PLTR volatility ahead! more volatility ahead as market digests decreased Fed funds rate cuts in 2025.
buy target at 90$ AFTER we fill the gap on 15min chart near 71.2-71.5 level imo..
looking to trade this setup via 80$ strike call option contracts for 1/10/25 & 1/17/25 expiration dates
after 90$ is reached, still anticipating additional volatility back down to 65-68$ range one final time before Inauguration Day. After that, I think this turns strongly bullish once again and runs above 100$
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC GOING UP OR DOWN? 74 OR 124?"Sometimes a person doesn't know whether to laugh or cry about their situation and the future events.
Being optimistic is good, and pessimism is full of trouble...
In this analysis, on the weekly time frame, Bitcoin is on a trendline, but the MACD and Ichimoku indicators suggest a decline, and the candles are still holding strong on the trendline.
Although everything seems uncertain and strange, we must wait...
Nevertheless, I am still confident and interested in Bitcoin being bullish, but if a bit more Bitcoin is sold, it will definitely drop. If it is not sold, the catastrophe will be avoided, negative divergence and oversold conditions will occur, and the upward movement will begin.
The data still shows that Bitcoin is being accumulated... The UAE, companies like MicroStrategy, El Salvador, and other countries and financial institutions are accumulating, but small retail investors are selling.
So, we wait for the next developments.
Target: $74,000 or $124,000."
"The Liquidity Heist"Alright, let’s break this down because what we’re seeing here is no ordinary chart—this is the battleground where smart money and retail traders collide, and the story it’s telling is absolutely fascinating.
First, look at the Pi Cycle Moving Average. This isn’t just any moving average—it’s a dynamic gauge of momentum, and right now, it’s sloping downward. Bears might think they’re in control, but here’s the catch: this MA has been tested repeatedly, and when it flips, it has the potential to spark a significant trend reversal. So, it’s not just a line—it’s the pulse of the market.
Now, the Smart Money True Value Line. This green line isn’t some random support. This is where the big players, the whales, the institutions—whatever you want to call them—step in. It’s their hunting ground. When price hovers near this zone, it’s not just a coincidence. It’s where the market pauses, recalibrates, and potentially rebounds. Smart money doesn’t play the same game as retail—they’re the architects of these moves.
And what about the VWAP? The 1-Day VWAP is sitting above the current price. What does that mean? It means the market is undervalued compared to where volume-weighted price action expects it to be. It’s like gravity pulling the price upward, creating the perfect setup for a mean reversion.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting—the squeeze. See those yellow "+" symbols at the bottom? That’s a volatility squeeze, my friend. The market’s tightening, pressure’s building, and this is where breakouts are born. It’s like a coiled spring just waiting to release its energy. And considering all the factors on this chart, that energy seems primed for an upward explosion.
But let’s talk about the manipulation, shall we? Look at that $95,631 level—the stop-loss zone for short positions. This is where retail traders were baited into a trap. Whales engineered this move to trigger stop losses, creating a cascade of selling below that level. And what did they do? They quietly scooped up liquidity, leaving retail traders scrambling while they prepared for the next big move. This isn’t speculation—it’s how the game is played.
And those ATR Shark Fins? These are the finishing touch. Every time you see these fins at the bottom of the trend, they’re screaming, ‘Pullback incoming!’ It’s like the market’s way of saying it’s overextended, exhausted, and ready for a reversal. And here they are again, flashing at us like a signal in the dark.
So, what’s the verdict? While the bullish arrow is gone, the pieces are still in place. The Smart Money True Value Line, the squeeze, and the manipulation beneath $95,631 all point to one thing: an upward move is brewing. But—and here’s the kicker—we need confirmation. The market loves to keep us guessing, so until we see price action reclaim critical levels, we stay sharp, we stay ready, and we don’t jump the gun.
This chart isn’t just data; it’s a story of psychology, manipulation, and opportunity. The question is—are you paying attention?
When going long, it's crucial to recognize that upward price movements are likely to face a reversal. This is due to USDT.D manipulation, as seen on the weekly timeframe. I've detailed this setup in my idea titled 'The Institutional Ambush,' which highlights how these patterns are orchestrated by institutional forces. Always trade with caution and awareness of the bigger picture.
SMCI - Golden opportunity sitting right in front of us?We'll have to see how this one plays out but the R:R here is extremely enticing with the upside we've seen as recently as 3 months ago. Will be looking for confirmations but this might be the type of situation where I will add as we get that initial tap - because this zone we're approaching has so much liquidity built in and is primed as support.
Happy Trading :)
GBP/USD: Bearish to Bullish Reversal SetupHere’s a detailed explanation of my GBP/USD analysis on the 1-hour chart:
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The chart highlights key structural points and psychological levels, forming the basis of my trade setup.
Market Structure and Key Levels:
I identified multiple Break of Structure (BoS) points, signaling the continuation of the prevailing bearish trend. However, the marked Change of Character (CHoCH) indicates a potential reversal as price shows signs of transitioning from bearish to bullish momentum. This CHoCH aligns with a demand zone where price reacted strongly, confirming buyers stepping in.
Weekly Psychological Level:
The 1.2600 level is a crucial psychological barrier. Price initially broke below it but retraced to test it as resistance. This level also aligns with my first take-profit zone, making it an ideal spot to secure partial profits if price moves in my favor.
Entry and Execution Plan:
I refined my entry to a 15-minute order block, represented by the $$$ mark. This zone is where price consolidated before a bullish move, signaling institutional participation. My entry at this level offers a low-risk, high-reward opportunity.
Take-Profit Targets:
I set three take-profit levels to align with key liquidity zones:
Take Profit 1: Around 1.26130, just above the psychological level. This is a conservative target to lock in early gains.
Take Profit 2: Positioned near a higher imbalance region, targeting further bullish momentum.
Take Profit 3: The ultimate target, placed at a liquidity zone higher up on the chart. If price maintains its bullish trajectory, this would yield significant profits.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss is set below the demand zone to protect against invalidation of the setup. This ensures my risk remains limited while giving the trade enough room to play out.
Trade Bias:
The bias shifted from bearish to bullish after the CHoCH and the strong reaction from the demand zone. The setup anticipates a retracement or reversal to test higher levels, with the psychological level acting as the first major hurdle.
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This setup is based on market structure, key levels, and price action, offering a clear roadmap for execution. If price respects my zones, it’s a high-probability trade with solid risk-to-reward potential.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Breakout Levels in Sight!Good morning, trading family!
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is getting close to a key resistance level at $141.87. Here’s what could happen:
If the price breaks $141.87: We might see it move up to $150 and even $158 if the momentum stays strong.
This is an exciting setup, so keep an eye on how the price reacts. Let’s stay focused and trade smart!
Wellness Tip of the Day: Start your morning with a healthy breakfast. A mix of protein (like eggs or yogurt), healthy fats (like nuts or avocado), and slow carbs (like oatmeal or whole-grain bread) will give you steady energy and help you make sharp decisions all day.
Comment, like, follow, or send me a message if you’d like more details about this trade!
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
HAPPY HOLIDAYS! Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 23rd 📊Stock Market Weekly Preview: Dec. 23rd
NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:SPY AMEX:IWM
In this video, we’re talking about:
🔹Stock Market & Overall Forecast
🔹Lessons Learned this past week
🔹Technical Analysis: H5 & Williams CB
🔹Current Trades
P.S. I'm getting coal for XMAS because I lied about it being a short video. 😅
Let’s dive into this Holliday Week! 👇
Christmas day shenanigans.Seems to me Xrp is creating a falling type pattern appearing to revert back to support area at $2. It looks like it's bringing us right to the forefront of Christmas day ✝️
We might wake up Christmas morning with Santa 🎅 putting presents 🎁 under the Xrp Christmas tree 🎄
Make sure to leave cookies 🍪 and milk 🥛 out and be all time high ready cos Santa's got a big bag for you all!!
*pay attention and let's see what happens*
After the volatility period around December 27th...
(Title) What will it look like after the volatility period around December 27th
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Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
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USDT is currently showing a gap down, although small.
USDC is showing a gap up steadily.
The gap up of USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
I think the start of the altcoin bull market should be below 55.01 and maintained or show a downward trend.
The decline in USDT dominance is likely to result in a rise in the coin market.
If it rises above 4.97, the coin market is likely to experience a sharp decline and the coin market is likely to show a downward trend.
If USDC continues to fall, it is likely to fall to around 2.84.
After that, it is expected that the coin market will gradually show a downward trend while rising.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is showing signs of being created at the 94742.35 point.
Therefore, if the HA-High indicator of the 1W chart is generated, it is important to see if it can be supported near that area.
If it falls without being supported, there is a possibility that it will meet the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart.
Before meeting the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is necessary to check if it is supported near 87.8K-89K.
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The Momentum indicator is showing a continuous downward trend.
We need to see if it shows an upward trend when a new candle is created.
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Looking at the overall picture of BTC, it is still in the sideways section.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can rise above 97821.58-98892.0 by rising near 92K-93.5K.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
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Why AIrBNB might be the company to watch in 2025Hello,
we see an opportunity for investors to buy Airbnb at the bottom. In this video we go a step further and try and explain why.
While the company's long-term prospects remain strong, short-term headwinds are likely to keep its stock price under pressure. As the travel industry gradually normalizes post-COVID, we anticipate minimal demand erosion for alternative accommodations from ABNB's existing customer base. However, the company's share growth in urban markets continues to lag behind its gains in non-urban regions in recent years, presenting a potential growth opportunity moving forward. In the near term, I anticipate AirBNB's share price will
continue its pullback to around USD 100. However, over the longer term, the company is expected to remain resilient, with an initial price target of USD 170 and a longer-term target of USD 220.88.
All the best & goodluck
SOLUSDT - Will this nightmare come true?On October 22, I published this chart, and many were skeptical about what I was talking about.
"I share it and u can check the link i left in attachment."
Now, this scenario is highly likely, and everything is unfolding as shown in the chart below.
You can clearly see the Wyckoff Distribution pattern already formed, and so far, price movements align significantly with the illustration provided.
Currently, the price has returned to the distribution zone, hitting the "failed rally point"
. All of this appears to have been a trap.
And why not?... SOL is one of the largest coins in the market by market cap. Everyone is expecting SOL to achieve x3 or even x10. This makes it entirely logical for the price not to move higher amidst this level of optimism.
I’m not entirely pessimistic, but I view things from a purely logical perspective.
This pattern is not yet confirmed—we need a massive red candle closing below the distribution zone to confirm it. However, the price movement so far is perfectly aligned with the Wyckoff Distribution logic.
If a close below this red zone happens, consider it a signal to exit the market entirely."
SCALPING XAU ! Gold sideway trend DOWN⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US central bank indicated last week that it plans to ease the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. This supports elevated US Treasury yields, helping the US Dollar (USD) maintain its strength near a two-year high, which limits gains for the non-yielding Gold price. With trading volumes thin, it seems wise to wait for sustained buying momentum before anticipating a continued recovery from the one-month low reached last week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold sideways price range 2610-2620, H1 trendline downtrend
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2618 - $2620 SL $2623 scalping
TP1: $2614
TP2: $2608
TP3: $2602
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
S&P500 - The Next 14 Days Will Decide Everything!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is about to break all resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Over the past couple of weeks, the S&P500 has been repeating the major breakout rally of 2021. Back then the S&P500 actually broke above the channel resistance and immediately rallied more than +15%. If we see the confirmed breakout, we will likely see the same thing happening again.
Levels to watch: $6.000, $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BUY BUY BUY!You shouldn't care about the sell-off today.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is slipping, and so is CRYPTOCAP:BTC Dominance!
This means money is flowing into altcoins!
But, altseason is not here yet, it's coming.
#VIRTUAL is up 8% and GETTEX:HYPE is on sale!
I'm buying the dip you should too.
JUST HODL and don't panic sale!
Pending order short EURJPYThis is the holiday period with low liquidity, so more caution is essential. I am also being more cautious with an entry, here is what I propose:
Risk - 50% of your normal.
Entry - below the low of Fri candle (& below the resistance at 163.00).
Stop - above the recent high.
Target - above the next support at 155.80
If the stop gets hit before I get an entry, I will cancel the order.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. If you decide to trade this, you should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster.
If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
USTEC (NASDAQ 100) - Sell Limit Opportunity After Liquidity GrabUSTEC has reached a significant liquidity zone above resistance, offering a high-probability sell limit setup. This move suggests the market has cleared stop-losses and is poised for a bearish reversal.
Key Observations:
Liquidity Grab: The price spiked above a key resistance level, triggering stop-losses and trapping breakout buyers.
Market Structure: Signs of bearish rejections and diminishing bullish momentum indicate a potential downside move.
Optimal Entry: A sell limit at aligns with the liquidity sweep and anticipated reversal zone.
Trade Plan:
Entry: Sell limit at , targeting a move downward from the liquidity zone.
Stop Loss: Above the liquidity sweep to protect against false breakouts.
Take Profit: Targeting support levels around for an optimal risk-reward ratio.
Risk Management:
This setup uses the liquidity grab to pinpoint a strategic entry. Ensure disciplined risk management and proper position sizing. Monitor for bearish confirmation before executing the trade.
btcusd on bearish reverse below 92130#BTCUSD on multiple reverse, now we exercise drop below 92130 for longer sell till 90k-89k but market price sell can start at current price ,above 93800 buy can still move. Overall move on #BTC can take correction if price falls 92130 back to 93k-94k. Selling at 92130, SL 92800 TP 90k 89k