technical analysis - AXUÉUSD daily time frame 📊 Technical Analysis – XAU/USD (Gold vs. USD) – Daily Timeframe
🔁 Overall Market Structure:
Since early 2025, the market has been in a strong bullish trend, followed by a few mid-term corrections.
A new all-time high was reached around $3,500.
After the peak, the price entered a sideways/consolidation phase, currently ranging between $3,360 and $3,460.
🔄 Key Structural Observations:
Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) and Changes of Character (CHoCH) can be seen near the top, especially after reaching the all-time high.
The market currently shows indecision, with no clear dominance from bulls or bears.
📉 Current Price Status:
Price is currently around $3,336 and moving within a consolidation zone.
This behavior suggests accumulation and could precede a major breakout—either bullish or bearish.
🎯 Potential Scenarios:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
Condition Clear breakout above ~$3,460 with strong bullish confirmation
Targets TP1: $3,500 (previous high), TP2: $3,550+ in extended move
Stop Loss Below breakout level or back inside the range (~$3,430)
This scenario becomes valid if the market shows strong bullish continuation after breakout.
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Condition Bearish breakout below ~$3,330 with strong bearish candle
Targets TP1: $3,250 / TP2: $3,120
Stop Loss Above the broken range (~$3,360–$3,370)
If this setup activates, a deeper correction could follow.
⚠️ Important Note:
The market is currently consolidating, so trading heavily in the middle of the range is risky.
It's safer to wait for a clear breakout with confirmation before entering a position.
📌 Summary:
Gold is consolidating after a strong uptrend.
A breakout from this range will likely determine the next major direction.
Wait for confirmation before taking any trade based on the breakout.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. This analysis reflects my personal view of the market.
Please do your own research and analysis before making any trading decisions, and manage your risk carefully.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Clear enough?we see a long push with displacement on the H1 that leaves behind a confluence between an Order Block and an Imbalance, up above there is an imbalance that also has a cconfluence with the senitive zone represented from the buyside liquidity of the previous range.
I currently want to see price head down there to start searching for an entry.
If anyone has questions feel free to ask.
GBP_USD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_USD broke the key structure level of 1.3620
While trading in an local uptrend
Which makes me bullish biased
And I think that after the retest of the broken level is complete
A rebound and bullish continuation will follow
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump
This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend.
Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now.
🪙 Bitcoin Stalling
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market.
But let’s be clear:
🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over
The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact.
However, in TradFi, there are cracks:
🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag
💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade
📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk
🔮 What to Expect
Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target)
A possible rebound after healthy consolidation
A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks
I’ll publish a new update when conditions change.
📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR.
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
Next Volatility Period: Around July 2nd
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise above 108316.90 and find support.
When OBV rises above the High Line, we need to check if the PVT-MACD oscillator switches to above the 0 point.
However, since the StochRSI indicator is currently showing signs of entering the overbought zone, I think there is a high possibility of resistance.
We need to check for support in the 108316.90-111696.21 zone, which is the high point boundary zone.
- If OBV fails to rise above the High Line,
- If the PVT-MACD oscillator fails to remain above the 0 point,
- If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone and switches to a state where K<D,
It is highly likely that it will eventually encounter resistance in the high point boundary zone and fall.
Therefore, what we need to do is to check for support near 108361.90-108353.0.
If it rises after that, we need to check for support near 111696.21.
Entering a new purchase in the high point boundary section is a very risky transaction.
Therefore, a short and quick response is required when making a purchase.
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
Do not forget this.
However, since the HA-Low or HA-High indicators are intermediate values, they may move in the opposite direction.
In other words, there is a possibility that the HA-Low indicator will receive resistance and fall, showing a stepwise downtrend, and the HA-High indicator will receive support and rise, showing a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, you must check whether there is support in the low point boundary section of the DOM(-60) ~ HA-Low section or the high point boundary section of the HA-High ~ DOM(60) section.
To do this, you must trade in a split transaction method.
-
The next volatility period is expected to start around July 2 (July 1-3).
The reason why we calculate the volatility period is because it can be a turning point of the trend.
Therefore, making a new trade during the volatility period means that there is a high possibility of being caught in a fake.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain the details again when the bear market starts.
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Short COINBASE $COINPlease do your own analysis, i am not responsible for your losses. Trading is risky.
This is daily candle, so when will it happen will take time, 1month or 1.5 month...can't know that.
Please don't tell me you traded and lost, you have to be careful.
The price will drop to the target green area..
$TTD | Smart Money Accumulation or Just a Dead Cat Bounce?WaverVanir International LLC Analysis
🧠 Weekly Chart | Smart Money Concepts (SMC) | June 25, 2025
After a dramatic markdown, The Trade Desk (TTD) has bounced sharply off a major strong low / demand zone (~$40–$45). We’re currently trading near $69.80, building bullish momentum toward the equilibrium zone at $80.55.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
🔴 CHoCH and multiple BOS confirm prior bearish control.
🟢 Price swept liquidity under March lows — classic smart money accumulation pattern.
🟡 Targeting Equilibrium Zone (~$80.55) → Potential reversal or distribution area.
🔺 Above that, inefficiency exists toward $134.09 Premium Zone — ideal for a liquidity grab.
📉 If rejected, expect another markdown targeting the original discount zone.
🔮 Key Levels:
✅ Support: $45.00 | Strong Low
🎯 TP1: $80.55 | Equilibrium
🎯 TP2: $134.09 | Weak High (Liquidity Zone)
❌ Invalid Below: $37.00
🧠 Possible Catalysts Ahead:
Q2 2025 Earnings (Expected late July) – Guidance revision could be a major driver.
AdTech Sector Rotation – Market rebalancing between Meta, Google, Roku, TTD.
Macro Pressure – Rising rates, liquidity tightening, and ad-spending revisions.
AI Integration Narrative – TTD may get a valuation bump from alignment with AI/ML targeting.
M&A Speculation – Strategic acquisition or partnership in programmatic space.
📌 Summary:
Accumulation appears underway, but SMC tells us to wait for signs at equilibrium and weak high zones. Monitor volume behavior and institutional tracks. Patience and precision will separate traders from liquidity.
#Hashtags:
#TTD #SmartMoneyConcepts #WaverVanir #TradingView #EquilibriumZone #LiquidityGrab #VolumeProfile #MarketStructure #SwyngSetup #AdTech #AIStocks #ProgrammaticAds #Fibonacci #VWAP #TrendReversal
XAUUSD – Sniper Entry Plan June 26, 2025👋 Hello traders,
Gold is currently consolidating after recent downside liquidity sweeps, and Thursday brings high-impact USD catalysts. Let’s break it down and build a precise plan for sniper entries around these volatile zones. We’re trading structure, not noise — eyes on the prize. 🎯
🔸 HTF Outlook (D1 → H4 → H1)
🌐 Macro & Geopolitical Context
Markets are bracing for:
USD Unemployment Claims (Forecast: 244K, previous: 245K)
Final GDP q/q and Durable Goods Orders
Fed speakers (Barkin, Barr, Harker)
Stronger-than-expected data could reinforce USD bullish sentiment, sending gold down. Weaker reports + dovish Fed = bullish pressure on gold.
🗺️ Daily Bias: Neutral to Bullish
Price is ranging above a key CHoCH low + Daily OB (3272–3288)
Strong bullish continuation only confirmed with a break above 3370–3384
FIBO: 50% retracement of the last swing is near 3310, giving structure to Buy Zone 1
Bias: Bullish as long as 3272 holds — PA supports HL structure above imbalance
🕓 H4 Bias: Bearish Pullback
CHoCH at 3384 → clean Lower High + price failed to close above premium FVG
Pullback testing EMA 50/100 + FVG at 3345
FIBO extension zone at 161.8% aligns near 3288 = reactive downside target
Bias: Reactive bearish under 3352. If 3370 breaks cleanly → short invalid.
🕐 H1 Bias: Bullish Short-Term
CHoCH → HL printed at 3310 → higher lows forming toward supply
EMA 21/50 crossed to the upside, RSI mid-range (50–60)
PA structure showing ascending triangle under resistance
Bias: Bullish continuation valid toward 3352–3370, unless breakdown under 3308
🔸 LTF Precision (M30 → M15)
🔹 Sell Zone 1 – 3352–3345
H1 OB + M15 FVG + upper range sweep
RSI expected to peak near 70 → potential divergence
FIBO: 78.6% retracement of previous bearish leg
PA: Watch for M15 liquidity sweep + bearish engulfing
🔸 Entry: Wait for break/retest → confirmation on M5–M15 BOS
🔹 Sell Zone 2 – 3370–3384
HTF premium imbalance zone + weak high above
RSI likely in exhaustion zone
FIBO extension 1.272–1.618 completes inside this supply
PA: Only enter after stop hunt wick + clear CHoCH (M5)
🔸 Entry: Reactive fade after liquidity trap
🔸 Buy Zone 1 – 3308–3313
H1 CHoCH + OB + EQ zone
RSI bounce zone (30–40)
FIBO 50–61.8% retracement of bullish swing
PA: Watch for M15 bullish engulfing or double bottom formation
🔸 Entry: Only on structure break + retest confirmation
🔸 Buy Zone 2 – 3288–3272
Daily OB + HTF FVG + massive imbalance
RSI expected to overshoot under 30
FIBO: 1.618 extension from previous M15 bullish leg
PA: High-RR reversal zone if flushed by NY open
🔸 Entry: Enter only after M5 CHoCH or strong engulfing near the OB
⚖️ Decision Zone – 3333–3336
Previous supply turned EQ zone
PA shows indecision — do not enter here
Useful for monitoring if price holds support or rejects
🔸 Trade Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Scenario
If USD data is weak:
Flush to 3308 or 3288
Confirm HL formation → sniper buy from OB → aim 3345+, possibly 3370 sweep
🔴 Bearish Scenario
If USD prints strong:
Price spikes into 3352 or 3370 zones → rejection + BOS
Sniper short entry → targets 3310 → 3288
🔸 Final Plan & Action Points
✅ Patience is key during news. Let structure confirm.
✅ Track price behavior near 14:30 CEST, avoid instant spikes.
✅ Best sniper RR zones:
🔹 Sell from 3352 or 3370
🔸 Buy from 3308 or 3288
📊 Precision matters. Structure wins.
👍 Like this if it helped you map the move, and 🔔 follow for tomorrow’s sniper entry.
— GoldFxMinds
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
BTCUSD HTFBitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that you can buy, sell and exchange directly, without an intermediary like a bank. Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, originally described the need for “an electronic payment system based on cryptographic proof instead of trust.”
Every Bitcoin transaction that’s ever been made exists on a public ledger accessible to everyone, making transactions hard to reverse and difficult to fake. That’s by design: Core to their decentralized nature, Bitcoins aren’t backed by the government or any issuing institution, and there’s nothing to guarantee their value besides the proof baked in the heart of the system.
AoO series No.1 - follow upTue - 7am NY.
Monthly: Expansion candle, clear target low.
Weekly: Expansion candle. We are exiting a consolidation area. We want confirmation that we are running the low and not sweeping it.
Daily: the point of interest is the Previous Candle's Low, because the candle didn't close below the taken low. After the PL there is no resistance before the target.
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Wed - follow up
On the D we closed below the PL. Today is a 3rd candle.
On the 4H we already retraced to a FVG and we first failed to make a new FVG.
Are we going to have 2 BAGs on the daily or are we going to retrace to the first FVG before going to target?
Automating Your Trading Pipeline: Series Overview
Hello fellow traders!
Over the next week I’ll be rolling out a short series on how to take your TradingView alerts all the way through to live orders—fully automated—using AWS and the Tradovate API.
Today’s post is just the big-picture overview. In the days ahead we’ll peel back the layers and show you exactly how each piece fits together:
TradingView PineScript Alerts: how to craft alert payloads in Pine.
AWS API Gateway web-hook: receiving and validating your alerts.
AWS Lambda Python – processing payloads & calculating SL and TP.
Tradovate REST API – placing bracket (OCO) orders.
Telegram Notifications – real-time trade confirmations to your phone.
At the end of this series you’ll have a fully-automated end-to-end pipeline, no more manual order entry!
Stay tuned for Part 2 , when we’ll dive into crafting precise JSON alerts in PineScript.
Gold consolidates Bullish momentum Towards 3375XAUUSD Gold Analysis Update – June 25
Gold initially fell below the key trigger level at 3375, extending its decline and sweeping through liquidity support around 3310. However, the break below 3310 proved to be a false breakout, with price rebounding sharply and interrupting the three-day bearish streak.
This rebound is supported by renewed weakness in the US dollar and persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, both of which have helped restore safe-haven demand for gold.
You may find more details in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
BTCUSD h4 strong down opportunity Price is in a resistance zone and expected to dump heavily.
Support zone seen as temporary.
Long-term bearish target near $97,000-$98,000, possibly below
Trend Rejection & Dump Trap & Pump
Pattern Ending Diagonal Bullish Flag
Target $102K → $97K $108K → $112K+
Strategy Sell Resistance Buy Trap Break
1 Year of Bitcoin Bull Run Remaining? In the chart above, we’re analyzing Bitcoin’s historical cycles to see if the current cycle follows a similar pattern.
Bear Run (1 Year): In each of the last three cycles, Bitcoin experienced a bear market lasting exactly 1 year from the all-time high (ATH). This phase saw a significant drop in price as the market corrected.
Bull Run from Bottom (1,064 Days): In the last two cycles, once the bottom was established, Bitcoin entered a consistent bull market that lasted approximately 1,064 days. During this period, the price gradually climbed, eventually reaching new highs.
Current Bitcoin Cycle:
So far, the current cycle appears to be following the same pattern as previous cycles. We’ve already experienced a 1-year bear market after reaching the previous all-time high (ATH).
Currently, we have completed 2 years of a bull run from the bottom, aligning with the 1,064-day bull run observed in past cycles. Based on this historical pattern, we may have 1 year of bull run remaining, which could potentially push Bitcoin to new highs by late 2025.
If this trend continues, it suggests a strong opportunity for growth over the next year, mirroring the end phase of past cycles.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT BITSTAMP:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Regards
Hexa
Bulish oil WTI)
✅ Overall Market Structure:
After a steady bullish trend, price has experienced a sharp drop and is now reacting to a demand zone around 64.955. The recent price action suggests signs of potential stabilization and a possible bullish reversal.
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🟩 Key Levels:
Major Support Zone:
The area between 64.00 – 65.00 acts as a strong demand zone, which has shown prior reactions.
Resistance / Target Levels:
67.398 (first resistance and short-term target)
69.231 (mid-level resistance)
72.879 (main target if bullish momentum continues)
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📈 Bullish Scenario (Most Probable Based on Current Chart):
After touching the demand zone, price seems to be forming a potential bottom. If a strong bullish candlestick appears (such as a bullish engulfing or hammer), we can expect a corrective or impulsive move to the upside.
🔸 Suggested Stop-Loss: Below 63.80
🔸 Target 1: 67.40
🔸 Target 2: 69.20
🔸 Target 3: 72.80
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⚠️ Important Notes:
1. Wait for bullish confirmation before entering a trade.
2. If the support at 64 breaks, price may drop further toward the next demand zone around 61.00–60.00 (next major support lies at 59.415).
3. Keep an eye on oil-related news and U.S. economic reports (noted with calendar icons on the chart), as they can strongly impact volatility.
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