"Bitcoin's Bullish Reversal: Projected Pullback Before Surging TBitcoin has begun a downward trend from March 24th that could last 49 days, with a projected low near $75,000. This area may offer a strong entry point for swing traders aiming for the next leg up. If support holds, BTC could rally over the following 149 days toward a profit target of $154,000 — a potential 100%+ gain. Traders considering this move should watch for signs of reversal near $75K and manage risk with a stop loss just below $70,000 to protect against deeper downside.
Beyond Technical Analysis
ZROUSDT - The star of this season!The coin has surged 150% in recent days, despite the overall bearish and depressing market.
This is a strong indication of momentum and growing hype around this coin. The daily chart shows stability at a key support level, highlighted in gray.
-It broke a major downtrend line that had been in place for over 3 months and successfully retested it.
-Long-term targets look extremely bullish, with massive upside potential.
-Holding this key support makes it a perfect entry point for buyers.
-Price projection suggests a reverse H&S pattern completion, followed by a breakout and continuation to the upside.
Everything looks perfectly aligned on the chart!
best regards Ceciliones🎯
aily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 27th March 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Final GDP q/q
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Consolidation in 4hr time frame
-Looking for price to respect the high & low on the 4hr structure before the GDP news
-Potential BUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3000,3040
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
Trump's Auto Tariffs Shake Things Up on Wall StreetTrump's tariffs are clearly not going away. In fact, he's upped the ante with a 25% tariff on all non-US cars, vowed to target pharmaceuticals and promised more are to come on April 2nd. Given the dire weakness in consumer sentiment data, I suspect Wall Street indices may have seen a swing high.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
ES Update1) My apologies for getting the PCE release date wrong, it's Friday, not today. Still made money on my XLF calls plus AAPL also went up this morning.
2) There's a small open gap on ES, RTY, and YM from the one hour break after market close. It looks like it might fill overnight. Make sure you check tomorrow morning.
3) The gap below is still open, and it looks like 3hr MFI and RSI want to hit oversold tomorrow.
4) Sorry for not checking the news, I can barely even make trades on my phone while at work. Had I known today was auto tariff day, I would have played things differently.
Personally, I think PCE numbers are a moo point (my Friends will get the joke) because auto tariffs will drive inflation up, but there's bound to be a bounce when MFI and RSI get oversold. If I decide to go long tomorrow, it'll probably just be a handful of XLF calls again.
XLF will probably dip tomorrow because higher auto prices means fewer auto loans and higher inflation this summer. Market will still go up Friday if indicators get oversold, so it's just a quick play, not an investment.
At this point, all I can recommend is that you keep an eye on the 3 hr indicators, seems to be working well. Also, XLF and AAPL completed intraday patterns from yesterday, so there is that too.
NAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks - Easy MoneyNAS100, US100, NQ, NASDAQ Long for 2 Weeks, it could drop a little forsure but with my back testing of this strategy, its good long now, manage your position accordingly.
Use proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice
VOE LONGAs you can clearly see the VOESTALPINE AG stock has found support at a key order block, aligning closely with the 50% Fibonacci retracement — a typical entry point for smart money. Since then, price action has stabilized and is starting to push higher. The declining short interest ratio suggests bearish pressure is easing, while the rising volume delta points to increasing demand. This confluence could signal accumulation and a potential continuation to the upside. Watching for further confirmation and a clean break above recent highs.
#SmartMoney #OrderBlock #VolumeDelta #Fibonacci50 #ShortSqueeze #AccumulationPhase #TradingStrategy #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketStructure #BullishSetup #PriceAction #Orderflow #SwingTrading #TradingViewIdeas
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.28
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
Let's talk about the SOLUSD chart.
--------------------------------------
(ETHUSD 1D chart)
The circled sections on the chart are important support and resistance sections.
Since the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts are passing through the 137.28-180.38 range, it is important to see whether it can receive support and rise this time.
If it fails to rise, it is likely to fall to the Fibonacci ratio range of 2 (80.31) ~ 1.902 (88.47).
-
We need to see if the OBV can rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 1.27 (141.08) as it rises above the middle line.
Since the OBV indicator itself has fallen below the 0 point, there is a high possibility that the selling pressure will increase.
Therefore, we need to check the support and resistance points when the OBV rises above the 0 point.
If it shows support near 180.38, I think it is highly likely that it will turn into an upward trend and rise.
-
Therefore, when the competition starts, check if it is located in the 137.28-180.38 range, and if not, it is expected that a sell (SHORT) position will be advantageous.
Even if the price is maintained above 137.28,
- There is a possibility that it will be difficult to maintain a buy (LONG) position due to the fact that the OBV is located below the 0 point,
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1W, 1M charts is in a reverse arrangement, etc.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
------------------------------------------------------
The key is whether it can rise to 2271.0-2356.31
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
The April TradingView competition is sponsored by PEPPERSTONE.
Accordingly, we will look at the coins (tokens) and items that can be traded in the competition.
I will talk about the ETHUSD chart.
--------------------------------------
(ETHUSD 1W)
If you look at the 1W chart, you can see how important the current price position is.
If it continues to decline this time, it is likely to fall to around 1337.54.
Therefore, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.236 (2089.91).
In order to turn upward on the 1W chart, it must rise near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and maintain the price.
-
(1D chart)
Since the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the point of 1935.88, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near this area.
If it does not and falls below 1871.55, it is highly likely to fall to around 1626.95.
-
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts is passing near the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14).
Therefore, in order to turn into an uptrend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts and be maintained.
To do so, we need to see if it can naturally rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts while maintaining the price by rising around 2271.0-2356.31.
However, in order to continue the uptrend, it is expected that the price must rise above the Fibonacci ratio of 0.382 (2646.14) and be maintained.
-
If the OBV does not rise above the upper line of the price channel and show an uptrend, it is likely that it will be difficult to sustain even if an uptrend appears.
The StochRSI indicator is showing a downward trend in the overbought zone.
Therefore, if the StochRSI indicator turns upward again and maintains the price around 1935.88, it is expected that it will lead to an attempt to rise to around 2271.0.
Therefore, when the competition started,
- If the StochRSI indicator did not turn upward,
- If the OBV did not rise above the upper line and showed an upward trend,
- If it did not receive support near 1935.88, it is expected that the SHORT position would be advantageous.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Here is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it while touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point of interest is whether they can be supported and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio of 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
------------------------------------------------------
AUD/CAD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Key Support📊 Chart Analysis
1️⃣ Accumulation Zone : The price previously traded within a rectangular consolidation range before breaking down.
2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Pattern : A falling wedge has formed, indicating a possible breakout to the upside.
3️⃣ Key Support : The price has tested the 0.8980 - 0.8970 zone multiple times and is showing signs of rejection.
4️⃣ Potential Upside : A breakout above 0.9030 - 0.9050 could confirm further bullish momentum.
🚀 Trading Plan:
📌 Entry : On a breakout above 0.9025
🎯 Targets :
First target : 0.9100
Extended target : 0.9130
🛑 Stop Loss : Below 0.8965 to minimize risk.
🔔 Confirmation Needed: Wait for strong bullish price action before entering long trades. 🚀🔥
Gold (XAU/EUR) – Potential Sell Setup from Rising Wedge📉 Market Structure & Pattern:
The chart shows a broadening wedge pattern followed by a rising wedge formation.
Price has reached the upper boundary of the descending channel, where a potential sell-off could begin.
📉 Bearish Outlook:
The sell signal is indicated near 2,811 EUR, suggesting a possible reversal.
The target area is around 2,769 - 2,700 EUR, aligning with previous support zones.
If the price breaks below the wedge structure, further downside momentum is expected.
📌 Trading Plan:
Bears may look for short opportunities around resistance.
A break below 2,794 EUR could confirm further downside.
Bulls should monitor price action for any rejection near support zones for potential buying opportunities.
⚠️ Risk Management:
A break above 2,815 EUR could invalidate the bearish setup.
Stop-loss placement above resistance is advisable to minimize risk.
XAUUSD H1 Short TermGold Prices—Ahead of Key PCE Report
- Gold remains in a consolidation phase after last week’s sharp pullback, with traders weighing economic data.
Fundamental View:
- A strengthening U.S. dollar and rising Treasury yields have pressured prices, but recent dollar weakness—down 3.4% for the month—has helped stabilise gold near the $3,000 level. Safe-haven demand remains elevated amid economic uncertainty, particularly around U.S. tariff policies. Markets are closely watching the potential impact of new tariffs set to take effect on April 2, with a more aggressive stance likely pushing gold toward $3,100, while a softer approach may lead to a temporary dip below $3,000.
- Last week, the Fed held rates steady and projected two cuts for the year, reinforcing gold’s appeal as a non-yielding asset. Traders are now turning to Friday’s PCE inflation report— the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge. A softer reading would likely fuel expectations of rate cuts, supporting gold, while a hotter-than-expected number could strengthen the dollar and pressure prices lower.
Technical View:
- Current price action suggests indecision, with gold trading at $3,027.49. Key support lies at $2,995 – $3,005, with a break below this range potentially triggering a move toward $2,930 – $2,940. The critical longer-term support remains at the 50-day moving average of $2,874.97.
- On the upside, a sustained move above $3,057.59 would signal a continuation of the broader uptrend, with targets at $3,100 and $3,150. As long as gold holds above $2,968.92, the bullish structure remains intact, and any pullbacks are likely to be short-lived.
EUR/USD Chart Analysis - Bearish Breakdown Towards Target📉 Pattern & Market Structure:
The chart shows an ascending channel that was previously supporting price action. However, the price has broken below the lower trendline, confirming a bearish breakdown.
The recent price action suggests a shift from bullish momentum to bearish sentiment.
📉 Price Action & Target:
A breakdown from the channel suggests further downside movement.
The price is currently around 1.07556, with a potential target of 1.05089 based on the measured move from the broken channel.
This target aligns with a key support level.
📌 Trading Plan:
Bears may look for sell opportunities below 1.07602.
Confirmation of further downside can be seen if the price stays below previous support-turned-resistance levels.
Bulls might wait for a potential reversal near the target zone.
⚠️ Risk Management:
Watch for pullbacks or retests of the broken support before entering a short position.
A break back above 1.08765 could invalidate the bearish setup.
USD/JPY Bullish Reversal (Inverse Head & Shoulders)📌 Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders
📌 Analysis: The chart showcases an inverse head and shoulders pattern, a classic bullish reversal formation. The price has successfully broken out of the downward trendline, indicating potential upside movement.
🔹 Left Shoulder: Formed during the previous retracement.
🔹 Head: The lowest point of the pattern, marking strong support.
🔹 Right Shoulder: Completed with a breakout above resistance.
📈 Trading Plan:
✅ Entry (Buy): After a confirmed breakout and possible retest.
🎯 Target: 153.988 - 154.672 (2.74% potential gain).
🔻 Support: 149.883 - 148.837 (Stops should be placed accordingly).
📊 Conclusion:
If the price maintains above the breakout level, we may see a strong rally toward the resistance target. Watch for volume confirmation and pullback retests before entering a trade.
DXY is still bearish, I'm selling here!!I'm entering half postion here but will enter again when I see 4hrs confirmation.
The trend is bearish, my POI for possible retracement has been met.
I'm eentering with 5 mins confirmation here but will still update you guys when I see 4hrs confirmation.
Ya gaziere unu
GBPNZD Sell GBPNZD is showing a Change of Character (ChoCh) on the Daily, signaling a potential shift in market structure. This is further reinforced by a double top confirmation on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating strong resistance and potential exhaustion of buyers. With price rejecting key levels and bearish momentum building, this setup presents a high-probability sell opportunity, especially if we see a strong bearish break and retest.
US Cash Market Goes 'Flippant'. Understanding Revenge in TradingFirst of all, revenge trading is a destructive pattern of behavior in trading where individuals make impulsive and emotionally-driven decisions in an attempt to recoup previous losses. This practice is not limited to novice traders; even experienced traders can fall prey to it. The primary emotions driving revenge trading include anger, frustration, greed, fear, and shame, which cloud judgment and lead to irrational decision-making.
Causes of Revenge Trading
Emotional Response: Traders often react emotionally to significant losses, feeling compelled to immediately recover their losses without adequate analysis or strategy.
Lack of Discipline: Deviating from established trading plans and risk management principles is common in revenge trading.
Psychological Triggers: Feelings of injustice, anger, or a desire for vengeance against the market can trigger revenge trading.
Consequences of Revenge Trading
Financial Losses: Revenge trading often results in larger losses due to riskier trades and poor timing.
Emotional Burnout: The stress and frustration from repeated losses can lead to emotional exhaustion and decreased trading performance.
Career Impact: Persistent revenge trading can erode confidence and lead to a trader questioning their abilities.
Real-Life Examples of Revenge Trading
Increasing Position Size: A trader experiences a significant loss and decides to double or triple their position size in the next trade, hoping to quickly recover their losses. This action disregards risk management principles and often leads to even greater losses.
Ignoring Stop-Loss Orders: After a loss, a trader might hold onto a losing position longer than planned, hoping it will turn around. This behavior ignores established stop-loss orders and can result in further financial damage.
Chasing Trades: A trader feels compelled to enter trades without proper analysis, driven by the urge to recoup losses quickly. This impulsive behavior can lead to a series of poor trading decisions.
Market Reversal Scenario: A trader suffers a loss due to a sudden market reversal. In an attempt to recover, they enter a trade in the opposite direction without thorough analysis, which can exacerbate their losses.
Wish more examples? Watch recent one below 👇👇
How to Avoid Revenge Trading
To avoid revenge trading, traders should focus on maintaining discipline and adhering to their trading strategies. This includes:
Taking Breaks: After a loss, taking time to reassess the market and calm emotions can help prevent impulsive decisions.
Sticking to Plans: Adhering to established trading plans and risk management principles is crucial.
Emotional Awareness: Recognizing emotional triggers and taking steps to manage them can help prevent revenge trading.
In conclusion, revenge trading is a HARMFUL AND DANGEROUS practice that can lead to significant financial and emotional consequences. Understanding its causes and recognizing its signs are essential steps in avoiding this behavior and maintaining a successful trading career.
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Best wishes,
@PandorraResearch Team 😎