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Beyond Technical Analysis

VIX is a VIXjust having a little fun in a chat about how i chart the VIX. i say a VIX is a VIX. when we are spiking, we are spiking and we should become cautious if we don't know how to manage in that environment (intense bearish environment). this recent spike has proven that there are bullish moments that can be gleamed, but you have to be clear about your targets . if someone has more to add about VIX royalty, please do share. otherwise, pick one to monitor if that is even your thing. no need to clutter your toolbox with VIX concepts... says me. shout out to @BradMatheny. your work is amazing. thank you for sharing a bit here and there. i'm going to make time to learn more from you. tootles
TVC:VIX
by mommymiles
$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k Current price: $77700 Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection. if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
by Ifiok-2sydes
USD/CAD: Time to Go Long?On the monthly chart, USD/CAD has found strong support, signaling a potential bullish continuation. With anticipated USD strength in the coming weeks, there’s a clear opportunity for the pair to move higher. We are targeting 1.40180 as the first objective, with the potential to extend towards 1.41500 if momentum continues. On the daily chart, the price is showing signs of weakness but also bullish intent, suggesting a possible retracement before a move higher. Ideally, a pullback into the 1.38490 – 1.38450 zone would offer a high-probability long entry.
Long
by Wiiso
XRP break 2.24 bullish, is not, as low as $1.28Traders, I have to make this quick I was bit by a brown recluse and put it off for a day or two longer than I should have. So I need to Skedaddle to the hospital super quick and fast! Ok, here’s how I see it. I’m going to post this as a short to mid term trade but explain the long term possibilities. Considering this post is being done via my Moble rather than PC it just doesn’t make sense with my time and options. so here’s what you’re gonna get the short term trade which I’ve labeled very clearly on the chart and the larger timeframe includes an Elliot wave analysis being that we clearly have a zigzagging consolidation wave that could do one of two things from here if we break about $2.24 we should be starting the next expansion wave. I will do an update if we do do that on this published trade to give an idea of where the price action could go but my immediate thoughts range from $9 to $27. However, I want everybody to be cautious of a fake out as we are seemingly getting bullish on the weekend which I will be checking liquidity on all of the major alt coins and bitcoin before the weekend is over on our VIP live trading class that we do at 7 o’clock on Sunday night Eastern standard time. Yet, I will share my findings of the liquidity with everyone for this week only. As we definitely want to help as many newcomers and experience, traders, see manipulation, just in case it shows up before it plays out. There are many tools on trading view to find high buildup of large liquidity that the market makers could sweep down and take out if during this weekend we get really bullish And tons of money comes into the market from people’s tax returns, creating a pool of guppies that the market maker may just eat up one more time. Which brings me to my thought of us potentially revisiting the .65 fib, the .618 or even all the way down to the .5 fib, which is at around $1.23. Nothing in trading is 100% so take my thoughts and stride. yet, I’ve been through three bull runs as a successful trader and market manipulation has been one of my main focuses purchasing mini subscriptions to different tools that give me information so we can take advantage of what the market maker does as opposed to be part of its liquidity grab. For everyone reading this in the VIP group as you know normal time on Sunday, we will be having the recorded Zoom meeting, but I highly suggest that you make it because this is going one of two ways and there’s a big opportunity here to make some pretty serious pips in my opinion. If you’re not part of our group, I hope you use this information wisely in your research to come up with your decisions, but keep in mind, we are all just here for entertainment purposes! Following every single word from a trader online should never be your gospel to put tons of your money into the market in which ever way that trader is preaching the market will go. Learn risk management, if you don’t feel confident in the research that you’re doing or the traders that you are following are pointing at different directions just make sure you know why they’re pointing in that directions as it could quickly go both ways as we’ve seen recently. With that being said also know that the market maker always goes for liquidity point blank and simple! This is why the majority of traders are unsuccessful in this game because the easy information to learn online for free teaches you stuff that large trading firms have algorithms to find And come sweep in your losses to their profits. I can’t necessarily say that the exchanges are our biggest worry, but it’s always made me believe most likely they are considering most of these exchanges are also trading as market makers, probably some insider trading with alot of them. The current element of little laws and wishy washy regulation (as much as it will likely stunt this bull run for a few months, or maybe not… being that Trump has given US regulating agencies 180 days from January to have firm regs in place) albeit, Some that are reading this, I’m sure take advantage of it yet, once it’s set in place we will have a little less wild, wild West and less decent traders in traditional markets who hate crypto because of the manipulation and the rug poles and what not will and I’m just guessing here most likely have a clear path to becoming a more profitable trade. I’m not here to demonize exchanges just keep in mind they have all of the information that you have Placed on their exchange and given them freely by checking off the terms of service and signing up for your account. Lots of these exchanges still have very little regulation and trust you, Me that they are raking in as much as they possibly can to the extent of the little regulation in the country, they are regulated in if they are even bound to abiding by it, as I’m sure, as we know, some folks have already been arrested and indicted for certain things that I will leave for you to search and find on your own. But, my point being is you need to also be very careful of the exchanges that you choose. In my best opinion, the exchanges with the most amount of liquidity on them makes it more difficult for manipulation to happen yet, it sure still does! As always friends, stay profitable and I hope this rant that I just went on, helps you in someway over this Easter weekend and I pray you all have an amazing time with your families and if not, then have an amazing time trading and I hope my words have helped! Stay Profitable, Savvy
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Crypto_Kinfolk
CTSI Breaks Major Downtrend – Is the Next Leg Up Here?CTSI/USDT – Bullish Breakout in Play CTSI has broken out of a long-term descending trendline, signaling a major shift in market structure. After reclaiming the $0.063–$0.068 resistance zone as support, bulls are clearly in control. Key Highlights: ✅ Downtrend broken after months of lower highs. ✅ Minor resistance flipped to support, confirming strength. ✅ RSI at 75.62 shows strong bullish momentum. ✅ Structure is now forming higher highs and higher lows — a key trend reversal sign. 🎯Upside Targets:TP1: $0.085 TP2: $0.110 Support to hold: $0.063 CTSI is gaining momentum — if support holds, the next leg up could be explosive.
by unichartz
Ghost Town Vibes Explained —Bitcoin & The Altcoins Will GrowIt is a very well-known fact that people only join the market and decide to participate when prices are high and rising. Retail is not interested in bottom prices because there is no excitement. No people around can be taken as a clear signal that the market is trading at bottom prices. This is good, normal and natural, think about it. When the market is trading at high prices, All-Time High, you will see a massive amount of people engaging and participating. There is excitement, entertainment and fun and that's what people want. The market being overbought and trading at high prices, lots of activity and many people ready to buy is a clear signal that the top is in a crash comes next. Remember, most of the people are not here to make money, grow or learn, most of the people engage in "trading" to lose money, and that's why there is no interest when prices are lower. Only smart investors, smart traders and whales tend to be looking at the market when prices are great. Just watch! Just wait! 30 days from now the Altcoins market will be high up. All the trading pairs will be anywhere between 100% and 300% higher compared to current prices, this will not be the top but only a start. At this point, watch the rush and experience all the action around Cryptocurrency, it is just how it works. Imagine an amusement park but with no entertainment involved. Nobody will pay to visit this park. When they add the games and the rides, loud music, dance and shows, people will go there to play and have fun. People don't care about the price, they just want to exchange with others and be part of this world. Humans like to be in groups, community; when Crypto grows, everybody will join. The ghost town vibes is the best signal that confirms bottom prices and a bull market about to develop. It is the best signal pointing to a strategy of buy and hold. Focus on the long-term. Whatever happens, think long-term. You can't go wrong when buying at the bottom. This is your chance. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
1
Price Action + Fundamentals Point to Dollar StrengthThe current market environment presents compelling evidence for a bullish move in the US Dollar Index (DXY). While some patience is required, the setup is increasingly favorable for the dollar to appreciate in the coming weeks and months. Key Factors Supporting a Bullish Move: Monthly Close Above 100.160: A critical technical level to monitor is the monthly close above 100.160. If achieved, it would signal a strong bullish breakout, setting the stage for a continuation higher. Given current price action and market dynamics, this scenario looks highly probable. However, if the price fails to close above 100.160 and instead breaks below it, we could potentially start looking for short opportunities. Bond Market Strength (30Y, 10Y, 5Y): This past week, we witnessed notable strength across the US bond market. Yields declined as prices rose, typically a positive signal for the dollar as it reflects capital inflows into US assets. COT Report Insights: The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a critical shift: commercial traders, often considered the "smart money," are beginning to accumulate long positions in the dollar. This change in positioning historically precedes significant bullish moves. Seasonal Patterns: Seasonality also favors the dollar during this period. Historically, the dollar tends to strengthen in the mid-year months, aligning perfectly with the current technical and fundamental landscape. Targets: Initial Target: 106.120 Given the accumulation signs and supportive macro backdrop, a move towards 106.120 seems very realistic.
TVC:DXYLong
by Wiiso
BTC Breakout is Loading... Don't Miss This Long Setup!BTC/USDT Trade Signal Analysis Setup Alert 🚨 Bitcoin looks ready to break higher after a clean retest of the breakout zone. Bulls in control—let’s get ready for a long! • Signal Setup 📍 Entry Zone: 94,531 – 95,398 🎯 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 96,537 🎯 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 97,643 🎯 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 99,023 ❌ Stop Loss (SL): 93,120 ⸻ Technical Breakdown: ✅ Breakout above resistance turned support ✅ Retest + bounce with volume confirmation ✅ Clean bullish structure and momentum Stick to your plan. Wait for confirmation and protect your capital! Do trade at your own risk.
Long
by AlexParker_trader
Ethereum Breaks Out of Descending Channel–But Is It Sustainable?Hello guys. Ethereum (ETH/USDT) has recently broken out of a well-defined descending channel on the 12H timeframe, suggesting a short-term shift in momentum. However, traders should remain cautious, as price action still faces significant resistance ahead. 🔍Technical points: Descending Channel Structure: ETH has been trending downward since early February 2025, forming a clean descending channel with lower highs and lower lows. Fake Breakout & Reversal: Earlier in April, the price dipped below the lower boundary of the channel in what now appears to be a fake breakdown, quickly recovering back inside. Confirmed Breakout: Recently, ETH managed to close above the midline of the channel, breaking above short-term resistance near $1,640. This confirms a bullish breakout, at least in the short term. Next Key Resistance Zone: The price is now targeting the $1,850–$2,050 area — a strong supply zone and previous structural level. If ETH fails to break through this zone, we may see another leg down inside the broader downtrend. Short-Term Projection: Bullish Path: A possible continuation toward the upper channel edge near $1,900–$2,000. Bearish Rejection: If sellers defend that zone, ETH could resume its downward trend, potentially revisiting $1,500 or even lower.
by melikatrader94
9
GOLD (XAUUSD) : Is it the bearish time?!Hello guys! Key Elements: Internal Trendline (broken): A previously respected trendline is now broken, indicating a potential shift in trend. S&D (Supply & Demand) Zone: Located around the $3,280–$3,300 region. Bearish Rejection Zone: Price attempted to push higher into the $3,360–$3,380 resistance zone but was rejected. Arrow Indicating Bearish Target: Projected move toward $3,245.94. why: 1. Trendline Break The internal bullish trendline has been decisively broken, a classic sign of a trend reversal or at least a significant pullback. After the break, price retested the underside of the trendline, failed to reclaim it, and showed bearish pressure. 2. Supply Zone Rejection A clear rejection occurred from a supply zone ($3,360–$3,380), evidenced by long wicks and bearish candles. This confirms the presence of sellers and likely distribution at that level. 3. Volume Profile Insight The point of control (POC) and high-volume node sit around the $3,245 region, which also aligns with the marked bearish target. Price is likely to be drawn toward this level as it's a fair value area where previous consolidation occurred. 4. S&D Flip A previously bullish demand zone (around $3,280) has now become a resistance level, confirming a shift in market sentiment. 🔻 Bearish Scenario: Target: $3,245.94 Confirmation: Failure to close above $3,360 and continued lower highs suggest bearish continuation. ✅ Confluence Factors Supporting a Move Down: Trendline break and successful retest. Rejection from resistance (supply zone). Lower high formation. Volume profile attraction to a lower value area. Bearish market structure forming. ____________________ 📌 Conclusion: This chart setup suggests a short-term bearish bias for Gold Spot (XAU/USD), with a potential drop toward the $3,245 zone. Traders may consider watching for confirmation via continued bearish price action and potential volume increase on the next leg down.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
9
Trump token bullishKey Levels: The main resistance is at 10.40 dollars , and the main support is at 7.71 dollars . The descending trendline keeps the price below it, and the 200-period moving average above the price confirms the bearish trend . Closer Zones: A nearby resistance is observed at 8.06 dollars, overlapping with the trendline. The closer support is at 7.71 dollars. A break above 8.06 dollars could push the price toward 9.60 dollars . Intermediate Level: On the way up, the 8.25 dollars level acts as an intermediate resistance. Target: Based on the previous move of 2.50 dollars, the potential upside target is around 9.60 dollars . Conclusion: A breakout above the nearby resistance could signal a weakening bearish trend and the start of an upward move .
Long
by EhsanZeydabadi
2
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show. The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high. OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray. Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC. Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours. NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty. On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it. Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum. Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SmartApingAI
Crude oil: Narrow oscillation, awaiting breakoutFrom the perspective of the daily chart of crude oil, the moving average system of the medium-term trend is arranged downward, and the objective direction of the medium-term trend is downward. After the oil price touched the low point of 55.20, there has been frequent alternation between long and short positions. In the medium term, the bearish momentum is accumulating, and it is expected to further decline to the level of 50 in the later stage. In the short term (1-hour chart), the trend of crude oil dropped after hitting strong resistance near 64.90, and the decline has retraced the gains of the previous three trading days. The fast and slow lines of the MACD are within the bearish momentum area, indicating that the downward momentum is abundant. Judging from the primary and secondary rhythms, the decline in the North American market yesterday formed a downward rhythm of the main trend. The oil price rebounded weakly in the early trading session, which is a secondary rhythm. According to the law of alternation between primary and secondary rhythms, it is expected that crude oil will continue to decline today, break below the support at 61.50, and test the level of 60. Overall, in terms of the trading idea for crude oil, it is recommended to mainly go short on rebounds and supplement with going long on pullbacks. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance level at 63.5-64.0, and in the short term, pay attention to the support level at 61.5-61.0. Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.
TVC:USOILLong
by CyberFinMagus
Support around 148.18 is important Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (SOLUSDT 1D chart) The OBV Line indicator on the 1M chart is formed at the 148.18 point. Therefore, the key is whether it can be supported around 148.18 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. If not, and it falls, you should check whether it is supported near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart. - Since the M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are converging, I think the current location is an important support and resistance zone. - If it continues to rise, there is a possibility that it will touch the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart, which is around 225.0. However, since the HA-High indicator of the 1M chart is formed at the 179.74 point, we need to see if it can break through this area upward. - Since the StochRSI indicator is in the overbought zone, even if it rises further, it will eventually show a downward trend. We need to create a response strategy by keeping this in mind. In other words, we need to check whether the price is maintained above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart or above the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart and create a response strategy. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
Important section: 12.560-18.301 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (TRUMPUSDT.P 1D chart) The HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is showing an upward trend after being created. The HA-Low indicator is currently formed at 7.933. - The 12.560-18.301 section corresponds to the Close value of Heikin-Ashi on the 1M chart. Accordingly, in order to continue the upward trend, it is expected that the price will have to rise above 12.560-18.301 to maintain the price. - If it falls below 11.796-12.560, it is likely to meet the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart again, so a response strategy is needed. - If it rises above 18.301 and maintains the price, it is expected to determine the trend again by touching around 27.329. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market. Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range. Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section. To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the downtrend starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto