AUDNZD strong bullish expectations
AUDNZD pair which I am watching last 5 months, other my analysis on AUDNZD are attached, plus I am attach and CADCHF analysis its interesting to look, its almost same based on SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL.
AUDNZD price is make bounce on trend line, its break upper trend line-SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL, plus CHANNEL on 4h TF is visible and its also breaked.
Technicalls on medium and long term are strong bullish, when take all this parameters i am here still bullish.
SUP zone: 1.09200
RES zone: 1.11500, 1.12400
Beyond Technical Analysis
Smart Gold Trading Strategy: Catching the Next Big Move! Hello, traders! 👋✨ Welcome to a new market analysis. Today, we’re diving into a trade on gold (XAU/USD) on the 1-hour chart. 🚀 This precious metal continues to provide great opportunities, and this time is no different.
I’ve decided to go long at the 2670 level, and here are the details of my strategy:
- Entry (Long): 2670
- Take Profit (TP): 2734
- Stop Loss (SL): 2606
This trade is supported by technical analysis. The price appears to be holding a key support level, and indicators are signaling potential for an upward move. The stop-loss is set at 2606 to protect against unexpected reversals, while the take-profit target at 2734 aligns with a strong resistance zone. The risk-to-reward ratio here looks very promising. 📈
While my target is set, I’m always ready to adjust. If I see an opportunity to take profits earlier, I won’t hesitate to act. Staying flexible is key in trading! 📊🚀
What do you think of this setup? Are you trading gold this week? Let me know in the comments, and don’t forget to like and subscribe for more trading insights! 🔥
Disclaimer:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and consult a professional before making investment decisions.
GOLD | Temporary BearishThe US Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound between 105.722 and 106.843, maintaining a bullish outlook. Meanwhile, gold prices temporarily continue to benefit from ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and signals of global monetary easing, especially from China. However, with the DXY gaining bullish momentum, gold may soon face downward pressure.
XAUUSD H6 Bearish Important Gold Update
The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains range-bound between 105.722 and 106.843, maintaining a bullish outlook. Meanwhile, gold prices temporarily continue to benefit from ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and signals of global monetary easing, especially from China. However, with the DXY gaining bullish momentum, gold may soon face downward pressure.
Stay informed:
News is noise, charts are facts.
A rising Wedge Formation In the 4H - Short for Short Period.So even though Bitcoin is in the middle of a huge upward move markets always gave us the opportunity to make money in the middle of every strong trending moves. For now we got a rising wedge formation with a heavy pull back based on the news from the FED and the zone which is acting as a magnet support level got more confluence points including the strong demand zone, the horizontal support line of the 2 formed triangles and the 1.27 extension fib level on the higher timeframe. All this points and some other additional insights are included in this short video and enjoy watching it. Please do consider to do your own research before making any type of investments in any type of markets and I urge you to notice that this is not a financial advice at all rather a personal view point.
Nathnael B.
ETH "Buy the Dip" opportunity?The pullback I outlined in my last ETH post came to fruition, however, there was a surprise retest of resistance before failing again and pulling back. Now we are at the bottom of the ascending channel but if we lose support here, it looks like we may be forming a sideways channel, in light blue lines on the chart. With support of bottom of channel and 200 EMA on the 4h candle, seems like a good chance to hold here. Lets look at the details.
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# ETH/USD Analysis – 4H Chart 📊
## Structure and Price Action:
**Parallel Ascending Channel**
ETH/USD is trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between the upper and lower bounds (green lines). The price is currently testing the **lower trendline support** of the channel, following a recent rejection near the **$4,000–$4,050** region.
**Bearish Rejection at Resistance**
Sellers stepped in at the **$4,050 Bearish Order Block (OB)** (red zone), leading to a sharp reversal. This indicates heavy supply at this level, halting upward momentum.
**Bullish Order Block Retest**
The price is approaching multiple **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), a strong demand area where buyers previously defended.
---
## Support and Resistance:
**Immediate Resistance**
- **$3,800–$4,000**: Key resistance zone aligning with the upper channel boundary and recent bearish OB.
- **$4,050**: Critical rejection level and prior swing high.
**Key Support Levels**
- **$3,500–$3,600**: Primary demand zone, reinforced by bullish OBs.
- **$3,300**: Secondary support area in case of deeper pullback.
---
## Indicators
**EMAs (20/50/100/200):**
- Price has fallen **below EMA 20 ($3,880.60)** and **EMA 50 ($3,810.46)** – short-term bearish bias.
- **EMA 100 ($3,613.86)**: Acting as dynamic support near the current price.
- **EMA 200 ($3,380)**: Long-term support level.
**Parabolic SAR**
- SAR dots are **above the price**, signaling bearish momentum. Watch for a shift below the price for trend reversal.
**Volume**
- Volume **spiked on the recent drop**, reflecting increased selling pressure near the lower channel boundary.
**Stochastic RSI**
- Stochastic RSI is **oversold** (3.69/7.86), signaling potential for a short-term bounce.
**Money Flow Index (MFI)**
- MFI sits at **23.89** (oversold), suggesting buyers may soon step in.
---
## Pattern Analysis:
**Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk**
ETH/USD is at the **lower channel support ($3,600)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the bullish channel and trigger bearish momentum.
---
## Probabilistic Outlook
**Bullish Bounce (Primary Scenario):**
If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone and volume increases:
- **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and recent resistance).
- **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,050 (upper channel resistance and bearish OB).
**Bearish Breakdown (Alternate Scenario):**
If price closes below **$3,500**:
- **First Target**: $3,300 (next significant support).
- **Second Target**: $3,200–$3,000 (psychological support and structural zone).
---
## Key Signals to Watch:
1. **Lower Channel Support ($3,600):** Break below = bearish continuation.
2. **Volume on Breakdown or Bounce:** Rising volume confirms the move.
3. **EMA 100 Support ($3,613):** Holding this EMA could trigger a short-term bounce.
4. **Stochastic RSI and MFI:** Both oversold; favoring bounce unless sellers persist.
---
## Order books
Took a significant hit, losing about 15% of its prior levels. The market depth ration has remained stable, inferring bullish sentiment overall but weakening books can deteriorate this, we will look for order book levels to recover past today's levels to validate reversal.
## Conclusion
ETH/USD is at a **critical juncture** within the ascending channel. Buyers must defend **$3,600** to maintain the bullish structure. A successful bounce targets **$3,800–$4,000**, while a breakdown below **$3,500** could open the door for a decline toward **$3,300–$3,200**.
🔍 **Watch volume and key support levels for confirmation of the next move.** 🚨
Opening (IRA): URTY February 21st 42 Covered Call... for a 39.56 debit.
Comments: This ... is unwinding. Adding at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, selling the -75 delta call against shares to emulate the delta metrics of a 25 delta short put, but with the built-in defense of the short call.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 39.56/share
Max Profit: 2.44
ROC at Max: 6.17%
50% Max: 1.22
ROC at 50% Max: 3.09%
ETHUSDT - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically more probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and it this case we can notice sign of weakness, so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
Week 39 - Technical Analysis USD/CHFUSD/CHF Clearly Defined Target!
I see a promising opportunity in the USD/CHF currency pair and recommend a buy position (Long-Trade).
Target: The price is moving towards a higher level. I have marked my target at the top of the analysis with a green line.
Stop-Loss: To minimize risk, I set the Stop-Loss at 0.84000. If the market unexpectedly breaks downward, my position will automatically close to limit losses.
Strategy: This is a "Buy and Hold" strategy. I expect the market to rise in the next 2-3 weeks. I will hold the position until the defined target is reached.
Opening (IRA): TLT March 21st 84 Covered Call... for an 82.72 debit.
Comments: Laddering out into 2025 at strikes/break evens better than what I currently have on, looking to snag January, February and potentially March dividends ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 82.72/share
Max Profit: 1.28
ROC at Max: 1.55%
50% Max: .64
ROC at 50% Max: .77%