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Beyond Technical Analysis
Big Tech Lines Up for Earnings Season: What Traders Should KnowPeak earnings season is right around the corner — the next two weeks are for the geeks with tech giants slated to report their quarterly financials all the while traders and investors weigh concerns over tariffs, trade wars, and export controls.
On tap to offload first-quarter earnings updates this week are Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA (Tuesday) and Google parent Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL (Thursday).
We’ll get more of the tech elite next week — Meta NASDAQ:META and Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT deliver next Wednesday and Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN and Apple NASDAQ:AAPL report Thursday. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA reports late in May.
Let’s talk about that.
Welcome to earnings season, aka that rush hour of the quarter when traders hit refresh on the earnings calendar , their watchlists, and cortisol levels.
Once again, it's Big Tech in the spotlight — specifically the Magnificent Seven club, a pack of tech heavy hitters who spent the past year building the future of artificial intelligence only to be the first out the door this year when investors dumped risk in the face of looming global uncertainty.
Now, with Tesla and Alphabet kicking off what could be a market-moving series of updates, the real question isn’t just who beat the numbers — but who can still tell a good story in the face of tariffs, competition, and AI-fueled capex that’s starting to look like Monopoly money.
👜 The Setup: Seven Stocks, Seven Bags to Hold
The Magnificent Seven — Tesla, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, Alphabet, and Nvidia — aren’t just the tech elite. They’ve been the main engine of the market for the last few years. But in 2025, the wheels have come off.
These technology mainstays, towering over the growth sector, have shed hundreds of billions and are now nursing double-digit percentage losses. Each. One. Of. Them. The growth space, valued more on prospects of bright performance rather than current showing, has been hit hard this year. How hard? That hard:
Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA is down 36%
Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is down 27%
Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN is down 21%
Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL is down 20%
Apple NASDAQ:AAPL is down 19%
Meta NASDAQ:META is down 16%
Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT is down 12%
On the outside, we all know what’s dragging stocks — it’s the widespread tariff jitters fanning recession fears and triggering waves of capital outflows. But on the inside, these tech giants are deep into a spending spree, and paring back that guidance might be too late.
AI spending is now at fever pitch, having gone from “impressive” to “uh… should we be concerned?” And that’s what investors will be watching when these masters of technology report quarterly numbers.
Besides the usual revenue figures, earnings per share and (likely timid) guidance, capital expenditures will draw a ton of attention. Capital expenditures, or capex, is the amount of money a company allocates for investments in new stuff like hardware and software and that may include beefing up existing infrastructure.
Injecting AI into systems and operations is top focus right now and Big Tech has decided to be generous and pony up some big money for it. Here’s what this year’s capex looks like, as per prior guidance:
Microsoft has allocated $80 billion
Alphabet has set aside $75 billion
Amazon? $100 billion ready to roll
Zuck’s Meta is in with up to $65 billion
The rest of the Mag 7 haven’t put out official capex projections but no one is sleeping on the opportunity.
Let’s go around the room and see what each of these is dealing with right now.
🚗 Tesla: A Look Under the Hood
Tesla reports first, and traders are bracing for either redemption — or another reason to panic sell.
On the surface, it’s not pretty: EV demand is sagging, especially in China and Europe. Musk’s political disruption and proximity to Trump aren’t helping the optics. And with shares already down 36% this year, the company enters this earnings call with bruises and baggage.
Revenue is expected to come in at $21.2 billion, down 1%, while earnings are projected to drop 8% to $0.42. Tesla delivered 336,681 cars in Q4 , a 14% drop from the same time a year ago.
🌎 Alphabet: Quiet Strength, But Still on Watch
Alphabet is expected to deliver solid results — $89.2 billion in revenue, up 11%, and $2.01 in earnings per share, up 6.3% from last year. Among the Mag 7, it’s one of the best-positioned players to weather trade volatility, thanks to its size, diverse revenue streams, and sheer dominance in advertising and cloud computing.
Its Gemini AI model is heating up the race against ChatGPT and Copilot, and its cloud division is quietly chipping away at AWS and Azure’s lead.
That said, traders will still be watching for any signs of slowdown in digital ad spending—a canary in the coal mine if the economy starts to sputter under tariffs and tightening global conditions.
💻 Amazon and Apple: The Slow Burners
Amazon, with its big-ticket spending on AI, is playing the long game — mostly through AWS, the company’s main driver of profitability. It's aggressive, even by Big Tech standards. The problem? AWS margins are under pressure, and retail is facing the squeeze from cautious consumers.
Amazon needs to prove it can turn AI into revenue, not just headlines. Amazon’s sales and earnings per share are projected to grow 8.16% and 38.7% respectively.
Apple, meanwhile, is in the risky position of relying a bit too much on China for its products — it ships about 90% of its iPhone from Asia’s biggest economy.
And while that may be irrelevant for first-quarter results, it may weigh on the company’s outlook, considering Trump’s flip-flopping on Chinese tariffs (is tech in or is tech out?) .
The iPhone maker is expected to report $93.9 billion in revenue and $1.61 in earnings per share.
🔍 Meta and Microsoft: AI Darlings With Something to Prove
Meta reports next Wednesday, and the pressure’s on. Zuck has gone full steam into AI, pushing for everything from AI chatbots in WhatsApp to personalized content generation across Facebook and Instagram.
But here’s the kicker: Meta still makes its money from ads. And if ad budgets start shrinking in response to tariffs or a slower economy, AI investments may not save the day — at least not right away.
Meta is expected to pull in $41.3 billion in revenue and $5.24 in earnings per share.
Microsoft, on the other hand, has positioned itself as the white-collar AI whisperer. Copilot is everywhere — Office, Teams, Edge, Windows — and its $80 billion in AI infrastructure spending is squarely aimed at enterprise dominance.
It still holds a 49% stake in OpenAI, and Azure is growing, albeit slower than expected. If Microsoft can show AI adoption translating into real revenue, traders may get the breakout they’ve been waiting for.
Microsoft is expected to pick up revenue of $68.5 billion and $3.23 in earnings per share.
🤖 Nvidia: The Final Boss
Nvidia won’t report until late May, but it’s already looming over the entire earnings season. Every other tech company is spending billions on Nvidia’s chips — so when the chipmaker finally updates investors, it could swing sentiment across the entire sector.
The market wants to see that demand is real and growing, especially from hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google. If Nvidia disappoints, the fallout might be like watching a domino go down.
Nvidia is expected to bring home $43.1 billion in revenue and $0.90 in earnings per share.
⚙️ Final Thoughts: Big Bets, Big Risks
This isn’t just another earnings season — it’s a stress test for the Magnificent Seven amid times of big market shifts. The group that once carried the market now faces a reality check: AI is expensive, global trade is messy, and Wall Street is no longer giving out free passes for “vision.”
But where there’s risk, there’s also opportunity. Traders who can sift through the noise, spot the change in tone, and ride the next narrative — whether it’s autonomous Teslas, AI-powered spreadsheets, or ad-supported Metaverse avatars — will have the edge.
What’s your take? Which Big Tech name are you watching most closely — and are you betting on a rebound or bracing for more pain? Let’s hear it from you.
Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order🪙 Gold Defies the Fed – The Clash for a New Monetary Order 📈
🏆 Gold Bulls Rejoice — The Chart Speaks Loud
From $1,700 to over $3,200 — gold has defied every rule in the macro playbook. It rallied through rising rates, a strong dollar, and a supposed tightening cycle. This move isn't just about demand — it's a signal .
📉 Interest Rate Timeline: 2020–2025
Gold moved counter to monetary logic — here’s the full context:
2022 🔺 R: 0.25 ➝ 4.50
Start of aggressive rate hikes – CPI peaked at 9.1% 🔥
2023 ⚒️ R: 4.50 ➝ 5.50
Peak tightening – gold didn’t flinch
2024 ✂️ R: 5.50 ➝ 4.25
Mid-year rate cuts – inflation cooled to 2.4% ❄️
2025 🔁 R: 4.25–4.50
Fed paused, Trump pushing for deeper cuts – tariffs complicate the easing path
🇨🇳 The China Factor – A Strategic Gold Game
#1 producer AND importer
Keeps all domestic production
Estimated holdings: 13,000–17,000 tons
Investing globally (Africa, Asia, LatAm)
Possible BRICS-backed gold currency on the horizon?
China isn't just hedging inflation — it's preparing for monetary evolution.
💱 CPI From Fire to Frost
2022: CPI at 9.1% 🔥
2025: 2.4% ❄️ — near the Fed’s 2% target
Yet despite “normal” inflation, the Fed holds — a sign of deeper uncertainty.
🧭 The 4 Modes of Gold – Explained on Chart
Trump Mode : Aggressive cuts → Gold targets $3,300–$3,600
Feds Mode : Status quo → Gold tests $3,000
China Mode : Strategic surge → Long-term $3,998+
Bitcoin Mode : Digital store of value rises → Gold reverts to $2,537 zone
These are not just technical levels — they represent global monetary narratives.
🕰️ Will History Repeat Itself?
In 1873, Germany adopted gold. China stayed on silver — and lost its monetary edge.
Today, it’s not silver vs gold — it’s gold vs Bitcoin .
China stockpiles gold
U.S. institutions embrace Bitcoin
Trade wars have become currency wars
This isn't a normal market — this is the early stage of a global monetary shift .
🔮 Final Thoughts
We stand at the crossroads of history .
Gold has already chosen its path.
Bitcoin is waiting in the wings.
And fiat? Under pressure.
Stay awake. Stay diversified. The next monetary standard may already be forming.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
When NOT to Trade – CTMI Strategy Warning in ActionNot every stock is worth your time.
CTMI Strategy doesn’t just show you when to buy —
It shows you when to walk away.
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EURCAD Short 4//17/2025EUR/CAD Short (Re-entry After Rate Cut Reversal)
Got stopped out on the previous attempt — but this re-entry offered a stronger, higher-timeframe confirmation.
Daily Chart: We printed a long-tailed hammer rejecting hard off a key weekly zone. That wick tested liquidity and snapped back, giving early signs of euro exhaustion. Today, price is flipping into what looks like a bearish engulfing candle — pending the close — suggesting trend reversal pressure is real.
Catalyst: The ECB dropped a 25bps rate cut, a shift from my earlier post when no EU news was expected. This move added strong bearish sentiment, especially paired with continued U.S. trade pressure under Trump’s new tariffs. Macro + technicals aligned = clean setup.
4H Chart: Multiple rejections off the weekly zone after that liquidity sweep, followed by an inside bar setup — that was my re-entry trigger. I’ve been holding since yesterday and we’re now running a 1:6.27 R:R play toward a key downside target.
1H Chart: During and after the ECB announcement, price action got messy — hammers, dojis, and fake bullish pushes all turned into supply-heavy rejections. That’s typical “fade the news” behavior when the big players already had their direction.
Key Zone: 1.56800 is the final liquidity shelf before price enters clean air. Once we get a solid 4H close below that zone, I expect price to accelerate toward my target at 1.55727.
This one’s got weight behind it — technical structure, macro catalysts, and institutional pressure all aligned.
EURUSD Rally Continues Through ManipulationThe trading instrument is currently in an uptrend and clearly aiming higher, targeting a breakout above the 1.1473 level with potential for further upside.
However, it’s important to understand that this move could play out either immediately or after a minor pullback — potentially down to 1.1334 — in order to collect additional liquidity. This is a rather complex trading setup, as the Euro is in a strong bullish trend, yet the price may sharply shift into a deeper correction. Monitor this scenario closely and act accordingly — make sure to place stop-losses below recent swing lows (key levels).
As long as the trend remains bullish on the lower and medium timeframes, it makes sense to continue trading from the long side.
Mid-Term Outlook for Bitcoin: Key LevelsFrom a global perspective, Bitcoin is in a strong uptrend; from a mid-term perspective — in a downtrend; and from a local perspective — in an upward trend. Therefore, in my view, the mid-term downtrend is still unfolding, and only a breakout above the 88,740 level would signal the first real threat to this bearish structure.
As long as the price remains below 88,740 and 87,400, the market remains a sell, with a target at 74,456 — a key resistance level. Moreover, if the price indeed reaches 74,456, it’s unlikely that the movement will stop there. There's a high probability that we’ll see further downside toward 70K, 65K, and possibly even 60K in the mid-term.
In conclusion: it’s crucial to wait for a breakdown below the purple consolidation area before considering short entries.
S&P 500: Defensive Plays Dominate as Growth Sectors Falter- Key Insights: The S&P 500, currently priced at **5275.7**, reflects cautious
investor sentiment, with defensive sectors like **utilities**, **consumer
staples**, and **real estate** outperforming amid market volatility.
Elevated uncertainty is evident from higher VIX levels, driven by
geopolitical tensions, weak forward earnings guidance, and concerns about
growth sectors such as **technology** and **semiconductors**. Institutional
flows into safe-haven assets like **gold** signal limited risk appetite,
suggesting near-term weakness in equity markets.
- Price Targets: For the upcoming week, a cautious long position is suggested,
given support scenarios and stabilization prospects.
- **Target 1 (T1): $5380** (short-term resistance)
- **Target 2 (T2): $5450** (psychological level)
- **Stop Level 1 (S1): $5180**
- **Stop Level 2 (S2): $5135**
- Recent Performance: The S&P 500 displayed mixed performance, with defensive
sectors outperforming while growth sectors like technology lagged due to
pressures from macroeconomic factors. The broader equity landscape remains
volatile, as indicated by the elevated VIX readings and constrained trading
ranges in major indices such as the Russell 2000.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts recommend defensive positioning, favoring sectors
like **utilities** and real estate, as investors grapple with recessionary
risks and inflation concerns. Technology and semiconductor stocks,
particularly **Nvidia** and **AMD**, face headwinds from regulatory
restrictions and trade tensions with China. Federal Reserve statements
suggest potential rate cuts later in the year, but near-term hawkishness
persists, given inflationary pressures.
- News Impact: Key earnings reports from **Tesla**, **Google**, **Intel**, and
**Boeing** could drive sentiment shifts. Tesla's results may influence
market trends heavily, reinforcing key technical levels. Additionally,
renewed U.S.-China trade concerns over semiconductor tariffs add
uncertainty. A weakening U.S. dollar favors safe-haven assets such as
**gold**, while geopolitical risks and economic softness point to limited
upside for risk assets in the near term.
Ride Nvidia’s AI Wave: Long-Term Promise Amid Short-Term Risks
- Key Insights: Nvidia faces near-term bearish pressures due to U.S.–China trade
tensions, AI chip export restrictions, and tariff challenges. However, it
remains the undisputed leader in AI infrastructure and GPU innovation,
positioning it for long-term growth. Entry points near critical support
levels may offer opportunities for patient investors to capitalize on its
leadership in AI-driven industries. A bullish reversal requires a breakout
above $104.75.
- Price Targets:
*Next Week Targets (Long Position)*
- T1: $103.25
- T2: $108.10
*Stop Levels*
- S1: $98.50
- S2: $94.75
- Recent Performance: Nvidia's stock has struggled within a bearish channel,
underperforming tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq, which have been
weighed down by sector-wide semiconductor weakness. The stock’s lower highs
and lower lows reinforce its short-term downside trajectory, amplified by
regulatory uncertainties and weakened demand from China. These factors have
contributed to gamma exposure-driven speculative price movements around the
$100 zone.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight Nvidia's dominant position despite export
restrictions that may cost up to $5.5 billion. Nvidia continues to drive AI
innovation through its Kyber compute architecture and Dynamo software,
targeting industries like automotive and pharmaceuticals. While bearish
sentiment persists short term, long-term growth prospects remain robust due
to strong U.S. semiconductor policy support and widespread demand for AI
applications. Nvidia’s strategic positioning makes it a desirable asset for
long-term investors despite current macroeconomic risks.
- News Impact: Geopolitical tensions, specifically the Biden administration's
restrictions on advanced AI chip exports to China, remain pivotal for
Nvidia’s stock trajectory. These restrictions are expected to impact
Nvidia’s earnings through 2024. Additionally, escalating tariffs are adding
inflationary pressures, though efforts to negotiate market access highlight
Nvidia’s proactive approach to mitigating restrictions. Meanwhile, Nvidia’s
breakthroughs in AI technology continue to drive optimism for future growth
in multiple industries. Investors should remain vigilant as any easing of
trade restrictions could act as a significant upside catalyst.
Will META Rebound or Decline? Trading Insights for Next Week
- Key Insights: Meta Platforms Inc. currently faces bearish sentiment amid
broader tech sector underperformance and regulatory headwinds. However, its
attractive valuation, strategic focus on AI, and dominant position in
digital advertising suggest potential for long-term growth. Investors should
be cautious due to economic slowdowns affecting ad revenue and ongoing FTC
antitrust scrutiny. Tactical opportunities may arise depending on how META
approaches identified support and resistance levels.
- Price Targets:
Next week targets (Long Position):
T1: $520 (+3.5%)
T2: $541.65 (+7.8%)
Stop levels:
S1: $495 (-1.5%)
S2: $482 (-4.1%)
- Recent Performance: META has been among the weaker performers within the tech
sector, reflecting broader market headwinds and sell-offs in mega-cap
stocks. Its current price of $502.31 sits near a significant support zone at
$500. Although its recent price action suggests volatility, META remains
confined within a consolidation zone between $480 and $541. The tech
sector’s struggles contrast with gains in safer asset classes, as investors
shift toward havens like utilities and precious metals.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts remain cautiously optimistic about META despite its
regulatory headwinds and economic challenges. Its valuation at 16x forward
earnings is relatively low compared to peers, making it attractive from a
value perspective. Morgan Stanley maintains an overweight rating,
highlighting confidence in META’s AI initiatives and digital advertising
growth potential. However, reduced price targets and concerns over ad-
revenue sensitivity highlight vulnerabilities in META's short-term outlook.
- News Impact: Regulatory scrutiny from the FTC, along with CEO Mark
Zuckerberg’s testimonies, is a key overhang for META. Additionally, economic
slowdowns and inflation concerns are impacting advertising-driven companies
like META, with broader tech sentiment dragging on its performance. Morgan
Stanley’s revised price target reflects tempered growth expectations but
maintains optimism for META’s strategic initiatives. Diversification into
other sectors, such as rising commodities like gold and silver, could help
investors mitigate META's near-term risks.
Buy JNJ for Stable Gains Amid Earnings Optimism Next Week
- Key Insights: Johnson & Johnson demonstrated robust earnings performance with
an EPS of $2.77, surpassing consensus estimates and reinforcing its
defensive stock status. Its diverse portfolio and consistent ability to
execute in volatile markets make it a strong candidate for growth-oriented
and stability-focused investors. With a positive sentiment surrounding
large-cap equities, JNJ is likely to continue attracting capital.
- Price Targets: Next week targets for LONG positions: T1=$166, T2=$170. Stop
levels: S1=$157, S2=$155.
- Recent Performance: JNJ outperformed expectations in its latest earnings
report, showcasing profitability and resilience in the face of broader
economic headwinds. The company delivered solid results while navigating
inflationary pressures, confirming its strength as a defensive player in the
healthcare marketplace.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts remain optimistic about JNJ’s execution
capabilities, citing its strategic investments in R&D and global footprint.
The earnings beat is seen as a validation of management’s effectiveness in
maximizing profitability through cost controls, alongside maintaining strong
demand across pharmaceuticals, medical devices, and consumer health
segments.
- News Impact: Broader market optimism surrounding strong earnings across top-
tier corporations (e.g., Abbott, Goldman Sachs) enhances JNJ’s prospects for
an earnings-season rally. Sector-wide attention on healthcare innovation
further bolsters JNJ’s defensive appeal amid global health concerns, while
its pricing power shields it from inflationary impacts.
Goldman Sachs (GS): Long Position Opportunity Amid Stabilizing V
-Key Insights: Goldman Sachs (GS) stands to benefit from stabilizing market
volatility, as reflected by the declining VIX. While macroeconomic uncertainties
and earnings season pressures persist, GS has room for recovery with strong
potential upside driven by resilience in financial services and liquidity
movements.
-Price Targets:
-Next Week Targets (Long): T1=$515, T2=$530
-Stop Levels: S1=$500, S2=$485
-Recent Performance: GS has experienced mixed sentiment, with broader pressure
on financials underscoring recent trading activity. Although current price
information is unavailable, GS analysts are optimistic about near-term recovery
potential. Elevated market volatility weighing on sectors like healthcare and
technology continues to influence financial equities indirectly.
-Expert Analysis: Analysts suggest GS may see bullish action in the short term
as markets stabilize and corporations deliver earnings guidance. With the VIX
trending lower and macro risks easing, GS has a positive outlook tied to sector
earnings. However, caution remains due to broader geopolitical risks and
lingering effects from trade restrictions and inflation pressures.
-News Impact: Key events such as United Healthcare’s earnings revisions have
rippled across Dow components, pressuring financial stocks. Additionally,
Nvidia’s export control challenges highlight vulnerabilities in global markets,
which could indirectly affect GS’s portfolio exposure to related industries.
Anticipated volatility from Tesla and Alphabet’s earnings next week may also
influence market sentiment tied to GS’s stock movement.
Long-Term Opportunity Amid Volatility: Buy DIS on Weakness for R
-Key Insights: Disney faces near-term headwinds from weak consumer discretionary
performance, inflation risks, and macroeconomic uncertainties. However, its
strong intellectual property portfolio, diversified revenue streams, and
historical resilience in downturns make it an attractive long-term investment.
Investors should consider dollar-cost averaging to build positions during
valuation dips while monitoring quarterly updates for operational strategies and
park performance.
-Price Targets: Based on current market conditions and professional insights,
next week trading levels are as follows:
T1 (Target 1): $85.50
T2 (Target 2): $88.50
S1 (Stop 1): $78.50
S2 (Stop 2): $76.00
-Recent Performance: Disney has historically traded in line with consumer
discretionary sector trends, which have been under pressure due to inflation,
geopolitical risks, and reduced discretionary spending. Although recent
performance is not explicitly noted in the transcript, its stock tends to lag
during recessions before regaining momentum as macroeconomic conditions improve.
-Expert Analysis: Analysts emphasize quality stocks with durable fundamentals
amid volatility; Disney fits this profile due to its global brand dominance and
vast intellectual property portfolio. Recession expectations and housing
weakness may dampen consumer spending, affecting theme park attendance and
streaming subscriptions. Long-term investors will likely benefit from Disney’s
recovery driven by international market growth, cost management improvements,
and strong franchise popularity.
-News Impact: Trade wars and tariffs, especially in China, pose operational
challenges for merchandise and streaming expansion. Rising costs and consumer
spending constraints could impact hospitality revenues and park attendance,
particularly in key domestic locations like Florida and Texas. Geopolitical
developments and earnings updates will play a crucial role in dictating near-
term stock movement.
Amazon (AMZN): Long-Term Opportunity or Short-Term Risk?
-Key Insights: Amazon faces headwinds from bearish market sentiment, trade
issues, and cloud service competition. Near-term challenges stem from tariffs
impacting goods sold on its platform and slowing momentum in Amazon Web
Services. The upcoming earnings report may provide clarity on its resilience.
Valuation metrics suggest potential upside, but caution is advised.
-Price Targets: Next week price levels suggest possible long entry points near
support zones.
- Target 1 (T1): $180
- Target 2 (T2): $185
- Stop Level 1 (S1): $170
- Stop Level 2 (S2): $167
-Recent Performance: Amazon has recently underperformed, trading 1% lower amid
overall large-cap tech weakness. Broader market struggles, particularly in the
Nasdaq index, reflect bearish sentiment affecting growth-focused sectors. Trade
tensions and increased competition in cloud services are significant factors
weighing on its performance.
-Expert Analysis: Analysts highlight Amazon’s vulnerability to tariffs, which
could squeeze margins and affect merchants relying on imported goods from China.
AWS growth faces slowing dynamics as Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure gain
ground. While some experts argue Amazon’s valuation is becoming attractive with
a P/E ratio near 30, its risks warrant cautious optimism ahead of earnings.
-News Impact: The upcoming earnings report will be pivotal for assessing
Amazon’s adaptability to macroeconomic pressures. Tariff-related disruptions
could reveal more pain points in its retail segment. Simultaneously, competition
in cloud services and shifts in consumer demand may paint a clearer picture of
long-term growth potential. Competitive pressures from Google Cloud, which grew
30% year-over-year, indicate AWS’s dominance is under threat.
Apple Inc.: A Long Trade Opportunity for Next Week
- Key Insights: Apple has demonstrated relative strength amid broader market
weakness. Buyers have shown interest at key support levels ($193-$190),
reinforcing a bullish setup. Speculative interest in the options market
between $200-$220 indicates potential upside. The stock remains a promising
long trade idea, contingent on breaking resistance above $210-$221.
- Price Targets:
- T1: $210
- T2: $219
- S1: $190
- S2: $185
- Recent Performance: Apple continues to outperform peers like Amazon, Tesla,
and Nvidia as sector-wide weakness persists. The stock has rebounded off
critical support around $193, signaling accumulating buyer interest.
However, it remains capped below resistance at $210-$219, holding potential
for further upside.
- Expert Analysis: Analysts maintain long-term optimism for Apple, citing its
strong fundamentals, operational flexibility, and premium brand positioning.
Technical experts identify Apple as a speculative long idea, with gamma
exposure in the options market signaling interest between $200-$220.
- News Impact: Geopolitical concerns, including U.S.-China trade tensions, weigh
on Apple’s sentiment. Production costs have increased due to tariffs, yet
temporary exemptions highlight Apple's strategic resilience. Analysts advise
monitoring macro trends, including shifts in sector rotation, for continued
price momentum.
BTCUSDT- a double hunting!hello guys!
Bitcoin has been trading within a well-defined range, showing signs of consolidation after a sharp upward move. The price has recently broken below the range support (~$85,000), suggesting a liquidity hunt or fakeout scenario.
The sharp move down indicates a potential stop-loss sweep, targeting liquidity below the range. This is a classic "range bottom hunt" where smart money often drives the price lower to trigger retail stop-losses before a possible bounce back into the range or even continuation upwards.
📌 Key Zone to Watch:
– Support area around $83,000 – $82,500
– A strong reaction from this zone could confirm the liquidity grab and initiate a bullish reversal.
Outlook: Watching for a bottom wick and strong recovery as confirmation of a false breakdown. If buyers step in, we could see BTC reclaim the range and retest mid or upper boundaries.
SMR: The Nuclear Renaissance in Europe and the U.S.By Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Following the impact of the war in Ukraine and the volatility of Russian gas supplies, Europe has accelerated its transition toward clean energy sources. By 2024, 48% of the EU's electricity mix already comes from renewables, 24% from nuclear power, and only 28% from fossil fuels. Spain is even further ahead, with renewables accounting for 55.8% of its electricity system. This evolution has led to a 59% reduction in CO₂ emissions and a 16% annual drop in the average price of electricity. However, the green transition faces challenges such as renewable intermittency, technological dependency, and a shortage of skilled personnel. In response, both Europe and the U.S. are reinforcing their commitment to nuclear energy, particularly through Small Modular Reactors (SMRs), a safer, more flexible, and more efficient technology.
SMRs offer key advantages: compact design, lower costs, and the ability to be installed near industrial centers or remote communities. In Europe, France is leading the charge through EDF, which expects to have its first NUWARD prototype operational before 2030. In the UK, Rolls-Royce is developing 470 MWe reactors with both public and private support, aiming to build up to 10 units by 2035. Meanwhile, Tractebel (ENGIE) is working on SMR engineering projects across Central and Eastern Europe.
In the U.S., SMR technology has gained momentum with support from the Department of Energy. NuScale Power was the first company to receive design approval from the Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC), and although its Utah project was canceled, it maintains agreements with Canada, Romania, and Ukraine. Also notable is Oklo Inc., backed by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, which went public in 2024 with an innovative compact reactor. Other key players include Constellation Energy and Vistra Corp., which operate nuclear facilities, as well as private firms TerraPower (founded by Bill Gates) and X-energy—both federally funded. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) has funneled billions in incentives toward clean energy in the U.S., supporting both renewable and nuclear technologies. The transatlantic approach is clear: combine solar, wind, storage, and SMRs to achieve a clean, resilient, and competitive energy supply.
NuScale Power Corp. Analysis
On the hourly chart, NuScale entered an accumulation phase starting on October 24, 2024, pushing its price up to a peak of $32.30 by March 25, 2025. However, it has since lost momentum, largely due to the uncertainty triggered by U.S. tariff policies.
Currently, the stock is trending toward a key support zone around $16.75, a level that previously acted as resistance multiple times. The firmest support lies at $11.02, marking a recent low. The Point of Control (POC), which indicates the price level with the highest traded volume, currently stands at around $18.36—just above immediate resistance. The most active trading range is between $17.24 and $25.60.
Technical indicators show an RSI at 48.18%, suggesting slight overselling, though not extreme. Moving average crossovers are unclear, reflecting market indecision. This lack of bullish strength may prolong the current sideways movement. In the long term, if market sentiment improves and regulatory tensions ease, the stock could recover toward the mid-range zone of around $21.00.
Publicly Traded Energy Companies: Renewables and SMRs
Nuclear Energy and Small Modular Reactors (SMRs)
• EDF – 🇫🇷 Euronext Paris: EDF
• Tractebel (ENGIE) – 🇧🇪 Euronext Paris: ENGI
• Rolls-Royce SMR – 🇬🇧 LSE: RR
• NuScale Power – 🇺🇸 NYSE: SMR
• Oklo Inc. – 🇺🇸 NYSE: OKLO
• Constellation Energy – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: CEG
• Vistra Corp. – 🇺🇸 NYSE: VST
• Cameco Corp (Uranium) – 🇨🇦 NYSE: CCJ
Private Companies to Watch
• TerraPower – 🇺🇸 (Bill Gates, Natrium Reactor)
• X-energy – 🇺🇸 (Xe-100 Reactor, DOE-funded)
Renewables and Energy Storage
• Iberdrola – 🇪🇸 BME: IBE
• Acciona Energía – 🇪🇸 BME: ANE
• Ørsted – 🇩🇰 CPH: ORSTED
• Enel – 🇮🇹 BIT: ENEL
• Siemens Energy – 🇩🇪 ETR: ENR
• Vestas Wind Systems – 🇩🇰 CPH: VWS
• First Solar – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: FSLR
• NextEra Energy – 🇺🇸 NYSE: NEE
• Plug Power – 🇺🇸 NASDAQ: PLUG
• Bloom Energy – 🇺🇸 NYSE: BE
In this context, investment opportunities are expanding rapidly. Companies like EDF, Rolls-Royce, NuScale, Oklo, and Iberdrola are well positioned to lead the energy transition. The green revolution is no longer just about renewables—the new energy era is also nuclear.
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NAS100USD: Bearish Continuation After FVG RebalanceGreetings Traders!
In today’s analysis of NAS100USD, the institutional order flow remains bearish, continuing the momentum established during last week’s trading sessions. In alignment with this directional bias, we are strategically focused on identifying high-probability bearish opportunities.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
Sustained Bearish Order Flow:
Institutional behavior continues to reflect a bearish narrative, suggesting that smart money remains committed to driving price lower.
Rebalancing a Fair Value Gap (FVG):
Price is currently rebalancing a notable fair value gap—an internal range inefficiency—providing the perfect confluence zone for bearish setups. This rebalancing typically precedes a draw on external liquidity.
Targeting External Range Liquidity:
As the market rebalances internal inefficiencies (FVGs, order blocks), it subsequently seeks external range liquidity such as sell stops, liquidity pools, and engineered lows. This is a fundamental principle of institutional price delivery.
TRADING PLAN:
Entry Consideration:
Monitor price action within the fair value gap for confirmation of bearish intent. This zone serves as an internal liquidity area, optimal for institutional order execution.
Profit Targets:
Focus on external liquidity resting below previous lows—particularly sell stops and liquidity pools. These levels represent the logical draw where institutions aim to finalize order pairing and take profit.
By following the institutional flow, we align ourselves with smart money practices, improving our precision and probability of success. Stay patient and disciplined—confirmation is key!
Its good to be back,
The_Architect
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