EU 20RR LETS SEE!EUROUSD
Amazing trade if this plays out though I do not plan to hold the whole trade on my challenge accounts I will do so on my trading view paper account just to see how this plays out. there is potential for 20RR on this trade.
this model is great for delivering big trades. I have seen 10+RR 15+RR delivered on setups like this. we will see how it plays out i expect this will take several days though.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Mega trade opportunity on ENA Potential bullish reversal with a developing bullish divergence on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes.
The price is approaching a critical support level, which has held previously. This zone aligns with the bullish divergence, further adding to the likelihood of a bounce.
If we take trend base fib from previous peaks and bottom, we are right inside the golden pocket.
Trump Tariffs could Triple Silver from hereSilver and Gold are the classic forms of cash.
Rates are starting to lower, dollar is starting to weaken. Both are favorable conditions for commodities.
Trumps Tariffs seem to be increasing volatility and uncertainty internationally. For now, many goods are harder to get, more costly.
Trump is also pushing the American Sovereign Wealth fund, looking to pump assets for USAs gain. Could it be a shadow dollar devaluation? Maybe through lower rates?
All in all, Silver is setting up nicely to potentially go higher. My opinion.
Be safe, do your homework, trade small.
Gold Buy Setup – Smart Money Flow & Institutional Order PositionGold (XAU/USD) is showing bullish potential, aligning technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors for a high-probability setup. Let’s break down the market structure, trade execution, and institutional flows that support this move.
📊 Trade Execution & Technical Breakdown
🔹 Entry Zone: Price retraced into a key demand zone aligning with the 0.62 Fibonacci level (2902.190).
🔹 Confluences: ✅ Trendline support held, confirming bullish momentum.
✅ Fibonacci retracement (50%-79%) aligned with institutional order blocks.
✅ Liquidity sweeps confirmed smart money accumulation.
🔹 Target Zones:
📈 First target: 2,926.183 (previous high).
📈 Final target: 2,950.176 (-0.62 Fibonacci extension).
📌 Market Structure:
The 1H timeframe suggests a bullish continuation pattern.
Daily EMAs are trending upwards, reinforcing buying pressure.
Supertrend indicator on the 4H supports bullish sentiment.
🎯 Institutional Positioning & Market Depth
📌 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report Insights:
📈 Institutional traders increasing long positions, signaling confidence in an uptrend.
📉 Retail traders are majority short, fueling a potential short squeeze.
📌 Liquidity Data:
Volume profile shows high demand near 2902, confirming strong buy-side interest.
Market depth data from Prime Market Terminal indicates institutional buy orders stacking in this range.
⚡ Fundamental Drivers – Key News & Events
📊 Economic data influencing XAU/USD:
📈 ISM Manufacturing PMI (53.5) vs. forecast (52.8) – Initially strengthened USD.
📈 Durable Goods Orders +3.2% – Positive US data caused a pullback.
📉 Gold supported by weaker USD following liquidity rebalancing.
🛑 Impact on Trade:
✔️ Initial USD strength provided a discounted long entry on Gold.
✔️ Market reacted with bullish momentum as institutional flows aligned with demand zones.
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
📌 Prime Market Terminal Liquidity Analysis:
ATR (Average True Range) increased, signaling upcoming volatility.
High-volume nodes align with the 2902 support area.
Institutional order flow confirms bullish positioning.
🔥 Conclusion – High-Probability Long Setup
✅ Smart money accumulation & institutional order flow confirm a bullish bias.
✅ Confluence of technical, fundamental, and liquidity factors supports upside movement.
✅ Potential targets: 2,926 → 2,936 → 2,950.
📌 Did you catch this move? Let me know your thoughts in the comments! 🚀💬
Altcoins HELL almost finished .History doesn’t repeat but it often rhymes. The cycle rhymes again with a way more massive volume, last one took +1300 days to start explode and this one going for a bit longer now , tbh I could never see this hellish situation, it’s a deep filt.h which was unseeable but we still survived, every run has its own cycle a d in this one I see a glimpse of life .
We gonna stay but not for ever , I’m out good or bad October-November this year unless I see something very special on my charts so for now hold tight and remember as long as you holding you shi.t coins you haven’t lost.
TSLA Technical Analysis – Reversal in Progress?Market Structure & Key Levels
* Current Price: $278.53
* Support: $265, $250
* Resistance: $292.5, $300, $310
TSLA has recently rebounded from a demand zone around $265, showing early signs of a potential reversal. Multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) shifts indicate a possible transition from a bearish to a bullish market structure.
Reversal Zone Analysis
TSLA has entered a potential reversal zone between $278 - $292.5. If price sustains above $278, upside momentum toward $300 and $310 could unfold. A failure to hold $278 could send it back to retest the $265 support level.
Options & GEX Analysis
* IVR: 84.1
* IVx Avg: 80.3
* GEX: Green (bullish positioning)
* Put Walls: $265, $250
* Call Walls: $292.5, $300, $310
Options flow indicates bullish sentiment, with increasing call interest above $292.5 and strong put support at $265.
Trading Plan & Strategy
Bullish Scenario (Preferred)
* Entry: Above $278 with strong volume confirmation
* Target: $292.5, then $300
* Stop-Loss: Below $272
Bearish Scenario (Less Likely)
* Entry: If price rejects the $292.5 - $300 zone
* Target: $265
* Stop-Loss: Above $295
Options Trade Idea
* Bull Call Spread: Buy $280 Calls, Sell $300 Calls (April Expiry)
* Credit Put Spread: Sell $270 Puts, Buy $260 Puts
Final Thoughts
TSLA is showing early signs of a reversal, but needs to hold above $278 for confirmation. Watch for strength toward $292.5 and $300. If price struggles at resistance, a retest of $265 is possible.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
NFLX - NetFlix is overhyped an TA says tooBesides what I think about NFLX (bad for you, poor quality & service, lairs etc.), there is something that can be used to rate and judge a Stocks pricing - The Technical Analysis.
The white Fork projects the most probable path of price. The U-MLH is the upper stretch, the L-MLH the lower and the CL is the Center, where price is in equilibrium.
Where is price now?
It mooned to the upper Warning-Line!
Such moves are insane, crazy, not healthy and produce by manipulation and/or greed that eats Brains.
However - As I follow the rules of the Medianlines (Forks), I know that price is hyper extended up there. So, it can't go further? Of course it could. But Chances are poor that it will.
Instead, Chances are high that price falls down to the U-MLH. At least.
Why?
Besides price is stretched, it failed to move up to the next Warning Line (WL2).
So, there you have it.
I'm shorting NFLX and my target is at least the U-MLH, with further downside potential with PTG2 at the Centerline.
Ready for the new bull run? XAU / USD ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Freshly released US data has fueled recession concerns, with the Atlanta Fed GDP Now Model slashing its Q1 2025 growth projection to -2.8%, a sharp drop from Monday’s 1.6% estimate.
Meanwhile, February’s ISM and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI readings painted a mixed picture. The ISM index edged closer to the 50 threshold, signaling a slowdown, while the S&P Global measure showed solid expansion. In response, US Treasury yields tumbled as traders increasingly priced in Federal Reserve rate cuts.
This flight to safety boosted demand for gold, propelling prices toward $2,900. Looking ahead, gold traders will turn their attention to key economic releases, including the ISM Services PMI, Initial Jobless Claims, and February’s Nonfarm Payrolls.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Market sentiment is gradually improving and optimistic, expecting a new rally above 3000 after the implementation of tariffs that took effect yesterday in Canada, Mexico and China. Gold prices tend to retest the breakout zones of 2900, 2892 and 2880 to create more short-term liquidity.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2891 - $2893 SL $2888 scalping
TP1: $2896
TP2: $2900
TP3: $2905
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2880 - $2878 SL $2873
TP1: $2888
TP2: $2895
TP3: $2910
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2935 - $2937 SL $2942
TP1: $2928
TP2: $2920
TP3: $2910
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BABA - Attempt to retrace its highWriting this as an example to friends of why its so important to put in a "Stop Loss" in every position that you're holding overnight or even long term.
In this scenario I bought at the top and held the position for five years, waiting for a bottom to form.
1st Purchase: 12-29-2020 - (30) Shares @ 231.30
2nd Purchase: 05-23-2024 - (30) Shares @ 81.91
3rd Purchase: 11-14-2024 - (20) Shares @ 90.54
This is where we are at today. I have a method of trying to identify the completion of a bottom. Then use Wyckoff method to figure out where is the spring phase to catch good pricing.
Then I've been adding to the loss position to lower my long-term loss and hopefully come out with a profit. "RED Dotted Line labeled AVG COST"
As of today 03-05-2025 this holding is at a $278.29 Profit. Not bad for holding 5 years just to make almost $300 dollars profit but better yet.
Valuable lessons learned both as a trader/investor:
1. Keep your losses short, put in a Stop Loss once the order has been filled or when opening the position
2. Pride - the market doesn't care if you're right or wrong. Its your pride and ego that's stopping you from admitting the trade is working against you and action needs to be taken.
3. Pride - you're not going to catch the absolute Top or Bottom. The Trend is your Friend, ride that wave until you get stopped out at a HAPPY Profit.
Either way, like I tell anyone who wants to start trading or investing. The market will show you what you need to improve on. Its important to keep a trading log, creating a trading plan, and most importantly - LIMIT your LOSES.
EURUSD Weekly Reversal DUMPEURUSD potential pullback or complete dump to erase the week move.
Continuously decreasing Cumm.Delta
Divergent LL from high of day into LO Open
Imbalances on the Volume Profile leaving liquidity
Continuous trap candle formations
Bearish VWAP Break (Intraday)
Targeting the volume imbalance or completion of the retail breakout
The key is whether it can be supported and rise at 89294.25
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
After the volatility period, it shows an upward trend above the HA-Low indicator (89294.25) on the 1D chart.
The key is whether it can be supported near 89294.25 and break through the M-Signal indicator on the 1D and 1W charts.
If the upward breakout is successful, it is expected to lead to an attempt to rise to around 94742.35.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, I think that the area around 94742.35 is likely to act as resistance.
-
If it falls below 89294.25, it is likely to eventually meet the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
Accordingly, the maximum decline is expected to be around 73499.86.
At this time, it is expected that the trend will be determined again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
-
In order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart and maintain its value.
However, considering the currently formed support and resistance points, I think that it is highly likely to turn into an uptrend if it rises to around 94742.35 and shows support.
Therefore, the section where we can proceed with the trade is
1st: 89294.25
2nd: 94742.35
I think it is possible when we see the support near the 1st and 2nd above.
-
In order for the uptrend to continue, it must rise above the HA-High indicator on the 1D chart.
Therefore,
1st: 97226.92
2nd: 101947.24
It must break through the 1st and 2nd sections above.
If not, the above section will act as resistance.
-
As I mentioned earlier, the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought section.
Therefore, I think it would be good to check whether it can be used as a trading reference indicator in the future by looking into how to resolve this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, I expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
EURUSDThe U.S. Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report for March 2025 is scheduled to be released on Friday, April 4, 2025, at 8:30 AM Eastern Time (2:30 PM South Africa Standard Time). The NFP report provides critical insights into the U.S. labor market, influencing currency markets, including the EUR/USD exchange rate.
As of March 5, 2025, the EUR/USD pair has experienced significant movements. The euro recently saw its largest three-day rally since November 2022, rising 3.1% to $1.07. This surge is attributed to increased European spending and signs of a slowing U.S. economy. Analysts from institutions such as Deutsche Bank, Rabobank, MUFG, and Nomura have shifted their outlook on the euro from bearish to bullish.
Forecasts for the EUR/USD exchange rate in March 2025 vary among analysts. UBS projects a decline to parity at 1.00 by March 2025, followed by a recovery to 1.06 by December. Conversely, other forecasts anticipate the euro trading above 1.10 during the same period.
The upcoming NFP release will be closely monitored, as it can significantly impact the EUR/USD pair. A stronger-than-expected NFP report may bolster the U.S. dollar, potentially leading to a decrease in the EUR/USD exchange rate. Conversely, a weaker report could weaken the dollar, resulting in an increase in the EUR/USD rate.
XAUUSD strong bullish 1. (Xauusd)Support at 2900 May Not Hold
The chart suggests a bounce from the 2900 support area, but if market sentiment weakens, we could see a breakdown below 2900 instead of a recovery.
If this happens, gold might dip further toward 2850 or even 2800 before regaining strength.
2. Trendline Breakdown is Possible
There's an upward trendline acting as dynamic support, but multiple touches increase the chance of a breakdown rather than a continuation.
A confirmed break below this trendline could lead to bearish momentum rather than a push higher.
3. Resistance May Be Stronger Than Expected
The analysis suggests a move toward 2960-3000, but these levels could act as a strong resistance instead of a breakout zone.
Failure to break 2960 might trigger another sell-off back toward 2900 or lower.
4. Macroeconomic Factors Could Shift Bias
If the US Dollar strengthens or bond yields rise, gold could struggle to gain momentum, invalidating the bullish outlook
GBP/USD - Institutional Backed Long Setup📌 Trade Execution & Technicals
Pair: GBP/USD
Timeframe: 15M
Trade Type: Long Position
Entry: 1.2816 – Price rejected key Fibonacci retracement level (0.62 Fib) after a liquidity sweep
Stop Loss: Below 1.2800
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 1.2862 (-0.27 Fib extension) ✅ Target
TP2: 1.2883 (-0.62 Fib extension) ✅ Target
Technical Confluence:
Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Price bounced off the 0.62 retracement (1.2816)
Market Structure: Higher low formation confirmed bullish continuation
Institutional Liquidity Grab: Price swept sell-side liquidity before reversing bullish
📊 Trade Outcome
✅ High-Probability Long Setup
Both TP1 & TP2 levels hit with strong bullish momentum
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) > 1:3
Price action confirmed bullish institutional positioning
🌍 High-Impact News That Influenced GBP/USD
UK S&P Global Services PMI (Actual: 51.0 vs Forecast: 51.1) – Slightly weaker, but still expansionary
US ADP National Employment (77K vs Forecast: 140K) – Weaker than expected, USD pressured
BoE Treasury Select Hearing (Hawkish Bias) – Supporting GBP strength
US ISM Manufacturing Prices & Business Activity Upcoming – Expected to increase USD volatility
💡 News Summary:
Weaker-than-expected US jobs data pressured the USD, providing momentum for GBP/USD upside
GBP remained resilient despite mixed PMI data, benefiting from USD weakness
📈 Volatility & Liquidity Insights
🔍 Prime Market Terminal Key Data:
GBP/USD Average True Range (ATR):
1-week ATR: 0.81%
1-month ATR: 0.86%
Institutional Liquidity Insights:
High liquidity buildup in the 1.2800-1.2820 range, acting as support
Strong order flow pushing GBP/USD higher post-US employment data release
🏦 Institutional Positioning & Market Flow
📊 Commitment of Traders (COT) Data & Smart Money Insights:
Dealer Positioning:
GBP Net Positioning: +56,707 contracts (Bullish institutional sentiment)
USD Net Positioning: -11,542 contracts (Bearish outlook on USD)
Open Interest & Retail Sentiment:
Retail Short Bias: 72% Short, 28% Long – Potential short squeeze
Smart Money Accumulation Zone: 1.2800-1.2820
📌 Conclusion
🔹 Why This Trade Worked:
✔ Liquidity Grab Below 1.2816 Before Reversal
✔ Institutional Positioning Confirmed Bullish Momentum
✔ Weaker US Jobs Data Weighed on USD, Pushing GBP/USD Higher
🚀 Next Steps:
Monitoring 1.2860 for continuation towards 1.2900 key level
Watching upcoming US ISM data for potential volatility spike
🔥 What’s your outlook on GBP/USD? Comment your thoughts below!
AVGO Broadcom Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought AVGO before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AVGO Broadcom prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 190usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $10.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
USD/CHF - Market Outlook This is my Outlook for USD/CHF
Currently we have some very clean price action in the 6H of which we have had a CHoCH and we previously tested a strong Supply zone before selling off. Leaving behind lots of buy side Liquidity Im looking to take out this first Supply zone before then selling off into the 0.27 Extension on the Fib. As long as P.A continues with this clean movement I will look to capture a similar move
Good luck to all the traders that follow
IQ- a growth stock with 7 P/E trading at book valueIm bulllish IQ stock, a top streaming service in China, and also downloadable in USA.
7.80 forward P/E, cheap. most growers are trading in the 30 PE range and some in the 100 PE.
Stock is trading below tangible book value, so you couldnt make this company for cheaper in theory. Its roughly trading at liquidation value (market prices can fluctuate for their assets).
25% growth expected per year, should double earnings every 3 years.
China is in downturn, real estate depression. Im buying now before they have good times.
Be safe. do your own homework. Listen to Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch.
Cheers!
Tesla at a Crossroads: $257 or a Dive to $242? Alright, Tesla fam—big decision point ahead. Do we hold $257 and drop to $242, or are we about to rip to $280 and start pushing for higher highs? Either way, something big is brewing. How are you playing this?
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trader Smarter Live Better
SMCI - Updated Analysis and Potential Entry PointsThis has been an interesting start since the massive 80%+ downfall. I'm always looking to start building positions in companies that are sitting in undervalued territory and although that doesn't necessarily mean we're going to jump tomorrow, it is how you build a solid longer term portfolio of value.
Happy Trading :)