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Beyond Technical Analysis

Can You Use Math to Elevate Your Trading Strategy?In the world of trading, understanding market movements is crucial for success. One of the most effective frameworks for interpreting these movements is Wave Theory, a concept that helps traders identify price trends and potential reversals. By incorporating mathematical projections, traders can enhance their analysis and make informed decisions. In this article, we’ll explore the fundamentals of Wave Theory and demonstrate how to project price movements using wave measurements—specifically, measuring Wave 1 to project the size of Wave 3. Understanding Wave Theory Wave Theory, popularized by Ralph Nelson Elliott, posits that financial markets move in repetitive cycles or waves, driven by collective investor psychology. Elliott identified two primary types of waves: Impulse Waves: These are the waves that move in the direction of the prevailing trend, typically comprising five waves (labeled 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5). Corrective Waves: These waves move against the prevailing trend and consist of three waves (labeled A, B, and C). In a typical bullish market, you will observe a series of impulse waves followed by corrective waves. Understanding these waves allows traders to identify potential entry and exit points based on price patterns. The Mathematics Behind Wave Projections One of the key aspects of Wave Theory is using mathematical relationships to predict future price movements. A common approach is to measure the length of Wave 1 and use that measurement to project the size of Wave 3. Research indicates that Wave 3 often ranges between 1.0 to 1.68 times the length of Wave 1. Steps to Project Wave 3: Identify Wave 1: Begin by determining the starting point of Wave 1 and measuring its length. This can be done by noting the price levels at the start and end of Wave 1. Calculate the Length of Wave 1: Length of Wave 1 = End Price of Wave 1 - Start Price of Wave 1. Project Wave 3: To project Wave 3, multiply the length of Wave 1 by the desired factor (1.0 to 1.68). Projected Length of Wave 3 = Length of Wave 1 × (1.0 to 1.68). Determine the Target Price: Add the projected length of Wave 3 to the endpoint of Wave 2 to determine the target price for Wave 3. Target Price = End Price of Wave 2 + Projected Length of Wave 3. Example: Applying Wave Theory in a Trading Scenario Let’s say we’re analyzing a stock and identify Wave 1 as follows: Start of Wave 1: $50 End of Wave 1: $70 Step 1: Measure Wave 1: Length of Wave 1 = $70 - $50 = $20 Step 2: Project Wave 3: Using the range of 1.0 to 1.68: Minimum Projection = $20 × 1.0 = $20 Maximum Projection = $20 × 1.68 = $33.60 Step 3: Determine the Target Price: Assuming Wave 2 has an endpoint of $80: Minimum Target Price = $80 + $20 = $100 Maximum Target Price = $80 + $33.60 = $113.60 Thus, based on Wave Theory, we would anticipate that Wave 3 could reach between $100 and $113.60. Wave Theory, combined with mathematical projections, provides traders with a structured approach to understanding market dynamics and predicting future price movements. By accurately measuring Wave 1 and projecting Wave 3, traders can make informed decisions based on calculated price targets, improving their chances of success in the financial markets. As you incorporate Wave Theory into your trading strategy, remember that no system is foolproof. Always combine technical analysis with sound risk management practices to protect your capital. With patience, discipline, and a strong mathematical foundation, you can leverage Wave Theory to enhance your trading prowess and navigate the markets with greater confidence. How can you see yourself incorporating mathematical projections like Wave Theory into your trading strategy, and what has been your experience with predicting market movements using these techniques? Let me know in the comments. Happy trading!
Education
by TLTurnerTV
What’s Flowing: GBPUSD / CADCHF / BXY / DXY / XRPUSD / ETHUSD Today's episode covers both forex and crypto markets, along with insights into the commodity space. With several key economic releases and global events in play, we expect volatility to increase across these assets. Be ready for breakouts in both currency pairs and cryptos, and monitor how commodity markets, like coffee, react to supply developments. Stay tuned for more updates and trade ideas as we continue to track these market flows throughout the week! FX:GBPUSD OANDA:CADCHF BITSTAMP:XRPUSD COINBASE:ETHUSD TVC:BXY TVC:DXY
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by moneymagnateash
Find Your Trading Style: What Type Of Trader Are You ? Good morning, trading family! Ever feel overwhelmed by all the different trading strategies out there? You're not alone, and today we’re here to help you figure out exactly which trading style suits you. In this video, we’ll explore the four main types of trading—Scalping, Day Trading, Swing Trading, and Position Trading—and give you real-life examples so you can see which one fits your personality and goals best. Whether you’re someone who thrives on fast-paced, high-energy trades or prefers to take a step back and play the long game, this video will give you the clarity you need to trade with confidence. My goal is to help you tailor your strategy so it feels natural and aligns with how you want to trade. If you find this valuable, please comment below and tell me which type of trader you think you are! Don’t forget to like or share this video so other traders can benefit from it too. Your feedback can make a huge difference for someone else in our trading family! Happy Trading Mindbloome Trader
Education
by Mindbloome-Trading
Mastering Pitchforks: A Powerful Tool For TradersGood morning Traders So I had a question from one of my followers: can you explain pitchforks in more detail: Pitchforks are a fantastic tool for traders at any experience level, offering a visual way to map out potential support and resistance levels based on market movements. With three key anchor points, a Pitchfork reveals trend channels by highlighting the market's natural ebb and flow. The central line acts like a magnet for price, while the upper and lower lines provide a framework for spotting where the market might reverse or break out. For a more advanced strategy, try overlapping Pitchforks across different timeframes or swings. When these Pitchforks intersect at certain levels, they create a powerful correlation. This suggests that the market is paying attention to these areas, and they often become key turning points. These confluence zones act like traffic signals, giving you clues about where the market could change direction or gain momentum. By understanding and leveraging these correlations, you can build stronger, more confident trade setups. Whether you're looking to confirm a reversal or catch a breakout, Pitchforks can help guide your decisions and boost your accuracy in identifying those critical market levels. I hope this can add more tools to your trading style and maybe you will love pitchforks as much as I do if you like this video or want more videos: comment below and a good ole boost to help those in our trading community benefit Happy Trading MB Trader
Education
by Mindbloome-Trading
The Rookie Mistake of Timeframe Mismanagement: Avoid This!As a full time forex trader, I’ve seen my fair share of both triumphs and missteps. One of the most common pitfalls that can plague even the most seasoned investors is the rookie mistake of managing trades across different timeframes. It may seem innocuous at first, but failing to align your analysis can lead to confusion, frustration, and ultimately, poor trading decisions. Understanding the Timeframe Disconnect In the world of trading, charts come in all shapes and sizes. Whether you’re examining a daily chart to gauge the overall trend or an hourly chart to refine your entry and exit points, the timeframes you choose can significantly influence your trading strategy. The mistake often arises when traders analyze a longer timeframe, such as the daily chart, to identify a potential trade setup, only to switch to a shorter timeframe like the hourly chart to manage their positions. This inconsistency can lead to conflicting signals and erratic decision-making. The Daily Chart: A Macro Perspective The daily chart serves as a vital tool for understanding the broader market context. It reveals trends, support and resistance levels, and overall momentum. By focusing on the daily chart, you can identify high-probability setups and determine the prevailing sentiment. For example, if you notice a bullish trend on the daily chart, you might decide to enter a long position based on a breakout or a pullback. The Hourly Chart: A Micro Perspective On the other hand, the hourly chart provides a more granular view of price action. It helps traders refine their entry and exit points, offering insights into shorter-term fluctuations and volatility. While the hourly chart can help you capitalize on intraday movements, it can also introduce noise and lead to a focus on minor price changes that may not matter in the broader context. The Mistake: Conflicting Signals The rookie mistake occurs when traders attempt to manage their daily chart positions by referencing hourly charts without considering the potential for conflicting signals. For instance, imagine you spot a bullish setup on the daily chart, indicating a solid entry point. However, as you switch to the hourly chart, you notice some bearish price action—a couple of lower highs and lower lows—which may prompt you to second-guess your original thesis. This disconnect can lead to unnecessary anxiety and erratic trading decisions. You might find yourself prematurely exiting a position or missing out on an opportunity because the hourly chart paints a picture that doesn’t align with your higher-timeframe analysis. The Impact on Performance In my early days as a trader, I fell victim to this very mistake. I would analyze a promising setup on the daily chart, only to find myself second-guessing my decision based on hourly price fluctuations. This led to whipsaw trades and emotional exits, ultimately impacting my profitability. The emotional toll of constantly reacting to the noise of shorter timeframes can be detrimental. Instead of executing a well-thought-out plan, you may find yourself making impulsive decisions driven by fear or frustration. Solutions: Aligning Timeframes To avoid falling into the trap of conflicting signals, it’s essential to align your timeframes and establish a coherent trading strategy. Here are a few key strategies to consider: Top-Down Analysis: Always start with a higher timeframe to set the context. Use the daily chart to determine the trend and potential trade setups, then drill down to the hourly chart for precise entry and exit points. Avoid Overreacting to Noise: Understand that shorter timeframes can introduce volatility that may not reflect the overall trend. Stick to your original analysis unless there’s a compelling reason to change your viewpoint. Set Clear Rules: Establish rules for managing trades based on the timeframe you used for your initial analysis. For example, if you entered a trade based on a daily chart setup, consider using the daily chart for exit signals as well. Stay Disciplined: Remain patient and trust your analysis. If your daily chart setup is valid, give it time to unfold without being swayed by short-term fluctuations. Conclusion I’ve learned that managing trades across different timeframes requires discipline and a clear understanding of the market context. Avoiding the rookie mistake of conflicting signals can enhance your trading performance and help you navigate the complexities of the market with confidence. By maintaining a consistent approach to your analysis and execution, you’ll be better positioned to capitalize on high-probability setups while minimizing the emotional turmoil that often accompanies reactive trading. Remember, the key to success lies in your ability to stay true to your trading plan, regardless of the noise surrounding you. Happy trading!
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by TLTurnerTV
EDUCATION: Utilizing Renko Charts for Top-Down Analysis In this tutorial, we will explore the art of conducting a top-down analysis using Renko charts, a technique that can significantly enhance your understanding of market structure. If you've ever felt overwhelmed by the myriad of information in traditional charts, Renko offers a refreshing perspective by focusing purely on price action, enabling you to dissect trends with ease. We'll start at the higher timeframes, identifying the overarching trends that guide the market's behavior, and then work our way down to the lower timeframes to pinpoint precise entry and exit levels. By employing Renko, you'll learn to filter out the noise and hone in on key price movements, allowing you to visualize the market's rhythm. This tutorial emphasizes the importance of understanding market structure and how Renko charts can reveal significant support and resistance levels, helping you make informed trading decisions. You'll discover how to read price action patterns, recognize potential reversal points, and apply these insights to develop a robust trading strategy. By adopting a stoic mindset, you'll learn to remain disciplined and objective, empowering you to navigate the complexities of the market with confidence. Join us as we unravel the intricacies of Renko charts and elevate your trading skills to new heights through effective top-down analysis.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDEducation
by TLTurnerTV
Top 3 Must-Know Candlestick Patterns for BeginnersGet your cup of coffee or tea ready we are doing a crash course on Candlesticks today I’m walking you through three candlestick patterns every beginner trader should know—Doji, Engulfing Candles, and Hammers (including the Inverted Hammer). These patterns are super helpful when you’re trying to spot market reversals or continuations. I’ll show you how to easily recognize them and use them in your own trades. Let’s keep it simple and effective. Key Takeaways: Doji: Indicates indecision, potential reversals. Engulfing Candles: Bullish or bearish reversal signals. Hammer & Inverted Hammer: Bullish reversal after a downtrend. Trade what you see and let’s get started! Mindbloome Trader
Education
by Mindbloome-Trading
4
EDUCATION: Using Renko Charts to Find Key Levels in XAUUSDIn this tutorial, we'll dive into a unique but powerful method for analyzing gold (XAUUSD): using Renko charts to find critical levels. If you’re unfamiliar with Renko, it's a chart type designed to filter out market noise, making it easier to spot trends and reversals. Unlike traditional candlestick charts, Renko focuses on price movement rather than time, allowing you to identify significant support and resistance levels with greater clarity. When you understand how to use Renko properly, you gain an edge in navigating volatile markets like gold. With a calm and disciplined approach, we’ll guide you step-by-step through the process of setting up Renko charts, recognizing key patterns, and spotting levels that can give you a stronger sense of market direction. The goal is simple: cut out the clutter and focus on what matters—the bigger picture. Whether you're looking to improve your entries or better understand market structure, this tutorial will provide practical insights to help you refine your trading strategies. By the end, you’ll not only grasp how to use Renko charts but also develop the mental sharpness needed to stay patient and unemotional in the face of market fluctuations.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by TLTurnerTV
5
WHY SHOULD YOU UNDERSTAND TIMEFRAMES ? ITS ALL ABOUT PERSPECTIVEGood evening traders I created a video for the more the beginner traders who are just getting into trading. However for those more seasoned this could give you a little insight on how to obtain more clarity and perspective when trading. My goal here is to educate you on time frames in understanding the micro and macro of the charts you are looking at. Without the layers of perspective one can get lost in the chaos and not know where to start or what the trend is actually doing. If you like this video please boost, if you dont like this video or want me to touch base on our trading concepts let me know in the comments below Have a great weekend everyone MB Trader
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
8
A Video Explaining how to use the Greer Invest StrategyGreer Invest Strategy Overview: The Greer Invest strategy is designed to assist investors in making long-term investment decisions through a structured approach to buying and managing investments over time. Key Features: Invest: Indicator to pinpoint optimal entry points for investments. Investment Management: Includes an additional feature for strategic selling, allowing investors to rebalance their portfolio or generate cash for other purposes without full liquidation. Precision and Alerts: Offers precise buy signals within BuyZones and customizable alerts for proactive investment management. Purpose: This tool aims to simplify the decision-making process for when to enter or adjust positions in stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, or other assets, focusing on long-term wealth accumulation rather than short-term speculation. Usage: Backtesting: Investors can use TradingView's strategy tester to evaluate the performance of this strategy over historical data. Alerts: Set up notifications to be alerted on potential buy or sell opportunities across your watchlist. Backtesting Results: The Greer Invest Strategy was backtested against the top 50 companies in the U.S. by market capitalization. Here are the key results from this comprehensive test: Total number of trades: 470 trades were executed. Total invested over time: $470,000, with each trade amounting to $1,000. Total Net Profit: The strategy yielded a profit of $162,344.59. Total Net Profit %: Overall, the strategy achieved a 35% return on the total investment. % Trade wins: A notable 82.33% of all trades ended profitably. % Trade loss: 17.67% of trades resulted in losses. Average Max Draw Down per $1000: The strategy experienced an average maximum drawdown of $550.74 per $1,000 invested, indicating potential risk levels. Average Trade Profit per $1000: Each trade, on average, profited $497.93 per $1,000. Average # bars in trade: Trades were held for an average of 396 bars, reflecting a medium-term to long-term trade duration. Detailed Results for Selected Companies: Apple (AAPL): Profit of $6,752 (67.53% return) from 10 trades. Microsoft (MSFT): Profit of $3,294.13 (32.94% return) from 8 trades. NVIDIA (NVDA): Profit of $7,743.43 (77.43% return) from 5 trades. Alphabet (GOOG): Profit of $338.22 (3.38% return) from 2 trades. Amazon (AMZN): Profit of $3,580.17 (35.80% return) from 6 trades. Meta Platforms (META): Profit of $731.04 (7.31% return) from 2 trades. Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B): Profit of $1,902.01 (19.02% return) from 4 trades. Broadcom (AVGO): Profit of $1,089.64 (10.89% return) from 2 trades. Eli Lilly (LLY): Profit of $1,408.76 (14.09% return) from 12 trades. Tesla (TSLA): Profit of $10,263.41 (102.63% return) from 2 trades. Key Observations: High Win Rate: An impressive 82.33% of trades were winners, suggesting the strategy was effective in picking winning trades. Profitability: The strategy was profitable across various companies, with some like TSLA, NVDA, and AAPL showing particularly high returns. Drawdown: The average maximum drawdown of $550.74 per $1,000 could be a concern for risk management, indicating significant fluctuations in equity. Trade Duration: With an average of 396 bars in trade, the strategy seems to hold positions for a considerable duration, suggesting a medium to long-term approach. This analysis indicates that the strategy performs well across a diversified set of top U.S. companies by market cap, with some standout performers. However, the drawdown and long trade duration might require careful risk management and could impact liquidity or opportunity cost considerations. Credit: Credit to Tushar Chande who invented the Aroon indicator. Credit to Carl Friedrich Gauss who invented the Gaussian process. Credit to Donovan Wall who created the script that has the math for the Gaussian Channel. Disclaimer: The Greer Invest strategy is for educational and informational use only. It does not constitute financial or investment advice. Users should perform their due diligence and consider consulting a financial advisor. There's no guarantee of profit or protection against loss. The creator of this script is not liable for any outcomes from its use.
NASDAQ:AAPLEducation
by controllinghand
Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 2 ExamplesGreetings Traders! In today's video, we'll continue our deep dive into Quarter Theory Intraday Trading Mastery—a model rooted in the algorithmic nature of price delivery within the markets. We’ll explore the concept of draw on liquidity through premium and discount price delivery, equipping you to identify optimal trading sessions and execute high-probability trades, all while aligning with market bias. This video is part of our ongoing High Probability Trading Zones playlist on YouTube. If you haven't watched the previous videos, I highly recommend doing so. They provide essential insights into identifying and acting on market bias, which Quarter Theory enhances further. I highly recommend you watch ICT2022 Mentorship model on YouTube, it will really help you in your trading journey, the link to the mentorship is provided below. I’ll attach the links to those videos in the description below. Quarter Theory: Intraday Trading Mastery - Part 1 Intro: Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading: ICT 2022 Mentorship: www.youtube.com High Probability Trading Zones: www.youtube.com Best Regards, The_Architect
OANDA:NAS100USDEducation
by The_Archi-tect
Proof Technical Analysis Reigns SupremeIn doing my multi-timeframe analysis from earlier in the evening I was bias long. However I wasn't sure if price wanted to make a deeper pullback to the 1H LQZ I had marked up or even come down for the 3rd touch of my trendline in the ascending wedge (reversal pattern). Dropping down to the 5m timeframe I saw price slowing and formed a hover. I could have set an entry using a lower lot size to build a buffer, confidence, and to be able to participate in the markets - but I didn't. I passed out lol. I knew my bias was still correct and I was confident in taking "another" long position. I saw a larger flag with the close of that flag above a resistance zone or LQZ however you want to label it, and knew my bias was still valid. I took my entry as I saw price stalling forming some 5m dojis. After the first big push up I was able to reduced my risk letting the trade play out. My TP was initially aiming for the high of the day. However I was mindful of NY taking longer to play out and I knew I wasn't able to really monitor my trade. So I "didn't get greedy" and snagged my profits at about 80 ticks on the futures chart. This was a huge lesson in trusting the story price tells us through market structure and patterns. Although I didn't participate in my first trade, the trade I did take would have been a great stack-in. I'm glad I was able to participate today as my best and only trading days are Thursdays and Fridays.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by MommaPreneur
2
Riding The Wave - The Importance of Top-Down AnalysisIn this video I explain why a top-down analysis is important when it comes to increasing the odds of price moving in your favour. I know it is extra work, but it isn't much, especially in terms of being a part of the most lucrative industry in the world. Trading from the higher timeframe simply allows you to "ride the wave" by going down to trade on the lower timeframe. Now, this is all relative to the timeframes you are on and not based on what is considered high or low timeframes. But simply put, if the higher timeframe is trending or being drawn to a specific price or level, then the displacements in price towards that direction will outweigh any displacements via retracements in the opposite direction. So, I hope this video gives some insight into this topic if you were wondering if it is really something you should do. If you desire higher win-rates, then the answer is yes. - R2F
Education
by Road_2_Funded