EURJPY Weekly Analysis (MMC + SMC) - Trend Expansion + Target🧠 Contextual Overview:
EURJPY has been on a strong long-term bullish rally, fueled by institutional demand and consistent volume expansion patterns. This pair is approaching a critical macro resistance/reversal zone around the 175–176 level, where historically large players have shown interest in redistributing or taking profit.
This analysis uses the MMC (Market Mechanics Concept) integrated with SMC (Smart Money Concepts) to provide a complete perspective on price structure, order flow, and volume behavior.
📊 Structural Breakdown:
🔹 1. Volume Expansion as a Leading Indicator
Volume precedes price — this is a foundational MMC principle.
The recent aggressive impulse to the upside is backed by clear volume expansion visible on higher time frames.
This type of movement indicates smart money accumulation and commitment, rather than retail-driven volatility.
A key insight: Volume Expansion typically signals trend continuation, not reversal—unless a liquidity grab or divergence shows up in reversal zones.
🔹 2. Break of Structure (BOS) Confirms Trend Continuation
A clear BOS occurred when price violated previous swing highs around the 165–167 range.
This BOS suggests a new bullish leg is forming, confirming the market has transitioned from consolidation (accumulation) to distribution (markup phase).
🔹 3. Current Price Path: Heading into a Key Reversal Zone (175–176)
This zone has been mapped based on previous supply imbalances and historical resistance.
Price may tap into this zone before we see either:
A clean continuation above (indicating absorption of supply), or
A rejection or smart money sell-off pattern (distribution, divergence, or exhaustion candles).
Institutions tend to execute significant moves in these areas — watch for liquidity sweep traps and break-of-structure (BOS) on lower timeframes for confirmation.
🧱 Support Zones & Safety Net:
🔸 Major Support: 155–157 Zone
This is a historically significant demand block, respected multiple times since 2023.
A drop into this region could offer a prime long-term swing entry, should price reject the reversal zone.
Also acts as invalidity for current bullish structure. A weekly close below this would signal a potential trend shift or deeper correction.
📉 Technical Patterns & Confluences:
Trendline Breakout + Retest occurred from 2024 into early 2025. This is a classic break-and-retest continuation pattern, confirming bullish interest from smart money.
Price consolidated (reaccumulation) and exploded upward with volume expansion, aligning with Wyckoff theory’s markup phase.
Strong candles with minimal upper wicks = clear sign of institutional commitment.
🎯 Trade Strategy & Scenarios:
🟢 Bullish Continuation Scenario:
If price breaks above 176.000 with volume and closes weekly bullish, expect continuation toward 180.00+ in coming months.
Watch for:
Clean BOS above the reversal zone
Volume expansion confirmation
Retest of breakout level (176–174) for safe re-entry
🔴 Bearish Rejection Scenario:
If price rejects the reversal zone with bearish engulfing or divergence, expect a retracement back toward 165–162 short-term, and possibly 157–155 long-term.
Lower time frame structure shift (BOS to the downside) will confirm early exit from bulls or reversal setups for bears.
🧠 Psychological Perspective:
Smart Money uses reversal zones to entice late buyers before triggering liquidity grabs.
Reversal zones serve as liquidity magnets, often leading to false breakouts before true direction is revealed.
Retail traders often buy into strength at these levels, providing liquidity for institutional exits.
📌 Summary:
✅ Trend: Strong bullish
✅ Structure: Clean BOS with volume confirmation
✅ Next Key Level: 175–176 (Reversal Zone)
✅ Strategy: Monitor for rejection/continuation; align with volume + structure
✅ Volume Behavior: Expansion supports trend continuation
🔖 Final Thoughts:
The EURJPY pair presents a highly educational and strategic opportunity. Whether you trade intraday or swing, this zone (175–176) will define the market direction for the next few months. Use volume, structure shifts, and institutional behavior to guide your trades, not just candlestick patterns.
Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSDHello traders. After a short break, we’ve identified a promising sell opportunity on the XAUUSD pair.
Despite the U.S. Independence Day holiday, I believe we may still see solid movement in gold during today's session.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2.70
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 3337.09
✔️ Take Profit: 3312.16
✔️ Stop Loss: 3345.63
🕒 If momentum fades or the price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll close it manually—whether in profit or loss—depending on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
EURGBP 8H Analysis : Breakdown + Smart Money Structure + Target🧠 Phase 1: Arc Formation – Accumulation by Smart Money
The arc (May to June) reflects an accumulation base where price made higher lows with consolidative wicks and slow momentum, ideal conditions for institutional orders to build long positions.
Liquidity is swept below swing lows, stopping out early longs — this is classic smart money accumulation.
Volume compression during the arc followed by expansion on breakout confirms smart interest.
🔑 Psychology: Retail was likely selling here due to lower highs, while smart money was accumulating quietly at the bottom of the arc.
🚀 Phase 2: Breakout & Rally to Previous Highs
Price cleanly breaks above the arc’s neckline and previous resistance (labeled as Previous Target).
Momentum accelerates rapidly toward the reversal zone, likely due to stop hunts and FOMO buyers entering after confirmation.
Structure shifts bullish, creating strong impulsive candles — but these are often final exit points for smart money.
📌 Key Sign: Breakout aligns perfectly with market inefficiencies being filled, often a sign of a short-term top formation brewing.
🔄 Phase 3 : Reversal Zone – Distribution Phase
Inside the Reversal Zone (0.8650–0.8680), price shows exhaustion with multiple upper wicks and slowing bullish momentum.
Distribution signs: choppy movement, lower highs, and eventual breakdown.
Retail is often caught entering longs here on confirmation, while institutions offload their positions.
🧠 MMC Insight: This is where Mind Market Curve transitions from bullish impulse to corrective leg down — phase of deception.
📉 Phase 4: Structure Breakdown & Bearish Market Behavior
Price breaks through short-term higher low structure — confirmation of bearish intent.
The formation of lower highs and lower lows marks the beginning of a bearish trend shift.
Market is now targeting Major Support (0.8500–0.8520 zone), which is currently being tested.
🧭 If price breaks below 0.8500 with volume and aggression, next level is likely near 0.8430–0.8450.
⚖️ Current Price Location: Major Support Test
We’re at a critical decision point.
If support holds → expect a bounce to 0.8600–0.8620.
If it breaks → expect continuation to next liquidity pool below 0.8450.
This zone is where buyers and sellers will battle. Wait for:
Bullish confirmation (reversal pattern / engulfing candle) to go long.
Bearish breakout (close below zone + retest) to go short.
🔁 Summary of Scenarios
Scenario Conditions Target
✅ Bullish Bounce Rejection at support with bullish engulfing/pin bar 0.8600–0.8620
❌ Bearish Break Close below 0.8500 + retest as resistance 0.8430–0.8450
🔖 Educational Takeaway
This chart teaches how to:
Identify accumulation via arc and understand smart money behavior.
Recognize false confirmation zones (where retail enters late).
Understand structure shift as a trend reversal signal.
Execute trades based on reaction zones, not emotions.
If you follow MMC (Mind Market Curve), this is a textbook transition from:
Accumulation →
Expansion →
Distribution →
Breakdown
DXY IS BULLISH, SELL EURUSD, GBPUSD, WANNA BET?My last publish about dxy was stopped out but that doesn't invalidate the trade. We will still see a bullish dollar and bearish EURUSD AND GBPUSD.
SL @ 96.775
TP 1 @ 97.620
TP 2 @ 98.285
TP 3 @ 99.420
Use this trade to learn compounding and grow your account. Dont just take 10 pips and run off, once in profit,add more at a discount prices. The TP is certain
Enjoy
Follow me as my trades are market order, so you will see them on time and enter on time.
EURUSD 4H Structure Analysis | MMC Strategy + Channel + CurveIn this EURUSD 4-hour chart analysis using MMC (Market Mind Concept), we are observing a textbook rising channel structure accompanied by a black mind curve (evidence of psychological support behavior). Let's break it down:
📊 Structure Overview:
Straight Ascending Channel:
Price has been respecting a clean, straight rising channel, forming higher highs and higher lows over the past several weeks. This structure provides a controlled bullish bias, but we are approaching an inflection point.
Black Mind Curve Support (Evidence 2):
A curved trendline (Mind Curve) is providing dynamic support. This curve intersects with the lower boundary of the rising channel—creating a confluence zone, which is likely to act as strong short-term support or the base of a reversal.
Major BOS (Break of Structure):
A significant bullish BOS occurred earlier, confirming momentum strength. This previous break is acting as a reference point for bullish continuation scenarios.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If the price breaks below the channel and mind curve support, this would invalidate the current bullish channel structure.
A clean breakout + retest below the support zone may invite strong selling pressure, targeting previous support zones around 1.1500 – 1.1350.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If the price holds above the mind curve and continues upward, we may see a breakout above the top of the channel.
A confirmed breakout could send price toward the 1.1900 – 1.2000 resistance zone.
Patience is key—wait for a confirmed breakout from the channel (either side) before engaging.
⏳ Strategy Outlook:
✅ Wait for channel breakout confirmation (up or down)
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts or liquidity grabs near channel boundaries
🔁 Mind Curve Support adds another layer of decision-making structure
🧠 Trade with the trend, but remain adaptable to shift if channel breaks
🔍 Summary:
The EURUSD pair is in a decision-making zone—either we get a bullish continuation breakout, or the structure fails and we flip into a bearish correction. The confluence of the straight channel and mind curve makes this setup high-quality for both trend traders and breakout traders.
Gold accumulates and moves above 3350⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices declined by 0.80% on Thursday after a robust US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report boosted the US Dollar, dampening expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the upcoming July meeting. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading at $3,332, after reaching an intraday high of $3,365.
June’s employment data significantly outperformed forecasts and even surpassed May’s figures, reinforcing the resilience of the US labor market. Notably, the Unemployment Rate edged closer to the 4% mark, underscoring continued labor market strength. The upbeat report casts doubt on Wednesday’s softer ADP private-sector jobs data, which had shown a 33,000 drop in hiring.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price accumulates and recovers around 3350. Friday has no important news and bank holiday in US session, short-term recovery
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3365- 3367 SL 3372
TP1: $3355
TP2: $3342
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3311-$3313 SL $3306
TP1: $3325
TP2: $3338
TP3: $3350
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USDJPY 4-Hour Technical Analysis (Smart Money Concept Breakdown)📈 Overall Market Structure Overview:
The chart reflects a multi-phase Smart Money playbook, consisting of:
Bullish channel structure
Breakout followed by liquidity sweep
Supply zone flip to demand
Price mitigation and structure shift
Anticipated reaction zone for upcoming move
🔎 Phase-by-Phase Analysis:
🧱 1. Ascending Channel Formation
Price was moving upward in a controlled bullish ascending channel, suggesting institutional accumulation with planned distribution above highs.
The channel breakout was the first significant liquidity event, where early breakout traders were baited.
💧 2. Fakeout and Supply Interchange into Demand (Ellipse Zone)
Once the channel broke, price sharply reversed, retracing into a previous supply zone.
However, institutions defended this zone, flipping it into a demand area.
This behavior, marked with the blue ellipse, signals “Supply Interchange in Demand” – a core SMC concept.
Here, orders were absorbed
Liquidity was trapped below
A bullish push confirmed institutional intent
🎯 3. Previous Target Hit – Completion of Bullish Leg
Price made a strong rally from the demand zone, hitting the previous target near 147–148 zone.
This bullish leg created a Major Break of Structure (BOS) confirming bullish dominance at that phase.
⚠️ 4. Distribution Begins: Shift in Momentum
After reaching the Major BOS area, price failed to hold higher levels.
A decline followed, indicating distribution by smart money.
The reaction was sharp and consistent, creating lower highs, signaling weakness.
🔄 5. Minor CHoCH Formation – Early Reversal Signal
A Minor Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred around the 144.000–143.000 area.
This is a key transition, where smart money transitions from bullish intent to potential bearish delivery.
📦 6. Next Target Zone – Bullish POI (Point of Interest)
The chart identifies a next target demand zone around 141.800–141.200, marked in green.
This zone:
Holds unmitigated demand
Sits below a recent liquidity pool
Aligns with past support
This is where Smart Money could re-enter, offering a long opportunity if a bullish CHoCH or BOS forms from that zone.
📊 Trade Scenarios & Forecast:
🔻 Bearish Short-Term Play (Sell Setup):
If price respects current resistance (144.500–145), and a lower high forms:
Short entry opportunity
Target: 142.000–141.200 demand zone
Confirmation: Strong bearish candle, CHoCH below minor support
🔺 Bullish Reversal Play (Buy Setup):
At the demand zone:
Look for bullish reaction + CHoCH or BOS
Long entry potential
Target: Retest of 144.000 or even 147.000 if liquidity allows
🔐 Smart Money Tactics in Play:
Liquidity Engineering:
Price trapped both bulls (at highs) and bears (below ellipse zone)
Supply into Demand Flip:
A classic trap where supply becomes a launchpad for bullish delivery
Minor CHoCH:
Early signal of intent change
Next POI (Point of Interest):
Potential reaccumulation zone below major liquidity grab
🧠 Educational Takeaway:
This analysis illustrates:
Why breakouts are often traps without confirmation
How to identify real institutional zones
The role of CHoCH/BOS in planning ahead
Importance of waiting for price to come to your levels, not chasing
⚠️ Risk & Caution:
News catalysts can cause deviation from technical levels
Always use stop loss and proper risk management
SMC is about patience and precision, not prediction
✅ Summary:
USDJPY is showing early signs of a smart money distribution and a potential pullback toward demand.
Watch closely for confirmation at the key zone (141.800–141.200) before engaging long. Until then, short setups on rallies may be favorable.
GOLD 1H – Breakout Retest or a Fragile Bullish Hope?👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆
Gold has finally broken out above the descending trendline that has capped price for weeks. We’ve already seen Leg 1, an impulsive rally from the strong support zone, and a textbook retest of the broken trendline.
If bulls hold this level, a Leg 2 continuation could unfold.
Key Factors to Watch:
✅ Strong demand zone fueling the first leg up
✅ Clean breakout and retest of descending resistance
✅ Price still hovering around EMAs (15/60)
⚠️ However, the structure is fragile – lack of follow-through could trap late buyers
⚠️ If price loses the retest area decisively, sellers may reclaim control
Trading Insight:
This is a fascinating setup for bulls—but don’t fall in love with it. Stay adaptive. The market doesn’t owe us a second leg higher. Manage risk carefully and remember: probabilities, not certainties.
Trade Safely...
#MJTrading
#Gold #XAUUSD #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #BreakoutTrading #SupportResistance #PriceAction
After all the news EUR/USD confirmed its time to pullback looking at daily up side leg extansion, almost with no retracments , it has a lot of space to fall down at least to 50% fib level , london gave couple good entry points to the downside. but its friday manage your positions more aggresive , anything could happen today,but we are bearish for the next week
Trending Tokens Are Traps they Destroy your Portfolios🚨 Why Everyone Falls for Trending Projects That End in Disaster
Have you ever bought a token just because everyone was talking about it?
And the moment you jumped in, it started crashing?
This isn’t a rare story; it’s a repeating trap. But why does our brain love buying at the worst possible moment?
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Dogecoin:
BINANCE:DOGEUSDT is currently forming a tight price structure, resembling a compressed spring just below a key daily resistance and trendline. A clean breakout above this area, supported by volume, could trigger a strong bullish continuation, with a projected upside of approximately 30 percent toward the 0.21 level. Traders should monitor this setup closely for confirmation before entering any positions. 📈🐶
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
💸 Trend Equals Triggering Your Greed
Trending coins don’t just pump prices; they pump emotions. One word: FOMO. Fear of missing out makes us ditch logic, ignore risk, and buy because it feels like everyone else is making money. That’s when the trap is set.
🧠 The Market Forgets, But You Shouldn’t
The crypto space is littered with the graves of hyped-up tokens. The cycle is always the same: quick pump, viral noise, massive retail entry, then a violent crash. The names may change, but the pattern doesn’t.
📊 Practical TradingView Tools to Spot Sketchy Trends
Before you click that “Buy” button just because something is trending, take a breath and open your charting tools. Here's a shortlist of powerful features you can use on TradingView that’ll help you filter out dangerous pump tokens:
Volume Profile: Shows where real smart money sits. If most volume spikes near the top, chances are whales are exiting.
RSI (14) : If RSI is above 70 and climbing with no pullback, odds are you're catching it too late.
Anchored VWAP: Anchor it at the start of the trend and see how far price has stretched from rational levels.
Stochastic RSI: Sharp crosses in overbought zones equal major risk signals.
Make it a habit to cross-check multiple timeframes with these tools. Blindly following trends without analysis? That’s how portfolios get burned.
🧪 Pre-Entry Checklist That Could Save You
If something feels “too hot to miss,” ask yourself:
Is the chart readable, or just a straight line up?
Are there healthy pullbacks or just blind momentum?
Is volume spiking only at the top?
Does the project show signs of organic market interest?
Do your TradingView tools confirm a smart entry?
Stick to this list, and you’ll avoid being just another exit-liquidity victim.
🕵️ Spotting Fake Pumps Before It’s Too Late
Here are the red flags no one talks about but every rug has them:
Massive vertical candles in low timeframes
Chaotic candlestick structures with no rhythm
Sharp volatility without any legit updates
Sudden spikes in follower hype and buzz
Real analysts don’t get excited when everyone else is; they start questioning why.
💥 Even Pro Traders Get Caught
Yes, even experienced traders can fall for a perfectly staged hype cycle. Why? Because human brains are wired to chase the crowd. That’s why having a pre-built system is critical. If you rely on gut feelings in a FOMO storm, you’re gambling.
✨ Need a little love!
We put so much love and time into bringing you useful content & your support truly keeps us going. don’t be shy—drop a comment below. We’d love to hear from you! 💛
Big thanks , Mad Whale 🐋
📜Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
XAGUSD Analysis : Consolidation & FMFR Setup + Target🧭 Technical Overview:
Silver has had a strong bullish rally that started after the breakout of a long-term symmetrical triangle pattern. This breakout marked a Major Break of Structure (BOS) and shifted the overall market sentiment toward the bulls. Since then, price has been consolidating under a major resistance zone, forming a compression range, which is now shown as a blue elliptical zone in the chart.
This ellipse is not just a consolidation area — it represents a neutral compression zone where price can explode in either direction. The price action inside this area has been choppy and manipulative, sweeping both local highs and lows without real follow-through — a perfect environment for a Fake Move – then Reversal (FMFR) strategy.
🔍 Key Chart Components:
🔹 1. Ellipse (Dual Directional Zone)
This region shows indecision. Price is coiling inside, creating higher lows and lower highs — a volatility squeeze. A breakout from this ellipse is likely, but the first breakout move may be fake, followed by a quick reversal.
🔹 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure)
Price broke out of a long-term descending structure and pushed strongly upward, which marked a significant bullish shift. The pullback after that BOS was shallow — a sign of continued strength — but now we’re at a decision point.
🔹 3. Resistance Zone (Previous Target Area)
The price is now retesting a strong historical resistance around $37.00–$38.00, where we’ve seen rejections before. This is the liquidity zone where breakout traders enter long, but institutions may sweep them for liquidity before reversing.
🔹 4. Minor and Major CHoCH Levels
Minor CHoCH: Around $35.00–$35.50
Major CHoCH: Near $33.80–$34.00
These are reversal zones to watch if a fake move to the upside occurs and price rolls over.
📉 FMFR Setup Explained:
FMFR (First Move Fake Reversal) is a market behavior pattern where:
Price fakes a breakout in one direction (e.g., above resistance).
Attracts liquidity (traders’ orders).
Reverses rapidly in the opposite direction, trapping those who entered late.
In your chart, the blue notes say:
“In This Case, XAGUSD Have to Gave FMFR From Anyside”
“First Move Fake Then Reversal”
This highlights that no matter which direction the market initially breaks, it’s likely to reverse shortly afterward. This pattern is often seen before major moves when the market seeks to clear liquidity.
🔄 Scenarios to Watch:
🅰️ Bull Trap (Fake Breakout)
Price spikes above $37.80–$38.00.
Sweeps the highs and rejects sharply.
Reversal triggers below the ellipse, heading toward minor/major CHoCH.
🅱️ Bear Trap (Fake Breakdown)
Price dips below $35.00 (minor CHoCH).
Triggers panic sells.
Then rebounds quickly into the previous high zone or beyond.
⚙️ Trading Strategy Ideas:
Wait for Confirmation: Enter only after a confirmed breakout and retest OR a fakeout with reversal candles (e.g., engulfing, pin bar).
Use Tight Risk Management: Place stops outside sweep zones. This setup is volatile and can trap undisciplined trades.
Watch Volume & Wicks: Spikes with wicks and no close beyond the level usually confirm FMFR setups.
🔐 Key Levels to Watch:
Zone Price Level Action
Major Resistance $37.00–$38.00 Watch for fakeouts
Minor CHoCH ~$35.00–$35.50 Reversal entry zone
Major CHoCH ~$33.80 Last line of bullish defense
📝 Final Thoughts:
This is a textbook FMFR compression setup, where volatility is building inside a symmetrical price zone. The first aggressive move from this region is likely to be deceptive. Smart money traders look for trap setups, not the obvious direction. Silver is approaching a high-risk, high-reward decision zone, and staying patient will be key.
📊 Wait. Observe. React — don’t predict blindly.
BTCUSD 4hr Technical Analysis : Rejects $110K - Next TargetsOverview:
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a significant technical correction after rejecting a strong resistance level. The 4-hour chart shows a decisive bearish breakdown, suggesting that the bulls are losing control and sellers are gaining momentum. As the price continues to fall, all eyes are now on the major support levels that could trigger a potential reversal—or further acceleration to the downside.
📊 Technical Breakdown:
1. Major Resistance Zone (~$110,000 – $111,000):
This zone has acted as a strong supply area, where price has repeatedly failed to break through. Multiple rejections from this zone confirm it as a key distribution area, where large sellers are stepping in. The repeated failure to close above it shows market exhaustion at the highs.
Multiple candle wicks and strong bearish closes around this area.
Bull traps occurred after brief moves above this resistance, followed by sharp sell-offs.
2. Trendline Breakout:
Previously, BTC had been respecting a rising ascending trendline, which served as dynamic support throughout the last rally. Recently, price broke below this trendline with strong bearish momentum.
This marks a break in market structure.
The trendline retest acted as resistance—textbook confirmation of the trend shift.
3. QFL (Quantity Following Line) Breakdown:
The QFL zone, typically a bullish defense level, has failed to hold. This breakdown confirmed that bulls lost a critical level of control.
Price briefly retested the QFL from below before continuing downward.
This zone now acts as resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
🔻 Downside Targets & Reversal Zones:
✅ Reversal Zone 1 (~$106,000):
This minor support level provided minimal reaction and was quickly breached.
Lack of volume or candle confirmation suggests weak buying interest here.
✅ Next Reversal Zone 2 (~$104,000):
This zone has historical importance as a short-term demand area.
Monitor closely for bullish candlestick patterns, volume spikes, or bullish divergences to assess potential bounce scenarios.
✅ Major Support Zone (~$102,000 – $100,000):
This is the most critical level in the near term.
Historically, price has reversed strongly from this zone, indicating strong buyer interest.
If price breaks and closes below this level, expect a high-probability continuation towards the $98,000 psychological level or lower.
🧠 Market Psychology:
The breakdown from the trendline and QFL indicates panic or profit-taking.
Many late long positions are likely being liquidated.
Smart money may be waiting at the $100K zone to accumulate, depending on market conditions and macro factors.
🎯 Trading Strategy Ideas:
🛑 For Bears (Shorts):
Stay short below $110K resistance.
Trail stop-loss above QFL zone or trendline breakdown.
Look to take profit at $104K and $102K zones.
Add to positions on confirmed bearish retests of broken supports.
📈 For Bulls (Longs):
Wait for clear confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing, double bottom, RSI divergence) near $104K or $102K before entering.
Avoid catching falling knives—patience is key.
Consider scaling in with smaller position sizes and tight stops.
Watch for a reclaim of the QFL zone or a strong bounce from the $100K psychological level.
🧭 Bias: Bearish
Structure: Lower highs & lower lows.
Momentum: Selling volume increasing, bulls losing steam.
Invalidation: A strong daily close above $111K would flip bias back to neutral/bullish.
🧩 Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is currently in a fragile state as it retraces from a failed breakout. With multiple key support zones ahead, the next few sessions will be critical in determining whether bulls can reclaim control or if we see deeper downside movement. Watch for signs of exhaustion from sellers or fresh accumulation zones to position accordingly.
German30The Asian session traded fairly low today looking to target yesterdays low however we are forming a bullish flag pattern indicating that we will continue the uptrend.
We will take advantage of this opportunity and look to target 200 pips on this setup. Remember to always trade cautiously and like and subscriber for more A+ setups
GOLD (XAUUSD) 4H Technical Analysis – Channel Breakout & Target🧠 Executive Summary:
The GOLD market has completed a key structural shift following a successful bearish trendline breakout, and is now trading within a well-formed ascending price channel. Price action has recently bounced from the channel support area, which aligns closely with a retested zone that was previously resistance. All signs now point to a potential continuation of the bullish leg—but only if the current structure holds.
This analysis outlines the technical foundation, key trading zones, price action psychology, and risk management factors that define this setup.
🔍 Technical Breakdown
🔸 1. Trendline Breakout – The Structural Shift
The bearish trendline, which previously capped multiple upside moves throughout June, has finally been broken.
The breakout was accompanied by higher volume and larger bullish candles, indicating momentum.
After the breakout, price pulled back near the trendline and respected the newly flipped support zone.
This forms a classic Breakout–Retest–Continuation pattern, one of the most reliable in trend reversal scenarios.
🔸 2. Formation of Ascending Channel – A New Bullish Structure
After the breakout, price action established a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, confirming the birth of a new ascending channel.
The channel support (around 3,320–3,330) has been tested multiple times and held strong.
The channel resistance lies between 3,390–3,400, which is now the next short-term target if bulls maintain control.
The channel offers both trend direction and entry timing opportunities as price bounces between its boundaries.
🔸 3. Retest Zone – Buyer’s Territory
The price is currently bouncing off the mid-channel zone, where the previous downtrend resistance overlaps with current channel support.
This confluence area is where smart money often enters after institutional accumulation at the base (around 3,270).
The bullish wick rejections around this zone signal a likely continuation toward the upper channel.
📈 Price Behavior & Market Psychology
What’s happening here isn't just lines and candles—there’s a psychological story unfolding:
Fear drove the market lower, respecting the bearish trendline until late June.
Hope and buyer aggression surged once the breakout confirmed.
Now we’re in the "belief" phase, where traders await confirmation of the new trend.
Many are watching for entry confirmation at support zones, and as long as fear doesn’t return (i.e., price breaking below 3,320), the structure remains valid.
🧭 Key Technical Levels to Watch
Level Type Price Range Notes
Major Support Zone 3,270–3,285 Key buyer zone, invalidation of bullish case below this
Channel Support 3,320–3,330 Retest zone after breakout, current active level
Mid-Channel Area 3,350–3,360 Decision zone – price may build momentum here
Channel Resistance 3,390–3,400 First bullish target, potential breakout area
Breakout Target 3,420–3,440 If price breaks channel resistance with volume
🧮 Trade Setup Ideas (Educational – Not Financial Advice)
🟢 Long Setup Option 1:
Entry: Upon confirmation above 3,340–3,345 with bullish engulfing candle or breakout bar.
Stop-Loss: Below 3,320 or slightly below channel support.
Take Profit: Partial at 3,390 (channel top), full at 3,420–3,440 breakout zone.
R:R Ratio: 1:2.5+ (highly favorable)
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Risk Management)
If price closes below 3,320 with momentum, expect a revisit to the 3,270–3,285 support.
This invalidates the current bullish channel structure and might bring in short-term bearish pressure.
Avoid long positions until new structure is formed.
🧠 Educational Takeaway for Traders
This analysis highlights the importance of:
Structure-based entries: Instead of chasing candles, you wait for confluence and entry triggers.
Multiple timeframe confirmation: Higher timeframes also show bullish bias, giving confidence to 4H trades.
Risk management: The current setup allows tight stop losses relative to potential reward, making it attractive.
By combining trendline breakouts, channel formations, and support/resistance flips, you significantly increase the probability of a successful trade.
📌 Final Thoughts:
Gold is giving traders a clean and structured opportunity. The market has shown strength through structure, not just random price spikes. With the ascending channel intact and price respecting support zones, there is a solid foundation for a bullish continuation toward 3,400 and beyond.
But as always, confirmation is key. Wait for price action to validate your bias, and never ignore risk management.
Motisons Jewellers Swing Trade Setup🟢 Motisons Jewellers Swing Trade Setup
📅 Entry: ₹22.08 on June 29, 2025
🎯 Target: ₹30 (Upside ~36%)
🛑 Stop-Loss: ₹21.25 (Tight) / ₹20.60 (Moderate)
📈 Trend: Bullish breakout above consolidation zone
🔍 Signals: Strong momentum, RSI ~66, trading above key moving averages
📊 Next Levels:
Breakout zone: ₹22.20
Resistance: ₹24.50 → ₹30
Key support: ₹21.25 → ₹20.60
💡 Strategy: Trailing SL as price moves; watch volume for confirmation.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is not investment advice. The analysis is for educational purposes only. Please do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Will this breakout unlock 17% gains toward the $16 target?Hello, ✌
All previous targets were nailed ✅! Now, let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Chain LINK 🔍📈.
BINANCE:LINKUSDT is currently testing the psychological daily resistance zone around the $14.00 level. A confirmed breakout above this area could open the way for a potential upside move of roughly 17%, with the next key target around $16.00. Price action near this zone should be watched closely for either rejection or continuation. 🚀📈
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Can Solana reach $175 target after breaking $160 level?Hello,✌
let’s dive into a full analysis of the upcoming price potential for Solana 🔍📈.
BINANCE:SOLUSDT is approaching a crucial daily resistance level between $150 and $160. A clear break above this zone could lead to a 15% upside, with a target near $175 🚀. Keep an eye on volume for confirmation before entering the trade 📈.
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Enagas Joins Forces to Develop the BarMar Hydrogen PipelineNaTran, Enagás and Terega Join Forces to Develop the BarMar Hydrogen Pipeline
Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
French company NaTran, a subsidiary of energy giant Engie, has announced the creation of a joint venture with Spanish firm Enagás and gas infrastructure operator Terega to develop the BarMar hydrogen pipeline—a key connection for the transport of green hydrogen between the Iberian Peninsula and France. The announcement follows last week’s approval of European funds that will cover 50% of the project’s development costs, strengthening its economic and strategic viability. BarMar is part of the broader H2Med corridor, which aims to position Spain as a renewable hydrogen export hub to Europe’s industrial heartland.
Fundamental Analysis of Enagás
Enagás (ENG.MC) is a strategic operator within Europe’s gas infrastructure and has, in recent years, taken clear steps toward the transportation of renewable gases such as hydrogen and biomethane. Its involvement in projects like BarMar and H2Med reinforces its role as a key player in the decarbonisation of the European energy sector. Financially, Enagás maintains a stable distribution policy, offering a dividend yield above 8%, one of the highest in the IBEX 35. However, its growth potential is limited by the maturity and regulatory nature of its core business. That said, new investments in energy transition projects could serve as medium- to long-term growth catalysts, diversifying its revenue profile. Moreover, its participation in EU-backed consortia improves financial visibility and provides solid institutional support.
Technical Analysis of Enagás
In today’s session, Enagás shares (ENG.MC) opened at €13.65, following a week of corrective moves that concluded last Thursday. Since May, the stock has shown a lateral consolidation pattern between €13.50 and €14.00, the current yearly highs. This range has acted as a technical pause after the declines recorded between April and May. Despite recent pullbacks, the broader structure remains bullish, and the price is currently positioned at a relevant support zone: last year's highs, which now serve as a technical base. If this support holds, a sustained breakout above €14 could pave the way toward €14.75—the highs of 2023. Conversely, a breakdown below €13.50 could send the price toward the current point of control (PoC) around €12.83, where the highest recent trading volume is concentrated. The daily RSI is near the neutral 50 level, indicating a market in consolidation, with no clear signs of overbought or oversold conditions. Meanwhile, a golden cross formed in April remains in place, supporting the idea of accumulation at current levels. However, the MACD shows a downward slope, suggesting that selling pressure has not fully subsided and that further tests of support or even an extended correction may occur if buying volume remains weak.
Conclusion
Enagás is at a technically pivotal stage, with key support at €13.50 and potential upside toward €14.75 if resistance is breached. The company’s involvement in the BarMar project not only highlights its strategic role in Europe’s energy infrastructure but also strengthens its position in the emerging energy model. While the technical outlook suggests short-term equilibrium with potential volatility, the fundamentals point to a stable profile, backed by energy transition investments and institutional support.
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