Gold price short term recovery 3366⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Kansas City Federal Reserve President Jeff Schmid stated on Wednesday that the central bank has sufficient time to assess the impact of tariffs on inflation before making any decisions regarding interest rates. His remarks suggest a cautious approach and align with Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s comments from the previous day.
Chair Powell reaffirmed the view that there is no urgency to alter monetary policy, emphasizing a patient, data-driven approach as the Fed monitors economic developments. This less dovish tone from Fed leadership may help cap downside pressure on gold in the near term.
Meanwhile, money markets are fully pricing in two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with a September move seen as more probable than one in July—although expectations for a July cut have slightly increased since last week.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered and continued to accumulate, pay attention to the GAP 3366 area at the beginning of the week, selling pressure is still maintained.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: 3366- 3368 SL 3373
TP1: $3358
TP2: $3345
TP3: $3330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3303-$3301 SL $3296
TP1: $3315
TP2: $3328
TP3: $3340
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Beyond Technical Analysis
MSFT GEX Levels Say “Still Room to Run!”—Here’s the Trade Setup
Alright, traders, MSFT is showing some juice left in the tank based on today’s GEX profile.
💥 GEX & Options Sentiment
* GEX is positive with 9.95% call support, IVR at 1.7 (still low), and IVX dropping slightly. This gives the greenlight for calls if the breakout holds.
* Big GEX magnets sit near 492.5 → 497.5 → 500. That 500 level aligns with the 3rd call wall and is the key magnet if bulls take charge.
* As long as we stay above 485, we’re in a favorable zone supported by 39–50% GEX brackets.
📈 Best Option Trade Idea (Short-Term):
Consider 495C or 500C (0DTE or 2DTE) on any breakout above 492.5 with volume confirmation.
SL = below 485
TP = trail into 497.5 and partials before 500.
🔎 Chart View + Price Action Notes (1H)
From the second image:
* MSFT broke structure cleanly with multiple BOS and CHoCH confirmation. It’s consolidating in a bullish flag under 492.5.
* Volume stayed decent even during the flag, suggesting accumulation.
* Purple zone = liquidity pocket or SMC supply → break of that zone will unlock the 495/497 levels fast.
🚨 Trade Plan:
* If MSFT breaks above 492.5, enter with momentum. Use 485 as your invalidation zone.
* If it dips to 486–485, look for a bounce/retest entry for a better risk-reward.
Bias: Bullish
Trigger: Break of 492.5 or retest of 486 support
Target: 497.5 → 500 GEX wall
Stay sharp — follow the GEX, not the noise. 📊
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Always DYOR and manage your risk.
META is Heating Up! Time to Ride the Gamma Wave? 🔥 GEX Insight – Institutional Positioning:
META’s GEX chart is showing strong bullish sentiment:
* 📈 Highest Net GEX / Call Wall at $710, with stacked call resistance up to $740+.
* ✅ Current price at $712.10 has already pushed into the upper gamma zone — this puts $725 and $732.5 in play.
* 🟩 IVR at 5.5 + IVX dropping = low implied volatility zone — perfect time to buy calls cheap before volatility expansion.
* 🟢 GEX boxes: Full green lineup = highly supportive environment for bullish flow.
Options Idea:
🎯 Buy META 720C 06/28 (Friday expiry)
* Entry under $712.50
* Risk: below $703.00 (invalidates gamma push)
* Target 1: $725
* Target 2: $732.50 (GEX wall)
Why it works: You're riding on gamma exposure, a fresh breakout, and institutional positioning behind you.
Chart-Based Trading Plan (1H Structure):
META just broke above a long consolidation zone with:
* 🔄 Clean CHoCH → BOS → CHoCH bullish market structure.
* 🔼 Price retested the OB at ~$703–705, then bounced hard, forming a bull flag.
* ⛽ Volume spike and consolidation just below resistance at $715, with clear path toward the next SMC target at $740.
Trade Scenario:
* 📈 Bullish Play:
* Entry: Break above $713.00 (flag breakout)
* Target: $725, then $732.50
* Stop-Loss: Below $703 (last demand and CHoCH)
* 🧘♀️ Conservative Entry: Wait for pullback to $707–708 area (OB support), enter calls on bounce with tighter risk.
Wrap-up:
META’s GEX flow and technical structure are aligned for a potential continuation higher. You’ve got institutions buying calls into low IV, and price holding structure above BOS and CHoCH. Great odds for a momentum play to the upside — just don’t chase too high without a plan.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk with proper sizing and a risk management plan.
AAPL Bulls May Regain Momentum – Price Action Suggest a Bounce 🔍 GEX-Based Options Insight:
* GEX Cluster sits heavy at 204–206, marking a Gamma Wall / Resistance Zone.
* Highest NET GEX levels suggest 205–206 is a magnet if price builds strength.
* IVR: 16.2, IVX is low, indicating cheap premium for call buyers.
* Calls: 0.6% bias, showing a neutral-to-light bullish flow.
🟩 GEX Support: 197.5
🟥 PUT Walls: Below 192.5 and 190 (farther from current level)
🧠 Technical View (1H Chart):
* AAPL is pulling back into a demand zone while still respecting the upward channel.
* Just formed a CHoCH, signaling a potential reversal back up.
* Price is sitting on channel support + demand, with a recent BOS confirming bullish structure intact.
* Volume during this pullback is lower than the prior bullish leg—healthy retrace.
🔁 Trading Idea (for calls):
Entry:
🟢 Around 198.5–199 (channel and OB support zone)
Target 1:
📈 201.50 – retest of supply / GEX resistance
Target 2:
📈 204.88–206 – Gamma Wall target
Stop Loss:
🔴 Below 196.50, breaks OB and structure
🎯 Ideal Option Play:
* July 5th or July 12th 202 Calls
* Low IV makes this a decent R/R for directional play
* Momentum confirmation on reclaim of 200.80 gives confidence
💬 If AAPL can defend the current structure and flip 200.80 intraday, we may see a gamma chase back to 204+.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always trade with a plan and proper risk management.
PLTR Breaking Resistance: Gamma Squeeze Potential to $144–$148?🧠 GEX Insights – Options Setup
* Current Price: $143.23
* Highest Positive GEX Level: $142.00
* Next Call Walls:
* $144.00 → +31.09% GEX (3rd Call Wall)
* $148.00 → +46.45% GEX (2nd Call Wall)
* IVR: 13.7 (low)
* IVX Avg: 55.2 → IV is underpriced, suitable for long calls
* Call Flow: 37.3% bullish
* GEX Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (Bullish)
💡 Interpretation: Price is sitting above the highest positive GEX zone and just broke into the first major gamma wall at $143. If price sustains this breakout, market makers may be forced to hedge by buying more shares, leading to a gamma squeeze toward $144 → $148.
📊 Trade Idea – Technical Chart Thesis
From the second chart:
* Strong Break of Structure (BOS) just occurred above the $142.15 resistance
* Price reclaimed the pink supply zone and is attempting continuation
* Trendline support is intact from recent higher lows
* Volume is increasing on breakout, confirming momentum
📈 Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $143.20 (confirm breakout retest or continuation)
* Targets:
* TP1: $144.00
* TP2: $147.13
* Stretch TP: $148.00
* Stop-loss: Below $141.80 or trendline
* Options Play: Buy 6/28 or 7/5 $145C or $147C if volume continues rising
📉 Bearish Rejection Setup (if false breakout):
* If price fails to hold $143.00 and breaks $142.00 with volume → reverts to $139 zone
* Consider short-term PUT only if price reclaims below $141.80 with confluence
✅ Summary
* ✅ GEX favors CALLs, and breakout aligns with technical strength
* ✅ Volume + BOS + GEX = strong confluence
* ⚠️ Watch for consolidation near $144 and fade if unable to break
* 🎯 Most likely scenario: move to $144–$147 range by midweek
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade with proper risk management.
NVDA Heating Up: Gamma Walls Hint at 150+, Is This the Breakout?
📊 GEX Options Sentiment – Bullish Setup
The GEX (Gamma Exposure) landscape for NVDA shows strong bullish pressure:
* Highest Positive GEX & Gamma Wall at $147.80, which NVDA is testing now.
* Call Walls stacked at:
* $148.00 (59% GEX7)
* $149.00 (76.85% GEX8)
* $150.00 (76.23% GEX9)
* IVR: 1.7 (low implied volatility)
* Calls $%: 5.8%
* Sentiment: 🟢🟢🟢 (bullish)
This zone between 147.80–150 is a high-confluence area for a gamma squeeze, especially if NVDA can push and close above 148.00.
✅ Options Suggestion:
Consider 146C–150C (6/28 or 7/5 expiry) if NVDA reclaims 147.80 cleanly with volume. Low IVR makes this attractive for directional plays.
📉 1H Trading Plan – Price Action Analysis
On the 1H chart:
* Structure: Clean Break of Structure (BOS) after reclaiming previous resistance near 145.
* Current price is consolidating in a small supply zone (purple box) at highs.
* Trendline support from June lows is intact.
* Previous CHoCH levels and demand zone between 142–143 remain unbroken — a bullish structure.
Trade Scenarios:
🔼 Bullish Breakout Setup:
* Entry: Above 148.00 breakout (watch for volume confirmation)
* Target: 149.50 → 152.00 → 154.00 (top GEX zones)
* Stop: Below 145.00 (invalidates the breakout)
🔽 Bearish Fade (Only if rejection):
* Entry: Rejection from 148.00 with high volume + failed reclaim
* Target: 145.00 → 143.50
* Stop: Above 148.50
🎯 Final Thoughts
NVDA is sitting right under its gamma squeeze trigger. A breakout above 148 backed by GEX momentum could see a quick move toward 150+. This is a high-conviction zone — but don’t chase blindly. Watch price action around 147.80–148.00 for confirmation.
This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trade at your own risk and always use proper risk management.
TSLA: GEX Points to Bounce Setup. Is This the Dip to Load Calls?📊 GEX-Based Options Suggestion
Gamma Exposure (GEX) data paints a bullish opportunity if TSLA holds the critical support zones:
* ✅ Key GEX Levels:
* $338: Near current price, minor GEX flip zone.
* $345–$350: Strong upward magnets (3rd Call Wall + GEX build-up).
* $359: Gamma Wall + Highest Net Positive GEX — market makers may pin price near this into end of week if bulls hold.
* 🛡️ Below Support:
* $330: Light PUT defense.
* $320: Major Put Support (-67.5%) — strong bounce zone if downside accelerates.
🔔 Option Trade Idea Based on GEX:
With TSLA near the $338 zone and GEX showing stacked resistance above + positive net exposure, a high-risk/reward call entry is forming.
* Play: Buy 345C or 350C expiring 06/28 or 07/05
* Trigger: Only if price holds $335+ and shows strength with volume bounce
* Target: $345 → $350 → potential pin near $359 (Gamma Wall)
* Stop: Close under $332 invalidates the bounce setup
🧠 Trading Setup – 1H Chart (Second Image)
From the second image, we analyze price action and structure to validate the GEX idea:
📉 Market Structure:
* Price is pulling back into a prior demand zone from $335–$338.
* Trendline support + Fair Value Gap zone + SMC CHoCH aligning at this base.
* Multiple bullish CHoCHs suggest potential reaccumulation if support holds.
🎯 Trading Plan Based on Price Action:
Bullish Case (Base Holds):
* Entry: $335–$338 zone (bounce off trendline and demand zone)
* Target: $345 (GEX level) → $348 → $350
* Stop-Loss: $331
High confluence with GEX option play. Use volume spike for confirmation.
Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
* Trigger: Loss of $331 + trendline break
* Target: $325 → $320 (strong PUT wall support)
* Put Options: 325P or 320P if breakdown triggers with momentum
⚠️ Summary:
TSLA is entering a decision zone — GEX shows bullish opportunity if $335 support holds, with upside targets toward $350–$359. But if price breaks under $330, expect a flush toward PUT support.
Patience is key — let price confirm the bounce or the break.
This setup is for educational purposes only. Trade with discipline and use stops. Always do your own research.
SOXL 1D — With a base like this, the ride’s worth itOn the daily chart of SOXL, since early March, a textbook inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed and is now in its activation phase. The left shoulder sits at $16.67, the head at $7.21, and the right shoulder at $15.11. The symmetry is classic, with volume stabilization and a narrowing range — all the elements are in place.
The key moment was the breakout through the descending daily trendline around $19.00. Price didn’t just pierce the level — it held above it, signaling a phase shift. There was an attempt to break through the 0.5 Fibonacci level at $19.60, which led to a pullback — not on heavy selling, but on decreasing volume. This wasn’t a rejection, it was a pause.
This pullback serves as a retest of the breakout zone and the 20-day moving average. The overall structure remains bullish: price stays above all key EMAs and MAs, RSI climbs past 60, and the candlestick structure is stable. Volume rises during up moves and fades during pullbacks — classic signs of reaccumulation.
The measured target from the pattern is $32.00, calculated from the head-to-neckline height projected from the breakout point. As long as price holds above $18.40, the setup remains intact. A break above $19.60 with confirmation would open the door to acceleration.
This isn’t a momentum play — it’s a setup months in the making. The structure is there, the confirmation is there, and most importantly — the price behavior makes sense. With a base like this, the ride ahead looks worth taking.
PEKAT CONT MARKING UPThis is a continuation of my prev thesis for Pekat
**Refer prev post
Since my previous position, Pekat has been always under my radar.
(This is a Stepping Stone Zone, Continuation from previous Mark Up Phase)
what caught my attention, the formation of BUEC consistenly unfolding in the background of reducing supply (red arrow)
With the formation : type #2 schematic of feather's weight (black line)
*No springboard here. difficult to see this kind of setup
although the entry point, a bit extended comparing to my average price entry, but it was still contained within the limit (not more than 2%)
Position intiated as attached
PureWyckoff
APX Rebound in Play?📈 “APX Rebound in Play? Eyeing the AUD 1.55 Resistance”
Appen (APX) has shown a significant uptick today, closing at AUD 1.040 (+5.58%) with a sharp volume spike (8.96M shares) that could suggest accumulation. After a long downtrend, price appears to be consolidating above key support near AUD 1.00, forming a potential base for reversal.
🔍 Chart Highlights:
Support Zone: AUD 1.000 – strong historical level holding.
Resistance Targets: → AUD 1.555 → AUD 1.655 → AUD 1.785
R/R Setup: Defined green zone shows potential upside if momentum continues; red zone clearly marks invalidation below support.
🧠 Thesis: If APX maintains momentum and holds above AUD 1.00, we may be witnessing a structural shift with upside potential toward AUD 1.78 in stages. Breakout traders might watch for confirmation via volume and price action at each resistance.
💬 “Could we be looking at an early-stage reversal or just a dead-cat bounce? Watching the 1.00 level closely.”
#ASX #APX #APPEN #MJTRADING #TRADING #SHARE #STOCKMARKET #BUY #CHART #MONEYMANAGEMENT
NZD_CAD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_CAD will soon retest a key resistance level of 0.8320
So I think that the pair will make a pullback
And go down to retest the demand level below at 0.8267
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 24th June 2024)Bias: Bearish
USD News(Red Folder):
-Fed Chair Powell Testifies
Notes:
- Strong bearish closure on daily
- Looking for a break & retest on 4hr structure
- Potential SELL if there's
confirmation on lower timeframe
- Pivot point: 3370
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
us30 analysis 25-06-2025There was engulfing in the 4 hour candle and the next candle was a shooting star. So there is a lot of liquidity in the previous engulfing. So the market can come to 22092 to grab this liquidity. However, to take an entry, you should take confirmation of lower time frames like 1 minute, 5 minutes.
CRV Range Reclaim — Eyes on $0.70 After Classic Deviation Setup🎯 BINANCE:CRVUSDT Trading Plan:
Active Range Setup:
Long Trigger: Deviation and reclaim below $0.5585
Target: $0.70 (mid/upper range)
Stops: Below most recent deviation
Alternative:
If $0.47–$0.50 is swept, look for LTF reversal signals for a new long entry
No Macro Shift:
Stay in range-trading mode until daily/weekly close above $0.76
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Play the range: long on deviations and reclaims, take profit at range high or $0.70
Reassess for higher timeframes only after $0.70–$0.72 or $0.47–$0.50 is hit
🚨 Risk Warning:
Don’t chase mid-range — entries are only at extremes or after deviations
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – June 25, 2025👋👋 Hello traders!
Gold is still moving down strongly. Today’s plan is made for traders who want clear and precise levels. Let’s look at the structure, important zones, and where to watch for trades.
1. Higher Timeframe Overview (Daily, H4, H1)
Daily: Price is falling near the 200 EMA around 3323. RSI shows less buying strength. We wait for a clear move.
H4: The trend is down with lower highs at 3418 and lower lows at 3311. RSI is low, showing weak buying. Price is near the 200 EMA.
H1: Small bounce up to 3328–3332 resistance. RSI is weak, so price must break this zone to move higher.
2. Lower Timeframe Details (M30, M15)
M30: EMA5 crossed above EMA21 but price is near resistance at 3328–3332. RSI is neutral.
M15: Price broke a small wedge up but is limited by EMA21 and EMA50. RSI near 58 shows price could be overbought.
3. Key Zones and How to Trade Them
🔻 Sell Zone: 3345 – 3352
Look for signs that price rejects this zone (wicks, bearish candles) before selling.
🟡 Flip / Decision Zone: 3360 – 3380
Do not trade here. This zone will show if trend changes. Wait for clear confirmation.
🟢 Buy Zone: 3300 – 3285
Look for price rejection and strong buying signs before buying here.
🟢 Deep Buy Zone: 3265 – 3272
Only buy here if price goes below 3280 and shows strength.
4. What to Do
Current price is about 3323.
If price goes above 3332, watch the sell zone 3345–3352 for a short trade.
If price drops below 3332, expect a move down to the buy zone 3300–3285.
Do not buy above 3360 without a clear trend change.
Be patient and wait for good signals.
5. Important Levels
Zone Price Range Notes
Sell Zone 3345 – 3352 Best short zone
Flip Zone 3360 – 3380 Wait and watch, no trades
Buy Zone 3300 – 3285 Good buy zone
Deep Buy Zone 3265 – 3272 Last buy chance
📣 If you like clear and simple plans, please like, comment, and follow
I’m part of Trade Nation’s Influencer Program and get paid to use their charts.
HYPE: Distribution Zone — Best RR for Shorts?🎯 KUCOIN:HYPEUSDT Trading Plan:
Active Short Scenario:
Entry: $37–$45 zone
Invalidation: Daily closes above $45.8 (cut/derisk)
Partial TP: $27.5 (0.5 retrace), $22 (weekly gap), $13 (monthly demand)
No Longs:
Avoid opening fresh longs in this structure/zone
Wait for reclaim and closes above $45.8 for any long bias
🔔 Triggers & Confirmations:
Add on weakness/rejection at highs
Derisk or close if daily closes above range
🚨 Risk Warning:
Strong squeeze risk if range high breaks
Be disciplined with stops
NATGAS SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅NATGAS is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 3.450$
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target of 3.600$
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC: neutral case analysisBITFINEX:BTCUSD
Hello
Based on last 3 bull cycles and bear cycles, I did some calculations and this pattern is the result of it.
Take it with a pinch of salt, this might not even be close, but just past data gives me this fractal.
Here are the peak Bitcoin (BTC) prices for the years you mentioned:
2013: $1,156
2017: $19,497
2021: $67,566
We can now treat these as the values of the quadratic function:
a=1156 (for year 2013)
b=19497 (for year 2017)
c=67566 (for year 2021)
However, to apply the formula:
Price(x) = a⋅x2 + b⋅x + c
Using a quadratic fit to the BTC peak prices in 2013, 2017, and 2021, we get the following estimated prices:
2017: $19,497 (matches actual)
2021: $67,566 (matches actual)
2025: $145,363
Above is the AI calculation, I think it is about right.
Happy trading
Cheers
Gold Trading Analysis and Strategies for Sideways Decline MarketAfter Trump announced a comprehensive ceasefire agreement between Israel and Iran, market risk aversion significantly cooled, and gold prices plunged by more than $30 in early trading. Although the stability of the ceasefire agreement remains doubtful, the rebound in risk appetite has dominated market trends, with stock markets rebounding, oil prices falling, and demand for safe-haven assets declining.
From a technical perspective, the moving average system on the daily chart of gold shows an intertwined state, indicating a relative balance between bulls and bears. The current key resistance above is near 3350, which is an important psychological threshold. If effectively broken, it may open up upward space; the lower support is focused on the 3285-3290 range, which is the lower edge of the May consolidation platform. A break below this level may intensify correction pressure. The loss of the midline in the 4-hour chart further confirms the short-term weak structure, providing technical support for the downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3330-3340
tp:3320-3310
buy@3285-3290
tp:3310-3320
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption Analysis – BTC/USDT
1. False Bullish Narrative
The chart labels the structure as “Bullish”, yet recent price action shows:
A strong rejection near 106,000.
Followed by multiple red candles with increasing volume — a common sign of sell pressure re-entering the market.
The bullish label may be premature or misleading based on this momentum shift.
2. Bearish Structure Developing
The price is starting to form a lower high after the sharp drop.
The outlined path resembles a head-and-shoulders pattern in early development, often preceding a bearish breakdown.
The breakdown could lead directly to the "Target" zone or even below if momentum increases.
3. Volume Divergence
The volume spike during the pump was not sustained. Post-spike, volume is declining on green candles, suggesting buyers are exhausted.
Sellers are likely using liquidity at the top to exit positions, not initiate new longs.
4. Support Turned Resistance
The red boxes mark failed support zones which now may act as resistance.
If price attempts to retest these zones and fails, it would confirm bearish control and validate the downward path toward the target (104,400–104,000).