XAUUSD Weekly ViewGold prices have soared to a new record high of $3,500 per ounce, fueled by a weakening U.S. dollar and escalating concerns over Federal Reserve policies and trade tensions. The dollar index has fallen to 98.164, prompting investors to seek refuge in gold as a safe-haven asset. This surge reflects a strong bullish sentiment, with traders buying into the rally despite traditional overbought indicators.
- Analysts are now eyeing a potential temporary pullback for gold and profit taking.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BABA Showing Potential, But Not Quite ReadyNYSE:BABA has gone on a crazy run this year showing signs of strength. Recently price has stall out leaving us at a cliff hanger. The bull run was more than likely fueled by large investors accumulating shares at previous years lows as shown on the chart. In Wyckoff that typically happens in Phase B, the cause building phase. During this phase price consolidates with multiple tests or fake outs of the range as 'big money' accumulates shares at lows and soaks up the remain liquidity. The recent breakout confirms that supply has been absorbed, and price is ready to move higher, this marks the end of Phase B. The breakout is also called a 'Sign of Strength' in Wyckoff Method, which is also used a trap for buyers, hence the quick move back into the trading range. This move marks the beginning of Phase C, which typically creates a Spring or LPS (Last Point of Support). The Spring will fall below the trading range and quickly recover, while the LPS will find the last point of support within the range and gradually move higher. As you can see in the chart price has not fallen to either, which means there may be more downside to ensue. This correlates with recent "Tariff Wars", so pay attention to the news when or if price retraces to these lower levels. I have currently identified a redistribution pattern on the 1H timeframe which is showing signs of completion and that price is ready to continue down. If prices breaks above $117.50 this will more than likely invalidate the redistribution.
NU | Long | Earnings Growth Outlook | (April 2025)NU | Long | Post-Liquidity Grab + Earnings Growth Outlook | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
NU Holdings has been climbing steadily after grabbing liquidity from key levels earlier in 2024. With strong fundamentals and a potential channel breakout, the setup looks favorable for upside continuation.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry Zone: Watching around $10.80 for potential compounding
Stop Loss / Invalidation: Below $10
TP1: $13.00
TP2: $14.50
TP3: $15.00
✅ Trade structure favors compounding near key supports, with partial take profits along the way.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
🔹 Fundamentals:
🔹Revenue: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:10B
🔹Net Income: SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B
🔹Market Cap: $54B
EPS & Revenue Growth: Expected to increase significantly over the next few quarters and into the coming years.
NU is showing strong financials for a fintech player in a growing market, and forward-looking earnings per share (EPS) projections are bullish. These factors support a longer-term accumulation strategy.
🔹 Technical Setup:
Liquidity was swept from both the January 2024 lows and the February 2024 levels, clearing out weak hands. Now, NU is trading within an ascending channel and could be preparing for a breakout. Key resistance areas are marked at $13 and $14+, and a clean move above these could open the door to $15+.
🔹 Macro View:
As long as market sentiment holds and fintech sector strength continues, NU has the potential to outperform. Still, invalidation below $10 would signal caution, and that’s where risk should be tightly managed.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be watching for more confirmation and price behavior near $10.80 for a possible compounding opportunity. Updates will follow if structure or sentiment shifts significantly.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025✅ XAUUSD H4 Outlook + Key Levels – April 21, 2025
🧭 Market Context & Trend After a powerful continuation post-holiday, Gold smashed through the previous ATH and is now trading in a vertical, parabolic leg — with minimal structure below and zero resistance above.
💣 Middle East tension + macro safe-haven flows = strong fuel for this spike. But we’re now in a price zone where traps and liquidation are very likely.
📈 Trend:
• H4: Strong bullish BOSs since April 10
• No valid H4 CHoCH yet — structure remains bullish
• Price is deep inside unmitigated premium, with signs of slowing momentum intraday
🔼 Key Levels ABOVE Price
Type Zone Notes
🔻 Premium Sweep Zone 3395–3405 Key area around ATH for possible fakeout/sell trap setups — watch for M5/M15 CHoCH or BOS here
🧱 Ultimate Spike Zone 3415–3425 High-impact inefficiency from lower timeframes + round number zone – ideal for stop hunts
🚨 Extreme Spike Risk 3435–3455 No structure here — only if geopolitical tensions worsen
🔽 Key Levels BELOW Price
Type Zone Notes
🔵 Intraday Buy Zone 3333–3340 Minor FVG + OB zone – valid only for scalps or continuation if PA confirms
🟩 HTF Demand 3284–3288 Strong OB + FVG + clean H4 CHoCH base – valid for swing longs if dump occurs
⚓️ Institutional Support 3220–3235 Last clean unmitigated H4 demand + equilibrium from macro breakout zone
🧠 Trading Considerations
🔻 SELL setups only valid with clear bearish confirmation (M5/M15 CHoCH + momentum shift) inside the 3395–3405 zone. No blind shorts — the trend is still active.
🟢 BUY setups are cleaner from 3284+ or deeper — chasing now is extremely risky unless price builds structure above 3400.
📉 A fast spike followed by breakdown could signal a swing reversal from this premium zone.
🎯 H4 Bias:
Cautiously Bullish — structure is clean, but price is hyperextended. Best setups will come after liquidity is taken.
sand long longterm spot "🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
DVN | Long | Strong EPS | (April 2025)DVN | Long | Strong EPS & Triangle Breakout Setup | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Devon Energy (DVN) is showing bullish potential with strong earnings and a breakout forming from a consolidation triangle. With solid fundamentals and positive momentum on the 4H chart, DVN may be gearing up for a strong move higher.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Watching for breakout confirmation from triangle pattern on 4H timeframe
Stop Loss: Below triangle support or recent swing low (based on structure)
TP1: $35
TP2: $39
TP3: $44
Final Target: $60–$70 (long-term view)
✅ After all TPs, I usually leave ~5% of the position open to catch any extended move. Upside is unlimited — downside is capped at zero.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
🔹 Fundamentals:
🔹 Revenue: FWB:15B
🔹 Net Income: $2.9B
🔹 EPS: ~$5
🔹 EBITDA: 0.74
🔹 Shares Float: 150M
🔹 Market Cap: ~ FWB:20B
Risk: Free cash flow is significantly lower compared to debt levels, which is something to monitor closely.
Despite the debt concern, the company’s earnings per share has been consistently growing — even on a quarterly basis. This shows operational strength and long-term upside.
🔹 Technical Setup:
DVN has been consolidating in a triangle formation and is now showing signs of an upside breakout. Momentum on the 4H chart leans bullish, and if confirmed, the move could target the $44 zone and possibly extend much higher over time.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll be watching how DVN behaves around key resistance. If we break out with volume, I’ll adjust my stop and potentially update the targets. Risk management remains key.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NFLX Bearish Setup!This is a simple setup that almost anyone can read—a Head & Shoulders at the top signaling a reversal pattern.
Contrary to popular belief H&S are continuation patterns if they are not at a top.
The only other time H&S are reversal patterns is if the chart has multiple H&S everywhere.
Time for bulls to take their money and RUN!!! The fun ride is over for a while. Time to go home. ((
CAUTION!
Click BOOST, follow subscribe. Let me help you navigate these crazy markets. ))
IVZ | Long | Fundamental Strength | (April 2025)IVZ | Long | Fundamental Strength & Liquidity Sweep | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Invesco (IVZ) is showing strong fundamental potential and has just swept key liquidity levels from late 2023. We're now at a critical resistance zone, and a breakout could open the door for a significant move higher.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Current zone near resistance (watch for confirmation)
Stop Loss: Just below recent liquidity sweep zone (Nov 2023 low area)
TP1: $15
TP2: $18
TP3: $20+
✅ Cautious approach with partial profits planned to reduce exposure and secure gains.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
🔹 Fundamentals: IVZ reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.19 and net income of $774M on SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:6B revenue. The company also supports around 91K employees. EPS and revenue are projected to grow steadily through 2026–2027, with quarterly improvements expected into early 2026. Fundamentally, this is a high-upside, relatively low-downside play.
🔹 Technical Setup: Price has rebounded strongly after a liquidity sweep that hit the November 2023 levels. We’re now testing key resistance — flipping this into support would confirm bullish momentum. However, caution is warranted until that flip is confirmed. Market sentiment has been uncertain lately, so risk management is key here.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I’ll continue to monitor this setup and will update if the structure confirms or breaks down. I use custom tools for my analysis, and I plan to make them available to the public soon — stay tuned!
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NVIDIA: From $300B to $3T – Is the Pullback a Setup?Between October 2022 and mid-2024, Nvidia's market capitalization surged from $300 billion to over $3 trillion — a tenfold increase that outpaced the GDP of entire nations such as Russia or Canada. This meteoric rise made Nvidia the largest public company in the world at one point.
A long-term investment in NVDA has dramatically outperformed the broader market. From May 2014 to May 2024, the stock gained over 22,000%, compared to 179% for the S&P 500 and 77% for gold.
However, in 2025, Nvidia stock declined by 43%, raising the question: does this mark the end of the rally or the beginning of a new accumulation phase?
Core Drivers
AI dominance: Nvidia controls 95% of the GPU market used in machine learning applications.
Strategic clients: Tesla, Meta, Microsoft, and Alphabet continue to deepen partnerships with NVDA.
Crypto leverage: The company holds 82% of the GPU market used for mining, benefiting from the renewed crypto upcycle.
Domestic production push: Nvidia is developing over 1 million square feet of manufacturing space in Arizona and Texas, aiming to produce $500B worth of AI infrastructure over the next four years.
Policy support: The US and EU are investing more than $240B to secure domestic chip production via the CHIPS Acts.
Financial Strength
FY2024 revenue grew 114% YoY to $130.5B
Q4 net income reached $22B
Nvidia joined the Dow Jones Industrial Average in late 2024
Announced a $50B buyback program
Executed a 10-for-1 stock split in June 2024
Trading View
After peaking in 2024, NVDA retraced to the $110 area, which now acts as a potential accumulation zone. The next major resistance lies near $150, offering a 35% upside if momentum returns.
The macro backdrop remains highly favorable — AI infrastructure investment continues to accelerate, and the recent correction may reflect short-term positioning rather than fundamental weakness.
Final Thoughts
Nvidia is no longer just a semiconductor company — it is a system-level platform powering the AI economy. With robust fundamentals, strategic expansion, and institutional demand, the current price levels could represent a key medium-term opportunity for trend-followers and long-term investors alike.
#NVDA #Nvidia #Semiconductors #AI #EquityMarkets #TradingViewIdeas
Gold Price Update & Buy Entry OpportunityGold Price Update & Buy Entry Opportunity
The price of gold couldn't sustain at the 3435 level and has recently dropped to the 3372 area. This provides a potential buying opportunity in the range of 3375 to 3350.
Strategy:
Look for Buy Entries: Watch for any signs of stabilization or reversal within the 3375 to 3350 area.
Target: Consider aiming for a recovery towards previous resistance levels around 3435 or higher like 3484, depending on market momentum.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below 3335 to manage risk in case of further downside movement.
Reminder: Always confirm with your preferred technical indicators or chart patterns before entering a trade.
Local Pause in Gold’s UptrendIn recent weeks, we've seen a strong uptrend in gold, which continues without any meaningful pullbacks.
Yes, the general rule is to trade in the direction of the dominant trend — but in this case, I’m strongly hesitant to go long while price is sitting at all-time highs.
At the moment, I would consider short positions only if signs of weakness appear — specifically, if the price starts breaking below recent local lows. As for targets, they are largely abstract, since we can’t accurately predict where a correction might stop if it does occur. Still, for reference, I’d outline three potential downside levels: 3,411, 3,404, and 3,381.
This short scenario would be invalidated if price moves above 3,490. There’s no point placing stop-losses above that level — it makes more sense to position them well below.
Keep in mind: the uptrend is very strong, and price could easily continue to rally sharply — so manage your risk accordingly.
That said, I still lean toward the idea that we may see a downside move.
Gold Price Outlook (22nd April 2025) – Short-Term Move Expected 📉 Gold Price Outlook – Short-Term Move Expected
Gold is currently trading around $3452. We're anticipating a dip towards the $3435 area in the short term as part of a corrective move. This zone could act as a potential support level, where buyers may step in.
Following this expected pullback, we’re looking for a bounce back up toward the $3484 area, targeting a short-term bullish recovery.
📊 Key Levels to Watch:
Support Zone: $3435
Resistance Target: $3484
As always, manage your risk accordingly and watch for price action confirmation at these levels.
SOL | Short-Term Long | Key Resistance | (April 2025)SOL | Short-Term Long | Key Resistance & Liquidity Flip | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
Solana has reached a critical resistance zone after a wave of short liquidations. While the broader crypto market is showing strength, SOL is at a decision point that requires caution.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short-term Long (with tight risk control)
Entry: Around current price near resistance (approx. $125–$128)
Stop Loss: Just below recent swing lows (can adjust based on volatility)
TP1: $138
TP2: $131
✅ Quick partial profits planned due to high-risk reversal potential at current levels.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
We’re sitting at a strong resistance zone that has seen multiple overlaps in recent days. A major round of short positions was recently liquidated, which could fuel a push higher — but also makes this a tricky zone for continuation. Watch for reversal signs, and manage risk tightly. Overall market sentiment is leaning bullish, which supports the long-term potential for SOL if it can break through.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
Will reassess based on how price reacts around $131 and $138. May update if momentum picks up or structure changes.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
new peak 3520, waiting for gold price to touch⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices extended their record-breaking surge on Tuesday, soaring past the $3,450 mark during the Asian session as investors sought refuge in the traditional safe-haven asset amid mounting fears of a US recession and broader financial market volatility.
Persistent concerns over the economic outlook and waning confidence in the US Dollar (USD) have continued to drive demand for the USD-denominated precious metal. The greenback remains under pressure, further amplifying gold's appeal.
Adding to the uncertainty, US President Donald Trump once again criticized Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, stoking fears about the central bank’s independence. Reports suggesting the administration explored legal avenues to potentially remove Powell have only deepened market unease, boosting the allure of gold as a hedge against policy and economic instability.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Fomo price increase, trade tension, gold price benefits
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3519- 3521 SL 3526
TP1: $3505
TP2: $3490
TP3: $3465
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3403 - $3405 SL $3398
TP1: $3415
TP2: $3430
TP3: $3445
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ETHUSDT | Recovery Potential | (April 2025)
ETHUSDT| Long | Liquidity Grab & Recovery Potential | (April 2025)
1️⃣ Short Insight Summary:
ETHUSDT has been in a steady downtrend for months, but signs now point to a potential reversal. With liquidity likely swept and renewed buying interest around key zones, this could be the beginning of a major move.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $1,570
Stop Loss: Below the recent liquidity sweep zone (around $1,400–$1,450 depending on risk)
TP1: $2,200–$2,300
TP2: $2,500
TP3: $3,000
TP4: $3,800+
Final Target: $4,000+
✅ Partial profits planned on the way up to manage risk and secure gains.
3️⃣ Key Notes:
Liquidity appears to be fully grabbed below previous lows, which often sets the stage for strong reversals. ETHUSDT is a seasoned project with long-term value and renewed interest. Bitcoin is also showing strength, which may act as a tailwind for altcoins like ETHUSDT. Structure looks favorable, especially for those already in the channel or watching this key zone.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note:
I'll be keeping an eye on this and may post updates if the price approaches key levels or shows signs of invalidation.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
How One Candle Can Flip Market Sentiment | Watch These Key ZonesMarkets are emotional. One candle — that's all it takes to turn fear into greed, or hope into panic.
Over the past few weeks, traders have been caught in headlines — tariffs, global uncertainty, and endless speculation. But if you zoom out and look at the chart objectively, the structure is telling its own story.
🧠 Key Insight:
In every cycle, when fear dominates the market, it often marks the bottom.
When euphoria takes over, it’s usually the top.
This pattern repeats. The players change — the psychology doesn’t.
📌 Here’s what I’m watching on this chart:
Support zone:
Resistance to break:
Market sentiment: Currently bearish, but structure suggests potential reversal if .
📊 Always remember:
The market rewards those who focus on price action and structure, not the noise.
Let’s see how this plays out. I’ll keep updating this idea as the move develops.
Drop your thoughts below & let’s keep the analysis sharp and clear ⚔️
GOOG Alphabet Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GOOG before the previous rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GOOG Alphabet prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 170usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-7-18,
for a premium of approximately $4.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AAL American Airlines Group Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on AAL:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of AAL American Airlinesprior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 9usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-5-2,
for a premium of approximately $0.44.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
SUI Breaks Key Trendline – Bullish Reversal in MotionCRYPTOCAP:SUI has broken above the descending resistance line, confirming a trend reversal after weeks of downward movement. This breakout came after price bounced from a strong support zone, establishing a higher low structure.
The breakout is also supported by a move above the 50 EMA, adding strength to the bullish case.
DYOR, NFA
CMCSA Comcast Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CMCSA Comcast Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 37.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $1.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Emotional Management — The Hidden ComponentIn this piece, I’ll touch on one of the most important topics — a core obstacle on the path to consistent and profitable trading.
We need to explore where certain emotions come from and how to work with them in order to better understand ourselves. What truly fits our nature, what common mistakes we make, and how to avoid them moving forward.
Until we learn how to navigate these internal roadblocks, we won’t be able to achieve stable financial results.
The Scariest Part
Let’s get straight to the point. The scariest thing that can happen to us in trading is a stop-loss being hit — in other words, taking a loss on a trade.
Scary? I don’t think so. This is a parameter we can control ourselves.
If we’re building a setup, we must define the size of the stop-loss — the amount we’re willing to risk if things go wrong.
And keep in mind: this risk will always be there, no matter how experienced or skilled you become. Don’t fall into the trap of thinking that this time is different — that this setup feels so strong, so obvious, that there’s no way it could fail.
Spoiler: that’s exactly when you should start tracking your trades.
Every time you feel this kind of overconfidence, log it in a spreadsheet. I can already tell you what you’ll find: 1 to 3 out of 10 of those “super strong” setups will end up hitting your stop. Which means — your feeling of conviction had zero correlation with how price actually moved. The market simply didn’t care what you thought about it.
And one step further: even if your technical model is solid and well-developed, you still can’t predict the future with certainty. That means you also can’t ever be 100% sure your stop won’t get hit.
Does that make sense? Good — let’s move on.
Loss
Since we’re not all-powerful, we have to use stop-losses — and calculate them in a way that, at the very least, doesn’t make us feel pain when they’re hit. At the same time, the stop should be set at an optimal level, so we still feel the potential for profit. Otherwise, our brain won’t engage with the market properly — it won’t sense the reward, and that can distort our analysis.
This often leads to vague, low-quality setups — but even that is far less dangerous than oversizing positions to the point where potential losses feel unbearable.
See that fine line? Most of trading psychology and emotional control comes down to how we relate to loss. That’s where the real pressure is rooted.
Emotional Space
We experience both negative and positive emotions — that’s the full spectrum.
Your trading will only be high-quality if you avoid emotional imbalance. In other words, you need to stay centered and calm. Any excess emotional charge — whether negative or positive — will inevitably work against you.
If you’re stuck in the negative zone, you’ll start feeling anger and frustration, which will cloud your judgment and prevent you from thinking clearly during the trading process.
But being too far into the positive zone is just as dangerous — it leads to greed and overconfidence, which often result in oversized positions and dangerously wide stop-losses.
Both ends of the spectrum, if left unchecked, will push you into tilt — a state where you can no longer evaluate reality objectively and start making impulsive decisions. This is how traders end up losing a significant part — if not all — of their account.
The Algorithm
Let’s go back to what we covered earlier — the core catalyst behind tilt: violating your predefined stop-loss size.
You must first determine a loss amount that feels emotionally tolerable to you. Ideally, this number should be fixed, and you should never exceed it (except later, as your account grows). Once you’ve done that, you now have a simple algorithm: you build your setups using the same fixed-risk amount — and under no circumstances should you go beyond that limit.
This creates awareness in the brain. It knows the predefined threshold, is prepared for a negative outcome, and remains calm. Imagine a circle — as long as you stay within it, in your zone of comfort, you can operate with clarity and discipline.
But the moment you step outside that circle, your mind starts to feel stress. And if you don’t catch yourself in time, that stress escalates — leading you straight into a tilt state.
Emotional Triggers
Here’s where it gets both complicated — and surprisingly simple. All you need to do is follow one rule. But even that becomes difficult for many, because they give in to greed — the kind that pushes you to increase position size just because the setup “feels certain” (something I’ve already mentioned before).
On the other side of the spectrum, anger and frustration start to build — especially if you’ve just taken a loss and your mind shifts into “recovery mode.”
That emotional urge makes you want to win it all back quickly, so you raise the size of your next trade — planning to return to your original account balance first, and then go back to your normal risk-management rules. That’s a fatal mistake.
Here’s my advice: when you're in a drawdown — emotionally and financially — you should actually lower your stop size, not increase it, until you get back to a neutral baseline.
Both negative emotions (sadness, anger, frustration, disappointment) and positive ones (joy, excitement, euphoria) can push you to break your risk limits. The emotional trigger may be different, but the outcome is the same: you oversize.
The only time you should be trading is when you're in a neutral state of mind — for example, operating from a place of interest or curiosity.
It’s All in Our Hands
Understand this: we are the only ones truly responsible for executing our plan. If we increase our position size beyond what we should — that’s on us. If you know you’re making a mistake, why let it happen anyway? We control the entire process. If we truly don’t want to blow the account, we won’t — because we’ve calculated the risk beforehand.
Let me repeat: if we follow the plan and don’t act impulsively, we will never blow our account. That’s the foundation for building consistency in trading.
But the more unstable our emotional state becomes, the easier it is to step outside that “mental circle” and trigger a stress response. That stress inevitably leads to tilt. You’ll start reacting to everything — someone was rude to you, a fear of not having money for food, whatever. It all begins to pour into your trading: chaotic entries, random sizing, total abandonment of your risk rules. And in most cases, this spiral ends with one thing — a blown account.
The Solution
That’s why you should always monitor your emotional state — and ideally, keep a journal where you track how you feel each day. The moment you notice that you’re starting to lose control, step away from trading immediately. That’s the smartest decision you can make. I say this from experience — it’s been proven many times.
Yes, it’s hard to do — I get it. But remind yourself of this: if you keep trading in that state, there’s a high chance you’ll lose a significant part of your account. And when that happens, you’ll feel even worse — blaming yourself for not stepping away when you could have.
So yes, it’s difficult — but still far easier than dealing with the damage. The best move is to shut down your trading platform and avoid looking at charts for at least three full days. Shift your focus to something else entirely — anything that helps you stop obsessing over the market.
When those thoughts disappear — the ones about urgently making money back or hitting a certain target — that’s when you’re ready to return to trading with a clear and steady mindset.
The Takeaway
This is the core of what happens inside us — and how to respond to it. In most cases, this is the exact cycle that plays out. Everything else — more unique emotional patterns, sudden urges to break your own limits — will emerge with time.
Your job is to learn how to spot those triggers, notice your internal reactions, and pull yourself away from the screen before the damage is done.
Wishing you strength and clarity on this path.