How I Used COT to Make $2,450 in Crude Oil This WeekI show you my process from start to finish, the same process I use every week to profit from the markets.
-Fundamental Setup
-Confirmation
-Technical Entry
-Exit/Stop
Beyond Technical Analysis
69.374-70.880 section is a crossroads
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the SPOTCRUDE chart.
--------------------------------------
(SPOTCRUDE 1M chart)
We need to see whether it will rise along the trend line (1) or fall along the trend line (2).
Since the volume profile section is formed around 75.723, the key is whether it can rise above this section.
If it fails to rise, it will eventually meet the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart.
Currently, the HA-Low indicator of the 1M chart is formed at 43.327.
-
(1D chart)
The M-Signal indicators of the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are in reverse arrangement.
Therefore, in order to continue the upward trend, it must eventually rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart.
Therefore, the key is which direction it deviates from the 69.374-70.880 section.
When the competition started,
- If the price is maintained above 70.880, the long position is expected to be advantageous,
- If the price is maintained below 69.374, the short position is expected to be advantageous.
However, since the overall trend of the chart is down, a short and quick response is required when trading with a long position.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
ES UpdateSo MFI hit oversold this morning as the gap filled, so I figured we'd get a bounce....
but it looks like hedge funds sold off every algo pump and MFI totally flatlined at the bottom.
How do I know hedge funds were liquidating? Crap like FCEL went green because they close their short positions when they close their long positions.
Yeah, I got a little stupid and lost some money today, I tried to warn my followers in my comments not to go long today, sure enough market sold off EOD.
I think it's time to do chart pattern short plays. Will let you know if I see anything good.
NEARUSDT 1H SHORTOpened a short position NEAR
Since in the short term, the first signs of a decline are visible. The position was opened at a price of $3.023
Targets:
$2.965
$2.934
$2.895
$2.820
$2.759
Risk management - 1% on stop order
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless MindHere you have Charles Thomas Munger, the permanent vice president of one of the most successful companies in the world, Berkshire Hathaway. He was not at the origins of this business, but it was Charles, together with Warren Buffett, who turned a dying enterprise into a star of the world stock market. It didn't take a Master's degree in Business Administration or incredible luck. As Mr. Munger said, to succeed you don't necessarily have to strive to be the smartest, you just have to be not stupid and avoid the standard ways of failure. He worked as a meteorologist, then a lawyer, and finally as someone we know well - an investor who inspired many to take a smart approach to business and their own lives.
“I don’t think you should become president or a billionaire because the odds are too great against you. It is much better to set achievable goals. I didn't set out to become rich, I set out to be independent. I just went a little overboard”, Charles joked. Wake up every morning, work hard, be disciplined and surprisingly, everything will work out very well. This commandment sounds a little archaic in times of rapid rise and easy money. However, for anyone who thinks years and decades ahead, it is difficult to come up with something better.
Speaking to students at his hometown University of Michigan, Mr. Munger said the most important decision you make in life is not your business career, but your marriage. It will do more good or bad for you than anything else. He attached such great importance to human relationships. This correlates strongly with a study of human happiness that has been ongoing for over 85 years under the auspices of Harvard University. The scientists' main conclusion was that everything we build (portfolios, businesses, strategies) is worthless if there is no person in our lives to whom we can say a simple “I'm here”. Or “Thank you”. Or “I love you”.
The healthiest and happiest in old age were not those subjects who earned the most. And those who have maintained good, trusting relationships. Marital. Friendly. Related. And in this light, Charles Munger's words about caution, moderation and common-sense sound quite different. It's not about money. It's about a life that can be lived with the feeling that you have enough. That you don't have to be a hero. That you can just be a reasonable person. Loving. Healthy. Calm.
Perhaps this is the main secret of Mr. Munger's success in the stock market? In the long run, the one who has already won achieves a positive result.
November 28th, 2023, was the last day of the cheerful Charlie's life. There were 34 days left until his 100th birthday.
HOOK/USDT Technical AnalysisThe market is showing signs of a bullish recovery, with price pushing into a key resistance zone after a strong move up. The Fibonacci retracement levels suggest that the price might face resistance around the 0.236 or 0.382 levels, where a pullback could occur. If buyers maintain control, the uptrend may continue, but there is also a possibility of a retracement to form a lower high before the next move. The RSI is climbing, indicating strengthening momentum, but traders should watch for rejection signals at resistance before confirming further direction.
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 3044.61
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
I will tell you about the XAAUSD chart.
--------------------------------------
(XAAUSD 1D chart)
It is continuously updating the new high (ATH).
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained above 3044.61 and rise to around the Fibonacci ratio 1.414 (3102.84).
Therefore, if the price is maintained above 3044.61 when the competition starts, a long position is expected to be advantageous.
-
(30m chart)
The areas marked with circles correspond to support and resistance areas.
Among them, the important support and resistance areas are around 3044.61, 3019.81, and 2998.08.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
TON Claims $4 Pivot Amidst A Golden Cross PatternThe price of CRYPTOCAP:TON spiked 9% today reclaiming the $4 price pivot with further growth set to occur amidst a "Golden Cross" pattern.
The Open Network ( CRYPTOCAP:TON ) is a revolutionary blockchain platform designed to handle millions of transactions per second. It uses a unique multi-blockchain architecture with dynamic sharding and instant messaging between chains.
The system aims to make blockchain technology accessible to everyday users through integration with messaging apps and user-friendly services. TON has become one of the fastest-growing blockchain ecosystems, with numerous decentralized applications and services being built on its infrastructure.
As of the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:TON is up 9% trading within overbought regions as hinted by the RSI at 78.78 with growing momentum and the appearance of a golden cross pattern, a breakout to $6 is feasible.
For TON, a breakout above the 1-month high pivot could cement a move to the $6 region. Similarly, in the case of a cool-off, given the RSI is overbought, the 38.2% Fibonacci level is acting as support for $TON.
Toncoin Price Live Data
The live Toncoin price today is $3.96 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $285,169,930 USD. Toncoin is up 8.27% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #12, with a live market cap of $9,833,721,005 USD. It has a circulating supply of 2,484,304,181 TON coins and the max. supply is not available.
NVDIAgain...long at 111.43This is gonna be my 6th long idea on NVDA since Mid-December. Sorry if this is getting boring, but if it keeps working, why stop?
It's not in a great pattern, but then again it wasn't the other 5 times, either. It has been in a downtrend since early December, but even stocks in downtrends don't have to go down in straight lines, and that's what I'm counting on here. There is some support semi-close by, too.
It's a good company, and trading them in tough times (I think the last 6 weeks qualifies there, don't you?) gives me the best odds of making money. NVDA has never let me down - literally never. Sometimes it takes longer than others, but it always pays. I haven't updated my W/L record on it lately, but the 5 trades on the chart are the last 5 I've made and it was undefeated before all of them. You can go back and look at them if you desperately want to know - I know it's in at least one of those but I don't feel like going back and looking for the exact number right now. I know it's at least 100s to 0. Edit: I felt bad being lazy so I went and looked it up. It's 722-0, and that's a good enough reason for me to trade it today.
So I'm long at 111.43, but I am making a little twist to my usual trade plan. I will be adding if it falls, but not using my usual methodology. It's a twist I've been working on for trading downtrending stocks. It's complicated, so I'll just update here whenever I add, and the adds will still be near the close when I make them. I will still use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any reasonable profit.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
Ripple Partners with Chipper Cash To Boost Cross-Border PaymentsRipple partners with Chipper Cash to expand cross-border payments in Africa, leveraging blockchain for faster, affordable transactions.
Ripple has announced a strategic collaboration with Chipper Cash to expand its payment solutions to Africa after securing a win against the US SEC earlier this week. Through Ripple Payments, the collaboration intends to foster cross border payments in the African regions.
Notably, the crypto platform’s alliance with Chipper Cash provides a fast, low-cost, and efficient payment system that unites international treaties.
Despite the partnership and important victory over the SEC, Ripples native coin ( CRYPTOCAP:XRP ) seems unbothered by the development with the asset maintaining the $2.3 price pivot. A break above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement point might cement a bullish breakout for CRYPTOCAP:XRP with eyes set on $5 and beyond.
Similarly, in the case of a cool-off, CRYPTOCAP:XRP might find support in the 65% Fibonacci retracement level before picking liquidity up albeit the RSI is at 48 which is a strong sign of a bullish reversal lurking around the corners.
XRP Price Live Data
The live XRP price today is $2.35 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $2,950,161,398 USD. XRP is down 0.54% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #4, with a live market cap of $137,073,610,487 USD. It has a circulating supply of 58,205,697,378 XRP coins and a max. supply of 100,000,000,000 XRP coins.
From MAGA to DEFI: The Trump Crypto ConnectionThe relationship between decentralized finance (DeFi), the Trump family, and Kevin O’Leary in 2025 centers around their public involvement in the crypto and blockchain space, particularly highlighted by their participation in events like DeFi World 2025 and specific DeFi projects tied to their names or influence.
The Trump family, notably Donald Trump Jr. and former President Donald Trump, has increasingly engaged with DeFi and cryptocurrency. Donald Trump Jr. spoke at the DeFi World 2025 Conference in Denver on February 26, alongside Kevin O’Leary, signaling a growing interest in blockchain’s potential to shape finance. Posts on X from DeFi confirm their appearances, with Trump Jr. scheduled at 3:00 PM and O’Leary at 3:45 PM, reflecting a shared platform to promote DeFi’s future. Beyond this event, the Trump family is linked to World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a DeFi project launched in September 2024. WLFI aims to democratize crypto lending and borrowing while reinforcing the U.S. dollar’s dominance, operating on Aave’s v3 protocol.
Although Donald Trump and his family are not direct operators of WLFI, the project leverages the Trump brand, with 70% of its token supply held by insiders and 75% of revenues directed to DT Marks DEFI LLC, a Trump-connected entity. Trump himself has pushed pro-crypto policies, including banning central bank digital currencies and exploring a national crypto stockpile, aligning with DeFi’s ethos of decentralization.
Kevin O’Leary, a Canadian investor and “Shark Tank” star, has been a vocal DeFi advocate since at least 2021, when he invested heavily in DeFi Ventures (later renamed WonderFi), targeting 4.5–8% yields on crypto assets. His participation in DeFi World 2025 alongside Trump Jr. underscores his ongoing commitment. O’Leary sees DeFi as a way to bypass financial middlemen, predicting it could transform trading within years. His practical involvement contrasts with the Trump family’s more symbolic and policy-driven engagement, though both share a bullish stance on crypto’s future.
I`m extremely bullish on this coin at this level.
BTC Bitcoin Price Target by Year EndSeveral factors support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $97,500 by the end of the year:
Institutional Adoption and Treasury Investments: Companies like GameStop are incorporating Bitcoin into their treasury reserves, following the lead of firms such as MicroStrategy. GameStop plans to raise $1.3 billion for Bitcoin purchases, indicating growing corporate confidence in BTC as a store of value.
Supportive Regulatory Environment: The U.S. administration has pledged to make the country the "undisputed Bitcoin superpower and crypto capital of the world." Plans include introducing clear regulations for stablecoins and market structures, aiming to stimulate investment and innovation in the crypto sector.
Positive Price Forecasts: Analysts have set bullish targets for Bitcoin, with some predicting prices ranging from $120,000 to $150,000 by year-end. These projections are based on factors like supply shocks and increased institutional adoption.
Seasonal Trends and Market Liquidity: Historically, the second quarter has been favorable for Bitcoin, with increased market liquidity and investor interest. Currently, approximately $31.8 billion in "dry powder" is poised to enter the crypto markets, potentially driving prices higher.
Finite Supply and Growing Demand: Bitcoin's capped supply of 21 million coins, coupled with rising global demand, supports its long-term value appreciation. Its growing acceptance and technological advancements, despite evolving regulatory landscapes, bolster its investment appeal.
These factors collectively suggest a favorable environment for Bitcoin to approach or surpass the $97,500 mark by year-end.
XAUUSD – Refined Daily Plan w/ Sniper Entries🔹 HTF Bias (D1 + H4)
🔼 Overall trend: Bullish
Price is inside a Premium HTF zone (3065–3090)
Daily and H4 structure are bullish, but price is testing a major liquidity zone
Reaction expected either:
✅ Bullish continuation on breakout
🔁 Short-term rejection for retracement ➤ sniper setups engage
🧠 Current Setup Situation (M15–H4 Context)
📍 Price is consolidating below 3065, forming equal highs ➤ liquidity sitting above
M15 + M30 show clear FVG + OB confluence zones
H4 has no CHoCH yet — structure intact
Strategy: reactive entries based on smart money reaction
🔻 SNIPER SELL SETUP (Scalp to Retrace)
🎯 Sell Plan:
Entry Zone: 3064.5 – 3066
SL: Above 3070 (above wick + LQ)
TP1: 3041 → M30 FVG
TP2: 3020 → H1 bullish OB
TP3: 3008 → large imbalance (LTF)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Price must:
Sweep liquidity above equal highs
Show M15 or M5 bearish BOS / engulfing
Ideally with shift in order flow (CHoCH)
✅ Confluences:
D1 & H4 Premium zone
M15 OB + FVG
Liquidity resting above 3065
🔺 SNIPER BUY SETUP (Continuation)
🎯 Buy Plan:
Entry Zone: 3016–3020
SL: Below 3010
TP1: 3035
TP2: 3055
TP3: 3065 (liquidity revisit)
⚠️ Entry Conditions:
Clean rejection from OB zone
Bullish candle (M15/M30) or LTF BOS
No full break below 3008 – that invalidates buy
✅ Confluences:
Clean OB + FVG (M30 / H1)
Sits in discount zone after potential rejection
H4 demand & D1 continuation zone
🧭 Decision Tree
→ If price breaks 3065 + holds → wait for retest → long continuation
→ If price sweeps 3065 + shows rejection → sniper sell
→ If price drops to 3020 → look for long
→ If price breaks 3008 → wait for structure to reset
🧼 Summary:
HTF = Bullish
Active zone = 3065 (reaction zone)
Trade reaction, not prediction
Let price come to your zone. Then strike like a sniper 🧠⚔️
Sniper setups only execute after LTF confirmation
🧠 Structure > Emotion
🎯 Setup > Impulse
💬 If this breakdown helped you, support the post:
🔁 Boost / Like to help more traders see it
✅ Follow for clean daily plans, sniper setups & SMC flow
Let’s grow together, one smart trade at a time 📈
XAUUSD – H4 Trading Plan📍 Structure
✅ Market structure: Bullish
🔼 Recent BOS confirms continuation
📈 Price is pushing into resistance zone @ 3065
⚠️ No CHoCH yet = no shift, but signs of potential slowing momentum
🧩 Zones of Interest
🔵 3065–3090 → Supply / Premium zone
– Major liquidity draw
– Inside weekly imbalance → potential reversal zone
🔵 2955 → Prior range high + FVG
– Ideal first mitigation target
🔵 2790–2800 → OB zone + consolidation base
– Swing target if breakdown continues
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout
Break & retest of 3065 (clean H4 close above)
LTF entry (M15–H1) on pullback
🎯 Target: ATH sweep (3100+)
🛡️ SL: Below HL or valid OB
🔽 Bearish Rejection
Strong reaction from 3065–3090 zone
Wait for H4 CHoCH → then Lower High
🎯 TP1: 2955
🎯 TP2: 2800
🛡️ SL: Above rejection wick
📌 Notes
✋ No short without H4 CHoCH confirmation
🧠 Structure is king – reaction first, entry second
Premium zone = decision zone → be reactive, not predictive
XAUUSD – Daily (D1) Analysis🧱 Market Structure
The D1 structure is clearly bullish – price is printing HHs and HLs consistently.
Current push is a continuation from previous consolidation, breaking structure upwards.
No CHoCH or BOS bearish yet – buyers still in control.
🔵 Key Zones (marked on your chart)
1. Near-term Liquidity / Resistance
Price is approaching a marked supply zone / premium area at the top (same one from W1).
This is likely to act as a reaction point – either:
Sweep liquidity and reverse
Break through and continue higher
2. Imbalances / Mitigation Zones Below Price
These zones are clean mitigation targets if price rejects from the top:
Zone Level Description
2955 Fair value gap / inefficiency (imbalance)
2790–2800 Strong structure zone + FVG + OB
2740–2750 Potential OB + previous consolidation
2495 Deep retracement level – less likely short-term
🧩 Order Flow Observation
Very little sign of exhaustion in candles right now.
The only reason to expect reversal is if:
Price hits the extreme premium zone
We see a strong daily rejection or
Lower timeframes shift (CHoCH / BOS)
📉 EMA Perspective (implied)
Assuming EMA 21/50/200:
Price is well above EMA 21 & 50, indicating strong short-term bullish trend.
A return to EMA 21 (probably around ~2950–2970) would be a healthy pullback.
📌 Bias – Daily
Term Bias Reason Daily
✅ Bullish Clean bullish structure, no shift Short-term
⚠️ Watchful
If price hits supply zone with reaction
Ideal setup
Rejection from premium + CHoCH on H4/H1
🧠 Trade Ideas (based on D1)
🔼 Bullish Scenario
Price holds above 3060 and breaks 3090+
Entry on breakout + retest of minor OB on H1
Target: ATH sweep and continuation
SL: Below minor HL / reaction low
🔽 Bearish Scenario
Price enters supply zone → forms bearish D1 candle (engulfing / pinbar)
Look for CHoCH on H4/H1 to enter short
Target levels: 2950 ➝ 2800 ➝ 2750
SL: Above daily high or OB
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
XAUUSD – Weekly (W1) Trading Plan🧱 Market Structure
Clear bullish structure with sustained Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL).
Strong impulsive candles show aggressive bullish momentum, no signs of exhaustion yet.
Order flow remains bullish until proven otherwise.
🔍 Key Zones (S&D, FVGs, Gaps)
🔝 Premium Zone
Current price is within this premium area, which contains a weekly FVG / imbalance.
Price is reacting inside this inefficiency (3064–3094) → draw on liquidity.
This is not a demand zone, but rather a sell-side trap area for late buyers.
Possibilities:
Price fully fills the gap to ~3094 → then reverses (bearish reaction).
Or, price continues pushing up for ATH sweep (liquidity above all-time-high).
🧩 Below Current Price – Mitigation Zones
🔵 2900–2950: Minor imbalance, could be used as short-term retracement target.
🔵 2750–2800: OB + structural retest zone → high-interest mitigation area.
🔵 ~2480–2550: Deep retracement zone – valid only if major structure breaks.
📈 EMA Overview
(Assuming standard 5/21/50/200 EMA stack)
Price is far above all EMAs → strong bullish sentiment.
A revisit to the 21 or 50 EMA (weekly) would represent healthy retracement.
⚖️ Bias
Term Direction Reason
Long-term ✅ Bullish Strong structure, unmitigated imbalances above
Medium-term ⚠️ Neutral-to-bullish Depends on reaction from 3064–3094
Short-term 🔄 Await reaction LTF confirmation needed for short setups
🎯 Trade Scenarios
🟩 Bullish Continuation
If price uses 3064–3094 as support (mitigation → continuation)
Targets: New ATH above 3100+
Strategy: Wait for bullish PA confirmation (engulfing / BOS on D1/H4)
🟥 Bearish Rejection
If price shows strong bearish reaction from 3064–3094 zone
Ideal confirmation: bearish engulfing / CHoCH on H4/H1
Targets:
TP1: 2950
TP2: 2800
SL above the high (once structure confirms)
⏳ What to Watch Next
Weekly close relative to the 3064–3094 zone
Daily/H4 candlestick behavior: rejection vs continuation
Look for divergence between price and momentum, or exhaustion candles
EUR/USD analysis – two Key Scenarioshello guys.
The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a strong bullish surge, breaking through key resistance levels. However, two possible scenarios emerge from this critical point:
🔴 First Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price could retrace to the 1.07-1.072 demand zone before resuming its upward trajectory.
If support holds, the pair may climb towards the 1.10-1.105 resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
🔵 Second Scenario (Bearish Reversal):
If bullish momentum fades, a deeper correction may follow, breaking below the key support zone.
This could lead the price toward the 1.04-1.043 area, marking a retest of previous lows and reinforcing bearish sentiment.
-------------------
Conclusion:
The current level serves as a critical decision point. If price sustains above support ($1.072-$1.068), bullish momentum may continue. However, a break below could signal a bearish correction, shifting market sentiment. Traders should watch key levels for confirmation of either scenario.
INTC Intel Price Target by Year-EndIntel Corporation (INTC) has been trading near a key technical support level, forming a triple bottom on the chart—a bullish reversal pattern that suggests a potential upside move. The stock currently trades with a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.44, which reflects moderate valuation levels compared to industry peers.
Intel’s turnaround strategy, focused on rebuilding its foundry business and strengthening its position in the AI and data center markets, is starting to show signs of progress. The company’s push into advanced chip manufacturing and strategic partnerships with major tech firms have positioned it for improved revenue growth in the coming quarters.
Technically, the triple bottom pattern indicates strong buying interest at current levels, reinforcing the case for a potential breakout. Combined with the improving outlook for chip demand and Intel’s strategic shift toward AI, a price target of $28 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels.
Investors should monitor Intel’s progress in its foundry business and AI initiatives, as any positive developments in these areas could accelerate momentum toward the $28 target.
Gold breaks out for new highs. Ideal for shorting!Today, major funds in the gold market are rapidly covering their short positions, triggering a short - term technical rebound. Despite the bearish outlook remaining solid from a fundamental perspective, investors should prioritize prudent position sizing and effective risk management. Notably, once this corrective upward movement concludes, the market may face a more pronounced downward trend.
XAUUSD
sell@3050-3055-3060
tp:3035-3025
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH.
Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%.
Tomorrow we have Core PCE.
1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south;
2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north.
Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play.
Good evening/night!
GBP_JPY WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_JPY is trading in a
Strong uptrend and the pair
Made a bullish breakout
Of the key horizontal level
Of 195.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK — March 28, 2025TODAYS RECAP — March 27 Was a Classic Shakeout Day. A textbook shakeout in XAU/USD, driven by market maker manipulation, volume distribution, and liquidity engineering.
STRATEGIC OUTLOOK — March 28, 2025
Triple Threat Day: End of Week, End of Month, End of Q1.
Institutions will shape the Q1 close intentionally.
1. Book Rebalancing in Play
• Expect:
• Q1 profit locking
• Loss hiding
• Positioning games likely, especially into NY close.
2. Deceptive Order Flow
• Breakouts at highs/lows likely fake.
• Watch for:
• “Break and reverse” moves
• False drops into demand / false rallies into supply
III. SCENARIO PROJECTIONS — March 28
Scenario A: Bullish Continuation (Primary Bias)
Reasons:
• Daily structure remains bullish
• Shakeout held support
• Macro still supports gold (safe haven bid)
Confirmation Checklist:
• VWAP Mid ($3056) reclaimed and held
• Volume above $3060–$3074
• Asia or London delivers structure
Target Path:
• TP1: $3074.70 (DynaR RES 2)
• TP2: $3090.00 (Fib ext 1.618)
• TP3: $3105.00 (Q1 high magnet)
Scenario B: Distribution & Drop (Contingency Bias)
Reasons:
• If today was an institutional sell trap
• RSI divergence lingers
• DXY strength could trigger selling
Bearish Confirmation:
• Price fails to hold $3050 on open
• Red candles with increasing volume
• No VWAP reclaim during London
Target Path:
• TP1: $3034.48 (DynaR SUP 2)
• TP2: $3012.00 (FVG Fill + 21 SMA)
• TP3: $2995.00 (Deep VAL flush)
IV. SESSION PLAYBOOK — Cairo Local Time
V. EXECUTION GAME PLAN
Pre-Asia Preparation:
• No early entries
• Mark VWAP, POC, VAL/VAH from March 27
• Anticipate:
• Sweep under $3034
• Fake breakout above $3066
Execution Triggers:
• Volume + VWAP alignment
• Key zones: Hold/reject VWAP, POC, SUP/RES
• RSI divergence = no chasing
Risk Management:
• Tighten stops after NY open
• Don’t hold trades past 6PM Cairo unless trailing
• Lock in partials aggressively during spikes
VI. SCENARIOS RECAP TABLE
Final Note: Institutional Psychology Over Signals
“Tomorrow isn’t a technical day. It’s a story day. Institutions will use gold to close the quarter with purpose. Be reactive, not predictive. Trade what they show you — not what you want to see.”
