Global Market Overview. Part 4.2: SOLANA
Solana: The American Blockchain Making a Comeback
(Previous post: )
Continuing from everything I’ve written earlier about Bitcoin and Ethereum, Solana deserves a separate spotlight.
Because this asset is a different story altogether. It’s not like Bitcoin. It’s not like Ethereum.
Solana has its own path, its own logic — and most importantly, its own market cycle, which follows a very different pattern of growth.
Why did Solana rally?
Let’s be blunt: Solana isn’t just a blockchain — it’s the epicenter of the new crypto cycle, where the main drivers weren’t decentralization or institutional capital, but memes, hype, and community.
Thousands of new tokens launched on Solana became the spark behind an explosion of interest.
The network surged with activity, and it was that real usage — not marketing — that pushed market cap higher.
But that’s not all.
Solana is Made in the USA.
And in crypto, just like in politics, that matters.
An American project, developed on U.S. soil, Solana quickly gained the trust of the largest and wealthiest crypto investor base in the world — American investors.
To be precise: it was the U.S. crypto community that pushed Solana into the mainstream.
And once funds and OTC brokers joined the party, it became clear — this asset isn’t going anywhere.
What about fundamentals?
Peak price: nearly $300
Growth from 2021 to 2024: one of the fastest in crypto
Network load: consistently high
Number of projects in the ecosystem: growing
Confirmed approval for a Solana ETF in the U.S.
Technological flexibility and strong developer support
U.S. jurisdiction: trusted by both institutions and retail
Why didn’t it crash with the rest of the market?
Here’s the twist: even as the crypto market was rocked by negative news and broad corrections, Solana held above $100.
That’s a key support level — and it held up under pressure from:
Trump’s tariff panic
Futures market liquidations
Capital outflows from other altcoins
Rising Bitcoin dominance
Yes, the price pulled back to the $130–140 range, but it never broke major support — a clear sign that strong hands haven’t let go.
But why hasn’t it gone higher if things are so good?
Simple: the Solana ETF hasn’t officially launched yet.
But once formal approval from the SEC is in place — the asset is set to explode.
We already saw a pump above $200 just on rumors.
Now the clock is ticking — when will rumor become reality?
And here’s a spoiler: the Solana ETF has already been approved.
In crypto, that’s how it goes — first the whispers, then insider info leaks, then the price runs.
And finally, when the official news drops — that’s when the real move starts.
We haven’t seen that final leg yet because of all the macro confusion over tariffs.
What’s next?
I’m not giving financial advice.
But here’s the reality — I bought Solana on the dip and I’m still buying.
Why?
Because I need to recover the $300K I lost on Ethereum
Because everything points to a continuation of the bull trend
Because no other major asset offers this kind of symmetry between fundamentals and upside potential
Solana isn’t a bubble.
It’s a trading platform for the meme economy — and one of the few blockchains where actual demand matches real scalability and low fees.
And in crypto, that means a lot.
My personal take
If you’ve got free cash right now — don’t be afraid to look Solana’s way.
I see no reason to fear this asset in the medium to long term.
The network is alive. The network is growing. The asset is holding strong.
Now all we need is the next trigger — and it will come.
The potential to see $200 again in the coming months?
Very real.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Global Market Overview. Part 4: BITCOINPreliminary Context — See Above
Bitcoin: Euphoria, Fear, and a Foundation That Withstood It All
If we were to describe the mood of the crypto market over the past few months in a single phrase, it wouldn't be just a roller coaster — it’s been a full-blown thrill ride, driven by geopolitics, news hype, and emotional burnout among participants. Public sentiment toward Bitcoin this year has swung across the entire spectrum — from wild excitement and $200K price forecasts after Trump’s projected victory, to total pessimism with claims like: “That’s it, Bitcoin’s going back to $20K — crypto is a scam.”
And, as is so often the case, both camps were wrong.
The market survived — not on hype, but on fundamentals.
I make no secret of the fact that I remain a Bitcoin optimist. Not because I want to believe — but because when you mute the media noise, one thing remains: the strongest macroeconomic foundation the crypto market has ever had.
Let’s be honest: it’s getting harder and harder to find a solid reason why Bitcoin should collapse back to $50K — let alone $20K. Strip away the emotion, and here’s what we’re left with:
What do we have, in fact?
1. Regulators are no longer suffocating the market — they’re participating.
The SEC has dropped major investigations into crypto projects, including Ethereum and leading DeFi platforms.
The U.S. Senate has approved legislation to create a national crypto reserve — for now, it’s based on confiscated assets, but it marks the first precedent of crypto being recognized as part of state strategy.
Meanwhile, the European Union has officially launched the MiCA regulatory framework, making crypto a fully legal asset class in the EU with clear compliance norms, a tax model, and open access to institutional clients.
2. Institutions are playing big.
Crypto ETFs have launched not only in the U.S., but also in Europe. This means one thing:
Pension funds, insurance companies, and hedge funds are entering the market.
The capital is not speculative — it’s strategic.
These are not "hot" retail dollars chasing tweets — they’re building portfolios for the long haul.
3. Exchanges are drying up. Whales are accumulating.
Bitcoin reserves on centralized exchanges are at historic lows.
This tells us:
Long-term holders aren’t selling.
Large players are moving assets to cold wallets.
Retail hype hasn’t kicked in yet — which, frankly, makes it a perfect entry point.
When the crowd starts buying, it’ll be too late.
4. Even a trade war couldn’t break the market.
The tariff escalation between the U.S. and China has hit global trade hard, triggering corrections across traditional markets. Yet despite that:
Bitcoin held strong above $70K, rising from the $110 levels.
This zone has become ironclad support — a sign that the market has matured.
There’s panic in the headlines, but not in the charts.
Even Wall Street veterans are cautiously suggesting Bitcoin may be a necessary hedge against fiat devaluation.
5. China is silent — for now. But if that changes...
Any positive signal from Beijing — even a hint at easing restrictions or partial legalization of crypto ownership — would cause an immediate surge. Because:
Chinese capital is waiting.
The tech infrastructure is already in place.
And if the government gives the green light, the market will relaunch overnight.
What do I think?
The current Bitcoin price range is a prime entry zone for medium-term positions.
The 70K–85K range is a fundamental accumulation corridor, where:
Strong hands are already in.
Weak hands have been shaken out.
FOMO and retail hype haven’t even started.
By Fall 2025, even modest optimism in geopolitics or trade could push the market to new all-time highs — not on hype, but on dry institutional demand.
Final thoughts
I’m not a fan of conspiracy theories.
But this setup is too clean to be a coincidence.
The crypto market has survived it all: bans, lawsuits, regulatory crackdowns, exchange collapses, hacks, FTX, LUNA, and every form of digital black magic.
But it's still here.
More than that — it’s quietly becoming a legitimate part of the global financial system. Without noise. Without asking permission.
While everyone else is talking panic — the market is already in an accumulation phase.
And those who understand the cycles don’t look to the news for validation.
They look at the fundamentals — and act accordingly.
Global Market Overview. Part 4.1: ETHEthereum: Fell. Miscalculated. Still Believe.
(Previous post:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/ecmMaAdq-Global-Market-Overview-Part-4-BITCOIN/)
Let me get straight to the point: I lost over $300,000 during the last Ethereum rally. That’s a fact. And I’m not alone.
But here’s what truly matters: I still consider Ethereum one of the most fundamentally strong assets in the entire crypto market.
And I’ll explain why this drop isn’t a collapse into the abyss — but a temporary breakdown in price mechanics, driven not by fundamentals, but by greed and speculation.
What went wrong?
At first glance, the market behavior made no sense.
While BTC, Solana, XRP — and even meme coins — were being aggressively bought up, Ethereum just... froze.
No breakout. No test of previous highs. Not even a real attempt.
Which is strange, considering:
Ethereum has become a deflationary asset — more ETH is being burned than issued
ETH ETFs have attracted hundreds of millions of dollars
Developers are consistently improving the network and reducing fees
It remains the backbone of both the DeFi and NFT ecosystems
And yet — the price stood still. And then it fell.
Why? Because we are to blame.
Let’s be honest. I made a mistake. Just like millions of others.
Instead of holding ETH on spot, I went long with leverage on futures.
I thought I’d amplify my volume. Boost my profits.
Instead — I amplified my liquidation.
That’s exactly what happened to the market:
ETH futures volume exceeded spot volume
Open interest in long positions skyrocketed
Market makers saw the imbalance — and began systematically flushing out over-leveraged positions
The price didn’t fall because there’s something wrong with Ethereum.
It fell because the market became too one-sided.
Greed became vulnerability — and the market makers took full advantage.
And then came tariffs.
As if the futures flush wasn’t enough, the market got hit with more bad news:
Trump’s administration escalated a new trade war.
Stock indices dropped. The dollar strengthened.
Crypto got slammed again — this time not technically, but macroeconomically.
Now Ethereum is sitting far below its highs.
Disappointment in the eyes of millions.
And yes — heavy losses, including mine.
Will there be a reversal?
Yes. Hell yes.
I don’t know exactly when, but I’m absolutely certain that it will come.
Ethereum will recover.
Why?
There’s fundamental demand. Exchanges are running low. Whales are accumulating and transferring ETH to cold storage.
Technologically, it’s stronger than its competitors. No other L1 or L2 has the developer base or ecosystem Ethereum commands.
The market will get a tailwind. Any de-escalation in the trade war could reignite the entire crypto space.
It’s undervalued. ETH at $2,000 is a floor. In a normal market phase, it’ll trade much higher — significantly.
This isn’t a revenge play. It’s analysis.
I’m not writing this to justify myself.
I’m writing to say this: Ethereum is not dead.
It’s exhausted. Temporarily.
I understand those who sold. It’s human.
But I’m staying. Because unlike hype-driven altcoins, Ethereum is infrastructure.
You can’t replace it.
You can’t bypass it.
You can only ignore it — and regret it later.
Bottom line
Ethereum doesn’t have to move in sync with Bitcoin.
It has its own path.
But that path is not downward.
Right now, it just happens to go through the pain of futures liquidations and media noise.
As soon as Trump exhales, as soon as the rhetoric shifts — the market will see ETH at $2,500 and beyond.
And this growth won’t be speculative — it’ll be based on fundamentals.
Yes, I lost $300K.
But I haven’t lost faith in the asset.
And I’m not going anywhere.
Because Ethereum doesn’t end with this drawdown.
It’s just getting ready for its next phase.
Reversal Pattern in Play – Will AVAX Flip Bullish?CRYPTOCAP:AVAX is showing signs of a potential reversal after forming a double bottom near the $17 zone. It’s currently testing a key resistance trendline along with a minor horizontal resistance around $19.50–$20.50.
A successful breakout and close above this zone could trigger bullish momentum toward $22+. However, rejection here may lead to another dip back toward support.
Price action is tightening, so a decisive move is likely soon.
DYOR, NFA
BTC: Inverse Head & Shoulder Breakout (Time to go All-in) BTC Market Outlook (Multi Timeframe Analysis)
First of all, according to the higher timeframes (Weekly & Monthly), BTC is still in a bullish trend.
However, on the Daily timeframe, structure remains bearish — but we’re now seeing multiple bullish confluences building up:
Inverse Head & Shoulders breakout on Daily TF
Bearish Order Block has been broken, turning into a bullish breaker
On the Shorter Timeframe, we’ve got CHoCH (Change of Character) confirmation
Sell-side liquidity (SSL) has already been swept
All of these factors indicate that this could be a strong long opportunity, possibly the "mother of all buy setup.
Oh, and don’t forget to say thank you later. 😉 BYBIT:BTCUSDT
NQ daily 20ma is following the top of bull flag. I'm not saying I know what is gonna happen in NQ. Especially with all the stuff happening in the gov right now. I do see that something big is gonna happen though. Wait for the bull flag on the 4 and 1 hr to break in either direction. Either we will make another low or fly up. Don't guess!! Just react. It'll probably move on some crazy news but in reality the charts don't lie.
Gold: A textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!📌 Gold has surged over $400 in just six trading days—a textbook example of an extreme short squeeze!
Yesterday, gold broke above the 3300 psychological barrier and is now trading above 3360. While safe-haven demand driven by escalating trade tensions is part of the reason, such a rapid and steep rally is clearly unsustainable.
⚠️ If you enter at these levels and get trapped, trying to "hold and hope" could result in facing $100+ of price swings—a dangerous gamble for most traders.
👉 Experienced traders might manage this volatility with scalping or short-term strategies to mitigate losses or even turn a profit.
❌ But if you don’t have that level of skill, don’t chase this rally blindly.
✅ Suggested approach:
Scale into short positions gradually, or
Wait for clear topping signals before going short
Missing this rally isn’t the end—some of the best opportunities come during corrections. Profit potential remains strong on the way down.
🎯 Bearish targets:
Short-term: 3312 → 3291 → 3250
Mid-term: 3196 → 3137
GBPUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 1.33Hello traders.
On GBPUSD, I'm watching this 1.33 zone closely. It's where I'll be looking for a reaction. It can be a solid bounce spot if it shows signs.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent shortened trading session, the Index recorded steady to lower prices, distancing itself from the Mean Resistance level of 5455, as indicated in the previous week's Daily Chart analysis. This trend establishes a foundation for continuing the downward trajectory, targeting the Mean Support level 5140. Should this downward momentum persist, further declines may extend to the next Mean Support level of 4970 and ultimately reach the completed Outer Index Dip at 4890.
Conversely, it is essential to acknowledge the possibility of upward momentum at the current price level, which may challenge the Mean Resistance of 5455 and extend toward the Outer Index Rally at 5550.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the current trading session, the Euro has demonstrated a successful pullback to the anticipated support level of 1.128, from which upward momentum has emerged. Consequently, the currency is positioned to retest the previously completed Outer Currency Rally level of 1.142, potentially advancing towards the subsequent target marked next Outer Currency Rally at 1.159. However, it is essential to recognize that there is a possibility of downward momentum re-emerging should the Euro challenge the completed resistance at 1.142 or the forthcoming target of 1.159.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During the price movements observed throughout the week, Bitcoin has remained close to the previous Mean Support level of 85200 and appears poised to initiate an upward breakout, targeting the newly developed Mean Resistance level of 86400. This breakout may facilitate a retest of the completed Interim Coin rally at 88400, with additional expansions of targets also being a possibility. It is critical to acknowledge that potential for downward momentum may arise from a rechallenge of either the Interim Coin Rally at 88400 or the Mean Resistance at 86400.
SOLUSDT - Trade LogSOLUSDT – Long Setup in Daily FVG
Entry: Buy at 124 USDT (floor of the daily Fair Value Gap)
Stop Loss: 105 USDT (just below the daily FVG low)
Take Profit: 200 USDT (new all‑time highs)
Rationale:
• Price is retracing into the daily FVG, offering a high‑probability support zone
• Daily RSI double divergence & trendline support reinforce the FVG floor
• Spot accumulation targeting euphoria phase—leveraging the FVG for entry
Risk Management: Risk ~5% of account. If SOL closes below 105 USDT (invalidating the FVG), exit and reassess. Keep an eye on BTC direction as the primary driver.
What Has Warren Buffet, Elizabeth Warren & Arbitrum In Common?The good news is that the market is now turning green. All is well that ends well.
There was lots of excitement in late 2024 because of the bullish period, but this bullish period was followed by an even stronger bearish period. Just as there was excitement, now all that there is is depression. People are worn out, they can't take it anymore.
That's the signal. When the market participants are tired and ready to give up, that's when the market turns.
When nobody is around and people no longer care, that's the best time to buy and that's exactly when the market looks great.
When people are on vacation away from home, that's when the signals will start to show that the bearish wave is over, but people won't know.
When the market becomes strongly bullish again, it will be too late. There will be additional growth but when the majority decide to buy because of a challenge of the previous high, a new correction will form.
The participants seeing a correction and having samskaras of the previous bearish wave, they start thinking that this one will be the same and will last a long-term, so instead of holding they decide to fold. The moment they fold, the market resumes growing but too fast for them to decide to buy again and there goes the last run.
It is a psychological game. One has to buy when there is strong aversion to the market, one has to sell when the feeling is to stay in for as long as possible; forever growth.
When people start talking about Bitcoin going to $1,000,000 when it already trades at $160,000 or $180,000, that's the time to take profits.
When people start calling for Bitcoin to $5,000,000 and Michael Saylor starts making videos, that's the time to consider how much money you can withdraw.
When even Elizabeth Warren starts to admit that we were right and she was wrong, that's the moment to sell everything because the moment the bank puppet turns, that's the sure sign of a doom scenario.
The moment that Warren Buffet decides, "I am buying Bitcoin," that's it, all 21 million Bitcoins will be already gone. By the time Mr. Buffet figures out that Bitcoin is the new Internet, it will already be the year 2,140, it will be impossible to mine a new Bitcoin.
Actually, I don't know anything about these people, all I know is that Crypto is going up.
Arbitrum is ready to start a new wave of growth.
Namaste.
DOW/US30 - what the expectation from the marketTeam, last week we kill the market
I have prepare for the next week strategy
We currently have some small volume position long at this stage
and will add more if the market down to next level,
However, we expect some recovery at this stage.
Strategy:
TARGET 1 - 39266-39335
TARGET 2 - 39375-39467
TARGET 3 at 39600-39929
TARGET 4 at 40.400-41400 - run with mini volume and hold.
Relationship between trendline and StochRSI
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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I think that everything used in chart analysis should be objective so that everyone can understand it.
If not, I think that if we start complaining about the different interpretations used in chart analysis, the essence may be damaged.
Therefore, I am trying to present a method that anyone can understand and draw in the same way.
In that sense, I have talked about the method of drawing trendlines several times.
Today, I will explain additional parts that were not covered in the previous drawing methods.
To set it like the StochRSI indicator on this chart,
- Source value: ohlc4
- Setting value: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
You can set it like this.
-
A trend line is literally a line drawn to find out the trend.
It can also be used to predict how the current trend will change in the future.
However, since a trend line is drawn for chart analysis, what we need to draw importantly is the support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
-
The trend line currently drawn is as follows.
Trend line (1): Trend line between lows drawn on 1W chart
Trend line (2), (6): Trend line between lows drawn on 1D chart
Trend line (3), (4): Trend line between highs drawn on 1D chart
Trend line (5): Trend line drawn on 1M chart
Therefore, in order to continue the uptrend in the medium to long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (1).
Similarly, in order to continue the uptrend in the long term, the price should be maintained above trend line (5).
-
The trend line is drawn by connecting the points between the highs or lows of the StochRSI indicator.
The StochRSI indicator creates waves in any case.
However, when creating waves, you should consider that the points necessary for drawing the trend line have been formed by touching the overbought and oversold areas and draw them.
Therefore, the points of the A and B sections of the StochRSI indicator are ambiguous points for drawing trend lines.
The solution to these points is the same as the trend line drawn above.
That is, the trend line is operated by connecting the points of the A section or the B section based on the last point created by touching the overbought or oversold section.
At this time, the important thing is that it must have escaped the overbought or oversold section.
The trend line (3) and trend line (4) drawn in this way form an expansion channel.
Therefore, once the decline begins, you can see that there is a possibility of a large decline.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the trend line was drawn to analyze the chart.
Therefore, you need to check the importance of the support and resistance points drawn in the area to see if it will actually lead to a decline.
Currently, the important support and resistance range from a short-term perspective is 76322.42-78595.86.
And, from a medium- to long-term perspective, the important support and resistance range is 69000-73499.86.
Therefore, even if it falls below trend line (4) and shows a large decline, it is expected that it will not be easy to touch trend line (3).
-
Trend line (2) and trend line (6) are trend lines drawn between low points on the 1D chart.
Therefore, even if it falls, it is highly likely that the area around trend line (6) will be the maximum.
In other words, even if the decline begins, it is highly likely that it will re-confirm the support around 76322.42-78595.86.
-
In any case, this volatility period ended without any significant movement.
The next volatility period is around April 25-29.
Since the StochRSI indicator is clearly showing a downward trend in the overbought zone, the key is whether there is support around 83423.84-84591.59.
If the price is maintained above the 1D chart, there is a high possibility of maintaining a short-term uptrend.
However, from a trading perspective, it should show support near the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart to be a trading period.
Therefore, whether there is support near 89294.25 is important.
-
Therefore, we are troubled.
Should we buy when it is supported in the current zone, 83423.84-84591.59, or should we buy when it is supported near 89294.25?
If the StochRSI indicator rises above the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to sell, and if it falls below the 50 point, it is better to focus on finding a time to buy.
If you look at the chart again with this information, you can decide that it is better to wait a little longer rather than proceed with the current transaction.
-
In the previous idea, I said that if it rises to around 89294.25, there will be a psychological feeling that it will rise further, and you will try to make a breakout trade.
At this time, what we should be interested in is whether the trend line between the lows and the trend line between the highs are formed in the same direction.
And, whether the StochRSI indicator shows an upward trend below the 50 point.
If it does not show such a movement, it is highly likely that it will shake up and down with a large fluctuation range.
Therefore, it is absolutely necessary to check whether it is supported near 89294.25.
Checking support and resistance is a tedious and difficult task.
Checking support and resistance requires checking the movement for at least 1-3 days.
-
The fact that the HA-Low indicator was created means that it rose from the low point range.
Since it has currently fallen below the HA-Low indicator, it can be interpreted that it has fallen back to the low point.
Therefore, in order for an uptrend to begin, the trading volume must increase when confirming support near the HA-Low indicator.
If the trading volume does not increase and it rises, it may not rise much and turn into a downtrend, so you should think about a countermeasure for this.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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Gold Strategy: False Alarm, Bottom BounceOn Thursday, after hitting a record high of $3,357.66, the spot gold price pulled back, and the bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle. The pressure of short - term profit - taking is emerging, but the fundamental support still exists, and the key support level will determine the future trend. The intensifying trade tensions between the United States and China have increased the demand for safety, keeping the gold price near its record high, and the upward trend is far from over.
In the short term, gold is likely to start a large - range oscillation again. It has begun a reverse - V trend in one hour. Gold will either start a large - range oscillation or make an adjustment. In the short term, without the support of bullish news, the short - term gold bulls may be under pressure. Since the international gold market is closed tomorrow, there is not much point in participating at present. Overall, for the current short - term operation of gold, it is recommended to focus on selling on rallies and supplement with buying on dips. In the short term, pay close attention to the resistance level of $3,315 - $3,320 above, and the support level of $3,285 - $3,270 below.
Investment itself doesn't carry risks; it's only when investment is out of control that risks arise. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.