USDCHF Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.86800 zone, USDCHF was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.86900 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Tesla - This Will Be A Wild Ride!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is deciding about its future in the next 8 days:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
During the next 8 days - until this monthly candle closes - we will see whether or not Tesla will enter the next major bullrun. Currently Tesla is trading at the important triangle breakout level after dropping about -20% this month so far. The future of Tesla will depend on this breakout.
Levels to watch: $160, $200, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
“DARK POOLS VOLUME MYSTERY!” (Must Read)In my latest idea, Short Position, I mentioned a target around $71,645, maybe higher. We’ll need to wait and see where the price ultimately lands on one of my carefully plotted Gann levels.
Now, in this idea, my “Whales Master Pattern” contraction line pinpoints the true value at $71,234—eerily close to my ATR value calculated in pips, which nearly matched my Gann level.
Let’s be clear: my most trusted indicator is none other than the Forex Master Pattern, with the smart money true value line and contraction. It’s my #1 analysis tool, designed by smart money itself. I kept my short position using Gann levels, paired with my ATR-calculated pips, and both aligned almost perfectly with my Gann prices. That’s why the short position remains.
Here, we’ve got my previous and recent manipulated volumes, highlighting the movement of money flow. Next up, those lime-green candlesticks—they’re coded to the standards of the whales themselves. Dark pools are woven right into those lime candles. The green columns represent hidden dark pool buys, pushing the price up, while the purple columns signal dark pool sells—the hidden money flow in the phantom underworld. Notice the pattern: green columns lead to purple columns. The price corrected to the Forex Master Pattern’s true value line, then surged to a new ATH.
See for yourself what’s unfolding. If I ever doubt, I turn first to ATR—it’s my trusted source for reading prices calculated in pips. Next would be Gann, but I never use it alone because Gann can be misleading. When my Gann lines align with ATR and smart money levels, then it’s golden treasure.
Now, why a new short position idea? Well, because Grandpa Tom (the self-proclaimed shepherd of the herd) declared I was “full of hot air” and scoffed at the idea of manipulation. He told me, “Look at the money flow! It doesn’t lie.”
So, I explained dark pools and whale manipulation. And Grandpa Tom, in all his wisdom, says, “Whale? That’s a big fish, isn’t it? And the only pool I know is my cousin Harry’s swimming pool. What’s all this got to do with money flow?”
Then Grandpa Tom stormed off, raving about how I should be “locked up in a mental institution.” Ah, the insights of our dear, air-headed Grandpa Tom!
USD/ JPY ! 11/8 ! oversold , support , BUY nowUSDJPY trend forecast November 8, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) struggles to gain traction on Friday, fluctuating with minor gains and losses against the US Dollar (USD) as the European session nears. Support for the JPY comes from recent comments by Japanese authorities, though concerns about the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) capacity for further rate hikes limit its upward momentum.
Meanwhile, optimism around Trump’s growth and inflation policies largely overshadows the Fed’s dovish outlook, boosting US Treasury yields, which in turn weighs on the lower-yielding JPY. Additionally, renewed USD buying helps restrict any significant downside for the USD/JPY pair.
Trump as president with more strict foreign policies, mainly helps the dollar stronger. This will help USD/xxx currency pairs to increase in value.
/// BUY USD/JPY : zone 152.300 - 152.100
SL: 151.700
TP: 40 - 100 - 200 pips (154.100)
Safe and profitable trading
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Day 86 of back testingpreviuos week was a very hard one and it causem me thinking about maybe trading is not for me and thiis not the way that i will make the living out of it and maybe i can never experience the finantial freedom. all this were because i didn't know what i'm missing and what causes me this this loosing periods of back testing and finally i found what it was and i will try my best to try by sticking to that tiny edge finally become a consistent trader.
LONG VZ @ 40.59 - oversoldI'll let my track record on my trades since July I've posted as ideas here replace any fancy charts. 89% win rate since July - and that's slightly under performing compared to normal. Trust me, it's short term oversold based on my algo.
I'll add any time it's oversold and there's two ways to play the exit, but in the interests of consistency, I'll keep using my original method - sell any lot when it becomes both overbought AND profitable. Plus I have to update less often that way.
Sell any lot on the first profitable close for that lot, regardless of whether it's overbought, is something that I've been tinkering with. That exit strategy produces lower overall profits per lot, but less capital outlay during downtrends (often 50-60% less) and quicker recycling of capital. It also is often proving to produce a greater gain per lot per day held annualized return than my original exit strategy - I've been using it privately for a while now to test it out.
The original strategy produces greater average gains per lot traded but at the expense of greater total capital outlay and more exposure during downtrends and longer average holding periods. They are similar enough in terms of returns per lot per day held that it's a preference thing, but anything that reduces unnecessary exposure risk is something I gravitate to.
It may not be sexy in raging bullish upswings, but it is tremendously beneficial when sentiment is negative, either in the individual stock I'm trading or in the markets in general. Anyone who follows me knows I like to minimize risk and maximize gain per lot per day held any time I can.
Not for nothing, VZ also pays a fat dividend, which boosts returns if you're stuck holding a while. It's not a major factor, since of the 150 or so trades I've posted here since July, the average holding period has been just over 16 trading days with a median length of 10 and the most common holding period has been 6 trading days. But a few have been long enough to benefit from dividend payments, so I always like to have that cushion just in case.
So the usual disclaimer, this is not investment advice, just a log of my trades and thought processes. DYOR and enjoy the show.
GBPAUD - Trade Idea
Hi everyone !!
The GBPAUD has broken the higher high (HH) on the daily timeframe and is retesting 79% of the Fibonacci level. This suggests a shift in the lower time frame (LTF) trend, with a continued bullish outlook on the daily timeframe.
Direct Buy order (market execution)
SL - 1.93580
TP1 - 1.95910
TP2 - 1.97000
TP3 - 1.98000
Do your own analysis before taking any trades.
Cheers...
USDJPY Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDJPY for a buying opportunity around 152.700 zone, USDJPY was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 152.700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAU! 11/8! Create liquidity for the downtrendXAU / USD trend forecast November 8, 2024
Gold prices rose above $2,700 after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and noted that US election impacts are unlikely to be immediate. Currently, XAU/USD is trading at $2,704, up over 1.7%.
Wall Street gained further as the Fed unanimously lowered the federal funds rate by 0.25%. In its statement, the Fed pointed to solid economic growth, though labor market conditions have weakened slightly. Officials also observed that inflation is closer to the Fed’s 2% target but remains somewhat elevated.
Long term framework - gold price is still in a downtrend. Market recovered thanks to FED continuing to cut 0.25% as expected. Short term recovery
/// SELL XAU : zone 2719-2722
SL: 2727
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2692)
/// BUY XAU : zone 2667-2664
SL: 2659
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2694)
Safe and profitable trading
$TSLA: at the brink of a huge signal...I have been long NASDAQ:TSLA for a few weeks now, but the time to add to it is almost upon us.
A while back, the stock triggered a quarterly down trend and I was worried of a possible dramatic decline if that signal worked, but I'm glad to say it had no follow through and now the opposite is true: NASDAQ:TSLA is set to rally to new all time highs.
If price gets over $233.67 this month, we will have more confidence in this outcome, as the monthly trend will be confirmed then.
Target zone near $430 is our focus for the time being, but this could activate a quarterly up trend, which would suggest a 12 quarter run towards $873 would be possible
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Gold - Time To Close Out Partial Profits!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is now back to the upper channel resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After breaking above the plsychological $2.000 level, Gold created such an incredible rally, massively outperforming stocks and even cryptocurrencies over the past couple of months. Therefore, it is quite likely that big institutions will take some profits at the current levels.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Opening (IRA): QQQ Nov 15th 420 Covered Call... for a 415.50 debit.
Comments: After taking off my Nov 415 covered call in profit (See Post Below), re-upping here, but at a slightly higher strike (there are only five-wides available). The 420 is at the -87 delta, so this is less aggressive than I usually do (-75 delta call). However, I've already booked profit in the November cycle, so am fine with getting what is kind of a weak sauce ROC here with plenty of "room to be wrong," particularly with the elections coming up.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 415.50/share
Max Profit: 4.50 ($450)
ROC at Max: 1.08%
50% Max: 2.25 ($225)
ROC at 50% Max: .54%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max, roll out the short call on side test/IV expansion.
GER40 Trade Log Pair: GER40 (DAX)
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Setup: Long within 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG)
Trade Parameters:
- Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2
- Risk: 1% of account
- Entry: Look for confirmation signals within the 1-hour FVG
Stop-Loss and Take-Profit:
- Stop-Loss: Positioned just below the entry trigger point within the FVG
- Take-Profit: Target set at twice the stop-loss distance, achieving the 1:2 RRR
Additional Notes:
- Utilize strong confirmation signals to support this setup
- Monitor market conditions that could impact GER40 volatility
$FREY - more money down the drain, headed for the graveyardNYSE:FREY is a company set up to enrich the owners and key players. They have tapped into subsidies in several countries, and the owners have made millions. They have delivered nothing, and plan after plan has been cancelled. After getting tons of money and praise in Norway, they shut down and moved to the US. Because the US government provided a better environment. Still delivering nothing, they now got awarded €122 million from the EU. Watch this money go down the drain, or into owners pockets. No point in doing any technical analysis, this company is heading in one direction only. Be aware of short termed price jumps based on nonsense, it is all part of the process of bankruptcy. As always, do your own due diligence. If this company is alive in its current form in 1 year, I will never post anything in here again.
Xauusd sell signal Gold price bounced off the important support at $2,641, which is the confluence of the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 78.6% Fibo level of the latest record rally from the October 10 low of $2,604 to the new all-time high of $2,790.
Gold now sell 2685
Support 2660
Support 2630
Resistance 2705
Gold will fall again after a small upward movementInstrument:
Time Frame: H4 Chart
Observations:
1. A Strong choch was identified after several BOSes
2. That Choch changed the direction of trend from up side to down.
3. Fair Value Gape was also Observed at the place where ChOch formed
4. Gold is going up to fill the fair value gape and it will get instant reversal from P.O.I
Trading Strategy:
In this trade Our Risk Reward Ratio will be (1:5)
Right Now We put Buy Entries Upto 2735
Strong Selling Zone will be 2735_2740
little above the P.O.I will be our S.L= 2755
the Previous L.L will be our Take Profit= 2642
Scalping ! XAU ! Trendline Recovery 2678SCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The US Federal Reserve’s policy decision on Thursday is in focus, with markets widely anticipating a 25 basis point rate cut, which could support gold by lowering the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, there is a 98.1% chance of this quarter-point cut in November.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Trendline + DOW , Gold price recovered briefly - for the upcoming decline to 2606
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2668 - $2670 SL $2673
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2662
TP3: $2658
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account