Beyond Technical Analysis
CRON- I ask ai to check if this is a Warren Buffett Cigar ButtA cigar butt is a stock that trades at a price too low compared to the assets inside the company.
Warren Buffett learned this strategy from Benjamin Graham, and Mr. Graham learned it during the 1930s great depression when stocks were unattractive and over sold.
CRON might be a cigar butt, and to be sure, I used GROK ai to do some homework for me.
CRON has more cash than the market cap.
tangible book value is higher than stock price.
Company has a negative enterprise value, because they have more net cash than marketcap.
On a down day like today, I added some CRON as a deep value play.
Targeting the tangible book value, I will take profit on half and leave the rest for long term.
enjoy the video! be safe.
-Value Pig
BTC Potential Spot Buy $76kAgain: breaking down without a valid reason: this time you can speak of a mini-MSB but if it was a relevant one price shouldn't have consolidated at the highs that long. This makes the breakdown now weak.
Also: price falling down against previous structure without having some breakdown PA at the highs makes the breakdown even weaker (previous structure 'washes' the strength out the breakdown.
If price would fall straight down to the 76k lowest low I think this is a spot buy at the lowest low. No trade as there isn't a valid SL.
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The question now is: do you buy with a larger % of the allocated capital or not?
I think, if price would go straight down, so without creating new structure during the breakdown, larger % is a valid option. But if there would be structure created, 1/3 or 1/2 is better.
Why?
New structure creates resistance for price going back up from the lows.
If price would get above structure, the likelyhood of price going further up is higher so you would want to buy more, and if this new structure is created close to the lowest low you don't miss out much on the new buys. To make this more clear: let's say price would fall straight down without creating structure like it's doing now, the last structure there is would then be the current structure with the top of this structure being 88k. If you would want to wait for more 'validation' of price showing strength, you would then have to wait for price to close above 88k, missing out on 88k-76k= 12k.
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But yeah, a 100% buy is a bit stupid, too gambly. Think 1/2 is better and then wait for some time spend (1D close above level) above level and then buy the other 1/2 with hopefully not much of a price gap.
Because: what if price just breaks straight through the level? I have my reasons for it being unlikely but who am I to say it can't happen? There is a reason I've said I don't buy levels blindly: so far it has never worked out! So maybe even buying 1/3 is better...
Yes: 1/3 max. There's no need to act tough by going all in to prove your conviction.
Hope you sold DXY and still selling?This dxy really tested my resolve this week. I was expecting this sell on Wed and Thurs because I have no other objective to the upside as I said in my previous post. But it continued ranging and in that range I lost money. Reason been I was breaking even, entering again since I thought it was a sure move and stopped out many times. It made me also lose my 3 open positions. Now I'm left with just one.
The market can be irrational more than you can remain solvent.
It is okay to reduce risk, it is okay to wait for higher timeframe confirmation.
What is not okay is rushing into a trade and losing money even when you're right.
My objectives for the downtrend are highlighted on my chart. Look at them, I will also update you when I see a possibility of a retracement.
Follow me as most of my trades are market order and not just lines on chart. You will be able to see them on time and trade them with me.
Long? Yes I Am-genNothing revolutionary here today, just an algo call on a stock that has been a solid performer for me historically.
The rationale:
--In a trading range longer term, but a short/medium term uptrend
--right at short term support level
--1313-1* W/L record with my algo (the 1 being 2 days ago and still would be open)
--Avg. gain per trade is just over 2%
---Avg daily return is about 2.5x that of stocks in general, long term
Initial entry was at 305.70. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
GBP/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔 GBP/USd news:
👉Weaker-than-expected inflation data pressured the British Pound in early European trading on Wednesday. Later in the day, the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility announced a downward revision of its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1%, leading to a decline in GBP/USD.
While presenting the Spring Budget, UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves highlighted the increasing instability of the global economy and announced cuts to planned government spending.
👉 On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the weekly Initial Jobless Claims data, with markets expecting a rise to 225,000 from the previous 223,000. A significant drop in this figure could strengthen the U.S. dollar and push GBP/USD lower.
👉Meanwhile, market sentiment remains cautious early Thursday following the latest remarks from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding tariffs.
👉 If safe-haven flows dominate financial markets later in the day, GBP/USD may struggle to maintain its position.
Personal opinion:
👉GBP/USD will continue to decline as this pair is vulnerable to potential risks from the trade war.
👉Moreover, a part of investors will turn to safe havens such as gold to keep their assets. So this pair will still be limited in the near future
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell GGBP/USD 1.2970 – 1.2980
❌SL: 1.3010 | ✅TP: 1.2920 – 1.2870
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Price action at its finest !!!!!!!Up until one fathoms particular concepts of a pairs currency maneuvers; the goal of achieving financial liberation in the forex market is downright toilet water! 💩
Do all right for yourself and probe PRICE ACTION with the aim of mastering its constituents unreservedly.
As in the present case
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Candlestick patterns
The Market structure
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Money management
Stay connected🤞
Bullish play
RDDT Bearish Breakdown – Targeting Gap Fill $80 Loving this sell off on RDDT -
RDDT (Reddit, Inc.) has experienced a steep decline after a strong rally, and is currently trading around $110.44. The chart highlights a significant gap zone between approximately $85 and $105, suggesting a potential gap-fill.
SOLO Price Prediction: The analysis predicts that once this gap is filled, RDDT could continue its downtrend toward a major support level at $14.50. This bearish outlook implies substantial downside risk, with the $14.50 level acting as a long-term target for price correction.
NZDCAD - Looking for bearish continuationMy chart describes exactly what I am seeing.
My own bias is to the downside.
This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Feeling lost in crypto? Learn how to improve your strategy with my 5-step method before the bull run ends.
Read this thread to learn more. 🧵
I. Make sure to hold at least 75% of your portfolio in CRYPTOCAP:BTC during the market's CRYPTOCAP:BTC season.
This ensures that whenever CRYPTOCAP:BTC sells off, the effect on your portfolio is minimal.
It has become clear that when CRYPTOCAP:BTC slips, you can lose up to 90% of your altcoin portfolio in a few days or weeks, but if you hold CRYPTOCAP:BTC , this won't affect you as much.
II. Don't be afraid to sit in stablecoins whilst you wait for a market stabilisation or clear trend.
Sitting in stablecoins is great because it shows you have patience, and if you don't have patience, you will FOMO in at the top and then get wrecked on a small CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback.
Many great protocols offer good APYs on USDC or USDT, especially in the CRYPTOCAP:SOL and CRYPTOCAP:SUI ecosystems.
For example, NYSE:NX from NX Finance
III. Constantly look for new trends and narratives forming!
Your ability to research projects well is the difference between catching a 100x and losing 80% of your portfolio.
Some good tools to research are:
1. CoinMarketCap or Coingecko to observe new trends and emerging tokens in different sectors.
2. Tokenomist AI to observe the vesting schedules and upcoming unlocks of a token to avoid being a VC's exit liquidity.
3. Grok to summarise whitepapers and specific sections to save you time from reading long, boring docs.
IV. Look for strong, resilient altcoins during CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullbacks.
As bad as CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullbacks can be for altcoins, this is really where the greatest opportunities are found.
Whenever there is FUD around a coin and an extended CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback, like what happened recently with GETTEX:HYPE , it creates an opportunity to buy a project at a 'discount'.
Even if you buy a bad project, you can profit greatly from it if you buy it 'cheap'.
Buying altcoins at major high-time-frame supports is a great way to hedge against the risks of losing 90% on them.
V. Unless you have a strategy, avoid memecoins and airdrops.
For the most part, they are a waste of time and will never give you long-lasting returns or an advantage in the markets.
Instead, focus on building up a portfolio that generates cash flow and doesn't leave you regretting entering crypto in the first place by following steps I-IV.
I've been @CryptoJayTrades, I hope this has been helpful.
Check the link in my bio to get a free portfolio tracker to see how well you are really doing this bull run!