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BTC/USD Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Ahead?Introduction: Understanding the Market Structure This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart presents a technical setup with a mix of bullish and bearish formations. The analysis focuses on key support and resistance zones, trendlines, and chart patterns to determine the next possible move. 🔍 The key takeaway? BTC has formed a Rising Wedge, a bearish reversal pattern, signaling potential downside unless a breakout invalidates the setup. 1. Market Structure & Current Trend Analysis 📌 Market in Curve Formation – The Accumulation Phase Before the recent rally, Bitcoin was in a downtrend, making lower lows and lower highs, suggesting a period of price weakness. However, price found strong support at around $77,600 - $80,000, forming a curved bottom structure—an early signal of an accumulation phase. This bottoming pattern transitioned into a bullish uptrend, leading to the formation of a rising wedge. 🔹 Key Observations: ✔ Accumulation near $77,600 created a base for buyers. ✔ The gradual recovery curve suggests a shift from bearish to bullish momentum. ✔ Bitcoin later formed higher lows, confirming a temporary uptrend. ⚠ Shift in Momentum – The Rising Wedge Appears The price rallied from the support zone but started forming a Rising Wedge pattern, which is typically a bearish signal. A rising wedge indicates that although buyers are pushing prices up, they are losing momentum. The narrowing price range suggests that sellers are entering at higher levels, weakening bullish strength. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch 🔵 Resistance Zone ($92,000 - $94,957) The shaded area near $92,000 - $94,957 is a major resistance level, where BTC previously failed to sustain a breakout. This supply zone has been tested multiple times, reinforcing its strength. The Stop Loss for short positions is placed above $94,957—any breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup. 🟠 Support Zone ($77,600 - $80,000) The strong demand zone between $77,600 - $80,000 aligns with previous support levels. If the rising wedge breaks down, this is the first major price target where BTC could find support. A strong breakdown below $77,600 could lead to further declines toward $75,000 or lower. 3. The Rising Wedge Pattern – Bearish Warning! 🔍 What is a Rising Wedge? A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms during an uptrend when price moves within two converging trendlines. It indicates that buyers are losing strength, and sellers are preparing to take control. Once the lower trendline breaks, it confirms bearish momentum, leading to a price drop. 📝 Current BTC/USD Rising Wedge Analysis: BTC has formed higher highs and higher lows, but the price range is narrowing. The lower trendline is critical—a breakdown below this level could trigger a sharp decline. The bearish target aligns with the support zone near $77,600. 4. Trading Plan – Possible Scenarios 📉 Bearish Breakdown Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Entry: Short BTC if the price breaks below the rising wedge (~$86,000 - $85,500). ✅ Stop Loss: Above $94,957 to protect against invalidation. ✅ Take Profit Target: $77,600 - $80,000 (first support level). ✅ Extended Target: If BTC drops below $77,600, watch for $75,000 - $72,000. ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Ideally 1:3 or higher for optimal trade management. 📈 Bullish Breakout Scenario (Low Probability but Possible!) If BTC breaks and closes above $94,957, the bearish setup becomes invalid. A confirmed breakout above resistance could push BTC towards $98,000 - $100,000. Traders should wait for volume confirmation before entering long positions. 5. Risk Management & Final Thoughts ⚠ Risk Factors to Consider: If BTC breaks the wedge with low volume, the move might be a false breakdown. Macroeconomic events, such as interest rate decisions, can influence price behavior. Watch for bullish divergences in indicators like RSI or MACD before shorting aggressively. 🔎 Conclusion: The Rising Wedge pattern suggests a bearish reversal—a breakdown could send BTC toward $77,600. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades. If BTC breaks above $94,957, a bullish continuation could push it toward $100,000. 🔥 Bearish Bias Until Breakdown Confirmation! Would you like an indicator-based analysis (e.g., RSI, MACD, or Moving Averages)? 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) Technical Analysis – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Overview of the Chart This chart presents a daily timeframe (1D) analysis of Gold (XAU/USD) and highlights a well-defined bullish trend supported by a breakout from a triangle pattern. The overall price action suggests a strong uptrend continuation, with clearly marked support and resistance levels, trendlines, and potential trade setups. Gold has been consistently respecting key technical levels, forming higher highs and higher lows, which is a classic indicator of a strong bullish market. Traders can use this analysis to identify entry points, stop-loss levels, and profit targets for a strategic trading approach. Key Technical Components in the Chart 1. Triangle Pattern Formation – The Setup for Breakout One of the most crucial formations in this chart is the triangle pattern, which acts as a continuation pattern. The triangle pattern (highlighted in green) represents a period of consolidation where price action was squeezing between higher lows and lower highs before a breakout occurred. This pattern suggests that buyers and sellers were in equilibrium, building up momentum before gold made a decisive move to the upside. The breakout above the upper boundary of the triangle confirms the bullish continuation, leading to a strong rally. 📌 Technical Significance: Triangle patterns are a reliable technical structure used by traders to anticipate breakouts. The breakout direction (upward in this case) determines the next trend phase. 2. Trendline Analysis – Defining Market Structure The dashed black trendline represents the primary ascending trendline, which has been respected multiple times, indicating that the market remains in an uptrend. Several minor support levels (highlighted in blue) have acted as strong demand zones, preventing price breakdowns and helping sustain the bullish momentum. A major support zone (highlighted in beige at $2,300-$2,400) serves as the base of the uptrend, where price action historically reversed strongly, indicating heavy institutional buying. 📌 Technical Significance: As long as the price remains above these support levels, the uptrend remains intact. 3. Breakout & Price Action Structure – Momentum Confirmation The breakout from the triangle pattern signaled the beginning of a new bullish impulse wave, and the price action structure confirms this move. Higher Highs & Higher Lows: The black zig-zag pattern represents a strong bullish structure where each retracement finds support before continuing higher. Price Movement Post-Breakout: After breaking above the triangle’s resistance, gold started forming higher highs at an accelerated pace. Minor pullbacks are bouncing off key support levels, providing re-entry opportunities for traders. 📌 Technical Significance: A breakout followed by sustained higher highs and strong buying pressure is a key bullish signal. Trading Plan & Strategy 1. Entry Strategy – Ideal Buying Zones Buy on Pullbacks: Enter near minor support levels to take advantage of retracements. This improves the risk-to-reward ratio and reduces exposure to sudden reversals. Confirmation Signals: Look for bullish candlestick patterns (bullish engulfing, pin bars, hammer candles). Increased trading volume on bullish moves supports trend continuation. 2. Stop-Loss & Risk Management 📍 Stop-Loss: $2,661 Placed below the most recent minor support level to protect against downside risk. If price breaks below this level, it may signal a trend shift or deeper correction. 📍 Why this Stop-Loss Level? It ensures a tight risk control while allowing room for natural price fluctuations. 3. Take-Profit & Target Projection 📍 Target Price: $3,170 The measured move projection from the triangle breakout suggests a target near $3,170, which aligns with historical resistance. If the price approaches $3,100-$3,170, traders should monitor for potential reversals or further breakouts. 4. Key Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias ✅ Uptrend Structure: The market is making higher highs and higher lows, which is a textbook sign of bullish momentum. ✅ Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of the triangle pattern and is sustaining higher levels. ✅ Support Levels Holding: Each pullback is being absorbed by buyers at well-defined support zones. ✅ Momentum & Volume: Increased volume and strong buying pressure indicate that the bullish trend is likely to continue. 5. Risk Management & Market Conditions Market Sentiment: If gold continues to hold above the support zones, further upside momentum is likely. If price starts breaking below key support levels, it may signal a trend reversal or deeper correction. Geopolitical & Economic Factors: Gold prices are often affected by inflation data, interest rate changes, and global uncertainties. Traders should monitor economic news that could impact gold’s trend. Conclusion – A High-Probability Trade Setup This analysis confirms that gold (XAU/USD) is in a strong bullish uptrend following a successful triangle breakout. 🚀 Trade Setup Summary: ✅ Entry: Buy on pullbacks at minor support levels ✅ Stop-Loss: $2,661 (Below support) ✅ Target Price: $3,170 (Next resistance level) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: Favorable setup with strong trend confirmation 🔹 Final Verdict: As long as gold remains above the minor support levels, the bullish bias remains strong, making this a high-probability long trade setup. Would you like to add any additional indicators (RSI, MACD) for confirmation? 📈
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
The Power of Commitment in Trading Psychology: A Key to Success The Power of Commitment in Trading Psychology: A Key to Success 📈💡 Hey TradingView community! I’ve been diving into some trading books lately, and one chapter really hit home: it’s all about commitment. Turns out, it’s the key to making it as a trader—especially in the crypto space where volatility can test your emotions. Here’s what I learned and how I’m applying it to my trading mindset. Commitment isn’t just about showing up—it’s about promising yourself to be the best trader you can be. I read about a guy who made a ton of money but lost it all because he wasn’t fully in. It made me realize: you can’t just dabble in this game. You gotta go all in. For me, this means sticking to my trading plan, even when the market (or my emotions) tempts me to stray. In crypto, where prices can swing wildly, this is crucial. One big thing that messes with commitment is the battle between wanting quick wins and sticking to a plan. I’ve caught myself following random advice without thinking—anyone else been there? It’s a trap. Commitment means getting your mind, emotions, and actions on the same page. I’m working on staying disciplined by focusing on my system, even during losing streaks. For example, I use stop-losses and take-profits to keep my emotions in check when trading BTC or ETH. Here’s a 3-step process I picked up to build commitment: 1️⃣ Figure out what you really want from trading (e.g., steady growth, not just mooning coins). 2️⃣ Spot what’s getting in your way (like fear of losses or FOMO). 3️⃣ Make a plan to push through—like setting clear risk management rules. For me, this has been a game-changer in staying consistent, especially in volatile markets like crypto. Psychology matters so much! A lot of traders fail not because their system sucks, but because they can’t stick with it. I’m starting to see how knowing myself better helps me stay committed. Some practical stuff I’m trying: starting small to build confidence, sticking to my system no matter what, learning from experienced traders, and not letting fear of losses throw me off. My current focus is on keeping my position sizes small (1-2% risk per trade) and reviewing my equity curve weekly to ensure I’m on track. Biggest takeaway: commitment is what makes or breaks you as a trader. It’s about knowing yourself, staying disciplined, and pushing through the tough times. I’m ready to step up—how about you? What’s your biggest challenge with staying committed in trading? Let’s discuss in the comments! 👇
CRYPTOCAP:TOTALEducation
by vagada
AMD Potential Long. 85% Win Rate. Using the above chart as a Macro indicator you can see that the time to buy AMD has arrived. Each time the RSI moves to an oversold position in the 3 week we often see great returns. The exception being 2008 where the period was much longer than usual. Yesterday I finished back testing AMD from 1972 to 2025. I came out with a 85% win rate over those years. I did not use the chart above either as it would have created an unfair bias for my normal trading strategy and rules. 1994-1995ish was the first bad trade and another stumbling block was 2008-2009. As it was very drawn out and stop losses were triggered. Using the 85% Win Rate strategy and using the above chart shows us the following: RSI: Tickled the oversold zone. I am sceptical of this as I do not think the move will be a massive one as it barely touched the zone but in previous years we will still see a 30-40% move in similar cases. Phoenix Bollinger Bands: This indicates that price is where its suppose to be. On lower timeframes it also shows that price does have the potential to expand to 130-140 range. Strategy: The strategy that I use is indicating that the 2 week buy signal is 2 days away from confirming. I have the following things to do: 1) Update tomorrow if Buy Signal is confirmed. If was more aggressive I would be buying today but because its only a 85% win rate and not 90%+ like the others I will wait. 2) Regardless if price goes down from here or not. I will start to build a position from tomorrow. Sorry that I did not post all the charts etc in this one today. I am just a bit busy with my own trades and thought I would try get this out ASAP. Have a blessed day and Stay Adaptable.
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by Thundercat131
XAU/USD Today - Will It Continue Falling?🔔🔔🔔 Gols news: 👉Gold prices continued to decline early Tuesday, though they remained above the $3,000 level. Reports indicate that Trump's tariffs will be narrower and less sentient than initially feared, while the recent recovery of the U.S. dollar from multi-month lows and optimism about a potential peace deal between Russia and Ukraine have weakened XAU/USD. The daily chart for XAU/USD shows the pair under pressure for the third consecutive day, although the decline still appears to be a corrective movement. 👉Meanwhile, U.S. economic data has been largely positive. S&P Global released preliminary estimates for the March Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), stating that U.S. business activity growth accelerated in March as a strong expansion in the services sector offset a fresh decline in manufacturing output. The composite PMI improved to 53.5 from 51.6 in February. Personal analysis: 👉Gold will maintain its downward trend in the short term due to positive news from the USD. 👉Technically, DXY's daily RSI shows signs of recovery after entering the oversold zone. 👉Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Support zone: 3000 - 2.984 - 2.971 Resistance zone: 3.025 - 3.033 - 3.047 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell Gold 3023- 3025(Scalping) ❌SL: 3029 | ✅TP: 3018 – 3013 – 3007 👉Sell Gold 3038- 3040 ❌SL: 3044 | ✅TP: 3033 – 3028 – 3023 👉Buy Gold 2999 - 3002 (Scalping) ❌SL: 2995 | ✅TP: 3006 – 3011 – 3016 👉Buy Gold 2982- 2984 ❌SL: 2978 | ✅TP: 2989 – 2994 – 3000 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
2
KEEP IT SIMPLE STUPID!!! SELL EURNZDAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
CRAIUSDT - An interesting coin!CRAI token is a part of Cryptify AI project Cryptify AI uses AI and blockchain to analyze influencer performance on social media, helping businesses make more accurate and transparent marketing decisions using the CRAI token. A strong and interesting project with a unique idea. On the chart, it has formed a descending channel, and the 0.236 resistance has been broken on the 3-day chart. The price movement is expected as shown in the chart Best regards Ceciliones🎯
by ceciliones
1
AUD/USD Trend After Australian CPI News🔔🔔🔔 AUD/USD news: 👉The AUD/USD pair remained range-bound around the 0.6300 level during the Asian session on Wednesday, showing little movement following the release of Australia’s monthly CPI data. The inflation rate rose 2.4% year-over-year in February, slightly lower than the previous 2.5%. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding the implementation of Trump's reciprocal tariffs on April 2 limited the pair’s upside. The currency pair's recovery was driven by renewed weakness in the US dollar amid eased concerns over tariffs and positive geopolitical developments. 👉Australia, which relies heavily on exports to China, could face significant economic consequences if US tariffs slow down its largest export market. Any substantial decline in Chinese demand would inevitably ripple through the Australian economy. 👉From a positioning perspective, net short positions on the Australian dollar surged to a multi-week high of approximately 70.5K contracts in the week ending March 18, according to the latest CFTC data. Bearish bets have been building since mid-December and gained momentum in response to escalating tariff threats. Personal opinion: 👉AUD/USD will continue to decline in the coming time due to many bad news affecting it 👉Bad CPI data will have a quick impact on this currency pair 👉Analyze based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell AUD/USD 0.6300 – 0.6310 ❌SL: 0.6345 | ✅TP: 0.6260 – 0.6210 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
AMD - Monthly - Long Term ContenderClick Here🖱️ and scroll down👇 for the technicals, and more behind this analysis!!! ________________________________________________________ ________________________________________________________ ..........✋NFA👍.......... 📈Technical/Fundamental/Target Standpoint⬅️ 1.) AMD's strategic execution and innovative product portfolio have fueled a truly remarkable resurgence, directly challenging Intel's long-held dominance. Despite lingering skepticism, their competitive position is undeniable, marking one of the most compelling comebacks in the tech industry. 2.) AMD's 2024 financial performance demonstrates robust momentum, with consistent year-over-year growth in both revenue and net income, signaling strong market demand and effective operational management. 3.) In 2024, AMD significantly fortified its financial foundation by strategically reducing overall debt, achieving a doubling of its 2023 cash flow, and maintaining healthy cash reserves, indicating improved financial stability and flexibility. 4.) While AMD's current stock price reflects its strong performance, and is arguably justified, retail investors naturally seek more attractive entry points, highlighting the inherent tension between market valuation and individual investment strategy. 5.) From a technical perspective, AMD's current price action at the 1.382 Fibonacci level suggests potential resistance. Given the difficulty in breaching this level, and potential support zones at $73 and $32, a prudent approach acknowledges the possibility of significant retracements. While those lower targets may seem distant, market volatility can produce unexpected outcomes. ============================== ...🎉🎉🎉Before You Go🎉🎉🎉… ============================== Leave a like👍 and/or comment💬. We appreciate and value everyone's feedback! - RoninAITrader
NASDAQ:AMD
by RoninAITrader
Gold Trend in EUR and US Trading Sessions - Further Downward?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: 👉Gold is trading with modest gains above $3,000. However, the positive risk sentiment may cap further upside for the precious metal. 👉At the moment, a continued decline in gold prices seems uncertain, as investors remain cautious amid mixed reports regarding former President Trump’s tariff policies. Personal analysis: 👉The short-term downtrend remains intact until , unless XAUUSD reaches above 304x, then we can consider the possibility of a major uptrend. 👉The trend line is firmly consolidating the short-term downtrend. Therefore, you should limit your Buy to avoid losses for you. 👉Currently, there is not much news affecting XAUUSD today, so gold may fluctuate in the 3000 – 3030 range. 👉Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy Support zone: 3000 - 2.984 Resistance zone: 3.027 - 3.038 - 3.047 Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell Gold 3025- 3027 ❌SL: 3033 | ✅TP: 3020 – 3015 – 3010 👉Buy Gold 2999 - 3002 ❌SL: 2995 | ✅TP: 3006 – 3011 – 3016 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1