GOOGL at a Key Inflection Point! Trade Setups for Jan 23 Analysis:
Google (GOOGL) is currently trading near a critical resistance level at $200, which coincides with the highest positive Gamma Exposure (GEX) and a significant psychological round number. The price action suggests a potential breakout or rejection scenario.
Technical Observations:
1. Trend Analysis:
* GOOGL is forming an ascending triangle pattern on the hourly chart, indicating bullish consolidation.
* Higher lows reinforce buying pressure.
2. Key Levels:
* Resistance: $202 (recent high and 3rd call wall)
* Support: $192.5 (major support level and put gamma wall), $187.3 (next key support)
3. Indicators:
* MACD: Shows a weak bullish crossover, suggesting momentum is building but not yet decisive.
* Stochastic RSI: In the overbought zone, hinting at potential short-term exhaustion.
4. Volume Profile:
* Increased volume near $200 suggests significant market interest at this level.
GEX Insights:
1. Call Walls:
* Key Call Levels: $202 (3rd call wall) and $205 (2nd call wall). These levels act as resistance where call sellers might hedge, amplifying upward movement if breached.
2. Put Walls:
* Key Put Levels: $192.5 and $185. These serve as support levels where put sellers may defend prices.
3. IVR and Options Activity:
* IVR: 53 (indicating above-average implied volatility).
* Options Flow: Call volume dominates with 27.6% skew, highlighting bullish sentiment in the short term.
Trade Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
* Entry: Break above $202 with strong volume.
* Target: $205 (next resistance) and $210 (longer-term resistance).
* Stop-Loss: Below $198 to minimize risk.
Bearish Scenario:
* Entry: Rejection at $200-$202.
* Target: $192.5 (support) and $187.3 (next key level).
* Stop-Loss: Above $203 to limit losses.
Actionable Suggestions:
* Monitor price action around $200-$202. A decisive move above or rejection will define the next direction.
* Keep an eye on options flow. Increasing call open interest near $205 may signal bullish continuation.
* Be cautious of overbought signals from the Stochastic RSI.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your risk before trading.
Beyond Technical Analysis
ICP breakout expected as positive cashflow is achievedInternet Computer Protocol is a unique project, that allows investors to accurately assess fundamentals. 2024 has been an amazing year for the project:
ICP has been recognised as being the fastest blockchain in terms of max recorded transactions per second, outperforming Solana by more than 3 times (Cryptogics November 2024).
In terms of compute, ICP is frequently burning more than 1 trillion 'cycles' per second, approximately 200x the 5B cycles/s it routinely burned a year ago.
It is also reported to be the cheapest for transactions and data storage, by one or more orders of magnitude, depending on the blockchain it is compared with (Token Terminal December 2024). More than 4Tb of data is stored on ICP, more than 3.3x the data stored on Ethereum and potentially more data than is held on-chain by all other crypto projects combined.
ICP is attracting developers at breakneck speed (3rd preferred blockchain for new developers), with fees collected up 40x year-on-year (Token Terminal December 2024).
These metrics are impressive, but despite the heavy-hitting results booked to date, ICP is still ranked 39th with a market cap of (just) US$4.1B in the CoinGecko list of crypto projects, well below projects with no or little utility. This has led to some insiders referring to ICP as 'crypto's most undervalued project'.
This month (January 2025), ICP will achieve 'positive cashflow', defined here as the point at which revenue from compute (ICP burned) exceeds the cost of the network (ICP minted to reward node providers). Refer to my post on Nuance for more detail (nuance.xyz).
Apart from this critical milestone, the tokenomics of ICP are such that effective deflation is affected by the value of the ICP token. I built a model described in another Nuance post (nuance.xyz) that estimates deflation (defined as a decrease in the ICP circulating supply) to be achieved in 2028, but at the current depressed ICP price below US$10, effective deflation will be achieved before this Christmas!!
In the context of the above, I expect ICP to increase significantly in value this year and given the chart provided here, my expectation is that the price of ICP will flip on a dime this week with the news of ICP achieving positive cashflow ('operational profit'). My view is that 10x is achievable in 2025.
I do not provide financial advice. The above expresses my personal view and may be way off the mark. Please do your own research but feel free to comment.
Order Flow / Delta Volume Indicator (PAID)Welcome to my Order Flow Slat / Delta Volume Indicator , the most affordable and effective tool for momentum analysis based on order flow and volume. This indicator is designed to perfectly capture market trends and highlight potential traps.
Let me break it down for you:
• The black line represents the VWap Line, which tracks the overall momentum.
• The blue line is the real game-changer. It acts as a confirmation line that syncs with price action to validate whether a trend is solid or deceptive.
Here’s how it works:
• If the price moves up and the blue line also moves up, the trend is confirmed as solid.
• However, if the price moves up while the blue line moves down, it’s likely a trap—indicating weakness in the trend.
Take this example: Around the green line at the 101,115 price level, the price appeared to be going up, but the blue line was still rising, signaling a trap. Later, as we observed the 6th red candle, both the blue line and the price were moving down together, confirming a strong downtrend.
It’s that simple! This indicator helps you differentiate between solid trends and potential traps with ease. Thank you for watching!
Message me to know more about this indicator and pricing and follow for more interesting Indicators.
Snow lake resources = life changing moneySnow lake has been developing an admirable portfolio of drill sites to their repertoire. With multiple drill sites containing a slew of significant resources, and the snow lake site appraised with an estimated NPV of 1.7 billion. This company seems like a no brainer. Their drill site results should be published soon this month or in Feburary, and they have done three cash offerings to raise cash on hand and capital. The company is well positioned to drill on their sites. I have estimated that they will be making 150 million a year in revenue just off of the lithium in their snow lake site. They have found Uranium and Gallium at their drill sites as well. Gallium is crucial for semiconductor fabrcation and is considered one of the most valuable resources on this day. Most of Gallium and semicoductor production is found in Taiwan and this discovery raises an eye when it comes to valuation on this company. With Ai needing more power for the data centers Uranium/nuclear power has become a major point when it comes to pwoering these data centers. With a market cap of 100million currently this company is considered seriously undervalued with just the estimated profit from lithium drilling at snow lake. I think you will see this company reach a valuation of around 1billion-5billion and you might see these shares rise up from around 1.00 to 20-40 dollars a share in a few years time.
Thanks,
Ben
EUR/USD Weekly: Double Top Signals Further Downside Potential
The EUR/USD weekly chart shows a clear double top formation, with the neckline already broken, indicating a potential bearish continuation.
Scenario 1:
The price could retest the broken neckline, which now acts as resistance, before resuming its downward move. This scenario aligns with the prevailing bearish trend, targeting the key support zone at 0.99810.
Scenario 2:
If the price manages to break above the resistance after retesting the neckline, it may enter a consolidation phase within the larger descending channel. However, the overall trend remains bearish unless the price breaks out of the channel.
The ultimate target for this downtrend lies in the 0.99810 region, where significant support could trigger a reaction. Traders should monitor the neckline retest and price behavior near resistance for further confirmation.
Gold adjusted at the beginning of the week - still in an uptrend⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) dip slightly to around $2,765 during the early Asian session on Monday, influenced by renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD). However, the downside for the precious metal may remain limited due to prevailing caution and uncertainty over US President Donald Trump's tariff policies.
The USD gains strength as Trump escalates trade tensions with new measures. On Sunday, he imposed significant tariffs and sanctions on Colombia after the country refused to allow two military planes carrying deported migrants to land. Trump announced an emergency 25% tariff on all Colombian imports, set to increase to 50% within a week. This development adds pressure on USD-denominated gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold prices adjusted down after a strong increase last week, creating liquidity at the beginning of the week. Still in an uptrend.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2740 - $2738 SL $2733
TP1: $2748
TP2: $2755
TP3: $2770
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2783 - $2785 SL $2790
TP1: $2775
TP2: $2768
TP3: $2760
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable BUY order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 01/27/25MNQ!/NQ1! Day Trade 🎯 for 01/27/25
📈 21750 (NEXT LEVELS: 21865)
📉 21406 (NEXT LEVELS: 21372, 21227)
Like and share for more daily ES/NQ levels 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research, demonstrating over 90% accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
btc updatenot a good look on the entire market. if im right we have have hit the top or we may test for one more high for btc before starting to see a retrenchment to wave-c in the big picture. as of now i will remain bearish until i see a clear break-out on any coin. we may see a slow grind down,and a lot of volatility with crazy swings that dont seem to make any sense before we see any more momentum to a break out.
Tornado Cash ComebackTornado cash is looking particularly interesting. Such an innovative piece of history, and interesting none the less. Very minimal analysis here, just speculation relative to previous highs. How much more diluted is Tornado Cash now, and what would the market cap have to be to reach a new ATH?
GE Aerospace Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought GE before the breakout:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of GE Aerospace prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 185usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-3-21,
for a premium of approximately $8.80.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Dont sleep on DeFi, so much potetnital$21.4M and inclreas of 447.60% in last 24 hours
DYOR byt If it not looks good enough for you, then idk what are you looking for. Another PEPE or TRUMP on ICO?
- Behaves predictable and holding supports well
- Not influenced by BTC speculative moves as dramatically as other majors tokens you know.
- Volume and new holders increasing every day
- A lot of potential with and it still by the major support area
So, IMHO - just take something small you are ready to put in speculative trade and let it marinade there for the next couple months
Trade wars begin.The trade war with Colombia will have a ripple effect across several industries, particularly those heavily reliant on imports and exports. Here’s a breakdown of how this could impact sectors and stocks:
1. Coffee Companies (Starbucks, Green Mountain Coffee)
Impact: Coffee prices are likely to rise due to reduced imports from Colombia, one of the largest coffee producers in the world. This could affect the cost structure of companies like Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and Keurig Dr Pepper, which owns Green Mountain Coffee.
Stock Impact:
Short-term: Likely negative, as higher input costs could squeeze margins. Expect some volatility in these stocks as investors react to news.
Long-term: If these companies raise prices to offset costs, it could hurt demand, especially for premium-priced products.
Opportunities:
Monitor Starbucks ( NASDAQ:SBUX ) and consider a put option or short-term bearish strategy if you expect higher costs to impact earnings in the near term.
If you’re bullish on their ability to navigate the crisis (e.g., through diversified sourcing), look for a dip-buying opportunity.
2. Floriculture Companies (1-800-Flowers, FLWS)
Impact: The U.S. sources a significant percentage of its flowers from Colombia. Disruptions could lead to price spikes, reduced inventory, and higher shipping costs from alternative markets (e.g., Ecuador, Mexico).
Stock Impact:
Short-term: Likely negative as supply chain costs rise and flower availability decreases.
Long-term: FLWS may pivot to alternative sources or raise prices, but this would take time.
Opportunities:
Watch FLWS closely for earnings revisions or news of sourcing diversification.
Short-term bearish plays like puts could capitalize on anticipated cost pressures.
3. U.S. Oil Companies
Impact: Stopping U.S. oil exports to Colombia could create slight downward pressure on domestic oil prices due to reduced overseas demand. However, this would be marginal since Colombia isn’t a major importer of U.S. oil.
Stock Impact:
Short-term: Likely neutral to slightly negative for U.S. oil companies like ExxonMobil ( NYSE:XOM ) and Chevron ( NYSE:CVX ).
Long-term: Unlikely to have a major impact unless it coincides with other geopolitical disruptions.
Opportunities:
Consider refiners (e.g., Valero NYSE:VLO ), as lower crude oil costs could improve refining margins.
If you believe U.S. domestic oil prices will dip, look at ETFs like USO for bearish plays.
4. General Market Sentiment
Trade wars often create uncertainty, which can lead to increased market volatility. Certain sectors, like consumer staples (e.g., packaged food companies), could act as safe havens, while sectors with direct exposure to Colombia may experience sell-offs.
5. Strategies Without Futures Access
Focus on stocks and ETFs that are indirectly impacted:
Agriculture ETFs: Consider broader agriculture plays, like DBA (Invesco Agriculture Fund), which includes coffee.
Bunge Limited (BG): Another agricultural commodity processor that might reflect broader trends in soft commodity markets.
Bearish on Specific Stocks:
Use put options or short strategies on stocks like NASDAQ:SBUX or NASDAQ:FLWS if you believe higher costs will erode profits.
Bullish on Domestic Producers: Companies that grow coffee domestically or are diversified into synthetic alternatives might benefit from supply chain shifts.
Final Thoughts
Colombia’s trade war fallout will have mixed effects depending on the sector. For companies heavily dependent on Colombian imports (e.g., coffee and flowers), there’s short-term risk, while for oil-related sectors, the impact is likely neutral to slightly bearish. Evaluate the timing carefully and focus on industries with clear, immediate exposure.
27/01/2025 gold analysisOn gold we are technically approaching the All
Time HIgh area supporting by a fear of a cold war
leading by DTrump + his particular interest to
lower the IR of the USA.
During this week there is the FOMC meeting during
Wednesday night and the investors are excepting the
FED to keep the IR unchanged for the time being
As we are near the ATH we can anticipate that FED will
not bring that much new to the table and that a TP move
from an investors perspective can occur in order to
repositionning themselves on better demand zones before
potentially continuing higher and breaking the ATH prices.
Later on the week we have some PCE numbers actually
excepted to be unchanged.
We can except price to accumulated / ranging before the
actual FOMC.
Gold is nearing a major resistance 27902790 is a monthly support so, I guess we can confirm if we can look for long term buys or sells by the closing of this months candle. Lets wait for price action to develop before concluding. But a greater possibility is the price could go up , because overall the price is very bullish. And one thing is that the price has been soaring up for so long, so it might decide to come down. I am watching the price closely at this point.
NKN Breakout Alert: Key Levels and Targets IdentifiedDescending wedge setup suggests a bullish reversal – here’s what to watch.
NKN is showing a textbook descending wedge pattern on the daily chart, signaling a potential breakout. Key support at $0.076 has been repeatedly tested, confirming a solid bottom. A short-term pullback to the $0.79–$0.82 zone is expected, presenting an excellent buy opportunity for Degen traders. Of course, absolute confirmation of a breakout is the breakout and test of the breakout line. The initial breakout target is $0.1075, offering a potential 20% gain, with further upside possible if momentum holds.
Volume spikes and Bollinger Bands suggest the move is imminent, but caution is advised to avoid overextensions. Watch for pullbacks to mid-channel levels for re-entries, and keep an eye on weekly chart trends, which support a broader reversal. This setup offers both short-term gains and long-term potential for those ready to act.
Companion video:
COINBASE:NKNUSDC
CRYPTO:NKNUSD
Not investment advice, this is just for posterity😎
Do your own research.
The Splintering Market: Geopolitical Upheaval, Financial Innovation, and the Looming Food Crisis
Abstract
The global market is undergoing a profound transformation, driven by rapid geopolitical shifts, technological advancements, and the emergence of innovative financial tools. However, this transformation is not without its challenges. While sectors like artificial intelligence (AI) and electric vehicles (EVs) thrive, the food supply chain faces unprecedented stress, threatening to plunge the world into a crisis not seen since the Great Dust Bowl. This paper explores the concept of market splintering, the widening gap between social classes, and the compounding effects of weakened regulatory agencies on public health and safety. It also examines how these forces interact to reshape the global economy and society.
Introduction: A Market and Society at a Crossroads
The modern financial market and society are no longer cohesive entities. Instead, they are splintering into distinct sectors and classes, each responding differently to the pressures of geopolitics, technological innovation, and shifting consumer demands. This paper argues that the market is entering a new paradigm, one best described as a "horizontal hourglass," where extreme highs and lows coexist, flattening traditional indices like the S&P 500 into a thread of stagnation. Simultaneously, society is fracturing along class lines, with the looming food crisis threatening to exacerbate these divisions.
The catalysts for this transformation are multifaceted. On one hand, geopolitical upheaval—exemplified by Donald Trump's recent tariffs on Colombia—disrupts global supply chains and traditional industries. On the other hand, financial innovation, such as Roundhill Investments' synthetic covered call ETFs, offers new opportunities for investors to adapt to this fractured landscape. However, the most pressing issue lies in the food supply chain, which is under immense stress due to climate change, weakened regulatory oversight, and geopolitical tensions. Together, these forces are reshaping the global economy and society in ways that demand a forward-looking approach to investment, governance, and public health.
Chapter 1: The Horizontal Hourglass—A New Market Paradigm
1.1 The Traditional Market Model
Historically, financial markets have been analyzed through the lens of cyclical patterns and historical data. The Great Depression, the 2008 financial crisis, and the COVID-19 pandemic all followed a similar trajectory: a sharp downturn followed by a gradual recovery. However, this model fails to account for the complexities of the modern global economy, where technology, data, and geopolitics interact in unprecedented ways.
1.2 The Horizontal Hourglass Explained
The "horizontal hourglass" is a metaphor for the current market dynamics. Instead of a vertical crash, where all sectors decline simultaneously, the market is bulging outward. High-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and electric vehicles (EVs) are reaching new highs, while traditional industries such as consumer goods and manufacturing face significant challenges. This divergence creates a flattened middle, where indices like the S&P 500 struggle to reflect the true state of the market.
Top Half of the Hourglass: Dominated by innovation-driven sectors such as technology, EVs, and data analytics.
Bottom Half of the Hourglass: Traditional industries, including daily consumer goods and manufacturing, are weighed down by geopolitical disruptions and supply chain vulnerabilities.
Flattened Middle: The S&P 500 and other indices fail to capture the extremes, leading to a decade of stagnation.
Chapter 2: The Rise of AI and EVs as Stabilizing Forces
2.1 Artificial Intelligence: The New Economic Engine
AI is rapidly becoming the backbone of the global economy, driving innovation in sectors ranging from healthcare to finance. Companies leveraging AI are experiencing exponential growth, creating a stark contrast with traditional industries struggling to adapt.
AI in Supply Chain Management: While AI is helping optimize supply chains in high-tech industries, it has yet to address the vulnerabilities in the food supply chain, which remains heavily reliant on manual labor and outdated infrastructure.
AI and Class Disparity: The rise of AI is creating a new class of "data elites," further widening the gap between the wealthy and the working class.
2.2 Electric Vehicles: The Green Revolution
The EV market is another stabilizing force in the fractured economy. Companies like Tesla and Rivian are driving growth in the top half of the hourglass, benefiting from government incentives and consumer demand for sustainable transportation.
EVs and Resource Scarcity: The production of EVs relies on rare earth metals, which are subject to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions.
EVs and the Food Crisis: While EVs represent progress in reducing carbon emissions, their rise does little to address the immediate challenges of food production and distribution.
Chapter 3: The Looming Food Crisis
3.1 A Fragile Supply Chain
The global food supply chain is under immense stress, facing challenges not seen since the Great Dust Bowl. Climate change, geopolitical tensions, and labor shortages are converging to create a perfect storm.
Climate Change: Extreme weather events are disrupting crop yields, leading to shortages and price spikes.
Geopolitical Tensions: Tariffs, sanctions, and trade wars are exacerbating supply chain vulnerabilities, particularly in countries reliant on food imports.
Labor Shortages: Deportation policies and restrictive immigration laws are reducing the availability of agricultural labor, particularly in regions like Southern California.
3.2 The Role of Weakened Regulatory Agencies
The weakening of the CDC and FDA under the current administration is compounding the food crisis. Budget cuts and reduced oversight are creating a situation where food safety cannot be guaranteed, leading to widespread illness and loss of life.
Foodborne Illnesses: Without proper oversight, contaminated food is more likely to enter the supply chain, causing outbreaks of diseases like E. coli and salmonella.
Public Health Crisis: The lack of a coordinated response from the CDC and FDA is exacerbating the spread of illness, further straining healthcare systems.
3.3 The Impact on Society
The food crisis is widening the gap between social classes, with the working class bearing the brunt of rising food prices and shortages. However, the upper class is not immune, as the lack of safe, reliable food sources affects everyone.
Class Disparity: The wealthy can afford to import food or invest in private agriculture, while the working class struggles to access basic necessities.
Social Unrest: The combination of food shortages and class disparity is likely to lead to increased social unrest, as seen in historical examples like the French Revolution.
Chapter 4: The Intersection of Geopolitics, Food, and Financial Innovation
4.1 How Geopolitics Shapes the Food Crisis
Geopolitical actions, such as Trump's tariffs on Colombia, are directly impacting the food supply chain. These policies disrupt trade, increase costs, and create uncertainty in global markets.
4.2 Financial Innovation as a Double-Edged Sword
While financial tools like synthetic covered call ETFs offer opportunities for investors, they do little to address the immediate challenges of the food crisis. In fact, the focus on high-growth sectors like AI and EVs may divert resources away from critical areas like agriculture.
Chapter 5: Strategies for Navigating the Splintered Market and Food Crisis
5.1 Building a Resilient Portfolio
Investors must adopt a forward-looking approach to portfolio management, focusing on sectors and strategies that align with the new market paradigm.
Core Holdings: ETFs focused on high-growth sectors like technology, renewable energy, and EVs.
Speculative Plays: Synthetic covered call ETFs for high-yield income.
Hedging Strategies: Investments in agriculture and food technology to mitigate risks associated with the food crisis.
5.2 Policy Recommendations
Governments must take immediate action to address the food crisis and its underlying causes.
Strengthening Regulatory Agencies: Restoring funding and authority to the CDC and FDA to ensure food safety and public health.
Investing in Agriculture: Supporting sustainable farming practices and modernizing the food supply chain.
Addressing Climate Change: Implementing policies to reduce carbon emissions and mitigate the impact of extreme weather events.
Conclusion: A Fractured Future
The global market and society are at a crossroads, shaped by the dual forces of technological innovation and systemic fragility. While AI and EVs offer hope for a brighter future, the looming food crisis threatens to plunge the world into chaos. Addressing these challenges requires a holistic approach that balances innovation with sustainability, ensuring that the benefits of progress are shared by all.
VINE LOOKS BEARISH THEN 90% OR 300% INCOMINGAfter a failed breakout of the all time highs, we have broken the uptrend and look to aim lower. Unless the highs are claimed I'm currently bearish and looking for range lows to be tested for a long entry to back to the highs which can print 90% returns.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
VIX ready to explode higherLook at the last 2 Monthly candles. They are bullish candles and short term volatility would explode higher in Feb 2025.
All the best.
Marketpanda
Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
Gold correction comingOur algo suggests a correction in physical gold prices. This might be a slow decline over a year or so.
Target price is around 2300 i.e. 23 for AAAU.
All the best.
Marketpanda
Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.