Platinum: Protectionism Presents Challenges for a Key MetalBy Ion Jauregui – ActivTrades Analyst
Under a sky of uncertainty and volatility, platinum emerges as a key player in a global economic landscape marked by trade tensions and geopolitical challenges. This precious metal, essential in the automotive, chemical, and jewelry industries, has seen its prices fluctuate dramatically in recent years. The current situation—framed by shifts in international policies and the pressure from previous tariffs—calls for a detailed journalistic analysis that uncovers both the challenges and opportunities for publicly traded companies that depend on this strategic resource.
The Impact of Tariffs and Trade Tensions
During the Trump administration, tariffs and protectionist measures were imposed that, although initially targeted at other sectors, extended their consequences to the platinum market. These measures increased import costs and generated an atmosphere of uncertainty in international trade. The resulting tensions not only affected transactions but also reshaped corporate strategies around the procurement and processing of the metal. The legacy of these policies continues to influence the market, as expectations of new agreements or tariff restrictions keep investors on constant alert.
Publicly Traded Companies and Their Strategies
Mining companies listed on the stock exchange that specialize in platinum extraction have been particularly sensitive to these variations. Giants such as Anglo American Platinum and Impala Platinum (Implats)—whose financial performance is closely tied to the global price of the metal—have been forced to reassess their operational strategies. These market players have faced increased logistical costs and export challenges, factors that erode their margins and limit their ability to expand in such a volatile market. The pursuit of more resilient supply chains and market diversification has become crucial for weathering this environment of uncertainty.
Impacted Sectors and Related Companies
It is not only the mining firms that feel the impact of platinum’s price fluctuations. The automotive industry, which uses the metal in manufacturing catalytic converters to reduce harmful emissions, finds itself in a delicate position. Publicly traded companies like Toyota, Volkswagen, and BMW face the challenge of integrating these increased costs into a final product that is ever more demanding in terms of efficiency and environmental compliance. Meanwhile, the luxury and jewelry sectors are also at stake. Well-known international brands must maintain the quality and exclusivity of their products, all while passing on the additional costs induced by platinum’s volatility to the end consumer. This dynamic can affect both their profit margins and market positioning.
Technical Analysis
Since its peak in May 2024—when platinum reached $1,093.33—the metal exhibited a clear downward trend, settling at $1,052.83 by October of the previous year. Following that, several corrections have taken place, establishing a support zone around $905.34, while the average trading range defined by the point of control (POC) sits at approximately $944.04. Today, platinum trades around $957.50. This recovery reflects a rebound following a sharp move triggered by tariffs imposed during the Trump administration, which saw prices oscillate from $1,008 down to lows of $871.74. After a pause in tariff implementations, the metal’s price bounced back to current levels. The present trend appears to be operating within a long-term range, indicating that further recovery in prices could signal increased activity in key sectors—such as luxury, jewelry, and especially automotive and aerospace. Conversely, should these sectors experience a slowdown, demand for platinum might diminish, pushing the metal back toward its current support zone and testing the year’s recorded lows.
Looking Ahead
Ultimately, platinum stands as a vivid reflection of an economic environment full of challenges and opportunities. The repercussions of the protectionist measures implemented during the Trump administration, compounded by ongoing trade and geopolitical tensions, have set a volatile course for this strategic metal. While recent price recoveries suggest that sectors like automotive, jewelry, and aerospace are showing renewed dynamism, uncertainty remains. As publicly traded companies adjust their strategies to navigate these turbulent waters, the future of platinum will largely depend on the evolving demand in these key industries and the ability of international actors to forge stable agreements that mitigate the impact of trade policies.
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Beyond Technical Analysis
The US dollar is Forex's weakest currency this year 2025Fall of the US dollar: institutional investors were already selling in February
The US dollar (DXY) is officially the weakest currency on the floating foreign exchange market (Forex) since the beginning of the year. Down over 8% against all the world's major currencies, this vertical downtrend had been anticipated by technical analysis as early as January. This comes as no surprise to those who follow major technical signals: breakout of the 200-day moving average in early March, structural pressures visible with the Elliott wave fractal approach, bearish signals from the ichimoku system... in short, the technical tools had spoken, and the market has effectively embarked on a downtrend this year 2025.
The question now is: is a bottom in sight? In the short term, perhaps, the market is testing the strong chartist support of 99/100 points on the DXY (see main chart of this analysis).
In the medium term, the downtrend could continue. One thing is clear, and that is that institutional positioning has played a central role in the downturn: hedge funds and asset managers all turned bearish on the US dollar in the depths of winter. As early as February, the former became net buyers of EUR/USD, as shown by the CFTC's COT report. Then, at the beginning of March, all institutional investors became net sellers of the US dollar against a basket of major currencies (see the inset data in the chart below).
Bis repetita with the first year of Trump's first term (2017)
It was the trade war, that of the so-called reciprocal tariffs, which saw the increase in medium-term bearish technical signals on the US dollar against a basket of major currencies. Volatility on Wall Street exploded, not least because of the Trump administration's escalating tariffs. The US economic climate is becoming increasingly unpredictable for markets, with trade policy seemingly improvised and decisions generating systemic uncertainty.
But that's not all: the US bond market is also sending out warning signals. The 10-year yield has gone up, and spreads between the US and other developed economies have widened. Some even speak of a form of Chinese pressure on US debt, through massive sales of Treasuries. The MOVE index, a barometer of bond volatility, confirms it: the tension is there, and it's clearly weighing on the dollar.
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Telescope Lens: The Final Zoom-InLet me say this loud and clear—this isn’t just another bullish idea.
It’s not a maybe. It’s not a prediction. It’s a warning shot before the eruption.
I’ve seen what’s coming.
Not through speculation, not through recycled charts,
but through the kind of calculated pressure that only Smart Money knows how to load behind the scenes.
You’ve seen me call the impossible.
You’ve watched me go quiet right before the storm.
And now—I'm speaking again.
But this time, I’m not the same trader you used to know.
Things have changed.
The way I see the market has evolved.
This isn’t instinct anymore—it’s Telescope Lens precision.
I don’t just look at price—I pierce through it.
I don't follow trends—I dissect them.
I don't trade setups—I expose the blueprint behind them.
Because what’s loading isn’t small. It’s shift-level.
It's bullish not by structure—but by force.
And when it hits, many will call it luck.
But you? You were warned. You were shown.
So, if you’ve ever doubted me—this is the time to shut that voice down.
And if you’ve followed me for long enough, you know what happens when I speak like this:
Something massive is about to break loose.
And no, I won’t spell it out twice.
This is Telescope Lens mode which means were in a dump mode.
Gold Ideas April 16 ahead of Retail sales & Powell's speech🟡 XAUUSD – 16 April 2025 Trading Ideas
Timeframe: 1H (with 5m-15m confirmation)
Bias: Cautiously Bearish – Waiting for retrace or trap setup
Market Context:
Gold exploded during Asian session—currently hovering above 3280, showing early weakness
Price is extended deep into premium, with key resistance around 3290–3298
A retracement into 3,261–3,245 is likely, especially ahead of NY news
Lower timeframes showing slowdown & FVG gaps waiting to be filled
🔻 Sell Zone (Riskier Pre-News Entry)
Entry: 3288 – 3292
SL: 3300
TP1: 3270
TP2: 3250
TP3: 3240–3235
Reasoning:
Price swept 3280s liquidity
Frankfurt may fake breakout highs before NY data
Heavy imbalance and clean downside path to 3245 if structure breaks
Look for M-pattern / bearish engulfing on 5m
🔼 Buy Zone (Healthier Pullback Setup)
Entry: 3261 – 3245 (watch for reaction)
SL: Below 3230
TP1: 3280
TP2: 3292
TP3: 3300–3310 (if news aligns)
Reasoning:
Untapped demand + FVGs on 1H/5m
Clear signs of previous breakout zone
Needs bullish confirmation—no blind buys
📌 Important Notice!!!
The above analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always compare with your plan and wait for confirmation before taking action.
DJT Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-04-15NASDAQ:DJT DJT Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-04-15)
Below is a consolidated analysis based on the four reports:
─────────────────────────────
SUMMARY OF EACH MODEL’S KEY POINTS
• Grok/xAI Report:
– Notes that DJT is trading near its 10‐period EMAs on both the 5‑minute and daily charts.
– Indicates a moderately bullish short‐term outlook (helped by positive news about “Truth Social” investment accounts) even though the max pain is at $19.00.
– Recommends a call option trade (buy naked call) at or near the $20.00 strike with an acceptable premium (~$0.63).
• Claude/Anthropic Report:
– The report encountered an error and produced no usable analysis.
• Llama/Meta Report:
– Observes that while the 5‑minute chart shows short‐term bullishness (with price above key EMAs), the overall daily picture and max pain theory (targeting $19.00) point toward a slightly bearish bias.
– Suggests trading a put (such as buying the $19.50 put) but notes factors like high daily volatility and mixed indicators.
• Gemini/Google Report:
– Provides a nuanced view where the 5‑minute charts show consolidation near $20 while the daily chart’s indicators (RSI, MACD histogram, bullish postive news) favor a moderately bullish move.
– Highlights key liquidity around the $20 strikes and ultimately favors a call trade—leaning toward a slightly out‑of‑the‐money option ($20.50 call) but noting that trade risk should be managed tightly.
• DeepSeek Report:
– Summarizes the technical picture with DJT trading above short‐term moving averages but acknowledges max pain at $19.00.
– With a positive news catalyst and falling volatility (VIX), it leans moderately bullish and recommends a call purchase at the $20.00 strike.
─────────────────────────────
AREAS OF AGREEMENT AND DISAGREEMENT
• Agreement:
– All models note a current price of roughly $19.96 with technical support around the short‐term (near the 10‑period EMA).
– Ea
ch analysis recognizes key levels: immediate support near $19.85–$19.94 and resistance around $20.00–$20.50.
– Most models see positive momentum from favorable news (Truth Social catalyst) and improving short‑term indicators.
– Options-chain details (high OI and volume at the $20 strikes) underline the importance of that level.
• Disagreement:
– Llama/Meta tilts toward a bearish reading (using daily MACD and max pain theory, expecting a move toward $19.00) and suggests puts rather than calls.
– Strike selection differs slightly—with some reports favoring the ATM $20.00 call (Grok/xAI and DeepSeek) and others suggesting a slightly OTM $20.50 call (Gemini/Google).
─────────────────────────────
CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
Overall Market Direction Consensus:
The majority of analyses (three out of four usable models) lean moderately bullish on DJT in the near term. Positive technical momentum on the daily charts together with supportive news outweigh the bearish hints (like max pain and Llama/Meta’s view).
Recommended Trade:
– Trade Type: Buy single‑leg, naked call
– Chosen Strike: $20.00 call (weekly option)
– Expiration: 2025‑04‑17
– Entry: At open with an entry price near the ask of $0.63 per contract
– Risk/Reward Targets:
• Profit Target: Approximately a 20% premium gain (rising from $0.63 to about $0.76)
• Stop‑Loss: About 50% loss of the premium (around $0.32)
– Confidence Level: About 70% (reflecting the bullish bias driven by news and short‑term technicals, while remaining cautious of the max pain level)
Key Risks & Considerations:
– The max pain at $19.00 may exert downward pressure as expiration nears.
– Short‑term volatility remains high (VIX at 30.12), so the trade will need tight risk management.
– Should DJT fail to break above immediate resistance or show signs of a sharp reversal (e.g. dropping below $19.85), consider exiting early to protect capital.
─────────────────────────────
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{
"instrument": "DJT",
"direction": "call",
"strike": 20.00,
"expiry": "2025-04-17",
"confidence": 0.70,
"profit_target": 0.76,
"stop_loss": 0.32,
"size": 1,
"entry_price": 0.63,
"entry_timing": "open"
}
AUDUSD Discretionary Analysis: Recovery Mode ActivatedIt’s that feeling when the engine’s been cold for a while, but now it’s starting to rev. AUDUSD is flashing signs it wants to push up — not in a rush, but with purpose. I’m seeing strength building, like it’s getting ready to climb. Recovery mode’s not just activated — it’s already in motion. I’m calling for upside here. If it plays out, I’ll be riding the move. If not, hey, I’ll wait for the next setup. But right now? I like the long.
Just my opinion, not financial advice.
NZDUSD Discretionary Analysis: Bounce at 0.59Hello traders.
NZDUSD has potential for me. I'm expecting the momentum to continue, and I've got my eye on that 0.59 level to get involved. That's where I'll be looking for a setup.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
CHFJPY Discretionary Analysis: Bouncing from the zoneHello traders.
CHFJPY is getting ready for the bounce. Start looking for a setup, if you are not already in.
Discretionary Trading: Where Experience Becomes the Edge
Discretionary trading is all about making decisions based on what you see, what you feel, and what you've learned through experience. Unlike systematic strategies that rely on fixed rules or algorithms, discretionary traders use their judgment to read the market in real time. It's a skill that can't be rushed, because it's built on screen time, pattern recognition, and the ability to stay calm under pressure.
There's no shortcut here. You need to see enough market conditions, wins, and losses to build that intuition—the kind that tells you when to pull the trigger or sit on your hands. Charts might look the same, but context changes everything, and that's something only experience can teach you.
At the end of the day, discretionary trading is an art, refined over time, sharpened through mistakes, and driven by instinct. It's not for everyone, but for those who've put in the work, it can be a powerful way to trade.
Chips Down: What Shadows Loom Over Nvidia's Path?While Nvidia remains a dominant force in the AI revolution, its stellar trajectory faces mounting geopolitical and supply chain pressures. Recent US export restrictions targeting its advanced H20 AI chip sales to China have resulted in a significant $5.5 billion charge and curtailed access to a crucial market. This action, stemming from national security concerns within the escalating US-China tech rivalry, highlights the direct financial and strategic risks confronting the semiconductor giant.
In response to this volatile environment, Nvidia is initiating a strategic diversification of its manufacturing footprint. The company is spearheading a massive investment initiative, potentially reaching $500 billion, to build AI infrastructure and chip production capabilities within the United States. This involves critical collaborations with partners like TSMC in Arizona, Foxconn in Texas, and other key players, aiming to enhance supply chain resilience and navigate the complexities of trade tensions and potential tariffs.
Despite these proactive steps, Nvidia's core operations remain heavily dependent on Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) for producing its most advanced chips, primarily in Taiwan. This concentration exposes Nvidia to significant risk, particularly given the island's geopolitical sensitivity. A potential conflict disrupting TSMC's Taiwanese fabs could trigger a catastrophic global semiconductor shortage, halting Nvidia's production and causing severe economic repercussions worldwide, estimated in the trillions of dollars. Successfully navigating these intertwined market, supply chain, and geopolitical risks is the critical challenge defining Nvidia's path forward.
SOOOOOO MUCH information in every CANDLESTICK!!! BUY AUDCHFAll the information you need to find a high probability trade are in front of you on the charts so build your trading decisions on 'the facts' of the chart NOT what you think or what you want to happen or even what you heard will happen. If you have enough facts telling you to trade in a certain direction and therefore enough confluence to take a trade, then this is how you will gain consistency in you trading and build confidence. Check out my trade idea!!
www.tradingview.com
continue to grow, conquer new ATH, XAU⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US economic data delivered mixed signals. Import prices stayed subdued, while the New York Fed Manufacturing Index outperformed expectations, with several internal components also showing strength. However, inflationary pressures resurfaced as prices paid climbed back into expansionary territory, and the six-month business outlook showed signs of weakening.
Looking ahead, gold traders will closely monitor March Retail Sales and remarks from several Federal Reserve officials, particularly Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Wednesday. Additional focus will be on upcoming housing figures and weekly Initial Jobless Claims to gauge the broader economic landscape.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
After accumulating at the beginning of the week, gold price started to grow strongly reaching 3275 and will continue to move towards the new ATH zone.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone : 3288- 3290 SL 3295
TP1: $3270
TP2: $3250
TP3: $3235
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $3167 - $3165 SL $3160
TP1: $3180
TP2: $3200
TP3: $3220
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
DOW/US30 - RETAIL DATA AND POWELL SPEECHTeam,
The market has been a roller coaster due to the Trump Tariff plan
. We are in an entry long position now but with small volume only.
The current for US30 price is 40248
We are using a swing stop loss at 40120
Once the price reaches above 40300, bring stop loss to BE
the data consensus shows that 700% retail increase is more than last month.
this will likely support the market. Also, Trump's tariff plan would improve exports and bring down the DOLLAR.
Therefore, if you are risking a trade 1R buts 5R as a reward
Please assess your risk and make the decision.
NOTE: However, if the price drop toward 39800-39200, I will double and triple my money on long position
will get our money back easily.
Every trade you enter requires a risk and reward
ask yourself and analyst carefully
We can easily get 40300 then bring stop loss to BE for target the range above