AUDUSD bullish continuation still to expect
FX:AUDUSD we are have break of CHANNEL, break of long trend line, price is make revers, now its on strong sup zone and from here new bullish push expecting.
USD showing self weak still, continuation expecting, +we are not see some special moves here.
SUP zone: 0.62500
RES zone: 0.64400, 0.64900, 0.65400
Beyond Technical Analysis
Price approaching OB POI with Trendline LiqPrice is currently bullish, structure turned bullish from last week's CHOCH and Mondays subsequent break of structures to make price bearish for the short=term, how short-term is price bearish for ? i have no idea but price will definitely still go for the ATH maybe inside this week or early next week which will be a new month (April).
Right now, I'm bearish still hence this setup, it's actually a decent setup though (OB+IDM to take out the trendline liq)
Disclaimer: Do your own analysis and please kindly risk what you can, apply proper risk and money management.
Gold (XAU/USD)– Bearish Setup Against the Main Trend (High Risk)hello guys.
In this 4-hour chart, we can see a Head and Shoulders pattern forming, which is typically a bearish reversal signal. The price has broken below the neckline of the pattern, suggesting a potential downside move. Additionally, the price is currently trading inside a descending channel, reinforcing the bearish momentum.
Bearish Scenario
A potential pullback to the upper boundary of the descending channel (around $3,030-$3,035) could serve as a selling opportunity.
The first target for the decline is around $3,000, a psychological level and previous support.
If momentum continues downward, the price could drop further to $2,962-$2,965, which aligns with strong historical support.
in higher timeframe:
The volume has noticeably declined towards the end of this uptrend, signaling a potential loss of bullish momentum. As prices reach new highs, the decreasing volume suggests that buyers are becoming exhausted, which often precedes a correction or reversal. This divergence between price action and volume indicates that the recent upward movement may not be sustainable, increasing the likelihood of a pullback in the near term.
Why This Trade is Super Risky?
Main Trend is Bullish – The overall market structure remains in an uptrend, so this short setup is against the major trend.
Liquidity & Buyer Pressure – The price could find strong buying pressure around $3,000, leading to a false breakdown.
Risk Management is Crucial – If entering a short position, risk should be minimal, with a tight stop-loss above $3,035-$3,040 to prevent excessive losses in case of invalidation.
📌 Conclusion:
This setup offers a potential short trade, but high caution is needed due to the bullish macro trend. Entering with low risk and tight stops is essential to manage exposure. If the price breaks above the descending channel, the bearish idea is invalidated.
Nas100 Gap fill?!! maybe?! NQ for the day i believe we bearish and might maybe try to fill yestersday's opening gap but for a more realistic outcome we can look for the midpoint of the volume imbalance as a possible exit and maybe even the bottom red horizontal line with is the low of the gap.
1hour TF we have a shift in structure lower and price is currently on the OTE levels
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Potential Bullish Breakout Towards $89khello guys!
In the 4-hour Bitcoin/USDT chart from Binance, a clear ascending trendline supports price movement, indicating a potential bullish structure. Here are the key observations:
Technical Analysis
1- Ascending Trendline Support
The price is respecting an ascending trendline, which has provided multiple touches and acted as a dynamic support level.
A bounce from this trendline around the $83,000-$83,500 range suggests strength in buyers.
2- QML (Quasimodo Level) Formation
A QML (Quasimodo Level) pattern is visible, which typically signals a strong reversal zone.
Price has already reacted to this level, indicating it could be a key turning point before further upside movement.
3- Major Support Zone
A larger support area is identified around the $76,900-$77,600 range that support the price before!
The upper boundary of the ascending channel and the psychological resistance at $89,621 serve as the next major target.
The price could test this level in the coming sessions, provided it maintains its bullish momentum.
_____________________________
Conclusion
Bitcoin appears to be in an uptrend within a rising channel, with bullish momentum building. If the ascending trendline continues to hold, the next significant target would be around $89,000. However, a break below the QML zone could lead to a retest of lower support near $77,000. Traders should watch for confirmation of trend continuation before entering long positions.
Bears maintain selling pressure, pressure below $3000⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) faces difficulty in securing strong momentum during Tuesday’s Asian session but remains above the key $3,000 level amid mixed market signals. The US Dollar (USD) sustains its recovery from a multi-month low, hovering near Monday’s three-week high. Additionally, improved risk sentiment—fueled by optimism surrounding a potential Russia-Ukraine peace deal, less disruptive US trade tariffs, and China’s stimulus measures—dampens demand for the safe-haven metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure from bears continues to cause gold prices to fall and sideways around 3000
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $3038 - $3040 SL $3045
TP1: $3030
TP2: $3020
TP3: $3010
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2992 - $2994 SL $2987
TP1: $3000
TP2: $3008
TP3: $3018
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
EURUSD ready to continue higher!!!The reason for the short SL is because I've seen all I want from DXY but EUR didn't take out a key liquidity, below 1.0750. I'm not sure it will come here now, at least till we hit TP but if it sure does, enter once again. The trend is bullish, dont miss out.
Ya gaziere unu
Same applies for GBPUSD AND AUDUSD with AUD outperforming both but I dont like the pair.
You can trade it cos it will be more explosive.
I'm adding more USDCAD short here!!I've not been happy with UCAD price movement. It is fast. Hit me out fast or go for TP, but either one, be fast about it. This guy has been going down albeit slowly. I'm adding more positions here as I know it will fall.
Dont mind those telling you to buy, it is not buying. You're still early to the move.
Ya gaziere unu
BTC Rejected at $89K, Uptrend Holds. Bullish Bets?BTC faced rejection at the $89,000 resistance level yesterday, triggering a pullback. However, the overall uptrend remains intact. Investors may consider long positions on signs of stabilization after this corrective move.
BTCUSDT
buy@84500-85500
tp:87000-88000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
EurUsd Bullish Order blockGood day once again traders
EurUsd is looking very clear and clean if you ask me, now here what we see is that price is now trading inside a bullish order block after price broke the overall structure bearish but from experience I believe we all know that price does not deliver price one side so meaning price has to go fill imbalances left behind in the leg that broke structure lower, and boom there is a FVG(SIBI) marked with the two horizontal lines with the '4h' on top. Now the narrative for this set up is that price has to go fill that SIBI and since we have beautiful equal highs just above that SIBI mentioned price should also take them out because as ICT says there is liquidity resting above those highs at 1.09173 than maybe we can start thinking of looking lower.
On the lower timeframes we first want price to trade above today's high of the day to confirm our trade bias
Silver (XAG/USD) Double Top Reversal – Bearish Trading SetupThe provided 1-hour chart for Silver (XAG/USD) presents a well-structured bearish trade setup, highlighting key price action patterns, technical indicators, and confluence factors that suggest a potential downside move. Let's analyze the chart step by step to understand the logic behind this bearish trade setup.
1. Market Structure & Trend Overview
Silver (XAG/USD) has been in a short-term uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline. However, the trend now shows signs of exhaustion, with a clear shift in market behavior. The price action reveals the formation of a double top at a strong resistance level, coupled with a Change of Character (CHOCH), which signals a possible reversal.
A break below the trendline suggests that the bullish momentum is losing strength, and sellers are beginning to dominate the market. The combination of these elements makes this setup a high-probability short trade opportunity.
2. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone ($33.96 - $34.20) – The Selling Pressure Area
The chart marks a clear resistance zone, where price has struggled to break higher.
Two price rejections from this level indicate that sellers are actively defending this region.
This zone serves as an ideal stop-loss area for short trades, as a breakout above this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
B. Double Top Formation – Reversal Pattern
The price tested the resistance zone twice and failed to establish new highs, forming a double top structure.
A double top is a well-known bearish reversal pattern, indicating a shift from bullish to bearish momentum.
The second top (Top 2) aligns with a downward trendline, further confirming that sellers are stepping in at lower levels.
C. Support Level ($32.60 - $32.80) – Initial Reaction Zone
This area has previously acted as a demand zone where buyers stepped in.
If the price breaks below this support, it would confirm further downside movement towards the final target.
D. Trendline Breakdown – Loss of Bullish Momentum
The dotted trendline represents the previous bullish trend, supporting price action for several days.
A break below this trendline suggests a structural shift in market dynamics, meaning buyers are losing control.
The failure to reclaim the trendline increases the probability of a deeper move downward.
E. Target Level ($32.11 - $32.20) – The Bearish Objective
The projected target is based on the double top’s measured move, which suggests a price drop to at least $32.11.
This level also coincides with previous historical price action, making it a strong confluence zone for profit-taking.
3. Trading Strategy & Execution Plan
📌 Entry Point:
Aggressive Entry: Short position around $33.40 - $33.50, near the second top where price rejected the trendline.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a confirmed break and retest of the support level at $32.80 before entering short.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement:
The stop-loss should be placed above the resistance zone at $33.96.
This level ensures that the trade is invalidated if the price breaks out higher.
📌 Take-Profit Target:
Primary Target: $32.60, which is the first support level where price may temporarily react.
Final Target: $32.11, aligning with the double top breakdown target and historical support.
📌 Risk-Reward Ratio:
A minimum 1:2 risk-reward ratio, meaning for every 1% risked, there is a potential 2%+ gain.
This makes the trade favorable in terms of risk management.
4. Confluence Factors Supporting the Bearish Outlook
✅ Double Top Formation – A classic bearish reversal pattern.
✅ Lower Highs Formation – Indicates increasing selling pressure.
✅ Trendline Breakdown – A significant loss of bullish momentum.
✅ Resistance Zone Rejection – Strong seller presence.
✅ CHOCH (Change of Character) – Confirms a shift in market sentiment.
5. Risk Management & Alternative Scenario
📌 What If Price Moves Against the Trade?
If the price breaks above $33.96, the bearish outlook becomes invalid, and a potential bullish continuation could follow. In this case:
Stop-loss is triggered, and the setup is considered invalid.
Traders should then wait for a new setup before re-entering the market.
📌 Market Conditions to Monitor:
Volatility: Ensure there is enough momentum in the market before entering.
Volume Confirmation: A break below support should have strong volume.
News Events: Watch out for fundamental catalysts, such as US Dollar strength, economic data, and geopolitical events, which could influence Silver’s price movement.
6. Final Thoughts & Summary
This chart setup provides a clear bearish trade opportunity based on technical analysis. The combination of double top formation, resistance rejection, trendline breakdown, and lower highs strongly supports the idea of further downside movement.
💡 Key Takeaways:
Bearish bias is valid as long as price stays below $33.96.
Target is set at $32.11, with an intermediate support at $32.60.
Risk-to-reward is favorable, making it an ideal short trade setup.
If the market follows this expected scenario, this trade has the potential to yield significant profit while maintaining disciplined risk management. However, always stay alert to market conditions and adjust strategies accordingly.
DXY ready to continue lower!!! Please, SELLAfter the big ride down, I decided to pause and then trade cross-pairs and all of them did well. Go check for yourself on my page.
I was also waiting for dxy to range or retrace before it continues lower and I think it has done so. I dont like posting trades I'm not in as that will be deceiving you guys.
I've already entered. Whatever the outcome, the overall trend is bearish.
My overall target for DXY still remain 98.
Ya gazie
GBP/USD Stable at $1.292: Budget AwaitedGBP/USD is trading steadily around $1.292 as markets await British finance minister Rachel Reeves’ spring budget update. Despite dollar strength from solid U.S. data and rising Treasury yields, the pound remains resilient, supported by cautious optimism over the UK’s fiscal outlook. Traders are watching the upcoming budget for clues on spending and economic forecasts, which could impact GBP/USD in the near term.
If GBP/USD breaks above 1.3050, the next resistance levels are 1.3100 and 1.3150. On the downside, support stands at 1.2860, with further levels at 1.2800 and 1.2715 if selling pressure increases.
$BTC 4H (locally) CRYPTOCAP:BTC 4H (locally)
Overnight again drained "out of nowhere", as it has become a tradition of the last month.
An ascending wedge is forming on 4H - a shorting pattern, confirmed by a breakdown of the lower boundary. However, this has been done many times before, and there was a deception: the market makes a shorting moove and sharply turns around.
They can repeat the same scenario or just knock out stops and fly upwards. Obvious figure = obvious stops, and above is a cluster of shorts.
CHF/USD – Double Bottom Reversal Setup - Trading SetupComprehensive Analysis of CHF/USD 4-Hour Chart
The CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a technical trading setup based on a Double Bottom reversal pattern, combined with trendline support and key resistance levels. This pattern suggests a potential bullish breakout if key resistance is cleared. Below is a professional breakdown of the chart, covering the market structure, pattern formation, and a strategic trading setup.
1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis
The overall market structure suggests that CHF/USD has been in an uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline that has consistently provided support. The price has recently tested a key support zone twice, forming the Double Bottom pattern, which is known for signaling a trend reversal or continuation of an uptrend.
The dashed trendline connecting higher lows confirms the bullish momentum.
As long as the price stays above this trendline support, the bullish bias remains valid.
A break below the trendline would indicate a possible reversal or a deeper retracement.
The most critical observation here is that the price is respecting both the trendline and horizontal support zone, which increases the likelihood of a breakout in the upward direction.
2️⃣ Double Bottom Pattern Formation
The Double Bottom pattern is clearly formed at a strong demand zone, reinforcing the idea that buyers are stepping in to prevent further declines.
The first bottom was formed after a rejection from the 1.1250 - 1.1290 support zone.
The price then attempted to recover but faced resistance at 1.1350 - 1.1400, which now acts as the neckline of the pattern.
The second bottom was formed at approximately the same price level as the first, confirming the validity of the pattern.
A Double Bottom pattern is considered bullish, but confirmation is required through a breakout above the neckline resistance (1.1350 - 1.1400). If the price successfully breaks this level, it will indicate that buyers have regained control and the price is likely to move higher.
3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Levels
In this setup, there are three crucial price zones: support, resistance, and the target area.
The support zone, located around 1.1250 - 1.1290, is where buyers stepped in to push the price higher. This level is crucial because it provided strong demand during the formation of the Double Bottom.
The resistance level at 1.1350 - 1.1400 serves as the neckline of the pattern. A breakout above this level would confirm the bullish trend continuation, while rejection could lead to another retest of support.
The target area is projected around 1.1500 - 1.1550, based on the measured move of the Double Bottom formation. This is the price level where traders may start taking profits if the bullish breakout occurs.
4️⃣ Trade Execution Plan
To take advantage of this potential setup, traders should focus on three key aspects: entry, stop-loss placement, and take-profit levels.
Entry Strategy
Aggressive traders can enter a long position above 1.1350, anticipating an immediate breakout.
Conservative traders may wait for a break and retest of the 1.1350 - 1.1400 zone, which would act as a confirmation for a sustained bullish move.
Stop-Loss Placement
A logical stop-loss should be set below 1.1138, which is beneath the Double Bottom formation and trendline support.
If the price drops below this level, it would invalidate the bullish setup and signal a potential trend reversal.
Profit Targets
The first target zone lies around 1.1450 - 1.1500, where traders may consider securing partial profits.
The extended target zone is 1.1550, which aligns with the expected measured move of the Double Bottom pattern.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Final Considerations
Since this setup is based on a strong trendline support and bullish pattern, risk management is essential to protect against fake breakouts or sudden trend reversals.
Traders should monitor price action near the 1.1350 - 1.1400 resistance zone. A strong bullish candle closing above this area increases the likelihood of a successful breakout.
If the price fails to break out and starts moving lower, it may indicate that sellers are still in control, which could lead to a deeper correction toward 1.1200 or lower.
6️⃣ Summary & TradingView Idea
This CHF/USD 4-hour chart presents a high-probability bullish setup based on a Double Bottom reversal at a strong support zone. The key confirmation level to watch is 1.1350 - 1.1400, which, if broken, will likely push the price toward 1.1500 - 1.1550.
Entry: Buy above 1.1350 or after a breakout retest.
Stop Loss: Below 1.1138 to avoid false breakouts.
Take Profit: First target at 1.1450 - 1.1500, extended target at 1.1550.
This setup provides a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, making it a strong potential trading opportunity. However, traders should always wait for confirmation signals before entering a position. 🚀
JPY/USD 4H Chart Analysis – Head & Shoulders BreakdownThis JPY/USD 4-hour chart showcases a Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, a well-known bearish reversal pattern signaling a potential downtrend after an extended bullish run. The breakdown of the neckline support and the trendline breakout are key confirmations of a shift in momentum, making this a high-probability trading setup.
📌 1️⃣ Understanding the Head & Shoulders Pattern
The Head & Shoulders pattern is a classic reversal structure that forms after a prolonged uptrend. It consists of three peaks:
Left Shoulder: The first peak forms as buyers push the price higher, followed by a pullback.
Head: The price rallies again, making a higher peak, but sellers start to gain strength, causing another pullback.
Right Shoulder: A lower high is formed as buying pressure weakens, signaling exhaustion of the uptrend.
This pattern is significant because it suggests that bullish momentum is fading and that a potential trend reversal is underway.
📌 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Bearish Confirmation
Before the formation of the Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong uptrend, supported by a rising trendline (dashed black line).
The price respected this trendline multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
However, after the right shoulder formation, the price broke below the trendline, indicating that selling pressure is increasing.
A trendline breakout after a reversal pattern strengthens the bearish case, increasing the likelihood of further downside movement.
📌 3️⃣ Key Resistance & Support Levels
Understanding the key price levels is essential for determining trade entries, stop-loss placements, and target zones.
📍 Resistance Zone (Stop-Loss Area):
0.006776 is the recent high and a key resistance level where sellers previously stepped in.
If the price reclaims this level, the bearish thesis could be invalidated, making it a logical place to set a stop-loss.
This level also aligns with the Head of the pattern, further reinforcing it as a strong supply zone.
📍 Support Level (Neckline Zone):
The neckline (horizontal support zone) was previously holding as support but has now been broken.
If the price pulls back to this area and rejects it, it could serve as a strong entry point for short trades.
A confirmed retest of the neckline would validate the breakdown, increasing the likelihood of a further decline.
📍 Bearish Target (Profit-Taking Zone):
The price is projected to decline toward 0.006457, which is derived by measuring the height of the Head & Shoulders pattern and projecting it downward.
This level also coincides with historical support, making it a strong take-profit area.
If bearish momentum continues, further downside targets may come into play.
📌 4️⃣ Trading Plan – Execution Strategy
This setup provides a clear structure for planning a high-probability short trade.
✅ Entry Strategy:
Option 1 (Aggressive Entry): Enter a short trade immediately after the breakdown of the neckline.
Option 2 (Conservative Entry): Wait for a retest of the broken neckline as resistance before entering a short position.
🚀 Stop-Loss Placement:
Above 0.006776 (recent resistance & Head of the pattern).
Ensures protection from a potential false breakout.
🎯 Take-Profit Strategy:
First target: 0.006457 (measured move of the pattern).
Extended target: Lower psychological support if momentum continues downward.
📌 5️⃣ Market Sentiment & Additional Considerations
While this technical setup suggests a bearish outlook, traders should also consider:
🔸 Fundamental Factors: Economic data releases, interest rate decisions, and geopolitical events can impact market sentiment.
🔸 Volume Confirmation: A high-volume breakout strengthens the bearish bias, whereas weak volume may indicate a potential fake-out.
🔸 RSI & Momentum Indicators: Checking if the RSI is in overbought territory or showing bearish divergence can provide further confidence in the setup.
🔸 Psychological Levels: Traders should watch for price reactions near key round numbers, as these often act as support/resistance.
📌 6️⃣ Conclusion – Why This Setup is High Probability
This JPY/USD 4H chart presents a well-defined Head & Shoulders pattern, a classic reversal setup that indicates a shift from bullish to bearish momentum. The trendline breakout and neckline breach reinforce the bearish bias, making this a high-probability short trade opportunity.
💡 Key Takeaways:
✅ A confirmed trendline break + H&S pattern indicates a bearish reversal.
✅ Watch for a neckline retest as a potential short entry.
✅ Bearish target: 0.006457 with stop-loss above 0.006776.
✅ Consider fundamental factors & market sentiment for additional confirmation.
🔽 Overall Bias: Bearish 📉
#JPYUSD #ForexTrading #HeadAndShoulders #PriceAction #TradingSetup #TrendReversal
Is the Euro's Stability a Mirage?The Euro Currency Index stands at a crossroads, its future clouded by a confluence of political, economic, and social forces that threaten to unravel the very fabric of Europe. Rising nationalism, fueled by demographic shifts and economic fragility, is driving political instability across the continent. This unrest, particularly in economic powerhouses like Germany, triggers capital flight and erodes investor confidence. Meanwhile, geopolitical realignments—most notably the U.S.'s strategic pivot away from Europe—are weakening the euro's global standing. As these forces converge, the eurozone's once-solid foundation appears increasingly fragile, raising a critical question: is the stability of the euro merely an illusion?
Beneath the surface, deeper threats loom. Europe's aging population and shrinking workforce exacerbate economic stagnation, while the European Union's cohesion is tested by fragmentation risks, from Brexit's lingering effects to Italy's debt woes. These challenges are not isolated; they feed into a cycle of uncertainty that could destabilize financial markets and undermine the euro's value. Yet, history reminds us that Europe has weathered storms before. Its ability to adapt—through political unity, economic reform, and innovation—could determine whether the euro emerges stronger or succumbs to the pressures mounting against it.
The path forward is fraught with complexity, but it also presents an opportunity. Will Europe confront its demographic and political challenges head-on, or will it allow hidden vulnerabilities to dictate its fate? The answer may reshape not only the euro's trajectory but the future of global finance itself. As investors, policymakers, and citizens watch this drama unfold, one thing is clear: the euro's story is far from over, and its next chapter demands bold vision and decisive action. What do you see in the shadows of this unfolding crisis?
S&P 500: The Correction Is Not Over Yet – Targets Around 5000At the moment, the S&P 500 is holding relatively stable, but I believe the current decline is just part of a larger correction following decades of growth.
Right now, the index is retracing to the 50% pullback area (marked on the chart), which aligns with a typical retest before a potential continuation of the downward move. In this zone, a manipulation is likely, after which the decline may resume.
An additional confirmation of this scenario is the unfilled gap below, which remains uncovered. Historically, the market tends to close such gaps. Moreover, there are untested price levels lower on the chart, suggesting a high probability of further downside movement, with targets around 5000 points.
I will keep monitoring the situation and update my outlook as new data emerges.