The TACO Trade Is Back!🌮 AMEX:SPY
📊 The Setup:
The TACO trade ("Trump Always Chickens Out") continues to prove its resilience in the face of trade war headlines. The market dips sharply when tariffs are announced, and then surges back up as the news cycle turns, with Trump pausing or reversing his decisions.
We’ve seen multiple examples of this year-to-date on the AMEX:SPY chart:
🔹 Trump Pauses Tariffs for Canada & Mexico – market bounces.
🔹 Trump Pauses Most Liberation Day Tariffs – another bounce.
🔹 Trump Floats Lowering Tariffs on China – bounce continues.
🔹 Trump Pushes Back EU Tariffs to July – market rips higher.
It’s as if every tariff tantrum is followed by an inevitable rebound. Could this be the pattern to trade around for the next few months?
At this point, it almost feels like we’re watching a predictable movie. Every new threat to impose tariffs or spark a trade war is just a scene in the “TACO” storyline, and the markets are starting to get used to the plot twist.
Are we playing into an endless loop of fear and relief? Is this time different, or just the same old TACO? How much longer can we trust that the market will “chicken out” and bounce back every time tariffs are floated?
Beyond Technical Analysis
$BTC CHANNEL BROKEN — Uptrend lostThe uptrend is broken, momentum slowing (bearish divergence on AO). Best long setup only in deep discount, around $92k — set alerts and bids. Any bounce from $102.4k is only for quick play, not main entry. Flip bullish only if the channel is reclaimed.
Any bounce from $102.4k — short-term only.
Bearish momentum building, patience over FOMO.
Only flipping bullish if price gets back inside the channel.
EURJOY Can continue to fall and Excite trigger moving EUR/JPY testing a key resistance level within a trading range. However, the recent attempt to break above this level resulted in a false breakout, followed by price consolidation within a flat structure.
Amid a weakening U.S. dollar and a strengthening Japanese yen, the pair is experiencing cross-currency pressure. This has led to the formation of a strong support base around the 163.000 and 162.200 levels.
Please note that and share your thoughts in comments for more analysis Thanks.
US DOLLAR FORECAST (update)Update of stalking bullish behavior in the USD instrument.
Intermarket confluence has aligned instruments such as Gold & US Stocks are soft to Bearish, I focus on XAUUSD and US30 outside of Oil to gauge validity of idea.
Thus said focus is on the 5 min chart, we seek rejections framed from 30 min area of interests.
Trigger should be after 5m Bullish playbook, manipulation is a sign of a healthy "auction".
LGO - Largo, Inc., NASDAQ - Market Predictive Analysis LGO - Largo, Inc., NASDAQ
Scales - 3 repelling levels
1. small (weak): 0.3655
2. mid (stronger): 0.9456
3. large (strongest): 2.8986
Only the mid and large scales concur on pulls
1. mid pulls to 17.1052 via its slowing pivot at 9.9476
2. large pulls to its pivot at 17.7986
#LGO #Largo #CROW2.0
GBPUSD Next move read our Caption GBP/USD is currently trading around the 1.34700 mark. If the price moves up to retest the resistance at 1.35200, it may face selling pressure. Should this level hold as resistance, we could expect a bearish reversal leading to a decline toward the next key support at 1.34210 and also 1.33600 lets could see how the price plays out .
Wait for a clear rejection or bearish confirmation at 1.35200 before entering a short trade.
you can search more details in the chart give me like and comments for more analysis Thanks.
XAUUSD TECHNICAL OUTLOOK 29-05-2025📣Gold Under Pressure XAUUSD CMP $3316.81
✅XAUUSD movement 29-05-2025: $3289-$3245-$3321 =$120 Movement Witnessed.
🔴Gold remains under pressure after a sharp turn from morning crash, which has triggered fresh volatility across commodities in USA session.
⏳ Despite safe-haven appeal, XAUUSD faces bullish momentum after a correction, driven by renewed appetite for risk assets and shifting market flows.
📉 Technical Outlook (1H):
• Bearish below $3305
• Next downside targets: $3280 → $3265 → $3250
• A break below $3255 could accelerate the decline toward $3240-$3220
🔁 Bullish Shift Trigger:
• A confirmed 1H close above $3319 may invalidate the bearish bias and target $3340+
📊 Key Levels:
• Pivot: $3305
• Support: $3280 – $3265 – $3250
• Resistance: $3327 – $3339 – $3351
What is Happening to Puma?Puma's stock has experienced a significant decline, dropping nearly 50% year-to-date and reaching its lowest levels in almost a decade . This downturn is attributed to several factors, including underwhelming financial performance, escalating competition, and macroeconomic challenges.
Financial Performance:
In 2024, Puma reported a 4.4% currency-adjusted increase in sales, totaling €8.82 billion . However, profitability did not keep pace; net income declined by 7.5% to €282 million, and EBIT remained flat at €622 million, falling short of analyst expectations . The company's P/E ratio stands at 17, which some analysts consider high given the current earnings yield of 2.8% .
Debt and Balance Sheet:
Puma's financial health shows a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 48.2%, with total debt at €1.3 billion and shareholder equity at €2.7 billion . While the company has a solid capital base, increased interest payments have impacted income .
Competitive Landscape:
Puma faces intense competition from industry giants like Nike and Adidas. Nike holds a significant market share, while Adidas has recently increased its share to 8.9% . Puma's market share stands at approximately 4.94% . The company's efforts to boost sales through new product lines, such as the Speedcat trainers, have yet to yield significant results .
Macroeconomic Challenges:
Global economic factors have also played a role in Puma's struggles. Trade disputes and currency volatility have negatively impacted sales, particularly in key markets like the U.S. and China . Additionally, new U.S. tariffs on imports from China, where Puma sources 28% of its products, have created further uncertainty.
Strategic Response:
In response to these challenges, Puma has announced plans to cut 500 corporate positions globally by the end of the second quarter of 2025 to reduce costs . The company has also appointed former Adidas executive Arthur Hoeld as its new CEO, effective July 1, 2025, aiming to revitalize its performance .
In summary, Puma's recent stock decline reflects a combination of internal financial challenges and external market pressures. While the company is taking steps to address these issues, including leadership changes and cost-cutting measures, it remains to be seen how effectively Puma can navigate the competitive and economic landscape moving forward.
- *Disclaimer: This is just my personal opinion and not financial advice. I am not a professional financial advisor. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions. Any losses incurred are solely at your own risk.The figures that i found might not all be correct, as I do sometimes make mistakes, so do your own due diligence.*
Altcoins Psychological analysisAs I’ve said many times, altseason began in 2024 . After a significant correction, we entered the second bullish wave in April 2025 .
As shown in the chart, the orange zone represents the break-even prices for most retail investors. FOMO will begin as we enter this zone, which will encourage whales to dump their coins, since liquidity will be returning to the market. Retail investors may then struggle to exit their positions as theire positions are not so profitable.
To take advantage of this wave, you should reassess your break-even prices and begin selling gradually throughout this ongoing trend.
BINANCE:ETHUSDT BINANCE:SOLUSDT BINANCE:XRPUSDT BINANCE:ADAUSDT
USDJPY SMC Play | Order Block + Fibo 61.8 = Precision EntryUSDJPY | Confluence Entry in Motion 🚀
A beautifully aligned setup using Smart Money Concepts, with a clear entry mapped out at the OB + Fib 61.8% retracement zone. Price just tapped into the purple zone — now it’s all eyes on bullish momentum confirmation.
📊 1. Market Overview
USDJPY has been trending bullish, with a strong impulsive move followed by a retracement — price is now sitting at a key decision zone.
The zone is a refined bullish Order Block (purple) aligning perfectly with:
✅ 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
✅ 70.5% golden zone
✅ Strong imbalance below
We’re seeing a beautiful reaction candle off this area as price hunts liquidity.
🧠 2. Why This Trade Makes Sense (SMC Breakdown)
Here’s the logic:
Price broke structure to the upside
Pullback into OB + discounted pricing
Clean liquidity sweep just beneath the short-term low
Room for continuation toward higher timeframe POI (top green zone)
This is a textbook SMC + Fibonacci sniper setup.
🎯 3. Entry Zone (Purple Box)
📍 OB Zone: 145.200 – 145.334
🧮 Fib Levels:
— 50%: 145.595
— 61.8%: 145.334
— 70.5%: ~145.200
— 100% (SL): 144.836
Your entry's beautifully layered with confluences = 🔥 Risk/Reward.
🚀 4. Target Zones
🟢 TP1: 146.000
🟢 TP2: 146.703
(TOP of the Fibonacci extension, completing the full bullish leg)
⚖️ 5. Risk-Reward Setup
✅ SL: 144.836
✅ Entry: around 145.334
✅ TP: 146.703
👉 RRR: Over 1:4 — institutional grade 🔥
🛡️ 6. Trade Management Tips
✅ Wait for bullish engulfing or LTF break of structure for confirmation
🕰️ Drop to M15 for precise sniper confirmation entry
🔄 If it taps again with more imbalance left = re-entry possible
📌 Save this if you love high confluence entries
🔥 Drop “SMC Sniper” in the comments if you're watching this pair
👀 Follow for daily setups just like this — clean, confident, and calculated
Salesforce Goes Shopping: Acquires Informatica for $8 BillionSalesforce (NYSE: CRM) has taken a major step in its growth strategy by announcing the acquisition of Informatica (NYSE: INFA) for approximately $8 billion. Informatica closed yesterday at $24.29 per share. This deal, Salesforce’s largest since acquiring Slack in 2021, aims to strengthen its artificial intelligence ecosystem and solidify its position in the enterprise data management market, which now exceeds $150 billion. Salesforce will pay $25 per share, representing a 30% premium. The acquisition seeks to integrate Informatica’s data management capabilities with Salesforce’s Agentforce AI platform, enabling the company to offer more advanced cloud-based solutions to enterprise clients.
Financial Results
On the financial front, Salesforce reported strong results for the first quarter of its fiscal year 2026 (FY2026), which began on February 1 of this year. Revenue reached $9.83 billion, representing an 8% increase year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $2.58, beating market expectations. In light of this performance, Salesforce has raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range between $41.0 and $41.3 billion. Strong demand for cloud solutions and the momentum of artificial intelligence are driving this growth.
Technical Analysis
Salesforce shares closed at $277.19 on May 28, trading within a daily range of $315.87 to $241.08. Over the past twelve months, the stock has experienced significant volatility, peaking at $368 during the year-end rally and bottoming at $229.64 in early April amid market tensions related to Trump’s tariff announcements. The current price sits around the mid-range control zone, suggesting a temporary balance between buyers and sellers. Moving averages are showing signs of indecision, with a sideways trend reinforced by a neutral RSI, indicating the potential for a technical rebound if no clear short-term direction emerges.
From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, the price reached the 50% level in mid-May and appears to be forming a bullish support zone. If the market reacts positively to the Informatica acquisition, the stock may move toward the 61.8% Fibonacci level, slightly below the previous consolidation range. This could pave the way for a more sustained recovery in the coming months.
Conclusion
The acquisition of Informatica marks a new strategic chapter for Salesforce, reinforcing its commitment to artificial intelligence and its dominance in the enterprise data market. Backed by strong financials and an optimistic outlook for the rest of the fiscal year, the deal could serve as a catalyst for a new growth phase. While technical indicators suggest some short-term caution, the fundamental context points to a solid foundation for renewed upward momentum. The market’s reaction in the coming sessions will be key to confirming this potential trend shift.
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XAUUSD Rejection from Fib + OB Combo | Bearish Continuation?XAUUSD | Premium Smart Money Short Setup 🎯
This GOLD setup is a straight-up institutional-grade bearish continuation. Let’s break down why this is a high-probability short for Smart Money Traders.
🔍 1. Market Context
Price is trending inside a clear descending channel, tapping into the lower boundary and now pulling back.
We just had a reaction from the mid-supply zone, and price is now rebalancing into the Order Block (OB) aligned with:
🔻 79% Fibonacci Retracement
🔻 Previous Structure Break
🔻 OB + imbalance fill zone
🧱 2. Bearish Confluences
📉 Descending Channel = bearish structure
🟣 Order Block Zone = high-value area for institutional entries
📐 Fibonacci Levels = 61.8%, 70.5%, and 79% all stacked
💥 OB + 79% = high-prob sniper short
🕳 Imbalance + Liquidity Sweep = likely short continuation
🎯 3. Trade Idea
Entry: 3282.00–3290.00 (OB + 79% Fib)
Stop Loss: 3294.00 (above OB wick)
Take Profit: 3245.00 zone (channel bottom)
Perfect RR setup 👇
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
💰 Entry: ~3285
🔒 SL: ~3294
📍 TP: ~3245
✅ RRR ≈ 1:4.3 = sniper level swing short 🎯
🧠 5. Smart Money Logic
Liquidity Sweep above minor high before short = engineered trap
OB reaction at fib premium zone = smart entry
Continuation expected unless price closes above 3295
📌 Save this chart — this is Smart Money flow in action
💬 Drop “Gold OB SMC 🔥” in comments if you saw this coming
🔁 Repost to help fellow traders master fib+OB sniper entries
XAUUSD Price Could find way to downside Gold is currently showing signs of a bearish trend due to a weak background market and low trading volume. The absence of significant buying pressure suggests limited momentum to the upside. Despite the need for a bullish move following yesterday’s consolidation, the lack of strong catalysts or volume suggests that price action may remain sluggish in the short term. Unless a major driver emerges, we may continue to see sideways or downward movement in the near term.
Resistance level 3310 / 3320
Support Levels 3270 / 3242
investor you may understand all things in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Market next move 🔻 Disruption to Bullish Thesis
1. Resistance Zone Near Target
The "Target" area might align with a previous resistance level (historically where price has reversed or consolidated).
If price hits that zone, it could stall or reject, rather than break through.
2. Bearish Volume Divergence
While the candles are green and pushing upward, volume is not increasing significantly.
Lack of strong buying volume can suggest a weak rally — potentially a bull trap.
3. Trend Context: Larger Downtrend
The chart shows a strong prior downtrend before the recent small upward push.
This move could be a dead-cat bounce or retracement within a broader bearish move.
4. Fundamental Risk: USD Strength
If the US Dollar Index (DXY) strengthens due to macroeconomic data or Fed commentary, gold (USD-denominated) typically drops.
The calendar icons suggest upcoming US economic data, which could disrupt gold’s movement.
5. Candle Structure Shows Exhaustion
The current bullish candles are smaller compared to previous strong red ones.
This may imply momentum exhaustion before reaching the target.
Gold Continues to Decline as USD Strengthens📊 Market Developments:
Gold prices continued to decline on May 29, reaching weekly lows below $3,250/oz. The primary driver is the strong recovery of the US Dollar following a US court's decision on tariffs and cautious FOMC minutes indicating the Fed remains vigilant about inflation, reducing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3,285 – $3,300
• Nearest Support: $3,240 – $3,230
• EMA: Price is below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend.
• Candlestick Patterns / Volume / Momentum: Price has broken below a short-term ascending trendline and is retesting the resistance area, confirming bearish signals.
📌 Outlook:
Gold may continue to decline in the short term if the USD maintains its recovery and the price fails to break above the $3,285 – $3,300 resistance zone.
________________________________________
💡 Suggested Trading Strategy:
SELL XAU/USD at: $3,275 – $3,285
o 🎯 TP: $3,240
o ❌ SL: $3,305
BUY XAU/USD at: $3,230
o 🎯 TP: $3,270
o ❌ SL: $3,215
US CRUDE OIL PIVOT AREAUS OIL has formed a good base of support after the decent decline in the previous weeks.
The break of our intraday pivot area could keep the Bullish bias with targets of 63.67 and 64.57 in the near sight.
However failure to break above could bring prices down to 61.57 and 60.67