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Beyond Technical Analysis

Textbook Cup and Handle Pattern on FartcoinThe crypto market has been rather lagging - in terms of performance - compared to other markets, as Bitcoin continues to range around the 100k range with every correction impacting altcoins to a higher degree. However, I believe that a bullish rally for crypto is imminent, and within crypto, the memecoin sector, specifically, will outperform all other assets. Macro Factors - The possible end (or at least temporary halt) to the wars (Iran-Israel, Ukraine-Russia). History has proven that equity markets continue to rally regardless of ongoing wars, but given that we see the situation de-escalate, we could expect further attention and conviction towards risk-on assets. - Fed's potential rate cuts in July. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision stated that if inflation remains tame, the Fed should begin lowering rates as soon as July (and it probably will). This will mark the end for quantitative tapering, and we'll begin to see massive liquidity flow back into the markets. - GENIUS Act (Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act): Essentially, the United States government will allow cryptocurrency (stablecoins) use within their regulatory boundaries, as it aligns with their strategic interests. Entities like Circle purchase US Bonds as collateral for their USDC stablecoins, which means that it's a win for both the US government and cryptocurrency market participants. I believe that we'll see an inflow of capital into the cryptocurrency markets, through stablecoins, some of which, if not the vast majority, will flow into risk-on assets like memecoins. Technical Analysis - From a TA perspective, there are multiple memecoins that present a massive opportunity, one of which is Fartcoin. - We can spot a textbook cup and handle pattern on the daily chart, after a whopping 90% drawdown from its all time highs. - We are currently seeing the formation of a handle, which is presented through the descending parallel channel. - Within the channel, there's also a textbook corrective ABC wave, as the ascending part of the cup has an impulse 12345 wave count. - Applying textbook charting techniques on this chart, we can consider an upside to the same degree as the depth of the cup, which would teleport Fartcoin's price to $2.8 levels - a 160% upside from the current price.
CRYPTO:FARTCOINUSDLong
by Michael_Wang_Official
Scalp Safe Entry Zone ARQQScalp Short Term 15M Chart. Green Zone is Buy. Take Profit is sell. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NASDAQ:ARQQ
by Faisalzor
MSTR Bulls Reload on BTC ConvictionMSTR – Institutional Flow + BTC Correlation + Bull Vertical Spread Setup MicroStrategy (MSTR), operating as “Strategy,” just went full throttle—adding 10,100 BTC between June 9–15 at an average of $104,080 per coin, totaling over $1.05B. With this, they now hold 592,100 BTC (>$63B), solidifying their status as the largest Bitcoin-holding public company. That’s a bold move amid the ongoing Israel-Iran macro uncertainty, signaling confidence, not caution. This latest BTC buy was funded via STRK and STRF ATM offerings and the $979.7M STRD preferred IPO. Since initiating their Bitcoin treasury strategy in 2020, MSTR has soared over 3,000%, and they’re projecting a 25% BTC yield for 2025 after already clocking in at 13.7% YTD. 🔎 Flow Watch Institutional activity around current price levels has been sharp—confirming conviction behind the recent momentum. With BTC hovering at critical support, I’m eyeing a potential short-term bullish reversal. Given the tight correlation between BTC and MSTR, the setup looks primed. 🎯 My Strategy I’m targeting a bull vertical spread—buying the 382.5 call and selling the 385 call. This defined-risk, limited-reward setup positions me to capture near-term upside if BTC begins a rebound and MSTR follows suit. The tight strike range and elevated IV make it ideal for a premium-efficient directional bet.
NASDAQ:MSTRLong
by Wiiso
2/1/15I’ve found a fractal on Bitcoin. Today is June 25, 2025, 13:22 — I’m analyzing the 2-hour timeframe from the high on May 22 up to today, and the same pattern of pre-accumulation is forming as in 2024, from March 13 to July 29, 2024. We are also inside a pattern I named “Dragon’s Wings.” It forms two peaks at the highs after a strong rally, and the shared low between them creates a deep retracement. Whether this pattern leads to the beginning of a major drop and a bear cycle, or whether it’s a pre-accumulation structure in a buffer zone, depends on the area in which it forms. In this case, the 93–74K zone is potentially a re-accumulation zone, with a reversal to the upside — possibly taking Bitcoin above $140,000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FTT_TRADER369
Extra, pre market — June 25, 2025Global financial markets mounted a broad-based relief rally as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East eased significantly following a ceasefire between Israel and Iran. The U.S.-brokered truce, while fragile, has triggered a visible return to risk appetite across equity, fixed income, and currency markets. U.S. President Donald Trump, despite playing a central role in halting the conflict, publicly rebuked both Israel and Iran for violations, urging Israel via Truth Social to “BRING YOUR PILOTS HOME, NOW!” This unusual stance appears to have stabilized sentiment across asset classes, at least for now. U.S. equity markets responded favorably to the geopolitical de-escalation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average surged by +507.24 points (+1.2%) to close at 43,089.02, while the Nasdaq 100 added +334.19 points (+1.5%) to end at 22,190.52. The S&P 500 rose +67.01 points (+1.1%), settling at 6,092.18 (Screenshot_1.png). The Russell 2000 also climbed +1.1%, driven by renewed confidence in domestic cyclicals. Volatility sharply dropped, with the CBOE VIX Index falling -11.9% to 17.48, indicating a lower perceived risk premium. Sector rotation was pronounced. Technology (XLK) led with a +1.8% gain to $247.24, closely followed by Financials (XLF) at +1.5%, and Communications (XLC) at +1.3%. In contrast, Energy (XLE) sank -1.3% to $84.91, weighed down by falling oil prices, and Consumer Staples (XLP) edged down slightly by -0.1% (Screenshot_1.png). Investors appeared to rotate out of defensive sectors into higher-beta growth plays, signaling a risk-on tone. The sector divergence was matched by style factor dispersion. On a relative basis, Private Equity (PSP/SPY) outperformed all other factors with a +1.2% daily move, followed by IPOs (IPO/SPY) at +0.9% and Hedge Funds (GURU/SPY) at +0.6% (Screenshot_6.png). Among equity styles, Small-Cap Growth (IJT/SPY) posted a +0.6% relative return, while Value (IVE/SPY) and Low Volatility (USMV/SPY) underperformed at -0.3% and -0.6% respectively. This points to growing investor confidence in higher-risk, higher-reward assets, likely fueled by reduced macro stress. The relief was also evident in global bond markets. U.S. Treasury yields declined modestly as demand for duration returned. The 10-year yield (US10Y) closed at 4.298%, down from earlier June highs, while the 2-year (US2Y) yield dropped to 3.797% (Screenshot_5.png). European yields followed suit: Germany’s 10Y Bund yield dropped to 2.144%, and the UK Gilt yield hovered at 4.475%. Notably, Japanese 10Y yields have increased to 1.404%, up 22.88% YTD, signaling shifting monetary dynamics in Asia. Credit markets remained resilient. On a year-to-date basis, Local Emerging Market Bonds (EMLC) are outperforming with an 11.3% return, followed by USD Emerging Market Debt (EMB +6.9%), and Convertibles (CWB +5.2%). U.S. Corporate bonds continued to benefit from carry and spread compression, with High Yield (HYG) and Investment Grade (LQD) both showing solid inflows and positive performance (Screenshot_4.png). Fixed income appears to be balancing carry with renewed duration appeal amid easing geopolitical risk and softer Fed expectations. Commodities, particularly energy, experienced sharp reversals. WTI Crude Oil (CL1) and Brent Crude (CO1) fell 6.0% and 6.1% respectively, closing at $64.37 and $67.14 (Screenshot_7.png). This move reflects the de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz risk and was compounded by Trump's call to "DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!"—signaling a political push for increased U.S. production. Gold, meanwhile, retreated slightly to $3,328.22 (-0.1%), though remains up 28.4% YTD, having benefited from haven flows during the height of the conflict. Silver saw a similar retreat to $35.74 (-0.5%), though retains a +23.6% YTD gain. In foreign exchange, the U.S. dollar weakened across major pairs as safe-haven demand declined. The EUR/USD rose to 1.1606 (+8.5% YTD), while the GBP/USD reached 1.3612 (+7.6% YTD). In contrast, the USD/JPY fell to 145.75, marking a -8.7% YTD decline (Screenshot_10.png). The reversal in dollar strength aligns with broader global reflation trades and a moderation in Fed hawkishness, supported by Chair Powell’s comments that the U.S. economy remains “solid” and that tariff impacts may be more muted than feared. On a global equity level, YTD returns tell a diverse story. Latin America continues to dominate, with Argentina (ARGT +54.2%), Brazil (EWZ +22.6%), and Mexico (EWW +22.0%) leading gains (Screenshot_9.png). Among developed markets, Canada (EWC +27.5%) and Germany (EWG +18.7%) outshine, whereas Turkey (TUR -25.2%) and India (PIN -0.75%) lag meaningfully. In Asia, South Korea (EWY +14.8%) and Taiwan (EWT +13.6%) saw notable performance, bolstered by strength in tech exports and domestic policy easing. Looking ahead, the sustainability of this rally depends on several unresolved variables. First, the Middle East ceasefire, while currently holding, is inherently fragile. Any renewed hostilities could spike volatility and reverse energy price trends rapidly. Second, the Fed remains in a delicate position. Markets are currently pricing in a prolonged pause, but Trump’s pressure on the central bank and shifting economic data could alter expectations quickly. Finally, watch for China’s re-entry into Iranian oil markets following Trump’s announcement that Beijing “can now continue to purchase oil from Iran.” This move could reignite trade friction or trigger secondary sanctions, especially if EU or U.S. energy security concerns are heightened. In conclusion, the combination of geopolitical relief, Fed ambiguity, and a rotation into riskier assets has created a fertile environment for short-term bullish momentum. However, macro fragility persists. Investors should remain tactically optimistic but structurally cautious, especially in sectors sensitive to energy prices and interest rates. Keeping a diversified allocation across risk assets, commodities, and high-quality fixed income remains advisable in this unpredictable macro regime.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
MU Micron Technology Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought MU before the rally: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MU Micron Technology prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 128usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-6-27, for a premium of approximately $5.52. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MULong
by TopgOptions
MKC McCormick & Company Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of MKC McCormick & Company prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 85usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2026-1-16, for a premium of approximately $1.40. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:MKCLong
by TopgOptions
rePOST - SPX Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 SPX Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 After consolidating in a tight range earlier this month, SPX printed a subtle but significant outside day on Friday — breaking Thursday’s high by just 0.01 and forming a broadening formation. Like QQQ , this pattern reflects indecision and a potential shift in structure as bulls and bears battle for control. The short-term range is wide, with support at 5963.21 and resistance near 6026.68. Holding above 5963 can keep buyers in and opens the door for a retest of the psychological 6000 level, followed by 6059.40 (all-time high). However, a close back below 5963.21 could open the path for a quick flush toward 5900. Key intraday levels to watch include 5929, 5940.03, 5954.06, 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68, 6044.56, and 6059.21. Technical Summary • Structure: Outside day Friday formed a broadening formation • Event Note: Slight break of Thursday’s high by 0.01 confirms outside bar structure • Daytrade Pivots: 5929, 5940.03, 5954.06, 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68 • Macro View: SPX improves technically above 6000; breakout confirmed over 6026.68 • Downside Risk: Failure to close above 5963.21 could trigger fast move toward 5900 • Momentum Bias: Neutral to bearish until 6000+ is reclaimed and defended Key Levels to Watch 🟢 Upside Resistance: 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68, 6044.56, 6059.21, 6059.40 (ATH) 🔴 Downside Support: 5963.21 (must hold), 5954.06, 5940.03, 5929 Trade Plan • Hold above 5963.21 keeps upside scenario intact — look for reclaim of 5974.86 and 6000+ • Close below 5963.21 flips structure and may accelerate toward 5929, possibly 5900 • Scalps remain viable near 5954–6002 using intraday reactions at key levels Decision Map 🟩 IF SPX HOLDS ABOVE 5963.21 → reclaim 5974.86 → target 5989.43 → 6002.32 → breakout toward 6026.68 → 6059.40 (ATH) 🟥 IF SPX BREAKS BELOW 5963.21 → watch 5954.06 → 5940.03 → 5929 → 5900 possible flush Primary Trade Zone: 5954–6002 Alert Levels Set alerts above: 5974.86, 6002.32, 6026.68 Set alerts below: 5963.21, 5940.03, 5929 This Week’s Key Catalysts for SPX This week’s economic calendar is packed with market-moving data that will likely influence SPX and broader risk appetite. • Tuesday, June 24: Fed Chair Powell testifies to the House Financial Services Committee. His tone and guidance on future policy will be a primary driver for market direction. The same day also includes Consumer Confidence (June) and Fed commentary from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack — both potentially impactful. • Thursday, June 26: Heavy data day with initial jobless claims, durable goods orders (May), core goods data, and the second revision of Q1 GDP. These reports will offer insight into both the labor market and the broader health of the U.S. economy. • Friday, June 27: The most important inflation data of the week arrives with the PCE index and Core PCE (May). These are the Fed’s preferred inflation gauges and could shape expectations for a rate cut later this summer. Overall, market participants will be closely watching Powell’s tone, inflation data, and any sign of slowing growth. Combined with Friday’s outside day and broadening structure, SPX is positioned for a move — the catalyst will determine the direction.
SP:SPX
by MoneyFlow_Options_Community
RePOST - Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 QQQ Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 After a strong rally earlier in June, QQQ printed a wide daily broadening formation on Friday with an outside day that expanded Thursday’s range. This pattern signals indecision and possible structural recalibration. The final minutes of trading saw significant volatility due to quad witching flows, as institutions unwound or rolled large options positions. Monday’s open will be critical to confirm whether bulls hold or if a breakdown unfolds. The short-term range is wide, with support at 525.89 and resistance near 533.66. A breakout above 533.66 opens the door to all-time highs around 536.78. On the downside, an unfilled fair value gap spans 522.70 to 520.69, which could attract price if weakness develops. Intraday traders should watch pivots at 525.89, 527.27, 528.61, and 530.45 for scalps and key reactions. Technical Summary • Structure: Outside day forming a wide daily broadening formation • Friday Note: Quad witching flows in the final minutes caused order flow imbalances and aggressive re-hedging • Daytrade Pivots: 525.89, 527.27, 528.61, and 530.45 remain active intraday reaction points • Macro View: Clean daily close above 533.66 supports upside momentum and breakout potential • Downside Risk: Unfilled fair value gap from 522.70 to 520.69; holding above 525.89 early week is critical • Momentum Bias: Friday’s candle signals indecision; Monday likely to define near-term direction Key Levels to Watch 🟢 Upside Resistance: 527.27 (reclaim level), 528.61 (mid-range pivot), 530.45 (resistance zone), 531.87 (continuation trigger), 533.66 (breakout confirmation), 536.78 (all-time high territory) 🔴 Downside Support: 525.89 (must hold early week), 524.02 (range low / breakdown trigger), 522.70 (FVG gap top), 520.69 (FVG gap bottom), 519.86 (trend support) Trade Plan • Hold above 525.89 to target 533+ early in the week • Daily close above 533.66 signals potential breakout run • Break below 524.02 shifts focus to gap fill 522.70–520.69 • Intraday scalps effective between 525.89 and 530.45 Decision Map 🟩 IF QQQ HOLDS ABOVE 525.89 → reclaim 527.27 / 528.61 → target 530.45 → 533.66 → breakout toward 536.78 (ATH) 🟥 IF QQQ BREAKS BELOW 525.89 → watch 524.02 (structure break) → target 522.70 → 520.69 (gap fill) → trend pivot 519.86 Primary Trade Zone: 525.89–530.45 Alert List for Key Levels Set alerts above price: 527.27, 530.45, 533.66 Set alerts below price: 525.89, 524.02, 522.70, 520.69 This Week’s Key Catalysts for QQQ QQQ ’s price action this week will be influenced by a combination of major economic releases and Fed commentary, alongside ongoing macro and geopolitical factors impacting the tech sector. • The most important catalyst is Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony to the House Financial Services Committee on Tuesday, June 24. Powell’s remarks on the economic outlook and future rate policy could drive volatility and directional bias in QQQ , especially given market anticipation around possible rate cuts later this year. • Additional Fed insights will come from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack’s speeches on Tuesday and Thursday, which could reinforce or add nuance to Powell’s tone. • Inflation and economic data releases throughout the week—including durable goods orders, GDP revisions, consumer sentiment, and personal income/spending reports—will help shape market expectations for Fed policy, a major driver for growth stocks like those in $QQQ. • The quad witching event last Friday increased short-term volatility and order flow imbalances, impacting the current technical setup. • Longer-term geopolitical issues, including export restrictions on semiconductor technology and institutional buying trends, remain background factors but are less likely to move QQQ sharply this week absent new headlines. Traders should monitor these catalysts closely and combine them with technical levels and price action to navigate the week effectively.
NASDAQ:QQQ
by MoneyFlow_Options_Community
NKE NIKE Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold NKE before the previous earnings: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NKE NIKE prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 62usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2025-7-3, for a premium of approximately $2.29. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:NKELong
by TopgOptions
GBPUSD I H4 CLS I KL - DOB I Liquidity on TOPHey, Market Warriors, here is another outlook on this instrument If you’ve been following me, you already know every setup you see is built around a CLS Footprint, a Key Level, Liquidity and a specific execution model. If you haven't followed me yet, start now. My trading system is completely mechanical — designed to remove emotions, opinions, and impulsive decisions. No messy diagonal lines. No random drawings. Just clarity, structure, and execution. 🧩 What is CLS? CLS is real smart money — the combined power of major investment banks and central banks moving over 6.5 trillion dollars a day. Understanding their operations is key to markets. ✅ Understanding the behavior of CLS allows you to position yourself with the giants during the market manipulations — leading to buying lows and selling highs - cleaner entries, clearer exits, and consistent profits. 📍 Model 1 is right after the manipulation of the CLS candle when CIOD occurs, and we are targeting 50% of the CLS range. H4 CLS ranges supported by HTF go straight to the opposing range. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️ 👍 Hit like if you find this analysis helpful, and don't hesitate to comment with your opinions, charts or any questions.
Long
by David_Perk
36
ZEREBROUSDT Bullish Outlook with Precision Entrycore bullish bias is predicated on the observed completion of sell-side liquidity sweeps across the 4H, 2H, 1H, and 30M timeframes. Concurrently, buy-side liquidity (BSL) on the 30M timeframe is actively being targeted, with the 15M BSL already confirmed as "finished" within this larger zone. targeting the 0.02701 price level. This specific price point presents a high-confluence zone, aligning with both the Fair Value Gap (FVG) identified on the 15M and 5M charts, and the Balance Price Range (BPR) from the 1H timeframe. These technical constructs suggest an area where price inefficiencies may be rebalanced before an upward continuation.
Long
by Senku010
1
BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel📍 BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel Bitcoin has surged sharply from the lower boundary of its descending channel and is now reaching another “Edge” — the upper resistance line. 🎯 Two Key Scenarios: 🟩 Bullish Breakout: A clear breakout above ~$108,000 with strong volume could initiate a new leg toward $111K and beyond 🟨 Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the channel may lead to a corrective wave back toward $103K or lower This is a classic "decision point" — where market structure and momentum meet supply and resistance. — #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TheEdge #ChannelTrading #EMA #BitcoinResistance #MJTrading #CryptoSetup #SwingTrade #MarketStructure #BreakoutOrRejection #KeyLevel #TrendWatch
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MJElahifx