AMZN Testing Key Support After Rally – Gamma Zone Ahead! 🚀 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Overview
Current Price Zone: ~$200.20
* AMZN made a Break of Structure (BOS) near $206 before rejecting from a key supply zone.
* Currently retracing into a rising channel support line and near previous CHoCH retest zone.
* The price is still inside a bullish structure — watching for reversal confirmation near $198–195.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish, but histogram flattening — suggests weakening momentum to the downside.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and starting to curl up — possible bounce setup.
🔐 Key Levels
Support:
* 195 → HVL + psychological round level + trendline support.
* 190 → Strong PUT support zone via GEX.
* 189.38 → Recent swing low – must hold for bulls to remain in control.
Resistance:
* 206–208 → Supply zone + previous BOS level.
* 210 → Gamma wall (Highest positive NetGEX)
* 220 → 3rd CALL Wall (far extension)
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟡🟢 — Moderately Bullish
* IVR: 33.6
* IVx avg: 35.4 → Options are fairly priced, no volatility extremes
* CALL$%: 2.4% (weak call flow but dealers not aggressively hedging short)
* Key Gamma Wall: 210
* PUT Support: 190
* HVL Cluster: 195 (May expiry, pivotal)
📌 GEX suggests gamma compression between 195–206, with breakout potential above or breakdown if 190 fails.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce from 195 or Trendline
* If AMZN holds the rising channel and HVL zone around 195, reversal likely toward 206.
* Entry: Above 200 reclaim with volume
* Target 1: 204
* Target 2: 206
* Target 3: 210 (Gamma wall)
* Stop-Loss: Below 194.50
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $205 Calls
* OR Debit Call Spread: Buy $200 / Sell $210 Calls
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 195
* Break below channel support and HVL may trigger a flush to 190.
* Entry: Break of 194
* Target 1: 190
* Target 2: 185
* Stop-Loss: Above 197
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $190 Puts
* OR Bear Put Spread: Buy $195 / Sell $185
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 195 holds.
* Gamma and SMC zones align for a bounce setup.
* If price fails to hold trendline near 195, bearish momentum may escalate toward 190 PUT Wall.
🎯 Key Watch: Reaction near $195 is everything today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk.
Beyond Technical Analysis
AAPL Eyeing Gamma Reversal Zone – Will Bulls Defend the Pullback🍎 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$221.39
* AAPL recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a clean reversal from the CHoCH zone near 210–213.
* Price tapped the supply zone at 225–227.5 (aligned with GEX call resistance) and is now retracing.
* This pullback is happening in low volume, hinting at a possible reload phase.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, but fading momentum — potential for a bullish crossover soon.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold and curling, signaling potential bounce opportunity.
🔐 Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 217.5 → HVL support zone, critical gamma level.
* 215 → Strong PUT support zone; multiple touches + GEX protection.
* 210 → 2nd PUT wall and base of previous accumulation.
Resistance Levels:
* 225 → CALL resistance (Highest NetGEX + Gamma Wall)
* 227.5 → 2nd CALL Wall
* 230 → Extended target / 3rd CALL Wall
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Bullish
* IVR: 39.1
* IVx avg: 30
* PUT$%: 14.7% → Dealers are likely hedged long → may support dips
* Gamma Wall: 225 → Key resistance (calls dominate here)
* HVL Cluster: 217.5 → strong likelihood of pin or bounce at this level
📌 This sets up a Gamma Pin Scenario between 215 and 225, with room to breakout if buyers step in early.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Bounce at 217.5–215
* If AAPL reclaims 220+ after defending HVL, expect push to retest resistance.
* Entry: On reclaim of 222 with volume
* Target 1: 225
* Target 2: 227.5
* Target 3: 230
* Stop-Loss: Below 215
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $225 Calls
* OR Bull Call Spread: Buy $222.5 / Sell $230 Calls for a defined risk
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 215
* Would indicate bulls failed to defend demand zone.
* Entry: On clean break of 215 with selling volume
* Target 1: 210
* Target 2: 208
* Stop-Loss: Above 218
* Options Play:
* Buy Apr 12 $210 Puts
* Bear Put Spread: Buy $215 / Sell $210
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Leaning Bullish above 217.5 — structure still supports higher low formation.
* If 217.5 breaks, watch 215 for final support test.
* GEX zones suggest dealers may support near 215 and sell near 225, so expect chop unless a catalyst forces breakout.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk appropriately.
TSLA Reversal or Continuation? Gamma Magnet at Work – Watch This ⚠️ Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Setup
Current Price Zone: ~$268.41
* TSLA recently broke structure to the upside (BOS) after a strong rally from the previous CHoCH zone near $230–240.
* After tapping into the supply zone at $282–288, price has pulled back toward $267–268.
* Still trading above all major recent swing lows and inside a potential retracement zone.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish cross, momentum slowing after breakout.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, suggesting a possible bounce opportunity.
🔐 Key Zones
Support Levels:
* 267.50–268.00 → HVL + consolidation zone; key intraday pivot.
* 255 → Strong demand / GEX support zone.
* 250 → PUT wall and prior consolidation base.
Resistance Levels:
* 282.5–288 → Supply zone + 2nd CALL Wall.
* 300 → Gamma Wall and highest positive GEX — strong resistance unless momentum breakout.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow (TanukiTrade Sentiment)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 — Fully Bullish
* IVR: 62.7 → High implied volatility, tradable swings.
* IVx avg: 81.2
* CALL$%: 32.4% → Bullish call flow dominates.
* Support Walls:
* 255 (PUT Wall 1)
* 250 (Put Support)
* Resistance Walls:
* 282.5 (CALL Wall 2)
* 300 (Gamma Wall)
📌 With strong bullish options flow and GEX positioning, market makers are likely to support pullbacks and encourage reversion higher unless 255 breaks.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Rebound from 267–268 Zone
* Price respects current HVL zone and shows reversal signs.
* Entry: Break above 270 or reclaim with volume.
* Target 1: 275
* Target 2: 282.5
* Target 3: 288–300 (extended breakout)
* Stop-Loss: Below 265
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $275 Calls
* Aggressive: $280/$290 Call Spread targeting breakout to Gamma Wall
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown Below 267
* If 267 fails and price breaks into lower zone.
* Entry: Break below 265 with strong volume
* Target 1: 255
* Target 2: 250
* Stop-Loss: Above 270
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $260 Puts
* Debit Spread: Buy $265 / Sell $255 Puts
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Bias: Bullish unless 267 fails.
* Key Level: 267.5 (gamma pivot) – price staying above suggests bullish continuation.
* GEX Implication: Dealers are long calls and may hedge by buying dips → supportive near 255–267.
📍 Ideal play today: Watch for early reversal near 267, and scale into calls on confirmation.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
MSFT Approaching a Key Reversal Zone – Will Bulls Defend Gamma?🔎 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Outlook
Current Price: ~$389.27
* MSFT is pulling back after making a local high near 396.31.
* The price is now sitting just above a demand block, marked by previous CHoCH and BOS levels, signaling a potential bounce zone.
* Structure is showing early signs of weakness, but key support at 382-385 is still intact.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover with histogram declining — watch for a potential shift if buyers step in at support.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, hinting at possible bounce if support holds.
Key Support Zones:
* 385 → Critical intraday support with 2nd PUT Wall.
* 382.87 → High confidence PUT level.
* 376.85 → Strong PUT support and bottom of the SMC zone (high reward bounce setup if defended).
Resistance Zones:
* 392.59 → Local rejection level.
* 396.31 → Key intraday resistance.
* 400 → Highest Positive NetGEX & Gamma Wall (major resistance zone).
* 405 → 2nd CALL Wall.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (TanukiTrade GEX Zones)
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🔴🟢 (Mixed — but put wall support is closer, bullish if held)
* IV Rank (IVR): 31.3
* IVx avg: 26.1 → Options pricing not overly volatile
* PUT$%: 9.6% – Moderate, suggesting dealers may provide support on dips
* Gamma Wall: At 400, major resistance
* PUT Support: At 380 with strong negative GEX (key defensive zone)
* HVL Cluster: Near 390 (May expiry), could pin price today if no catalyst.
🛠️ Trade Scenarios
📈 Bullish Setup – Support Bounce from 385 or 382
* Price bounces from key SMC demand zone and starts reclaiming 390+
* Entry: 386–387 zone reclaim + volume
* Target 1: 392
* Target 2: 396
* Target 3: 400
* Stop-Loss: Below 382.5
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $390 Calls on bounce confirmation.
* Sell $385 Puts if confident in bounce continuation.
📉 Bearish Setup – Breakdown of 382
* If support fails at 382, expect a retest of 376.85 PUT support.
* Entry: Break below 382 with momentum
* Target 1: 376.85
* Target 2: 374 (liquidity sweep zone)
* Stop-Loss: Above 385.5
* Options Play:
* Long Apr 12 $380 Puts
* Debit Spread: Buy $385 Put / Sell $380 Put
🧭 Final Thoughts & Bias
* Short-Term Bias: Neutral → Leaning bullish if 382-385 holds
* GEX Context: Gamma compression is possible between 382-392 – breakout above or breakdown below will trigger expansion.
* Intraday Plan:
* Watch for bounce at 385 zone.
* Flip bearish only below 382 with strong volume.
* If 392.5 breaks, bulls may charge back toward 396-400 zone.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own due diligence and manage risk.
META at a Decision Point! Gamma Pressure Building – Intraday Tra🔍 Technical Analysis (TA) – Intraday Outlook
Current Price Zone: ~$605
* META is sitting just above a key demand zone (595-585).
* It has pulled back from recent highs near 633, failing to hold the upper breakout.
* We saw a Break of Structure (BOS) followed by a lower high, suggesting weakness.
* A bullish CHoCH occurred prior, but it needs to defend current levels to remain valid.
Indicators:
* MACD: Bearish crossover, momentum fading. Needs confirmation for reversal.
* Stoch RSI: Oversold, which may suggest a short-term bounce or relief rally if price respects 595 support.
Key Support Zones:
* 595 → Key support, aligns with GEX Negative Wall (highest negative NetGEX zone).
* 590 → 2nd PUT Wall.
* 585 → 3rd PUT Wall and ultimate line before major structure breaks.
Key Resistance Zones:
* 620 → 2nd CALL Wall.
* 633-640 → Strong call resistance. Rejected earlier here.
* 650 → 3rd CALL Wall, extreme resistance unless there’s a breakout event.
🧠 GEX & Options Flow Analysis (via TanukiTrade )
* GEX Sentiment: 🔵🔵🟢 (Mildly Bullish/Balanced)
* IV Rank (IVR): 33.8 – Slightly elevated, but not extreme.
* IVx Avg: 39.9 – Options pricing reflects a moderate volatility environment.
* Call$%: 11.6% → This shows PUTS are dominating the flow, which often supports the underlying.
* Highest Negative NetGEX: At 595, giving strong put-based dealer support.
* CALL Resistance: 620 → 640 → 650.
* PUT Walls: 595 → 590 → 585.
📌 This 595 area is heavily defended by dealers and acts as a gamma magnet zone, especially for mean reversion trades. It may also act as a base for bounce plays.
🔧 Trade Setups
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If META holds above 595 and breaks back above 610 with volume:
* Entry: Above 610 confirmation.
* Target 1: 620
* Target 2: 633 (previous high)
* Stop-Loss: Below 595
* Options Strategy:
* Buy Apr 12 $620 Calls on confirmation above 610.
* Alternatively, sell $590 Puts if confident in support holding.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If META loses 595 with high volume and no bounce:
* Entry: On breakdown of 595.
* Target 1: 590
* Target 2: 585
* Target 3: 574 (range lows)
* Stop-Loss: Above 605
* Options Strategy:
* Buy Apr 12 $590 Puts
* Or try a Put Debit Spread (595/585) for limited risk.
🧭 Bias & Final Thoughts:
* Short-term Intraday Bias: NEUTRAL → LEANING BEARISH unless 610 is reclaimed.
* GEX Bias: SUPPORTIVE under 595, but capped above 633.
* Watch for reaction at 595 – it’s the key battleground today.
📛 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
"Bitcoin's Bullish Reversal: Projected Pullback Before Surging TBitcoin has begun a downward trend from March 24th that could last 49 days, with a projected low near $75,000. This area may offer a strong entry point for swing traders aiming for the next leg up. If support holds, BTC could rally over the following 149 days toward a profit target of $154,000 — a potential 100%+ gain. Traders considering this move should watch for signs of reversal near $75K and manage risk with a stop loss just below $70,000 to protect against deeper downside.
ZROUSDT - The star of this season!The coin has surged 150% in recent days, despite the overall bearish and depressing market.
This is a strong indication of momentum and growing hype around this coin. The daily chart shows stability at a key support level, highlighted in gray.
-It broke a major downtrend line that had been in place for over 3 months and successfully retested it.
-Long-term targets look extremely bullish, with massive upside potential.
-Holding this key support makes it a perfect entry point for buyers.
-Price projection suggests a reverse H&S pattern completion, followed by a breakout and continuation to the upside.
Everything looks perfectly aligned on the chart!
best regards Ceciliones🎯
aily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 27th March 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Final GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Consolidation in 4hr time frame
-Looking for price to respect the high & low on the 4hr structure before the GDP news
-Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3000,3040
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Trump's Auto Tariffs Shake Things Up on Wall StreetTrump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ES Update1) My apologies for getting the PCE release date wrong, it's Friday, not today. Still made money on my XLF calls plus AAPL also went up this morning.
2) There's a small open gap on ES, RTY, and YM from the one hour break after market close. It looks like it might fill overnight. Make sure you check tomorrow morning.
3) The gap below is still open, and it looks like 3hr MFI and RSI want to hit oversold tomorrow.
4) Sorry for not checking the news, I can barely even make trades on my phone while at work. Had I known today was auto tariff day, I would have played things differently.
Personally, I think PCE numbers are a moo point (my Friends will get the joke) because auto tariffs will drive inflation up, but there's bound to be a bounce when MFI and RSI get oversold. If I decide to go long tomorrow, it'll probably just be a handful of XLF calls again.
XLF will probably dip tomorrow because higher auto prices means fewer auto loans and higher inflation this summer. Market will still go up Friday if indicators get oversold, so it's just a quick play, not an investment.
At this point, all I can recommend is that you keep an eye on the 3 hr indicators, seems to be working well. Also, XLF and AAPL completed intraday patterns from yesterday, so there is that too.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, its good long now, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
VOE LONGAs you can clearly see the VOESTALPINE AG stock has found support at a key order block, aligning closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement — a typical entry point for smart money. Since then, price action has stabilized and is starting to push higher. The declining short interest ratio suggests bearish pressure is easing, while the rising volume delta points to increasing demand. This confluence could signal accumulation and a potential continuation to the upside. Watching for further confirmation and a clean break above recent highs.
#SmartMoney #OrderBlock #VolumeDelta #Fibonacci50 #ShortSqueeze #AccumulationPhase #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #BullishSetup #PriceAction #Orderflow #SwingTrading #TradingViewIdeas
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.28
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the SOLUSD chart.
--------------------------------------
(ETHUSD 1D chart)
The circled sections on the chart are important support and resistance sections.
Since the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are passing through the 137.28-180.38 range, it is important to see whether it can receive support and rise this time.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the Fibonacci ratio range of 2 (80.31) ~ 1.902 (88.47).
-
We need to see if the OBV can rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.27 (141.08) as it rises above the middle line.
Since the OBV indicator itself has fallen below the 0 point, there is a high possibility that the selling pressure will increase.
Therefore, we need to check the support and resistance points when the OBV rises above the 0 point.
If it shows support near 180.38, I think it is highly likely that it will turn into an upward trend and rise.
-
Therefore, when the competition starts, check if it is located in the 137.28-180.38 range, and if not, it is expected that a sell (SHORT) position will be advantageous.
Even if the price is maintained above 137.28,
- There is a possibility that it will be difficult to maintain a buy (LONG) position due to the fact that the OBV is located below the 0 point,
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1M charts is in a reverse arrangement, etc.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise to 2271.0-2356.31
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
I will talk about the ETHUSD chart.
--------------------------------------
(ETHUSD 1W)
If you look at the 1W chart, you can see how important the current price position is.
If it continues to decline this time, it is likely to fall to around 1337.54.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.236 (2089.91).
In order to turn upward on the 1W chart, it must rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and maintain the price.
-
(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the point of 1935.88, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near this area.
If it does not and falls below 1871.55, it is highly likely to fall to around 1626.95.
-
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is passing near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14).
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts and be maintained.
To do so, we need to see if it can naturally rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts while maintaining the price by rising around 2271.0-2356.31.
However, in order to continue the uptrend, it is expected that the price must rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and be maintained.
-
If the OBV does not rise above the upper line of the price channel and show an uptrend, it is likely that it will be difficult to sustain even if an uptrend appears.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought zone.
Therefore, if the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and maintains the price around 1935.88, it is expected that it will lead to an attempt to rise to around 2271.0.
Therefore, when the competition started,
- If the StochRSI indicator did not turn upward,
- If the OBV did not rise above the upper line and showed an upward trend,
- If it did not receive support near 1935.88, it is expected that the SHORT position would be advantageous.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
AUD/CAD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Key Support📊 Chart Analysis
1️⃣ Accumulation Zone : The price previously traded within a rectangular consolidation range before breaking down.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Pattern : A falling wedge has formed, indicating a possible breakout to the upside.
3️⃣ Key Support : The price has tested the 0.8980 - 0.8970 zone multiple times and is showing signs of rejection.
4️⃣ Potential Upside : A breakout above 0.9030 - 0.9050 could confirm further bullish momentum.
🚀 Trading Plan:
📌 Entry : On a breakout above 0.9025
🎯 Targets :
First target : 0.9100
Extended target : 0.9130
🛑 Stop Loss : Below 0.8965 to minimize risk.
🔔 Confirmation Needed: Wait for strong bullish price action before entering long trades. 🚀🔥
Gold (XAU/EUR) – Potential Sell Setup from Rising Wedge📉 Market Structure & Pattern:
The chart shows a broadening wedge pattern followed by a rising wedge formation.
Price has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, where a potential sell-off could begin.
📉 Bearish Outlook:
The sell signal is indicated near 2,811 EUR, suggesting a possible reversal.
The target area is around 2,769 - 2,700 EUR, aligning with previous support zones.
If the price breaks below the wedge structure, further downside momentum is expected.
📌 Trading Plan:
Bears may look for short opportunities around resistance.
A break below 2,794 EUR could confirm further downside.
Bulls should monitor price action for any rejection near support zones for potential buying opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management:
A break above 2,815 EUR could invalidate the bearish setup.
Stop-loss placement above resistance is advisable to minimize risk.
XAUUSD H1 Short TermGold Prices—Ahead of Key PCE Report
- Gold remains in a consolidation phase after last week’s sharp pullback, with traders weighing economic data.
Fundamental View:
- A strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields have pressured prices, but recent dollar weakness—down 3.4% for the month—has helped stabilise gold near the $3,000 level. Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid economic uncertainty, particularly around U.S. tariff policies. Markets are closely watching the potential impact of new tariffs set to take effect on April 2, with a more aggressive stance likely pushing gold toward $3,100, while a softer approach may lead to a temporary dip below $3,000.
- Last week, the Fed held rates steady and projected two cuts for the year, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Traders are now turning to Friday’s PCE inflation report— the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer reading would likely fuel expectations of rate cuts, supporting gold, while a hotter-than-expected number could strengthen the dollar and pressure prices lower.
Technical View:
- Current price action suggests indecision, with gold trading at $3,027.49. Key support lies at $2,995 – $3,005, with a break below this range potentially triggering a move toward $2,930 – $2,940. The critical longer-term support remains at the 50-day moving average of $2,874.97.
- On the upside, a sustained move above $3,057.59 would signal a continuation of the broader uptrend, with targets at $3,100 and $3,150. As long as gold holds above $2,968.92, the bullish structure remains intact, and any pullbacks are likely to be short-lived.
EUR/USD Chart Analysis - Bearish Breakdown Towards Target📉 Pattern & Market Structure:
The chart shows an ascending channel that was previously supporting price action. However, the price has broken below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown.
The recent price action suggests a shift from bullish momentum to bearish sentiment.
📉 Price Action & Target:
A breakdown from the channel suggests further downside movement.
The price is currently around 1.07556, with a potential target of 1.05089 based on the measured move from the broken channel.
This target aligns with a key support level.
📌 Trading Plan:
Bears may look for sell opportunities below 1.07602.
Confirmation of further downside can be seen if the price stays below previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Bulls might wait for a potential reversal near the target zone.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Watch for pullbacks or retests of the broken support before entering a short position.
A break back above 1.08765 could invalidate the bearish setup.