Beyond Technical Analysis
Official TRUMP Dinner PUMP?Many Altcoins, specially memecoins, in the past few weeks were growing strongly, is OFFICIAL TRUMP being suppressed?
Let's speculate a little bit.
If you were Trump. No, if I were Trump, Master Trump or Alan Trump, and I have this upcoming event on 22-May. Would I want declining prices or a super-pump right at the same time the event is happening?
If I am a very powerful man and know the power of the media, would I want the memecoin that goes by my name to be super-pumping the same night, at the exact same time as the event goes on? Wouldn't this bring that much more attention if prices were to blow up?
What's your take? What do you think will happen?
The chart looks good for TRUMPUSDT, there is no reason why prices shouldn't be going up. Other pairs are similar, many very similar, but many others continued to grow.
Last week and the week before, it was all memecoins in the top performers. This week, somehow, this market behavior was shutdown and we now only have real projects at the top of the list, which is pretty good actually and refreshing.
Overall, these memecoins can cause real harm to the market. The exchanges can fix this by not listing and delisting but that's not the topic today.
TRUMPUSDT looks good, chart-wise, based on TA. It can grow easily and the action is happening within the "bullish zone."
Another one, the biggest candle since March is a bullish candle. And this is also the biggest candle after the All-Time Low. So the bulls have the upper-hand period. So TRUMPUSDT can grow.
But what about the dinner pump?
You think they are waiting and will buy heavily on the day of the event? Maybe a 100% jump?
I am curious as to what your opinion is, and I'll tell you mine... IT IS GOING UP!
Dinner or no dinner...
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
Namaste.
See if it can find support near 2521.05 and go up
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow" me, you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
The two charts above are charts that use the HA-MS indicator to mark support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
The chart below is just a chart with the HA-MS indicator hidden.
If you look closely at the drawn support and resistance points, you can see that the points drawn with the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are important support and resistance points.
The HA-Low indicator is marked in orange (#ff9800), and the HA-High indicator is marked in blue (#0000ff).
It is impossible to explain all the thoughts of a chart analyst in writing.
That is why it is necessary to provide objective information to the readers.
Then, it will be very helpful for you to look at the chart.
If you think that my idea has too many indicators, you can disable the indicators by clicking "Grab this chart" in the idea article.
If you look at the chart with the indicators disabled, you may think that something looks better, but since you don't know why these support and resistance points were drawn, you may not be able to properly utilize the support and resistance points drawn on the chart when actually trading.
Even the support and resistance points you drew yourself often become unreliable due to the movement of the chart over time, and you will be even less reliable when it comes to support and resistance points drawn by others.
In order to reduce this phenomenon, objective information is necessary.
For that objective information, I use the HA-MS indicator.
For the trend perspective, there is the M-Signal indicator, and for the trading perspective, there are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
To understand the detailed movement, we use the DOM(60), DOM(-60), StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20 indicators.
Therefore, you can basically interpret the chart by activating only the HA-Low, HA-High, and M-Signal indicators.
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Therefore, if we interpret the chart, if it rises from the current price position, the resistance zone is around 3265.0-3321.30, and if it falls, the support zone is around 1647.06-1861.57.
You can see that the HA-High indicator is newly created at the current price position, and the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is passing, so we can see that it is at an important turning point.
Therefore, the key question is whether the price can be maintained above 2609.74 or whether it will fall below 2359.35.
However, since the HA-High indicator is newly created, it is more likely to fall.
Since the OBV indicator showed that the OBV fell below the High Line, we need to check whether it can touch the OBV EMA again and rise above the High Line.
If the StochRSI indicator falls below 50, we need to focus on finding a time to buy, and if it rises above 50, we need to focus on finding a time to sell.
Since the OBV is currently on an upward trend, if this trend continues, the price is expected to eventually rise.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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EUR_USD HEAD AND SHOULDERS|LONG|
✅EUR_USD has formed a
Head and Shoulders pattern
And the pair has now formed
The last leg of it, so we are
Bullish biased and IF we see
A bullish breakout of the
Neckline of 1.1380 next week
Then we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUDNZD both scenarios possibles
OANDA:AUDNZD first analysis till target (attached), here is update and new view on AUDNZD.
We having trend line which is breaked, we having and H&S on top of trend, which also is breaked, price is after make bearish push, but in last period is stop progressing, its make few bouncens on sup zone 1.08230.
In case we see strong bearish push - break of 1.08350 we will have high chance to see higher bearish trend, in case we having break of top sup zone 1.09100 (violet line) we will having bullish confirm.
Personal more bullish, but lets wait for confirms.
Targets:
BULL: 1.10200, 1.10500
BEAR: 1.07800, 1.07500
Bitcoin’s Breakout Pattern Continues – Is $120K Next?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN Quick Update
Bitcoin is showing strong momentum — each time it accumulates, it breaks out to a new level. This "accumulate and explode" pattern has played out cleanly three times already.
Now, BTC is consolidating just under its all-time high. If this range holds, another breakout could be coming soon.
The structure remains bullish as long as price holds above the $103K zone. A clear break above ATH could send it toward $120K and beyond.
DAX WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅DAX made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 23,371 and the index is already
Making a bullish rebound so we
Are bullish biased and we will
Be expecting further growth on Monday
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
XAUUSDThis chart shows the 4-hour time frame for Gold Spot (XAU/USD) with a supply and demand zone analysis, Fibonacci retracement levels, and a potential price forecast path.
Key Technical Insights:
Current Price Action:
Price: $3,357.55
Recent candles show a strong bullish move into the Daily Supply Zone (around $3,360–$3,366).
Price has just tapped into that supply zone, triggering a potential short-term reaction (possibly a pullback).
Zones & Levels:
🔹 Supply Zones (Resistance):
Daily Supply Zone: $3,360–$3,366
4H Supply Zone: Around $3,414 (confluent with 1.618 Fib extension)
🔹 Demand Zones (Support):
4H Demand Zone: $3,335–$3,340
Daily Demand Zone: $3,287–$3,293
🔹 Fibonacci Levels (from previous swing low to high):
0.382 – $3,317
0.5 – $3,326
0.618 – $3,335
These levels align well with the 4H Demand Zone, creating a strong confluence area for potential bullish continuation.
Projected Price Path:
The chart suggests two possible movements:
Retracement scenario: Price could pull back to the 4H Demand Zone (~$3,335) before continuing higher.
Breakout scenario: If bulls maintain momentum, price could break above the Daily Supply Zone and aim for the next resistance near $3,414 (1.618 Fib extension).
📌 Trade Consideration:
Bullish Bias remains unless price breaks below $3,326 or $3,317.
Ideal buy zones: $3,335–$3,326 (Fib + demand confluence).
Potential target: $3,414+
Risk: Watch for rejection from the supply zone; a failure to hold above $3,326 could signal deeper pullback.
BTCUSD SHORT OPPORTUTY FOR THE WEEKENDBITCOIN SUPPLY ZONE TARGETED - SELL LIMIT SET 🔥
BTC/USD has made a strong move upward but is now approaching a major supply zone, where a Sell Limit is placed at 110997. This level aligns with previous highs and signs of distribution, signaling a potential reversal ahead.
With current price action consolidating around 109034, we are watching for rejection and a possible drop towards the next demand zones at 108551 and 106178.
This setup is ideal for smart traders looking to short the top and ride the retracement. As always, risk management is key. Let’s see how the market reacts.
Precision over prediction. Strategy over emotions.
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #SellLimit #SmartMoneyConcepts #SupplyAndDemand #TechnicalAnalysis #DayTrading #CryptoSetup #BTCTrade #BearishSetup #PriceAction #CryptoSniper #BitcoinReversal #TradingStrategy #CryptoTraders #MarketStructure #XAUkingCharts
BTC Futures : My first attempt with a target price of 0Hello friends; I think not believing in Bitcoin is as natural as believing in Bitcoin.
I can't express my opinion here with moving averages and/or RSI levels.
The Beyond Technical Analysis might make sense for this trade.
If we are wrong, what is important here is our position and risk management. We do not open a transaction to say "I told you so".
I cannot explain this with any technical analysis method, blockchain data, etc.
Technically; everything that will be built based on this is the same as building a sand castle.
I don't think Bitcoin has an equivalent.
If we consider serious inflation rates, it is obvious that people will have much bigger and more vital priorities than buying Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. I am not even talking about electricity costs.
I definitely don't think it can be in the same class as Gold.
This trade alone offers us a very good risk/reward ratio.
I chose the contract covering the next period ending on May 30th, not the continuous CME contract, in order to save time.
A good place for a first try.
I will definitely try something similar.
I don't think I will have any views other than the short side in the future.
For years I have been asked, "If you don't believe us, why don't you open a short position?" I will try to achieve this.
So there's also an experimental side to this.
HIGHLIGHTS
We are closing our position before the contract switch date of May 30, 2025, without looking at the price. If necessary, we will try again in the next contract.
The value of 113690 is our stop value. We end our trade at this value.
We choose the smallest value as the position size.
If you expect something to be 0,
you should choose trading instruments that evaluate your position in currencies rather than in BTC value.
I chose CME because it is suitable for this.
Contracts that are further away are definitely not liquid.
It may be difficult to find buyers even at high values.
Target : 0
Absolutely no margin addition.
Best regards.
USDJPY Short Setup – Bearish Breakout WatchBias: ✅ Strong Sell
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: USDJPY
Week: 26–30 May 2025
🔍 Technical Setup:
USDJPY is sitting on a critical support zone around 142.55. A decisive break and 4H close below this level would confirm a bearish continuation.
Entry: Break below 142.55
Stop Loss: Above resistance at 142.80
Take Profit: Major support around 140.05
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~4R
Structure: Lower highs, pressure on demand – momentum building
🧠 Macro Confluence:
📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed, worsening macro (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓)
💴 JPY Strength: Seasonal bias, bullish COT positioning, risk-off sentiment
🧾 COT: JPY net long positions at 92% RSI
📊 Conditional Scores: JPY ↑, USD ↓
⚠️ Risk Sentiment: VIX 22.68 – risk-off favors JPY
⚠️ Risk Notes:
Wait for confirmation candle before entry
Watch FOMC + GDP (USD) for volatility spikes
Consider scaling in on retest of broken support
📌 Let the level break before jumping in. Precision matters.
Share your thoughts or charts below 👇
GOLD outlook for the weekIn today’s analysis, I’m expecting price to continue its bullish momentum, partially influenced by recent political developments surrounding Donald Trump. This aligns well with the broader higher time frame trend, where we’ve been favouring long setups.
To capitalise, the most immediate and valid point of interest I’ve marked out is the 9H demand zone — the origin of the most recent break of structure. If price retraces, this is where I’ll be watching for bullish confirmation.
However, if price continues to climb without retracing first, we could see a temporary bearish reaction from the nearby 4H supply zone around the 3,400 level. If this happens, I may look for a short-term countertrend sell setup, but only with strong confirmation. Risk will be kept low and I won’t be overly ambitious with targets.
Confluences for GOLD Buys:
Strong bullish momentum following a clear CHoCH on the higher time frame
Recent break of structure left behind a clean 9H demand zone for potential retracement
Trend remains bullish on both the lower and higher time frames
Liquidity resting above still yet to be swept
DXY is currently bearish, supporting a bullish case for gold
P.S. While we could see a minor sell opportunity down to the demand zone, patience is key.
Waiting for a solid pre-trend setup is part of the process — no need to rush entries.
Have a great trading week and stay sharp!
EURUSD Long Setup – Bullish Breakout PlayBias: ✅ Strong Buy
Timeframe: 4H
Pair: EURUSD
Week: 26–30 May 2025
🔍 Technical Analysis:
EURUSD has broken through a prior resistance and is currently testing a second resistance zone at 1.13983. I’m looking for a confirmed breakout above this level to enter long.
Entry: Break and 4H close above 1.13983
Stop Loss: Below support zone at 1.13545
Take Profit: Targeting resistance zone near 1.15454
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~3.36R
Structure: Higher highs forming, potential breakout continuation
🧠 Macro Confluence:
📉 USD Weakness: Dovish Fed + poor fundamentals (Investogenie Score 1.8 ↓, Conditional Score 3 ↓)
📈 EUR Strength: Improving Eurozone outlook, strong COT positioning, ECB easing bias
📊 Seasonal Bias: EURUSD bullish for this period
⚠️ Risk Management:
Watch for FOMC and GDP releases (USD) mid-week
Avoid premature entries without clear break and 4H confirmation
Optional: Wait for break & retest for higher probability
Drop your thoughts or setups below 👇
EUR/USD – Testing the Ceiling | 4H Price Action AnalysisThe Euro has clawed back strength in recent sessions, pushing EUR/USD into a decisive retest of a well-respected resistance zone around 1.13650. This level has held firm in the past, and now price is once again knocking on its door but this time with a clearer bullish structure behind it.
Bullish Market Structure: Higher lows and sustained bullish momentum indicate buyers are in control.
Key Level in Focus: The 1.13650 area, previously a supply zone, is now being tested with conviction. A breakout here could confirm a major shift.
Targets if Broken:
1.14500 – First resistance and prior structural pivot.
1.16000 – Psychological level and next major upside zone.
As always, manage risk carefully.
Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
DOLD: Projection for Next Week (May 20–24, 2025)Hello Traders
Are you ready for the next week?!
here is my understanding and analysis for the next week:
📊 Technical Summary
Current Price: ~$3,201.78
Recent Trend: Short-term downtrend after reaching a peak (~$3,500).
Candle Pattern: A small-bodied candle near the bottom suggests indecision or potential short-term support.
Support Zone: Around $3,160–$3,120, already tested last week.
Resistance Zone: Around $3,280–$3,320, which aligns with recent highs before the pullback.
✅ Bullish Case (Short-Term Rebound Likely If):
Price holds above $3,165.
Daily/4Hr closes above $3,240, leading to a retest of $3,280–$3,320.
Candles form a bullish engulfing — keep an eye on Monday/Tuesday sessions.
❌ Bearish Case (Further Drop If):
Daily/4Hr closes below $3,165, targeting $3,120–$3,080 next. Break below $3,080 would open the path toward $3,035.
🧠 Careful:
Use lower timeframes (H1/H4) early next week to:
Confirm direction (e.g. bullish reversal patterns)
Spot liquidity grabs or false breaks around $3,165
The price and notes are written on the chart. TP= Target Point
Good Luck! TVC:GOLD