Beyond Technical Analysis
This could be it folks! GNSI am 21k shares deep in this baby, and plan to exit as soon as the opportunity arises. I was going to sell at .70c , set the order and all, but canceled right before it hit. Expecting more, well, the EOD close Friday was good and suggestive of more to come, especially with supposedly no short shares available. This is a Great thing for us baggies or swing traders. I am looking forward to monday with hopefully some sort of news from the CEO or some catalyst to assist this run up. It has already been a multi day runner. While I appreciate fantasy, I would love to see this rocket ship take off, but we also have to be smart. You can't grow what you lost, even if you missed something else, it is ok, live to trade another day. You wipe the bank out on one trade, that may be it. Cheers! The chart shows we are going to push again from what I am seeing, ALGOs pointing to victory here, as well as market structure break for the bullish side. Cheers! NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE- THE NOTE IS FOR ME ;-)
GBPJPY hinting of a weighty 3k pip rise from 195.0. /\GBPJPY has always been resilient for the past 5 years as far its upward trajectory goes -- registering only 3 technical corrective phase since March of 2020 -- then proceeding for further price growth every after corrective seasons.
After touching its parabolic high of 208, pair hibernated healthily back to demand zone to 0.5 fib levels.
Now, the pair is on its 3rd corrective phase since 2020 which has started last July 2024.
Based on our diagram above, this month June 2025 it finally registered its first bear clearance in more than 2 years - conveying of a massive shift in trend. last time this signal surfaced was on April 2023, which has produced a 3000 pips rise thereafter.
Expect some significant ascend series from hereon pricewise after this major shift.
The north journey has started during its low retest of 0.5 FIB levels at 180.0 price zone -- now, already up 1600 pips from that price tap.
This 0.5 fib retest has been historically been a strong support for GBPJPY. This is where most buyers converge based on long term metrics.
More price growth is expected in the next few weeks with weighty targets up there (about 3k pips). Its not overnight but you know the directional context.
Spotted at 195.0
Mid Target previous peak at 208.0
Long term target: 225.
Middle East War - Gold Price Increases✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 06/23/2025 - 06/27/2025
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices held steady on Friday, hovering near $3,369 and on track to post a weekly loss of nearly 1.90%, as markets digested US President Donald Trump’s decision to forgo immediate military action against Iran in favor of a diplomatic approach. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is down 0.11%.
While easing geopolitical tensions helped lift risk sentiment, additional pressure on gold emerged from concerns over potential US restrictions on allies operating semiconductor plants in China, as reported by Bloomberg. Trump's restraint on Iran encouraged a risk-on tone, weighing on the appeal of the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Middle East tensions escalate, gold prices continue to recover above 3400, early next week
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $3395, $3448
Support: $3302, $3256
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
$ETH: The 1-week chart is an absolute disaster!Once again, I want to make it clear: I’m naturally a bull. But I live in Thailand, far from the noise of influencers shouting "buy, buy, buy!" I’ve learned my lesson—when they scream buy, you get rekt. That’s why I rely solely on the charts.
Charts are just mathematics—they don’t lie. So here’s my honest interpretation of what I’m seeing for Ethereum:
🕐 Daily Outlook
Yes, we might see a few nice bounces in the short term. But if your plan is to hold ETH, you should be paying attention to higher timeframes, especially the weekly.
📉 Weekly Chart — It's Ugly
We’re clearly in a descending wedge, and overall, ETH is bearish. Don’t be fooled by the hype or the people trying to take your money.
- RSI is bearish, with a strong bearish divergence still unfolding.
- MACD is on the verge of a bearish crossover, and what’s worse, it’s doing that without even touching the neutral zone—a major red flag.
The last time we saw this setup? November 2021. The price crashed below $1,000.
🔍 Where’s the Support?
This cycle, the support zone looks closer to $1,500, mainly due to institutional interest and the ETF narrative. A full retracement seems unlikely, but technically speaking—it’s still a possibility.
🤔 Why Is This Happening Despite Institutional FOMO?
Here’s the key: ETH has staking, and every month, new CRYPTOCAP:ETH is minted to pay stakers. This creates constant inflation. On top of that, many stakers compound their rewards, accelerating the inflation. And guess what? These same stakers are selling as soon as ETH pumps.
So fundamentally, Ethereum is under pressure because of its own staking mechanics—a system flaw that creates long-term selling pressure.
Do your own research (DYOR). I could be wrong—but at least I’m not trying to sell you a course.
GBP_JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅GBP_JPY is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 196.859
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 196.322
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin Under Resistance: Neutral Core, Bearish Pressure.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD – BINANCE – (CHART: 4H) – (Date: June 22, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $103,041.65.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (H4):
▦ EMA21 – (Exponential Moving Average 21-Period) – ($103,957.85):
∴ The current price is below the 21EMA, signaling weakness in short-term momentum;
∴ The slope of the moving average is negative, reflecting ongoing downward pressure;
∴ Recent attempts to reclaim the level were rejected, reinforcing its role as dynamic resistance.
✴️ Conclusion: The 21EMA acts as an active intraday resistance, and its breakout is a primary condition for any directional shift.
⊢
▦ EMA50 – (Exponential Moving Average 50-Period) – ($104,101.19):
∴ The 50 EMA remains above the price and the 21EMA, confirming a bearish trend alignment over the mid-term;
∴ The widening gap between EMA's suggests a well-established downward trend;
∴ A reclaim of both EMAs is required to revalidate bullish structure.
✴️ Conclusion: The 50EMA stands as a structural mid-term resistance, whose breakout would mark a tactical trend reversal.
⊢
▦ VPVR – (Volume Profile Visible Range) - (75, Up/Down):
∴ The POC (Point of Control) is concentrated around the $104,000 – $105,000 zone, just above the current price;
∴ This region reflects the highest volume concentration and tends to act as passive resistance or a redistribution zone;
∴ There’s a visible volume gap between $100,000 and $102,000, creating vulnerability to rapid price moves.
✴️ Conclusion: Price remains below institutional interest concentration, limiting upside potential unless volume reclaims the POC zone.
⊢
▦ BB – (Bollinger Bands - 20-Period SMA, 2.0 StdDev):
∴ The previous candle tapped the lower band and triggered a technical buy reaction (mean reversion);
∴ The mid-band aligns precisely with the 50 EMA (~$104,100), reinforcing confluence resistance;
∴ The channel shows slight downward expansion, suggesting volatility may continue to favor bears.
✴️ Conclusion: The recent bounce is technical relief; there is no structural reversal unless the price reclaims the mid-band.
⊢
▦ RSI – (Relative Strength Index) – (41.76):
∴ RSI is recovering from oversold territory but remains below the neutral 50 mark;
∴ The absence of a clear bullish divergence with price weakens the reversal thesis;
∴ RSI resistance lines sit between 45 and 50 – key levels that must be breached to confirm relief.
✴️ Conclusion: RSI signals technical relief, but still operates within a bearish zone — no clear evidence of dominant buying force yet.
⊢
▦ MACD – (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) – (MACD: –135.56 | Signal: –539.84):
∴ MACD line is crossing the signal line from below, generating an early bullish reversal signal;
∴ The histogram is contracting on the negative side, showing seller exhaustion;
∴ Readings remain deep in negative territory, requiring further confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: MACD hints at momentum reversal, though structural validation requires a return to the positive zone.
⊢
▦ VOL – (Volume Bars):
∴ Volume increased significantly during the recent bounce, indicating reactive buyer demand;
∴ However, follow-through volume was not sustained — warning of potential bull trap;
∴ The absence of consistent volume undermines the durability of the bounce.
✴️ Conclusion: Volume shows reactive presence, but lacks sustained confirmation — recovery may be short-lived.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – Technical Oracle:
∴ Bitcoin on the 4H chart is staging a relief move after recent sell-side pressure, yet remains below all key EMAs, under volume-based resistance, and without confirmation from momentum indicators.
∴ The structure is best defined as technical relief, not a confirmed trend reversal.
⊢
∫ II. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant & BGeometrics):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total - (All Exchanges) = (Latest Spike Zone ~103K):
∴ A recent uptick in Bitcoin inflows to exchanges is visible at local price levels, aligning with prior rejection zones;
∴ Increased inflows suggest potential intent to distribute, especially at resistance;
∴ Historically, such inflow patterns precede local price weakness or continuation of retracement.
✴️ Conclusion: Exchange inflow data warns of potential short-term sell pressure, supporting a cautious outlook near current levels.
⊢
▦ Funding Rate – (Binance Perpetual) – (Near Neutral to Slightly Positive):
∴ Current funding rates remain slightly positive but balanced, reflecting lack of directional conviction from leveraged traders;
∴ The absence of aggressive long bias reduces the risk of long squeezes but also suggests weak bullish momentum;
∴ Historically, neutral funding rates precede volatile expansions when followed by imbalances.
✴️ Conclusion: Funding rate indicates a neutral sentiment posture - not bearish, but lacking speculative bullish fuel.
⊢
▦ Open Interest – (All Exchanges) – (~$33.2B):
∴ Open Interest is elevated, marking one of the highest levels since April;
∴ The price is falling while OI remains high - a classic divergence signaling potential liquidation risk;
∴ This setup increases volatility probability and indicates the market is loaded with directional exposure.
✴️ Conclusion: Open Interest suggests a high-risk environment; either a cascade of liquidation or a sharp reversal is imminent.
⊢
▦ Realized Price – (Market: $103K | Realized: ~$47.5K):
∴ The gap between market price and realized price is vast, reflecting that most market participants are sitting on large unrealized gains;
∴ This positioning exposes the market to profit-taking impulses;
∴ The lack of compression between these metrics implies no capitulation is underway.
✴️ Conclusion: Market remains well above realized cost basis, implying latent sell-side risk and no evidence of fear-driven exits.
⊢
▦ UTXO Age Bands – (Realized Price by Age = 6m–3y clusters above $90K):
∴ Long-term holders (6m–3y) maintain positions well in profit, with realized values near or above $90K;
∴ No major movement from these cohorts detected — suggesting continued conviction or strategic dormancy;
∴ Younger UTXO bands are positioned lower, indicating recent accumulation remains underwater.
✴️ Conclusion: No signs of distribution from experienced holders — current structure favors hodler passivity, not capitulation.
⊢
▦ Miner Outflows – (Miner Transfer Volume Stable):
∴ Miner outflows remain stable, with no sharp spikes in transfers to exchanges;
∴ Implies no immediate operational selling pressure from mining entities;
∴ Miner behavior remains conservative, awaiting directional confirmation.
✴️ Conclusion: Miners are currently not a source of sell pressure, reinforcing structural equilibrium in supply flow.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight – On-Chain Oracle:
∴ The on-chain structure supports a technically vulnerable, yet fundamentally intact market; ∴ ∴ Exchange inflows and high Open Interest signal short-term caution, while the lack of miner selling, stable long-term holder behavior, and distance from realized price all point to no deep structural breakdown;
∴ Expect heightened volatility with directional resolution dependent on external catalysts or spot-driven pressure.
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
∴ Temporal framework reveals local reactive strength, but lacks structural realignment;
∴ On-chain flow warns of directional tension - neither resolve nor breakdown confirmed;
∴ Macro environment holds liquidity in suspension, awaiting a trigger;
∴ All vectors align under strategic ambiguity - stillness is not stasis, but anticipation.
⊢
𓂀 Stoic-Structural Interpretation:
▦ Structurally Neutral:
∴ The broader structure is intact - no systemic breakdown, yet no resumption of trend authority;
∴ Exchange inflows and high OI generate latent fragility, despite holder and miner resilience;
∴ The system holds - but without forward thrust, the architecture is stable, not ascendant.
⊢
▦ Tactically Cautious:
∴ Technical signals show reaction, not reversal - EMA's remain unbroken, volume is passive, RSI is capped;
∴ On-chain risk (inflows, OI) outpaces confirmation of strength;
∴ Action without structure is speculation - the trader must remain coiled, not extended.
⊢
⧉
⚜️ Magister Arcanvm (𝟙⟠) – Vox Primordialis!
𓂀 Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⧉
⊢
ETHUSD Break- Test- GO!!! Nothing Changed!I have to repost this bc TV only gives me limited updates before it forces "target reached." Here is my previous post.
Nothing has changed. Just as I expected. If anything, it looks even more bearish now. As always, wait for the hook!
Click Boost, and follow Let's get top 5,000!
AAVE — Rising Wedge + Resistance Grind = Risk of PullbackStill one of the strongest DeFi leaders. Bullish market structure, but this persistent grind into diagonal resistance usually ends with a sharp pullback — and that's the zone I'm watching.
Eyes on $210–$237 for bids.
Targets: $400 and $600.
Set alarms and chill — opportunity comes to those who wait.
BTC is stuck in a tightening triangle — compression phaseVolatility building up into June 18–19.
Expect a big breakout.
Main scenario: breakout to the upside with a “God Candle” and new momentum for altcoins after prolonged BTC dominance.
Alts have been suppressed, but that’s part of the setup — don’t get tricked by the fake moves.
Stay patient, don’t lose focus, and be ready for a sharp move!
CHR TARGETS FOR 2025 🔥 NASDAQ:CHR long setup (1D) 🚀
✅ Entry Zone: $0.068 – $0.062 (12-month demand)
🎯 Targets
• TP-1: $0.17 (Q4-24 supply flip)
• TP-2: $0.24 (2024 breakdown block)
⛔ Stop-Loss
Daily close < $0.052
📊 Thesis
• Chromia mainnet modules live; full network launch slated before TOKEN2049
• Filehub mainnet gives on-chain storage for images/video — paid in CHR
• My Neighbor Alice just shipped the **first fully on-chain** browser MMO on Chromia
• Cross-chain staking hub lets you stake CHR on Chromia, ETH & BNB in one UI
• Staking APR redesigned (fixed 3 %) → sustainable yield & tighter float
• Roadmap: Dapp chains, ColorPool DEX, Chromia Originals NFTs, bridged CHR to more L1s
• 270 k+ community & Coinbase “interest” tag spark listing rumours
BTC to new ATH, wanna bet?The only objection I have on this trade is 100400 level. If price comes there, I will buy more but for now, I think it will push up from here.
Entry is below 101800 if stoploss is still holding...
TP1 @ 112k
TP2 @ 120k
Enjoy
Follow me as my trades are mainly market orders, so you will see the trades on time and enter on time.
$BTC correction: targets 101k, 97.5k, 94k, 87kThe hype is peaking — institutions, banks, Wall Street, and even governments are buying Bitcoin.
Yet despite the frenzy, BTC has been rejected three times around the $110K level and appears to be heading into another correction.
Bitcoin maximalists are pushing a strong FOMO narrative to attract retail investors, but several factors are pushing back:
- Psychological barrier: At these price levels, retail investors are hesitant. Owning just a "fraction" of a Bitcoin doesn’t appeal to the average person.
- Geopolitical tension: The conflict with Iran is serious. This isn’t a small, isolated country — Iran is a millennia-old civilization with global alliances. This situation won't resolve quickly or easily like Libya, Syria, or Iraq.
- Oil price surge: Escalating tensions could disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, a critical route for global oil. Western sanctions on Russia already strain supply — if Iran joins, where will Europe get its energy? U.S. supply won’t be enough. Expect a spike in inflation.
- Recession risks: Persistent inflation could drive a recession in the second half of the year.
- Trade wars & tariffs: No resolution, just chaos.
- Ukraine-Russia war: Still unresolved. Still draining global stability.
In short, the world is burning — and this is terrible for markets.
Bitcoin maximalists — some even selling company shares to buy more BTC — may soon face the harsh reality: Bitcoin needs a deeper flush before it can rally again. Retail won’t return until altseason clears the way and resets sentiment.
In a cycle dominated by propaganda, institutional manipulation, and global unrest, predictions are fragile. The only guide left: the chart.
Technically, we’re in correction mode again. Comparing with past cycles, potential pullback targets are:
$101K, $97.5K, $94K, $87K
There’s massive support at $74K, but it's unlikely we revisit it soon.
Stay cautious. DYOR.
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarket #BTCUpdate #Geopolitics #Altseason #CryptoCorrection #MacroView #CryptoFOMO #RiskAssets #DYOR
BTCUSDTHello traders. Wishing each of you a great weekend ahead!
Even though it's the weekend, I’ve spotted a sell opportunity on the BTCUSDT pair and decided to share it with you. However, we should also keep in mind that weekend markets tend to have lower volume. That said, I will still proceed with this trade based on my own risk parameters and trading strategy.
🔍 Trade Details
✔️ Timeframe: 30-Minute
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Sell
✔️ Entry Price: 103815.32
✔️ Take Profit: 102640.12
✔️ Stop Loss: 104402.06
🕒 If the trade does not continue with strong momentum, I will keep the position open only until 23:00 today. Otherwise, I will close it either in profit or at a loss depending on the price action.
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I’m simply sharing a trade I’ve taken based on my personal trading system, strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
📌 Interested in a systematic, data-driven trading approach?
💡 Follow the page and turn on notifications to stay updated on future trade setups and advanced market insights.
BTC CORRECTIONBIG REASON WHY
Geopolitical tension. The war between Iran and Israel is inevitable. It's just a matter of time; either the USA, China, and Russia will be involved. The money will flow much more into safe havens like assets.
But based on the Jerome Powell interview after the FOMC statement, the US economy is going on the great path. We can say that if the USA is involved, it will cost the economy growth. But they still need to show the world who's the BOSS (military co.).
The conclusion is,
BTC is too risky for current conditions. As we know, the war might escalate.
BTC Projectory price
Nearest Area 94.5-95K
Mid term Area 85.4 - 86K
Worst Case 76.5-72-53.2K
P.S. Things will change rapidly; always monitor your portfolio and the news
Middle East tensions rise; gold may hit new highs next weekThe Middle East situation has continued to escalate over the weekend, indicating that gold may witness a rally at Monday's opening. On Friday morning, risk aversion surged rapidly, pushing the gold price to around 3,444, followed by a pullback. During the European session, the price quickly retreated to around 3,408 before rebounding—our strategy to go long near 3,410 at the time proved profitable. In the U.S. session, gold mounted a second rally, peaking at around 3,446 before entering a pullback and consolidation phase. However, from a fundamental perspective, the overall trend remains bullish; thus, buying on dips remains the primary trading approach.
From a 4-hour technical view, immediate support lies in the 3,405–15 range, with key support at the recent resistance-turned-support zone near 3,375–80. When gold pulls back, traders should focus on longing near these levels. The critical bullish pivot for short-term traders has shifted up to the 3,345–50 zone; as long as gold holds above this level on the daily time frame, the dip-buying strategy should be maintained.
XAUUSD
buy@3405-3415
tp:3340-3360
Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.