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Market next target 🔄 Disruption Analysis: 1. Weak Support Confirmation The chart marks a "Support area," but there is no strong confirmation (e.g., a hammer or engulfing bullish candle with high volume). Support zones are more reliable with multiple prior bounces; here, it seems newly identified and not yet validated. 2. Bearish Volume Signature During the recent decline (before the support), the red volume bars are significantly larger, indicating strong selling pressure. The recovery candles near support have low volume, which may signal lack of conviction from bulls. 3. Lower Highs Formation Prior to the drop, we see a series of lower highs, hinting at weakening bullish momentum. This could suggest a potential bearish continuation, especially if price fails to break above the last local high (~106,000). 4. Possible Bearish Retest Instead of a bullish breakout, the current price might just be retesting the broken support-turned-resistance. This is a common bull trap scenario where prices bounce slightly before resuming downward.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
GBP/JPY - Breakout Brewing📊 GBP/JPY – Breakout Imminent? Price is testing key resistance at the top of the range within this ascending channel. We’re now at a critical decision point: 📈 A clean breakout above this supply zone could send us flying toward the 198.945 target – aligning with the channel top. 📉 A rejection, however, could trigger a drop back into demand at 192.352, offering a solid buy zone for continuation. 🧠 Patience is key here — wait for confirmation. Either way, volatility is expected next. Be ready. 🚨
by jamesibartram
1
Skeptic | Bitcoin Deep Dive: Rate Hikes, War Tensions & TriggersInterest Rates: The Big Picture Let’s start with the Federal Reserve’s move—interest rates jumped from 4.25% to 4.5% . What’s the deal? Higher rates mean costlier borrowing , so businesses and folks pull back on loans. This drains liquidity from risk assets like Bitcoin and SPX 500, slowing their uptrend momentum or pushing them into ranges or dips. Now, mix in the Israel-Iran conflict escalating ? Straight talk: risks are sky-high , so don’t bank on wild rallies anytime soon. My take? BTC’s likely to range between 97,000 and 111,000 for a few months until geopolitical risks cool (like Russia-Ukraine became “normal” for markets) and the Fed starts cutting rates. Those two could ignite new highs and a robust uptrend. Let’s hit the charts for the technicals! 📊 Technical Analysis Daily Timeframe: Setting the Stage You might ask, “If 100,000 support breaks, does that mean we’ve formed a lower high and lower low, flipping the trend bearish per Dow Theory?” Absolutely not! Here’s why: our primary uptrend lives on the weekly timeframe, not daily. The daily is just a secondary trend. If 100K cracks, it only turns the secondary trend bearish, leading to a deeper correction, but the major weekly uptrend stays intact. Spot Strategy: No spot buys for now. Economic and geopolitical risks are too intense. I’ll jump in once things stabilize. 😎 Key Insight: A 100K break isn’t a death sentence for the bull run—it’s just a shakeout. Stay calm! 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Triggers Zooming into the 4-hour chart, here’s where we hunt for long and short triggers: Long Trigger: Break above 110,513.92. We need a strong reaction at this level—price could hit it early or late, so stay patient for confirmation. Short Trigger: Break below 101,421.65. Same vibe—watch for a clean reaction to tweak the trigger for optimal entry. Pro Tip: These levels are based on past key zones, but time outweighs price. Wait for a reaction to nail the best entry. Patience is your edge! 🙌 Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D): Altcoin Watch As BTC dips, BTC.D (Bitcoin’s market share) is climbing, meaning altcoins are taking a bigger beating. Don’t touch altcoin buys until the BTC.D upward trendline breaks. They haven’t moved yet—you might miss the first 10-100%, but with confirmation, we’ll catch the 1,000-5,000% waves together. 😏 Shorting? If you’re shorting, altcoins are juicier than BTC—sharper, cleaner drops with more confidence. Patience, patience, patience—it’s the name of the game. Final Thoughts My quieter updates lately? Blame the geopolitical chaos, not me slacking . I’m hustling to keep you in the loop with clear, actionable insights. here, we live by No FOMO, no hype, just reason. Protect your capital—max 1% risk per trade, no exceptions. Want a risk management guide to level up? Drop a comment! If this analysis lit a spark, hit that boost—it keeps me going! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want next? Let me know in the comments. Stay sharp, fam! ✌️
by SkepticWise
1
Gold Weekly Friday Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsOn Thursday, gold maintained a sideways trend, currently trading near $3,370. It hit a low of $3,347 and then rebounded immediately, while yesterday's Federal Reserve interest rate decision had little impact on market volatility. Since Monday, when bearish forces were stronger than bullish ones, the gold market has been seeing equalized bullish and bearish forces, consolidating as it waits for the next stimulus direction. Once it stabilizes above $3,400 again, there is likely to be an inflection point, and it will gradually rise to test the upper track at $3,460–3,470. At the 4-hour level, it is currently under pressure at the middle track of $3,405, with support at $3,345. Gold may break out of the current range on Friday. Intraday trading can focus on range operations between the support of $3,345 and the resistance of $3,400: when the gold price stabilizes above $3,360, you can lightly go long, with targets sequentially at $3,375 and $3,395; if it is resisted below $3,395, you can try to lightly go short. XAUUSD buy@3350-3360 tp:3380-3390-3400 Investment itself is not the source of risk; it is only when investment behavior escapes rational control that risks lie in wait. In the trading process, always bear in mind that restraining impulsiveness is the primary criterion for success. I share trading signals daily, and all signals have been accurate without error for a full month. Regardless of your past profits or losses, with my assistance, you have the hope to achieve a breakthrough in your investment.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by EvanField
20
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has primarily exhibited downward trends during this week’s abbreviated trading session, narrowly failing to reach the targeted Mean Support level of 5940, as outlined in the previous Daily Chart Analysis. Currently, the index exhibits a bearish trend, suggesting a potential direction toward the Mean Support level of 5940, with an additional critical support level identified at 5888. Contrariwise, there exists a substantial likelihood that following the accomplishment of hitting the Mean Support of 5940, the index may experience recovery and ascend toward the Mean Resistance level of 6046. This upward movement could facilitate a resilient rally, ultimately topping in the completion of the Outer Index Rally at 6073, thereby enabling the index to address the Key Resistance level situated at 6150.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar has encountered a significant decline, dipping below the Mean Support level of 1.149; however, it exhibited a modest recovery on Friday. Recent analyses indicate that the Euro is likely to decrease further to the Mean Support level of 1.148, with the potential for extending its bearish trend to reach 1.140. Nevertheless, there remains a possibility that the current recovery will persist, which could result in price movements targeting the Key Resistance level at 1.158 and potentially leading to a retest of the Outer Currency Rally's 1.163 mark.
by TradeSelecter
3
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 20, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the recent trading session, Bitcoin exhibited an upward trend; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline from the established Mean Resistance level at 110300. On Friday, Bitcoin exhibited notable price action, characterized by a pump-and-dump scenario. At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downwards as it seeks to approach the Mean Support level at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to acknowledge the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $101500 and/or the Inner Coin Dip at $96500. Such a rally could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level at $107000.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter
DOT PLAN FOR 2025🔥 MIL:DOT long setup (1D) 🚀 ✅ Entry Zone: $3.10 – $3.40 (triple-tested demand) 🎯 Targets • TP-1: 8.80 (’24 breakdown line) • TP-2: $10.40 (pre-bear support) ⛔ Stop-Loss Daily close < $2.5 📊 Thesis Polkadot 2.0 is rolling out NOW: Agile Coretime marketplace, JAM smart-contract hub & 6-sec blocks via Asynchronous Backing. On-chain OpenGov controls a 508 M DOT treasury, while DeFi hubs (HydraDX, Moonbeam) just posted 200 %+ QoQ tx growth. Active accounts up 35 % YoY, >50 % of DOT already staked, and a Grayscale spot-DOT ETF is in the SEC queue. 🔥 risk-reward.
by Og_Bitpool
Crypto Jungle: Where Whales Feast and You’re the SnackHere’s the harsh truth: whales and market makers are robbing you blind. They create hype around garbage altcoins, meme coins, and straight-up shitcoins. You, the hardworking retail investor, buy the dream—they dump the bag. While you're stuck holding worthless tokens, they’re off buying Bitcoin, gold, real estate, and flexing in Lambos on exotic beaches. It’s not investing—it’s a jungle. And you're the easy meal. This isn’t a game. It’s a cycle: they pump, you buy, they dump, you cry. Stop being the prey. Start thinking like a predator—or get eaten. BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT BINANCE:SUIUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:BNBUSDT
Education
by Monstralian
2
Weekend Report – June 21, 2025US FEDERAL RESERVE SPLIT: POLICY AT A CROSSROADS: The US Federal Reserve stands increasingly divided over the trajectory of interest rates, with significant macro implications. Fed Governor Christopher Waller, viewed as a top contender to succeed Jerome Powell, called for a rate cut as early as the next meeting, citing muted inflationary pressure despite Donald Trump's new tariff regime. This position contrasts sharply with Powell’s own tone, which remains cautious amid a lack of definitive economic signals. The Fed has now paused for four straight meetings following 100 bps of cuts in 2024. However, the so-called "dot plot" released this week reveals increasing internal disagreement: 10 Fed officials project two or more cuts, while seven see no rate moves at all. Futures markets reflect expectations of two quarter-point cuts in 2025, starting around October, suggesting investors believe inflation remains contained despite trade protectionism. Waller's comments underscore growing Fed discomfort with political pressure. Trump has called for 250 bps in cuts and publicly derided Powell, adding to uncertainty about the Fed's independence heading into an election cycle. While Powell emphasized “anchored long-term inflation expectations” and said divergence would “diminish with data,” the Fed’s credibility remains sensitive to both political intervention and market interpretation. SWISS INHERITANCE TAX POLL TRIGGERS CAPITAL FLIGHT RISK: Switzerland faces reputational and financial damage ahead of a national vote in November to introduce a 50% inheritance tax on estates above SFr50 million. The proposal—originating from the far-left Young Socialists—is spurring warnings of an exodus of UHNWIs, reminiscent of the UK’s non-dom exodus. Legal and private banking professionals report that families are already relocating to Italy, Greece, and the UAE, fearing that even the proposal introduces dangerous legal and fiscal uncertainty. Prominent voices in Geneva and Zurich warn this could irreparably harm Switzerland’s wealth management brand and weaken its position amid competition from zero-tax jurisdictions like Dubai and Hong Kong. SUDAN’S GOLD SURGE FINANCES WARFARE: Sudan’s ongoing civil war is being underwritten by soaring artisanal gold production, driven by record-high bullion prices. Output hit 80 tonnes in 2024, worth over $6 billion, much of it smuggled to the UAE and Russia. This illicit supply chain funds both the SAF and RSF factions in a war that has killed 150,000 and displaced 12 million people. International think tanks such as Chatham House and C4ADS warn of deeply entrenched militarized trade networks and argue that the West has failed to address mineral revenue flows with sanctions or regulatory frameworks. Analysts suggest that targeting gold supply chains could represent a powerful pressure point in ending the conflict. BBC THREATENS AI STARTUP OVER CONTENT MISUSE: The BBC has issued a legal ultimatum to Perplexity AI, accusing the $14 billion-valued US AI search engine of unlawfully scraping and reproducing BBC content. In a formal letter, the BBC demanded deletion of scraped material and financial compensation, citing reputational damage and copyright violations. This marks the UK broadcaster’s first aggressive stance against AI scraping, as public sector institutions grow wary of being used to train large language models without remuneration or consent. While Perplexity dismissed the claim as “manipulative,” this could signal a broader wave of litigation across media institutions echoing ongoing legal battles from News Corp, The New York Times, and Condé Nast. APOLLO BOLSTERS UK NUCLEAR BUILDOUT WITH £4.5BN LOAN: US private capital giant Apollo has agreed to fund £4.5bn in unsecured debt to EDF’s delayed Hinkley Point C project in Somerset, easing pressure on a project whose costs have ballooned from £18bn to £46bn, with a new opening date set for 2029. The loan, at ~7% interest, addresses a shortfall following the UK’s ejection of China General Nuclear in 2023. The deal is a win for private credit’s emergence in public infrastructure, and a major boost to the UK’s push for baseload, low-carbon energy independence. EDF will now focus on France, while UK officials prepare to approve another £11.5bn investment into Sizewell C, to be discussed at a Franco-British summit in July. MIDDLE EAST CONFLICT DRIVES ENERGY VOLATILITY AND RISK REPRICING: The geopolitical crisis between Israel and Iran continues to drive extreme price movements in energy and logistics. Brent crude briefly surged to $79 per barrel, up 10% from the previous week after Israeli strikes on Iranian nuclear infrastructure. Though prices have since retraced to $76.66, volatility remains elevated due to uncertainty over supply routes. VLCC charter rates from the Gulf to China more than doubled from $19,998 to $47,609 per day within a week, with owners holding out for further gains. Rates for LR2 product tankers also surged to $51,879 per day. This reflects a possible market shift away from Iran’s dark fleet toward fully insured routes, which could lead to persistent tightness in freight availability. Global markets responded to tentative diplomatic outreach. European equities rallied, with Frankfurt’s DAX up 1.3%, while the FTSE 100 fell 0.2% on weak UK retail data. The VIX dropped 8%, but investor caution remains as supply chain risks through the Strait of Hormuz—transiting 30% of global seaborne crude loom large. EU-CHINA TENSIONS ESCALATE IN MEDTECH SECTOR: The European Commission announced that Chinese companies will be excluded from public procurement of medical devices on contracts exceeding €5 million. This move, enabled by the International Procurement Instrument, comes after EU investigations concluded 87% of Chinese contracts discriminate against EU suppliers. With EU-China tensions already inflamed by tariffs on EVs and spirits, this marks a pivot toward strategic reciprocity. China condemned the measure as “protectionism” and threatened countermeasures. The Commission remains open to lifting the restrictions should Beijing provide market access parity. This signals to global investors a tightening regulatory environment for Chinese participation in critical EU sectors. US CLEAN ENERGY FACES POST-TRUMP CLIFF: The Biden-era clean energy boom is facing a rapid reversal. Major solar providers like Sunnova and Mosaic have filed for bankruptcy, as proposed Congressional tax legislation threatens to slash key residential solar credits. Industry leaders predict a 50–60% demand collapse and up to 250,000 job losses if cuts proceed. Markets are already repricing: Sunrun shares dropped 36%, Enphase 21%, SolarEdge 30%, and First Solar 19% in recent days. With at least nine bankruptcies in 2025, compared to 16 in all of 2024, the sector’s liquidity is at breaking point. The Solar Energy Industries Association warns of a “six-month cliff” ahead, as the Trump administration pivots toward oil, biofuels, and nuclear. X CORP PUSHES INTO FINANCIAL SERVICES: Elon Musk’s X (formerly Twitter) is accelerating its push to become an “everything app” akin to China’s WeChat. CEO Linda Yaccarino announced plans to launch peer-to-peer payments, trading, and even debit cards this year via X Money, beginning in the US with Visa integration. While this could revolutionize user engagement and monetization, analysts warn of regulatory risks including compliance with anti-money laundering, KYC, and financial licensing laws. Notably, X is seeking to recover its ad business post-Musk acquisition 96% of advertisers have reportedly returned, though 2025 revenue forecasts ($2.3bn) remain far below 2022 levels ($4.1bn). MICROSOFT VS OPENAI: EQUITY BATTLE INTENSIFIES: Microsoft is reportedly prepared to walk away from equity renegotiations with OpenAI if no favorable deal is reached. While the partnership remains in “good faith,” Microsoft wants to retain its 20% revenue share up to $92bn, exclusive Azure distribution rights, and access to OpenAI’s IP pre-AGI. OpenAI needs Microsoft’s approval to finalize its for-profit restructuring, without which it risks losing funding commitments from SoftBank and others. This adds pressure to an already fragile alliance amid infrastructure capacity constraints and competition from xAI and Meta’s Llama. Market attention now shifts to whether OpenAI’s valuation premium holds if Microsoft pivots to broader AI diversification. NOVO NORDISK SURGES ON OBESITY PIPELINE STRENGTH: Novo Nordisk has announced early-stage trial results for amycretin, a new obesity drug that caused 24.3% weight loss in its injectable form, surpassing both Wegovy and Eli Lilly’s Zepbound. The pill version delivered 13.1% loss, with the potential to match injectables over longer durations. Novo is aiming to regain investor confidence after disappointing CagriSema trials last year. Shares, down over 50% YoY, may rebound as the company expands its anti-obesity portfolio. Analysts say amycretin could rival Lilly’s orforglipron, which showed 14.7% weight loss over 36 weeks in Phase 2 trials. NIGER NATIONALIZES URANIUM ASSETS AMID GEOPOLITICAL SHIFT: Niger has moved to nationalize the Somair uranium project, co-owned with France’s Orano, amid deteriorating diplomatic ties. The junta accuses Orano of failing to transfer funds and actively undermining the state. Compensation will be offered, but France's influence in Niger’s resource sector is likely to decline. This follows a trend of state asset seizures in the Sahel, with Mali and Burkina Faso asserting more control over mining ventures. Orano is reportedly seeking to sell its Niger assets, possibly to Russian or Chinese interests. The move adds a new geopolitical risk layer to nuclear energy supply chains. AUSTAL SHIPYARD TAKEOVER POSES SECURITY DEBATE: South Korea’s Hanwha is seeking to increase its stake in Australian defense shipbuilder Austal to 19.9%, raising national security concerns. While CFIUS has cleared the deal in the US, Australia’s FIRB may block it, given Austal’s pivotal role in naval procurement. CEO Paddy Gregg said foreign ownership would conflict with Canberra’s “sovereignty-first” strategy outlined in its 2023 defense review. While US officials favor Hanwha’s role in joint shipbuilding initiatives, Australia must weigh alliance integration against domestic capability protection. This debate reflects broader defense industrial shifts in the Indo-Pacific amid growing Chinese naval assertiveness.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by Buranku
-0.5% Week | A Tough Reminder: Risk Management is EverythingFirst trade hit 2R , exited early due to the bank holiday. Next day, I gave it all back. 3 stop-losses. Poor risk management . I got overconfident after being in profit and paid the price. Also realized mobile tools (like SL placement on TradingView app) can hurt if not set up right. Last week was +6% with strict risk rules. This week? A reminder that trading is 90% mindset and discipline. Lessons: • Protect your capital, always. • Don’t loosen your rules after a win. • Your edge only works if you follow your plan. Stay disciplined. Survive the noise. Let your edge play out.
by Mrshazee
ETHUSD Potential long ideaThe market made an all time high at 4095.4 following the November bull run. Street money flooded premium prices trying to buy above all time highs. Once price inevitably dropped from that premium level all of the bulls who bought above premium provided not only exit liquidity for longer term traders, but also "resistance" or "supply" levels that are easily recognizable for anyone who wants to double down on their position once the market forms what appears to be a short term low. Seeing this kind of trading occur in the way that it is occurring and at the prices that it is occurring at gives me insight that the market is now going to enter ranging conditions pairing liquidity from both sides of the range. the market goes right to 01.23.24 low at 2165 and sweeps that level eventually making its way right back to 4097.4 only $2 higher than the all time high. These 3 levels being used in this way to send the market to both sides of a trapped range is done to allow for time to pass and orders to build up. Since the overall trend of the crypto markets and ETH in general is upward, I am assigning this behavior to institutional accumulation of discount prices. Under this assumption I will look to see a new short term low set in the market. I will see that signature begin when a short term high leads to taking out a htf discount level with an aggressive displacement lower. I can expect to see these sweeps just above or just below key lows Key prices to watch - Sunday 05.18.25 low; 2325 - Friday 05.09.25 H4 +ob; 2350.9 - Daily dealing range C.E; 2271.5 - Daily + Breaker open 2081.5 - M0A_. 1732.5
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDLong
by M-0-A_Insights
HMMMCL1! Crude Oil Futures – 1D & 4H Technical Breakdown by GOAT This chart presents a comprehensive multi-timeframe analysis of NYMEX Crude Oil Futures (CL1!), utilizing daily and 4-hour views to outline key technical levels, trend momentum, and potential trade setups. 🟤 Left Panel – CL1! Daily Chart (1D): Macro Resistance Test: Price is retesting a major descending trendline from the 2022 highs, now acting as a key long-term resistance zone between 75.80–77.00. Breakout Structure: A strong push from the $62.50 base has created a steep rally, with price entering a historically reactive supply zone. Rejection Risk: Highlighted red box signals a high-probability reversal zone unless price confirms a clean breakout above trendline resistance. RSI Observation: Daily RSI near overbought levels (~78), reflecting possible exhaustion and signaling caution for bulls. 🟠 Right Panel – CL1! Intraday Chart (4H): EMA Structure: Price riding the 21/50/100 EMA cluster with trend confirmation—momentum remains bullish but flattening. Channel & Pullback Setup: Short-term ascending trendline may act as a bounce point. Failure could shift price toward 71.30 or lower. Divergence Watch: Bearish RSI divergence forming, suggesting weakening momentum on recent highs. Trade Zone: Boxed region shows a potential long setup targeting the 75.80–77.00 area with a stop below 71.30, giving a clear R:R window. 📉 RSI Panels: Daily RSI: Approaching historical overbought levels. Traders should watch for momentum reversal or confirmation through trend continuation. 4H RSI: Divergence vs price highs and loss of recent bullish slope could foreshadow a short-term correction. 🧠 Summary: Crude oil is at a critical confluence zone, testing a macro trendline on the daily and showing slowing momentum intraday. Price action over the next few candles will likely determine whether we see a breakout continuation toward 80+ or a rejection back toward the mid-60s. ⚙️ Educational chart designed for technical traders – not financial advice.
NYMEX:CL1!Short
by goat-farm