Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (April 28 – May 3)XAUUSD – Weekly Outlook (April 28 – May 3)
Current Structure:
Massive bullish momentum intact — we are still climbing into extreme premium territory.
Price has broken all previous structure highs and is trading well above the last known CHoCH (confirmed weekly bullish flow).
Current Weekly candle is showing minor exhaustion but no clear reversal confirmation yet.
Key Weekly Observations:
Premium Zone: 3350–3500 → extreme overbought territory, where distribution/reversal could begin forming.
Immediate Support: 3110–3150 → previous major liquidity grab + breakout area (could act as reaccumulation if retested).
Unmitigated Zones Below:
~2900–2950 → old FVG left behind (possible bounce if deeper correction happens).
Strong demand clusters still much lower, around 2050–2100 (only relevant if a major cycle shift occurs).
Liquidity and Flow:
Liquidity has been swept above all major highs — now hunting for fresh liquidity pools either at extreme highs (above 3350) or deeper below (below 3200).
Strong liquidity vacuum between 3280 and 3150 zones if a weekly rejection happens.
Bias:
Still bullish but hyper-extended — smart money will likely start hunting liquidity pockets on both sides soon.
Watching for early signs of weekly exhaustion or topping (large wicks, strong engulfing candle).
✅ Weekly Bias: Cautious bullish, watching for early topping patterns
✅ Key Levels to Watch: 3350–3500 (resistance), 3150–3110 (support)
🌟 Final Note for the Community:
We’re flying at premium altitudes — but don’t get drunk on heights! 🛫 Stay sharp, stay humble. Gold doesn’t ask, it takes. Let’s keep mastering the game, one sniper move at a time.
👉 Follow, like, and comment your outlook — let’s grow this smart community together! 🚀✨
#Gold #XAUUSD #SmartMoney #WeeklyOutlook
CTMI Strategy Spots $TSLA Trend Early: +86.77% Win!
The CTMI Strategy v2.0 - Premium Access secured a massive +86.77% profit on Tesla, Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) with an automated long trade from $235.7 to $441.09! 📈 Now showing a “Hold” signal at $284.95 with a projected price of $165.2 ( -42.1% ), this trade highlights how CTMI automatically manages entries and exits for you.
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• Automated Entries: CTMI automatically triggered a LONG Entry at $235.7, spotting a “Strong Uptrend” early. Look for similar setups with strong signal alignment.
• Automated Exits: CTMI automatically executed a LONG Exit at $441.09 as indicators turned bearish (RSI: Bear, MACD: Bear), locking in profits before the downturn. Trust CTMI to handle exits for you.
• Use Key Levels: Resistance 1 ($444.24) and Support 1 ($169.95) guide your trade—CTMI uses these to optimize entries and exits.
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Positive trade talks could send gold prices lower next week🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold reversed its Thursday recovery and slipped to around $3,300 per ounce by the weekend as market sentiment continued to improve, driven by optimism over positive developments in the U.S.-China trade dispute. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the United States and South Korea could reach a "mutual understanding" on trade as early as next week, according to Bloomberg. The growing number of headlines suggesting potential trade agreements is adding downward pressure on gold prices.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Positive trade agreements are emerging, and the market is gradually pricing in positive news, causing gold to continue to decline early next week
➡️ Note: The trade war remains the focus and any negative news could affect gold prices and cause the upward trend to resume.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3370 - 3433 - 3500
Support zone: 3270 - 3253 - 3145
FM wishes you a successful trading week💰💰💰
CTMI Strategy Strikes Gold with $PM: +29.8%!Even with SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX trending down, the CTMI Strategy delivered a stellar +29.8% profit on Philip Morris International ( NYSE:PM )! 📈 A long trade from $109.86 to $142.88 proved the power of picking the right stock. Currently, we’re in a long trade at $147.17, with a projected price of $196.2 (+15.1%) and a rock-solid 99.0% trade confidence in a “Strong Uptrend.”
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• Find Winning Stocks: CTMI excels at identifying strong stocks like NYSE:PM , even in a tough market.
• Follow High-Confidence Signals: With a Trend Score of 8/8 and 100% signal alignment, trust CTMI’s clear “Buy” signals.
• Leverage Key Levels: Use Resistance 1 ($189.55) and Support 1 ($133.02) to plan entries and exits.
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we can long on astral from the cmp 1343 2nd time retest the same level and we got small green candle on the given rangeof buyer area we can go long from here for the target of new high only for ling term view only we can consider
cmp - 1343
sl - 160 points from the the entry level
targe - new high from the swing level
GOLD Bears in Control? Potential Short Setup!Hi traders! Analyzing XAU/USD on the 1H timeframe, price is rejecting from a key resistance inside the descending channel.
🔹 Entry: 3,318
🔹 TP: 3,271
🔹 SL: 3,369
Gold is respecting the upper trendline of the downtrend channel, and momentum remains weak. After a small bounce, sellers have stepped in again, suggesting a possible continuation to the downside.
RSI remains below the 50 mark, favoring bearish pressure. A break below 3,300 could confirm acceleration towards the target zone at 3,271.
Watching closely for bearish continuation signals!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Every trader must evaluate their own risk and strategy.
Big Wins with CTMI: $META Soars +91.26%!The CTMI Strategy has delivered a solid performance on Meta Platforms, Inc. ( NASDAQ:META ) on a 1-week chart! 📈 A recent long trade from $371.9 to $712.72 yielded an impressive +91.26% return. However, the current signal suggests “Watch for Entry” with a trade confidence of 63.5% and a projected price of $500.2 (-9.1%).
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• Monitor the Signal: The strategy indicates a “Pullback Up” with a Trend Score of 3/8. Wait for a stronger signal (e.g., “Buy Now” with confidence >85%) to enter a new trade.
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• Stay Patient: With high volume and moderate risk, NASDAQ:META is on the watchlist. Watch for a confirmed trend to maximize profitability.
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Trading mistakes and how to fix them. Part 2Today, I’m sharing something in a slightly different format.
The points below aren’t problems to solve — they are principles to remember.
They aren’t my personal inventions, though I fully agree with them and have made them a part of my trading approach.This is a curated collage of insights, recommendations, and lessons from experienced traders, drawn from books and years of practice.
1. Spreading yourself too thin by entering positions in too many assets at once.
For an investor, this is acceptable and even necessary. But not for a trader or speculator. Investors have different behavior patterns in the market and different reasons for buying certain assets.
Speculating is a much faster type of trading, and it’s simply impossible to keep track of too many assets in a portfolio. It's better to focus on 3–5 positions.
I know one very successful speculator who trades only one asset—and does so quite successfully. For me, he's a great example that if you know how to trade well, you can make decent money even on a single asset.
2. Switching to Other Timeframes.
If you entered a position on the 1-hour timeframe, then the entire trade — including stop-losses and take-profits — should be based on the 1-hour chart.
3. Trying to Predict Market Moves.
Everything you need to know is already on the chart. The chart is the best insider. Don't try to guess or gamble — that's not how money is made in this business. If you want to gamble, go to a casino. Before news or economic data is released, the market usually already shows patterns signaling a potential rise or fall.
The only exception is trading around genuinely major news events, like Trump’s tariffs — but you will usually hear about such events without even following news feeds. These are very powerful moves, and the real danger is not uncertainty about the direction, but extreme volatility. Often the first reaction to the news is false, and you might get stopped out prematurely. It's better to wait for confirmation — for the move to actually start.
For example, if you see all the signals on the chart suggesting a decline, but after the news the market shoots up, don't rush. If that entire upward move gets erased by a downward move and the price starts making new lows, _then_ you can open a short position.
Even better, wait until the next day. If the move is real, it won’t end in just one or two days.
4. A stock trading at a high price doesn’t mean it can’t go higher — and vice versa.
You shouldn't short a rising asset, just as you shouldn't buy a falling one. Just keep that in mind.
Success in trading comes not from winning every trade, but from focusing on high-probability setups.
ETH TO THE MOON TRADEETHUSDT Weekly Analysis | 3M & 12M Supply/Demand Zones
Currently, Ethereum (ETHUSDT) is trading around $1803, sitting close to major higher timeframe zones:
3-Month Supply/Demand Zone: ~$1691
12-Month Supply/Demand Zone: ~$1557
Price has reacted strongly near the 3M S/D zone after a multi-month decline. Holding above this zone could indicate a potential bottom formation.
Reminder:
This is not financial advice. Always do your own research and trade with proper risk management.
GBP/JPY full Elite Validity Check
Current Price (bid/ask) & Spread** | **191.26 / 191.29
Timestamp (EST)** | 2025-04-27 00:42 |
Risk-Level Tag | **Medium** (post-week-end gaps possible) |
Bias Confirmation Checklist** | **HTF trend ✅ • Confluence ✅ • Fundamentals ⚠️** |
Trade-Confidence | **Technical Edge High / Event Risk Low ⇒ Overall High** |
---
## 1️⃣ Technical Outlook
* **Weekly & Daily:** clear series of higher highs/lows since March; price holding above 20-DMA (189.90)
* **H4:** bullish channel; last impulsive leg 190.00 → 191.75, minor pullback now testing 190.80 structure support.
* **Structure & Liquidity:** clean OB @ 190.00-190.20; equal-high liquidity pool 192.50-192.70 waiting above.
* **Volume Confirmation:** Friday NY close printed +32 % vs. 20-day H4 average, validating breakout.
3️⃣ Indicators Snapshot
* **RSI (14) H4:** **60.3** — healthy momentum, not overbought
* **MACD D1:** histogram expanding ↑, signal above zero (bullish)
* **ATR (14) H1:** **≈ 30 pips**
* **Tick/Vol:** last breakout candle = +32 % vs. average
---
## 4️⃣ Fundamental & Sentiment Radar
| **Upcoming 48 h Events** | *None* for GBP or JPY until BOJ Core CPI (Tue 19:00 EST) – outside 24 h window | **COT Snapshot** | Spec longs in JPY futures remain net-short (-54 k contracts) – weak yen backdrop (
| **Retail Sentiment** | IG sentiment: ~63 % shorts → contrarian bullish bias (page cached) |
| **Risk Mood** | Nikkei 225 up 0.8 % last session; global equity tone supportive of risk-on crosses
| **Dollar Index (DXY)** | Flat at 99.58; neutral spill-over (
| **Currency Strength** | OANDA meter: GBP strong +/ JPY weak - (top-right quadrant) (
---
## 5️⃣ Market Drivers & News Black-Out Zones
* **Red-Flag Windows:** BOJ Core CPI Tue 19:00 EST; Fed speakers Wed AM — no new entries inside 6 h.
* **Intervention Risk:** None flagged (MoF silent; ¥150 line well above) (
---
## 6️⃣ Trade Considerations (BEES v2)
* **Entry Trigger:** M15 bullish engulf from 190.00-190.20 **with > 20 % vol spike**.
* **Rejection Filters:** avoid round-number chop at 191.00 if Asia stalls; skip if RSI H1 > 75.
## 8️⃣ Execution Checklist
- ☑ HTF trend aligned (W1/D1 up)
- ☑ Trigger vol > 20 %
- ☑ Outside 6 h red-flag window
- ☑ Confidence = **High**
- ☑ Price not inside 50 -pip no-trade zone
---
## 9️⃣ Smart Flow & Volatility Map
```mermaid
flowchart LR
Bias(Long) --> Trigger(M15 engulf + vol)
Trigger --> Entry
Entry --> SL & TP
SL & TP --> Manage(Trail after TP1)
Manage --> Exit
```
*Avg pip ranges:* Asia 45 | London 110 | NY 85 — best momentum **03-06 EST**.
---
## 🔟 Scenario Planner
| Path | Description | RR |
|---|---|---|
| **A – Clean Move** | London sweep 190 → drive to 192.50 | **1 : 3** |
| **B – Deep Pullback** | Fake-break 189.80 then bounce | 1 : 2 |
| **C – Failure** | H4 close < 189.50 ⇒ flip bias short | -1 R |
---
## ✅ Final Recommendation
**Directional Bias:** **Long** GBP / JPY
**Go / No-Go:** **YES** — Score 9 / 10 (meets BEES, fundamentals supportive; event risk low).
**Mindset Reminder:** “Plan the trade, trade the plan — if volume & trigger don’t align, walk away.”
---
TOP DOWN ANALYSIS ON USDJPY DAILY BIASOn the Daily timeframe, price reacted to the major zone and reversed upwards, rhyming with the established bullish bias on the monthly/weekly timeframe, price is currently sitting on the daily trend line almost broken but we will head to the 4hr timeframe for further confirmation.
NQ SHORTNo one reads this anyway. But major behind the scenes problems not arising, becoming worse. We've been on the trajectory downward since last summer. Not looking great overall, need to push over 20,900 and hold the retest to be anywhere near bullish again. Think we have a long hard fall ahead. Don't get fooled by the media, people "buying these dips" will hurt in the end.
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 19430 19580
📉 19140 18980
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*