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Safe Haven Demand - Gold Makes New ATH 3089⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: This triggered swift responses from global leaders, with Canada and the European Union (EU) vowing to retaliate against President Trump’s trade measures. In the US, the labor market remains resilient, as reflected in the latest unemployment claims report, while the economy continues to show strength following the release of fourth-quarter 2024 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data. Although housing data saw some improvement, it confirmed the broader slowdown in the sector. Meanwhile, money markets have factored in 64.5 basis points of Federal Reserve rate cuts for 2025, according to interest rate probabilities from Prime Market Terminal. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: growth, gold becomes a safe haven investment channel. continue to create new ATH ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3088 - $3090 SL $3095 TP1: $3080 TP2: $3070 TP3: $3060 🔥BUY GOLD zone: SCALPING: 3066, 3057 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3034 - $3032 SL $3027 TP1: $3040 TP2: $3050 TP3: $3060 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Nova-Scalper
4
Master the Market with These 5 Wave Trading RulesHello, In any business, rules are the backbone of success, providing the structure and discipline needed to thrive. Trading and investing are no exceptions—they must be treated with the same seriousness and rigor as any entrepreneurial venture. As a wave trader, I rely on a refined set of rules that blend technical analysis with Wave Theory to understand market behavior. Wave trading is a powerful strategy that analyzes price patterns to uncover the cyclical nature of market trends, enabling traders to predict future movements and seize profitable opportunities. Understanding Wave Trading Markets don’t move randomly—they ebb and flow in predictable waves. According to Elliott Wave Theory (a type of wave theory), trends unfold in a series of five waves (known as impulses) followed by three waves (corrections). Mastering this rhythm allows you to anticipate where the market is headed next, giving you a strategic edge. Our Trading Rules Here’s a breakdown of the essential rules I follow as a wave trader, designed to guide you through the process with clarity and precision: Identify Impulse & Correction Impulse: A robust, directional price surge made up of five sub-waves, signaling the dominant trend. Correction: A smaller, counter-trend move consisting of three sub-waves, acting as a pause or pullback. Recognizing these phases reveals the market’s underlying structure. For example, spotting a five-wave impulse upward suggests a bullish trend, while a three-wave correction might signal a temporary dip—perfect for planning your next move. Identify the Pattern Formations Look for patterns that can help you anticipate the next moves e.g. the expanding triangle, Bullish flag or even reversal patterns. Identify Entry Points Timing is everything. Pinpoint the perfect moment to enter a trade based on your wave and pattern analysis. Wait for confirmations like a breakout above a flag pattern or a signal from indicators such as moving averages or MACD that align with your wave count. Look for Targets Set clear profit targets to stay disciplined and secure gains. Wave projections, like the expected end of wave 5 in an impulse. Look for Exits in Case the Trade Doesn’t Go Your Way Not every trade is a winner, and that’s okay. Protect your capital with stop-losses placed at logical levels. Where to set them: Choose points that invalidate your analysis—like below a key support level or a wave pattern’s critical threshold. If the market breaks that level, your trade idea’s likely wrong, so exit calmly. This removes emotion from the equation, safeguarding your account for the long haul. The Power of Discipline These rules aren’t just guidelines—they’re your shield against the emotional rollercoaster of trading. Write them down, pin them up, or keep them handy on your trading desk. Reviewing them before every trade reinforces your commitment to a systematic, objective approach. Discipline turns good strategies into great results. Wishing you success on your trading journey! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Education
by thesharkke
Gold at Record Highs on U.S. Trade WarBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades The price of gold has hit record highs, hovering around $3,100 per ounce, driven by renewed investor appetite for safe-haven assets in the face of growing uncertainty in international markets. Drivers of the rally The decision to impose 25% tariffs on the automotive sector, announced by US President Donald Trump, has heightened concerns about a possible escalation in the trade war. This move has prompted both institutional and individual investors to seek safety in gold, raising its demand significantly. At the same time, instability in geopolitical scenarios - including the conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the resurgence of tensions in the Middle East - has reinforced the perception of gold as a safe-haven asset in times of global uncertainty. Market movements in other metals In today's Asian session on Friday, other precious metals were not far behind: platinum was stable at around $989.55 per ounce, while silver reached a 12-year high, trading at $35,283 per ounce. These dynamics reflect a generalized trend of seeking refuge from the uncertainties of the economic environment. European Session Gold Analysis During the Asian session, spot gold was up 0.6% at $3,073.79 per ounce after briefly hitting a high of $3,077.67. Likewise, gold futures for May were up 0.7% at $3,112.72 per ounce. Already in the European session, we have seen this bullish momentum has contracted, pushing the price down to $3,065.91. The RSI has moved from its overbought high of 76.98% in the Asian session to 55.03% at the European start. This seems to be an oxygen intake to continue the climb, a small stop in the momentum because if we look at the crosses of averages continue to expand their amplitude, which shows us that there is a latent volatility in this asset that is very likely to extend throughout the day if at the opening of the U.S. session the right conditions are met. Inflation and monetary policy expectations The market is also keeping an eye on the upcoming release of the PCE price index, the US Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator. A figure above expectations could decrease the likelihood of interest rate cuts, which in turn would continue to benefit gold as a safe-haven asset. Conclusion Gold's current outlook clearly reflects not only its role as a traditional safe haven at the moment, but also the markets' reaction to a trade war that is adding increased uncertainty to the global economy. The volatility observed and the continued expansion in the crosses of averages indicate that, despite the corrective oxygen taken in the European session, the upward momentum could resume ahead of the US opening. In this context, the Fed's decision and the evolution of trade tensions will be determining factors for the precious metal's trajectory, making constant monitoring of global events indispensable. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:GOLDLong
by ActivTrades
EUR/USD Trend After Trump Tariff News🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news: 👉The EUR/USD pair climbed toward 1.0800 during North American trading hours on Thursday, rebounding after six consecutive days of losses despite growing concerns over a potential trade war between the United States and the Eurozone. Trade war afraid intensified as the EU prepares to impose retaliatory tariffs on the U.S. in response to the 25% auto tariffs implemented by President Donald Trump on Wednesday, set to take effect on April 2. 👉 Germany’s economy is expected to be among the hardest hit by Trump’s auto tariffs, as the country exports 13% of its total automobile production to the U.S. Such a scenario could weaken the outlook for the Euro (EUR). 👉 Earlier in the day, President Trump also threatened to introduce large-scale tariffs on Canada and the Eurozone, accusing them of attempting to harm the U.S. economy. economy. Following these broad tariff threats, ECB policymaker and Belgian Central Bank Governor Pierre Wunsch stated in an interview with CNBC that tariffs would negatively impact economic growth and increase inflationary pressures. Personal opinion: 👉 The recovery in the EUR/USD pair is also driven by a significant correction in the US Dollar. But this is only in the short term, the main trend is still more unfavorable for the EUR. 👉 Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA Plan: 🔆 Price Zone Setup: 👉Sell EUR/USD 1.0810- 1.0820 ❌SL: 1.0855 | ✅TP: 1.0770 – 1.0740 – 1.0700 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
EUR/USD: Uncertain Trajectory Amid Tariff - Induced JittersThe EUR/USD is trading at 1.0796. After a Thursday rebound from 1.0733 due to a weakening USD, it's now pressured at the intraday high of 1.0799. US President Donald Trump's new 25% import taxes on cars and car parts, with potential additional levies on the eurozone and Canada, have stoked risk - off sentiment. This has led to a temporary dip in the US dollar's appeal. On the daily chart, it's found buyers near the non - directional 200 - day SMA, with 1.0730 as dynamic support. It's attempting to break the bullish 20 - day SMA, while the 100 - day SMA is non - directional below the current level. The momentum indicator is flat below 100, and the RSI at 56 hints at upward risk, yet unconfirmed. Bulls should be cautious short - term. In the 4 - hour chart, technicals are rising but below the mid - line. EUR/USD is fighting a bearish 20 - day SMA, and the 100 - day SMA has lost upward steam around 1.0840. A break above 1.0840 could bring back the bulls. EURUSD buy@1.08200-1.08500 tp:1.08900-1.09300 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
Silver (XAG/USD) Rising Wedge – Bearish Breakdown Setup!A rising wedge is a pattern that typically forms when the price makes higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum starts weakening. The narrowing structure of the wedge indicates that buyers are losing strength, and a breakout to the downside is likely. Key Characteristics of the Rising Wedge: ✔ Higher highs & higher lows – but with reduced momentum ✔ Trendline support (lower boundary) & resistance (upper boundary) ✔ Volume decline – suggests a potential reversal Expected Scenario: If the price breaks below the lower trendline, it signals bearish pressure, and Silver could see a strong decline. 2. Key Levels & Trading Setup 📌 Resistance Level ($34.50 - $34.80) The upper boundary of the wedge is acting as strong resistance. Historically, this zone has rejected price action multiple times, indicating sellers are defending this area. 📌 Support Level ($30.20 - $30.50) A major demand zone where buyers previously stepped in. If the wedge breaks down, this is the most likely target for the decline. 📌 Stop Loss ($34.81) Placed just above the recent high and resistance zone to limit risk in case of an unexpected upside breakout. 📌 Target ($30.20) Measured move from the wedge breakdown projects a sharp decline toward the next strong support at $30.20. 3. Trade Execution Strategy 🔴 Bearish Breakdown Scenario If the price breaks below the lower trendline (around $33.00), we expect a strong move downward. 📉 Short Entry: Below $33.00 (after confirmation) 🎯 Target: $30.20 ❌ Stop Loss: $34.81 (above resistance) Confirmation Needed: ✅ Strong bearish candle close below support ✅ Increased volume during breakdown ✅ Retest of broken support turning into resistance 🟢 Bullish Alternative (Invalidation) If price breaks and holds above $34.81, the bearish setup will be invalidated, and a breakout towards $36.00 - $37.00 could be expected. 4. Additional Considerations 📌 Fundamental Factors: Keep an eye on macroeconomic news, Fed decisions, and USD strength, as these impact Silver prices. 📌 Risk Management: Avoid overleveraging and use a proper risk-reward ratio (1:3 or higher). 📌 Market Sentiment: Watch volume trends and confirm breakout or fakeout before entering trades. Conclusion This chart presents a high-probability short trade setup based on the rising wedge breakdown. If the breakdown occurs, Silver could drop toward the $30.20 support zone. However, traders should wait for confirmation before entering to avoid fakeouts. Would you like me to refine this further for a TradingView post? 🚀
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
9
Title: Against the Grain: Exploring the Contrarian Investment CaContrarian investing involves deliberately going against prevailing market sentiment. It's about identifying potentially undervalued assets that the majority of investors might be overlooking or unduly pessimistic about. In the world of heavy industry and commercial vehicles, Volvo Group (AB Volvo) – the manufacturer of trucks, buses, construction equipment, and engines, distinct from the passenger car maker Volvo Cars – presents an interesting case study for potential contrarian investors. While facing headwinds common to cyclical industries, several factors could make Volvo Group an attractive proposition for those willing to look beyond short-term concerns. Why the Market Might Be Hesitant (The Prevailing Sentiment) To understand the contrarian case, we first need to acknowledge why the broader market might be cautious about Volvo Group: Cyclicality: Volvo Group's core markets (trucking, construction) are highly sensitive to economic cycles. Fears of a global economic slowdown or recession often lead investors to sell shares of cyclical companies like Volvo, anticipating decreased demand for new trucks and equipment. Electrification Transition: The shift away from diesel towards electric and potentially hydrogen-powered commercial vehicles is a massive undertaking. It requires significant R&D investment, new manufacturing processes, and faces challenges like charging infrastructure and battery costs. The market may worry about execution risks, high costs impacting profitability, and competition from both established players and new entrants (like Tesla Semi). Geopolitical and Supply Chain Risks: As a global manufacturer, Volvo Group is exposed to geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and potential disruptions in complex global supply chains, which can impact production and costs. Intense Competition: Volvo operates in highly competitive markets, facing strong rivals like Daimler Truck, PACCAR (Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF), Traton Group (Scania, MAN), and Caterpillar in construction equipment. The Contrarian Argument: Why Volvo Group Might Be Undervalued A contrarian investor might look past these concerns and focus on Volvo Group's underlying strengths and potential catalysts: Market Leadership and Brand Strength: Volvo Group holds strong market positions globally, particularly in heavy-duty trucks (with brands like Volvo Trucks, Mack Trucks, Renault Trucks) and construction equipment (Volvo CE). The Volvo brand is globally recognized for quality, safety, and reliability, commanding customer loyalty. Proactive Electrification Strategy: Far from being a laggard, Volvo Group has been quite proactive in the transition to zero-emission transport. It is already delivering series-produced electric trucks and construction equipment and is investing heavily in battery technology and fuel cells (e.g., through its cellcentric joint venture with Daimler Truck). A contrarian might argue the market underestimates Volvo's ability to navigate this transition successfully, leveraging its existing scale, dealer network, and customer relationships. Strong Service and Aftermarket Business: A significant portion of Volvo's revenue and profits comes from services, spare parts, and financing. This aftermarket business is generally less cyclical and more stable than new vehicle sales, providing a resilient income stream even during downturns. Financial Health and Shareholder Returns: Historically, Volvo Group has demonstrated robust financial management, generating solid cash flows and often rewarding shareholders with attractive dividends. If the stock price is depressed due to cyclical fears, the dividend yield could become particularly appealing, offering income while waiting for a potential market recovery or re-rating. Potential Undervaluation: The core of the contrarian argument often rests on valuation. If market pessimism has driven Volvo Group's share price down excessively relative to its earnings, cash flow, book value, or future prospects, it could represent a value opportunity. Contrarians believe the market may be overly focused on short-term cyclical risks, ignoring the company's long-term strengths and resilience. Infrastructure Spending Tailwinds: Long-term government initiatives focused on infrastructure renewal and development in various parts of the world could provide a sustained tailwind for Volvo's construction equipment division and, indirectly, for its truck business. Risks Remain It's crucial to remember that contrarian investing is inherently risky. The market's pessimism might be justified. A severe global recession could significantly impact Volvo's earnings. The transition to electrification could prove more costly or difficult than anticipated. Competitive pressures could intensify further. Therefore, thorough due diligence is essential. Conclusion Volvo Group (AB Volvo) presents a potentially compelling case for contrarian investors. While facing legitimate concerns related to economic cycles and the complex transition to electrification, the company possesses significant strengths: market leadership, a strong brand, a robust service business, proactive steps in electrification, and potentially an attractive valuation if market fears are overblown. For investors with a longer-term horizon who believe the market may be too pessimistic about the prospects for heavy commercial vehicles and construction equipment, and who trust in Volvo Group's ability to navigate the ongoing industry transformation, the stock could warrant closer examination as a potential contrarian opportunity. However, as with any investment, especially a contrarian one, detailed analysis of the company's financials, strategy, competitive positioning, and current valuation is critical before making any commitment.
OMXSTO:VOLCAR_BLong
by StockBlog
CHF/USD – Rising Wedge Breakdown | Bearish Setup The CHF/USD (Swiss Franc to US Dollar) 15-minute chart is currently displaying a classic Rising Wedge Pattern, which is widely recognized as a bearish reversal pattern. This setup signals weakening bullish momentum and an increased probability of a price breakdown. The chart provides a clear sell trade setup, with key levels including entry, stop loss, and target, making it a structured and well-defined opportunity for traders. 🔹 Key Technical Elements on the Chart 1️⃣ Resistance Level (Sell Zone) 📌 Location: Near 1.1350 – 1.1360 📌 Significance: This level represents a strong supply zone, meaning sellers have consistently pushed prices down from this area. Price attempted to break through this zone multiple times but was rejected, reinforcing the bearish outlook. It serves as the upper boundary of the rising wedge, confirming its role in restricting upward movement. Traders should be cautious of any false breakouts above this level before confirming a bearish move. 2️⃣ Support Level (Demand Zone) 📌 Location: Near 1.1295 – 1.1305 📌 Significance: This level has historically acted as a demand zone, where buyers stepped in to push prices back up. However, the formation of the rising wedge suggests weakening demand at this level. Once the price breaks below this support zone, it confirms a bearish trend continuation. 3️⃣ Rising Wedge Pattern (Bearish Setup) 📌 Pattern Characteristics: The rising wedge is a bearish continuation pattern that typically signals an upcoming sell-off. Price moves inside a narrowing upward-sloping range, where buyers lose strength while sellers gradually gain control. The lower trendline (dotted black line) has been providing support, but as price struggles near resistance, a breakdown becomes likely. Once price breaks below the wedge, the pattern confirms a strong bearish move. 📌 Why Is This Important? This pattern indicates that buyers are losing momentum, and a shift toward bearish control is taking place. The expected move is a sharp downward breakout, leading to lower price levels. 4️⃣ Trendline Support (Breakdown Confirmation) 📌 Location: The dashed black line below price action 📌 Significance: This trendline acted as a rising support, keeping price within the wedge. A clean break below this trendline confirms the bearish breakout. The breakdown is expected to be followed by increased selling pressure and higher trading volume. 📉 Bearish Trade Setup (Short Position Strategy) Based on the rising wedge breakdown, traders can consider the following sell trade setup: ✅ Entry Point: Sell below 1.1325 (Confirm breakdown with volume) ✅ Stop Loss: Above 1.1356 (To avoid false breakouts) ✅ Target 1: 1.1295 (First support level) ✅ Target 2: 1.1275 (Deeper downside potential if momentum continues) 🛠 Trade Rationale (Why Take This Trade?) 🔸 Bearish Price Action → Price is rejecting resistance and forming a lower high, signaling weakness in the uptrend. 🔸 Pattern Confirmation → The rising wedge has a high probability of breaking downward, leading to a sharp decline. 🔸 Risk-Reward Ratio → The setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, as traders can manage risk efficiently by placing a stop loss above resistance. 🔸 Volume Analysis → If selling volume increases upon breakout, the move becomes more reliable. 📊 Market Outlook & Final Thoughts 🔹 Bearish Scenario: If price breaks below 1.1325, expect a strong decline toward 1.1295 and potentially lower. A sharp move downward could accelerate selling pressure, targeting 1.1275 in an extended move. 🔹 Bullish Reversal Risk: If price closes back above 1.1356, the bearish setup is invalidated. Traders should exit shorts if price reclaims the resistance level. 🚨 Final Verdict: Bearish Breakdown Expected! 📉 Short Setup Activated – Targeting 1.1295 🚀 📊 Watch for Volume Confirmation Before Entering!
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Trading Idea for MEW: Potential LongThe MEW coin has been under pressure for a long time and has been testing buyer zones. A potential long entry may be forming at current levels. The possibility of upward movement remains, but it is crucial to manage risks and avoid excessive leverage. Monitor price action and confirmation signals. Recommendations: • Entry: Upon confirmation of demand at support levels • Stop-loss: Below local lows • Targets: Nearest resistance levels Protect your capital and manage your risks!
Long
by MonetarioMan
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trading Analysis – Rectangle Pattern Breakdown1. Market Overview The BTC/USD chart (1-hour timeframe) illustrates a trendline-supported uptrend that eventually transitioned into a rectangle consolidation pattern before breaking downward. The market displayed signs of buyer exhaustion near the resistance level, leading to a rectangle pattern breakdown, confirming a bearish shift. This analysis will break down the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies for traders looking to capitalize on this move. 2. Breakdown of the Chart Structure A. Trendline Breakout & Shift in Market Sentiment The chart initially exhibits an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support for Bitcoin’s price. As long as BTC/USD remained above this trendline, the uptrend was intact. However, once the price broke below the trendline with strong bearish momentum, it signaled a significant shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish. The breakdown of the trendline also coincided with the rectangle’s lower boundary breakdown, confirming bearish strength. B. Rectangle Pattern Formation (Consolidation Phase) The price oscillated between resistance at $88,500 and support at $86,000, forming a rectangle consolidation pattern. This pattern reflects a period of market indecision where buyers and sellers are in equilibrium. Multiple failed breakout attempts at resistance signaled strong seller dominance, leading to eventual support failure. The rectangle breakdown suggests that bears have gained control and a downward move is likely. C. Breakdown Confirmation & Target Projection The price broke below the lower support of the rectangle ($86,000) with increased selling pressure. The bearish breakout was confirmed by strong red candles with high volume, reinforcing the downside move. The height of the rectangle pattern provides a measured move target of around $83,797, aligning with previous support. The momentum remains bearish, and price is likely to test this level before any reversal attempt. 3. Trade Setup & Risk Management A. Ideal Trade Entry Entry Point: After the price retested the broken rectangle support at $86,000, which now acts as resistance. Confirmation: The rejection from this resistance with a bearish engulfing candle confirmed further downside. Bearish momentum indicators, such as RSI and MACD crossovers, further validated the setup. B. Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management Strategy) Stop Loss: Placed above the previous resistance zone at $88,969 to protect against false breakouts. Rationale: If price moves back into the rectangle and surpasses resistance, the bearish setup becomes invalid. C. Take-Profit Target & Risk-to-Reward Ratio Target: $83,797, based on the rectangle pattern height projection and key support levels. Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, ensuring that potential gains outweigh potential losses. 4. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook A. Bearish Continuation Outlook The trendline failure, rectangle breakdown, and bearish candlestick patterns all suggest a continuation of the downtrend. If price fails to reclaim support-turned-resistance ($86,000), further downside is expected. Increased selling volume confirms bearish control. B. Possible Bullish Reversal Scenarios If BTC/USD bounces strongly from the $83,797 target zone, it could indicate buyer accumulation and lead to a bullish recovery. A move back above $86,000 would invalidate the bearish outlook. 5. Conclusion This BTC/USD analysis highlights a bearish rectangle pattern breakdown, reinforced by a trendline break and strong resistance rejections at $88,500. The breakout target is $83,797, where traders should monitor price action for further bearish continuation or potential reversal signs. Traders should approach with caution, set appropriate stop-loss levels, and follow volume trends for confirmation of further price movements.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
Platinum Portfolios: A Bullish Signal for Future Gains!Yesterday, as markets slept, a shadow flickered across Platinum’s charts. Portfolios materialized like cryptic clues—hours before prices erupted in a 3% vertical rally. But here’s the twist: the official CME report won’t land until tomorrow. By the time most traders react, the first wave will already be history. The Setup: Why This Move Matters 1️⃣ "The Insiders Always Whisper First" Last times, a similar pattern in Platinum’s options market foreshadowed a 150$ surge. History doesn’t repeat, but it rhymes. These portfolios? They’re not random. They’re telegraphs from players who trade with one eye on the horizon. The Bottom Line This isn’t just about Platinum. It’s about trade pattern recognition. The market rewards those who connect dots before they’re obvious. So, ask yourself: Are you watching the right data? Will you be ready when the next domino falls? Stay sharp. Stay curious. And never underestimate the whispers. 🧠💥 Bullish winds are blowing. Will you sail with them? 🌪️🚀 Do your own research or follow along with us! Two minds are preferable to one!
OANDA:XPTUSDLong
by ClashChartsTeam
JPY/USD Descending Triangle Breakdown – Bearish Trading Setup📌 Overview: Understanding the Current Market Structure This analysis focuses on the JPY/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a well-defined descending triangle pattern, a classic bearish continuation setup. The price action indicates selling pressure increasing as lower highs form, while support remained relatively stable before ultimately breaking down. This setup suggests a potential trend continuation to the downside, making it a compelling trade opportunity for short-sellers. Let's dive deeper into the technical breakdown, trading strategy, and market expectations. 📊 Technical Breakdown: Chart Pattern Analysis 1️⃣ The Descending Triangle Pattern: A Bearish Signal The descending triangle is one of the most reliable continuation patterns in technical analysis, often leading to a breakdown when support is breached. This chart confirms the pattern through: ✅ Downward Sloping Resistance Line: The price tested this level multiple times but was consistently rejected. Lower highs indicate sellers are dominating and buyers are failing to push higher. ✅ Flat Support Level: The price found strong support at a key horizontal level, bouncing off multiple times. However, each bounce became weaker, signaling buyers losing strength. ✅ Breakout & Confirmation: The final breakdown below support occurred with strong momentum. The price has now turned previous support into resistance, a bearish confirmation. 🔎 Implication: A descending triangle breakout to the downside often results in an extended downward move, aiming for the measured move target based on the triangle’s height. 2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Trading Zones 📌 🔴 Resistance Zone (Upper Triangle Boundary): 0.006700 – 0.006750 This level acted as a strong rejection zone, confirming lower highs. It now serves as a resistance level after the breakdown. 📌 🟢 Support Level (Triangle Base): This level previously held price from breaking lower multiple times. However, with each bounce becoming weaker, it finally gave way. Break & Close below this level confirms the bearish continuation. 📌 🎯 Target Projection (Based on Triangle Breakout): 0.006448 (Final Target) – This level aligns with historical price action and the triangle’s projected move. 📌 🚨 Stop Loss Placement: Above the last swing high (~0.006752) If price reclaims this zone, the bearish outlook becomes invalid. 📈 Price Action & Market Sentiment 3️⃣ Bearish Momentum & Breakdown Confirmation ✅ Lower Highs Indicate Weakness: Buyers attempted multiple recoveries but were consistently rejected at lower levels. This pattern suggests exhaustion in buying pressure. ✅ Breakout Candle Strength & Volume Confirmation: The price broke support with strong momentum and increased volume, confirming sellers’ control. A breakdown without volume is often a fakeout, but this chart shows clear momentum. ✅ Potential Retest Before Further Drop: After a breakdown, price often retests the broken support before continuing lower. A pullback to the resistance zone (~0.006650 - 0.006700) could offer an ideal short entry. ✅ Bearish Trend Confirmation: The price remains below key resistance and continues forming lower lows. The downtrend structure remains intact, reinforcing the bearish sentiment. 📉 Trading Strategy: How to Trade This Setup? 🔹 Entry Strategy: Ideal Entry: Short after a pullback to broken support (~0.006650 - 0.006700). Aggressive Entry: Short immediately on the breakdown if momentum remains strong. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement: Place above last swing high (0.006752) to avoid being stopped out by noise. Ensures protection against sudden bullish reversals or fakeouts. 🔹 Take Profit Targets: ✅ First Target: 0.006500 (Psychological level) ✅ Final Target: 0.006448 (Triangle measured move) 🔹 Risk Management: Use a Risk-to-Reward ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 for an optimal trade setup. Never risk more than 2% of total capital per trade. ⚠️ Market Outlook & Key Watchpoints 📌 Scenario 1: Bearish Continuation (High Probability) If price retests the broken support and faces rejection, expect further downside. Target remains at 0.006448. 📌 Scenario 2: Fake Breakdown & Bullish Reversal (Low Probability) If price closes above 0.006750, it invalidates the bearish setup. In that case, a bullish move towards 0.006800+ is possible. 📢 Final Thoughts: The bearish breakout is clear, but waiting for a proper pullback before entry is ideal. Volume confirmation is crucial to avoid fakeouts. If support turns into resistance, a high-probability short trade is set up. 🔹 What’s your take on this setup? Will JPY/USD reach its target? Drop your thoughts below! 🚀 #JPYUSD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold (XAU/USD) – Triangle Breakout & Bullish Trade Setup Overview This 1-hour Gold Spot (XAU/USD) chart showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle pattern, which has successfully broken out to the upside. This breakout indicates strong bullish momentum, setting up a potential rally towards $3,107 and beyond. The analysis below will cover: ✅ Triangle Pattern Formation & Breakout Explanation ✅ Key Technical Levels (Support, Resistance, ATH) ✅ Entry, Stop Loss, & Take Profit Strategies ✅ Risk Management Considerations ✅ Final Trade Setup & Market Sentiment Let’s dive into the details. 1️⃣ Chart Pattern: Symmetrical Triangle Formation What is a Symmetrical Triangle? A symmetrical triangle is a common continuation pattern in technical analysis that forms when price consolidates within two converging trendlines. This structure indicates a period of indecision in the market before a potential breakout occurs. When price breaks above the upper trendline, it signals a bullish continuation. If price breaks below the lower trendline, it suggests a bearish move. In this case, gold has broken above the upper resistance trendline, signaling a continuation of the existing uptrend. Pattern Breakdown (Step by Step): Triangle Formation: The price made higher lows and lower highs, compressing within the pattern. Price Squeeze: As the market approached the apex of the triangle, volatility decreased, indicating an imminent breakout. Breakout Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closed above the resistance trendline, validating the pattern and confirming bullish momentum. 2️⃣ Key Technical Levels & Zones 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones: Support Level: $3,012 - $3,020 (Highlighted as a strong demand zone where buyers stepped in). Resistance Level: $3,080 (Previously acted as strong resistance but has now turned into support post-breakout). All-Time High (ATH): Marked just below $3,090, where price previously struggled to break through. 🔸 Breakout Target & Price Projection Breakout Level: The breakout happened above $3,080, confirming an uptrend continuation. Target Calculation: The height of the triangle is projected upwards from the breakout point. This gives us a price target of $3,107 - $3,120 in the short term. 3️⃣ Trading Strategy Based on Breakout ✅ Entry Strategy: Aggressive Entry: Entering immediately after the breakout candle closes above $3,080, riding the momentum. Conservative Entry: Waiting for a potential pullback to $3,080 (now acting as support) before entering a long position. ⛔ Stop Loss Placement: Ideal Stop Loss: Below the previous support zone at $3,012, ensuring protection against fake breakouts. Tighter Stop Loss: Just below the breakout point at $3,065, in case of a minor retracement before moving higher. 🎯 Profit Target Strategy: Short-Term Target: $3,107, based on the triangle’s measured move. Extended Target: If momentum sustains, $3,120+ could be achieved, aligning with previous bullish trends. 4️⃣ Risk Management & Market Considerations Risk Factors to Monitor: 🔸 Volume Confirmation: A breakout with high trading volume is a stronger signal than one with low volume. 🔸 Market Fundamentals: Events like US inflation data, Federal Reserve rate decisions, and geopolitical tensions can impact gold prices. 🔸 False Breakout Risk: If price falls back below $3,080, the breakout might be invalid, signaling a potential reversal. Risk-Reward Ratio: 📌 Entry: $3,080 📌 Stop Loss: $3,012 (Approx. 68 points risk) 📌 Target: $3,107 - $3,120 (Approx. 27-40 points reward) 📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 2:1+, making this a favorable trade setup. 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Final Trade Setup 📈 Bullish Outlook: The successful breakout above the symmetrical triangle signals continued bullish strength. Price is holding above the previous resistance zone at $3,080, now acting as support. The next resistance target is $3,107 - $3,120, aligning with previous swing highs. 🔴 Bearish Scenario (If Invalidated): If price falls back below $3,080, it could indicate a false breakout. A break below $3,065 might lead to a retest of the $3,012 support zone. 📊 Final Trading Plan: ✅ Buy (Long) at: $3,080 - $3,085 🎯 Target 1: $3,107 🎯 Target 2: $3,120+ (Extended Target) ⛔ Stop Loss: $3,012 🔥 Conclusion: Bullish Bias with Caution Gold (XAU/USD) has successfully broken out of the symmetrical triangle, signaling a strong bullish continuation. As long as price holds above $3,080, the bias remains bullish, targeting $3,107 - $3,120. 💡 Key Takeaway: Watch for a pullback and retest of $3,080 before entering, ensuring confirmation before committing to the trade. 🚀 Final Outlook: Bullish – Gold is positioned for further upside if momentum continues!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold Prices Doubled in 5 years. What Does It 'Historically' MeanOver the past five years, Gold prices OANDA:XAUUSD have experienced a significant surge, doubling in value over the past 5 years, from mid-March 2020 to mid-March 2025. This is the 3rd time in history ever, the price of gold doubled in U.S. dollars (we counted only events when it has been observed first time only over 5-years time span). 🥇 The 1st time "A Doubling" event happened in the first quarter of 1973, when Gold hit $80 mark per ounce (google: "1973 Arab–Israeli War"). ⚒ What happened next with Gold prices after that? - Hmm.. Gold doubled in price again! (and even more) over the next three years. Watch historical charts to learn more. ⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half over the same next three years. 🥇 The 2nd time "A Doubling" event happened more than 30 years later, in the first quarter of 2006 when Gold prices hit $500 barrier by the end of the year 2005, for the first time since 1987. Some analysts blamed inflation in the US and concerns about the state of the global economy. ⚒ What happened next with Gold price after that? - Hmm.... Gold price also doubled in price again! (and even more) over next three years. Watch again historical charts to learn more. ⚒ S&P500 Index folded in half again over the same next three years (google: "2008 financial crisis"). 🥇 Now is the 3rd time "A Doubling" event has happened with Gold prices, first time over last almost 20 years. Several factors have contributed to this increase, including economic uncertainty, inflation fears, geopolitical tensions, central bank activity, and investment demand. Economic Uncertainty: Times of economic turmoil often drive investors towards gold as a safe haven asset. The increase in global economic uncertainty has been a primary driver of gold's price surge. Inflation: The threat of inflation also contributes to the rising price of gold. Investors often turn to gold as a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies during inflationary periods. Geopolitical Tensions: Geopolitical instability encourages investors to seek safe-haven assets like gold. The Ukraine war, along with conflicts in the Middle East, have further fueled the rise in gold prices. Central Bank Demand: Central banks' buying and easing cycles influence gold prices. Central banks often purchase gold to diversify their reserve holdings, and this demand can impact gold prices significantly. Investment Demand: Demand from technology, jewelry, and investors influences gold prices. Gold price movements are sometimes driven by investor demand. -- Best #GODL (Gold On Dear Life) wishes, @PandorraResearch Team
FXOPEN:XAUUSD
by PandorraResearch
Is there more room for OIL to the upside??? BUY BRENT (OIL)All the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
BLACKBULL:BRENTLong
by Simply-Forex