TSLA Technical Analysis & GEX Options Setup for February 26📌 Key Observations from the Charts
1. Market Structure & Price Action:
* TSLA had a major breakdown from 348-350, falling to 337.20 and consolidating.
* Support Levels:
* 337.20 (current price zone, high liquidity).
* 330.00 (negative NETGEX & next major put wall support).
* 320.09 (third put wall, high-risk breakdown level).
* Resistance Levels:
* 348.01 (prior breakdown level, first resistance).
* 356.76 (Value Area High & rejection level).
* If TSLA loses 330, expect sharp downside acceleration toward 320.
2. Volume Profile & Auction Levels:
* Point of Control (POC): 337.35 → High liquidity, potential reaction zone.
* Value Area High (VAH): 348.01 → Key resistance.
* Value Area Low (VAL): 334.42 → Must hold to avoid more downside.
3. Indicators Review:
* MACD: Bearish, with downside momentum still increasing.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold but not rebounding yet—no bullish reversal confirmation.
🛠️ Options GEX Analysis
* Call Resistance:
* 380-400 → High gamma resistance, strong call walls preventing upside.
* 450 → Extreme call wall unlikely to be tested unless strong bullish momentum returns.
* Put Walls & Support Zones:
* 330 → Highest Put Wall & Negative NETGEX Support.
* 320 → Critical third Put Wall—if lost, it could trigger a larger breakdown.
* Implied Volatility (IVR & IVx):
* IVR 37.1 | IVx Avg 70 → Higher volatility than previous stocks, meaning wider swings expected.
* Call Positioning 50.5% → Some bullish bets, but still overshadowed by put-heavy positioning.
📈 Trade Setups & Game Plan
🔴 Bearish Scenario (Preferred Setup)
🔹 Entry: Short below 334 confirmation.
🔹 Target 1: 330.00 (Put Wall Support).
🔹 Target 2: 320.00 (Put Wall Break).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Above 342 (invalidates breakdown).
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Buy PUTS 335/320 expiring 1-2 weeks out if breakdown confirms.
* Debit Put Spread (Bearish 335P/320P for risk control).
🟢 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely)
🔹 Entry: If price reclaims 342-348, targeting 356+.
🔹 Target 1: 348.01 (first resistance).
🔹 Target 2: 356.76 (major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss: Below 335 invalidates upside move.
🔹 Options Strategy:
* Sell 320/315 Put Credit Spread for a bounce play.
🎯 My Thoughts & Suggestions
* Main Bias: Bearish, unless 342+ is reclaimed.
* Gamma Risks: Below 330, strong gamma exposure can push TSLA lower quickly.
* Options Play: Puts look stronger based on GEX positioning & technical weakness.
⚠️ Disclaimer
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. All trading involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Please do your own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Will gold continue to jump and create ATH?⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower during the Asian session on Tuesday, pulling back from its recent record high. A recovering US Dollar (USD) from its lowest level since December 10 weighs on demand for the metal. Additionally, overbought conditions lead some traders to trim their bullish positions. However, the broader market outlook suggests caution before making strong bearish moves.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is maintaining an upward trend, TRENDLINE H1
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 BUY GOLD zone: $2917 - $2915 SL $2910
TP1: $2922
TP2: $2930
TP3: $2940
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2966 - $2968 SL $2973
TP1: $2960
TP2: $2950
TP3: $2940
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
BUY EURCAD - OIL weak = weak CADTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 16 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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EUR/USD (30M) – Waiting for a BreakoutHi Traders ! ,The price is ranging between 1.04688 and 1.04819. I'm waiting for a clear breakout to enter:
Buy (long): If it breaks 1.04730 and confirms, it could target 1.04819 and then 1.05050.
RSI is currently at 52.73, showing neutral momentum. A push above 60 would strengthen a bullish setup.
Sell (short): If it drops below 1.04688, it could reach 1.04557 and 1.04400.
If RSI falls below 40, it would confirm bearish momentum.
I prefer to wait for confirmations before taking a position.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk before making any trading decisions.
Love is in the Bull Market air!Grinder ( NYSE:GRND ) leading in its dominant internet-content industry, impressive earnings and revenue growth backed with heavy institution accumulation shown in a key breakout day with volume.
With earnings due in 9 days at the time of this post, I have reasons to believe this security can increase
DOGE - THE big PictureHello!
I have a treat for y'all... I decided to start over with a clean sheet to illustrate our single most influential position and its projection.
see the chart for full observations.
these patterns are in 3D and propagate through space like flying monsters. they behave quite predictably similar on every time frame... so the long time frame here... the 2 week candle, should be not different.
We have not seen any sort of a major reversal yet. ie, a head and shoulders, or double or triple top, heavy cloud cover, etc. I believe that the two recent peaks are far enough apart (not even) to be part of a large pennant style continuation pattern, and not a double top.
at every position, there are 4 influences battling. each one the unique shape of a flying monster. these represent the bearish bears, bullish bears, bullish bulls, and bearish bulls. this also happen on every time frame. Eliot wave theory describes this well, and the Hartley patterns try to identify these monsters by their ratios. quite clever!
I believe that DOGE coin is the only coin that invokes the emotion of love. unconditional love. this is also the journey we are all on of ascension.. and the phase shift where the 3D earth peerages from the 5D earth is governed by ... LVOE. so LOVE is the future. Healing our wounds and ascending to that highest vibration... so that we make the cut to the new earth built on love and respect... not fears and greed.
oooh... that sort of sounds like Bitcoin. fear and greed! yikes!
Dogs are mans best friend... loyal... run in packs... jus like us... we are suppose to be in tribes. thats why we all feel so alone even when we are with someone....
so... that said, let me welcome you to the DOGE tribe. one built on love, where we all store our hard earned energy credits as a bank for each other... only to be withdrawn when need. to be used only for good... to help each other, and humanity... as we shift to a contribution based economy, instead of an extractive one.
Sending Love!
Go Doge Go!
psssss: (see my Doge vs Btc post linked below... and follow along!
Bitcoin is going berserk , watch the scenarios play outBITCOIN 1 DAY
SCENARIO A (Yellow)
is playing out but can still bounce for SCENARIO B1,
80 BB MEdian is quite a dip, but perhaps be the
Buy-the-dip situation if it bounces higher,.
SCENARIO C will cause a panic!
Entry levels 73k (best scenario for me )
GBP/USD Strategy for European and American Trading SessionsGBP/USD news:
🔆GBP/USD eased after hitting a two-month high of 1.2674 on Friday, hovering around 1.2670 in Asian trade. However, the pair maintained its strength as the US dollar remained under pressure due to weak jobless claims data and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve.
🔆Minutes of the Fed's January policy meeting showed that some policymakers viewed potential changes in trade and immigration policies as obstacles to deflation, putting pressure on the dollar.
🔆During the Asian session, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury note fell below 4.5%, reducing demand for the dollar and allowing GBP/USD to rise.
🔆As the European session begins on Friday, the UK Office for National Statistics will release January retail sales data.
Personal opinion:
🔆Good economic news for the Pound continues to maintain the strength of GBP. In contrast to the bad news from Trump's tariff policy, the dollar has weakened. However, FM believes that there will be a pullback phase as the RSI is diverging after entering the overbought zone earlier. GBP will consolidate and rise again.
Technical analysis:
🔆Based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with economic information to come up with appropriate strategies.
Plan:
🔆 Price Zone Setup:
👉BUY GBP/USD 1.2620 – 1.2635
❌SL: 1.2575 | ✅TP: 1.2670 – 1.2720 – 1.2800
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Analysis of BBRITechnical Analysis of BBRI
Price Level Analysis
Strong Support 3,800 - 3,900
Short-Term Resistance 4,100 - 4,300
Long-Term Resistance 4,600 - 4,800
Cut Loss Level 3,700 (if a deeper breakdown occurs)
📉 Current Situation: The price is approaching strong support at 3,900.
If a rebound occurs, the first target is 4,100 - 4,300.
If 4,300 resistance breaks, the price may rise to 4,600 - 4,800.
If it drops below 3,800, there is a risk of further decline.
❌ BBRI Risks
🔸 Economic Pressure & Inflation
If the economy slows down, non-performing loans (NPLs) could rise, affecting BBRI's profits.
Risks from MSMEs, which are more vulnerable to economic downturns.
High-interest rates could hamper credit growth.
🔸 High Interest Rates Policy
Bank Indonesia maintains high interest rates to control inflation, which could slow down new credit growth.
🔸 Competition from Fintech & Digital Banking
BBRI faces competition from digital banks like Bank Jago (ARTO), Bank Neo (BBYB), and others that are aggressively expanding digital services.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Tuesday, 25th February 2025)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-None
Analysis:
-Price is around 1.618 weekly fib extension level
-Looking for bearish structure to form
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2965
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Bitcoin Enters Buy Zone: Going Up Today, Tomorrow?! It Will GrowGood evening my fellow supporter, I have great news for you today.
Bitcoin is moving within a very strong support range —the buy zone.
In a previous publication I mentioned how Bitcoin hasn't move below 90K since 18-November 2024, on a daily session close. I also mentioned the lowest wick low being set around 89,000. In this whole period, Bitcoin has been sideways above 90K. This level has been working continually as support.
The 105,000 to 100,000 price range has been resistance.
The 90,000 to 94,000 price range has been support.
Sell at resistance; buy at support.
Bitcoin is now trading within this support range and thus a buy zone.
This is a great place to accumulate for the next market move.
Looking at the weekly timeframe, this week would be the fifth red week. It isn't.
Bitcoin closed three consecutive weeks red.
Last week closed green, neutral, with a Doji.
This week starts red but is likely to end green. So, only three weeks red, a mini flush or shakeout and then up we go.
This is a friendly reminder, we are now in bullish territory, the buy zone.
If you are already in Bitcoin you can wait patiently and rest easy because the market is going up.
Short-term price swings are as normal as it gets. While Bitcoin trades above 90K weekly, we are super strong, ultra-bullish. Super bullish also above monthly 80K. This is the mid-term and long-term.
Short-term, we are going up. Bitcoin's price might not be going up right now but 100K was challenged just a few days ago. Remember what we know; when the market is sideways, it reverses each time it reaches resistance, each time it reaches support. So it reversed around 100K and it is very likely to reverse now that 90K has been challenged; we are going up.
Patience is key.
Rest easy. The Cryptocurrency market is set to grow.
Growth will start now; in a matter of days or weeks, the time left for the next bullish wave is very short.
We had really good bullish action in late 2024 but the best is yet to come.
Wait patiently; hold strong.
Crypto is going up.
Patience is key.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Master Your Emotions: The 3 Trading Psychology Hacks Most traders don’t struggle because they lack a strategy—they struggle because emotions get in the way. After coaching hundreds of traders, I’ve seen the same patterns over and over: hesitation, FOMO, revenge trading, and self-doubt.
I get it. I’ve been there too. You see the perfect setup but hesitate. Or worse, you jump in too late and watch the market turn against you. It’s frustrating, but there’s a fix.
In this video, I’m breaking down the biggest trading psychology mistake I see and the simple 3-step process that has helped my students trade with confidence, even in the most volatile markets.
If you’ve ever felt like your emotions are sabotaging your trades, this is for you. Let’s fix it.
Kris/Mindbloome Exchange
Trade Smarter Live Better
Next Volatility Period: Around February 24
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Both the upper and lower lines of the Price Cannel indicator have been touched.
The point of interest is in which direction it will diverge after this convergence.
The next volatility period is around February 24 (February 23-25).
-
The key is whether it can receive support near 92792.05-94742.35 and rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
If not, it is expected to re-determine the trend by touching the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been in an upward trend since 2015 following a pattern.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, it is expected that prices below 44K-48K will not be seen in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to this.
If the ATH is renewed, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as support and resistance.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to generate Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous to use it for trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
Today analysis for Nasdaq, Oil, and GoldNasdaq
The Nasdaq closed lower following news that Microsoft is reducing its data center leasing. This week, the weekly chart suggests strong selling pressure, meaning long positions should be approached with caution.
On the daily chart, yesterday’s bearish candle confirmed the MACD sell signal, though the signal line remains above the zero line. In a broader context, a potential bounce could occur near key technical levels, including the lower Bollinger Band, 120-day moving average, and previous resistance zones.
Two days ago, a large bearish candle formed, and yesterday’s price action provided an opportunity to sell at the 3-day moving average. However, the market failed to test the 3-day MA during pre-market, leading to a false impression that the daily close was rejected at resistance. This illustrates how a daily close can sometimes be misleading, reinforcing the need to plan for alternative scenarios.
Since selling was executed at the 3-day MA yesterday, today’s key resistance level shifts to the 5-day moving average. Given the wide gap between price and the 5-day MA, a short-term rebound toward this level is possible.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line have moved below the zero line, confirming continued selling pressure. However, since the Nasdaq has now entered a key support zone from a previous range, a short-term bounce toward the 5-day MA is possible. Traders should be cautious with short positions and focus on range-bound strategies rather than chasing downside momentum.
Crude Oil
Crude oil gapped down but managed to close higher. Despite the ongoing MACD sell signal on the daily chart, oil held above the key $70 support level.
This week’s weekly close is critical—if oil can end the week with a bullish candle, it could set the stage for a potential reversal. Holding above $70 remains the key technical factor, as a breakdown below this level would signal further downside.
On the daily chart, if the market fails to extend lower and instead rebounds, a MACD double-bottom pattern could develop, reinforcing potential upside momentum. However, since market flows remain mixed, it is best to treat oil as range-bound until a decisive break occurs.
On the 240-minute chart, both the MACD and signal line are below the zero line, but price action is attempting a temporary rebound. While selling into rallies remains the preferred approach, traders should be cautious of event-driven volatility, as news developments could trigger sudden moves.
The $70 level remains the key downside level to monitor—if it breaks, selling pressure could intensify. Risk management is crucial when taking long positions.
Gold
Gold briefly made new highs before closing flat within its range. On the daily chart, the buy signal remains intact, but today’s session will be crucial in determining whether gold can sustain its momentum or enter a consolidation phase.
The key factor to watch is whether gold finds support at the signal line and continues higher or if a bearish crossover forms, leading to a range-bound correction.
On the 240-minute chart, a bullish MACD crossover has occurred, but for the uptrend to be confirmed, a strong breakout candle is needed. Without a significant bullish move, gold risks forming a bearish divergence, meaning that even if price breaks to new highs, the MACD may fail to confirm the move.
Since market flows remain mixed, a range-trading approach remains most effective, with a focus on buying at strong support levels and avoiding breakout trades. Traders should remain flexible and manage risk carefully, as both upside and downside scenarios remain open.
Looking at VIX futures, a strong buy signal has emerged at the zero level. Historically, VIX buy signals near zero tend to generate large price swings, suggesting that Nasdaq volatility may increase significantly. This increases the likelihood of a sharp correction, making risk management a top priority.
Stay disciplined, manage risk carefully, and wishing you a successful trading day! 🚀
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For additional strategies for today, check out my profile. Thank you!
Ethereum — 2025. The Lord Giveth and Taketh Away (Caution! 18+)Donald Trump's recent policies and statements have generated significant negative sentiment towards Ethereum and the broader cryptocurrency market. As he resumes the presidency, his administration's approach to cryptocurrencies is expected to be more regulatory and cautious, which could impact Ethereum investors.
Historical Context of Trump's Views on Cryptocurrency
Trump has a mixed history with cryptocurrencies, as we mentioned in earlier published ideas. Initially, he labeled them a "scam", "based on thin air" as well as "threat to the U.S. dollar" and expressed skepticism about their value, stating that they are not real money and are highly volatile. However, in recent months, he has shifted his stance somewhat, reportedly owning between $1 million and $5 million in Ethereum as of August 2024. Despite this personal investment, his public comments continue to reflect a critical view of the crypto market.
Impact of Recent Tariffs on Ethereum
The most immediate cause of concern for Ethereum investors has been Trump's announcement of new tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China. This decision triggered a significant sell-off in the cryptocurrency market, with Ethereum experiencing a drastic price drop of over 26% in just one day. The overall cryptocurrency market lost nearly half a trillion dollars in value following these announcements, highlighting the interconnectedness of global trade policies and digital asset valuations.
The tariffs have led to increased uncertainty among investors, prompting many to liquidate their positions in riskier assets like Ethereum. This reaction is indicative of a broader trend where geopolitical tensions and economic policies directly influence cryptocurrency prices. Analysts noted that such trade policies could lead to inflationary pressures and a stronger dollar, making cryptocurrencies less attractive to international buyers.
Future Outlook for Ethereum Under Trump's Administration
Looking ahead, Trump's administration is likely to focus on stricter regulations for cryptocurrencies. This could manifest in enhanced oversight that may slow down the adoption of Ethereum by businesses and individuals. However, there is also potential for increased legitimacy if clear regulations are established.
Moreover, Trump's interest in Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) might further complicate the landscape for Ethereum. As the U.S. explores its digital dollar initiative, Ethereum's decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem could face stiff competition from state-backed digital currencies.
Technical challenge
The main technical graph for Ethereum BITSTAMP:ETHUSD indicates on Bearish trend in development, since mid-December 2024, with acceleration occurred a day before Mr. Trump entered the White House.
Key support considered as 100-week SMA (near $2550 in this time) and $2200 flat multi bottom, that helps so far; otherwise (in case of breakthrough) we believe it could lead the Ethereum price much lower, as it described on the chart.
Conclusion
In summary, while Trump’s personal investment in Ethereum marks a notable shift from his previous criticisms, his administration's policies—especially regarding tariffs—have created a challenging environment for Ethereum investors. The combination of regulatory uncertainty and macroeconomic factors will likely continue to influence Ethereum's market performance in the near future.