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Market next target 🔍 Original Analysis Summary Resistance Zone: Around 1.1360 Support Zone: Same level after breakout (suggesting a breakout and retest pattern) Target: Around 1.1450 after breakout --- 🚫 Disruption Points 1. False Breakout Risk What could happen: Price might break the resistance briefly and then fall back below it. Why: Lack of volume or confirmation, or a market maker trap to gather liquidity above the resistance zone. Disruption: Instead of forming new support, it could become a bull trap leading to a sharp reversal. 2. Fundamental Risk What could happen: Unexpected U.S. or Eurozone economic data (like NFP, CPI, or ECB/Fed announcements) may shift sentiment suddenly. Why: The image shows upcoming news events (flag icons), which could induce volatility. Disruption: The news might push EUR/USD sharply down even if a breakout occurs. 3. Bearish Divergence (if applicable) What could happen: If RSI or MACD were included, they might show divergence while price is rising. Why: Divergence typically precedes reversals. Disruption: This would undermine the bullish breakout thesis.
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
CHFJPY MARKET ANALYSIS AND PRICE PREDICTION CHFJPY, is consolidating at the Institutional renegotiation zone, the decision will favor the Bears because price has already grab the BUYSIDE LIQUIDITY for bearish movement. Next week, I will be expecting price to break the renegotiation trend line with a FVG and head towards the renegotiation support to sweep the SELL SIDE LIQUIDITY. Price is at the entry position now. Entry, take profits and stop loss are clearly stated on the chat. Good Luck Guys!
Short
by Akpambang
Market next move ⚠️ Disruption of the Bullish Silver Setup: --- 1. Misleading Support-Resistance Interpretation The resistance zone highlighted is flat and overlapping with multiple wicks. The support zone is not well-established; it's only tested once or twice with weak bounce reaction, which is not enough to consider it strong support. --- 2. Lack of Bullish Confirmation The price is currently hovering around the support with no breakout candle or strong bullish engulfing pattern. The recent candlesticks near resistance are small-bodied with long wicks, suggesting indecision or weakening buying power, not strength. --- 3. Volume Disagreement There's no surge in bullish volume that would confirm buyers stepping in. The large red volume bars toward the right indicate selling pressure dominating, which contradicts the bullish target.
TVC:SILVERLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Bullish Setup on GOLD: 1. Range Market Ignored: The price is moving sideways in a tight consolidation, indicating range-bound behavior rather than a breakout setup. The chart projects a bullish move, but there's no confirmed breakout of the resistance zone yet. 2. Weak Resistance Zone: The identified “resistance” zone is very narrow and lacks strong rejection wicks or significant bearish volume. It's unclear if this is true resistance or just part of the ongoing chop. 3. Lack of Volume Confirmation: Volume remains moderate and doesn’t show increasing buying pressure, which would be expected if bulls were preparing a breakout. No signs of volume climax or absorption, which are typical before breakouts. 4. Premature Targeting: The target area is placed far above the resistance zone without a measured move or pattern basis (e.g., no flag, no cup-and-handle, no inverse head and shoulders). This could be misleading as it sets unrealistic expectations.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
Market next move 🔍 Disruption of the Current Bearish Setup: 1. Mislabeling of Levels: The chart labels a newly broken support as "Support" still, even though price has clearly broken below that zone. In proper technical analysis, once support is broken, it often turns into resistance, so the labels should be reversed. 2. Premature Downside Projection: The bearish arrow assumes continued downside immediately after the breakdown, but there’s no confirmation candle or retest yet. This could easily be a false breakdown or a liquidity sweep below support before a bounce. 3. No Confirmation from Volume: Volume spiked on the breakdown, but the follow-up candle doesn’t confirm seller continuation. Absence of sustained volume makes the move questionable. It could be a trap for breakout traders. 4. Lack of Trend Context: The chart doesn't consider the broader trend. If BTC was in a strong uptrend before this pullback, this could be a bullish retracement, not a true reversal. Drawing a trendline or checking a higher timeframe would help validate the direction.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Gold_Free_Signals
BTC Macro View - Possible PullbackFailed breakout or just a pause? Bitcoin wicked above the 7-month range ($74k–$109k) and hit a new ATH at $112k—but the breakout lacked conviction: -3 Day candle did not close outside the range. It wicked above ATH and closed back inside, which often signals a failed breakout. -Volume on the breakout was low—not the kind of commitment you'd expect on price discovery. -Unless we reclaim the highs with conviction, the odds lean toward mean reversion or a deeper pullback, especially as macro risk increases (S&P weakness, renewed trade tension, credit rating concerns). S&P Correlation I was calling for a pullback on the S&P on May 16th in this Idea. -https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/CMKml8I3-Bearish-Divergence-Pullback-Pending/ -The S&P has already started fading off highs. -BTC kept pushing a bit longer—but may have just been lagging the risk-off shift. -Now both look vulnerable and possibly entering correction together. Macro Narrative Timeline March–April: Trump escalates tariff rhetoric → markets sell hard: S&P falls from 6,100 → 4,800 BTC dumps from $108k → $74k Mid-April–May: Trump pivots, talks trade deals → markets bounce: S&P rallies back to 6,000 BTC rips to $112k ATH Now at highs, bearish news flow returns: Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade Trump targeting EU and Apple with new tariffs S&P rolling over again BTC starting to follow This is narrative cycling: Scare → Ease → Pump → Re-scare near highs Short-Term Setup Macro structure is still bullish. But short-term risk is rising fast: -Bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart -Failed breakout on the 3D, Low volume ATH push -Crowded longs getting chopped -BTC media coverage going vertical—endless bullish predictions across TV, headlines, social media -Media didn't talk about BTC when it was at $74k. They were loud now, at the highs. Fibonacci Retracement Levels from April 9 Low → $112k High 0.786 = $103,969 0.618 = $97,665 0.5 = $93,237 -Each level aligns with prior consolidation and offers strong technical context. -No need to guess. We will watch volume + structure at each zone. -These are prime areas to accumulate spot. -No leverage. No chasing. Let it come to you. -This is what Bitcoin is—accumulate pullbacks, hold, survive the chop. -After this correction, I believe we push back to ATH and into price discovery. Whale Psychology Trap (my thoughts on it) Recently a Hyperliquid whale built a record breaking $1B+ BTC long on a defi exchange, drew in a massive herd to follow, then flipped short over the weekend after closing the position. -Now that crowd is likely emotionally tied to their longs—feeling betrayed, stubborn, and unwilling to cut on a pullback. -Red flag: we now have whales publicly influencing the herd with precision. Not a bullish short-term signal. Final Thoughts We’re seeing alignment across: -Failed breakout on 3D -Overheated retail sentiment (even though retail thinks the reverse, all you hear right now is "RETAIL IS NOT EVEN HERE YET") -Public Whale traps in motion -Media pushing euphoria the past two weeks -Macro headwinds slowly creeping back in at the most convenient time to pullback -BTC remains in a macro uptrend. But this is not a healthy breakout yet. P.S. This breakdown is mainly for traders. But let me be clear: -The smartest approach to Bitcoin is still simple—accumulate and hold spot. -Given BTC’s position in a world of debt-soaked economies, eroding fiat trust, and centralized monetary control, it's far riskier to have none than to hold through volatility -The wealthy, the powerful, the largest corporations — they’re starting to understand this reality -Your job? Keep buying dips and holding long-term. Use macro views like this to: -Take profits from overextended markets (U.S. equities, alts, etc.) -Time bigger BTC adds when fear returns But if you own spot BTC? Don’t sell it. Ever. Trade other assets. Stack sats. And if BTC ever hits $1M/coin... then sure—do whatever you want
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HunterMorris
Market next move 🔍 Disruption/Critique of the Current Target Analysis: 1. Lack of Technical Justification: The chart marks a “Target” level without referencing a clear technical basis (e.g., resistance, Fibonacci level, or moving average). Without a corresponding pattern or indicator signal (e.g., breakout, double bottom, divergence), the target seems arbitrary. 2. Volume Spike Misinterpretation: While there’s a volume spike in the last candle, it's accompanied by a bearish candle, suggesting potential selling pressure, not buying strength. A bullish continuation would ideally require a green candle with increasing volume, which is absent here. 3. Market Context Ignored: No consideration of broader market context such as macroeconomic news, DXY strength, or interest rate expectations which heavily impact GBP/USD. The U.S. flag icon indicates upcoming news – trading before such events can be risky and invalidate the technical target. 4. Resistance Zone Overlooked: The “Target” lies near the 1.3500 psychological level, which often acts as resistance. This isn’t discussed or marked. Recent price action near that level shows rejection, making it a questionable target without strong buying confirmation
Long
by Gold_Free_Signals
BTCUSD SMC Short | 70.5% Fib + OB Rejection Incoming?BTCUSD | High Risk-Reward Setup at Key Supply Zone 🔥 This Bitcoin setup is setting up for a potential clean short opportunity, right from a key Order Block zone confluenced with 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement and a Strong High liquidity magnet above. 🧠 1. Why This Trade Setup is 🔥 This BTCUSD chart shows Smart Money preparing a trap: 🔺 Impulse down ➝ forming market structure shift 📉 Retracement back to a refined OB (purple zone) 📍 Aligned perfectly with: ✅ 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement zone ✅ Strong High = liquidity trap ✅ Bearish engulfing rejection from supply zone This is textbook SMC confluence. Price could sweep the high one more time, then tank hard. 📌 2. Zone Breakdown OB Entry Zone (purple): ~108,000 to 108,400 SL Above Strong High: ~109,000 TP at Weak Low: ~104,600 ✅ Entry around 108,000 ✅ RRR: ~1:5 👑 📈 3. Market Structure HTF Bias: Bearish LTF Structure: Retracing to premium zone Expecting BOS downward if rejection confirms ⚙️ 4. Trade Plan Wait for price to tap 61.8–70.5% zone Look for M5/M15 bearish structure break Enter on pullback to M15 OB SL = Above the High TP = Weak Low (104,630) 🛑 5. Risk Management Tips Never enter blindly at 61.8% Always wait for confirmation on LTF (M5/M15) If price blows past 70.5%, let it go — don’t chase 🧘 🧠 Save this trade plan 📈 Comment “BTC SMC ENTRY” if you caught this 👀 Follow for more Smart Money chart breakdowns
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
Gold Declines as PCE Inflation Data Cools📊 Market Overview: Gold is currently trading around $3,289/oz, down from the day's high of $3,322. This decline follows the U.S. PCE inflation data showing a 2.1% annual increase in April, below the forecast of 2.2% and March's 2.3%. Core PCE also rose 0.1% monthly and 2.5% annually, the lowest since early 2021. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $3,310 – $3,330 • Nearest Support: $3,270 • EMA: Price is currently below the 09 EMA, indicating a short-term downtrend. • RSI Indicator: The RSI is declining, signaling increasing selling pressure. • Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern has formed after failing to break above the $3,330 resistance zone. 📌 Outlook: If gold fails to hold the $3,270 support level, it may continue to decline towards $3,250. However, maintaining above $3,270 could see a rebound towards the $3,300 – $3,310 range. 💡Suggested Trade Strategy: SELL XAU/USD at: $3,310 – $3,315 🎯 TP: $3,290 ❌ SL: $3,320 BUY XAU/USD at: $3,270 🎯 TP: $3,290 ❌ SL: $3,260
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
[ TimeLine ] Gold 2-3 June 2025Hello everyone, 📆 Today is Friday, May 30, 2025 📌 Upcoming Gold Signal Dates: • June 2, 2025 (Monday) — Single candle setup • June 2–3, 2025 (Monday–Tuesday) — Two-candle range 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes ✅ Gold recently made a bearish move of ~780 pips, breaking below the prior key support at 3323, down to 3245 🔁 Multiple re-entry opportunities were identified using Fibonacci retracement levels, which provided solid price reaction points. ⚠️ If the June 2 Hi-Lo range appears wide and sideways, we may consider holding off until June 4 for confirmation of clearer directional bias. ✅ I will be trading both signals (June 2 and June 2–3) as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If the range is narrow or shows false breakout risk, it's okay to skip the June 2 signal and focus instead on the June 2–3 combined range. 📋 Execution Plan 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range from the selected candle(s) to fully form. ▫ These will be marked initially with purple lines on the chart. ▫ After market close, I’ll update the chart with additional indicator levels. 🔹 Entry triggers will be based on breakouts beyond the range, with a 60-pip buffer. 🔹 If the trade hits SL, the plan is to cut/switch direction and double position size on the next valid signal as part of the recovery strategy. 📉📈 Chart Reference Copy & paste this code into your browser and add TradingView URL: 🔗 TV/x/iQrX0gJW/ ✅ Stay alert and follow the signal flow — upcoming entries could offer solid reward potential if executed with discipline. 📌 I'll post the final Hi-Lo levels and updated chart after the June 2 and June 3 candles close.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
Action Plan for the Next Big MoveThe Canadian Dollar (CAD) is trading around 0.725, caught in a rare balance where clear conviction is elusive and volatility appears to be compressing, beneath the surface, the stage is set for a potentially explosive move. With the Bank of Canada set to announce its policy decision next week and trade issues with the US still simmering, the market feels poised for a major breakout, even as the immediate backdrop remains subdued. Fundamental Analysis: Waiting Game with Trade Tension All eyes are on the Bank of Canada’s upcoming decision. The policy rate, having dropped to 2.75% after a string of seven cuts, now stands at its lowest level in nearly three years. The latest inflation print (1.7%) supports a cautious stance, and the market is pricing in a 70% chance of no change. Yet, this calm could be deceptive: should inflation slip further or job data disappoint, talk of renewed easing will return quickly. Canada’s deep trade relationship with the United States means any change in tariff policy is especially consequential. Although a US court recently ruled in favor of Canada, experts warn that the broader tariff debate is far from over. Any fresh escalation or, conversely, an easing of trade tensions could move the CAD sharply in either direction. Meanwhile, a mild rebound in oil prices adds some support, but the real driver remains policy and politics. For now, fundamentals argue for patience, with no strong directional bias until the next catalyst emerges. Technical Analysis: Tight Range, But Pressure Is Building Price action has settled into a well-defined range after the sharp volatility of late May. The contract retreated to the point of control at 0.7220, absorbing liquidity and confirming this zone as reliable short-term support. On the upside, repeated failures above 0.73, including rejection wicks earlier this week, highlight strong resistance and a market not yet ready to commit to a sustained trend. Despite the lack of a decisive move, this compression phase often precedes an outsized breakout, especially with macro catalysts on the horizon. Sentiment Analysis: Crosswinds, Not Clarity Institutional flows show a recent uptick in short positions on the CAD, while retail sentiment appears balanced to slightly bullish CAD (short USD/CAD), reflecting indecision. The VIX, now close to its annual average, signals that risk appetite is neutral, there’s little evidence of panic or euphoria. This cocktail leaves the CAD without a clear consensus but suggests that when conviction returns, the move could be sharp. Listed Options Analysis: Pin Risk, Gamma Potential, and the Calm Before Volatility The monthly options board reveals significant open interest in calls clustered between 0.7350 and 0.74 for the next expiration, the 6th of June, while downside protection is less pronounced. Implied volatility, though lower than recent extremes, remains elevated compared to historical averages, and there’s a mild bias toward downside hedges. If spot moves above 0.73, options dynamics could quickly flip, fueling an upside acceleration toward 0.7350 or even higher, as dealers are forced to chase delta hedges. A pin at these strikes is possible if the move is not explosive, but a genuine breakout could be dramatic. Trade Idea: Flexibility Over Forecasting With so many crosscurrents and volatility compressing, the market appears primed for a breakout. Rather than forcing a directional bet, the most rational approach is to prepare for both outcomes with clear levels. Bullish Breakout Scenario Entry: Buy above 0.7320 (daily close or strong breakout confirmation) Stop: 0.7245 (below recent support) Target 1: 0.7395 (OI cluster) Target 2: 0.7500 (psychological level) Bearish Breakdown Scenario Entry: Sell below 0.7220 (daily close or strong breakout confirmation) Stop: 0.7310 (above the prior resistance) Target: 0.7145 (recent lows/retail stops) Rather than predict, this approach lets price action dictate. Volatility may be low for now, but context argues that a range breakout, especially to the upside, could be sudden and violent given options positioning and macro uncertainty. With policy on pause, trade headlines pending, and options open interest suggesting magnetic levels higher, the CAD sits on the edge of potential. As volatility compresses, the market’s indecision is itself the clearest signal: the next major move, when it comes, is likely to be fast and fueled by positioning. Flexibility, not bias, is the trader’s greatest edge in this environment. Be ready for it. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: tradingview.com/cme/. This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:6C1!Long
by satelysfx
[ TimeLine ] Gold 26-27 May 2025Hello everyone, 📅Today is Sunday, May 25, 2025 📌 Upcoming Signal Dates: • May 26, 2025 (Monday) • May 27, 2025 (Tuesday) (using 2 candles) 🧠 Trading Plan & Notes: ✅ Gold has experienced a sharp bullish move of over 1000 pips, breaking out from the ranging area 3255 to 3366 ⚠️ If the upcoming Hi-Lo range is wide and shows bullish continuation, consider entries on corrections after breakout or setups based on Fibonacci retracement ✅ I will be trading both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy ⚠️ If you're feeling risk-averse or uncertain, it's totally fine to skip the May 26 or May 27–28 (2-candle) signals 📋 Execution Plan: 🔹 Wait for the Hi-Lo range from the selected candles to fully form. These will be initially marked with purple lines on the chart, and I’ll update the chart with additional indicator lines once the range is fully confirmed after market close 🔹 Entry will be triggered on breakout, with a 60-pip buffer 🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), cut/switch and double the position on the next valid setup to attempt recovery 📉📈 Chart Reference: 🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL: TV/x//BjdZ9IgR/
OANDA:XAUUSD
by lybeedo
GOLD GC /GC GC1! XAU/USD: Arbitrage Oppertunity. Gold Futures (GC1!) – Breakdown Ahead? Arbitrage Opportunity Emerging 🔍 Daily Chart Analysis by Wavervanir International LLC ⚠️ Key Technical Observations: Descending Triangle Breakdown Risk: Gold has rejected resistance near $3,350 multiple times. The lower highs and horizontal support suggest a descending triangle structure. Projected Breakdown Zone: If $3,280 support fails, we could see a swift move toward $3,100 or even lower, near the $2,950 zone. Lower Trendline Magnet: Price appears to be gravitating toward a key trendline formed from April’s breakout, which aligns with the $2,950–$3,000 confluence zone. 💱 Arbitrage Opportunity: GC1! vs XAU/USD vs /GC There is growing dislocation among: GC1! (Gold Futures – COMEX) /GC (Front-Month Gold Futures) XAU/USD (Spot Gold) Watch for inefficiencies due to: 🔁 Hedging lag across timeframes (spot vs futures) 💰 Rate differential effects (carry cost, interest rates) 🌍 Currency mismatch in spot vs USD-settled futures If the spot-futures basis widens unjustifiably, a short GC1! / long XAU/USD setup could exploit mean reversion. Advanced traders might also consider calendar spreads (/GC Jun vs Aug) if volatility compresses. 📊 Probabilistic Outlook: Scenario Probability Commentary Breakdown Toward $2,950 55% Technical structure favors bears unless macro shifts occur. Bounce and Range Around $3,300 30% Compression before Fed/JOLTS/NFP may cause chop. Breakout Above $3,375 15% Requires macro catalyst—like Fed rate cut, geopolitical shock, or weak USD 🧠 Macro Factors to Monitor: FOMC & FedSpeak (June) – If rate cuts are delayed, gold could lose momentum. Real Yields (10Y TIPS) – Rising real yields = bearish gold. Geopolitical Tensions – Any flare-ups (Middle East, Taiwan) may flip sentiment fast. China/BRICS Demand – Gold import/export data could signal accumulation or slowdown. 💡 We’re monitoring these inefficiencies for tactical plays under the Wavervanir macro-arbitrage lens. Stay updated for real-time trade ideas and DSS-based execution. #Gold #GC1 #XAUUSD #FuturesTrading #MacroArbitrage #CommodityTrading #Wavervanir #RiskManagement
COMEX:GC1!Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
/HE HE1! Macro Analysis: Lean Hogs Futures (HEM2025)🐖 Supply & Demand Dynamics Production Trends: The USDA forecasts 2025 U.S. pork production at 28.5 billion pounds, a 2.7% increase from 2024, driven by higher slaughter levels and improved litter rates . Export Outlook: Pork exports are projected to rise by 3% to 7.3 billion pounds in 2025, with strong demand from Mexico and South Korea offsetting declines in China and Japan . Domestic Demand: U.S. pork consumption remains flat, averaging 50 lbs per person annually, while beef and chicken consumption have increased . Oklahoma Farm Report 💰 Cost & Profitability Factors Feed Costs: Feed costs are projected to decrease by 13% in 2025, reaching a feed cost index of 87, due to lower corn and soybean meal prices . Producer Margins: Lower feed costs and stable hog prices are expected to improve producer margins, with average hog prices projected at $65 per cwt in 2025 . 🌍 Trade & Geopolitical Considerations Tariffs and Trade Disputes: Ongoing trade tensions, particularly with China, have led to a 125% tariff on U.S. pork exports, causing producers like Smithfield Foods to pivot to other markets . Export Diversification: U.S. pork producers are focusing on expanding exports to countries like Mexico, South Korea, and Canada to mitigate risks associated with trade disputes . Oklahoma Farm Report 📈 Technical Analysis Recap Breakout Confirmation: Price has broken above the descending trendline and reclaimed key Fibonacci levels (0.786 and 0.886), indicating bullish momentum. Target Zones: Immediate target at 101.600 (1.618 Fib extension), with further targets at 101.875 (1.786), 101.975 (1.854), and 102.225 (2.0). Support Level: Key support at 99.925; a break below this level could invalidate the bullish structure. 📊 Probability Assessment Scenario Probability Rationale Bullish Continuation 65% Supported by technical breakout, lower feed costs, and stable export demand. Sideways Consolidation 25% Potential due to flat domestic demand and global trade uncertainties. Bearish Reversal 10% Possible if key support at 99.925 fails or if export markets deteriorate further. 📌 Conclusion The Lean Hogs Futures market exhibits a favorable setup for a bullish continuation, supported by technical indicators and macroeconomic factors such as lower feed costs and stable export demand. However, traders should remain vigilant of potential risks, including trade disputes and domestic demand stagnation.
CME:HE1!Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction. This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior. 🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel 🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone 🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities 📍 2. Breakout Confirmation The breakout was confirmed by: A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405) Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used) This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab. 🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move: 🔄 What’s Being Retested? ✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel ✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415) ✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs ✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept) ✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries. 🔍 4. Key Technical Observations Element Description 📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias. 🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it. 🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level. 📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest. 📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again. 🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are: ✅ Primary Target – 0.8460 A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension ⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430 Previous intra-channel resistance level May serve as a short-term reaction point ❌ Invalidation Level A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout 🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend) Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point) Take-Profit 1: 0.8430 Take-Profit 2: 0.8460 This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation. 🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence). Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups. Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits. ✅ Conclusion This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading: A well-defined channel breakout Followed by a clean pullback to structure With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups. 📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
Safe Entry ZoneFull Screen 1D Chart to get the General Direction Of Unity Stock Movement. You May lower Time to 1h to see Recent Dicretion Movement. The Stock Has Significate clear Resistances And Decent Support levels. For Support Levels: the 1h Green and 4h Green Zone are most signifacte support level sepcially in worse case scienario we visit the 4H its strongest support level. For Resistance levels: the Red 1h Zone P.High(Previous High) Line and Red 4h Red Zone acts as most significate Resistance level. At each Either Support and Resistance watch-out for Volume Selling/Buying with 15M TF. Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone: We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone: Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle. Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone. Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up. 2- How to Buy Stock: On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in. Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
NYSE:U
by Faisalzor
EURUSD Structural Analysis | Curve Breakout to Key Reversal Zone🔍 Structure Analysis: The EURUSD pair has been exhibiting classic smart money behavior following a reaccumulation phase beneath a curved resistance structure. This curve acted as a dynamic liquidity ceiling, engineered to trap breakout traders during early sessions and encourage early shorts — only to be invalidated later by institutional momentum. What we now see is a clean structural breakout, a shift in market sentiment, and a precision drive toward premium liquidity zones, where we expect reactions from institutional orders or profit-taking. 📐 Technical Breakdown: 🔹 1. Curved Resistance Breakout (Trend Manipulation Layer) The curve represents a multi-touch descending resistance line that was gradually compressing price. Multiple rejections created a false sense of bearish continuation, but in reality, smart money was accumulating positions under the curve. The final breakout was impulsive and occurred on elevated volume, breaking both the curve and a short-term bearish structure. 🔹 2. Bullish Market Structure Confirmation Higher highs and higher lows are now clearly established. After the curve break, the price pulled back slightly, respecting the new trendline support — a sign of retest behavior and continuation. The previous internal structure break was confirmed after a key swing high was violated, flipping the order flow to bullish. 🔹 3. SR Interchange + QFL Demand Zone The 1.11800–1.12200 zone held firm during the retracement, previously acting as a strong resistance and now a support flip. This zone coincides with a QFL-style accumulation base — a concept based on sudden dips into support where big orders are filled before sharp reversals. Wick rejections and candle closes show strong interest by buyers. 🔹 4. Trendline & Structure Alignment A clean ascending trendline is acting as dynamic support. Each touch on the trendline has been followed by bullish expansion — another indication of institutional order flow support. This trendline also aligns with internal FVGs (Fair Value Gaps), offering more confluence. 🔹 5. Liquidity Magnet: Next Major Zone The next key area is marked around 1.15500–1.15750, which is a previous structural high, order block, and likely liquidity pool for pending sell-side orders. This area is expected to act as a magnet, pulling price toward it before a potential reversal or redistribution phase begins. 📊 Trade Management Plan: Parameter Details Bias Bullish (Short-Term to Mid-Term) Entry Zones Retest of trendline or minor FVGs TP1 1.14500 (interim supply) TP2 (Main) 1.15500–1.15750 (major liquidity zone) SL Below 1.11800 (invalidates bullish idea) RR Target 1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry precision 🧠 Concepts Applied: Smart Money Concepts (SMC) Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH) Curve Manipulation / Compression SR Flip (Support-Resistance Interchange) QFL (Quasimodo Failure Level) Trendline + FVG Confluence Liquidity Pool Targeting Volume Expansion Breakout Confirmation 🛎️ Watchlist Notes & Trade Expectations: Expect short-term pullbacks into the 1.13000–1.13200 zone for liquidity re-tests. Watch for reaction or sweep near 1.15500 — this is where short-term sellers may enter, and institutions may offload. If price holds above the trendline and consolidates near the high, a continuation leg to even higher targets (1.16500) is possible — depending on macro conditions. ✅ Conclusion: This EURUSD setup is a high-probability opportunity shaped by smart money behavior and deep structural context. The combination of the curve breakout, trendline strength, and liquidity targeting provides a clear roadmap for execution and management. Use this analysis as a framework — always confirm with price action and risk management aligned with your personal strategy.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades