Confirming Trends with the Lower Time Frames NZD/USD ExampleHey Guys!
As you guys know, for the past 2 weeks I've been taking multiple trades on the Nzd/usd, both short and long.
First I was taking short trades with the daily short bias, then long trades along with the bias change into long on the daily chart.
In this video, I explain how I knew the daily bias has changed into long thus aborted my initial short entry and began entering long trades.
These lower confirmation tactics play a huge role in my trading, and even if you don't trade with price action, it can be a great addition to your current strategy.
I hope it helps!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Beyond Technical Analysis
Being a weekend trading warriorYour results on Monday will be influenced by the work that you do on the weekend, specifically Sunday.
As an intraday trader I constantly think about my trading.
Here are a few points which every trader should focus on,
1 - Mapping our mental weaknesses
We all have mental challenges, some of us have a lot of FOMO,
while others oversize and over trade, you know what is holding
you back as a trader... FIND IT AND WORK ON IT!
2 - Reviewing trades (winners & losers)
Search for the plays where you can add size,
search for patterns that you can exploit next week,
review your best trades. What trades worked best for you?
more of these on Monday. What trades are not working for you? Eliminate them.
3 - Checking for key levels & patterns
The best in every industry practice and train... yet probably 90% of traders never
really do any kind of practice, they search for a strategy and then cannot wait to apply
it to the markets... real traders work on their trading hence they create REAL SKILLS!
How To Trade Hey guys, I created a system that would allow you to trade better. I call it the 3-way. This is when the market leaves signs and expects you to spot them. The first is: Pattern. For pattern, you can decide which is it for you.. P.S: You don't have to use my pattern. However, only use it of that's the common pattern in the instrument you're trading. Secondly, Divergence. Divergences are my go-to anytime, any day. Reason is because, divergences show up as a warning. Pay attention. Lastly, Structure. Even after finding a pattern and divergence, the structure has to be in-line with the confluences.
watch to digest!
leave a like, follow and comment if you found this useful.
Cheers,
Lazyluchi
Things you should consider in trading to make it as a career
Hello everyone:
6 points I like to share on what you should consider in trading to make it as a career.
1. Trading is not a get rich quick scheme
Contrary to what social media, scammers, fakers and fake trading gurus want you to believe, trading is NOT a get rich quick scheme.
Those who believe such usually end up over trading, over leverage, blow accounts and give up.
(Trading is actually a reasonable method to yield money return. It is how consistent traders make a return on their original investment/deposit with proper risk management, strategies and methods. )
2. Technical/Fundamental Analysis dont work all the time.
Trading ANY sort of strategy, method or style will always have a percentage of failure and losses.
Its probability, not right or wrong. The main goal in trading is to make sure you have proper risk management, good Risk:Reward ratio, and look for consistency, sustainability in the long run.
(Sometimes traders blame their strategies, method, style, mentor and other things due to their trades not working out.
Not trading strategies can yield 100% strike rate, if there is, there will not need any risk management, and anyone trader should get rich)
3.Limit your risk per trade
Proper risk management is super crucial to a trader’s success. Many traders often risk way more than their accounts can handle, after all what's 10%-20% of a $100 to many people ?
But would you risk 10-20% on a $100,000 account ? and lose $10,000-$20,000 in one trade ?
(Too many new traders deposit a small amount of money hoping it can double and double and double. But they often over risk, over leverage the account.
The result is it only take a few trades to totally blow the account up.)
4.Must use stop loss
It may have worked out for you a few times where you remove your SL, and the price reverses and you close with profits. But what if the price goes against you more and more?
Can you stay mentally sharp enough and continue to hold the trade when the losses pile up more and more ?
You more likely can not, which will end up resulting in a margin call and/or blow the account.
(In the past I had a trader who approached me and showed me his losses on OIL where he removed his SL and price continued to go against him.
IT has come to a point where he reaches margin call, and the broker actually open opposite positions to “hedge” his losses)
5. Don’t over analysis and combine multiple trading strategies, methods and style
Over analysis and complicating your charts may lead to confusion and is not necessarily efficient.
Most trading strategies do work on their own, but when combined with so many other strategies, it creates conflicts, contradiction and confusion for traders.
(Often traders combine too many random indicators, S/R, trendlines…etc all on one chart. It makes it hard to analyze, and have a bias of the direction of the market)
6.Always use a top-down analysis approach.
Multi-time frame analysis is key. Always start from the higher time frame to the lower time frame.
The higher the time frame the stronger and noticeable the price action it is. Understanding a higher time frame can give you a possible direction and bias.
While the lower time frame will be your confirmation and entry.
(Have seen many new traders jump onto the 1 min chart to trade. While there are successful scalpers with proper years of experiences,
good trading psychology and emotion, most newcomers will not be able to handle the stress and pressure from it. )
Don’t give up
Steps to invest successfully #2Hello everyone,
During this video we are going to analyse the following subjects:
- Look at the bigger picture.
- Draw trend lines using the most significant lows/highs.
- Look for support and resistance.
- Look for candles.
- Understand where the stock/coin sits now.
- Reasonably predict where the stock/coin will be in the future.
- Make sure you are using EMA lines.
- When and why placing your stop loss is important.
- Pivot point.
Remember, you will never be right every time. However, the key factor is to limit your risk by buying close to support.
Seb.
How to Find Legitimate Head and Shoulder PatternsHey Guys!
I just wanted to post a quick tutorial on how to find legitimate Head and Shoulder patterns.
In this lesson, I explain the 5 rules that a Head and Shoulders pattern must abide for it to be legitimate.
Here's the rules:
#1 Both necklines must be parallel.
#2 The main neckline cannot be broken out of surpassed before the right shoulder's price level is reached.
#3 The Head and Shoulders must be relatively flat.
#4 The top neckline can only be adjusted to a wick between the main pivot and the last correlating major pivot.
#5 The prior trend must be in the opposing direction. (which is up in the case of a "short" Head and Shoulders Pattern )
That's it! I hope this helps!
Have a great day!
Ken
Take Profit Screener Tutorial (EN)Hi all,
I'm going to introduce you to the Take Profit Screener tool.
It allows you to manually scan your watchlist so to determine at a glance the assets that would give you the best profitability potential.
It is a 2 in 1 tool that allows you to :
identify where your Take Profit ratios are located whether you are in SHAD or Cycle Strategy
identify the potential reward percentages when approaching the key Fibonacci levels
Thanks for watching
Waiting for your feedback.
enjoy ;-)
How to Find Legitimate Double Tops & Double BottomsHey Guys!
I just wanted to post a quick tutorial on how to find legitimate double tops and bottoms.
In this lesson, I explain the 4 rules that a double top/bottom must abide for it to be legitimate.
So for example: For a legitimate double bottom:
#1 The 2nd bottom's price must reach the 1st bottom's wick low price level.
#2 The 2nd bottom's price cannot close past the 1st bottom's wick low price level.
#3 There must at least be a 10 candle range between the the bottoms. (including the 2 bottom's candles)
#4 The prior trend must be in the opposing direction. (which is down in the case of a double bottom)
That's it! I hope this helps!
Have a great day!
Ken
Risk On Risk Off Helpful Proces Spy VS Btc VS Dollar Dxylets review Risk On Risk Off Helpful simple process Spy VS Btc VS Dollar Dxy also Remember trading is risky .
Hi traders
over the past 28 years trading this correlation has been simple and helpful as an added barometer of assets movements that you can add and watch in your tradingview charts with no extra indicators.
Over time the dollar has always been perceived as a strong stable currency and when people move dollar up it is usually perceived as a defensive move by market participants and therefore a risk off situation for speculative assets.
Usually what is helpful lately is looking at the SPY vs BTC and compare to the dollar DXY representing safety.
Usually dollar Up = SPY + BTC down = Risk Off
and vice versa
Usually dollar Down = SPY + BTC Up= Risk On
Hope this video was helpful
How to Draw Legitimate TrendlinesHey Guys!
Just wanted to post a quick lesson on "How to Draw Legitimate Trendlines".
In this lesson, I explain the 3 rules that must be applied for a trendline to be legitimate.
1.) Trendline's attachment points must be on the wicks of a candle. Not the body of a candles.
2.) There must be at least 3 contact points on a trendline for it to become legitimate.
3.) There must be no break outs or surpasses of the trendline.
Moreover, I demonstrate these with examples.
That's it! I hope this helped!
Have a great day!
Ken
How to find Volume Profile manually In this quick tutorial, I show you how to find the volume profile range manually.
So what is a Volume Profile?
The Volume Profile study represents trading activity over a time period at specified price levels. Considering the input-defined aggregation period, the Volume Profile plots a histogram showing price distribution, revealing the dominant price values in terms of volume . The width of the histogram's row represents the number of actual transactions made within the price interval defined by the row's height.
The longest row of the Volume Profile defines the price level at which the highest number of real transactions were made during the specified time period
Like and follow for more Quick Tips.
How to control FOMO in day trading!Good morning traders!
The markets are going to be wild today and over the next couple of days... which only means many of us traders will have a lot of FOMO! This video is designed to give you a basic plan on how to deal with FOMO in day trading!
Today is the day to be in control and this video helps you get there!
Price Action Lesson: The Basics of How to Read Price Part 3Hey Guys!
As you guys know I aborted 2 short entries on the NZD/USD pair yesterday to minimize my losses.
In this lesson, I'll explain how I knew to abort the short entries early by reading 1 minute price action and thus minimize the loss.
Enjoy!
Have a great day!
Ken
Message To Leveraged Longs of BitcoinThe "Fear Index" of Bitcoin COINBASE:BTCUSD is rising both statistically and on my social media. I'm fielding a lot of questions today from people that thought THIS was the bounce (from the 36k support) and leveraged up to the ta-ta's. The question they should NOT be asking is, "when will it reverse?" The question they need to be asking is... "how much is this lesson in leverage going to cost?"
Risk Management Basics for new tradersWhat is risk management and why is it important?
Risk management is the identification, evaluation, and prioritization of risks (defined in ISO 31000 as the effect of uncertainty on objectives) followed by coordinated and economical application of resources to minimize, monitor, and control the probability or impact of unfortunate events or to maximize the realization of opportunities.
Here I talk about 5 Basic topics:
1) Stop Loss
2) Risk
3) Size
4) Evolving the trade
5) Drawdown
Please keep in mind these are my personal basic view to give you understanding of the market. I highly recommend getting help from a professional before trading or taking financial advice.
BTC and understanding structure breaks with your tradesin this video im explaining how to read the story price is telling you via structure breaks. i also give a little idea of how i use the rsi in my trading. i hope this video helps you understand that price is not as confusing as you may have been lead to believe.
How to capture chart snapshot in tradingview-telegram alert botHello traders,
In the last video we learnt How to create simple web-hook to send alerts to telegram . In this tutorial, we will try to build a bit more on it and to also include chart snapshots along with plain alert messages.
Webhook code is updated in the replit repository here: replit.com
Once, setup, run the repl and capture base URL
⬜ Webhook API
Webhook post request URL format below:
https:///webhook?jsonRequest=&tblfmt;=&chart;=&loginRequired;=
jsonRequest - true/false. Set it to true only if you are sending alerts in the form of json. If set to true and the alert message is not in json format, it will throw error
tblfmt - Values taken from python library tabulate . Defines how to display the json message in tabular format. Applicable only if jsonRequest is true
chart - Chart URL from tradingview for which snapshot need to be captured
loginRequired - true/false. Use this only if you are using a private non shared chart for snapshot or if your chart contains invite only scripts which needs to be shown in the chart snapshot.
⬜ Capturing Chart URL
Note: Make sure you create different chart for different instruments which you are trying to get alert. Also make sure your chart is saved and all the indicators are in palce.
⬜ Testing on postman
⬜ Creating the alert
A Trader's ReflectionReflection What’s a reflection? Do you love your own reflection? So many questions—with, yet again… different definitions. A reflection is the return of light, heat, energy or sound waves from any surface. “To fix one’s thoughts (particularly from the past) on something”, is also a reflection. When you reflect, you ponder, mull, think—reflecting is synonymous with “past”—In most cases, you can only reflect if it’s something from the past.
However, writing this particular journal entry, I thought of… “what our reflections would be like as traders”. Have you ever had to reflect back to—who you were before trading?, Well, I do sometimes, who am I kidding? I’m even doing it now.
According to our definitions, In the word reflection, we get to pick some words like: “The return of light, heat, energy or soundwaves”, “Fix one’s thoughts”… You know what this means?, The first definition, simply means: your reflection is how you feel at a particular moment, the energy you transmit at that point is reflected. That’s why, if you look in the mirror—sad, you will not expect to see someone happy in there. Whereas, the second is an escape from realty. That is, when you reflect you leave this particular plane, moment and travel back in time.
A Trader’s Reflection
As traders, our reflections are shown to us by the charts (market). Just like your energy is reflected when you look in the mirror, the same thing happens when you trade the market. Therefore, the adage that says, “whatever you sow, you reap”—is a perfect example.
The market serves as a: trader’s mirror, the light, heat, energy and soundwaves are going to be very visible when you take a trade. Similarly, you don’t expect to enter the market sad and expect a happy outcome. I want to re-quote Ernest Holmes. “The market is a mirror and will reflect back to both its observer, spectator or player—that which it thinks into it”. The way the market seemed to you, was actually the way you created it in your own mind. That’s the energy returned I speak on.
Dumb question, Have you ever looked in the mirror? Anyway, who do you see—Yourself or some imagination of yourself? There are times when I’ll imagine what I’d want to be in 5-10 years from now, I’ll look in the mirror and nothing’s changed. It’s like imagining your flying but your feet never left the ground. My aunt said, “it’s good to be ambitious”—but, ambition without action is—damnation.
On twitter, I remembered tweeting—“the market’s not responsible for your decisions—You are”. A trader’s reflection simply means, The subconscious replication of a trader’s non-verbal signals. Similarly, your reality as a trader comes from what you see in the mirror (market). In addition, What you hold in mind manifests—irrespective of your preferences.
The Reality
In reality, we actually trade people’s reflections…
Looking at the mirror, if someone were to tell you, “oh, woah! you look pretty” is that enough? It might not be if you don’t think you look pretty. Even if the person tried to give you reasons. Most traders consider their problems to come from outside conditions whereas, Albert pointed out—“We cannot solve our problems with the same level of thinking that created them”. Therefore, If a trader is feeling fearful, he can try to cover it up all he wants, but, his trading results will readily reflect his true feelings.
As traders, “you can lie to everyone but the one person you can’t lie to is—the market”
Took a break on Ruth Roosevelt’s blog. She made it known that, “Trading is a microcosm of life. What you do in life, you’ll do in trading”—A dirty mirror that’s made clean isn’t usually enough vision if one’s blind. We can fool everyone into thinking we’re professionals but not the market. Dude’s just so good at the detective job. You’ll get caught!
The market feeds off your energy, that’s why you can look at a market and say, “oh! I think the buyers are in control”, because, everything reflects. March 2020, the Covid beginning-era, the Nasdaq index and many other instruments dropped drastically. The market reflected the pain, fear, frustrations, and turmoil—every human was going through. What happened afterwards?, there was a massive decline. Energy is indeed contagious.
Dear Traders
In conclusion, Don’t be fooled, In trading, it’s not the analysis or predictions that matter—it’s your belief, thoughts and emotions. Once you take a trade with a messed up mindset, what do you expect would happen? You probably have a messed up outcome.
The market doesn’t have to read your mind to know what you’re thinking because—whatever you’re thinking reflects in your trading. However, most focus on the outward appearance because they think of social status, online gratification or they’re just good at marketing. Well, you can fool other people; who exactly are you fooling? The market does not create the ways in which you perceive it; it merely reflects what is going on inside of you in any given moment.
The annoying thing about this particular mirror (market) is that, it doesn’t speak or warn you. It just reflects; The great thing about it is: You get to know the truth.
Humans will lie, Your fake gurus will say anything so you can keep purchasing their course. The market, will reveal everything about you both good and bad. A good trader isn’t judged by his analysis or predictions; A good trader is judged by his outcome. Tell your gurus to start showing you “real” account histories and not trading view analysis. Haha!
Make The Market Your Teacher
Finally, the only guru you should be listening to is: The market. The market will quite naturally make you face what is inside of you on a moment-to-moment basis. What is inside of you could be confidence or fear, a perception of opportunity or loss, restraint or uncontrollable greed, objectivity or illusion. The market just reflects these mental conditions, it does not create them. I’ve come to very conclusion that—in trading, having a mind of your own is bliss. You must be a fool thinking your guru can 100% predict the market. Unless he trades billions (can actually move the market). We are all just mere spectators hoping to join the winning animal.
Price Action Lesson: The Basics of How to Read Price Part 2Hey Guys!
As you guys know the current NZD/USD daily bias is short. Or in other words, price is likely to reach 0.6591 before reaching 0.6731.
So on my last post, I mentioned I took a short entry at 0.6722 with a stop loss at 0.6591 with its main target at 0.6591 for the time being.
In this Price action lesson, I just wanted to briefly explain how I read price in order to take the short entry yesterday. Moreover, why I was able to
take the short position "comfortably" even though price pulled back to 3 pips to the stop loss level.
That's it!
Have a great day guys!
Ken
Disclaimer: This is not Personal Financial Advice.
Safe Haven Currency, How are they affected by global eventsHello everyone:
Want to talk a bit more about safe haven currency in the market.
Since the recent tension between Russia and Ukraine,
the safe haven currency could strengthen as a result of such uncertainty in the world.
We will take a look at some past history of these currency pairs,
how they react to the market at the time, and what could we reasonably expect in the current market conditions.
Safe Haven Currency
USD
JPY
CHF
It's in our interest to look for opportunities when a strong currency is paired with a weaker one.
This generally will move the price very impulsively with strong momentum.
Pair such as these below will potentially develop the best price action for good R:R trades.
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
USDCAD
GBPUSD
AUDJPY
NZDJPY
CADJPY
GBPJPY
AUDCHF
NZDCHF
GBPCHF
CADCHF
Always have good risk management when it comes to entering. Don't enter all the pairs, don't open too many positions,
and understand correlation between the currency pairs.
Thank you
DISCLAIMER:
-My forecast and analysis are NOT trading signals nor financial advice, you should not enter trades and invest solely on this information.
Jojo
Some points on managing positionsTake into account market structure when managing trades. There's times when it pays to be aggressive with cutting profits and tightening stops, and times when you need to let something play out. Having an awareness of what the overall market is doing and what the environment is like can help you make small changes that help you protect capital. For example, if you taking breakout/momentum setups, you are expecting to see momentum pretty soon after you enter. If it's not working as expected, you should reduce your risk on the trade as it's then become much less likely to work out. Being stubborn and leaving trades that aren't doing what's expected run for larger than necessary losses will destroy your chances of consistent profitability.
How to guide ? Hide INPUT values of indicators From ScreenHide INPUT values of indicators From Screen
There is a very common cluttering issue that can happen when adding indicators.
All input values are shown on the chart next to the indicator name, which is not really helpful in most of the cases. The values are input settings selected for the indicator, which is of very little use to just see selected values. So if you have long strings as input, or multiple inputs, you will see a long line of text, even hiding the indicator name itself. Further it blocks the chart and looks very bad when taking screenshots.
Fortunately there is an option available from trading view itself, that many people are unaware of. This option enables you to hide all input values, leaving just the indicator name.