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Beyond Technical Analysis

Swing Trading for EICHERMOTMulti-Timeframe Market Analysis 🕐 1-Hour Chart (Higher Timeframe – HTF) Trend: Bullish Structure: The market recently formed a Break of Structure (BOS) by taking out the previous swing high. Retracement: Price has retraced to the 72% Fibonacci level, indicating a potential area for continuation of the uptrend. Key Zone: Price has now tapped into a significant 1H Order Block (OB), which may act as a strong support zone. 🕒 15-Minute Chart (Mid Timeframe – MTF) Change of Character (ChoCh): A bullish ChoCh has occurred, signaling a shift in internal structure from bearish to bullish. Implication: This confirms alignment with the bullish HTF trend and strengthens the case for a potential long entry. 🕐📉 Lower Timeframe (3-Minute or 1-Minute – LTF) Confirmation Required: Wait for one of the following before entering: ChoCh (bullish structure shift) Flip Zone (resistance turning into support) Entry Strategy: Enter a long position after confirmation from LTF price action. Stop Loss: Place below the LTF swing low or the 1H OB (based on risk tolerance). Target: Previous 1H high or next significant liquidity level.
NSE:EICHERMOTLong
by Parthasarathi_Dey
Gold Long, S&P Short, USDJPY Short: Flight to SafetyThis is a multi-asset idea in which I explain how different instruments helps us to paint a picture of what is happening at a macro level, specifically to the financial markets. Over here, I proposed that the equity markets, represented by S&P500, are going to correct heavily and that we will be in a flight-to-safety mode. Not brought up here but will add strength to the hypothesis is the yield on US Treasuries have also gone up.
TVC:GOLDLong
by yuchaosng
Gold Tap into Order Block, Ready for the Drop?Here’s a surgical bearish setup on XAUUSD, right out of the smart money playbook. Gold has tapped into a premium order block inside the golden zone (between 61.8%–79%) and is showing signs of exhaustion. This could be the beginning of a major sell-off. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 🔻 Bearish Channel: Market respecting both internal and external structure — clear downward channel 🟣 Order Block Zone: Price tapped into the OB nestled between 3,332 – 3,338 ➕ Aligns with 70.5%–79% Fib retracement zone (premium price) 🔂 Swing Failure Pattern (SFP): Price wicked above previous minor high, showing manipulation + rejection 🔥 High RR Setup: ✅ Entry: 3,331.7 (current OB tap) ❌ SL: ~3,370 🎯 TP: 3,120 zone (0% fib extension + previous structure) 🧠 Confluences: Liquidity taken above minor highs OB + Fib alignment Previous channel high rejection Structural LH forming 🎯 Trade Idea: This is a textbook distribution phase after a channel mitigation. Smart money has likely finished accumulating above highs and is prepping for markdown. Plan: Wait for bearish confirmation (e.g., 15min BOS or engulfing candle) Enter short from OB Trail SL if price breaks below the mid-channel zone 🧠 Quote for Traders: “Price doesn’t reverse randomly. It reacts at engineered levels by the institutions.” — Stay reactive, not predictive.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
#AN001: Geopolitical Situations and Forex Impact Hi, I'm Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about how the recent geopolitical turmoil is impacting global currency markets. In this week of May 2025, significant events are shaking up the global economic and political balance, with direct repercussions on Forex. Geopolitical Overview: Rising Tensions India-Pakistan Crisis Following the terrorist attack in Pahalgam on April 22, which left 25 Indian tourists dead, relations between India and Pakistan deteriorated rapidly. Artillery exchanges along the Line of Control, diplomatic expulsions and the suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty characterized the following weeks. Although a ceasefire was reached on May 10, the situation remains volatile, with significant impacts on air traffic and regional trade routes. Wikipedia Iran-US Nuclear Stalemate The nuclear talks between Iran and the United States are at a standstill. Tehran refuses to stop enriching uranium and negotiate on its missile program, while Washington insists on these conditions. Iran, under economic pressure from sanctions, may seek support from China and Russia, although these allies face their own geopolitical challenges. Reuters "Golden Dome" and US Trade Policies President Donald Trump has announced the "Golden Dome" project, a $175 billion missile defense system inspired by Israel's Iron Dome. Meanwhile, protectionist US trade policies are generating uncertainty in global markets, with the European Union proposing a "Buy European" strategy to strengthen the bloc's economic autonomy. The Times of India Financial Times FX Impacts: Currency Market Analysis EUR/USD: Downside Pressure The euro is under pressure due to trade tensions with the US and domestic economic uncertainties. Proposals to reform public procurement and European defense initiatives could affect investor sentiment. The ECB has highlighted risks to financial stability arising from these tensions. USD/JPY: Yen Safe Haven Amid global uncertainty, the Japanese yen is strengthening as a safe haven currency. Tensions in the Middle East and US policies are pushing investors towards safer assets, supporting the yen’s appreciation. GBP/USD: Towards a New UK-EU Relationship The UK, under Prime Minister Keir Starmer, is seeking to re-establish closer relations with the European Union, without rejoining the bloc. This pragmatic strategy could reduce economic uncertainty and positively impact sterling in the medium term. USD/CAD: Influence of Oil Prices The Canadian dollar is affected by fluctuations in oil prices, influenced by uncertainties in the Iran-US negotiations and tensions in Ukraine. Canada's dependence on energy exports makes the CAD sensitive to these developments.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Top 10 Rookie Trading Mistakes (And How to Laugh at Your Own)So you’ve just discovered trading. Maybe it started with a Reddit thread. Maybe someone said “trading Nvidia NASDAQ:NVDA is like printing money.” Or maybe you just liked the name “Shiba Inu” and figured memecoins was a good investment thesis. Either way, welcome. This is where dreams are made, lost, rebought on leverage, and then tweeted about. The markets are ruthless, but also educational — if you’re humble enough to learn and bold enough to laugh when you inevitably light your first $100 on fire by accidentally shorting Apple NASDAQ:AAPL during a breakout. This article is for you. The new trader. The (overconfident?) beginner. Let’s talk about the top 10 rookie trading mistakes — and how to laugh at your own before the market does it for you. 1️⃣ Mistaking Luck for Skill (aka “Call Me Baby Buffett”) Your first trade is a win. Your second is too. Maybe it’s a meme stock . Maybe it’s a hot IPO. Either way, you’re convinced you’ve cracked the matrix. You tell your friends: “I just have a feel for this stuff.” What actually happened: You got lucky in a trending market. And now you're about to go full Titanic on a position you didn’t research, because hey — you're "on a roll." What you can do insead, and probably have a laugh about it years later, is screenshot your account right now in your very early steps. Frame it. Label it: Exhibit A in Emotional Risk Management. 2️⃣ The Revenge Trade: “I’ll Win It Back” You took a loss. A big one. Your first real slap from the market. So what do you do? Walk away? Reflect? Journal it? Nah. You go in twice as hard on the next setup. Same ticker. Same direction. More size. Spoiler alert: It doesn’t end well. That type of spiraling behavior usually happens when you think the market owes you something. It doesn’t. Not even an apology. Imagine explaining your decision to a judge. “Your Honor, I lost money shorting Tesla, so naturally I doubled down five minutes later.” Case dismissed — and that’s why revenge trading is so dangerous . 3️⃣ FOMO FOMO FOMO A green candle pops up on your watchlist. It’s moving. Fast. You missed the breakout but you still click “buy” because you’re not missing this train. You get in. It tops. You hold. It drops. You panic. It rebounds… just after you sell. Classic rookie cycle. Why does this happen? The fear of missing out turns off your brain faster than a margin call. Call it what it is — chasing. Say it out loud like it’s therapy: “Hi, this is Patrick and I like to buy things 10% too late.” Maybe it helps. 4️⃣ “I’m Married to This Trade” It started with a spark. The chart looked good. The RSI whispered sweet nothings. You thought, “This could be the one.” So you bought. Then bought again. And when it dipped harder than your last relationship, you said, “It’s okay, we’re just going through a rough patch.” Before you knew it, you weren’t trading — you were in a toxic relationship with a ticker. You’ve abandoned your edge for emotion. Confirmation bias kicks in, and instead of managing risk, you’re managing denial. You stop analyzing the chart and start defending it like it’s your firstborn. If you’re talking about a stock (or anything else on a chart) the way your friend talks about their ex — “It just needs time, I know it’ll come back” — you’re not trading. You’re coping. 5️⃣ All In, All the Time Risk management? Never heard of that. You found a setup that “can’t fail,” so you went 100% in. On margin. On a Friday. What could go wrong? Answer: Everything. Especially when your trade gaps against you on Monday morning after Trump has said tariffs are changing once again. That’s when you know you’re mistaking conviction for strategy. They’re not the same. 6️⃣ Ignoring the Bigger Picture You nailed the 15-minute chart. Gorgeous breakout. But somehow, you forgot to check the daily — where your “breakout” is just a lower high in a brutal downtrend. Oops. Think about whether you've got tunnel vision. You went along with your short-term bias instead of checking the bigger picture when things are different. What you can do instead, is make a rule: before every trade, zoom out. Literally. Leave no timeframe unexamined (at least up to the daily frame). 7️⃣ Trading Every Day Like It’s the Super Bowl New traders think they have to trade every day. Every single session. Every little move. And when there’s no good setup? They make one up, trying to whip up trendlines to justify their trading. What happens next: Boredom trades. Overtrading. Why it happens: You're addicted to the action, not the outcome. What can you do instead? Write down the number of trades you made last week. Multiply it by the average commission you paid. Now imagine what you could’ve bought instead. And, what could be even better, consider taking a lesson in patience . 8️⃣ Blind Faith in Indicators The RSI is at 18. The MACD just crossed. Stochastic says “maybe.” So you buy. No price action. No trend. Just… vibes and indicators. Result: You become a victim of the “indicator trap” — relying so heavily on these lines you forget to read the actual chart — momentum, market sentiment, broader technicals, and fundamentals. What’s a better approach is to ​​treat your indicators like seasoning, not the main dish. The best trades come from confluence, not wishful thinking dressed up as technical analysis. 9️⃣ The Trading Journal You Never Wrote If you can’t remember why you entered a trade, you’re not at your best. Here’s a pro tip: Keep a trading journal . One that records your thesis, entry, stop, target, and outcome. You know — the boring stuff that makes you better. Why is that important? Journaling builds discipline. Patterns. Self-awareness. It’s never too late to start your journal! 🔟 Expecting to Get Rich Quick This is the big one. The rookie mindset that kills most portfolios: I’m gonna turn $500 into $5,000 in a month. You won’t. Sorry. And even if you do, you won’t keep it. Trading rewards patience, process, and preservation. Not YOLO bets and delusions of grandeur. Try looking at your P&L like a diet. If you expect six-pack abs in a week, you’ll burn out and crash your progress. If you focus on habits? You’ll outlive the hype. 📚 Conclusion: Every Trader Starts Stupid Let’s be clear — all of us have made these mistakes, even the big shots out there that run billion-dollar funds. The only difference between a rookie and a pro is how fast you learn from them. Or better yet — how fast you can laugh at them, document them, and evolve. Because the truth is, the market is the most expensive comedy club on Earth. And every trade is a new punchline. So if you're new, mess up. Take notes. Stay humble. And above all — enjoy the chaos. One day you’ll look back at your Doge CRYPTOCAP:DOGE top-buy with fondness. After all, it’s only a mistake if you didn’t learn. Otherwise, it’s just tuition paid for by your trading account. What’s a mistake we didn’t mention? Share your tips, tricks, mistakes, and lessons in the comment section!
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
20
Will Middle East Tensions Ignite a Global Oil Crisis?The global oil market faces significant turbulence amidst reports of potential Israeli military action against Iran's nuclear facilities. This looming threat has triggered a notable surge in oil prices, reflecting deep market anxieties. The primary concern stems from the potential for severe disruption to Iran's oil output, a critical component of global supply. More critically, an escalation risks Iranian retaliation, including a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a substantial portion of the world's oil transits. Such an event would precipitate an unprecedented supply shock, echoing historical price spikes seen during past Middle Eastern crises. Iran currently produces around 3.2 million barrels per day and holds strategic importance beyond its direct volume. Its oil exports, primarily to China, serve as an economic lifeline, making any disruption profoundly impactful. A full-scale conflict would unleash a cascade of economic consequences: extreme oil price surges would fuel global inflation, potentially pushing economies into recession. While some spare capacity exists, a prolonged disruption or a Hormuz blockade would render it insufficient. Oil-importing nations, particularly vulnerable developing economies, would face severe economic strain, while major oil exporters, including Saudi Arabia, the US, and Russia, would see substantial financial gains. Beyond economics, a conflict would fundamentally destabilize the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, unraveling diplomatic efforts and exacerbating regional tensions. Geostrategically, the focus would intensify on safeguarding critical maritime routes, highlighting the inherent vulnerabilities of global energy supply chains. Macroeconomically, central banks would confront the difficult task of managing inflation without stifling growth, leading to a surge in safe-haven assets. The current climate underscores the profound fragility of global energy markets, where geopolitical developments in a volatile region can have immediate and far-reaching global repercussions.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by UDIS_View
PERSISTENT - Persistent Systems Ltd (45 minutes, NSE) - LongPERSISTENT - Persistent Systems Ltd. (45 minutes chart, NSE) - Long Position; short-term research idea. Risk assessment: Medium {volume structure integrity risk} Risk/Reward ratio ~ 2.44 Current Market Price (CMP) ~ 5740 Entry limit ~ 5710 on May 20, 2025 1.⁠ ⁠Target limit ~ 5900 (+3.33%; +190 points) 2.⁠ ⁠⁠Target limit ~ 6100 (+6.83%; +390 points) Stop order limit ~ 5550 (-2.80%; -160 points) Disclaimer: Investments in securities markets are subject to market risks. All information presented in this group is strictly for reference and personal study purposes only and is not a recommendation and/or a solicitation to act upon under any interpretation of the letter. LEGEND: {curly brackets} = observation notes = important updates (parentheses) = information details ~ tilde/approximation = variable value -hyphen = fixed value
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by VEDIMarketWatch
USDJPY Long Setup: Triple Confluence Zone Locked InSmart money traders love one thing more than anything — confluence. This BTCUSD setup hits all the marks: 📈 Structure Breakdown: Market breaks structure to the upside ✅ Impulsive bullish leg breaks prior high ✅ Pullback into 61.8% golden zone + OB ✅ Rejection wick = perfect entry confirmation ✅ This is a high-probability continuation setup after BTC made a clear bullish BOS (Break of Structure) on the M30 timeframe. 🟦 Order Block Zone: OB Range: Top: ~106,989 Bottom: ~106,759 This OB was the last down candle before the big bullish impulse that broke structure. Price returned to mitigate here, then instantly rejected = Smart Money entry confirmed 🔒 🧮 Fibonacci Levels: 61.8%: Sliced right into it 70.5% – 79%: Deeper liquidity zone just below The entry wick taps right into the sweet OB/Fib confluence zone and launches 🚀. It’s giving sniper precision with a low drawdown entry. 🎯 Trade Parameters: Entry: ~106,759 SL: Below the OB zone TP: 108,022 (previous high) That’s an RRR of around 3.5–4.0x — a clean asymmetric play, just the way smart money wants it. 🔍 Confirmation Factors: Bullish BOS on M30 Price returns to OB zone + golden ratio Clean rejection candle with demand absorption No internal structure break = bullish narrative still valid 🧠 Key Lesson: “When OB meets Fibonacci, don’t ask why. Load up — the market just told you why.” Let setups like this come to you. No chasing, no emotions. Let the algo-driven footprints guide you to the money. 📈 Missed this one? Save it for your playbook — this is how high-probability trades are built. Drop a 💰 if you caught the same move!
Long
by ChartNinjas88
CESC Ltd – Short-Term Breakout Idea|Target: ₹171.00 CMP: ₹165.70 Recommended Buy Range: ₹164.50 – ₹165.00 Target: ₹171.00 🎯 Stop Loss: ₹161.50 🛡️ Timeframe: 15 min & 1H Risk-Reward: ~1.4:1 Type: Momentum Breakout / Swing Trade 🔍 Technical Analysis: ✅ EMA Cross (9/13) bullish crossover ✅ Price trading above EMA-26 ✅ RSI at 65 – bullish, not overbought ✅ BB %B around 1.0 – strong upper band breakout ✅ Volume spike supports the move Watch for a strong close above ₹167 to confirm momentum toward ₹171. For Education Purposes Only
NSE:CESCLong
by rmhetre15
BTC | Testing ATH — Breakout or Trap?Daily close just under ATH at 109,609 We had only 1H confirmation above ATH, with the first 4H close above ATH likely in 30 minutes. The breakout volume is well above average (Volume MA: 172.89k), but daily candle still below resistance. This could be: • A Sign of Strength (SOS) transitioning into Phase E markup, • Or a premature breakout without higher timeframe validation. ⸻ Breakout Validation Checklist: 1. 1H Close Above ATH (~110k) ✅ ▸ Initial signal confirmed, but not sufficient alone. 2. 4H Close Above ATH (Pending ~30 mins) ▸ Must close above 110k, with no strong upper wick. ▸ Confirms intermediate-term strength. 3. Daily Close ≥ 110k ▸ Still missing. Required for macro breakout confirmation. ▸ Watch for candle body, not just wick. 4. Throwback & Support Hold at 109.6–110k ▸ Ideally after 4H confirmation, a retest and bounce = textbook SOS → BU → Markup pattern. 5. Invalidation Risks: ▸ Daily close <109k with high volume ▸ RSI divergence on 4H ▸ Rejection from 114k–116k Fib cluster ▸ Large bearish engulfing below ATH ⸻ Wyckoff Context: We’re likely in Re-Accumulation Phase D, testing the breakout. No signs of UTAD or distribution — but low conviction breakouts at ATH are known trap zones. ⸻ What’s Next? If 4H + Daily confirm, momentum may push toward: • TP1: 114,449 (Fib 0.618) • TP2: 116,199 (Measured move) • TP3: 118,237 (Upper Fib extension) ⸻ Follow for real-time BTC setups based on structure, RSI, and volume — no hopium. Like & share if this helps clarify the levels you’re watching.
by BitcoinMillio18
Market next target Disruption: Bearish Counter-Analysis 1. Rising Wedge Pattern: The price action resembles a rising wedge, not a bullish channel. Rising wedges are typically bearish reversal patterns, especially after strong prior bullish moves. 2. Decreasing Volume: Volume is tapering off as price climbs, which often signals weakening buying pressure. Lack of strong volume near resistance suggests potential fake-out risk. 3. Bearish Divergence Risk: Not visible here, but on RSI or MACD, rising price with slowing momentum often triggers bearish divergence. This could suggest an imminent drop. 4. False Breakout Trap: The highlighted resistance zone could trap late buyers. A fake breakout followed by a strong red candle could trigger stop-loss hunts, dragging price sharply lower. 5. Macro Event Warning: The U.S. flag at the bottom suggests high-impact news is due. If USD strengthens, GBP/USD may reject the resistance and drop fast, invalidating the long setup.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
USCRUDEOIL - Potential SellHi Traders, Here is my view on CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOIL BIAS: SELL Logical Analysis: From April 2020 to March 2022, oil experienced strong buyer demand, pushing price aggressively from the $7 level up to around $120. At that point, sellers stepped in, and a temporary agreement between buyers and sellers was established around the $120 zone — a fair value at the time. Since March 2022, price has been declining — entering a discount phase. However, the move has not been sharp or aggressive, suggesting sellers are not in a rush. Importantly, no significant buyer interest has been observed during this entire discounted phase. 🛒 Interpretation: The “store” (market) offered oil at a huge premium until buyers stopped stepping in at high prices. Since then, the price has been marked down gradually, waiting for a new batch of interested buyers — who haven’t shown up yet but be aware. Technical Analysis: see chart Good Luck
CMCMARKETS:USCRUDEOILShort
by tarati.lorenzo