Market next move 🔻 Bearish Disruption Analysis
1. False Breakout / Bull Trap
The price might briefly break above the red resistance zone (highlighted), triggering buy orders.
However, instead of continuing higher, sellers step in aggressively, pushing the price back below resistance.
This would form a fakeout or bull trap, catching breakout buyers off-guard.
2. Volume Divergence
Look at the volume at the breakout: if the breakout occurs on declining or weak volume, it's a warning sign that the move lacks conviction.
The breakout may not sustain without strong volume backing it.
3. Lower High Formation
If the price fails to make a higher high above the previous peak (~3,340-3,345), and reverses downward, it indicates buying exhaustion.
4. MACRO/FUNDAMENTAL Trigger
Sudden news (e.g., strong USD data, interest rate hike comments from the Fed, or geopolitical tension easing) could cause a sharp sell-off in gold.
This would invalidate the bullish pattern entirely.
5. Bearish Price Target
If the disruption plays out, price could drop back to 3,300 or below, especially if support is weak.
A confirmed lower low below 3,310 would suggest a larger bearish structure
Beyond Technical Analysis
RIOT Stock: Leveraged Bet on Bitcoin’s Next Leg UpMy Bullish Thesis:
1. Leverage to Bitcoin Without Holding BTC
RIOT is one of the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miners in the U.S., offering investors exposure to the upside of Bitcoin — without directly owning the coin.
If Bitcoin goes to $100K or higher, miner stocks like RIOT historically outperform BTC in percentage terms.
This makes RIOT a high-beta play on the ongoing crypto bull market.
2. Post-Halving Upside
The April 2024 Bitcoin halving cut block rewards by 50%, which squeezes less-efficient miners — but RIOT benefits from:
Low-cost mining operations due to cheap electricity agreements in Texas.
Recent upgrades in hardware efficiency (with high-performance ASICs).
Greater share of the network hash rate as weaker players drop out.
Historically, Bitcoin and miners perform best in the 6–18 months after a halving, positioning RIOT for strong gains through year-end 2025.
3. Massive Infrastructure and Expansion
RIOT owns a 400+ megawatt mining facility in Texas, one of the largest in North America.
They’re expanding capacity and have locked in long-term energy deals that give them a key advantage during spikes in energy costs.
The company also earns revenue through demand response credits, essentially being paid to shut down power usage during Texas grid stress — a unique hedge for a miner.
4. Regulatory Edge Over Offshore Miners
As U.S.-based and NASDAQ-listed, RIOT is better positioned than foreign or unregulated competitors if/when the U.S. passes legislation around digital assets and mining.
This could lead to greater institutional adoption of RIOT versus other miners.
It’s also eligible for ETF inclusion or institutional funds focused on digital infrastructure or U.S. innovation.
RIOT is a classic “picks and shovels” play on the Bitcoin bull run — offering levered upside without having to buy BTC directly. With post-halving tailwinds, institutional favorability, and a strong technical breakout in progress, RIOT may be one of the top speculative growth plays in the crypto equity space heading into the second half of 2025.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC 4-Hour Long Target 115,500Hello fellow Traders.
I am long, only posting my target area.
This Chart is very clean.
I came to the target conclusion area, with some Math, and I have used a Gann Square to monitor a time frame to reach the target area.
Yes, your reading it correctly, seems like it can happen as early as this Friday, and as late as July 22.
PA doesn't necessarily have to stay in the positive area of this Gann Square, and has all the right to swing back up inside positive, to finish it's goal.
The Plan:
The probability to reach the target within the time frame will fade slowly out, far past the Gann Square.
Yes, I am actually guessing where the nearest chance to reach this price level is going to happen "if it will happen" within the green target area, so I may close out my long trade somewhere along the way up. Afterwards scalp the box up and down till it hits the Target Area.
Except price to have an extremely high chance to bounce down from the Target Area, when it hits.
Good Luck !!
Long $FARTCOINThis is strictly for degenerates. I feel solana tokens are only worth the cumulative trading fees collected within locked and burned liquidity pools. They do have a fundamental value relative their value in solana. As far as what their value in dollars is... well that's probably not far from zero. That's a whole other discussion. This trade is not that. This trade is based on one thing...
Hot air rises.
Feel free to ignore this, or bash me all you want. I have purchased a small (for my net worth) amount of FARTCOIN and pooled it with Solana and USDC in multiple pools to collect trading fees and hopefully I come out with more Solana and USDC than I just pooled. My LP position is not locked. I will pull my LP when I feel like it. That's my position.
Baidu ($BIDU): China’s Google Is Ready to Break OutIf you haven`t bought BIDU on the previous dip:
What you need to know now:
1. Baidu = The Google of China
Baidu dominates China’s search engine market, holding over 60% market share, making it the Google equivalent in the world's second-largest economy.
Its advertising business is deeply entrenched in Chinese internet infrastructure.
As digital ad spending rebounds in China, Baidu’s core business benefits directly.
2. AI and Autonomous Driving Moonshots
Baidu is China’s national AI champion, pouring billions into next-gen technologies:
Ernie Bot (Baidu’s ChatGPT competitor) is now integrated across its ecosystem and enterprise offerings.
Apollo Go, Baidu’s autonomous driving platform, already operates robo-taxis in multiple Chinese cities and has received licenses for fully driverless operations.
Baidu also provides AI cloud services, competing with Alibaba Cloud and Huawei.
With the Chinese government pushing AI self-sufficiency, Baidu is one of the biggest beneficiaries.
3. Cheap Valuation with High-Tech Exposure
Baidu trades at a forward P/E under 10 and price-to-sales under 2, despite being a major player in AI, cloud, and mobility.
That’s a fraction of what US tech firms with similar ambitions (like Alphabet or Tesla) are valued at.
Over $25 billion in cash and investments on the balance sheet adds a margin of safety.
4. Government Support & Stimulus Tailwinds
The Chinese government is pivoting back toward supporting tech innovation, especially in AI, after years of regulatory crackdowns.
Baidu is aligned with national AI and autonomous driving goals.
If the government ramps up fiscal stimulus, especially in infrastructure and technology, Baidu will likely benefit.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
I don't know why ???Bitcoin is now at a point where it cannot be ignored! In my view, the bullish wave has started after the corrective wave ended. This wave could continue until it breaks the ascending triangle, then with a slight correction, push the price upward again. The current period and the coming days could be crucial in determining the market's trend.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
EURGBP MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTION EURGBP , has finished consolidating at the institutional renegotiation zone. Decision has been taken already in favor of the Bears because price has broken the Renegotiation Block and Trend line, meaning the renegotiation has failed and there is an order for trend continuation. The renegotiation support is the target to seep the Sell side liquidities. Enter now and hold till Friday.
Entry, stop loss and take profit are clearly stated on the chat!
GOOD LUCK GUYS!
DISCLAIMER
Any analysis might fail due to market uncertainties. Take full responsivity of your capital and manage your risk!
Why BABA Alibaba Could Rebound Strongly by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought BABA before the recent rally:
What you need to know:
BABA’s fundamentals, fueled by e-commerce, cloud, and AI, support its technical bullishness:
E-commerce and Cloud Rebound:
Q1 2025 revenue grew 7% year-over-year, with Taobao/Tmall rebounding and cloud revenue surging due to AI demand.
Alibaba’s cloud division, China’s largest, benefits from hyperscaler AI workloads, with 15% profit margin projections by 2029.
AI Leadership:
BABA’s AI assistant and generative AI tools drove a 70% stock surge in early 2025, positioning it as a leader in China’s AI race.
At 12x forward P/E with 8% revenue CAGR, BABA is undervalued (fair value ~$162).
Share Buybacks:
Aggressive share repurchasing (6% annual reduction) boosts EPS, with $1 trillion GMV reinforcing e-commerce dominance.
Macro Tailwinds:
Easing CCP regulations and China’s stimulus measures (e.g., rate cuts) support BABA’s rally.
Minimal U.S. exposure insulates BABA from trade war risks.
Conclusion: BABA’s Path to $168
BABA’s technicals, with a bullish breaker and wedge, signal a breakout above $125–$130, targeting $150–$168 by year-end 2025. Fundamentally, its e-commerce dominance, cloud/AI growth, and undervaluation make it a standout. Traders should buy dips near $110–$115 or await a $130 breakout. With stimulus and buybacks as catalysts, BABA is set to soar.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Safe Entry Zone GTLBStock in Ranging Movement.
Stock current at SIGNIFICANT Support Level.
My Beloved Gathie Wood's Best investor ever just bought the stock too.
P.High's & P.Lows(Previous Highs & Previous Lows) acts as good Support and resistances levels.
4h Green Zone Is Buying Zone.
4h Red Zone is Selling Zone.
In case Break Throught red Zone stock will change to UP-Movement and Vice Versa.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Safe Entry Zone AMBABeautiful Movement price Ranging.
Current price at 1h Green Zone act as Good Support level, But with current situation of news its risky play to get in unless general news changes and calm down.
We Have Out Strongest and the Support level that price will respect is the 4h Green Zone in case the 1h didn't hold at current price level.
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Safe Entry Zone LuLuStock current at SIGNIFICANT Support Level.
P.High's & P.Lows(Previous Highs & Previous Lows) acts as good Support and resistances levels.
1D Green Zone Is Buying Zone.
1D Red Zone is Selling Zone.
Take Profit Line is where you may secure Profit in case any selling Pressure showed-up near the Line it acts as Resistance level an dangerous Zone
In case Break Through red Zone stock will change to UP-Movement and Vice Versa.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Safe Entry Zone MDBPrice Reached good Support Level.
Waiting for Buyers to step-in in Case no Buying Power Showed -Up we will be targeting Green Zone As Safest Entry Zone and Strongest Support level.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Bullish Thesis: Why AMD Stock Could Soar by Year-End 2025If you haven`t bought AMD before the previous rally:
What to consider now:
1. AI Tailwinds Are Accelerating
AMD is finally gaining serious traction in the AI GPU race. Its MI300X accelerator chips are being adopted by big names like Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle for data center AI workloads. While NVIDIA is still dominant, AMD is expected to grab 10–20% of the AI GPU market share by 2025, according to industry estimates. That’s a multibillion-dollar opportunity.
The MI300X already passed $1B in revenue within its first quarters.
AI server TAM (total addressable market) is expected to grow to $400B by 2027 — AMD is positioning itself aggressively to carve out its slice.
2. Valuation Looks Reasonable vs Peers
AMD trades at a forward P/E around 40, significantly below Nvidia (which trades over 60x) despite similar growth projections for the next 2 years.
Revenue expected to grow over 15–20% YoY in 2025.
Gross margins expanding as high-performance chips dominate the mix.
3. Diversified Growth: Beyond AI
Gaming segment (PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X chips) remains strong.
Embedded segment from Xilinx acquisition continues to generate solid cash flow.
Client CPU business is rebounding as the PC market stabilizes.
4. Strong Management and Execution
CEO Lisa Su is widely respected for turning AMD around and guiding the company through major innovations and acquisitions (Xilinx, Pensando). Execution has remained consistent, especially in delivering cutting-edge performance-per-watt chips.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC/USD Thief Breakout at $107K – Eyeing $115K!🚨 Thief Entry Setup: BTC/USD Breakout Play 🚨
Overview:
Jump in after the $107 000 breakout—aiming for $115 000 with a tight “Thief SL” at $102 500. Adjust the stop‑loss to match your personal risk tolerance.
🧠 Setup Summary
Pair: BTC/USD
Entry trigger: Breakout above $107 000
Stop‑Loss: “Thief SL” at $102 500 (use your own risk‑based SL)
Target: $115 000
🎯 Why This Setup?
Clear breakout level at $107 000 = fresh momentum
Tight SL cushion (≈‑4.3%) = defined risk
Target ≈ +7.5% potential = strong reward-to-risk (~1.75:1)
📏 Risk Management Tips:
Only risk a small % of your capital—never exceed your comfort zone.
Move your SL to breakeven once mid‑target is hit to lock in profits.
Trailing your stop‑loss could secure bigger gains if BTC surges toward $115 000.
Gold Rebounds Slightly After Dropping to 3295📊 Market Update:
Gold bounced back to 3320 after dipping to 3295 amid USD strength and rising bond yields. The recovery was fueled by short-covering, but traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming U.S. PCE data – the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: 3330
• Nearest Support: 3295
• EMA: Price is hovering near the 09 EMA on the H1 chart → neutral to slightly bullish in short-term correction.
• Candle / Volume / Momentum: H1 candles show mild recovery with increased volume, but no clear reversal signal yet.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may range between 3295 and 3330 before a breakout, depending on incoming U.S. economic data. A break above 3330 could trigger a short-term rally.
CC | Long (Sector Rotation Test) | Deep Value| (June 25, 2025)SSL & CC | Direction: Long (Sector Rotation Test) | Key Reason: Deep Value vs. Debt-Stressed Growth | (June 25, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
Both SSL and CC operate in the chemicals sector and have compelling trade angles. SSL offers a deep-value bounce opportunity, while CC presents a more speculative, debt-heavy setup with potential delayed upside. This setup is perfect for testing how debt and cash flow influence mid-term performance in cyclical sectors.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
SSL (Sasol Limited)
Entry: Already active (around $4.50)
Stop Loss: Below $1.00
TP1: $8.00
TP2: $13.50
TP3: $16.96
Max Target: $25.00
CC (Chemours Company)
Entry: Delay by 2–3 months (monitor technical base)
Stop Loss: Will depend on entry price (estimate below $16)
TP (Potential if momentum builds): ~$27, $33, and $40
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ SSL Strengths:
Higher revenue ($14B+)
Lower market cap (~$2.9B), creating a value dislocation
Operates in essential energy/chemical exports—especially relevant to Africa
❌ SSL Risks:
Large debt, limited dividend, volatile performance
Must clear resistance near $8.00 for higher confidence
✅ CC Strengths:
$5B revenue and $800M net income looks strong on paper
Operates in advanced materials—semiconductors, plastics, energy efficiency
Technically might base in 2–3 months, giving entry on momentum
❌ CC Risks:
4️⃣ Follow-up Plan
We'll run both trades as a sector test: SSL now, CC later (when price action confirms). If debt burden really suppresses upside, SSL should outperform. If risk-on sentiment returns, CC could surprise late Q3/Q4.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI
SSL | Long (Speculative Value Play) | Deep Value l | (June 25)SSL | Direction: Long (Speculative Value Play) | Key Reason: Deep Value & Bounce Potential | (June 25, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
SSL (Sasol Limited) is deeply undervalued compared to peers, trading around $4.55 against annual revenue near $14.7 B—presenting a potential rebound opportunity if it stabilizes near key structural support.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long (value bounce setup)
Entry: Around $4.55
Stop Loss: Below $1.00 (if price collapses—major risk zone)
Take Profit 1: $8.00 (near the midpoint of the range)
Take Profit 2: $13.50
Take Profit 3: $16.96
Extended Target: $25.00 (reversion to mean)
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Strong revenue & diversified operations: ~ $14.7 B TTM revenue from chemicals and energy; net income recently at ~$2.8 B loss but a history of stronger profitability
✅ Deep undervaluation: P/E ratio ~2× industry; P/B ~0.37; PEG ~~0.2 indicates extreme value
❌ High debt burden: Debt roughly twice the free cash flow; dividend cuts reflect financial strain
✅ Bullish case if stabilized: Integrated production chain and potential rebound in commodity prices could fuel recovery.
⚠️ Significant risk: Weak recent performance; steep sell-offs; stop loss below $1 reflects potential equity wipeout.
4️⃣ Follow-Up Note
Watch quarterly earnings (next on Aug 25, 2025) and any debt restructuring. A break above $8–9 with improving sentiment would support moving to higher targets; failure to hold near current levels could invalidate the thesis.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Safe Entry Zone AURStock Respect Major Support level at 5& price level.
Current Price target Red Zone.
15M Chart it consider very short term Trade.
Although stock has Up-movement direction Target 10$ Price Level.
Current Price level is good for Scape and LongTerm holding.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Scalp LEU Safe Entry Zone
Scalp Short Term 15M Chart.
Green Zone is Buy.
Take Profit/Red Zone is sell.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
BTC recovers, price range sideways trend line💎 Update Plan BTC (June 25)
Notable news about BTC:
🌐 Growth stimulus factor
Reducing geopolitical tensions: The ceasefire agreement between Iran and Israel has helped improve investor psychology, promote capital inflows into risky assets like Bitcoin.
The dollar weakened: The USD index dropped to the lowest level in a year due to concerns about the economic impact from President Trump's tax policies, making Bitcoin a more attractive choice for investors to search for replacement assets.
Expectations for monetary policy: The decision of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) on keeping interest rates stable and interest rate cutting capacity in July has motivated the cryptocurrency market.
Technical analysis angle
Bitcoin may increase to the highest level of all time
Bitcoin price reached the lowest level of $ 98,200 on Sunday but has recovered strongly 5% in the next two days, closed on the dynamic average line according to the 50 -day exponential jaw at $ 103,352. At the time of writing on Monday, the price continued to trade higher at about $ 106,500.
If BTC continues to increase, the price can expand the momentum to the highest level of all time is $ 111,980 on May 22.
The relative power index (RSI) on the daily chart is 54, higher than the neutral level of 50, showing the motivation for price increase. The average divergent divergence (MACD) is referring to the price intersection (the MACD is about to cut on the signal line), if completed, the purchase signal will be made.
==> Comments for trend reference. Wishing investors successfully trading