Opening (IRA): TMF May 16th 37 Covered Call... for a 36.05 debit.
Comments: Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 36.05/share
Max Profit: .95
ROC at Max: 2.64%
50% Max: .48
ROC at 50% Max: 1.32%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, look to add at intervals if I can get in at a break even better than what I currently have on, and/or roll out short call when that aspect hits 50% max.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC Breakout or Breakdown: 83K to 87K or Bust to 73K?BTC’s standing at a fork in the road, and it’s itching to make a move! If it pushes past 83,121, we’re looking at a smooth jump to 84,600—like a quick win you can almost taste. Keep the good vibes going, and 87,000 might just be the big payoff. But hold up—if it stumbles below 81,300, things could get messy. The bears might crash the party, pulling us down to 80K, then 79,900. And if the slide keeps going? We’re talking 74,700, maybe even a rough landing between 73,600 and 73,000.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
It looks like a wedge!If you're not a chartist, then see it as a liquidity grab at the marked red dot.
We probably still have another 100 pips of leverage left, maybe more!
Remember that a crowded area is a liquidity-starved area.
Don't forget that patience pays off!
Apply your own strategy to find the entry, or here's a little setup; that's what I'm waiting for.
Keep It Simple!
Don't forget to follow me.
Gold at New Record—Will the Rally Continue?Spot gold opened higher and rose further in the early trading on Monday (March 31st). It once broke through the level of $3,090 per ounce and reached a new all-time high of $3,128 per ounce. This market movement was mainly driven by geopolitical risks and market concerns about the global trade war, which attracted investors to flock to safe-haven assets.
This week, multiple factors in the market have interwoven to affect the price of gold. On Wednesday, the tariff policy was finally determined, and the ADP data also caused fluctuations in the market. On Friday, the non-farm payrolls data will once again test the nerves of the market, presenting both risks and opportunities. Against this backdrop, gold has demonstrated the charm of a safe-haven asset. The economic slowdown in the United States, the intensification of the US debt crisis, and the tense geopolitical situation in the Middle East have all provided impetus for the rise in the price of gold.
From a technical perspective, gold surged after opening in the morning and then quickly declined, but it stabilized and rebounded later. The weekly, daily, and 4-hour charts all show a bullish trend, with strong upward momentum. On the hourly chart, gold maintains a good upward trend, with previous highs and lows continuously rising, and the bulls are in the dominant position. Currently, the upper resistance is in the range of $3,135 - $3,138, while the lower support is in the range of $3,070 - $3,080. In terms of operation, it is recommended to go long on pullbacks as the main strategy and go short on rebounds as a supplementary strategy.
XAUUSD
buy@3090-3100
tp:3120-3130-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold's Historic Ascent: Breaking the $3,100 Barrier
Gold, the timeless safe-haven asset, has surged to unprecedented heights, breaching the $3,100 per ounce mark for the first time in history. This remarkable rally, fueled by a confluence of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties, underscores gold's enduring appeal as a hedge against uncertainty. The recent surge, surpassing the previous record set just days prior, signals a potent shift in investor sentiment, driven significantly by the United States' imposition of new levies.
The Catalyst: US Levies and Geopolitical Turmoil
The primary catalyst for gold's dramatic ascent is the escalating geopolitical landscape, particularly the United States' implementation of new levies. These levies, often associated with trade disputes and economic protectionism, inject uncertainty into global markets. Investors, seeking to mitigate potential losses, flock to safe-haven assets like gold, driving its price upward.
Beyond the immediate impact of US levies, a broader sense of economic fragility permeates the market. Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns have created a climate of apprehension. In such environments, gold's historical role as a store of value becomes increasingly attractive, bolstering its demand.
Gold's Safe-Haven Status: A Time-Tested Phenomenon
Gold's allure as a safe-haven asset is deeply rooted in its intrinsic properties and historical performance. Unlike fiat currencies, which are susceptible to inflation and government policies, gold retains its value over long periods. In times of economic and political instability, gold tends to outperform other asset classes, serving as a reliable hedge against market volatility.
This safe-haven status is further reinforced by gold's limited supply and its universal recognition as a valuable asset. The precious metal's physical nature and its role in various industries, from jewelry to electronics, contribute to its enduring demand.
The Market Reaction: A Surge in Investor Confidence
The surge in gold prices reflects a significant shift in investor confidence. As traditional investment avenues become increasingly risky, investors are turning to gold as a means of preserving capital. The influx of funds into gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and other gold-related investments underscores this trend.
The market's reaction also highlights the interconnectedness of global economies. The US levies, while originating from a single nation, have reverberated across international markets, triggering a flight to safety. This demonstrates the profound impact of geopolitical events on investor behavior and asset prices.
Analyzing the Price Surge: Factors at Play
Several factors contribute to gold's current price surge:
• Currency Fluctuations: A weakening US dollar can make gold more attractive to investors holding other currencies.
• Inflationary Pressures: Rising inflation erodes the purchasing power of fiat currencies, increasing the appeal of gold as an inflation hedge.
• Interest Rate Policies: Lower interest rates can reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold, as it does not generate interest income.
• Geopolitical Instability: Political conflicts, trade disputes, and economic sanctions create uncertainty, driving demand for safe-haven assets.
• Central Bank Purchases: Central banks often hold gold reserves as a hedge against currency fluctuations and economic instability. Their purchasing activity can influence gold prices.
•
Looking Ahead: The Future of Gold Prices
Predicting future gold prices is inherently challenging, as they are influenced by a complex interplay of factors. However, several trends suggest that gold's upward trajectory may continue:
• Persistent Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing political conflicts and trade disputes are likely to sustain demand for safe-haven assets.
• Economic Uncertainty: Concerns about inflation, rising interest rates, and potential economic slowdowns are expected to persist.
• Increased Investor Interest: The recent surge in gold prices has attracted significant investor attention, potentially leading to further inflows of funds.
However, potential headwinds could also impact gold prices:
• Strengthening US Dollar: A stronger US dollar could make gold less attractive to international investors.
• Rising Interest Rates: Higher interest rates could increase the opportunity cost of holding gold.
• Improved Economic Outlook: A more optimistic economic outlook could reduce demand for safe-haven assets.
The Significance of Gold's Milestone
Gold's breach of the $3,100 mark is a significant milestone, reflecting the profound impact of geopolitical tensions and economic anxieties on global markets. It underscores gold's enduring role as a safe-haven asset and its ability to preserve value in times of uncertainty.
As investors navigate the complexities of the global economy, gold is likely to remain a key component of diversified investment portfolios. Its historical performance, intrinsic properties, and universal appeal make it a compelling asset in an increasingly uncertain world.
USOIL: Next Week's Blueprint for Profit Amid VolatilityDuring the US trading session on Friday, March 28th, international oil prices fluctuated slightly and declined. However, both Brent crude oil and WTI crude oil remained firmly near their one - month highs and were projected to register "three consecutive weekly gains" on the weekly chart. The ongoing tug - of - war between the supply tightness instigated by geopolitical unrest and the latent concerns regarding an economic downturn has placed oil prices in a volatile state of being "caught between a rock and a hard place".
From the perspective of the USOIL daily chart, following the medium - term trend's breach of the lower edge of the range, it has predominantly fluctuated around lower levels. The oil price has experienced consecutive short - term increases, breaking through the suppression of the moving average system, and the medium - term objective trend has entered a transition phase. Nevertheless, in terms of kinetic energy, neither the bulls nor the bears have demonstrated a clear - cut inclination to overpower the other. It is anticipated that the medium - term trend will persist in its volatile rhythm for a while, awaiting the establishment of a distinct trend direction.
The short - term (1H) trend of USOIL has not continuously set new highs and has exhibited a pattern of high - level consolidation. The short - term objective trend remains upward. In the early trading session, the oil price underwent a narrow adjustment at a high level, presenting an overall secondary rhythm with a sound internal rhythm. The fundamental objective trend during the week has been upward in sync, and it is highly likely that the short - term trend of USOIL will continue its upward trajectory next week.
USOIL
buy@68-68.5
tp:69.5-70
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
SPY - Macro-Market Overview and what the algorithms are sayingCurrently we are being guided by a strong selling teal on the LTF but we must keep in mind the HTF algorithms of red and white (which are bullish liquidity builders). Right now, we need to see who wins out in this fight between teal and red - if we break red and prove teal guidance, we are definitively in strong selling and can easily make our way toward the HTF white at the low $500's.
As always, let the algorithms guide you!
Happy Trading :)
ATH 3127, continues to aim for big growth⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold's record-breaking rally continues unchecked as buyers push prices past the $3,100 milestone for the first time ever. Mounting concerns over a potential global trade war and rising stagflation risks in the United States (US) have further fueled demand for the safe-haven metal, reinforcing its status as a store of value.
A recent report from The Wall Street Journal (WSJ) suggests that US President Donald Trump may introduce even higher and broader reciprocal tariffs on April 2, known as “Liberation Day.” This prospect has sent fresh waves of risk aversion rippling through global markets, amplifying investor uncertainty.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Tariff pressure, fears of trade war outbreak in April. Gold price is growing continuously, expected to reach 3127
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3126 - $3128 SL $3133
TP1: $3120
TP2: $3110
TP3: $3100
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3092 - $3094 SL $3087
TP1: $3098
TP2: $3103
TP3: $3110
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Us100 Upward or downward?In the 5-minute timeframe, you can sell at the top of the trading range and buy at the bottom of the trading range (by observing reversal candles and patterns).
Alternatively, you can wait for a breakout and enter in the direction of the breakout.
Be mindful of fake breakouts.
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
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Analysis
Germany 40 has shifted into a corrective phase within what is still just a bullish trend overall, currently trading around 22,042, below its 20-day VWAP of 22,850. The RSI at 37.2 reflects weakening momentum, aligning with the recent downside break. Immediate support lies at 22,043. A reversal above resistance at 23,551 would be needed to revive bullish sentiment.
UK 100 remains in a neutral, consolidative phase after stalling from earlier gains. It’s quoted at 8,553, just under its 20-day VWAP of 8,644. The RSI of 39.2 shows a loss of momentum, leaning slightly bearish. Key support is marked at 8,500, and only a break above 8,763 would signal fresh upward traction.
Wall Street continues in a bearish trend with a corrective bounce already having rolled over as of Friday, currently at 41,299—just below the VWAP of 41,814. An RSI of 36 (having failed to overcome the 50 level) suggests a lack of bullish conviction. The key downside level is 40,840, while 42,787 stands as initial resistance on any recovery.
Brent Crude holds a bearish trajectory but the corrective move is gathering steam, trading at 7,289, above the 20-day VWAP of 7,131. The RSI at 55.2 is neutral, offering little directional clarity. Immediate support sits at 6,856, while 7,405 will test further upside.
Gold continues to sprint into record highs, quoted at 3,117 and well above the 20-day VWAP of 3,004. The RSI at 76.8 is firmly in overbought territory, highlighting stretched momentum but also strength. While some pullback could occur, support is seen way back at 2,883, with the recent highs acting as near-term resistance before 3200.
EUR/USD sustains its bullish setup as it undergoes a dip trading at 1.0814, marginally below the VWAP of 1.0848. The RSI at 55.7 leans constructive though lacks strong momentum. Near-term support is at 1.07476, while 1.09489 is the next resistance zone to watch for continuation.
GBP/USD is still bullish as it sits in a tight correction, priced at 1.29306, holding above its 20-day VWAP of 1.29302. The RSI at 57.1 supports the ongoing trend but shows moderation from previous highs. A break below 1.28721 may trigger caution, while further upside needs a break of 1.30069.
USD/JPY holds a bearish trend but it has flattened out and is currently in a corrective bounce, quoted at 149.30 and near its VWAP of 149.30. RSI at 47.2 remains neutral. If sellers regain control, support is at 147.00. On the upside, clearing 151.12 could shift sentiment back toward bullish territory.
ETHUSDWith the weekly candlestick that closed last night,
There are no signs of weakness in the Ethereum chart and I expect to see a 1650 range based on the liquidity inflow chart.
Of course, this analysis is completely dependent on macroeconomic data and we will have to see what happens in the next few days with Mr. Trump's tariffs, unemployment rates, and the Fed meetings.
As always, we are moving in step with the market.
Best regards
GOLD reasons for shortHello fellow traders,
this idea is an absolute speculation based on a fact the tariffs were announced, indexes loss is accounted for and time for stabilisation in a market, perhaps time to buy USD instead? I am bidding 1:2 on the scenario and placing my t/p at level 2840 with sl 3240,
always protect your capital, management of risk is the crucial factor in trading no matter how much you invest, good luck
GameStop’s Bitcoin Bet Fails to Wow Traders. Can It Copy MSTR?GameStop NYSE:GME wants to jam Bitcoin BITSTAMP:BTCUSD into its treasury. But isn’t that a risky move that threatens to derail the video-game retailer’s finances? With $1.3 billion on the line, GameStop’s pivot to Bitcoin in efforts to revive its flagging share price may make things even worse. Let’s talk about that.
Desperate times call for desperate measures. After a couple months of speculation, traders’ suspicions turned out correct — GameStop is indeed adding Bitcoin on its balance sheet .
The company confirmed the plan in its quarterly earnings update released last week. That was all good — shares jumped 8% on the news and closed the cash session higher by 12%.
But these solid gains were not only wiped out — traders doubled down on the selling pressure when the shares crashed 23% a day later because GameStop unveiled a scary figure.
To make Bitcoin a treasury reserve asset, GameStop said it is seeking to sell $1.3 billion of convertible bonds , which will be used “for general corporate purposes, including the acquisition of Bitcoin in a manner consistent with GameStop’s Investment Policy.”
What do these convertible bonds do? They’re essentially papers that certify you’ve given the company a loan. Usually, they come bearing some nice guaranteed yield, but in this case, the yield is exactly 0.00%.
Another string attached to GameStop's bonds is that they are due in 2030 and you can choose to convert them into shares, each with a price tag of $28.46, or you can take them out in cash. That’s one reason why the stock tanked last week — not too favorable conditions.
Another one, and perhaps a bigger worry for investors, is that GameStop’s net income will no longer be as secure as it’s been until now. More precisely, GameStop generates around $220 million in interest each year thanks to its holding of Treasury bills.
With Bitcoin getting in the mix of factors contributing to the bottom-line figure, things may spin out of ordinary. True, Bitcoin may go up in price and lift GameStop’s net income but it could also decide to nosedive for no reason and eat into GameStop’s profits.
Judging by the votes of the traders last week (if the stock market is a voting machine in the short term), they seem to believe in the latter. At least for now. But that's not a concern to the OG meme stock . Where it hopes Bitcoin will make a difference is the long run. Just look at MicroStrategy MSTR .
Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy , is the world’s largest corporate Bitcoin holder. Even more, it’s a Bitcoin hoarder, sitting on more than 506,000 Bitcoin, according to BTC-tracking platform Bitcoin Treasuries .
Strategy has been issuing debt to buy Bitcoin since 2020 and that’s the exact same thing that GameStop is doing. But there’s a key difference. Strategy has largely strapped its share price to the performance of Bitcoin. So much so that the market has been feverishly buying the stock as a way to get exposure to Bitcoin (on steroids). For GameStop, it’s too late for that.
Shares of Strategy are trading at less than 2x the value of its Bitcoin holdings.
GameStop, in contrast, has appealed to investors for its stack of cash (besides the speculative bonanza) with $4.8 billion in dry powder ready to be deployed. The stock is trading at more than 2x its cash holdings and the cash-to-Bitcoin conversion is likely to dent that performance and trigger some outflows. And that’s how the company puts its premium at risk.
So is it safe to say that GameStop is looking to spark a share-price rally by following MicroStrategy’s lead? Maybe. But the exposure to Bitcoin also comes at a perilous time for the cryptocurrency industry. Bitcoin is down 10% on the year and more than 25% from its all-time high of $109,000 to hover around $84,000 a pop.
Can the Bitcoin philosophy reel GameStop out of the slump? Or will it drag the bottom line and chip away at whatever’s left of the bruised valuation under $10 billion? You be the judge — share your thoughts in the comment section!