WIF COIN LONG OPPORTUNITY - Solana Memecoin WIF is one of the top memecoins on the Solana blockchain. It often shows strong momentum, especially when Solana is moving upwards. Watching WIF can be useful for tracking both Solana’s trend and the memecoin market.
Technical Analysis: The price recently ran the daily swing liquidity and tapped into the weekly demand zone, where it faced strong rejection and began an upward move.
We also saw rejection near the bearish trendline that has influenced the downward trend over the last few weeks.
I’ll be looking for lower time frame confirmations around $2.12, which aligns with the 4-hour demand zone and Fibonacci retracement discount level.
Stop Loss: $1.85
Target 1: Bearish trendline
Target 2: $2.69
Target 3: $2.96
Beyond Technical Analysis
Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading█ Interpreting Long/Short Ratios in Futures Trading: Beyond Bullish and Bearish
For beginner traders, the long/short ratio in futures markets can seem like a clear-cut indicator of market sentiment. Many assume that a high ratio of longs to shorts means the market is bullish, while more shorts than longs signals a bearish outlook. But in reality, this interpretation is oversimplified and can lead to misguided trading decisions.
In this article, we'll break down the nuances of the long/short ratio in futures trading, explaining why positions on the “short side” don’t always indicate a bearish stance and how traders can better interpret these ratios for a well-rounded perspective.
█ Understanding the Basics: Futures Trading Is Not Spot Trading
In the futures market, every trade requires a buyer (long position) and a seller (short position). For each person going long, there’s a counterpart going short. This zero-sum structure means that, by definition, there’s always a balance between longs and shorts. However, the reasons why traders take long or short positions vary widely—and not all of them are directional bets on price movement.
█ Why Not All Shorts Are Bearish (And Not All Longs Are Bullish)
Let’s dig into why a trader might take the short side without actually betting on a price drop:
⚪ Hedging: Some traders go short to hedge an existing position. For instance, if they already hold a large amount of Bitcoin in the spot market, they might take a short position in Bitcoin futures to protect against potential downside risk. This doesn’t mean they’re bearish on Bitcoin; they’re just managing risk.
⚪ Arbitrage: Some traders take short positions for arbitrage purposes. For example, they might go long in one market and short in another to profit from small price differences without having any directional view on Bitcoin’s future price. Their short position is purely for balancing and not a bet on falling prices.
⚪ Market Making: Market makers provide liquidity to the market by taking both long and short positions. Their goal isn’t to profit from price movements but to capture the spread between the bid and ask prices. They don’t have a directional view—they’re simply facilitating trades.
⚪ Closing Long Positions: When traders close long positions, they effectively create a new short transaction. For instance, if a trader decides to exit a long position by selling, they’re adding to the short side of the market. But this action doesn’t necessarily mean they expect prices to drop—it could just mean they’re taking profits or reallocating their portfolio.
█ Interpreting CoinGlass Long/Short Ratio Charts: Volume vs. Accounts
Let’s look at the long/short ratio charts on CoinGlass as an example. CoinGlass provides two main types of ratios:
⚪ Volume-Based Ratio: This chart shows the volume of capital in long vs. short positions. For example, a high volume in longs might suggest that large players are buying into Bitcoin. However, it’s important to remember that some of these long positions could be from market makers, hedgers, or arbitrageurs, who may not expect Bitcoin to rise. The volume itself doesn’t tell us why they’re in these positions.
⚪ Account-Based Ratio: This chart tracks the number of accounts on each side (long vs. short) on exchanges like Binance. A higher number of accounts on the short side doesn’t mean all those traders are bearish. Many could be taking short positions to balance other trades or hedge risks. They’re not necessarily expecting Bitcoin to decline; they’re just managing their positions.
█ Example Analysis: Misinterpreting Long/Short Ratios
Imagine you’re looking at a CoinGlass chart that shows an increase in long volume around November 5th. A beginner might see this and think, “Everyone’s bullish on Bitcoin!” But as we discussed, some of this long volume could be non-directional. It could include positions taken by market makers providing liquidity or hedgers who are long on Bitcoin futures but have a corresponding short in another market.
Similarly, if you see a spike in the number of short accounts, don’t automatically assume that everyone expects Bitcoin to fall. Some of those accounts might just be managing risk or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities.
█ Avoiding the Pitfall of Overinterpreting the Long/Short Ratio
The biggest mistake traders make is interpreting the long/short ratio as a direct indicator of market sentiment. Remember, every trade has a counterparty. If there’s a high volume of longs, it simply means there’s an equal volume of shorts on the other side. The market’s overall sentiment isn’t always reflected in this ratio.
Instead of relying solely on the long/short ratio, consider these other factors to form a clearer market view:
Market Sentiment Indicators: Use sentiment tools, news, and social media sentiment to understand how traders are feeling beyond just positions.
Volume Trends: Look at overall market volume to see if there’s conviction behind the moves.
Context and Price Action: Interpret the ratio in the context of price action and recent events. If there’s a strong bullish trend, a higher long ratio might reflect confidence in the trend rather than simply volume.
█ Conclusion: A Balanced Perspective for Smarter Trading
Understanding the long/short ratio requires a more nuanced perspective. Just because the “longs” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bullish—and just because the “shorts” are up doesn’t mean everyone’s bearish. The futures market is filled with diverse participants, each with unique motives, from hedging and arbitrage to liquidity provision.
By looking at these ratios with a balanced view, traders can avoid common pitfalls and interpret the data more accurately. Trading is about context and strategy, not just numbers on a chart. So, next time you’re checking the long/short ratio, remember: there’s more to it than meets the eye.
█ Final Takeaway: Focus on Context, Not Just Ratios
The long/short ratio can be a helpful tool, but it’s only one piece of the puzzle. Use it in combination with other market indicators, and always consider the motives behind trades. By doing so, you’ll make better-informed trading decisions and avoid falling into the trap of oversimplifying complex market data.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
NIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 08-Nov-2024Previous Day’s Chart Overview:
On 07-Nov-2024, Nifty displayed a bearish movement with opening tick , with a clear consolidation phase after the breaking mentioned support zone. The chart highlights significant levels for both support and resistance that are likely to influence price movements on 08-Nov. The Yellow trend represents the sideways movement, the Green trend indicates a bullish scenario, and the Red trend shows potential bearish paths.
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Trading Plan for 08-Nov-2024
Gap Up Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens above 24,358.00 (Opening Resistance) and holds, look for buying opportunities on pullbacks near this level. A sustained move above could target 24,460.00 , the next intraday resistance.
Should Nifty face resistance near 24,460.00 and fail to break above, consider short opportunities for a quick pullback to 24,358.00.
Watch for a potential breakout above 24,460.00 which could trigger a move towards the 24,643.00 – 24,714.00 zone, where sideways resistance may impact the uptrend. Book profits or trail stops in this range.
Flat Opening (within ±50 points):
If Nifty opens near 24,190.60 and finds support above 24,174.95 (Opening Support) , consider long positions targeting 24,358.00 (Opening Resistance) .
A failure to hold 24,174.95 could signal weakness; watch for a potential test of 24,106.25 (Best Buying Level) , a strong support level for intraday buyers.
If Nifty consolidates between 24,174.95 and 24,106.25, remain cautious with small trades until a clear breakout or breakdown occurs.
Gap Down Opening (100+ points):
If Nifty opens near or below 24,106.25 (Best Buying Level) , observe if it finds support. A strong buying interest here could provide an opportunity to target the 24,174.95 - 24,190.60 zone.
A breakdown below 24,106.25 may lead to a bearish trend toward 23,970.00 , the next critical support level. Traders can consider short positions here with strict stop-losses.
If Nifty tests and breaks below 23,970.00 , the next “Do or Die” level for buyers is at 23,700.00 , where a trend reversal may occur if supported by volume.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:
Always use stop-loss orders, especially when trading near resistance and support levels.
Limit your position size to a maximum of 2-3% of your total capital to manage risk efficiently.
For option trades, consider hedging strategies such as spreads or using out-of-the-money options to minimize premium risks in volatile markets.
Summary & Conclusion:
Tomorrow’s market could present significant trading opportunities given the current setup, especially around key support and resistance zones. Be cautious near the “Do or Die” level for buyers at 23,700.00, as it may lead to a trend reversal. Focus on risk management to protect capital in volatile conditions.
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Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. Please consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
For SOL/USDT, For SOL/USDT,
Current Price Movement: SOL is trading at approximately $202.92, marking a significant weekly increase of 24.85%.
Breakout Confirmation: The price has broken out of a consolidation pattern, signaling a potential strong bullish continuation.
Price Targets:
🎯 First Target: $229.77
🎯 Second Target: $278.02
🎯 Third Target: $318.56
This breakout suggests a potential continuation of the upward trend, with these targets in sight as momentum builds. Monitoring price action at these levels will be crucial for confirmation. #SOL #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis
GER30 forecast This is GER30 forecast
I'm looking for sell opportunities, but the is possible buy opportunity.
I'm look for this current 1d candlestick to close under the 19410.00 level. Then tomorrow's 1d candlestick to show bearish power/close bearish under the 19305.00 level. Then I will be looking for retest on the 19305.00 level for continuation of sell.
If this doesn't happen, then I will be looking for buy opportunity above 19410.00 level.
but the trade will be based on technicals, sentiment and fundamentals.
Update will be given
Scalping ! XAU ! Trendline Recovery 2678SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Thursday is in focus, with markets widely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut, which could support gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 98.1% chance of this quarter-point cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Trendline + DOW , Gold price recovered briefly - for the upcoming decline to 2606
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2673
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2662
TP3: $2658
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ETHEREUM more gain Hello and greetings to all the crypto enthusiasts, ✌
In this IDEA, I aim to provide some points and overview of the ETHUSDT’s position. 🙌🐋
The price is currently trading within a well-defined parallel channel, where we are observing strong daily support and a reliable trendline, both of which suggest a stable technical structure. With the recent influx of new capital into the cryptocurrency market, alongside major geopolitical shifts around the world, I believe the overall market outlook is increasingly bullish. 📚✨
This is further reinforced by the fact that Bitcoin and Ethereum, as the primary market leaders, serve as key indicators for the broader crypto market trend. Given their historical significance and market dominance, we can reasonably expect both assets to follow a bullish trajectory as well. 📚🙌
If the price breaks above the upper boundary of the parallel channel, it would likely trigger a stronger upward momentum, leading to higher price levels. This breakout could signal the start of a new phase of rapid price appreciation. 📚🐋
Additionally, a range-bound market scenario is indicated with a less prominent flash, suggesting that while bullish momentum is strong, there may be periods of consolidation or sideways movement. 📚💡
🧨 Our team's main opinion is The market is in a bullish phase, with strong support and a reliable trendline, indicating further upward movement, especially for Bitcoin and Ethereum. A breakout above the upper boundary of the parallel channel could lead to higher prices, though a period of consolidation may also occur. 🧨
Thank you for your attention. If you have any questions or comments, I’m here to respond to you. 🐋💡
BUY SERV; going up to 14.78 and possible break upwards NASDAQ:SERV has bounced off Daily Support (RED $9.33) and going up to Monthly Resistance(BLUE $12.08), if a passage through monthly Resistance occurs this will provide momentum to go up to Daily Resistance(GREEN $14.78). Sideways tunnel located in diagram.
What About Election Year; How Will It Affect Bitcoin?We have experience with 2018 (mid), 2020 (pre), 2022 (mid) and now 2024 (pre).
Ok... I will need your help because this is all speculative opinion and we have no experience with politics... How is Bitcoin likely to be affected by the USA elections?
➖ We have experience with a capitulation process matching the 2018 midterm election (bearish-negative).
➖ The 2020 presidential election resulted in a continuation of a major bullish cycle. Capitulation happened much earlier but in the same year (March 2020).
➖ In 2022 the midterm election matched another capitulation process and bottom (bearish-negative).
➖ In 2024, we can assume that Bitcoin will be in a bullish phase when election time comes; based on previous patterns and price dynamics.
👉 Since Bitcoin is shaking now, we can say that the current market situation supports our main bias. Rather than Bitcoin producing a low now, June/July, and then moving to produce a lower low in November to then proceed to perform its major bull-market bull-run bullish rally, instead, Bitcoin can easily produce whatever bearish/negative action it needs to produce now, June-August, to grow straight up all the way to the new ATH in 2025.
👉 Based on past history, we can assume that this election year will be positive for Bitcoin.
Not that I am biased to my own projection, but that a correction is needed sooner rather than later for the historical patterns to hold.
Please, share your own views and opinions in the comments section below.
Namaste.
Gold will fall again after a small upward movementInstrument:
Time Frame: H4 Chart
Observations:
1. A Strong choch was identified after several BOSes
2. That Choch changed the direction of trend from up side to down.
3. Fair Value Gape was also Observed at the place where ChOch formed
4. Gold is going up to fill the fair value gape and it will get instant reversal from P.O.I
Trading Strategy:
In this trade Our Risk Reward Ratio will be (1:5)
Right Now We put Buy Entries Upto 2735
Strong Selling Zone will be 2735_2740
little above the P.O.I will be our S.L= 2755
the Previous L.L will be our Take Profit= 2642
One of three destinies for ETHUsing bar patterns of past ETH bull runs juxtaposed with the current moment. On chart display is the Ichimoku cloud modified for crypto settings and a wave of exponential moving averages.
With resistances at 2924 - 2956 one could have one of three possible destinies labeled A,B and C.
Situation A is the beautiful bull run heaven every ETH fan boy dreams of. With the current election of a pro-crypto candidate for the presidency this scenario could manifest due to the push in excitement.
Situation B is a break of the resistances upwards to later trade flatly but ultimately come down below resistance again.
Situation C is a rejection off the support with a bounce of the nimble clouds.
$FREY - more money down the drain, headed for the graveyardNYSE:FREY is a company set up to enrich the owners and key players. They have tapped into subsidies in several countries, and the owners have made millions. They have delivered nothing, and plan after plan has been cancelled. After getting tons of money and praise in Norway, they shut down and moved to the US. Because the US government provided a better environment. Still delivering nothing, they now got awarded €122 million from the EU. Watch this money go down the drain, or into owners pockets. No point in doing any technical analysis, this company is heading in one direction only. Be aware of short termed price jumps based on nonsense, it is all part of the process of bankruptcy. As always, do your own due diligence. If this company is alive in its current form in 1 year, I will never post anything in here again.
#AUDJPY 4HAUDJPY 4-Hour Analysis
The AUDJPY pair is currently trading near the upper boundary of a channel on the 4-hour chart, where it faces strong resistance. This channel resistance suggests potential downward pressure, creating a possible sell setup. However, it’s best to wait for price confirmation before entering a short position.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Channel Resistance
- Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity upon Confirmation)
- Entry Strategy: Wait for confirmation of price reversal near the resistance area
Traders may consider a sell entry if the price shows rejection or reversal patterns at the channel resistance. Confirmation from indicators like RSI indicating overbought conditions or MACD showing bearish divergence can strengthen the signal and add confidence to this setup.
#ETHUSD 1DAYETHUSD Daily Analysis
The ETHUSD pair has broken above a key trendline resistance on the daily chart, signaling a shift toward bullish momentum. This breakout suggests buyers are gaining control, but waiting for a retest of the trendline-turned-support could provide a more secure entry point for a long position.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Trendline Breakout
- Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity on Retest)
- Entry Strategy: Buy after a successful retest of the trendline support
Traders may look to enter a buy position if the price retests the trendline and shows signs of support. Additional confirmation from indicators like RSI indicating upward momentum or MACD showing a bullish crossover could strengthen this buy setup, reinforcing the bullish outlook for ETHUSD.
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Analysis
The EURUSD pair has broken below a key trendline on the daily chart, which has now turned into a resistance level. This trendline breakdown signals potential bearish momentum, as the price is likely to face selling pressure if it attempts to retest this new resistance area.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Trendline Breakdown, now Resistance
- Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
- Entry Strategy: Sell near the trendline, now acting as resistance
Traders may consider selling on any retests of the trendline resistance, with targets set at lower support levels. For additional confirmation, indicators such as RSI reflecting bearish conditions or MACD showing downward momentum can strengthen the setup, supporting the bearish forecast for EURUSD.
GBP/USD ! 11/7 ! sideway price zone - resistance signal SELLGBP/USD trend forecast November 7, 2024
The GBP/USD pair finds support during the Asian session on Thursday, moving up from its mid-August low near the 1.2830 area touched the day before. Spot prices now aim to sustain momentum above the 1.2900 level as focus turns to significant central bank events.
The Bank of England (BoE) is expected to announce a rate cut today, its second this year, in response to slowing inflation. However, expectations that UK Finance Minister Rachel Reeves' upcoming budget could boost inflation, potentially slowing future BoE rate cuts, help support the British Pound. A slight dip in the US Dollar also contributes to GBP/USD gains.
Against the backdrop of a rising dollar - GBP is not much changed. sideways and slightly down
/// SELL GBP/USD : zone 1.29520 - 1.29720
SL: 1.30100
TP: 60 - 120 - 250 pips (1.27220)
Safe and profitable trading
Next Resistance is 0.28 area, with upper bollinger 0.24Keltner at 0.25 breakout could see a new forming pattern as a U turnaround on the daily and as a higher low, but momentum to shift and break if the volatility continues to the next leg. What we've seen is on the weekly and some aspects of the monthly. The chart has been retracing, and then a continuation pattern is the current price action, many indicators pointing at bullish indicators with many already on the rise, which could be an area of consolidation like .09, .17, .21, and now .18-possible .22 or beyond. Crucial leg in its journey to break all out or continue distributing here.
Will Silver Close at the High This Year?In September, we discussed the potential of silver forming a 'Cup & Handle' pattern, similar to what we observed with gold at the end of 2023. We saw how gold performed in 2024.
If the Silver can settle at around here at the end of this year, establishing this formation, we should be able to see the rising trend of the Silver in 2025.
In this tutorial, we will discuss why silver may close higher towards end of the year.
Silver Futures & Options
Ticker: SI
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00
Micro Silver Futures
Ticker: SIL
Minimum fluctuation:
0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
What you need to start a new trade
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
For those who bought below 70148.34, it would be good to set the 72344.74 point as the stop loss point and respond.
If the rise continues,
1st: Left Fibonacci ratio 1.618 (76787.43)
2nd: Left Fibonacci ratio 2 (80999.68)
3rd: Left 2.618 (87814.27) ~ Right 1.618 (89050.0)
You can respond depending on whether there is support in the area above.
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In order to proceed with a new transaction, it is recommended to check the position of the StochRSI indicator when a new candle is created.
This is because you can focus on finding a time to buy when the StochRSI indicator is below 50, but you should focus on finding a time to sell when it is above 50.
Based on the current price increase, it is expected that it will not be easy to proceed with a purchase because the StochRSI indicator is expected to rise above 50.
Accordingly, I think you should conduct the transaction from a short-term trading (day trading) perspective.
The difference between day trading and short-term trading depends on the response method.
In other words, day trading means conducting transactions within a period that does not exceed the day if possible.
If you want to exceed the day, you must secure a certain amount of profit through partial sales, and you must set a reservation sale at the stop loss point.
(1h chart)
To conduct day trading, check the movement of the 1h chart.
(You can use the time frame chart that you usually see and trade.)
Since the BW(100) and HA-High indicators are created, it means that a high point has been formed, so when it is first created, the price is likely to fall from that point.
Therefore, you can conduct a transaction when the price rises after falling and shows support.
If it rises after falling and shows resistance in the BW(100) and HA-High indicators, you should judge that it is likely to fall.
At this time, it is a good idea to check the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
The BW(100) line has been created, and the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of turning from an overbought zone to a decline.
Accordingly, even if the price rises, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that it will face resistance near BW(100) and fall.
Although there is a possibility that it will occasionally lead to a sharp rise, I think it is better to interpret it in a direction with a higher probability and respond accordingly.
Therefore, it is currently a time when it is burdensome to proceed with a purchase.
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Since the reporting high (ATH) has been updated, support and resistance points can be displayed on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, it is not easy to select a point to use as a reference point when trading.
However, as I have mentioned before, you should select the 5EMA of the 1D chart and the M-Signal indicator of the 1D, 1W, 1M charts and the BW(0), BW(100), HA-Low, HA-High indicators as support and resistance points and decide the trading time based on whether there is support.
As I mentioned earlier, you should respond based on where the StochRSI indicator of the 1D chart is located based on the 50 point, so you should select the position to start trading on the 1h chart accordingly.
Since you start trading only with a buy in spot trading, you should think about it and trade accordingly.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Xauusd sell signal Gold price bounced off the important support at $2,641, which is the confluence of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 78.6% Fibo level of the latest record rally from the October 10 low of $2,604 to the new all-time high of $2,790.
Gold now sell 2685
Support 2660
Support 2630
Resistance 2705