Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Market next move Disruptive (Bearish) Scenarios: 1. False Breakout Risk The recent bullish candles could be a bull trap. Price may test the “support” trendline, fail to hold, and break downwards instead of continuing upward. Watch for rejection near the target area or sharp sell-offs on high volume. 2. Overhead Resistance Zone Price is approaching historical resistance near the $3,350–$3,355 area. If it fails to close above this level on strong volume, it may reverse sharply. 3. Divergence Warning (Check RSI/MACD) If you check oscillators like RSI or MACD, and they show bearish divergence (price makes higher highs, indicator makes lower highs), that could signal a weakening bullish momentum. 4. Volume Decline The volume spikes on the recent bullish move, but volume drops afterward could indicate lack of buying interest to sustain the rally. 5. Fundamental Triggers Any sudden macroeconomic news (e.g. strong USD data, interest rate hikes, geopolitical developments) could trigger a sharp selloff in gold, invalidating the bullish setup.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Report - June 26, 20251. Ceasefire, Oil, and Market Sentiment: Markets are stabilizing after a volatile stretch driven by geopolitical tensions between Israel and Iran. A ceasefire, brokered by President Trump, appears to be holding, encouraging risk-on sentiment across global asset classes. Brent crude has fallen back to $68.17 per barrel, erasing earlier war-driven spikes. Traders swiftly sold oil after Iran's symbolic missile attack on a US base in Qatar, interpreting it as a move to de-escalate rather than escalate. This rapid reaction, fueled by open-source intelligence and satellite imagery showing the base was empty, helped unwind the geopolitical premium in crude. Energy consultancy Rystad noted Iran even increased crude exports amid the conflict due to lack of refining capacity. With OPEC+ boosting supply and US shale output high, the market anticipates an oversupplied scenario by year-end. Strategists like Amrita Sen (Energy Aspects) expect crude to test $50–60, while RBC’s Helima Croft said the White House is unlikely to tap the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, given sufficient alternative supply buffers. 2. Equities and Sector Rotation: US equity indices were mixed: the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.2% to 22,237.74, while the S&P 500 and Dow Jones dipped slightly. The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 1.1% to 16.77, signaling easing investor fear. Year-to-date, tech leads with XLK up 31.95%, followed by communications (XLC +23.46%) and discretionary (XLY +18.69%). Defensive sectors lagged: utilities (XLU +19.13%), consumer staples (XLP +9.15%), and real estate (XLRE -1.27%). Recent sector performance reflects a recalibration away from energy and interest-rate sensitive names. XLE has tumbled 4.65% over the past five days, mirroring declining oil, while XLRE’s underperformance worsened, highlighting investor caution in yield-sensitive areas. The growth/value debate continues: large-cap growth (IWF) was the only factor posting a gain (+0.29%), while small-cap growth (IJT) fell 1.2%, underscoring preference for quality and scale. 3. Fixed Income and Sovereign Yields: Rates edged higher. The US 10Y Treasury yield rose 2 bps to 4.32%. Germany’s 10Y bund climbed 3 bps to 2.57%, and UK gilts ticked up 1 bp to 4.46%, driven by expectations of higher issuance to fund increased NATO defense spending. US Treasuries across the curve remain elevated: 1Y at 3.99%, 2Y at 3.77%, and 30Y at 4.81%. Despite global easing signals, sovereign borrowing costs stay elevated, reflecting inflation stickiness and geopolitical risk premia. TIPs and agency MBS have outperformed on a 1Y basis, with TIP +4.7% and GNMA +5.76%. 4. NATO Commitment and Fiscal Risk: At The Hague summit, NATO allies pledged to meet Trump's demand for 5% of GDP in defense spending by 2035, a seismic shift from the previous 2% benchmark. While reaffirming Article 5 commitments, Trump emphasized US support hinges on European “burden sharing,” pressuring Spain for opting out. The summit declaration promises annual roadmaps and a 2029 review—coinciding with Trump’s potential exit from office. Germany’s Chancellor Merz called the commitment a moment of “putting our money where our mouth is,” but bond markets reacted with concern. The FTSE 100 slid 0.5%, and the DAX fell 0.6%, reflecting fiscal anxieties tied to expanded military budgets. 5. Policy Front – Trump’s Tax Push & Debt Outlook: The White House claims its proposed tax bill will lower debt via growth and tariff revenue. CEA estimates show debt-to-GDP dropping to 94% by 2034 with $8.5–11.2 trillion in deficit reduction. Yet the CBO projects the bill would add $2.4 trillion to deficits—and $2.8 trillion when factoring in higher rates. Trump’s pressure campaign on Senate Republicans includes urging round-the-clock negotiations. However, concerns linger among fiscal hawks like Sen. Ron Johnson, who warned of “an acute debt crisis.” 6. Credit Markets and Insurance Breakdown Risk: Credit spreads are holding stable, but US liability insurance is flashing red. Marsh data shows US casualty insurance rates have risen for 23 straight quarters. Executives at Everest and Aspen warn of a “breakdown” in coverage availability due to runaway litigation costs and “forever chemicals” claims. Everest’s reserves for US casualty risks now top $1.7 billion. Insurers are lobbying for tort reform, and rate hikes of 20–25% in excess liability are becoming the norm. This insurance squeeze poses a serious inflationary threat to businesses, especially in logistics, construction, and hospitality. 7. Trade Disruption – FedEx Feels the Pinch: FedEx shares dropped nearly 6% after warning of sharp deterioration in China–US freight, driven by the end of the “de minimis” $800 tariff exemption used by platforms like Temu and Shein. This lane, their most profitable intercontinental route, now faces structural weakness. While Q4 net income rose 13% to $1.65B, guidance for EPS of $3.40–4.00 (below expectations) reflects uncertainty ahead. 8. M&A Spotlight – Brighthouse Bidding Heats Up: TPG and Aquarian Holdings are the final bidders for Brighthouse Financial, a $3.5B life insurer. Despite interest from Apollo, Carlyle, and Blackstone, many walked due to legacy annuity liabilities and high capital charges. The strategic appeal remains strong: control over policyholder premiums enhances credit origination capabilities for private capital platforms. An exclusive negotiation could emerge in the coming week. 9. Political Heat – Warren Targets Private Equity: Senator Elizabeth Warren is probing PE firms (Apollo, KKR, Blackstone, Bain, Thoma Bravo) for lobbying efforts related to the “carried interest” loophole and private credit tax breaks embedded in Trump’s tax bill. The senator demands disclosures by July 2, while Trump pushes for bill signing by July 4. The American Investment Council responded that raising taxes on private capital would “kill jobs” and hurt innovation. The legislation, approved narrowly in the House, slashes taxes and expands debt—a key flashpoint heading into summer recess. 10. Currency, Commodities, and Global Trends: Brent crude trades at $67.95 and WTI at $65.18. Gold holds at $3,335, up 45% YTD, though recent profit-taking has slowed its rally. Silver (+26.2% YTD) and copper (+12.5%) also reflect bullish industrial demand. In FX, GBP/USD is up 0.3% to 1.3705; EUR/USD is at 1.1681 (+0.02%). USD/JPY slid to 144.57 (-0.66%). On a 1Y basis, GBP and EUR are both up over 8%, while the yen is down nearly 10.5%, continuing its depreciation due to BOJ’s dovish stance. --- Equities: Current Positioning: Equities are delicately balanced. The S&P 500 is up +3.6% YTD, Nasdaq +3.4%, but Dow only +1.0%, reflecting the rotation into growth, defensives, and high-cap tech. However, small caps are under heavy pressure (IJR/SPY -1.05% daily, down YTD), and value is again underperforming. Tactical Implications: Overweight: Large-Cap Growth (e.g., XLK, IWF) – Mega-cap tech remains the secular winner (+31.95% YTD in XLK). Given moderating rates and weak cyclicals, expect further leadership unless yields spike. Underweight: Small-Caps (IWM), Real Estate (XLRE), and Energy (XLE) – These are vulnerable to tightening credit, low breadth, and oil retracements. XLRE is -1.27% YTD and XLE dropped -4.65% in the past week alone. Neutral: Financials (XLF) – The sector is at a crossroads. While yields support net interest margins, the liability insurance shock and credit pricing discipline weigh on capital-intensive names. Actionable View: Stay concentrated in quality tech and cash-flow-rich defensives. Consider rotating out of overextended discretionary and look for short-term mean reversion trades in oversold industrials only on technicals. Fixed Income: Market: The UST 10Y yield is at 4.32%, up 2bps on the day. Notably, the 2Y/10Y curve is flattening again (+55bps spread), but with upward pressure on the long end driven by fiscal overhang (NATO rearmament, tax cuts). Strategic View: Short Duration Preferred – Laddered Treasuries and 1–3Y paper outperforming (e.g., SHY +0.65% YTD). Long duration remains risky despite falling inflation, given massive expected issuance. TIPS as Inflation Hedge – TIPs up +4.7% YTD continue to provide inflation-linked protection. Elevated defense and healthcare spending bolster this theme. Credit Call: High-Grade Corporate (LQD) – Valuation remains stretched, but spread stability gives buffer. Prefer LQD over HYG or CWB, where spreads are at risk due to funding costs and insurance withdrawal risk. Action: Maintain a core laddered Treasury base, with modest high-grade credit. Fade the long end on rallies; use TLT as a tactical short if 10Y breaches 4.4–4.5%. Commodities: Key Developments: Brent crude fell sharply (-6.1%) post-ceasefire, now at $67.95. Markets no longer price geopolitical premium. Iran’s production rising, US SPR untapped, and China’s buying shifting. Gold stabilizing at $3,335 after peaking on war fears; silver remains stronger at $36.34 (+26.2% YTD). Outlook: Oil: Short-Term Bearish to Neutral – Expect continued selling on rallies unless supply chain disruptions emerge. Range: $62–70/bbl. Gold: Wait for Re-Entry – Momentum slowing but structural inflation hedging still intact. Look for re-entry near $3,200. Position cautiously if dollar strengthens. Ags: Avoid – Corn and wheat continue to slide. Corn -7.5% MTD and -10.3% 3M; soybeans -11.7% YTD. No catalysts to reverse. Action: Tactical shorts in oil remain viable unless Iran–Strait of Hormuz risk flares again. Hedge tail risks with gold but reduce exposure if USD rallies. Currencies: DXY weakening slowly, but USD/JPY still at 144.5 (-9.42% 1Y), EUR/USD firm at 1.1681. Sterling outperforming: GBP/USD +8.2% 1Y. Implications: Short USD/JPY Holds – BOJ still dovish, yen oversold, risk-on flows support reversal. High conviction macro long on JPY. Watch GBP/USD – Strong rally, nearing overbought territory. Use strength to rotate to EUR if ECB surprises. EMFX Mixed – Avoid high beta EM (ZAR, TRY) due to USD and rates. Selective value in BRL, INR if USD pulls back further. Action: Maintain partial USD hedge via EUR and JPY. EMFX traders should stay risk-off short term; low carry + volatile backdrop makes it unattractive. Credit & Insurance Markets: Everest ($1.7bn reserves) and Aspen warning of “coverage breakdown” in US casualty insurance. Litigation exposure (PFAS, data privacy, social cases) is a systemic risk. FedEx’s collapse in China–US freight (-6% equity) is a red flag on consumption + supply chain health. Expect more insurers to restrict exposure to high-litigation US states or raise rates >25%. Positioning: Be cautious on mid-cap financials, reinsurers, and commercial real estate debt with liability linkage. Corporate credit: Avoid HY and convertibles. LQD remains the safe zone.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
GBPJPY Shorts 6/26/25Priced formed a consolidation on Key Level 198.500 creating eQUAL Highs earlier in the day. Price broke out of the consolidation creating a bearish choch on the 15m timeframe. Price made a steep pull back into the consolidation once more tapping into a 15m OB while also taking out BSL the eQUAL High left behind. Within the 15m OB and key level there was a bearish 5m b/ch which created a 15m FVG. I drew a Fib from the 5m high/low which aligned with the 15m FVG and scaled down to the 1m time frame. From there I waited for a MsS/ch and entered the trade taking profit at the -1 deviation.
Short
by TheeChrissyFX
1
XAUUSD Hello traders. Today’s first trade setup comes from the XAUUSD pair. The pair is currently positioned in an ideal buy zone, and I’ve spotted a potential long opportunity. There are three different take profit levels, all of which are listed below. Personally, I’ll be closing my position at the first TP level: 3366.66. However, keep in mind that two major economic events will be released today: 📌 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (QoQ) – Q1 📌 Initial Jobless Claims These are highly impactful events, so please manage your risk accordingly. 🔍 Trade Details ✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute ✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.5 ✔️ Trade Direction: Buy ✔️ Entry Price: 3336.62 ✔️ Take Profit: 3366.67 / 3382.51 / 3392.36 ✔️ Stop Loss: 3324.97 🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates within a tight range, I’ll keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how the price action evolves. 🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes. 📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach? 💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Nurlan_PT
3
FED, rate cut possible on July 30? With the US Federal Reserve (FED) meeting on July 30 fast approaching, the markets are scrutinizing the slightest signals likely to indicate an inflexion in monetary policy. While a rate cut seems unlikely in the short term, it cannot be ruled out altogether. Despite Chairman Jerome Powell's firm stance, some influential members of the Monetary Policy Committee (FOMC) are actively pushing for monetary easing this summer. 1) Jerome Powell is not the only decision-maker on the FOMC, and there is pressure for a rate cut in July Jerome Powell adopts a very cautious stance, making any monetary easing conditional on clear convergence towards the 2% inflation target. His main concern is the potentially inflationary impact of the tariffs currently under negotiation. However, Powell does not have absolute power. The FOMC has 12 voting members, including 7 permanent governors, the president of the New York Fed and 4 rotating regional bank presidents. Although each vote is worth as much, the Chairman largely shapes the agenda and guides the discussions. Some members, such as Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, appointed under the Trump presidency, are pushing for a cut as early as July. Donald Trump's implicit support for this option adds political pressure, even if his direct influence is limited. Below is a table showing the current balance of power between the voting members of the FOMC. 2) There will be a rate cut on July 30 if and only if the unemployment rate becomes worrying On the fundamentals side, inflation measured by the PCE index, the FED's benchmark, remains slightly above target, but several key components are showing signs of normalization. Oil, which accounts for around 11% of the basket, is not showing any alarming technical signals with the geopolitical calm in the Middle East. The real estate sector and healthcare spending, also heavily weighted, are showing positive indications in favor of further disinflation. Moreover, tariffs are only marginally affecting services, which account for 67% of the PCE. Despite this, Powell remains concerned about the risk of exogenous inflationary resurgence, especially if the universal 10% tariff were to apply to all US trading partners, with an expected impact on core PCE of +0.2% to +0.3%. Markets are anticipating a first decline in September, but a July changeover cannot be ruled out if employment data, notably the NFP report of July 3, show a marked weakening of the labor market. 3) The S&P 500 index will need the FED's pivot to go higher, as it has returned to its all-time high On the financial markets, a FED pivot would be a decisive bullish catalyst, especially for US equities, Bitcoin and other high-beta assets. Technical analysis of the S&P 500 shows a favourable technical configuration since the beginning of April, with a V-shaped recovery. But with the market now in contact with its all-time high, very positive fundamentals will be needed to consider going higher. In short, the decision on July 30 will depend on a subtle trade-off between political pressures, inflation dynamics and the health of the job market. A status quo remains the central scenario, but a reversal is conceivable in the event of a sharp deterioration in macroeconomic data, good inflation figures or positive surprises on trade diplomacy. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Swissquote and its employees and representatives shall in no event be held liable for any damages or losses arising directly or indirectly from decisions made on the basis of this content. The use of any third-party brands or trademarks is for information only and does not imply endorsement by Swissquote, or that the trademark owner has authorised Swissquote to promote its products or services. Swissquote is the marketing brand for the activities of Swissquote Bank Ltd (Switzerland) regulated by FINMA, Swissquote Capital Markets Limited regulated by CySEC (Cyprus), Swissquote Bank Europe SA (Luxembourg) regulated by the CSSF, Swissquote Ltd (UK) regulated by the FCA, Swissquote Financial Services (Malta) Ltd regulated by the Malta Financial Services Authority, Swissquote MEA Ltd. (UAE) regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority, Swissquote Pte Ltd (Singapore) regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore, Swissquote Asia Limited (Hong Kong) licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) and Swissquote South Africa (Pty) Ltd supervised by the FSCA. Products and services of Swissquote are only intended for those permitted to receive them under local law. All investments carry a degree of risk. The risk of loss in trading or holding financial instruments can be substantial. The value of financial instruments, including but not limited to stocks, bonds, cryptocurrencies, and other assets, can fluctuate both upwards and downwards. There is a significant risk of financial loss when buying, selling, holding, staking, or investing in these instruments. SQBE makes no recommendations regarding any specific investment, transaction, or the use of any particular investment strategy. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. The vast majority of retail client accounts suffer capital losses when trading in CFDs. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Digital Assets are unregulated in most countries and consumer protection rules may not apply. As highly volatile speculative investments, Digital Assets are not suitable for investors without a high-risk tolerance. Make sure you understand each Digital Asset before you trade. Cryptocurrencies are not considered legal tender in some jurisdictions and are subject to regulatory uncertainties. The use of Internet-based systems can involve high risks, including, but not limited to, fraud, cyber-attacks, network and communication failures, as well as identity theft and phishing attacks related to crypto-assets.
FRED:FEDFUNDSEducation
by Swissquote
Nifty 50 Bullish SignalsThe Nifty 50 Index on the weekly chart has been consolidating within a defined range for the last 5 weeks, as highlighted in the green box. Here's a quick breakdown: 1. Next Week Ascending CPR (Central Pivot Range) Implication: An ascending CPR suggests bullish sentiment. It indicates that price action is likely to trend upward, especially if the index stays above or bounces from the CPR. CPR levels are moving higher week over week, showing positive price structure and strengthening momentum. 2. Weekly Golden Pivot Zone The golden pivot zone (between Weekly CPR and S1) is considered a strong support zone. In the chart, price bounced sharply from that zone, confirming its strength. It now acts as a demand zone. As long as the price remains above this zone, bullish momentum is intact. What the Monthly CPR Suggests: ✅ Bullish Bias for June-July: Price above CPR + strong bounce from the buy reversal zone = continuation of uptrend is likely. As long as price holds above 24,600 (CPR center) or 24,426 (L3 Buy Reversal), expect higher highs. ⚠️ Key Trigger Levels: Bullish Breakout Trigger: Above 25,400 (M-H4) Bearish Reversal Caution: Below 24,426 may indicate weakness, especially if it breaks 24,101 (L4). Strategy Insights: Buy on Dips: If Nifty pulls back near the CPR zone (~24,600–24,800), it offers a potential long entry. Upside Targets: 25,276 → 25,400 → 25,781 Avoid Shorts unless price closes below 24,600 with strong volume.
NSE:NIFTY
by Game_0f_Pivot
BTCUSD – Short Setup in Play📉 BTCUSD – Short Setup in Play Exchange: Coinbase | Timeframe: 1D Price has just tapped into a key supply zone after reclaiming a prior level, but momentum looks overextended. If the rejection holds, I’m expecting a drop toward the 103.3K zone, with possible continuation into 102.8K and below. 🔽 Short Bias Active 📍 Entry Region: 107.8K 🎯 Target: 103.3K ⛔ Invalidation: Clean breakout above 112K A pullback first wouldn’t surprise me—liquidity still needs to be swept. Let’s see how BTC behaves at the highs. ⚔️ #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #PriceAction #TradingView #BTCUSD #GlobalHorns
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by GlobalHorns
GDP and price range accumulated above 3300⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Gold prices held firm during the North American session on Wednesday, climbing over 0.30% as easing tensions between Israel and Iran boosted risk sentiment. Meanwhile, disappointing US housing data could prompt future action from the Federal Reserve (Fed). However, Fed Chair Jerome Powell's continued hawkish stance has limited further upside for the precious metal. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $3,334, up 0.34%, as the US Dollar pares earlier gains and Wall Street posts modest advances. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: moving in accumulation range following 2 trend lines, trading above 3300 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3364- 3366 SL 3371 TP1: $3352 TP2: $3345 TP3: $3330 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3302-$3300 SL $3295 TP1: $3315 TP2: $3328 TP3: $3340 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
1
Cardano, The Support Line —Crypto For The FutureHere we have Cardano long-term. I am keeping it simple because simple is best. We have this "support line." Notice that a descending wave ends on a flat support. Each time this pattern showed up, decreasing prices with a stable base, what followed was a strong inverse reaction. Prices were going down but the reaction was a strong jump. Notice how each time the bullish jump becomes bigger. » The first support line and descending triangle happened in 2023. This led to a small bullish wave, not a fast one but a good one. » The second descending triangle and support line happened in 2024 and this one led to a strong bullish jump supported by high volume. Here the candles start to become bigger. » The third and final support line is the current one, 2025. This one is expected to produce such a strong reaction that a new all-time high is expected and beyond. Now, the action will be wild and strong but it won't happen in a single day, week or month, it will take months, many months. The bullish wave can develop in 4 months as it can take 6 months or even more. And this even more is very important because this is something not seen before. A "White Swan" event. The bullish cycle can develop for 12 months or even more because the preparation has been so prolonged and because fundamental market conditions have been improving for years, with a major boost the past 6 months. Conditions are so much better now compared to just a few years ago, that it is even hard to understand. It is like the world is shifting, changing and adapting to our vision. We saw Crypto, we voted for Crypto with our energy, attention and money, and the world is now catching up. If all this "improvement" in acceptance and adoption has already happened within just 6 months, what do you think will happen in four full years? By the time this cycle is over, we will be living in a different world. If you are in this market now, Oh boy! you are blessed; you are wise, you made the right choice. If you are a developer, a reporter, a coder, designer, web manager, project owner, entrepreneur, promoter, innovator and the like, you are damn smart and you will be reward for the risk you took. If you are on the other side of the spectrum, the artist, the dancer, the writer, the composer, the teacher, the athlete, the body builder, yoga instructor, waiter, the server, the clerk; the lawyer, the accountant, the advisor, and decided to put your hard earned money in Crypto, you decided to join... God bless you, you will be rewarded for the risk you took. Patience is key, we are very close. If you decided to trust my clean-sharp-straight words, Thank you! You are appreciated greatly for your continued support. If you are a human being, we love you... Crypto was made for all of us. Don't worry about Cardano, it is going up. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
4
SPX6900 Bidding 4H S/R + FVG Zone — Looking for New Highs✅ 4H S/R + FVG provides strong support and bid opportunity ✅ 200EMA adds further confluence to the setup ✅ Invalidation = 1h closes/consolidates below $1.14 Active Setup: Long Entry: In $1.08–$1.14 zone (confirmation: reclaim or bullish trigger in area) Target: $1.72 (new highs/ATH) Manual Invalidation: Cut if 1h candles close and consolidate below $1.14 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only bid on strong reaction or reversal in FVG/S/R zone Exit if 1h PA settles below $1.14 (red pattern bars area) 🚨 Risk Warning: Aggressive longs — keep risk tight, cut quickly if invalidated
Long
by Goldfinch_song
ETH Eyes FVG Fill — Buy Dips Toward Confluence Support✅ Multiple confluences: 1h MSS, range lows, FVG, and OB cluster at $2,273–$2,319 ✅ High probability of FVG ($2,529) being filled before new lows ⚠️ Downside sweeps are buys, not sells — use zone for bids Active Setup: Long Entry: Bids in $2,273–$2,319 zone (on confirmation: SFP/reclaim or strong bounce) Targets: First TP at FVG ($2,529), next at range high ($2,787) Stop: Below $2,185 (invalidate on close below sweep low) 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Only enter on strong reversal/bounce in blue box No FOMO above FVG, wait for clean setup 🚨 Risk Warning: Avoid chasing into resistance (FVG), wait for dip entries with confirmation
Long
by Goldfinch_song
BTC | At the Line Between ATH Expansion or Macro FlushBINANCE:BTCUSDT Bulls need to hold the $102k–$100.8k support and 1D 50MA for a shot at new highs. – Wick into 1D FVG ($98k) is fine, but no daily close below 50MA allowed. – Lose $100k? Then it’s sideline season — next real support only at $93k/$87k, macro flush risk toward $75k–$58k if momentum fails. – As long as above 1D support/MA, there’s a chance for a clean ATH breakout from the OB under the highs. This is the zone to bet on continuation. If not, don’t fight the trend lower.
by Goldfinch_song
BTC — Altcoin Sentiment Hinges on BTC Holding BINANCE:BTCUSDT is consolidating within a well-defined range between ~$102K and ~$112K, with a bounce off the lower boundary now challenging midrange resistance. As long as BTC trades within the range, altcoins are expected to remain strong. 🟩 Midrange: $106K • 0.618 fib and prior supply zone • Key inflection for either a move higher or return to range low 🔻 Range Low Support: $102K • Break below this = plan invalid • Expect deeper BTC correction and altcoin bleed in that scenario 📈 Bias: • Altcoins strong = only valid if BTC holds this structure • Rotations likely while BTC moves sideways or grinds higher • Upside target (range high): ~$111.9K 📌 BTC stability = altcoin opportunity. Breakdown from range? Get defensive fast.
Long
by Goldfinch_song