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Gold (XAUUSD) Long Setup – Targeting Fresh Highs Bullish Move📊 Chart Breakdown & Market Context: This 30-minute chart of Gold Spot (XAU/USD) shows a strong bullish price structure that is currently forming higher lows while respecting dynamic trendline support. The chart illustrates demand and supply transfers, which are pivotal concepts in price action trading. Let’s explore the technical reasoning behind this trade setup: 🔄 1. Demand & Supply Shift Zones: Demand Transferred: Initially, price consolidated within the blue elliptical region. This area saw aggressive bullish pressure that pushed price upward, confirming the presence of institutional demand. As the market progressed, this demand shifted higher — now located at the most recent zone where price bounced after a pullback. Supply Transferred : A major bearish reaction zone was taken out after the market absorbed selling pressure. This suggests that sellers are no longer in control and demand is rebalancing in favor of buyers. 📈 2. Bullish Structure Confirmation: After the pullback on May 22, price formed a higher low, perfectly aligned with both the new demand zone and the ascending trendline support. This confirms that buyers are defending this area. The price is currently pushing upward from this demand, signaling a potential bullish continuation. The 50% equilibrium level of the recent bearish leg is being tested. A clean break and close above this level would confirm buyers’ dominance and could invite momentum trading interest. 🔵 3. Entry, Targets & Stop-Loss Plan: ✅ Entry: Entry is ideal from the current price region near 3,313 (or on minor retracement, maintaining RR). 🎯 Take Profit Zones: TP1 (~3,336): This is just above the 50% level and near the previous swing high. Partial take-profit here is wise in case price consolidates. TP2 (~3,360): Located at the upper resistance zone, marking the potential target if bullish momentum continues. ❌ Stop-Loss: SL: 3,287.891 — placed below the recent higher low and below the demand zone. This protects the trade from deeper pullbacks or breakdowns below structural support. 📉 4. Risk Management & Trade Psychology: Maintain a Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) of at least 1:2 to ensure profitable expectancy. Avoid over-leveraging, as we are trading near a key resistance zone (50% area). Watch for volume confirmation or strong bullish candles before fully committing to the trade. Use a trailing stop once TP1 is hit to secure profits toward TP2. ⚠️ 5. Key Considerations Before Execution: Monitor any macroeconomic events (e.g., Fed announcements, CPI/PPI, NFP) that may impact gold volatility. Check DXY (Dollar Index) — if the dollar weakens, gold will likely strengthen further. Volume behavior around the 50% zone will indicate breakout vs rejection. 🧠 Summary for Minds Section: Gold shows a clear higher-low structure supported by trendline and demand transfer. Buyers absorbed supply; now building momentum toward upper resistance zones. Entry near 3,313, SL under 3,288, TP1 ~3,336, TP2 ~3,360. Trend remains bullish unless trendline and demand zone are broken. 💡 Educational Takeaway: Watch for demand/supply shifts and trendline confirmations. This setup is a textbook example of structural continuation supported by market psychology and price action zones.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
3
Is US debt a threat to equity market recovery?Introduction: The equity market is marking time in the short term after a vertical uptrend since the beginning of April. There are many issues of fundamental concern, but one is currently front and center: the sustainability of US sovereign debt. Of course, it's far too early to talk about a US public debt crisis, but the new tax bill championed by the Trump Administration envisages raising the US debt ceiling by $4 trillion, putting short-term upward pressure on US bond yields on 10-, 20- and 30-year maturities. Is this a threat to the rebound in US equities since the beginning of April? 1) US bond yields reach macroeconomic warning zone The Trump Administration's tax bill calls for tax cuts and, above all, an increase in the US public debt ceiling by US$4 trillion to allow the US federal government to continue its massive indebtedness. The market is beginning to worry about this situation, as US debt is on the verge of surpassing the 1946 record when expressed as a percentage of US GDP. The annual interest burden on existing debt has reached US$880 billion, equivalent to the US defense budget. Chart showing the evolution of US public debt as a percentage of US GDP As a result, financial markets are expressing their concern with rising US bond yields on the long end of the yield curve. Chart showing Japanese candlesticks in daily data tu 10-year US bond yields Graph showing monthly Japanese candlesticks for the 30-year US bond yield. 2) The market is hoping for activation of the FED put to ease bond tension This upward pressure on US bond yields may represent a risk for the equity market, as higher US federal government yields will have a direct impact on US corporate borrowing rates. S&P 500 companies have solid balance sheets and should be able to cope, but long-term bond yields must not rise above 5/6%, as the financial situation of small and medium-sized US companies would then become problematic. This 5/6% threshold has been identified as the macroeconomic warning threshold for the majority of US companies. In such a scenario, the FED would be obliged to intervene directly on the bond market to relieve the pressure. 3) The S&P 500 is overheating in the short term, but the underlying uptrend is technically intact, and remains supported by the new record high in global liquidity. At this stage, technical analysis of the financial markets suggests that the upward rally since the beginning of April is not under threat. The market was overheated in the short term and needed to breathe. For the S&P 500 index, the consolidation is short-term in scope, and the recovery remains intact as long as the major technical support zone of 5700/5800 points remains intact. The 200-day moving average, shown in blue on the chart below, passes through this price range. Chart showing Japanese candlesticks in daily data for the S&P 500 future contract DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. 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TVC:US30Y
by Swissquote
1
NIFTY Possible Short Setup – Eye on 24,631 SupportNIFTY formed multiple reversal signals and is now showing signs of weakness after rejecting near 24,825. Volume is high at the top zone, indicating possible distribution. Current price : 24,789 Expected move: Pullback towards 24,727 and possibly to 24,631 (strong support) If price holds at 24,631, potential bounce is expected. Trade Plan : Entry (Short): Below 24,780 Target 1: 24,727 Target 2: 24,631 Stop Loss: Above 24,820 If support holds, watch for bullish reversal setups.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by Raguvaran_India
Market next move Original Analysis Summary: Price has entered a support area and is expected to bounce. Two possible bullish paths (blue & yellow arrows) suggest a continuation toward the marked target zone. --- Disruption Thesis: Bearish Reversal Setup 1. Overextended Rally Into Resistance The move up into the “support area” is sharp and fast, suggesting it's a liquidity grab. This zone might actually be a supply zone, where smart money is offloading. Disruption Call: Price could stall or reverse sharply from this area due to lack of follow-through volume. --- 2. Volume Profile Weakness Volume peaked earlier in the rally and is now diminishing, which often signals buyer exhaustion. Disruption Call: Fading bullish momentum implies a fakeout, not a breakout. --- 3. False Breakout / Bull Trap The green arrow assumes a bounce, but price may just be hovering to bait longs before dropping. Previous swing highs near 1.1320 may act as a strong rejection point. Disruption Call: A sudden drop below 1.1300, with a new bearish wave back to 1.1250 or lower.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move Original Analysis Recap: Support Zone marked just below the current price. Bearish Move Expected (red arrow) from current resistance. Bullish Bounce Expected after initial drop (blue and yellow arrows). Target is placed lower than current price, implying expected downward movement. --- Disruption / Contrarian Thesis: 1. Fakeout to the Downside (Bear Trap) The analysis assumes a rejection at resistance and a drop, but: After the large red candle previously, the market may have absorbed all selling pressure. Current consolidation shows higher lows—suggesting hidden buying. Disruption Call: A quick dip below support (triggering stops), followed by a strong bullish reversal breaking through the resistance zone. --- 2. Volume Insight Ignored Note that recent volume spiked on green candles during recovery. Current retracement has lower volume, suggesting it may be a pause in uptrend (not a reversal). Disruption Call: This is accumulation, not distribution. A breakout above 33.20 could happen, aiming for 33.40 or higher. --- 3. Structural Misinterpretation The “support” identified may not be valid—it’s part of the consolidation range. True demand zone could be deeper, around 32.90–33.00.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market rising up Original Analysis Overview: Support Zone: Clearly marked. "Flying" Point: Suggests a bullish breakout. Target: Indicates price will rise significantly. Arrows: Imply breakout is likely to follow bullish momentum. --- Disruption / Contrarian Viewpoint: 1. False Breakout Risk The tight consolidation just above the support line might indicate a bull trap—a false breakout intended to lure in long positions before a sharp reversal. The “flying” point might instead be a liquidity hunt. Disruption Call: Expect price to briefly break above resistance and then drop below support, invalidating the bullish thesis. 2. Volume Divergence Volume is not significantly increasing at the breakout point. True breakouts typically come with a volume surge. Disruption Call: Weak volume suggests lack of conviction. Price may revert back into the range or breakdown. 3. Macro Sentiment Shift If macroeconomic news (e.g., Fed policy, USD strength) flips bearish for gold, technical setups may get invalidated.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
BTC Re-Accumulation Breakout | Daily Close Confirmed | Phase DBitcoin just confirmed its first daily close above the pennant breakout, reclaiming the previous ATH (~110K) with conviction. We now have both structural breakout confirmation on the 1D chart and clear Wyckoff Phase D progression on the 4H. ⸻ 1D Chart Highlights: • Daily Close: 110,993 • Breakout from bullish pennant • Volume expanding into the breakout • RSI: 75.38 → strong momentum, not overbought exhaustion • TP Ladder: • TP1: 112.8K (Upper BB) • TP2: 116.2K (Fib 0.618) • TP3: 118.2K (Fib 0.66 + trailing) ⸻ 4H Chart Highlights (Wyckoff Re-Accumulation): • SPRING → TEST → LPS → SOS • Structure has shifted into Phase D • Currently forming a BU→ATH zone retest (textbook Back-Up) • Volume declining, showing lack of supply • RSI: 67.60 (bullish territory) ⸻ No Short Hedge Triggered ⸻ Summary: This is a low-risk consolidation above previous ATH, backed by strong momentum and classic Wyckoff mechanics. As long as BTC holds above ~110K and volume remains controlled, bullish continuation toward 116–118K remains the base case. ⸻ #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Crypto #Reaccumulation #Breakout #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis #PhaseD
Long
by BitcoinMillio18
Use a Top Down Approach to gather as much CONFLUENCE as possibleAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!! www.tradingview.com
Short
by Simply-Forex
25
BTCUSD Double Tap Into OB Before Massive Sell-Off! 2,000+ PipsHere’s why this could be one of the cleanest bearish setups of the week based on institutional flow and price action: 🚨 Step 1: Liquidity Engineering in Full Effect We’ve got multiple areas where price was engineered to grab liquidity — clearly visible with those highlighted zones. Bitcoin pumped into a Strong High, tagging liquidity above a key trendline while respecting an internal parallel channel. This move was not random. It was a textbook liquidity sweep. 🔁 Step 2: Order Block + 70.5% Fib Confluence After the sweep, price retraced precisely into a bearish Order Block that overlaps perfectly with the 70.5% Fibonacci level — a hidden gem Smart Money loves to use for optimal entries. It’s the sniper zone. This is where the first rejection came in, marking the start of bearish intent. ⚠️ Step 3: Break of Structure + Weak Low Exposed As price dropped, it broke back under a weak low, confirming shift in market structure. This is your Change of Character (ChoCh) — the moment sellers regain control. We’re now seeing retracement candles struggling to push above the OB/Fib zone. Rejection here confirms the setup. 🎯 Target Zones Breakdown: ✅ TP1 - Weak low around 110,200 ✅ TP2 - -27% Extension (~109,500) ✅ TP3 - -62% Fib extension (109,268) 🚀 Extended Target - Possible sweep of Sell Side Liquidity all the way to 108,000–107,500 This is a potential 2000+ pip move if the full extension plays out. 🧠 Market Psychology in Play: Institutions love to trap traders long after major breakouts. That last pump into the high? It wasn’t retail demand — it was liquidity generation. Now that they’ve swept the highs, they're driving price down to rebalance and mitigate. Every highlighted zone on this chart? It’s a Smart Money footprint. 📌 Entry Game Plan: Watch how price behaves around the current OB zone (111,250–111,618). If price rejects and flips back under the midpoint (111,116), that’s your trigger. Enter with tight SL above 111,750 and aim for TP1, TP2, and trail the rest to TP3 or lower. 📈 Risk Management Reminder: Set your SL above structure. Don’t overleverage — this is a clean setup, but patience is 🔑. Let price come to you, not the other way around. ✍️ Final Thoughts: This BTCUSD setup screams Smart Money — we’ve got: Liquidity grabs ✅ Clean OB + Fib confluence ✅ ChoCh + structural rejection ✅ Strong R:R with multiple targets ✅ This might be the move to catch before the weekend liquidity sweep. 💬 Comment "BTC MOVE" if you’re watching this with me! 🔁 Tag your trading fam who needs to see this breakdown!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88