$COFFEE: Nice weekly up trendPEPPERSTONE:COFFEE has been trending strongly since the long term trend turned up recently, it now offers a low risk entry for commodity traders who use the Forex.com platform (fairly convenient since you can trade from the charts directly here, I have no affiliation with them btw).
Reward to risk is 3.75 to 1, which is very considering the larger than 60% probability than this outcome has...
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Beyond Technical Analysis
BTC on daily timeframe
"Concerning BTC, the price is currently experiencing a strong bullish momentum. However, as evidenced on the TOTAL chart, there are indications of a potential correction. In my view, if the price surpasses a critical decision level convincingly and forms a bearish (FVG) pattern, a sell position could be a prudent choice with low risk."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your text, feel free to ask!
Saturday Crypto Analysis – BNB Trade Idea
Saturday , with the Forex market closed, is a great opportunity to delve deeper into crypto fundamentals and on-chain analysis.
Insights from active addresses and long-term holder movements suggest that BNB might break out of this trading range to the upside. However, this largely depends on the overall market sentiment.
I didn’t expect the market to open Saturday morning with negative momentum, but I anticipate a shift in momentum as the day progresses.
Let’s see how it unfolds! 🚀
Gold can fly to higher highs @2800Hey traders and investors! 🚀 Hope you're shining bright today! Today, January 23, 2025, I'm sharing my thoughts on gold
Gold has broken through the resistance zone ($2,740-$2,720) and is forming a potential Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern. The Commitment of Traders (CoT) report also shows a bullish sentiment. 📈
Gold is looking bullish! Key points to watch :
Entry Price: $2,744
Target Price: $2,767
Stop Loss: $2,735
Your feedback is valuable!
- Like this post if you found it informative!
- Comment below with your thoughts on the gold market!
- Share this post with your fellow traders and investors!
Trade safe and stay informed! 💡
Best wishes Tom 😎
DXY on high time frame
"Regarding DXY, the price has reached the (FVG) on the monthly chart and is displaying signs of rejection. On the daily timeframe, candle formations indicate bearish momentum."
If you have any specific questions or if there are particular aspects you would like me to focus on, feel free to let me know!
EURGBP - Short SetupMy main trading principle is that the price always moves from swept liquidity levels to untouched liquidity levels.
In particular case we clearly can see the following context: price swept 1D key liquidity level and left untouched level lower.
But to take more statistically probable trades we should wait for some type of lower timeframe confirmation, and in this case we can notice sign of weakness (reaching the middle of the range), so potentially there is a higher probability to see price lower.
Your success is determined solely by your ability to consistently follow the same principles.
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25
📈 22207.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 22234.5, 22242.5)
📉 21830 (NEXT LEVELS: 21812, 21671.50, 22639)
*The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!*
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
MES1!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 01/24/25MES1!/ES1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/24/25
📈 6190.25 (NEXT LEVELS: 6166.25, 6220)
📉 6094.75 (NEXT LEVELS: 6118.75, 6075.5, 6065.25)
*The target levels have experienced some discrepancies over the past few days, prompting adjustments to enhance accuracy. We are highly confident in the revised target levels for tomorrow, Friday, the 24th. Thanks!*
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
inj midterm buy"🌟 Welcome to Golden Candle! 🌟
We're a team of 📈 passionate traders 📉 who love sharing our 🔍 technical analysis insights 🔎 with the TradingView community. 🌎
Our goal is to provide 💡 valuable perspectives 💡 on market trends and patterns, but 🚫 please note that our analyses are not intended as buy or sell recommendations. 🚫
Instead, they reflect our own 💭 personal attitudes and thoughts. 💭
Follow along and 📚 learn 📚 from our analyses! 📊💡"
NFLX Netflix Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven’t entered NFLX in the buy zone:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NFLX Netflix prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 850usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-24,
for a premium of approximately $41.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
DFS Discover Financial Services Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought DFS before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of DFS Discover Financial Services prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 190usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-2-21,
for a premium of approximately $6.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
During this week's trading session, Bitcoin has successfully achieved and completed a significant Inner Coin Rally at the 108000 level. This development indicates a probable pullback to the Mean Support level of 101300, with the potential for further extension to the Mean Support level of 98000 before a resurgence in the bull market may occur. Conversely, should this pullback not transpire, the currency may experience upward movement, retesting the completed Inner Coin Rally at 108000 and challenging the next Outer Coin Rally at 110000 and beyond.
TSLA Consolidation Breakout or Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch Technical Analysis:
* Trend Analysis: TSLA appears to be in a consolidation phase, trading within a rising wedge pattern. This signals potential for either a breakout or breakdown depending on market momentum.
* Volume: Volume has been declining, suggesting reduced conviction in the recent price movement.
* MACD: The MACD line is below the signal line, signaling bearish momentum.
* Stoch RSI: The oscillator is moving into oversold territory, potentially indicating a bounce soon if demand picks up.
Key Levels to Watch:
* Support Levels:
* $405: Immediate support level coinciding with recent price action.
* $380: Stronger support if the wedge breaks downward.
* Resistance Levels:
* $440: First significant resistance.
* $480: Critical gamma resistance wall.
Trade Scenarios:
* Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: $410
* Target 1: $440
* Target 2: $480
* Stop Loss: $395
* Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: $405
* Target 1: $380
* Target 2: $350
* Stop Loss: $420
GEX (Gamma Exposure) Insights for Options:
* Call Wall:
* $440: 94.99% of GEX concentration, making this the primary resistance level.
* Put Support:
* $380: High concentration of puts, indicating strong support if prices test this level.
* IVR (Implied Volatility Rank):
* 54.3: High implied volatility, making options premium-rich for selling strategies.
* Directional Bias: Neutral with a slightly bearish lean due to the MACD crossover and wedge pattern.
Actionable Suggestions:
1. Consider selling options (e.g., iron condors) to capitalize on premium from TSLA’s high IV.
2. Watch for price action near the $405 level for a potential breakdown or bounce.
3. Avoid over-leveraging as volatility remains elevated.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence before trading.
SPY at a Key Inflection Point! Trading and Options Insights You Technical Analysis for SPY:
* Current Price: $607.50
* Trend Overview: SPY is currently trading within an ascending wedge pattern. This structure is often indicative of a potential pullback, but a breakout above the upper trendline could signal bullish continuation.
* Key Levels:
* Resistance: $610.78 (Recent high and top of the wedge).
* Support: $600 psychological support, $592 for stronger confluence with the lower trendline.
* Momentum Indicators:
* MACD: Showing slight bearish divergence; potential short-term consolidation or pullback.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold levels signal reduced momentum but indicate a potential reversal opportunity.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) and Options Analysis:
* Options Activity:
* Call Walls:
* $610 with 94.83% GEX Call Resistance (Key for upward breakout).
* $615 and $620 as upper resistance layers for bullish scenarios.
* Put Walls:
* $600 with a 90.2% Put wall presence.
* $590 as the strongest support with concentrated negative GEX.
* IVR: 11.4, signaling lower implied volatility.
* Options Strategy:
* Bullish Setup: Look for an entry on a breakout above $610 with a target of $615-$620. Use $600 as a trailing stop.
* Bearish Setup: Consider bearish spreads targeting $600 if price fails to sustain above $607.
Actionable Trading Plan:
1. Scalping Outlook:
* Monitor price action near $607-$608. Quick intraday bounces or rejections can offer opportunities.
2. Swing Outlook:
* A sustained breakout above $610 can confirm bullish momentum; set targets at $615, then $620.
* Below $600, prepare for a retest of the $590-$592 zone.
Conclusion:
SPY is showing signs of consolidation near its highs, and key levels like $610 and $600 will play a crucial role in determining its next direction. Options activity aligns with resistance near $610 and major support near $590. Stay vigilant with stops and manage risk appropriately.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
QQQ Testing Resistance Levels! Critical Zones to Watch for Jan23Technical Analysis (TA) for Trading:
* Trend Overview: QQQ has shown steady upward momentum recently, forming a rising wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart. However, it's now testing the upper trendline, signaling potential consolidation or reversal.
* Key Support and Resistance Levels:
* Immediate Resistance: $533.82 (recent high).
* Intermediate Support: $520 (aligned with the second PUT wall and historical support).
* Major Support: $499.70 (a critical level and PUT support zone).
* Indicators:
* MACD: Displays a bearish crossover, suggesting a loss in bullish momentum.
* Stochastic RSI: Dips into oversold territory, indicating a possible bounce if buyers step in.
* Volume: Declining during the latest pullback, which may indicate a lack of strong selling pressure.
GEX Analysis for Option Trading:
* Call Gamma Walls:
* Strong Resistance: $535 (60.76% GEX).
* Next Resistance: $540 (47.79% GEX).
* Put Walls:
* Support Levels: $520 (-42.76% GEX) and $500 (-48.06% GEX).
* Implied Volatility (IV):
* IVR: 10.1.
* IVx Average: 17.3.
* Sentiment:
* Puts account for 21.1%, while GEX sentiment remains slightly negative, hinting at cautious outlooks from options traders.
Trade Setups:
1. Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $533.82.
* Target: $540.
* Stop-Loss: $530.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $528.
* Target: $520.
* Stop-Loss: $532.
Actionable Insights:
* Watch for a breakout above $533.82 with strong volume to confirm bullish continuation.
* A break below $528 could signal a bearish pullback to test $520 support.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own research before trading.
PLTR: Technical Analysis for Trading and GEX for Options Trading
Trading Analysis:
* Current Trend: PLTR is showing strong upward momentum, breaking out of a rising wedge pattern. However, it's approaching resistance near $80, with $85 being a major level to watch.
* Support Levels: Immediate support is at $74, followed by a stronger base at $72.50.
* Resistance Levels: Resistance stands at $80, with $85 marking a significant overhead level.
* Indicators:
* MACD: Shows bullish momentum but starting to flatten, indicating a potential slowdown.
* Stochastic RSI: Entered the overbought region but beginning to curve downward, hinting at possible consolidation or minor pullback.
* Volume: Consistently higher volume on bullish candles, suggesting strong buyer interest.
Gamma Exposure (GEX) for Options Trading:
* GEX Levels:
* Call Walls:
* $80 (Highest positive NETGEX and Gamma Wall).
* $85 (Third CALL Wall, signaling strong resistance).
* Put Walls:
* $72.50 (Second PUT Wall).
* $60 (Primary support from options data).
* IVR & IVx: Elevated IVR at 81.2 and IVx average at 78.5, suggesting PLTR options are relatively expensive. This is suitable for strategies like spreads or covered calls.
* Options Sentiment: Calls dominate with 76% GEX allocation, confirming bullish sentiment.
Actionable Suggestions:
1. Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Above $80 with confirmation of breakout.
* Target: $85 (next major resistance level).
* Stop-Loss: $74.
2. Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Below $74 if price rejects $80 resistance.
* Target: $72.50 and potentially $70.
* Stop-Loss: $80.
3. Option Strategy:
* Bull Call Spread: Buy $80 call and sell $85 call for a risk-defined bullish setup.
* Short Put: Sell $72.50 put to capitalize on strong support and elevated IV.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and manage your risks before trading.