BTCUSD SMC Short Play | Fair Value Gap Rejection Ahead?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Smart Money Sell Opportunity | Liquidity Sweep Setup
Here’s a surgical-level BTCUSD bearish setup unfolding on the 30-minute chart, giving pro traders and learners a textbook SMC opportunity. Let’s break it down:
🔍 1. Trade Idea Summary
This move is a retracement into a premium zone, reacting off a:
✅ Fair Value Gap (FVG) between ~104,300 and 104,600
✅ Strong High at ~105,100 acting as liquidity
✅ Perfect Sell-Side Liquidity Target at ~102,200
Expecting a short retracement play with a clean 1:4+ RRR.
📊 2. Key Zones Marked on Chart:
FVG Zone: 104,259 – 104,600
Strong High (Liquidity Trap): 105,104
Entry Zone: Watch rejection inside FVG or after sweep of Strong High
TP Zone (Sell Side Liquidity): 102,200
SL: Above 105,200
🧩 3. Smart Money Logic Behind This Setup:
Price is in distribution phase, moving within a descending channel
Impulse down created imbalance (FVG) ➝ market now retracing to fill it
Expecting:
Liquidity grab above recent highs
Rejection from FVG zone
Strong push down toward sell side liquidity
⚙️ 4. Trade Execution Plan
Wait for price to enter FVG
Look for:
M5/M15 CHoCH (Change of Character)
Bearish OB or breaker block for sniper entry
Target liquidity zone marked on chart
Trail SL once price breaks below 103,000
📉 5. Market Bias + Risk Tip
HTF Bias: Bearish
Mid-Term Target: 101,800–102,200
❌ Don’t jump early — wait for structure break or FVG reaction
📍 Drop a “🔥” if you’re learning
🧠 Comment “SMC ENTRY” if you caught this setup
📲 Save for later & follow @ChartNinjas88 for daily breakdowns
Beyond Technical Analysis
What does the coming month implying?These are the questions that we should ponder:
1. Where are we coming off of? A Premium or Discount price?
2. Where is price likely to go?
3. Does the market have a reason to:
- Seek liquidity above or below the marketplace?
- Seek to mitigate inefficiencies?
4. How did Previous Month Candle close?
5. Do we have bullish or bearish Order Flow?
6. Does the correlated asset (ie. Silver) shows a crack or a change in the state of delivery?
7. Does the Fundamental support the Technical? Note: The shiny metal is an event driven asset.
I'm taking my time to study the Higher Time Frame chart to see the bigger picture, and keeping up-to-date with the current world event.
Altseason is cancelled for now. But Should resume soon.If you're interested in altcoins, be sure to check out my ideas. I’m closely tracking CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D and CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS , and you’ll find plenty of valuable insights in those analyses.
So, what’s going on? My CRYPTOCAP:OTHERS prediction played out — May was bullish. But was it the real altseason? Not quite. The true altseason typically begins at the end of the Bitcoin cycle, and we’re not there yet.
Right now, we’re seeing price action reminiscent of December 2024. Bitcoin maximalists are aggressively buying BTC during a time it should be correcting, which is inflating BTC dominance and crushing any momentum for an altseason. They appear to be using altcoins as exit liquidity to pump BTC, especially as retail investors hesitate to buy Bitcoin above $100K.
What’s next?
The daily MACD suggests we’re entering a correction phase that could last around two weeks. A drop toward $1.2T is likely, as there's a major order block between the current level and that target. However, the real support lies below $900B — my "green box" — which I view as the ideal buy zone.
Historically, entries in this green box have offered 2x–3x returns on high-volatility altcoins from the top 100, especially in sectors like memes, DeFi, and AI.
I expect altcoins to correct into that zone in the coming weeks — keep an eye on it.
DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
#Crypto #Altcoins #Bitcoin #BTC #BTCdominance #Altseason #CryptoMarket #CryptoTrading #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #DeFi #MemeCoins #AIcoins #AltcoinSeason #DYOR
$PTON - LongNASDAQ:PTON in lower time frames is reversing. If momentum to upside continues, this would be a good trade for short-term.
* First Entry: $7, targeting the daily supply around ~$7.75
* Second Entry: ~$6, if price continues lower, with the same $7.75 targe if the first entry doesn't reach it.
CRV (HTF trigger zone) — Eyes on Sweep and MSBLSE:CRV has swept into a major bullish OB cluster, entering a high time frame sweep zone where potential reversals often occur. This area aligns with previous equal lows (EQL) and liquidity pockets, creating the conditions for a HTF long setup — but only with confirmation.
Setup:
🟩 Sweep Zone: $0.64–0.68
This is the trigger area. Watch for a clean sweep and a bullish MSB on M15 or H1. If the sweep includes the EQL below, even better — deeper liquidity grab improves the setup quality.
❗ Entry only on confirmation:
• Strong candle close above
• MSB on intraday chart
• Clear reversal pattern
📌 No knife-catching — let the pattern form and confirm.
🎯 Targeting eventual reclaim of mid-range and possible revisit of $0.75–0.80 if bounce holds.
Important Turning Point: M-Signal Indicator on 1M Chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(ETHUSDT 1M Chart)
The key is whether the price can rise above the M-Signal Indicator on 1M Chart and hold it.
Accordingly, we need to see if it can rise with support near 2498.60, which is the 20 point of StochRSI.
If not, and it falls, we need to see if the HA-Low indicator is generated.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, we can create a trading strategy based on whether there is support near that area.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can rise with support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
In other words, we need to see if it can rise with support near 2498.60-2609.74.
If not, it is expected to fall to the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart and determine the trend again.
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The current important support area is the 1647.06-1861.57 area.
The resistance zone is 3265.0-3321.30.
However, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see if there is support around that area.
In any case, the price must be maintained above the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart to continue the upward trend in the medium to long term.
Therefore, when it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart, you should not forget that a short and quick response is required when trading.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Check support: Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85)
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new month begins.
The OBV indicator is currently rising again near the High Line.
We need to see if it can continue to rise by breaking above the High Line.
If not, there is a possibility of a decline near the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
If it declines with strong trading volume, there is a possibility of a decline near the StochRSI 20 point of 97209.25.
Therefore, we need to respond depending on whether there is support in the Fibonacci ratio of 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85).
The most important support and resistance area on the current 1M chart is 69000-73499.86.
-
(1D chart)
It is showing a downward trend below the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart.
Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term downtrend is increasing.
However, as mentioned earlier, the key is whether it can rise with support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101978.54) ~ 2 (106178.85) section.
If not, it is likely to fall to around 97226.92.
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The next volatility period is expected to be around June 6.
Accordingly, the current trend is likely to be maintained until the next volatility period.
In order to turn into an upward trend, the price must rise above the M-Signal indicator of the 1D chart and maintain it.
However, since the HA-High indicator is formed at the point of 108316.90, it is highly likely that the uptrend will begin only when it rises above this point.
Therefore, we need to check if it rises above 108316.90 and receives support.
-
In my chart, the basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it receives support from the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise uptrend, and if it receives resistance from the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downtrend.
The end of the stepwise uptrend is a downtrend, and the end of the stepwise downtrend is an uptrend.
Therefore, in order to establish a buying strategy, we need to meet the HA-Low indicator.
In other words, if the HA-Low indicator is newly created as the price falls, it is important to see whether there is support near it.
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If it falls below the dotted line indicated on the OBV indicator, it will fall below the previous High Line, so there is a possibility that it will lead to an additional decline.
In particular, if it falls below the Low Line, the price is likely to fall.
However, since the channel of High Line ~ Low Line is still showing an upward trend, I think the overall movement is still maintaining an upward trend.
In order for the channel of High Line ~ Low Line to turn downward, it must fall to the area indicated by the arrow.
-
To summarize the above,
- Check for support in the right Fibonacci ratio 1.902(101978.54) ~ 2(106178.85) section
- The start of the uptrend is when the price rises above 108316.90 and maintains it
- Check for support near 97226.92 in the event of a further decline
- If the HA-Low indicator is newly generated in the event of a further decline, focus on finding the time to buy based on whether there is support near that area
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
--------------------------------------------------
- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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EURGBP – transitioning from bearish to bullish .. week of 02 JunIt appears that the bearish move that began in April may have ended now. Price that mostly stayed under the 50ema has crossed over to the other side. The downward trendline has also been broken with price moving above it. We already have a higher high and higher low in place. Aggressive traders can take a long now, but I want to be more conservative these days. I would like to see:
a break above the recent swing high (0.8459).
another sequence of HL and HH.
and a retest of the minor resistance/support at 0.8459.
Even with all these precautions, we can still get a +2.3R trade. If PA continues to develop as per my analysis, I will monitor on lower time frames to find more confluence and bullish evidence before committing to a trade. My initial target will be the region just before the swing high at 0.8623.
This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
THE CONCEPT OF SUPPORT BECOMING RESISTANCE In the context of forex trading, the concept of "support becoming resistance" refers to a phenomenon that occurs when a price level that previously acted as a support level for an asset's price now switches roles and becomes a resistance level after it has been broken.
Here's a more detailed explanation:
Support Level: In forex trading, a support level is a price level at which a currency pair or any other financial instrument tends to find buying interest. This buying interest is strong enough to halt or reverse a downtrend in the price. Traders believe that the asset's price is likely to "bounce" off this support level and move higher, making it an essential point on the price chart.
Resistance Level: On the other hand, a resistance level is a price level where selling interest is significant enough to prevent the price from rising further. It acts as a barrier that tends to halt or reverse an uptrend in the price. Traders expect the price to "bounce" off this resistance level and move lower.
Support Becoming Resistance: The interesting concept comes into play when the price breaks below a previously established support level. When a support level is breached and the price continues to decline, it signifies a shift in market sentiment. The level that was once a support now becomes a resistance level for the price. If the price attempts to rally back up and reach that previous support level, it often faces selling pressure from traders who missed the initial breakdown and now see it as an opportunity to sell at a better price. As a result, the price might struggle to move beyond that level, and it starts acting as a resistance zone.
PLTR – Breakout Setup in Motion🔹 Buy Entry: $131 - 132
🔹 Stop Loss: $120.80
🔹 Current Price: $131.78
🔹 Target (1:3 R-multiple): ~$162.80
🔹 Risk/Reward: Strong – clear breakout from tight range with increasing volume.
🟢 Why This Trade?
• Clean breakout above prior highs with strong momentum (+7.73%)
• High volume confirmation
• Supportive moving averages stack (20EMA > 50MA > 200MA)
• One of the strongest setups in the sector
• Strong institutional backing & tech tailwind
DISCLAIMER : The content and materials featured are for your information and education only and are not attended to address your particular personal requirements. The information does not constitute financial advice or recommendation and should not be considered as such. Risk Management is Your Shield! Always prioritise risk management. It’s your best defence against losses.
This one is speculative, but it could be a moon shot for a flipSo this one is a little riskier than most trades I take, but the juice has been historically worth that squeeze. Historically, this setup has never produced a losing trade on RKLB, so I don't expect this time to break that streak. In addition to having a perfect record, it also has stellar (no pun intended) daily rates of return. It's also in the midst of a solid uptrend, making the trade a little less risky than it otherwise might be.
The average trade using this signal lasted 15 days and gained 6.2% - a .41% per day return (10x the long term market daily average return). However, that number was skewed by a few long trades. The median was 4% in 6 days (15x the average daily market return) and almost 1 in 4 trades produced a gain of > 10%. I don't expect that kind of gain here, but it'd be nice if it happened.
This one is also a stock that tends to produce multiple signals in succession, so I am prepared to add to the position if that occurs. I may or may not use FPC depending on the return on the FPC day.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
BABA BUYBUY BABA at 106.0000 to 95.0000, riding back up to 148.0000 to 158.0000 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 80.000!
Warning: This is only for entertainment and opinion purpose. Trading is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
JVA BUYBUY JVA at 3.5600 to 3.4400, riding back up to 9.0000 to 11.0000 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 3.0000!
Warning: This is only for entertainment and opinion purpose. Trading is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
CL SELLSELL CL at 71.0000 or 68.000, riding it down to 55.5000 to 51.0000 as Profit Targets, Stop Loss is at 73.0000!
Warning: This is only for entertainment and opinion purpose. Trading is a risky business, so do your own due diligence, and trade at your own risk. You can loose all of your money and much more.
ETOR : Entry after IPOKind of social trading platform.
Etoro Platform also uses artificial intelligence.
I researched that it also allows trading of crypto assets.
$10B SPAC initiative canceled in 2022.
We re approaching mid 2025 .
Current market cap: around $5-5.3B.
Ground for progress may be present in good market conditions.
While institutions bought at $52, individuals were most likely able to buy above $70.
This was a great misfortune.
Very high opening of the IPO caused sharp sales, but holding for the medium term may be beneficial.As I briefly mentioned above, parameters that will bring momentum to stock may occur.
Constantly looking at the screen so much in such instruments can create a huge sense of panic and failure.
Target price: 90.00 - 94.00
Stop: 50.00
Amount: 1/3 of your portfolio's financial technology stocks ( e.g)
Risk - Reward Ratio > 2.80
Regards.