AUD/ USD ! 10/31 ! Support H4 and recoveryAUD/USD trend forecast October 31, 2024
The Australian Dollar (AUD) dipped slightly after mixed economic data from Australia and China’s PMI release on Thursday. However, hawkish expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) policy outlook helped support the AUD/USD pair and limited its downside. In September, Australian Retail Sales rose by 0.1% month-over-month, below the 0.3% forecast and down from 0.7% in August. Quarterly, Retail Sales grew by 0.5% in Q3, recovering from a 0.3% drop in the previous quarter.
in the large frame - gold price will continue to fall back to strong support and have a larger recovery. In the context of not much AUD news at the end of the year, mainly important USD data
/// BUY AUD/USD : zone 0.64800 - 0.64500
SL: 0.64000
TP: 60 - 300 - 500 pips (0.69500)
Safe and profitable trading
Beyond Technical Analysis
BUY EURCHF - trade strategy explained in detailTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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Nifty 50 Trading Shades of GreyI've been trading these shades of grey at 5 minutes for day trade. These haven't failed me yet.
You can try to track it and I may actually update it every week. Because these shades are made at a weekly timeframe. I used to be miserable in the beginning but since I learned to make this shaded chart my success rates have improved. You can choose to swing it too by updating your TSL a shaded grey area below. If its hit you can reenter 1 shaded area up again or take a trade in the opposite direction. I majorly trade options and was very unprofitable before I stumbled upon this. I'll make a indicator out of it soon.
UK100 PREPARTION AND TIME TO KILLTeam, yesterday's market was very volatile, but we managed to make some profit and set our stop loss at BE.
Today, we will have our entry at the current market price at 8155-62
We will add more at 8130-35 - WHY? We could see (markets marker) trying to spike down to hit stop loss and then moving back quickly, so we want to catch that.
So our stop loss will be at 8115
Our Target 1 - 8186-88
Target 2 at 8206-12
Target 3 at 8232-46
We are expecting this week or next week; the price should be back toward the 8260-8320 ranges.
NOTE: Once the price hits our first target of 8186-88, bring the stop loss to 8145 or BE. We will be booking 50% profit at this level.
UK100 - lets KILL THE BEAST againTeam, yesterday's market was very volatile, but we managed to make some profit and set our stop loss at BE.
Today, we will have our entry at the current market price at 8155-62
We will add more at 8130-35 - WHY? We could see (markets marker) trying to spike down to hit stop loss and then moving back quickly, so we want to catch that.
So our stop loss will be at 8115
Our Target 1 - 8186-88
Target 2 at 8206-12
Target 3 at 8232-46
We are expecting this week or next week; the price should be back toward the 8260-8320 ranges.
NOTE: Once the price hits our first target of 8186-88, bring the stop loss to 8145 or BE. We will be booking 50% profit at this level.
Let the Games Begin. HI.
This is what you don't do.
You entered a long position around $36.84, expecting a potential rebound due to oversold conditions. The recent price action broke key resistance levels, notably at $51 and $54, moving into a downtrend with high selling pressure. Institutional liquidity-seeking behavior and indicators (HARSI, ADX) reinforce the bearish momentum, though oversold status at $36.84 suggests potential for a bounce.
Key Points Moving Forward:
Support Holding at $36.84: This level is crucial; if buyers step in here, it may support a short-term rebound.
Indicator Signals: HARSI and ADX remain bearish but oversold. Monitoring for stabilization in these indicators could validate a bounce.
Market Sentiment: Conditions favor a cautious approach. While oversold, momentum is strong to the downside, so a reversal signal would help confirm upside potential.
In summary, you’re positioned at a high-risk, high-reward level. Watch closely for confirmation of support holding at $36.84 and any upward momentum before considering additional positions.
DXY TRI MONTHLY CHART -- A LONG JOURNEY OF WEAKNESS.The chart should speak for itself.
DXY long term view (tri-monthly data) is conveying shifting trend on the dollar index -- to the downside.
Expect more long term correction, as this time frame don't change mind too often.
Spotted at 102.25
TAYOR.
safeguard capital always.
For altcoins to follow the rise of BTC, ETH needs to rise
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(BTC.D 1M chart)
In order for altcoins to show an upward trend, BTC dominance must be in a downward trend.
Otherwise, altcoins are likely to fail to follow the movement of BTC and gradually move sideways or show a downward trend.
You should not judge the market movement solely based on the rise or fall of BTC dominance.
At least you should look at it together with the USDT dominance chart.
You can tell to some extent whether the coin market price is rising or falling by looking at whether USDT dominance is falling or rising.
To summarize the above,
- BTC dominance rises: Funds are concentrated toward BTC
- BTC dominance falls: Funds are concentrated toward altcoins
- USDT dominance rises: Coin market is likely to show a downward trend
- USDT dominance falls: Coin market is likely to show an upward trend
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(ETHUSDT 1D chart)
In any case, ETH is the coin with the largest market cap among non-BTC coins.
Therefore, it is likely that BTC dominance will show a downward trend only when ETH starts to rise.
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Currently, ETH is stuck in the box range (2273.58-2706.15).
The M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W chart is showing a convergence as it passes near the 2666.70-2706.15 section.
Therefore, if the price rises above the 2666.70-2706.15 section and maintains, ETH is expected to form an upward trend.
Therefore, whether it can break through the 2666.70-2706.15 section upward is the key.
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If the price maintains above 2706.15, it is expected to rise to around 3265.0-3321.30 and determine the trend again.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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Oil ShortLooking to short Oil. After the large gap from weekend news regarding the strikes on Iran being more about retaliation than targeting the manufacturing supplies there is some downside potential for Oil. Currently trading below the gap, I am looking to trade Oil lower before buying it back up. Buy's right now do not make sense for the strategy.
Confluences for the short:
-38% fibo
-Key Level
-Trendline break and retest
Entry is now
Stop loss is set around 69.64, any higher and the idea is inactive as Oil should begin to push higher after breaking the nearest resistance.
Targeting the next support and resistance at the lows created in September.
*Remember this is not financial advice I post on here more to give an idea of trading and how I look at the market.
Never the less, trade safe and catch you later traders ▲
Risk-on Risk-off Market Snapshot, 31/10/2024The market currently reflects a mixed sentiment, with both risk-on and risk-off factors influencing asset preferences. Safe-haven assets, like the U.S. dollar, Japanese yen, and gold, are seeing demand due to persistent geopolitical concerns, including Middle Eastern conflicts and Russia-Ukraine tensions. At the same time, optimism in specific sectors, supported by positive U.S. job data and stimulus in China, is fueling interest in riskier assets such as equities and some commodities.
Central bank policies remain crucial, with mixed messages across regions as the Fed maintains a cautious stance while Japan signals prolonged accommodative policies. Investors are thus balancing between defensive assets for safety and growth-oriented assets in selective sectors, creating a nuanced market landscape.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. The information provided is for general informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial or investment advice. Always consult with a professional financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
PYPL, one last call to seed on the bargain price now!PYPL net buying has been continuously active this past few days.
Position takers are back after the stock touch a major order block support at 60 levels -- and touching 1.0 FIB levels.
Initial target is at 75.0.
The current price is already at a very discounted levels factoring in last quarter's (June 2023) rosy earnings report with revenues up by 7% at $7B, and a whopping 400% surge on its net income at $1B.
Recent News:
New Hopes for the company has surfaced as news of PayPal's new CEO could get investors excited as his background fits nicely into PayPal's best business segment.
Seeding on this one is a no-brainer. PYPL, will definitely be your PAY pal.
Spotted at 61.0
TAYOR.
Safeguard fund always.
Doge updateSo as I posted on the 28th of september, the bullrun has been delayed but the time was ripe for it to start. As I previously said, the entire retracement will be ran through very quickly and we are right on track.
It has currently ran the two internal highs, I assume with the election that it will fall short of the high at $0.2288 then at election it will run through hard and then not stop until it hits the highs at $0.35.
Onwards and upwards
NVAX, is prepping for a turnaround ERA. Massive Growth Prospect!NVAX surged an impressive 29.4% last trading day with significant volume. Net positive volume increased massively from 6.33M to 28.12M for a 344% increase. These extraordinary numbers should be telling of what's to come in the mid to long term.
Buyers are back in the scene, positioning at the current price range in anticipation of growth prospect both in technical and fundamental aspect.
On our monthly data, some big shifts are happening. On histogram, the stock recorded its third straight shifted lines -- these lines came out after 3.5 years of waiting. Similarly, a fresh bubble up volume re-appeared after a series of descend over the years. This is giving us a lowkey clue already of the intended direction.
It is now sitting a 1.0 FIB level, this is beyond bargain / discount already. The stock is hovering around a 4-year longstanding strong support. Expect some upside price valuation to materialize in the next coming weeks.
All these 'shifts' are conveying a turnaround prospect for NVAX.
Spotted at 9.0
TAYOR.
Safeguard capital always
Volatility period starts around November 4th
(Title) Volatility period starts around November 4th (example of additional purchase)
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Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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The BW indicator is an indicator that comprehensively evaluates the MACD, StochRSI, OBV, and ATX indicators.
The BW (0) indicator is an indicator that appears when the BW indicator touches the 0 point and rises.
Therefore, it indicates the point where the rise begins, that is, the low point section.
The BW (100) indicator is an indicator that appears when the BW indicator touches the 100 point and falls.
Therefore, it indicates the point where the decline begins, that is, the high point section.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The BW indicator value touched the 100 point and an arrow was displayed.
When a new candle is created, it is necessary to check whether the arrow remains the same.
The fact that the BW indicator touched the 100 point means that the upward strength is strong.
Therefore, it can be interpreted that there is a high possibility that it will lead to an additional increase.
However, when the BW (100) line is created, it can be said that it means that the possibility of a decline has begun to increase.
Therefore, it means that the possibility of a pull back or decline has begun to increase.
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The point of interest is whether it will show a renewal of the ATH by touching the current highest price of 73777.0 or higher, or whether it will continue to decline.
There is a saying that the coin market is a trend-following market.
It can be said that this is a market with a strong tendency to follow a trend that has been formed.
Therefore, when a new candle is created, it is necessary to check the movement of the StochRSI and StochRSI EMA indicators.
Since the StochRSI EMA indicator is currently located in the middle section, it is necessary to check how much it rises when a new candle is created and the change in the slope of the StochRSI indicator.
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If it progresses downward, the area around 70148.34 is expected to be an important support and resistance area.
The reason is that it is near the upper point of the box of the HA-High indicator on the 1M chart.
In addition, the StErr Line is passing through the 70148.34-71280.01 section, confirming that it is an important point.
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If you bought below 67414.39, it is recommended to sell and wait for the situation to be confirmed when resistance is confirmed in the 68393.48-69031.99 range.
You should have sold in installments around 71280.01 or 73000.0 before that.
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If the average purchase price is below 67414.39 and you sold in installments around 71280.01 or 73000.0, you can buy more when a pull back is confirmed.
However, the additional purchase should not exceed the current holding amount.
If you buy more than the holding amount, the average price will rise significantly and you may not be able to hold on or it may turn into a loss.
Therefore, when the support is confirmed in the 68393.48-70148.34 section, additional purchases can be made below 70148.34.
This additional purchase is possible because the split sale was made.
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The next volatility period is expected to start around November 4th.
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Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
The full-scale uptrend is expected to start after rising by more than 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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EURCHF, prepping for exponential rise ahead!EURCHF has been on a very long downtrend for eons since 2021. Now, based on recent long term data metrics, things are changing -- significantly.
Based on our tri-monthly chart, the pair has registered it's first shift on this timeframe, first time in years. The base support points has been going horizontal now conveying that a major shift in trend is about to transpire.
First net volume on tri-monthly has been spotted. This is a massive signal already. Additionally, our histogram (bottom indicator) 'BIG HOP' overlap is already depicting the dramatic change in trend structure.
Expect some exponential growth ahead for EURCHF. The current range is already a good seeding zone. Have some ticket before this price range becomes history.
Spotted at 0.9700
TAYOR.
#NAS100 4HNAS100 4-Hour Analysis
The NAS100 index is currently trading within a rising wedge pattern on the 4-hour chart, a typically bearish structure that hints at a potential reversal. This pattern suggests that upward momentum may be slowing down, creating a favorable setup for a potential sell opportunity.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Rising Wedge
- Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
- Entry Strategy: Look for sell setups near the upper boundary or upon breakdown of the support line
Traders may consider entering a sell position within the wedge or wait for a clear breakdown of the support line to confirm bearish momentum. Additional confirmation from indicators like RSI showing overbought conditions or MACD displaying bearish divergence can strengthen this sell setup.
DONT FOMOHello .
My quick view on what's going on .
I believe this will be moving fast in next couple days . However is tricky .
You can see my exit here .
Waiting on gap fill and potential entry .
All indicators are suggesting take your money and run .
Can we see higher squeez before pull back .
IMO no . but this is market and anything can happen.
LETS watch this . Volatility on this can get insane.
Cheers .