Beyond Technical Analysis
Post Earnings $SMR - Two Scenarios Personal Current view on $ NYSE:SMR stock as a long holder:
Considering the uptrend channel seen, a bounce from 16-17$ area back to 19$-20's$ should imply that the bullish uptrend is not over yet.
Despite this running up due to news mainly, a positive earnings would give more confidence to investors.
Another aspect is if trump wins, this could see more potential and here is why in the next paragraph.
Trump vs. Harris Scenarios on nuclear energy:
Donald Trump: During his presidency, Trump promoted an "all-of-the-above" energy policy, which included strong support for nuclear power. His administration implemented measures to support the nuclear industry, such as proposing funding for research in advanced nuclear reactors and exploring ways to keep existing nuclear plants operational. The Trump administration saw nuclear energy as a way to boost U.S. energy independence and cut carbon emissions, while also enhancing the U.S. nuclear industry's competitiveness against countries like Russia and China.
Kamala Harris: Harris has generally supported a shift toward renewable energy (like solar and wind) as part of addressing climate change, aligning with the Democratic Party's focus on green energy. While she hasn’t opposed nuclear power outright, she has emphasized a preference for renewables. However, as Vice President under Joe Biden, she has supported the administration’s clean energy goals, which include nuclear power as a low-carbon energy source in their policy mix. The Biden administration has provided funding to keep existing nuclear plants running and to research advanced nuclear technology.
Another factor to consider is that NuScale is "the only SMR certified by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission." But also, "Standard Design Approval application under review by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and remains on track for mid-year 2025 completion, as scheduled." So on the long run this can be promising if they managed to get all paper work done.
Back to the analysis, if we don't see a bounce back to 20$ then its going to have major resistance at first previous outbreak around 10$.
Worthy of mentioning, on the 30mins / 1 hour timeframes there were divergences detected indicating a bullish signal again, but due to vagueness of election results and negative sentiment the stock has seen tight hold around 18$ till date of this post.
Not a financial advisor or even close to a trader, just a swing trading hobbyist who wants to learn more about trading
EURUSD Buy ForecastEURUSD New forecast👨💻👨💻
Note:
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INJ SWING LONG OPPORTUNITY - Injective Network INJ was one of the most bullish coins last year during the 2023 autumn altcoin season, achieving over an 8x increase! I strongly recommend following this coin during the 2024-2025 altseason.
Technical Analysis: The price reached a weekly swing point and wicked off it, but couldn’t close below, showing a strong rejection from that level. This led to the creation of a daily demand zone, which I find significant since the weekly run occurred before this daily demand was formed, suggesting strong support potential.
The price has now hit the daily demand zone and is sitting at a maximum discount area. I’ll be watching for lower time frame confirmations to anticipate price movement, but things are looking great.
Targets: There is a bearish trendline that has defined the bearish structure since June 2024, which I consider the first take-profit level. Additional targets are visible on the chart, with 24.94 and 28 USD as potential levels. I expect we could reach these targets before the new year.
Weekly Technical AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends.
The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex.
*KEY
Trend is set by the slope of the VWAP over 50 periods
Phase is determined by the current price relative to the VWAP (20) level (above or below)
Support & Resistance are set by the StdDev #2 Lower and Upper respectively.
Momentum is determined by the RSI level (70 as overbought and under 30 as oversold).
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Analysis
Germany 40
Germany 40 has shifted to a corrective phase but remains in a bullish trend. The price is now 19,223, having bounced off the 2SD channel it is still below the VWAP (20) of 19,430. Support is at 19,112, with resistance at 19,748. The RSI stands at 47, reflecting a more cautious sentiment within the bullish trend.
UK 100
The UK 100 just about remains neutral, but the break below the previous fractal lows around 8200 could be the start of a new downtrend. The price is currently 8,217, just below the VWAP (20) of 8,257. Support is located at 8,101, while resistance is at 8,413. The RSI is 46, indicating balanced momentum.
Wall Street
Wall Street is in a bullish but corrective phase, still above the VWAP bands. The current price is 42,021, below the VWAP (20) of 42,584. Support is at 41,596, and resistance is at 43,572. The RSI is 44, indicating waning momentum within the broader bullish trend.
Brent Crude
Brent Crude remains neutral, staying in a consolidation phase with limited directional bias. The price is 7,478, just above the VWAP (20) of 7,392. Support is located at 7,097, with resistance at 7,687. The RSI is 52, indicating slightly positive but generally balanced momentum.
Gold
Gold remains bullish in an impulsive phase despite a small pullback. The bearish engulfing candlestick pattern is one to watch for a trend reversal. The current price is 2,740, above the VWAP (20) of 2,719. Support is found at 2,644, and resistance is at 2,795. The RSI is 59, reflecting strong bullish momentum without overbought conditions.
EUR/USD
EUR/USD has moved to a corrective phase but remains in a bearish trend. The price is 1.0898, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 1.0848 after gapping back above a bearish engulfing candlestick. Support is at 1.0765, with resistance at 1.0932. The RSI is 51, suggesting a pause in downward momentum.
G BP/USD
GBP/USD continues in a neutral consolidation phase with a slight bearish bias. The current price is 1.2960, close to the VWAP (20) of 1.2993. Support is at 1.2891, and resistance stands at 1.3094. The RSI is 43, showing mild downside pressure within the neutral trend.
USD/JPY
USD/JPY remains bullish in an impulsive phase. The current price is 151.88, slightly above the VWAP (20) of 151.28. Support is at 148.25, and resistance stands at 154.28. The RSI is 57, signalling ongoing bullish momentum within overbought conditions.
NIFTY : Trading Plan and Levels for 05-Nov-2024On 04-Nov-2024, Nifty showcased a strong downward trend followed by some consolidation. The session closed near 23,990, with critical support levels between 23,725 and 23,579, indicating a potential for a bounce in the coming session. Resistance is seen at 24,021, with a significant zone near 24,163. The Yellow trend indicates potential sideways movement, while the Green trend shows bullish prospects and the Red trend represents a bearish path.
Trading Plan for 05-Nov-2024:
Gap Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens with a 100+ point gap-up above 24,021, we could see a bullish move towards 24,163 (Intraday resistance). It’s essential to watch if prices sustain above this zone, as crossing this level could target the last intraday resistance of 24,319.
If Nifty fails to sustain above 24,163, expect a sideways move back towards 24,021. Traders should exercise caution here as any rejection from higher levels might signal a potential reversal.
Actionable Plan:
Buy on a sustained move above 24,163, with a target of 24,319.
Stop Loss: Below 24,021 on a 15-minute candle close.
Flat Opening:
If Nifty opens flat around 23,990, the focus will be on the reaction near 24,021 (opening support/resistance). A clear breakout above this level could push Nifty into a bullish zone, aiming for 24,163 and beyond.
However, failure to break this level will lead to a sideways consolidation (Yellow trend) or a possible retest of lower supports near 23,725.
Actionable Plan:
Buy on breakout above 24,021, targeting 24,163.
Sell below 23,953, with a target towards 23,725.
Stop Loss: Place tight stop losses at 23,990.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens with a gap-down near 23,725 or below, the Best Buy Zone comes into play. Watch for bullish price action around this support level. Any strong bounce from here could lead to a recovery back to 23,953 or higher.
In case Nifty fails to hold 23,725, a further decline towards 23,579 could be on the cards, with a potential for a deeper correction.
Actionable Plan:
Buy near 23,725 with a target of 23,953.
Sell below 23,725, aiming for 23,579.
Stop Loss: Below 23,725 on a 15-minute candle close.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always use strict stop losses, especially on volatile days.
Avoid holding positions overnight unless there’s a strong directional bias.
For options traders, consider entering at-the-money or slightly out-of-the-money options to benefit from quick price moves while managing risk.
Summary and Conclusion:
The key levels for 05-Nov-2024 are 24,021 for intraday resistance and 23,725 for strong support. A gap-up or flat opening should be monitored closely for breakouts above these resistance levels. A gap-down could provide an excellent buying opportunity near 23,725. Traders should stay cautious and respect the support/resistance zones, waiting for confirmation before taking trades.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is purely based on technical analysis and psychological theories. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 05-Nov-2024On 04-Nov-2024, Bank Nifty showed a bearish action with the first tick of opening, closing near **51,227** with noticeable volatility. The chart reflects clear support near **50,829** and **50,704**, while resistance zones are seen at **51,494** and **51,729**. The **Yellow trend** represents a sideways market, the **Green trend** signals bullish momentum, and the **Red trend** indicates bearish moves.
Trading Plan for 05-Nov-2024:
Gap Up Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens with a gap-up above **51,494**, the index will likely face intraday resistance at **51,729**. A breakout above this level can push Bank Nifty towards **52,082**, the next key resistance level, which might induce sideways movement.
However, failure to sustain above **51,729** could result in a pullback towards **51,494** or even a retest of **51,366**, the opening support/resistance level.
Actionable Plan:
- **Buy** on a sustained move above **51,729** with a target of **52,082**.
- **Stop Loss:** Below **51,494** on a 15-minute candle close.
Flat Opening:
If Bank Nifty opens flat near **51,227**, the focus will be on price action around the **51,366** level. A breakout above **51,494** could initiate bullish momentum, while a failure to break this resistance will result in a sideways trend (Yellow trend) with a potential retest of **51,009** (opening support).
In case Bank Nifty breaks **51,009**, expect a bearish move towards **50,829** and **50,704**.
Actionable Plan:
- **Buy** on a breakout above **51,366**, targeting **51,494**.
- **Sell** below **51,009**, with a target of **50,829**.
- **Stop Loss:** Place a stop loss near **51,227** for both buy and sell strategies.
Gap Down Opening (200+ points):
If Bank Nifty opens with a gap-down around **50,829** or below, the focus shifts to the **Buyer’s Support Zone** around **50,704**. A strong recovery from this zone could lead to a bounce back towards **51,009** or even higher.
However, if the index fails to hold **50,704**, expect further downside pressure, with the next major support at **50,105**. Keep in mind that aggressive selling could lead to a bearish continuation (Red trend).
Actionable Plan:
- **Buy** near **50,704**, with a target of **51,009**.
- **Sell** below **50,704**, aiming for **50,105**.
- **Stop Loss:** Below **50,704** on a 15-minute candle close.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
- Consider using spreads to limit risk while taking advantage of directional moves.
- Keep positions light during volatile openings and focus on defined support/resistance levels.
- Avoid holding short-term options over the weekend unless there’s a clear directional bias.
Summary and Conclusion:
Key levels to watch for 05-Nov-2024 include **51,494** as intraday resistance and **50,704** as strong support. A gap-up or flat opening presents potential opportunities for bullish trades above **51,366**, while a gap-down opening could provide buy opportunities near **50,704**. As always, respect support/resistance zones and wait for confirmation before entering positions.
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is based on technical analysis and should not be considered financial advice. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
PLTR Palantir Technologies Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought PLTR before the major breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of PLTR Palantir Technologies prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 42usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $3.07.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
AGLD ANALYSIS🔮 #AGLD Analysis 💰💰
🌟 As we can see that #AGLD is shrinking between ascending and descending trendline. Breakout will lead to a bullish momentum in #AGLD
🔖 Current Price: $1.210
⏳ Target Price: $1.610
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked some crucial levels in the chart. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #AGLD. 🚀💸
#AGLD #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
Doomsday Coming for $TIASummary:
The LSE:TIA market is on the brink of a significant downturn as market makers and exchanges prepare to hunt shorters before the impending selling pressure becomes unmanageable. With a lack of regulations, the environment is ripe for manipulation, and the sharks are circling, ready to capitalize on the blood in the water.
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Key Points:
1. Current Market Dynamics:
- The circulating supply of LSE:TIA is 218.41 million, with a staggering 80.85% (175 million) of that supply set to unlock soon. This is a critical moment for traders, as the potential for inflation is imminent.
2. Pending Undelegation:
- An additional 17.5% (37.6 million) is pending undelegation. Keep in mind that unbonding takes 21 days , and many savvy traders are looking to front-run the unlock, which could exacerbate the selling pressure.
- For detailed undelegation statistics, refer to the analysis on smartstake.
3. Misleading Information:
- There is a lot of misinformation circulating, with some traders claiming that the upcoming unlock is bullish. This is clearly not the case.
- WARNING: Do not listen to those who are promoting this narrative! Many of them may be affiliated with market makers or large LSE:TIA stakeholders who are hoping to offload their assets before a potential crash.
4. Upcoming Unlocks:
- There are many significant unlocks but here are three of them on the horizon, with millions of dollars worth of LSE:TIA expected to be sold just before the cliff unlock.
- For verification, check smartstake.
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Conclusion:
The situation surrounding LSE:TIA is precarious, and traders should be cautious. The combination of significant unlocks, pending undelegation, and the potential for market manipulation suggests that a downturn is imminent. Stay informed and make decisions based on solid analysis rather than hype.
**Disclaimer:** This is not financial advice. Always do your own research before making investment decisions.
EUR/GBP Short H4 " The Pound gaining pounds ?"Sell Limit @ 084534
S/L @ 0.84825
T/P1 @ 0.83700 (Tight Stop)
T/P2 @ 0.83060
R.R.R. @ 1/5
Seeing Impulse Bearish in construction of Minor Wave 3 has Minute Wave iv finish retracement on his way to Minute Wave v has first profit target. Sit tight !
Good Trading 👍