Beyond Technical Analysis
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL UPDATEEnd of day update from us here at KOG:
The path has worked quite well so far with price testing the high, adhering to KOG's bias for the day and week and respecting the red boxes. We've managed to stay the right way and capture most of the move down completing nearly all the bias level targets on the KOG Report.
So, what now?
We have major support below at the 2650-55 region with slight extension in to 2645. If this level is attacked and defended in the coming sessions we should get a move back upside into the initial levels of 2675 and above that 2680-5. We do need to see a clean reversal for this to happen so let's be patient if you're looking to go long. Those who followed and are short, we suggested protecting and taking partials along the way while enjoying the move.
For now, planned and executed, Excalibur and the red boxes performing well. Let's see what tomorrow's news brings.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
THE TRUMP EFFECT - how markets reacted, BUY EURCHFTrader Tom, a technical analyst with over 15 years’ experience, explains his trade idea using price action and a top down approach. This is one of many trades so if you would like to see more then please follow us and hit the boost button.
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NIFTY 50 & BANKNIFTY Prediction: 07 November 2024Nifty shows the confirmation of a bullish piercing candle. Banknifty forms the like of a doji candle. It is on the trendline from where rejection may be possible. Nifty has big resistance at 24500 and 24800 and it didn't have any strong support nearby ATM. Banknifty has resistance at 52500 and 53000 and support at 52000.
Option Chain: Nifty has resistance at 24500 around 100 Cr contracts exist. Even after yesterday's rally a large amount of contracts have been added in call side at 24500. Which shows bearishness in the market. Banknifty has some resistance at 52500 and 53000. The new fresh contract has also been added at this level.
PCR: The overall PCR of Nifty is 0.85 and the nearby ATM is 0.59 --> Bearish view
Banknifty overall PCR is 0.83 and nearby ATM is 0.73. --> Neutral
OI Data: FII betting on a neutral market.
Pro shorts calls of 4.75 L and shorts puts 3.6 L.
Client shorts put 7.5 L and shorts call of 1.6 L.
Future Data: FII sold 482 Cr future which shows a bearish view.
FII Stock data: Even aftermarket shows a rally, FIIs still sell the future 4450 Cr future which shows that the market may go down. --> Bearish
Trade: A bearish move may be possible and it may be continued.
Mid To long term projection of the SPYGiven Donald Trump's recent victory, the market has felt an optimistic boost. This excitement, could be enough to overcome the current economical warnings that have been prevalent in the previous months. It's impossible to know if these excitements will be enough to send the market into a new and strong rally into overextended territories, or if the market will continue to complain about unaffordable housing, and sustenance.
The future is always an unknown variable, however random variables do tend to follow their own distributions to a certain degree. It is always possible for exceptions to occur which prompt price action to get excited at already expensive prices. However, it is intelligent to always take a degree of caution when purchasing expensive securities which are still increasing in price. In these scenarios I suggest waiting for price corrections before purchasing and purchase in small amounts as price decreases to be able to purchase more at lower prices aka cost average.
Given Trumps popularity, it's possible that people will become optimistic about the near future, however Trump still has a lot of rivals, which will stop at nothing to fulfill their agenda. The president will be faces with many new challenges these coming 4 years. I wish him the best of luck as he writes history once more.
May God bless the future of America, its allies and it people. It's time to see the world change once more.
COPY: THE BITCOIN "TSUNAMI WAVE" starts on 9/29/24 Name your ALTThis is a copy to compare now and before, the original idea.
Risk Manager MA; is the opposite of risk manager which points to the direction of the trend.
Risk Manager; declares the WAVE is headed our way. So, whenever it's facing downwards, means BULL POWER
Tesla - This Will Be A Wild Ride!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is deciding about its future in the next 8 days:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
During the next 8 days - until this monthly candle closes - we will see whether or not Tesla will enter the next major bullrun. Currently Tesla is trading at the important triangle breakout level after dropping about -20% this month so far. The future of Tesla will depend on this breakout.
Levels to watch: $160, $200, $270
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Gold price drops - stabilizes by the end of 2024XAU / USD trend forecast November 7, 2024
Gold dropped to a three-week low below $2,700 per ounce on Wednesday following the 2024 US Presidential election, with former President Donald Trump’s win strengthening the US Dollar and Treasury yields. XAU/USD saw a decline of over 2.5%, trading around $2,667 at the latest.
Market uncertainty has eased, as Trump’s victory was more decisive than anticipated. Additionally, the Republican party secured majorities in both the Senate and the House of Representatives, completing a “red sweep.”
Gold price dropped sharply to 2644, strong downtrend. Still in the upcoming downtrend, ending the price increase cycle of previous months.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2682-2685
SL: 2690
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2655)
Safe and profitable trading
Biggest single Whale $875.42 Mil is Hiding in the market.I spotted at 21:50, Nov 7 2024. The biggest whale I have seen this year with $875.42 million is currently hiding in the market, he will make a big move in 3 days to clear this order of the book. My only concern is that Thurs - Sundays are very typical dumping days for Bitcoin, however, He who has the most money will set the course of the future of Bitcoin. There aren't any retailers that can suppress or beat those order. Be mindful to follow the trend system carefully.
Understanding Trading Leverage and Margin.When you first dive into trading, you’ll often hear about leverage and margin . These two concepts are powerful tools that can amplify your profits, but they also come with significant risks. The image you've provided lays out the essentials of leverage and margin: Leverage allows traders to control larger positions, Margin acts as a security deposit, Profit Amplification boosts potential gains, and Risk Amplification warns of increased losses.
In this article, we’ll break down these terms and explore how leverage and margin work, their advantages and risks, and what to consider before using them in your trading strategy.
What is Leverage in Trading?
Leverage is essentially a loan provided by your broker that allows you to open larger trading positions than your actual account balance would otherwise allow. It’s a tool that can multiply the value of your capital, giving you the potential to make more money from market movements without needing to invest large sums of your own money.
Think of leverage as “financial assistance.” With leverage, even a small amount of capital can control a larger position in the market. This can lead to amplified profits if the trade goes your way. However, it’s a double-edged sword; leverage can also lead to amplified losses if the trade moves against you.
Example of Trading with Leverage
Suppose you have €100 in your trading account and your broker offers a leverage of 1:5. This means you can control a position worth €500 with your €100 investment. If the market moves in your favor, your profits will be calculated based on the €500 position, not just the €100 you originally invested. However, if the market moves against you, your losses will also be based on the larger amount.
What is Margin in Trading?
Margin is the amount of money you must set aside as collateral to open a leveraged trade. When you use leverage, the broker requires a deposit to cover potential losses—this is called margin. Margin essentially acts as a security deposit, ensuring that you can cover losses if the trade doesn’t go as planned.
Margin is usually expressed as a percentage of the total trade size. For example, if a broker requires a 5% margin to open a position, and you want to open a €1,000 trade, you would need to deposit €50 as margin.
How Does Margin Work?
Margin works together with leverage. The margin required depends on the leverage ratio offered by the broker. For instance, with a 1:10 leverage, you’d only need a 10% margin to open a position, while a 1:20 leverage would require a 5% margin.
If the market moves against your position significantly, your margin level can drop. If it falls too low, the broker may issue a **margin call**, requesting additional funds to maintain the trade. If you don’t add funds, the broker might close your position to prevent further losses, which could lead to a loss of the initial margin amount.
How Does Leveraged Trading Work?
Leveraged trading involves borrowing capital from the broker to increase the size of your trades. This allows you to open larger positions and potentially gain higher profits from favorable market movements.
Here’s a simplified process of how it works:
1. Deposit Margin: You set aside a portion of your own funds (margin) as a security deposit.
2. Leverage Ratio Applied: The broker provides you with additional capital based on the leverage ratio, increasing your trading power.
3. Open Larger Positions: You can now open larger trades than you could with just your capital.
4. Profit or Loss Magnified: Any profit or loss from the trade is amplified, as it’s based on the larger position rather than just your initial capital.
While leverage doesn’t change the direction of your trades, it affects how much you gain or lose on each trade. That’s why it’s essential to understand both the potential for profit amplification and the risk amplification that leverage brings.
The Benefits and Risks of Using Leverage
Benefits of Leverage
- Profit Amplification: With leverage, you can control larger trades, which means any favorable movement in the market can lead to greater profits.
- Capital Efficiency: Leverage allows you to gain exposure to the markets without needing to invest a large amount of your own money upfront.
- Flexibility in Trading: Leveraged trading gives traders more flexibility to diversify their positions and take advantage of multiple opportunities in the market.
Risks of Leverage
- Risk Amplification: Just as leverage can amplify profits, it also amplifies losses. If a trade moves against you, your losses can be substantial, even exceeding your initial investment.
- Margin Calls: If the market moves significantly against your leveraged position, you may face a margin call, requiring you to add more funds to your account to keep the position open.
- Rapid Account Depletion: High leverage means that small market moves can have a big impact on your account. Without careful management, you could deplete your account balance quickly.
Important Considerations for Leveraged Trading
1. Understand the Leverage Ratio: Different brokers offer various leverage ratios, such as 1:5, 1:10, or even 1:100. Choose a leverage ratio that aligns with your risk tolerance. Higher leverage ratios mean higher potential profits but also higher potential losses.
2. Know Your Margin Requirements: Always be aware of the margin requirements for your trades. Brokers may close your positions if your margin level drops too low, so it’s essential to monitor your margin balance regularly.
3. Risk Management is Key: Use risk management strategies like stop-loss orders to limit potential losses on each trade. Don’t risk more than a small percentage of your account balance on any single trade.
4. Avoid Overleveraging: One of the biggest mistakes new traders make is using too much leverage. Start with a lower leverage ratio until you’re more comfortable with the risks involved in leveraged trading.
5. Only Use Leverage if You Understand It: Leveraged trading is suitable primarily for experienced investors who understand the market and the risks involved. If you’re new to trading, practice with a demo account to learn how leverage works before applying it in a live account.
Final Considerations
Leverage and margin are powerful tools in trading that can amplify profits, but they come with considerable risk. Using leverage wisely and understanding margin requirements are essential to avoid unnecessary losses and protect your account. While the prospect of profit amplification is attractive, traders should always remember that leveraged trading is a double-edged sword—it can lead to significant gains, but it can also result in rapid account depletion if not managed carefully.
To summarize:
- Leverage allows you to control larger trades with a small investment, multiplying both potential profits and potential losses.
- Margin is the deposit required to open a leveraged trade and acts as a security against potential losses.
- Use leverage responsibly and only after understanding the risks involved.
Leverage can be a valuable tool in trading if used wisely, so make sure to educate yourself, practice with a demo account, and always approach leveraged trading with caution.
#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDCAD Daily Analysis
The AUDCAD pair has recently broken above a key trendline resistance on the daily chart, indicating a shift toward bullish momentum. Following this breakout, the price is now retesting the trendline, which has turned into support. This setup suggests a potential buy opportunity as the retest confirms the breakout.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Trendline Breakout and Retest
- Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity)
- Entry Strategy: Buy near the trendline support
Traders may consider entering a buy position around the retested trendline, targeting higher resistance levels above. Indicators like RSI showing upward momentum or MACD confirming a bullish crossover can add confidence to this setup, reinforcing the bullish outlook for AUDCAD.
Is Apple's $1.5B Satellite Deal the Future?In the rapidly evolving world of satellite communications, a transformative partnership has emerged between tech giant Apple and satellite operator Globalstar. This landmark $1.5 billion agreement has the potential to reshape the way we connect in remote and underserved regions, inspiring questions about the future of global connectivity.
At the heart of this deal lies Globalstar's commitment to develop and operate a state-of-the-art mobile satellite services (MSS) network. Backed by Apple's substantial infrastructure prepayment of up to $1.1 billion and a $400 million equity investment, Globalstar is poised to enhance the reliability and coverage of emergency satellite communications for iPhone users worldwide. This strategic alliance not only demonstrates Apple's long-term vision for satellite-based connectivity but also positions Globalstar as a dominant player in an industry that is expected to witness a surge in activity in the coming decade.
As the satellite communications sector braces for the launch of an estimated 50,000 satellites into low-Earth orbit, this Globalstar-Apple partnership stands out as a game-changer. By dedicating up to 85% of its network capacity to Apple, Globalstar is solidifying its role as a critical infrastructure provider, catering to the growing demand for seamless connectivity in remote and underserved regions. This move, coupled with Globalstar's plans to expand its satellite constellation and ground infrastructure, suggests a future where satellite-based services become increasingly integrated into our everyday lives.
The financial implications of this deal are equally compelling. Globalstar projects that its annual revenue will more than double in the year following the launch of the expanded satellite services, marking a significant improvement from its recent financial performance. Furthermore, the company's ability to retire its outstanding senior notes and secure favorable adjustments to its funding agreement highlights the transformative nature of this partnership, positioning Globalstar for long-term growth and stability in the evolving satellite communications landscape.
Need a lift to the $30 mark? LYFT is here for you!Lyft is gaining bullish momentum, with the potential to fill the bearish gap at the $30.00 level. The stock has shown resilience at the $12.75 support level, and a decisive break could trigger a sustained upward movement. The technical setup suggests a strong buying opportunity as it approaches key support levels, creating a favorable 5.4 risk-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on the next breakout.
From a long-term perspective, Lyft also presents a compelling investment opportunity. As the second-largest player in the U.S. ride-hailing market, Lyft continues to benefit from a growing gig economy and rising demand for mobility services. The company’s ongoing focus on improving profitability, optimizing operational costs, and expanding into new revenue streams, such as its growing bike and scooter business, positions it well for sustainable growth.
Additionally, with competitors like Uber focusing on a diversified portfolio, Lyft’s leaner, ride-sharing-centric business model allows it to concentrate on enhancing user experience and driver incentives. In an environment of increasing urban mobility and transportation demand, Lyft’s streamlined approach and its digital-first strategy could lead to market share gains and increased investor confidence.
As it targets higher valuations, Lyft’s improving fundamentals and potential gap fill at $30.00 make it an attractive buy for both momentum traders and long-term investors.
NASDAQ:LYFT
XAU! 11/7! retest 2680 area to get liquidityXAU / USD trend forecast November 7, 2024! SCALPING
Gold prices (XAU/USD) decline for the second straight session on Thursday, weighed down by a stronger US Dollar following former President Donald Trump's election win.
The precious metal faces selling pressure as safe-haven demand wanes, with market optimism rising on the back of “Trump trades.” With the presidential outcome now clear, the markets are less concerned about a contested result, contributing to the bearish sentiment around gold.
Gold prices mostly sideways before the FOMC meeting tonight: 2650 - 2670
/// BUY XAU : zone 2661-2658 scalping
SL: 2655
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2673)
Safe and profitable trading
#EURUSD 1DAYEURUSD Daily Analysis
The EURUSD pair has broken below a key trendline on the daily chart, which has now turned into a resistance level. This trendline breakdown signals potential bearish momentum, as the price is likely to face selling pressure if it attempts to retest this new resistance area.
Technical Outlook:
- Pattern: Trendline Breakdown, now Resistance
- Forecast: Bearish (Sell Opportunity)
- Entry Strategy: Sell near the trendline, now acting as resistance
Traders may consider selling on any retests of the trendline resistance, with targets set at lower support levels. For additional confirmation, indicators such as RSI reflecting bearish conditions or MACD showing downward momentum can strengthen the setup, supporting the bearish forecast for EURUSD.