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BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
BTC — Altcoin Sentiment Hinges on BTC Holding BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating within a well-defined range between ~$102K and ~$112K, with a bounce off the lower boundary now challenging midrange resistance. As long as BTC trades within the range, altcoins are expected to remain strong. 🟩 Midrange: $106K • 0.618 fib and prior supply zone • Key inflection for either a move higher or return to range low 🔻 Range Low Support: $102K • Break below this = plan invalid • Expect deeper BTC correction and altcoin bleed in that scenario 📈 Bias: • Altcoins strong = only valid if BTC holds this structure • Rotations likely while BTC moves sideways or grinds higher • Upside target (range high): ~$111.9K 📌 BTC stability = altcoin opportunity. Breakdown from range? Get defensive fast.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
DOGE Forming a Bottom — Risk/Reward Favor Bulls✅ DOGE looks “forgotten” — minimal interest, low volume, no panic selling ✅ Bottoming structure forming; bounce from key support, retest of lows possible ✅ Accumulation only via spot limit orders in green zones; avoid market buys ⚠️ No expectations of breaking ATH, targets capped at $0.31–0.38 1. Bullish Scenario (~55%) Retest of support zones ($0.143–0.16), spot accumulation Trigger: Bounce on volume, reclaim of previous quarterly levels Partial profit: $0.25; main targets: $0.31–0.38 2. Sideways Scenario (~35%) Consolidation between $0.14–0.18, low volume, slow accumulation Work the range: accumulate at lows, trim on spikes, patience 3. Bearish Scenario (~10%) Break below $0.14 with no demand, deeper altcoin market correction Stop loss on close under $0.14, wait for new supports — no averaging down without buy signals 📝 Order Management & Recommendations: Place spot limit orders only in $0.143–0.16 and lower green zones No market FOMO entries First take-profit: $0.25; main TP: $0.31–0.38 Hard stop/loss under $0.14; no holding through breakdowns
Long
by Goldfinch_song
technical analysis -xau/usd 1 hr time frame 📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold/USD) – 1-Hour Timeframe 🔁 Market Structure: The overall recent trend has been bearish, but at the latest low, the market has shown signs of a Change of Character (CHoCH). Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred earlier, but the current price action suggests a potential reversal or a bullish correction. 🟩 Demand Zone: The green box near the bottom highlights a strong demand zone. Price has already reacted positively from this area, which aligns with previous consolidation levels and support zones. 🟪 Entry Zone & Stop Loss: Purple box: ideal entry zone for a potential long position (around $3,305–$3,315). Red/Brown box below: logical stop loss area, placed below the most recent low (~$3,245). 🎯 Target Zone: The green box at the top indicates the potential target zone, extending toward $3,450–$3,460. This aligns with previous swing highs and structural resistance levels. ✅ Trade Setup: Component Details Entry ~$3,305–$3,315 Stop Loss Below $3,245 Targets TP1: $3,360 / TP2: $3,420 / TP3: $3,450+ Risk-Reward Approx. 3:1 or better This setup becomes more valid with further confirmation in lower timeframes (e.g., 5min or 15min), such as bullish engulfing candles or internal structure shifts. ❌ Invalidation: If price closes below $3,245 and confirms bearish continuation, the long setup becomes invalid. In that case, it’s best to wait for a new structure or new demand zone to form. 📌 Summary: Gold has reacted strongly from a key demand zone. Structure is shifting bullish; if confirmed, this offers a solid low-risk, high-reward opportunity. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always apply risk management. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis reflects only my personal view of the market and is not financial advice. Please perform your own analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trades. FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
OANDA:XAUUSD
by gholamali8905
technical analysis - AXUÉUSD daily time frame 📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – Daily Timeframe 🔁 Overall Market Structure: Since early 2025, the market has been in a strong bullish trend, followed by a few mid-term corrections. A new all-time high was reached around $3,500. After the peak, the price entered a sideways/consolidation phase, currently ranging between $3,360 and $3,460. 🔄 Key Structural Observations: Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH) can be seen near the top, especially after reaching the all-time high. The market currently shows indecision, with no clear dominance from bulls or bears. 📉 Current Price Status: Price is currently around $3,336 and moving within a consolidation zone. This behavior suggests accumulation and could precede a major breakout—either bullish or bearish. 🎯 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Scenario: Condition Clear breakout above ~$3,460 with strong bullish confirmation Targets TP1: $3,500 (previous high), TP2: $3,550+ in extended move Stop Loss Below breakout level or back inside the range (~$3,430) This scenario becomes valid if the market shows strong bullish continuation after breakout. 🔴 Bearish Scenario: Condition Bearish breakout below ~$3,330 with strong bearish candle Targets TP1: $3,250 / TP2: $3,120 Stop Loss Above the broken range (~$3,360–$3,370) If this setup activates, a deeper correction could follow. ⚠️ Important Note: The market is currently consolidating, so trading heavily in the middle of the range is risky. It's safer to wait for a clear breakout with confirmation before entering a position. 📌 Summary: Gold is consolidating after a strong uptrend. A breakout from this range will likely determine the next major direction. Wait for confirmation before taking any trade based on the breakout. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. This analysis reflects my personal view of the market. Please do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions, and manage your risk carefully.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by gholamali8905
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend. Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now. 🪙 Bitcoin Stalling CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market. But let’s be clear: 🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact. However, in TradFi, there are cracks: 🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag 💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade 📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk 🔮 What to Expect Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target) A possible rebound after healthy consolidation A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks I’ll publish a new update when conditions change. 📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
SP:SPXShort
by CryptoNikkoid
3
Next Volatility Period: Around July 2nd Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The key is whether it can rise above 108316.90 and find support. When OBV rises above the High Line, we need to check if the PVT-MACD oscillator switches to above the 0 point. However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, I think there is a high possibility of resistance. We need to check for support in the 108316.90-111696.21 zone, which is the high point boundary zone. - If OBV fails to rise above the High Line, - If the PVT-MACD oscillator fails to remain above the 0 point, - If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and switches to a state where K<D, It is highly likely that it will eventually encounter resistance in the high point boundary zone and fall. Therefore, what we need to do is to check for support near 108361.90-108353.0. If it rises after that, we need to check for support near 111696.21. Entering a new purchase in the high point boundary section is a very risky transaction. Therefore, a short and quick response is required when making a purchase. The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator. Do not forget this. However, since the HA-Low or HA-High indicators are intermediate values, they may move in the opposite direction. In other words, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will receive resistance and fall, showing a stepwise downtrend, and the HA-High indicator will receive support and rise, showing a stepwise uptrend. Therefore, you must check whether there is support in the low point boundary section of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section or the high point boundary section of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section. To do this, you must trade in a split transaction method. - The next volatility period is expected to start around July 2 (July 1-3). The reason why we calculate the volatility period is because it can be a turning point of the trend. Therefore, making a new trade during the volatility period means that there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain the details again when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
$TTD | Smart Money Accumulation or Just a Dead Cat Bounce?WaverVanir International LLC Analysis 🧠 Weekly Chart | Smart Money Concepts (SMC) | June 25, 2025 After a dramatic markdown, The Trade Desk (TTD) has bounced sharply off a major strong low / demand zone (~$40–$45). We’re currently trading near $69.80, building bullish momentum toward the equilibrium zone at $80.55. 🔍 Technical Highlights: 🔴 CHoCH and multiple BOS confirm prior bearish control. 🟢 Price swept liquidity under March lows — classic smart money accumulation pattern. 🟡 Targeting Equilibrium Zone (~$80.55) → Potential reversal or distribution area. 🔺 Above that, inefficiency exists toward $134.09 Premium Zone — ideal for a liquidity grab. 📉 If rejected, expect another markdown targeting the original discount zone. 🔮 Key Levels: ✅ Support: $45.00 | Strong Low 🎯 TP1: $80.55 | Equilibrium 🎯 TP2: $134.09 | Weak High (Liquidity Zone) ❌ Invalid Below: $37.00 🧠 Possible Catalysts Ahead: Q2 2025 Earnings (Expected late July) – Guidance revision could be a major driver. AdTech Sector Rotation – Market rebalancing between Meta, Google, Roku, TTD. Macro Pressure – Rising rates, liquidity tightening, and ad-spending revisions. AI Integration Narrative – TTD may get a valuation bump from alignment with AI/ML targeting. M&A Speculation – Strategic acquisition or partnership in programmatic space. 📌 Summary: Accumulation appears underway, but SMC tells us to wait for signs at equilibrium and weak high zones. Monitor volume behavior and institutional tracks. Patience and precision will separate traders from liquidity. #Hashtags: #TTD #SmartMoneyConcepts #WaverVanir #TradingView #EquilibriumZone #LiquidityGrab #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure #SwyngSetup #AdTech #AIStocks #ProgrammaticAds #Fibonacci #VWAP #TrendReversal
NASDAQ:TTDLong
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
2
XAUUSD – Sniper Entry Plan June 26, 2025👋 Hello traders, Gold is currently consolidating after recent downside liquidity sweeps, and Thursday brings high-impact USD catalysts. Let’s break it down and build a precise plan for sniper entries around these volatile zones. We’re trading structure, not noise — eyes on the prize. 🎯 🔸 HTF Outlook (D1 → H4 → H1) 🌐 Macro & Geopolitical Context Markets are bracing for: USD Unemployment Claims (Forecast: 244K, previous: 245K) Final GDP q/q and Durable Goods Orders Fed speakers (Barkin, Barr, Harker) Stronger-than-expected data could reinforce USD bullish sentiment, sending gold down. Weaker reports + dovish Fed = bullish pressure on gold. 🗺️ Daily Bias: Neutral to Bullish Price is ranging above a key CHoCH low + Daily OB (3272–3288) Strong bullish continuation only confirmed with a break above 3370–3384 FIBO: 50% retracement of the last swing is near 3310, giving structure to Buy Zone 1 Bias: Bullish as long as 3272 holds — PA supports HL structure above imbalance 🕓 H4 Bias: Bearish Pullback CHoCH at 3384 → clean Lower High + price failed to close above premium FVG Pullback testing EMA 50/100 + FVG at 3345 FIBO extension zone at 161.8% aligns near 3288 = reactive downside target Bias: Reactive bearish under 3352. If 3370 breaks cleanly → short invalid. 🕐 H1 Bias: Bullish Short-Term CHoCH → HL printed at 3310 → higher lows forming toward supply EMA 21/50 crossed to the upside, RSI mid-range (50–60) PA structure showing ascending triangle under resistance Bias: Bullish continuation valid toward 3352–3370, unless breakdown under 3308 🔸 LTF Precision (M30 → M15) 🔹 Sell Zone 1 – 3352–3345 H1 OB + M15 FVG + upper range sweep RSI expected to peak near 70 → potential divergence FIBO: 78.6% retracement of previous bearish leg PA: Watch for M15 liquidity sweep + bearish engulfing 🔸 Entry: Wait for break/retest → confirmation on M5–M15 BOS 🔹 Sell Zone 2 – 3370–3384 HTF premium imbalance zone + weak high above RSI likely in exhaustion zone FIBO extension 1.272–1.618 completes inside this supply PA: Only enter after stop hunt wick + clear CHoCH (M5) 🔸 Entry: Reactive fade after liquidity trap 🔸 Buy Zone 1 – 3308–3313 H1 CHoCH + OB + EQ zone RSI bounce zone (30–40) FIBO 50–61.8% retracement of bullish swing PA: Watch for M15 bullish engulfing or double bottom formation 🔸 Entry: Only on structure break + retest confirmation 🔸 Buy Zone 2 – 3288–3272 Daily OB + HTF FVG + massive imbalance RSI expected to overshoot under 30 FIBO: 1.618 extension from previous M15 bullish leg PA: High-RR reversal zone if flushed by NY open 🔸 Entry: Enter only after M5 CHoCH or strong engulfing near the OB ⚖️ Decision Zone – 3333–3336 Previous supply turned EQ zone PA shows indecision — do not enter here Useful for monitoring if price holds support or rejects 🔸 Trade Scenarios 🟢 Bullish Scenario If USD data is weak: Flush to 3308 or 3288 Confirm HL formation → sniper buy from OB → aim 3345+, possibly 3370 sweep 🔴 Bearish Scenario If USD prints strong: Price spikes into 3352 or 3370 zones → rejection + BOS Sniper short entry → targets 3310 → 3288 🔸 Final Plan & Action Points ✅ Patience is key during news. Let structure confirm. ✅ Track price behavior near 14:30 CEST, avoid instant spikes. ✅ Best sniper RR zones: 🔹 Sell from 3352 or 3370 🔸 Buy from 3308 or 3288 📊 Precision matters. Structure wins. 👍 Like this if it helped you map the move, and 🔔 follow for tomorrow’s sniper entry. — GoldFxMinds Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
BTCUSD HTFBitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that you can buy, sell and exchange directly, without an intermediary like a bank. Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, originally described the need for “an electronic payment system based on cryptographic proof instead of trust.” Every Bitcoin transaction that’s ever been made exists on a public ledger accessible to everyone, making transactions hard to reverse and difficult to fake. That’s by design: Core to their decentralized nature, Bitcoins aren’t backed by the government or any issuing institution, and there’s nothing to guarantee their value besides the proof baked in the heart of the system.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Deniz7564
AoO series No.1 - follow upTue - 7am NY. Monthly: Expansion candle, clear target low. Weekly: Expansion candle. We are exiting a consolidation area. We want confirmation that we are running the low and not sweeping it. Daily: the point of interest is the Previous Candle's Low, because the candle didn't close below the taken low. After the PL there is no resistance before the target. -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Wed - follow up On the D we closed below the PL. Today is a 3rd candle. On the 4H we already retraced to a FVG and we first failed to make a new FVG. Are we going to have 2 BAGs on the daily or are we going to retrace to the first FVG before going to target?
Short
by mh_morales972