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Beyond Technical Analysis

No Tech Stock Should Trade at a Higher PE Than Apple or NvidiaWhy No Tech Stock Should Trade at a Higher PE Than Apple or Nvidia — A Case for Shorting Analog Devices (ADI) No technology company should be trading at a higher price-to-earnings (PE) ratio than industry giants like Nvidia or Apple. That principle applies directly to Analog Devices (ADI), which is currently overvalued relative to its peers. As long as ADI's price stays below $216, I believe it presents a compelling short opportunity. My short targets are as follows: - Target 1: $190 - Target 2: $168 - Target 3: $146 These price levels not only offer solid exit points for short positions but also serve as attractive long-term entry points for those looking to hold ADI shares at more reasonable valuations. For traders, these levels can be leveraged effectively through option strategies to maximize risk-reward potential.
NASDAQ:ADIShort
by Golfistry
Great Uncertainty with a Dramatic Twist: Intel’s Recent ShakeupIn a surprising move last December, Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger abruptly stepped down following a tense board meeting that revealed growing dissatisfaction with his turnaround strategy. The sudden exit—on a quiet Sunday—left the tech world stunned and set off a chain of dramatic leadership changes. To stabilize the company, Intel temporarily appointed CFO David Zinsner and Executive VP Michelle Johnston Holthaus as interim co-CEOs. But the real twist came in March 2025, when the company announced the return of Lip-Bu Tan as the new CEO—a figure whose reappearance adds serious dramatic flair to the story. Tan had previously resigned from Intel’s board in August 2024, seemingly stepping away from the company for good. His unexpected return just months later, this time as CEO, feels like a corporate plotline worthy of an Emmy—or even an Oscar—nomination. Adding intrigue, Tan had reportedly clashed with Gelsinger on Intel’s direction, making his comeback a powerful statement about the board’s new vision. Meanwhile, both Gelsinger and Zinsner were named in a shareholder lawsuit filed in August 2024, alleging securities fraud tied to concealed operational setbacks. The case, however, was dismissed in March 2025 after a judge ruled there wasn’t enough evidence to prove the company misled investors. But beyond the boardroom drama lies a more sobering concern: Intel’s financial health. To me, the situation increasingly mirrors that of Lehman Brothers before its collapse—over-leveraged, burdened by mounting obligations, and heading straight into intensifying macroeconomic and sector-specific headwinds. The semiconductor industry is cyclical, and as the winds shift, Intel may simply not be financially equipped to weather the storm. Unless it secures a major loan or receives a government bailout, I believe Intel’s stock is significantly overvalued at its current price of $22. Based on its deteriorating fundamentals, market sentiment, and leverage risk, a fairer valuation could be as low as $2 per share. Ironically, that $2 level roughly aligns with a 30x price-to-earnings ratio—where many mature tech companies are trading—if one accounts for where Intel’s true earnings power might settle after the dust clears. My Fibonacci levels also suggest a sharp dip toward $12 in the near term. And even if Intel does hit that level, I suspect it may only be a dead cat bounce—temporary relief before a deeper plunge. With leadership drama, legal clouds, and financial fragility all colliding, Intel isn’t just facing a tough quarter—it’s staring down a full-blown existential crisis.
NASDAQ:INTCShort
by Golfistry
warning dji huge correction incomingThis is whats going on,Trumps tariffs are a catalyst for whats happening.we are going back down to the 0.618 level and are in an abc correction at this time, a 3 month bearish Div on the macd,also,we only have seen dji only down 2+ percent and people are freaking out about there 401k and how the richer are going to get richer by buying this dip. i agree if you have no free cash you are stuck. if this plays out its going to be painful,but after this correction we will be shooting vertical,and is your best opportunity to buy low and get rich.
TVC:DJIShort
by Mrbigman
Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence📉 Bitcoin Dominance Keeps Climbing Despite Bearish Divergence 🚨 Since January 29, 2025, a massive bearish divergence on Bitcoin dominance ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D ) has been forming... yet it never materialized! 🔍 Even worse—this divergence keeps growing, meaning CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D is overbought but still pushing higher, defying all technical indicators. 💡 The March 19, 2025 FOMC Pump: Bitcoin jumped +6% from GETTEX:82K to $86K 📈 Altcoins barely moved—most stayed stable or had a minor push 📉 This was not an organic move—it was institutional & political manipulation ⚠️ The Consequences: Altcoins are getting wrecked—again 😤 When Bitcoin corrects, altcoins will crash harder 🚨 Bitcoin maximalists (Saylor, politicians, whales) are pushing Bitcoin at the expense of the entire crypto industry 🎭 Reality Check: Bitcoin maximalists don’t care about crypto—they care about their own bags 💰. Their goal? Kill altcoins & centralize wealth in Bitcoin. ⏳ Until the crypto industry wakes up to this war between Bitcoin maximalists & the rest of the market, nothing will change. Another altseason cancelled, another liquidity funnel into Bitcoin to protect institutional & banking interests. Hopefully this bearish divergeance will finally plays out and we will see this very welcome altseason. Until then, altcoins are struggling. #Bitcoin #Crypto #Altcoins #BTC #BearishDivergence #CryptoManipulation #AltseasonCancelled #BTCMaximalists #CryptoNews #Saylor #InstitutionalManipulation
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by CryptoNikkoid
11
ETH/USDT | Potential Trend Reversal from Monthly Demand Zone📉 Market Overview: ETH/USDT is currently holding within a strong monthly demand zone, showing signs of possible accumulation. Price has tested this level and indicating a potential reaction. 🔍 Key Trading Conditions: ✅ Liquidity Sweep: If price sweeps the daily previous low, this could be a liquidity grab to trap sellers. ✅ Market Structure Shift (MSS): If price breaks a key lower high to the upside, it would confirm a short term bullish structure shift, signaling a potential trend reversal. 📊 Trade Plan: 🎯 Bullish Confirmation: Wait for a clear MSS to the upside on lower timeframes (4H/1H). 🔹 Entry: After a successful daily low sweep & bullish confirmation. 🔹 SL: Below the liquidity sweep low. 🔹 TP1: Mid-range supply zone. 🔹 TP2: Previous structural highs. 🚨 Risk Management: Always wait for confirmation before entering. Monitor price action around key levels. Manage risk with proper stop-loss placement. 📌 Conclusion: If ETH sweeps liquidity and shifts structure bullishly, we can expect a potential reversal. Stay patient and let price confirm the move! 📈 Like & Follow for More Market Updates! 🚀
BINANCE:ETHUSDLong
by Naveed_Azam_Zarrar
1
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position. Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level. Confluences for EU Buys: - Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind. - Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest. - Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target. - DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU. Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
GBP/USD Longs from 1.28900 back up to 1.30000I’m looking for long opportunities around the 5-hour demand zone, aiming to take price back up to the 6-hour supply zone, where I will then look for potential sell setups. Since price is currently positioned between these key levels, I will wait to see where it starts to slow down and how it reacts. Ideally, I want to see accumulation in the demand zone and distribution in the supply zone before making any decisions. However, overall, my bias for GU remains bullish, especially as the U.S. dollar continues to weaken. Confluences for GU Buys: - A clear 5-hour demand zone presents a potential buying opportunity. - Liquidity remains to the upside, which price may target before a reversal. - DXY has shifted bearish, indicating a potential bullish move for GBP/USD. - Price has been consistently bullish on the higher timeframe over the past few weeks. Note: If price breaks below the nearby demand zone, I will expect a temporary bearish trend to form.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
NVDA Silicon Slippage: The Bearish Case for NVDA in 5 ContractsNVDA Bearish Options Thesis — “AI’s Reality Check” A $500 Bet Against Hype, Headwinds, and a Tired Rally Underlying: NVIDIA (NVDA) Current Price: $109.67 Strategy: Buy 5x $90 PUTs expiring May 2, 2025 @ $1.00 Total Cost (Risk): $500 Breakeven: $89.00 Max Value at Expiry: $45,000 (if NVDA → $0) Target Zone: $85–$95 Risk/Reward Profile: Asymmetric 1:9+ 🧠 Thesis Summary: Why NVDA Could Drop NVIDIA, the undisputed champion of the AI GPU race, now finds itself under increasing pressure from macro forces, competition, and sentiment. This trade capitalizes on a short-term reversal thesis into earnings season and macro repricing. 🚨 Key Catalysts for Downside: 🧬 1. AI Hype Fatigue The market is cooling on generative AI names after 12+ months of hype. Investor sentiment is shifting toward monetization over narrative — which hits NVDA’s high-multiple story. 💥 2. DeepSeek & Chinese Competition The emergence of DeepSeek (a competitive LLM) raises the risk of a hardware shift in the East. China accelerating self-sufficiency in chips = reduced NVDA demand. 📉 3. Macro Headwinds & Tariffs Renewed trade war tensions threaten advanced chip exports. Tariffs and tighter regulations = real demand compression for NVDA’s top-line growth. 📊 4. Technical Breakdown Confirmed Weekly close below Fib 0.382 ($109.44) — now resistance. RSI at 41.44 — weak and trending down. Below VWAP ($113.65), signaling momentum shift. "NVIDIA isn't breaking down because it's bad — it's breaking down because the market is waking up." 💰 Trade Breakdown: 5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00 (May 2, 2025) Metric Value Contracts 5 Cost per Contract $100 Total Premium $500 Breakeven $89.00 Max Gain $45,000 Max Loss $500 (premium only) 📊 P&L Scenarios (5 Contracts) NVDA Price Drop % Intrinsic Value Total Payout Net Profit ROI (%) $100 -8.8% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $95 -13.4% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $90 -17.9% $0.00 $0 -$500 -100% $85 -22.5% $5.00 $2,500 $2,000 400% $82.70 -24.6% $7.30 $3,650 $3,150 630% $80 -27.1% $10.00 $5,000 $4,500 900% 🧮 Technical Levels to Watch Level Price Notes VWAP $113.65 Rejected 0.382 Fib $109.44 Just breached 0.5 Fib $96.07 Strong support 0.618 Fib $82.70 Bearish target RSI 41.44 Weak momentum ✅ Summary Factor Insight Total Spent $500 (5x $90 PUTs @ $1.00) Breakeven $89.00 Risk Fully capped at $500 Potential Return Up to $4,500 (900%) if NVDA → $80 Catalyst Market re-rating AI, earnings unknowns, regulatory clouds Trade Horizon 33 days — high velocity post-breakdown possible
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TheHouseofTrade
Is Bitcoin going to start rising?The latest U.S. economic data has brought significant impacts. The core PCE inflation witnessed a 0.4% month - on - month increase, hitting the highest growth in a year, with a year - on - year rise of 2.8%, exceeding market anticipations. Meanwhile, the long - term inflation expectation from the University of Michigan has soared to a 32 - year high, intensifying market concerns about inflation's resurgence. Currently, the market remains enveloped in macro - risks, pending a softening of market sentiment. Turning to the Bitcoin market, as depicted in today's price trend (the current BTCUSDT price is $82,338.01, dropping by $2,086.37, a 2.47% decline), the K - line chart analysis indicates a downward trend. The Williams indicator signals an oversold condition. Additionally, trading volume has contracted recently, with both price and volume decreasing, suggesting a sluggish and inactive market. Nevertheless, if Bitcoin can stabilize above $82,000 and there are signs of capital reflux, gradual position - building may be considered, with a target price set above $90,000. Investors must recognize that the Bitcoin market brims with uncertainties. Variables such as forthcoming U.S. economic data, regulatory policies, and geopolitical scenarios will all sway Bitcoin prices. In this volatile financial landscape, meticulous analysis and judicious decision - making are of utmost importance for investors navigating the Bitcoin market. BTCUSDT buy@82000-83000 tp:84500-86500 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by JohnGonzalez7
1
U.S. Econ Shocks: Bitcoin & Profit SignalsThe latest U.S. economic data has brought significant impacts. The core PCE inflation witnessed a 0.4% month - on - month increase, hitting the highest growth in a year, with a year - on - year rise of 2.8%, exceeding market anticipations. Meanwhile, the long - term inflation expectation from the University of Michigan has soared to a 32 - year high, intensifying market concerns about inflation's resurgence. Currently, the market remains enveloped in macro - risks, pending a softening of market sentiment. Turning to the Bitcoin market, as depicted in today's price trend (the current BTCUSDT price is $82,338.01, dropping by $2,086.37, a 2.47% decline), the K - line chart analysis indicates a downward trend. The Williams indicator signals an oversold condition. Additionally, trading volume has contracted recently, with both price and volume decreasing, suggesting a sluggish and inactive market. Nevertheless, if Bitcoin can stabilize above $82,000 and there are signs of capital reflux, gradual position - building may be considered, with a target price set above $90,000. Investors must recognize that the Bitcoin market brims with uncertainties. Variables such as forthcoming U.S. economic data, regulatory policies, and geopolitical scenarios will all sway Bitcoin prices. In this volatile financial landscape, meticulous analysis and judicious decision - making are of utmost importance for investors navigating the Bitcoin market. BTCUSDT buy@82000-83000 tp:84500-86500 I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Long
by JohnGonzalez7
2