USDJPY Bearish Breakout OpportunityUSDJPY presents a potential selling opportunity following the emergence of a bearish flag breakout pattern on the chart. This technical signal suggests a likely shift towards the downside in the coming hours, particularly as momentum builds against the backdrop of recent price exhaustion at higher levels.
As long as the price remains below the flag structure and confirms with volume or a sustained move, the bearish outlook remains valid.
Key Downside Targets:
143.400
143.000
Beyond Technical Analysis
Analyzing the new month, new week, new day
Hello, traders.
If you "follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins in one day.
The key is whether it can hold the price by rising above 109588.0.
If not, there is a possibility that it will fall below the 94172.00 StochRSI 50 indicator point that the arrow is pointing to.
We need to see if it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.618 (89050.0).
Since the current low-point trend line is not complete, it is not surprising that it can show a downward trend at any time.
However, if it rises above 109588.0 and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be an attempt to rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 2.618 (133889.92).
I think it is likely to be the last target of the target bull market in 2025.
-
(1W chart)
It is a period of volatility around the week including June 23.
That is, from June 16 to July 6 is the volatility period.
The key is whether it can rise to the right Fibonacci ratio 2.24 (116940.43) during this volatility period.
Even if it fails to rise, if the price maintains above 104463.99, it is expected to show an upward trend around the next volatility period.
The next volatility period on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of August 18.
-
When it falls below 104463.99, we need to check whether the HA-High indicator is newly generated.
If not, it is important to check whether there is support around the current HA-High indicator point of 99705.62.
Since the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 99705.62, its importance can be said to be high.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart, it is expected to determine the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above the HA-High indicator point of 108316.90 on the 1D chart.
If it fails to rise,
1st: 104463.99
2nd: 99705.62
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.
If it falls below the M-Signal indicator of the 1W chart,
1st: 89294.25
2nd: M-Signal of the 1M chart
There is a possibility that it will fall near the 1st and 2nd above.
-----------------------------------------
(1W chart)
The chart above is a trend line chart drawn on the 1W chart.
It looks complicated, but what's important to look at is the correlation between the high-point trend line and the low-point trend line.
That is, even if the price rises above 109.588.0, if it doesn't rise above the high-point trend line, it is likely to fall near the low-point trend line.
Fortunately, since it is forming an upward channel, it is expected that the price will eventually rise even if it falls.
-
(1D chart)
Unlike the trend line on the 1W chart, the high-point trend line on the 1D chart forms a downward trend line.
Accordingly, the period around July 7, when the low-point trend line and the high-point trend line intersect, can be considered an important period of volatility.
However, the volatility period starts around July 2nd and is expected to end around July 10th.
----------------------------------------------
As shown above, many lines were drawn to analyze the chart.
I have roughly explained which of the lines drawn in this way should be prioritized.
Since chart analysis is for creating a trading strategy, the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are ultimately the most important.
Therefore, it is most important to check how the support and resistance points were created and find the reason for them.
Other analyses are only additional elements.
As I always say, chart analysis that does not show support and resistance points is only an analysis chart that can be used for trading.
You cannot trade with such analysis charts.
Also, if support and resistance points are shown, you should check the basis for setting the support and resistance points.
In order to serve as a support and resistance point, there must be a basis.
When you cannot confirm the basis for the support and resistance point, it is important to ask questions and find out the basis.
Fibonacci ratios are not suitable for actual trading.
However, when the ATH or ATL is updated, it is valuable enough for analysis.
Other than that, there must be support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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How will NVDA react to the meeting between Canada and USA?Possible Upsides for NVIDIA
Pricing Power & Revenue Buffer
-If Canadian-sourced semiconductors face tariffs, NVIDIA could raise prices across its product line to cover margin impacts—shifting cost to customers.
Accelerated Supply Chain Shifts
-The threat (or reality) of disruptions can drive companies to prioritize U.S. or Taiwan-based supplies, where NVIDIA is deeply integrated, potentially shortening delivery cycles.
Competitive Advantage
-Rivals relying on affected Canadian inputs might see delays or cost increases—NVIDIA could gain market share in both AI datacenter and auto/industrial segments.
Risks & Downsides
Higher Costs for Hardware Buyers
-If tariffs increase the cost of critical components like chips or memory, end-users might delay purchases, potentially reducing NVDA’s sales volume.
Spillover Sentiment Hit on Tech Stocks
-Trade wars often cause broad tech stock sell-offs. As a high-growth leader, NVDA could see increased volatility, even if its business remains strong.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
XAUUSD Hello traders. There’s currently a great opportunity for a potential short setup on the XAUUSD pair. We just need a bit of patience. For that reason, this trade will be placed as a Sell Limit.
In the coming days, I expect a moderate pullback in gold. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 has reached a new all-time high, which is quite notable. If the index begins to correct from these levels, we could potentially see a strong rally in gold. Of course, this is just my personal opinion based on current market dynamics.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1)
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:3.20
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell Limit
✔️ Entry Price: 3294.70
✔️ Take Profit Targets: 3245.78 / 3207.00 / 3154.00
✔️ Stop Loss: 3315.36
🕒 If momentum weakens or price consolidates in a tight range, I will keep this trade open only until 23:00 (UTC+4). After that, I’ll manually close it—whether in profit or loss—based on how price action evolves.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
XAUUSD h4 down mode GOLD (XAU/USD) Analysis – Bearish Retest & Drop Setup
Price rejected from key resistance zone near 3285–3300, showing clear bearish pressure.
Two major resistance zones:
• Zone 1: 3285–3300 – Recently tested and rejected
• Zone 2: 3340–3360 – Strong resistance if price spikes higher
Price expected to:
Retest the 3285–3300 resistance
Fail to break above
Continue its bearish move toward target levels below
Targets:
• First Target: 3240
• Final Target Point: 3215–3220
This setup is based on price action, multiple rejections, and resistance zone behavior. Clean bearish confirmation expected on H4.
Watch price closely at resistance zones for rejection candles or wicks before entry.
Trade with proper risk management and confirmations
#XAUUSD #GoldAnalysis #BearishSetup #PriceAction #TradingView #RSI_Technical_Trading #ForexSignals
SHIB Long Entry Heist Plan – Bullish Setup in Trap Zone🦹♂️💸 SHIB INU Market: The Silent Heist Plan Is Live! 🚨💰
Thief Trading Style | Swing & Scalping Blueprint | High-Risk Zone Masterplan
🌍 Hello Global Robbers & Market Raiders! 🤑💥
Welcome to another secret mission straight from the vault of Thief Trading Style. We're eyeing the SHIB INU Crypto Market, and the time has come for a stealthy bullish strike!
🧠 The Blueprint – Operation SHIB-INU Break-In
We’re executing a bullish move towards the Yellow MA Zone, a high-risk territory filled with consolidations, trap setups, and a potential reversal. The battlefield is tight, but the rewards are sweet for those who play it smart. 🎯💸
🔑 ENTRY STRATEGY – “Vault Access Granted” 🚪📈
💥 Entry Type: Buy/swing
💡 Zone: Pullback entries near swing lows (within 15–30m timeframes)
🕵️♂️ Stealth Entry – Wait for candle signals or limit orders near key liquidity zones.
🛡️ STOP LOSS – “Secure the Exit” 🛑🔐
📌 Placed just below recent swing low at 0.00001050 (30m TF)
🎯 SL adapts to your lot size, trade size, and number of entries.
🏴☠️ TARGET – “Escape Before Alarms Go Off” 🎯💨
💰 Target: 0.00001350
⏳ Optional: Trail your SL and exit on signs of exhaustion.
💼 Scalpers’ Side Mission – “Quick Loot Runs” 🧲⚡
Scalp only on the Long side; use trailing SLs and follow the robbers’ path.
Big wallets? Enter now. Small bags? Wait and follow the swing wave. 🕶️🚀
🧠 Strategic View
Market sentiment remains bullish, but the zone is volatile.
Use macro analysis, COT data, on-chain insights, and sentimental clues for confirmation. 🧠📊
⚠️ Important Notice – Market Hazards Ahead 📉📰
🔔 Watch out for major news releases!
✔️ Avoid new trades during high-impact events.
✔️ Use trailing SLs to guard profits.
✔️ Monitor market developments regularly – stay one step ahead.
💖 Support the Mission
If you love this robbery blueprint, 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 and join the Thief Trading crew for more profitable adventures! Every click fuels our next plan. 🏆💪❤️
📢 See You in the Next Raid!
Stay tuned for more high-stakes missions and daily loot setups!
📲 Follow for the next crypto break-in.
🐱👤🚨 Thief Traders never sleep... we scan, we strike, we secure the bag.
Let’s break down what the chart shows for BTCUSDT on the daily Chart key points
Price: Currently around $108,129
Key levels:
There are EQH (equal highs) around $111,500–$112,000 acting as liquidity.
There’s a smaller Daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) between ~$105,500–$107,000.
A larger Daily FVG lower around ~$99,000–$103,000.
Weekly Fibs mark retracement levels below.
Two projected paths: One a break above the EQH liquidity; the other shows a deeper pullback before that.
📈 Scenario 1: Bullish continuation + liquidity sweep
Idea:
BTC pushes up to sweep the EQH liquidity near $111,500–$112,000.
Breaks above, hits stops, and either:
Continues higher to the next resistance zone near $115,000–$118,000.
OR fakes out, sweeps liquidity, and retraces to the Daily FVG.
What to watch:
If price closes strongly above EQH with volume, look for continuation buys.
Confirmation: Break/retest of $111,500 as support.
📉 Scenario 2: Deeper pullback before continuation
Idea:
Price fails to break the EQH cleanly.
Pulls back into the small Daily FVG or deeper into the larger Daily FVG.
Reaccumulates around the $99,000–$104,000 zone.
From there, look for a bullish reaction for a safer long.
What to watch:
Weakness at EQH: Wicks or rejection candles.
Entry triggers: Strong bullish PA in the Daily FVG zones + confirmation.
✅ Key takeaways
Liquidity above EQH means there’s incentive for smart money to run stops.
FVGs are your high-probability reaction zones.
wait for price to trade into imbalance with signs of bullish order flow.
XAUUSD - Breakdown: - RISK ON/Gold Pullback to Continue ?✅ All 3 pullback zones tagged:
1️⃣ 3295
2️⃣ 3301
3️⃣ 3310
Next:
🔁 If price sustains above 3300, next key sell zone = 3320
🔼 Hold above that? Likely move into 3340s
Still eyeing 3319–3340 Fib zone for next play
#XAUUSD #Gold #Trump #DXY #Optimism #GoldLevels #Commodities
Gold on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on gold, the price recently swept liquidity around $3,250 and displayed strong signals indicating a potential upward movement. The next target could be around $3,400."
If you need further clarification or have more details to discuss, feel free to share!
BTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid ConsolidationBTCUSDT Analysis – Bullish Focus Amid Consolidation
Bitcoin is currently mirroring the broader market sentiment, particularly tracking the S&P 500. After a false breakout above the psychological 100K level, BTC entered a distribution phase, followed by a consolidation range. This indicates a potential accumulation before a bullish continuation, although resistance levels remain key hurdles.
False Breakout at 100K: A failed breakout attempt triggered a sharp reversal, signalling short-term weakness. Price rolled back and found temporary support around 106,200, pausing further downside The pair is consolidating within a tight range, indicating a possible setup for a renewed bullish push.
Outlook: Despite the resistance cascade, BTC remains in a bullish structural zone as long as it holds above 106,000. A clean breakout above 108,500–110,000 could open the path back toward 114,000–117,000. However, failure to break may result in a deeper pullback towards 104,000–102,500.
Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis Thanks for supporting.
ETHUSDT Weekly Technical OutlookETHUSDT Weekly Technical Outlook
Acting as a strong intermediate support, aligning with previous accumulation range Major psychological and technical support zone, possible final defence before a bullish continuation.
Ethereum (ETH) appears to be forming a base between $2200 and $2000, suggesting a potential accumulation phase. This consolidation indicates that ETH may be preparing for a strong bullish move A heavy pump
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and Comments for Better analysis Thanks for supporting.
Weather and Corn: Understanding the Precipitation Factor1. Introduction: Rain, Grain, and Market Chain Reactions
In the world of agricultural commodities, few forces carry as much weight as weather — and when it comes to corn, precipitation is paramount. Unlike temperature, which can have nuanced and sometimes ambiguous effects depending on the growth stage, rainfall exerts a more direct and consistent influence on crop performance. For traders, understanding the role of rainfall in shaping market sentiment and price behavior isn't just an agricultural curiosity — it's a trading edge.
This article unpacks the relationship between weekly rainfall levels and corn futures prices. By leveraging normalized weather data and historical returns from Corn Futures (ZC), we aim to translate weather signals into actionable market insights. Whether you're managing large agricultural positions or exploring micro futures like MZC, precipitation patterns can provide vital context for your trades.
2. Corn’s Moisture Dependency
Corn is not just sensitive to water — it thrives or suffers because of it. From the moment seeds are planted, the crop enters a delicate dance with precipitation. Too little moisture during the early stages can impair root development. Too much during germination may lead to rot. And during pollination — particularly the tasseling and silking stages — insufficient rainfall can cause the plant to abort kernels, drastically reducing yield.
On the other hand, excessive rainfall isn't necessarily beneficial either. Prolonged wet periods can saturate soil, hinder nutrient uptake, and encourage fungal diseases. Farmers in the U.S. Corn Belt — particularly in states like Iowa, Illinois, and Nebraska — know this well. A single unexpected weather shift in these regions can send ripple effects across global markets, causing speculators to reassess their positions.
For traders, these weather events aren’t just environmental footnotes — they are catalysts that influence prices, volatility, and risk sentiment. And while annual production is important, it's the week-to-week rhythm of the growing season where short-term trades are born.
3. Our Data-Driven Approach: Weekly Rainfall and Corn Returns
To understand how rainfall impacts price, we collected and analyzed decades of historical weather and futures data, aligning weekly precipitation totals from major corn-growing regions with weekly returns from Corn Futures (ZC).
The weather data was normalized using percentiles for each location and week of the year. We then assigned each weekly observation to one of three precipitation categories:
Low rainfall (<25th percentile)
Normal rainfall (25th–75th percentile)
High rainfall (>75th percentile)
We then calculated the weekly percent change in corn futures prices and matched each return to the rainfall category for that week. The result was a dataset that let us measure not just general trends but statistically significant shifts in market behavior based on weather. One key finding stood out: the difference in returns between low-rainfall and high-rainfall weeks was highly significant, with a p-value of approximately 0.0006.
4. What the Numbers Tell Us
The results are striking. During low-rainfall weeks, corn futures often posted higher average returns, suggesting that the market responds to early signs of drought with anticipatory price rallies. Traders and institutions appear to adjust positions quickly when weather models hint at below-normal moisture during key growth stages.
In contrast, high-rainfall weeks displayed lower returns on average — and greater variability. While rain is essential, excess moisture raises fears of waterlogging, planting delays, and quality issues at harvest. The futures market, ever forward-looking, seems to price in both optimism and concern depending on the volume of rain.
Boxplots of these weekly returns reinforce the pattern: drier-than-usual weeks tend to tilt bullish, while wetter periods introduce uncertainty. For discretionary and algorithmic traders alike, this insight opens the door to strategies that incorporate weather forecasts into entry, exit, and risk models.
📊 Boxplot Chart: Weekly corn futures returns plotted against precipitation category (low, normal, high). This visual helps traders grasp how price behavior shifts under varying rainfall conditions.
5. Strategy: How Traders Can Position Themselves
With the clear statistical link between rainfall extremes and price behavior in corn futures, the logical next step is applying this insight to real-world trading. One straightforward approach is to incorporate weather forecast models into your weekly market prep. If a key growing region is expected to receive below-normal rainfall, that could serve as a signal for a potential bullish bias in the upcoming trading sessions.
This doesn’t mean blindly buying futures on dry weeks, but rather layering this data into a broader trading thesis. For example, traders could combine weather signals with volume surges, technical breakouts, or news sentiment to form confluence-based setups. On the risk management side, understanding how price behaves during extreme weather periods can inform smarter stop-loss placements, position sizing, or even the use of option strategies to protect against unexpected reversals.
Additionally, this information becomes particularly valuable during the planting and pollination seasons, when the corn crop is most vulnerable and the market reacts most strongly. Knowing the historical patterns of price behavior in those weeks — and aligning them with current forecast data — offers a clear edge that fundamental and technical analysis alone may not reveal.
🗺️ Global Corn Map Screenshot: A world map highlighting major corn-growing regions with weather overlay. This helps illustrate the geographic variability in rainfall and how it intersects with key production zones.
6. Corn Futures Contracts: Speculating with Flexibility
For traders looking to act on this kind of seasonal weather intelligence, CME Group provides two practical tools: the standard-size Corn Futures contract (ZC) and the Micro Corn Futures contract (MZC).
Here are some quick key points to remember:
Tick size for ZC is ¼ cent (0.0025) per bushel, equating to $12.50 per tick.
For MZC, each tick is 0.0050 equating to $2.50 per tick.
Standard ZC initial margin is approximately $1,000 and MZC margins are around $100 per contract, though this can vary by broker.
Micro contracts are ideal for those who want exposure to corn prices without the capital intensity of full-size contracts. They’re especially helpful for weather-based trades, where your thesis may rely on shorter holding periods, rapid scaling, or position hedging.
7. Conclusion: Rain’s Role in the Corn Trade
Precipitation isn’t just a farmer’s concern — it’s a trader’s opportunity. Our analysis shows that weather data, especially rainfall, has a statistically significant relationship with corn futures prices. By normalizing historical precipitation data and matching it to weekly returns, we uncovered a clear pattern: drought stress tends to lift prices, while excessive moisture creates volatility and downside risk.
For futures traders, understanding this dynamic adds another layer to market analysis.
As part of a broader series, this article is just one piece of a puzzle that spans multiple commodities and weather variables. Stay tuned for our upcoming releases, where we’ll continue exploring how nature’s forces shape the futures markets.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
BITCOIN, what's the trend in July?Geopolitical calm, optimism about trade diplomacy, anticipation of a rate cut by the FED - a trio that helped the global equity market set a new all-time record and produced a positive correlation effect on the bitcoin price. Can the trend remain bullish until the end of July?
1) Global liquidity still underpins bitcoin's upward momentum
An often underestimated driving force continues to influence bitcoin's evolution: the global M2 monetary aggregate, which maintains a close, positive correlation with the price of the digital asset. This indicator, which aggregates the money supply of the major economies converted into US dollars, generally acts on bitcoin with an average lag of around 12 weeks. The latest statistics show a new all-time high for this global liquidity. This factor is helping to sustain the upward trend observed since April, despite a complex fundamental context marked by a Federal Reserve determined to maintain a restrictive monetary policy in the short term.
The US dollar, by strengthening or weakening, directly modifies the total value of M2 expressed in dollars. This contributes to the extent of global liquidity and, consequently, to bitcoin's evolution.
2) A bullish continuation technical configuration in formation
On the chart, bitcoin's trend has been marked by a sustained advance for several months. Chartist analysis suggests that a bullish continuation flag may be in the making. If this pattern is confirmed by a clear breakout above the all-time high, theoretical projections place the next targets between $128,000 and $145,000. The dynamics of the daily candlesticks on BTC/USD testify to a market that remains positively oriented, provided that the 98,000/100,000 US dollar support zone is preserved.
3) The four-year halving cycle still active
To place this development in a longer-term context, it is worth recalling the four-year cycle structured around halving. The last halving event took place in April 2024, initiating a new bullish phase that should continue until autumn 2025 if historical regularities repeat themselves. Bitcoin therefore has several months left to set new records, even if episodes of volatility cannot be ruled out.
Temporal analyses show that the terminal phase of this cycle is expected between October and December 2025. This outlook gives the trend time to develop, even if the summer period should see the development of a short-term correction.
4) Outlook for July
Since the spring, bitcoin has been on an upward trend, which has its roots in both the technical configuration and the unprecedented scale of global liquidity. The combination of these factors has created an environment conducive to continued bullishness over the summer, even if the market will have to contend with geopolitical and trade tensions, as well as the firmness of the FED, which is unlikely to cut rates before September.
CAUTION: a technical break of the $100K support would put an end to the uptrend in place since the beginning of April.
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EUR/USD Extends Rally – Watching Resistance at 1.18000Hi Everyone,
We anticipated a retest of the 1.17400 level coming into this week, setting the stage for further upside toward our highlighted targets at 1.17600 and 1.18000. Monday delivered, with a sharp move higher that saw EUR/USD break cleanly above 1.17400 and extend to 1.17600, bringing the 1.18000 level into focus.
As previously noted, we expect dynamic resistance around the 1.18000 area and will provide further updates on the projected path for EUR/USD should price test or breach this level.
The longer-term outlook remains bullish, with expectations for the rally to extend towards the 1.2000 level, provided the price holds above the key support at 1.10649.
We will continue to update you throughout the week with how we’re managing our active ideas and positions. Thanks again for all the likes/boosts, comments and follows — we appreciate the support!
All the best for a good end to the week. Trade safe.
BluetonaFX
Market next target 🔀 Disruption Analysis - Alternative Scenario
While the current chart suggests a bullish breakout from the support area around $35.85–$35.90 with an upward target above $36.20, a potential bearish disruption scenario could unfold under the following conditions:
⚠️ Bearish Disruption Possibility:
1. Weakening Buying Pressure:
Price has tested the support zone multiple times, showing signs of weakening bullish momentum.
Buyers may be exhausting near the $36.00 area without strong follow-through.
2. Break Below Support:
If price breaks and closes below $35.85 support zone on high volume, it could invalidate the bullish setup.
This would create a lower low, indicating a potential trend reversal to the downside.
3. Next Downside Targets:
Immediate support lies around $35.60.
Further downside could take price to $35.40 if bearish momentum strengthens.
4. Bearish Triggers:
Negative economic data (especially U.S.-related as indicated by the calendar icon).
Rising DXY or bond yields may pressure silver prices
$NSE:NTPC : A Powerhouse with Multibagger Potential?I’ve been reviewing NTPC Ltd ( NSE:NTPC ), India’s largest power generation company, and I see promising long-term potential as the company pivots towards cleaner energy and expands capacity to support India’s growing energy needs.
Why I See Multibagger Potential
Green energy pivot: NTPC is transforming from a thermal-heavy player to a clean energy leader — the transition opens huge long-term value.
Undemanding valuation: Despite the growth visibility, NTPC trades at reasonable PE and PB multiples, offering valuation comfort.
Policy tailwinds: Strong government focus on energy security, renewables, and electrification will continue to favor NTPC.
Execution strength: NTPC has a long history of successfully executing large-scale projects on time and within budget.
Just Accumulate near it best support Green AREA !
oNLY IN cASH
tHANKS
Bitcoin Mid Term Game Plan - BTC PLANBitcoin just broke a key resistance level with strength.
I expect a new all-time high soon, likely the summer top.
Summer markets are usually weak for risk assets and strong for gold. Seasonality matters, keep that in mind.
I expect risk markets to sell off until mid-July to early August. I’ll start buying once we break structure again.
The plan:
Wait for BTC to hit $110K
Look for a reversal from that level
Start aggressively shorting alts, beginning with ETH and memecoins
Hold shorts until late July / early August
Close positions and shift back to buying
Possible MTR in Play (TBC)Gold has printed a textbook structure for a potential Major Trend Reversal (MTR) off the ATH zone, with a clean rejection and a shift in character. The descending trendline from the top aligns with lower highs, while the ascending base from April is now under pressure.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
3,280.0 – neckline of the potential MTR
3,250.00 – psychological magnet and structural support
3,000.00 – major downside target if the reversal confirms
🧠 “Markets top on euphoria, not logic.” If price breaks and retests the neckline with momentum, the MTR thesis gains traction. Until then — TBC.
#XAUUSD #Gold #MajorTrendReversal #MTR #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis #GoldBears #ATHRejection #TrendShift #MJTrading
AMZN Monday Setup: Will $225 Hold or Fold? Key Levels for Trader🚨GEX-Based Options Sentiment (as of Sunday Close):
* $225 – Key Call Wall & Highest Positive GEX level: Strong resistance. AMZN closed right below this — very telling.
* $220 – GEX8 / 2nd Call Wall: Gamma magnet zone. Price may gravitate here early in the session.
* $210 – Strong Put Wall + HVL zone: Critical gamma support; if broken, opens path toward $207–$200.
* IVR: 14.9 (low) — Options premiums are cheap. Good for debit spreads or directional calls/puts.
* Calls flow: 3.8% bullish bias — Minor tilt to the upside, but not extreme. No sign of aggressive positioning yet.
🟢 Option Suggestion (Monday through Wednesday):
* If AMZN reclaims and holds above $225, consider:
* Buy CALL debit spread (225c/230c Jul 3 or Jul 5 expiry)
* Targets: $227.50 → $230 (GEX9 + 3rd Call Wall zone)
* Stop: Below $222 or if $225 fails again
* If AMZN fails $222.50 and breaks $220:
* Buy PUT (220p or 217.5p Jul 3 expiry)
* Target: $215 → $211 (structure & OB zone)
* Stop: If reclaim $223+ with volume
Intraday Trading Analysis (1H chart structure):
Price broke above $222 → BOS confirmed, then sharply rejected near $225 GEX resistance. Now sitting at a precarious area — right between CHoCH support and the GEX call wall.
📊 Key Intraday Zones for Monday:
* Resistance:
* $225 – GEX Call Wall + Supply zone
* $227.50 – Next impulse target if $225 flips cleanly
* Support:
* $220.49 – GEX8 (gamma support zone)
* $217.50 / $216.03 – Strong structural confluence
* $211.12 – Final defense before selloff accelerates
🧠 My Thoughts for Monday:
If AMZN gaps up into $225+ and holds, it could trigger gamma acceleration toward $230. However, if we see a rejection and price stays under $222.50, then watch for a flush to $217.50–$215 quickly.
Confluence favoring a "fade the pop" early if $225 resists. Volume Friday spiked heavily on rejection — could be distribution.
Intraday traders can:
* SHORT near $225 with stop above $226.50
* LONG scalp off $220 only if support confirms (e.g., bounce with volume, bullish 5m CHoCH)
* Expect volatility early due to IV crush & GEX flip zone.
Conclusion & Game Plan:
This is a critical GEX reversal zone. Price is pinned between $225 gamma resistance and $220–217.5 support. Wait for Monday's open — trade the confirmation, not the guess. Watch volume reaction at these levels.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Please do your own due diligence and manage your risk accordingly.
HERE IS THE #CHART FOR $SMCI Bullish with consolidation risk. Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) is at $143.81, up 0.09% daily and 25.14% monthly, as shown in the finance card above. X posts highlight strong momentum, with a breakout above the 200-day SMA ($129.74) and a potential Wave 5 targeting $154-$160, supported by analyst upgrades (Mizuho, Melius to Buy; targets $140-$175). AI chip demand (MI350 outperforming Nvidia’s B200, Oracle/Zettascale deals) and 40% YoY revenue growth drive optimism. However, a high P/E (105.42) and choppy price action suggest a possible pullback to $141.63-$142. Support is at $141.63; resistance is at $147.75-$150. A break above $147.75 could target $154; a drop below $141.63 risks $138
GOLD GOES 'PREPARING FOR SCORCHING-HOT JULY'. UPSHOT OF 1H 2025Gold market shines bright in first half of 2025, with nearly 25 percent year-to-date gain, which becomes one of the best start of the year in history ever following 1H 2016 (became a launching pad for Gold to more than Triple in price over next decade) and 1H 1973 (where Gold bugs sharply skyrocketed to infinity and beyond, printed more than 10x over next decade).
The gold spot market in July 2025 is shaped by both fundamental and technical factors supporting a cautiously bullish outlook.
Fundamental perspectives
Were you ready or not, Gold prices have surged significantly in 2025, driven by persistent global uncertainties including geopolitical conflicts (e.g., Middle East tensions), trade disputes, and inflation concerns.
Central banks, notably the Federal Reserve, are expected to cut interest rates later in 2025, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold, a non-yielding asset. This monetary easing alongside continued inflation worries and safe-haven demand underpins strong gold fundamentals.
Major financial institutions like J.P. Morgan and UBS forecast gold prices averaging around $3,500–$3,675 per ounce in late 2025, with potential to reach $4,000/oz by mid-2026.
Central bank gold purchases and diversification away from US dollar assets also support demand.
Technical perspectives
Technically, gold has experienced volatile but mostly sideways trading in a roughly $300 range around $3,200–$3,500 since mid-2025, reflecting consolidation after a strong rally earlier in the year.
Key support lies near $3,000 and $3,200 levels (125-Day, or 6-Month SMA), with resistance around $3,500 to $3,800. Indicators such as moving averages and RSI suggest an upward trend with possible short-term corrections.
A breakout above $3,500 could trigger further gains toward $3,800, while a drop below $3,200 may lead to testing $3,000 support.
Overall, July is expected to see continued range-bound trading amid new external uncertainties, with bullish momentum intact.
In summary, gold’s fundamentals remain robust due to macroeconomic and geopolitical drivers, while technicals point to consolidation with potential for renewed upward moves in the July 2025 spot market.
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Best #GODL wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎
Contentos 1550% Potential, Bitcoin & The Evolution of FinanceThe previous all-time low happened March 2020, more than five years ago. The "new all-time low" happened last week, 22-June, just a few days ago.
Contentos, we traded many times before in the past and it has been mixed but mostly a success. How are you feeling right about now? Are you ready for a new try on this Cryptocurrency trading pair?
The last bullish cycle produced a nice +1800% bullish wave, 19X. This time around something similar can happen, growth potential can be capped at 1550% or it can go higher, 2500% or more.
The chart is a standard one. A small cap. project so the action this year resulted in a new all-time low. This atl is the base from which the 2025 bull market wave will develop. Currently, we are seeing the best entry prices available before this event.
A major event truly for the market. There will be millions upon millions of participants exchanging crypto, talking crypto, living crypto, using crypto, buying crypto. It will be something not experienced before.
It will be the first bull market with the approval and even support of the US government and the recognition of all the important nations of the world. (The nations that are against Crypto are irrelevant and rooting for slavery basically. They are against growth, prosperity and freedom. It is as if the world was getting rid of slavery and some nations are against it, that's the best analogy.)
The stage is set for Cryptocurrency to take over. The evolution of finance right in your face.
We are living the most exciting financial times in the history of humanity, when money made a leap from centralized to decentralized; it is a development as big as the invention of the printing press. The world will never be the same. Prosperity will be the norm. Everybody will have access to banking; anybody can access, use and enjoy Bitcoin with as little as just a cell phone.
Namaste.
Embracing Uncertainty
In trading, the illusion of certainty is often our biggest enemy.
Even the cleanest setups—like a MTR (Major Trend Reversal)—can fail.
Mark Douglas said it best:
“Anything can happen.”
This simple truth is what keeps professional traders humble and disciplined.
Respect the market, manage your risk, and never assume you know what comes next.
Stay sharp.
#MJTrading
#GoldTrading #XAUUSD #TradingPsychology #AnythingCanHappen #MarkDouglas #ForexMindset #TradingQuotes #PriceAction #RiskManagement #MindOverMarkets #ChartOfTheDay #MJTrading