Get started

Beyond Technical Analysis

Bull Trap or Bear Bait? The Real Agenda Behind the Crypto PumpThe market just printed a powerful pump—and traders are standing at the edge of uncertainty. What if the bears are right? What if this sudden surge was nothing more than a carefully staged bull trap, luring buyers into FOMO entries, only to dump hard and leave them holding the bag? Or maybe… What if this was a setup for the bears? A calculated move to bait sellers into opening shorts, before a single violent candle wipes them out, triggering mass liquidations on the way up. It’s a psychological battleground—buyers and sellers clashing at a critical zone. So, what’s really going on? Is this a trap to crush longs, or a setup to punish the shorts? Let’s break it down. What do you think? Vote below: Bull Trap / Bear Bait? Follow for real-time analysis as this plays out
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
by PetrockTheAnalyst
ENA At Make-or-Break Demand — Long-Term Thesis on the Line🎯 BINANCE:ENAUSDT Trading Plan: Scenario 1 (Reversal from Demand): Watch for strong reaction in demand zone ($0.24–$0.20) Long-term entries on confirmation (H4/D1 SFP or reclaim above demand) Scenario 2 (Breakdown): No trade if $0.20 breaks with high volume/no bounce Next demand much lower, patience required 🔔 Triggers & Confirmations: Wait for clear reversal signal in HTF demand before entries No knife catching if breakdown occurs 📝 Order Placement & Management: 🟩 Watch Zone: $0.24–$0.20 (set alert) 🛡️ Stop: Below $0.20 (on breakdown confirmation) 🚨 Risk Warning: This is the last major demand before price discovery lower Only enter if there’s clear strength or volume spike on reclaim
Long
by Goldfinch_song
SPY At Risk as Geopolitical Tensions Rise Jun 23 — What Monday Holds for Bulls & Bears ⚔️📉 🔍 GEX & Options Sentiment Overview: From the daily GEX chart: * Key Gamma Levels: * 📍Call Walls: 597 → 602 (supply zones), strong resistance. * 📍Put Walls: 590 → 587 → 572, significant gamma exposure to the downside. * High Volatility Zone (HVL) at 590 – a trigger level; under this, the market may accelerate downside toward 587 and even 572. * GEX Summary: * PUTS: 80.4% dominance * GEX Net: 🔴 extremely negative * IVR 23.3, still on the lower side but rising * Implication: Dealers are hedging to the downside. Gamma exposure creates risk of accelerated selloff below 590. 📊 Technical Analysis – Daily (1D) * Price: 594.28 (as of Friday close) * Trend: Daily candle broke prior support; new lower high confirmed. * Structure: * Failed to reclaim 597, now acting as local resistance * Next major demand zone: 587 * Trendline from the recent highs shows lower highs; bearish continuation forming. * Volume: Bearish candle closed with strong volume — sign of institutional distribution. ⏱️ Intraday TA – 1H Chart * CHoCH/BOS: Confirmed Break of Structure near 591, then a small rally attempt. * Micro Supply Box: 596.5–597.5 — liquidity trap if SPY rallies into it. * Support Zones: * 593.35 / 594.00 – holding Friday’s bounce. * If fails, expect sweep to 590 → 587. * Trendline Pressure: Downward diagonal trendline rejecting every bounce. Unless a full candle close over 599.50, bias remains bearish. ⚠️ Geopolitical Risk – U.S. Bombs Iran * News: U.S. launched targeted airstrikes on Iranian assets. Market now faces: * Flight to safety: TLT, Gold, and USD may rise. * Oil likely spikes — expect XLE and energy stocks to outperform. * Tech and indexes may open with gap-down risk due to heightened geopolitical uncertainty. * SPY Implications: * Risk-off behavior could amplify sell-off under 590. * Traders may hedge via VIX calls, gold futures, or SPY puts. * Watch for VIX spikes or DXY rally as confirmation of sentiment shift. 🧠 Trade Scenarios – Monday June 24 🔻 Bearish Case (High-Probability if Geopolitical Escalates) * Rejects at 596–597 zone (supply) * Entry: ~595–596 rejection * Targets: 590 → 587 → 572 (extreme GEX) * Stop: 598.5–599.2 above supply box 🔼 Bullish Case (If Market Shakes Off Iran Tension) * Breaks over 597.5, closes above 599.5 (CHoCH confirmation) * Entry: 598–599 breakout * Targets: 602 → 604.5 (2nd Call Wall) * Stop: 596.5 📌 My Thoughts: SPY is sitting on a knife’s edge. GEX is screaming downside, and now geopolitical risk adds another layer of pressure. Monday could open with volatility spikes, and if the market gaps down under 590, it might cascade to 587 fast. Only a reclaim above 599.5 invalidates the bearish structure — and even then, macro headlines might limit upside. Stay nimble. Hedge if holding longs. 🧭 Action Plan for Monday: * Scalpers: Watch the 596–597 rejection zone — quick puts may work well. * Swing traders: Use HVL 590 as pivot. Lose it? Target 587. * Hedgers: VIX calls or GLD may provide cushion. * Macro watchers: Monitor oil (USO), DXY, and bonds (TLT) for risk-on/off cues. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk carefully.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
Luxury, War, and Clarity – This Is the Golden Reset.🟨 The Real Gold Era: Clarity While the World Burns 🟨 "While some bleed in the streets, others sip cocktails in the Bahamas. This is not a coincidence. This is the new world." Right now, we live in a time like no other. People are dying in wars they never chose. Currencies collapse. Nations threaten each other. And yet — capital flows, gold climbs, and the rich get richer. 🕰️ A war started long ago — and most never saw it: 2020–2022: They printed trillions. COVID shut down the world. Fiat was silently devalued. 2022–2023: Russia was cut off from SWIFT. BRICS started buying gold. The dollar was no longer untouchable. 2023–2024: Gold broke $2100… then $2400… now $3400+. Even high interest rates can't stop it. 2025: U.S. and Israel strike Iran. BRICS discuss a gold-backed currency. Trust in fiat? Gone. The Gold Era is no longer just metaphor. It’s the new battlefield. 💣 "War is loud. Wealth is silent." While bombs fall in the East, ✨ capital quietly moves to safe havens. While families flee, ✨ smart money finds gold, data, and sovereign positioning. While headlines scream chaos, ✨ traders make decisions in silence. 🌍 But here's the paradox: We also live in a world of unmatched abundance: You can build a brand from a phone. You can trade gold from a beach. You can learn SMC, AI, geopolitics — and use it to build freedom. You can escape the system, if you understand the structure. In this gold era, the true asset isn't just metal. It's mental clarity. Information. Sovereignty. The gold is you. 📉 This isn’t just about trading. It’s about knowing where we are in the timeline of collapse and rebirth. The markets don’t lie — they expose what’s really coming. And those who read them… can rise while others fall. 🧠 Final note: Not everyone survives a reset. But those who think in structure, who lead with clarity — they don’t just survive. They reposition. They build. They lead. 🟡 Welcome to the Real Gold Era. Where charts speak louder than news. Where truth is a position. Where you don’t wait for safety — you create it. — ✍️ GoldFxMinds – where structure meets truth. 📢 Disclosure: This analysis was created using TradingView charts through my Trade Nation broker integration. As part of Trade Nation’s partner program, I may receive compensation for educational content shared using their tools.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDEducation
by GoldFxMinds
17
MSFT Rejected the Top — Here's What to Watch This Week Jun 23 MSFT saw rejection at the upper bounds of its rising channel and is now sitting at a key decision point as both GEX sentiment and price structure signal caution ahead of the week. Let's break it down. 🔍 GEX (Gamma Exposure) & Options Sentiment * Call Walls: * 490 (2nd Call Wall) * 495 (Top Call Wall) * Put Walls: * 472.5 → Major pivot zone * 460 → Strong PUT support * Key Net Gamma Zone: * Highest Positive GEX at 477.5 — acting like a magnetic pivot * Below 472 → Opens up risk to 460 flush 📊 IVX avg: 24.6 | PUTS: 21.3%
🟢 GEX bias: Neutral to mildly bullish — but sentiment flipped from bullish last week. 🕹 Daily Chart Breakdown (1D) * Trend: Still in macro uptrend, but short-term candle shows rejection off highs. * Volume: Spike in sell volume Friday — potential for downside continuation. * Fib Zones: Current price sitting just above key 0.382 Fib support near $475. * Reversal Risk: If it fails to hold above $472–$475, strong support only comes near $460. 🧠 Note: Price failed to break 485–490 resistance. Option sellers may defend hard there. ⏱ 1H Intraday Structure & Smart Money Concepts (SMC) * Trendline Support: MSFT is barely clinging to the lower edge of an ascending channel. * CHoCH: Multiple Change of Character signals near $480 and $477 indicate instability. * Liquidity Pool: Purple demand zone around $471–$473 is last stand for bulls. * Upside Target if Bounce: $483.88–$485 first, then $487–$490 stretch goal. * Downside Target if Breakdown: $473.5 → $471.5 → $468.7 📉 If price closes below the $475.1–$473.3 zone with volume, look for fast move to $470 → $460. 🎯 Trade Scenarios 🔼 Bullish Case * Entry: 475.50 with confirmation bounce * Target: 483.80 → 488 * Stop: 472.40 🔽 Bearish Case * Entry: Break + retest of 473.30 * Target: 470 → 468 → 460 * Stop: 476.20 🧠 Final Thoughts MSFT is at a key inflection point. The GEX levels show option sellers are ready to defend $490 hard while support sits around $472. Unless bulls step in with volume early week, this could roll over toward 470–460. Watch for a rejection at $480.25 if tested again. ⚠️ Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and trade responsibly.
NASDAQ:MSFT
by BullBearInsights
AAPL at a Key Breakout Zone! Can Bulls Hold This Level?🔍 Technical Analysis Overview (Daily + 1H) Apple (AAPL) just printed a powerful bullish candle, reclaiming $201 with strong volume. This move broke above recent consolidation and swept minor liquidity under $196 before reclaiming key levels. From a Smart Money Concepts (SMC) lens, we’ve confirmed a bullish CHoCH and BOS (Break of Structure), with price now entering a potential supply zone. * Trend: Short-term reversal to the upside. * Volume: Strong breakout volume supports bullish continuation. * Liquidity Sweep: Price swept lows around $195 and reclaimed — a classic SMC setup. * Rejection Watch: Overhead supply around $202–$204 is the next test zone. 🧠 Key Levels to Watch * Resistance Zones: * $202.5 → GEX3rd CALL Wall * $204 → Highest positive NetGamma / Call Bias * $207.5 → GEX2 * Support Zones: * $197.5 → GEX9 * $192 → HVL + 50% Zone * $190 → GEX Put Support * $185 → 3rd Put Wall ⚙️ Options Sentiment (GEX Analysis) * 📈 GEX Tilt: Call walls dominating from $200 → $210. * 🧲 Gamma Magnet: $202–$205 could act as a magnet zone short-term. * ❗ Volatility: IV Rank at 21 and IV% below avg = room to expand. * 🛡️ Put Protection: Strong GEX support around $190–$192 — buyers stepped in here. 🔄 Intraday Outlook (1H Chart) Price already filled the green demand zone (~$195–$197), swept key liquidity, and confirmed CHoCH. The strong bullish engulfing candle closed above the descending trendline and is now entering the supply zone marked in red. * 📌 Possible Scenarios: * Bullish: If price reclaims and holds above $201.30 → watch for $204–$205 squeeze. * Bearish: Rejection at $202–$204 and loss of $200 could push us back to $197 retest. 🔁 Scalping Levels * Breakout Long Trigger: Above $202.5 * 🎯 Target: $204.5 → $207 * ❌ Stop: Below $200.3 * Short-term Reversal Short: From $203.5–204 zone * 🎯 Target: $200.5 then $198 * ❌ Stop: Above $205 🎯 Swing Trade Plan * Entry: $200.50–201.00 zone (hold retest) * Stop: $196.5 * Target: * TP1 = $204.5 * TP2 = $207.5 * TP3 = $210 🧠 Final Thoughts AAPL is entering a high-confluence zone both technically and via options data. If bulls hold above $200, there’s a strong chance we tag $204+ soon. But keep in mind — heavy resistance above may cause choppiness. Ideal strategy? Trail stops tight and scale out into GEX walls. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by BullBearInsights
PLTR at a Decision Point – Will It Defend or Break Lower? Jun 23PLTR at a Decision Point – Will It Defend This Channel or Break Lower? 🔹 Options Sentiment (GEX) Overview: * Current Price: $137.30 * Gamma Flip Zone: $140.00 (HVL, short-term battleground) * Call Walls: * $143.00 (2nd Call Wall) * $150.00–$152.5 (3rd Call Wall + GEX resistance zone) * Put Walls: * $136.00 → minor defense * $130.00 → strongest Put Support (-45% GEX floor) * GEX Bias: 📉 Bearish leaning * GEX: 🔴 * IVR: 20.3 (very low) * IVx: 64.8 (dropping -4.49%) * CALLs: 39.9% → PUTs dominant 🧠 Interpretation: GEX is suggesting downside pressure below $140. If bulls can’t reclaim it soon, momentum could shift fast toward $136 → $130 support. 📈 Price Action (1H Intraday - SMC Insight): * Current Structure: * Multiple CHoCH (Change of Character) pointing to weakness * Price broke below the ascending trendline * Forming a local bearish block beneath $140 * PDH/Resistance: $144.86 * Support: * $137.42 (short-term) * $136.08 (SMC support + GEX alignment) 📉 Market Structure Bias: Bearish short-term unless it reclaims the $140 zone and breaks the descending micro-structure. 🎯 Trade Setup Ideas 🔻 Bearish Scenario (If weakness continues): * Entry: Below $137.20 * Target: $136.08 → $133 → $130 * Stop: $140.00 reclaim * Confluence: CHoCH + GEX Put Wall magnet + failed trendline defense 🔼 Bullish Reversal Scenario (Only on reclaim): * Entry: Break & hold above $140.00 * Target: $143 → $144.86 → $150 * Stop: Breakdown back below $139 * Confluence: GEX Flip + Channel re-entry + Institutional Call Wall targets 🔍 Final Thoughts PLTR is sitting near a critical decision level around $137–$140. Options sentiment (GEX) shows dominant PUT flow and a bear bias below $140, while price action is showing early signs of structure breakdown. If bulls cannot recover $140 early in the week, we could see a slow grind toward the $130 PUT Support zone. Use caution near the $136–$137 liquidity pocket — it's a key short-term decision area. This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately.
NASDAQ:PLTR
by BullBearInsights
1
NVDA at a Decision Point! (June 24–28)NVDA at a Decision Point! Gamma Walls and CHoCH Setups in Play 🔥 🔍 GEX Analysis (Options Sentiment Overview) * Current Price: 143.85 * Key Gamma Levels: * GEX Support Zone: 140 → 141 (Major PUT Support with -28.46% positioning) * PUT Wall Zones: 139, 138 (risk of acceleration below 140) * Resistance Above: 146 → 149 range (Highest positive GEX @ 150, dense CALL walls up to 155) * GEX Interpretation: * Above 146: Triggers a mild-to-strong positive gamma squeeze potential. Clear air to 150 → 155. * Below 141: Exposes NVDA to negative gamma drift toward 138 and possibly 134. * Sentiment Metrics: * IVR: 3.9 (Extremely low) * IVx avg: 43.6 * Options Skew: Call $ flow only at 4.5% → suggesting lower speculative bullish bets currently. 📈 Technical Structure – 1H SMC Breakdown * Trend: Currently in a consolidation range with a breakdown attempt under ascending channel and CHoCH shift. * CHoCH Confirmed: Multiple bearish CHoCHs signal change of character at the highs. * Rejection Zone: 145.48 → 146.20 (purple supply zone holding) * Support Demand Zone: 140.86 → 142.20 (green box below where buyers may defend) * Break of Structure (BoS): Under 143.13 opens the door to revisit lower demand zones. ⚔️ Trade Scenarios 🟩 Bullish Scenario * Entry: Above 146.20 reclaim (post-break and retest) * Target 1: 149.00 * Target 2: 150.50 → 155.00 * Stop Loss: Below 143.50 * Confluence: Gamma squeeze + reclaim of CHoCH rejection = fuel to upside 🟥 Bearish Scenario * Entry: Breakdown below 143.13 with confirmation * Target 1: 141 * Target 2: 138 * Stop Loss: Above 145.50 * Confluence: Bearish CHoCH + gamma wall at 140 could act like a magnet 📌 What to Watch * GEX Pivot: 146.20 → Key reclaim level to watch early week. * Volume Clues: Last drop had strong volume surge → If it sustains below 144, favor bearish flow. * Intraday Bias: First retest of 144 → 145 zone may be a short opportunity unless bulls absorb and flip structure. 💡 Quick Thoughts * NVDA is stuck in a high-volatility zone between a strong CALL wall cluster above and PUT support danger zone below. * If macro or SPY drags, the 140 wall could get tested quickly. * On the flip side, a reclaim of 146.20 is an easy trigger for bulls to squeeze to 150 and potentially 155. 📉 Bias: Slightly bearish unless bulls reclaim 146.20 and hold.
🎯 Most Important Level This Week: 146.20 Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
$BTCUSD: Bull or bear?Choose your adventure gents... If price breaks up today, it can ignite a daily timeframe trend signal pointing to a rally towards 114k within a few days. If it breaks down, it will hit 96k within the next two weeks. I've taken steps to reduce risk but I still trade futures actively in crypto pairs. There's good alpha in my long/short trading system and screening criteria, so I am comfortable trading it actively. Current techo/fundamental juncture is risky, the way I see it, so if you haven't, maybe consider taking some profits, getting rid of leverage, trailing stops higher, etc. Definitely not a time to be complacent with record exposure to US stocks from the public and foreigners, Gold hitting levels where it can purchase the same $ in real estate as in previous tops (1980, 2011), and companies buying into crypto to pump their failing business' stocks...to name a few red flags. There's some merit in long term bullish variables, but we might face some technical difficulties before that can materialize, and I rather be prepared by reducing risk in my long term exposure and max drawdown tolerance variables in my positioning and general strategy. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
by IvanLabrie
3
Weekly Technical Analysis for TSLA (June 24–28)TSLA is entering a critical squeeze zone between major gamma walls and key price structure levels. Let’s break this down with both the Daily GEX Map and the 1-Hour Price Action to strategize your trades this week. 📊 GEX Map (Daily Timeframe Insights) From the first chart: * Current Price: $322.16 * High Gamma Resistance Zone: * 🧱 $330 = GEX Cluster * 🧱 $336–$342 = Highest NTE/Call Wall * 🧱 $348–$367 = 2nd and 3rd CALL Walls * Support Levels: * 🛡️ $315 (2nd PUT Wall) * 🛡️ $310 (3rd PUT Wall) * 🔻 Below $310 = Gamma unwind and vacuum toward $296 GEX Sentiment: * GEX: ✅ Bullish (green dot) * IV Rank (IVR): 26.6 (low) → cheap options * CALL$ flow: 59.3% bias bullish * IVx < IVR → low IV crush risk on CALLs Interpretation:
TSLA is pinned between two strong gamma zones: $315–$330. A breakout could magnet price quickly to $342+, but a breakdown below $312.50 puts $296 in play fast. 🕐 1-Hour Chart (Smart Money Concepts) * CHoCH confirmed around $330 zone → bearish pressure * BOS and reaccumulation near $312–$316 zone → short-term buyer defense * Trendline support holding, price coiling in a wedge * Volume shows weak conviction in breakdowns; potential trap under $315 🎯 Trade Scenarios for This Week 🔼 Bullish Setup (Breakout Above $330): * Entry: Above $333 (confirm breakout + GEX flip) * Target 1: $342 (GEX target, CALL wall) * Target 2: $348–$357 * Stop: Below $322 * Trigger: Volume surge + clean CHoCH over pink zone 🔽 Bearish Setup (Breakdown Below $312): * Entry: Below $311 (gap-filler move) * Target 1: $296 (FVG + structure zone) * Target 2: $284 (OB demand) * Stop: Above $318 * Trigger: CHoCH failure + BOS retest fails under OB 🧠 Smart Tips * If you’re scalping: watch the $322–$325 chop zone. Only commit on break of wedge. * Gamma compression + low IV makes TSLA explosive this week—perfect for vertical debit spreads or lottos on direction breakout. * Best confirmation = volume + higher timeframe CHoCH + breakout candle from consolidation. 🔚 Final Thoughts TSLA is coiled tight. Watch for the breakout of $330 or a flush under $312. Both offer strong risk-to-reward opportunities. Stay patient, and let price confirm before sizing in. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk properly.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by BullBearInsights
3
You've Already Lost: The Bitcoin Delusion of FOMO and False HopeLet’s get one thing straight: if you’re staring at Bitcoin, squinting past the red flags, and convincing yourself it’s not a Ponzi scheme because of that one shiny feature that screams “legit,” you’re not investing—you’re auditioning for the role of “next victim.” And if your motivation is the fear of missing out (FOMO) or the fantasy of getting rich quick, well... congratulations. You’ve already lost. The 99%: Red Flags Waving Like It’s a Parade Let’s talk about the indicators—the ones that make Bitcoin look suspiciously like a Ponzi scheme. No, it’s not technically one, but the resemblance is uncanny: - No intrinsic value: Bitcoin isn’t backed by assets, cash flow, or a government. It’s worth what the next person is willing to pay. That’s not investing. That’s speculative hot potato. - Early adopters profit from new entrants: The people who got in early? They’re cashing out while newcomers buy in at inflated prices. That’s the classic Ponzi dynamic: old money out, new money in. - Hype over utility: Bitcoin’s actual use as a currency is minimal. It’s slow, expensive to transact, and volatile. But hey, who needs functionality when you’ve got memes and moon emojis? - Opaque influencers: From anonymous creators (hello, Satoshi) to crypto bros promising Lambos, the ecosystem thrives on charisma, not accountability. - Scam magnet: Bitcoin has been the currency of choice for over 1,700 Ponzi schemes and scams, according to a University of New Mexico study cs.unm.edu . That’s not a coincidence. That’s a pattern. The 1%: The “But It’s Decentralized!” Defense Ah yes, the one redeeming quality that Bitcoin evangelists cling to like a life raft: decentralization. No central authority! No government control! It’s the financial revolution! Except… decentralization doesn’t magically make something a good investment. It just means no one’s in charge when things go wrong. And when the market crashes (again), you can’t call customer service. You can tweet into the void, though. FOMO: The Real Engine Behind the Madness Let’s be honest. Most people aren’t buying Bitcoin because they believe in the tech. They’re buying because they saw someone on TikTok turn $500 into a Tesla. FOMO is the fuel, and social media is the match. Bitcoin’s meteoric rises are often driven by hype cycles, not fundamentals. Tesla buys in? Price spikes. El Salvador adopts it? Price spikes. Your cousin’s dog walker says it’s going to $1 million? Price spikes. Then it crashes. Rinse, repeat. This isn’t investing. It’s gambling with a tech-savvy twist. The Punchline: You’ve Already Lost If you’re ignoring the overwhelming signs of speculative mania and clinging to the one feature that makes you feel better about your decision, you’re not ahead of the curve—you’re the mark. And if your motivation is “I don’t want to miss out,” you already have. You’ve missed out on rational thinking, due diligence, and the ability to distinguish between innovation and illusion. Bitcoin might not be a Ponzi scheme in the legal sense. But if it walks like one, talks like one, and makes early adopters rich at the expense of latecomers… maybe it’s time to stop pretending it’s something else. INDEX:BTCUSD NYSE:CRCL NASDAQ:HOOD TVC:DXY NASDAQ:MSTR TVC:SILVER TVC:GOLD NASDAQ:TSLA NASDAQ:COIN NASDAQ:MARA
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by CassianDrake
Geopolitical Hedging vs Monetary Policy: Gold Trading TipsGold prices continued this week's correction trend during Friday's Asian trading session, once falling near the one-week low. Although there was a slight rebound afterward, the overall trend remained in a weak adjustment pattern. This correction was mainly affected by the hawkish attitude of the Federal Reserve. At this week's policy meeting, the Fed kept interest rates unchanged, and the dot plot showed that only two rate cuts are expected by the end of 2025, while the rate cut expectations for 2026 and 2027 have been postponed. Even so, the US Dollar Index fell after hitting a weekly high, which provided some support for gold prices. In addition, growing trade concerns and escalating tensions in the Middle East have enhanced safe-haven demand, limiting the decline in gold prices. From the 4-hour chart of gold, the current bullish momentum is dominant, and the resistance near 3375-3380 is clear. The pullback of gold prices has not broken through the upward channel for the time being, and the medium-to-long-term upward structure remains intact. If the Middle East conflict escalates or trade risks intensify, it may trigger a rebound and repair rally in gold prices. The daily chart closed in a doji star pattern, with prices retesting the middle 轨 of the Bollinger Bands, maintaining a volatile downward rhythm. The hourly chart shows significant downward characteristics, and a bearish strategy can be maintained before the resistance is broken. The resistance range is 3375-3380, and the support range is 3340-3345. XAUUSD sell@3070-3075 tp:3360-3350 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
1
Sell Setup BTCUSDCurrently, BTC/USD is approaching a key supply zone between $107,800 – $108,600, where price previously faced strong rejection. My expectation is that price will react similarly upon retest. 🧠 Trade Idea: I'm anticipating a fakeout or liquidity grab above the zone, followed by a lower high formation. Once this confirmation occurs, I’ll be looking for a short entry, targeting the major demand zone below, around $100,800 – $101,600. ✅ Confluences: Previous price rejection from this same resistance zone. Clean bearish imbalance below that still needs filling. Lower timeframes showing signs of exhaustion as we approach resistance. 🕵️‍♂️ Entry Trigger: I’ll wait for bearish price action within or just above the yellow resistance zone (e.g. bearish engulfing, lower high, or break of structure). 📉 Target: TP Zone: $101,000 area SL: Just above the fakeout zone to manage risk effectively.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by wealthsmith23
#AN009: US attacks IRAN, what will happen? On June 22, 2025, the United States launched air strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites (Fordow, Natanz, Isfahan), using bunker-buster bombs and Tomahawk missiles, some dropped by B-2 stealth bombers President Trump declared that the facilities were “completely and totally obliterated” 📈 Tensions and geopolitical context Tehran responded with missiles aimed at Israel and promised “tough responses” The UN and key figures such as Guterres and Medvedev have defined the action as a dangerous escalation with the risk of a new conflict on a regional scale. Israel supported the attacks, while Iran convened the UN Security Council to condemn the aggression. 💥 Market Impact ⚡ Energy Sector Oil prices jump towards $90–100 per barrel on fears of flows from Iran and potential closures of the Strait of Hormuz. Investors reacted with a move towards safe haven assets such as the Dollar, Gold and Treasuries. 📊 Equities and sensitive sectors Starts on an uncertain tone: S&P500 and Nasdaq futures “volatile open”, with penalties on travel and tech, and increases on energy and defense. Gulf markets open slightly higher (Saudi, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait), thanks to the attenuation of initial sell-offs. 🌍 Global economic impact Weakening predictions from the World Bank, IMF and OECD predict an economic slowdown due to energy shocks and increased global tensions. 📌 Currency and Forex Scenario USD has gained ground as a safe haven asset, benefiting from Safety flows. Commodity-linked pairs, such as AUD/USD, NZD/USD and CAD/USD, will be pressured by rallying oil. Potential increase in volatility on EUR/USD and GBP/USD: they rotate towards safe haven and US/China political risk. 📣 What to watch out for Daily and H4 candlesticks in EUR/USD and GBP/USD to understand if support holds under geopolitical stress. Volatility indicators (VIX | MOVE) are rising, it is useful to calibrate the size and prefer structured trades. In the coming days it will be essential to monitor: Reuters/Bloomberg for updates on possible sanctions or public retaliation. ASEAN and Asia for regional reactions on energy supplies. Central banks on inflation expectations due to high oil. 💡 Conclusions – Market and Forex Impact This military action represents a classic geopolitical shock: rising dollar and defensive assets, pressure on oil and high volatility on stock markets and exchange rates. Unlike Israeli attacks, the direct entry of the US increases the degree of macro uncertainty. For Forex traders: USD Index: potential rebound within the bullish trend channel Pairs with commodities: activate strategies on breakout key levels (e.g. AUD/USD, CAD/USD) Anti-USD FX (EUR, GBP, JPY): under pressure and to be used in range rebound. For the equity sector: Rotation towards defensive sectors, defense, energy. Possible entry into government bonds as a high inflation/political hedge. Overall, the impact is clear: increased geopolitical risk → high volatility → shift towards USD/safe haven asset → penalization of sensitive assets.
Education
by Andrea_Russo_SwipeUP
Beyond the Headlines - Gold Outlook June 16-20, 2025Beyond the Headlines: Gold's Ascent Amidst Global Shifts & Key Technicals 🌐🚀 Everything about the last week can be found here: OANDA:XAUUSD 💰📈 We all know what's going on, I believe. Israel struck Iran 💥, and this conflict will likely take a bit before things cool down. 🥶 --- ## Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍📰 ### Israel / Iran Since June 12, Israel launched "Operation Rising Lion," targeting Iranian nuclear sites like Natanz and Esfahan – over 128 killed, Iran claims. 🇮🇷 retaliated with missile and drone strikes on Haifa and Tel Aviv, killing at least 10. 🚀 **Outlook:** 🔥 Tensions are spiraling. Without urgent mediation, full-scale regional war remains a real risk. 💣 ### India / Pakistan Since the May ceasefire, few clashes have occurred. However, both navies increased readiness, signaling potential escalation at sea. 🚢 **Outlook:** ⚖️ Peace is fragile. A strategic dialogue is key to avoiding a renewed border or maritime conflict. 🙏 ### Gaza Conflict Between June 7–15, Israeli strikes killed at least 41 Palestinians, including 8 near an aid center in Rafah. Over 55,000 total deaths, and famine is looming. 💔 **Outlook:** 🆘 Gaza remains a humanitarian catastrophe. Global pressure for access and a ceasefire must intensify. 🕊️ ### Russia / Ukraine June 13–15: Russia returned the bodies of 1,200 Ukrainian soldiers in a rare POW swap gesture. 🤝 Fighting remains intense in Sumy and Toretsk; Russia hit a major oil refinery. 🏭 **Outlook:** 🕊️ While symbolic moves continue, no peace is in sight – battlefield outcomes will shape diplomacy. ⚔️ ### U.S. - China Trade War The U.S. hiked tariffs to 55% on key Chinese goods. 🇺🇸🇨🇳 responded with 10% on U.S. imports. Talks yielded a partial truce, but military-use rare earths remain unresolved. 💻 **Outlook:** 🔧 Tech remains the battleground. Without progress on critical materials, the trade war may deepen. 📉 ### Global Trade War The OECD revised global growth downward due to rising tariffs from the U.S. targeting 🇨🇳, 🇲🇽, 🇨🇦. Global trade volume is expected to shrink by 0.2–1.5%. 📉 **Outlook:** ⛓️ Supply chain disruption is spreading. Global trade will stay under pressure without coordinated policy. 🌍➡️🌍 ### Trump vs. Powell Trump labeled Powell a "numbskull" for not cutting rates, suggesting he might "force something" if re-elected. 🗳️ The Fed maintains policy independence ahead of a critical June decision. 🏛️ **Outlook:** ⚔️ Political pressure on the Fed is mounting. Expect more friction as the election cycle heats up. 🔥 ### U.S. Inflation CPI rose 2.4% YoY in May (from 2.3%); Core CPI held steady at 2.8%. Monthly growth was modest at 0.1%. Key rises were seen in healthcare and vehicle prices. 🚗🏥 **Outlook:** Inflation is stable but sticky. 🚦 The Fed will likely hold rates steady until clearer disinflation signals appear. 📊 --- ## Technical View 📐📈 ### Market Structure: Gold shows a clear **bullish market structure** with higher highs and higher lows. ⬆️ Recent price action suggests we're in a strong uptrend with institutional buying pressure. 🏦 ### Key Levels: * The chart shows a significant low around the **$3,245 area** (marked as "Low") which could act as a key institutional support level. 💪 * The current high near **$3,446** represents a potential institutional resistance zone. 🛑 * Look for potential **order blocks** around the **$3,380-$3,400 range** where price consolidated before the recent breakout. 🧱 ### Fair Value Gaps (FVG): There appear to be several gaps in the price action during volatile moves, particularly during strong rally phases. These could act as future support/resistance areas. 📉📈 ### Gann Analysis: The price movement shows strong adherence to Gann principles: * The rally from the low follows a steep angle, suggesting strong momentum. 🚀 * Key Gann angles would place support around the **$3,300-$3,320 zone**. 📐 * The current price near **$3,436** is testing natural resistance levels based on Gann square calculations. 📏 ### Fibonacci Levels: From the significant swing low to the current high: * 23.6% retracement: ~$3,395 📉 * 38.2% retracement: ~$3,370 📉 * 50% retracement: ~$3,345 📉 * 61.8% retracement: ~$3,320 📉 The golden ratio levels suggest key support on any pullback would be around the **$3,370-$3,345 zone**. ✨ ### Institutional Levels: * **Weekly/Monthly Levels:** The **$3,400** and **$3,450** areas appear to be significant institutional levels based on round numbers and previous price action. 🏦💰 * **Smart Money:** The accumulation pattern before the breakout suggests institutional participation. 🧠💡 ### Cycle Timing: Based on the timeframe (appears to be 30-minute bars from May 26-June 15): * We're seeing approximately **3-week cycles** in the major moves. 🗓️ * The current rally phase appears to be in its mature stage. 🌳 * The next potential cycle turn could be approaching, suggesting caution for new longs at current levels. ⚠️ --- ### Trading Considerations: * Watch for rejection at current levels near **$3,446**. 📉 * Key support confluence around **$3,370-$3,345** for potential re-entry. 🎯 * Volume and momentum divergences would be critical for timing any reversal. 📊🔄 Other indicators tend to show bullish scenario enhancements. 🚀 Gold has formed a ** Standard Bullish Flag pattern ** over a time from early April till today. 🚩🐂 Also, the structure of a ** reverse Head & Shoulders ** is existing and has broken the neckline! 🔄🗣️ Another indicator is an existing "** Ascending Bull Flag **." ⬆️🚩 Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
2