SONIC - New altcoin, is 10x possible?SONIC is a new altcoin that has been listed on all major exchanges. I received many requests from you to do an analysis on it and if it's worth it to buy. First, let's take a look at fundamentals, then technicals.
The market cap is 202 million dollars ($202.91M) and is ranked #362. There is room to grow, as the market cap is not that high. As the coin is listed on major exchanges, it has relatively good liquidity, and you can trade it on the futures market. You can go long/short, and the volatility is extremely high. Pretty much every retail trader is addicted to volatility because if the coin is not moving, there are no opportunities. Always choose coins that move; you don't want to be stuck in the boring range.
Sonic is the first SVM network extension to launch on Solana, for games and applications. They are partners with Backpack, OKX Wallet, Metaplex, Pyth, Solayer, and more. The Solana network is getting popular, also with the latest TRUMP coin pump. They have 566k followers on Twitter and the number is rising pretty quickly.
Now, can this coin 10x? Yes, but this will definitely take some time. If you want to trade this coin, which I highly recommend due to its high volatility, you can take the following trade.
On the chart, you can see a descending channel, and I see an opportunity to go long on the next touch of it. Take profit is at the top of the channel or liquidity zone above the previous range, which you can see on the chart. Now, I am very curious - What do you think about this coin? Buy or sell? Let me know in the comment section. Thank you and have success!
Beyond Technical Analysis
Trump: The Catalyst for the Wall Street MovementBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
Yesterday Wall Street closed in green, with the Dow Jones Industrials up 1.24% to 44,025 units, while the S&P 500 advanced 0.88% to 6,049 points and the Nasdaq rose 0.64% to close at 19,756 points. This optimism in the markets was mainly driven by expectations about President Donald Trump's future economic measures. One of the factors that generated confidence among investors was the perception that Trump's tariff policies, which include the possible imposition of 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada as of February 1, would be more moderate than expected. This, in turn, stimulated risk appetite in the markets, encouraging a positive close for Wall Street's major indices.
Traders are likely to be particularly attentive to the president's policies related to public debt, tariffs, taxes and immigration. The U.S. economy relies heavily on steady immigration and relatively cheap labor. The cessation of this immigration flow could lead to price increases in various sectors, which would increase inflation. In addition, the mass deportation of immigrants could lead to an increase in labor demand and, therefore, a rise in wages, which would also have an inflationary impact.
On the other hand, the trade agreement between Mexico and Europe was also on investors' radar, given its potential impact on tariff dynamics and international trade. The recent renewal of the trade agreement between Mexico and the European Union could ease some of the trade tensions that had been worrying markets. This agreement strengthens economic ties between the two regions, which could partially mitigate the negative effects of the tariffs imposed by Trump. At the same time, it improves the outlook for European and Mexican companies that depend on smooth trade, which ultimately benefits global investors as well.
On the corporate front, the shares of some of the major technology companies benefited from the good market climate. Nvidia (NVDA) and Amazon (AMZN) rose 2%, while Alphabet (GOOGL) advanced 1%. However, Apple (AAPL) experienced a 3% drop after receiving a downgrade from two analyst firms. By sectors, industrials (+2.03 %) and real estate (+1.83 %) led the gains, while the energy sector closed negative with a 0.64 % drop. Among the 30 largest listed companies in the Dow Jones, 3M (MMM) and Caterpillar (CAT) were the main gainers, with increases of 4.16 % and 3.58 %, respectively.
In the commodities markets, US WTI fell by 2.5 % to 75.89 dollars per barrel, while gold rose to 2,757 dollars per ounce. The euro maintained its exchange rate at 1.0427 dollars.
In summary, investor optimism on Wall Street was driven by the expectation that Donald Trump's economic policies, especially regarding tariffs and immigration, could be less stringent than anticipated. In addition, the renewal of the trade agreement between Mexico and the European Union brought an additional dose of stability to the market. However, risks stemming from the uncertainty surrounding these policies remain a key variable to follow in the coming weeks.
*******************************************************************************************
The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication.
All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
Tron (TRX): Possible Pump Incoming? Tron coin is moving on its own flow where buyers have recently recovered a few zones and price seems like it might push to upper zones now.
We have 2 targets here, one is short-term and the other is mid-term and those targets will be optimal as long as buyers hold the 100EMA zone.
Swallow Team
Bitcoin - Dont short yetHere’s your text with all asterisks removed while keeping everything else unchanged:
---
📊 Full BTC Market Analysis – 1D Chart
🚀 BTCUSDT (Bybit Perpetual) | Price: $105,470 | Daily Change: -0.62%
Bitcoin remains inside an ascending channel, with BitcoinMF PRO’s last Long Signal still active. We're now watching for a potential Short Signal, which will gain further confidence if Fisher Transform flips bearish.
Now, let’s dive deep into Linear Regression, Fibonacci, Pearson’s R-value, and everything you need to trade this move profitably.
---
📉 What’s Happening Now?
1️⃣ BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher Transform Combo – The Trade Signal Factor
✅ BitcoinMF PRO’s Last Long is STILL ACTIVE.
✅ No Short Signal Yet – But One Could Print Soon.
⚠ Fisher Transform is approaching a critical zone – If it crosses downward, this could be the perfect short confirmation.
📌 Trade Setup Alert: We only short when BitcoinMF PRO signals + Fisher flips bearish. If not, BTC can keep rallying toward $109,500+.
---
2️⃣ Trend Strength Analysis: LR Channel & Pearson’s R-Value
📈 Linear Regression Channel:
- BTC is trending inside an ascending LR Channel, with upper resistance at $109,500.
- The lower channel support is around $88,000 – A major re-entry level if a correction happens.
📊 Pearson’s R-Value (Trend Strength Score):
- Current R-Value = 0.86 (Very Strong Uptrend)
- This suggests that BTC is still trending bullish, and shorts should NOT be rushed.
- A break below $100,400 would start weakening this trend.
---
3️⃣ Key Fibonacci Levels – Precision Trading Zones
🔹 Fib Retracement Levels (From Recent Swing Low):
- 0.618 Retracement: $96,900 (Super strong support)
- 1.618 Extension: $119,500 (Next bullish target)
- 2.618 Extension: $127,500 (Top of trend channel)
📌 Strategy: The best long re-entry is at $96,900. The best short entry is at $109,500 if BitcoinMF PRO confirms.
---
4️⃣ CME Gap Analysis – Where Are the Danger Zones?
- No significant unfilled CME gaps below $100,000 right now, so there’s less downside risk in the short term.
- If BTC rejects $109,500, we could see a gap form, adding downside pressure.
---
### 🧭 What’s Next? (Bullish & Bearish Scenarios)
🔹 Bullish Case:
- If BTC holds above $100,465, we will likely test $109,500 next.
- If BitcoinMF PRO remains long & Fisher stays bullish, we can even break $109,500 and target $119,500.
🔻 Bearish Case:
- If BitcoinMF PRO flips short + Fisher confirms, BTC will drop toward $100,465 first.
- A deeper retrace to $96,900 (Fib 0.618) is possible before another leg up.
---
### 💲 Most Probable Next Move – Probability Score (1-10)
✅ Bullish Case: 6.5/10 – Trend still strong, BitcoinMF PRO’s Long is active.
⚠ Bearish Case: 3.5/10 – No Short Signal yet, but watching Fisher & upper LR channel.
🚨 Caution: No short trades until BitcoinMF PRO + Fisher align.
---
### 📌 Best Trading Approach – High-Probability Trade Setups
✅ Long Setup (Ideal Re-Entry for More Upside)
- Entry: $100,465 or $96,900 (Fib 0.618)
- Stop-loss: $92,427
- Take-Profit: $109,500 → $119,500 → $127,500
✅ Short Setup (If BitcoinMF PRO Flips & Fisher Confirms)
- Entry: $109,500 rejection
- Stop-loss: $112,000
- Take-Profit: $100,465 → $96,900
🚀 Smart Trading Rule: Don't short without BitcoinMF PRO confirmation – wait for Fisher to flip bearish for maximum probability.
---
### 🔹 Final Thoughts – The Big Picture
✔ Bitcoin is still in an uptrend (R-Value = 0.86).
✔ BitcoinMF PRO’s last Long is still active.
✔ Waiting for BitcoinMF PRO Short + Fisher confirmation before shorting.
✔ Key resistance: $109,500 (Breakout Zone).
✔ Key support: $96,900 (Re-entry Zone).
💡 BitcoinMF PRO has been catching reversals beautifully – if a Short prints, don’t ignore it!
For real-time confirmations & precision trades, (bitcoinmf.selly.store) gives exact market turning points.
---
### 📜 Ancient Wisdom: Patience Wins in Trading
In Jewish wisdom, there’s a story of a scholar who asked, "What is the key to wealth?" The answer? "Knowing when to wait."
This applies to traders today: Chasing breakouts blindly leads to losses. Waiting for the right moment leads to success.
The key now is waiting for BitcoinMF PRO’s Short Signal & Fisher confirmation before taking a short – no rushing!
---
🚀 Final Verdict:
The trend is your friend – but so is patience. Let BitcoinMF PRO & Fisher tell us when to strike! 💥📊
For more details check out the links in profile.
Trade safe and good luck!
Crude Oil Short Trade Idea
I’m considering a short position on crude oil , driven by two key macroeconomic factors:
China’s Economic Slowdown : Weakening demand from China, the world’s largest oil importer, continues to pressure oil prices. Recent data shows slower-than-expected economic recovery, signaling reduced energy consumption.
Easing Geopolitical Tensions: With Middle East geopolitical risks subsiding, concerns over potential supply disruptions have diminished, adding to bearish sentiment in the oil market.
Let me know your thoughts or if you’re seeing additional factors that could influence this trade! 🛢️📉
The great Texas oil days are over? Been holding this one for a couple years at around 7$ after bottoming out at 1$ a double top at 6$ just occurred on a two year time frame. This could be bullish technically and fundamentally. I will most likely sell half of my shares at 100% profits, it’s then a free car ride.
LTC Limit LongLitecoin (LTC) has recently filed for an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), signaling a significant milestone for the cryptocurrency. An ETF approval would provide institutional investors with streamlined access to LTC, boosting its legitimacy and potentially driving significant capital inflows.
The ETF application has sparked optimism in the market, with many investors anticipating a bullish trend. If the ETF gains approval, Litecoin could experience a very bullish period, potentially pushing its price to test new highs. Increased media attention, coupled with speculative buying, may drive short-term momentum. However, investors should remain cautious of potential corrections due to profit-taking.
LTC Limit Long $104.50
DCA $98
Stop Loss $93.55
SHORT AUDUSDI'm looking for further movement to the downside on AUDUSD, targeting a price level of 0.59784. Price has been bearish since October of last year. There is still a key level residing below 0.59815 that would be of interest to seek out if downside momentum continues. Volume has been decreasing as price started its retracement from 0.61311, price traded back into a fair value gap and proceeded to close below it. I'm currently in a short position, this is a swing trade. Patience is all is takes, let's see if price continues to trend bearish. Let me know your thoughts if it differs from my perspective.
Is Gold Truly a Safe Haven for People or Governments?OANDA:XAUUSD Gold's True Role as a Safe Haven for Governments, Not Individuals
In the world of finance, OANDA:XAUUSD is the ticker symbol that represents the price of gold in terms of the US Dollar. It’s the barometer through which investors, traders, and analysts gauge the precious metal’s value relative to one of the world’s most widely used fiat currencies. Gold, has long been seen as a safe haven—an asset that shields wealth during economic downturns. However, while gold might provide governments with a strategic financial lifeline, its benefits for individuals are far less certain.
Let’s examine why positions gold as a tool for governments rather than a true safe haven for the average person.
The Perception of OANDA:XAUUSD as a Safe Haven
Gold has been romanticized as a reliable store of value, with gold acting as the primary metric of its appeal in modern financial markets. When economic uncertainty, inflation, or geopolitical tension arises, the price of gold typically spikes, reflecting heightened demand for gold. Investors assume that gold's intrinsic value offers protection against the volatility of fiat currencies, stocks, or bonds.
But while gold may appear to hold steady or increase in value in times of crisis, the reality is that it is far from a guaranteed safeguard for individuals. For everyday investors, OANDA:XAUUSD is subject to several risks that challenge its reputation as a reliable hedge:
Gold’s Challenges as a Safe Haven for Individuals
1. Volatility in OANDA:XAUUSD Prices
Despite its reputation, gold can be surprisingly volatile. Gold prices fluctuate based on a variety of factors, including central bank policies, interest rate changes, and shifts in the global economy. For example, while gold surged during the 2008 financial crisis, its price corrected significantly in subsequent years. Similarly, during the COVID-19 pandemic, OANDA:XAUUSD saw sharp rises followed by corrections as global markets stabilized.
For individual investors, timing the market to capitalize on OANDA:XAUUSD price swings can be a gamble. A significant correction in gold prices at the wrong time could wipe out any perceived “safe haven” benefits.
2. Inflation Hedge Claims Are Overstated
Gold is often marketed as a hedge against inflation, with OANDA:XAUUSD acting as a measurement of its purchasing power. While gold may perform well during certain periods of high inflation, its performance is inconsistent. Over shorter timeframes, gold often fails to keep pace with inflationary pressures. For the average person, the unpredictability of gold's inflation-hedging ability can lead to disappointment.
3. Illiquidity and Transaction Costs
Unlike fiat currencies or stocks, physical gold is not immediately liquid. While financial instruments like gold ETFs or futures provide exposure to OANDA:XAUUSD , they introduce complexities such as management fees and derivative risks. Physical gold also comes with additional costs for storage, insurance, and transaction fees, further eroding its value as a safe haven for individuals.
4. Opportunity Cost
Holding gold means forgoing the opportunity to invest in assets that generate returns, such as dividend-paying stocks or interest-bearing bonds. OANDA:XAUUSD does not offer interest or dividends, which can make it a less attractive long-term investment compared to other options. Over decades, a diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds often outperforms gold in terms of wealth generation.
XAU/USD: A Strategic Asset for Governments
While OANDA:XAUUSD might not be a reliable safe haven for individuals, it serves as an indispensable tool for governments. Central banks worldwide maintain significant gold reserves, with XAU/USD playing a pivotal role in national financial strategies. Here’s why gold functions as a true safe haven for governments:
Reserve Asset Stability
Governments hold gold as a hedge against currency devaluation and geopolitical risks. Unlike fiat currencies, gold is not tied to any single government’s monetary policy, making it a neutral and universally accepted asset. In times of financial instability, central banks can rely on their gold reserves to stabilize their economies.
Diversification of Reserves
Central banks use OANDA:XAUUSD to diversify their foreign exchange reserves. By holding gold alongside currencies like the US Dollar, Euro, or Yen, governments reduce their exposure to risks associated with currency fluctuations. This diversification is especially critical for countries whose currencies are vulnerable to external shocks.
Economic Sovereignty
Gold provides governments with a sense of economic sovereignty. Unlike fiat reserves that can be frozen or restricted during international disputes, gold reserves remain under a country’s direct control. This is why nations like Russia and China have been increasing their gold holdings in recent years, particularly as a hedge against geopolitical tensions with the West.
Stability During Crisis
During periods of global financial uncertainty, XAU/USD often rises as investors and governments alike flock to gold. This upward movement benefits governments with large gold reserves, allowing them to leverage rising prices to fund budgets, repay debts, or secure financial aid. For example, during economic sanctions or wartime, countries have historically used gold to access international markets when fiat reserves became inaccessible.
OANDA:XAUUSD and the Geopolitical Stage
Gold’s significance for governments is particularly evident in its role on the geopolitical stage. The US Dollar remains the dominant global reserve currency, and XAU/USD reflects the intersection of gold’s value and the dollar’s strength. When the dollar weakens, XAU/USD typically rises, and vice versa. This inverse relationship ensures that gold serves as a counterweight to the dominance of any one currency.
Countries seeking to reduce their reliance on the US Dollar—such as China and Russia—view gold as a strategic asset. By increasing their gold reserves, these governments aim to insulate themselves from the influence of US monetary policy. As a result, gold plays a crucial role in global power dynamics, far beyond its utility for individual investors.
Conclusion: XAU/USD’s Dual Role in the Global Economy
In the debate over whether gold is truly a safe haven, OANDA:XAUUSD reveals the stark difference between the benefits it offers individuals and those it provides to governments. For individuals, gold’s volatility, illiquidity, and opportunity costs make it a less reliable hedge than its reputation suggests.
On the other hand, OANDA:XAUUSD underscores gold’s strategic importance to governments. As a reserve asset, gold provides stability, diversification, and sovereignty, making it an essential tool for managing national economies and navigating geopolitical challenges.
In the end, gold’s value as reflected in OANDA:XAUUSD lies not in its ability to protect the wealth of everyday people but in its critical role as a safe haven for governments seeking to preserve their economic and political power.
NZD/JPY Sell Trade – Targeting 88.10152Pair: NZD/JPY 🇳🇿💴
Direction: Short 🔽
Target: 88.10152 🎯
Time Horizon: By Wednesday, Jan 22, 08:15 UTC (approx. 9 hours) ⏳
The pair has shown recent upward movement but is now facing potential resistance. Market behavior suggests a possible pullback toward the 88.10152 level, aligning with observed price patterns.
This trade is expected to play out within approximately 9 hours, by Wednesday at 08:15 UTC. External factors, including JPY strength and NZD market sentiment, may influence price action. Monitoring closely for confirmation of the anticipated move. 🔍
Personal opinion on the direction of gold today🔆 Gold news:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) extended gains for a third straight session on Wednesday, hitting an 11-week high of around $2,751 in Asian trading. The rise was fueled by increased safe-haven demand amid concerns over U.S. President Donald Trump’s trade policies. In addition, falling U.S. Treasury yields, supported by expectations of two Federal Reserve rate cuts this year, further supported the appeal of the non-yielding precious metal.
🔆 Technical:
Based on Fibonacci and support resistance zones to set up appropriate buy orders
🔆 Personal opinion:
Continue the uptrend, look at the 2760, 2774 price zone as this is the Fibonacci crossover and the resistance zone
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉 Buy Gold 2720 – 2722
❌SL: 2714 | ✅TP: 2728 – 2734 – 2740
👉SELL Gold 2774 -2776
❌SL: 2781 | ✅TP: 2767 - 2760 - 2753
Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
Technical Analysis and GEX Insights for Jan 22Technical Analysis
* Trend Overview: SPY is showing a recovery from recent lows, pushing towards key resistance levels at $605-$606.
* Support Levels:
* Immediate support near $599-$600.
* Major support at $575, aligning with prior lows.
* Resistance Levels:
* Immediate resistance at $604-$606 (Gamma Wall and Call resistance).
* A break above $606 may lead to $610 as the next target.
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Momentum has flattened but remains in bullish territory.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought conditions suggest caution for buyers as a pullback could occur.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Analysis
* Highest Positive NETGEX: $606, acting as a significant resistance zone.
* Call Walls:
* $606: Strong 2nd Call Wall resistance (65.98% GEX concentration).
* $603: Another layer of resistance but less significant.
* Put Walls:
* $596 and $595: Immediate levels of put support, which could act as downside protection.
* HVL: $600 as the High Volume Level, supporting bullish activity above this level.
Actionable Trade Setups
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $605, with confirmation of volume breakout.
* Target: $610 and potentially $615.
* Stop-Loss: Below $600 to manage downside risks.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $599, especially if $596 is breached with momentum.
* Target: $590 and $585.
* Stop-Loss: Above $604 to minimize losses.
Outlook
SPY's upward movement is promising, but overbought conditions and strong resistance near $606 warrant caution. Bulls need a clean breakout above $606, while bears could capitalize on any weakness below $599.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please conduct your own research and trade responsibly.
QQQ Technical Analysis for Jan. 22Current Price Action and Key Levels:
* Current Price: $527.62
* Immediate Resistance: $528 (Gamma Wall, 33.45% GEX at 2nd Call Wall).
* Support Levels:
* First Level: $524, aligned with the highest positive NETGEX and technical breakout support.
* Second Level: $520, serving as a pivot and HVL at 0DTE.
Trend Analysis:
* The QQQ is forming a higher low structure and a potential breakout above the $528 resistance.
* MACD is hovering above the signal line, indicating bullish momentum, though it shows slight flattening.
Indicators:
* MACD: Indicates early bullish signs but lacks strong conviction for a big move upward.
* Stochastic RSI: Currently overbought at 90+, suggesting a pullback or consolidation near resistance.
* Volume: Increasing volume supports recent upward movement.
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights for Option Trading
* Key GEX Levels:
* Positive Gamma: $528 (33.45% concentration, a pivotal level for call option sellers).
* Negative Gamma: Below $519, indicating potential acceleration of bearish momentum if breached.
* IVR & IVX: IVR at 12.9 and IVX average at 18.8 suggest low implied volatility, favorable for debit spreads or outright options.
* Unusual Activity: High Call GEX at $528 confirms sellers' active defense around this level.
Trade Setups
Bullish Setup:
* Entry: On a clean breakout above $528 with volume confirmation.
* Target: $532, aligning with the next key resistance.
* Stop Loss: $524, just below the first level of support and NETGEX.
Bearish Setup:
* Entry: On rejection from $528 or break below $524.
* Target: $520, then $515 if weakness accelerates.
* Stop Loss: $530, above resistance.
Conclusion and Recommendation
* Direction Bias: Neutral to Bullish.
* Watch for price action around $528; if momentum holds, potential for higher moves towards $532.
* Options Strategy:
* Bullish: Call Debit Spread targeting $528-$532.
* Bearish: Put Debit Spread targeting $524-$520 if weakness emerges.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research and manage risks appropriately before trading.
$TrumpUsdt What happened with the $TRUMP coin. Post inauguration the coin dropped unexpectedly to $30, giving heavy losses on short and long to traders who were holding the coin.
When Mr. Donald Trump announced that he will launch a coin Which will help into the USA economy as well for fund rising, some people appreciate it and they convert their whole portfolio into this coin and make a good profit in the beginning, however, those who were doing future trade into this coin, and were doing one kind of gambling into this meme project, this coin washed out them very badly. This actually what happen in crypto currency, big merchants take their profits out at right time leaving behind the small merchants to wash out their funds.
The best thing is not to greed in crypto currency, you get lots of opportunity to grow steadily if you remain patient and not react in haphazard way pressing buy and sell buttons on market prices.
IWM Technical Analysis and GEX Insights for Jan. 22Technical Analysis
* Trend: IWM shows an upward momentum with a breakout above the previous resistance level at $227.
* Support and Resistance:
* Immediate Support: $227, previously a resistance level, may now act as support.
* Major Resistance: $230 is the next significant resistance level, aligned with the GEX 2nd
CALL Wall.
* Critical Support: $226 acts as a safety zone, below which the bearish sentiment might strengthen.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Positive momentum; however, the histogram shows slight consolidation.
* Stochastic RSI: Overbought zone, indicating caution for long entries in the short term.
Gamma Exposure (GEX)
* Key Levels:
* Highest Positive GEX (Call Resistance): $230 – Major resistance zone, where call option sellers may cap upward movement.
* Support Levels:
* $227: The 3rd CALL Wall level offering intermediate support.
* $226: HVL level aligned with GEX support zones.
* IVR & Sentiment:
* Implied Volatility Rank (IVR): 14.7 - Low IV, suggesting cheaper option premiums.
* GEX Sentiment: Positive skew with minimal PUT protection, indicating bullish sentiment overall.
Trading Plan
* Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Above $227 with volume confirmation.
* Target: $230.
* Stop-Loss: Below $226.
* Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Below $226 with high selling volume.
* Target: $224-$222 range.
* Stop-Loss: Above $228.
Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own due diligence and manage risk appropriately before trading.
CRWD at Critical Resistance – What's Next? Jan. 22Current Price Action:
* CRWD is trading at $366.20, nearing a significant resistance zone at $370, which aligns with the recent swing high.
* The stock is forming an ascending triangle pattern, signaling potential breakout opportunities.
* Immediate support is at $349.73, with stronger support at $335.73, based on previous demand zones.
MACD:
* Bullish momentum is slowing, with the MACD lines flattening and histogram bars reducing. This suggests potential consolidation or a pullback.
Stochastic RSI:
* Overbought conditions persist, with Stochastic RSI above 90, hinting at a possible short-term correction.
GEX Analysis (Options Data)
Key Levels:
* Resistance Levels:
* $370 (97.49% Call Wall) – This is a critical gamma resistance where heavy call options activity could limit upside momentum.
* $380 (69.19% GEX8) – Secondary resistance, signaling a strong barrier if the breakout above $370 occurs.
* Support Levels:
* $355 (HVL Zone) – Acts as a pivot for buyers to defend against further declines.
* $337.5 (15.35% 2nd Put Wall) and $330 (19.76% Put Support) – Strong downside supports based on put option activity.
Options Sentiment:
* IV Rank: 11.7, indicating relatively low implied volatility.
* Calls: 45.9% of open interest, showing a mildly bullish options bias.
* GEX (Gamma Exposure): Positive, signaling potential price support at current levels.
Trade Setups
Bullish Scenario:
* A breakout above $370 could see CRWD test $380 and potentially $385, especially if volume accompanies the move.
* Entry: $370.50
* Stop-Loss: $365
* Targets: $380, $385
Bearish Scenario:
* Failure to break above $370 could lead to a pullback toward $349.73 or lower.
* Entry: $365
* Stop-Loss: $370.50
* Targets: $355, $337.5
Outlook
CRWD is at a critical juncture. A breakout above $370 would signal bullish strength, but overbought conditions on Stochastic RSI suggest caution. Traders should watch for increased
volume on a breakout or a potential rejection at resistance for a pullback play.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research and manage risks effectively before trading.
AVGO at Resistance! Will It Break Higher? Jan 22Technical Analysis for Trading
* Trend Overview: AVGO is consolidating near $242.42, testing a key resistance zone. The price has formed higher lows, supported by a rising trendline, signaling bullish strength. However, a breakout above $242.77 is needed to confirm further upside.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $242.77 and $245.00 are critical levels to watch for a breakout.
* Support: $240.31 and $237.44 are immediate levels to hold in case of a pullback.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Flat, indicating indecision. A bullish crossover could signal renewed momentum.
* Stoch RSI: Overbought, suggesting potential for short-term consolidation or pullback.
* Volume: Increasing volume is necessary to validate any breakout above resistance.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) Insights for Options Trading
* Key Gamma Levels:
* Positive GEX: $245.00 and $250.00 are significant call walls, with $242.77 acting as the strongest resistance.
* Negative GEX: $235.00 and $227.50 are key put support levels.
* Options Metrics:
* IVR: Moderate at 27.3, indicating reasonably priced options.
* Call/Put Skew: Bullish sentiment with calls at 40.8%, reflecting optimism among traders.
* Actionable Gamma Zones:
* Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $242.77 could trigger gamma-driven buying toward $245.00 and beyond.
* Bearish Scenario: A drop below $240.31 may activate put support and lead to further downside toward $237.44.
Trade Scenarios
1. Bullish Setup:
* Entry: Break and hold above $242.77.
* Target: $245.00 and $250.00.
* Stop-Loss: Below $241.00.
2. Bearish Setup:
* Entry: Break below $240.31.
* Target: $237.44 and $235.00.
* Stop-Loss: Above $242.00.
Important Note
AVGO is at a critical juncture. Watch for strong volume to confirm any breakout or breakdown. Adjust your strategies based on market conditions during pre-market and intraday activity.
If you need a detailed analysis for AVGO or any other stock, feel free to reach out!
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always trade responsibly.