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Beyond Technical Analysis

Crypto is brutal to navigate alone!The truth is, crypto is brutal, and the market doesn't wait for anyone! If you're sitting on the sidelines right now, you're missing out, but if you FOMO in here now on CRYPTOCAP:BTC , you may be down 10% next week! Unless you are full-time in crypto, you should stop trying to time the market! Stop chasing pumps and start building a strategy that generates consistent returns. Solid portfolio tracking and understanding high-beta plays on CRYPTOCAP:BTC = a winning edge. Most won't bother to do it or learn how to. My students have, but will you?
by CryptoJayTrades
Technical Analysis WeeklyStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 remains in a bearish trend but is currently undergoing a prolonged correction. It’s trading at 21,122, hovering just around its 20-day VWAP of 21,120. The RSI reads 47, suggesting a stabilisation in momentum. Support is found at 19,360, while resistance sits higher at 22,687. UK 100 is in a bearish correction phase, trading at 8,293, back over its VWAP of 8071. RSI at 50 indicates neutral momentum. Support lies at 7,509, while resistance is overhead at 8,633. Wall Street continues to correct within a broader bearish context. Currently priced at 38,588, it's just below its VWAP of 40,901. With an RSI of 40.8, momentum remains on the weak side. Support is seen at 37,161, while resistance looms near 43,021. Brent Crude is correcting within a bearish trend, trading at 6,621—just below its VWAP of 6,691. RSI at 45.7 reflects subdued momentum. Support is found at 5,903, while resistance remains a stretch away at 7,479. Gold maintains its bullish impulsive trend, pushing to fresh highs at 3,446. It is trading well above its VWAP of 3,446, confirming the strong trend. The RSI at 78.3 places it firmly in overbought territory, signalling powerful momentum but also increased risk of sudden turnaround. Support is marked at 2,893, while resistance now matches the current price. The weak US dollar means EUR/USD is advancing in a bullish impulsive move, now at 1.1465, trading comfortably above the VWAP of 1.1137. RSI stands at 70.2, suggesting overbought conditions may limit further upside short term. Support lies at 1.0633, with resistance at GBP/USD is climbing steadily in an impulsive bullish phase, priced at 1.3368 and trading above the VWAP of 1.3051. The RSI of 72.1 indicates overbought territory. Support is seen at 1.2653, while resistance is just ahead at 1.3448. USD/JPY remains in a bearish impulsive trend, currently at 140.66 and well beneath its VWAP of 145.17. RSI at 30.7 puts it right on the edge of oversold territory. Support is nearby at 139.11, while resistance sits at 151.23.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
VWAP Order Types: How Small Funds Use them.VWAP orders are used by Independent Small Funds Managers. IF a Small Fund or Small Asset company has 3 billion or less assets under management, the SEC classifies them as NOT a professional side entity. This is because most independent Small Funds Managers have no Financial Degree, no professional certification aka CMT, CFA etc. These managers often know less about the inner workings of the stock market than the average retail trader. It is wise to check to see the dollar value of a small fund and make sure it has more than 3 billion in assets as these managers have minimal experience, education, and usually no certification. The small funds managers became enamored with the VWAP order as an order that could be placed several days to weeks ahead and then trigger when volume surges. Unfortunately, that can often cause major sudden whipsaw action. especially intraday and pose much higher risk of sudden huge run downs when buyers evaporate. The 2010 FLASH CRASH that stunned the financial world was an error on the part of a Fundamental trader who accidentally hit the VWAP order type rather than the TWAP order type for selling futures he had decided to sell. The VWAP order quickly caused a major stock futures sell off especially for the SP500 futures. Then the VWAP caused a systemic spreading of selling into the stock market and options market. During highly stressed market conditions VWAPs triggering can drive prices down as panic among the less informed retail groups spreads rapidly. The goal is to enter a sell short with pro traders, rather than chasing a VWAP order that is spiraling out of control. When the VWAPs cease, then the market whipsaws or rebounds suddenly upward again. This is just a snippet of what you need to learn about VWAPS but it is a good start for all of you. Trade Wisely
NASDAQ:FAST
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
3
Stafi Long-Term PREMIUM Full Trade-Numbers (PP: 2063%)Stafi is now trading at bottom prices after hitting a new All-Time Low and this is a great place to enter. This is the perfect chart setup for spot traders. Here I will share the full trade-numbers for this pair, FISUSDT, and share some of the chart technicals with you that reveal the upcoming change of trend. Let us start with how to predict a bottom based on the chart structure and the candles. Notice the "bearish wave" on the left side of the chart. Notice the size of the wave, the length, strength and duration. A "bear market." Simply a long-term correction. Now, notice the "bottom wave" on the right side of the chart (orange). Notice the size, the length and duration. It is very steep. It goes very fast and it is small thus short-lived. » The first one is a market phase/cycle while the second one is a market reaction. » The first one led to a sideways market while the second one will lead to a change of trend. There are two sets of numbers. Here I am only using one for the trade below but I would still like to explain this method that I use in case you want to learn to do your own numbers by looking at charts. The first set of numbers uses the All-Time High and the bear market bottom. In this case this would be the peak price 01-March 2021 and the low set 09-May 2022. The low is the zero and the peak the one using the Fibonacci extension tool. The 1.618 is the standard ATH projection. If you are feeling confident, the market is producing strong higher lows, the pair is good, there is strong volume, etc. You can also consider the 2.618 level which is not shown on this chart. Of course, if you move the chart up a little bit you can easily see it. The second set uses the current market bottom, in this case the low 7-April 2025 and the previous high, 09-Dec 2024. This will give you a set of numbers that you can use to extract also some short-term targets. The first set would only have long-term targets. When a trading pair produces new All-Time Lows we say that a new All-Time High is not likely but this isn't necessarily true, this is a technical assumption. The truth is that anything is possible and not even the insiders and exchanges who control the bots that control the price of a chart know how far up a pair can really go. When the euphoria phase of a bull market starts it is hard to maintain control. A bullish wave can be neutralized with massive selling pressure. This is done all of the time. If any trading pair starts to grow organically for whatever reason on any exchange, the bots owned by the exchange immediately start selling and balance thing out, they just don't like things moving in ways that they do not control. Anyway, let's continue; Full trade-numbers below: _____ FISUSDT (PP: 2063%) CURRENT PRICE: $0.1263 ENTRY: 1) $0.1420 2) $0.1150 3) $0.0999 TARGETS: TP1: $0.1852 TP2: $0.2361 TP3: $0.3206 TP4: $0.3889 TP5: $0.4571 TP6: $0.5543 TP7: $0.6781 TP8: $0.8888 TP9: $1.0356 TP10: $1.2566 TP11: $1.4140 TP12: $1.6141 TP13: $2.1926 TP14: $2.7711 STOP: Close monthly below $0.0990 _____ No stop-loss. When trading spot you should be ready to wait for years. That's the mindset. If you are not ready to wait for years, well, you can do whatever you want of course but with this mindset you can never go wrong. There are many ways to approach a trading pair but sometimes we are ready to wait 3 months for a bullish wave and yet it takes 6 months for the wave to develop. Next time we are ready to wait 6 months to see prices go up but the wave starts in 12 months and so on. So always be ready to wait 4-5 times longer than what you initially think is the necessary time for the market to change course. Never place a stop-loss in an exchange because that is just bad for the market, the bots will sell just to active your stop. Stop-loss orders should be avoided at all cost if you are a beginner or a spot trader. Simply buy and hold. You can use a stop-loss trading short-term and in many different systems but I am talking about reality here, it is not the same. Never close a trade out of a whim. Either you do it or yo don't. Either you plan or you don't trade. If you plan you will be successful and you will achieve success. If you don't plan, you can make money but you will be gambling and this gambling will end up in negative results in the long-term. So, if you are not ready to plan/prepare then just wait, the market is not going away. When you are ready, enter with a plan and you will win for sure. The plan is easy, what to do when the market moves in a certain way. If it rises, will I sell or hold? If it drops, will I sell or hold? If you decide the answer is to hold then, for how long? If you decide the answer is to sell, how much? Just prepare for all scenarios. You don't have to do anything really other than buy low (now) and sell high (later), but doing the mental exercise will save you from stupid mistakes when excitement (or anxiety) grows. Just practice. Success is yours. Thanks a lot for your continued support. If you enjoy the content, just follow. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
2
Why Is the T Bond Heading Down?The downward pressure did not start with the Liberation Day tariffs on 2nd April. Based on the 30-year long-term bond price chart, the market peaked in 2020, then broke below a major support line—established since the 1980s—in 2022. Since that break, US bonds have been on a downward trajectory. So, what happened in 2020 and 2022 that set the bond market on shaky ground? Why is the recent tariff shock just a continuation of developments that began back then? And where are bond prices heading next? This goes beyond investors offloading its US Treasury holdings after 2nd April. U.S. Treasury Futures & Options Ticker: ZB Minimum fluctuation: 1/32 of one point (0.03125) = $31.25 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
CBOT:ZB1!Short
by konhow
Just BitcoinBitcoin Bitcoin is a decentralized digital currency created in 2009 by an anonymous person or group using the pseudonym Satoshi Nakamoto. It was the first successful cryptocurrency and remains the largest by market capitalization. Key aspects of Bitcoin include: Decentralization: It operates without a central authority like a bank or government Blockchain technology: Transactions are recorded on a public ledger Limited supply: Only 21 million bitcoins will ever exist, with the last expected to be mined around 2140 Mining: New bitcoins are created through a computational process that also validates transactions Pseudonymity: Users can transact without revealing their identity, though all transactions are publicly visible Bitcoin has experienced significant price volatility throughout its history, with several major bull and bear market cycles. It's primarily used as a store of value (sometimes called "digital gold"), for speculative investment, and increasingly as a payment method. Many see Bitcoin as an inflation hedge or alternative to traditional financial systems, while critics point to concerns about energy consumption, potential use in illegal activities, and regulatory uncertainty.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by smarfy
BTC Full Cloud Reclaim Ichimoku Script Buy alert1. Technicals: BTC & MSTR both flashing buy signals on Ichimoku Bitcoin (USD, daily) has just closed back above both its Tenkan‑sen/Kijun‑sen (blue/orange) and broken the downward yellow trend‑line, with price now sitting on the top edge of the cloud. That close‑above is exactly the condition you want to wait for to avoid mid‑bar whipsaws. MicroStrategy (MSTR, daily) also closed back above its cloud, giving you a clean “BUY” arrow. In both cases the CM_Ult_Macd has crossed back above zero and RSI sits in neutral‑to‑bullish territory. All together that’s a pretty classic Ichimoku “trend turn” signal on the daily. 2. What the liquidation maps tell us On the Coinglass Hyperliquidation Map, there’s a huge wall of long‑liquidation clusters sitting just below $90 000. If BTC grinds through $90 k, you can trigger a cascade of short‑squeeze buying as those long positions liquidate. The heatmap confirms heavy leveraged interest between $88 000–$91 000. That zone could act as both resistance (big stop‑runs) or fuel a squeeze if stops get blasted. 3. Putting it together Bullish bias now that both symbols have daily close‑above signals. Caution around $89–90 k on BTC: big liquidity clusters live there. A clear break and close above $90 k could flush those clusters and carry price higher.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Scotchy_Scotch
Has the Gold Rush Only Just Begun? A Bitcoin StoryIt is starting to look like we have entered a new trend on gold. Breaking out of the bullish trend, into a steeper one. The chart reminds me of the 1970's. Not the same but similar. 1970's US goes off the gold standard, money is now debt, USD becomes worthless when compared to gold (the time tested store of value that it is, of course) Money printer go brrrr... Now 2019. COVID, shut down the world, DWARF ALL OTHER LIQUIDITY INJECTION EVENTS COMBINED! I'm sensing a pattern. It has amazed me at what we have got away with so far. Considering the magnitude of what Covid and the following response was. I honestly thought it would be much worse, but I don't think we have seen the full impact yet. I think it may take a decade or more before we see the extent of the fallout. Heck, or this could just be another step in the wrong direction that just continues us down the road of financial repression. Devaluing our currencies until they look closer to the yen while a majority of the population ie: the working class has no clue. Populism will continue to rise as people try to find the common enemy to blame/ hate because of their pent up rage, due things completely out of their control. The worst part is that they don't even know the real reason why this is happening. Printing money (debt creation) is robbing from the future. Governments around the world have been stealing for decades. I only see one path ahead, and it's only going to get worse. The pot has been heating up, we are getting close to the boiling point. People are starting to realize how hot its getting. I see, in the not to distant future, the possibility of a melt up in nominal terms. Time will tell, we will see how well the world governments handle this. Maybe they can manage this better than I expect. But if they cannot and the pace of the bull markets pick up into a parabolic trend due to the miss-management of debt. What goes up must come down. Asset bubbles will form and burst, as they do. We are in a diabolical game of musical chairs. All paths lead to Bitcoin, a redistribution of wealth to those willing to learn.
TVC:GOLDLong
by merchtank19
NAS100USD: Bearish Bias Expected to Hold After RetracementGreetings Traders! In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, we maintain a bearish outlook despite short-term bullish movements in price action. These bullish signs appear to be corrective and in alignment with institutional objectives to rebalance inefficiencies created during yesterday’s sharp decline. KEY OBSERVATIONS: 1. Inefficiency Rebalancing Completed: Price has retraced to fill fair value gaps left behind by recent downside volatility. With those inefficiencies now rebalanced, we anticipate a continuation of the dominant bearish institutional order flow. 2. Buy Stops Taken – Institutional Order Pairing: The sweep of buy stops confirms liquidity collection for institutional sell-side positioning. This aligns with a classic distribution phase, where institutions utilize buy-side liquidity to enter short positions. 3. Institutional Resistance – Rejection Block: Price is currently reacting at a key institutional resistance zone, known as the rejection block. This zone, formed prior to the latest downside move, may act as the final area of resistance before renewed bearish continuation. TRADING PLAN: Entry Consideration: Monitor price behavior at the rejection block. Upon confirmation, this area offers a high-probability setup for short entries. Profit Targets: Focus on targeting liquidity pools resting at deeper discount levels. These areas represent logical destinations for price based on institutional order flow dynamics. Remain diligent and patient in your execution. Let the market confirm the direction before committing to a position. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by The_Archi-tect
Breakout or Fakeout? How to Spot the Difference and Trade.Trading breakouts can be exciting - and profitable - when they're real. But how do you avoid getting caught in those frustrating false breakouts (fakeouts) that trap many traders? In this clear and practical guide, you'll learn exactly how to identify genuine breakouts, avoid traps, and improve your trading decisions instantly. Here's what we'll cover: ✅ Real Breakouts vs Fakeouts: Why it matters. ✅ Market Psychology: Why false breakouts happen. ✅ Volume: Your best friend for spotting authenticity. ✅ Price Structure & Context: When breakouts mean business. ✅ Momentum Confirmation: The hidden indicator that changes everything. Let’s dive in! 🚩 Real Breakout vs Fakeout: Know the Difference A breakout occurs when price decisively moves beyond a clear support or resistance level. Imagine Bitcoin breaking above $50,000 or Gold dropping below $1,900. A fakeout happens when price briefly breaks these key levels—but quickly reverses, leaving traders stuck on the wrong side of the market. Why it matters: Fakeouts aren't just frustrating—they’re costly. They drain your capital and confidence. Recognizing them early keeps you profitable and disciplined. 🧠 Why Do Fakeouts Happen? (The Psychology) Fakeouts thrive because traders chase excitement and fear missing out (FOMO). Here’s the secret many traders overlook: Bull and Bear Traps: Institutional traders deliberately push prices slightly past key levels to trigger stop orders—only to reverse the price sharply. FOMO-driven trades: Retail traders jump in excitedly at any small breakout, providing fuel for these short-lived moves. Understanding these tactics can help you stay calm and avoid impulsive entries. 🔥 Volume: The Ultimate Breakout Indicator Want to know if a breakout is real? Look at volume—it reveals the market’s true intention. High Volume: Means broad market participation and conviction, supporting a genuine breakout. Low Volume: A red flag! This signals low market conviction and a higher likelihood of reversal. Example: If Ethereum breaks above $4,000 with unusually high volume, that's a strong signal. But if volume remains low, beware—it's likely a fakeout. 📐 Context and Price Structure Make a Difference Not all breakouts are created equal. Pay attention to these key context clues: Trend Alignment: Breakouts in the direction of a clear existing trend are more reliable. Significance of Level: Breakouts of major support/resistance levels (weekly or monthly highs/lows) have higher odds of success. Follow-through and Retests: Genuine breakouts often retest broken levels, turning old resistance into new support. ⚡ Momentum Confirmation: Your Secret Weapon Momentum indicators (like RSI or MACD) tell you what's happening beneath the surface. They help confirm or reject breakout validity: Strong Momentum: If indicators confirm the breakout direction, the breakout is more reliable. Divergence (Warning Sign): If price makes a new high but momentum indicators show lower highs, beware—a fakeout could be near. Use momentum as your final confirmation step. It’s the missing piece that many traders ignore. 🎯 Quick Breakout Checklist Use this simple checklist next time you're assessing a breakout: 🚦 Trade Breakouts Wisely: Final Tips Be Patient: Waiting for breakout confirmation saves you from costly mistakes. Set Clear Stops: If a breakout fails, exit quickly. Small losses protect your capital. Scale into Trades: Enter gradually to manage your risk effectively. Mind Market Context: Always align breakouts with the broader market direction. Trading breakouts doesn't have to be stressful. When you know what signs to watch for, you trade with confidence—not guesswork. 🚀 Conclusion: Trade Better, Not Harder Avoiding fakeouts is all about patience, confirmation, and understanding market psychology. By using volume, context, and momentum effectively, you'll greatly improve your breakout trading. Now, put these strategies into practice. Stop guessing—start confidently trading real breakouts today! Happy Trading! Like this post? Follow us for more clear, actionable trading education. #TradingTips #Breakouts #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingEducation #Crypto #Forex #StockTrading
Education
by TrendGo_Official
MLM - Martin Marietta Material, Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - LongMLM - Martin Marietta Material, Inc. (Daily chart, NYSE) - Long Position; Short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {volume & support structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.79 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 490 Entry limit ~ 485 on April 22, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 504 (+3.92%; +19 points) 2.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 524 (+8.04%; +39 points) Stop order limit ~ 471 (-2.89%; -14 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observations = important updates (parentheses) = information ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NYSE:MLMLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
1