Nifty Auto Index – Breakout Watch with Bullish MomentumNifty Auto Index—Breakout Watch with Bullish Momentum
Timeframe: Daily
Current Price: ₹24,007.95
Trend: Consolidation Breakout / Bullish Setup
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Consolidation Zone: Price has remained in a tight sideways range for the past 5 weeks (~₹23,000–₹24,000), indicating accumulation.
Breakout Attempt: Price is currently testing the upper band of this consolidation box (as seen in the green highlighted zone).
Support Zone: Strong support from both PEMA Bands and Developing Weekly/Monthly CPR (₹23,670–₹23,837).
📌 Trade Idea:
Trade Type: Positional Swing Long
Entry: On daily close above ₹24,050 with volume confirmation
Targets:
T1: ₹24,345
T2: ₹25,343
Stop Loss: ₹23,670 (below Monthly CPR and PEMA support)
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
Risk-to-reward is favorable if entered near breakout with SL below the CPR zone.
Monitor for any rejection at weekly/monthly H3 zones for partial booking.
Avoid fresh longs if the index fails to hold above ₹24,000 by the end of the week.
The Nifty Auto Index shows strong signs of bullish momentum as it attempts to break out of a 5-week range, supported by PEMA and Camarilla levels. A close above ₹24,050 may initiate a new swing leg toward ₹25,000+.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC Bento Box Analysis 6.28.25So far so good, I am back after 2 years of hibernation (been studying forex charts.) My analysis remains true to what BTC has done for the past 2 years. So much to learn in analyzing charts from crypto to forex to blue chips.
Again, we follow the tops and bottoms of the boxes. Minor and major boxes will suggest major and minor high and low reversals.
In a couple of weeks, i will study the charts and draw new Bento boxes for a year or two predictions as to where the most probable BTC ATH and ATL will take us to a new level.
Get ready to open buy/sell positions in the months to come.
Ye Chart Kuch Kehta Hai - Prime Focus LimitedPrime Focus Ltd’s stock shows strong technical momentum on the monthly chart, supported by high volume, price above key moving averages, and positive price forecasts. Fundamentally, the company’s leadership in media post-production, expanding digital solutions, and improving operating margins underpin its growth potential despite some profitability challenges. These factors combined suggest a favorable outlook for the stock’s growth in the near to medium term.
Technical Rationale (Monthly Chart)
Strong Uptrend Momentum: The stock price recently surged nearly 20% in a single day, closing at ₹136.83, well above its 50-day average (~₹108.7) and 200-day average (~₹118.1), indicating strong bullish momentum on the monthly scale.
Volume Surge: The volume of over 20 million shares traded is significantly higher than the average volume (~694,580), suggesting strong buying interest and potential continuation of the upward trend.
Price Recovery from Lows: The stock has rebounded from a low of ₹85 to current levels near ₹137, showing a recovery phase that often precedes further gains on monthly charts.
Positive Price Targets: Forecasts indicate a bullish trend with mid-year 2025 targets around ₹137.61 and year-end targets near ₹160, supporting the technical outlook for continued growth.
Fundamental Rationale
Market Position and Business Model: Prime Focus Limited is a global player in media and entertainment post-production services, including visual effects, 3D conversion, and cloud-based media solutions, serving major Hollywood studios, OTT platforms, and broadcasters. This diversified service portfolio positions it well in a growing digital content market.
Revenue and Operating Profit: Despite some volatility, the company reported strong operating profit margins recently (22% in FY2025) and operating profit of ₹786 crore, indicating operational efficiency improvements.
Growth Prospects: The company’s digital transformation offerings (CLEAR cloud media ERP suite) and global footprint across 18 cities enhance its growth potential in the expanding entertainment technology sector.
Valuation and Intrinsic Value: The stock currently trades at a premium of about 63% over its median intrinsic value estimates, reflecting positive market sentiment and growth expectations.
Return Ratios and Challenges: While ROE remains negative (-15.8%) and sales growth has been modest (4.21% over 5 years), the improving operating margins and strategic investments in technology could drive future profitability and shareholder returns.
Promoter Holding and Market Cap: Promoter holding slightly decreased recently but remains significant, and the market cap stands around ₹4,240 crore, indicating a mid-cap stock with room for institutional interest and growth.
Ye Chart Kuch Kehta Hai - IDFC First BankThe weekly technical chart for IDFC First Bank (NSE:IDFCFIRSTB) indicates a positive outlook for the stock due to several key factors:
Strong Buy Signals from Moving Averages: All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200 periods) are signaling a "Buy" on the weekly chart, reflecting strong upward momentum and trend strength.
Positive RSI and MACD Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at around 57.4 on the weekly scale, which is in a healthy bullish zone below overbought levels, suggesting room for further upside. The MACD is also positive, reinforcing bullish momentum.
Support from Ultimate Oscillator and Other Indicators: The Ultimate Oscillator reading is above 50, indicating buying pressure. Although some oscillators like CCI and ADX show mixed signals, the overall technical consensus leans bullish.
Price Above Key Pivot Points and Supports: The current price is trading above key pivot levels and support zones, which typically act as strong floors for price action and reduce downside risk.
Recent Price and Volume Trends: The stock price has risen about 4.58% over the past week and 6.12% over the last month, indicating sustained buying interest. Mutual fund holdings have also increased recently, which often supports price appreciation.
Analyst Sentiment and Growth Indicators: Over 50% of analysts recommend a "Buy" rating with an average target price near current levels, reflecting confidence in the stock’s growth potential. The company has shown consistent revenue growth and outperformance relative to peers in recent quarters.
In summary, the weekly technical chart for IDFC First Bank shows a confluence of bullish signals from moving averages, momentum indicators, and price action, supported by positive market sentiment and fundamental growth trends. This technical setup suggests a likely upward movement in the stock price in the near term on a weekly basis
Ye chart Kuch Kehta Hai - Jio Financial Jio Financial Services stock shows strong potential for growth on the weekly technical chart based on multiple technical indicators and moving averages signaling bullish momentum:
Strong Buy Signals Across Moving Averages: All key moving averages (5, 10, 20, 50, 100, and 200-day SMAs and EMAs) are indicating a "Buy" or "Strong Buy" signal, reflecting sustained upward price momentum over various time frames.
Bullish Technical Indicators: Indicators such as MACD, ADX, CCI, ROC, and Ultimate Oscillator are all showing buy signals, supporting a positive trend continuation. For example, MACD is positive and rising, ADX at 46.6 indicates a strong trend, and CCI at 177.7 confirms bullish momentum.
Overbought but Strong Momentum: Although the RSI (14) is overbought at 81.3, which typically signals caution, in strong trending markets this can indicate continued strength rather than an immediate reversal.
Price Action and Pivot Levels: The stock price is currently above key pivot points and resistance levels, with classic pivot resistance around 329-335 levels, suggesting room for further upward movement before significant resistance is encountered.
Recent Price Performance: Jio Financial has gained nearly 10% in the past week and over 11% in the last month, demonstrating strong recent buying interest and momentum.
Volatility and Volume Support: The ATR (Average True Range) indicates high volatility, which can fuel strong price moves, and the Bull/Bear Power indicator confirms buyers' dominance.
In summary, the weekly technical chart for Jio Financial Services reflects a robust bullish setup with multiple moving averages and momentum indicators aligned on the buy side, supported by recent strong price gains and favorable pivot levels. This technical landscape suggests a high probability of continued price appreciation in the near term on the weekly timeframe
A valid Demand zone has been spotted on H4 timeframe📊 GBP/USD 4H Analysis – Smart Money Structure in Play
On the 4-hour chart, GBP/USD has been exhibiting a clear bullish structure following a series of Breaks of Structure (BOS) and higher lows. Here’s a breakdown of my analysis and current trade idea:
1. Market Structure
We saw a clear BOS around June 20, indicating a shift in direction as price broke above previous swing highs.
A second BOS occurred shortly after, confirming bullish intent with strong momentum candles.
This was followed by a minor retracement and another bullish rally — forming a higher low supported by a Short-Term Support (SS).
2. Fair Value Gap (FVG)
During the bullish impulse, an FVG was left behind between the BOS levels and the rally base.
Price respected this FVG zone as a demand imbalance and pushed higher, reinforcing the presence of institutional interest.
3. Supply Rejection & Entry
Price has recently tapped into a minor supply area (highlighted by the red zone) and showed early signs of rejection via bearish candles.
This coincides with a premium pricing area in the current bullish leg, providing a potential short-term sell opportunity targeting liquidity below.
4. Demand Zone Below
The next major Demand Zone lies between 1.33900 – 1.34600 (highlighted on the chart).
This area aligns with a previous SS and the origin of the bullish BOS, suggesting a high-probability reversal zone if price retraces that far.
🎯 Trade Idea
Bias: Short-term bearish into a higher timeframe bullish continuation.
Entry: Taken at 1.37449 (reaction to supply).
Stop Loss: Above supply zone – around 1.37628.
Take Profit: Just above the demand zone at 1.35993, locking in profit before potential reversal.
Risk-to-Reward: Approx. 1:5
Final Thoughts
This trade idea aligns with a smart money framework — BOS confirms directional intent, FVG and SS show institutional footprints, and the supply zone gives a clean entry.
If price aggressively taps into the demand zone and shows bullish confirmation (engulfing, BOS, or FVG fill), I’ll look to flip long for a continuation of the larger uptrend.
XRP/USD: "Bandit’s Breakout" – MA Confirms the Profit Raid!🔥 XRP/USD HEIST ALERT: The Bullish Bank Robbery Plan (MA Breakout Strategy) 🔥
🌟 Attention, Market Pirates & Profit Bandits! 🌟
"The best traders are just thieves with a calculator."
🚨 Mission Brief (XRP/USD):
Based on Thief Trading tactics, we’re plotting a bullish heist on Ripple. High-risk, high-reward—police traps, fakeouts, and overbought zones be damned!
📌 ENTRY ZONE (Breakout or Pullback Heist)
"The heist begins at MA breakout!"
Buy Stop: Above 2.2200 (confirmed candle close).
Buy Limit: Near swing lows (15m/30m pullback).
🚨 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route)
"No stop loss till breakout—then hide it like stolen cash!"
Thief SL: Nearest swing low (3H candle wick) ~2.1000.
Rebels adjust at own risk—your funeral, not mine. 😎
🎯 TARGETS (Profit Hideouts)
First Escape: 2.2400 (scalp & run).
Swing Bandits: Ride longer (trail SL advised).
⚡ SCALPERS’ NOTE:
Longs ONLY. Rich? Go all-in. Broke? Join swing heists.
Trailing SL = Your getaway car.
📡 MARKET CONTEXT (Why This Heist?)
Bullish momentum + consolidation breakout play.
Fundamentals? Check COT, on-chain, macro trends (check everything here 👉🔗🔗).
🚨 NEWS WARNING (Avoid Police Raids)
Avoid new trades during high-impact news.
Trailing stops = Your invisible cloak.
💥 BOOST THE HEIST!
"Like & Boost this idea—strengthen our robbery squad! More alerts = more stolen profits. 🚀💰
Next heist coming soon… Stay greedy, thieves. 😈
Is time to be a Gold Bull?Gold has been steadily repricing lower prices since June 16th after it took out May 16th's High. On Friday, June 27th, Gold moved into the Daily BISI (+FVG) zone and retraced upside. We may see another lower prices to purge the sellside liquidity before reverse upside for the short term. I don't expect another ATH next month, unless we have the right catalyst to do so. I'd anticipate for the price action to remain inside a large consolidation within the current Dealing Range as indicated in the chart. My Bullish case will be if price breaks above the 3500 convincingly, and the Bearish case if it breaks below 3120 convincingly also. In the meantime, we'll have to be satisfied playing tic tac toe inside the range. Don't get married to a strict bias at this time. Stay nimble, and let the price presents itself to you.
Middle East peace/war = Bitcoin’s Explosive Price CoilDo you know why every time tensions rise in the Middle East, Bitcoin springs upward like a compressed coil?
This market reaction isn’t just a coincidence it’s the result of a mix of psychological and economic factors we’ll explore today.
Get ready to understand how these crises can create golden opportunities for the world’s favorite digital currency.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Bitcoin:
Price is approaching a significant support level that has held strong historically. A potential rebound from this zone could lead to at least a 7% upside move 📈, with the primary target set around $115,000—near a key descending trendline on the daily chart. Watching this level closely for confirmation 🔍.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
Market Psychology: When War Plays with Fear and Greed 🧠
Middle East crises act like a spring: when released, they trigger intense fear in the market. Many traders react emotionally and start selling their holdings. The key point: this fear often flips into greed.
When Bitcoin’s price drops due to war fears, savvy traders seize the opportunity and enter the market. This cycle of fear and greed causes Bitcoin’s price to surge faster than usual just like a compressed spring suddenly releasing.
If you understand these market emotions and trade without bias, you can maximize gains from such volatility.
Key TradingView Tools for Bitcoin Analysis 📊
When the Middle East conflict heats up, market volatility spikes, affecting Bitcoin as a high-risk asset.
Using essential indicators like RSI , Fibonacci retracements , and volume on TradingView helps you pinpoint precise entry and exit points and better understand market reactions.
Practical Tips for Better Tool Usage ⚙️
To get the most out of TradingView:
Activate several indicators simultaneously and compare price movements with volume.
Draw Fibonacci retracements on previous trends to find key support and resistance levels.
Check RSI to see if Bitcoin is overbought or oversold.
Monitor trading volume to confirm momentum shifts.
This approach turns your analysis from guesswork into a logical, actionable strategy.
How Middle East War Drives Bitcoin Growth: Final Analysis 🚀
As tensions escalate, investors seek safe-haven assets, and Bitcoin, known as digital gold, attracts massive attention. Also, banking restrictions and sanctions push liquidity toward cryptocurrencies.
These condition s, combined with market psychology and the analytical tools we covered, make Bitcoin behave like a compressed spring that suddenly leaps upward, driving significant growth. Traders aware of these trends and skilled in using indicators and sentiment can find better profit opportunities.
Recommendations 📌
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East act as a powerful trigger for Bitcoin volatility. Understanding market psychology, smart use of TradingView tools, and having a solid risk management strategy are key to success in such times. I recommend keeping an eye not just on technical analysis but also on market sentiment and political news to make the best timely decisions.
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📜 Please remember to do your own research before making any investment decisions. Also, don’t forget to check the disclaimer at the bottom of each post for more details.
Eur/Jpy breaks the previous🔍 Key Observations:
Supply Zone (169.713):
Price is approaching a marked supply zone, where sellers previously stepped in with strong momentum. This zone could act as a resistance area, potentially rejecting price downward.
Previous Low Break:
The structure shows that price broke below a previous low, indicating bearish pressure and a possible shift in market sentiment.
Demand Zone Below (~168.700):
There's a strong demand zone marked below the current price, which may serve as a target for short sellers or an area for bullish entries if reached.
Projected Move (Orange Arrows):
The orange path suggests a potential move:
Price may first retest the supply zone around 169.713.
A rejection from that level could trigger a downward move, breaking recent support levels.
The price may bounce slightly midway before continuing the drop toward the demand zone.
RSI Indicator (Relative Strength Index):
Currently at 54.80 (blue line), the RSI is nearing overbought territory but not yet extreme. This leaves room for a bit more upside before a potential reversal, aligning with the idea of testing the supply zone first.
Narayana Hrudayalaya - Strong Fundamental & TechnicalFundamental plus Technical Analysis on a Financially Strong Company:
Narayana Hrudalaya Ltd is engaged in providing economical healthcare services. It has a network of multispecialty and super specialty hospitals spread across multiple locations.
Focus
Company plans to add 700 plus beds for the next 3-4 years at Bangalore Health City. It intends to invest upto Rs. 1,000 Cr in the West Bengal for setting up a superspecialty hospital.
Capex Plan
Company has planned a total capex of 1136 Cr for FY24 and till Q3 FY24 it has spent 477 Cr.
Stock P/E - 31.7
Industry PE - 56.3
EPS growth 5Years - 67.8 %
Buy Score - 4.56 (Buy Score above 0 for me, is considered very good and above 1, excellent.)
ROCE 5Yr - 19.6 %
Please note that this idea is meant to spread awareness and should NOT be considered a buy recommendation. Do your own research before making any financial commitments.
"Pricing Perfection: The Thin Ice Beneath Record Highs"As markets push to all-time highs, the rally feels less like euphoria and more like walking a tightrope. What happens when the market prices in perfection
The S&P 500 is sitting at all-time highs, not because the world is perfect — but because the market is betting that it will be. This rally is no longer driven by surprises or revisions — it’s driven by expectations that everything will go right: inflation will cool, rates will drop, earnings will beat, AI will deliver, and geopolitical tensions will stay neatly compartmentalized.
In reality, we are walking on thin ice. Beneath the surface lies fragile market breadth, decelerating economic data, and a Fed that continues to speak hawkishly even as liquidity props things up. Any minor deviation from this “Goldilocks” scenario — a hot CPI, a guidance miss from a mega-cap, or a geopolitical headline — has the power to trigger sharp repricing.
When the market prices in perfection, it doesn’t need a bear to show up. It just needs something less than ideal. At these levels, risk becomes asymmetric — all reward is front-loaded, but the pain, if it comes, is unpriced and sudden.
The current equity landscape isn’t just optimistic — it’s priced for flawless execution across earnings, rates, geopolitics, and liquidity.
That leaves asymmetric downside risk if even a minor narrative breaks. Trump has become know for creating larger than minor narratives... ;)
Market next move Disruption (Bearish Scenario):
1. False Breakout Risk:
The price has recently tested the lower support range (red boxes) several times without strong follow-through. This could suggest weak buying momentum.
2. Volume Spike Trap:
The large volume spike on the wick down may represent stop-loss hunting or a liquidity grab rather than true accumulation. If it were strong accumulation, we would expect a more sustained bounce.
3. Resistance Zone Ahead:
The price is nearing resistance around $3,275–$3,280, where previous breakdowns started. If it fails to break above this zone decisively, a rejection and continued downtrend is possible.
4. Lower High Formation:
The most recent price action could form a lower high, suggesting a continuation of the bearish trend instead of a reversal.
---
🔽 Bearish Path (Alternative Projection):
Price retests $3,275–$3,280, fails to break out.
Drops below the red box support (~$3,260).
Heads toward the next support levels around $3,240 or lower.
📉 "Target becomes invalidated if price fails to hold above the red box support zone."
XAUUSD H4 Structure – Eyes on 3225 POI for Possible ContinuationXAUUSD has been in a structured 4H pullback, and price is now approaching a key high-timeframe zone around 3225 — marked by prior CHoCH and unmitigated price action. This level has the potential to act as a base for bullish continuation, but I will only act based on lower timeframe structure.
The trap for most traders is entering too early just because price hits a level.
My approach is different — I wait for the market to tell me when it’s ready.
🔍 The Flow I Follow (As Always):
HTF Context – Price is pulling back within a broader bullish range
POI Identified – 3225 zone = key area of interest
Wait for LTF Shift – I’ll only consider a trade if:
- M15 shows CHoCH (shift in internal structure)
- Followed by a BOS (momentum confirmation)
Then, and only then, I enter. Otherwise, I let it go.
🧠 Why This Matters:
This structure-first mindset keeps me out of random trades.
I don’t predict — I align.
No M15 shift?
No BOS?
No trade.
📊 Chart Context:
The chart attached shows:
Previous CHoCH levels
Recent BOS confirming internal structure break
Cleanly marked POI around 3225
Still no valid LTF shift — so it’s a “watch, not trade” phase
📖 From the Book Philosophy:
“The chart is the mirror. It reflects your level of patience, not your level of prediction.”
This setup reflects exactly what I teach in my book The Chart Is The Mirror — how to stop reacting to candles and start respecting structure.
No signals.
No indicators.
Just clean alignment of levels and psychology.
GBP_JPY SWING SHORT|
✅GBP_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead around 199.828
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 197.825
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Msty bullish trend starting to take shapeMsty has a monthy Dividend and takes a typical dip just after the dividend declaration (the yellow vertical line). A support area is forming and a big bullish engulfing (or gap up) candle would be the bullish sign to watch for. As this ETF follows the “MSTR” STOCK, both show similar structure with pre bull run clues.
XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)XAUUSD Market Roadmap (June 30 – July 4, 2025)
Currently, XAUUSD is showing a rejection at the 3261 demand zone, signaling a potential short-term pullback. As long as the price remains above the 3241 demand level, there is a possibility of testing the 3289 supply zone. However, if sellers re-enter from that area, the market may resume its decline toward the next demand target at 3225.
Key Levels:
Demand (current rejection zone): 3261
Demand (critical support): 3241
Supply (resistance target): 3289
Next downside target: 3225
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before making any trading decisions.