EUR/USD analysis – two Key Scenarioshello guys.
The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a strong bullish surge, breaking through key resistance levels. However, two possible scenarios emerge from this critical point:
🔴 First Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price could retrace to the 1.07-1.072 demand zone before resuming its upward trajectory.
If support holds, the pair may climb towards the 1.10-1.105 resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
🔵 Second Scenario (Bearish Reversal):
If bullish momentum fades, a deeper correction may follow, breaking below the key support zone.
This could lead the price toward the 1.04-1.043 area, marking a retest of previous lows and reinforcing bearish sentiment.
-------------------
Conclusion:
The current level serves as a critical decision point. If price sustains above support ($1.072-$1.068), bullish momentum may continue. However, a break below could signal a bearish correction, shifting market sentiment. Traders should watch key levels for confirmation of either scenario.
Beyond Technical Analysis
INTC Intel Price Target by Year-EndIntel Corporation (INTC) has been trading near a key technical support level, forming a triple bottom on the chart—a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upside move. The stock currently trades with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.44, which reflects moderate valuation levels compared to industry peers.
Intel’s turnaround strategy, focused on rebuilding its foundry business and strengthening its position in the AI and data center markets, is starting to show signs of progress. The company’s push into advanced chip manufacturing and strategic partnerships with major tech firms have positioned it for improved revenue growth in the coming quarters.
Technically, the triple bottom pattern indicates strong buying interest at current levels, reinforcing the case for a potential breakout. Combined with the improving outlook for chip demand and Intel’s strategic shift toward AI, a price target of $28 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels.
Investors should monitor Intel’s progress in its foundry business and AI initiatives, as any positive developments in these areas could accelerate momentum toward the $28 target.
Gold breaks out for new highs. Ideal for shorting!Today, major funds in the gold market are rapidly covering their short positions, triggering a short - term technical rebound. Despite the bearish outlook remaining solid from a fundamental perspective, investors should prioritize prudent position sizing and effective risk management. Notably, once this corrective upward movement concludes, the market may face a more pronounced downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3050-3055-3060
tp:3035-3025
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH.
Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%.
Tomorrow we have Core PCE.
1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south;
2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north.
Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play.
Good evening/night!
GBP_JPY WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 195.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK — March 28, 2025TODAYS RECAP — March 27 Was a Classic Shakeout Day. A textbook shakeout in XAU/USD, driven by market maker manipulation, volume distribution, and liquidity engineering.
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK — March 28, 2025
Triple Threat Day: End of Week, End of Month, End of Q1.
Institutions will shape the Q1 close intentionally.
1. Book Rebalancing in Play
• Expect:
• Q1 profit locking
• Loss hiding
• Positioning games likely, especially into NY close.
2. Deceptive Order Flow
• Breakouts at highs/lows likely fake.
• Watch for:
• “Break and reverse” moves
• False drops into demand / false rallies into supply
III. SCENARIO PROJECTIONS — March 28
Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Reasons:
• Daily structure remains bullish
• Shakeout held support
• Macro still supports gold (safe haven bid)
Confirmation Checklist:
• VWAP Mid ($3056) reclaimed and held
• Volume above $3060–$3074
• Asia or London delivers structure
Target Path:
• TP1: $3074.70 (DynaR RES 2)
• TP2: $3090.00 (Fib ext 1.618)
• TP3: $3105.00 (Q1 high magnet)
Scenario B: Distribution & Drop (Contingency Bias)
Reasons:
• If today was an institutional sell trap
• RSI divergence lingers
• DXY strength could trigger selling
Bearish Confirmation:
• Price fails to hold $3050 on open
• Red candles with increasing volume
• No VWAP reclaim during London
Target Path:
• TP1: $3034.48 (DynaR SUP 2)
• TP2: $3012.00 (FVG Fill + 21 SMA)
• TP3: $2995.00 (Deep VAL flush)
IV. SESSION PLAYBOOK — Cairo Local Time
V. EXECUTION GAME PLAN
Pre-Asia Preparation:
• No early entries
• Mark VWAP, POC, VAL/VAH from March 27
• Anticipate:
• Sweep under $3034
• Fake breakout above $3066
Execution Triggers:
• Volume + VWAP alignment
• Key zones: Hold/reject VWAP, POC, SUP/RES
• RSI divergence = no chasing
Risk Management:
• Tighten stops after NY open
• Don’t hold trades past 6PM Cairo unless trailing
• Lock in partials aggressively during spikes
VI. SCENARIOS RECAP TABLE
Final Note: Institutional Psychology Over Signals
“Tomorrow isn’t a technical day. It’s a story day. Institutions will use gold to close the quarter with purpose. Be reactive, not predictive. Trade what they show you — not what you want to see.”
3-MONTH THE SQUID GAME II 'JUBILEE'. WHAT IS NOW & WHAT IS NEXTIt's gone three months or so... (Duh..? WTF.. 3 months, really? 😸😸😸) since "The Squid Game" Season II has been released on December 26, 2024.
Nearly month later comrade Trump entered The White House (again).
Still, everyone was on a rush, chatting endless "Blah-Blah-Blah", "I-crypto-czar", "crypto-capital-of-the-world", "we-robot", "mambo-jumbo", "super-duper", AI, VR and so on hyped bullsh#t.
Here's a short educational breakdown, what we think about all of that, at our beloved @PandorraResearch Team.
Trading can easily resemble gambling when approached without discipline, strategy, or proper risk management. Here are key reasons to avoid gambling-like trading behaviors, supported by real-world examples:
1. Lack of Strategy and Emotional Decision-Making
Trading becomes gambling when decisions are based on emotions, intuition, or market hype rather than thorough analysis. For instance, Geraldine lost £15,000 on a spread-betting platform after attending a workshop that taught ineffective strategies. She believed the platform profited from her losses, highlighting how impulsive, uneducated decisions can lead to significant financial harm. Similarly, traders who overtrade or ignore risk management often experience devastating losses, as they rely on luck rather than a structured plan.
2. Overleveraging and One-Sided Bets
Overleveraging—opening excessively large positions—is a common gambling behavior in trading. This approach increases stress and the likelihood of substantial losses. A trader who lost $400,000 on a single Robinhood bet exemplifies this. He overinvested in a call option, hoping for a quick profit, but the trade turned against him, wiping out nearly all his capital. Opening one-sided bets or adding to losing positions further compounds risks, as traders attempt to recover losses through increasingly risky moves.
3. Ignoring Stop Losses and Risk Management
Failing to set stop losses or refusing to exit losing trades is another form of gambling. Traders who cling to their biases and avoid cutting losses often face irreversible damage to their portfolios. For example, many traders refuse to take stop losses, leading to catastrophic losses that erode their confidence and capital. This behavior mirrors the destructive cycle of gambling addiction, where individuals chase losses in hopes of a turnaround.
4. Psychological and Financial Consequences
Gambling-like trading can lead to severe psychological and financial consequences. Harry, a trader with a gambling addiction, repeatedly lost money despite asking his trading platform to restrict his account. His inability to control his trading behavior highlights the addictive nature of high-risk trading and its potential to ruin lives. Similarly, excessive gambling has been linked to increased debt, bankruptcy, and mental health issues, such as anxiety and depression.
5. Long-Term Sustainability
Smart trading focuses on steady gains and minimal losses, whereas gambling relies on luck and high-risk bets. Traders who chase big wins often lose their profits in subsequent trades, perpetuating a cycle of losses. Studies show that frequent trading, driven by overconfidence or problem gambling, reduces investment returns and increases financial instability.
In conclusion, avoiding gambling-like trading requires discipline, education, and a well-defined strategy. Real-world examples demonstrate the dangers of emotional decision-making, overleveraging, and ignoring risk management. By adopting a structured approach and prioritizing long-term sustainability, traders can mitigate risks and avoid the pitfalls of gambling.
--
Best 'squid' wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team
Safe Entry ZoneThe Green 4h Zone Acts as Zone buying Zone.
The Previous High(P. High) Acts as strong Resistance.
Most likely the stock will break through it with Gap up due to sudden news "as usual sudden news" also could act a Take Profit Zone to Secure profit next which act as Strongest Resistance would be the 4h Red Zone act as Major Resistance.
Scenarios Two: the 4h Green Zone Act as the strongest support level.
We have two Scenarios indicating Buyers step in Strongly Within Green Buying Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of green Buying Zone.
Both indicate Buyers Stepping in strongly.
Once One Showed Up a safe entry would be 50% Fibo from the buying Candle at 1h TF.
Regards,
Take care.
Ethereum - The Perfect Crypto Trade!Ethereum ( CRYPTO:ETHUSD ) is retesting massive support:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
For the past four years, Ethereum has overall been trading sideways with significant swings towards the upside and downside. As we are speaking, Ethereum is retesting a significant confluence of support and if the bullrun actually continues, Ethereum will rally parabolically.
Levels to watch: $2.000, $4.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
AMD Advanced Micro Devices Price TargetAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) has positioned itself as a major player in the semiconductor industry, capitalizing on growing demand for high-performance computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and data center solutions. As of now, AMD’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 17.12, indicating that the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation compared to its growth potential.
AMD has benefited from the increasing adoption of AI-driven solutions, particularly through its MI300 series of AI accelerators, which have gained traction among major cloud service providers. The company’s expansion into the data center market has also been a key growth driver, with strong sales in EPYC processors contributing to revenue growth.
Furthermore, AMD's strategic acquisition of Xilinx has strengthened its position in the FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array) market, enhancing its ability to offer diversified and high-margin products. This, combined with improving margins and consistent product innovation, positions AMD for steady financial performance in the coming quarters.
Given AMD’s solid fundamentals, growing market share in AI and data centers, and attractive valuation at a 17.12 forward P/E, a price target of $125 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by continued revenue growth and expanding profit margins.
XAUUSD sell signal Relentless tariff jitters, coupled with renewed weakness in the US Dollar, have propelled gold prices back toward record territory—hovering just above $3,050 per troy ounce.
The XAU/USD pair maintains the upward pressure and aims to extend its advance, according to technical readings in the daily chart. The pair develops above all its moving averages, with a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) picking up momentum and currently at around $2,968.40. At the same time, technical indicators resumed their advances within positive levels, in line with a higher high ahead.
Gold sell 3051
Support 3045
Tp1 3031
Target 3022
Resistance New hit 3065
Bitcoin - Why is everyone wrong + Magic Moving AverageWe have so many warning signs that Bitcoin is going to crash significantly in 2025/2026. One of them is this magic 20-weekly moving average. As we can see, the price always respects this dynamic level, and if the price falls below it, it triggers a sell signal. On the other side, if the price rises above it, it triggers a buy signal. The price is currently below it, so this is a bearish signal.
The next bad signal is this Elliott Impulse wave. What we can see here is a perfect textbook impulse wave that has been completed. If you are an Elliott Wave trader, you already see that this is a big problem. After such a wave is complete, we are always looking for an ABC correction with a fibonacci retracement tool. Use only these 3 Fibo levels, others do not work properly! Specifically, 0.618 FIB, 0.500 and 0.382 FIB. Bitcoin loves the 0.618 FIB, so there is a pretty huge chance of going down to 32k. But expect a very strong bounce from the 0.382 FIB as well, which is at 52k. Set up your buy orders here, and thank me later!
What we can also see on the chart is an unfilled Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 34k and 28k. Often the price loves to come back and test these important price actions. This is a great buying confluence with the 0.618 FIB because the FVG is inside this Fibo level.
The last thing I want to talk about is this huge blue ascending channel on the weekly chart. This is a representation of this whole uptrend (bull market). You may say that Bitcoin is bullish until this channel holds, yeah, but what we do here is we predict future price action and give you technical analysis. I am giving you this information in advance so you can prepare for the future!
Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
SUI ANALYSIS🚀#SUI Analysis :
🔮As we can see in the chart of #SUI that there is a formation of "Falling Wedge Pattern". In a daily timeframe #SUI broke out the pattern. Expecting a bullish move in few days if #SUI retest the levels
⚡️What to do ?
👀Keep an eye on #SUI price action. We can trade according to the chart and make some profits⚡️⚡️
#SUI #Cryptocurrency #TechnicalAnalysis #DYOR
Trade Idea: ALSAIF STORES (TADAWUL: 4161)📈 Trade Idea: ALSAIF STORES (TADAWUL: 4161)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Current Price: 7.96 SAR
Setup Type: Breakout & Retest
🔍 Trade Narrative:
Price has broken above a recent consolidation zone (marked in light blue).
Strong bullish momentum is visible after reclaiming the key level of 7.80.
Market structure shows higher lows and a push towards previous liquidity zones.
🎯 Trade Plan:
Entry Zone: 7.80 – 7.90 (retest area)
Target 1 (T1): 8.35 (Previous High / Liquidity Grab)
Target 2 (T2): 8.44 (Final Target with Heart Marker 💗)
Stop Loss: Below 7.70 (below recent structure)
📊 Risk-to-Reward:
Approx. Risk: 0.20
Reward: 0.44 – 0.64
R:R Ratio: ~2.2 to 3.2
🔧 Confluence:
Daily structure shift confirmed
Liquidity resting above 8.35
Volume spike during breakout
Potential bullish continuation if price retests successfully
usdcad still in range ? The USD/CAD is sitting at a critical support level in its rectangular trading range. The VRVP (Volume-Weighted Average Price) shows strong institutional interest right here, and the COT reports suggest leveraged traders aren't aggressively buying USD. This points to a potential bounce or consolidation zone. The daily chart and hourly timeframe are both showing similar signs - we're at a key support where smart money seems to be positioning themselves. It's a classic setup where the market is potentially setting up for a move, but waiting for a clear catalyst.
The key is watching how price respects this support level and looking for confirmation of either a bounce or a breakdown. i would want to see a solid rejection of these lower prices or a clean break below.
if not the range will confirm for now
USD/JPY Trend Coming Up - Further Upward?🔔🔔🔔 USD/JPY news:
➡️ Hawkish bets on the Bank of Japan (BoJ) have been fueled by expectations of further wage hikes. Last week, Japan’s largest labor union group, Rengo, reported that companies had agreed to a 5.4% wage increase this year.
➡️ Although investors have supported the USD against the JPY, the greenback has underperformed against other currencies following President Donald Trump’s implementation of a 25% tariff on imported automobiles to the U.S., set to take effect on April 2.
➡️ Higher tariffs will mainly burden American importers, who are likely to pass the costs onto consumers. Such a scenario could drive inflation in the U.S. economy, eroding household purchasing power.
➡️ Fears of resurging inflationary pressures and a slowdown in U.S. economic growth has prompted Federal Reserve officials to take a cautious stance.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Japan is affected by US auto tariffs because its economy relies heavily on auto exports. Higher tariffs make Japanese cars more expensive in the US, reducing demand, reducing sales for automakers and potentially leading to job losses and slowing economic growth. So it makes sense for the JPY to weaken relative to the USD
➡️Analyze based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/JPY 150.67- 150.55
❌SL: 1.50.20 | ✅TP: 151.10 – 151.60– 151.95
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Mastering Compulsiveness: Volatile Coins Like TRUMP Are a Trap My Take on Dealing with Compulsiveness in Trading: Lessons with TRUMPUSDT.P
Estimated Reading Time: Approximately 5 minutes
I chose to focus on TRUMPUSDT.P for this idea because its extreme volatility makes it a perfect example of how compulsive trading can spiral out of control. TRUMPUSDT.P, a perpetual futures contract tied to the TRUMP token, often swings 20-30% in a day, driven by political news and social media hype, which can easily tempt traders into impulsive decisions and overtrading.
After years of trading and studying trading psychology, I’ve learned how dangerous compulsiveness can be in the markets. I used to think being a good trader meant always being in the game, but I’ve seen how that mindset can lead to disaster. Compulsiveness is when you’re driven by the need to act—chasing the thrill of trading instead of focusing on steady profits. It’s a trap that can lead to overtrading, emotional exhaustion, and serious financial losses, not to mention the strain it puts on your life outside of trading.
From my experience, compulsiveness often unfolds in three stages. First, you get a taste of winning, and it makes you feel unstoppable, so you keep pushing for more action. Then, when losses start piling up, you enter a losing phase where you trade recklessly to get back what you lost. Before you know it, you’re in a desperation phase, completely consumed by the need to recover, which often leads to even bigger losses. I’ve been through this cycle myself, and it’s a tough one to break.
One thing that really helped me was learning how to spot compulsive behavior. I came across a set of questions from Gambler’s Anonymous that can help you figure out if you’re showing signs of compulsiveness—like feeling the urge to trade after a loss or letting trading take over other parts of your life. It’s a simple way to check in with yourself and see if you’re heading down a risky path.
Over time, I’ve picked up some strategies to keep compulsiveness in check and build better discipline. The biggest one is to only trade when I have a clear, logical reason—like a price reaching a key support or resistance level on the daily chart of TRUMPUSDT.P—otherwise, I stay out of the market, no matter how much I feel the itch to jump in. I’ve also learned to pay attention to my emotional state and recognize when I’m trading out of impulse rather than focus. Shifting my mindset to care more about the process of trading well, rather than the excitement of being in a trade, has made a huge difference. I make sure to take breaks when I feel the urge to overtrade, set strict limits on how much I’m willing to risk, and always take time to reflect on why I’m making a trade in the first place.
What I’ve come to understand is that trading isn’t about constant action—it’s about mastering your mind. Compulsiveness can ruin your trading if you let it take over, especially with a volatile ticker like TRUMPUSDT.P, but with self-awareness and discipline, you can get past it. For me, it’s all about trading with intention, keeping my emotions in check, and focusing on long-term consistency instead of short-term thrills.
If you found this helpful, keep following me for more educational materials on the psychology of trading. I’ll be sharing more insights and strategies to help you master your mindset and become a more disciplined trader.
Green Thumb, Cannabis Growth stock at good entry price multi year 25% earnings grower trading at 25 pe here.
double over sold with rsi and bollinger bands showing low readings.
peg ratio of 1.
tangible book value at 3.02.
buying calls and stock, will take profits on the calls to pay for the stock.
ride the stock for free for years.
Silver Approaching ATH – Major Breakout Incoming?Silver is showing a strong bullish structure on the weekly timeframe. The price has been consistently forming Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL), respecting a long-term ascending trendline that’s acting as dynamic support. This trendline has held multiple pullbacks, confirming strong underlying demand.
Currently, Silver is approaching its All-Time High (ATH) resistance near $34.83 while testing the upper resistance trendline of an ascending channel. A clean breakout above this level could trigger a major rally, potentially setting a new ATH. If the price faces rejection, a healthy pullback toward the support zone around $30 could offer another long-entry opportunity.
The structure remains bullish as long as Silver holds above the trendline support. A successful breakout above $34.83 could lead to a strong bullish continuation.
Still DYOR, NFA
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