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Beyond Technical Analysis

Stand Up Strong, Do It Again - The Power of Not Giving UpMost of us, we all go through periods of vulnerability, periods where we are filled with negativity and pressure. If none of your surroundings comprehend you, I am here rooting for you. The path to a better self is never going to be an easy route, we go through failure, periods of low energy, periods of depression. But... so what? Life still goes on. No one will be there patting on your shoulder carrying you up. You got to stand up strong alone, and continue paddling. Fail once, do it again. Fail twice, do it again. Fail thrice, do it again. UNTIL you succeed. The toughest and strongest human being are those who refuse to give up, who truly the process of getting beaten up again and again. The same goes into trading; "90% of Trader blow up 90% of their capital within 90 days" So how do you become a winner in such a competitive place? Is to simply survive. Survive long enough so you get to build a stream of trading lessons from your mistakes. You then constantly review your mistakes and fix them like a specialist. The longer you stay in the market, the higher the chance you are going to become the top 10%.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
3
Is this recent rally a bull rebound of a bear retracement? To make an assessment if the market has turned bear, during the closing second quarter on 29th June 2022, we discussed on the topic “Using S&P to Identify Recession and on the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago the tutorial posted here, we studied and expecting this current rebound, topic “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”. In today’s tutorial, I thought of doing a recap between the two videos and explore if the current market and its development, if it is a bull rebound heading to break another new all-time high or if it is a bear retracement? I have included both the video links below. Before we get into this topic, please also take some time to read through the disclaimer in the description box below. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. Tutorial example: Micro E-Mini Nasdaq 0.25 = US$0.50 1.00 = US$2 (12,900 - 11,900) x US$2 =US$2,000 (Note: Opposite is also true) • During the closing second quarter in June, on 29 Jun - “Using S&P to Identify Recession • On the 19 Jul, 2 weeks ago - “Nasdaq a leading indicator of Dow Jones, S&P & Russell”
CME_MINI:NQ1!Education
by konhow
30
Becoming A Flexible TraderTo become a flexible Trader might sounds like an easy thing to do, but to become a consistently profitable Trader in the market takes lots of internal growth. In this video I'll be sharing some of my personal experiences and advice into becoming all-rounded 'good ' Trader. If you like the content make sure you click the like button and share it with anyone else who needs to watch this. Trade safe and take care. All the content I've posted are for educational purposes, please perform your own research and only take it as a reference.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
Never Try To Hide Your Mistakes By Making More MistakesOne of the common patterns amongst Traders that's really causing them to unable to achieve consistency, is the fact that they do not own up/ admit their mistakes. We're all humans, and we're bound to make errors every day, week, or month. There's nothing wrong with making mistakes, and certainly making mistakes don't make you look stupid. It is the way that you refuse to admit that you've made mistakes that makes you look stupid. Imagine today you've taken trades you're not supposed to take. During your self-reflection, you clearly knew you've over-traded, but you try to comfort yourself by putting the blame onto the markets, "the market condition was bad today, etc...". Look.. Now you've made two mistakes. 1. Over-traded 2. Not being honest to yourself that you over-traded Lying to yourself is one of the worst lies you can ever make. Overtime, It transforms and convinces you into accepting lies because it'd probably turned into a bad habit. It prevents you from growth, advance, and achieve. Some of you probably have experienced lying to others. Ask yourself honestly, how many lies do you have to make up afterwards JUST TO cover up the first lie? It's the same goes to yourself, your mind. The willingness to have complete transparency within your mind will boost your personal growth. Sometimes, if you're experiencing some horrible trading days or months, make it a habit of sharing your mistakes with someone else. Trust me, the more you're willing to own up your errors, the better you perform. Because now that you knew your problems, then you can always find solutions around it, if not, seek for help!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
2
Can Interest Rate Be Traded Or Invested?How can we participate in the rise and fall of interest rate? Firstly, we need to understand the difference between interest rate and yield. Interest rates are a benchmark for borrowers whereas yield is for investors or lenders. • Interest rates are the fees charged, as a percentage from a lender for a loan. • Yield is the percentage of earnings a person receives for lending money. Both move in tandem together, meaning if yield moves higher, interest rates will follow. Discussion: • Direction of the Yield in the short-term and • Direction of the Yield in the long-term Divergence in a bull market means the bull is losing its momentum, keep a look-out for trigger points that may cause further stress to the market. Micro 10-Year Yield Futures 1/10 of 1bp = US$1 or 0.001% = US$1 3.000% to 3.050% = US$50 3.000% to 4.000% = US$1,000 Note: Micro Treasury futures are not micro-sized U.S. Treasury securities. They convey no rights of ownership, nor or they pay or accrue interest. Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
TVC:US10YEducation
by konhow
Self-Reflection Is The Key To GrowthHi Traders, in the previous mindset sharing I talked about the simple equation that has helped me to progress faster "Pain + Reflection = Process" But you could be thinking "How do i reflect?" OR "I do reflect a lot, but I don't see myself going anywhere." I believe it all comes down to the way you perform your self-reflection & self-reviewing process. If you're not digging into the root of problems, you'll never get rid of it. Let's assume today you've taken 5 trades. Now the market has closed, you're performing your daily reflection. First thing first, is to write down a list of what you think you've done right, and what you've done wrong. Maybe your entry was perfect, but you did not manage the trade well, whether you size in too big/ aggressively or you did not manage your exits well. Be very real to yourself when you're doing your self-reflection, do not try to hide things or blame things just because it makes you feel good. I've seen quite some numbers of Traders not admitting their own mistakes, trying to put the blame to the market or any external factors. Being true to yourself is the first step to changes, if you can't even be honest to yourself, there's no way you can improve. After you've written down the list, now question yourself: "Is there anything that could be improved?" OR "Is there anything that I could eliminate because they're impeding your overall performance?" Most of the times, Traders are not achieving consistency mainly because of the ONE mistake that they've been repeating, and it turned into a habit. After you've performed your self-reflection, make sure you write down your conclusion and make sure you do not repeat the same mistakes again tomorrow. One step at a time, repeat this process every day.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
2
Pain + Reflection = ProgressHi Traders, welcome back to another mindset sharing video. Whenever I go through some obstacles or failures, I always go back to this simple equation by Ray Dalio, "Pain + Reflection = Progress" In life, the only way to not experience any failures is to avoid them, which could be very detrimental to your personal growth. To grow, one need to experience certain levels of pain. To transform, one need to have a high pain threshold and tolerance. For whatever you're going through right now, just remind yourself to not give up, and things will eventually come.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
18
Does Trading More = More Profits?Seems like most of the Traders think that by trading more = more profits. The answer to this can be two-dimensional. Yes, theoretically the more you trade means you could make more money. If we simply do the math, day trader should be making more than swing trader/ long-term investor right? But why the failure rate of short-term Trader is much higher than swing Trader & long-term value investors? The key element here is emotions. Let me share some examples here: • Trader A is a swing Trader. On average he takes about maximum 5-10 positions per month • Trader B is a day Trader. On average he takes about 5-10 positions per day In this case, let's put performance asides, but who do you think will have less emotions involved in their decision making process? Definitely Trader A. When you're taking less trades, means each time before you get involved in any position, you spend more time on your planning process, you are aiming for quality rather than quantity. When you have more involvement in the market, you have a higher probability of over-trading, over-thinking, and over-reacting. I'm not here trying to blast daytrading isn't profitable, it is in fact profitable. But most retail Traders take large numbers of unnecessary trades which elevate their risks, causing them not able to achieve profitability over the long-run. When you lose a trade, you have a tendency of revenge trading. The more trades you lose, your irrational thoughts creates hope and ego, believing that you cannot be wrong. The devil behind all these bad trading habits is purely illusion, the illusion of "This is going to be the best trade" OR "What if i don't take this and it turns out to be a winning trade?" CEOs', Hedge Fund Manager, etc... They are all paid generously to make a small quantity of quality decisions, not to take large numbers of poor decisions. The same goes to trading, market will reward Traders who understand Risk Control and Trade Management. The lesson here is to never rely on luck & hope in your trading. Instead, put more focus on your discipline and planning process. The more you are able to disregard the market noises, the better you perform.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
2
Trade Recap - XAUUSD, EURJPY (+2.5R)Hi Traders, here's another Trade Recap for today. Took a total of 3 positions. Yes, although I still closed out the day for a decent profit, but making money doesn't necessarily mean I'm doing the right now. The first short position on EURJPY, which I got out at Breakeven (+0.6R), was actually closed out very unnecessarily, could've held it for about +7R if I did not overthink on this position. Although I did get a re-entry afterwards for about +3R, but still, could have be much more disciplined today.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
The Fine Line Between Trading VS Gambling - Important LessonHi Traders. This is the video edition of yesterday's workshop. I genuinely believe this is one of the very important topic that we MUST all learn - identifying the distinct differences between trading VS gambling. Recap Most Traders put way too much attention on indicators. Indicators are supposed to assist us with our decision making process, but if at any point you feel like some of the indicators are burdening OR paralyzing the way you make effective decision, then its probably time for you to eliminate them, At certain of your trading journey, you'll need to focus on subtraction, rather than addition. Novice Traders come into the market with the mindset of "I want to learn and know as many things as possible" , all they're trying to do is to absorb like a sponge. Experienced Traders understand that less is more. The more you know what's not for you, the better you perform, and the better you're at avoiding distractions. Do you really think anyone can be successful purely through knowledge and experience? and does knowing more means you're more knowledgeable? What is the true definition of knowledge? The way i define a wise person is when they understand what's good for them and what's bad for them. The secret of trading success lies in Principles. The way you create a plan, rules and principles, then execute them relentlessly. Remember: The fine line between a Gambler and a Trader, is a plan. Gamblers gamble without a plan, while Traders gamble (anticipate the future) by having frameworks, plans, rules, and principles.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh
3
Become a better trader by just answering these questions!Hey Traders! Most people think that trading success is found within a system... yet a successful trading system could be something as simple as 2 or 3 basic combinations, knowledge of price action and a sprinkle of instinct. To me successful trading is a completely different path, I believe that real trading success falls into one sentence which is "Constant and never-ending improvement", self-improvement that is, and in today's post, since it is the weekend, I want to go over this core improvement process with you so you too can become a better trader next week! First to make it clear, I believe that out of the 100% required for trading success the system part falls into the low 10%, while the other 90%+ is within you, it is your knowledge, knowhow, instinct, mindset and everything else that makes you... you. The system is something you learn once and all you have to do is follow it forever with consistency and focus, sounds simple right? It kind of is but we humans tend to make it complicated. Anyway, its Saturday the 9th of July and I want to give you 6 questions that if you answer will make you better by at least 1% right away, but if you continue to answer these questions each time you will, guaranteed no matter what (as long as you are honest) get better by 1% each time, how much better you become in entirely up to you, and by that I mean how honest you are and how consistent you are in answering these questions! So, without anymore delays, here are the 6 questions that can make you a better trader: What was my biggest loss and why? What was my biggest profit and how? What was the best thing I did this week? What am I most excited about for the upcoming week? Did I follow my system on every trade? Was I in control of my trading, mentally, every time I traded? BONUS QUESTIONS: What prevented me from doing better? What motivated me most? What will I not repeat next week? What will I repeat next week? What do I want to remember it for? What is the best highlight? What do I regret not doing? Do you have any of your own questions that could help other traders? - Do share in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by PrimedGroup
How To Trade Probability Ranges The Critical Rule of 1/3Using the Rule of Thirds to Master Probabilities in trading and investing ranges -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Stocks typically remaining in consolidation ranges 70% of the time while trending the remainder. Using the rule of thirds, we can use statistics, prior price action and the probabilities of success to determine when to enter trades where the odds are stacked in our favor. 1) We start by finding a stock that is in a consolidation range, and identify the nearest important support and important resistance levels based on your targeted trading timeframe. 2 ) We take the range between the support and resistance levels and divide it into thirds, so we have three zones within the consolidation range. 3) When going long, you want to BUY the stock when it is within the bottom third or the zone from support to the 1st third level. Once you buy, your objectives are to hold during the middle third of the range, and sell during the top third. When you buy in the first third, this gives you a 66 percent chance of success. If you buy in the second third of the range, you only have a 50/50 chance of success. Going long in the top third of the range, gives you only a 33% chance of success because you are already close to the resistance level. When going short, the sequence and odds are reversed. You sell during the top third of the range, hold during the middle third and exit in the bottom third. This again gives you a 66% chance of success when you enter in the top third, 50/50 chance if you enter in the middle third, and a 33% chance of success if you enter in the bottom third as you are already close to the support zone. ****Using this simple trick, you can quickly evaluate trades based on probabilities and selectively enter trades where the odds of success are the highest and avoid likely losing trades. The rule of thirds also also gives you the confidence to continue to hold trades based on previous important ranges, and provides clear levels where the stock is likely to either reverse or start trending. Hope It Helps to your Trading & Investing Success Marc
FTX:MATICUSDEducation
by PowerIndicators
9
Risk Control - Think Beyond The BasicsHi Traders. Let's talk abit about Risk Control/ Risk Management today. I believe most Traders may be thinking that Risk Management/ Risk Control is about - Having a pre-determined risk (% Risk-per-Trade) - Having a Stop Loss Well, that's correct to a certain extent. But if you really think about Risk Control, do you think its really all about that 1 - 2% risk per trade? Look, most of us got the meaning wrong. Let me share some examples: 1. You took 3 losses on GBPJPY, all 3 of them are shorts with the same trade setup. Yes, even if you are only risking 1% per trade, but aren't you now risking 3% on the same setup? 2. You took 3 positions (GBPUSD Long, AUDUSD Long, EURUSD Long). All 3 of them are positive correlated, so if one of it goes wrong, it is likely that all of them will be wrong. 3. You took 5 positions at the same time. Why do you have to expose yourself to that amount of risk? The point I'm trying to tell you is, often we really do not have to put ourselves at that high level of risk to generate a decent return. The way i do it, is i enjoy taking one trade OR maximum two trades at a time. So instead of having the frustration to worry about all those correlation. I make sure the positions I'm involved are almost non-correlated. Then if any of my position goes well, I can always scale into it. In that way, I maximize my winner, minimize my loser. If you enjoy the content, make sure you follow my profile and click the like button. Take care and trade safe. All the content I've posted are for educational purposes, please perform your own research and only take it as a reference.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDEducation
by TraderNeoh