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Beyond Technical Analysis

ETHUSDT.P I Daily CLS I KL OB I Model 1Yo Market Warriors ⚔️ Fresh outlook drop — if you’ve been riding with me, you already know: 🎯My system is 100% mechanical. No emotions. No trend lines. No subjective guessing. Just precision, structure, and sniper entries. 🧠 What’s CLS? It’s the real smart money. The invisible hand behind $7T/day — banks, algos, central players. 📍Model 1: HTF bias based on the daily and weekly candles closes,
Wait for CLS candle to be created and manipulated. Switch to correct LTF and spot CIOD. Enter and target 50% of the CLS candle. 
For high probability include Dealing Ranges, Weekly Profiles and CLS Timing.

Trading is like a sport. If you consistently practice you can learn it. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter 💬 Don't hesitate to ask any questions or share your opinions
Short
by David_Perk
29
#AN011: NATO Summit, 5% for Defense Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and after the NATO Summit meeting, I want to analyze the situation a bit. Remember that my opinions are strictly personal and what I say may not reflect your thoughts. I do not write with a political or personal ideology. I analyze the situation objectively. I thank in advance our Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE for the support in creating this article. 🔍 Key points of the NATO Summit Yesterday's NATO Summit in The Hague attracted global attention, with the 32 member countries committing to a strong increase in defense spending, with the goal of 5% of GDP by 2035, of which 3.5% for basic military spending and 1.5% for broader security measures, such as strengthening cybersecurity and infrastructure. US President Trump praised the outcome as a "major victory" and stressed that increased spending would likely benefit US defense contractors, while reaffirming NATO's commitment to Article 5. However, countries such as Spain have expressed concern, indicating that it could include military aid rather than pure budget increases. 📈 Financial Market Reaction 🔹 Defense & Aerospace Stocks Major defense companies across Europe posted immediate gains: Babcock (UK) +10.7%, Rheinmetall (Germany) +3.1%, Thales (France) +2%+, Leonardo (Italy) +2.6% 🔹 Bond & Currency Action According to KBC Bank market commentary: The bond market steepened bearishly, particularly in Europe, as governments are reassessing their fiscal balances to accommodate defense budgets. The US dollar remained strong, supported by dovish Fed expectations, countering the spike in bond yields. 🌍 Currency Market Implications EUR/USD: The momentum of a dovish Fed and US fiscal pressure could support the dollar. However, divergence in bond yields could support moderate euro strength if the ECB remains cautious. EUR-linked currencies (e.g. SEK, NOK): These could come under pressure from rising risk premia and possible increase in government bond issuance. JPY and CHF: Likely to benefit from high volatility and safe-haven flows amid geopolitical tensions. 🧭 Strategic Outlook Theme Market Impact Increased defense spending Supports government bonds, increases government bond yields. Fiscal tightening Increases credit risk premia. US defense dominance Strengthens the USD in the short to medium term. Geopolitical unity Strengthens investor confidence, mitigates risk-off tendencies. 📝 Conclusion NATO summit signals a geopolitical shift that extends to currency and credit markets. Forex traders should pay attention to: Yield changes in the US versus Europe due to increased deficit financing. Currency inflows into the US dollar on defense and risk themes. Safe-haven demand if tensions in Russia-Ukraine or the Middle East flare up again. Thanks a lot for making it this far. Stay tuned for more analysis.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
June 27th, 2025 - Morning BriefFriday, June 27, 2025. Markets are on the edge, and if you thought summer would bring calm, think again. Today’s script is pure adrenaline. Overnight, the U.S. and China finally inked a trade deal that actually matters: tariffs are coming down, and rare earths are flowing again. Tech and manufacturing stocks are already celebrating, with SP:SPX and CME_MINI:NQ1! futures inching toward fresh record highs. NASDAQ:NVDA is still the market’s favorite lottery ticket, hitting another all-time high. Meanwhile, NYSE:NKE just spiked 10% premarket after beating earnings. Never mind the $1 billion tariff punch, they’ll “manage it.” Sure. But the real show is the May PCE inflation data dropping this morning. The Fed’s favorite gauge is expected to tick up to 2.3% year-over-year, with core PCE at 2.6%. If the numbers surprise, brace for whiplash in rates and risk assets. GDP’s third estimate confirmed a -0.5% contraction in Q1, so the “soft landing” crowd is sweating. Jobless claims and new home sales hit at 10:00 AM ET. Expect every algo on the Street to be watching. Trump is making noise about firing Powell before 2026, which has traders betting on earlier rate cuts. If you’re looking for stability, you’re in the wrong casino. Here’s where things stand: - OANDA:XAUUSD : $3,280–$3,334/oz (slipping as risk appetite returns) - BLACKBULL:WTI : $65.64–$65.82/barrel (steady, but one headline away from chaos) - BINANCE:BTCUSDT : $107,215–$107,477 (down, but still a six-figure fever dream) - CME_MINI:ES1! : Hovering just below the 6,144 record Today’s takeaway: The market’s running on hope, caffeine, and denial. Stay sharp, one bad print and the rally could turn into a stampede for the exits. Welcome to the volatility vortex. Been building something for US swing traders — if you’re one, I’d really appreciate your feedback. Free to test, link in Bio
AMEX:SPY
by SmartApingAI
AoO Series No.4Fri - On the weekly chart, we are in a consolidation range. The pair could become interesting if we break the consolidation above, with a clear target. On the daily, it is still too early. The last leg is bullish and we are potentially starting a new leg. For the moment we just follow the price action: are we going to create a new bullish leg? Do we first retrace into the FVA? How are we going to react from it? Will we run highs? No highest probability at the moment.
by mh_morales972
Why BTC hasn’t moved up recentlyBTC has been bobbing above and below this bearish triple crossover the past few months. What we see as consolidation is rather price getting stuck around these resistance levels. The only reason why this would be occurring in my view, is due to the market makers having intention to allow this drop to play out. The resistance is located at around 107,000 to 107,400 - watch this zone closely for a hold below / rejection and fast drop. Scenario 1 marked with solid red line. Scenario 2 marked with dotted red line. Little update for y’all. Happy weekend trading.
Short
by DickDandy
"US2000 Technical Play: Long Entry at Key Support"RUSSELL 2000 BULLISH BREAKOUT STRATEGY *(High-Probability Swing Trade Setup on RUT/US2000)* TRADE EXECUTION PLAN ENTRY STRATEGY Preferred Entry: Wait for pullback to 2170 support zone (15M/30M charts) Confirmation Entry: Valid breakout above 2170 resistance (1H closing basis) Order Placement: Use limit orders near support or stop orders above resistance RISK PROTOCOLS Stop Loss Placement: 2130 (swing low on 3H/4H timeframe) Position Sizing: Maximum 1-3% risk per trade Key Reminder: Strict risk management is essential for long-term success PROFIT TARGETS Primary Objective: 2230 resistance level Alternative Approach: Trail stop loss if momentum weakens prematurely Scalping Note: Focus exclusively on long-side opportunities in current market conditions MARKET ANALYSIS Technical Factors: Emerging higher low pattern, strengthening momentum Fundamental Drivers: Supportive environment for small-cap equities Sentiment Indicators: Retail positioning suggests room for upside IMPORTANT WARNING News Event Protocol: Avoid trading during high-impact announcements Position Management: Adjust stops accordingly during volatile periods Trading Discipline: No new entries when major news is pending TRADING PSYCHOLOGY NOTE This swing trade requires patience and discipline. Wait for proper confirmation signals before execution and maintain strict risk parameters throughout the trade duration. ENGAGEMENT REQUEST If you find this analysis valuable, please like and follow for more trade ideas. Share your perspective in the comments section. (Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only. Trading involves substantial risk.) NEXT MARKET ANALYSIS COMING SOON
PEPPERSTONE:US2000Long
by Thief_Trader
EURJPY MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTIONEURJPY, has finished consolidating at the intuitional renegotiation zone. Decision has been taken in favor of the Bulls. price has retested the FVG and has given the Bulls a perfect entry now. 174.473 is the target. stop loss should be below the RBN( renegotiation block) at 167.867. If You have a sizeable account, Hit this one hard, and hold it for a week or two. Don't Forget to send your Tithes. GOOD LUCK GUYS! DISCLAIMER Manage your own Risk. Any analysis can fail due to market sentiments. Take care of your trading capital!
Long
by Akpambang
Gold Drops Sharply – Breaks Below the $3,300 Support📊 Market Overview: Gold has plunged to $3,290/oz, breaking the key psychological level of $3,300 as the US dollar strengthened and Treasury yields ticked higher. Market sentiment has turned defensive ahead of Friday’s US PCE inflation data, with expectations that the Fed may maintain its hawkish stance for longer. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,325 • Nearest Support: $3,285 – $3,272 • EMA09: Price is currently below the 9-period EMA, confirming short-term bearish momentum. • Candlestick / Volume / Momentum: o H1/H4 charts show a series of long bearish candles, with rising volume → strong selling signal. o RSI is approaching oversold levels (~28), MACD remains in a widening bearish divergence → downward pressure is still dominant. 📌 Outlook: Gold is in a clear downtrend and may extend its decline toward $3,285 – $3,272 unless a reversal is triggered by weaker-than-expected PCE data or renewed geopolitical tensions. In the near term, any technical rebound is likely to offer sell opportunities rather than a trend reversal. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD • Entry: $3,300 – $3,305 (on technical retracement) • 🎯 TP: $3,285 – $3,272 • 🛑 SL: $3,315 🔺 BUY XAU/USD (high risk) • Entry: $3,272 – $3,277 (short-term bottom catching) • 🎯 TP: $3,295 – $3,305 • 🛑 SL: $3,262
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
1
July 9th EU-US tariff deal, what will happen to S&P500?Timeline & Context -The U.S. initially implemented a 10% baseline tariff on most imports (April 5), with potential spike to 50% for EU goods on July 9 unless a deal is struck. -On June 26, Macron warned that if U.S. keeps a 10% tariff, the EU will impose equivalent retaliatory levies. -EU offer of “zero-for-zero” (Macron, von der Leyen) remains on the table, though Washington reportedly resists. How Markets May React If a 10%–10% deal is struck (U.S. keeps 10%, EU matches): -Markets will likely breathe a sigh of relief—clearing headline risk. -Expect a moderate rally, perhaps +1–3% in the S\&P 500, as tariff uncertainty diminishes. -Economists note past discussion: when the EU delay hit May, S\&P futures jumped ~2%. If they agree to Macron’s “zero-for-zero” proposal: -That would be a bullish surprise—tariffs completely lifted. -Market response could range +3–5%, though EU has indicated U.S. pushback on full zero­zero . -Analysts warn clarity isn’t always calm: the S\&P is already priced above fundamentals—choppy reactions still possible . If the pause lapses with no EU agreement: -U.S. could enforce 50% tariffs; EU likely retaliates. -Risks: recession fears in EU, U.S. inflation spike so stocks will likely fall. -Bank strategists forecast flat S\&P (5,900), but warn of volatility range 5,600–6,000 based on trade policy surprises. -Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
VANTAGE:SP500
by bossout10
1
Another Bullish Hope… or a Bearish Setup!?🧠 Multi-Timeframe Analysis of ETH/USDT Monthly Timeframe: Since early 2023, Ethereum has been in a solid uptrend, managing to reach a key level (pink line). After a strong move, it got rejected in May 2024, falling to around 2111. Buyers made another aggressive attempt, pushing the price up to 4094, breaking the previous high — but this time, the rejection was much more intense. Price quickly dropped all the way to 1385. So, where are we now? The market structure has clearly flipped to sell on the monthly timeframe. We appear to be in a pullback/retrace phase, likely setting up for a deeper move down. First downside target? Around 1957 — but remember: Every level = a new decision point! Weekly Timeframe: After the rejection from 4093, buyers attempted a recovery. Maybe it was just profit-taking from bears. The price briefly entered the "expensive zone" — but the momentum didn’t hold. Last week, a strong bearish weekly candle confirmed the shift to a sell structure. We might still see one more push to test the 2920 level, but honestly... It smells like a bull trap. The market might lure buyers in just to drop the price again. Right now, the bears are in control 🐻 Daily Timeframe: Looking at the daily chart, the sell structure is clear. Two likely scenarios: 1- The downtrend continues from here 2- A slight push upward to trap aggressive buyers before the next leg down 🌫️ The market may give a false sense of strength to the bulls, but the true momentum is still bearish. Is this a bear trap? Maybe. For now, I'm favoring sell setups — unless I see something that strongly shifts the structure. Summary: From monthly to daily, all signs currently point to bearish pressure dominating the market. Until proven otherwise, the trend remains downward. 🎯 Possible targets if the drop continues: 1957 1793 1752 📌 Remember: every level is an opportunity to re-evaluate, not a fixed prediction. 📣 If you found this breakdown helpful, drop your thoughts in the comments Have a question or a chart you'd like reviewed? Let me know! Follow me to stay updated — especially if price action shifts and this scenario changes. Save and share with fellow traders who appreciate deep, multi-timeframe analysis ⚠️ Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a trading signal. Trading carries risk. Please do your own research, practice solid risk management, and never rely solely on external analysis. You are solely responsible for your trading decisions.
Short
by hojatbyt
US Dollar Index (DXY) – Testing Long-Term Channel SupportBy MJTrading: Chart Overview: The US Dollar Index has now approached a major technical confluence zone that could define the next directional move. Price is pressing into the Danger Zone near the lower boundary of a multi-year descending channel, with an Ultimate Oversell Target sitting just below. 🔹 Key Technical Highlights: Long-Term Down Channel (Daily & Weekly): The DXY has respected this structure for several years. Price is currently challenging the lower boundary, a zone where reactions often occur. Danger Zone (~95–96): A historically reactive area. Prior demand and channel floor converge here. Ultimate Oversell Target (~89–90): Marked as a deeper potential exhaustion area if the channel fails. Moving Averages: 15 EMA ~97.8 60 EMA ~99.3 Price remains below both EMAs, confirming persistent bearish momentum. 🔹 Potential Scenarios: Scenario A (Green Path): A bounce off current support could trigger a relief rally back toward 98–100, targeting the mid-channel and EMAs. Scenario B (Red Path): A breakdown below ~95 could accelerate selling pressure, aiming for the Ultimate Oversell Target (~89). 🔹 How I See It: This is a high-risk inflection zone. Any bullish setups here remain counter-trend and require confirmation via strong reversal signals. Conversely, a decisive breakdown could have significant implications for USD pairs and commodities. 💡 Notes: This chart includes the weekly inset view for broader context. Keep risk management tight in this volatile area. 🔹 Reminder: This idea is for educational purposes only—not financial advice. 💬 How are you positioning around the USD? Share your thoughts and charts below! #Hashtags: #MJTrading #DXY #USDollarIndex #Dollar #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingView #ChartAnalysis #PriceAction #FX #USD #Majors #DollarWeakness #DollarStrength #SupportAndResistance #TrendAnalysis #MarketOutlook
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by MJElahifx
EURCAD: The Buy Might Be Hidden in the GapEURCAD just cleared out some liquidity at the highs and is now pulling back into an interesting zone. The bullish structure is still intact, and price has left behind a clean fair value gap right above the previous day’s low. This zone is where I’m watching closely. If price taps into that FVG and gives a strong reaction, we could see another leg to the upside. But no need to jump in blindly. Let the 15-minute timeframe show a change of character first. If that shift happens, I’ll be looking for entries back toward the highs. Let price come to you. Let structure guide you.
by J4mesWick
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 27, 2025Hey traders! Today’s a trader’s dream: high-impact US news, gold trapped in a tight coil between supply and demand, and price flirting with the decision zone. The first breakout will be explosive — but only one side survives the trap. Let’s lock in the real structure, real bias, and sniper-level execution. 🔸 HTF Bias Breakdown Daily Bias: Neutral → Price trapped between major supply (3359) and HTF demand (3282). Expect breakout after news. H4 Bias: Bearish → Lower highs holding below 3359, structure weak below 3340. H1 Bias: Mixed → Bullish momentum building off 3310–3282, but compression under EMAs warns of a fake rally. 🔹 Key Levels Above Price 3385 – Final top-side liquidity zone (last week’s spike high) 3359–3344 – HTF supply & OB (main short zone) 3340–3330 – The pivot zone (battle for control) 🔸 Key Levels Below Price 3317–3310 – Primary demand zone (where buyers stepped in yesterday) 3297–3282 – Deep liquidity pocket & HTF OB (last chance for bulls) 3260 – Breakdown zone if everything fails below 🔥 Sniper Zones & Execution Logic 🔴 3385–3375 – Extreme Supply Only trade this zone if NY news launches price up and rejection is instant. Needs M5/M15 bearish reversal (engulfing, CHoCH, FVG fill). No news spike = no trade. 🔴 3359–3344 – Main Supply Zone This is your first real short setup. Sweep into this area + rejection = clean short trigger. Confluence: HTF OB, FVG, EMA 100 rejection, bearish CHoCH. ⚔️ 3340–3330 – Pivot Decision Zone This is where direction flips. Break and hold above 3340 = bullish → targets 3359 / 3375 Rejection under 3330 = bearish → back toward 3310 or 3282 Plan: Use for break/retest entries only with M5/M15 confirmation. No blind trades. 🟢 3317–3310 – Primary Demand Zone Watch for news-induced sweep, then M15 bullish PA (CHoCH, engulfing, RSI bounce). First safe buy zone if structure holds. 🟢 3297–3282 – Deep Demand Zone Only used if NY session nukes the market. Enter only on textbook SMC/ICT reversal + RSI sub-30. This is the last stand for bulls. 🧠 Execution Strategy Wait for NY news and first liquidity sweep. Don’t guess. Sell 3359–3344 or 3375+ only on strong rejection Buy 3310 or 3282 only on bullish reversal confirmation Pivot 3340–3330 is the heart of today — use for break/retest or trap reversal If you love clear logic, tap like, follow, and share your bias in the comments! 🚀👇 Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and I'm using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles. G‌o‌l‌d‌F‌x‌M‌i‌n‌d‌s
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
XAUUSD Sell ViewGold Holds Steady as Focus Shifts to Fed Policy Over Geopolitical Risk - Gold prices remained resilient. The US Dollar Index slipped 0.23% to 97.74, while U.S. equities ended mixed as markets braced for Federal Reserve policy signals. - The Israel-Iran ceasefire has eased geopolitical concerns, typically a bearish signal for gold. However, the metal’s continued strength, outperforming the weaker dollar, points to renewed institutional and retail accumulation. This highlights a key shift: investors are now prioritising monetary policy outlooks over crisis-driven moves. - All eyes are on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s congressional testimony, with particular focus on his comments regarding tariffs and interest rates. The CME’s FedWatch tool now shows a 24.8% probability of a July rate cut. Powell’s cautious tone—balancing inflation risks from potential tariffs against economic softness—has added uncertainty to the rate path, especially amid political pressure from the Trump administration. - Gold’s recent price action suggests it’s evolving from a pure safe-haven asset into a hedge against broader monetary and economic instability. With geopolitical tensions easing, traders are now closely watching the Fed’s next steps and the dollar’s direction as key drivers of gold’s trajectory.
FX:XAUUSDShort
by GOLDFXCC
XAUUSD Holds to Decline as Weakness DollarXAUUSD GOLD Outlook – Gold Holds Firm Amid Dollar Weakness and Fed Uncertainty Gold continues to trade steadily as the U.S. dollar weakens and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve policy intensifies. Market speculation is growing following hints that former U.S. President Donald Trump may announce a new Fed Chair as early as September or October. This development could undermine current Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s influence, potentially shifting the monetary policy outlook. As a result, investor sentiment remains cautious, with many seeking refuge in gold amid the growing ambiguity in central bank direction. A weaker dollar generally boosts demand for gold, and if speculation around Fed leadership continues, XAUUSD could remain supported or even rally further. Watch for upcoming Fed speeches and political announcements as key drivers. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance zone 3340 / 3345 Support Level 3315 / 3300 Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrMartin_11