Beyond Technical Analysis
NVDA ..The nvidia levels of interesting worthiness
^^See my other idea on how the lines work and how I use them to see about the worthiness or V-bounces or to determine if flags are forming...
only addition i will put here...is the application of a basic Fib retrace from the top start of the trend in descending pattern to the first breach of the line, after the second pivot point. So the yellow markers show the retrace and the green show the trend line of two worth pivots.
A nice X forms on that candle between the lines and the fib retrace...
Ugly SP500 Reaction to Treasury YieldsUnlike other headline news, long term interest rates breaking out to the upside is an immediate threat to equity prices especially if it's driven by bond vigilantes rather than strong economic news. This will immediately compress valuations and particularly hurt high growth and small caps the most. In addition, this is not a one-off headline where equities markets can easily shake it off and continue to rally. I think we're going to test the gap ~$567 on AMEX:SPY after breaking down from a rising wedge and triggering the PSAR flip.
Level By LevelThe expectation is to see whether the price is targeting the previous breakout or not. Analyze level by level, starting from higher timeframes, H4 and H1 at minimum to confirm a valid breakout. Then, set pending orders in anticipation of a pullback for a potential long entry. Around the 1.3357 level, I will consider looking for a sell setup if the price fails to break through.
Bullish
Closed at 34.03 (21-05-2025)
Hidden Bullish Divergence on bigger tf.
Bullish Divergence on shorter tf.
Immediate resistance is around 34 - 34.10
Crossing & Sustaining this level may exposes
upside towards 47 - 48
However, mid way, 40-41 & 44-45 are important
resistances that should not be ignored.
On the flip side, 30 - 32 are important Support levels.
and 29.80 Must not Break on Monthly Basis.
Altseason Start Fibonacci 0.618, often referred to as the "Golden Ratio", is a key level derived from the Fibonacci sequence. As the numbers in the Fibonacci sequence get larger, the ratio of one number to the next approaches approximately 0.618 (or its inverse, 1.618). This value is known as the Golden Ratio.
XAUUSD Daily Sniper Plan – May 22, 2025 Structure Wins. Noise Gets Trapped. Let’s Get Paid.Only Snipers Survive.
Hey traders, GoldFxMinds here! Big day for gold tomorrow, with major USD news set to trigger volatility. Here’s how to stay ahead of the crowd — and not get hunted.Here’s your big picture, bias, and every level that matters.
📈 Macro Structure (D1/H4)
Bias: Bullish-to-neutral as long as 3290 holds.
Trend: Higher highs & higher lows. Price is in accumulation, not distribution, waiting for a real breakout.
News:
• USD Unemployment Claims
• Flash Manufacturing & Services PMI
• Existing Home Sales
— All high-volatility triggers!
🕹️ SCENARIOS & SNIPER PLAYBOOK
🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO
News comes in weak for USD, gold holds 3320–3313 or sweeps 3302–3292 and instantly reclaims.
Action: Long only on M15–M30 confirmation
Targets: 3357–3362, then 3380–3388, with runners possible up to 3408 or even 3427 if the squeeze goes wild.
🔴 BEARISH SCENARIO
Data is USD bullish; gold breaks & holds below 3302–3292.
Action: Sell rallies into 3320–3313 (now resistance) or on M15/M30 rejection at 3357–3362/3388 ONLY if you see a hard reversal
Targets: 3287–3282 (first), then 3266–3258, finally 3238–3230 if selloff accelerates.
🟠 FAKEOUT/WHIPSAW
Expect first move after news to be a liquidity hunt – stop run above 3357 or below 3292.
Sniper move: Wait for the fake, then take the reversal with confirmation – not the first spike.
🎯 TRADE EXECUTION GUIDELINES
Never chase news. Let the stops get hunted, then strike with confirmation only at key levels.
Use the level context:
Reversal/fakeout = wait for rejection, don’t front-run.
Sweep and reclaim at demand = sniper buy.
No confirmation = no entry.
Plan for volatility windows: 2:30pm – 4:00pm is where the traps are set.
👀 EYES ON TOMORROW
BUY ZONES: 3320–3313, 3302–3292, 3287–3282
SELL ZONES: 3357–3362, 3380–3388, 3400–3408, 3420–3427
Control pivot: 3320–3313 decides intraday bias after news
Gold doesn’t care about your FOMO. Structure tells the truth.
Drop a comment if you want this style daily, smash like & follow for sniper-level clarity, and stay patient — the real trade comes when everyone else gets trapped.
Stay sharp!
GoldFxMinds 🚀
CADCHF update!!Good day traders, I’m back with yet another update on CadChf and if I can remember well I mentioned the first time I posted this setup that this one is special because it offer us opportunities to learn and get to see if what ICT(Micheal.J) says about his concepts true or not, for me they work!!
The first setup I posted here and the second one will both be tagged in the description below just to support my ideology and how I came about this setup. On the first setup there was a large wick that i stated should be considered as a Gap and we saw price close above it to balance that gap. And you move one TF higher on your weekly there you’ll see that price has failed multiple times to balance that weekly VI, back on our daily TF we can see that price did not fully trade through that 1st.PFVG and we want to see it come back to fully trade through the gap.
Overall bias is BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY!!
USDJPY set go down much further. 1. Summary of Key Factors
-Factor Signal Impact on USD/JPY Notes
-US 20Y Bond Selloff Bearish USD 🔻 Drop Likely Suggests capital outflows from US
-Moody's Downgrade Bearish USD 🔻 Drop Likely Weakens USD confidence globally
-Japanese Portfolio Rebalancing Bullish JPY🔻 Drop Likely Reduced UST purchases = yen demand
-Technical Break of SMA & Support Bearish 🔻 Drop Likely Clean 50-day MA break = momentum shift
-Risk Sentiment (Safe-Haven Flows) Favors JPY 🔻 Drop Likely JPY tends to strengthen in uncertainty
-Upcoming Asian Session (Tokyo Open) Neutral–Bearish 🔻 May Continue Yen typically sees increased strength
Looking at all these factors we should expect a further drop.
SPY Intraday Breakdown | Will the Fill Zone Hold?🕰️ 15-Min Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
A textbook ascending wedge breakdown has triggered intraday, breaching dynamic support right at the edge of the VWAP envelope. This breakdown aligns with a higher time-frame rejection seen near 598.22 (0.886 retrace zone).
🔍 Intraday Observations:
Structure Break: Rising wedge support snapped → suggests momentum shift short-term.
Next Liquidity Pools:
📍 567.51 – Prior HVN zone and VWAP mid-band
📍 559.30 – Golden pocket + historical positioning from April
Volume Spike: Bearish confirmation on rising sell-side volume.
🧠 Strategic Context:
Macro Tone: Market breathes as participants await key inflation data + Fed speak. Liquidity is not risk-on.
Risk Flow Watch: Options OI building around 560/570 strikes — could magnetize toward there if flow accelerates.
🛡️ Tactical Setup:
Short-Term Bias: Bearish to neutral into 567.5–559.3 zone
Mean Reversion Setup: Watch VWAP / 3-day anchored VWAP cluster around 559 as a potential reload zone
Invalidation: Quick reclaim and hold above 590 with strong volume flips intraday tone bullish again.
📌 Message to Traders:
Major buyers may be lurking below. The market is deciding whether to reward trapped longs or give value buyers their fill at better risk-adjusted zones. We remain liquidity-aware and flexible.
—
🔗 #SPY #IntradayTrading #VolumeProfile #Wavervanir #LiquidityMapping #VWAP #Orderflow #SMC
SPY | Liquidity Engineering or Reversal?🕰️ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
“Major buyers are lurking... but will the market deliver the fill they want?” That’s the question.
We’re currently watching a tactical rejection near 598.22, the 0.886 Fib retracement of the prior high-volume breakdown. This level historically serves as a liquidity sweep zone before decision-making candles emerge.
🔍 Technical + Volume Profile:
Liquidity Zones:
Resistance: 594.4–598.2 = prior supply + Fib confluence
Demand Zones:
567.5 → anchored VWAP / trend channel midpoint
559.3 → 0.618 Fib + major positioning cluster
Volume: Distribution volume into prior highs = possible short-term exhaustion
EMA Structure: Bullish stack but extended from mean; room for reversion to VWAP bands.
🧠 Macro Overlay:
Risk Events: Debt ceiling headlines are muted, but upcoming PCE inflation and labor data could dictate short-term gamma positioning.
Options Skew: OTM put volume rising; VIX curve remains steep in front-end → suggesting hedging or prep for pullback.
Macro Setup: Real yields are sticky, and the Fed is not signaling dovish pivot yet — any continuation will need confirmation via breadth and credit spreads.
🛡️ Risk Framework:
Reclaim 598.2: Bias flips bullish with upside into 613–644
Break Below 567.5: Opens doors for deeper retest at 559 or even 533
Neutral Range: 567.5–594.5 → Let market structure show intent before deploying size.
📌 Game Plan:
Let price come to you. Patience > Prediction. Market is deciding whether to reward early breakout traders or punish late longs via mean reversion. Watch the 567–559 cluster—that’s where smart money may reload.
—
🔗 #SPY #MacroTrading #VolumeAnalysis #RiskManagement #Fibonacci #Wavervanir #SP500 #LiquidityMap
SPX500 | Macro-Fib Confluence Levels + Risk Roadmap🕰️ Daily Chart | May 21, 2025
🏢 Posted by: Wavervanir_International_LLC
After a sharp retracement and subsequent rally, the S&P 500 Index ( FOREXCOM:SPX500 ) is now facing overhead resistance near the 0.886 Fib retracement (~5,875-5,953) from the previous swing high.
🔍 Technical Overview:
Confluence Resistance: 5,875–5,953 zone (0.886 Fib)
Micro W-Pattern Setup: Pullback expected to 5,640–5,700 before a potential higher low sets up a breakout.
Bull Targets:
6,182 (1.236 Fib ext)
6,512 (1.618 Fib ext, potential exhaustion zone)
🧠 Macro + Volatility Context:
Monetary Policy: Fed remains data-dependent. July rate cut odds are increasing, but the market remains bifurcated between sticky services inflation and weakening real GDP prints.
Bond Market: Yield curve remains inverted. A breakout above 6,182 will likely need bond volatility (MOVE index) to stabilize under 100.
Global Flow Risks: Continued capital inflows into U.S. equities amid geopolitical hedging, but China liquidity injections and BOJ FX defense add noise.
🛡️ Risk Management Notes:
Pullback Zone: 5,640–5,700 = high-conviction buy zone (0.5–0.618 retracement of last impulse)
Invalidation: Daily close below 5,573 or breach of 5,475 = reassess long thesis.
Position Sizing: Favor partial scaling-in with tight trailing stop until breakout confirmation.
📌 Strategy Summary:
We are watching for a tactical pullback into the golden zone followed by a measured continuation toward 6,182+ if macro tailwinds align (i.e., dovish Fed tone + improving liquidity metrics). The setup mirrors late-cycle rallies and should be monitored alongside bond yields and dollar strength.
⚠️ Patience > Chase. Let the W structure play out.
—
🔗 #SPX500 #Fibonacci #MacroTrading #Wavervanir #SMC #RiskManagement #TradingViewAnalysis
NATGAS LOCAL SHORT|
✅NATGAS has retested a key resistance level of 3.50$
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 3.30$ is likely
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
$WIF: Uptrend signal activeNice signal in SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF here, the trend in the daily timeframe has been bullish since April 18th, and has been giving us multiple continuation signals to trade in and out, or scale in with low risk as we move the stop higher if playing it longer term.
If prices hold above recent lows, we can see a close to 50% run from here within a week give or take.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
DOW/US30 - PERFECT TIME FOR LONG ENTRYTeam, i hope you all making millions on SHORT BOTH SETUP UK100 AND GER30 today
However there is no perfect time to entry LONG DOW/US30 now
please follow the guideline and entry..
target 1st is 150-200 points
2nd target between 300-500 points.
we expect this swing will take tomorrow and next day for the recovery.
Indexes Daily "Slow" Trend anticipationExpecting a Daily slowliness a.k.a. HRLR (ICT Concepts) due to the Bonds decorrelation which is bearish. Once Bonds has reached Sell Side Liquidity Target, acceleration will be seen on Indexes higher. Meanwhile "give and take" is expected on a Daily and 4h basis.