Beyond Technical Analysis
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT
1. False Bullish Narrative
The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows:
A strong rejection near 106,000.
Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market.
The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift.
2. Bearish Structure Developing
The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop.
The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown.
The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases.
3. Volume Divergence
The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs.
4. Support Turned Resistance
The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance.
If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USD
1. Questionable Bullish Bias
The chart labels the structure as "Bullish," but the current setup looks more like a potential distribution phase than a healthy continuation pattern.
The price is moving sideways with declining volume, suggesting buyers are losing strength.
2. Volume Discrepancy
Notice the spike in volume during the sharp move up, followed by flat candles and lower volume.
This is typical of a "pump and fade" structure, where large players exit after a rapid price move, leaving retail traders with poor entries.
3. Resistance Not Clearly Broken
Price failed to sustain above 105,800–106,000, indicating that the resistance zone remains valid.
The recent rejection candles near this level suggest sellers are active and overhead pressure is strong.
4. Descending Into Compression
The blue "descending" structure before the sideways move may signal a bearish flag or a pause before further downside—not necessarily a bullish sign.
5. False Reversal Warning
The bullish pattern drawn with zig-zags (implying consolidation before continuation) could actually be setting up a bull trap.
If price fakes a bounce and then breaks below 104,800, a sharper decline toward the 103,000 target could accelerate quickly.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – USD/JPY
1. Sideways/Flat Price Action
Price is consolidating in a tight range with small-bodied candles.
This indicates indecision and lack of momentum, not strength.
The upward arrows suggest bullish bias, but no strong signal confirms a breakout yet.
2. Bearish Momentum
The recent red candles dominate, showing a clear drop from above 146.000 earlier.
The overall trend (short-term) is down, and the support area could be tested again.
3. Decreasing Volume
Volume is fading out, especially the most recent bar (around 1.01K).
This suggests waning interest—any bullish breakout without volume support is likely to fail or reverse.
4. Resistance Area is Strong
The resistance zone near 145.800–146.000 is clearly tested before and held.
Without a significant catalyst, it's unlikely to break in the near term.
5. False Breakout Risk Above Target
The marked "target" just below resistance could trigger false bullish entries.
Extra infoGeopolitical Gold Risk: EU Alarmed Over U.S. Custodianship
Rising geopolitical volatility and former President Trump’s escalating rhetoric against the U.S. Federal Reserve have sparked renewed European concerns over national gold reserves stored in the U.S., especially in Germany and Italy. Both nations hold the second and third-largest gold reserves globally (3,352 and 2,452 tonnes respectively), with a significant portion—over $245 billion in total—custodied at the New York Fed.
Lawmakers and public advocacy groups across the political spectrum in both countries are urging repatriation of gold to domestic vaults, citing Trump’s erratic policy stances and potential interference with central bank independence. The Bundesbank continues to defend New York's strategic value, while Italy remains silent. A growing number of central banks globally are reportedly shifting or planning to shift gold home as a precautionary move.
Japan’s Political Shifts: LDP Faces Voter Blowback Over Inflation
Japan’s ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered a historic electoral defeat in Tokyo’s local assembly elections, signaling growing voter discontent over surging food prices and stagnant wages. The LDP lost 8 of its 30 seats, surrendering its top position to Governor Yuriko Koike’s regional party, Tomin First.
With upper house elections on July 20, this loss raises risks of further political fragmentation. The populist right-wing Sanseito party gained seats for the first time, showcasing a shift toward fringe movements. PM Ishiba’s government also faces diplomatic and economic pressure as Trump threatens tariffs on Japanese imports. Tokyo’s results act as a warning sign that inflation and trade anxieties are materially influencing voter behavior.
U.S.-Korea Defence Diplomacy: Rolls-Royce Eyes GE Replacement
As South Korea reassesses its KF-21 fighter jet engine partner, UK officials are lobbying aggressively for Rolls-Royce to replace GE Aerospace, citing U.S. export restrictions that limit Seoul’s ability to sell jets internationally. The KF-21’s export prospects to Indonesia and the UAE are reportedly at risk due to American national security clauses.
Rolls-Royce proposes a joint development model to de-risk the engine program. However, entrenched U.S.–Korea defense ties, including Hanwha’s integration with U.S. military platforms, complicate this pivot. The U.K. seeks not only defense industrial collaboration but strategic geopolitical alignment with Seoul as a hedge against U.S. protectionism.
Energy Sector on Edge: Majors Withdraw Staff Amid Escalation Risks
European energy giants BP, TotalEnergies, and Eni have begun evacuating foreign staff from Iraqi fields, citing risk of Iranian retaliation after U.S. strikes on Tehran’s nuclear facilities. Operations remain intact, but local authorities confirm precautionary withdrawals, with Total reportedly pulling 60% of its expats.
Rumaila, Zubair, and southern Iraqi fields are proximate to Iranian territory and vulnerable to missile or proxy militia attacks. Analysts caution that Iran could exploit asymmetric tactics via regional militias, threatening key infrastructure without directly engaging U.S. forces. Shell, also present via Basra Gas, declined comment. The withdrawal underscores the fragile security balance as military posturing continues to escalate.
Oil Markets Volatile: Trump Demands Surge in U.S. Production
Following Brent crude’s spike to $81.40 and a subsequent intraday fall to $76.90, President Trump urged the Department of Energy to “DRILL, BABY, DRILL!!!” to stabilize prices. His public messaging emphasizes a fear that elevated oil costs play into enemy strategies, pressuring energy firms and OPEC+ to expand output.
So far, Middle East supply has not been disrupted, and no damage to the Strait of Hormuz—which handles 21 million barrels/day—has been recorded. However, analysts from S&P, SEB, and RBC warn of continued upside risk if Iran or its proxies target tankers, refineries, or pipelines. Several tankers have already changed course or anchored to avoid chokepoints, signaling preemptive market caution.
Financial Markets and Central Bank Tensions
Trump’s repeated interventions into Fed policy, combined with tariff-driven inflation concerns, have created a highly politicized environment for monetary policy. He has publicly demanded immediate rate cuts to 1–2%, pressuring Powell amid signs of internal division among Fed governors.
With inflation nearing the Fed's 2% target but geopolitical risks rising, Powell must testify to Congress this week and defend the institution's independence. A shift in Fed leadership post-2026 under a Trump administration may fundamentally reshape U.S. monetary credibility if dovish, politically loyal appointees take over.
European Fixed Income Competition: Vanguard Cuts Fees
As competition heats up in Europe’s bond ETF market, Vanguard has slashed fees on 7 of its 15 European fixed income ETFs. The changes reduce average expense ratios to 0.11%, part of a broader push to gain share from leaders like BlackRock and State Street.
This move aligns with Vanguard’s U.S. fee overhaul earlier this year, aimed at democratizing access to fixed income. European investors increasingly demand lower-cost bond solutions as the bond market now exceeds equities in size, yet remains more opaque and less efficient. The fee cut should help catalyze inflows from cost-sensit
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption Analysis of the Chart
1. False Breakout Risk
The price is currently within an ascending channel, which is often seen as bullish.
However, the recent candlesticks show smaller bodies with wicks on top, indicating buyer exhaustion.
A false breakout above the upper trendline or support around 1.3632 could trap buyers before a sharp reversal.
2. Low Volume Confirmation
Volume peaked earlier but has significantly decreased in the last few candles.
Weak volume during a price rise signals a lack of conviction, increasing the likelihood of a pullback.
3. Resistance Flip Not Confirmed
The level around 1.3600 is marked as resistance-turned-support, but there is no strong retest confirmation yet.
If price revisits this zone and fails to bounce, this support could break, leading to a downside reversal.
4. Divergence Watch
While not visible in this static image, if you overlay RSI or MACD, there could be signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while momentum indicators make lower highs).
This is often a leading indicator of trend weakening.
Market next target 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish)
1. Price in an Upward Channel:
The price remains within a clear ascending channel, respecting both upper and lower bounds.
The bearish arrow prematurely predicts a breakdown while no support break has occurred.
2. Strong Bullish Momentum:
Price is making higher highs and higher lows, a textbook bullish structure.
The recent dip respected the lower trendline and was followed by strong green candles.
3. Volume Confirmation:
Notice the increasing bullish volume on the recent push higher.
That suggests buyers are still in control, contradicting the bearish prediction.
4. Invalidation of Bearish Breakdown:
Until the lower blue trendline is clearly broken with volume, the bearish target is speculative.
Support is holding at 1.1610–1.1600 zone, which may become a launchpad for further gains.
Market next move 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish)
1. Support Holding Firm:
The analysis assumes the price will drop after failing resistance, but the current price action is showing higher lows, suggesting accumulation.
The support area has been tested multiple times, showing strength.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction:
Recent green volume bars indicate buying interest at lower levels.
No significant volume spike on the last downward leg, suggesting lack of strong selling pressure.
3. Potential Inverted Head and Shoulders:
The current formation could be the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup.
If confirmed, this could lead to a breakout above the resistance area, not a drop.
4. Trendline Breakout Watch:
There's a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline.
A break above 3,320 USD could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a target near 3,340–3,350 USD.
CAD Option Flow Positive Sentiment. It's worth taking a closer Based on the analysis of yesterday's trading on CME, we have captured an excellent portfolio in the lens.
The trader methodically formed this position in a 5-minute period of time, which is a good sign.
Сonfirmation - the market is already moving in his direction
But, reasonable entry level - above 0.7339.
Don't rush it. The risk/profit ratio is still at acceptable levels, but it's worth waiting for the resistance to be overcome.
Market next target 🔁 Disrupted Analysis (Bullish Scenario Instead of Bearish)
1. Support Holding Firm:
The analysis assumes the price will drop after failing resistance, but the current price action is showing higher lows, suggesting accumulation.
The support area has been tested multiple times, showing strength.
2. Volume Analysis Contradiction:
Recent green volume bars indicate buying interest at lower levels.
No significant volume spike on the last downward leg, suggesting lack of strong selling pressure.
3. Potential Inverted Head and Shoulders:
The current formation could be the right shoulder of an inverted head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal setup.
If confirmed, this could lead to a breakout above the resistance area, not a drop.
4. Trendline Breakout Watch:
There's a potential bullish breakout of the descending trendline.
A break above 3,320 USD could invalidate the bearish thesis and suggest a target near 3,340–3,350 USD.
This is a gift for any new trader..A while ago I was trying to strengthen my Top down game.
So I setup a b/tp/sl for down the road. Completely forgot about it. Just checked it today and it hit.
It took time.
I did it around march setting a long position.
So for anyone out there that thinks they are terrible at trading and are losing constantly.
Well this is a hard business.
My family say they support me. Under their breath "Go get a job!"
This is my job.
My family always was a "If only we had invested in ( TPEX:IX0043 or #property) when it was cheaper.
I said F' that. Im going to be a "I had invested in it."
But still profit. Seriously if you understand top down MMA Ground and Pound. You can figure it out and WIN!!!!!
Tacos rock.
USOIL Expected to Rebound to the 68–70 ZoneUSOIL has shown signs of short-term overselling, and a technical rebound is likely during today’s session. Traders participating in crude oil can consider buying on dips, focusing on short-term opportunities with proper position management. Quick entries and exits are recommended.
Report - June 24, 2025Geopolitical Flashpoint: U.S.–Iran–Israel Conflict Reaches Temporary Pause
After weeks of escalating military engagement, President Trump has declared a phased cease-fire between Iran and Israel, effective June 25. While Israel has not officially confirmed, both sides reportedly agreed to halt attacks if met with mutual restraint. Iran launched 14 missiles toward Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar on Monday in retaliation for the U.S. bombing of its nuclear sites; 13 were intercepted with no casualties. This symbolic attack was designed as a “face-saving” gesture, avoiding a broader conflict or disruption of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global oil chokepoint.
Market Impact:
Oil dropped sharply (WTI -7.2%, Brent -6.8%) as war premium unwound.
Equities rallied (S&P 500 +1%, Dow +0.9%) on relief from escalation.
Risk-off unwound modestly with global equities rising in Asia (Nikkei +1.1%, Hang Seng +1.8%).
Strategic Implications:
A durable cease-fire is far from guaranteed. Israel may not comply long-term.
Iran’s restraint signals desire for diplomatic off-ramp, supported by Qatari mediation.
U.S. avoided further retaliation, citing the limited scope of Iran’s action as justification.
Trump’s Pressure on the Fed and the ‘Powell Trap’
President Trump has intensified attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, demanding sharp rate cuts (targeting 1–2%). With inflation still near 2.6% Core PCE and tariffs starting to filter through consumer prices, the Fed risks its credibility if it yields to political pressure.
Fed Dynamics:
Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller (Trump appointees) support July cuts due to labor concerns.
Powell testifies before Congress this week, expected to defend central bank independence.
Market Reaction:
10-Year yield fell to 4.32%, 2-Year to 3.83%.
FedWatch: 22.7% chance of July cut, up from 14.5% pre-Iran strike.
Strategic Outlook:
Fed faces a no-win scenario: cut and risk inflation, or hold and face political firestorm.
Political pressure ahead of Powell’s February 2026 term expiry is rising—Trump may be shaping a post-Powell Fed regime.
U.S. Housing Market Update: Rising Inventory, Stalled Buyers
May existing-home sales rose +0.8% MoM (vs. -1.3% est.) but remain near record lows (4.03M annualized). Inventory rose +6.2% MoM, +20.3% YoY, yet affordability remains a major obstacle.
Median price: $422,800 (near record), +1.3% YoY.
Mortgage rates >6.5%, limiting buyer participation.
Price cuts surged (1 in 4 listings), showing seller capitulation.
Homes are sitting longer (27 days on market vs. 24 a year ago).
Implications:
Affordability gap persists: $100k income now affords just 37% of listings vs. 65% in 2018.
Selective regional strength: Midwest/Northeast stronger than Sunbelt/Southwest.
Energy Sector: Fragile but Stabilized for Now
Iran’s deliberate avoidance of energy infrastructure has led to a collapse in crude prices post-spike. However, risks remain:
Strait of Hormuz still vulnerable; closure would cut ~20% of global oil supply.
WTI pulled back to $75.67, Brent at $78.89—still ~10% higher than pre-June levels.
Trump publicly pressuring oil markets to keep prices low, signaling political discomfort with oil shocks during re-election year.
Energy Equities:
Exxon -2.6%, Halliburton -6.8% — oil-linked stocks lagged.
European oil names may rally if prices stay elevated: 7.8% EPS boost with +20% oil (Panmure).
Have you noticed Gold and Silver Miners lately?No doubt you are aware of the serious run Gold made so far in 2025, and you might also be aware that Silver is catching up fast lately. But have you thought to take a look at Gold and Silver mining stocks and the ETFs that track them? As Robin might have said (but never did), "Holy prospectors Batman, these stocks are flying higher!"
It is a real question whether this trend will continue, but if it does, GDX/J SIL/J are the ETFs to watch.
TAO/USDT | Long | DeAI Infrastructure Play | (June 23, 2025)TAO/USDT | Direction: Long | Key Reason: DeAI Infrastructure Play & Technical Recovery | (June 23, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
TAO has been in a downward channel, but it's now approaching a key zone of interest where support, volume, and structural value overlap. With fundamentals in decentralized AI, it could present a high-upside swing opportunity if the trend flips.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long
Entry: Around 343.00
Stop Loss: Below 265.00 (previous point of control & structural low)
Take Profit 1: 387.00
Take Profit 2: 425.00
Take Profit 3: 483.00
Extended Targets: 574.00 / 668.00
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Fundamentals remain intact – Despite recent price correction, Bittensor’s core value proposition as a decentralized AI marketplace remains.
✅ Layer-1 infrastructure – Built specifically for AI model training, compute exchange, and monetization—all backed by its native blockchain.
✅ Strong community – Active developers, validators, and AI miners; over 75% sentiment bullish across social platforms.
✅ Institutional interest – DCG invested $100M in TAO, launching “Yuma” as an ecosystem builder on top.
❌ Risk alert – Past security issues ($8M exploit), and leadership clarity is limited (no public founder presence).
⚠️ Technical caution – Price is still under pressure; a clean flip of VWAP and volume zones into support is key before full confirmation.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
I’ll monitor how TAO reacts to the value area low and VWAP. If price confirms a base above $387 with sustained buying, we’ll reassess for a move toward $574 and beyond.
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Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
CRV/USDT | Long | DeFi Utility | (June 24, 2025)CRV/USDT | Direction: Long | Key Reason: Pattern Reversal & DeFi Utility | (June 24, 2025)
1️⃣ Insight Summary
CRV is forming a bullish “W” at the bottom of its parallel channel, supported by value area highs, point-of-control, and structural support around $0.47–$0.55. If it flips that zone into support, a strong rebound toward $0.61 and higher looks likely.
(Note: The widget displays current price around $0.58, up ~10% in the past 24h.)
2️⃣ Trade Parameters
Bias: Long
Entry: Around $0.548 (upper “W” neckline)
Stop Loss: Below $0.47 (channel bottom & structural support)
Take Profit 1: $0.61
Take Profit 2: $0.70
Take Profit 3: $0.78
Extended Target: $0.84 (exit 50% profit)
Final Run-Up Target: $1.00
R/R ratio is around 1:7—very favorable if support holds.
3️⃣ Key Notes
✅ Technical setup: Classic double-bottom structure at channel low, supported by POC and value area high—ideal reversal base.
✅ DeFi fundamentals: CRV is the governance token for Curve Finance, a top-tier stablecoin AMM on Ethereum and L2s
✅ Robust ecosystem & growth: Consistently high TVL (~$2.6B), cross-chain deployments, governance participation, and sound tokenomics
coindcx.com
✅ Security signals: Admins resolved a front-end DNS hijack issue in May without any fund loss; founder repaid a $42M Aave loan—credibility-enhancing steps
finance.yahoo.com
⚠️ Risks: Still in a downtrend with inflationary token distribution and intense competition from other AMMs/governance tokens.
4️⃣ Follow-up Note
If CRV breaks above $0.61 with volume, I’ll reassess the trade and consider holding to the $0.84–$1.00 zone. Any drop below $0.47 invalidates the bullish setup.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is the best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
SPX short analysisLike I wrote in my EUR/USD analysis you never know what could happened.
USA bombed Iran!
This could have huge impact on the US market next week.
My guess is temporarily short... At least to close this gap in spot price of SPX.
Since we're still in bearish market, until we see new highs, and this could be catalyst for another sell off. So the jump could be even bigger and we could see new ATH this year.
For now, I'm seeking a position to short tomorrow after market is open.
This is my entry mark.
There will be higher volatility. However, I expect US market to open in the red, close the gap and to sell off again.
We shall see!
Trade safe this one :)
Gold’s Geopolitical Launchpad: Eyes on $3,500+🟡 GOLD - Macro Fuel Meets Technical Momentum Trade Levels Inside
Gold continues to flex its haven status as geopolitical tensions flare once again—this time triggered by reports of a U.S. airstrike on Iranian nuclear facilities. That headline risk has lit the fuse under precious metals, and the reaction in futures markets has been swift.
Friday’s intraday washout—largely driven by hopes that President Trump would opt for diplomacy—was short-lived. The strong recovery into New York close left a long lower shadow, signaling buyers are already pricing in weekend escalation risk.
💡 Macro View:
- Analysts project a move toward $3,500–$3,700, driven by a twin-engine of geopolitical instability and sticky inflation.
- Central banks are staying long; ETF inflows are ticking up—this isn’t just speculative hype.
- Goldman’s base case: $3,700 EOY, $4,000 by mid-2026. Recession/volatility scenarios stretch targets up to $4,500.
🔧 Technical Setup:
- Bias across all time frames remains bullish. Open float pressure is stacking with long-side conviction.
- Key long trigger zone sits between $3,369–$3,375—I’m watching for confirmation here.
- Profit targets:
- First resistance: $3,440.48
- Second target: $3,500 zone
- Stretch: $3,520+ if volatility expands
Weekly Trendline Support Respected – PEPE Holding UpOnce again, CRYPTOCAP:PEPE is bouncing off its trusted rising trendline — a level that’s acted like solid ground for months.
Every time price hits this trendline, buyers show up. That’s a strong sign bulls are still in the game. As long as this line holds, the uptrend stays healthy.
Next challenge? That resistance zone above. If PEPE breaks through, we could see another leg higher. But if it loses the trendline, things might cool off toward the next support.
AMD Trade Thesis – Navigating the Derivatives DimensionNASDAQ:AMD continues its calculated ascent through equilibrium, now challenging the upper liquidity void. Today's Smart Money Concepts chart reveals a breakout from the discount range, aligning with institutional footprints and volume confirmation.
🧠 WaverVanir DSS Forecast:
📍 Current: $129.58
🔄 15-Day Projection: $127.91 (−1.3%)
📈 30-Day Projection: $132.32 (+2.1%)
🧪 Sentiment Score: 40.9 → Calm confidence, no euphoria. Perfect conditions for silent positioning.
📐 Chart Outlook:
Equilibrium passed; acceleration toward imbalance zones likely.
Resistance above at:
$150 → Institutional anchor
$169.56 → Strong liquidity cluster
$226.38 → Final Fibonacci expansion (1.618 level)
📊 Strategic Alignment:
This is not a pursuit of capital—it’s a derivative strategy aligning time, volatility, sentiment, and fractal geometry. Money is the echo. We move with the source.
We don’t chase the surface—we code the undercurrent. Derivatives are our dimension, and AMD is the current signature.
🔐 This post is for informational and educational purposes only—not financial advice. Always manage your risk in accordance with your strategy.
#AMD #QuantTrading #SmartMoney #SMC #AITrading #WaverVanir #VolanX #Derivatives #DSS #MarketPrediction #Fibonacci #Leadership #StrategicLiquidity #OptionsFlow #TradingView #WaverVanirInternational
Bearish Gold Analysis🟠 Chart 1: Traditional Pivots with MACD
Price Action: Gold is showing signs of consolidation below the resistance zone near Q-R1 (3295.657) and R2 (3468.343).
MACD Indicator: There is a clear bearish crossover in the MACD histogram and lines, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Trendline Support: Price is still above the long-term trendline, but any break below 3200 may accelerate the downside.
Volume: Currently no volume spike to suggest strong buying interest.
Bearish Signals:
MACD rollover.
Repeated rejection near resistance zone.
Lower highs forming.
🟢 Chart 2: Camarilla Pivots with EMA Cloud/b]
Camarilla Levels:
H3 (3264.077) is labeled as a "Sell Reversal."
L3 (2981.863) as "Buy Reversal" and L4 (2840.757) as "Breakout."
EMA Cloud: Price is above the cloud but getting compressed. If the price breaks and sustains below the cloud (around 3100–3150), it confirms a bearish shift.
Candle Formation: Recent weekly candles are rejecting the upside—indicating distribution.
Bearish Bias Support:
Price failing to break H4 (3405).
Compression below key resistance with potential drop to L3/L4.
🔵 Chart 3: Money Zone
Value Area High (VAH): ~3036
Point of Control (POC): ~2877
MZ VAL: ~2720
Price is above VAH but weakening. If it breaks down below 3036, it may retest the POC (~2877) and VAL (~2720).
Volume Analysis:
A low-volume node around 3150–3250 suggests the price may fall fast if it breaks.
Major support comes near 2877 and 2720.
✅ Conclusion (Bearish Case Validation):
You have solid technical confirmation for a bearish bias:
MACD bearish divergence.
Repeated failure at Camarilla resistance.
EMA cloud tightening with potential breakdown.
Price is trading above value zones with signs of exhaustion.
Volume profile supports a sharp drop if 3200–3150 is broken.