XAUUSD H4 Outlook – July 7, 2025“You don’t chase gold. You set the trap, then wait.”
👋 Hey traders — we’re gearing up for a new week on gold, and the H4 chart is starting to speak clearly. After Friday’s clean push into premium rejection zones, price is now compressing beneath a key supply block. Structure is fragile, and the next move will likely come fast.
Let’s position with precision before the breakout.
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🔸 H4 Bias
Structure remains bearish short-term, with clear lower highs forming below a major supply at 3344–3351.
The broader bias leans neutral as we trade between unmitigated demand and inducement-heavy resistance. Confirmation is everything.
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🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Areas)
3344–3351
→ H4 Fair Value Gap + OB combo inside premium
→ If price wicks above recent highs and rejects here, it could trigger a clean swing sell.
3380–3394
→ Origin of the last bearish leg + liquidity wick
→ High-risk, high-reward rejection zone if price spikes impulsively this week (e.g. post-Fed tone or surprise volatility).
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🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Areas)
3265–3275
→ H4 FVG + flip zone + prior sweep level
→ If price taps and holds here, we may see re-accumulation for a move toward 3327–3340.
3235–3246
→ Strong unmitigated OB + discount level
→ Ideal sniper long zone only on clean rejection + structure shift (BOS on M15+).
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🟡 Flip / Decision Zone
3299–3305
→ EMA50 + micro-range equilibrium
→ If price breaks and holds above this zone with strength, bias turns short-term bullish. If it rejects, continuation down is favored.
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🎯 Execution Notes
EMA21/50 are acting as active compression bands — watch for rejection pressure
RSI shows no clear divergence yet — but volume is thinning
Liquidity is building above 3340 and below 3265 — prepare for traps both ways
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🔚 Final Words
Sniper traders aren’t early — they’re precise. If you’ve been reacting too fast lately, this is your week to reset. Gold is telling a story here… but only structure speaks the truth.
🚀 If this helps bring clarity to your outlook, tap follow — we do this daily, with structure, not signals.
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📢 Disclosure: I use Trade Nation’s broker feed on TradingView and I’m part of their influencer program.
📉 This is educational content, not financial advice.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gold lacks downside momentum: Next week's analysis & adviceGold trading is relatively light today due to the U.S. Independence Day holiday. On the downside, we continue to focus on the short-term support at the 3325 level, while the key resistance above remains in the 3345-3350 range, which was yesterday's breakdown point. The market has closed early today, and price action has been stuck in a range-bound consolidation.
After plunging $40 on the back of bearish non-farm payroll data, gold stabilized and rebounded, recouping nearly half of the losses. This performance confirms that the downside space is limited. Currently, the market has returned to a oscillating upward pattern, and the weekly chart is likely to continue range-bound fluctuations. From a technical perspective, the 3325 level has formed a key support. The secondary retest overnight confirmed the bottom structure, and the gradual lifting of early session lows has also released a bullish signal. Looking ahead to next week, gold is expected to continue its bullish trend. If the 3325 support level below remains unbroken, one can look for opportunities to establish long positions.
XAUUSD
buy@3325-3330
tp:3340-3360-3380
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Gold price is moving sideways on H4 frame, above 3242✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 07/07/2025 - 07/11/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices resumed their upward momentum on Friday and are on track to close the week with gains exceeding 1.50%, supported by a weaker US Dollar amid subdued liquidity following the Independence Day holiday in the United States. A mild uptick in trade tensions also contributed to bullion's strength. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,333, up 0.26%.
President Donald Trump announced that the US would begin sending official letters to trading partners on Friday ahead of the July 9 deadline, outlining new tariff measures ranging between 10% and 70%, set to take effect on August 1. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent added that a wave of trade agreements is expected before the deadline, estimating that around 100 countries will face a minimum 10% reciprocal tariff. He also hinted at upcoming deal announcements.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price continues to move sideways, accumulating in a large range: 3242 - 3450
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3362, $3393, $3446
Support: $3312, $3279, $3241
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th
Hello, traders.
Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th.
The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6.
It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart.
For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators.
Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed.
What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point.
-
It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period.
If not, it will eventually show a downward trend.
As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit.
However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend.
Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction.
Conditions for continuing the uptrend include:
1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend,
2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line,
3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend,
If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue.
-
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important.
If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21.
If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline.
The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section.
Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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XAUUSD Weekly Outlook | July 7–11, 2025“The market always whispers before it roars. The wise trader listens to structure.”
Hello beautiful minds 💬
We enter the second week of July with strong macro undercurrents and new structure shifts beginning to show. While the U.S. celebrated Independence Day, the market quietly set up key zones for next week’s liquidity sweep.
🔸 Macro & Geopolitical Overview
🟠 Geopolitics: Tensions continue post-BRICS Summit, with a focus on further de-dollarization talks.
💰 U.S. Economy: Consumer credit and NFIB small business confidence to kick off the week.
🔔 Big catalysts:
Wednesday: Fed speeches (Mouslem, Waller, Daly)
Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Bond Auction
Friday: Federal Budget Balance (a key fiscal stress indicator)
📉 Expect spikes in volatility mid-week and dollar reactions post-FOMC speeches.
🔸 WEEKLY BIAS:
Still bullish to neutral, but momentum is cooling inside a premium rejection range.
Price broke structure to the upside in May-June, forming a new weekly higher high (HH) above 3380 — but failed to hold convincingly above the volume imbalance (void zone) around 3430–3480.
We are now rejecting premium and hovering just under the 3327 level — previous institutional support and the midpoint of the weekly FVG.
🔹 Weekly Key Zones
🟢 Support zone to watch (buy interest)
3204–3230 = Weekly FVG + equilibrium retrace + EMA50 rising
This is the main discount reaction zone. If price taps in with bullish PA, we look for bullish continuation toward 3327 then 3380.
🟡 Mid-level (decision point)
3327 = prior key support now acting as resistance
Watch how price reacts here — if it flips cleanly with a daily close, short-term bullish pressure may return.
🔴 Supply zone / resistance (sell interest)
3420–3480 = Weekly FVG + premium OB + liquidity sweep zone
This is the main premium rejection area. If tapped again without strong volume or fundamentals, this may fuel a swing short setup.
🔸 What This Means for You
This week is about patience and precision. The cleanest setups may come after volatility spikes during Fed speeches. Structure will tell — but emotional control will confirm.
If you feel like you’ve been chasing trades lately… this is the week to reset.
Focus only on sniper setups. Wait for them to form. Let others rush.
🔚 Final Words from the Team
Clarity beats chaos. Always. This weekly map is your compass — now it’s your job to wait, watch, and act with precision.
🔔 Follow GoldFxMinds for structured gold planning that respects both price and time.
🗨️ Drop a comment with your bias — bullish or bearish this week?
—
📌 Disclosure: This analysis is for educational purposes only and reflects market structure at the time of writing. No financial advice.
NVDA GEX Analysis for Options Trading. Jul 7Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights – July 5, 2025
* 📍Key Gamma Wall (Resistance):
→ 160.98 — Highest positive GEX level (strong call wall / gamma resistance).
→ 162.5 — Next large call wall, acting as a magnet or rejection pivot.
→ 165 / 170 — Thin GEX above = squeeze zone if breakout occurs.
* 🧲 Support Side:
→ 152.5 – 150: HVL + Put Support + GEX pocket.
→ 140: Second PUT wall, deeper support if breakdown worsens.
* 📉 IV Sentiment:
→ IVR: 5.6, IVx avg: 37.9 = Low implied volatility.
→ Current IV crush environment favors debit call spreads or directional long calls with tight risk.
* 📊 Call/Put Flow:
→ Calls: 3.3%, Puts: -0.53%
→ Slight bullish bias but not overcrowded — room for gamma expansion.
🔄 Options Trade Setups Based on GEX
Bullish Gamma Squeeze Setup:
🟢 Trigger: Price breaks and holds above 161.
🧨 Target: 165 → 170 (thin GEX zone could cause sharp move).
🛡️ Strategy: Buy 160C / Sell 165C (debit spread) or long 162.5C with defined stop.
⛔ Stop: If NVDA fails to hold above 158.
Bearish Gamma Rejection Setup:
🔴 Trigger: Rejection at 160.98–162.5 zone with volume fade.
🎯 Target: 156.5 → 152.
🛡️ Strategy: Long 160P / Short 155P (bear put spread) or short 162.5C naked if IV allows.
⛔ Stop: Breakout above 162.5 invalidates this setup.
📈 1-Hour Chart Technical Analysis
Structure & Price Action:
* NVDA is in bullish market structure, forming higher lows with a clean CHoCH → BOS → retest play.
* It reclaimed the 159.20 level and is testing the 160.98–162.5 zone — a key area where momentum traders will engage.
Zones to Watch:
* Support:
→ 156.68 (minor swing support)
→ 153–152 OB zone (valid bullish OB + HVL)
* Resistance:
→ 161–162.5 (GEX resistance + supply)
→ Above 162.5 opens room to 165+
Trend & Volume:
* Strong bullish candle breaking BOS.
* Volume picked up during BOS, but follow-through needs to come with breakout candles or retest hold.
🔍 My Suggestions for Intraday/Swing Traders:
✅ Bullish Setup:
If NVDA holds above 159.20 and reclaims 161, enter on retest of 160.50.
TP1: 162.5
TP2: 165
SL: Below 157.80
❌ Bearish Setup:
If price gets rejected near 162 and breaks below 157.80 → short retracement to 153.
TP1: 156.5
TP2: 152
SL: Above 162.50
My View:
Currently bullish bias but entering a decision zone. Wait for clean breakout with volume, or short rejection if momentum fades. Keep GEX in mind — above 162.5 has little resistance and can rip.
This breakdown is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always manage your risk before taking a trade.
Avalanche 2025 All-Time High, Accumulation & Bullish ZonesI am using $495 as the next bullish cycle top. The 2025/26 bull market all-time high. It can be more but it can also be less. We can only guess at this point because the Cryptocurrency market is just so young that everything becomes possible. We err by being conservative.
Avalanche is trading within a long-term accumulation zone. The best possible prices, literally.
The purple-rounded bottoms on the chart denotes an excess.
This year, 2025, the accumulation zone was activated in February. The action then moved within this orange-zone in March and this is where everything is happening now.
If you wanted to put tens of millions of dollars into this project at the best possible prices pre-2025 bull market wave, then you would need to do it based on the long-term. Back in July-August-November 2024 and February, March, April, June and so on 2025.
If you were to buy too big too fast it would push prices up. So whales wait months in order to accumulate. After years of accumulation at low prices, they send the signal and the market can move. Once the market starts moving, the consolidation/accumulation period is over, there is no going back.
The "neutral zone" here is light blue. This is already bullish but not ultra-bullish because there is no continuation inside this zone. Only when Avalanche (AVAX) moves and stays above it we can get a new bull market cycle. Since it only happens every four years, like clockwork, there is no need to guess.
Pre-2021 we buy as much as we can and sell when prices are high up. Post 2021 bearish, SHORT, SHORT, SHORT. After 2022 comes the transition period, the long-term accumulation and consolidation phase. In 2025 is the next bull market, this is where we are at now.
So now we can buy as much as we can but only with the intention to sell when prices are up.
An investor does not sell, only buys forever more. But still, if you are an investor, you shouldn't buy when prices are high. The time is now to accumulate on everything.
A trader sells every few weeks, every few months. Each wave. Buy support (low) and sell resistance (high). Buy low (red) and sell high (green).
You need to know clearly if you are trading or investing. Getting things confused can result in loses. Getting this topic confused simply means lack of planning.
We are entering a major bullish cycle and wave. This is not the time to be a trader if you've never traded before. This is the time to invest, accumulate; buy and hold. Sell only when prices are astronomically high.
When the bullish cycle is over and if you find a pair trading at support, you can buy to sell again within weeks or months. But not now. Now, after you buy, you hold. Makes sense?
We are in this together.
I love you!
Your continued support is appreciated, truly.
Namaste.
Safe Entry STEMPrice movement consolidating.
Safe Entry Green Zone.
Red Zone is Sell Zone. better watch out for any selling pressure.
P.high Lines Are Good Resitances.
Final Target 33.45$ price level.
better to wait stock and not follow.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Gold Weekly Recap – Week 27 (30 Jun – 04 Jul)🟡 XAUUSD | MJTrading
Overview
Gold (XAUUSD) staged a significant recovery this week after retesting a critical support zone. Price action reflected strong buying interest at lower levels, followed by consolidation near mid-range resistance.
🔹 Key Levels:
Strong Support Zone: 3,246 – 3,250
Weekly Low: 3,246.35 (30 June)
Weekly High: 3,365.77 (3 July)
Closing Price: ~3,343
🔹 Price Action Summary:
✅ Early Week Retest & Reversal
After the prior week’s decline, gold opened the week near the major support area around 3,246. This zone acted as a strong demand pocket, triggering a swift rejection and initiating a bullish reversal.
✅ Sustained Rally to Resistance
Price climbed steadily, riding the 15-period EMA to reach the weekly high of 3,365.77 on 3 July. This move represented a nearly 4% recovery off the lows, fueled by renewed safe-haven flows and short covering.
✅ Midweek Consolidation
Following the rally, gold entered a sideways consolidation phase between 3,340 and 3,365. EMA flattening reflected a pause in momentum as traders assessed the next directional catalyst.
✅ Late-Week Pullback
Toward the end of the week, price tested the 3,310–3,320 area before modestly bouncing into the Friday close. Overall, the market maintained a cautiously bullish tone while holding above the prior support.
🔹 Technical Perspective:
🔸 Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Price defended the strong support and printed a higher low structure.
Sustained closes above 3,300 maintain the bullish outlook.
🔸 Near-Term Resistance:
3,365–3,390 remains the immediate supply zone to monitor for breakout attempts.
🔸 Key Support:
The 3,246–3,250 area continues to be the primary downside line in the sand.
🔹 Special Note – 4th July US Bank Holiday
Trading volumes were notably lighter on Thursday, 4th July, due to the US Independence Day holiday. This contributed to reduced liquidity and muted volatility, with many traders and institutions off desks. The thinner market conditions likely influenced the late-week pullback and consolidation, as participation was limited heading into the weekend.
🔹 Sentiment & Outlook
The decisive rebound from support suggests that buyers are defending value zones aggressively. However, failure to close the week above 3,365 leaves gold vulnerable to another retest of mid-range levels if fresh catalysts don’t emerge.
Traders should watch for:
A clean breakout above 3,365 to confirm continuation higher.
Any sustained weakness below 3,300 as a signal of fading bullish momentum.
🧭 Next Week’s Focus:
Monitoring whether the consolidation evolves into accumulation or distribution.
Watching for a breakout or deeper pullback
Reactions to upcoming economic data
EMA alignment: If the 15 EMA continues to track above the 60 EMA, it supports a bullish bias.
Chart Notes:
The main chart highlights this week’s action, while the inset provides a fortnight overview of the broader decline and recovery for context.
Thank you for your time and your support...
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i am bearish for PENGUUSDT for now Key Observations & Analysis
Structure & Trend
You can see a clear downtrend in June.
Price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern:
Left Shoulder: Early June low.
Head: Deeper low mid-June.
Right Shoulder: Late June higher low.
This is a bullish reversal pattern.
Trendline Breakout: After the right shoulder formed, price broke the diagonal trendline resistance (marked “trendline breakout”)—signaling bullish momentum.
Breakout & Rally
Strong volume increase confirmed the breakout.
Price trended up rapidly after the breakout, forming higher highs and higher lows.
Recent Price Action
The current price is consolidating in a key supply zone (gray shaded area).
Marked order block: a potential supply zone where smart money may sell.
Price has also made a Market Structure Shift (MSS)—suggesting the uptrend could be losing steam.
HTF POI (Higher Timeframe Point of Interest)
The upper gray box labeled HTF POI between ~0.0167–0.0175.
This is likely a major resistance area.
Price is testing this zone repeatedly.
Liquidity & Target
Trend liquidity has been swept, meaning stops above recent highs have likely been taken.
There is a blue shaded box indicating a potential short scenario:
Entry near the order block.
Target near the prior consolidation support around ~0.008–0.009.
This implies a bias toward a corrective move or retracement.
Volume & RSI
Volume spiked during breakout and has since decreased—often a sign of buyer exhaustion.
RSI around ~58—neutral but no overbought signal yet.
✅ Interpretation Summary
Bullish Arguments:
The inverted head and shoulders broke out cleanly.
Strong trend continuation into higher timeframe resistance.
Bearish Arguments:
Price is consolidating under significant resistance (HTF POI).
Order block + liquidity sweep suggest potential distribution.
Market structure shift indicates sellers are stepping in.
The blue target box shows a potential retracement target near 0.008–0.009.
✅ What This Likely Means
Scenario 1 (Continuation):
If price breaks cleanly above 0.0175 with strong volume, continuation higher is likely.
Scenario 2 (Rejection):
If price keeps rejecting this order block, a short-term pullback toward 0.009 becomes probable.
✅ Tip if You’re Trading This
Watch for a clear reaction in the gray order block area.
Confirmation of rejection could trigger shorts.
A strong close above the HTF POI invalidates the bearish scenario.
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview:
Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000
• Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500
• EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains.
• Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement.
📌 Outlook:
Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact.
💡 Suggested Trade Setup:
🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500
🎯 TP: 106,800
❌ SL: 109,300
🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500
🎯 TP: 107,800
❌ SL: 104,800
GOOGL Breaking Out of Downtrend? July 7🔍 GEX-Based Options Insight (Chart 1)
* Current Price: $179.53
* Highest Positive Gamma Level: $180 — this is the key gamma wall. Price is magnetized toward it and may experience hesitation or consolidation here.
* Call Walls Above:
* $182.5 → 2nd Call Wall
* $185 → 3rd Call Wall (possible extended target if momentum remains bullish)
* Put Walls Below:
* $170, $165 → Both levels suggest downside is well-defended by PUT buyers
* Options Sentiment:
* IVR: 36.2 (fairly elevated)
* IVX > IVR (IV expansion potential)
* Call Bias: 22.9% Call$, GEX bullish (green circles)
* 🔋 Interpretation: Bullish GEX + elevated IV suggests strong upward pressure. Consider buying CALL options near $179–$180, targeting a breakout continuation toward $182.5–$185.
🧠 1-Hour Technical Analysis (Chart 2)
* Structure: GOOGL just broke a local CHoCH → BOS, reclaiming short-term EMA support.
* Trendline Breakout: Clean break above descending trendline + break of BOS = bullish confirmation.
* Support Zones:
* $178.85 (minor support)
* $175.70 and $173.50 (stronger demand)
* Next Resistance Levels:
* $181.61 → matches GEX wall
* $185.0 → next key area to watch if breakout sustains
* Volume: Bullish breakout accompanied by rising volume = healthy momentum
* Bias: Leaning bullish, but needs to hold $178.85 zone to stay valid.
✅ Trade Plan Suggestion
Call Entry Idea:
* 📍 Entry: $179–$180 (on pullback or breakout)
* 🎯 Target: $182.5 → $185
* ⛔️ Stop-loss: Below $178.50
* 📆 Contract: 1–2 weeks out (due to IV and potential expansion)
Note: If it fails to hold $178.50–$175.70 zone, re-evaluate for PUTs or wait for new structure confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always manage risk and trade with a plan.
EUR_AUD LOCAL CORRECTION|SHORT|
✅EUR_AUD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 1.8020
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 1.7940
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDCAD SHORT Potential retest of the same level as last week;
Entry at both Daily and Weekly AOi
Weekly Rejection At AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 0.89500
H4 Candlestick rejection
Levels 4.17
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Middle East Tensions vs. Global Demand Hello Traders 🐺
🧠 Fundamental Insight:
Recent geopolitical developments in the Middle East — particularly tensions involving Iran, Israel, and unrest around the Red Sea shipping routes — have reignited fears of supply shocks in the oil market.
But how much of this is just market sentiment, and how much is a real, structural threat?
It’s important to note that most oil-producing nations in the Middle East are heavily reliant on oil revenue to sustain domestic budgets.
Prolonged disruption in oil supply would backfire economically, forcing them to eventually restore production — or risk budget deficits, currency devaluation, or inflation.
Moreover, while global efforts are pushing toward electrification and renewable energy, a large portion of electricity is still generated using fossil fuels — many of which are petroleum-based.
So even as demand shifts in form (from gasoline to electricity), crude oil remains embedded in the global energy matrix.
🇺🇸 The U.S. & 🇨🇳 China: Macro Drivers at Work
The U.S. remains the world’s largest oil producer thanks to shale output. Any significant rise in Brent can be quickly counterbalanced by a ramp-up in U.S. production.
The Fed’s monetary policy also plays a role. A stronger USD (via rate hikes) generally pressures oil prices downward.
China, as the largest importer of crude, has a decisive influence on demand. Weak industrial output or real estate troubles in China can nullify even a strong supply shock.
Watch for China’s stimulus policies — any sign of renewed growth can boost Brent significantly.
📉 Technical Outlook (Brent Crude - Weekly Chart Hypothesis):
As you can see on the weekly chart , price was trying to pump above the monthly resistance area however It's turned into the fake out and all of us knows that this is a massive sign of weakness for BRENT but I still think that price is currently could goes a little bit higher than the current level and break above the blue trend line in the mid term .
Any news-driven spike (e.g., new conflict headlines) must be validated by volume and follow-through — otherwise, it's a fade opportunity.
🎯 Conclusion:
Don’t blindly buy into every geopolitical headline.
While the Middle East remains a key risk factor for Brent, true price action will depend on the balance between physical disruptions and global demand signals — particularly from the U.S. and China.
In this market, the chart reacts first, but macro confirms the move.
As traders, we must track both — not just price, but purpose.
let me know what you are thinking about the current situation in the comment section down below !
and as always remember :
🐺 Discipline is rarely enjoyable , but almost always profitable 🐺
🐺 KIU_COIN 🐺
NQ 100 E mini
🧠 NASDAQ 100 (NQ) Weekly Outlook – July 8–12, 2025
📍Liquidity Sweep Before Expansion?
After the rejection near 23,100, NQ appears to be entering a rebalancing phase, with potential downside liquidity grabs before any continuation to the upside.
📊 Key Technical Levels:
🔸 High: 23,102.50 → Major buy-side liquidity zone.
🔸 Equal Lows: 22,675 – 22,725 → Potential draw on liquidity.
🔸 0.75–1.00 retracement zone (from the recent bullish leg) overlaps with a clear demand area.
🔸 Multiple open Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain above and below current price.
📈 Primary Scenario:
✅ Bullish bias, after a potential liquidity sweep below the Equal Lows.
🔻 A downside sweep into the 22,675–22,725 zone would open up opportunities to go long on bullish confirmation, targeting:
22,975 (FVG fill)
23,050 (intermediate resistance)
23,102+ (liquidity above previous high)
⚠️ Alternate Scenario:
If the market fails to sweep the lows and begins pushing higher early in the week, I’ll look for breakout-retest setups above 22,975 to participate in continuation plays.
🎯 Weekly Game Plan:
Plan A: Wait for a liquidity sweep below the equal lows, then look for a bullish reaction and structure shift to go long.
Plan B: In the absence of a sweep, only consider longs above 22,975 after confirmation of strength.
📌 This outlook is based on price action, market structure, liquidity zones, and FVG analysis. Not financial advice.
HBARUSDTCryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period.
Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal.
About me :
"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
LINKUSDT Cryptocurrency Futures Market Disclaimer 🚨🚨🚨
Trading cryptocurrency futures involves high risks and is not suitable for all investors.
Cryptocurrency prices are highly volatile, which can lead to significant gains or losses in a short period.
Before engaging in crypto futures trading, consider your risk tolerance, experience, and financial situation.
Risk of Loss: You may lose more than your initial capital due to the leveraged nature of futures. You are fully responsible for any losses incurred.
Market Volatility: Crypto prices can fluctuate significantly due to factors such as market sentiment, regulations, or unforeseen events.
Leverage Risk: The use of leverage can amplify profits but also increases the risk of total loss.
Regulatory Uncertainty: Regulations related to cryptocurrencies vary by jurisdiction and may change, affecting the value or legality of trading.
Technical Risks: Platform disruptions, hacking, or technical issues may result in losses.
This information is not financial, investment, or trading advice. Consult a professional financial advisor before making decisions. We are not liable for any losses or damages arising from cryptocurrency futures trading.
Note: Ensure compliance with local regulations regarding cryptocurrency trading in your region.
thanks for like and follow @ydnldn to have more information outlook and free signal.
About me :
"I am a passionate swing trader focused on analyzing financial markets to capture profit opportunities from medium-term price movements. With a disciplined approach and in-depth technical analysis, I concentrate on identifying trends, support-resistance levels, and price patterns to make informed trading decisions. I prioritize strict risk management to protect capital while maximizing profit potential. Always learning and adapting to market dynamics, I enjoy the process of refining strategies to achieve consistency in trading."
XAUUSD Gold Weekly solid Bullish zone Gold weekly Forecast lets see how the price will plays out open and see and send your feedback about Gold.
After the breaking Price could catch there support after pull back top but last week on Friday due to the low volume price could not move Highly Gold stabilized after correction after the falling weekly from 3366 Gold price found demand again in Asia on Friday but US Budgets risk due to the holiday could increase,
Technically Price range in last week 3357 to 311 there is important level and Bullish zone,
Resistance zone 3365 / 3390
Support Levels 3325 /. 3311
it is important situation for you traders to use trade long-term hope you can find more details in the chart POs Support with like and comments for more analysis.
GBP_AUD BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅GBP_AUD is going up to retest
A horizontal resistance of 2.0892
Which makes me locally bearish biased
And I think that we will see a pullback
And a move down from the level
Towards the target below at 2.0805
SHORT🔥
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Inside My Gold Mind: Weekend Trade Log📌 Market Context / Bias
The majority of bullish price action on VELOCITY:GOLD occurred early in the week — specifically between Monday and Tuesday. From midweek through Friday, the market entered a period of consolidation, showing signs of compression.
Interestingly, despite positive economic data that favoured the USD, GOLD remained steady and resilient. This suggests underlying bullish pressure and potential accumulation.
My current bias is bullish going into the new week — with expectations of a price expansion to the upside.
🔍 Higher Timeframe Analysis
Weekly Candle: Shows early bullish expansion followed by consolidation — classic sign of absorption or reaccumulation.
Draw on Liquidity: Equal highs remain above, acting as a magnet for price.
FVGs: Price traded into a daily FVG earlier in the week and closed above it.
Order Block: Price respected a previous Bullish Order Block during Thursday’s retracement, reinforcing possible support.
🧩 Lower Timeframe Confluence
1H–4H: Price is forming relatively equal highs above the current range — potential liquidity targets.
Intraday Structure: No major shift to bearish order flow was confirmed; compression suggests a possible continuation move once expansion begins.
🧠 Fundamental Insight
Despite hawkish or strong USD fundamentals, GOLD held its ground. This divergence often precedes a strong move — likely driven by risk sentiment, upcoming Fed commentary, or global macro drivers.
🧠 Trade Plan Preview
Stay tuned for my daily updates where I’ll share:
My bias for the day
Market structure breakdown
Intraday trade plan (entry, targets, and session model)
⚠️ Reminder:
Trade with due diligence. This is not financial advice. Always align entries with your personal model and preferred session.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice.
All trading involves risk. You are solely responsible for your own decisions, so always conduct proper research and due diligence before taking any trades.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Trade responsibly.
May your final trades of the week be precise and profitable.