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Beyond Technical Analysis

Bitcoin vs S&P 500This is almost too simple to publish but my point is that the period of acceleration for BTC vs S&P500 hasn't happened yet. In past cycles the rapid outperformance lasted 5-7 months. We either stated that phase or are about to. Of course it probably won't be the same as prior cycles but it will likely be something similar. Basically if we repeat the pattern then phase 2 should begin. The market will likely be getting crazier. I've held through the downturn so I'm going to continue to hold now.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Alex-Weigel
Japan Telecom Market Overview and Growth OpportunitiesThe Japanese telecom market, valued at USD 123.64 billion in 2025, is projected to reach USD 157.20 billion by 2030, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.92%. As one of the most technologically advanced nations globally, Japan boasts a robust infrastructure, high internet penetration, and a steadily expanding mobile internet user base, driven by the increasing adoption of smartphones. Policy shifts, such as amendments to the Telecommunications Business Law and government-backed action plans, have fostered a more competitive and affordable market for consumers. By 2021, major mobile network operators (MNOs) introduced affordable plans, including 20 GB packages, marking a significant step toward consumer affordability. 5G remains a pivotal trend in the Japanese telecom sector, with significant investments in infrastructure by key players, including NTT Docomo, KDDI au, SoftBank, and Rakuten Mobile. These companies are collectively spending over USD 14 billion on capital projects, including base stations, servers, and fibre optics, to accelerate 5G adoption. By 2029, 5G subscribers in Japan are expected to surpass 151 million, making it the dominant cellular technology in the nation. Notably, NTT Docomo is leading 5G rollout efforts, aiming for 90% population coverage by March 2024, supported by its deployment of the world's first commercial 5G Standalone network. The availability of advanced 5G devices from global brands like Samsung, Sony, and Fujitsu further supports the transition to next-generation networks. Rakuten Mobile, a newer entrant, has disrupted the market with its cloud-native, low-cost approach. The company has invested heavily in 5G infrastructure and innovative services, gaining traction among cost-conscious consumers. Rakuten’s competitive pricing model, coupled with its focus on digital transformation, has pressured established players like NTT Docomo and SoftBank to innovate and lower prices. Meanwhile, Centre Mobile, a modest​ player, is expected to benefit from these advancements as it leverages the increased affordability of 5G technology and improved network infrastructure to expand its customer base and offerings. Japan's focus on future-proofing its telecom sector extends beyond 5G, with investments in 6G technology. The government, in collaboration with industry leaders such as NEC and Fujitsu, is laying the groundwork for 6G, aiming for a commercial launch by 2030. This ultra-high-speed communication initiative underscores Japan's commitment to maintaining technological leadership in the global telecom market. In conclusion, Japan’s telecom market is poised for sustained growth, driven by 5G expansion, competitive pricing reforms, and innovative technologies. Players like NTT Docomo and Rakuten are at the forefront, reshaping the competitive landscape, while Centre Mobile and other smaller operators stand to gain from increased affordability and improved infrastructure. The market's evolution is expected to enhance connectivity, foster digital transformation, and establish Japan as a leader in next-generation telecommunications.
OTC:KDDIFLong
by dibora_yen91
SPY .. S&P 500 interesting Averages Head n ShouldersWhile the green isn't a head n Shoulder it gives you the best visual... the math is on the left for averages to the green...and the Red is the inverse image of the 2015 to today when figuring in a little room for "uncertainties" But either way...They both give an interesting take on things. Which do you think is achievable...especially when insurance is about to collapse with fires, policy cancellations...and derivatives backed swaps being called on if any of the big 7 start a hard down?? anywho..doodles are doodles...
AMEX:SPY
by CYQOTEK
The NASDAQ is Approaching a Selling OpportunityCurrently, the NASDAQ is showing a strong uptrend on the daily chart, but the gap between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages has significantly widened. Even if the market opens with a gap up today, a pullback is likely due to this divergence, so chasing buys is not recommended. For selling at the top, consider these levels: 21940, 22040, and 22110. Especially near 22040, the resistance zone aligns with the upper Bollinger Band, making it a favorable level for selling. Following President Trump’s announcement of expanded AI infrastructure investments, AI-related stocks like NVIDIA have surged. However, it’s unlikely that the rally will continue significantly from this point. Additionally, the NASDAQ has already triggered a sell signal on the 30-minute chart, and this could cascade into sell signals on the 60-minute, 120-minute, and 240-minute charts. Be cautious about chasing long positions. For dip-buying opportunities, 21770, a previous resistance level, may serve as a good entry point if the market pulls back. Should the price drop to the 5-day moving average, 21630 would offer an even better buying opportunity. I post daily analysis on the NASDAQ, Crude Oil, and Gold. Follow me to receive these updates and stay informed! 😊
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by Futureguard
APES will like this, AMC to $4My trading plan is very simple. I buy or sell when price tags the top or bottom of parallel channels. I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels. So... Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing. Price at or near bottom channels (period 100 52 39 & 26) Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at oversold level VBSM is spiked negative and under bottom of Bollinger Band Price at or near 2.618 Fibonacci level Bought 1/17 call $3.50 strike for $0.09
NYSE:AMCLong
by chancethepug
1
ETH: Bullish pattern inside a bullish pattern, in a bull cycle..Lets take a closer look at ETH from all perspective: - We are in a bull cycle, but news/community and media is quite negative about ETH, concerns on ETH foundation, volumes dropping, fear of SOL being the replacement for ETH etc. This all sounds to me as, you should do opposite of what the crowd says, as the herd always gets slaughtered. So people are screaming its over for ETH it might just be the start of the wave for ETH. - We are in a bull cycle, maybe just last legs of it, but we are not going for Bear market yet, I think BTC and the general market will make another move as soon as the Trump administration makes a bullish headline for crypto in general after inauguration, everybody thought he would say something during the ceremony but lets wait, ETH has always been the last one to move at the end of the cycle, so we still got time. - Patterns: Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern as you can see which is a bullish pattern, and if you look at the formulation of the last shoulder, you can see a Falling Wedge pattern which is another bullish signal. - EWO: Closing red waves, which means a green one is about to start - 1W RSI: Looking to flip up, which is a bullish sign but not confirmed. Two scenarios: - We go to below 3k levels around 2.8k, before we pump - We pump to start of February, going sideways or a little bit closer to 3k levels then now Sit and watch
Long
by farhadjafarov7
Bulls maintain the Uptrend - XAU up⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its upward momentum for the third consecutive day on Wednesday, reaching its highest level since November 1 near the $2,750 mark during the Asian session. This rally is driven by safe-haven demand amid uncertainty surrounding US President Donald Trump's trade policies. Additionally, a recent drop in US Treasury bond yields, supported by expectations of two Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts this year, provides further support for the non-yielding yellow metal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Long-term Uptrend remains, expect higher price zones 2756, 2774 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2720 - $2718 SL $2713 TP1: $2728 TP2: $2735 TP3: $2748 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2755 - $2757 SL $2760 scalping TP1: $2750 TP2: $2745 TP3: $2740 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2774 - $2776 SL $2781 TP1: $2765 TP2: $2758 TP3: $2750 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
More Selloff potential It is possible that the market may selloff starting at 1.25732 approx. So Im a seller there with a stop at 1.27. Its highly likely that the market wont touch that level in my opinion. The same price "frequency" that caused the low at 1.21 will be the same frequency that produces resistance at 1.25732. The repeat pattern (inverted) from feb 5th 2024 low to march 8th high and the downswing from July 13th to august 25th combined provides the expected action to play out at 1.25732. I am a seller for now. Will it get there? Only TIME will tell.
Short
by armanitrades-mhc
DXY in 4H timeframehello dear traders U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the potential for a correction over the next month: Federal Reserve Monetary Policy: If the Federal Reserve signals a slowdown or pause in its rate hikes, it could put downward pressure on the DXY. Upcoming speeches or FOMC minutes will be key indicators to watch. U.S. Economic Data: Weaker-than-expected economic data, such as lower GDP growth, higher unemployment rates, or declining inflation, could suggest a less aggressive Fed policy, leading to a potential correction in the dollar. Global Economic Trends and Risk Sentiment: Increased risk appetite in global markets could drive investors toward riskier assets (like equities or emerging market currencies), reducing demand for the dollar as a safe-haven asset. Geopolitical and International Developments: Any easing of geopolitical tensions or positive trade agreements between major economies could diminish the dollar’s safe-haven appeal and contribute to a potential correction. Correlated Markets like Gold and Oil: Rising prices in gold or oil often correlate with a weaker dollar. If these assets strengthen, it could be a sign of dollar weakness. In summary, weaker U.S. data or dovish signals from the Fed, combined with a more favorable global economic environment, could increase the likelihood of a DXY correction over the next month.
TVC:DXYShort
by mehdi_kb
Gold has started journey towards "All Time High" read caption...Hello everyone, i have prepared this setup share your thoughts in comment section. The chart i have prepared represents the price action of XAU/USD on a 2-hour timeframe. It illustrates the following technical and fundamental details 1. Trend Analysis: Gold is trending upwards, as shown by the ascending channel highlighted in blue. Resistance is marked at the upper boundary near $2,772-$2,776. The entry point for a potential buy trade is marked at $2,750, with a target near the all-time high. But you can execute trade from a bit above like $2754-56. 2. Support and Stop-Loss Area: The stop-loss (SL) area is highlighted between $2,730 and $2,727, indicating the price zone where risk management is planned. Strong support zones are marked in yellow and orange, representing potential bounce areas in case of a retracement. 3. Breakout Scenario: If gold breaks above the resistance zone, the white and blue arrows depict potential bullish momentum towards new highs. New high will cross 2800. Geopolitical Context: Gold is a safe-haven asset and is highly influenced by geopolitical tensions, inflation fears, and uncertainty. Recent global events may have driven the price higher: Geopolitical Tensions: Increased conflict or economic instability (e.g., in Eastern Europe or the Middle East) could push investors toward gold as a secure store of value. Inflation Concerns: Rising global inflation due to post-pandemic stimulus measures and supply chain disruptions is another factor supporting gold prices. Central Bank Policies: Major central banks, such as the Federal Reserve, maintaining dovish policies or slowing interest rate hikes could also be bullish for gold. Impact of Trump’s Presidency: Donald Trump's presidency (2017–2021) significantly impacted gold prices due to the following: Trade Wars: Ongoing U.S.-China trade tensions during his term created market volatility, driving investors to gold. Geopolitical Risk: His administration’s foreign policies, such as conflicts with Iran and North Korea, heightened geopolitical risk, boosting gold demand. Economic Policies: Tax cuts and increased fiscal stimulus initially strengthened the U.S. economy and the dollar. However, fears of debt accumulation and inflation later provided support for gold. Pandemic Response: During the COVID-19 crisis in 2020, gold reached record highs ($2,075 per ounce) as Trump's administration rolled out massive stimulus packages, weakening the dollar. This chart reflects the current bullish momentum in gold, potentially influenced by ongoing geopolitical risks, economic factors, and inflationary pressures. Key levels; buy zones 2750-54 and 2748 Target at 2776,2790,2800 SL at 2730 Kindly support me.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Jacks_Trading_Service