Btcusd analysis 1. Support May Hold – The chart suggests a drop to the support area (around $75K-$77K), but strong demand in that region could lead to a rebound instead of a further decline.
2. Higher Low Formation – If BTC stays above $80K and forms a higher low, the bearish breakdown may be invalidated, leading to another push toward resistance ($95K).
3. Liquidity Grab Above Resistance – The market might break above the resistance zone instead of rejecting it. A breakout beyond $95K could trigger a bullish rally toward $100K+.
4. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals – If BTC fundamentals remain strong (ETF inflows, institutional buying, positive macro factors), short-term technical patterns might be overridden by larger buying pressure
Beyond Technical Analysis
MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/06/2025MES!/ES1! Day Trade Plan for 03/06/2025
📈5798 5818 5838
📉5759 5739 5719
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
WTI , road map on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI on high time frames, this analysis is based on the liquidity concept. Observing the chart, the price has surpassed the $69 level, which was significant for institutional orders. Consequently, I anticipate a decline towards lower prices. In my view, the next potential level could be around $64."
If you have any specific questions or require further assistance with your message, feel free to let me know!
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of GBPJPY at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum. @fxopen
$NASDAQ:ACHC - analysis of annual cot levelsNASDAQ:ACHC
Please remember that this idea does not constitute investment advice.
After a personal analysis of the institutional value of the COT, buy and sell program levels are outlined. Since the asset is at its minimum, the idea is to wait for the price to head inside the buy program, wait for a swing to form in the direction of the target level (the first sell program) and open the trade at the break of this. The position is medium-term (from 1-2 weeks to 1-2 months); without financial leverage and the maximum profit area is that outlined by the sell program. Personally I do not use stop loss as the trade does not involve the use of financial leverage, however if a level for the stop loss were to be identified, this would be below the buy program.
For any clearly ask me.
US30 Running Flat Pattern Spotted- Look for buysHello,
The US30, commonly referred to as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), is a key benchmark index that tracks the performance of 30 of the largest blue-chip companies in the US.
Currently, the US30 is trading at the bottom of a running flat correction — a highly reliable Elliott Wave pattern that often signals the continuation of an upward trend. To further strengthen this bullish outlook, we are closely monitoring the zero crossover signal, which will serve as final confirmation that bullish momentum is about to kick in.
Additionally, bond yields remaining at their lows are providing further confluence, indicating that investors are shifting back into risk-on assets like equities.
Our first upside target is the previous February 2025 high, with potential for further gains if bullish momentum persists.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Good luck and happy trading!
Gpbusd today analysisSupport Levels:
1. Support Buy Area – Around 1.2900
This is where buyers may step in to push the price higher.
2. Support Sell Area – Around 1.2850 – 1.2800
If the price drops below this, a bearish move may continue.
Resistance Levels:
1. First Resistance Area – Around 1.2950 – 1.3000
If the price reaches this level and fails to break through, a pullback might occur.
2. Major Resistance – Above 1.3000
If the price breaks this level, a strong bullish rally could continue.
DXY, About to rally upwardHello guys,
A short quick update on dollar index, we are going to see a temporary upward rally in the dollar index, I am just posting the low hanging fruit target which is very high probability to achieve. and we will defiantly see the momentum changing from bearish to bullish.
NFP protocol: Keep the risk low
BTC Buy at this Level - NFP News This Week (Volatility Risk!)Short term Buy idea on Bitcoin. This is a riskier idea because:
A) BTC is showing signs of Weakness (so we are counter trend trading)
B) This idea is based on NFP news timing
I may wait until Monday to get clarity (unless you also trade on the weekend)
Overall Idea for this is:
- W1/M candles have big rejection wicks to the downside, retesting the previous Week's wick, hinting at some Buyside potential
- We see divergence with ETH.
- The LTF H4 shows a Break of Structure, momentum move to the upside.
- We've already had a retracement down after, and it validated the gap in price (blue zone), reacting off it, hinting that it will hold.
- Now I'm waiting for the next best price to enter.
Again, NFP volatility can create bigger than usual spikes, so keeping that in mind.
If NFP takes it higher without coming to a better price, so be it - the train will leave without me. Will wait for further PA.
Price will be giving the validation to enter.
$NASDAQ:ILMN - analysis of annual cot levelsNASDAQ:ILMN
Please remember that this idea does not constitute investment advice.
After a personal analysis of the institutional value of the COT, buy and sell program levels are outlined. Since the asset is at its minimum, the idea is to wait for the price to head inside the buy program, wait for a swing to form in the direction of the target level (the first sell program) and open the trade at the break of this. The position is medium-term (from 1-2 weeks to 1-2 months); without financial leverage and the maximum profit area is that outlined by the sell program. Personally I do not use stop loss as the trade does not involve the use of financial leverage, however if a level for the stop loss were to be identified, this would be below the buy program.
For any clearly ask me.
Gold Trend Today - Continue to Increase?🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
👉Gold prices held steady on Thursday as speculation grew that U.S. President Donald Trump might ease some tariffs, particularly those related to automobiles under the USMCA trade agreement. However, uncertainty persists, and XAU/USD remains largely unchanged at $2,919.
👉On the economic front, ADP data showed a significant slowdown in private-sector job growth for February compared to January. Meanwhile, the latest ISM Services PMI indicated continued business expansion. Despite this, concerns over rising inflation linger, as the Prices Paid sub-index surged above 60, signaling that producers are facing higher costs, which could lead to another wave of inflation.
👉As a result, money market traders adjusted their expectations for rate cuts in 2025, pricing in 71.5 basis points of easing, down from 81 bps on Tuesday.
👉On the geopolitical side, a senior aide to Ukraine’s President Zelensky discussed peace efforts with the U.S. National Security Advisor, with both sides agreeing to an upcoming meeting. This development, along with rising U.S. Treasury bond yields, could exert downward pressure on gold prices.
Personal opinion:
👉Gold will have a bounce back to the trend line and then bounce back following the main uptrend
👉Note: prioritize evaluating the latest information on President Trump's tariffs
Analysis:
👉Based on important resistance - support levels combined with trend lines and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy GOLD 2900 – 2903 (European session)
❌SL: 2895 | ✅TP: 2910 – 2916 – 2926
👉Sell GOLD 2953 – 2955
❌SL: 2961 | ✅TP: 2948 – 2942 – 2936
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
AVGO Near Critical Reversal – Can Bulls Hold This Level?Technical Analysis (TA):
1. Trend & Structure:
* AVGO remains in a clear downtrend, showing multiple Break of Structure (BOS) events.
* Change of Character (ChoCH) attempts suggest buyers are stepping in, but confirmation is needed.
* Resistance Levels: 194 (Call Resistance), 220-240 (Major Supply Zone).
* Support Levels: 180-187 (Demand Zone & Highest Negative NETGEX).
2. Reversal Zone:
* AVGO is testing a demand zone between 180-187.
* If buyers hold above 187, there is potential for a retest of 194, then 220.
* If price fails below 180, a larger sell-off toward 160-150 is likely.
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Neutral, with slight momentum fading.
* Stochastic RSI: Oversold, indicating potential upside bounce.
* Volume: Recent uptick in buying at support suggests a possible reversal attempt.
Options GEX & Trade Setup:
1. Call Walls (Resistance):
* 194 – First major test for bulls.
* 220-240 – Strong resistance zone if price breaks higher.
2. Put Walls (Support):
* 187 – Highest negative NETGEX, potential bounce area.
* 180-160 – Failure here opens the door for a deeper correction.
3. Option Trade Ideas:
* Bullish Setup: If price stays above 187 and confirms strength, consider April 200C targeting 194-200.
* Bearish Setup: If AVGO breaks below 180, consider March-April 170P targeting 170-160.
Thoughts & Conclusion:
AVGO is sitting at a make-or-break zone. If buyers can hold 187 and push above 194, momentum could shift bullish. However, if sellers reclaim control and price breaks below 180, further downside acceleration is likely.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
GAP Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GAP prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 19.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-3-7,
for a premium of approximately $1.02.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
GBPUSD STRONG ANALYSIS 1. Over-Reliance on the Ascending Channel
The chart assumes price will stay within the current rising channel, but price action often breaks such structures. A bearish breakdown could invalidate this projection.
If 1.26070 support fails, we may see a larger downtrend rather than a bounce.
2. Resistance Might Be Stronger Than Expected
The 1.8060 resistance is plotted far from the current price (1.28773). Assuming such a long-term rally without testing lower levels could be overly optimistic.
Sellers may push price down near 1.2700 or lower before any meaningful bullish move.
3. Volume and Momentum Are Missing from the Analysis
There's no clear volume confirmation supporting the bullish move. If buying volume weakens, the price may consolidate instead of rallying.
RSI/MACD divergence could indicate exhaustion, leading to a bearish reversal.
4. Macro Factors Could Invalidate This Setup
The British Pound is highly sensitive to economic data (inflation, interest rates, etc.).
If upcoming news favors the USD, the GBP/USD pair could break below support levels rather than respecting the predicted bounce zones.
Possible Alternative Scenario
A false breakout above recent highs could lead to a reversal, with price targeting 1.26070 or even lower levels before finding real bullish strength
ETHUSD SURELY BULLISH 1. Support at 2130 May Fail
The chart assumes a bounce from 2130 support, but if ETH breaks below this level, it could trigger further liquidations and push price toward 2000 or lower.
Bearish divergence or weakening buy volume could signal a lack of strength.
2. Resistance at 2800 May Hold Strong
The projection suggests ETH will reach 2800, but this could be a strong supply zone where sellers step in.
If ETH struggles around 2400-2500, we might see a reversal instead of a breakout.
3. Lower High Formation
If ETH fails to break above previous highs (~2265+), it could signal a lower high, leading to a downtrend continuation rather than a rally.
Rejection near 2300-2400 might confirm a bearish structure.
4. Macroeconomic & Market Risks
If Bitcoin corrects or macro factors (rate hikes, regulatory news, or stock market weakness) pressure crypto markets, ETH might struggle to sustain upside momentum
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Thursday, 6th March 2025)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-Unemployment Claims
Analysis:
-Expecting consolidation before NFP news
-Looking for a retest on the key levels
-PotentialBUY/SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 2940 , 2900
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
(BTC) bitcoin "recent red plus sign"Bitcoin is a product of the environment we live in, for some there are references to it that matter, for others BTC is not reality and more so evil. Is BTC anymore evil than holding dollars in your pocket that you will not spend? Hodl value is akin to the properties of holding cash. With no purpose behind holding the cash a person would not hold cash, but money has purpose even if there is nothing to buy. Buying is figurative value where a conversion takes place between the property of the original cash and the newly found material item(s). Though the cash holds a stronger replacement for value than any single item of material value because to buy means to immediate lose re-sellable value. I can buy a pair of pants but if I wear them even once they are not brand new and cannot be returned or resold as such. If BTC is a product of the environment, what environments occur where BTC holds no value? When value is determined for value sake than value is indeterminate therefore the meaning of the value is not dependent to any one aspect of spending or savings. Fire a bunch of people from their job, does their value return to becoming pure cash or was it a daydream that some people believed to suspend payment of workers in order to recover what was believed to be lost. Animated imaginations create cryptocurrency to a degree that reaches a mass audience of people that do not actually like investing through memes. Bitcoin will never be a meme and will remain a digital historical monument throughout time which represents the before the story went crazy with fanciful ideas that may or may not have gone anywhere ...