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DXY Game Plan - USD IndexIt is important to watch the DXY to understand the strength of the USD across global markets. The DXY is a key index that reflects the U.S. dollar’s dominance in foreign exchange. Therefore, tracking it can provide valuable insights into the potential direction of all major asset classes. In this post, I’ll break down both technical and fundamental expectations. Technical Analysis DXY has been in a retracement phase (bearish) since January 2025. During this time, we’ve seen EUR and other major forex pairs form strong bullish trends. Currently, the DXY is approaching a weekly bullish trendline, where I expect a potential bounce. Additionally, DXY is trading within a discount zone (below the 0.5 Fibonacci level, also known as equilibrium). Personally, I’m watching for a deeper move into the maximum discount zone (around the 0.75 Fib level). This area also aligns with key liquidity concepts. Ideally, I want to see a deviation below the bullish trendline, with a sweep of one of the weekly liquidity levels marked on the chart (two black horizontal lines). I'm not relying on a clean triangle trendline retest, but it's a possibility. Game Plan DXY taps the bullish trendline Deviates below it, running weekly liquidity (black lines) Hits the max discount zone (~0.75 Fib) Then shows signs of reversal and strength Once that setup completes, I’ll be expecting strong USD performance, and will look to short risk assets — including stocks and major forex pairs. Fundamental Analysis The Federal Reserve is currently resisting pressure to cut interest rates, while Trump is vocally pushing for rate cuts. The market is already pricing in a 79% probability of a September rate cut (source: CME FedWatch Tool), so if that happens as expected, I don’t anticipate major market reaction. However, a surprise rate cut in July would likely trigger a flash crash in DXY/USD — though based on my game plan, I would expect a V-shaped recovery shortly afterward. EUR, GBP, AUD, and CAD have also hit key resistance zones, so I believe we're likely to see USD strength for a while.
TVC:DXYLong
by UA_CAPITAL
SOUN | Long (Cautious) | AI Speculative Play | (June 30, 2025)SOUN | Long (Cautious) | AI Speculative Play with Technical Bounce Setup | (June 30, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: SoundHound AI (SOUN) is showing potential for a short-term technical bounce, but fundamentals remain weak. This is more of a speculative, high-risk play for quick traders rather than a long-term investment. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long (speculative, small position) Entry: ~$10.00 (Point of Control area) Stop Loss: $8.43 (below recent structure) TP1: $11.52 TP2: $13.60 TP3: $16.00 Final Target: $19.73 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Revenue sits around $84 million, but net income is deeply negative at around -$350 million. ✅ Free cash flow is negative (~$100 million), but debt is low at ~$4 million and decreasing — a small positive sign. ✅ Recent filings show insider selling totaling ~$525 million over the last 5 days, which is concerning and signals caution. ✅ Most revenue comes from services and licensing in the U.S., South Korea, France, Japan, and Germany. ✅ Forecasts show revenue expected to grow slowly into 2026, but profitability remains uncertain. ✅ Technical setup suggests a possible bounce from $10 toward $11.52 and higher if momentum picks up, but fundamentally it lacks solid support. ❌ High volatility (beta ~3) and insider selling make this a risky, short-term speculative idea only. 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: I will treat this as a very small position compared to stronger setups (e.g., YETI or ACIW). Will update if price action confirms above $11.52 or if insider sentiment changes. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:SOUNLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
4
Scalp ARQQ Safe EntryZone Part-4Quantum stocks in free money Ranging Zone. 15M Zone Green is buy. 15M Zone Red is sell. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the PLEASE Note: its more dangerous now wait for buying power to show up already gained over 40% profit from ranging movement the resistance and supports getting weaker now
NASDAQ:ARQQ
by Faisalzor
Part of the “The Bessent Effect” Explained: Challenge the FedThe 10-year Treasury yield is the heartbeat of commercial lending — it’s what sets the tone for everything from real estate financing to economic sentiment. And interestingly, it’s now hovering right around the same level it was on Election Day 2024 (Blue Line), which feels like a lifetime ago in policy terms. So what’s happened since then? Quite a bit. Yields peaked the week before Inauguration Day (Red Line), then began a steady decline — until we were hit with what can only be described as "Liberation Day Tariff Whiplash." The tariffs, announced in early April (Yellow Line), spooked the markets — particularly the ever-watchful Real Money Investors (think central banks, pension funds, and the ruthless whales). Their reaction? A spike in the 10-year, as they scrambled to reassess risk and reposition. Plot twist: Trump’s unleashing of Scott Bessent. Since stepping into the role of Treasury Secretary, Bessent has taken the reins of U.S. economic diplomacy. By late May (Purple Line), he was already deep in talks at the G7 meeting in Banff, hashing out trade dynamics and currency cooperation with global finance leaders. And — perhaps not so coincidentally — since then, the 10-year has been on the decline again, even as the Fed remains firm in its refusal to cut rates. Here’s the big takeaway: there's a strong chance we could see rates — the ones that actually move the real estate market and reflect how the “real players” feel — drift back down to their pre-tariff levels. That is, before Tariff Derangement Syndrome set in. And probably before they shoot back up to the peaks we saw just as Trump returned to the White House. In short: the 10-year might be hinting that the worst isn't over — but we could be in for a stretch of green pastures before we hit the next storm. Follow on X: @TheAlphaView
TVC:US10Y
by TheAlphaView
YETI | Long | Seasonal & Technical Setup | (June 30, 2025)YETI | Long | Seasonal & Technical Setup | (June 30, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: YETI is preparing for a potential breakout if it can reclaim key resistance levels, supported by summer seasonality and brand strength. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long (only if condition is met) Entry: $41.00 (needs to break and hold above this level to confirm strength) Stop Loss: $39.00 (below recent structure) TP1: $48.00 TP2: $51.00 TP3: $54.00 Final Target: $59.67 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Strong seasonality from June to September, usually driven by outdoor activities and summer sales. ✅ Financially, YETI remains solid with revenue around $1.83 billion and net income ~$175 million. ✅ The company is heavily U.S.-focused and most revenue comes from drinkware and coolers. ✅ Entry condition: I will only enter if price clearly breaks and sustains above $41. If this doesn’t happen, I stay out. ❌ Risks include margin compression and weaker consumer spending. 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: Will actively monitor price action above $41 and update if conditions change. ACIW | Watchlist | Software & Fintech Growth Setup | (June 30, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: ACIW (ACI Worldwide) is showing healthy fundamental improvements but remains in a sideways technical structure. Worth watching for a potential setup later this year. 2️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ ACIW focuses on software for real-time electronic payments, working with banks, merchants, billers, and government sectors. ✅ Financials look solid: Debt has decreased from ~$1.23 billion to ~$970 million over four years, and cash flow remains healthy. ✅ Revenue growth outlook is strong, with expectations for steady gains in upcoming years. ✅ Seasonal pattern: Often shows sideways movement, but tends to rally in November — making it a possible watchlist candidate for later in the year. ❌ For now, no immediate entry. Will only consider if specific conditions are met (e.g., strong technical breakout or confirmed momentum). 3️⃣ Follow-up Note: Staying on watchlist until setup aligns; no rush to enter without a clear confirmation. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NASDAQ:ACIWLong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Economic Red Alert: China Dumps $8.2T in US BondsThe Great Unwinding: How a World of Excess Supply and Fading Demand Is Fueling a Crisis of Confidence The global financial system, long accustomed to the steady hum of predictable economic cycles, is now being jolted by a dissonant chord. It is the sound of a fundamental paradigm shift, a tectonic realignment where the twin forces of overwhelming supply and evaporating demand are grinding against each other, creating fissures in the very bedrock of the world economy. This is not a distant, theoretical threat; its tremors are being felt in real-time. The most recent and dramatic of these tremors was a stark, headline-grabbing move from Beijing: China’s abrupt sale of $8.2 trillion in U.S. Treasuries, a move that coincided with and exacerbated a precipitous decline in the U.S. dollar. While the sale itself is a single data point, it is far more than a routine portfolio adjustment. It is a symptom of a deeper malaise and a powerful accelerant for a crisis of confidence that is spreading through the arteries of global finance. The era of easy growth and limitless demand is over. We have entered the Great Unwinding, a period where the cracks from years of excess are beginning to show, and the consequences will be felt broadly, from sovereign balance sheets to household budgets. To understand the gravity of the current moment, one must first diagnose the core imbalance plaguing the global economy. It is a classic, almost textbook, economic problem scaled to an unprecedented global level: a glut of supply crashing against a wall of weakening demand. This imbalance was born from the chaotic response to the COVID-19 pandemic. In 2020 and 2021, as governments unleashed trillions in fiscal stimulus and central banks flooded the system with liquidity, a massive demand signal was sent through the global supply chain. Consumers, flush with cash and stuck at home, ordered goods at a voracious pace. Companies, believing this trend was the new normal, ramped up production, chartered their own ships, and built up massive inventories of everything from semiconductors and furniture to automobiles and apparel. The prevailing logic was that demand was insatiable and the primary challenge was overcoming supply-side bottlenecks. Now, the bullwhip has cracked back with a vengeance. The stimulus has faded, and the landscape has been radically altered by the most aggressive coordinated monetary tightening in modern history. Central banks, led by the U.S. Federal Reserve, hiked interest rates at a blistering pace to combat the very inflation their earlier policies had helped fuel. The effect has been a chilling of economic activity across the board. Demand, once thought to be boundless, has fallen off a cliff. Households, their pandemic-era savings depleted and their purchasing power eroded by stubborn inflation, are now contending with cripplingly high interest rates. The cost of financing a home, a car, or even a credit card balance has soared, forcing a dramatic retrenchment in consumer spending. Businesses, facing the same high borrowing costs, are shelving expansion plans, cutting capital expenditures, and desperately trying to offload the mountains of inventory they accumulated just a year or two prior. This has created a world of profound excess. Warehouses are overflowing. Shipping rates have collapsed from their pandemic peaks. Companies that were once scrambling for microchips are now announcing production cuts due to a glut. This oversupply is deflationary in nature, putting immense downward pressure on corporate profit margins. Businesses are caught in a vise: their costs remain elevated due to sticky wage inflation and higher energy prices, while their ability to pass on these costs is vanishing as consumer demand evaporates. This is the breeding ground for the "cracks" that are now becoming visible. The first casualties are the so-called "zombie companies"—firms that were only able to survive in a zero-interest-rate environment by constantly refinancing their debt. With borrowing costs now prohibitively high, they are facing a wave of defaults. The commercial real estate sector, already hollowed out by the work-from-home trend, is buckling under the weight of maturing loans that cannot be refinanced on favorable terms. Regional banks, laden with low-yielding, long-duration bonds and exposed to failing commercial property loans, are showing signs of systemic stress. The cracks are not isolated; they are interconnected, threatening a chain reaction of deleveraging and asset fire sales. It is against this precarious backdrop of a weakening U.S. economy and a global supply glut that China’s sale of U.S. Treasuries must be interpreted. The move is not occurring in a vacuum. It is a calculated action within a deeply fragile geopolitical and economic context, and it carries multiple, overlapping meanings. On one level, it is a clear continuation of China’s long-term strategic objective of de-dollarization. For years, Beijing has been wary of its deep financial entanglement with its primary geopolitical rival. The freezing of Russia’s foreign currency reserves following the invasion of Ukraine served as a stark wake-up call, demonstrating how the dollar-centric financial system could be weaponized. By gradually reducing its holdings of U.S. debt, China seeks to insulate itself from potential U.S. sanctions and chip away at the dollar's status as the world's undisputed reserve currency. This $8.2 trillion sale is another deliberate step on that long march. However, there are more immediate and tactical motivations at play. China is grappling with its own severe economic crisis. The nation is battling deflation, a collapsing property sector, and record-high youth unemployment. In this environment, its primary objective is to stabilize its own currency, the Yuan, which has been under intense downward pressure. A key strategy for achieving this is to intervene in currency markets. Paradoxically, this intervention often requires selling U.S. Treasuries. The process involves the People's Bank of China selling its Treasury holdings to obtain U.S. dollars, and then selling those dollars in the open market to buy up Yuan, thereby supporting its value. So, while the headline reads as an attack on U.S. assets, it is also a sign of China's own domestic weakness—a desperate measure to defend its own financial stability by using its vast reserves. Regardless of the primary motivation—be it strategic de-dollarization or tactical currency management—the timing and impact of the sale are profoundly significant. It comes at a moment of peak vulnerability for the U.S. dollar and the Treasury market. The dollar has been extending massive losses not because of China’s actions alone, but because the underlying fundamentals of the U.S. economy are deteriorating. Markets are increasingly pricing in a pivot from the Federal Reserve, anticipating that the "cracks" in the economy will force it to end its tightening cycle and begin cutting interest rates sooner rather than later. This expectation of lower future yields makes the dollar less attractive to foreign investors, causing it to weaken against other major currencies. China’s sale acts as a powerful accelerant to this trend. The U.S. Treasury market is supposed to be the deepest, most liquid, and safest financial market in the world. It is the bedrock upon which the entire global financial system is built. When a major creditor like China becomes a conspicuous seller, it sends a powerful signal. It introduces a new source of supply into a market that is already struggling to absorb the massive amount of debt being issued by the U.S. government to fund its budget deficits. This creates a dangerous feedback loop. More supply of Treasuries puts downward pressure on their prices, which in turn pushes up their yields. Higher Treasury yields translate directly into higher borrowing costs for the entire U.S. economy, further squeezing households and businesses, deepening the economic slowdown, and increasing the pressure on the Fed to cut rates, which in turn further weakens the dollar. China’s action, therefore, pours fuel on the fire, eroding confidence in the very asset that is meant to be the ultimate safe haven. The contagion from this dynamic—a weakening U.S. economy, a falling dollar, and an unstable Treasury market—will not be contained within American borders. The cracks will spread globally, creating a volatile and unpredictable environment for all nations. For emerging markets, the situation is a double-edged sword. A weaker dollar is traditionally a tailwind for these economies, as it reduces the burden of their dollar-denominated debts. However, this benefit is likely to be completely overshadowed by the collapse in global demand. As the U.S. and other major economies slow down, their demand for raw materials, manufactured goods, and services from the developing world will plummet, devastating the export-driven models of many emerging nations. They will find themselves caught between lower debt servicing costs and a collapse in their primary source of income. For other developed economies like Europe and Japan, the consequences are more straightforwardly negative. A rapidly falling dollar means a rapidly rising Euro and Yen. This makes their exports more expensive and less competitive on the global market, acting as a significant drag on their own already fragile economies. The European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan will find themselves in an impossible position. If they cut interest rates to weaken their currencies and support their exporters, they risk re-igniting inflation. If they hold rates firm, they risk allowing their currencies to appreciate to levels that could push their economies into a deep recession. This currency turmoil, originating from the weakness in the U.S., effectively exports America’s economic problems to the rest of the world. Furthermore, the instability in the U.S. Treasury market has profound implications for every financial institution on the planet. Central banks, commercial banks, pension funds, and insurance companies all hold U.S. Treasuries as their primary reserve asset. The assumption has always been that this asset is risk-free and its value is stable. The recent volatility and the high-profile selling by a major state actor challenge this core assumption. This forces a global repricing of risk. If the "risk-free" asset is no longer truly risk-free, then the premium required to hold any other, riskier asset—from corporate bonds to equities—must increase. This leads to a tightening of financial conditions globally, starving the world economy of credit and investment at the precise moment it is most needed. In conclusion, the abrupt sale of $8.2 trillion in U.S. Treasuries by China is far more than a fleeting headline. It is a critical data point that illuminates the precarious state of the global economy. It is a manifestation of the Great Unwinding, a painful transition away from an era of limitless, debt-fueled demand and toward a new reality defined by excess supply, faltering consumption, and escalating geopolitical friction. The underlying cause of this instability is the deep imbalance created by years of policy missteps, which have left the world with a glut of goods and a mountain of debt. The weakening U.S. economy and the resulting slide in the dollar are the natural consequences of this imbalance. China’s actions serve as both a symptom of this weakness and a catalyst for a deeper crisis of confidence in the U.S.-centric financial system. The cracks are no longer hypothetical; they are appearing in the banking sector, in corporate credit markets, and now in the bedrock of the system itself—the U.S. Treasury market. The tremors from this shift will be felt broadly, ushering in a period of heightened volatility, economic pain, and a fundamental reordering of the global financial landscape.
TVC:DXYShort
by bryandowningqln
Chainlink, The Fed, Vanguard, Crypto & Apple"Buy the rumor, sell the fact." The market tends to price-in an event before it happens. I am talking about the reduction in interest rates. The participants are aware that there will be a reduction in interest rates by the Fed and this is bullish and so buying starts to happen much sooner compared to the announcement of the actual event. By the time the event becomes a reality, it is already priced-in. Meaning... Chainlink is bullish now and the chart is the same as HIVEUSDT, which I shared just now, and many other altcoins. This is good because we know what happens next. If there are other pairs with the same chart but moving up, moving ahead, then we know that these two and all those other staying behind will also follow, makes sense? Sure it does. We are all one. What one does, the rest follows. Chainlink (LINKUSDT) is set to grow. Easy to see, higher highs and higher lows. Will the market go up because of the Fed? We can say so before or after the event, right now the only important action is to buy-and-hold. It is important to be fully invested in Crypto, because Crypto is outperforming every other risk-asset in the entire world. You want be in in the market that is about to pay. You don't want to be holding bonds or index funds, that's a huge mistake. You buy these stuff to make money, you can make with Crypto in 6 months what an index fund (Vanguard SPX) will pay in a decade... Do the math, are you a young adult, are you smart? If you are, take action now before it is too late. Your choice of course. Imagine the people in the 80s investing in Gold rather than Google, Microsoft and Apple... Big mistake. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
21
Technical Weekly AnalysisStart your week by identifying the key price levels and trends. The SpreadEx Research team has analysed the most popular markets, including stocks, indices, commodities & forex. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Analysis Germany 40 is neutral and ranging, eyeing a possible breakout. It trades at 24,021, close to its VWAP of 23,601. The RSI at 58 shows mild bullish bias. Support is at 22,882 and resistance at 24,320. UK 100 is also in a neutral range phase, trading at 8,791 just under the VWAP of 8,833 - still with 9k on the horizon. RSI sits at 52, indicating balance. Key support lies at 8,731, with resistance at 8,916. Wall Street has broken out above 43k into a new bullish phase. It’s trading at 44,032, significantly above its VWAP of 42,673. RSI at 71 confirms strong upward momentum. Support is at 41,379, resistance is being tested now. Brent Crude is currently in a neutral range phase, trading at 6,699 having slumped back below its VWAP of 7,063. The RSI at 45 signals low momentum. Support is noted at 6,206, with resistance at 7,919. Gold is moving sideways in a neutral range, drifting lower after a failed breakout over 3,400, priced at 3,293 with VWAP at 3,349. RSI is soft at 44. Support comes in at 3,252 and resistance at 3,446. EUR/USD is bullish and breaking out - with the 1.20 handle in sight. It trades at 1.1722, easily above the VWAP of 1.1552. RSI at 71 reflects strong buying pressure. Support is at 1.1349, resistance at 1.1730. GBP/USD is bullish and moving impulsively. It trades at 1.3700, above the VWAP of 1.3559. RSI at 63 signals steady upward momentum. Support sits at 1.3358, and resistance at 1.3761. USD/JPY is neutral and ranging, trading at 144.13 slightly below VWAP at 144.87. The RSI is weak at 46. Support via May & June lows is only just below with the 2 s.d. of the VWAP at 143.42, while resistance is higher at 146.32.
SPREADEX:GDAXI
by Spreadex
YETI | Long | Seasonal & Technical Setup | (June 30, 2025)YETI | Long | Seasonal & Technical Setup | (June 30, 2025) 1️⃣ Insight Summary: YETI is showing signs of a potential bounce after a long range-bound period since 2022. With seasonality kicking in (summer boost) and strong brand recognition, a quick upside move looks possible in the coming weeks. 2️⃣ Trade Parameters: Bias: Long Entry: $30.58 (current support zone) Stop Loss: $25.05 (below key range support) TP1: $35.00 TP2: $38.00 TP3: $46.69 Final Target: $52.88 3️⃣ Key Notes: ✅ Financial snapshot: Revenue ~$1.83 billion and net income ~$175 million, with a PE ratio of ~14, making it relatively affordable compared to peers. ✅ Gross margins have been slightly declining over recent quarters, but overall debt-to-cash flow remains reasonable. ✅ Around 90% of revenue comes from the U.S., with most sales in drinkware and coolers — products that see higher demand from June to September (summer season). ✅ Despite some weakness in financials, strong brand value and seasonal momentum could drive a short-term pump, potentially up to 50% within 2 months. ❌ Risks include ongoing margin compression and reduced consumer discretionary spending if macro volatility picks up. 4️⃣ Follow-up Note: I’ll monitor this trade closely throughout summer, especially as it approaches $35 and $38 for possible partial exits or adjustments. Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
NYSE:YETILong
by Risk_Adj_Return
Gold: Eyes on QML Zone for Potential Reaction Before Deeper DropHello guys! Let's go deep into the GOLD chart! Price has completed a liquidity grab near 3440 (marked as "a hunting") and is now heading downward toward a key QML zone. First, a reaction is expected around the QML area (3180–3220), where previous structural interest and demand may cause a temporary bounce. After this reaction, the price is likely to retest higher, potentially forming a lower high. Then, the dominant bearish structure is expected to continue, with a possible sharp drop toward the final demand zone around 3050–3080. This movement represents a classic manipulation.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by melikatrader94
6
Safe Entry Zone IONQQuantum Stocks currently forever ranging free money. Since Green Zone been re-tested its weaker now but it consider to be good entry Zone for now. We Only Wait for Buyers to Step-in because its weaker zone now not like first time. Take Profit Lines is where you secure your profit. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:IONQShort
by Faisalzor
NIFTY Short Term View <25650-25200>If you follow my other ideas, I think you are gaining trust on the tool ZZ. Please don't blindly follow me and my posts. I just want to make you curios that one tool with clear idea is enough to predict the market. But condition is you have to practice a ton. Here I am sharing just glimpse of it, there are so many things to do with ZZ. Keep learning || Trust analysis || Keep Trading & Investing Any question or suggestion please feel free to comment below.
NSE:NIFTY
by dipanjanxsamanta
NIFTY THIS WEEK? What's the plan "There’s more hidden in a candle chart than most headlines will ever reveal.” If you look at this NIFTY chart casually, you’ll see just another uptrend. But if you feel the price — really look into the structure — you’ll notice something deeper: We’re not just in a rally. We’re in a breakout after base-building. And that’s a very different game. What I Noticed This Week: 1. Strong Follow-Through NIFTY didn’t just pop — it’s sustaining gains. Each green candle is following the next without hesitation. That means institutions are buying, not just retailers reacting. 2. Previous Resistance = Gone Look back at 25,200–25,300. That zone rejected price multiple times. Now? It’s broken clean, with a bullish Marubozu-style candle. That’s a confirmation, not just a fluke. 3. No Panic Selling Yet Usually, breakouts invite profit booking. This one? Sellers are quiet. When there's no rejection at new highs, it tells you confidence is strong. But Here’s What You Must Watch: Are we near psychological exhaustion? Markets can get euphoric and overextend - even in strong trends. Volume Spike or Divergence? If volumes dry or RSI starts diverging, stay alert. Global cues & Bank Nifty: If Bank Nifty stalls, NIFTY will slow too. Watch correlation. What This Means for You: Trend is strong, but smart traders plan exits in upmoves - not panic in downmoves. Ask yourself: Do you have entries based on structure? Are you overexposed at highs, hoping for more? Are you following momentum blindly or with plan? Personal Reflection: I’ve learned this the hard way: “Buying strength is good. But riding strength without a stop loss is just greed in disguise.” So this week: Observe, don’t chase. Track - don’t blindly enter. There’s always another breakout. But there’s only one portfolio.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by surajdbg1988
ETHUSDT WEEKLY UPDATE — PART 1 When Conviction Fails: Apex Rejection, Hidden Redistribution, and the Illusion of Demand Good morning, good afternoon, good evening, wherever you're tapping in from. Now, as always, I’m not here to waste your time with unnecessary waffle. Let’s get straight into it and unpack this mess step-by-step. THE APEX REJECTION | MORE THAN JUST A WICK So picking up from last week's update, we find ourselves right at the crossroads, and not the romantic kind either. What we’re looking at right now so far, is a clean yet 100% conclusive rejection from the apex of a key macro structure. This isn’t just any level. This is the intersection of vertical momentum and horizontal memory, the apex of a triangle that’s been forming for months. This is where bullish intent was supposed to hold, supposed to assert dominance, but instead, what did we get? A strong push into resistance, a failure to fix above it, followed by exhaustion and signs of institutional unloading. Now, to the untrained eye, this may look like a pullback, or even a healthy correction. But we’re not here to look at charts with retail goggles. We’re here to track the true intent behind the price action, and if you know your schematics, this is screaming redistribution. And not just any redistribution, the kind that happens right before the market changes its personality. WHERE ARE WE IN THE SCHEMATIC? If we overlay Wyckoff logic on top of this structure, it's very clear: We’ve had our PSY (preliminary support). Followed by a spring, a shakeout, and a fake rally. Now we’re dancing around what appears to be the UTAD (upthrust after distribution) — but weaker. This isn’t classic distribution, it’s redistribution masked in macro confusion. Here’s the thing this range isn’t just price consolidation, it’s behavioural conditioning. This long, choppy sideways movement is designed to wear out both bulls and bears, making them question their bias, mismanage their risk, and either overstay or exit too early. The market is methodical, not random. These candles aren’t accidents, they are footprints of algorithmic trap setting, and right now, it looks like the net is about to close. VOLUME TELLS THE TRUTH Let’s not forget volume. Look at the weekly volume through this recent push: Decreasing volume on the rallies, Higher volume on the red closes, And multiple spikes that failed to carry price past resistance. That’s your dead giveaway. You don’t need to be a wizard, just follow the clues. Price is being pushed, not lifted. Demand isn’t stepping in, liquidity is being removed. This isn’t smart money accumulation, if confirmed by the endd of this week, this most recent move up cout be doing of smart money unloading, Quietly and Efficiently. THE MARKDOWN IS PRIMED Let’s now address the elephant in the room, the range low and point C of the triangle on the 4H. T hat’s where liquidity is sitting. That’s where the market’s next objective lies. We’ve now failed to reclaim the apex, the wick was slapped down, and unless something significant shifts, the next logical move is to sweep that C point, take out the emotional support, and either: Tap into true demand (if it exists), or Begin the cascade toward the final green demand zones between 2,150–2,070, which we marked weeks ago. And don’t forget, this sweep may not be clean. We could get a fakeout bounce mid-range — enough to bait in more longs, only to roll over again. PSYCHOLOGICAL LAYER What’s happening here isn’t just technical, it’s emotional warfare. This entire range has been one long gaslight for the average trader. Between the failed breakouts, failed breakdowns, and chaotic intraday behaviour, retail has been turned into liquidity. And if you’re still trying to long blindly at the top of this, hoping for 3k ETH without a confirmed structure reclaim, then respectfully, you’re the product right now. Coming next in Part 2: A full breakdown of the 4H macro setup Analysis of the internal range mechanics Recalculated fib zones Where the liquidity pockets are What the most probable path is short, medium, and long-term Stay tuned — I’ll keep the flow coherent, structured, and aggressive. No fluff. No hopium. Just structure, psychology, and execution.
Short
by SmartMoneyDayTrading
Stocks Are Crushing It at Record Highs. What’s Behind the Rally?Happy record highs, everyone — confetti, champagne, and yet another all-time high. The Nasdaq NASDAQ:IXIC and the S&P 500 SP:SPX just did it again — notched fresh closing records that have traders flexing their P&Ls like it’s 1999. If you’ve been on the sidelines, you’re probably staring at the chart asking: How did we add trillions to market cap while my grocery bill still looks like a high-yield bond payment? Good question. Because these days, stocks are behaving like they live on a separate planet from the actual economy (looking at you, Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA ). Let’s pop the hood and see what’s revving this record-breaking machine — and what potholes might lurk ahead. 🤫 Nasdaq: The Comeback Kid of 2025 Take the Nasdaq Composite NASDAQ:IXIC — your favorite tech playground — up a mind-boggling 32% since the April lows . One-third of its total value was minted in three months — as much as $7 trillion added in. What happened? Well, start with the obvious: the Magnificent Seven are doing the heavy lifting again. Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA , Microsoft NASDAQ:MSFT , Apple NASDAQ:AAPL , Amazon NASDAQ:AMZN , Alphabet NASDAQ:GOOGL , Meta NASDAQ:META , Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA — they’re the gym rats of this rally. But here’s the kicker: while the headlines are all “index record highs,” the Mag 7 as a whole are actually down slightly for the year. The hero’s cape belongs mostly to a few standouts: Meta, up 21% this year. Microsoft, up 17%. And Nvidia? Not bad: up a whopping 65% since the April swoon. When the generals lead, the army follows — at least until they don’t? 🤖 S&P 500: Powered by 7, Dragged by 493 The broad-based S&P 500 also clocked a new record close at 6,173.07 . Everyone loves to toast a new all-time high, but here’s your buzzkill: the “500” in S&P 500 is a bit of a myth these days. The Magnificent Seven alone account for more than 30% of the index’s total weight. Last year, this elite club rose 57% while the other 493 stocks crawled up just 13%. Strip out the hyper-scalers, and you’ll find most stocks are still limping along, wrestling with tepid growth and stubborn inflation. So yes — the S&P 500 is soaring. But the S&P 493? Not partying at the same rooftop bar. 💼 Conflicting Data: This Economy Ain’t It (Yet) Here’s where it gets spicy: GDP actually shrank last quarter — down 0.5% year over year. Inflation is still running hot with May’s PCE figure at 2.7% (the Fed’s target is 2%). Fed boss Jay Powell and the central bank squad are trying to thread the world’s tiniest policy needle: cut rates enough to juice the economy, but not so much that they stoke a fresh inflation flare-up. Meanwhile, job numbers are a mixed bag , and corporate revenue hasn’t been setting new records to match those ceiling-high stock valuations. In short, the disconnect between equity prices and economic reality is growing wider than the spread on your favorite meme coin during an illiquid Sunday afternoon. 👨🏻‍💻 Tariffs, Tweets, and the Trump Factor And who could forget the wildcard factor? Trump’s new tariffs. The “reciprocal tariffs,” as he likes to pitch them. One day he’s threatening to slap 50% duties on everything from French wine to German cars. The next, he’s cozying up for “productive” chats with Brussels. This policy whiplash makes supply chains sweat, but so far, equity traders are shrugging it off — and even cheering. Why? Because in Trump’s world, chaos means central banks might cut rates to cushion the blow. And nothing says “rocket fuel” for risk assets like lower borrowing costs. Add to that the weird paradox that tariffs — while inflationary in the short run — can also weaken the dollar if the Fed turns dovish. A weaker greenback means US tech giants look cheaper to global investors. So… up we go. 🏛️ The Great Fed Cut Watch Speaking of cuts: the Fed’s next meeting is in late July, and Wall Street is holding its breath. Rate cuts mean cheaper money — which often means traders load up on risk. The market is currently pricing in a 90% chance of a cut in September (and an 80% chance of a hold in July). Meanwhile, gold OANDA:XAUUSD — the non-yielding safe haven — is selling off while traders are flocking toward the risk-end of the boat, leaving the safe-haven corner gathering dust. 👀 What’s Next? The Inevitable Hand-Wringing So — should you pop champagne? Depends. If you’re a trend follower, record highs are record highs. Momentum is your friend. But if you’re a value purist, these multiples probably make your eye twitch. Big question: when does this all get too frothy? Will the next earnings season justify these valuations? Markets are forward-looking anyway — even if big tech’s revenue flops, that doesn’t mean money will flow out of the market cap. After all, we’re halfway through the year and that means it’s time to pop open the Earnings calendar for those spring reports. Any dip right now may very well be seen as an opportunity to swoop in at a lower price, not as something that indicates there’s something fundamentally wrong with the business. 🫶🏻 The Takeaway: Celebrate, but Stay Focused The rally is real. The headlines are dazzling. But the same lessons apply: trends don’t last forever, risk doesn’t disappear just because the chart is green, and the Magnificent Seven won’t carry the world on their backs indefinitely. So have your stop losses placed right, your position sizes sensible , and your eyes on the macro backdrop. Because record highs are fun, but holding the bag isn’t. Off to you : Are you riding this rocket or waiting for the next dip? Drop your take below — are we so back, or about to crack?
SP:SPX
by TradingView
28
Battle Plan – 30 JuneHey, Snipers! It’s Sunday night, the real ones are back on the charts and the tourists are out of the game. Last week, gold tried every trick in the book: fake bounces, liquidity sweeps, endless bearish grind. Every move up got sold. If you traded like a sniper, you’re still standing. If you chased dips blindly, you’re probably licking your wounds. 🌍Macro snapshot: Dollar’s holding firm — no rescue from US news, just choppy reactions. War headlines are everywhere, but structure is king: EMAs are stacked, every rally is just bait for liquidity. Market’s running on fear and patience. Fast money gets chopped, disciplined money survives. Sniper Mindset: ⛔No bias, no forced trades. The real win is in the waiting. Structure will show you who’s in control — your job is to react, not predict. 🥷 GoldFxMinds Battle Plan – 30 June (Trade Nation Feed) Demand (Buy) Zones: 3265–3245: The “half-mitigated” trap. Most buyers are already underwater — we wait for a real PA shift. First green candle? Ignore it. Let them get trapped. 3215–3200: This is the sniper zone for real discount hunters. If price freefalls, we watch for exhaustion, divergence, and a proper story. One clean engulfing here and the bounce can be massive. 3180–3160: Only for flash crash days — this is where pain turns into opportunity. But you wait for panic, not “hope trades.” Supply (Sell) Zones: 3287–3300: First sell window — if price spikes, watch for that classic NY liquidity grab and an instant rejection. 3320–3335: The “don’t even try to buy here” zone. OB, FVG, and every EMA lines up — if the market gets here, expect a brutal fade. 3345–3360: Premium fantasy land for sellers. If bulls get cocky, this is where the big shorts reload for the next leg down. 🧠Sniper Mindset: EMAs stacked above? No dreams, only discipline. No confirmation in your zone? Stand down — the market isn’t your friend. Most traders buy “cheap” — we buy right. If the story’s not clear, patience pays. The first bounce is a trap, the second is the setup. 📝June’s about to end. Let’s close it out with surgical entries and sniper exits. Stay sharp, stay humble, and let the crowd chase while we collect. 🧠Remember: green candles aren’t invitations, they’re traps for the impatient. Wait for confluence, act on logic, and journal every single lesson. Gold rewards discipline — not luck. If you’re serious about gold, learn this: Zone + confluence + confirmation = sniper entry. Anything else is just gambling with a nice chart. Review your trades, journal your mistakes, and stop blaming the market for your impatience. Hit like🚀, follow, and drop your trading question if you want the next level. See you on the Trade Nation feed.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by GoldFxMinds
4
$NSE:NTPC : A Powerhouse with Multibagger Potential?I’ve been reviewing NTPC Ltd ( NSE:NTPC ), India’s largest power generation company, and I see promising long-term potential as the company pivots towards cleaner energy and expands capacity to support India’s growing energy needs. Why I See Multibagger Potential Green energy pivot: NTPC is transforming from a thermal-heavy player to a clean energy leader — the transition opens huge long-term value. Undemanding valuation: Despite the growth visibility, NTPC trades at reasonable PE and PB multiples, offering valuation comfort. Policy tailwinds: Strong government focus on energy security, renewables, and electrification will continue to favor NTPC. Execution strength: NTPC has a long history of successfully executing large-scale projects on time and within budget. Just Accumulate near it best support Green AREA ! oNLY IN cASH tHANKS
NSE:NTPCLong
by Jivayu
Gold Faces Resistance Near $3,300 Ahead of U.S. Jobs Data📊 Market Highlights: Gold holds firm above $3,280 supported by expectations of future Fed rate cuts, but upside momentum has stalled as traders await this Friday’s U.S. jobs report. A slight rebound in the U.S. dollar and elevated bond yields are pressuring gold in the short term. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistances:  – $3,300 (strong psychological and profit-taking level)  – $3,320 (last week’s high – potential heavy selling zone) • Key Supports:  – $3,255 (short-term dynamic support – EMA 09)  – $3,230 (major support from previous breakout structure) • EMA 09: Price remains above the 09 EMA → trend still bullish • Momentum: The bullish momentum is weakening. A shooting star candle near $3,300 and RSI approaching overbought territory (>70) suggest a possible short-term correction. 📌 Outlook: Gold may retreat to $3,255 or lower if it fails to break above the $3,300–$3,320 resistance zone. However, the overall bullish trend remains intact as long as price holds above $3,230. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3,295 – $3,300 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,305 🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,255 – $3,260 🎯 TP: 40/80/200 pips ❌ SL: $3,245
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Mian-FXSignals