Beyond Technical Analysis
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⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Finding Balance: Managing GREED in TradingIs greed helping or hurting your trading? While closing trades too quickly for small profits isn't ideal, neither is holding positions too long hoping for bigger gains. Let's explore how to find the right balance between healthy ambition and destructive greed.
📍 Understanding Healthy vs. Unhealthy Greed
Some greed can be good - it drives us to achieve goals and maintain optimism. But when it becomes an obsession, problems start. Professional traders manage their emotions well, while beginners often struggle as early successes fuel excitement and a dangerous focus on profits at any cost.
📍 Warning Signs of Unhealthy Trading Behavior
When trading turns unhealthy, you might notice these patterns:
🔹 Ignoring proven rules because you trust your "gut feelings" more than sound strategy. Your confidence leads you to dismiss common sense in pursuit of profits.
🔹 Expecting every trade to be profitable . While optimism helps, believing you'll win just because you want money is dangerous thinking.
🔹 Living with constant stress. You can't step away from price charts, scrutinizing every move and experiencing emotional highs and lows with each trade.
🔹 Chasing profits while skipping analysis. You focus only on results without learning from each trade, leading to more frequent losses over time.
📍 Dangerous Trading Habits to Avoid
⚫️ Using maximum leverage, thinking bigger trades mean bigger profits. This often leads to heavy losses when markets move sharply against you.
⚫️ Moving stop-losses and take-profit levels mid-trade. Whether hoping to avoid losses or catch more gains, this usually results in worse outcomes and added stress.
⚫️ Following the Martingale strategy - doubling position sizes after losses or wins. This approach typically leads to losing your account quickly.
📍 Practical Steps to Control Greed
1. Start with real money, but small amounts. Demo accounts can create false confidence since there's no real risk.
2. Set clear, achievable goals. For day trading (H1-H4 timeframes), aim for about 20 pips per trade. Scalpers should be satisfied with just a few pips.
3. Create and follow a detailed trading plan. Example: Take half profits at your target, use trailing stops to protect remaining gains.
4. Practice smart risk management. Decide your maximum risk per trade and stick to it - don't adjust stops once set.
5. Keep learning and practicing. With better market understanding, you'll make fewer emotional decisions. A realistic monthly return might be 2% - treat anything above as a bonus.
6. Connect with other traders. Share experiences to manage stress and gain perspective on what's normal in professional trading.
7. Stay skeptical and analytical. When excitement runs high, slow down. Check multiple information sources and grow your trading size gradually while continuing to develop your skills.
📍 Conclusion
Successful trading is about steady progress, not quick riches. Growth should happen naturally alongside your developing trading skills, without sacrificing other aspects of your life.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Nexera #NXRA Ethereum+BNBchain+Polygon+Avalanche ECOSYSTEM /(RWANexera
#NXRA
Nexera (formerly AllianceBlock) founded 2018, launch of
#ALBT
token in 2020, later rebranded as
#NXRA
supply increased from approximately 864 million to 2 billion
75% of the new supply is within the company,
10% of the new supply is allocated for liquidity and exchange listings. 6% of the new supply will be allocated to strategic partners that add value beyond financial investment, such as institutional expertise, large user bases and innovative technology, and 5% of the new supply will be allocated over the next 10 years. It is reserved for the DAO Fund, which will support grants, governance offerings, and ecosystem initiatives. 4% of the new supply is allocated to contributors and strategic partners instrumental in the development of Nexera Chain.
Token launch date (May/June)2025
Price movements before and after these lock openings will be inevitable in the coming months. Let's watch and see what happens.
Btcusd Seems BearishBitcoin’s (BTC) price reaches a new all-time high of $109,588 on Monday after rallying 7.1% the previous week. The recent rally is fueled by Donald Trump’s upcoming inauguration. The US Bitcoin spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) also supported the BTC’s rally, recording a net inflow of $1.86 billion the previous week. While technical analysis suggests a continuation of the ongoing rally and a target at the $1250K mark.
GBPUSDHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on GBPUSD?
This currency pair has found support upon reaching the bottom of the channel and a key support zone. A bullish move is anticipated from this level, with the price expected to rise at least to the top of the channel and the specified resistance area.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Airtel Vs (TTML, MTNL, IDEA) - Pre-Rally Vs Post-RallyHere’s an assertive revision of your content:
---
**Why Airtel Dragged While TTML, MTNL, and IDEA Blasted?**
The government’s consideration of waiving 50% interest and 100% penalties on AGR dues created a buzz, and certain "gurus" began hyping a potential rally in **Bharti Airtel**, a fundamentally strong telecom stock compared to **TTML**, **MTNL**, and **Vodafone Idea**.
**But the market did the exact opposite.**
TTML (+16.5%), MTNL (+10.5%), and IDEA (+9.11%) soared, while Airtel struggled below 1%. The question is **why?**
**The Answer: The Importance of Technical Structures, Supports, and Resistances.**
Market participants often assume that fundamentals drive prices. This is the **biggest myth.** Fundamentals (valuations, PE ratios, book value, order books, quarterly results) can create momentum but never dictate its **direction.** Supports and resistances are the **primary drivers** of price movement. Relying solely on fundamentals is like pressing the accelerator while trying to reverse park—damages are inevitable.
Now, let’s review the technical factors behind the explosive moves in TTML, MTNL, and IDEA compared to Airtel’s stagnation.
---
### **TTML**
On the **monthly chart**, TTML formed a **bullish flag pattern**, breaking out in **July 2024**. However, the lack of momentum in the telecom sector kept it range-bound until now.
**Key Points:**
1. A **77% correction** from its all-time high (ATH) formed the flag.
2. Sideways consolidation since March 2024 created a **strong base**.
3. This base aligned with the **Fib 0.618 retracement** from the previous high.
TTML was primed for a move. The AGR news provided the necessary trigger, leading to the much-anticipated breakout.
---
### **MTNL**
The **monthly chart** of MTNL shows a **multi-decade bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern**. After breaking out, the stock faced resistance at ₹103 and retraced **58.5%**, aligning perfectly with the breakout zone and the **Fib 0.618 retracement level.**
**Why the Rally?**
MTNL’s bounce was overdue, and the AGR news acted as a catalyst, triggering the massive move.
---
### **IDEA**
Vodafone Idea, the weakest of the group, also surged 10% (hitting an intraday high of 15% before closing at 9.11%). Despite its struggles, IDEA displayed critical technical alignments:
1. A **65.54% correction** from its previous high.
2. Support at the **Fib 0.786 retracement** level.
3. A bounce from the **bottom of a rising parallel channel**.
Though IDEA lacked the fundamental strength of TTML and MTNL, it still rallied due to the technical setup.
---
### **Bharti Airtel: Why Didn’t It Rally?**
**Quarterly Chart** (Right):
1. Airtel has been traveling within a **multi-decade parallel channel**.
2. After consolidating for 13 years, it broke out in **October 2018**, delivering **613% returns** since then.
3. The stock reached an **extended Fibonacci target (Fib 2.618)**—an exhaustion zone.
**Weekly Chart** (Left):
1. Airtel corrected only **15%** from its ATH.
2. It is still in a **lower high-lower low (LH-LL)** bearish formation.
3. The price was at a critical juncture of **two resistances**:
- The **falling trendline** from ATH.
- A **weekly resistance** at ₹1640.
**Verdict:**
Airtel had already rallied significantly before the news and was in an exhaustion phase. Strong resistances at current levels obstructed its movement.
---
### **Key Takeaways:**
- TTML, MTNL, and IDEA rallied because they **completed major corrections, formed strong bases, and awaited a trigger.**
- Airtel, having already rallied, was in a consolidation phase with significant resistance levels.
**Conclusion:**
Blindly trading based on news or fundamentals without considering technicals is a recipe for disaster. Fundamentals may create momentum, but the **direction** is always governed by supports and resistances.
A sector-wide news event will not trigger the same momentum across all stocks unless their **technical structures** align. Always combine fundamentals with technical analysis for informed decision-making.
**Disclaimer:**
With over **3 years of teaching experience** in the stock market, including **Technical Analysis**, **Behavioral Analysis**, **Advanced Patterns**, **Emotional Management**, and **News-based Trading**, we are dedicated to educating, not advising on buy/sell decisions.
We are **NOT SEBI Registered** and do not provide specific **Buy/Sell recommendations or calls**. Our primary goal is to deliver **detailed analysis** on how to review charts and offer multi-timeframe perspectives purely for **educational purposes**.
We strongly recommend that our followers **"Learn to Ride the Tide, Regardless of Its Side."**
**Important:** Always consult with a **financial advisor** before making any investment decisions.
If you appreciate our detailed analysis, we encourage you to **rate, like, boost, and share your feedback**.
**- Team Stocks-n-Trends**
GBP/USD Trade in Play – Why This Setup Could Be HUGEWhat’s great everyone? Mr. Blue Ocean FX here with an in-depth breakdown of GBP/USD.
We’re currently in a trade, having entered at 1.2297, with stops set at 1.2550. Let’s dive into the key levels and what we’re looking for moving forward.
On Friday, we identified a significant lower high around the 1.2297 level, which led to a strong impulse move down to 1.2104. After a pullback and rejection, price failed to make a new lower low, closing around 1.2151, and eventually breaking above resistance at 1.2210, creating a new higher high at 1.2297.
We waited for a pullback and a push above 1.2297, which we got, confirming our entry with volume supporting the move. Currently, I’m monitoring the H4 candle; if we see a break and close below 1.2272, we could expect a deeper pullback into the 1.2236 zone, which would present an opportunity for a second entry. However, I believe the fair value gap (FVG) around this level will hold, leading to consolidation before another push higher.
Looking at the DXY (Dollar Index) on the weekly timeframe, we had a strong push up from December 2nd to January 6th before topping out. It now appears to be rolling over, potentially forming a higher low before continuing higher. Today’s daily candle has broken structure, with a lower high forming around 109.33, suggesting short-term weakness in the dollar and potential upside for GBP/USD.
As we monitor price action, the next H4 candle close will be crucial. If price holds above support and volume supports the move, we anticipate further upside.
As always, keeping this breakdown short and to the point. If you found this helpful, boost it, like it, and share it with a fellow trader. Stay tuned for the next update.
20-1 EURCAD :There is a nice increase since 15th of January. because of the small correction today we can enter at 1.49340. Our signal system shows a Score of 0 which is neutral. This score consists of Cot Data 0 Retail Sentiment 1 Seasonality 1 Trend reading -2 GDP 1 Manufacturing PMI -2 Services PMI 1 Retail Sales 0 Inflation 1 Employment Change 0 Unemployment Rate -1 Interest Rates 0.
20-1 Nass100:Despite the fact that today was a holiday in the US, the developments in the Middle East and the US itself do have an impact on the stocks including the tech stocks.
Our signal system gives a neutral / long signal with a Score of +7 consisting of Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment -2, Seasonality 2, Trend reading 1, GDP 1, Manufacturing PMI 1, Services PMI 1, Retail Sales -1, Inflation 1, Employment change 1, Unemployment Rate 1, Interest Rates
1. We expect the Nas to come back to where it has been in the past year. We have set up a buy range from 21500.
DIVISLAB Key levels for 21/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
EURGBP SHORTAs price continues to follow the bearish channel, currently testing at multiple levels of resistance, followed by an increased HP this trade setup has the potential to overwhelm the bullish correction.
After advanced technical analysis has been completed, the price looks to be aiming for the previous lows for potential breakdowns or complete with the initial setup for a long position.
This market looks to be entering a volatile state and we can expect "major movements" giving the opportunity to benefit greatly overall.
With proper risk management, this trade setup has the potential to be observed and experienced as an investment.
This is not a signal and is not recommended to Leverage or Enter this Trade.
GLENMARK Key Levels for 21/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
MARUTI Key Levels for 21/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
BTC Double Tops Trap or Trump BreakoutAs noted on the charts BTC has reached a critical point in its journey. Altcoins are already hammered into the weekend, is this an early indication of a rug pull?
BTC on the 8H time frame is showing rejection of higher prices into previous all time high with most indicators sounding a warning. I am only sharing my thoughts on whether this is a market maker's trap or Trump Breakout Trade.
Personally, I have a bias that even if US congress and White house would designate BTC as a Reserve asset (That's a Big iF), my question is would the US government with it's mountain of debt and DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) buy BTC at over $100,000 per coin? Where is the taxpayer money to accumulate BTC at this price. I suspect the insiders will pull the rug before such an event.
Let the chart print!!!
These are just my thoughts I am sharing with the world. Cheers to profitable trades!
GBPJPY Update: Bulls in Control? Watch This Key Move Unfold!We’re back with an update on our GBPJPY trade on January 20th, Martin Luther King Day. If you haven’t seen our previous breakdown, be sure to check it out to see how everything unfolded step by step.
We’re still holding strong at the 190.02 level, and despite a wick on the weekly candle, there’s a lot of selling pressure within that move. Scaling down to the daily timeframe, we saw a liquidity sweep at 189.54, which provided confirmation for potential upside.
On the H4 timeframe, a bullish engulfing candle confirmed a break of structure on H1, pushing price to 190.40. We patiently waited for a pullback and entered our first position on Friday, with stops placed below the 189.38 level, targeting a 1:1.5 risk-to-reward, which was successfully hit at 190.97.
Today, January 20th, we added a second position after the breakout of the 190.40 level, entering at 190.53, with stops secured below the 189.88 area. This position has also reached its 1:1.5 target, and we’re now riding it risk-free, aiming for further liquidity grabs.
We’ve already cleared liquidity at the 190.91 and 190.50 levels, with the next targets set at 192.40 and potentially 193.00, where we anticipate consolidation before a push to 194.70, a key liquidity zone.
Currently, we’re floating at 82 pips in profit, and our first target is secured while we hold for potential further gains. Let’s see how this unfolds!
📈 If you found this helpful, make sure to like, boost, and share it with your fellow traders. Stay tuned for more updates!