Ethereum: Testing Resistance Before Pulling Back to Key Support hello guys!
let's analyze eth
Looking at the chart, there are two main levels to focus on for the next potential moves.
Price Action to the Gray Area:
Ethereum is likely the first to approach the gray resistance zone between $2,754.35 and $2,783.26. This zone is an important area to watch because it has acted as resistance in the past. Given that the price has been trending upward, it seems likely that the price will test this level before any major retracement.
The price might reach slightly above the gray zone, tapping $2,783.26, but it’s unlikely to break above it immediately unless there’s a strong catalyst driving the market further.
Price Pullback to the Blue Support Zone:
After testing the gray resistance area (and possibly slightly exceeding it), Ethereum will likely face a pullback. The blue support region, starting around $2,669.90, is a key level that could provide strong buying interest.
The price will likely retrace toward the blue region after encountering resistance at the gray zone. This could be a perfect setup for buyers to re-enter at lower levels, potentially leading to a bounce from the blue support area.
Conclusion:
The most probable scenario is that Ethereum will first test the gray resistance zone around $2,754.35 to $2,783.26, and then, after facing some resistance, it will pull back to the blue support zone around $2,669.90. This is a common pattern where the market hits a resistance zone and then corrects to a key support level before deciding on the next move.
Keep an eye on the price action around the gray area; if it doesn’t break above, the price should reach the blue support soon after.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Euro / U.S. Dollar
Hello Dear Traders
Euro Analysis
Based on the DXY analysis, which is bullish, I present to you the updated analysis for the Euro. I have identified the suitable selling area on the 1-hour timeframe. We are in a downward structure on the 4-hour timeframe, while the minor 1-hour chart is bullish. By obtaining confirmation from the 1-hour chart—validated by breaking the CHoCH—we can utilize this area of the Secret Order Block (1H) for entering a sell position.
Again, in the selling area, a 5-minute confirmation can help us optimize our entry into the trade.
First Support: 1.04494
1-Hour Liquidity: 1.03731
Potential Suitable Buying Area: 1.02720, which I will update once the price reaches this level.
Thank you for your support and companionship, dear friends.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Centre (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
Tariff Tantrums & Rising Inventories Weighing Down on Crude OilOne month into his presidency, Trump has injected fresh uncertainty into oil markets. His rapid-fire policies aimed at boosting production, imposing tariffs, and pushing for conflict resolutions in the Middle East and Russia—are reshaping the energy landscape. His unpredictable and bold approach to trade has left markets on edge.
Bearish sentiment is being fuelled by weak economic indicators, particularly from the U.S. and China. Trump’s policies have added uncertainty, driving price swings.
At the start of the month, Trump imposed 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada (10% on Canadian oil) and 10% on Chinese goods. However, he swiftly delayed tariffs on Mexico and Canada but kept the tariffs on China intact.
In response, China imposed tariffs of 15% on U.S. coal & LNG and 10% on crude oil, autos, and farm equipment, fuelling fears of a broader trade war that could weaken global growth & energy demand.
Trump also tightened U.S. sanctions on Iran’s crude exports and signalled stricter enforcement. While this could reduce supply, his trade policies threaten energy demand, keeping downward pressure on prices.
Further supply risks emerged as Europe ramped up efforts to weaken Russia by targeting its shadow fleet and energy exports.
Meanwhile, Trump’s push for peace in Ukraine and the Middle East has shown progress, lowering the geopolitical risk premium on crude.
However, fresh supply concerns arose after a drone attack on a pipeline belonging to the Caspian Pipeline Consortium in Russia, a key export route for Kazakhstan’s crude, disrupted shipments by 30% to 40%.
Repairs are expected to take months, adding to supply fears. Ukraine also escalated drone strikes on Russian refineries, intensifying concerns over Russian crude flows already constrained by Western sanctions.
Trump’s actions have had mixed effects, supporting oil prices in some cases while pressuring them in others. Combined with an oversupplied market, this has kept the overall outlook bearish, though uncertainty and short-term volatility persist.
U.S. CRUDE INVENTORIES CLIMB; EIA PROJECTS LOWER WTI PRICES FOR 2025-2026
Another factor weighing on WTI prices is the steady rise in crude inventories, following seasonal trends. Stockpile rises have exceeded analyst forecasts for four consecutive weeks.
Source: EIA and Investing.com
U.S. energy firms have increased crude stockpiles for four consecutive weeks, the longest streak since April 2024.
The EIA’s latest Short–Term Energy Outlook report ( STEO report ) reinforced a bearish outlook for WTI prices. It kept its 2025 and 2026 forecasts unchanged, with a slight 1.8% upward revision for Q1 2025. This raised the full-year 2025 estimate by 0.4% to USD 70.62/b, while the 2026 projection remained steady at USD 62.46/b.
Source: EIA STEO
The agency attributes the Q1 2025 price uptick to OPEC+ production cuts, which are expected to reduce global oil inventories by 0.5 million bpd. However, it kept price forecasts steady for the rest of 2025 and 2026, anticipating a supply increase from April 2025.
The EIA projects global oil inventories to rise by 0.9 million bpd in H2 2025 and 1.0 million bpd in 2026, driven by higher output and sluggish demand growth.
TECHNICAL INDICATORS INDICATE PERSISTENT BEARISH TREND
WTI appeared set for its first weekly gain in five weeks for the week ending 21/Feb, but bearish U.S. economic data offset support from supply disruptions in Russia.
The MACD indicator signals a renewed bearish trend, showing momentum has turned downward again after briefly easing.
The RSI hovers near the midpoint at 41.79, below its moving average of 44.34, signalling a shift toward a renewed bearish trend.
Source: TradingView
Furthermore, TradingView’s technical analysis dashboard reinforces a strong bearish trend.
COMMITMENT OF TRADERS
For the week ending 11/Feb, managed money’s net long positions in WTI crude oil (futures & options) dropped 13% WoW, marking a third weekly decline. Short positions surged 33% to 76,375 lots, while long positions inched up 0.3% to 198,612 lots.
Source: CME QuikStrike
Short positions have increased week-on-week since 28/Jan, highlighting a growing bearish sentiment among managed money.
HYPOTHETICAL TRADE SETUP
Trump’s energy, trade, and foreign policies have heightened uncertainty in oil markets, creating a push-pull effect on prices.
However, the persistent supply-demand imbalance remains. Push for higher U.S. oil output and efforts to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict will add further pressure on WTI prices by erasing war-risk premium.
While short-term price spikes and volatility are more likely, they are unlikely to alter market dynamics without a significant recovery in global oil demand.
Portfolio managers and traders can express a bearish view on WTI prices through CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures. These contracts provide the same crude oil exposure as standard WTI futures but at 1/10th the size, offering greater accessibility and more precise hedging options.
This paper posits a short position in CME Micro WTI Crude Oil Futures (Apr 2025) expiring on 19/Mar (MCLJ2025) with the following trade setup:
• Entry: 71.50/barrel
• Target: 67.50/barrel
• Stop: 74/barrel
• P&L at Target (per lot): +400 ((71.50 – 67.50) x 100)
• P&L at Stop (per lot): -250 ((71.50 – 74.00) x 100)
• Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 1.6x
CME Group lists a raft of products covering a range of asset classes more accessible while also enabling granular hedging for portfolio managers.
Investors can learn more about how to access these micro products by visiting CME Micro Products page on CME portal to discover micro-sized contracts to gain macro exposures.
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MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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Rinse & Repeat !!!Hello everyone, a happy new trading week to you all !.
This setup is particularly a short-term buy for those looking to take advantage of BTC's range that has been refusing to take a side.
A good RRR trade that's sure to make you a bit of money. Use proper risk and money management (risk what you're willing to not get bothered by) and most especially, do your own analysis for extra confluence !.
EURUSD DUMP Easily anticipating a lock for high of week. If not, I will cove to .055
Rapid 1.2.3 (i) (ii) (iii) on Monday's open running straight to previous week highs before bearish ChoCh, BOS and change in market structure.
LO premarket move anticipating to control risk with SL to BE targeting equilibrium or 50% retracement to open the week
***Unfortunately price is currently trading above VWAP. A strong high volume move across is required to validate the move***
-YungEmsi
gold on bullish rejection above 2958#XAUUSD has repeatedly faced rejection above the 2949 level, forming a strong bearish zone. Currently, the market awaits a decisive breakout.
A breakout above 2949 could trigger a bullish toward the next decline zone at 2958, where profit-taking may occur. However, a pullback to 2942 is expected before further bullish continuation.
If the price fails to sustain above 2949 and drops below 2935, strong selling pressure could push toward 2916, indicating a deeper bearish trend.
XAUUSD strong analysis It looks like you've uploaded an image of a technical analysis chart for XAU/USD (Gold Spot vs. USD). If you're asking for a disruption or critique of the analysis, here are some points to consider:
1. Resistance Zones Might Not Hold – The strong resistance and resistance levels marked could break if there's strong bullish momentum. Historical resistance is important, but news events or institutional orders could push through.
2. Support Might Not Be Strong – The support level identified might not hold if there's a strong bearish move. A break below this could lead to further downside.
3. Alternative Scenarios – Instead of assuming a range-bound movement between support and resistance, consider:
A breakout above resistance leading to a continuation rally.
A breakdown below support leading to a deeper correction.
A fake-out scenario where price breaks a level but reverses sharply.
4. Fundamental Factors Missing – The analysis lacks mention of economic data, Fed decisions, or geopolitical factors that significantly impact gold prices.
5. Volume Confirmation? – There’s no mention of volume, which can confirm whether these support and resistance levels are strong
LTCUSD Buy Trade📈 LTCUSD Recovery Zone? 📈
Price is approaching a key reaction zone (126.99 - 127.58)—watching for potential reversals in line with market behavior. This setup aligns well with my trading style, focusing on price movements within key levels rather than chasing impulsive moves.
🔹 Current Price: 124.19
🔹 Target Zone: 126.99 - 127.58
🔹 Deadline: Feb 24, 23:00 UTC
Let's see how price reacts! 🔥 What’s your take? Drop your thoughts below! 👇🏼
#LTC #LTCUSD #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradeSetup #MarketMoves #FractalTrading
Time is running out for BTC price ! Hello Traders 🐺
Last week, we witnessed some major events in the market. Let’s first go over them and discuss how they might impact the overall market conditions . Then, we’ll take a quick look at the BTC chart, as it seems primed and ready for its next big and volatile move ! 😁
1️⃣ First, we need to talk about the $1.5 billion Bybit hack!
This kind of event is quite rare in the market. The last time we faced a major issue like this was with FTX, which eventually led to a bear market. However, this time, the situation is slightly different. But why? Let’s dive into it :
Bybit was recently hacked, but unlike FTX, it remains fully operational , and withdrawals are still available . The key difference is that FTX collapsed due to mismanagement and internal fraud, while Bybit was simply a victim of a cyberattack.
Moreover, Bybit has sufficient reserves to cover the losses , ensuring that user funds remain safe. Unlike FTX, which froze withdrawals due to liquidity shortages, Bybit maintains a 1.1 reserve ratio, meaning they have enough assets to fully back customer funds.
2️⃣ Massive ETH Transfers – A Big Move Incoming? 🚨
Over the past hour, thousands of ETH (worth over FWB:30M ) have been moved between Binance, Coinbase, Wintermute (Market Maker), and Symbolic Capital Partners (CEX Bridge). But what does this mean for the market?
🔍 Key Observations:
✅ ETH is flowing into Market Makers, not private wallets. This suggests that liquidity is being prepared for trading rather than large-scale selling.
✅ Wintermute received significant ETH inflows. When market makers accumulate, it often signals upcoming volatility—potentially a big move.
✅ No major outflows from exchanges to private wallets. This means whales are not pulling funds off the market, reducing the risk of a major dump.
Now let's analyze the chart:
As you can see, the price is currently forming an ascending triangle, which is generally considered a bullish pattern, especially in a bull market. In my opinion, there is a higher probability of a breakout to the upside rather than the downside!
An interesting point to note is that BTC has been consolidating within this pattern for quite a long time, and now only 10 days remain until the expected breakout point —although the breakout could happen at any moment!
If you ask me, everything looks healthy. The bigger players may just be shaking out weak hands before the actual pump in BTC and ETH, especially ETH itself! Make sure to read my latest idea about ETH—you’ll be shocked!
🐺 Stay sharp, trade smart! – KIU_COIN 🐺
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade Setup – Potential Long Opportunity ChartChart Overview:
A possible bullish retracement setup. The price has recently experienced a sharp decline, but a recovery is forming, suggesting a potential buying opportunity.
Key Trading Zones:
🔹 Entry Zones:
1st Entry: Around 95,790 USD, where the price is currently consolidating.
2nd Entry: Near 97,150 USD, an intermediate resistance level.
3rd Entry: Close to 97,678 - 98,205 USD, marking a stronger resistance area.
🔹 Stop Loss:
Placed above 99,000 USD to protect against further upside risk.
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry Strategy:
Buyers may step in near the current support zone (~95,790 USD) for a potential upside move.
If the price breaks above the 97,150 USD level, a further rally toward 98,205 USD could occur.
📌 Target Levels:
A possible short-term bullish retracement toward the entry zones (97,150 - 98,205 USD) before deciding further direction.
📌 Stop Loss Strategy:
If price moves above 99,000 USD, it invalidates the short-term bearish scenario.
Market Structure Analysis:
✅ Previous Strong Drop: Indicates sellers' control, but a retracement is expected.
✅ Potential Retracement Levels: Buyers may attempt to push BTC back into the entry zones.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade setup suggests a favorable risk-reward balance if price follows the expected path.
Final Thoughts:
Watch for confirmation of a bullish retracement before entering.
A break below 95,000 USD could invalidate the setup.
Manage risk properly and adjust stop losses accordingly.
📈 Trade carefully and monitor market conditions! 🚀
USDCAD Recovery in Progress?📈 USDCAD Recovery in Progress? 📈
Watching for a potential move towards 1.4200+, targeting 1.42 as price attempts to bounce from recent lows.
🔹 Current Price: 1.419
🔹 Target: 1.42
🔹 Key Support: 1.4179
Will this level hold for a push higher? Let’s see how it plays out! 🔥 Drop your thoughts below! 👇🏼
#USDCAD #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TradeSetup #MarketMoves #Forex
SPX at CrossRoadThe chart illustrates the logarithmic scale of the S&P 500 index since 1933. From 1933 to 1997, the index consistently followed an upward-sloping channel. Key years such as 1942, 1949, 1974, and 1982 saw the index test the lower boundary of this channel. However, since 2009, following the introduction of quantitative easing (QE), the uptrend has shifted to a steeper slope.
With the Federal Reserve hesitant to lower interest rates and the forces of de-globalization gaining momentum, the question arises: Can artificial intelligence (AI) emerge as the savior, propelling the S&P 500 to new highs? Or will the growing debt burden, combined with tighter monetary policies and the effects of de-globalization, finally break the index's back?
What are your thoughts? Please share.
I believe interest rates will continue to climb as investors demand higher premiums to compensate for heightened risks in the debt market. This could exert considerable pressure on stocks.
Gold (XAU/USD) Trade Setup – Bullish BiasChart Overview:
This 15-minute XAU/USD chart from OANDA shows a potential bullish setup with clearly defined support, resistance, and trade levels. The price is currently in an upward trend, with a possible pullback before further continuation.
Key Trading Zones:
🔹 Strong Support Level: Around 2,921 - 2,930 USD, where buyers previously stepped in.
🔹 Resistance Area: 2,946 - 2,950 USD, acting as a breakout level.
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry Strategy:
A potential pullback toward the 2,935 - 2,940 USD zone could provide a good buying opportunity.
If price respects the support, it could trigger a bullish push.
📌 Take Profit Targets:
1st TP: Near 2,950 USD, a short-term resistance level.
2nd TP: 2,971 USD, marking a higher target for extended bullish movement.
📌 Stop Loss:
Positioned near 2,915 USD, below the strong support zone, to limit downside risk.
Market Structure Analysis:
✅ Volume Analysis: Increasing volume at key levels suggests strong buying interest.
✅ Trend Direction: The market is attempting a higher low formation, indicating a potential bullish continuation.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The setup shows a favorable risk-reward ratio for buyers.
Final Thoughts:
Watch for a pullback before entering long positions.
A break above the resistance zone could push the price toward the second TP.
Manage risk properly with a well-placed stop loss.
📈 Trade wisely and monitor price action for confirmation! 🚀
U.S. Dollar IndexU.S. Dollar Index - Daily
Dear traders,
I sincerely apologize for my absence during this time; I have lost my father, who has passed away. I have not been well over the past two weeks, and I regret not being able to provide an analysis.
DXY Chart Update
I have updated the DXY chart and present it to you now. We know that in smart money analysis, it shows us the primary market trend structure, and by mapping the daily structure, it indicates that this chart is in an upward trend. Currently, we are looking for suitable areas to buy the dollar.
Confirmation of Major High and Market Movements
After confirming the major high with the price reaching the first standard pullback, which I indicated on the chart with IDM, and ultimately reaching the Decisional Order Block, we experienced a good upward move together with a proper buy. However, unfortunately, our major high was not broken, and the market pursued a downward phase towards the IFC Candles.
Current Status and Key Levels
Now, at the beginning of this week, with the price reaching this important IFC block and receiving confirmation in the 4-hour timeframe, we can set our target at the important resistance level of 109.533, which I have designated as my first target. Additionally, there is a 4-hour resistance at the price of 107.182 that should be closely monitored.
Based on this dollar chart, this week we can look to sell euros, pounds, Australian dollars, and New Zealand dollars while buying Japanese yen, Canadian dollars, and Swiss francs. However, it is essential that we also examine other charts and find entry points on those charts as well. My focus this week is on buying the dollar and selling other currencies. I will be updating the entry points for the other charts today and sharing them in my channel.
Fundamental News
In his latest speech, Jerome Powell, the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, emphasized the continuation of contractionary policies to control inflation and mentioned the ongoing strengthening of the dollar. He highlighted positive signs in the U.S. economic growth, which increases the likelihood of a rise in the dollar's value this week.
Source: Jerome Powell's speech at the Federal Reserve meeting, February 2025.
Wishing you all success!
Fereydoon Bahrami
A retail trader in the Wall Street Trading Center (Forex)
Risk Disclosure:
Trading in the Forex market is risky due to high price volatility. This analysis is solely my personal opinion and should not be considered financial advice. Please do your own research. You are responsible for any profits or losses resulting from this analysis.
DAX40 responds boosted by ElectionsBy Ion Jauregui - Analyst ActivTrades
The German DAX stock index has experienced a remarkable upward momentum today. The results of the German federal elections have generated optimism in the markets. The strength shown by the CDU/CSU, reaching 28.5% of the vote and positioning Friedrich Merz as a key figure, has reinforced the expectation of a stable, pro-business government. This outcome has been well received by the markets, as greater political and economic stability is anticipated in the country, a fact that has been reflected in the DAX, which has risen more than 0.7% at the start of the day, as investors are confident that a predictable political environment will favor the economy and strategic sectors, such as automotive and technology. At the same time, the euro has reached its highest level in a month, trading at $1.0528 against the dollar. This appreciation of the European currency reflects the renewed confidence in the German economy and the euro zone in general, following the election results.
However, despite the initial enthusiasm, there are some challenges ahead. The new coalition government will have to address issues such as economic stagnation and external pressures, including U.S. trade policies. The ability of the new government to implement fiscal and economic reforms will be crucial to maintain market confidence over the long term.
In the first hours of trading, the DAX registered an increase of more than 1.54%, reaching 22,584.80 points in the first hours of pre-market trading prior to the opening. This optimism is partly due to the expectation that the CDU/CSU will form a “grand coalition” with the SPD, thus avoiding the participation of extreme right-wing parties such as AfD, which obtained 20.8% of the votes. The possibility of a stable, pro-business government has strengthened investor confidence. The automotive sector has been one of the biggest beneficiaries in this context. Manufacturers such as BMW and Volkswagen have experienced increases in their shares of 2% and 1.6%, respectively. In addition, companies such as Deutsche Bank and SAP have also shown positive returns in the market.
Looking at the chart, the support of the last impulse is located at 21,950 points, with the current support at 22,115.26 points. The current high is around 22,945.01 points. Today the mood begins with strength in Europe, so we will have to see if this positivism is transferred to the rest of the day, although it does not seem that in the opening hours the enthusiasm has been maintained. If we look at the value of the current control point is located around 22517 points. RSI is slightly oversold at 44.48%. Relying on last Thursday's checkpoint. The crosses of averages seem to be showing a possible crossing of the 50 and 100 average. If this happens, a price drop to the support zone to test price would be foreseeable. If this does not happen we may see a new test of the current high resistance.
In summary, the DAX has reacted positively to the election results in Germany, driven by the prospect of greater political stability and a pro-growth government. However, it will be essential for the new administration to effectively address economic and geopolitical challenges to sustain this momentum going forward.
*******************************************************************************************
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All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information.
Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
TradingView 2024 Community AwardsThe 2024 Community Awards are here and they’re better than ever! All of you have made this ceremony a celebration of achievements, revelations and lessons. Enough with the sentimentalities — let’s go straight to the numbers!
In 2024, our community posted 771,813 public Ideas. Credit where credit is due. This number is a testament to your commitment to spreading trading knowledge and sharing your unique insights.
We’re grateful to see so many of you use the TradingView platform to have your voice heard and work appreciated ( and judged maybe, looking at you, picky hard-to-please traders ).
👉 Some more numbers:
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Trading isn't a solo sport — the best ideas, tools, and insights come from a thriving community. These winners didn’t just post content — they shaped the conversation in 2024, sparking discussions, refining strategies, and making TradingView an even better place for traders of all levels.
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EURUSD / LONG / 19.02.25⬆️ BUY EUR/USD 19.02.25
💰 Entry: $1.04324
🎯 Goal: $1.05333
⛔️ Stop: $1.04190
Entry reasons:
1) OSOK:
— Week minimum was set on tuesday and price is moving to weekly open level with 15m bullish structure.
— Month minimum was set at the first weekly of month and price is above monthly open level.
2) Eliott waves:
— 1D: ABCDE
— 4H: 1-2, wave 3 is forming.
3) Range:
— Price is inside bullish weekly range
— Price is inside bullish daily range (correction, 38-50%)
4) Addition arguments:
— Testing of big cluster
— Divergence (1h)
— Downtrend is not confirmed by volumes (low effort and result).
Therefore, it's manipulate to create swing point on wednesday.
Goal is previous weekly high: $1.05333
Short Commonwealth Bank of Australia at 156.25 Target 132Hello Followers
Id like to take another shot at shorting CBA here due to the interesting risk reward setup.
I had failed trying to short this once in the 130's and have been patient waiting for another setup.
Fundamental Reasons:
-Potential rolling over of the Australian housing market.
-Extremely high valuation
Technical reasons:
-False Breakout above the 162 level that got heavily sold
- So far the retracement bounce has hit the 1st Fib level at 156ish, bringing about a great risk reward setup.
Stop 160.2.
Target 132.00
Risk/Reward 6:1 !
Thanks!
Kavi