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$USDT.D | #1D OverviewUSDT dominance is currently sitting at daily support, aligning with both the 1D S/R zone and the 200 EMA — a key confluence level. 📉 A local bounce or consolidation is likely from here. 🔺 Major resistance stands at the 5.6% zone (highlighted red). If price pushes into that area and starts to reverse, it could trigger a fresh leg up in altcoins — classic risk-on signal. 📌 Takeaways: — If you caught the recent alt run: consider partial profit-taking. — If you missed the move: don’t chase here, better to wait for a clearer entry after confirmation.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.D
by Goldfinch_song
1
HYPE | #12h Fakeout & Recovery SetupContext: After a clean fakeout below the green demand zone, KUCOIN:HYPEUSDT reclaimed structure and is now holding above the range low — potential start of base formation before trend shift. 🔍 Local Range Setup: ✅ Fakeout confirmed ✅ Reclaim above range low 🎯 Next: Retest of red supply zone ($18.9–21) on the table 📌 Trading Strategy: — Waiting for potential pullback to previous demand zone for a full entry — Target: top of range ~ $20 — Invalidation: clear break below reclaim zone 🧠 Macro View: — Short-term: Likely to tag red zone if structure holds — Long-term: base forming. Full confirmation = break & hold above supply. If not — a revisit to $5–10 is still on the table.
Long
by Goldfinch_song
AAVE - Alt Rising Star?Aave is a unique option in the alt coin universe. It's technology facilitates access to accelerated gains in a rising price environment, and with the recent release of a stable coin, Aave has positioned itself as a more serious player in the cryptoFi space. Will Aave trend to the upside from here? Time will tell... For now, our team has identified an opportunity within AAVEUSDT, where momentum may very well be turning to a 'bullish' rating should price be able to hold current levels - Caution as always is warranted. We do however see elevated risk of 'bearish' momentum coming into play below the $129.00 mark. We're inspired to bring you the latest developments across worldwide markets, helping you look in the right place, at the right time. Thank you for reading! Stay tuned for further updates, and we look forward to being of service along your trading & investing journey... Disclaimer: Please note all information contained within this post and all other Bullfinder-official Tradingview content is strictly for informational purposes only and is not intended to be investment advice. Please DYOR & Consult your licensed financial advisors before acting on any information contained within this post, or any other Bullfinder-official TV content.
Long
by Bullfinder-official
Importance of HA-Low, HA-High indicators Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- (BTCUSDT 1D chart) I wonder if you think that BTC has turned into an uptrend as I mentioned before, as it has risen above 89294.25. The previous idea is titled "Breakthrough trading starts with finding support and resistance points." It is ideal to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price possible, but in order to do that, you need to constantly check the chart in real time. Therefore, I think it is better to focus on finding the most ideal trading time. Therefore, you should try to trade according to your own trading rules, that is, your trading strategy. - In that sense, my trading criteria are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators. As you can see from the published formula, when the Heikin-Ashi chart shows an upward trend, the HA-Low indicator is created, and when it shows a downward trend, the HA-High indicator is created. Therefore, if possible, you can think of a trading strategy to buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, and sell when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator. If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, a stepwise downtrend may begin, and if it rises above the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend may begin. Therefore, it is necessary to look at how long the HA-Low and HA-High indicators make a horizontal line. Looking at the current chart, we can see that the HA-Low indicator was created at the 89294.25 point and the price fell, but the HA-Low indicator remained the same. Therefore, even if it fell below the HA-Low indicator, it did not lead to a stepwise downtrend. In order for a stepwise downtrend to lead, the HA-Low indicator must show a new shape as it falls. - The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 101947.24 point. Therefore, the section that determines the trend again is expected to be around 101947.24. However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 97224.92 point, we must first check whether it can rise above this area. - OBV has broken through the upper line. However, since there is a difference from the previous high, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the previous high. Section A is the section where the lower point of the HA-High indicator box and the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box overlap. Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in this section. This is because it can be considered a volume profile section because it is a section where the influence of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are simultaneously applied. - This volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30). If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone after this volatility period, then the support around 89294.25 is expected to be an important issue. The movement of the StochRSI indicator and the price movement do not necessarily appear in the same direction. Therefore, we recommend that you focus on finding a selling time when the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point and on finding a buying time when it is below the 50 point. - The biggest disadvantage of the breakout trading mentioned earlier is that when it shows a downward trend, it is a split selling period. In other words, when it rises from the point where the breakout trading was made and then shows a downward trend, it is the first selling period. If you ignore this, you may suffer a loss or increase psychological anxiety, so you need to be careful. Since the current HA-Low indicator is the standard for breakout trading, you will feel less psychological anxiety. The reason is that the HA-Low indicator is created, which means that it has broken out of the low range. When the price rises and breaks through the HA-High indicator, it feels different from when it breaks through the HA-Low indicator. When the HA-High indicator breaks upward, it makes you think that it will rise more. No matter how much you try to calm your mind and look at the chart with a third-party's eyes, it is not easy to stop thinking like that. The HA-High indicator is created, which means that it has fallen from the high range. Therefore, since rising above the HA-High indicator means that it has risen to the high range, it is not strange if it falls at any time. However, as I mentioned earlier, the idea that it will rise more will be dominant, so there is a high possibility that FOMO will take effect. In order to escape this psychological state, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are absolutely necessary. It is necessary to make an effort to stabilize your psychological state by conducting a split transaction depending on whether there is support near the drawn support and resistance points. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful transaction. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​This is an explanation of the big picture. I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section. I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10). (Previous BTCUSD 12M chart) Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015. In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend. Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025. - (Current BTCUSD 12M chart) Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15). It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54). (BTCUSDT 12M chart) Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58. - I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart. The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges. In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges. Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28). Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range. In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28). If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%. Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54). I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
1
XAUUSD Bullish Setup | Bounce from Major Support Zone!Hello dear friends 👋 GOLD/XAUUSD Trade Signal Technical Analysis Setup 👇 Gold is showing strong bullish reversal signals—let’s look for a buy setup! • Trade Setup 📈 📊 • Entry Zone: 3,280 – 3,300 🔹 • Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3,400 🔹 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3,470 🔹 • Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3,545 ⭕ • Stop Loss (SL): 3,260 Technical Analysis Setup: • Strong support zone holding with multiple rejections. • Price forming higher lows and potential breakout setup. • Momentum shift indicating bullish pressure building. ⚠ Manage your risk wisely! Let the market work in your favor—patience and discipline matter. Do Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDLong
by AlexParker_trader
1
NAS100USD: Bullish Scalping Opportunity Within Fair Value GapGreetings Traders, On NAS100USD, the current market structure is clearly bullish. To capitalize on this momentum, we aim to align our intraday opportunities with the prevailing trend. At present, price has retraced into a fair value gap (FVG), presenting a potential high-probability zone for a bullish reaction. Upon receiving confirmation, this setup offers a favorable opportunity to enter long positions, with the objective of targeting the liquidity pool situated above. Key Focus: Structure: Bullish Entry Zone: Fair Value Gap (retracement) Target: Overhead liquidity pool As always, ensure confirmation before executing any trades, and remain disciplined in managing your risk. Kind Regards, The Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by The_Archi-tect
2
Gold Updates - Friday April 25🔔 Friday Market Prep | Key Gold Zones Only Microstructure whispers. Friday price action bites. Friday is notorious for: Low-volume traps after London lunch; Dealer sweep games; Profit-taking volatility; And “just because” fakeouts to set up Monday gaps; We don’t predict—we prepare. These are the zones that matter going into NY session. 🔴 SELL INTEREST ZONES • 3362–3372 - HIT today gave 700+ pips profit✅ 🔁 Proven supply—hit twice already, high reactivity 🧠 Only valid on LTF confirmation for re-entry • 3384–3393 🔁 HTF imbalance + OB trap zone 🧠 Ideal for NY fakeout spike • 3410–3415 🔁 Premium OB + liquidity grab zone • 3450–3457 🔁 Untouched HTF OB + stop hunt territory 🟢 BUY INTEREST ZONES • 3278-3288 📍 Support pocket – OB + below Asia low • 3250–3260 📍 Deep OB + structural base • 3224–3233 📍 HTF EQ + reactive demand sweep zone 🧐 Friday is not for heroes—it’s for hunters. Watch for the sweep ➝ shift ➝ confirm before touching anything. Let Gold make the first move. We respond. 📌 Important Notice!!! The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldMindsFX
$btc Bitcoin's falling channel....CRYPTOCAP:BTC Bitcoin has seen an all time high of approximately 110k Current price: $77700 Bitcoin price action is currently respecting the falling channel as seen. With price currently being supported by the 200EMA in the 75k region Expecting price action to continue to respect this channel and test resistance levels at 88k and then around 92k (bullish divergence also spotted on 2D timeframe). Reactions which will determine higher prices or further rejection. if #btc price action breaks down from this falling channel then expects supports at 66k and then 56k to be tested for support!
by Ifiok-2sydes
XRP break 2.24 bullish, is not, as low as $1.28Traders, I have to make this quick I was bit by a brown recluse and put it off for a day or two longer than I should have. So I need to Skedaddle to the hospital super quick and fast! Ok, here’s how I see it. I’m going to post this as a short to mid term trade but explain the long term possibilities. Considering this post is being done via my Moble rather than PC it just doesn’t make sense with my time and options. so here’s what you’re gonna get the short term trade which I’ve labeled very clearly on the chart and the larger timeframe includes an Elliot wave analysis being that we clearly have a zigzagging consolidation wave that could do one of two things from here if we break about $2.24 we should be starting the next expansion wave. I will do an update if we do do that on this published trade to give an idea of where the price action could go but my immediate thoughts range from $9 to $27. However, I want everybody to be cautious of a fake out as we are seemingly getting bullish on the weekend which I will be checking liquidity on all of the major alt coins and bitcoin before the weekend is over on our VIP live trading class that we do at 7 o’clock on Sunday night Eastern standard time. Yet, I will share my findings of the liquidity with everyone for this week only. As we definitely want to help as many newcomers and experience, traders, see manipulation, just in case it shows up before it plays out. There are many tools on trading view to find high buildup of large liquidity that the market makers could sweep down and take out if during this weekend we get really bullish And tons of money comes into the market from people’s tax returns, creating a pool of guppies that the market maker may just eat up one more time. Which brings me to my thought of us potentially revisiting the .65 fib, the .618 or even all the way down to the .5 fib, which is at around $1.23. Nothing in trading is 100% so take my thoughts and stride. yet, I’ve been through three bull runs as a successful trader and market manipulation has been one of my main focuses purchasing mini subscriptions to different tools that give me information so we can take advantage of what the market maker does as opposed to be part of its liquidity grab. For everyone reading this in the VIP group as you know normal time on Sunday, we will be having the recorded Zoom meeting, but I highly suggest that you make it because this is going one of two ways and there’s a big opportunity here to make some pretty serious pips in my opinion. If you’re not part of our group, I hope you use this information wisely in your research to come up with your decisions, but keep in mind, we are all just here for entertainment purposes! Following every single word from a trader online should never be your gospel to put tons of your money into the market in which ever way that trader is preaching the market will go. Learn risk management, if you don’t feel confident in the research that you’re doing or the traders that you are following are pointing at different directions just make sure you know why they’re pointing in that directions as it could quickly go both ways as we’ve seen recently. With that being said also know that the market maker always goes for liquidity point blank and simple! This is why the majority of traders are unsuccessful in this game because the easy information to learn online for free teaches you stuff that large trading firms have algorithms to find And come sweep in your losses to their profits. I can’t necessarily say that the exchanges are our biggest worry, but it’s always made me believe most likely they are considering most of these exchanges are also trading as market makers, probably some insider trading with alot of them. The current element of little laws and wishy washy regulation (as much as it will likely stunt this bull run for a few months, or maybe not… being that Trump has given US regulating agencies 180 days from January to have firm regs in place) albeit, Some that are reading this, I’m sure take advantage of it yet, once it’s set in place we will have a little less wild, wild West and less decent traders in traditional markets who hate crypto because of the manipulation and the rug poles and what not will and I’m just guessing here most likely have a clear path to becoming a more profitable trade. I’m not here to demonize exchanges just keep in mind they have all of the information that you have Placed on their exchange and given them freely by checking off the terms of service and signing up for your account. Lots of these exchanges still have very little regulation and trust you, Me that they are raking in as much as they possibly can to the extent of the little regulation in the country, they are regulated in if they are even bound to abiding by it, as I’m sure, as we know, some folks have already been arrested and indicted for certain things that I will leave for you to search and find on your own. But, my point being is you need to also be very careful of the exchanges that you choose. In my best opinion, the exchanges with the most amount of liquidity on them makes it more difficult for manipulation to happen yet, it sure still does! As always friends, stay profitable and I hope this rant that I just went on, helps you in someway over this Easter weekend and I pray you all have an amazing time with your families and if not, then have an amazing time trading and I hope my words have helped! Stay Profitable, Savvy
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Crypto_Kinfolk
O as in OverboughtThis is unusual for me, and full disclosure, I am not personally trading this. I don't short on margin and the spreads on puts are a little too wide for my liking. So think of this as my musing on a market that I think is still overbought from last week. I get why it has been running - yield is tantalizing in a struggling market, and monthly payouts even more so, I suspect. But I am firmly of the belief that we are headed for some pretty rough times in the economy, and retail real estate, triple net lease or not, is not where I'd want to be, personally. Their top 3 tenants are Dollar General, Walgreens, and Dollar Tree, who are all having their own struggles right now. 6 consecutive up days causing a retail-leveraged REIT to jump almost 10% when economic data is flashing recesssionary warning signals, along with pending inflationary impacts of tariffs does not help its case. So simply as a short term, overbought in a bad space call, I'm expecting NYSE:O to go lOwer soon. I'll consider tactically adding to the short and closing when the price is lower than the average lot sales price. This might result in an individual lot ending with a loss, but an overall trade win. With shorts, I don't get hung up on that. Feel free to disagree, and I could well be wrong. I had the same thesis about 2 months ago on AT&T and barely escaped a put trade with a profit and it got pretty ugly before I did. So remember, none of this is investment advice. Just a hot take on a stock that I think is hotter than it should be right now. Act accordingly and DYOR.
NYSE:OShort
by redwingcoach
1
USDCHF COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: We can see large longs closing signaling continuation of the downtrend. So we should be looking only for the short on the runs on to the CLS highs. If you draw long term Chanel lows are at 0.785 where I think price is heading. /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own."
Short
by David_Perk
Long CBOE at 211.42 - some stocks LOVE volatilityCBOE is a stock that has held up unusually well during the tariff tumult lately. It's not that surprising - they benefit from all the hedging that everyone is doing with options. It hasn't really done much substantively since September, call it a 7+ month consolidation after a 75% run-up from March of '23 to September of '24. That "nothing" is something for the trading I do, that benefits from "noise" rather than trend. I have traded CBOE multiple times over the last few months and unsurprisingly, given the chart and CBOE's history, they've all been wins. Historically, this trading method is 394-0 (real and backtested trades) on CBOE, so I expect a win, even in this difficult market situation. The average gain is 1.16% in an average of 6 trading days - that's .19% per day or about 4x the average historical daily market return. It's not a flashy trade, but it has always been a profitable one, so I"m taking it here. Another plus is 4 consecutive down days, which usually is a good short term contrarian indicator. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will probably use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit, though depending on how things go, I may let it run a little. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
CBOE:CBOELong
by redwingcoach
4
TSLA LONG ~ All the technicals are there!TSLA will still hit $2600 ~ Says Cathie Wood Will it? Let's take a look ~ ELON is pissing people off and investors are worried, Tarrif FUD, brand deterioration. All of this doesn't matter Why? Pull up TSLA YoY earnings since 2013 and you will see that their revenue growth is outrageous, this past year is really the very first time TSLA flat lined, but holding at 25B revenue. From a technical analysis since 2013 on the LOG chart, you can see TSLA has done a 10x rally twice, and has held strong support through it's bear cycles. The next it due by 2027. TSLA has been uptrend for over a year, and broke it's ATH 6 months ago. Voluming is rising in the longterm and literally the conservatives love him, If you think competitors are nipping at their heels think again. The infrastracture that Elon has built with his mega factories, and their positioning in the market is so insane other's don't even come close. On the short term, The FUD will wash away, TSLA is finding support at the bottom of the channel, shorterm volume is waning on the sell offs, Shorts will get squeezed by end of June, and Up and UP TSLA will continue. BTFD!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by lillybear
BTC/USDT – Waiting for the Retest?Bitcoin has broken through a key resistance level (red line) and is now approaching a critical decision zone. While the momentum looks strong, in the absence of any major bullish news or catalyst, a pullback is more likely in the short term. 🔹 Scenario in Focus: Price could first pull back to the previous resistance zone around $85K (now potential support – marked by the lower white box). A successful retest of this zone would strengthen the bullish case and offer a higher probability long entry, with a potential target around $102K (upper white box supply zone). 🔹 If bulls defend the $85K level, we could see a continuation toward new highs. If not, more downside could open up, so watching this area closely is key. #btc#bitcoin #btcusdt #crypto #cryptocurrency
by Beyond_The_Chart
2
Trade talks improve and confidence returns🔔🔔🔔 Gold news: ➡️ Gold prices declined as improved risk sentiment weakened demand for safe-haven assets. Optimistic U.S. macroeconomic data released on Thursday supported the USD, limiting gains for the precious metal. ➡️ On Friday, the U.S. dollar showed signs of recovery as market sentiment remained upbeat due to positive developments in trade negotiations. According to Reuters, the Trump administration appeared to be making progress in preliminary trade talks with Asian allies South Korea and Japan. Personal opinion: ➡️ The sellers are gaining the upper hand thanks to optimistic news, and the buyers are resting due to little news affecting the upward momentum of gold prices. The analysis is based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy. Personal plan: 🔆Price Zone Setup: 👉Buy Gold 3281 - 3284 ❌SL: 3277 | ✅TP: 3289 - 3294 – 3300 👉Sell Gold 3369 - 3372 ❌SL: 3377 | ✅TP: 3365 - 3360 – 3355 FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FM-ForexMastermind
1
The Interest Rates Paradox and How it'd Predict a Market Top NowIt is a common assumption that higher interest rates naturally slow economic expansion and cool overheated markets. However, the historical record over the past 50 years tells a more nuanced story when it comes to bubbles. In several major crashes—the dotcom bubble, the U.S. housing bubble, and the Japanese Nikkei bubble—a pattern emerges: monetary authorities began increasing rates well before market tops were reached. Surprisingly, instead of slowing the market in the short term, these rate hikes coincided with a parabolic run-up in asset prices . The paradox lies in the fact that while rising rates are expected to dampen market exuberance, during these bubbles, they coexisted with—and arguably even fueled—frenzied market behavior. This paradox has played out yet again over the last years. With us seeing not only the parabolic rally phase during the interest rate hikes but also us having a current agreement with the interest rates and equites topping at the same time. As with all previous market tops. As we sit here today, we have followed the interest rate topping paradox to the letter. Let's look more into it. Historical Patterns and the Paradox The Early Phase: Initial hikes into a heating up market. In each of these historical cases, central banks initiated rate hikes as part of a broader strategy to temper what they viewed as emerging economic imbalances. In the late 1980s, for instance, the Bank of Japan began tightening monetary policy as asset prices soared, anticipating overheating in the economy. Despite these early rate increases, the Nikkei continued its upward trajectory, ultimately reaching its peak in December 1989. This pattern was echoed in the U.S. during the dotcom era. Leading into the 2000 peak, the Federal Reserve started to raise rates to control inflationary pressures—even as the technology-heavy market rallied to unsustainable heights. The pattern has always been similar. Markets are starting to get hot and perhaps there's some unwanted consequence of this (like inflation). So the central bank takes actions to cool things down with the interest rate hikes. Although there have been reactions from this in the near term, overall the trend has become stronger and stronger during the hike cycle. Let me give you an example to add some context. Alan Greenspan is famous for the "Irrational exuberance" comment. He said that in 1996! The Nasdaq absolutely boomed from there for another 4 years. What had happened before was nothing compared to what came after the interest rate hikes started. The Parabolic Reaction: Markets Defy Conventional Logic What seems paradoxical is that rather than a smooth deceleration, markets often reacted to these rate hikes with an intensified speculative fervor. During the dotcom and housing bubbles, small increases in rates did not immediately curb investor optimism; instead, they appeared to add urgency, fueling a belief that the market was resilient enough to outperform despite higher borrowing costs. The market’s parabolic rise in asset prices during periods of tightening monetary policy is counterintuitive, suggesting that investors were less influenced by the immediate cost of capital and more driven by momentum and fear of missing out. By the high of these rallies it was firmly believed that this was a sign the uptrends would continue. Indeed, they could only get stronger as the interest rates came back down. ....Nah uh. Wasn't how it went all! And we find ourselves in a strongly similar situation now in 2025. Leveling Off and the Market Peak It gets weirder still when you notice rather than markets slowing down on rate cuts they highs of the equites rallies always came rate increases eventually plateau. Historical data shows that when interest rates stabilized—often within a narrow band of around 5% to 6.5%—this stabilization coincided with the market reaching its absolute peak. In these instances, the plateau did not signal the end of the monetary tightening cycle; rather, it marked the culmination of the bubble. Market participants, having pushed prices to their limits, were suddenly confronted with a reversion, as the underlying economic fundamentals could no longer justify the inflated asset values. Knowing what happened before does not let you know what will happen in the future, but it's worth knowing. It may well just end up being useful in the future. In every instance of a big market top in the last 50 years the pattern was interest rate hikes and parabolic rallies in this phase, when the hikes stopped the first market sell off began. We have an exact matching of these conditions now. The Bear Market and Rate Easing Once the market had peaked, and the bubble burst, central banks found themselves in a difficult position. In response to the ensuing economic downturns, monetary authorities were compelled to cut rates dramatically—even as equity markets remained subdued. This rapid reduction in rates was aimed at stabilizing economies and stimulating recovery, yet it often came too late to salvage the once-insatiable market exuberance. The inversion of the earlier paradox—where rate hikes were accompanied by soaring markets—serves as a stark reminder of the complexity of monetary policy in times of speculative excess. All you have to do is look at any of the interest rate charts for the crash in question and it's clear to see these both peaked and reversed around the same time. During bubbles, historically correlation with equities and interest rates is close to prefect. From the start of our interest rate hikes to now, this has continued to apply. A play out of the historical norms for this would now see rates continue to drop with equities dropping alongside them (Overall, maybe rallying on the news now and then). Which would make this a rather risky time to be buying the dip. ================================= Realistic Examples of the Paradox ================================= Nikkei Bubble (Late 1980s): Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan initiated rate hikes to cool a rapidly expanding economy and soaring asset prices. Market Behavior: Despite these increases, the Nikkei continued its parabolic climb, peaking in December 1989. Aftermath: Following the bubble’s burst, rates were cut sharply as the market entered a prolonged bear phase. Dotcom Bubble (Late 1990s to 2000): Monetary Policy: In response to rising inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve began increasing rates before the bubble reached its zenith. Market Behavior: Rather than curbing exuberance, the rate hikes coincided with an acceleration in market gains, contributing to an unsustainable rise in tech stock valuations. Aftermath: The eventual plateau in rates occurred as the market hit its peak, soon followed by a dramatic downturn when investor sentiment shifted. U.S. Housing Bubble (Mid-2000s): Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s gradual rate increases were part of an effort to moderate the housing market’s explosive growth. Market Behavior: Housing prices continued to rise, reflecting an underlying confidence in the market that outpaced the modest increases in borrowing costs. Aftermath: When rates eventually leveled off, the market was near its peak, and subsequent rate cuts during the bear market underscored the stark reversal of fortunes.
IG:NASDAQShort
by holeyprofit
ETHFI Breakout Loading? Targets Up to $1.67!$ETHFI/USDT Analysis Price is currently trading around a key resistance zone after a strong recovery from recent lows. While momentum looks bullish, the resistance has not been broken yet — making this a crucial level to watch. A clean breakout and candle close above this zone could confirm a potential rally toward the next targets. 🎯 Upside Targets (if breakout confirms): TP1: $0.881 TP2: $1.291 TP3: $1.677 📌 For now, stay patient. Let the price action confirm before entering — this zone could act as a rejection point if bulls fail to push through. DYOR, NFA
Long
by unichartz
Trump's World Liberty Financial to add SUI to strategic reserve!CRYPTOCAP:SUI , a leading Layer-1 blockchain, has entered into a significant partnership with World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a decentralized finance (DeFi) platform affiliated with Donald Trump. This collaboration involves integrating Sui's native token (SUI) into WLFI's "Macro Strategy" reserve, a strategic token fund designed to diversify holdings and support emerging blockchain projects. The partnership also aims to explore product development opportunities leveraging Sui's technology. WLFI's Macro Strategy reserve already includes prominent digital assets such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, and tokenized real-world assets like U.S. Treasury-backed tokens. The addition of SUI reflects WLFI's focus on supporting innovative blockchain projects while expanding decentralized finance access to a broader audience. The announcement of this partnership coincides with broader developments in the U.S. crypto landscape. President Trump is expected to unveil details about a proposed "Crypto Strategic Reserve" during the White House Crypto Summit on March 7, 2025. This reserve is anticipated to focus primarily on Bitcoin while also considering other digital assets Trump-backed World Liberty Financial plans to add SUI to its strategic reserve. I think the upside for SUI is Huge from here!
Long
by TopgOptions
USDJPY COT and Liquidity AnalysisCOT Report Analysis: Consolidatin followed by 3 weeks sell of with the net shorts being added. Price still didn't reach liquidity so in my opinion we have still bearish smart money sentiment. So we got framework and bias now we need to look for setups. Which I will again use my CLS method. /b] Hey what up traders welcome to the COT data and Liquidity report. This is a big part of my FX Trading. Im always trying to trade with the Big players so knowing their positions is good thing. Please be aware that institutions report data to the SEC on Tuesdays and data are reported on Fridays - so again we as retail traders have disadvantage, but there is possibility to read between the lines. Remember in the report is what they want you to see, that's why mostly price reverse on Wednesday after the report so their cards are hidden as long as possible. However if the trend is running you can read it and use for your advantage. I created this simple free indicator which you can find in the my scripts. It's highlighting the day of the real report - Tuesday. Here is the tip if the level has confluence with the high volume on COT it can be strong support / Resistance. Analysis done on the Tradenation Charts Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. "Adapt what is useful, reject what is useless, and add what is specifically your own." — David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter ⚔️
Short
by David_Perk
GBPNZD Long 4/25/2025GBP/NZD Long – Channel Break Targeting Origin Liquidity + Daily Demand Bounce Looking to go long on GBP/NZD after a clean technical break from a multi-session descending channel, supported by strong higher timeframe structure. Daily Chart: We've established a solid bottom around 2.2131, with two daily candle closes showing strong buyer defense. Price also tapped into a key daily demand zone at 2.21336 — a well-respected structure level. We're now clearly bouncing off that zone, giving this long setup extra weight from a higher timeframe perspective. Structure: The pair has been moving within a descending channel that began at 2.4793. I prefer trading channels back to their origin, where liquidity tends to pool — and that’s our longer-term upside target. 4H Chart: We just got a strong bullish candle breaking the channel, signaling a potential reversal is in motion. Trade Thesis: With a higher timeframe demand bounce + channel break + bullish momentum, this setup is aligned for continuation. I’m looking for price to work its way back to the top of the channel and eventually toward the origin level near 2.4793. Target & Risk: Target: Origin zone near 2.4793 Risk-Reward: 1:1.73 Stop: Just below the breakout candle low and daily demand Clean multi-timeframe confluence: daily structure, channel break, and bullish pressure off demand.
Long
by Big6Financial