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XAUUSD H4 Update – The Battle Has Moved to 3350 “From deep demand to key supply. The next move is decisive.” 🔸 Sunday Plan Recap Price was falling aggressively into the HTF demand zone (3265–3240). The plan anticipated a bounce only if that deep zone held. Above price, major zones included: 3314 – mid-structure 3330–3345 – supply zone 3368–3380 – final retracement targets 🔸 What Changed? ✅ The deep demand zone worked — H4 CHoCH bullish was confirmed. ✅ Price climbed through 3285 and 3314, confirming a retracement leg. 🔥 Now, price sits at 3349.57, testing the same supply zone marked in Sunday’s plan (3330–3345). 🔸 Current H4 Structure 🔼 Short-term bias = bullish retracement 📍 Price = inside HTF premium zone 📈 EMAs aligned bullish (5/21/50), confirming short-term momentum 💡 RSI = approaching overbought ⚔️ Liquidity above 3355, trapped shorts below 3314 🧠 Today’s Battle Plan (August 1) 🔴 Sell Zone (live) – 3345 to 3355 Price just entered the key H4 supply zone. Watch for rejection signs: Bearish confirmation needed (e.g. M15/M30 CHoCH or engulfing) If confirmed → downside targets: 3314 → 3285 → 3265 High RR short only if structure confirms 🔵 Breakout Bullish Case If 3355 breaks with a clean body + HL at 3340 → bullish continuation active Next upside target: 3368 → 3380 🧭 Final Thoughts We’ve reached the exact decision zone from Sunday’s plan. The market will now reveal: retracement over... or breakout coming? Patience is key — this is a high RR zone, but only if structure reacts. 💬 Did you catch the move from deep demand? Or waiting for confirmation here at supply? 📈 Share your thoughts in the comments and let’s break it down together. 🔔 Follow for real-time market insights, sniper plans, and structured trading logic you can trust. ❤️ Like if you enjoy clean, actionable updates🚀🚀🚀 🔁 Share with traders who love structure over noise 📉 Price data from Trade Nation feed
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
VIX: From “Calm Tension” to a ReboundWhy does a small uptick matter today… if we’ve already seen 60+ readings four times in the past 17 years? The first week of August 2025 brought back a familiar market force: volatility. The VIX, which tracks expected fluctuations in the S&P 500, jumped 21% in just a few days, rising from 17.4 to 20.37, with an intraday high of 21.9 on August 1. At first glance, the move may seem minor. But it broke through key long-term moving averages (SMA 50 and 200) and exited its recent comfort zone (14–19 pts). That alone is enough to make portfolio managers and traders pay attention again. 🔙 Historical context: when the VIX truly spiked 📅 Date 🔺 VIX intraday 🧨 Trigger Oct 1, 2008 96.40 Subprime mortgage crisis, Lehman collapse, AIG bailout Mar 2, 2020 85.47 COVID-19 global spread, border shutdowns Aug 5, 2024 65.73 Surprise Fed rate hike + overheated jobs data Apr 7, 2025 60.13 Panic over new U.S. tariffs on global partners Compared to those moments, today's VIX levels look “mild.” But the technical and macroeconomic signals suggest that volatility may be establishing a new baseline. 1. 📊 Breakdown: First week of August 2025 Weekly increase: from 17.4 → 20.37 (+21%). Technical breakout: monthly close above both the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA 19.25 and 19.45). MACD on the monthly chart has flipped positive for the first time since March 2023. Key drivers: 🏛️ The Fed left interest rates unchanged on July 30, but two dissenting votes favored a rate cut. 👷‍♂️ Softening jobs data: July NFP came in at only +73,000 jobs (vs. +110,000 expected). 🧾 New U.S. tariffs, announced on August 1, reignited inflation concerns. 2. ⚖️ Comparing August 2025 to the August 2024 storm Factor August 2024 August 2025 (Week 1) 🔺 VIX peak 65.73 21.9 🏛️ Fed stance Surprise 25 bp rate hike Rates unchanged, internal division 👷 Labor market Hot, wage pressures Cooling down 📉 S&P 500 reaction −12% in 3 weeks Approx. −3% decline underway 💧 Market liquidity Very low (pre-market) Normal Conclusion: 2024 was a systemic shock. 2025 is more of a volatility warning sign—but one that matters for risk management. 3. 📍 Technical signals to monitor The monthly MACD just turned positive, which historically precedes sustained volatility spikes. Key short-term range: 18–22 pts. A sustained close above 22 could trigger heavy selling in high-beta stocks. Options expiration (OPEX, Aug 16) may amplify moves via gamma flows. 4. 🔮 What could move the VIX next? 📅 Date 📌 Event ⚠️ Volatility Risk Aug 14 Core CPI (July) Reading above 0.3% m/m could reignite hawkish Fed bets Aug 22–23 Jackson Hole Symposium Powell’s speech could reset the policy outlook End of Aug Q2 GDP revision Confirm whether slowdown = soft landing or stagflation 📌 Note: The VIX cannot be traded directly. Exposure is typically obtained through futures, options, or ETNs—each with specific risks like contango, low liquidity, and roll decay. 📌 Final thoughts The VIX doesn’t need to hit 60 to send a message. The fact that it’s breaking above long-term averages, reacting sharply to macro data, and threatening key levels is enough to suggest that the era of ultra-low volatility may be ending. History shows us that major VIX spikes come fast and unannounced. If you remember 2008, 2020, or even April 2025—you know that preparation beats prediction.
TVC:VIX
by SHGTrading
XRPUSDT Analysis (MMC) : Decision Point + Next Move Loading In this 4-hour chart of XRP/USDT, we're observing a critical structure forming under the Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) framework. Price action is compressing near an important descending trendline, suggesting that a breakout or breakdown is imminent. Let’s break it down zone by zone: 🔍 Key Zones & Price Structure: Important Zone (SR Interchange Zone – $2.95 - $3.05) This is a major supply-to-demand flip zone. It has served as both resistance and support in the past and is now acting as a potential interchange level. The price is hovering just below this area, retesting it after a significant bearish structure. BR Supply Zone (Breakdown Retest Supply – $2.93 - $2.98) After price broke down from this zone, it created a base for a retest. This level has since acted as a cap to further upside movement. It also coincides with the descending trendline, adding confluence to its strength as resistance. Next Reversal Zone ($2.75 - $2.85) In case the price fails to reclaim the Important Zone, we could see a bearish continuation move into the next zone of interest. This is a likely reversal or reaction area based on previous demand imprints and price imbalance. SR Flip Watch If price breaks above the trendline and sustains above the SR Interchange Zone, this could trigger a potential bullish breakout toward the $3.20+ region (labeled as target “1”). This move would be backed by trapped sellers and liquidity above the descending structure. 📈 Potential Scenarios: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and close above the descending trendline. Successful retest of the Important Zone as demand. Push toward $3.20 - $3.30 where the next supply awaits (target 1). ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at the Important Zone and trendline resistance. Breakdown below $2.90 confirms bearish pressure. Possible liquidity sweep and reaction from the Next Reversal Zone ($2.75-$2.85). If this zone fails to hold, continuation toward lower zones becomes likely. 🧠 MMC Perspective: From a Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) standpoint, the market is currently at a reflection point where a decision between bulls and bears is about to play out. The clean diagonal structure plus clear horizontal liquidity pockets makes this setup ideal for anticipating manipulation traps and smart money moves.
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Showing Signs of Reversal After Hitting Key ResistanceHello Guys. Gold has reached a major resistance zone around 3439–3425, which has already acted as a strong ceiling in the past. The price tapped into this area again, forming a clear divergence, and failed to break higher. Here’s what stands out: Divergence signals a weakening bullish momentum at the top. The price rejected the resistance and is now breaking structure to the downside. A minor pullback may occur before continuation, as shown in the projected moves. First target: 3259.792 Second target (if support breaks): 3136.869, a deeper zone for potential bounce or further drop. This setup hints at a bearish trend building up. Stay cautious on longs unless the price structure changes again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
25
How to Capture Reversals/Breakouts with MAD IndicatorBTC/USDT 15M – Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) Captures Reversals & Breakouts ⸻ Description: On this BTC/USDT 15-minute chart, the Market Anomaly Detector (MAD) is actively highlighting high-probability market turning points and anomaly zones. Key Observations from the Chart: 1. Green & Red Zones = Expected Price Range • Green Line (Upper Band): Expected top of the range. • Red Line (Lower Band): Expected bottom of the range. • Price usually travels green → red → green, forming a natural oscillation. 2. Buy/Sell Signals = Breakout + Reversal Detection • Buy Signal: Triggered when price closes above the green line or recovers from below the red line. • Sell Signal: Triggered when price closes below the red line or rejects from the green line. • This reverse psychology logic helps catch false breakouts and stop-loss hunts. 3. Performance on This Chart: • Signals aligned with key reversals during the sideways-to-downtrend transition. • The strong downtrend in the second half of the chart shows multiple accurate sell signals, confirming trend continuation. • Sideways movements had minimal false signals due to cooldown + volume filter. 4. Unique Advantage (USP): • Statistical approach using Z-Score & Standard Deviation. • Multi-filter confirmation with RSI, volume, and higher timeframe trend. • Visually clear anomaly zones: • Green background = Bullish anomaly • Red background = Bearish anomaly • Gray background = Neutral range Takeaway: MAD helps traders anticipate anomalies rather than react late, offering high-probability trade entries and reversals in trending and volatile conditions.
Short
by TradeTechanalysis
QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025 🧠 **QQQ LEAP Trade Thesis – Aug 1, 2025** 🎯 **Setup**: High-conviction LEAP PUT 📉 **Bias**: 🔻 *Moderate Bearish* 📆 Horizon: Long-Term (12+ months) --- 📊 **Multi-Model Intelligence Summary** 🧪 **Grok (xAI)** • Monthly RSI = bearish 📉 • Trading near 52W highs = overvalued 💥 • Suggests: \$545 PUT 🧠 **Gemini (Google)** • High conviction bearish • Suggests: \$590 PUT (expensive premium) 🧬 **Claude (Anthropic)** • RSI breakdown = confirmed weakness • Recommends: \$530 PUT for max downside 🦾 **Meta (LLaMA)** • Moving averages turning over • Suggests: \$555 PUT – moderate confidence 🛰️ **DeepSeek** • Long-term RSI confirms bearish drift • Volatility ideal for LEAP entries • Recommends: \$545 PUT --- 📍**MODEL CONSENSUS** ✅ Bearish trend across all models ✅ Favorable volatility (VIX ✅) ✅ Overvaluation = downside pressure ⚠️ Strike variance across models → we anchor at **\$545** for balance --- 💼 **TRADE SETUP (LEAP PUT)** • 🔻 Direction: PUT (Short) • 🎯 Strike: **\$545** • 📆 Expiry: **2026-09-18** (413 days) • 💰 Entry Price: **\$38.33** • 🎯 Target: **\$76.66** • 🛑 Stop: **\$24.91** • ✅ Confidence: **75%** • ⏰ Entry: Monday Open • 📏 Size: 1 contract --- 📌 **Narrative**: Every model says the same thing: RSI rollover, inflated price, and perfect LEAP conditions. Institutions are neutral → retail can front-run the decay. You don’t often get long-dated PUTs this clean. 🎯 Asymmetric risk/reward. 📉 Macro setup aligns. 🎯 Strong long-term positioning play. --- 🧠 Stay smart. Position early. Ride the macro shift. 🔔 Like + Follow for more AI-driven trade setups.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by quantsignals
BTC | Swing Plan UpdatePrice failed to break out above 1D supply and sharply rejected, losing key 4H demand at $117,300. HTF demand at $109,000 (1D FVG + BOS + S/R) is the next major area of interest—this is where I’ll look for fresh swing setups if the market flushes further. No need to rush new positions until a clean setup prints or levels are reclaimed. Plan: Wait for price to test $109,000 zone before considering a swing long. Only consider LTF scalp longs if we reclaim the 4H BOS at $118,300. Stay flat until high-probability entry, let the market show its hand.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 1, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, the Euro experienced a significant drop, reaching the 1.139 level, and completing what is referred to as the Inner Currency Dip. As a result of the completion, the currency reversed direction and made a strong rebound, hitting the Mean Resistance level at 1.160. Recent analyses suggest that the Euro is likely to enter a sustained downward move after retesting the Mean Resistance at 1.160, with the target set to revisit the completed Inner Currency Dip at 1.139. However, it is essential to consider the possibility of continued upward momentum towards the Mean Resistance level of 1.177. Such a movement could trigger a significant rebound and lead to the completion of the Outer Currency Rally at 1.187.
by TradeSelecter
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 1, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading session, the Bitcoin market experienced a notable pullback. The primary reason for this movement was the Key Resistance level, which led to a decline that reached our Mean Support level of 113000. This anticipated pullback is prompting the completion of the Outer Coin Dip target of 111000, with a strong likelihood of moving towards the Mean Support level of 108000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
$UNH BEARISH SETUP – WEEK OF AUG 1 🔻 **\ NYSE:UNH BEARISH SETUP – WEEK OF AUG 1** 🔻 **UnitedHealth Group (UNH)** is showing classic breakdown signs. Here’s what the data says: 📉 **RSI Breakdown** • Daily RSI: **20.6** • Weekly RSI: **19.3** → Deeply oversold + no bounce = 🚨 momentum flush risk 📊 **Volume Surge** • Weekly Volume: **145M** (1.9x avg) → Heavy **institutional selling**, NOT dip buying 🧠 **Options Insight** • Call/Put Ratio: **1.17** = Slight bullish noise • But... Expiry Gamma is 🚨HIGH = IV Crush incoming • VIX: **20.7** = Volatility tailwinds intact 💣 **TRADE IDEA (PUT PLAY)** • Direction: **BUY PUTS** • Strike: **\$230** • Expiry: **08/08/2025** • Entry: **Monday Open** • Target Premium: **\$0.10** • 🎯 PT: \$0.30 | 🛑 SL: \$0.03 • Confidence: **70%** 📌 **Narrative**: Oversold + High Volume Dump + No support bounce = Perfect storm for continuation dump. This is a high gamma play, time-sensitive, low-cost lotto setup. Risk small. Aim big. --- 💥 **Watchlist Tag**: ` NYSE:UNH AMEX:SPY AMEX:XLV ` 🧠 **Strategy Tag**: #OversoldFlush #PutPlay #0DTETrap 🚀 Follow for more weekly earnings & options breakdowns!
NYSE:UNHShort
by quantsignals
Bitcoin Could Accept bearish TrendBitcoin is currently testing a key resistance zone between 120,000 and 121,000. While price action is attempting to break higher, market conditions suggest the possibility of a false breakout rather than a sustained bullish continuation. BTC has approached a significant resistance band, and early signs of exhaustion are visible. Unless the price decisively holds above 121,000, any breakout may lack conviction. Given the broader unresolved downtrend, a corrective move remains likely. If the breakout fails to sustain, we anticipate a pullback toward the 117,000 to 115,000 range. This would align with a retest of previous support zones and continuation of the short-term bearish structure. Ps: Support with like and comments for better analysis Thanks.
Short
by MrMartin_11
8
SPY: I think dollar milkshake is brewing, buying for long term📉 SPY Daily Breakdown – Aug 1, 2025 | VolanX Observations 🧠 Bot failed today, but the market taught more than any trade could have. Sitting out gave me the clarity to reassess structure and edge. 🔍 Market Structure Update: Gap Down from Premium Zone: Today’s price action rejected the weak high and created a clean daily gap — signaling potential distribution at the top. ORB (15-min) marked and ready: Likely to be retested on Monday. If price rallies into this zone and rejects, that’s where I’ll look for short entries. Friday Bearish Close Rule: Statistically, when Friday closes red with strong momentum, Monday tends to follow — especially after a gap-down open. 🧭 Big Picture Outlook: Liquidity Zones Below: 600 → First institutional reaction zone. 580 → Deeper demand and equilibrium area from previous consolidation. Dollar Milkshake Brewing: Strong USD thesis could pressure equities short-term. This aligns with potential flow into defensives and out of high beta. Long-Term Bias: Watching for deep discounts. If price moves into high-value demand zones, I’ll accumulate for the long haul — buying fear when it's priced in. 📌 What I’m Watching Next Week: Monday open – will we see Gap & Go or a Gap Fill + Fade? Reaction to ORB zone. Volatility behavior and volume footprint in the first 90 minutes. 🔻 No trades today due to a bot error, but ironically, that gave me better vision. Sometimes, the best trades are the ones you don’t take. VolanX Protocol engaged. Standing by.
AMEX:SPYShort
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
USDJPY: Breaking Out With Macro Backing 🟢 USDJPY | Breakout Opportunity Above Resistance Timeframe: 1H Bias: Bullish Type: Break and Retest 📊 Technical Setup USDJPY is currently consolidating at a key 4H resistance zone (147.75–147.90). A clean breakout and retest of this area will confirm bullish continuation. • Entry: Above 147.90 (after confirmed candle close + retest) • SL: Below 147.30 • TP: 148.90 / 149.60 • RR: ~1:2.5 • Indicators: RSI showing strong upside momentum, holding above 50 🧠 Fundamentals + Macro Confluence • USD Strength: Strong macro & delayed rate cuts support USD upside • JPY Weakness: BOJ remains dovish; risk-on sentiment weighing on JPY • COT + Conditional Score: USD score increased to 17, JPY dropped to 8 • Risk Sentiment: VIX at 14.2 = RISK ON → bearish JPY bias 🧭 Gameplan “Wait for confirmation above resistance before entering” 🔔 Set alerts around 147.90 and monitor lower timeframes for retest and bullish candle structure.
Long
by wajahatarif
GOLD Analysis – Bullish Recovery Setup After Trendline Breakout ⚙️ Technical Structure Overview This 4-hour chart of Gold (XAUUSD) illustrates a classic reversal setup developing after a significant correction. Price previously faced strong selling pressure from the 3,470+ zone and declined sharply. However, the recent price action suggests a shift in control from sellers to buyers, signaling a likely medium-term trend reversal or a bullish wave formation. The key to this setup lies in three confluences: Completion of a previous supply zone, which no longer holds influence. Aggressive buyer activity from a major support zone. A clean break above the descending trendline, which is a common signal that bearish momentum is losing strength. 🔑 Key Levels & Concepts Explained 🟢 1. Major Support Zone (3,260–3,280) This zone has been tested multiple times and each time, buyers stepped in and prevented further downside. The most recent rejection from this area shows long wicks and bullish engulfing candles, indicating accumulation by institutional players. This is the foundational support that has held the entire corrective structure. 📉 2. Trendline Breakout The descending trendline connecting swing highs has now been broken to the upside. This is a critical technical signal, especially on the 4H timeframe, as it suggests a potential trend reversal or at least a deep retracement in the opposite direction. Trendline breakouts typically result in a retest of the trendline or a nearby support-turned-resistance zone (as is the case here with the Mini SR level). It also implies that supply is weakening, and buyers are ready to push. 🧱 3. Mini Support/Resistance Interchange (~3,300–3,320) This zone now plays the role of an interchange level—a previous minor resistance that could act as a support after the breakout. This level is crucial for intraday and swing traders because it can offer a low-risk long entry if price retests and confirms it with bullish momentum. The chart projection suggests a bounce off this mini S/R, followed by successive higher highs and higher lows, forming a new bullish structure. 📈 Forecast Path & Trade Scenario ✅ Bullish Path (Preferred MMC Scenario) Stage 1: Price retests the 3,300–3,320 zone (Mini S/R). Stage 2: Buyers step in, leading to a bullish continuation. Stage 3: Price targets the Minor Resistance (~3,440). Stage 4: If momentum is sustained, it aims for Major Resistance (~3,470–3,480), completing a clean reversal formation. This path reflects perfect bullish market structure—a breakout, followed by a retest and rally. ❌ Bearish Invalidation If the price closes strongly below 3,260, the structure would be invalidated. This would suggest that the support zone failed, possibly triggering deeper downside toward 3,220–3,200. 🧠 MMC Trader Mindset & Risk Considerations Don’t Chase: Wait for a confirmed retest of the Mini S/R zone. Let the market come to your entry. Entry Confirmation: Use candlestick signals like bullish engulfing, pin bars, or inside bars near the Mini S/R. Volume Consideration: Volume should ideally rise on breakout legs and decline on pullbacks—this confirms healthy bullish structure. Risk-Reward: With a stop below 3,260 and targets toward 3,470, the RR ratio favors long entries, especially after confirmation. 🔁 Summary Plan for Execution Entry Zone: 3,300–3,320 (after bullish confirmation) Stop Loss: Below 3,260 (structure break) Take Profit 1: 3,440 Take Profit 2: 3,470–3,480 Risk-to-Reward: 1:2+ if planned carefully
FX:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1