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GBP/USD London Session 📌 Timeframe:1H 📌 Bias: Bullish 📌 Key Levels: - Sell-side Liquidity Target: 1H SIBI at 1.33930 - Bullish Entry Zone: Consequent Encroachment of the imbalance - Final Target: 1.34300 Market Context & Analysis - Asian Session Recap: Price opened and traded higher, leaving behind a **1H SIBI**, which was later tapped into. - Liquidity Sweep: Price made a higher high before pulling back, now targeting sell-side liquidity at 1.33930. - Bullish Setup Plan: Expecting price to sweep the **sell-side liquidity**, tap into the Consequent Encroachment of the imbalance, and confirm bullish momentum. - Final Target: Anticipating a rally toward 1.34300, which aligns with a strong resistance level. Execution Strategy 1. Wait for Price Action Confirmation - Look for bullish rejection wicks or strong engulfing candles at the Consequent Encroachment zone. - Avoid early entries; wait for liquidity grab and clear directional shift. 2. Entry & Stop-Loss Considerations - Ideal Entry: Once bullish confirmations are observed post-liquidity sweep. - Stop-Loss: Below the recent **liquidity sweep low** to ensure risk protection. 3. Risk-to-Reward & Position Management - Aim for R:R ratio of at least 1:3, securing partial profits as price approaches 1.34300 - Monitor market conditions and adjust if necessary based on order flow dynamics.
Long
by Hos_Waruts
GBP/USD – Breakout Retest Setup🔍 Macro Fundamentals LEI improving → 86.8 → 90 Exo + LEI score = 78.5 → Healthy trend continuation bias Exogenous factors: April score 4.5 → positive skew USD macro weak & dovish, GBP maintaining hawkish tone 📅 Seasonality 📈 GBP bullish from April 24 onward 📉 USD bearish all month ✅ Perfect seasonality window for bullish GBP/USD swing 📊 COT Sentiment Both GBP and USD = ⚖️ Neutral → No positioning pressure, clean technical entry expected 📈 Technical Setup (4H Chart) Price has broken out of structure, now retesting resistance as support Structure forming above 1.32312, with a solid upside trend 🔁 Plan: Enter on breakout retest for trend continuation 📥 Entry: 1.32312 ⛔ Stop Loss: 1.31581 (below structure) 🎯 Take Profit: Trail or target based on 1.3550–1.3600 zone 🧮 R:R ≈ 1:2+
Long
by wajahatarif
simple chart of what I seeAnyone who knows me know I like to make simple charts that get to the point. Nothing fancy. Just lots of lines. Anyway, I did a ghost feed so you can get an idea of where I think we go from here. I seriously doubt we see any big changes until earnings. Unless China gets their heads out of the you know what, we will trade like this for a little while. I do feel there is hoppe. If NVIDIA has strong earnings , it could be enough push it to new highs. I would use caution. You will see by my chart we started off with an ascending wedge, moved right into a descending wedge and now I feel we will rinse and repeat. All the while ultimately creating new highs and new lows. Anywhere you see horizontal lines is where I see resistance. And yes, I do still think we could drop below 100 again, so get your buy fingers ready :) Not financial advice! Just an old trader's ideas. If we break above 130 before now and earnings, consider it could be a nice ride up!!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Jerseyboy79
1
Global Liquidity PL Model of Bitcoin Price We have created a BTC price model based on the observed relationship between Global Liquidity (GL) and price, a power law with power 9.2. There is an empirical delay of about 85 days, making Global Liquidity a leading indicator of price. Global Liquidity has been rising steadily in the last few months, and finally, close to the predicted time of the turning BTC price, is following the recent run-up of GL. We are monitoring this behavior closely to confirm the two time series match over the long term and in major structural features. The lower panel indicates the winning rate of both time series. This is a useful indicator able to track structural changes independently of scaling (which can be variable when comparing GL and BTC price). For now, it seems BTC is following closely the recent explosive upward movement of GL.
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Quantonomyfund
1
Will Dry Soil Lift Wheat's Price?Global wheat markets are currently experiencing significant attention as traders and analysts weigh various factors influencing their future price trajectory. Recent activity, particularly in key futures markets, suggests a growing consensus towards potential upward price movements. While numerous elements contribute to the complex dynamics of the grain trade, current indicators highlight specific supply-side concerns as the primary catalyst for this outlook. A major force behind the anticipation of higher wheat prices stems from challenging agricultural conditions in significant production areas. The United States, a crucial global supplier, faces concerns regarding its winter wheat crop. Persistent dryness across key growing regions is directly impacting crop development and posing a material threat to achieving expected yields. This environmental pressure is viewed by market participants as a fundamental constraint on forthcoming supply. Further reinforcing these concerns, official assessments of crop health have underscored the severity of the situation. Recent data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture revealed a winter wheat condition rating below both the previous year's level and average analyst expectations. This shortfall in anticipated crop health indicates a less robust supply picture than previously factored into market pricing, thereby increasing the likelihood of price appreciation as supply tightens relative to demand, even as other global factors like shifts in export prices from other regions introduce different market crosscurrents.
CBOT:ZW1!Long
by UDIS_View
QATAR STOCK MARKET INDEX - GNRI - Since years we are still in correction in a long years called Double Three Correction, until today we are in the last side of the DTC in side ((Y)) in Triangle in side D of it which looks soon trigger up to levels between 13.000 - 13.685 , and could reach up to 14.000 points . Market Maker suppressed and put pressure on most or lets say 90% of the most of the stocks and accumulate as much as he can until today 22/04/2025 Most of the Stocks will be in freedom soon future (MAX. 6 Months)> it seems to me most of the stocks will goes 200 % - 300 % specially the stocks under 1 riyals in its present price .
QSE:GNRI
by GNRI_Maker
BTC is in strong support area based Fib RetracementHi again, for a long time I don't share my ideas here, so I'm trying to consistent share my thought here. Technical BINANCE:BTCUSD in strong support line based Fib Retracement on $76,113.25 (on daily Timeframe) The price currently below the EMA 200 MACD still doesn't give the sign to long BTC Dominance still high (60.39% based on Coinstast ) Macro Based on similiar correlation with S&P500, it's still give no good sign to bounce back (it maybe going deeper) About the global economy, US Tariff still give the global uncertainty and cold vibes haha Summary If you going long term, maybe you can go buy BTC in small size, is a good price to add the collection If you going short term, I think it will be go deeper first Thanks for your time! I hope everyone have a good time and good health!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by kepinworks
4
(BTC) bitcoin "signs"the blue/green line is crossing the purple dotted line. This is a sign representing a transitional phase between moving averages where the short line begins to cross over the patterns of longer time frames. I was looking at this today and though any indicator is never 100% accurate it is always better to see positive signs rather than no signs at all. Could this be the summer of crypto? A positive crypto summer unlike so many previous years? I'm well aware the second quarter just started and summer is not close by 3 months time.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Déjà Vu: 2025 Tariffs Mirror 2018 Trade War PlaybookThe economic strategy behind the new wave of tariffs bears an unmistakable resemblance to the 2018–2020 U.S.–China trade conflict. That’s no coincidence. Peter Navarro, the architect of the 2018 tariff playbook under President Trump, has once again stepped into a key role shaping trade policy in Trump’s second term. In 2018, the Trump administration launched a phased escalation of tariffs, starting with targeted duties on Chinese imports and expanding into broader measures that disrupted global supply chains. By Q4 2018, the S&P 500 had fallen nearly 20%, while tech-heavy names like NVIDIA plunged over 50% amid valuation compression, supply chain fears, and geopolitical stress. Peter Navarro’s re-emergence signals that this isn’t just about political posturing. Known for his hardline stance on China and focus on economic nationalism, Navarro treats tariffs not as negotiation tools but as long-term policy. In 2018, that posture drove escalation until the market forced a pause. Now in 2025, we’re watching the same script unfold almost beat for beat: 1. Start with China 2. Expand globally 3. Soften the global rhetoric to isolate China 4. Target key sectors (semiconductors, pharmaceuticals, energy) 5. Start the media misdirection to work behind the scenes with China 6. Set up a “deal” under market pressure In 2025, the market again entered bear territory but staged a brief recovery after a pause in reciprocal tariffs. As of April 21, 2025, the index sits 16% off its February high and still in a downtrend. Now, looking at the charts, here where things begin to take shape. Let’s start with the 2018 chart (figure 1). Like previously mentioned, back in 2018, the S&P 500 dropped over 20% between September and December, finding the bottom at a key support from 20 months prior (Q1 2017). The first gray box represents 10 weeks from the 2018 high. The 10 weeks is important because we are currently 10 weeks off the 2025 high, so this first gray box shows historically where we are today relative to the 2018 prices. The second gray box represents the 3 remaining weeks of drawdown, which was roughly 10%. Figure 1 Now looking at the 2025 chart (figure 2), we have the same 10-week gray box marked up, and the additional 3-week, 10% drawdown, gray box that follows. Coincidentally, or not, the bottom of the second gray box aligns almost perfectly with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the 2022 swing low to the 2025 high (figure 3). Even more interesting, that support level also ties back to the September 2023 high—roughly 20 months prior. Sound familiar? Figure 2 Figure 3 I will be watching that 4500 level for SPX over the next few weeks as Trump and Navarro are preparing to roll out more sector-specific tariffs in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, Jerome Powell is facing renewed pressure, including calls to step down—again, nearly identical to the rhetoric from late 2018. Currently, markets are pricing in just a 10% chance of a rate cut, according to Kalshi. But if the market continues to slide, Navarro and Trump may dial up pressure on the Fed to act. A rate cut in early May could mark the market bottom—just like Powell’s dovish pivot did in early 2019. If the 2018 blueprint holds, we’re in the middle innings. Tariffs are broadening, the market is reacting, and the Fed is being boxed in. The coming weeks may test the 0.618 Fib level on the S&P 500. If Powell pivots and rhetoric softens, we may find a low—and history will have rhymed, if not outright repeated. If Powell stays strong, then Trump and Navarro may publicly pull back and take negotiations behind closed doors. I don’t see this is being just being coincidental. This seems to be following a very familiar playbook.
SP:SPXLong
by NotAFinancialAdvisor1
2
BTC.D: 1M chart still looking bullish for nowAs above. BTC.D still looking to continue to slowly inch higher in the near future. No ALT season yet, unfortunately for those anticipating this event. Stronger case for BTC.D to get to 70% range once 65% range is entered. I am not sure this is going to be a rapid BTC.D event given the historic trend and current economic climate. Might see ALTs bleed again a little more than BTC to achieve this 70% level rather than BTC going parabolic. Would have cash on hand for potential start of ALT season to get those basement discount prices on ALTs if that should happen as I anticipate some kind of ALT season down the road..the question is when and how big... Will follow. Good luck traders!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by Ambassadorj
3
GBP/USD bulls to mitigate @1.32500 handle as we start the month with trade wars which the cable possibly will not be part of, optimism has grown around a potential Ukraine peace plan reinforcing Britain’s support. Sterling also has gained strength from the expectations that UK interest rates will remain higher for longer. Bank of England Deputy Governor Ramsden highlighted that persistent wage pressures could keep inflation above target, though he noted future rate cuts may not be gradual. This outlook, combined with geopolitical developments, has boosted investor confidence in the pound and so am hoping for a retest to my fair value price @ 1.27000 handle before the bulls comes in and drives the price to my unmitigated zone 1st Tp @1.32500
Long
by que
ES Daily Indicator UpdateI think the market is gonna go oversold on the daily again. It broke the wrong way out of the pennant-like structure, we still haven't heard about the electronics tariff, and we've got a slew of earnings coming up where every conf call will talk about tariffs and recession. Long on gold at least until we hit that bottom again, not shorting because of the open gaps above. I think the only hope of filling those gaps is a deal with China. Even if that happens, it'll probably be a few weeks or months. If daily indicators go oversold, I plan on going long on index or sector ETFs. Too risky right now to bet on individual stocks.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
10
GC UpdateNot sure if this is a melt up or not, bit strange that RSI and MFI are moving in opposite directions. I have a long term position set up, but I'm not planning on doing big options plays unless MFI hits the red line or if I expect the stock market to drop. I might play a little tomorrow for TSLA earnings, lol. (TSLA has dropped so much it's only 2.6% of QQQ, it won't be able to tank the market on its own.) I think the next big gold movement happens when the China electronics tariff is announced. No idea when that happens. The market is just a guessing game with Orange Man in charge. In any case, I have a EUROTLX:4K target for gold, don't really care if I have to wait a few months or a year or whatever. This seems like a safer bet than anything else.
COMEX:GC1!
by hungry_hippo
ES UpdateSorry, I don't have time to post during work hours, I did comment on my last ES post though. As I mentioned, RSI hit oversold mid day on my 3hr chart with positive MFI divergence. So here's an updated plot. I can't watch the market continuously, so I didn't play the bounce. Thought about some calls EOD, but if you hold a long position overnight, you're basically betting on TRump keeping his mouth shut for a day. Didn't like the odds, lol. Futures are green so far though. Just keep in mind TSLA reports tomorrow after hours (AH). I'm not planning on going long on the stock market until the daily gets oversold. At least that'll give me bigger bounce where I don;t have to pay attention every minute, lol.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by hungry_hippo
GBP/USD Ready for Takeoff!Hi Traders ! Price action remains strong within the uptrend channel, supported by the 20 EMA, while the 200 EMA stays well below—confirming bullish momentum. Target zone: 1.34234 RSI shows strength with more room to rise. Stay sharp, traders! If the price continues to respect the channel, we might see a strong bullish push soon. 📌 Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own analysis and consult with a professional before making trading decisions.
Long
by FXOnTop