Beyond Technical Analysis
The Day AheadWednesday, April 2
Data Releases: US March ADP report, February factory orders, Japan March monetary base, France February budget balance.
Central Banks: Speeches from Fed’s Kugler, ECB's Schnabel, and Escriva.
Trump Tariff Announcement: Trump’s team is finalizing options for a 4 p.m. announcement, considering a tiered system with flat rates or a customized approach.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025👇
🦁 GOLD XAUUSD – SNIPER PLAN 2 APRIL 2025 📆
📍 Macro & Political Context
🗞️ Geopolitical Tension: Ongoing war in Ukraine + fresh tariff threats from Trump are sparking investor fear. Safe-haven flows into gold continue.
💰 Fundamentals: Inflationary fears remain strong. Market eyes the US NFP later this week. Fed is silent... too silent. 👀
🌍 Central banks are still buying gold – clear sign of institutional appetite.
🔍 Market Structure Overview
Trend: Bullish HTF ✅
Current Price: $3,113
All-Time High: $3,148 (Reached recently – likely liquidity swept!)
Last Valid BOS: H1 and H4 both show bullish structure, but a correction is brewing. 🍃
📊 Key Technical Zones & Confluences
🔻 Sell-Side Liquidity Below
📌 $3,100 – Clear liquidity pool (equal lows + psychological level)
🔥 Below $3,100 to $3,085 – Strong imbalance zone + unmitigated FVG
🧲 Expectation: Price may grab liquidity here before next leg up
🔷 Imbalance + Discount Zone
📉 $3,085–$3,095 – Massive H1/H4 imbalance. Could be a POI if price breaks $3,100
🧱 Valid Demand OB (H1) inside this zone + FIBO 61.8% retracement from last impulse
🔺 Premium Rejection
🧱 H1/H4 OB near $3,135–$3,145 = Price sharply rejected = probable redistribution zone
✂️ This was also the weekly high, which got swept = liquidity taken
🎯 Plan of Action
🟢 Scenario 1: Long Entry from Discount Zone
"Let them take the liquidity, we take the reversal!" 💸
Entry Zone: $3,085 – $3,095
Confluence:
Valid H1 OB (confirmed with PA)
Imbalance zone
FIBO 61.8% + structure break
Sell-side liquidity sweep from $3,100
Confirmation: M15 CHoCH + Bullish engulfing or low volume sweep
SL: Below $3,078
TP1: $3,130
TP2: $3,145
TP3: $3,150 (liquidity magnet again)
🔴 Scenario 2: Short if Price Pushes Back to $3,140+
Catch the premium short 🧨
Entry Zone: $3,140 – $3,148
Confluence:
All-time high sweep (liquidity trap)
HTF OB rejection
Weakness shown on M15
Confirmation: M5-M15 CHoCH + engulfing
SL: Above $3,155
TP1: $3,125
TP2: $3,100
TP3: $3,085
🧠 Final Notes
📌 Be reactive, not predictive – wait for PA confirmation at POIs
📰 Watch news – especially unexpected geopolitical catalysts or Fed surprise
🧘♂️ Stick to risk management. At ATHs, volatility is high and manipulation common.
👉 If this breakdown helped you, don’t forget to FOLLOW for more sniper setups and smash that ❤️ LIKE button to show some love!
Your support keeps this 🔥 content coming!
GBPUSD A clear downward move toward downside find out the targetHello Guys,
Wish you and Your Family a Very Happy Eid.
I Found out one very easy to target GBPUSD trade setup for the week . here i can see GBPUSD is building a short term wave towards downside to target 1.2780 or below .
As we have created a Higher time frame OTE model
FedEx: Balancing Act or Precarious Gamble?Recent market activity highlights significant pressure on FedEx, as the logistics giant grapples with prevailing economic uncertainty. A notable drop in its stock price followed the company's decision to lower its revenue and profit outlook for fiscal year 2025. Management attributes this revision to weakening shipping demand, particularly in the crucial business-to-business sector, stemming from softness in the US industrial economy and persistent inflationary pressures. This development reflects broader economic concerns that are also impacting consumer spending and prompting caution across the corporate landscape.
In response to these domestic headwinds, FedEx has adopted a more conservative operational stance, evidenced by a reduced planned capital spending for the upcoming fiscal year. This move signals an emphasis on cost management and efficiency as the company navigates the current economic climate within its established markets. It suggests a strategic adjustment to align spending with the revised, more cautious revenue expectations.
However, this domestic caution contrasts sharply with FedEx's concurrent and ambitious expansion strategy in China. Despite geopolitical complexities, the company is making substantial investments to enlarge its footprint, building new operational centers, upgrading existing gateways, and increasing flight frequencies to enhance connectivity. This dual approach underscores the central challenge facing FedEx: balancing immediate economic pressures and operational adjustments at home while pursuing a long-term, high-stakes growth initiative in a critical international market, all within an uncertain global environment.
GBPJPY LONGSLongs Taking us further up, following price breaking out of the bearish channel. since price has broken out we should expect a pull back/ retracement to retest the broken trend.
AOI @ 193.318 this is the level where we will see price come back to retest and our longs should be active. Targeting highs @195.998
Having no position is also position- EURUSD - Official Tarrifs
Dear Traders, Investors and every interested person
I dont going to lie Im trough hard weeks maybe months after Trump became president although I’m sure you too. As of 01/04/2025 we are just few hours away to enjoy our rollercoaster ride in the amusement park of the USA GOVERMENT. Their old-new attractions is about tariffs and reciprocal tariffs.
Those who’s are not familiar what is a tariff I recommend reading this part those, whose already going to the bed and waking up with it may skip it the following section.
A **tariff** is a **tax imposed by a government on imported or exported goods**. It's one of the tools countries use in international trade policy. Here's a breakdown:
Types of Tariffs :
1. Import Tariff – tax on goods coming **into** a country. ( We are dealing with this curently)
2. **Export Tariff** – tax on goods going **out** of a country (less common).
Why Governments Use Tariffs:
Protect domestic industries by making foreign products more expensive.
Generate revenue for the government.
-Retaliate against unfair trade practices or tariffs from other countries.
Example:
If the U.S. places a **20% tariff** on imported French wine, that means any French wine imported into the U.S. will have an additional 20% tax added to its price. This makes domestic wine relatively cheaper, helping local producers compete .
___________________________________________________________________________
As of April 1, 2025, President Donald Trump has implemented or announced tariffs affecting a wide range of goods from multiple countries. Here's a summary of the current tariff measures
Tariffs on Canada and Mexico
February 1, 2025: President Trump signed executive orders imposing a 25% tariff on all goods imported from Canada and Mexico, citing concerns over illegal immigration and drug trafficking.
-March 4, 2025: These tariffs took effect, leading to retaliatory measures from both countries.
April 2, 2025: Tariffs on USMCA-compliant goods from Canada and Mexico, which had been temporarily exempted, are set to be enforced.
Tariffs on China
-February 1, 2025: An additional 10% tariff was imposed on imports from China due to the country's alleged failure to curb the export of fentanyl precursors and address money laundering activities.
March 4, 2025: The tariff rate on Chinese imports was increased to 20%
Global Tariffs - COMMING
April 2, 2025 President Trump has declared this date as "Liberation Day," marking the implementation of new tariffs aimed at addressing trade imbalances.
Reciprocal Tariffs The administration plans to enforce tariffs that match the rates other countries impose on U.S. goods, effectively applying a **20% tariff** on most imports.
Automobile Imports: A specific 25% tariff on imported passenger vehicles, light trucks, and key automobile parts is set to take effect on April 3, 2025.
Tariffs on the European Union- Because we treated very badly.....
-February 26, 2025: President Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on goods imported from the European Union, with a particular focus on the automotive sector.
Secondary Tariffs on Oil Imports
March 2025: The administration has threatened secondary tariffs on countries importing oil from Russia and Iran. This means that nations purchasing oil from these countries could face U.S. tariffs if they continue such trade while also engaging with the American market.
____________________________________________________________________________
In case of you get lost between the dates please take look at the
Comprehensive Tariff Table – President Trump (2025)
as of 01/04/2025
____________________________________________________________________________
Hereafter I would like turn your attention to the period of 28/02/2025 - 19/03/2025
What caused this relentless and, for many traders, painful +5.35% upside move under 19 days?
🇩🇪 Germany has unveiled a comprehensive fiscal strategy involving substantial investments in both infrastructure and defense sectors over the next decade. Here's a breakdown of the planned expenditures:
Infrastructure Investment:
€500 Billion Special Fund : The government has established a €500 billion special fund dedicated to infrastructure and climate-related projects over a 12-year period. This fund is designed to modernize critical systems, including energy grids, transport networks, digital infrastructure, education, and healthcare facilities. Notably, €100 billion of this fund is earmarked specifically for climate action initiatives aimed at achieving carbon neutrality by 2045.
Defense Spending:
Exemption from Debt Brake: In a significant policy shift, Germany has amended its constitutional "debt brake" to exempt defense and security expenditures exceeding 1% of GDP from borrowing limits. This adjustment effectively removes the previous cap on defense spending, allowing for increased investments in military capabilities.
Projected Defense Expenditure: While exact figures may vary based on annual GDP and specific defense needs, this exemption is anticipated to facilitate approximately €400 billion in additional defense spending over the next 10 years.
This fiscal policy measures does not take place often, but honestly signs were on the market that something is cooking at the back: Someone knows something that I dont. And you neither.
XETR:DAX from 01/January/2025 was not too much reason for the steady increase in the shadow of the trade war.
FX:EURUSD just look at the price actions from 01/January/2025 till the German gov announcement.
I could not explained for myself fundamentally what is happening. Why I see huge positioning with towards the upside when we still facing measures which can push major economies in the EURO AREA as France and Germany more deeper under the water where they already been.... No economic data refuted my findings.
Anyway, after all I said to myself let’s wait meanwhile, I was shorting the EUR because I felt the possible damage of the planned measures are not correctly priced in. (Interest rate parity, industrial production under 50 ( which means contraction) and a few other things. )
03/03/2025 Thats when everything got sense. Lesson learned: If you feel something do not suppress it especially when the signs are that strongs as above mentioned period.
The effect: All Europen goverment bond yields skyrocketed TVC:DE10 TVC:FR10
Why ? The German plans means that the goverment needs money and market said well i need return so I will finance you +3% and 2,30%
Bonds market are the real drivers behind the currency movements and this case the effect was drastic. In order to buy eur denominated bonds you need euro, therefore you exchange your currency to euro.
___________________________________________________________________________
Tomorrow questions is whats will be new in terms of tarrifs?
I do expect that soon the inflation will edge higher in the US which can trigger US bonds yield to increase significantly, but is will lead for short term dollar gain.
USA is playing with the fire since if their avarage debt interest payments will be +5% thats will open darker boxes soon than in 2008. Much darker.
So thats why I would enjoy the short term currency gain which is autonomous and than exchange my dollar to euro everywhere.
Daily Analysis- XAUUSD (Wednesday, 2nd April 2024)Bias: No Bias
USD News(Red Folder):
-ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
Analysis:
-Strong rejection from ATH 3148
-Looking for bearish structure on lower timefram
-Potential SELL if there's confirmation on lower timeframe
-Pivot point: 3140
Disclaimer:
This analysis is from a personal point of view, always conduct on your own research before making any trading decisions as the analysis do not guarantee complete accuracy.
(ATOM) cosmos "wave count"Long form wave count would appear to be in trend with an entirely new cycle for Cosmos, potentially, although I did not go all the way back to the origin of the company which is necessary to get a true depiction of history. Is the history of a company based on short lived moments or is there any knowledge to keeping track of the trend of a company through the entire duration of the chart regardless of what trends occur based on major moments in society and the seasonal hype from December and end of year excitement,.
Many years in the making. . .
I'm begging again, buy ETHUSD,BTCUSD!! Don't miss out...One thing about crypto, just like stock is that it is always bullish. There may be corrections but it will cover them in few years.
You may be waiting for a better entry, a steeper fall, you may be waiting for when you're sure but I assure you, now is the time.
Now, ETH has corrected really well, to price I've never expected. Buying eth at 1800 is like buying BTC at 20k. You may think it can fall more but that doesn't matter, it can always rise more
DXY has been falling, crypto falling with it. This doesn't usually happen in bull market.
It signifies either accumulation for an explosive move, or a ranging market.
Either way, you're safe buying now.
The market recovered from 2008 market crash, what then will make ETH or BTC not to recover?
Dont start liking posts after the trade is profitable. Trade and make money.
SL- 1735
TP- 5000
ENTRY- 1800
Ya gaziere unu
XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactio🔍 Daily Bias: Neutral with Bearish Intraday Tilt
Price is reacting to a previously unmitigated zone and potentially retesting a premium area, suggesting sell-side interest may return before any bullish continuation.
🧠 Key Context from Your Marked Chart
✅ Marked Sell/Retest Zone @ 3135–3145:
Clearly defined premium zone with imbalance and prior bearish reaction — confluence with OB + FVG, potential sniper entry for shorts.
✅ Unmitigated OB @ 3086–3095:
Valid demand zone where price bounced aggressively — still active liquidity + FVG.
✅ Major Imbalance Below @ 3054–3040 & 3040–3029:
Heavy drawdown target area. If price breaks 3086, expect it to fill imbalance and potentially bounce at 3040 or deeper around 3029.
🔽 Sell Scenarios
🟥 Sell #1 — Retest of Supply Sniper Entry
Entry Zone: 3135–3145
Confluences: Valid OB, FVG, Premium, Bearish PA from last touch
Target: 3086, then 3054–3040 imbalance zone
RSI: Check for overbought on M15–H1
🎯 "Classic sniper setup — get in, get out. No overthinking required."
🟥 Sell #2 — Break and Retest Below 3086
Trigger: Bearish close below 3086 + BOS on M15
Retest Entry: 3086 zone from below
Target: 3054 (first FVG), then 3029
EMAs: 5/21/50 flip short on M15 for confirmation
🟩 Buy Scenarios
🟩 Buy #1 — Bounce from 3086–3095 (Unmitigated OB)
Entry: Clean reaction + bullish PA in zone
Target: 3135 retest, partials at 3114
Sniper Confluence: BOS on M5/M15 + RSI divergence
🟩 Buy #2 — Deep Bounce from 3040 or 3029 Imbalance Zone
Entry: Only on strong PA confirmation (no early knives)
Target: 3086 first, 3135 secondary
RSI + EMA: Look for EMA 100–200 confluence, bullish divergence on RSI M15/M30
🧾 Technical Confluences Summary
✅ SMC: BOS + CHoCH present across M15–H1
✅ FVG: 3135–3145 (upper), 3054–3040 (lower)
✅ GAPS: Visible in 3054–3029 zone
✅ LIQUIDITY: Above 3145 + below 3029
✅ OB VALID: 3086–3095 still unmitigated
✅ RSI: Overbought earlier, neutral now. Watch intraday shifts.
✅ EMA Clusters:
EMA 5/21 flat after rebound
EMA 50/100 just below 3100
EMA 200 near 3050–3040 (high confluence for bounce)
⚠️ News & Fundamentals
Trump conference added USD volatility, but gold didn’t rally — watch for Fed speakers & JOLTS data tomorrow.
If dollar strengthens intraday again → watch sell setups more closely.
🧨 TradingView Title Suggestion:
“🎯 XAUUSD | Sniper Entry Zones Ready – Eyes on 3145 & 3086 Reactions!”
(APT) aptos "ahead of the game, or not"It is not use in being ahead of the price trend if the price is not going to recovery before Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin. Dogecoin used to be the one to measure between the big three cryptocurrency prices. Nowadays, Dogecoin is so popular with such a strong price hold and the fact that the unlimited coins means to measure Dogecoin is quite a bit more strange when compared to all the other limited circulating supply companies. Aptos appears to be closer to a neutral position, or will the price keep falling if Etherum and Bitcoin do not go flat? That is what I mean by this.
EURAUD Trade Analysis + Result, TP ViolatedAnother textbook trade executed to perfection! 🎯 We spotted a key demand zone around 1.71112, aligning with the weekly low, and took a high-probability long entry. Price showed strong bullish momentum, breaking past resistance levels and targeting the liquidity above previous highs.
📌 Trade Breakdown:
✅ Entry: based off FVG that last week's move left
✅ Confirmation: Strong bullish structure shift
✅ Target: liquidity i.e equal highs
Patience and smart execution paid off once again! Keeping an eye on price action for the next potential setup. 📈🔥
unto the next, let's fvcking gooo!
#EURAUD #ForexTrading #LiquidityGrab #SmartMoney #TradingView #TPHit 🚀
EURJPY on the Edge of Collapse: Ready for the Drop? Hi Traders ! The price has formed a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the daily (1D) chart and is approaching the neckline. If it breaks this level with strong momentum, we could see a significant decline, targeting the 135.000 - 140.000 zone.
Key Levels:
✅ Confirmation: Clear break of the trendline.
❌ Stop-loss: Above the right shoulder 165.000.
🎯 Bearish target: 135.000 - 140.000.
We’ll wait for confirmation before taking action. Stay tuned!
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Market Update (No Buy/Sell Bias)🧠 Structural Recap: Why Gold Did What It Did
🔄 Mitigation & Reaction Zones Review
✅ Premium Supply Zone @ 3144–3160 (H1-H4)
— Price tapped into this key premium area and sharply rejected it. This indicates a successful mitigation of that supply zone.
— This zone previously aligned with the weak high and premium structure, adding to its weight.
🟦 Mid-Range FVGs @ 3120–3130 (H1)
— This area acted as the bounce point today after price wicked down aggressively.
— The strong wick from 3086–3144 confirms buyer interest post-news, filling imbalance and mitigating prior demand (on H1).
🟫 Mitigated Demand Zone @ 3086–3096 (H1-H4)
— This demand zone was pierced and fully tapped. We saw a textbook bounce with strong reaction, suggesting the zone is now mitigated.
— A notable EQ + strong candle from this zone created bullish displacement.
🔵 Unmitigated Discount Demand @ 3054–3080 (H4)
— This remains a key untouched demand. Price wicked close to it but didn’t tap.
— If we get another push down, this is still valid and unmitigated.
🧱 Below 3050: Unmitigated Macro Zone (D1)
— The large OB/FVG combo around 2970–3030 still hasn’t been mitigated. This remains untouched liquidity in a deeper pullback.
📰 News Review — April 3, 2025
Trump’s Conference Commentary
— Hawkish rhetoric around economic strategy but no clear monetary focus.
— Mixed signals caused initial DXY strength, but later market corrected.
US Jobless Claims & ISM Services PMI
— Slightly worse-than-expected numbers, showing cooling economy signs.
— This supported XAU recovery post-drop as rate hike sentiment weakened.
Geopolitical Noise (Middle East)
— Continued tensions are keeping safe-haven demand intact, especially below 3100.
🧠 TL;DR
Zones like 3144–3160 and 3086–3096 are now mitigated.
3054–3080 and 2970–3030 remain unmitigated, future bounce areas.
Today’s volatility was news-driven, but liquidity still sits lower.
We’re currently in mid-mitigation flow, with the market respecting PA zones well.
Day Trade Review – TSLAThis video is a review of TSLA intraday price action based on a request. It examines how the stock could have been traded using a technical approach. The analysis covers the entire session from the open to the close, showing execution, trade management and decision-making without hindsight bias. It also includes additional insights on time and risk management trading intraday.
If you have any requests for future reviews, let me know.
Trump Goes 'Cynosure' of All Eyes as He Walked Into '1930' RoomThe Striking Parallels Between Trump's 2025 Tariffs and the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930
The recent trade policies under President Trump's second administration bear remarkable similarities to the controversial Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act of 1930, both in approach and potential consequences. These parallels offer important historical lessons about protectionist trade policies.
Protectionist Foundations and Scope
Both trade initiatives share fundamentally protectionist motivations aimed at shielding American industries from foreign competition. The Smoot-Hawley Act increased import duties by approximately 20% with the initial goal of protecting struggling U.S. farmers from European agricultural imports. Similarly, Trump's 2025 trade agenda explicitly aims at "backing the United States away from integration with the global economy and steering the country toward becoming more self-contained".
What began as targeted protections in both eras quickly expanded in scope. While Smoot-Hawley initially focused on agricultural protections, industry lobbyists soon demanded similar protections for their sectors. Trump's tariffs have followed a comparable pattern, beginning with specific sectors but rapidly expanding to affect a broad range of imports, with projected tariffs exceeding $1.4 trillion by April 2025—nearly four times the $380 billion imposed during his first administration.
Specific Tariff Examples
The parallel implementation approaches are notable:
Trump imposed a 25% global tariff on steel and aluminum products effective March 12, 2025
Trump raised tariffs on all Chinese imports to 20% on March 4, 2025
Trump imposed 25% tariffs on most Canadian and Mexican goods
Smoot-Hawley increased overall import duties by approximately 20%
Smoot-Hawley raised the average import tax on foreign goods to about 40% (following the Fordney-McCumber Act of 1922)
Global Retaliation and Economic Consequences
Perhaps the most striking similarity is the international backlash. The Smoot-Hawley tariffs triggered retaliatory measures from over 25 countries, dramatically reducing global trade and worsening the Great Depression. Trump's 2025 tariffs have already prompted counter-tariffs from major trading partners:
China responded with 15% tariffs on U.S. coal and liquefied natural gas, and 10% on oil and agricultural machines
Canada implemented 25% tariffs on approximately CA$30 billion of U.S. goods
The European Union announced tariffs on €4.5 billion of U.S. consumer goods and €18 billion of U.S. steel and agricultural products
Expert Opposition
Both policies faced significant opposition from economic experts. More than 1,000 economists urged President Hoover to veto the Smoot-Hawley Act.
Trump's 2025 tariffs? Reaction is coming yet...
Potential Economic Impact
The historical record suggests caution. The Smoot-Hawley Act is "now widely blamed for worsening the severity of the Great Depression in the U.S. and around the world". Trump's "more audacious intervention" similarly carries "potentially seismic consequences for jobs, prices, diplomatic relations and the global trading system".
These striking parallels between trade policies nearly a century apart demonstrate that economic nationalism and retaliatory trade cycles remain persistent challenges in international commerce, with historical lessons that remain relevant today.
Stock market Impact
Just watch the graph..
--
Best wishes,
Your Beloved @PandorraResearch Team 😎