LET'S GET REAL: Fear of Losing! Hey Traders,
Most traders battle it. I myself had to progress past this in order to achieve consistent returns trading the markets. It is seen as one of the hardest challenges to pass in terms of emotional discipline. Understanding yourself better so you can make decisions in a calm, composed and consistent manner is crucial to success.
Today I wanted to touch on that. I wanted to talk about the fear of losing what spurred from my fear of losing, how I progressed through it (it still creeps in from time to time). Hopefully you can take from my story and how it improved your trading or how it can help you progress past that fear of losing.
If anyone has any questions or maybe some other stories in the way they progressed through a fear of losing or a fear of being a failure, please feel free to share in the comments and I'll get back to you as soon as possible.
Have a fantastic trading week!
Beyond Technical Analysis
Gems. Hello Traders!
Here I break down a full trading day.
Main Ideas:
New York Lunch Session: Period of consolidation (10:00am - 8pm)
Central Banks Dealers Range (2:00pm - 8:00pm)
EuropenOpening Price (2:00am)
Avoid London Session when CBDR and Asian Session is trending more than 35-40 pips.
Bearish on the day entry Ideas:
- Sell above MOP
- Sell above Asian High (5-15 pips)
- Sell CBDR +1 or +2 standard deviation(High/Medium Impact News Days +3 /+4)
- Sell above late NY buy stops
Bullish on the entry Ideas:
- Buy below MOP (5-20 Pips)
- Buy below Asian Low (5-15 pips)
- Buy CBDR -1 or -2 standard deviation(High/Medium Impact News Days -3 /-4)
- Buy below late NY sell stops
Tuesday and Wednesday are your higher volume days(More high and medium news packed)
Trade with the Time Zones London, New York, Asian (make it work with your work or life schedule)
Bearish on the week entry Ideas:
- Sell above Sunday's opening price (20-40 pips weekly premium)
Bullish on the week entry Ideas:
- Buy below Sunday's opening price (20-40 pips weekly discount)
Intraday trader exit around 12:00pm or 3:00pm (I would personally do 12:00 pm)
Weekly range trader exit Thursday New Open or London Close(Market reversals)
This is just my personal take on the market. I keep it simple and keep the rules clean and cut.
HOW TO USE TRADINGVIEWIn this video, i showed you how to use Tradingview to analyze different types of markets and asset classes.
You will discover how to open a chart and analyze any assets.
You will discover how to use different tools on tradingview to make your analysis easy and precise.
Tradingview made easy for you.
How I trade BA This video covers my BA trading strategy.
I get many requests on what my trading style looks like (as a quant trader), so I figured I would show how I trade BA, as this particular strategy is replicable and the tools I use are publicly available (linked below).
NOTE:
This isn't financial advice.
As well, my signal to long BA is always a Z Score of -2.6.
However, my signal to short BA changes based on the market sentiment. Currently, it is -1, however for the most part of 2021 and up until last month it was set at -0.5 to 0. In general, I DO NOT recommend shorting a stock with a Z-Score of -1. It is high risk.
Its important when you are applying any strategy to back-test it first!
As well, this strategy is applicable to other stocks; however, its important to get a feel for how the Z-Score behaves as each stock is unique. For example, TSLA I have seen go as low as a -4 Z Score and as high as a +4.4 Z Score. The parameters I share in this video are my current parameters for BA but are subject to change as the sentiment changes.
Let me know your questions/comments and criticisms below!
Thanks for watching
What Does Consistency Mean In Trading ? Hello traders:
Today let's talk about “consistency” in trading.
Many traders understand they need to be consistent, but what exactly is consistent in trading ?
To me, it's not just making consistent “profit”, rather it's being consistent with your trading strategy, risk management, trading psychology, mindset and emotion.
Let's take a look at a few examples of consistency in trading:
Consistency in profits:
More often traders think about hitting a set amount of % return in consistency.
This is certainly one way to look at it, but I would say to challenge ourselves to do more.
Each and every month, the market will develop differently, hence our profits are not gonna always be the “same” each and every month.
Some month with more profits, some month with more losses. We need to have the ability to stay “consistent” no matter what the market condition is.
Consistency in strategy and Trading Plan:
Remember, there are many different trading strategies out there.
The ability to stay “consistent” with your current trading strategy, and not jump from strategy to strategy.
Even if your strategy right now isn't getting any entries available in the current market condition, while others are entering trade, you need to stay consistent with your strategy and let the probability play out.
Understand no strategy can catch every move in the market. Some will catch this particular run, while others will catch other developments.
Consistency in risk management:
When you are at a series of drawdowns and losses, the ability to stay “consistent” with your risk management.
Not risking more than 1%, not entering more than 2-3 trades at a time. No revenge trade, and/or over leverage trade.
Respect your SL and honour the SL. More often traders fall into this stage while they take a number of losses and throw their risk management out the window.
Consistency in mindset and emotion:
When your strategy isn't playing out on a short term, the ability to stay “consistent” and not to start randomly taking trades based on FOMO, Greed and emotion.
Sometimes traders get impatient and feel like waiting for setups to happen is a hassle and they don't want to wait.
This is when they start to rush their trading journey and backfires on them.
Consistency in your goal:
Set goals for your result and progress. The ability to stay “consistent” with yourself and don't let external factors like social media, fake guru, scammers affect you and your goal.
If you plan to have 5% per month profit, then don't let other people affect you in a negative way.
Everyone trades differently, and with different strategy, method and approach. No need to compare and compete with others, rather, with yourself each and every year.
Below I will forward some good educational videos on the above topics that we have discussed:
Trading Psychology: Revenge Trading
Trading Psychology: Fear Of Missing Out
Trading Psychology: Over Leveraged Trading
Risk Management: Combine everything you learn to prevent blowing a trading account
How to Calculate Bounce Price Another tutorial video on how to calculate a bounce price using Z-Score.
This is actually a true, quantitative trading strategy and one that has been the most helpful in preventing me from getting shaken out of swing positions. I was reluctant to share, because it is a very powerful and unique way of doing assessments, but I figured why not be helpful!
This can be applied as a sole strategy or it can be combined with other methods of quantitative or technical analysis to help you do your assessments.
Please feel free to leave your questions and comments below. Also, please let me know if you find this helpful at all.
Take care everyone and trade safe!
Note: Sorry for the constant clearing of my throat. I would blame COVID but its just a habit I am trying to kick when public speaking/recording haha. Embarrassing!
Interest rates, Inflation and how to trade it.Hey Traders,
Massive week this week fundamentally for the Forex market. 3 big interest rate decisions being released so I thought there was no better time than now to have a chat about what it is, what it indicates and finally, how traders profit from it. Fed and BOE almost guaranteed to hike rates, RBA is sitting unsure.
Have a watch of the video and I am more than happy to have a discussion in the comment section!
As always, have a fantastic trading week and I wish you all many profits.
How to Calculate Probability in Price So many have asked for tutorials on some quant strategies. So this is my first tutorial for some basic quant trading strategies.
This is not really a strategy in and of itself, this is to help you determine realistic price points as part of your overall strategy.
You will need Excel to do this.
If you like this kind of tutorial/find it helpful, let me know and I can continue posting similar stuff on how to apply some more basic quant strategies into your trading.
Take care and trade safe!
Why Less Trading Gives Better Results!Hey hey traders!
We're coming to you with a nice and short video on why trading less is actually better for you, atleast based on our experience!
Being a full time day trader I found it hard to actually be at my best and trade all day long... at the end of the day trading is a means to an end, its only purpose is for you to exchange your knowledge, effort and focus for money, yet you do not need to sit there all day to do that, 60mins of focus is better than a whole day of nothing.
Try what we preach for the rest of the week and you'll be amazed at your performance!
Good luck trading!
The basics of back-testing (HOW TO)Hey Traders,
Today I wanted to follow on from the fantastic amount of comments that we are receiving from the previous video, "stop strategy jumping." It seems that so many of you took a whole heap of value from that video and for that I am very thankful and to everyone who reached out and told their story or let me know that it really touched them.
As highly requested, I wanted to run through a basic way to start getting the grips with strategy back-testing. How can we go about back-testing our strategies to ensure that they are profitable for us in the long run? Take a look, have a listen and tune in. Set up an excel sheet the way I do and get back testing. There's only one way to do this, and it is to do the hard work.
Let me know what you guys find. I can go more in depth in the future, but for now. It seems like most people wanted to get to grips with the absolute basics, which is what I'm going to show you today.
If you have any questions at all, please the comment section is the place to be. As always, have a fantastic trading week and a fantastic weekend traders. I'll see you very soon.
Price action & key levels [Daily Primer 25.4/22]Hey Traders, a quick little video coming your way!
It is my 8 year anniversary with my wife, so I am rushing out of the door and cannot leave a detailed summary in text too.
The video goes over price action, key levels and some trades taken today on the DAX
Have a fab day and any questions are welcome!
The PIK Trading Strategy & Key Lessons for Day Traders!Hey Traders!
Happy Sunday!
In this video, which ends a little earlier as I didn't know videos have a limit, we go over a few key points, starting from the PIK trading strategy which you guys will hear about much more over the next few days, mindset, motivation and guidance is covered too!
When it comes to the PIK trading strategy, we go over the indicators that are used, price action and key levels!
The video isn't our best one, but it does have plenty of value and we hope you enjoy it!
Thanks and all the best!
LET'S GET REAL: Stop Strategy Jumping!Hey Traders,
This one is going to be a little bit different, a little bit deeper and a little bit harder to listen to rather than usual technical analysis. I recommend you sit down and listen to this. Have a think whether it relates to you or whether you found yourself in this position, or even if you've gone through this position and share your experience on how you go through it. A lot of traders struggle with their strategy, jumping from aspects of trading and that's why so many educators out there make a lot of money off of them. It is time to stop.
In this video I outlay a challenge that I put to all the traders who may find themselves in this position to sit down and to thoroughly test their current or previous strategies and understand them on a deeper level. No more jumping around, no more looking outwards. Let's start looking inwards. Let's see the data that we have handed to us and what we can do to improve that data.
If you enjoyed this video, please leave a comment. Leave a like, if we do get enough likes and comments, I will make a Part 2 on how to go about this with a more depth avenue while using different resources.
As always, have a fantastic training week.
Take Profit Screener Indicator updateWith this new version, the Fibonacci borders are calculated and placed automatically on your charts.
No need to place the top border manually any more.
You still have the possibility to move it manually if you consider that the indicator has not identified the right ATH (Pivot point)
Enjoy !
Check out new tested Buy sell indcatorMost of the solo indicators are the lagging indicator , here i have created an indicator with the combiantion of various technics that can help to ease the trading setup.
Note:- not a single indicator can give you 100% accuracy , so here there can be few false trades but the accuracny can be above 80% with combination of moving average.
If you want that I should publish with low price then please share and comment
The Element of Time - The Most Underrate Technical Analysis ToolMarket timing is an essential tool whether you're a day-trader, portfolio manager and/or long-term investor. I present to you the most underrated technical analysis tool in the space of retail trading. The purpose of this short educational webinar is to open your eyes to something you don't hear about abundantly because it is the most disregarded aspect of trading in my opinion.
As an intraday trader, my main focus is on the speculation of "the next daily candle". However, I first analyze and project on "the next weekly candle". Each weekly candle is broken into 5 individual daily candles, and each daily candle is broken down into 3 main market sessions - namely, Asia, London & New York Session.
You'll find that my main focus in this lesson is on the day in which you find a lower / upper wick being created on the weekly candle. More often than not, "Tuesday" typically forms the low of a bullish weekly candle, and the high of a bearish weekly candle.
Watch the lesson entirely, take notes, but most importantly, let it open up the opportunity for you to exponentially elevate your trading skillset.
How to analyze any market from scratch #3Hello everyone:
Many of you have asked me to continue making more of these analysing from scratch video, so I have prepared another one here for you today.
Not only will we refresh the previous 2 educational videos on this topic, I will go into a bit more details on the confirmation on the lower time frames with multiple examples in the chart.
Recall from the previous videos I made, when we want to analyze the chart from scratch, we always start:
1. From the higher time frames (HTF) to identify the impulse/correction phases of the market conditions so we can come up with a possible bias and direction of the current price.
2. Once we have a possible direction and bias, then we go down to the lower time frames (LTF) to also identify the impulse/correction phases which will lead to your confirmation and entry.
These are simple steps to follow, based on multi-time frame analysis, top down approach.
Many have told me it's not hard to identify the HTF’s impulse and correction, but what can be classified as a LTF confirmation before entry?
Let's take a detail look into a few examples:
A LTF confirmation is when the price is developing a few more price action structures/patterns that align with your HTF direction and bias.
These can be continuation/reversal corrections on the LTF; impulse phases on the LTF that go with your bias on the HTF; multiple corrections within the larger corrections (patterns within patterns)...etc.
The more of these LTF price actions you can identify, the more it strengthens your analysis and forecast on the HTF.
Thank you
Do check out my previous educational contents on this same topic to better learn my approach to analyse any market from scratch.
How to analyze any market from scratch #1
How to analyze any market from scratch #2