Beyond Technical Analysis
GBP/JPY Long OpportunityThe Bank of England (BoE) has maintained a hawkish stance, raising interest rates to combat inflation. In contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) has kept its monetary policy accommodative, with ultra-low interest rates. This significant interest rate differential creates a strong incentive for investors to borrow Yen at low rates and invest in higher-yielding Pound-denominated assets, increasing demand for the Pound and pushing GBP/JPY higher. The BoJ's accommodative monetary policy and its efforts to weaken the Yen for export competitiveness could further fuel the rise of GBP/JPY.
First Target 200
second target 213.09
Stop loss at 183.73
BTC, long or short? It could go either wayTriangle pattern on the Daily. Clearer on the 4hr. A bit choppy on the 1hr, 45 and 15min as would be expected. Pretty much respects 0.236 and 0.785, and more recently 0.5 and 0.618 Fib levels. I’m expecting an early morning breakout to the upside at the start of the week with $109k in sight. Chances are, if enough retail think it’s breaking out to the upside, price will probably flush out shorts with a strong wick up then liquidate longs on the way to $97,2k region. On the back of Trump signing crypto related executive orders, it might be assumed bullish news for the of N.Y open, but this is as much psychology as it is TA and FA. Keep your stops tight or sit this one out?
DIXON KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
GLENMARK KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
MARUTI KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
NAUKRI KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
ADANIENT KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
RELIANCE KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
INDUSINDBK KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
SBIN KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
AXISBANK KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
RBLBANK KEY LEVELS FOR 27/01/2025**Explanation:**
This trading system helps you avoid blind trades by providing confirmation for better entries and exits.
**Entry/Exit Points:**
- **Entry/Exit Lines:** Use the BLACK line for long trades and the RED line for short trades, based on confirmation from your trading plan.
- **Stop Loss:** For long trades, set the stop loss at the RED line below. For short trades, set it at the BLACK line above.
- **Take Profit:** For long trades, target the next RED line above. For short trades, target the next BLACK line below.
**Timeframe:**
Use a 5 timeframe for trading.
**Risk Disclaimer:**
This setup is for educational purposes. I'm not responsible for your gains or losses. Check the chart for more details.
XAUMO Weekly PlaybookScenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $2,785 (VAH)
Market-Maker Logic: Breakout above $2,785 (VAH) signals institutional buying, targeting stops around $2,790-$2,800 (Fibonacci TP Zone).
Entry: Buy Stop at $2,786
Take Profit Levels:
$2,790: (Psychological Level & FVG Midpoint).
$2,800: (Fibonacci Extension 161.8%).
Stop Loss: $2,771 (POC).
Shark Moves: Fake breakouts above $2,790, trap retail longs, then reverse to $2,771 (POC) before the real move continues.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below $2,756 (VAL)
Market-Maker Logic: Breaking $2,756 (VAL) lets institutions accumulate lower at $2,740-$2,726 (VWAP & S&R Zones).
Entry: Sell Stop at $2,755
Take Profit Levels:
$2,740: (VWAP Lower Band).
$2,726: (S&R Zone and Final Liquidity Pool).
Stop Loss: $2,771 (POC).
Shark Moves: Sweep stops below $2,740, then reverse aggressively toward $2,771 (POC) for profit-taking.
Scenario 3: Range-Bound Manipulation ($2,756-$2,785)
Market-Maker Logic: Consolidation here means liquidity sweeps on both ends before the real move begins.
Playbook:
Short at $2,785 (VAH): Target $2,771 (POC) and $2,756 (VAL).
Buy at $2,756 (VAL): Target $2,771 (POC) and $2,785 (VAH).
Stop Loss: $10 beyond entry level.
Shark Moves: Trigger fake breakouts on both ends to trap retail traders.
Weekly Market Context: Building the XAUMO Narrative
Previous 3 Weeks Overview
Bullish Momentum in Control
Strong bullish movement observed, breaking resistance and holding higher zones.
XAUMO Insight:
Institutional buyers defended $2,656, with $2,700 becoming a critical psychological level.
Liquidity Manipulation
Market-Maker Moves:
Exploitation of liquidity pockets above $2,770 and below $2,756.
Retail traders systematically trapped with sudden reversals around VAHs (Value Area Highs) and VALs (Value Area Lows).
Volume and POC Interplay
Weekly POC ($2,771):
Acts as a central magnet, reflecting institutional accumulation and retail indecision.
Current Weekly Trend Analysis
VWAP Anchored Levels (XAUMO Indicator):
Upper Band ($2,785-$2,790): Institutional profit zones.
Median VWAP ($2,771): Consolidation magnet.
Lower Band ($2,756-$2,740): Institutional buying opportunities.
Momentum Analysis
ADX Levels: Moderate strength, favoring cautious continuation.
Moving Averages: Price remains above EMA 8 and SMA 50, confirming short-term bullish trends.
Updated XAUMO Key Levels for the Week
Primary Levels of Focus
$2,756 (VAL):
XAUMO Insight: Key support level.
Impact: Holding keeps bullish momentum intact; breaking signals potential bearish movement to $2,740.
$2,771 (POC):
XAUMO Insight: Central magnet level.
Impact: Expect price consolidation or reversals here.
$2,785 (VAH):
XAUMO Insight: Critical breakout level.
Impact: Locking above signals bullish continuation.
XAUMO Bullish Targets
$2,785:
First resistance level and psychological target for breakout traders.
$2,790-$2,800:
Final institutional profit zones.
XAUMO Bearish Targets
$2,756:
Short-term support zone; potential liquidity grabs expected.
$2,740:
Strong buying base for institutions.
$2,726:
Ultimate downside liquidity level.
XAUMO Weekly Playbook
Scenario 1: Bullish Breakout Above $2,785
Market-Maker Logic: Breaking $2,785 signals institutional buying, targeting stop-loss clusters near $2,790 and $2,800.
XAUMO Targets:
$2,790: Retail FOMO trigger.
$2,800: Institutional profit zones.
Shark Moves: Trap breakout buyers near $2,790-$2,800, then reverse sharply to $2,771.
Scenario 2: Bearish Breakdown Below $2,756
Market-Maker Logic: Breaking $2,756 triggers retail panic, enabling institutions to accumulate at discounted prices.
XAUMO Targets:
$2,740: Intermediate support.
$2,726: Institutional buying base.
Shark Moves: Sweep stop-losses below $2,740, then reverse aggressively to $2,771.
Scenario 3: Range-Bound Play ($2,756-$2,785)
Market-Maker Logic: Indecision in this range allows sharks to exploit both retail buyers and sellers.
XAUMO Playbook:
Short at $2,785: Target $2,771 and $2,756.
Buy at $2,756: Target $2,771 and $2,785.
Shark Moves: Fake breakouts and breakdowns to clear stop-losses on both sides.
XAUMO Daily Projections
Monday:
Focus: Define weekly range ($2,756-$2,785).
Shark Action: Trigger false breakouts to lure retail traders.
Tuesday:
Focus: Attempt breakout or fakeout near key levels.
Shark Action: Reverse direction mid-session to trap retail traders.
Wednesday:
Focus: Push price toward $2,790 or $2,740 during session overlaps.
Shark Action: Clear stop-losses at mid-week highs/lows.
Thursday:
Focus: Reversal day. Look for shifts from mid-week extremes.
Shark Action: Create FOMO near mid-week trendlines, then reverse sharply.
Friday:
Focus: Weekly close near $2,771.
Shark Action: Use thin liquidity to exaggerate moves and confuse retail traders.
Updated XAUMO Insights from Current Charts
The weekly narrative and playbook remain intact, but the updated charts suggest:
Immediate Resistance: $2,785 (current local high).
Immediate Support: $2,756 (near consolidation lows).
Bullish Scenario Confidence: 75% likelihood of a breakout targeting $2,800.
Bearish Scenario Confidence: 60% likelihood of a correction toward $2,740.
Leverage the XAUMO Indicator for precision trading at these updated key levels.
Final Notes for XAUMO Traders
Monitor Key Metrics:
VWAP Bands: $2,740-$2,785
Volume surges and ADX momentum (>25)
Anticipate Market-Maker Tactics:
Liquidity sweeps at $2,785 (upside) and $2,756 (downside).
Retail traps with fake breakouts and sudden reversals.
This XAUMO Weekly Report ensures you trade with the sharks, not against them. Exploit institutional flows and retail traps using the Institutional Weekly Playbook: XAU/USD Indicator.
XAUMO’s Institutional Roadmap for XAUUSD: Jan 27 – Jan 31, 2025
This roadmap is designed for precision trading with the sharks, using institutional moves to your advantage. Here’s the revised playbook based on real-time levels from this session’s charts.
1. The Institutional Game Plan for the Week
Big Picture:
Monday to Wednesday: Institutions will hunt liquidity below $2,735 early in the week and fake resistance near $2,770 to trap retail traders. Expect choppy action as positions are accumulated.
Thursday to Friday: The sharks will position for a significant move during Friday’s US Core PCE data release, potentially driving price above $2,785 or below $2,735.
Key Weekly Levels:
Support Zones: $2,735, $2,725, $2,709.
Resistance Zones: $2,770, $2,785.
Let’s break it down, day by day.
2. The Day-by-Day Roadmap
The Imaginary Road to Friday
Monday-Tuesday: Liquidity sweeps below $2,735 while consolidating near $2,770.
Wednesday: Breakout above $2,770, aiming for $2,785-$2,790.
Thursday: Positioning near $2,770 for Friday’s data.
Friday: Big move during the US Core PCE release, targeting either $2,810 or $2,735.
Monday, Jan 27, 2025: Liquidity Hunt Begins
Key Economic Event: China’s Q4 GDP (Asian Session).
Institutional Move:
Institutions will use weak GDP data as an excuse to raid liquidity below $2,735 (VWAP Lower Band) and trap retail longs.
If GDP surprises positively, they may fake a breakout above $2,770 (POC) to trap longs, then dump price.
What to Watch:
Stealth accumulation near $2,725-$2,735 with low-volume dips.
Fakeouts above $2,770 with no volume confirmation.
Session-by-Session:
Asian Session: Initial GDP reaction could create volatility but expect indecision.
London Session: Watch for a liquidity sweep below $2,735, where institutions may accumulate.
US Session: A push toward $2,770 could test resistance.
Trading Strategy:
Long Entry: Buy between $2,725-$2,735 if volume supports a reversal.
Short Entry: Short if price breaks above $2,770 and fails to hold.
Target: $2,755-$2,770 for scalps.
Monday’s Lesson: The first move is usually fake. Wait for the liquidity raid to confirm direction.
Tuesday, Jan 28, 2025: Consolidation & Retail Traps
Key Economic Event: Eurozone ZEW Sentiment (London Session).
Institutional Move:
Institutions will consolidate price near $2,755 (VWAP Median) and use this session to bait both longs and shorts.
Expect liquidity sweeps below $2,735 before retesting $2,770.
Session-by-Session:
Asian Session: Tight range near $2,755-$2,770 as institutions prep for mid-week moves.
London Session: Sweep below $2,735, trapping shorts.
US Session: A test of $2,770, but no breakout yet.
Trading Strategy:
Long Entry: Buy dips near $2,735 after liquidity sweeps.
Short Entry: Scalping shorts near $2,770, provided volume weakens.
Target: Small moves between $2,735-$2,770.
Tuesday’s Lesson: Consolidation days are for patience. Don’t chase fake breakouts.
Wednesday, Jan 29, 2025: The Big Mid-Week Breakout
Key Economic Event: US Existing Home Sales (US Session).
Institutional Move:
This is the breakout day. Institutions will likely push price above $2,770, triggering stops and aiming for $2,785 (Weekly High).
Watch for momentum to carry price to $2,789-$2,790.
Session-by-Session:
Asian Session: Sideways movement near $2,755-$2,770 as momentum builds.
London Session: Dip below $2,755 may create a buying opportunity.
US Session: Breakout above $2,770, targeting $2,785-$2,790.
Trading Strategy:
Long Entry: Buy after price breaks $2,770 with a volume retest.
Short Entry: Short if price rejects $2,789-$2,790 with high volume.
Target: $2,785-$2,790 for longs; $2,770 for shorts.
Wednesday’s Lesson: Follow volume. If a breakout is weak, it’s likely a trap.
Thursday, Jan 30, 2025: Position Adjustment
Key Economic Event: ECB Interest Rate Decision (London Session).
Institutional Move:
Institutions will rebalance positions ahead of Friday’s PCE release, likely holding price near $2,770 (VWAP Median).
Session-by-Session:
Asian Session: Quiet consolidation near $2,770-$2,785.
London Session: Small dips to $2,770 could act as buying zones.
US Session: Possible test of $2,785-$2,790.
Trading Strategy:
Long Entry: Buy dips toward $2,770.
Short Entry: Short if price rejects $2,785 with no volume.
Target: $2,785 for longs; $2,770 for shorts.
Thursday’s Lesson: Transition days are for precision. Don’t overtrade.
Friday, Jan 31, 2025: The Main Event (Core PCE)
Key Economic Event: US Core PCE Price Index (US Session).
Institutional Move:
This is the climax of the week. Institutions will capitalize on inflation data to drive an explosive move.
Lower PCE: Institutions will push price above $2,785-$2,790, targeting $2,800-$2,810.
Higher PCE: Institutions dump Gold below $2,770, targeting $2,735-$2,725.
Session-by-Session:
Asian Session: Consolidation near $2,770-$2,785.
London Session: Liquidity sweeps below $2,770 to prepare for the US move.
US Session: Expect the big move based on PCE data.
Trading Strategy:
Long Entry: Buy above $2,785 with volume confirmation, targeting $2,800-$2,810.
Short Entry: Short below $2,770 if PCE surprises higher.
Target: $2,810 for longs; $2,735 for shorts.
Friday’s Lesson: Let the data guide the move. Don’t trade without confirmation.
3. How to Trade With the Sharks (Institutions)
Follow Volume: Weak volume = fake move. Strong volume = institutional-backed.
Wait for the Retest: Don’t chase breakouts; wait for price to confirm levels like $2,770 or $2,735.
Avoid the Herd: Don’t cluster stops in obvious places like below $2,735 or above $2,785—institutions will hunt those levels.
Stay patient, stay disciplined, and trade smart with this roadmap.
XAUMO Weekly Report: Institutional Playbook for XAU/USD (Gold Spot)
Crafted for Institutional-Grade Market Maker Operations
This report provides a comprehensive institutional-grade strategy for XAU/USD, integrating:
Advanced analytics
Market-maker insights
Multi-timeframe projections
With the Institutional Weekly Playbook: XAU/USD indicator, this playbook equips traders with precision tools to:
Stay ahead of the market
Capitalize on institutional behaviors
BTC next weekAfter the price has been suppressed below the supply zone all week and the next half cycle low (if my count is correct) should come on January 29th, which happens to be the day of the Fed Interest Rate Decision, it could be that BTC starts falling next week. I will watch carefully whether BTC gets through the zone and watch the next daily and especially weekly candle closes.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 24, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar saw a significant increase during this week's trading session after successfully breaking through our resistance levels at 1.031 and 1.039 and is now resting at the previous weekly chart analysis charts identified as a resistance level of 1.051. We expect a rally towards the next key target, the Interim Inner Currency Rally, set at 1.060. However, this upward movement could lead to a temporary retracement towards the support level at 1.041 and may challenge the next significant support level at 1.024.