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Forecast USDJPY Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, and I do not encourage anyone to follow my analysis blindly. I’m simply sharing my personal market view based on my strategy, experience, and interpretation of the data. Everyone is responsible for their own decisions. The USD/JPY market has likely just exited its accumulation phase after several weeks of quiet consolidation. What we’re seeing now is a clear buy-side manipulation orchestrated by major players. Despite weak fundamentals for the dollar — disappointing NFP, rising unemployment, and a slowdown in services — price exploded to the upside, trapping early sellers and drawing in retail buyers through a false breakout. Technically, the market is overbought on H1 and H4, with a hidden bearish divergence extending all the way from the historical highs of 1971, combined with a confirmed bearish reversal divergence on the weekly chart. On top of that, institutional speculators (COT data) are heavily short USD/JPY, reinforcing the idea that this rally is not genuine but engineered for liquidity grabs. I’m not rushing in. I’m waiting for 146.00, a key psychological and structural level where this manipulation could reach its peak. That zone would likely mark the end of the fake bullish move and the beginning of a real distribution phase. All signals — technical, macro, and behavioral — are aligned. This could be one of the best short opportunities on USD/JPY in months.
Short
by Kanounsyphax
Gold Setup for July 3th: Don’t Get Caught in the Liquidity Net🌙 Good evening, sniper — lock in, load up, and let’s dance with Thursday’s chaos 💣 🌍 Macro & Geopolitical Pulse Thursday’s setup is not for amateurs: 🔸 Non-Farm Employment Change 🔸 Unemployment Rate 🔸 Initial Jobless Claims 🔸 ISM Services PMI 🔸 Factory Orders Add to that: • A Fed still talking tough on rates • Geopolitical flare-ups in the Black Sea and Middle East • Gold trading deep into premium… 💡 This is where markets hunt weak hands, then flip direction without mercy. We don’t chase candles. We wait for exhaustion. Then we execute. 🎯 Bias Snapshot (D1 → H4 → H1) • Daily closed bullish but deep into old CHoCH + OB • H4 printed HHs, but structure now presses into stacked supply • H1 shows momentum fading — RSI divergence + weakening push 📌 Core bias: Still bullish — but every pip above 3360 is loaded with risk. If 3380 fails to break cleanly, expect rejection. If it breaks — the market likely wants full liquidity above 3400. 🗺️ Battlefield Zones 🟢 Buy Zone #1 – 3310 to 3320 The sniper’s discount pullback: Fibo 38.2%, M30 OB, EMA 50, and clean imbalance. Wait for news spike + bullish confirmation to go long. 🟢 Buy Zone #2 – 3285 to 3295 The deep reaction zone. Fibo 61.8% + OB + gap. Enter only on violent wick and rejection — but RR is exceptional. 🟡 Flip Zone – 3334 to 3340 This is where momentum flips: • Hold above = continuation toward premium • Break below = bearish reversal unlocked No entries here — this is your compass, not your trigger. 🔴 Sell Zone #1 – 3357 to 3366 Classic CHoCH retest. H1/H4 OB with layered liquidity. If price rejects here on post-news spike — short it back toward the flip. 🔴 Sell Zone #2 – 3387 to 3395 Top-of-range sweep. If gold blows through zone 1, this becomes liquidity trap central. Wait for rejection wick + bearish PA confirmation. 🔴 Sell Zone #3 – 3410 to 3420 The final premium kill zone. This is where the market finishes stop-hunting every breakout buyer. Fibo extension 1.272–1.618 hits here. If we wick this zone and stall — sniper short back to 3380–3366. ⚔️ Execution Blueprint Wait for news to trigger the chaos — early entries are a donation. Short 3357–3366 on exhaustion → target flip zone. If price overextends into 3387–3395, get ready for the reversal play. Extreme spike to 3410–3420? That’s your killshot short — ride it back down. If price retraces into 3310–3320, it’s your safe sniper long. Panic into 3285–3295? Deep long entry, only with confirmation. Watch the flip zone (3334–3340) — above = bullish bias holds; below = bears back in control. 🎯 No guesswork. No hope. Just precision. Wait, confirm, and strike. 💬 Let’s stay sharp tomorrow — market will offer clean setups, but patience and clarity are key. If this plan helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts below. 👉 Follow GoldFxMinds for daily sniper-entry plans crafted with precision. Smash that🚀🚀🚀 if this plan sharpened your edge. 📝 You already know — we don’t guess, we execute. 🦅 Good night, snipers 💛 ⚠️ Disclosure I’m part of TradeNation’s Influencer Program and use their TradingView charts for analysis & educational content.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
1
IGARASHI MOTORSIgarashi Motors India Ltd. – FY22–FY25 Snapshot Sales – ₹610.0 Cr → ₹655.0 Cr → ₹725.0 Cr → ₹816.5 Cr – Moderate growth, steady trajectory Net Profit – ₹7.2 Cr → ₹9.57 Cr → ₹12.4 Cr → ₹22.65 Cr – Improving profitability, favorable Company Order Book – Weak → Weak → Moderate → Moderate – Improving demand outlook Dividend Yield (%) – 0.00% → 0.14% → 0.14% → 0.14% – Very low, not ideal for income seekers Operating Performance – Weak → Weak → Moderate → Moderate – Improving margins, still evolving Equity Capital – ₹31.48 Cr (constant) – Stable, no dilution Total Debt – ₹190.0 Cr → ₹180.0 Cr → ₹165.0 Cr → ₹151.5 Cr – Declining, well-managed Total Liabilities – ₹710.0 Cr → ₹740.0 Cr → ₹765.0 Cr → ₹794.5 Cr – Stable, aligned with business scale Fixed Assets – ₹580.0 Cr → ₹610.0 Cr → ₹640.0 Cr → ₹668.8 Cr – Gradual expansion, conservative Land Investment – ₹90.0 Cr (unchanged) – Static, no growth intent Building Investment – ₹75.0 Cr (unchanged) – No incremental investment Machinery Investment – ₹120.0 Cr → ₹125.0 Cr → ₹130.0 Cr → ₹133.0 Cr – Minimal additions, modest capacity Latest Highlights - FY25 net profit rose 82.6% YoY to ₹22.65 Cr; revenue grew 10.5% to ₹816.5 Cr - EPS: ₹7.19 | EBITDA Margin: 11.5% | Net Margin: 2.77% - Return on Equity: 5.07% | Return on Assets: 2.99% - Promoter holding: 75% | Dividend Yield: 0.14% - Focus on EV components and export-led growth; strong Q1 FY25 performance with 472% YoY profit jump Technical Snapshot Igarashi Motors is trading at ₹534.90 (↑10.24%) with an RSI of 49.9, reflecting neutral momentum around the pivot zone. A significant pickup in monthly volume bars indicates fresh buying interest. Immediate support is visible at ₹478.50, with a deeper cushion near ₹377.80. If momentum sustains, the stock has visible upside potential toward ₹771.50, ₹872.20, and ₹1,000.50. Business Growth Verdict Yes, Igarashi Motors is making modest but consistent investments toward business growth - Profitability and margins are improving steadily - Debt is reducing and financial stability is strong - However, asset expansion and topline growth remain conservative Final Investment Verdict Igarashi Motors has demonstrated consistent financial progress with improving margins, declining debt, and steady sales growth. While capex remains conservative, its pivot toward EV components and a robust Q1 FY25 performance signal an evolving growth narrative. Despite elevated valuations, further re-rating depends on sustained earnings momentum and execution.
NSE:IGARASHILong
by TechnicalAnalystSucrit
Safe Entry Zone AURStock Current Movement Up. despite the Ranging movement AUR still in Up-Movement unless Break Down the current 4h Green Zone Which act as last hope for AUR to still be in Up Direction Movement. Current 4h Green Zone is Strongest Support level AUR Has Only thing waiting for at current Zone is Strong Buyer to Step-in. P.Low & P.High (Previous Low & Previous High) Acts as good Support and Resistance levels watch out for any buying/selling pressure at these lines to secure profit. AUR Target 4h Red Zone. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NASDAQ:AURLong
by Faisalzor
PRZ at 0.6600? | Watching for Reversal from Channel Top👆🚀Boost it if you like it... (Thank you) 🚀👆 Pair: AUD/USD Timeframe: 4H Bias: Short-term bearish Custom Term: PRZ (Possible Reversal Zone) = 0.65696 📈 Technical Structure: AUD/USD is trading within a well-respected ascending channel, with price currently hovering near 0.6570. The upper boundary of the channel aligns closely with the PRP zone at 0.6600, which also coincides with: A prior supply zone (visible on higher timeframes). Confluence of the 15 EMA (0.65692) and 60 EMA (0.65534) flattening out. Psychological round number resistance. Entry: 0.65700 Stop: Above 0.66064 (channel breakout invalidation) Target 1: 0.6540 Target 2: 0.6500 Risk/Reward: ~1.8 (Warning: This is an early entry ) 🧠 Psychology Insight: The PRP concept helps frame trades around areas of emotional overextension—where traders may overcommit to a breakout. By identifying these zones in advance, you stay objective and avoid reactive decisions. PRZ: Possible Reversal Zone #AUDUSD #PRZ #Forex #TechnicalAnalysis #ChannelTrading #ReversalZone #PriceAction #MJFX #TradingPsychology #ToughButSuccessful
Short
by MJElahifx
1
Market next move ❗ Disrupted Market Outlook: ⚠️ False Breakout Risk: The recent "Breakout" above previous highs may be a bull trap. Although price surged, the follow-up candles are showing lower highs, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. 📉 Bearish Divergence (not shown but likely): Based on the price action, there's a potential bearish divergence with RSI/MACD (if overlaid), as price makes higher highs while momentum likely weakens. 🔄 Resistance Reversal Zone: The area labeled as "Support area" at the top (near $67.50) is actually acting as resistance again — the market is failing to hold above this level. 🔁 Retest Failure: After the breakout, price failed to establish strong support and is consolidating below the highs, hinting at a potential breakdown below $66. --- 🔻 Disruption Path: 1. Drop to $66.00 - immediate pullback from failed breakout.
TVC:USOILLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Swiss Vault Job: GBP/CHF Entry Blueprint Unlocked🕵️‍♂️💼 GBP/CHF: The Swiss Vault Infiltration Protocol 💼🕵️‍♂️ (Swing/Day Plan — Executed in Silence, Paid in Profits) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Silent Operators, 🤑💰💸✈️ Welcome to the Thief Trading Syndicate's Strategic Playbook – today’s mission targets the GBP/CHF vault. We’ve cooked up a master plan powered by our signature blend of technical finesse and stealthy macro-insight. This setup is based on institutional footprints and high-stakes zones where liquidity flows like digital gold. 📊 Current Bias: 🟥 Bearish weight remains, but we smell bullish smoke beneath — reversal setups in play. 📈 Entry Strategy: Long (Bullish) — Scout entry above 1.06500+ in higher timeframes (4H+). Retest confirmation required. Short (Bearish) — “The vault’s unguarded! Slip in short anywhere up top—clean sweep mode.” 🛑 Stop Loss Placement: Place SL near recent swing highs/lows on the 5H chart (swing basis). Customize per lot size and multiple entries. Your risk defines your escape rope. 🎯 Profit Extraction Target: Long TP: Aim for the 1.11500 vault door (or vanish before it slams). Short TP: Dive to 1.06500, or pull the plug earlier if guards wake up. 📰 Strategic Conditions: This pair’s behavior is currently driven by mixed macro triggers — smart money positioning (COT), sentiment clusters, and market structure traps. → For full details: Fundamental macros, COT leaks, sentiment drift, and institutional zones — check your sources. 🚨 News & Risk Protocols: No new entries during red-folder events. Use trailing stops to lock loot and run. 💥 Boost Our Bandits! Smash that ❤️ to strengthen our robbing force. Each tap fuels future missions. No indicators. Just raw street-smart trading edge. 👀 More heists incoming. Stay low. Stay sharp. Stay profitable. 🐱‍👤🎯📈
Long
by Thief_Trader
7
Palladium Shows Strength — A Bullish OpportunityPalladium is beginning to show strong bullish momentum. I believe this is a good opportunity for those who haven’t entered yet. A stop-loss can be placed at $1120, or better yet at $1090 — giving the trade a bit more room to move. Target: $1250. On a broader scale, platinum and palladium are trading at parity, so we could potentially see a breakout toward the $1400–1450 level. I’m watching closely for the upcoming resolution and expect a strong rally in the asset.
OANDA:XPDUSDLong
by kventinka
Safe Entry Zone TOSTNote: Switch to 1H TF for better View and more details Stock Current Movement Ranging. 4h Green is buy Zone stop loss Below. 4h Red Is Resistance Zone. P.High Lines (Previous High) Consider as Strong Resitances! Also My Beloved CAthie Wood BEST INVESTOR All Time (based on statics better than Warren Buffet Entire Histroy) Is BUYING! Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
NYSE:TOSTLong
by Faisalzor
You trade. You learn. You test. But results still slip. Why? Sometimes you feel like you know it all. You've tried dozens of strategies. Studied with the best. But in your head — there’s no clarity, in your trades — chaos, and in the end — you’re stuck in the same place. I’ve been there too. If this sounds familiar — keep reading. Every day, thousands of traders enter the market and do everything "by the book": they open their terminal, draw levels, learn from the pros, read the analysis. Yet years later, they’re still in the same spot. Their results are random, unstable, or negative. Why? 🔹 Not because you didn’t study enough. 🔹 Not because you can’t read a chart. 💡 Most likely, your system isn’t fully built — or your goal is still unclear. A goal is not a wish. "I want to make money" is not a goal. A real goal sounds like: to consistently earn $1,000 a month, spending 3 hours a day on trading. Or: to live off trading income and leave my job. Different goals require different systems: daily routines, trade evaluation criteria, analysis frequency, and risk approaches. Here are some examples of goals and the systems they require: Goal: Consistent side income $1,000 a month with 3 hours of trading a day → You need a system with a clear schedule, ready-made analysis templates, minimal manual effort, asset/time priorities, clear trade filters, trade logging, and weekly/monthly feedback loops (what works, what doesn’t). Goal: Passive income through investments (e.g. 15% annual return on capital) → You need a system that includes regular fundamental analysis, long-term trend evaluation, clear rules for portfolio formation and rebalancing, risk limits per asset, profit/loss realization strategies, trade logging, and quarterly feedback reviews. Goal: Full-time trading income, consistently earning $10,000 per month → You need a system with strict risk control, a daily trading rhythm, emotional stability support, trade tracking, and daily/weekly feedback (what’s working, what’s not). What happens without a goal and system? The trader opens a chart and starts "looking for an opportunity." Today it’s scalping, tomorrow swing, the next day — "I’m just observing." 📉 They don’t know what to focus on. 📉 They lose concentration. 📉 They jump into trades because "something must be done." 📉 They burn out. Because there’s no sense of progress. Without a goal, you can’t build the system you need. A goal sets the direction and evaluation criteria. Without a system, you can’t reach the goal: you might have knowledge, actions, and effort — but they don’t add up to results. Just noise, fatigue, and the feeling of being out of sync with the market. A system is what connects your goal and actions. It gives you stability, filters out distractions, keeps you focused, and reduces impulsive behavior. If this feels familiar — it’s a signal. Your system and goal need an upgrade. Many start with a random mix of actions hoping for results. Few take the step toward clarifying their goal and building their system. You can be one of them — if you have a map and a direction. Everything starts with a clear personal goal — not a generic one, but truly yours. You can use 3 practices to help you: Goal — what you truly want from trading, specifically in numbers and timelines. Sub-goals — how to break the path into clear steps based on your resources. Hypothesis — what exactly you’re testing right now to stay focused. Each of these is a practical step that brings clarity and direction. 📌 Define your goal — and keep it. It’s your starting point. It marks the transition from reactive trader to conscious professional. See you in Part Two — where we’ll build the system that brings you to that goal. Let your chosen goal inspire and support you on the journey. Value every step and your own effort. Take care — and trust your path.
Education
by AlexeyWolf
Why I haven't posted this week:Hey all, So, for those of you who watches my videos and market commentary will have noticed that I haven't posted anything this week, event though there were some awesome opportunities to highlight and discuss. The reason for this is because I am currently conducting work training and was unable to record, however, rest assured that I'll be back next week to break down these markets with you and take advantage of the opportunities lining up. Up until then keep well and bye for now
TVC:DXY
by DeanMuller
Report - 3 jully, 2025European High-Yield Market Surge: Record Issuance and US Outflows In June, the European high-yield (junk bond) market shattered records, with issuance climbing to €23 billion — surpassing the previous high set in June 2021 by around €5 billion. The number of deals also reached an all-time record at 44, according to PitchBook. This sharp increase reflects a significant investor shift away from US credit markets due to rising fears over President Trump’s erratic trade policies and surging US borrowing needs. Many investors, spooked by the unpredictability of US tariff measures and ballooning fiscal deficits, have sought relative stability and yield in European credit. The dollar’s slide to its weakest start in more than 50 years has further accelerated the move. European high-yield bond funds have seen seven consecutive weeks of inflows, per Bank of America data, highlighting this shift. Falling Borrowing Costs and Issuer Revival Amid the influx of capital, borrowing costs for risky European corporates have dropped sharply. High-yield spreads over government bonds fell from more than 4 percentage points in April to 3.1 percentage points by end-June (ICE BofA data). Companies previously shut out of the market — including CCC-rated issuers — have seized this window. Flora (a KKR-owned plant-based spread producer) successfully issued €400 million in bonds at 8.625%, roughly 4 percentage points below comparable past debt. Czechoslovak Group issued five-year euro and dollar bonds at 5.25% and 6.5%, significantly lower than its last 11% private credit deal. Even Carnival, the cruise operator historically forced to borrow at double-digit rates, tapped markets with €1 billion of bonds at just 4.125% to refinance dollar debt. The surge illustrates investor appetite for yield amid declining US bond market appeal. It also reflects a "risk-on" environment, with managers eager to deploy cash before spreads tighten further. As one investor noted, “The market is running red hot,” signaling both opportunity and potential for overheating risks if economic conditions shift abruptly. UK Gilt Market Turbulence Amid Political Instability In the UK, gilts (government bonds) saw sharp sell-offs as political turmoil erupted over fiscal policy. Chancellor Rachel Reeves' emotional House of Commons appearance, combined with Prime Minister Starmer’s failure to back her publicly, deepened concerns over fiscal discipline. The yield on 10-year gilts surged by 0.16 percentage points to 4.61% — the largest one-day jump since April's bond rout. The pound slid 1.2% against the dollar. Investors now question whether fiscal rules will be maintained, especially after a £5 billion welfare reform U-turn blew a hole in budget plans. Market fears center on the possibility of rising deficits and increased borrowing costs, which could feed into longer-term inflation expectations. This uncertainty underscores the importance of policy credibility and communication in maintaining investor confidence. UK Trade Frictions: PEM Blockage In trade, the UK’s bid to join the Pan-Euro-Mediterranean (PEM) convention to help exporters simplify supply chains post-Brexit has been blocked by Brussels. EU officials worry the move could allow UK goods unfair tariff access into the EU. This development underlines ongoing post-Brexit friction despite recent attempts to "reset" relations. UK exporters, especially in manufacturing and automotive sectors, will continue facing higher costs and administrative burdens, reducing competitiveness against EU-based producers. Security Risks: Oil Tanker Attacks Raise Tensions A spate of limpet mine attacks on oil tankers in the Mediterranean and Baltic Sea this year has unnerved global shipping and energy markets. Recent explosions on vessels linked to Russian and Libyan ports — including last week’s attack on the Greek-owned Vilamoura — suggest sophisticated sabotage campaigns, with Ukraine among the suspected actors. These incidents highlight vulnerabilities in global oil supply chains, potentially pressuring insurance costs and freight rates. For energy markets already sensitive to Middle Eastern conflict, this raises additional geopolitical risk premia. Vietnam-US Trade Agreement: A Mixed Signal Vietnam has agreed to a 20% baseline tariff on exports to the US, significantly reduced from an initial 46% but still above pre-2024 levels. The agreement, struck during a direct call between Trump and Vietnam’s Communist Party leader, aims to curb trans-shipment practices and open Vietnamese markets to US goods at zero tariff. This deal alleviates immediate trade tension but raises questions for other Asian countries. If Vietnam’s "compromise" becomes a template, it suggests Trump's administration is willing to impose steep tariffs unless nations quickly accede to US demands. Investors should monitor supply chains reliant on Southeast Asia, as new tariff dynamics could disrupt manufacturing flows and costs. Basel IV and Defence Spending Concerns Deutsche Bank’s warning that new capital rules (Basel IV) could choke funding to smaller defence suppliers in Europe underscores a conflict between financial stability and geopolitical security. Rising risk-weighted assets (RWAs) could dampen lending capacity, limiting efforts to scale up European arms production at a time of heightened security threats. Deutsche estimates its RWAs could climb by €63 billion, dragging its CET1 ratio down to 10.4% — below current targets. The shift to more standardized risk models could reduce flexibility for lending to Mittelstand firms crucial to Germany's defence supply chain. US Banks: Shareholder Returns Surge Amid Softer Regulation After passing a more lenient Federal Reserve stress test, major US banks like JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Bank of America announced large increases in dividends and share buybacks. JPMorgan authorized up to $50 billion in buybacks; Goldman hiked its dividend by 33%. These actions reflect stronger capital positions and a regulatory environment favoring investor returns over capital buffers. While this supports stock valuations in the near term, it raises longer-term questions about systemic resilience, particularly if economic conditions deteriorate or credit losses rise unexpectedly. Microsoft: Workforce Cuts Reflect AI and Cost Discipline Microsoft announced another 9,000 job cuts, totaling over 7% of its global workforce this year. The reductions align with efforts to manage costs amid heavy AI infrastructure investment and economic uncertainty. Despite strong AI-driven growth, big tech firms are signaling a shift toward leaner operations. This move suggests a maturing of AI monetization strategies, with potential headwinds for labor markets in software and tech-adjacent roles. France and Europe: Critical Minerals Independence Drive French-led projects to reduce rare earths dependence on China are gaining momentum but face scale limitations. EU initiatives, like Solvay’s reactivation of La Rochelle and MagREEsource’s magnet projects, signal gradual progress. However, Europe still imports 98% of its rare earth magnets from China, and output remains modest relative to demand. Industrial groups should prepare for continued supply chain fragility and consider diversification or stockpiling strategies. Policy support and premium pricing for local production will be critical to success.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
EUR/USD Steady Near 1.1800 as Fed Cut Bets RiseEUR/USD held steady for a second session near 1.1800 in early Thursday trading. The pair could gain momentum as the US dollar weakens on rising expectations of a Fed rate cut after ADP data disappointed. June’s ADP Employment Change showed a surprise 33,000 drop, its first decline in over two years, well below forecasts of 95,000. May’s figure was also revised down to a 29,000 gain. Attention now turns to the upcoming US Nonfarm Payrolls, Average Hourly Earnings, ISM Services PMI, and S&P Global US PMI. Key levels: Resistance at 1.1830; support at 1.1730.
by ChartMage