Beyond Technical Analysis
GBPJPY Update. May 22thAlthough price didn’t follow my initial trade setup exactly, it’s still doing precisely what could be expected. Knowing which levels to focus on — and how to anticipate reactions — is crucial to avoid chasing trades. Let the market do its work.
I’m still looking for buy setups (mid to long term) as long as a main key level remains intact. This is not defined by new lows alone, but by how price behaves according to my system.
There’s still an area of imbalance within the current structure — that remains my main target.
Keep following this trade to see how the market unfolds.
Pay close attention to the levels I’ve marked — they’re not random. Each one serves a purpose
Gold Shows Clear Signs of Weakness – Short-Term Downtrend LikelyGold is showing clear signs of weakness after failing to break the strong resistance level at $3350/oz. Bullish momentum has faded as gold broke below the $3325 support and continued its decline, now trading around $3310. Current technical signals indicate that the downtrend remains dominant, and there is a high probability that gold will continue correcting toward the $3290 support level, possibly even testing the $3225 area if the bearish pressure persists.
📰 Key Economic Data Scheduled for Today (U.S.):
• Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing PMI
• Flash Services PMI
These reports could trigger strong short-term volatility, especially if the data is positive and strengthens expectations that the Fed will maintain a tight monetary policy. This scenario could put further downward pressure on gold, as the USD strengthens and Treasury yields rise.
⚠️ Recommendation: Investors are advised to avoid trading during news releases to minimize risk from high volatility.
🔍 Short-Term Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3350 – remains unbroken, confirming weakening buying power.
• Nearest Support: $3290 – crucial level to monitor if the downtrend continues.
• Deeper Support: $3225 – could be tested if no strong rebound occurs.
• Short-Term EMA: Price is currently below the EMA 09, signaling further downside momentum.
• Bearish Candlestick Pattern: Series of long red candles reinforce the ongoing bearish trend.
💡 Short-Term Trade Scenarios:
SELL XAU/USD Zone : 3325$ - 3328
💰 TP : 3310 - 3313
🚨 SL $3335
BUY XAU/USD Zone: 3288$ - 3290$
💰 TP : 3313 – 3315
🚨 SL $3283
Trading AUDUSD NZDUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 20/05/2025We’re halfway through the week and already sitting on two clean setups, all rooted in the Judas Swing Strategy. After Monday gave us nothing worth trading, Tuesday served up textbook opportunities on OANDA:AUDUSD and $NZDUSD. In this breakdown, we’ll walk through two trades from Tuesday and highlight how they followed the exact Judas Swing playbook: manipulation first, then break of structure, retracement and execution
AUDUSD: The Classic Fakeout Reversal
Tuesday's OANDA:AUDUSD setup was as clean as they come. Price action leading into our session was heading downward. Liquidity had built up nicely above and below our zones giving us the bait we needed for the Judas Swing setup to trigger.
As expected, our session opened with a sharp fake move to the downside, sweeping the sell-side liquidity and trapping breakout sellers. What came next was the real clue: a decisive break of structure to the upside, signaling that the manipulation was complete and the true direction was about to unfold.
Price formed a Fair Value Gap (FVG) during the move up, and once it retraced into that imbalance, we executed our buy:
Entry: 0.64007
Stop Loss: 0.63907
Take Profit: 0.64207
The result? We faced some drawdown and a clean move into target. It was a low-stress trade that respected the plan from entry to exit
NZDUSD: Same Script
If OANDA:AUDUSD was the blueprint, OANDA:NZDUSD mirrored it almost exactly since they are closely correlated pairs.
Again, we started the session with a tight range. Liquidity had stacked nicely above and below the zone. Then, right on cue, the market delivered its Judas move, a fast pump below the pre-session lows, baiting in breakout shorts.
This was followed by a swift rejection and a clear break of structure to the upside. Once that displacement printed a Fair Value Gap, we knew where our opportunity lay.
Entry: 0.59002
Stop Loss: 0.58902
Take Profit: 0.59202
We entered on the retrace, and price moved smoothly in our favor. The difference here? We barely faced any drawdown on this trade as it moved straight to hit our TP putting us up 4% on the two trades
These setups reinforce why the Judas Swing Strategy is so effective in manipulated markets:
- We don’t chase breakouts we wait for the trap
- We don’t force trades we wait for displacement and confirmation
- We trust our backtested process even when we miss trades or price misses TP by a whisker
Not every trade will close out perfectly, but this method is built around structured logic and patience
Market fall down 1. Weak Bearish Confirmation
Issue: The red arrow implies a confirmed downtrend, but the price action doesn’t show a strong breakdown—just a slight dip through a thin support zone.
Disruption: Without strong bearish candles or volume spikes, the breakdown could be a false move or liquidity grab before a reversal.
---
2. Overconfidence in Double Bottom Reversal
Issue: The blue “W” pattern and green arrow suggest a possible double bottom, but no clear second bottom has formed yet.
Disruption: Assuming a reversal prematurely is risky. The price may continue dropping, invalidating the bullish reversal scenario.
---
3. Target Placement Is Vague
Issue: The "Target" is placed arbitrarily along a horizontal line without referencing key resistance levels or technical confluences.
Disruption: Without support from Fibonacci, previous highs, or indicators, the target lacks reliability and could mislead trade planning.
---
4. Lack of Volume Context
Issue: The volume histogram shows a spike during a previous down move, but no current volume analysis is integrated into the decision.
Disruption: Price action alone, especially on lower timeframes, is insufficient without volume confirmation to validate breakouts or breakdowns.
---
5. No Risk Management Displayed
Issue: The analysis includes bullish and bearish paths but omits stop-loss levels or invalidation zones.
Disruption: Without clear invalidation, the trade becomes ambiguous and exposes the trader to unnecessary risk if price deviates unexpectedly.
SXT | Long | At Reclaim VWAP | (May 22, 2025)SXT | Long | Reclaiming VWAP & Eyeing Resistance Zone | (May 22, 2025)
1️⃣ Quick Take: SXT is showing strength, climbing toward a key resistance area while holding bullish structure on higher timeframes. Liquidity remains on the bulls' side despite a brief corrective signal on the 30-min chart.
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Long
Entry Zone:
✅ Early Entry: Around $0.84
✅ Main Entry: $0.74
Stop Loss: Below VWAP and recent low – structure-based, ideally near $0.70 zone
TP1: $1.00 (Partial Exit)
TP2: $1.37
TP3: $1.47
🪙 Holding 5% of position for extended move potential
3️⃣ Key Notes:
SXT bounced from VWAP, showing continuation toward the Value Area Low, POC, and higher resistance levels.
Inverse head & shoulders pattern forming – would prefer a dip below VWAP for re-entry confirmation.
Order flow shows aggressive spot selling, possibly by a single player. Liquidations noted, but broader sentiment remains long-biased.
On higher timeframes, liquidity still supports bullish continuation.
Watch overall market mood and correlation with BTC/NQ/SPX for additional confidence.
4️⃣ Follow-up: I’ll be monitoring for that re-entry opportunity near VWAP and updating the setup if structure shifts.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Market next move
1. Overreliance on Basic Support/Resistance
Issue: The analysis uses a simple support/resistance concept without clear validation (e.g., no multiple touches or volume confirmation).
Disruption: Support could easily break if there's insufficient volume or strong bearish sentiment, invalidating the buy signal.
---
2. Lack of Confirmation Indicators
Issue: There's no use of confirmation tools like RSI, MACD, or moving averages.
Disruption: Entering a "Buy" based purely on support without a reversal signal (like bullish divergence or candle patterns) increases risk.
---
3. Premature Target Setting
Issue: The target is drawn quickly after a minor dip, with no fib levels, pivot points, or historical resistance considered.
Disruption: The price might face resistance before reaching the “Target,” especially around previous highs or psychological levels.
---
4. Ignoring Downside Risk
Issue: The scenario assumes price will bounce back but doesn’t show a stop-loss or contingency for a breakdown.
Disruption: If price breaks the "Support" zone, it could trigger a stronger bearish move—this risk is not accounted for.
---
5. Misleading Arrows
Issue: Arrows (red, yellow, blue) seem speculative and oversimplified.
Disruption: They imply a clear path, which can mislead traders into thinking price action follows linear logic—real markets are more chaotic.
xauusd stron down next movePrice is in a resistance/selling zone near 3,310–3,340.
Expected to reject and drop to the target/support near 3,260.
Strong bearish bias based on resistance zone.
Disruptive Bullish Scenario:
Breakout Confirmation:
If the price breaks and closes above 3,340, this invalidates the resistance zone.
This would trigger stop-losses from sellers and initiate buy momentum.
Volume Spike & Momentum:
NAS100USD: SMT Divergence Signals Reversal from Discount PricingGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis, we are closely monitoring NAS100USD for a potential reversal of bearish institutional order flow. While the broader trend has been bearish, current price action presents strong confluence for a bullish shift, suggesting an opportunity to align with a possible upside move.
Market Context:
NAS100USD is currently trading in deep discount territory, which historically presents favorable conditions for institutional accumulation. We’ve observed a liquidity sweep—price took out previous sell stops—suggesting institutions may have order-paired against willing sellers at these discounted levels.
Key Observations:
SMT Divergence with S&P500: While the S&P500 took out its previous low, NAS100USD remained above its corresponding low. This divergence signals underlying strength and institutional buying on NAS100USD, offering a strong indication of a reversal.
Bullish Structure Hints: Minor breaks in market structure to the upside are emerging, further validating the bullish narrative.
Institutional Support Zone: Price is currently trading inside a bullish order block that is also aligned with a Fair Value Gap (FVG)—a strong confluence zone that may act as support for continued upside movement.
Trading Strategy:
Await confirmation of support holding within the order block and FVG zone.
Target 1: Relatively equal highs just above current price action—an engineered liquidity pool where buy stops are likely resting.
Target 2: The premium FVG, a key area of institutional interest where longs accumulated at a discount will be offloaded for profit. The area of fair value is an region where the institutions start to book their profits.
By reading the divergence, price action, and institutional behavior, we can strategically position ourselves to capitalize on a high-probability reversal.
Happy Trading,
The Architect 🏛📊
XAUUSD✅ Second Trade of the Day – XAUUSD
The second trade of the day comes from Gold (XAUUSD).
Just like BTC, gold has shown strong bullish momentum in recent days. I’m looking to take advantage of this minor pullback within the broader uptrend — a classic continuation setup on the 15-minute chart.
🔍 Trade Details:
✔️ Timeframe: 15-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 3330.72
✔️ Take Profit: 3341.37
✔️ Stop Loss: 3325.42
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I'm simply sharing a trade I'm personally taking based on my own system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 If you're interested in a more systematic and data-driven trading approach:
💡 Follow the page and enable notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
Ethereum will beat Gold.
Gold has been adored by humans since ancient times. Countless lives have been lost fighting over such treasure. Empires, governments and banks love the precious metal and keep thousands of tons of them with utmost security.
Ethereum, on the other hand, was created by a person just 12 years ago. You can't actually feel or touch it because it's purely virtual. But its potential is far greater than gold itself. Because of supply and demand, as well as certainty.
There's still plenty of undiscovered deposits of gold worth millions. When they are discovered and mined, there's more gold to go around for everyone, although we don't know how much gold there's left. But for Ethereum, we know its supply will shrink over time and the amount is completely certain. We know exactly how much there is and how much there will be.
It's also a lot easier to own Ethereum than to own actual gold. There's so many transactional costs involved. That's why even though gold is physical and has been gaining pretty well throughout the years, it just can't beat something better.
BTCUSDT | Bitcoin is ready to new ATHBitcoin ATH is 109,588. All previous resistances and liquidities have been swept! There is no resistance level for Bitcoin. Bitcoin is ready to go up more. As you can see, there is a Fair Value Gap for Bitcoin. The price is moving down to sweep liquidity at about 103,000 to 104,000. Then we will be ready to go up more and see these targets: 108,000, 110,000, and 112,000. Be profitable!
BTCUSDT – Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Breakout ContinuesBitcoin is advancing through a textbook Wyckoff Re-Accumulation structure on the 4H chart. After the Spring and multiple LPS confirmations, price surged above the previous range high (~110k), entering a strong Sign of Strength (SOS) rally.
We now observe:
✅ Second 4H candle close above ATH (110,000)
✅ RSI: 70.9 → Strong bullish momentum
✅ Volume: Above MA during breakout, healthy but slightly declining
✅ Bollinger Bands: Price hugging upper BB (111,227)
✅ Structure forming a Backup (BU?) test near ATH
The current move targets a measured pennant breakout projection:
🎯 TP1: 115,224
🎯 TP2: 116,199
🎯 TP3: 117,449 – 118,237 (Fib extension confluence)
This aligns with Wyckoff Phase E and continuation of the markup cycle.
No short setups valid — trend remains firmly bullish. Pullbacks to 110k could offer high-conviction long entries as BU confirmation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #CryptoTA #BTCAnalysis #Reaccumulation #TradingView
BTC on weekly chart ( cup and handle )CRYPTO:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD
As an overview of Bitcoin on the weekly chart.
We have a cup and handle targeting the area at 131,000 and I think this price is the target of this cycle.
We also have the neckline zone at the price of 73k and we see that the price is still trading above it until now, so in the event of any other decline, I think the neckline area is the lowest price that will be reached and represents the retest point to start for the new highs.
We also note that the price is still above the averages: 50-100-200 and we notice its rebound when it touched the average of 50
Conclusion: Since we are above the 70-73 thousand zone, there is no need to worry because this indicates that the chart is moving in the right direction, but in the event of a break in the 70k zone, this will be the first sign of the beginning of the negative.
UPDATE SOON ....
GOLD UPDATES – XAUUSD -MAY 22nd ahead of Unemployment claims&PMIGold is walking on a tightrope today — and below it is a pit full of retail stops. With a full lineup of high-impact USD news and price tapping into key supply zones, you already know:
The first move is bait. The second pays the sniper.
🧨 FUNDAMENTAL MINEFIELD – MAY 22
Today is packed with market-moving data — every piece adds fuel to the fire:
🕒 15:30 – Unemployment Claims
230K forecast vs. 229K previous
👀 A miss = USD weakness, gold spike
🧨 A beat = potential pressure on gold
🛠️ 16:45 – Flash PMIs (Manufacturing & Services)
Manufacturing: 49.9 → contraction
Services: 51.0 → weak expansion
💥 This is the real bias decider. Two beats = gold down. Two misses = gold up. One of each = chop zone.
🌍 G7 Meetings – All Day
Geopolitical tension brewing? That’s the stealth trigger gold always loves.
🧠 MACRO STRUCTURE OUTLOOK
• HTF still shows price moving inside key supply
• D1/H4 momentum looks bullish but stretched
• No clean HTF BOS, and no new structural dominance post-May 21 sell setup
⚠️ Translation: Rally looks strong but smells like trap. NY session will expose the truth.
🗺 GOLDMINDSFX SNIPER ZONE MAP ✅
🔴 SUPPLY / SHORT BIAS ZONES
• 3355–3364
→ H1/H4 supply + internal sweep zone
→ Primary area for fakeouts/premium fades
• 3385–3395
→ Old POI + unmitigated H4 OB
→ Algo zone for stop-hunt before dump
• 3418–3427
→ Daily imbalance extension
→ Low-touch, high-R:R trap — news only
🟢 DEMAND / LONG BIAS ZONES
• 3315–3308
→ H1 OB + micro break zone
→ Must hold for bullish continuation
• 3298–3288
→ Post-CHoCH FVG + OB = sniper buy zone
→ High-prob bounce zone
• 3270–3260
→ H4 breaker + old demand
→ Key flip zone — if lost, bears take control
• 3236–3228
→ D1 OB + FVG tail
→ Only valid in a meltdown. Deep liquidity final boss.
🎯 CONTROL ZONE: 3315–3308
→ Holds = bulls stay in the game
→ Breaks = we open the door to 3288–3260 slides
⚔️ PLAYBOOK
✅ BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak → price sweeps 3308 or 3288 → reclaims on M15
→ Enter on confirmation
❌ BEARISH SCENARIO
USD data strong → gold nukes 3308 → flips it to resistance
→ Short confirmed rejection at 3355 or 3385
⚠️ TRAP SCENARIO
Expect first move post-news to be fake. Spike above 3355 or below 3308 is bait.
→ Real sniper entry = the second move, after reclaim or rejection with structure
🎯 FINAL WORD
No confirmation = no entry.
The market doesn’t care how you feel. It only respects execution.
“Structure is the setup. News is the trap. Your job is to wait.”
If this helps you stay clear and deadly — drop a 🚀 and follow for sniper-grade clarity daily.
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
Greed: The Silent Killer Behind Your LiquidationsWhen the market turns green, everyone feels like a genius... But why do most traders lose the most money exactly at that point?
Is it your greed tricking you, or is the market designed to trap emotions?
In this analysis, we take a deep dive into how greed shapes your decisions — plus tools to help you stay rational before placing any trade.
Hello✌
Spend 3 minutes ⏰ reading this educational material.
🎯 Analytical Insight on Solana:
SOL, a market leader and one of my top picks, is currently consolidating near the critical psychological level of $200. Given its historical momentum and influence over correlated assets, a clean break above this level could trigger a minimum 14% upside, with $200 as the immediate target . Market sentiment remains cautious, but the setup hints at a potential bullish continuation 🚀.
Now , let's dive into the educational section,
💥 Where Does Greed Actually Start?
Greed often wears the mask of motivation. The difference? Motivation is rooted in analysis. Greed is rooted in fantasy.
When a coin suddenly pumps 150%, the noise on social media explodes — and so do your imagined gains… often before you've even checked the 4H chart.
📊 TradingView Tools to Spot Greed Traps
TradingView isn't just about pretty charts — it's a powerful platform to organize your trading mindset, if you know how to use it right. Here are three practical tools to help you identify whether your next trade is based on logic — or just plain hype:
Fear & Greed Index:
A composite indicator showing the market's emotional state using volume, volatility, and other metrics. Readings above 70? You’re probably in a greed zone.
Volume Profile Visible Range (VPVR):
This shows where real money has flowed. If you’re buying in a price zone with historically low volume, you might be walking into a fake breakout.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) with 2 or 7 Settings:
A hyper-reactive RSI setting helps you catch emotional peaks in smaller timeframes. Above 80? Time to breathe, not buy.
Pro tip : Build a self-check list on your chart. Questions like: “Am I acting on impulse?” or “Is this revenge trading?” can save you from emotional trades.
🔁 Repeating Behaviors That Kill Accounts
Entering with high leverage and no stop-loss
Buying into massive green candles
Copying trades without personal analysis
Switching strategies based on emotions
Trading just to recover past losses (aka revenge trading)
These are not strategy flaws — they are emotional traps caused by unchecked greed.
🧘♂️ How to Calm Your Mind Before Trading
Ask yourself: "If this trade flips against me, what's my move?"
Use TradingView Alerts instead of staring at charts for hours
Define risk per trade as a percentage, not based on "gut feeling"
Always have an exit plan — the market doesn’t care about your hopes
📉 Is Liquidation Always a Sign of Bad Analysis?
Not always. Often, the chart was right, but greed kept the trader from exiting at the logical spot. Tools told you to get out — but your mind said, “What if it goes higher?”
🧭 How Greed Shows Up in Different Timeframes
In 5-minute charts, greed looks like sudden spikes. In 4H charts, it can be a fakeout or deceptive pullback.
Recognizing the form greed takes in your preferred timeframe is a game-changer.
🧲 How to Use Greed to Your Advantage
Yes — you can flip the script. When everyone is entering trades driven by greed, you can prepare to exit.
If RSI is high, volume is weak, and hype is everywhere — maybe it’s time to cash out, not load up .
💡Closing Note
Greed exists in every market — but that doesn’t mean you have to follow it.
Start treating your chart like a mirror — not a crystal ball. When a trade feels “too perfect,” stop and reflect. It might not be your edge talking — it might be your greed .
always conduct your own research before making investment decisions. That being said, please take note of the disclaimer section at the bottom of each post for further details 📜✅.
Give me some energy !!
✨We invest countless hours researching opportunities and crafting valuable ideas. Your support means the world to us! If you have any questions, feel free to drop them in the comment box.
Cheers, Mad Whale. 🐋
Pump and Dump🚨 Market Update – AGT Traders Beware 🚨
On May 21, Binance saw $141.14K in short liquidations vs. $90.47K in longs.
Today, just on Gate.io, there were a whopping $609.92K in long liquidations.
Overall volume remains low compared to previous days - signaling weak momentum and increased risk.
📅 On June 1, 82.35M AGT tokens (~$2.57M) will be unlocked.
⚠️ Expect high volatility - potential pump and dump scenarios.
Stay cautious out there.