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Beyond Technical Analysis

Initiated a short position in GOLD, successfully reached target Gold may show bullish momentum at today’s open due to several key factors: Safe-Haven Demand: Rising inflation or economic instability often drives investors toward gold, bolstering its appeal. Weaker Dollar: A softer dollar makes gold more attractive to international buyers, supporting price gains. Interest Rate Outlook: Speculation around potential rate cuts or pauses makes holding gold more favorable, reducing its opportunity cost. Geopolitical Uncertainty: Tensions or instability in global markets can increase demand for gold as a safe asset. Technical Factors: A recent break above resistance or strong support levels can trigger technical buying, reinforcing an uptrend.
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by OssianH
🏃‍♀️🏃🏽‍♀️ Crypto market. “Sell in May and Go away”The historical pattern known as the seasonal divergence "Sell in May, and Go away" was popularized by the Stock Trader's Almanac, which stated that investing in stocks represented by the Dow Jones Industrial Average November through April and switching to fixed income for the remaining six months "would have delivered reliable returns with reduced risk since 1950." What is “Sell in May and Go away”? “Sell in May and Go away” is a well-known adage in finance. It is based on the stock's historical underperformance over a six-month period from May to October. According to Fidelity Investments, the divergence has remained most pronounced in recent years, with the S&P 500 Index (SPX) gaining an average of about 2% from May to October between 1990 and the next 30 years, compared with an average of about 7% since November to April. The Halloween Indicator's research paper, 'Sell in May and Go Away': Everywhere and All the Time*, which examined stock markets outside the US, found the same pattern, calling the seasonal divergence trend "remarkably persistent." Key Findings 👉 “Sell in May and Go away” is a saying that refers to the historically weaker performance of financial markets from May to October compared to the other half of the year. 👉 Investors can try to benefit from this pattern by switching to less risky assets from May to October based on historical data. Seasonality in investment flows could continue as a result of financial industry and business year-end bonuses, possibly aided by the mid-April U.S. income tax filing deadline. Whatever the fundamental considerations, the historical picture became more pronounced as a result of the October stock market crashes of 1987 and 2008. Bottom Line The only drawback of historical patterns is that they do not reliably predict the future. This is especially true for well-known historical patterns. If enough people became convinced that the “Sell in May and Go Away” pattern would continue, it would essentially begin to disappear immediately. All the early sellers would try to sell in April and bid against each other to buy back the assets before the others in October. At the same time, certain considerations regarding the development of geopolitical events in the period from May to October 2024 give reason to think about the prospects of such a scenario for the next 6 months. * The Halloween Indicator, 'Sell in May and Go Away': Everywhere and All the Time Ben Jacobsen Tilburg University - TIAS School for Business and Society; Massey University Cherry Yi Zhang Nottingham University Business School China; Massey University - School of Economics and Finance
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by Pandorra
3
GER40 Trade Log Trade Setup (30/10/2024) - GER40 Long on Daily / 4H FVG 1. Setup: Entering a long position within the Fair Value Gap (FVG) on the daily and 4-hour timeframes, as this zone serves as a key demand area. 2. Entry strategy: - Target: 1:2 RRR. - Risk: 1% of account. - Confirmation: Look for signs of bullish support or reversal patterns within the FVG zone, such as a bullish engulfing candle or strong rejection wick on the 4H or daily chart. 3. Stop-loss and take-profit: - Place stop-loss just below the FVG to manage downside risk. - Take-profit set at twice the stop-loss distance, aligned with nearby resistance or supply levels for a 1:2 RRR. 4. Additional considerations: - Monitor macroeconomic news and European market sentiment that could impact GER40. - Wait for solid bullish signs within the FVG to ensure higher probability for upside momentum. This setup leverages the multi-timeframe FVG as a demand zone, aiming for a high-probability long entry if price shows support within this area.
PEPPERSTONE:GER40Long
by Fondera-Trading
2
XAUUSD shortXAUUSD YES I AM THINK TO 2800 THEN SO EHAT? Gold was trading at a fresh all-time high this morning, It is closing in on its next key upside target of $2,800, having broken above $2,700 less than a fortnight ago. The chart continues to look constructive from a bullish perspective. The MACD indicates that momentum remains to the upside, while below the overbought levels seen at the end of September. it looks as if there’s less room overhead when compared to mid-October. the three converged was in mid-February just before the start of this leg of the rally when gold was trading below $2,000 per ounce. So, it all looks tickety-boo for the bulls, and that means also it’s time to be extremely cautious. The silver chart is very messy in comparison. From a bullish perspective, But the market has yet to take off dramatically which is a feature of a full-blown silver bull market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ssaeedg
#GBPUSD 4HGBPUSD 4-Hour Analysis The GBPUSD pair has broken above a key trendline resistance on the 4-hour chart, signaling a bullish shift in momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining control, creating an opportunity for a potential buy entry as the price advances. Technical Outlook: - Pattern: Trendline Resistance Breakout - Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) - Entry Level: Above the broken trendline resistance Traders can consider entering buy positions above the breakout level, with targets set at the next resistance levels. Confirming indicators like RSI for a momentum shift or MACD for a bullish crossover can further strengthen the entry signal, supporting the bullish forecast.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
BTC's Next Moves: Key Levels to Watch!hello guys! Technical Analysis: Primary Uptrend: After a sharp breakout from the triangle pattern, Bitcoin is moving towards the target zone around $73,500–$74,000. Two Possible Scenarios (Based on Arrows): Scenario 1 (Immediate Rally): BTC could maintain its upward momentum, bypassing the lower support and heading directly towards the upper target zone around $73,500–$74,000. Scenario 2 (Pullback and Retest): BTC may temporarily retrace towards the highlighted support area (~$71,500) before resuming the uptrend towards the target zone. This pullback would provide additional support confirmation before a potential rally. In summary, BTC’s next steps could either see a continued surge or a brief retest of support before reaching its triangle target. Keep an eye on these levels for optimal trading setups! 🚀
by melikatrader94
13
#EURGBP 4HEURGBP 4-Hour Analysis The EURGBP pair has successfully broken above a trendline resistance on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential shift toward bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are taking control, creating an opportunity for long positions as the price gains upside strength. Technical Outlook: - Pattern: Trendline Resistance Breakout - Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) - Entry Level: Above the broken trendline resistance Traders may consider buying above the breakout level, with targets set at the next resistance zones. To validate the buy setup, it's recommended to check indicators like RSI for momentum confirmation or MACD for a bullish crossover, which can further strengthen the signal.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER