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Beyond Technical Analysis

GOLD THE WEEK TO COME We have an interesting week coming up and starting with the news we have the news that might favor the dollar strength to continue if this happens we might see a correction on gold for a short term and then continue the move to the upside. 2800 might be broken and it could be a fake out for us to go in to consolidation or correction. There is a bit of ease in some of the geopolitical news and this might also reduce the appetite for gold. how i expect this to play out is for gold to come down to 2760 and then try and break the all time highs and come down to 2750-2725 Happy trading
FX:XAUUSDShort
by rasmarcusgarvey
Bitcoin correction inevitableTime to Chart the King! If you've checked my recent ideas, you'll find onefrom 11 December 2022 titled "Run it Back Turbo." Check it out! Press the play button to see how I've pinpointed the perfect bottom! Now, let's dive into why I've decided to close my trade: Wave Count: I've marked the 5 waves we've seen so far. Wave Comparison: Using the Date & Price Range tool, I've compared the size of wave 3 to wave 5. Wave 5 typically matches or exceeds wave 3, and you can see the King has done just that. How much more do you need to satisfy your greed? ABC Correction: We're expecting an ABC correction where: A Wave: Should hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level drawn from the bottom of the count to the current wave 5 peak. B Wave: Logically, this would reach the 0.236 Fibonacci level. C Wave: Expected to extend to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. Fibonacci Retracement for Wave 5: If you draw a Fibonacci retracement just for the 5th wave, you'll see: The A wave should touch the 0.618 level of this measurement. The B wave goes to the 0.382 The C wave, as usual, should retrace fully to the 1.000 Fib level, where it began. CME Gap: Check out the 1-day chart below to see there's still a CME gap to fill on the way down. Monthly Close: We're nearing the first monthly close of Q1. Take a look at the RSI; there's a clear bearish divergence forming. Liquidity Clusters: The liquidity clusters below look enticing and are prime for grabs, essential for further upward movements. Remember, this market thrives on the ping-pong effect with short stop hunts and liquidation hunts, followed by the same to the longs, rinse and repeat. Here you see a freshly pulled LiqMap from The Kingfisher platform currently the only one I know of which can show you these clusters. As you can see we have a ton of liquidity to tap into before we can resume this bullrun! Conclusion: The King Needs to Reset! No reason to be upset. Everyone needs a rest after such a run. We will resume our journey soon enough, reaching those higher targets sooner or later. See the bright side: we can sell now, load up at cheaper prices, and potentially make even bigger profits. Follow me for updates to this idea and follow me on X for even more insights!
CME:BTC1!Education
by Candle_Styx
The week could start red, not not sure it'll lastWeekend triangle pattern formed the 4hr. I expected a Monday breakout to the upside with price action triggering long positions then liquidating them on the way to the GETTEX:97K region. The reverse could also happen. Breakout to the downside, trigger shorts, then at LSE open on Monday, price reversal, liquidating shorts while rallying towards $112k. On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news. It might have no effect, trigger longs and shorts, liquidate both sides, then trade sideways for the first half of the week. Note to self: 1) Keep your stops tight or (2) sit this one out until direction confirmed (3) run a neutral bot in the meantime.
by ZorosonD
#ES_F Day Trading Prep Week 1.26 - 1.31.25Last Week : Last week we opened over the Value of 6054 - 5933 HTF Range and were able to hold over, when we got over the Edge that brought in more buying that gave us a push into new HTF Value of 6195 - 6074 Range where we have sold off from before after contract roll and we closed Friday with a rejection from a push into VAH. This Week : Last week of the month, new president is in, what can we expect this week ? Well looking at the structure we had a perfect rejection from the top on Friday which of course doesn't exactly have to be a top but if it were one it would be a very good looking one on the Daily TF if it was one. Going into this week IF we can't get over VAH and hold over 6160 - 70 to build supply to take higher over upper Edge then we could see balancing inside the Intraday Range of current Value to build supply and digest the move we had last week that is IF we have truly accepted in this 6195 - 6074 HTF Range. IF we have not found the needed acceptance here and we start getting continuation into VAL we have Poor/Weak RTH Lows there at 6111 which we could aim for, If taken out that could give us more selling to at least fill the Gap we created into 6093 area. From there we would watch if we absorb all the selling and can get back into above Value or if we can't and we hold under 6100 then we could see more selling to push into lower Edge and IF we happen to get inside it under 6070 then moves back towards lower VAH/Value are not out of the question as long as we can get through 6050s
CME_MINI:ES1!
by HollowMn
ATR+Order Block IndicatorThis is my ATR + Order Block Indicator , a powerful tool for identifying price ranges and reversals. The red line represents the accumulation zone, while the green line is the distribution zone. When the price touches either line, it tends to reverse, creating a predictable range. The distance between the two zones defines the expected price range, dynamically adjusting based on buyer and seller pressure. The blue line is the ATR line, which indicates market conditions—whether the price is rising, falling, or moving sideways. A flat blue line signals a sideways market, helping traders refine their strategies. This chart of Nifty Bank demonstrates clear and concise signals generated by this indicator. Unlike traditional tools like EMA, RSI, Bollinger Bands, or Supertrend, my indicators are designed to be unique and combine multiple elements for more accurate buy and sell signals. This indicator is free, but if you’re impressed by its performance, imagine what my paid indicators can do! follow me on TradingView, and stay updated as I release more innovative tools. Feel free to message me on TradingView for details about my paid indicators or to explore the many ideas I’ve published. Thank you for your support, and happy trading!
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by TradeTechanalysis
BTC - Top around October 2025 - bottom in October 2026I was fooled by the bearish divergence on the 1W-3W charts in thinking that we'd get another correction from these levels. That is still possible, but this overview is based on if we just continue up from these levels. Our next stops could be 112K, and 127,500K. Maybe we get a correction from those levels. I think that the BTC top will probably be around 174K - 250K. If all goes as it has in the past, then we probably top around October of this year. Then we would be in a downward bear market until October of 2026, where the bottom will probably be around 80% from wherever we top. Also, we do appear to be doing a classic Elliot Wave 5 wave structure, so we may do a big ABC type move downward into October of 2026.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by LoneWolf1425
Weekly and Monday analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ NASDAQ closed lower, finding support at the 5-day moving average. Last Friday unfolded as expected, with a correction to the 5-day line being part of the wave pattern, making a sell-oriented approach the best strategy for the day. The downward wave emerged in the afternoon rather than during the pre-market, resulting in extended consolidation. On the weekly chart, it formed a bullish candle, reaching the upper range of the box zone; however, the MACD has yet to fully cross above the signal line. This week, the area between the 3-day and 5-day moving averages (20,800–20,600) could act as a short-term pullback buying zone. If this area fails to hold and prices close lower with a bearish candle, the market might revert to maintaining a wide-ranging box zone. Therefore, it's crucial to close the week with a bullish candle to confirm a buy signal. On the daily chart, the MACD and signal line are positioned above the zero line, indicating that buying pressure could persist. However, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, suggesting that significant additional surges are unlikely. A short-term correction perspective is advisable. If prices fail to decisively break above the 3-day moving average near 21,950, a correction to the 10-day moving average should be considered. The 240-minute chart shows the emergence of a long bearish candle forming a double top. If Friday’s low at 21,844 is breached, there’s a strong likelihood of filling the gap created on January 22. The MACD and signal line still show a significant gap from the zero line, so there could be support and a rebound at the lower levels. In summary, while a short-term sell perspective is advisable, buying opportunities could emerge near the gap-filling zone around 21,700 during pullbacks. OIL Oil closed higher at $74, finding support and forming a bullish daily candle for the first time in six trading sessions. This bounce establishes a foothold at the key support level of $74. On the weekly chart, prices found support at the 5-day moving average. Although the MACD has crossed above the zero line, the signal line is still slightly below it. If a bullish candle forms this week, it will confirm a buy signal on the weekly chart, favoring buy-oriented strategies. On the daily chart, prices could rise again, finding support at the 20-day moving average. However, the sharp downward angle of the recent decline from $79 and the ongoing sell signal from the MACD indicate that any rally may face resistance and pullbacks. If prices rebound to the $77–$78 range, there is a high probability of a pullback. The $74–$79 range is likely to hold, with a period of consolidation allowing moving averages to converge. On the 240-minute chart, bullish divergence is forming near $74, and the MACD is on the verge of generating a buy signal. A buy-oriented strategy on pullbacks is advisable. GOLD Gold closed higher with an upper shadow on the daily candle. On the weekly chart, prices reached the upper Bollinger Band. The MACD, however, has yet to achieve a golden cross above the signal line, keeping the sell signal intact. A strong rally with a long bullish candle would be required to confirm a buy signal. If additional upward momentum fails and prices start to decline, the MACD may turn downward again. The current gap between the MACD and signal line suggests that an immediate buy signal might not be achievable. On the daily chart, buying pressure remains strong, and as long as the 10-day moving average holds, a one-way buying trend is likely. On the 240-minute chart, resistance is evident at higher levels, and divergence in the MACD could occur. It’s advisable to avoid chasing prices higher. Given the staircase-like upward movement, a buy-oriented approach on pullbacks is recommended. This Week’s Key Events: FOMC meeting (Wednesday) Tesla and Meta earnings reports (Wednesday) Apple earnings report (Thursday) Expect heightened volatility on Wednesday and Thursday. Good luck with your investments this week! ■Trading Strategies for Today NASDAQ - Range-bound Market -Buy: 21,850 / 21,785 / 21,720 / 21,630 / 21,530 -Sell: 21,970 / 22,010 / 22,055 / 22,105 OIL - Range-bound Market -Buy: 74.15 / 73.40 / 72.80 / 72.40 -Sell: 75.20 / 75.95 / 76.40 / 77.10 GOLD - Bullish Market -Buy: 2,774 / 2,768 / 2,762 / 2,752 -Sell: 2,782 / 2,793 / 2,799 / 2,816 These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks. If you liked this analysis, please follow me and give it a boost!
CME_MINI:NQ1!
by Futureguard
BTC/USD Bulish signalWe anticipate BTC/USD to test the **$101,000** support level. If this level holds, the price is expected to rebound and target the **$110,000** resistance zone. **Key Levels:** - **Support:** $101,000 - **Resistance:** $110,000 **Action:** - Watch for a bounce at $101,000 to confirm the bullish momentum. - Consider entering long positions near $101,000 with a target of $110,000, applying proper risk management. *Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research and trade responsibly.*
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by prowavestrader
Trading’s Worst Kept Secret: How Inconsistency Wiped My $200kLast week, a trader messaged me about his "profitable" strategy. He made $5,000 in one week, lost $3,000 the next, made $2,000 after that, then lost everything trying to recover his losses. His strategy wasn't the problem, his inconsistency was killing his results. I know exactly how this feels. Five years ago, I was the same trader. One month I'd make 20% returns, feeling like I'd finally cracked the code. The next month, I'd lose 30%, wondering what went wrong. This cycle continued until I lost over $10,000 and nearly quit trading altogether. If you're finding yourself on this emotional rollercoaster, stick with me. I share weekly insights about transforming your trading psychology in my newsletter. But first, let me show you what's really happening in your trading. The Hidden Pattern Most Traders Never See Think about your last few weeks of trading. You start Monday motivated and disciplined. By Wednesday, you're taking random trades out of boredom. Friday comes, and you're either trying to recover losses or risking too much to "make the week count." Does this sound familiar? This isn't just about having good days and bad days. It's about the invisible force that's destroying your trading results: inconsistency. I remember one particular month when I was trading a $200,000 funded account. My first week was perfect. I followed all my rules, and made 3% profit. The next week, I got overconfident and started taking trades without proper confirmation. Third week, I barely traded at all because I was scared of losing my gains. By the fourth week, I was revenge trading and wiped out the entire month's profits in two days. Why Most Traders Never Realize This Problem Here's what makes inconsistency so dangerous. It masquerades as other problems. When we're losing, we blame our strategy. When we're winning, we credit our "intuition." We never realize that the real issue is our inconsistent execution. Let me share something embarrassing. During my early funded trading days, I had a strategy with a proven 42% win rate and 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio. Mathematically, this strategy should have been profitable. But my actual results were all over the place. Why? Because I wasn't trading the same way every time. Some days I'd risk 1%, other days 2% when I was "sure". Sometimes I'd take profits early, other times let trades run I'd follow my rules strictly after losses but get sloppy after wins This inconsistency turned a profitable strategy into a losing one. The Mathematics of Inconsistency Most traders don't understand that inconsistency doesn't just affect your profits. It changes the entire mathematics of your trading. Let's say you have a strategy that wins 40% of the time and makes twice as much on winners as you lose on losers. If traded consistently, this strategy will make money over time. But add inconsistent execution, and everything changes. When you cut winners short, your 2R winners become 1R winners. When you move stop losses, your 1R losses become 2R losses. When you overtrade, you take setups with lower probability. Suddenly, your profitable strategy becomes a coin flip, except you're risking more than you're making. Want to learn more about how mathematics affects your trading? I break down these concepts every week in my free newsletter. Just drop your email here, and I'll show you exactly how to turn inconsistent results into reliable profits. The Real Cost of Inconsistency The most dangerous part of inconsistency isn't just the money you lose - it's the psychological damage it causes. When you trade inconsistently, you never know if your losses are due to: Your strategy not working Your execution being poor Normal market conditions Your position sizing being wrong This uncertainty leads to constant strategy-hopping, system tweaking, and emotional decision-making. I see this in my mentoring sessions all the time. Traders with perfectly good strategies fail simply because they can't execute consistently. The Professional Approach to Consistency After managing multiple six-figure funded accounts, here's what I've learned about trading consistently. Firstly, you need a detailed trading plan. You should leave no room for interpretation. No "it depends" scenarios. Every decision should be pre-planned so that you will take your trades mechanically. Secondly, you need a daily routine. Have a routine that puts you in the right mindset. For me, this means reviewing my rules every morning, checking my maximum risk for the day, and setting alerts for potential setups. Lastly, you need accountability. It's easy to break your own rules when no one's watching. This is why I started my discord community where traders support each other in maintaining consistency. Building Your Consistency Framework After blowing multiple accounts, I finally developed a system that works. Here's how I transformed my trading: I start each day by writing down my maximum risk per trade. This number never changes, regardless of how I feel about any setup. Before entering any trade, I take a screenshot of my analysis and compare it to my trading plan. If anything doesn't match exactly, I don't take the trade. After each trade, I score myself on execution, not profits. A losing trade that followed my plan perfectly gets a higher score than a winning trade that broke my rules. Taking Action: Your First Steps If you're reading this and realizing inconsistency might be your problem, here's what you need to do. First, admit that your current approach isn't working. Inconsistent execution will never lead to consistent profits. Second, create a trading plan that eliminates decisions during market hours. Every action should be pre-planned. Third, join a community that values consistency over profits. My discord community is filled with traders who understand this. We celebrate perfect execution more than profitable trades. The Path Forward Remember, the market doesn't care about your strategy. It only cares about your execution. Want to learn how to build rock-solid consistency in your trading? Subscribe to my newsletter here. Every week, I share: Practical tips for maintaining consistency Real trade examples with execution breakdowns Psychology frameworks for steady performance Risk management techniques that work Don't let inconsistency keep destroying your results. Join hundreds of traders who've transformed their trading through consistent execution. The choice is yours: Continue riding the emotional rollercoaster of inconsistent trading, or build the framework for reliable, consistent results.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
HTF PREMIUM LIQUIDITY ATTACKIt seems to me like the market will continue to be bullish. The target for this week is the Weekly High (22111.00) which would mean All Time High for ES (given the effect of President Trump that is a very likely scenario). Coupled with the Premium Liquidity are the Premium levels of an old Opening Range Gap and a 1H FVG. If it trades there and bullish PDAs support price it might run for the ALT. On Friday, the market already drop below a Daily Low and filled the ORG around 50% which could be enough to project price higher (potential Daily IOFED). Although there still are two Daily Discount FVGs and a 4H Breaker where price could trade to before running. Therefore, I want to see how price trades on Monday / Tuesday and depending on the signatures I will trade it accordingly.
CME_MINI:MNQH2025Long
by TheMatrix-
$XAUUSD: Gold firing on all cylindersSeems like OANDA:XAUUSD triggered a weekly up trend again, you can see it has been trending up strongly since I called the long term trend in Gold would take place a while back (see related ideas). Trump's ideas regarding inflation and rates might influence the Federal Reserve's actions going forward, perhaps the market is pricing this in now. Historically, precious metals move in correlation to real interest rates, that is, inflation adjusted interest rates. At times, Gold might be affected by broad scale deleveraging at times of market stress, since it acts as collateral for many investors, or it might be bought as a hedge for geopolitical risk. In normal periods, real rates influence price the most. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by IvanLabrie
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the S&P 500 successfully achieved our predefined target of Outer Index Rally, 6123, corresponding to the Key Resistance established at 6090. The market is currently exhibiting a phase of consolidation, as the bullish trend appears to be transiently suspended following the conclusion of the outer index rally. It is, however, essential to acknowledge that the absence of a significant corrective pullback may facilitate the re-initiation of a bullish trajectory toward additional rally targets. Such a development would position the market advantageously for the forthcoming phase of the bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter