US Dollar Bearish Trend: Key Insights Analyzed**Is the US Dollar Heading for a Bearish Turn? Key Insights to Watch**
The US dollar has been a hot topic lately, and for good reason. With Donald Trump back in office and the motto being *AMERICA FIRST*, the currency’s trajectory is under scrutiny. As many of you know, the Trump administration has historically favored a weaker US dollar and lower interest rates. The rationale? A weaker dollar can boost exports, while lower rates are seen as a way to stimulate economic growth. This approach was a hallmark of Trump’s first term, and it looks like we might see a repeat.
Another key factor to consider is Trump’s focus on increasing crude oil and natural gas production. Higher energy output could lead to lower energy prices, which would further support economic growth. However, this could also weigh on the dollar, as lower energy prices often correlate with a weaker currency.
Looking back to 2016–2017, when Trump first took office, the US dollar initially surged but then reversed sharply in January 2017, marking the start of a prolonged bearish trend. Fast forward to today, and we’re seeing similar patterns emerge. The wedge formation on the Dollar Index suggests limited upside potential, and a break below key support levels—specifically 108 and 107.58—could confirm that a bearish trend is underway. If those levels fail to hold, the next area to watch would be the 107 to 106 demand zones.
This scenario aligns with what we’ve been discussing over the past few weeks. If the Dollar Index breaks below these critical levels, it could signal the completion of the wedge pattern and the beginning of a new bearish phase for the US dollar.
What does this mean for traders and investors? Keep a close eye on the Dollar Index and watch for those key support levels. A break below them could present significant opportunities, but it’s also a reminder to stay cautious and informed.
What are your thoughts on the US dollar’s trajectory? Do you think history will repeat itself, or are there other factors at play? Let’s discuss in the comments!
#USD #Forex #Trading #Economy #Trump #DollarIndex #Investing #Markets
Beyond Technical Analysis
ADANIENT KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
RELIANCE KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
KOTAKBANK KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
Cable analysis based on seasonal dataWhen looking at this chart, I ask 3 questions:
1). Bias = What trend are we currently in?
- Downtrend, P2
2). Are we following a seasonal pattern?
- Yes, 20 years pattern
3). What does this mean?
- Seasonals show us a move to the upside, but we are in a downtrend so this is a P2
- Seasonally we expect a market high around 31/01 before a move lower, this could be around the monthly pivot point as previously highlighted for other P1's
INDUSINDBK KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
SBIN KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
AXISBANK KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
ICICIBANK KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
RBLBANK KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NIFTY 50 KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
BANKNIFTY KEY LEVELS FOR 23/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
LUMO / USDTMy Thesis for SEED_ALEXDRAYM_BIGMAC:LUMO
This is one of the hidden gems that has massive potential to blow up in this bull run. Lumo Labs is a groundbreaking project focused on pushing the boundaries of AI within the Solana ecosystem. They're an open-source community dedicated to developing cutting-edge AI models specifically tailored for Solana. Their mission is to empower developers and researchers by providing state-of-the-art AI tools, fostering collaboration, and advancing AI research within the blockchain space.
The game-changing moment came when Solana's co-founder (x.com), personally recognized this project and even sent a DM to the team (x.com). Following this, major exchanges like MEXC and Bitget began listing SEED_ALEXDRAYM_BIGMAC:LUMO , and this is just the beginning—this project has been live for only six days!
This project has potential to go over 1 billion market cap .. This is not some aiagent or so this is big data company with steady goals !
Is CAD tariff premium overpriced?Will Trump really go with 25% tariffs for Canada?
Still days before Feb 1st and too much uncertainty
with current info available it does not justify tariff premium to be priced as such, waiting for EURCAD breakdown for a short
always wait for market to show u the signs and only enter with LTF confirmation
Note this is counter trend mean reversion trade idea so be mindful of potential pip and ATR range.
GBPAUD new bearish expecting here
OANDA:GBPAUD strong bearish in last periods, currently price in zone, its bounce 4-5 times on SUP zone, looks like DIAMOND pattern here is created, based on past for me still here having enough bearish volumen gathered for one more push.
SUP zone:1.97800
RES zone: 1.95000, 1.94500, 1.93900
AUDCHF price reversing,- new bullish?
OANDA:AUDCHF analysis, we are have ROUNDED TOP pattern, which is be confirmed last week on Friday, after Nonfarm and zone is be breaked.
But today on Monday, new week, can see price reversing and pushing again back in zone, after this moves expecting to see stronger higher bullish push in this week.
SUP zone: 0.56200
RES zone: 0.57000, 0.57200
New analysis on CADCHF
OANDA:CADCHF we are have bullish push in last periods, ASCENDING CHANNEL is visible, its be breaked, price is make push around 40PIPS and its start reversing at end my ex. analysis on CADCHF i am CANCEL.
Currently price again pushing on same zone from last idea-strong zone(violet line), +H&S pattern looks like will not be continued after its have confirmation, which for me here is one more sign for bullishness.
NOTE: Analysis on CADCHF before this one will be attached
SUP zone: 0.63200
RES zone: 0.64000, 0.64200
BABA under valued by 31% at least Risk-reward ratio: 1to112
I believe over the next years BABA could go to $200#
Wallstreet target: 124.24
The Reason: China is a winning economy and growing GDP
Intrinsic Value: 121,99$
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd. stands as a titan in the e-commerce realm, a juggernaut that has revolutionized how business is conducted in China and beyond. Founded in 1999 by Jack Ma and his partners in a small apartment in Hangzhou, the company blossomed from a modest online marketplace into a sprawling digital ecosystem. At its core, Alibaba operates some of the largest online platforms in the world, including Taobao and Tmall, catering to millions of individual consumers and businesses. Taobao, akin to eBay, provides an open-market platform for small businesses and entrepreneurs to reach consumers directly, while Tmall offers a space for international and Chinese brands to establish virtual storefronts. The sophistication and scale of Alibaba’s e-commerce operations have been supplemented by innovative business models like Singles' Day, the world’s largest online shopping event, which epitomizes their prowess in blending digital savvy with consumer psychology.
PE: 17.2 undervalued
Technicals:
VWAP + FIB Golden + POC