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Beyond Technical Analysis

Analyzing the AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframethe AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour timeframe, the pair is currently in a downtrend but has not yet reached the green support zone. If the price returns to this zone, it could attract buyers, potentially pushing the price upward. This scenario may present a long opportunity, provided there's a confirmation signal before entry. Key Points: Current Trend: Downward movement towards support. Support Zone: Identified in green on the chart. Potential Action: Look for bullish confirmation signals upon price reaching the support zone before considering a long position. Always ensure proper risk management and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
Long
by rebenga93
Analyzing the EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframethe EUR/USD on the 30-minute timeframe, the pair is currently in a downtrend but has not yet reached the green support zone. If the price returns to this zone, it could attract buyers, potentially pushing the price upward. This scenario may present a long opportunity, provided there's a confirmation signal before entry. Key Points: Current Trend: Downward movement towards support. Support Zone: Identified in green on the chart. Potential Action: Look for bullish confirmation signals upon price reaching the support zone before considering a long position. Always ensure proper risk management and wait for clear confirmation before entering a trade.
Long
by rebenga93
Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill?Unlocking the Natural Gas Goldmine: Are You Ready to Take the Red Pill? In the ever-shifting sands of the financial markets, the truth often lies buried beneath layers of noise and confusion. Today, we delve into the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, a powerful tool that reveals a compelling opportunity in the natural gas market. What if I told you that the signs are aligning for a potential rally? But heed this warning: This does not mean to blindly dive into long positions. Instead, we stand poised, awaiting the moment of a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe—a moment that transforms potential into profit. The Market Signals: A Gathering Storm The data speaks volumes. Commercial traders, the real players in this game, are currently positioned at a major extreme in long holdings—the highest they’ve been in over three years. This is not mere coincidence; it’s a clear indication that something significant is brewing beneath the surface. As we analyze the net open interest, we observe a phenomenon I like to call the “Bubble Up.” This surge occurs when Commercials outpace Large Speculators, and such dynamics often foreshadow market turning points. The whispers of a shift in power are growing louder, and it’s time to listen closely. Furthermore, we cannot overlook the increasing open interest during this multi-week decline. But we must ask ourselves: Who is driving this increase? The answer is clear—commercial traders are loading up on long positions. This is a bullish sign, indicating confidence in a market reversal. The Premium Charge: An Ominous Signal of Change Adding another layer to our bullish thesis is the current premium charge in the market. We observe that the front months, extending out to April, are trading at a premium compared to later delivery months. This indicates a strong demand for immediate delivery—a sign that the market expects an uptick in prices. But let us not forget the supplementary indicators that further bolster our long stance: the Price Oscillator Indicator Value (POIV), %R, and the Ultimate Oscillator are all aligning in favor of the bulls. They whisper of impending change, urging us to prepare. The Seasonal Anomaly: A Moment of Reflection Yet, as we pursue this truth, we encounter an obstacle. The traditional seasonal patterns suggest a decline until February, but the extreme positioning of commercial long traders casts doubt on this warning. Sometimes, the path to enlightenment requires us to look beyond conventional wisdom. In this moment, we find ourselves at a crossroads. The insights we’ve gathered are akin to a revelation, a glimpse into the potential future of natural gas. The Choice is Yours Will you take the red pill and see how deep the rabbit hole goes? Embrace the knowledge, or remain in the shadows. The markets are waiting, and so is your potential. Welcome to your awakening.
NYMEX:NGF2025Long
by Tradius_Trades
Take the Red Pill: The EURO COT Long Play RevealedTake the Red Pill: The EURO Long Play Revealed "Let me tell you why you're here. You're here because you know something. What you know, you can't explain, but you feel it." – Morpheus Most traders move blindly through the markets, buying and selling on impulse, on what they think they know. But for those who understand how to read deeper signals, patterns begin to emerge—patterns that separate the merely active from the truly informed. Right now, if you're willing to look, Commitment of Traders (COT) data is showing us something intriguing about the EURO. This is your red pill: a glimpse into how those in the know see beyond the chart. The Setup: A Commercial Long Play Behind the scenes, commercials—the ones who have true skin in the game—have loaded up on longs, reaching a 26-week extreme in positioning. Not only that, but they're holding their longest exposure in three years, a sign that those with the best intel in the market believe in a coming shift. Meanwhile, the "small specs," often driven by emotion rather than insight, have gone nearly max-short. Historically, this group isn't just wrong; they’re almost predictably wrong. The result? A textbook setup. But if you’re looking to take advantage, know this: jumping in without discipline is how people get burned. We wait for a confirmed trend change on the daily timeframe. Nothing less. Because only the disciplined get to see beyond the shadows and reap the rewards. The Undervaluation: Gold, Treasuries, and the EURO’s True Position If you look at the EURO in comparison to gold and treasuries, something stands out—it’s undervalued. This doesn’t show up in headlines or make for easy soundbites, but for those who know how to look, it’s a flashing signal. And there’s a seasonal edge, too: the EURO’s tendency to rally through mid-December. It’s another puzzle piece that, when added up with positioning extremes and market sentiment, paints a picture that only a few will truly grasp. Supplementary Signals: Layers of Confirmation For those still seeking confirmation, additional indicators are lining up: %R, Stochastic, and even bullish momentum divergence are signaling alignment. But understand this—the market doesn’t reward the impatient. We wait, observe, and move only when the trend change is confirmed on the daily chart. The Truth Beneath the Surface This is no ordinary trade idea. It’s a blueprint to help you see the hidden dynamics that move the market. Those who look only at surface price action may be blindsided by the moves yet to come. But for those willing to see beyond—those ready to know what the COT data, the fundamentals, and the seasonal tendencies are saying—this is a rare opportunity. Now, if you’re ready to see what the rest don’t, follow Tradius Trades. You’ll be one of the few with eyes open, equipped to move with purpose. --- > "I didn’t say it would be easy, Neo. I just said it would be the truth."
CME:6EZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
COT Red Pill: Canadian Dollar Primed for a Long The Red Pill of Trading: Illuminating the Canadian Dollar's Long Potential In the vast and enigmatic expanse of the financial matrix, truths often lay hidden, obscured by layers of complexity and uncertainty. Today, I offer you an opportunity—an invitation to take the red pill and awaken to the profound insights that the market has to reveal. We turn our gaze to the Canadian Dollar (CAD), a currency poised for potential transformation, waiting for the discerning trader to recognize its worth. The Commercials Let us begin with the Commitment of Traders (COT) data, a powerful tool that unveils the positioning of the market's key players. The commercials—those seasoned entities whose knowledge and resources run deep—are currently positioned significantly long. Their holdings approach levels last seen in August 2024, a time of significance with extreme long positioning that heralded a remarkable four-week upswing in prices. This is no mere coincidence; it is a bullish signal, a whisper from the market that should not be ignored. However, wisdom demands patience. To embark on this journey, we must first wait for a confirmed trend change entry trigger on the daily timeframe. The fundamentals are ripe for a rally, yet we must ensure our actions are grounded in calculated strategy rather than impulsive enthusiasm. Open Interest: A Window into Market Dynamics As we delve deeper into the market's secrets, we uncover the insights offered by open interest analysis. During the recent multi-week downtrend, we have witnessed a spike in open interest—a phenomenon that warrants our attention. Here, we must pose a critical question: who is driving this increase? in this case it is the commercials, accumulating long positions and enhancing their stake, we find ourselves looking at a robust bullish indicator. The increase in open interest driven by those with intimate market knowledge signifies a potential shift in the market’s direction. This insight is a crucial key to unlocking the doors of opportunity. The Contrarian’s Edge But the revelations do not end there. Investment advisor sentiment has plummeted to bearish extremes, a classic contrarian signal that savvy traders know to watch. As the masses succumb to pessimism, history has shown us time and again that opportunity often lies in the shadows of despair. The WillVal indicator further illuminates our path, revealing that the Canadian Dollar is currently undervalued compared to Gold and Treasuries. This mispricing signals an impending revaluation—a chance for the discerning trader to seize the moment. Seasonal trends indicate that we should anticipate price movements upward as we approach January, and the positioning of small speculators(the usually wrong public)—excessively short—presents yet another contrarian opportunity, one that the wise trader can capitalize on. The Choice Before You You now stand at a significant juncture, a crossroads where knowledge and opportunity intersect. The insights I have shared are akin to taking the red pill—a revelation that exposes the true nature of the market, laying bare the possibilities that await those willing to see. As you contemplate your next move, remember that successful trading is not about surrendering to the whims of the crowd but about embracing the hidden truths that lie beneath the surface. Join me on this journey into the unknown. Follow Tradius Trades, where we dissect the intricate patterns of the market and equip you with the insights necessary to navigate this complex landscape. The truth is out there, and together, we can unveil the secrets of trading with clarity and conviction. Choose wisely, for the matrix of opportunity awaits your command.
CME:6CZ2024Long
by Tradius_Trades
2
Short using ATR and Gann levels “The yellow horizontal line you see is the ATR stop, precisely calculated to catch shifts in volatility. Below it, the red horizontal line marks a critical level in my Gann setup, strategically placed for maximum insight. In my latest concept, Momentum Shifting into Overtime, everything is aligned perfectly, and the analysis remains as valid as ever. Each of these levels isn’t just a line; they’re essential markers of a finely tuned market rhythm.” White circle pinpoints the rocket blaster’s alignment with precise Gann levels along with Ichimoku Cloud
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by The_ForexX_Mindset
15
Taking a big picture view of NZDUSD for the week of 04 Nov, 2024Monthly view – strongly bearish. Note that the PA of Oct recovered almost all the entire bullish gains of the preceding 2 months. Weekly view - price has been ranging, this range is well defined and we still have room to the downside. Daily view – The trend is clearly bearish, price well below the 200dma indicating a bearish bias. H4 view - H4 view – For the most part, the 200sma has been holding price below it. I can see a 2.3R short trade. Stop should be a few pips above the most recent high (0.6000) while target can be a few pips above the recent low (0.5852). This is not a trade recommendation. You should be aware that trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Please use sound money and risk management, trading without a stop or moving the stop away from price is a recipe for disaster. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!! It’s not whether you are right or wrong, but how much money you make when you are right and how much you lose when you are wrong – George Soros
Short
by Trading_Vista
Pull back is a pattern that can be recognized after it is formed Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please also click "Boost". Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) The HA-High indicator is showing signs of being created at the 69843.04 point. Accordingly, the point of observation is whether it can receive support and rise near the 69843.04-70148.34 section. We need to check whether the StochRSI indicator falls below 50 due to this decline. When the price is supported in the 68393.48-70148.34 range, if the StochRSI indicator remains below 50 and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a time to buy. Basically, if the StochRSI indicator is above 50, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it is below 50, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy. In particular, you should focus more when it is in the overbought and oversold ranges. - The MS-Signal indicator consists of M-Signal and S-Signal. Since S-Signal is currently in the 66668.65-68393.48 range, it is possible to touch this range and rise, so caution is required when trading. Therefore, it is better to check the movement when the state of M-Signal < S-Signal is changed. --------------------------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT.P 1D chart) If it falls below 68447.9, liquidation is required for positions purchased (LONG) below 67044.1. In other words, if the first installment liquidation was performed above 69835.3, the second installment liquidation is required around 68447.9. Then, when it shows support in the 68447.9-69835.3 range and the StochRSI indicator is below 50 and StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, you can make an additional purchase (LONG). It is recommended that this additional purchase (LONG) be made below 69835.3. - Have a good time. Thank you. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Big picture It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K. The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K. #BTCUSD 12M 1st: 44234.54 2nd: 61383.23 3rd: 89126.41 101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting) 4th: 134018.28 151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting) 5th: 178910.15 These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points. We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section. #BTCUSD 1M If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33. 1st: 43833.05 2nd: 32992.55 -----------------
by readCrypto
1
Amazon - The +150% All Time High Breakout!Amazon ( NASDAQ:AMZN ) is hugging the previous all time high: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Amazon has been moving sideways for almost four years, consolidating between support and the previous all time high. After retesting the resistance over and over again, it is just a matter of time until Amazon will break the previous all time high and start its next major bullish cycle. Levels to watch: $190, $500 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:AMZNLong
by basictradingtv
8