement. Technical Analysis • Pattern: Double-top formation, a bearish reversal signal, confirmed with a break below the neckline. • Trendline: The long-standing upward trend has been broken, validating the bearish scenario. • Key Resistance: $20,200 area is acting as a strong resistance zone. • Support Levels: Initial support around $18,800 with further downside potential if broken. Fundamentals: The short position on Nasdaq is driven by the weak tech performance, with giants like MSFT (-6.05%) and META (-4.09%) showing declines. Rising bond yields have intensified pressure on tech stocks, indicating potential shifts in investor sentiment. Additionally, tomorrow’s key data—Non-Farm Payrolls (forecast: 113K vs. prior 254K), Unemployment Rate (expected steady at 4.1%), and ISM Manufacturing PMI (forecast: 47.6)—could further impact market outlook, with any surprises likely to influence Fed expectations and Nasdaq sentiment. Risk Management • Entry: Near current levels, aiming for downside momentum. • Stop Loss: Above recent highs to protect against false breakouts. • Target: Initial target at $18,800, with potential to extend if bearish momentum persists. Risk Note: Given the volatility associated with these macroeconomic events, there is potential for increased fluctuations. Managing risk through stop-losses and close monitoring of data releases is essential. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by AR33_
EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload. On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone. If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI). The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move. If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066. Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112. Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
by Trade-Lean
Why Trading Sessions Matter in Forex: Key OverlapsThe Forex market is open 24 hours a day during the weekdays, allowing traders flexibility to trade at any time. However, understanding the best times to trade is essential for effective trading. The market is divided into four main sessions: Sydney, Tokyo, London, and New York, each corresponding to peak activity in key financial centers. Using a Forex Market Time Zone Converter can help traders determine which sessions are active in their local time, making it easier to plan around high-liquidity periods. Although the market is technically always open, not all trading times are equally profitable. Higher trading volume, which generally occurs during session overlaps, creates ideal conditions for traders. For example, the overlap of the London and New York sessions sees the highest volume, with more than 50% of daily trades occurring in these two centers. Trading at this time, especially with currency pairs like GBP/USD, can lead to tighter spreads and quicker order execution, reducing slippage and increasing the likelihood of profitable trades. Similarly, trading AUD/JPY during the Asian session, when the Tokyo market is active, is advantageous due to higher trading activity for these currencies. Conversely, trading during times when only one session is active, such as during the Sydney session alone, can result in wider spreads and less market movement, making it harder to achieve profitable trades. Planning trades around high-activity sessions and overlaps is key to effective forex trading.
Editors' picks
Education
by habib75rajabi
8
Possible 200+ Pips On ContinuationIn this setup, we're targeting a continuation of the swing sell, awaiting a clear signal of bearish momentum. Our entry confirmation will come once price breaks and closes below the 1.6442 level. After this confirmation, we’ll look for a retracement into the premium level of the intra-trend bearish rally, specifically within the 1.6540-1.6400 range. From this level, we aim to enter a sell position, targeting the second and third support levels. This setup projects a minimum of 150 pips with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio of 1:4. For a more detailed breakdown, check out the video analysis. Previous Call:
Short
by Ieios
Gold Technical Outlook: Bearish Bias Amid Election Volatility Technical Analysis The price dropped and hit our target perfectly. Today, the market will be influenced by the U.S. election, introducing potential volatility and random movements. Despite this, the overall bias remains bearish. As long as the price trades below 2749, the bearish trend is likely to persist, targeting 2731. Any sustained move below 2731 could accelerate the decline toward 2720 and 2712. Conversely, a bullish reversal would be confirmed by a break above 2758, opening the path toward 2775. Bearish Scenario: The price may retest 2749 before resuming its downward trend toward 2731 and 2712. Stability below 2739 reinforces the bearish outlook. Bullish Scenario: A 4-hour candle close above 2758 would indicate a potential bullish shift, with subsequent targets at 2775 and 2788. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 2739 Resistance Levels: 2749, 2758, 2775 Support Levels: 2731, 2712, 2695 Trend Outlook: Above 2758: Uptrend Under 2758: Downtrend
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SroshMayi
KLAY -> KAIA New Start!!! Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- Since the chart was created not long ago, the role of support and resistance points may be weak, so please use it only as a reference. Changed from KLAY to KAIA. As it is a new start, the key is whether it can attract investors' attention. - (KAIAUSDT 1h chart) The point of interest is whether it can receive support in the 0.1143-0.1169 range and rise above 0.1232. If it is supported near 0.1232 and goes up, 1st: 0.1307 2nd: 0.1447 You should check whether it is supported near the 1st and 2nd above. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future. We need to check if these points can be broken upward. We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
K
by readCrypto
1
Dogecoin price poised for surge ahead of U.S. elections with tieDogecoin price is poised for a potential surge ahead of the U.S. elections, with significant ties to government initiatives and market dynamics. The cryptocurrency has garnered attention due to its community support and growing mainstream acceptance. Key Details Price Target: For Dogecoin to reach its yearly high in 2024, it must close above $0.1633 in November. Political Influence: A victory for Trump in the upcoming elections could position DOGE as the top crypto gainer, leveraging its association with Elon Musk, who is becoming increasingly prominent in the political arena. Performance: Dogecoin has outperformed Bitcoin over the past decade and is currently seeing a price increase, up 10.9% and trading at $0.1676, making it one of the best-performing assets among the top 100 cryptocurrencies by market cap.
Long
by bullanceprime
2
Gold Amid US Election ResultsGold Amid US Election Results Today, the US dollar is showing slight weakness across the currency board as the market focuses on the US election results. Experts believe it might take at least a few days before there is a clear winner. Gold, on the other hand, is in a strong bullish trend and tends to make unpredictable moves, especially when the market is uncertain about USD strength. The time it can take for the election results could allow gold to rise further and dominated by bullish volume, as indicated on the chart. Strong resistance zones are anticipated near 2756, 2769, and 2787. It is possible that significant manipulation could push gold to 2800 this time. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
FX:XAUUSDLong
by KlejdiCuni
4
DAX: European Markets and U.S. Elections.The German DAX index (Ticker AT: GER40) has been one of the most impacted by the uncertainty surrounding the U.S. presidential election, closing down 0.1% yesterday, Tuesday, along with the French CAC 40 and the UK's FTSE 100. At today's open, the index continued in negative territory, down -0.13% equivalent to -25.80 points. Currently, the DAX checkpoint stands at around 18,475 points, a level that could hold or even come under further pressure if Trump's re-election materializes, due to fears of protectionist tariff policies that would affect Germany's exporting economy. Investors maintain a cautious stance, opting to wait for the election results before making important decisions, especially in sectors highly sensitive to changes in U.S. trade and fiscal policies. In addition, the election race has shown a weakened Kamala Harris in the polls, adding more volatility to market forecasts. Monetary Policy Expectations Monetary policy is another factor that is influencing movements in the DAX and European markets in general. The US Federal Reserve meeting scheduled for this week could culminate in a rate cut of 25 basis points, which would relieve some of the pressure on global markets. The Bank of England is also scheduled to meet this Thursday and is expected to announce a similar rate cut in an effort to contain inflation and stabilize European markets. European Corporate Results Amid this uncertainty, quarterly earnings from European companies have brought slight relief to the market. Approximately 50% of STOXX 600 companies have already reported third quarter results, and many reports exceeded the market's low expectations. Among the highlights: • Hugo Boss (Ticker AT: BOSS.G): Rallied 0.7% after slightly beating earnings expectations and confirming its annual outlook, despite declines in the Asia-Pacific region. • AB Foods (Ticker AT: ABF.UK): Shares rose 2.8% after the Primark owner reported solid annual earnings growth, driven by higher revenues in its food and retail businesses. • ASOS (LON:ASOS): Dropped 2% after reporting significant annual losses, although its CEO, Jose Antonio Ramos Calamonte, expressed optimism about the company's recovery. Oil Prices Oil prices, which affect key DAX sectors such as industrials and chemicals, stabilized after a sharp rally on Monday. Brent (Ticker AT: BRENT) reached USD 75.23 per barrel and WTI (Ticker AT: LCRUDE) USD 71.63, boosted by OPEC+'s decision to delay again a 180,000 barrel per day production increase in the face of weak global demand. This is the second extension of the 2.2 million barrels per day cut, an adjustment that producing countries consider necessary to maintain oil market stability. Today, oil prices have started the European trading day upwards, +0.27% for WTI and 0.25% for Brent respectively. It is very likely that these prices will extend to 72.23 USD for WTI and 76.01 USD for BRENT. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
G
by ActivTrades
XAUUSD, WEEKLY CHART... here's how it looks.I've been trying some custom approach / experiment on detecting reversal play in advance stages -- and my current case study is XAUUSD. Here's how it looks. Based on weekly data, we got a thinning price line with a shifting inverted support lines (bottom lines). A good confirmation Identifier would be a complete horizontal inverted support line shift. 1950 (completed support line) would be the key price point for that level. Touch it, and we got a BUY SIGNAL. Non-confirmatory (risky) would be 1940 level. TAYOR. Safeguard capital always.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JSAL
7
Bitcoin Falling Again==>>Short-term!!!Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently moving near the Resistance lines and in the Resistance zone($69,580-$68,800) . Regarding Elliott's wave theory , it seems that Bitcoin is still completing Corrective Waves . The Structure of Correction Waves looks like Double Three Correction(WXY) . I expect Bitcoin to Go Down at least Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage after breaking the Uptrend line . ⚠️Note: We can expect more pumps if Bitcoin can break the Resistance zone($69,580-$68,800) .⚠️ ⚠️Note: The American elections and the tension between Iran and Israel can easily change the scenarios of Bitcoin: if the tension between Iran and Israel increases, we can see the fall of Bitcoin, and if Donald Trump does not succeed in the US presidential election, we can see the fall of Bitcoin. And vice versa.⚠️ Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰. 🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔 Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
19
Trade Plan (Pending): Buying Gold at $2,727 Mixed price action has resulted in an Ending Wedge pattern being posted on the intraday chart. On a break of this morning time of $2,741 the measured move target is $2,762. We will complete a Crab formation at $2,784. We are currently assessed as moving lower within the BC leg of this cypher formation. Support is located at $2,727. A break of the trend of lower lows, currently located at $2,724, and the bias is negated. SL: $2,718 TP1: $2,784 R Rate 6.1 #tradeplan #gold
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by IanColeman
Can Nintendo's Next Move Redefine Gaming Again?In the high-stakes world of gaming entertainment, Nintendo stands at a fascinating inflection point. With a 69% profit plunge and declining Switch sales, conventional wisdom might suggest trouble for the Japanese gaming giant. Yet, history shows that Nintendo often thrives most when challenged, using periods of transition to revolutionize how we play – just as they did with the Wii's motion controls and the Switch's hybrid concept. The company's current strategy reveals a sophisticated understanding of modern entertainment ecosystems. While managing the sunset of the Switch era, Nintendo is simultaneously expanding its reach through Hollywood partnerships, innovative hardware accessories, and digital services. This multi-pronged approach suggests that Nintendo's vision extends far beyond traditional gaming boundaries, potentially setting the stage for a more comprehensive entertainment experience. What makes this moment particularly intriguing is Nintendo's proven ability to create new market categories rather than just competing in existing ones. As the company prepares to announce its next gaming platform before March 2025, the real question isn't just about new hardware specifications – it's about how Nintendo might once again reshape our understanding of entertainment. With its rich IP portfolio and history of innovation, Nintendo appears to be orchestrating not just a product launch, but potentially a new chapter in how we interact with digital entertainment. The coming months will reveal whether Nintendo can once again transform challenge into opportunity, as it has done repeatedly throughout its 134-year history. For investors and industry observers alike, this represents more than a financial turning point – it's a window into the future of interactive entertainment.
TSE:7974Short
by signalmastermind
You Killed my Dog - Revenge TradingRevenge trading is a behavioral trap that can ensnare even experienced traders. It's the impulse to enter a new trade immediately after a significant loss, often fueled by frustration or a need to "win back" what was lost. However, succumbing to this urge can lead to further losses and greater emotional instability. This psychological cycle, if left unchecked, can spiral into a destructive pattern that can erode both account balances and self-confidence. 1️⃣ Understanding the Root of Revenge Trading At its core, revenge trading arises from the natural human response to loss. This reaction can be linked to what’s known as the "fight-or-flight" mechanism—when traders feel threatened by a financial loss, they experience a rush of adrenaline, which can result in impulsive decision-making. This initial phase often reflects the trader's attachment to their profits or ego rather than a rational, strategy-based response. You need to recognize this instinct to regain lost money as the first step to addressing revenge trading. By understanding that revenge trading is driven more by emotion than by reason, you can start building awareness around your trading behavior. 2️⃣ Identifying the Emotional Cycle in Revenge Trading The emotional cycle in revenge trading typically starts with anger, followed by a need to “win back” losses, often resulting in riskier trades. This cycle can repeat and intensify as losses compound, leading to feelings of self-blame and regret. Identifying the triggers that set off this emotional cycle—such as a recent loss or the need to prove something—can help you avoid jumping into impulsive trades. Recognizing these cycles early can allow you to pause, reflect, and make better choices. 3️⃣ Setting Up Predefined Trading Rules One of the most effective strategies to prevent revenge trading is to establish strict trading rules, including stop-loss levels, damage control triggers and daily limits. When you have clear, predefined rules, it becomes easier to stick to a plan rather than trading based on emotions. For instance, having a rule to stop trading for the day after a certain level of loss ensures that you have time to step away and reset mentally. Knowing when to pause prevents the desperation that often triggers revenge trading, reinforcing discipline and giving you time to recover emotionally. 4️⃣ Building Self-Awareness Through Mindfulness Practices Mindfulness is an effective tool for managing the emotional pressures that come with trading. Practices such as deep breathing, meditation, or even journaling after each trading session can help increase self-awareness and emotional regulation. These exercises help you stay present in the moment, allowing for a more objective assessment of a situation without letting anger or frustration cloud your judgment. The more self-aware you become, the better you can avoid the emotional pitfalls that lead to revenge trading. 5️⃣ Creating a Loss Recovery Plan Developing a structured plan for recovering from losses is another way to counteract revenge trading tendencies. This plan may include specific actions, such as re-evaluating the last losing trade, understanding why it failed, and making a list of ways to improve your strategy. A loss recovery plan can provide structure and prevent panic-driven decisions. For example, instead of doubling down on the next trade, you might focus on smaller, more conservative trades to gradually regain what was lost, creating a more balanced and thoughtful approach to rebuilding. 6️⃣ Learning from Historical Instances of Revenge Trading The idea of revenge trading is not new; many traders, including professionals, have been affected by it. One well-known example is the collapse of Barings Bank, which was largely due to rogue trader Nick Leeson’s revenge trading following initial losses. His increasing risk in an attempt to “win back” losses ultimately led to catastrophic results. Studying such cases reminds you of the real consequences of revenge trading and encourages you to approach each trade with caution, even after a loss. 7️⃣ Leveraging Support Networks and Mentorship Having a support system, such as trading peers, a coach, or even online communities, can provide accountability and perspective when dealing with losses. Discussing challenges and trading experiences with others helps you reflect on your decisions and avoid impulsive trading. A mentor, in particular, can be instrumental, as they bring experience, objectivity, and practical advice for managing the emotional hurdles of trading. By fostering these connections, you build resilience and have someone to consult with during tough times, which can help prevent revenge trading behaviors. Shameless plug: join us at The Trading Mentor, you will not regret it ;) Revenge trading can be a powerful and destructive force, driven by deep-rooted emotional responses to loss. But with self-awareness, mindfulness, structured plans, and support, you can gain control over these impulses and foster a healthier, more disciplined trading mindset. The journey to overcoming revenge trading is one of introspection, strategy, and gradual improvement, helping you achieve long-term trading success while minimizing emotionally driven mistakes.
FX:SPX500Education
by AlexSoro
1
Dollar Weakens Amid Tight U.S. Election Race and rate cuts Dollar Weakens Amid Tight U.S. Election Race and Upcoming Fed Decision The U.S. dollar dropped as the latest polls indicate no clear leader in the presidential race, reducing bets on a Trump victory. Treasury futures rose, reflecting cautious investor sentiment amid the uncertainty. Citigroup strategists suggest that a Trump victory could see the dollar rally by 3%, while a Harris victory could result in a 2% decline. This highlights the significant impact the election outcome could have on the USD. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to announce a 25-basis point rate cut, adding to market volatility already heightened by the election. Traders are keeping a close eye on early results from swing states like Michigan and Pennsylvania for insights into the potential election outcome and its implications for the financial markets. Source: Information derived from Bloomberg
by Eleazarahmath