Bearish Setup for Gold (XAU/USD)
Current Price: ~3,334 USD
• Expected Move: Short-term rise to 3,380–3,390, then a strong drop.
Reasoning:
• Completing an Elliott Wave triangle (E wave) at resistance.
• Harmonic pattern (Gartley/Bat) aligns with this reversal zone.
• Resistance lies within a descending channel.
• Bearish Target: ~3,050–3,030
• Trade Setup: Consider shorting near 3,380–3,390 with stops above 3,400.
TVC:GOLD
Beyond Technical Analysis
Skeptic | USD/CHF Analysis: Short Setups Ready to Pop!Hey everyone, Skeptic here! Let’s kick off the week with a sharp USD/CHF analysis, a pair that’s flashing some juicy short opportunities! 📉 Stick around as I break down why this could be a prime setup. Let’s dive in with the Daily Timeframe. 📊
Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture
USD/CHF has been rocking a major bullish trend, but in recent weeks, it’s slipped into a secondary corrective trend, pulling back to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. This tells us the bullish momentum is still alive and kicking. The last candle, closed on May 12, was a full bearish engulfing pattern, showing that despite the correction, buyer strength is weak, and sellers are taking over. Because of this, if our short triggers activate, we could ride the continuation of the major bullish trend (likely a typo in the original, as the context suggests a bearish move for shorts) and target levels at 0.81904 and 0.80865 . If 0.80865 breaks, per Dow Theory, the major bullish trend officially resumes, and we can open shorts with more confidence and higher risk. With this big-picture view, let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to find our long and short triggers.
4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups
For our short setup, the main trigger is a break below the support at 0.83264 . As you can see, we’ve reacted to this support twice, but each time, we formed lower highs, signaling this support is getting weaker and weaker. This makes a break more likely. You could place a stop sell below this level, but personally, I wait for a breakout candle on the 15-minute timeframe to confirm. For a long setup, I’m not opening longs until we consolidate above 0.83902 and see uptrend momentum return. The risk of hitting a stop loss is too high otherwise, and since we’d be trading against the main trend, sudden reversals are likely, giving us a lower R/R. 😎
💬 Let’s Talk!
If this analysis helped you out, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments, and I’ll get to it. Thanks for hanging out, and I’ll see you in the next one. Keep trading smart! ✌️
The Wrong Door, The Wrong Trade, and the Right Mindset✍️ Coach Miranda Miner
In life, and especially in trading, we are often taught to push through — to stick it out, to “just HODL,” or to wait for the market to turn in our favor. But let me tell you this, KaMiranda: there is wisdom not only in perseverance, but in the courage to walk away.
The image above says: “Better to admit you walked through the wrong door than spend your life in the wrong room.”
And I couldn’t agree more — especially as a trader.
How many times have we held onto a losing trade because we were too proud to admit we entered at the wrong time? How often do we let our ego and fear of being wrong cost us more — not just in capital, but in peace of mind? In trading, just like in life, the door you choose matters. But what matters more is your ability to recognize when you’ve entered the wrong one.
Many traders are trapped in the “wrong room” — a room filled with overleveraging, poor risk management, and emotional decision-making. Some stay because of sunk cost. “Sayang eh, baka bumalik.” Some stay because of ego. “Ayokong mali ako.” And others stay because they don’t know there’s another door out — a better one.
But here’s the truth, KaMiranda: there’s no shame in admitting you made a mistake. The shame is in staying stuck in the wrong trade, the wrong mindset, or the wrong system just to save face. That’s not strength. That’s stubbornness disguised as grit.
I’ve been there. I’ve held onto positions I should’ve cut. I’ve sat in rooms I should’ve left long ago — whether in trading, career, or even personal choices. And every time I found the courage to say, “This isn’t for me,” I didn’t lose. I grew.
In trading, cutting losses is a sign of maturity. It’s not a loss — it’s protection. Just like walking out of the wrong room doesn’t mean failure, it means you’re now free to find the right one.
The market doesn’t owe you anything. But you owe it to yourself to trade with clarity, not pride. To be honest with yourself, not attached to being right. Remember: “It’s better to be out of a trade wishing you were in, than in a trade wishing you were out.”
So here’s your reminder today:
If you’ve walked into the wrong trade, the wrong mindset, the wrong crowd — it’s okay. Admit it. Exit gracefully. Then reset, learn, and walk through the door that aligns with your goals, your discipline, and your future.
Because real traders don’t just chart the market — they chart their growth.
Let’s go, KaMiranda. Open the right door.
– Coach Miranda Miner
ETH Trap & Drop Setup – OB Rejection + Bearish Channel📉 Ethereum (ETHUSD) | 1H SMC Breakdown | Bearish Setup Explained
Another clean setup for the SMC gang. ETH just gave us a beautiful opportunity, respecting market structure, reacting to Order Block supply, and aiming to clean up sell-side liquidity. Let’s dive in 👇
🧱 1. Structure: Bearish Channel Formation
ETH has been moving in a tight bearish channel, producing:
Lower highs (confirmed supply zones)
Lower lows (liquidity grabs + structure breaks)
This shows consistent bearish pressure.
🧊 2. Premium OB Tap + Rejection Zone
Price just retraced into a Bearish Order Block sitting in the Premium zone, right around $2,514.
💥 OB zone is aligned with:
Upper channel resistance
Supply rejection
Clean inefficiency fill
Price wicked inside and immediately rejected = Smart Money active.
🧠 3. Retail Psychology Trap
Retail likely:
Longing support bounce
Placing stops under structure lows
Not respecting OB/imbalance narrative
Meanwhile, Smart Money:
Enters short from OB
Targets imbalanced zones
Eyes the $2,270 weak low
🎯 4. Liquidity Pool & Final Target
🔻 Target Zone: $2,270
This level is:
A weak low (high chance of being swept)
Sits at lower channel boundary
Acts as a liquidity magnet
Expect price to accelerate as it approaches this zone.
⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup)
📍 Entry: $2,514 OB Zone
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $2,582 (structure break + OB invalidation)
🎯 Targets:
TP1: $2,460
TP2: $2,400
TP3: $2,270
⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ – high precision trade
🧠 Key Concepts in Play:
Order Block Rejection
Premium Pricing Sell Setup
Bearish Channel Continuation
Liquidity Sweep Targeting
📌 Chart Summary:
"Don’t chase candles – follow the narrative. OB tells the story, liquidity gives the profit."
📚 Study the OB zone reaction. These setups repeat every week across assets if you know what to look for.
💬 Drop “ETH OB SNIPER” in the comments if this is your kind of entry.
📈 Tag a trader who needs to stop fading Smart Money moves!
BTCUSD: Inside Bar Trap + Order Block Rejection Targeting $102K📉 Bitcoin | SMC Breakdown | 1H Chart
Welcome to a clean Smart Money setup, where retail gets baited and Smart Money gets paid. Let’s break down what’s happening on BTCUSD, 1H chart, using multi-timeframe confluence and Smart Money Concepts. 👇
🗓️ 1. Daily Chart Confluence
We start with a Daily Inside Bar Pattern – a classic continuation setup, often used by institutions to trap traders before expansion. BTC ranged tightly, then broke to the upside to grab liquidity, not start a rally.
🟥 Daily High = Liquidity Pool
🟧 Inside Bar Range = Manipulation Zone
This is the trap zone.
🧱 2. Order Block Rejection (1H)
Price tapped a clearly defined Bearish Order Block in premium pricing, just above the mid-range of the Inside Bar.
💥 Reaction confirmed:
Rejection candles from OB
Structure respecting downside bias
Fakeout = Fuel for downside expansion
📉 3. Bearish Continuation Structure
Price is moving within a descending channel, respecting internal supply zones. Each lower high is met with supply pressure, and internal lows are swept before moving lower.
You’re looking at a high-probability continuation move toward the weak low marked near $102,200.
🧊 4. Weak Low as Final Target
This level is a classic liquidity magnet – weak lows = retail stop clusters = Smart Money target.
We expect BTC to:
Tap OB
Reject with minor pullback
Break structure
Fill imbalance and target weak low
It’s a beautiful setup if managed correctly.
🧠 5. Psychology & Trap Narrative
Retail is:
Buying the breakout of Inside Bar
Placing stops under weak lows
Ignoring the OB rejection
Smart Money is:
Selling from OB
Riding the imbalance
Grabbing liquidity from below
This is where you flip from reaction-based trading to narrative-based execution.
🧮 6. Trade Setup Summary
📍 Entry Zone: $108,500–$109,700 (OB zone)
🔐 Stop Loss: Above $109,800 (invalidate OB)
🎯 Target:
TP1: $106,500
TP2: $104,000
TP3: $102,200 (Sell-side Liquidity Sweep)
⚖️ RRR: Approx. 1:4 to 1:5 depending on entry
⚠️ Risk Management:
Do not overleverage.
This setup rewards patience and narrative confirmation, not emotional entries. Wait for OB confirmation and rejection.
📈 If this hits, it’s a chart you screenshot and study again and again.
💬 Comment “INSIDE BAR MASTERCLASS” if you’re watching this play out live. Share with your trading circle.
BTCJPY Bearish Channel Setup – OB Rejection to Weak Low Sweep🧠 Bitcoin vs Yen (BTCJPY) | 30M Smart Money Breakdown
BTCJPY is painting the same story we’ve seen before: liquidity builds → OB rejection → channel continuation → weak low sweep. This is how the markets bleed slow then drop fast. Let’s break it down.
🧱 1. Bearish Channel Structure
We’re inside a clear descending channel, where price:
Forms consistent lower highs (supply zones)
Prints lower lows (liquidity grabs)
Shows rejections at channel tops = perfect confluence
This structure supports a continuation downward move.
🧊 2. Order Block + Supply Rejection
Price recently tapped into a clean Bearish Order Block (OB) within the premium zone just under 15.5M.
OB was respected with a sharp reaction
Immediate sell pressure confirms Smart Money entry
Red zone = OB + supply + channel midline
No candle closes above OB = bias confirmed bearish.
🧲 3. Smart Money Flow vs Retail
Retail likely went long on the mini bounce.
Smart Money waited for:
Price to tap into the OB
Retail to stack longs
Opportunity to fill imbalance and dump
This gives us an ideal Sell-to-Buy-to-Sell structure forming.
🕯️ 4. Projected Move: Weak Low Sweep
🧨 Target = 14,831,148
Why?
That’s a marked Weak Low
It aligns with channel support
It’s a known liquidity magnet
Expect acceleration into this zone.
⚔️ 5. Trade Plan (Short Setup)
📍 Entry Zone: 15.315M – 15.33M
🔐 Stop Loss: Above OB → ~15.50M
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 15.200M
TP2: 15.000M
TP3: 14.831M
⚖️ RRR: ~1:4+ depending on execution precision
🧠 Summary:
This chart screams:
“Trap the liquidity, respect the OB, ride the channel.”
These setups repeat. Same pattern, different chart, every week.
📣 Engage Call:
💬 Comment “BTCJPY SHORT SNIPER” if you caught this one
👥 Tag your trading partner – don’t let them miss this play
🔄 Save this chart to study the OB entry mechanics
BTCUSD 5/25/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a quick in-depth Weekly breakdown of Bitcoins Price Action & what we can expect Price to do next.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
EURNZD (BOS + DEMAND + 705 FIB LEVEL)Hello traders!
Description: Now we already in demand + check RSI)))
Entry: Confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: TILL problem zone.
P.S: check also previous idea.
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EURAUD (BOS 1H + DEMAND + OTE)Hello traders!
Description: Now we already in 0,5 of fib level, price want to close imb and mitigate demand + 705 OTE in case BOS 1H.
Entry: Confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: New HH
P.S: check also previous idea.
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Golds Correction Is Over!Gold corrected itself all the way down to 3120 yesterday which is a significant demand level by institutions. Price then rebounded and closed at 3150. If it creates a confirmed HL by the end of Friday, the odds and probability XAUUSD will go back to its supply area at 3500 is highly probable. Price will also depend on macro fundamentals. The weekly shows a strong uptrend and so as the monthly chart. Institutions started buying back and increased their long positions.
EURUSD (STOP LOSSES SUPPLY + CONFIRMATION ON LTF)1) On top we have MSS + 705 Fib level.
2) Now price grab ST from demand and we can wait for confirmation on LFT.
3) NON mitigate Demand zone is OB 1H, i think price come back because 0.5 is still valid.
Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: First problem zone is OB 4H
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EURCAD (Supply/Demand + OTE + Liquidity)Hello traders!
We have valid 705 fib level, there we can expect reversal + mitigation demand zone.
Now price go to local correction. In local 0.5 fib level you will see big volume like confirmation before impulse till Demand.
Entry: confirmation on LTF in POI
Target: First problem zone is OB 4H
MAIN MOVE IN SHORT - TILL 0.5 of GLOBAL FIB LEVEL. SEE PRIVOIUS IDEA.
Demand zone also can be like fuel, so
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SILVER WILL FALL|SHORT|
✅SILVER has retested a key resistance level around 33.60$
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 33.30$ is likely
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Ready for the Next Leg UPThe orange fractal proved its validity on 22 May 2025 when it highlighted it as a local top.
Showing 16 June as a local top.
We currently have bull cycles topping from 11 June all the way to 25 June.
I am monitoring the fractal for invalidations and when it gets invalidated, I will replace it with the next cycle's fractal.
EURCHF SHORT (OB 4H + BB + OTE + Volume)Hello traders!
We have supply = OB 4H + OTE + BB
Target: ST Of Demand
Now we can expect reversal on LTF from 705 fib level + Mitigation Sell to Buy Action.
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Volatility Period: Up to May 29
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the previous ATH range.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise to around 109588.0 and receive support.
However, since it is currently going through a period of volatility, we need to be careful about trading until May 28th.
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If it falls further, we need to check if it can receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
In particular, whether it can receive support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart is key.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will touch the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, so we need to think about a response plan for this.
Therefore, if it shows support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, there is a possibility that it will show a pull back pattern.
The HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at 102302.08, so it is important to see if there is support around this point.
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The OBV indicator shows that OBV is falling below the High Line, and the StochRSI indicator is also showing that it has switched to a state of K < D.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether OBV can touch the previous High Line or OBV EMA and rise.
If it falls below that, it is highly likely to lead to further decline.
I compared the previous OBV movements, that is, A, B, C, and the current movement, and the difference can be distinguished by whether it fell below the previous candle or not.
You can see that there is a difference from the previous movement because it is highly likely to close below the previous candle.
Therefore, the point to watch is whether it falls below 102302.08 after the volatility period or rises above 109588.0-110787.38.
If it falls below 102302.08 and receives resistance, it will turn into a short-term downtrend, and if it rises above 109588.0-110797.38, it is likely that the uptrend will resume, so it is a meaningful section.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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NAS100 (BOS 1H + SUPPLY + OTE)Hello traders!
Now reaction from 705 fib level, Supply = OB 4H. But we can expect mitigation supply and confirmation on LTF. We have BOS on 1H.
Target: till 0.5 global fib level.
P.S: We have also on top OB 2H + OTE
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XAUUSD (BPR + SUPPLY + VOLUME + OTE)Hello traders!
1) Price come back to our demand zone, and for me 0.5 Supply still strong zone for selling +BPR 1H + Volume + OTE. RSI in oversold.
2) Also we have open BOS 1H + Demand 0.5 + Volume + Close IMB + OTE.
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