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Gold Consolidates Around 3,310 – Waiting for a Breakout📊 Market Developments: • Gold is currently holding near $3,310, which aligns with the weekly pivot level on TradingView. • With the upcoming FOMC minutes and key data (CPI, NFP) approaching, the market remains cautious. The USD is stable, keeping gold in a tight range. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Short-term Resistance: $3,325–3,335 (H4 supply zone) • Nearest Support: $3,300–3,305 (weekly pivot + H1/H4 lows) • EMA 09 on H4: Price is trading below EMA09 → short-term bearish bias. • Candlestick/Volume/Momentum: Lower highs on H4 candles with declining volume indicate weak buying momentum and a possible continuation of consolidation or mild pullback. 📌 Outlook: • As long as gold stays below $3,305 and the USD remains firm, a pullback toward $3,300–3,295 is likely. • A break above the $3,325–3,335 resistance zone could trigger a rally toward $3,350 or higher. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,322–3,325 🎯 TP: $3,300 ❌ SL: $3,332 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,300–3,303 🎯 TP: $3,325–3,335 ❌ SL: $3,295
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals
1
XAUUSD Sniper Outlook – July 7, 2025"Structure over noise. Patience is power. Welcome back to the battlefield." 👋 Hey traders! After a low-volume week due to the US Independence Day holiday, we now re-enter the battlefield with structure tightening under major resistance — and with Fed commentary on the radar. No CPI. No NFP. But don't sleep on the setups — liquidity is quietly shifting. 🧭 Here’s what we’ve got ahead: 🔔 Key Events – July 8–12: 🟡 Monday–Tuesday: BRICS Summit (geo/political exposure) 🔵 Wednesday: FOMC Minutes – potential policy clues 🔴 Thursday: Unemployment Claims + Fed speakers (Muserlian, Waller) ⚪ Friday: Federal Budget Balance We’re likely entering a reactive environment — fueled by internal structure shifts, not major macro catalysts. Perfect for smart money setups. 🧠 HTF Structure & Bias 🔹 Daily Bias: Price remains capped under the key daily supply 3344–3351, which rejected cleanly before the holiday. Unless that flips into support, bias remains neutral to bearish. EMAs 5/21 are curling sideways. RSI is flattening, and structure shows fading momentum. 🔹 H4 Bias: We’re consolidating below a CHoCH + LH series, inside premium territory. The rejection from 3344 was precise, and unless broken, pressure favors the downside. Price is rotating between the H4 EQ and the 3325–3332 intraday OB. Momentum is slowing — watch for re-accumulation or rejection depending on reaction at key zones. 🔴 Supply Zones (Sell Scenarios) 1. 3344 – 3351 This is the Daily + H4 supply from last week. EMA alignment + FVG + liquidity sweep confluence. Perfect sniper rejection area if price trades up and stalls. Look for M15/M30 CHoCH confirmations. 2. 3380 – 3394 Untouched H1-H4 OB in premium. Not related to CPI/NFP — just pure inducement wick potential from above. If tapped after midweek liquidity push (e.g. FOMC Minutes), watch for overreaction entries. 🟢 Demand Zones (Buy Scenarios) 1. 3325 – 3332 Last week’s discount reaction zone. H1 OB + internal CHoCH zone. If swept and protected by bullish PA (M15 BOS), this becomes the best R/R long back into 3344. Already tested Friday, but still holds weight for Monday. 2. 3286 – 3272 H4 OB + daily demand + RSI oversold zone. If we get a full breakdown early week, expect this area to act as a reaccumulation pocket for bulls — but only with confirmation. ⚔️ Decision Zone – 3299 – 3305 This is the weekly flip area. If bulls defend 3305 → bullish short-term bias returns. If 3299 fails → downside continues into 3280s. 🧠 Summary & Gameplan 🧷 No CPI. No NFP. That means cleaner technical moves — no fake news spikes, just pure structure. Expect Monday to be reactionary (post-holiday), and Wednesday–Thursday to bring intraday setups post-FOMC minutes. ✅ If price is in premium, watch for bearish rejections at 3344/3380. ✅ If price dips into discount, wait for confirmation longs at 3325 or 3286. ✅ Stay patient in mid-range. Don’t force trades inside chop zones. 🧲 If this gave you real clarity — don’t just scroll on. Hit the ❤️ button, smash Follow, and tell us in the comments: 👉 Which zone do you trust more — the 3325 reentry or the 3380 inducement trap? Let the gold tribe know 👇 — 📢 Disclosure: This analysis is based on the Trade Nation TradingView feed. I’m part of their Influencer Program and receive a monthly fee. ⚠️ Educational content only — not financial advice. — GoldFxMinds 💛 Patience | Discipline | Fearless Execution
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
Bears pressure early week below 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices (XAU/USD) face renewed selling pressure, dipping toward the $3,320 level during the early Asian session on Monday. The pullback comes as June’s stronger-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report has reshaped market expectations around the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy path. Investors now turn their attention to the upcoming release of the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday for further guidance. The US economy added 147,000 jobs in June, beating expectations and slightly up from May’s revised figure of 144,000. Meanwhile, the Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.1%. These figures reinforced the view that the labor market remains resilient, thereby lowering the odds of an imminent Fed rate cut. As a result, the US Dollar has strengthened, weighing on non-yielding assets such as Gold. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Downtrend at the beginning of the week, gold price returns to accumulate below 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3337- 3339 SL 3344 TP1: $3328 TP2: $3312 TP3: $3300 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3297-$3295 SL $3290 TP1: $3308 TP2: $3320 TP3: $3330 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
Altseason Ahead? BTC Dominance Cycle RepeatsBTC dominance is forming a pattern similar to the 2021 cycle, where dominance peaked after a long uptrend and then sharply declined, triggering a major altseason. Interestingly, that drop occurred after a 1,085-day rise, a time span we are once again approaching in 2025, projected to end around late August. If history repeats, BTC dominance could start declining from mid-Q3 2025, leading into a strong altcoin rally that may last through the end of Q4. This setup aligns with typical post-halving behavior, suggesting the final phase of the cycle could heavily favor altcoins. CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:ETH CRYPTOCAP:XRP
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by HexaTrades
USDT Dominance Locked in Range – Altseason Not Ready Yet?USDT Dominance has been trading inside a wide sideways range for the last 567 days — bouncing between the 3.6% demand zone and the 6% supply zone. The recent price action shows a rejection from the top of the range and now heading toward the mid or lower part of the channel. A minor trendline (in red) had shown some short-term support, but it looks weak now. As long as this range holds, true altseason may remain on pause. The big move will come only when USDT.D breaks out or breaks down from this range.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DShort
by unichartz
EURCAD: Liquidity taken, imbalance left behindPrice swept the liquidity above the previous day’s high and then broke structure to the downside. That’s often a sign that smart money was hunting stops before shifting direction. Now I’m watching for price to come back and fill the imbalance (FVG) it left after the break. If that happens and price respects the FVG zone, we could see a continuation lower with the next target being the previous day’s low where more liquidity is likely sitting. I’ve also added the 50 EMA here as confluence. It helps keep me trading in line with the broader market flow and stops me from fighting the trend. This is one of those spots where patience is key . Let the market return to the zone on its own terms, wait for a reaction, and keep protecting your mindset just as carefully as your capital.
Short
by J4mesWick
XAUUSD – Fresh Bearish Setup After TP HitWelcome to Velatrix Capital. Last week’s short position on Gold has just hit Take Profit. Based on current structure and momentum, we remain bearish-biased and have already entered a fresh short trade from a key resistance level. This setup aligns with our internal system’s confluence logic and is now active. 🔍 Trade Parameters • Timeframe: 1H • Direction: Sell • Entry: 3310.11 • Take Profit: 3266.76 • Stop Loss: 3324.51 • Risk/Reward: 1:3 Note: This is not financial advice. This is a real trade taken by our team based on a structured, repeatable trading model. Use it as insight. Not as instruction. 🔔 Follow Us We don’t chase hype. We build edge. Follow for raw setups, structured strategies, and institutional-grade breakdowns.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Velatrix_Capital
You MUST BUILD CONFLUENCE and learn how to read CANDLES!!!All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Long
by Simply-Forex
EUR/USD Update: Breakout Potential Above Recent HighsHi Everyone, Monday played out as expected; a bounce off the highlighted support area appears to have provided enough momentum for a retest of the 1.18000 level. Price could briefly dip below the 1.16680 support; however, our outlook will remain unchanged as long as we hold above the 1.16450 level. We maintain the view that a decisive break above last week’s high could attract additional buyers, paving the way for a move towards the 1.19290 level and ultimately the 1.20000 level. We’ll share further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD if price breaks above this key resistance. The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649. We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support! All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe. BluetonaFX
by BluetonaFX
AUDUSD 4H: Sell Zone Confirmed📉 AUDUSD Analysis – Current Trend & Trade Opportunity Hello Traders, I’ve prepared an updated analysis for the AUDUSD pair. At the moment, AUDUSD has shifted out of its previous bullish structure and has now entered a bearish trend. Based on this shift, I’m planning to enter a limit sell trade at the level shared below: 🔹 Limit Sell Entry: 0.65232 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.65576 🔹 Targets: • TP1: 0.64591 • TP2: 0.64591 • TP3: 0.63738 🔸 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.27 Considering the trend reversal, I’m looking to open a position from these levels. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Short
by TraderTilki
Operation Gas Leak: Bearish Swing in XNG/USD🧨XNG/USD Energy Vault Playbook: Natural Gas Power Grab!⚡💸 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Market Raiders & Strategy Hustlers 🕵️‍♂️📊💼 Welcome to the 🔥Thief Trader Energy Strategy🔥 for XNG/USD (Natural Gas) – our tactical plan for smart intraday & swing moves based on technical, fundamental, and sentiment fusion. 💼This setup focuses on short-side scalps & swing entries, with a target to lock profits around the high-risk Green Zone before the market guards show up. Resistance zones are hot – expect consolidation, pressure buildup, and possible shakeouts. 🔑 Entry: 📍Plan smart pullback entries on 15–30 min TF near swing high/low zones. 🎯“The vault is open”—watch the market for weak bounces or fakeouts to ride the move. 🛡️ Stop Loss: 📌Primary SL is the most recent swing high on the 4H (around 3.600) 🔧Adjust based on risk tolerance, lot sizing, and how deep your stack of trades runs. 💥 Target: 🎯 Aim for 3.200 – a clean technical pivot where past price action has shown tension. Perfect spot to secure the bag. 🧲 Scalping Strategy: 🦅Short bias only. Stay light, stay fast. Use trailing SLs and don’t overstay your welcome. Let the swing crew do the heavy lifting. 🔍Market Narrative: 📉 Currently biased bearish, Natural Gas is facing pressure from: Macro fundamentals Seasonal distortions Inventory & storage levels COT report & Sentiment Intermarket signals 📊Stay aware of news events – they’re known to rattle price structures. Set trailing SLs and manage your exposure wisely. 💬Final Words from the Thief Playbook: 💣Boost your strategy, not your stress. Let’s outsmart the market makers with sharp entries, sniper exits, and disciplined risk. 🚀 🔥💖Smash that LIKE if you vibe with this Energy Heist Plan. More tactical drops coming soon, so stay alert! 🧠📈🐱‍👤
EIGHTCAP:XNGUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
EURUSD COT and Liquidity AnalysisHey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. It's always good to go with those who move the market here is what I see in their cards. I share my COT - order flow views every weekend. 🎯 Non Commercials added significant longs which creates a strong support, we will most likely see higher prices over time. 📍Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. 💊 Tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Long
by David_Perk
3
i am bearish for PENGUUSDT for now Key Observations & Analysis Structure & Trend You can see a clear downtrend in June. Price formed an inverted head and shoulders pattern: Left Shoulder: Early June low. Head: Deeper low mid-June. Right Shoulder: Late June higher low. This is a bullish reversal pattern. Trendline Breakout: After the right shoulder formed, price broke the diagonal trendline resistance (marked “trendline breakout”)—signaling bullish momentum. Breakout & Rally Strong volume increase confirmed the breakout. Price trended up rapidly after the breakout, forming higher highs and higher lows. Recent Price Action The current price is consolidating in a key supply zone (gray shaded area). Marked order block: a potential supply zone where smart money may sell. Price has also made a Market Structure Shift (MSS)—suggesting the uptrend could be losing steam. HTF POI (Higher Timeframe Point of Interest) The upper gray box labeled HTF POI between ~0.0167–0.0175. This is likely a major resistance area. Price is testing this zone repeatedly. Liquidity & Target Trend liquidity has been swept, meaning stops above recent highs have likely been taken. There is a blue shaded box indicating a potential short scenario: Entry near the order block. Target near the prior consolidation support around ~0.008–0.009. This implies a bias toward a corrective move or retracement. Volume & RSI Volume spiked during breakout and has since decreased—often a sign of buyer exhaustion. RSI around ~58—neutral but no overbought signal yet. ✅ Interpretation Summary Bullish Arguments: The inverted head and shoulders broke out cleanly. Strong trend continuation into higher timeframe resistance. Bearish Arguments: Price is consolidating under significant resistance (HTF POI). Order block + liquidity sweep suggest potential distribution. Market structure shift indicates sellers are stepping in. The blue target box shows a potential retracement target near 0.008–0.009. ✅ What This Likely Means Scenario 1 (Continuation): If price breaks cleanly above 0.0175 with strong volume, continuation higher is likely. Scenario 2 (Rejection): If price keeps rejecting this order block, a short-term pullback toward 0.009 becomes probable. ✅ Tip if You’re Trading This Watch for a clear reaction in the gray order block area. Confirmation of rejection could trigger shorts. A strong close above the HTF POI invalidates the bearish scenario.
Short
by LibrengPera
2
FED: less than 5% probability of a rate cut on July 301) The US labor market remains resilient according to the latest NFP report, which is good news for the macro-economic situation The US labor market demonstrated its resilience last week, making a rate cut by the FED on Wednesday July 30 unlikely: the unemployment rate fell to 4.1% of the labor force, after several months of stability around 4.2%. This drop in unemployment suggests that, despite two years of monetary tightening and current macro-economic uncertainties, the US economy continues to show resilience in its ability to create jobs. This is good news for economic growth, but it delays the FED's next rate cut. By clicking on the link below, you can reread our S&P 500 analysis proposed following the latest NFP report update last Thursday. 2) The probability of a rate cut on July 30 reduced to almost zero, barring any huge surprises between now and then on inflation, employment or trade diplomacy Up until now, most investors were expecting an earlier decision, as early as July 30, at the next meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee. But cautious communication from Fed officials tempered these expectations. Jerome Powell and several governors reiterated that they would wait for “sustainable” evidence of a return of inflation to the 2% target before committing themselves. The fall in the unemployment rate to 4.1% introduces a nuance: it confirms that the economy is not contracting sharply, allowing the Fed to wait a few more weeks without taking the risk of slowing growth more than necessary. At the same time, the latest consumer confidence indicators and manufacturing activity data suggest a gentle slowdown, closer to a controlled landing than a halt. Note that this week's Wednesday July 9 deadline for trade agreements will reveal more about the future impact of tariffs on inflation, and this will further alter the FED's monetary policy expectations. When these lines are written, the probability of a FED pivot on July 30 is less than 5%. 3) Here are the fundamental dates that will be decisive between now and the FED's monetary choice on Wednesday July 30 Wednesday July 9: the current deadline for trade diplomacy between the USA and its main trading partners. The final amount of tariffs will be decisive for US inflation expectations. Tuesday July 15: US CPI inflation , the last major US inflation figure to be updated before the FED's monetary policy decision on July 30. Initial and ongoing weekly US jobless claims are published on the Thursday of each week and will have an impact on the likelihood of the FED's action on July 30, but only marginally. Barring exceptional events, it is therefore unlikely that the FED will resume cutting the federal funds rate on July 30. The next PCE and NFP are due after the FED (July 31 and August 1) and will therefore have an impact on the FED's monetary policy decision on September 17. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. 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FRED:FEDFUNDS
by Swissquote