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Beyond Technical Analysis

Long? Yes I Am-genNothing revolutionary here today, just an algo call on a stock that has been a solid performer for me historically. The rationale: --In a trading range longer term, but a short/medium term uptrend --right at short term support level --1313-1* W/L record with my algo (the 1 being 2 days ago and still would be open) --Avg. gain per trade is just over 2% ---Avg daily return is about 2.5x that of stocks in general, long term Initial entry was at 305.70. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:AMGNLong
by redwingcoach
1
GBP/USD Trend Today - Bearish?🔔🔔 GBP/USd news: 👉Weaker-than-expected inflation data pressured the British Pound in early European trading on Wednesday. Later in the day, the UK's Office for Budget Responsibility announced a downward revision of its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 1%, leading to a decline in GBP/USD. While presenting the Spring Budget, UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves highlighted the increasing instability of the global economy and announced cuts to planned government spending. 👉 On Thursday, the U.S. Department of Labor will release the weekly Initial Jobless Claims data, with markets expecting a rise to 225,000 from the previous 223,000. A significant drop in this figure could strengthen the U.S. dollar and push GBP/USD lower. 👉Meanwhile, market sentiment remains cautious early Thursday following the latest remarks from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding tariffs. 👉 If safe-haven flows dominate financial markets later in the day, GBP/USD may struggle to maintain its position. Personal opinion: 👉GBP/USD will continue to decline as this pair is vulnerable to potential risks from the trade war. 👉Moreover, a part of investors will turn to safe havens such as gold to keep their assets. So this pair will still be limited in the near future Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell GGBP/USD 1.2970 – 1.2980 ❌SL: 1.3010 | ✅TP: 1.2920 – 1.2870 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
Price action at its finest !!!!!!!Up until one fathoms particular concepts of a pairs currency maneuvers; the goal of achieving financial liberation in the forex market is downright toilet water! 💩 Do all right for yourself and probe PRICE ACTION with the aim of mastering its constituents unreservedly. As in the present case Candlesticks Anatomy Candlestick patterns The Market structure Time frames and top down analysis Trading strategies and tactics Money management Stay connected🤞 Bullish play
Long
by AlWu7
RDDT Bearish Breakdown – Targeting Gap Fill $80 Loving this sell off on RDDT - RDDT (Reddit, Inc.) has experienced a steep decline after a strong rally, and is currently trading around $110.44. The chart highlights a significant gap zone between approximately $85 and $105, suggesting a potential gap-fill. SOLO Price Prediction: The analysis predicts that once this gap is filled, RDDT could continue its downtrend toward a major support level at $14.50. This bearish outlook implies substantial downside risk, with the $14.50 level acting as a long-term target for price correction.
NYSE:RDDTShort
by solocapital2030
1
NZDCAD - Looking for bearish continuationMy chart describes exactly what I am seeing. My own bias is to the downside. This is not a trade recommendation, merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose and carefully manage your capital and risk. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
4
Feeling lost in crypto? Learn how to improve your strategy with my 5-step method before the bull run ends. Read this thread to learn more. 🧵 I. Make sure to hold at least 75% of your portfolio in CRYPTOCAP:BTC during the market's CRYPTOCAP:BTC season. This ensures that whenever CRYPTOCAP:BTC sells off, the effect on your portfolio is minimal. It has become clear that when CRYPTOCAP:BTC slips, you can lose up to 90% of your altcoin portfolio in a few days or weeks, but if you hold CRYPTOCAP:BTC , this won't affect you as much. II. Don't be afraid to sit in stablecoins whilst you wait for a market stabilisation or clear trend. Sitting in stablecoins is great because it shows you have patience, and if you don't have patience, you will FOMO in at the top and then get wrecked on a small CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback. Many great protocols offer good APYs on USDC or USDT, especially in the CRYPTOCAP:SOL and CRYPTOCAP:SUI ecosystems. For example, NYSE:NX from NX Finance III. Constantly look for new trends and narratives forming! Your ability to research projects well is the difference between catching a 100x and losing 80% of your portfolio. Some good tools to research are: 1. CoinMarketCap or Coingecko to observe new trends and emerging tokens in different sectors. 2. Tokenomist AI to observe the vesting schedules and upcoming unlocks of a token to avoid being a VC's exit liquidity. 3. Grok to summarise whitepapers and specific sections to save you time from reading long, boring docs. IV. Look for strong, resilient altcoins during CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullbacks. As bad as CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullbacks can be for altcoins, this is really where the greatest opportunities are found. Whenever there is FUD around a coin and an extended CRYPTOCAP:BTC pullback, like what happened recently with GETTEX:HYPE , it creates an opportunity to buy a project at a 'discount'. Even if you buy a bad project, you can profit greatly from it if you buy it 'cheap'. Buying altcoins at major high-time-frame supports is a great way to hedge against the risks of losing 90% on them. V. Unless you have a strategy, avoid memecoins and airdrops. For the most part, they are a waste of time and will never give you long-lasting returns or an advantage in the markets. Instead, focus on building up a portfolio that generates cash flow and doesn't leave you regretting entering crypto in the first place by following steps I-IV. I've been @CryptoJayTrades, I hope this has been helpful. Check the link in my bio to get a free portfolio tracker to see how well you are really doing this bull run!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoJayTrades
How to Spot Market Turns using Order Flow & Delta Volume Ind.Overview The Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator combines order flow dynamics with delta volume analysis , pinpointing market shifts by tracking buying and selling pressure . This chart analysis demonstrates how effectively the indicator identifies precise moments of market turns and shifts in momentum. How It Works Order Flow Dynamics Tracks cumulative buying and selling volumes. Identifies potential reversals by highlighting shifts in order flow direction. Delta Volume Analysis Measures the difference between buying and selling volume (delta). Pinpoints exact candles where buyer-seller imbalance occurs. Signal Generation Logic Buy signals emerge when order flow and delta volume confirm rising buying pressure. Sell signals appear when order flow combined with negative delta signals increased selling activity. Signal Confirmation (Magical part of this Indicator), Blue line inlines with trend to confirm the strength, else it's a trap move. Performance in This Case Study Market Reversal Precision Accurately highlighted buy signals at key reversal points where bullish order flow resumed. Provided timely sell signals precisely at points of bearish order flow dominance. Trend Confirmation Signals effectively filtered market noise, clearly distinguishing actual trend shifts from temporary price fluctuations. Consistent alignment of signals with subsequent price action confirmed robust indicator performance. Volume-Based Clarity (Blue Line) Delta volume effectively differentiated real momentum changes from false breakouts. Order flow dynamics reliably indicated market sentiment shifts, offering clarity in volatile conditions. Key Takeaways ✅ Order flow shifts clearly indicated genuine trend reversals. ✅ Delta volume accurately pinpointed moments of market imbalance. ✅ Signals reliably differentiated between temporary fluctuations and meaningful market movements. ✅ Indicator performance remained robust across varying market conditions. This indicator's precise alignment with market behavior underscores its practical utility in identifying and analyzing market turns.
by TradeTechanalysis
How to Capture Market Turns with Market Anomaly Detector (MAD)Overview The Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Indicator effectively captures market reversals , trend shifts , and volatility cycles through its distinctive visual components—the Mainline ( blue ), Upper Band ( green ), and Lower Band ( red ). This idea explores the practical performance of the MAD indicator, emphasizing its clear signals during recent market movements. How It Works Mainline (Blue Line) Static reference line used to visually represent general market sentiment. Not directly used for generating trading signals, but provides contextual information. Upper Band (Green Line) Serves as a critical threshold for bullish signals. When price closes above this green band, a buy signal is generated, and the background turns green, indicating bullish sentiment. Conversely, if price closes below the green band after initially trading above it, a sell signal is triggered, highlighting a potential reversal. Lower Band (Red Line) Serves as an essential threshold for bearish signals. When price closes below the red band, a sell signal is generated, accompanied by a red background, signaling bearish momentum. Alternatively, if price closes above the red band after initially trading below it, a buy signal is produced, pointing to a possible bullish reversal. Performance in This Case Study Signal Accuracy & Market Reactions Buy signals consistently appeared after price closed above the upper (green) band, accurately predicting bullish expansions. Sell signals were reliably produced when the price closed below the lower (red) band, accurately forecasting bearish trends. Reversal signals, generated when the price crossed back below the upper band or above the lower band, successfully indicated shifts in market sentiment. Volatility Dynamics Contraction of bands during sideways market phases clearly indicated reduced volatility and market indecision. Expansion of the bands provided timely alerts of upcoming sharp market movements. Effective Reversal Indications The MAD indicator clearly marked points of market exhaustion at upper and lower band extremes, providing timely entry and exit signals. The signals effectively filtered out false breakouts by ensuring clear price action beyond band thresholds. Key Takeaways ✅ Upper Band (Green Line): Closing above signals bullish entries; closing back below indicates bearish reversals. ✅ Lower Band (Red Line): Closing below indicates bearish entries; closing back above highlights bullish reversals. ✅ Mainline (Blue Line): Provides visual market sentiment context but is not used directly for signal generation. ✅ Band Behavior: Contraction signals low volatility periods; expansion indicates imminent significant moves. ✅ MAD Indicator demonstrated accurate and reliable market reversal and momentum shift detection in the case study provided.
by TradeTechanalysis
Buy USDSGD: Great buy set up forming.Hello, A high-probability buying opportunity is unfolding for the USD/SDG pair, with potential to ride momentum toward the upper range. Since mid-2020, this pair has been locked in a broad sideways consolidation, now carving out a textbook expanding triangle pattern on the weekly chart. This formation—characterized by widening highs and lows—signals increasing volatility and an impending breakout. The price recently staged a decisive rebound from the triangle’s lower trendline, a critical support zone, and has been in a corrective upswing since mid-January 2025. Adding weight to this setup, the weekly MACD is approaching a bullish zero-line crossover, a reliable indicator of strengthening momentum that often precedes significant moves. Together, these factors point to a low-risk entry for buyers, targeting the upper trendline—potentially yielding a 5-8% move, depending on execution. This setup suggests an attractive entry for buyers, with a target at the upper trendline of the triangle. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by thesharkke
Mastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate GuideMastering Risk Management in Trading: The Ultimate Guide In the world of trading, success isn’t measured only by big wins but by how well you protect your capital from unnecessary losses. Risk management isn’t just a safety net—it’s the backbone of sustainable trading. In this comprehensive guide, we’ll break down the principles and strategies you need to safeguard your account while still maximizing your profit potential. --- 1. Risk-Reward Ratio: The Foundation of Every Trade - What it is: The risk-reward ratio is the cornerstone of every trade. It tells you how much potential reward you’re targeting compared to the risk you’re willing to take. For instance, if you risk $100 and aim to make $200, your risk-reward ratio is 1:2—a commonly accepted standard in trading. - How to use it: - Always predefine your risk-reward ratio before entering a trade. - For swing traders, aim for a minimum of 1:2 or 1:3 to justify holding overnight. --- 2. Position Sizing: The Key to Survival - Why position sizing matters: Position sizing ensures you don’t over-leverage your account or lose too much in a single trade. Many traders fail because they bet too big and get wiped out after just a few losing trades. - How to calculate position size: - Use this formula: Position Size = (Account Risk $ ÷ (Entry Price - Stop-Loss Price)). - For example, if you’re risking $100 per trade and the difference between your entry and stop-loss is $5, your position size should be 20 units (100 ÷ 5). --- 3. Stop-Loss Orders: Your Safety Net - What is a stop-loss? A stop-loss is your emergency brake. It’s an order you set in advance to sell your position if the price moves against you by a specified amount. - How to set stop-losses: - Use technical analysis to place your stop-loss below support levels for long trades or above resistance levels for short trades. - Avoid placing stop-losses too close to your entry point, as small fluctuations might trigger them unnecessarily. Here you can see my ratio is on the low side so i can place a tactical TP and SL in relation to liquidity lines. --- 4. The Art of Diversification: Spreading Risk - Why diversification works: Putting all your capital into a single trade or instrument increases your risk. Diversification spreads that risk across multiple trades or markets, reducing the impact of any single loss. - How to diversify effectively: - Trade across multiple sectors or currency pairs. - Avoid overexposure to correlated assets (e.g., don’t trade EUR/USD and GBP/USD simultaneously). --- 5. Emotional Discipline: Winning the Mental Game - Why it matters: Even the best trading strategy can fail if emotions like fear or greed take over. Emotional trading leads to impulsive decisions, revenge trading, and overtrading. - How to maintain discipline: - Stick to your trading plan, no matter what. - Use tools like meditation, journaling, or physical exercise to manage stress. --- 6. Dynamic Risk Management: Adapting to Changing Markets - Adjusting your strategy: Markets are dynamic, and your risk management should adapt. Volatility can change quickly, requiring you to adjust your stop-loss distance or position size. - Use ATR (Average True Range): The ATR is a great tool to measure market volatility and decide how much room to give your stop-loss. --- 7. Tracking and Reviewing Your Trades - The power of a trading journal: Every trade is a learning opportunity. Keep detailed records of your trades, including your reasoning, execution, and results. - What to include in your journal: - Entry and exit points. - Risk-reward ratio. - Mistakes or deviations from the plan. - Lessons learned. --- Conclusion: Plan the Trade, Trade the Plan Risk management isn’t just a skill—it’s a habit. By understanding your risk-reward ratio, managing position sizes, using stop-losses effectively, and staying emotionally disciplined, you can protect your capital and increase your chances of long-term success. Take a moment to reflect: How do you manage risk in your trading? Are there areas you could improve? Start implementing these strategies today, and watch how they transform your trading results.
Education
by Louigi_24
29
The Day Ahead: Market Focus & Key EventsKey Market Events – Friday, March 28 U.S. Data: February PCE (Core & Headline): Key Fed inflation gauge—high impact on rate expectations. Personal Income & Spending: Consumer strength insights. March Kansas City Fed Services Activity: Regional business sentiment. Europe: UK February Retail Sales: Consumer demand check. Germany March Unemployment, April GfK Consumer Confidence: Labor market & sentiment indicators. France March CPI, PPI: Inflation signals. Italy March Consumer, Manufacturing, & Economic Sentiment + Industrial Sales & PPI: Growth outlook. Eurozone March Economic Confidence: Broad sentiment gauge. Canada: January GDP: Growth momentum ahead of BoC policy decisions. Central Banks: Fed’s Barr & Bostic Speeches: Potential rate clues. ECB Consumer Expectations Survey: Inflation & policy sentiment. Trading Focus: PCE data → USD, Treasuries, equities move on inflation implications. Retail sales, GDP → FX volatility (GBP, CAD). Confidence & inflation prints → EUR crosses & bond yields. Fed/ECB speakers → Interest rate expectations shift. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
A Gold'en Newtonian Sell-Off Porjected By MedianlinesSir Isaac Newton stated the Third Law of Motion in his landmark work, Philosophiæ Naturalis Principia Mathematica (commonly called the Principia), which was first published in 1687. This law appears in Book I, in the section titled Axioms, or Laws of Motion. (Axiom: A self-evident truth) Newton did explicitly present it as an axiom. In fact, it's Axiom III (or Law III) of his three fundamental laws of motion. Here's how he phrased it in the original Latin and in his own English translation: "To every action there is always opposed an equal reaction: or the mutual actions of two bodies upon each other are always equal, and directed to contrary parts." And what does this have to do with Medianlines / pitchforks? This tool measures exactly that: the action — and the potential reaction! Medianline traders know that pitchforks project the most probable direction that a market will follow. And that direction is based on the previous action, which triggered a reaction and thus initiated the path the market has taken so far. …a little reciprocal, isn’t it? ;-) So how does this fit into the chart? The white pitchfork shows the most probable direction. It also outlines the extreme zones — the upper and lower median lines — and in the middle, the centerline, the equilibrium. We see an “undershoot,” meaning a slightly exaggerated sell-off in relation to the lower extreme (the lower median line). And now, as of today, we’re seeing this overreaction mirrored exactly at the upper median line! Question: What happened after the lower “overshoot”? New Question: What do you think will happen now, after the market has overshot the upper median line? 100% guaranteed? Nope! But the probability is extremely high! And that’s all we have when it comes to “predicting” in trading — probabilities. Why? Because we can’t see the future, can we? Gold? Short! Looking forward to constructive comments and input from you all
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
EUR/USD Today - Maintain Downtrend🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD News: 👉 The US dollar paused its rally on Thursday, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) falling just above the key 104.00 level as investors remained cautious about the possibility of a US recession, especially after former President Trump announced a new 25% tariff on imported cars. 👉 The main driver of the dollar’s ​​recent gains has been Trump’s tariff threats, as he hinted at an additional 20% duty on imports from the European Union that could come into effect as early as next week. 👉 Trump’s tough stance on trade – this time targeting cars, aluminium and pharmaceuticals – has raised fears of a full-blown transatlantic trade war. 👉 On the one hand, such tariffs could force the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance to keep inflation in check. On the other hand, they risk slowing global growth, especially if the EU retaliates. This double blow has added volatility to the forex market, with the euro becoming the main focus. Personal opinion 👉 Today's PCE news will be a high-stakes test for EUR/USD. Overall, the current trend of this currency pair is still down and remains within the downtrend line. Therefore, the rise will be an opportunity to Sell orders at a good price 👉 Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot Points combined with trend lines and EMAs to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Setting the price zone: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0800– 1.0810 ❌SL: 1.0840 | ✅TP: 1.0760 – 1.0710 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
BTCUSDT Make-or-Break Moment: Evaluating the BTCUSDT Demand ZoBTC is currently testing a key demand zone near the $84,800–$85,200 range, aligned with the ascending trendline support. This area has previously acted as a launchpad for bullish moves, making it a critical level to watch. 📌 Scenario 1 (Bullish): If price holds above the yellow support zone and the trendline, we could see a bounce towards $86,800–$88,500. Confirmation: Bullish engulfing on lower timeframe or break above local resistance. 📌 Scenario 2 (Bearish Breakdown): If BTC breaks below the trendline + demand zone, we may see a sharp decline toward $83,000–$82,000. Watch for a retest of broken support as resistance. 🧠 Plan: Wait for confirmation. No rush entry. Entry will depend on price action and reaction to this confluence zone. Risk management is key with proper SL below/above zones. Let me know your views in comments!
Short
by ayushpanchal92