Beyond Technical Analysis
Nifty 50 - AnalysisAs Nifty approaches a 10% fall from ATHs, it may be entering a period of technical correction, with the mid-cap, and small-caps already entering this phase.
On the weekly, Nifty has broken its prior HL, which means we could see a move back up, establishing a potential LH, and then another move down towards the 23600-500 levels or we view 24500 as a LH, which will need to be broken for Nifty to shift trends.
On the weekly, we have seen sharp selling, with the daily chart still not being able to get out of the downtrend, as it's forming new LHs and LLs. On the daily, ideally Nifty should hold above 24,500 to break trend.
However, we have seen 23800s hold quite well as support in the past, so this can potentially be a zone of consolidation, a small reversal, or a period of accumulation on stocks that are holding structure and displaying relative strength
If you look at the 4h chart, as per the Fixed Range Volume Profile, we see 3 key levels (marked in red and blue), showing the value areas so far. Price tends to come back towards the middle of the range, at around 24430 so that is a key level to look at. However, that was just a bear flag which suggested today's large move down towards the 23800s.
Is This the Final Chapter in Buffett's Tech Journey?Warren Buffett’s once unshakeable partnership with Apple seems to be reaching a critical juncture, leaving market watchers with more questions than answers. For years, Buffett and his Berkshire Hathaway embraced Apple, with Buffett even calling it “the greatest trade of all time.” Yet, with Berkshire’s recent decision to reduce its stake by a staggering 67%, the dynamic is shifting. While initial statements attributed the sales to tax planning, the sheer scale hints at a deeper strategy. This raises the question: is this a calculated portfolio rebalancing or the beginning of a more profound shift in Buffett’s investment philosophy?
The timing of these sales isn’t random. Apple now faces several hurdles, from slower growth projections in a competitive smartphone market to increasing regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe. The conglomerate’s move coincides with Apple's potential weaknesses, suggesting Berkshire is not immune to the broader industry concerns, such as competition in China and challenges in artificial intelligence—a field where Apple appears to be lagging.
Interestingly, some experts speculate that the recent passing of Charlie Munger may have influenced Buffett’s decision. Munger, who historically favored Apple, played a pivotal role in Berkshire’s tech investments, balancing Buffett’s more cautious stance on technology. Now, Berkshire’s shift could signal a strategic return to its foundational values, preferring stability over tech’s unpredictable currents.
As Berkshire Hathaway maneuvers through these adjustments, Apple remains its largest equity holding, hinting that Buffett hasn’t fully turned his back on the tech giant. But with record cash reserves and a keen eye on emerging opportunities, the next steps Berkshire takes could redefine not just its portfolio but perhaps even broader investment trends in the years to come.
EURUSD holding plus idea.Still holding my trade from Friday as you guys can see, It almost took TP but didn't but i will be patient and also move my SL to break even.
Looking to target daily FVG as TP then will expect more entries at that support area I have marked out.
Feel free to ask anything in the comments.
Also if you want a more in depth analysis check my YouTube channel: Man Mcpriceaction
XAUUSD Daily AnalysisAccording to our previous analysis which showed the exact movement of Gold (based on ichimoku ), the trend of gold is still upward.
So we have correction on chart and expecting to move from the range of 2761 to the first support area ( 2698-2688 ) and then move to higher resistance zones ( 2783- 2788 ) and ( 2814-2819 ).
Note:
*If the 2761 range (4-hour kijensen) is broken, we expect our expected downward correction from the 2783-2788 range to the the support zones.
*if the support of 2698-2688 is broken, the next support zone is (2640-2629).
*We trade at all these levels with proper mm :)
Gold Shines Amid Political and Geopolitical UncertaintiesGold trades in positive territory on Monday, supported by risks surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential election and ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. These uncertainties enhance gold's appeal as a traditional safe-haven asset, attracting investors looking to shield their portfolios. In the short term, these factors are likely to keep gold’s price elevated.
However, the upside for gold is capped by renewed demand for the U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields, which make non-yielding assets like gold less attractive. Higher yields increase the opportunity cost of holding gold, thereby limiting its potential for significant gains.
Investors are closely monitoring the presidential election on Tuesday, as well as the Federal Reserve’s upcoming rate decision on Thursday. Market expectations lean toward a moderate 25-basis-point rate cut from the Fed, reflecting caution amid electoral uncertainties. This approach could further temper gold’s gains if the dollar remains strong.
In summary, while political and geopolitical risks lend support to gold, its upside is constrained by a strong dollar and rising yields, making investors cautious about heavy positioning ahead of key events this week.
Gold Is Approaching Higher Timeframes TrendHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring XAUUSD for a buying opportunity around 2700 zone, Gold is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 2700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Singapore’s EV Market Poised for Leadership in Southeast Asia?Singapore is set to become Southeast Asia’s largest electric vehicle (EV) market, with an estimated 80% of its passenger vehicles expected to be electric by 2040, according to BloombergNEF. This significant market shift underscores Singapore’s commitment to sustainable transportation, placing it far ahead of regional peers, where the average EV market share will likely reach just 24%.
The Lion City already leads Southeast Asia in EV adoption, with EVs making up about 32.1% of new car registrations within the first seven months of 2024. In 2023, EVs comprised 19% of total vehicle sales, highlighting the growing consumer shift towards cleaner energy vehicles.
Singapore also boasts the highest density of EV charging infrastructure in the region, with one public charger for every three EVs. By comparison, Thailand has a charger for every 16 EVs, Malaysia one for every 38, and Indonesia one for every 42. This extensive charging network alleviates concerns around charging accessibility, a common challenge in EV adoption, and demonstrates Singapore’s proactive steps to support its EV market expansion.
Driving Factors: Falling Battery Prices and Policy Support
A key enabler of EV adoption is the reduction in battery prices, the most expensive EV component. BloombergNEF projects that battery prices will fall by 17% every time the cumulative number of batteries produced doubles, significantly decreasing EV costs. From 2010 to 2023, battery pack prices dropped by 90%, making EVs more affordable and competitive with petrol-powered vehicles.
Supportive government policies also bolster Singapore’s EV market growth. Policies include banning new diesel-powered cars and taxis from 2025, implementing a certificate of entitlement (COE) system to encourage vehicle turnover every ten years, and mandating that all new car and taxi registrations from 2030 must be cleaner-energy models. These strategies align with Singapore’s Green Plan, which aims for 60,000 EV charging points by 2030 and 100% clean-energy vehicles by 2040.
Comparative Growth and Regional Trends
Across Southeast Asia, the EV market has been expanding, driven in part by Chinese automakers such as BYD, Great Wall Motor, and GAC Aion, which are setting up manufacturing facilities in Thailand. Although Thailand currently leads the regional EV market in sales numbers, with over 86,000 EV units sold in 2023, Singapore is expected to lead in market share percentage. In total, Southeast Asia saw more than 153,500 passenger EV sales in 2023, including 5,734 units in Singapore.
Transport economist Professor Walter Theseira attributes Singapore’s rapid EV adoption to the COE system, contrasting it with other Southeast Asian countries where vehicles are often kept for longer. Singapore’s vehicle turnover model, coupled with policies promoting EV use, has created a supportive environment for sustained EV growth.
Future Opportunities for EuroSports Global Ltd. and Nio Inc.
As the demand for EVs continues to rise in Singapore, companies like EuroSports Global Ltd. and Nio Inc. stand to benefit. EuroSports Global, a local leader in luxury and performance vehicle distribution with its own in-house Scorpio Electric Vehicle brand, has the potential to leverage Singapore’s growing market for high-performance EVs. Meanwhile, Nio Inc., a prominent Chinese EV manufacturer, could find new opportunities to expand its presence and meet demand in Singapore, given the city-state's openness to international EV brands and its alignment with clean energy goals.
With its robust infrastructure, government support, and ambitious clean-energy targets, Singapore is well on its way to becoming Southeast Asia’s leading EV market, setting a compelling example for neighbouring countries aiming for sustainable growth.
DXY + EURUSD Analysis (4th Nov 2024)Here is my analysis for the DXY and EURUSD for the edification of a learner.
As we know the US elections are coming up, so we are likely going to see some manipulation and volatility this month. It will be very interesting. I caution anyone to not take high leveraged swing trades during this time unless they are in a gambling mood.
- R2F
High Probability EURUSD Buy Setup – FVG RespectEURUSD is showing a strong buy setup as price respects a daily Fair Value Gap (FVG) while forming a short-term swing high. A secondary FVG was created as price broke through the swing high, causing a retracement back into the FVG. The displacement through this high and respect of the FVG suggest bullish continuation, targeting the next daily swing high at 1.09981.
DYOR
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28000 as a retracement. This counter-trend idea comes from the fact that price is currently reacting at an old supply zone. However, if this supply fails, I wouldn’t be surprised to see price move up and take out the trendline liquidity above. Ideally, I’d prefer to wait for price to come down to the demand zones to mitigate before aiming for a move up to capture the liquidity pool.
I’ll be watching for signs of Wyckoff accumulation within my points of interest, particularly at the 55-minute or 18-hour demand zones, depending on how price behaves.
Confluences for GBP/USD Buys:
- Significant trendline liquidity to the upside that could be targeted.
- Demand zone has led to a break of structure on the upside.
- Price has been heavily bearish and may be due for a pullback.
- Several untouched Asian session highs above.
P.S. With upcoming news, including NFP and election events, I’ll likely stay on the sidelines unless a very clear setup emerges, and even then, I’ll keep risk minimal.
XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(4th Nov 2024 to 8th Nov 2024)XAU/USD - Gold Weekly Analysis(4th Nov 2024 to 8th Nov 2024)
Weekly recap:
To recap last week, our main focus on Gold was during the second half of the week with United States data such as NFP, Core PCE, and Unemployment rate. Gold during the first half of the week has rallied to new ATHs at 2788 KL. On an economic standpoint, we had US JOLTs Jobs come out below expectations and below previous we had anticipations of poor / weaker JOLTs jobs data = Increases in rate cut bets for dollar bears and risk asset bulls. After peaking new ATHs and opening up the second half of the week we seen multiple FTB above with EOM coming up and US data of healthy jobless claims coming out. We seen a bearish run on gold due reasoning stated which lead to some profit taking moves from ATHs.
Reminder on Gold:
Gold is still HTF bullish however, We know that Gold likes to retest ATHs / Near ATHs. Keep in mind we just opened up a new month, and with elections right around the corner. We could see PBs / Deeper PBs to better demanded prices on Gold before jumping into buys.
Trade ideas for the upcoming week:
Bullish Bias:
If gold breaks above 2740 KL I would look for short scalps to 2757.685 KL and if price holds above i would look for scale in more buys to retest back into near ATHs at 2779 KL.
Bearish Bias:
If gold pushs up on the intraday timeframe and FTB above KL 2757.685 KL and holds below I would look for HRHR sells at 2757.685 KL to 2715 KL and lower.
If gold breaks below 2732 KL i would look for sells to 2715 KL and lower.
If gold pushes up to 2779 KL and fails to break above I would look for sells to retest better demanded prices at 2715 KL and lower.
Our Focus this week from the economical calendar:
In terms of economic events this week we have BOE and Fed rate decisions in focus to start out the new business month with US elections around the corner. We also have important data such as services PMI for major countries and other reports through the week.
1 - Monday - Presidential Elections
2 - Tuesday - PMI
3 - Thursday - Initial Jobless Claims, FED Rate Decision
Daily Reminder:
-Caution-
Stay Smart, Trade safe, follow your trading plan, follow your risk management plan, focus on long term vision, keep emotions out and avoid crashing your account.
DAILY ANALYSIS - XAUUSD (MON, 4th NOVEMBER 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News: None
Analysis:
-Price broke below 0.236 fib level
-Waiting for liquidity sweep
-Looking for BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: -
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
7 Reasons i told you GOLD will GrowUPDATE!
UPDATE!
You might have a PhD or Highly Educated & thousands of Publications, But can you read the future??
Hello Traders,
I Thought I will Leave this here for you!
Please Like, Comment and share is you thought it was useful to you!
7 Reasons Gold will continue to Grow
Correlation to Inflation
Certainly, during times of economic crisis, investors flock to gold. When the Great Recession hit, for example, gold prices rose. But gold was already rising until the beginning of 2008, That said, gold prices rose further, even as the economy recovered. Essentially that means, as more people buy gold, the price goes up, in line with demand. It also means there aren't any underlying "fundamentals" to the price of gold. If investors start flocking to gold, the price rises no matter what shape the economy is or what monetary policy might be. That doesn't mean that gold prices are completely random or the result of herd behavior. Some forces affect the supply of gold in the wider market, and gold is a worldwide commodity market, like oil or coffee.
Supply Factors
Unlike oil or coffee, however, gold isn't consumed. Almost all the gold ever mined is still around and more gold is being mined each day. If so, one would expect the price of gold to plummet over time, since there is more and more of it around. So, why doesn't it? Aside from the fact that the number of people who might want to buy it is constantly on the rise, jewelry and investment demand offer some clues. "It ends up in a drawer someplace." The gold in jewelry is effectively taken off the market for years at a time. Even though countries like India and China treat gold as a store of value, the people who buy it there don't regularly trade it (few pay for a washing machine by handing over a gold bracelet). Instead, jewelry demand tends to rise and fall with the price of gold. When prices are high, the demand for jewelry falls relative to investor demand.
Central Banks
Big market movers of gold prices are often central banks. In times when foreign exchange reserves are large, and the economy is humming along, a central bank will want to reduce the amount of gold it holds. That's because the gold is a dead asset—unlike bonds or even money in a deposit account, it generates no return. The problem for central banks is that this is precisely when the other investors out there aren't that interested in gold. Thus, a central bank is always on the wrong side of the trade, even though selling that gold is precisely what the bank is supposed to do. As a result, the price of gold falls. Central banks have tried to manage their gold sales in a cartel-like fashion, to avoid disrupting the market too much. Something called the Washington Agreement essentially states that the banks won't sell more than 400 metric tons in a year. It's not binding, as it's not a treaty; rather, it's more of a gentleman's agreement—but one that is in the interests of central banks, since unloading too much gold on the market at once would negatively affect their portfolios.
ETFs
Besides central banks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs)— which allow investors to buy into gold without buying mining stocks—are now major gold buyers and sellers. Both ETFs trade on the exchanges like stock and measure their holdings in ounces of gold. Still, these ETFs are designed to reflect the price of gold, not move it.
Portfolio Considerations
Speaking of portfolios, A good question for investors is what the rationale for buying gold is. As a hedge against inflation, it doesn't work well. However, seen as one piece of a larger portfolio, gold is a reasonable diversifier. It's simply important to recognize what it can and cannot do. In real terms, gold prices topped out in 1980, when the price of the metal hit nearly $2,000 per ounce (in 2014 dollars). Anyone who bought gold then has been losing money since. On the other hand, the investors who bought it in 1983 or 2005 would be happy selling now. It's also worth noting that the 'rules' of portfolio management apply to gold as well. The total number of gold ounces one holds should fluctuate with the price. If, for example, one wants 2% of the portfolio in gold, then it's necessary to sell when the price goes up and buy when it falls.
Retaining Value
One good thing about gold, is that the purchasing power of gold has stayed quite constant and largely unrelated to its current price.
The Bottom Line
If you're looking at gold prices, it's probably a good idea to look at how well the economies of certain countries are doing. As economic conditions worsen, the price will (usually) rise. Gold is a commodity that isn't tied to anything else; in small doses, it makes a good diversifying element for a portfolio.
Link to Previous Chart
I hope this was clear and informative for all of you, I wish you a good 2024 to 2025.
Global Fx education
2 Months Till BTC reaches 95kUPDATE!!!!
Hello Fellow Traders,
I hope That Everyone Follows This Forecast To make some big Profits!
Here is a Full Updated Analysis & Forecast For BTCUSD.
Right Now I'm Still Bearish on BTCUSD for Short Term, But When it Reaches Around 20K I will Look for a Long Term BUY opportunity!
The Best way to follow my Analysis is if the following conditions apply.
Conditions -
1. Wait for the Market to Show you some Rejection / Confirmation / Direction
2.Wait for confirmation(Price Action Confirmation Aka . Pinbar , Bullish or Bearish engulfing / Break of structure Aka Support Or Resistance)
3.Do your Own analysis! (Draw Trend Lines / Support & Resistance Zones / SND )
4.Always Use Risk Management (Risk 1% of your capital)
5.Entry Should be Made on The 4H Timeframe (Only if you have Confirmation)
6.Trade at own risk.
Let Me know if you have any Questions or Comments Below!
Please Support My ideas & Educational Posts with a Like and Comment ❤️
Link to chart
See You in the next Analysis!
Global Fx Education