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Beyond Technical Analysis
Downward momentum, downtrend next week, XAU ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 03/3/2025 - 03/07/2025
🔥 World situation:
US President Donald Trump confirmed that 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian goods will take effect next week on March 4. Meanwhile, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core PCE Price Index, signaled continued progress toward the central bank’s 2% target.
Following the data, expectations for further Fed policy easing grew. According to Prime Market Terminal, the Fed is anticipated to cut rates by 70 basis points this year, with investors betting on the first reduction in June.
🔥 Identify:
Breaking the trend, gold continues to maintain a downtrend
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2876, $2903, $2956
Support : $2810, $2773
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Pi Network in the bullish term. All right, there is lots of rumors saying that Pi Network will fail, will go to zero, will fall like brick untill nothing. When ever the trade already online and the market took place, the price wont easily drop like a brick or easily flying like a rocket. There must have a support and resistance in the chart and graph, when it already in the online financial/crypto trade market.
Things will be so cool, when Trump will host a first ever crypto summit in this coming 7 March. Attendees will include prominent founders , CEOs, and investors from the crypto industry as well as members of the President's Working Group on Digital Assets.
When ever the announcement, the investors are just in second into the fast click to invest in the crypto. This will be a massive, and astonishing event in crypto ever.
Looking forward the Pi Network proce goes up to $10.00 in few weeks.
GBPUSD 1HOUR CHART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NEXT MOVE POSSIBLE This chart represents a GBP/USD (British Pound / US Dollar) price analysis on the 1-hour timeframe from FXCM. It highlights key buy and sell zones with a projected price movement.
Key elements in the chart:
1. Buy Zone (Support Area):
The pink-shaded region around 1.25500 - 1.25750 is identified as a buy zone, suggesting that price may find support and reverse upwards.
2. Sell Zone (Resistance Area):
The blue line at 1.26891 is marked as a sell zone, where price previously reversed downward (confirmed by the orange circle indicating rejection).
This area acts as a resistance level, meaning price may struggle to break above it.
3. Price Projection:
The blue arrows suggest a bullish reversal from the buy zone, with a potential move towards the 1.26891 resistance level.
This indicates a buy opportunity in the current region.
Conclusion:
This chart predicts a GBP/USD bullish move, expecting price to rise from the buy zone to the sell zone. It suggests a long (buy) trade
Gold weekly chart with buy and sell levelsGold finally delivering its first red candles last week , what will the next week give us ?.
Looking at the weekly the bulls appear to be exhausted so we saw a decline in the last 4 days of the week.
2955.5 will be a level to watch in the coming week .
For the coming week we can buy at 2864 which you can see conforms to the paralell channel drawn 2871,2884 will be first and second resistance if broken expect 2895 , 2920 as next heavy resistance.
on the downside (I think this is more likely ) we can sell at 2848 , expecting 2840 then 2832 as next resistance.
It is worth noteing that all the heavy resistance is on the buy side with minimual resistance on the sell side.
Please use proper risk management and positioning size.
take profits along the way.
This is my own view on the next weekly gold trend and is not to be considered finincial advice.
XAUUSD Weekly Long Term Gold Prices— Bearish Reversal Targets $2,746.58 Amid Fed Uncertainty
- Gold fell 2.66% last week, closing at $2,858.14—its first weekly decline in over two months. A stronger U.S. dollar and concerns over delayed Fed rate cuts fueled selling pressure, while global trade tensions failed to lift safe-haven demand for bullion.
- The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index rose 0.3% in January, with core PCE up 2.6% year-over-year, slightly lower than December’s 2.7%. While markets still price in a 79% chance of a June rate cut, the Fed’s cautious approach has dimmed gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset.
Trade Tensions Boost Dollar, Not Gold
- Despite rising global trade risks, investors sought refuge in the U.S. dollar rather than gold. The dollar index climbed nearly 0.9%, hitting a two-week high after President Trump reaffirmed tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports. The stronger dollar made gold more expensive for foreign buyers, further pressuring demand.
More Downside Before a Rebound!
- Gold remains fundamentally strong due to central bank demand, inflation risks, and geopolitical uncertainties. However, technical signals suggest a deeper pullback. A break below $2,832.72 would confirm a bearish reversal, targeting $2,746.58 in the coming weeks.
- A meaningful rebound may require softer U.S. economic data, a more dovish Fed, or heightened geopolitical tensions. Until then, gold could stay under pressure as investors favor cash and the dollar over bullion.
Btcusd weekly chart (btcusd)Alternative (Bullish) Analysis
1. Potential Continuation Above Resistance (95,300)
The current analysis assumes rejection at 95,300 and a drop toward 78,118. However, a strong breakout above 95,300 could trigger a rally toward 100,000 or higher.
If Bitcoin consolidates above 95,300, it may act as a new support, rather than a rejection zone.
2. Volume Confirmation on the Breakout
The price surged significantly (+9.09%), suggesting strong bullish momentum.
Instead of expecting an immediate rejection, watch for high volume confirming a potential continuation upward.
3. Higher Low Formation Instead of a Drop
The chart expects a fall back to 78,118, but the price may form a higher low around 85,000 – 88,000 before resuming the uptrend.
A retracement to this range (not all the way down to 78,118) would still be healthy in a bull market.
4. Market Sentiment Shift
The sharp upward movement suggests buying pressure rather than an exhaustion move.
If 95,300 is tested again and breaks, it could lead to a parabolic move instead of a reversal
ADA Cardano announced as part of strategic reserve!!Final liquidity run rapidly approaching as we come off news of strategic reserve!
Ensure LIMIT buy orders are placed at .50 area or just below to ensure they get filled. Just below the last big wick on daily/4hr tf. This news will be manipulated once again to trap over-leveraged bulls & then bears imo.
Perfect opportunity to enter cheap once again & then ride it to 20-50$ buy cycle targets over upcoming months.
Not So Fast, Bitcoin – A Dip Before the Next RallyBitcoin is facing strong resistance at $94,000, making a short-term retracement to $82,000 increasingly likely. A realistic scenario would involve a rebound from GETTEX:82K , forming a W-shaped double bottom that could serve as a foundation for renewed bullish momentum—though this remains speculative.
TSLA at a Major Turning Point! Key Reversal or Breakdown? Mar.3📊 Technical Analysis (TA) for TSLA
* Current Price Action: TSLA is recovering from a downtrend and has entered a reversal zone, breaking out of a descending channel. However, it's facing strong resistance near $298-$300.
* Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance 1: $298-$300 (Volume Profile POC) – A critical area where sellers may step in.
* Resistance 2: $310 (3rd Call Wall) – Breaking above this could trigger a gamma squeeze.
* Major Resistance: $320-$337 – Strong rejection expected if price reaches this level.
* Support 1: $290 (Volume Value Area Low - VAL) – A pullback could test this before another move up.
* Support 2: $280 (Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support) – A breakdown below this level could accelerate selling.
* Breakdown Level: $273 – Losing this level could send TSLA toward $250.
📌 Indicators:
* MACD: Bullish crossover, suggesting momentum may continue upward.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought near 96, signaling a potential pullback before another move.
🔎 Options Flow & GEX Analysis
* GEX (Gamma Exposure) Key Levels:
* 80.77% Call Resistance at $310 → Breaking above could fuel upside momentum.
* 67.72% 2nd Call Wall at $350 → Strong gamma resistance, unlikely to break in the short term.
* Highest Negative NetGEX / Put Support at $280 → If TSLA stays above, dealers will hedge bullishly.
* 3rd Put Wall at $273 → A breakdown here could lead to increased downside volatility.
* 2nd Put Wall at $250 → Below this, expect a sharp sell-off.
📌 IV & Sentiment:
* IV Rank (IVR): 72.8 → High implied volatility, options are expensive.
* IVx Avg: 84.3 → Elevated, indicating large expected price swings.
* Options Sentiment: Calls = 33.8% → Some bullish bias but not extreme.
📈 Trade Scenarios & Strategy
📌 Bullish Scenario (Breakout Play):
* Entry: Above $300 with strong volume.
* Target: $310, then $320.
* Stop Loss: Below $290.
📌 Bearish Scenario (Rejection & Breakdown):
* Entry: Below $290.
* Target: $280 or $273.
* Stop Loss: Above $300.
🔥 Final Thoughts & Suggestion
* TSLA is testing a key reversal zone. A breakout above $300-$310 could push it toward $320+.
* If it fails to hold $290, expect a retest of $280-$273, which is a major support zone.
* Volume and options flow will be key – if gamma levels start unwinding, expect volatility to spike!
🚨 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Trade responsibly and manage risk! 🚨
APT/USDT : Next Stop $20?BINANCE:APTUSDT
"In the weekly timeframe, the price is at a bottom and has shown a positive reaction. Considering the current conditions of Bitcoin and Ethereum—especially Ethereum, which has had a significant drop and is now at strong support—I believe this Symbol has strong potential for a substantial upward move. My price target, based on liquidity above key highs, is over $20."
QQQ - The Warning-Line Scenario For A ShortIt's simple a s that:
If price can't make it back into the Fork, then it's doomed to reach at least the Warning-Line.
This scenario likely happens if the current weeks bar close below the Warning line, and the open of the new Bar is also outside of the Fork.
Happy Short §8-)
The key is whether it can be supported near 145.32
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
(SOLUSDT.P 1M chart)
It seems that a sharp decline will occur due to the issue of SOL.
The key is whether it can be supported near 0.707(135.64) ~ 0.786(149.71), 137.04 and rise.
If it rises, whether it can be supported near 179.73 is important.
If it falls, it is likely to fall to around 101.78, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
(1D chart)
If the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is generated at the 145.32 point, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around this area.
If not, and it falls below 137.04,
1st: Fibonacci ratio 0.618 (119.78)
2nd: 101.78
You should check whether there is support around the 1st and 2nd areas above.
Circle marked area: Important support and resistance area
(Circle marked area: Important support and resistance area)
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Gold, An upward movement incoming ?Hello traders, I hope you are great. our latest analysis on Gold hit all its targets and we gained a profit of around 800 pips; but what's next ? Will the price continue its downward correction or not ? Let's clarify things a bit to make decision making easier for ourselves:
With the delayed possibility of a ceasefire in the war between Ukraine and Russia, as well as existing tensions between the USA and other countries, the likelihood of a continued correction in gold has diminished at least in the short term.
We should also keep in mind that there is a possibility of renewed conflict between Hamas and Israel in the upcoming Days.
If we have consider these factors together, it seems to me there is at least a chance of another upward movement in Gold. Targets have determined by Blue dashed lines.
And finally Tell me What are your thoughts about GOLD ? UP or DOWN ? comment your opinion below this post.
March 4 tariff planningMarch 4 tariff planning:
likely minimum pressure down. either today or tomoro
further extend of flush depends on trump's upcoming announcement
Check out our socials for some nice insights.
Let us know if there're any pair you like to see or if this is something you like.
Do ask if you have any question
Not as refined as our direct trade setups. More for advanced active traders.
information created and published doesn't constitute investment advice!
NOT financial advice
Secure Profits of LONGBTC/USDT 1H Technical Analysis – Updated Insights
🟢 BitcoinMF Signal: TP Hit – Key Resistance Zone
The BitcoinMF PRO indicator's long signal successfully hit the Take Profit (TP) target, aligning with a resistance level around $94,410. This area is now a critical decision point for BTC's next move.
📊 Advanced Technical Breakdown:
1️⃣ Fibonacci Retracement & Extensions:
To assess potential support and resistance levels, key Fibonacci levels have been recalculated based on the recent price movement:
0.236 Fib Retracement (Support) → $87,416
0.382 Fib Retracement (Support) → $85,991
0.618 Fib Retracement (Stronger Support) → $80,423
1.618 Fib Extension (Bullish Target) → $98,217
2.618 Fib Extension (Aggressive Target) → $104,500
These levels suggest that maintaining support above $87,000 could pave the way for a move toward 98K, while a breach below this support might lead to a deeper retracement.
2️⃣ CME Gap – Key Risk Factor
A CME gap exists between $77,930 and $81,210, formed in November 2024. Historically, such gaps tend to be filled over time, indicating a potential retracement to this zone before resuming the macro uptrend.
3️⃣ Bitcoin Dominance – Altcoin Impact
BTC Dominance is currently at 52.8%, indicating that Bitcoin is leading the market rally. This dominance suggests that if BTC corrects, altcoins may experience more significant declines in the short term.
4️⃣ Exchange Flows – Whale Activity
There has been a significant outflow of BTC from exchanges, signaling accumulation by investors and reduced selling pressure. This trend supports the potential for further upside unless a reversal pattern emerges.
5️⃣ Fear & Greed Index – Market Sentiment
The Fear & Greed Index currently reads 81 (Extreme Greed), reflecting strong bullish sentiment. While this indicates market confidence, it also warrants caution, as extreme greed can precede corrective phases.
6️⃣ Fisher Transform & Stochastic RSI
Fisher Transform: The indicator is in the overbought zone but has not yet signaled a reversal.
Stochastic RSI: Recently crossed above 80, indicating overheated conditions and suggesting a potential cooldown or sideways movement.
🔮 Next Most Probable Move:
📊 Probability Score (Scale 1-10)
Bullish Continuation Probability: 6.5/10
Short-Term Correction Probability: 7.5/10
🔹 Scenarios:
If BTC maintains support above
87K, a move toward
98K is plausible.
If BTC falls below 87K, the 80K region becomes the next significant support level.
🚨 Most Likely Outcome: A short-term retracement toward 87K-85K is anticipated before the uptrend potentially resumes, targeting 98K-100K.
Brenker block or Order Block + Inducement = Profits EverywhereHello everyone, happy new week and a happy new month of March to you all !!!
First of, fundamentals are heavy on EURUSD this week, like really heavy. Coupled with the fact that this is non-farm payrolls week. (Fundamentals).
Secondly, there was a market Structure shift last week which is signaling shorts.
This setup overall has a stop loss of less than 35 pips from the breaker block but if you need a tighter Stop loss then you can use the other point of interest which is the order block i marked out.
Use proper risk and money management and do not over-leverage your account.
Most especially, do your own analysis !
Important support and resistance zone: 1.0302 ~ 1.2214
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(ADAUSDT 1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support at the important support and resistance zone and rise to around 1.3678.
If not, whether it can support around 0.8836 is important.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can be supported in the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.5(1.0302) ~ 0.618(1.2214).
If not, whether it can be supported in the vicinity of 0.8451-0.8836 is important.
The reason is that the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts to continue the uptrend.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Gold trend today European and American trading session🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
👉Gold prices saw a slight increase on Monday, driven by a weaker US Dollar. Expectations of another Federal Reserve rate cut put pressure on the USD, which in turn boosted XAU/USD. Additionally, concerns over Trump’s proposed tariffs and the potential for a global trade conflict added to gold’s appeal.
👉The US Dollar also faced downward pressure due to a strong rebound in the crypto market, led by Bitcoin (BTC), after Trump instructed the Presidential Working Group on Sunday to advance plans for a Crypto Strategic Reserve, which will include Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH), XRP, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA).
👉A broad decline in the US Dollar allowed gold prices to recover after suffering significant losses in the previous two trading sessions. Meanwhile, the Euro (EUR) strengthened as Europe intensified its diplomatic efforts to resolve the Ukraine conflict, further weighing on the USD and supporting the USD-denominated gold price.
Personal opinion:
👉Gold price will recover to the 2890 area, then there will be a technical decline to the 2934 area before continuing the uptrend. Because there is currently no strong news for gold to break through this area.
👉Note: any move on President Trump's tariff policy will be considered first, so pay attention to this related news for better trading
Analysis:
👉Based on trend lines and EMA combined with important resistance - support levels to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 2887 – 2890
❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2883– 2877 – 2870
👉Buy Gold 2833 – 2835
❌SL: 2827 | ✅TP: 2839– 2844 – 2850
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰