Could IEP go back to 50? It seem not…Icahn Enterprises L.P. ( NASDAQ:IEP ) – Full Analysis & 5-Year Fair Value Projection
As of March 22, 2025
1. Overview of IEP
Icahn Enterprises L.P. ( NASDAQ:IEP ) is a diversified holding company controlled by activist investor Carl Icahn, with operations spanning energy, automotive, food packaging, real estate, and finance. The company is widely known for its high dividend yield, activist investing strategies, and high debt levels.
Current Market Data (March 2025)
• Stock Price: $9.69
• Market Cap: ~$3.87 billion
• Dividend Yield: ~27% (highly uncertain)
• Debt Load: High, raising sustainability concerns
• 52-Week Range: $9.15 - $51.00
2. Fundamental Analysis
Strengths
✔ Activist Investing Strategy: Carl Icahn’s activism has historically created value, though recent results have been mixed.
✔ Diversified Holdings: Exposure to multiple industries can provide some stability.
✔ High Dividend Yield: IEP offers one of the highest yields on the market, but sustainability is in question.
Weaknesses
✖ High Debt & Leverage: Heavy reliance on leverage increases risk.
✖ Dividend Sustainability Concerns: If IEP cuts its dividend, the stock could fall sharply.
✖ Asset Valuation Issues: Some holdings (e.g., Viskase) are valued significantly above market prices, raising red flags.
✖ Underperformance: IEP has lagged the S&P 500 significantly in recent years.
Recent Financial Performance (Q4 2024)
• Net Loss: $98 million (a $41 million improvement YoY)
• Cash Flow: Weak, with continued reliance on debt financing
• Asset Sales Possible: Icahn may divest certain holdings to shore up financials
3. Technical Analysis (March 2025)
Price Trends & Moving Averages
Moving Average Price Trend
5-Day SMA $9.18 Support
20-Day SMA $9.84 Resistance
50-Day SMA $9.64 Support
100-Day SMA $10.71 Resistance
200-Day SMA $12.99 Bearish
• Bearish Trend: The stock is below its 200-day moving average, signaling a long-term downtrend.
• Resistance at $10.00-$10.50: Breaking above this range could lead to upside momentum.
• Support at $8.80-$9.00: If breached, IEP could test new lows.
Momentum Indicators
• RSI (51.88): Neutral (no overbought or oversold conditions).
• MACD (0.04): Bullish crossover suggests short-term upside potential.
• ADX (17.06): Weak trend strength.
Technical Outlook
• Short-Term (Next 3-6 months): Likely to trade in the $9.00-$12.00 range, with resistance at $12.00.
• Medium-Term (1-2 years): If financials improve, a recovery toward $15-$20 is possible.
• Long-Term (5 years): Dependent on fundamental restructuring and dividend policy.
4. 5-Year Fair Value Projection
Year Bearish Case Base Case (Fair Value) Bullish Case
2025 $6.00 - $9.00 $10.00 - $15.00 $17.00+
2026 $4.00 - $8.00 $12.00 - $18.00 $22.00+
2027 $3.00 - $7.00 $14.00 - $20.00 $25.00+
2028 $2.00 - $6.00 $16.00 - $22.00 $30.00+
2029 $1.50 - $5.00 $17.00 - $25.00 $35.00+
5. Key Factors Influencing Future Valuation
1. Dividend Stability
• If IEP maintains its high dividend yield, the stock may stabilize above $15.
• A dividend cut could trigger a collapse below $5.
2. Debt & Financial Restructuring
• High debt remains a major risk. If IEP can reduce leverage, fair value could rise toward $20+.
3. Asset Valuations & Portfolio Performance
• Concerns over overstated valuations (e.g., Viskase) could weigh on investor confidence.
• If IEP sells non-core assets, it could generate cash flow and stabilize.
4. Carl Icahn’s Influence & Activism
• Icahn’s strategy remains key. If his activist positions succeed, IEP could rebound toward $25+.
• If activism fails, IEP’s fair value could drop below $5.
6. Investment Outlook
• Short-Term (2025-2026): High risk, high volatility. Trading range $10-$15, with downside to $6.00 if the dividend is cut.
• Medium-Term (2027-2028): Recovery possible if asset sales and debt reduction improve financials.
• Long-Term (2029-2030): Could reach $25-$30+ if activist strategies succeed, or collapse below $5 if financial troubles worsen.
7. Conclusion & Recommendation
📌 Fair Value Estimate (5-Year Range): $10.00 - $25.00, with high risk and potential for extreme volatility.
Who Should Consider Investing?
✅ High-Risk Investors willing to bet on Carl Icahn’s activism and turnaround potential.
✅ Dividend Seekers who believe IEP can sustain payouts, despite financial pressures.
✅ Contrarian Investors who see value in deep discounts and activist opportunities.
Who Should Avoid?
❌ Conservative Investors seeking stable returns and lower risk.
❌ Income Investors who rely on consistent dividends (IEP’s dividend is at risk).
❌ Those Concerned About High Debt and valuation concerns.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Stock market investments carry risks, including the loss of capital. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Monday Recap & Tuesday Outlook: GBP/USDMonday Recap & Tuesday Outlook: GBP/USD
📊 Market Recap – Monday’s Price Action
GBP/USD opened strong, surging to 1.29551 to grab liquidity before reversing and declining.
What I’m Watching for Tuesday
📍 Key Expectations:
✅ Liquidity grab at 1.28871
✅ Drop to my POI at 1.28800
✅ Potential rally to challenge Monday’s high at 1.29829
I’ll be watching for confirmations before executing any trades. Let’s see how the market unfolds.
💬 What’s your bias for GBP/USD tomorrow? Let me know below! 👇
#ForexTrading #MarketOutlook #GBPUSD #TradingStrategy
The key is whether it supports around 0.18951
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Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(DOGEUSDT 1D chart)
The key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 0.18951.
If it rises after receiving support near 0.18951, we need to see whether it can rise above the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
In other words, we need to see whether it can maintain the price above 0.21409.
If not, it is likely to show a downward trend like the previous trend.
-
Therefore, I think this is a great opportunity to turn into an upward trend in line with the flow of BTC.
What we need to do is to check if it is supported around 0.18951.
If it is supported, it is a time to buy.
Since the M-Signal indicator of the 1M chart is passing around 0.18951, it is highly likely that it will show a different flow than before.
Since OBV has to break through the upper line of the Price channel to surge, it is better not to rush too much and check if it is supported around 0.18951 before trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, we can see that the increase is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
That is, the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you how to view and respond to it.
Since there is no support or resistance point when the ATH is updated, the Fibonacci ratio can be appropriately utilized.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous to use it as a support and resistance role.
The reason is that the user must directly select the important selection points required to create the Fibonacci.
Therefore, it can be useful for chart analysis because it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection point, but it can be seen as ambiguous for use in trading strategies.
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
-----------------
The start of the first important volatility period of the year
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
This is the first day of the volatility period.
The key is whether it can rise from the downward channel.
This volatility period is expected to last until March 26.
The point of interest is whether it can break out of the downward channel and receive support near the Fibonacci ratio range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
If not, we should see if it can find support near Fibonacci 2.24 (83646.12) and rise without going below the downtrend line.
If it holds above the downtrend line, we should see if it can rise above Fibonacci 1.618 (89050.0) during the next volatility period around April 5th.
In any case, if it breaks out of the downtrend channel and holds, I think it is likely to turn into an uptrend.
-
(1M chart)
As I mentioned before, we should not forget that there is no trend line formed by the low point of the StochRSI indicator on the 1M chart, so volatility may occur to create a trend line.
Therefore, whether it can complete the trend line while receiving support near the 69000 ~ 73499.86 range and rising is an important point of observation from a long-term perspective.
In this sense, what we can choose is to see whether it can receive support near the current location, that is, the StochRSI 50 indicator point of 83983.20.
If the support is broken, it can fall along the downtrend line.
This period of volatility is expected to be the first important period of the year.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems that it has been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
That is, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year uptrend and faces a 1-year downtrend.
Accordingly, the uptrend is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the uptrend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
-
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, this Fibonacci ratio is expected to be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
-----------------
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/24/2025MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 03/24/2025
*LAST UPDATE FOR THIS WEEK*
📈20370 20420
📉20140 20090
Like and share for more daily NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
BDL: DOUBLE BOTTOM BREAKOUTThe Double Bottom pattern is a bullish reversal chart pattern that signals the potential end of a downtrend and the beginning of an uptrend. It consists of two consecutive troughs (lows) at roughly the same level, separated by a peak. The pattern resembles the letter "W."
Key Features:
Two Lows: Nearly equal in price, indicating strong support.
Neckline: The peak between the two lows acts as a resistance level.
Breakout: A bullish signal is confirmed when the price breaks above the neckline with strong volume.
Price Target: The expected upward movement is typically equal to the distance between the lows and the neckline.
Double Bottom pattern in Bharat Dynamics Ltd. (BDL) is confirmed, with both lows near ₹888 and a breakout above the ₹1,345 neckline, the price projection suggests a potential upside. The expected price target can be estimated by measuring the distance between the neckline and the lows, which is ₹1,345 - ₹888 = ₹457. Adding this to the breakout point, the projected price target would be ₹1,345 + ₹457 = ₹1,802. If the stock sustains above ₹1,345 with strong volume, it could gain further bullish momentum, potentially reaching ₹1,800 or higher in the medium term.
ETHUSD – Bullish Quasimodo + iH&S Breakout | Upside Targets!Ethereum (ETHUSD) has completed a textbook bullish Quasimodo pattern in confluence with an Inverse Head & Shoulders (iH&S) on the 15-minute timeframe. Price has broken out with strong bullish momentum, and the structure suggests more upside ahead.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Quasimodo Pattern
A well-defined Quasimodo reversal formed at the swing low, providing early signs of a bullish trend shift.
This pattern combines a higher low and reclaimed structure—offering an excellent base for trend continuation.
2. Inverse Head & Shoulders
Left Shoulder, Head, and Right Shoulder clearly structured with neckline breakout confirmed.
Breakout above neckline resulted in a 5.38% rally into minor resistance.
3. Bull Flag Formation
A short consolidation just below the recent highs resembles a bull flag, typically a continuation signal.
Breakout from the flag would trigger the next leg toward the final target.
🎯 Targets
Minimum Target: 2,121.41 — aligns with neckline projection.
Final Target: 2,229.90 — 6.27% projected move based on iH&S measured move.
📌 Trade Idea
Entry Zone: On bull flag breakout above 2,093
Stop Loss: Below 2,060 (flag low support)
TP1: 2,121
TP2: 2,229
🔎 Key Confluences
Pattern Breakouts ✅
Strong Momentum ✅
Clean Structure & Price Geometry ✅
ETH bulls have reclaimed short-term control. If momentum sustains, the upside targets are well within reach.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis – Potential Bearish MoveThis 4-hour GBP/USD chart indicates a potential bearish setup. Price has been trading within a range, with resistance around 1.30366 and support near 1.29467.
The price recently retested the support zone, showing signs of weakness.
If the support level fails to hold, a breakdown could push the price towards the 1.27035 target.
A stronger support level is observed further below, around 1.2600, which could act as a key demand zone.
Traders should monitor the price action near the support zone. A clear rejection could signal a potential buy opportunity, while a confirmed breakdown could validate a short trade targeting lower levels.
Key Levels:
🔹 Resistance: 1.30366
🔹 Support: 1.29467
🔹 Target: 1.27035
Would you like any modifications to the analysis? 🚀
ETH/USD – Bullish Breakout & Buying OpportunityEthereum has broken out of a descending channel and is consolidating near a key support zone. The price action suggests a potential bullish continuation, with a buying opportunity forming above the $2,000 - $2,100 support level.
Key Levels to Watch:
Support: ~$2,000, ~$1,800
Resistance Zone: ~$2,250
Target: ~$2,530
Trading Plan:
Buy Entry: On breakout and retest above $2,250
Stop-Loss: Below $2,000
Take-Profit: $2,530
If Ethereum successfully breaks resistance with volume confirmation, it could rally toward $2,500+, making this a strong bullish setup. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation. 🚀
BTCUSD – Rising Wedge Breakdown Setup | Short OpportunityBitcoin (BTCUSD) is trading inside a rising wedge pattern on the 4H chart—typically a bearish reversal structure. Price is currently hovering near the wedge resistance and a previous supply zone, presenting a clean short opportunity with solid risk-to-reward.
📊 Technical Breakdown
1. Rising Wedge Formation
The price action has formed a clear rising wedge, a pattern often associated with a bearish breakout.
Current price action shows momentum fading near the wedge top, aligning with historical resistance.
2. Key Sell Zone
The 88,600–89,000 region marks an ideal short-entry zone.
This overlaps with a prior consolidation/supply block and wedge resistance—making it a high confluence zone.
3. Bearish Target & Projection
Breakdown of wedge support could drive price down toward the target zone near 78,000, a potential -8.89% move.
This target zone acted as a strong demand area in mid-March and is likely to attract buy interest again.
📌 Trade Plan
Sell Entry: Around 88,600–89,000
Stop Loss: Above 92,923 (beyond wedge + supply zone)
Target: 78,000 zone, prior demand and technical projection
Risk-to-Reward: High conviction R:R setup with structured invalidation
⚠️ Watch for Confirmation
Ideal confirmation would be a strong bearish 4H candle below wedge support or bearish divergence on RSI/MACD.
Already kicking the dead for a whileChart
From October 22 to march 24 we had a strong upside move.
Now we are in a deep retrace, the chart is reacting on further down moves with little emotion, I think we are kicking the dead for a while already.
In my opinion we can do even 150$ in 2 months. Than we will see.
Strategically
Trump most likely works for russian secret service. US is on the way to a regular dictatorship unfortunately, I have seen it many times before, all the same approach. He can destroy many important things and harm the usual economy in general, but the AI is so important that it could be the one of islands that will outperform despite the craziness.
BTC/USD – Bearish Rejection, Targeting SupportChart Analysis:
BTC/USD is trading within a descending channel, showing a bearish trend.
Price recently tested the resistance zone but faced rejection.
A strong sell signal is indicated, suggesting a move towards the support level around $79,877.
If price breaks below support, further downside is possible.
Trading Plan:
Sell below resistance with a target at support.
Watch for confirmation signals before entering a position.
If price breaks above resistance, a trend reversal could be possible.
XAUUSD – Symmetrical Triangle Breakout or Breakdown?Gold (XAUUSD) is currently coiling within a symmetrical triangle on the 1H timeframe, indicating that a high-probability breakout or breakdown is imminent. Price is consolidating after a strong bullish trend, but volatility is compressing—typically a precursor to explosive movement.
📊 Technical Analysis
1. Symmetrical Triangle Formation
Price has been tightening within a symmetrical triangle, marked by lower highs and higher lows.
These patterns typically resolve in the direction of the preceding trend—but can also serve as reversal zones, especially at key highs.
2. Dual Scenarios Mapped Out
Bullish Breakout: If price breaks above the triangle, bulls may push toward the psychological resistance and Fibonacci extension target near 3,101.642, continuing the trend.
Bearish Breakdown: A rejection at triangle resistance and clean break below the support line could send gold down to the demand zone around 2,929, a 2.6% potential move, aligning with previous structure support.
3. Key Support Zone
The highlighted yellow block shows a strong demand zone, previously respected during a mid-March consolidation.
Price could seek this level if the triangle resolves to the downside.
🧠 Trade Setup Ideas
Bullish Bias: Break and hold above 3,020, potential long entry with TP around 3,101
Bearish Bias: Breakdown and close below 3,000, targeting the 2,930–2,915 zone
Invalidation Levels: Above 3,035 for bearish, below 2,995 for bullish
How "Max Pain" Can Become Your Ally in ETH TradingImagine standing on the edge of a cliff, peering down at a raging river below. That’s the feeling traders experience as the options expiration date approaches. At this moment, all bets are off, and the market is primed for sharp movements. Have you ever wondered how to turn this uncertainty into an advantage?
Let’s break it down. The ETH market is buzzing with tension: open interest in options is soaring, and the ratio of in-the-money to out-of-the-money puts stands at 48% to 52%. This means nearly half of all puts have intrinsic value. Professional market participants, like skilled magicians, hedge their positions, transforming them into delta-neutral setups.
But how do they do this? Right, by buying futures! This is the hidden growth driver we’ve been witnessing over the past few days. While I won’t dive into other factors like news, it’s crucial to understand that this dynamic could be the key to success.
Now, let’s talk about “Max Pain.” The Max Pain level for this options series landed on the March 2nd trigger point, where we saw a powerful bullish candle. But are the bulls stuck there? I’m pretty sure they are. Now, we’re left to watch whether the market can break free from this grip.
Personally, I see an opportunity to open a short position. But let’s see if the “law of gravity” will hold true for Max Pain this time.
Stay tuned If you want to stay updated on forex and crypto trading nuances!
Weekly preview and trading idea for Monday 24.03.2025🔹 W1 – Weekly Bias
Bias: Bullish
SMC: Valid Break of Structure (BOS) to the upside, with consecutive higher highs.
Order Block: Last bullish OB (gray zone) still valid and respected.
Premium/Discount: Price is currently in the premium zone, indicating a higher probability of retracement.
FVG / Imbalance: Unfilled FVG zones remain between 2900 - 2800.
EMA 5/21/50/200: Price trades above all EMAs, confirming strong bullish momentum.
Key POI: 3060 – 3085 (potential reversal or reaction zone).
EQH: Potential Equal Highs forming, suggesting a liquidity grab is likely.
✅ Note: Weekly structure is intact, but we may expect a correction down into discount levels.
🔹 D1 – Daily Bias
Bias: Bullish (with active retracement)
SMC: BOS confirmed + liquidity grab above recent highs.
Price Action: Strong rejection from premium zone with a significant bearish candle.
Order Block: Valid OB between 2970 – 2990, aligning with Daily FVG.
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 are tightening up, signaling a potential short-term bearish cross.
Imbalance: Clear gap between 2985 – 2940 remains unfilled.
Daily POI: 2995 – 2970 → key zone to monitor for bullish reaction.
RSI: Not yet oversold, suggesting more room for downside movement.
🎯 Retracement Target (Daily): 2990 – 2950 for potential long setups.
🔹 H4 – Intraday Swing Setup
Bias: Bearish retracement
SMC: Confirmed BOS on H4
Order Block: Strong OB between 3025 – 3035 (origin of previous impulse drop)
FVG: Valid Fair Value Gap between 2988 – 2940
Imbalance: Still unfilled under 2970
EMA: Bearish EMA 5/21 crossover, EMA50 flattening
POI: 3030 (short setup zone), 2970 (potential buy reaction zone)
🔁 Scenario:
If price retests 3025–3030 and shows bearish PA → valid short.
If price drops into 2970–2950 and sweeps liquidity → potential long setup.
🔹 H1 – Entry Refinement
Bias: Temporary bullish correction
SMC: CHoCH printed, but no BOS yet
PA: Last reaction suggests mitigation
OB: OB zone at 3033–3037 still valid for shorting opportunities
EMA: EMA 5 and 21 remain bearish; 50 and 200 beginning to flatten
RSI: Nearing overbought – watch for signs of bearish reversal
POI (H1): 3033–3037 (short setup), 2985–2970 (buy zone)
🔹 M15 – Sniper Entry
Bias: Bullish correction in progress
SMC: CHoCH formed, waiting for confirmation of BOS
OB (M15): 3028 – 3033 → clean Order Block for possible bearish reaction
Imbalance: Unfilled gap at 3029 – 3032
EMA: EMA 5 > EMA 21 → minor bullish trend
RSI: Close to overbought – ideal for a reversal sniper short
EQH: Equal High at 3032 → ideal liquidity inducement
🎯 Sniper Trade Plan (Short):
Sell Entry Zone: 3029 – 3033
TP1: 3010
TP2: 2995
SL: Above 3035 (above OB high)
🔄 Alternative Scenario
If price breaks and closes above 3035 with bullish volume → short invalidated
Long setups only valid if price drops into discount zones (below 2985) with a bullish PA reaction + CHoCH confirmation
✅ Summary
Overall Bias: Bullish on higher timeframes, but currently in retracement → only looking for short-term sells
Sniper Short Zone: 3029 – 3033
Buy Zone to Re-enter: 2970 – 2940 (only on proper confirmations)
✨ If you enjoy my analysis, I’d really appreciate it if you followed my TradingView profile and left a boost\like on the post. Thank you!
XAUUSD 1D SELL continuationSince our last analysis, price action has continued to respect the upper boundary of the ascending channel, with signs of potential distribution forming. The previously highlighted internal liquidity (int. LQ) and unfilled imbalance (IMB) levels remain key areas of interest.
What to Monitor Now?
- Potential Rejection & Weakness – If price fails to sustain above the recent highs, we could see a shift toward lower liquidity zones.
- Breakout vs. Fakeout – A temporary push higher is possible, but failure to hold could confirm a larger reversal.
- Fair Volume Range Test – If distribution plays out, watch for retracement toward the fair volume ranges below.
For confirmation, look for signs of lower highs, aggressive selling pressure, or failed attempts to push higher. Until then, remain cautious and reactive to price behavior.
BTC short setup for the coming weeksHi Everyone,
In today's market update, I’m analyzing a potential short setup that I plan to take in the coming weeks.
While we are currently experiencing an upward rally, the broader macroeconomic environment remains uncertain. This leads me to believe that the current move is merely a relief rally, with further downside likely ahead.
I will begin building my short position once we enter the red zone between 90,654.73 - 94,366.47.
For invalidation, I am watching the 95,500 level—if the price breaks and holds above this level, I will exit the trade, as it would invalidate my setup.
Stay tuned for updates on my trading plan!
TSLA at Key Resistance—Breakout or Rejection?Hi Traders! 🚀 TSLA is approaching a key resistance zone—will it break out or face rejection?
🔹 Scenarios:
📈 Buy if it breaks above $284, with a stop loss at $275 and targets at $290 and $320.
📉 Sell if it rejects $284 and falls below $270, with a stop loss at $280 and targets at $260 and $230.
📊 RSI is recovering from oversold territory—momentum could push prices higher! Keep an eye on the price action.
📢 Watch out for earnings reports and macro news! These could add volatility.
🔥 Smash that like button and show some energy! Let’s trade like pros! 🚀
⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
Tesla entering key $275 area.Tesla's stock price is currently at a critical juncture, entering the significant resistance zone around $270. The chart highlights this level as a pivotal threshold separating bearish and bullish market sentiments. Tesla's behavior around this region will likely determine its next major trend.
### Analysis of the Scenarios:
1. **Below $270: Bearish Outlook**
If Tesla's stock fails to effectively break above the $270 resistance zone and instead gets rejected, the bears will remain in control. Previous price actions indicate this level as a significant area of selling pressure, with multiple failed breakout attempts in the past. A rejection here could set the stage for a continuation of the downtrend, with potential declines back to lower support levels.
2. **Above $270: Bullish Resurgence**
A clear breakout above $270, confirmed by successive daily or weekly closes, would signal a bullish shift in Tesla's technical structure. This would suggest that buying momentum has overcome prior resistance, paving the way for further upward price movements. Breaking through this level could reignite investor enthusiasm and potentially initiate a new rally.
### Key Observations from the Chart:
- The $270 level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, underscoring its importance as a psychological and technical barrier.
- Tesla has recently bounced back after a sharp decline, suggesting a potential recovery attempt. However, the current price action faces a stiff challenge at this resistance level.
- A failure or success at $270 could trigger broader directional movement, with implications for both short-term traders and long-term investors.
### Conclusion:
Tesla's stock is at a decisive crossroads as it entered the $270 resistance zone. A rejection would signify continued bearish dominance, while a sustained breakout would indicate a bullish reversal. Investors will be closely watching the price action around this critical level to gauge the next directional move. As the market exhibits uncertainty, patience and prudent risk management will be key for traders looking to navigate Tesla's current trajectory.
[D] USX - Major Change AheadA rough idea how this could play till mid April. I do expect unusually disturbing readings on early-warning indexes and ISM since Trump inauguration to finally show up in metrics such as unemployment and CPI. This could weight strongly on the US Dollar. If basic axioms hold true, we're about to witness a major change in perception on the global reserve currency.
Bitcoin approching key resistanceBitcoin is currently approaching a crucial resistance zone around the $91,000 level, which appears to be acting as a pivotal determinant of market sentiment.
1. **Below $91,000: Bearish Bias**
If Bitcoin struggles to break above this resistance zone and closes below $91,000 consistently, the technical outlook remains bearish. Multiple rejections at this level in the past indicate this area as a strong supply zone, with sellers defending it. Such a development would likely confirm continued bearish pressure, potentially pushing prices lower and extending the current downtrend.
2. **Above $91,000: Bullish Reversal**
A sustainable breakout above $91,000, accompanied by multiple daily closes in this range or beyond, would signal a potential return to bullish momentum. Breaching this resistance zone would imply that buyers have regained control, likely triggering renewed interest and optimism in the market. This could mark the resumption of a bull market and lead to further upside exploration.
**Key Observations from the Chart:**
- Bitcoin's attempt to reclaim the highlighted resistance zone appears to have faced challenges previously, indicating the significance of this level.
- The current price point lies just below the critical range, reflecting indecision and a balance between bullish and bearish forces. Traders might await confirmation of directionality before positioning aggressively.
- The yellow zone acts as a transition zone for sentiment, with "below = bearish" and "above = bullish." Price action near this level will be critical in shaping market expectations moving forward.
**Conclusion:**
Bitcoin is trading at a tipping point. A decisive move above or rejection from the $91,000 zone will define its near-term trajectory. The market's focus in the coming days will likely revolve around this key resistance, as its breach or defense carries strong implications for investors and traders alike.