Beyond Technical Analysis
GOOGL Approaching Key Resistance! Watch for a BreakoutAnalysis:
Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) is trading near the critical resistance zone of $200, forming a potential rising channel. Recent volume spikes suggest heightened interest, while the MACD and Stochastic RSI indicate mixed signals. The MACD is neutral with minimal momentum, while the Stochastic RSI is entering overbought territory, signaling caution for bulls.
The price is consolidating near $196-$197, a level with strong gamma resistance, which will likely dictate the next major move.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $197.50-$200: Immediate resistance zone and gamma wall.
* $205: Extended target if $200 breaks with momentum.
* $210: Long-term channel resistance and high GEX level.
* Support Levels:
* $192.50: First support aligned with HVL and key gamma positioning.
* $187.50-$185: Strong downside support zone.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Significant positive GEX at $200 indicates strong resistance.
* Downside GEX support levels are at $192.50 and $185.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Moderate at 47.7, suggesting elevated implied volatility.
* Call/Put Ratio: Bullish, with higher call interest near $200.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $200 with increasing volume.
* Target: $205 (first target), $210 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $195.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection near $200 with bearish price action.
* Target: $192.50 (first target), $187.50 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $201.
Directional Bias:
The bias leans cautiously bullish due to the upward trend and consolidation near resistance. A breakout above $200 would confirm strength, while a rejection could lead to a retest of lower support levels.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
MSFT Testing Resistance! Prepare for a Critical MoveAnalysis:
Microsoft (MSFT) has rebounded strongly from $410.80 support and is now testing resistance near $432.50-$435. The price is consolidating near the top of its recent range, forming a potential base for further upside or signaling exhaustion before a pullback. The MACD is positive but showing early signs of weakening momentum, while the Stochastic RSI is neutral, suggesting indecision.
Volume has increased during the uptrend, supporting bullish momentum, but significant resistance at $435 and a call wall at $440 may cap gains in the near term.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $432.50-$435: Current resistance zone with positive GEX positioning.
* $440: Major resistance at the second call wall.
* $445: Extended upside target if bullish momentum persists.
* Support Levels:
* $429: Immediate support near the current price level.
* $415: Strong support aligning with GEX and previous consolidation.
* $410: Critical downside support zone.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Positive GEX levels peak at $435-$440, creating significant resistance.
* Strong negative GEX support is visible at $415-$410, stabilizing the downside.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Moderate at 36.8, reflecting steady implied volatility.
* Call/Put Ratio: Leaning bullish but approaching resistance zones.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $435 with strong volume.
* Target: $440 (first target), $445 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $429.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection near $435 with bearish price action.
* Target: $429 (first target), $415 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $436.
Directional Bias:
The bias is cautiously bullish as MSFT consolidates near resistance. A breakout above $435 would signal strength, while a failure to hold $429 could lead to a retest of lower support zones.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
XRP Will Destroy Its All Time High This Week You have probably been watching XRP all these years like me. Even if you haven’t sit back and watch history take place this week. The Stochastic RSI looks ready to do what needs to be done. $10-15 would be aligned with BTC price compared to the xrp/btc price ratio when XRP was at $3.84 years and years ago.
I remember trying to talk my sister out of buying a rental house a few years ago and to invest in BTC instead. I was shocked because it had just surpassed the price of an ounce of gold. I thought, this means business. My lovely and slightly more traditional sister didn’t see the vision and passed on the opportunity. I didn’t have any money to invest at the time but still was in wonder at the potential. The point is even with all that I couldn’t have imagined BTC at these prices just a few years later.
XRP feels to be at a similar moment in time. But thats my biased opinion
It’s been a wild journey but high water, hell or a hayride here we are.
GS Testing Channel Resistance! Key Trade Setups for TomorrowAnalysis:
Goldman Sachs (GS) is approaching the upper boundary of its rising channel near $628, suggesting a potential for either a breakout or a rejection. The stock has shown strong upward momentum, rallying from the $556 support level. The MACD remains bullish, although the histogram is flattening, indicating slowing momentum. Meanwhile, the Stochastic RSI is nearing overbought levels, hinting at a possible pullback or consolidation.
Volume remains consistent, supporting the uptrend, but traders should watch closely as the stock approaches a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $628: Immediate resistance at the current price level, aligning with the upper channel boundary.
* $630-$635: Extended resistance zone if momentum continues.
* Support Levels:
* $620: Near-term support level within the rising channel.
* $600: Key psychological and technical support.
* $556-$560: Strong downside support, aligning with previous lows.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Positive GEX peaks at $630, signaling strong resistance.
* Support zones are solid at $600 due to substantial negative GEX positioning.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Moderate, reflecting steady implied volatility.
* Call/Put Ratio: Leaning bullish, but resistance overhead may limit gains.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $628 with increasing volume.
* Target: $635 (first target), $640 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $620.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection near $628 with bearish price action.
* Target: $620 (first target), $600 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $630.
Directional Bias:
The bias is cautiously bullish as GS continues to trend higher within its rising channel. However, the $628-$630 zone poses significant resistance, and a failure to break above this level may result in a pullback toward $620 or lower.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
EUR/GBP Sell Trade – Targeting 0.84469Pair: EUR/GBP 🇪🇺💷
Direction: Short 🔽
Target: 0.84469 🎯
Time Horizon: By Tuesday, Jan 21, 02:00 UTC ⏳
EUR/GBP has recently experienced a sharp upward movement, reaching an area where a potential pullback could develop. Observing current market behavior, a retracement toward the 0.84469 level is anticipated based on price action dynamics.
This trade is expected to reach its target by Tuesday at 02:00 UTC. Broader market conditions, including euro sentiment and GBP market developments, may influence the pair's movement. Traders should monitor the price action closely for potential confirmations. 🔍
PYPL Testing Key Resistance! Trade Setups for TomorrowAnalysis:
PYPL has rallied sharply after bouncing from $81.84 support and is now testing critical resistance near $92. The price is approaching the upper boundary of its ascending channel, indicating potential exhaustion or further breakout momentum. The MACD is still positive but showing signs of waning momentum, while the Stochastic RSI is overbought, signaling caution for a pullback.
Volume has increased during the uptrend, but resistance at $92-$94, coupled with significant call wall activity, may cap near-term gains.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $92: Immediate resistance at the current price level.
* $94: Key resistance zone aligning with the second call wall and significant gamma exposure.
* $95: Extended upside target if bullish momentum persists.
* Support Levels:
* $90: Strong support aligned with positive GEX positioning.
* $88: Secondary support near the gamma wall.
* $86-$84: Critical downside support zone.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Positive GEX levels dominate near $92-$94, creating strong resistance.
* Negative GEX support is visible around $88-$86, providing stability against sharp declines.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Moderate at 61.9, reflecting above-average implied volatility.
* Call/Put Ratio: Calls dominate at 44.4%, showing bullish sentiment but with resistance overhead.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $92 with strong volume.
* Target: $94 (first target), $95 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $90.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection near $92 with bearish price action.
* Target: $90 (first target), $88 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $93.
Directional Bias:
The bias leans cautiously bullish, but with resistance at $92-$94, a pullback or consolidation may occur before a sustained breakout. Traders should monitor volume and momentum for confirmation of the next move.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
CHF/JPY Sell Trade – Targeting 170.74298Pair: CHF/JPY 🇨🇭💴
Direction: Short 🔽
Target: 170.74298 🎯
Time Horizon: By Monday, Jan 20, 22:00 UTC ⏳
The pair has reached a notable level and is exhibiting signs of potential exhaustion. Recent price action suggests a possible retracement toward the 170.74298 level, aligning with observed market behavior.
This trade remains time-sensitive, with an expected conclusion by Monday at 22:00 UTC. Broader market dynamics, including JPY demand and risk sentiment, may influence the price movement. Monitoring closely for confirmation of anticipated market behavior 🔍.
PLTR Approaching Resistance! Key Levels to Watch for TomorrowAnalysis:
PLTR has been climbing steadily after bouncing from key support at $63.40 and is now approaching critical resistance near $73-$75. The stock is within a narrowing wedge pattern, hinting at a potential breakout or rejection. The MACD is crossing into bullish territory, signaling upward momentum, while the Stochastic RSI is nearing overbought conditions, suggesting caution in chasing highs.
Volume has been consistent, supporting the current upward movement, but significant call wall resistance at $75 may cap gains in the short term.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Resistance Levels:
* $73: Immediate resistance with significant gamma exposure.
* $75: Strong resistance zone and second call wall.
* $80: Extended target if bullish momentum persists.
* Support Levels:
* $70: Key support level aligned with positive GEX positioning.
* $68: Secondary support near the gamma wall.
* $65-$66: Critical support zone for maintaining upward momentum.
GEX Insights:
* Gamma Exposure (GEX):
* Positive GEX peaks at $73-$75, signaling significant resistance.
* Support is well-established at $68 and $65 due to negative GEX positioning.
* Options Activity:
* IVR: Elevated at 84.9, suggesting high implied volatility.
* Call/Put Ratio: Strong call positioning at 83.4%, indicating bullish sentiment.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $73 with strong volume.
* Target: $75 (first target), $80 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Below $71.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection near $73 with bearish price action.
* Target: $70 (first target), $68 (extended target).
* Stop-Loss: Above $74.
Directional Bias:
The bias is cautiously bullish as PLTR shows strength climbing toward resistance. However, the $73-$75 range poses a significant challenge, with the potential for either a breakout or a pullback depending on broader market sentiment.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
My Analysis of XAU/USD: Upcoming Economic Data and Trading ideasAs gold (XAU/USD) hovers near the psychological level of $2,700.4, with a recent low at $2,698.4, market sentiment is critical. Recent price action shows signs of fading momentum, with buyers stepping in to stabilize prices around $2,700-03 at the end of the week.
Supply and Demand Analysis
Using a supply and demand approach, the following zones are significant:
Demand Zone (PWH):
Range: $2,694.87 to $2,700.4
Opportunity: A bounce from this zone could present a buying opportunity, as recent action suggests increased buying interest.
Recent Low:
Level: $2,698.4
Analysis: A break below this level may indicate increasing selling pressure; however, a reversal could reaffirm support.
Supply Zone (EQH):
Level: $2,714.365
Opportunity: If prices rally here, it may create a chance to short, especially if rejection signals appear.
Trading Scenarios:
Long Position:
Entry: Around $2,700.4
Stop Loss: Below $2,694.87
Target: Near $2,714.365 or higher if bullish momentum continues.
Short Position:
Entry: Near $2,714.365 upon signs of rejection.
Stop Loss: Above the supply zone.
Target: Towards $2,700 or lower.
Upcoming Economic Releases
Several key economic indicators are scheduled for next week that could significantly impact the USD and, consequently, gold prices:
Consumer Price Index (CPI): January 23
Higher inflation may bolster gold demand.
FOMC Minutes: January 24
Insights on future interest rate policy could influence market sentiment toward the USD.
Initial Jobless Claims: January 25
An increase could weaken the USD, potentially supporting gold prices.
Manufacturing and Services PMI: January 26
Strong data may strengthen the USD, thereby exerting pressure on gold.
Conclusion
Monitoring these economic indicators is essential for navigating potential price movements in XAU/USD. Align your trading strategy with the outcomes of these indicators to enhance decision-making. With the current market dynamics, traders should remain vigilant and adaptable to changing conditions, capitalizing on opportunities based on the evolving economic landscape.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 21st January 2025)Bias: Bullish
USD News: None
Analysis:
-Price closed bullish above 0.618 fib level
-Looking for price to break the equal high on daily timeframe
-Potential BUY if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2690
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
IS BTC in Retracemnt
Seeing the , the trend line; three times the btc on this 9 days chart, it has retraced at difference of 15 degrees,and the number of bars are increasing with the factor of 32 as u see at the photo , I do believe , is gone be true the forth time by may :three times is not random.
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNASDAQ
The NASDAQ closed early due to the U.S. market holiday, and yesterday’s and today’s daily candles will merge into one. As anticipated, the U.S. market showed an upward trend, but it is likely to exhibit sideways or downward movement during the pre-market and regular trading sessions today.
While the daily chart has generated a buy signal, confirmation will only occur if today’s candle closes as a bullish one. With significant resistance levels overhead, the market needs a strong bullish candle to widen the gap between the MACD and signal line. Failure to generate such a rally may lead to repeated resistance at the upper levels and increase the likelihood of a downturn.
On the 240-minute chart, no sell signal has been generated yet, but the market appears to be absorbing overhead supply. If a MACD dead cross emerges, the buy signal on the daily chart may fade, potentially reversing the trend to bearish. Avoid chasing prices and refer to yesterday’s detailed pre-market analysis for further context.
CRUDE OIL
Crude oil closed lower, correcting down to the 10-day moving average. After a brief consolidation at the $76 support, it declined further. The $74–$75 range serves as a critical support level and aligns with the 5-day moving average on the weekly chart. Buying on dips within this range is favorable. However, it is advisable to enter at lower levels, as rebound risks make shorting less viable.
On the 240-minute chart, the MACD is falling towards the zero line, steepening its angle against the signal line. Even if oil rebounds from key support levels, it may face further selling pressure, as a MACD golden cross appears unlikely. Since yesterday’s expected downtrend materialized, today’s strategy should focus on cautious dip-buying at lower levels.
GOLD
Gold closed lower, finding support near the 5-day moving average as anticipated in yesterday’s analysis. The strong pullback to the 5-day moving average provides a reasonable entry point for buying on dips. However, the weekly chart indicates potential for further downside, suggesting short-term positions to manage risk effectively.
On the 240-minute chart, a sell signal has emerged as a head-and-shoulders pattern broke its neckline. A further drop below 2730 could lead to additional downside toward the 2718 support level, where dip-buying may be considered. The MACD and signal line remain significantly below the zero line on the 240-minute chart, increasing the likelihood of a rebound at key support levels.
Avoid aggressive short-selling and note that the broader trend remains bullish, as gold's daily chart exhibits strong buying momentum. Focus on buying near major support levels during pullbacks for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Manage your risk carefully and best of luck with your trades today.
■Trading Strategies for Today
NASDAQ - Range-bound Market
-Buy: 21660 / 21620 / 21570 / 21510 / 21480 / 21350
-Sell: 21780 / 21880 / 21940 / 22005
Crude Oil - Bullish Market
-Buy: 75.70 / 74.95 / 74.50
-Sell: 77.50 / 77.85 / 78.25 / 78.65 / 79.10
Gold - Bullish Market
-Buy: 2726 / 2716 / 2708 / 2700
-Sell: 2738 / 2747 / 2753 / 2758
These strategies apply only during pre-market hours. Profit-taking and stop-loss levels are as follows: Nasdaq: 15 points, Oil and Gold: 20 ticks.
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