XAUUSD NOVEMBER In November 2024, the financial outlook for XAU/USD (Gold to US Dollar) remains positive, driven by a mix of geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and expectations of rate cuts from central banks. Over recent months, gold prices have seen a significant rise, with gold appreciating by nearly 20%. Key factors supporting this growth include:
1. Geopolitical Tensions: Ongoing conflicts and political instability, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine, have contributed to increased demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. This continues to push prices higher, as investors seek to protect capital from market volatility.
2. Central Bank Demand: Central banks, particularly in emerging markets like China, continue to accumulate gold reserves. In 2024, central bank gold purchases are expected to remain strong, with the potential to exceed previous records. This buying trend is anticipated to keep demand high and provide price suppor
3. Federal Reserve Rate Cut Expectations: The Federal Reserve is expected to begin cutting interest rates in 2024, which historically boosts gold prices as lower rates make non-yielding assets like gold more attractive
As a result, many analysts are forecasting continued upward momentum in gold prices, with potential highs of $2,400 to $2,600 per ounce by mid-2025. However, short-term fluctuations and corrections are expected, particularly as investors respond to changes in economic data and central bank actions
Beyond Technical Analysis
ETH — Setup After MSB and Range SweepPrice swept the H4 and H12 range highs around $2,738–2,768, triggering a short setup. However, the bullish market structure remains intact, and the short play was not strongly confirmed. A bearish MSB on the H1 is active, but a fakeout remains possible.
Key Zone:
🟩 Buy Zone: $2,520–2,480
This area aligns with bullish order blocks and serves as the first area of interest for a potential long position. Watch for SFP or strong bounce.
🟩 Deeper Buy Zone: $2,120–2,220
A cluster of confluences — unicorn pattern, FVG, and bullish breaker. Ideal for larger swing positioning if the market offers deeper correction.
Trade Plan:
• If price holds $2,520–2,480 with confirmation → potential long setup
• If this zone fails, next interest lies in the $2,120–2,220 region
• Flip back above $2,768 → invalidates short thesis, bullish continuation likely
Note:
Short was triggered after sweep, but don't force it — structure still favors bulls on higher timeframes.
📌 Clean levels, clear invalidation, and multiple scenarios mapped — a solid setup for patient traders.
Japanese Markets: Still a Buy?Are Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels?
The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters, as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen profits.
But what’s the downside? Inflation. (expand)
Yes, they wanted inflation, below 2% yoy will be ideal, but not at this rate of growth at 3.5%.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNI
Minimum fluctuation:
5.00 index points = ¥250
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
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The Day Ahead Key Data Releases:
United States:
April PCE Price Index: A critical inflation gauge for the Fed’s policy outlook.
Personal Income & Spending: Insight into consumer strength and economic momentum.
Advance Goods Trade Balance & Wholesale Inventories: Impact on Q2 GDP expectations.
May MNI Chicago PMI: Regional manufacturing sentiment ahead of national ISM.
United Kingdom:
May Lloyds Business Barometer: Early business sentiment snapshot ahead of June BoE meeting.
Japan:
May Tokyo CPI: A leading inflation indicator for national trends.
April Jobless Rate & Job-to-Applicant Ratio: Labor market health amid BoJ policy speculation.
Industrial Production, Retail Sales, Housing Starts: Broad economic activity indicators.
Germany:
May CPI Flash Estimate: Crucial for ECB rate trajectory.
April Retail Sales: Consumer spending dynamics.
Italy:
May CPI & April PPI: Inflation pipeline pressures in a key Eurozone economy.
Eurozone:
April M3 Money Supply: Signals liquidity and potential inflationary pressure.
Canada:
Q1 GDP: Growth snapshot could influence BoC expectations.
Sweden:
Q1 GDP: Economic performance post-Riksbank’s recent rate moves.
Central Bank Speakers:
Federal Reserve:
Lorie Logan (Hawkish lean) – Comments will be scrutinized for clues on timing of future rate adjustments amid sticky inflation.
European Central Bank:
Fabio Panetta & Boris Vujcic – Potential insights into ECB's path forward, especially with diverging inflation trends in the bloc.
Trading Implications:
Today’s data-heavy calendar will likely drive volatility across USD, EUR, JPY, and CAD crosses. Inflation and growth readings from the U.S., Eurozone, and Canada are pivotal for near-term rate path pricing. Watch Fed and ECB commentary closely for shifts in tone. Japan's CPI and labor data may fuel BoJ tightening bets. Keep an eye on risk sentiment and yield moves for broader asset impact.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
XAGUSD Analysis Using MMC | Breakout & Reversal + Target🧠 What the Chart is Telling Us:
Today’s Silver (XAGUSD) price action presents a powerful combination of structural breakout, pattern continuation, and mirror market behavior. Let’s break it down step-by-step so you understand the full picture.
🔸 1. Black Mind Curve Resistance Breakout
At the top-left of the chart, we see a curved descending resistance line (referred to as “Black Mind Curve”). This line has acted as a long-term dynamic resistance, consistently rejecting price action across multiple sessions.
However, after several failed attempts, the price finally broke above this resistance curve—a highly bullish signal. This breakout marks the beginning of a structural shift, where the bearish control starts to weaken and buyers gain momentum.
🔸 2. Support Level and Accumulation
Near mid-May, the price formed a solid horizontal support level. This level was tested multiple times but held firm, suggesting strong accumulation by smart money. According to MMC principles, these accumulation zones are mirrored later as breakout points—which is what we see play out in the chart.
🔸 3. Pennant Pattern Emergence
After the initial curve breakout, the market entered a tight consolidation, forming a Pennant Pattern. This is a continuation pattern formed when the market briefly pauses after a big move.
This pennant acts as a resting phase before another strong impulse—buyers are catching their breath, preparing for a second attack.
🔸 4. Breakout and Candle After Effect (AE)
Once price broke the pennant pattern, we saw an aggressive breakout candle (marked as AE – After Effect). This large candle is a classic liquidity candle that confirms buyer dominance.
In MMC terms, this AE candle reflects momentum that mirrors the impulse leading into the pennant, indicating that the second move will often match the first one in structure or magnitude.
🔸 5. Major Resistance + Break of Structure (BOS)
Above the breakout zone lies a key resistance area, which has now been broken. This is a Break of Structure (BOS) confirming that the market has flipped from a bearish to bullish structure.
This zone, once resistance, may now act as support in future pullbacks—a concept central to Mirror Market Theory, where historical resistance becomes future support (and vice versa).
🔸 6. Reversal Zone Target
The chart shows a projected move toward the Reversal Zone between $34.00–$34.50. This zone aligns with:
Previous highs from historical market structure.
Mirror levels when flipped across the midrange of the price action.
Possible liquidity zones where large institutions may look to reverse or take profits.
This Reversal Zone is where we can expect potential exhaustion in the bullish run, signaling a pause or a minor correction.
📌 Summary of Analysis:
✅ Bullish Confirmation Points:
✅ Breakout above long-term resistance curve
✅ Bullish Pennant Pattern followed by AE breakout
✅ Break of major horizontal resistance (BOS confirmed)
✅ Target toward reversal zone in line with MMC reflection logic
⚠️ What to Watch:
Price action behavior near $34.00–$34.50
Potential bearish engulfing or liquidity sweep in the reversal zone
RSI/Volume divergence signals near top zones
🎯 Final Thoughts:
The Silver market is showing clear bullish momentum supported by strong technical confluence and MMC-based mapping. The current structure favors continuation to the upside, but traders should manage risk as we approach reversal zones where large players may start offloading positions.
🧠 Mirror Market Concept Reminder:
MMC is a strategy based on the mirroring of market behavior—where price levels, patterns, and reactions tend to reflect past structures either directly or inversely. It’s highly effective in spotting key reaction zones, target extensions, and reversals.
💬 What’s Your Take?
Do you agree with this bullish projection, or do you see weakness ahead? Let me know in the comments! And don’t forget to like & share this idea if you found value in it. 🚀
RIOT - Market Predictive Analysis & ForecastingRIOT
Reversing from a lesser scale (VI), associated with predefined levels
- Eyeing two pivots from 9.587. First one at 7.9189, second at 7.1653; target at 6.4434 is the minimum low
- Lowest low belons to larger scale from 20.8157 to 6.1294-5.6764
Long term remains BULLISH
#RIOT
COOLING PCE – GOLD REBOUNDS ON EXPECTATIONS OF FED POLICY EASINGIf the upcoming PCE report shows that inflation continues to cool or comes in below expectations (e.g., core PCE under 0.2% m/m), this could reinforce market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have room to begin cutting interest rates sooner—potentially as early as September instead of year-end.
This would weaken the US dollar and push down Treasury yields, both of which typically support gold prices, as the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold decreases.
Short-term forecast:
Gold may rebound to the $3,330 – $3,340/oz range.
A breakout above the psychological resistance level of $3,345 could signal a medium-term uptrend.
Trading volume is likely to rise as ETF funds begin accumulating positions again.
Suggested strategy:
Buy XAUUSD around the 3310 – 3313 area
Stoploss: 3300
Take Profit 1: 3325
Take Profit 2: 3335
Take Profit 3: 3345
BTCUSD 5/30/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Sensational Market Breakdown & update to his previous call-out that was again SPOT-ON! Precise Levels, Proper Timing, & Perfect Direction!
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
#PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
XAU/USD – Gold Analysis Using MMC & Structural Mapping + Target🔎 Market Narrative:
Today’s GOLD analysis is crafted through the lens of Mirror Market Concepts (MMC)—a powerful strategy where historical price behavior is mirrored in the current chart structure. This is combined with traditional structural analysis, offering a clear view of current price behavior, key breakouts, and target levels.
We’re currently seeing an interesting scenario unfold where the market structure is shifting from bearish to bullish, aligning with mirrored reactions from previous key zones.
🧠 MMC Breakdown & Price Psychology:
🔄 Mirror Reaction:
Notice how the market mirrored a previous aggressive sell-off with a similar bullish recovery. This “reflection” is a hallmark of MMC—where market sentiment repeats itself, but in opposite directions.
The "Previous Targets" zone acted as a key SR Interchange (support-turned-resistance / resistance-turned-support). Price dropped into this zone and bounced with strong bullish momentum, signaling smart money accumulation or potential liquidity grab before reversal.
🧱 Structural Analysis:
🔹 Trendline Observation:
A key trendline (drawn from the recent swing highs) was clearly broken, confirming that the bearish structure has shifted into a bullish one. The breakout was followed by a retest, further strengthening the validity of this move.
🔹 Support/Resistance Flip (SR Interchange Zone):
The Blue Ray zone marked on the chart is critical. This area held as support in the past and again acted as a launchpad for the recent upside move.
🔹 Previous Targets Reclaimed:
After hitting the previous support zone, price reversed sharply—another MMC principle in play. These zones often serve as liquidity magnets and reaction zones, where institutional traders are active.
📍 Key Levels To Watch:
✅ Current Support: $3,289–$3,295 (Previously broken resistance, now acting as support)
🎯 Immediate Target Zone: $3,310–$3,320
(This is where the price is expected to face short-term resistance. If broken, the next mirror move could extend further.)
🔻 Trendline Confirmation Level: $3,296
(Holding above this confirms bullish bias short-term)
🛠️ Trading Plan / Bias:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Idea: Look for bullish continuation above $3,296 after minor consolidation or retest
Risk Management: Place stop-loss just below $3,289 (previous demand zone)
Take-Profit: $3,310 – $3,320 zone initially
⚠️ Risk Consideration:
Gold can be volatile, especially during news events. Always assess macroeconomic factors (like Fed policy, NFP, CPI, etc.) and manage your trades with solid risk-to-reward ratios.
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This chart is a great example of how Mirror Market Concepts (MMC) can work hand-in-hand with price action and structure to provide clean, repeatable setups. By understanding the psychology behind price mirroring, we can better anticipate turning points and entry zones—especially when the structure confirms it.
Whether you’re a day trader or swing trader, this concept adds a layer of confluence to your technical analysis toolkit.
Gold prices fell below for a weekly.Gold FX:XAUUSD prices fell below $3,310 an ounce on Friday, on track for a weekly decline of more than 1%, as investors remained cautious ahead of the U.S. PCE inflation report, which could provide new insight into the Federal Reserve’s interest rate path.
On Thursday, bullion prices rose nearly 1% after a federal appeals court allowed President Donald Trump's sweeping tariffs to temporarily take effect, just one day after the U.S. Court of International Trade blocked their implementation, deeming the method used to enact them "unlawful." Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers could still deliver two rate cuts this year, as expected in March, but emphasized that rates should remain steady for now to ensure inflation is on track to meet the Fed’s 2% target.
XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Trading Strategy Around Price Levels:
SELL XAUUSD CAPITALCOM:GOLD around the 3326–3328 area
Stoploss: 3333
Take Profit 1: 3322
Take Profit 2: 3317
Take Profit 3: 3310
BUY XAUUSD around the 3278–3280 area
Stoploss: 3273
Take Profit 1: 3284
Take Profit 2: 3289
Take Profit 3: 3295
Note: Always set a Stoploss in all situations to ensure safety.
BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum.
⸻
🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat:
• ❌ LPS level invalidated
• ❌ Phase D uptrend broken
• 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts
• 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K
• 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses
⸻
🔻 What’s Next?
• Support:
• S1: Lower BB (~106.9K)
• S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base)
• Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation.
• S3: Point of control at 104k
⸻
📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed:
• ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K)
• ✅ RSI < 45
• ✅ High-volume red candle
• ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern
A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post.
⸻
Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure.
⸻
🔍 Breakdown Highlights:
📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅
🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅
📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅
⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗
🧱 Next supports:
• 106,146 = BB basis
• 105,821 = BC Pole End
• 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile
⸻
🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View):
• ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated
• ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts
• 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible
• 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution
⸻
⚠️ What to Watch Next:
• Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup
• A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation
⸻
🧠 Final Take:
The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
SWDY's New Upward Region Waiting for Chart Pattern ConfirmationSWDY stock is still trying to peak up, but unfortunately, it's rebounding back from the resistance line of 82.662. It had already broken the support line 81.970. In case of continuing, it'll break the support line 81.849 till reaching the support line 81.759. In case of rising, it'll breach the 1st resistance line to the 2nd resistance line at 82.933 points and the 3rd resistance line at 83.097. In general, it's expected to rise, especially for the presence of a double bottom, which will lead to a bullish reversal pattern and orient a new upward region, but the chart pattern confirmation is still in progress.
EGX30 Increases by 0.62%EGX30 stock has jumped to an upper region, and it's apparent that this has been a gradual upward trend due to a mutual connection between positive fundamental news and the technical candlestick analysis. It has already breached the resistance line of 32,621.248 and reached the maximum at 32,695.736 points. On a personal level, I expect it to rebound not because of any negative news but because of taking into consideration the short-term history patterns. In case of rebounding, it may reach the support line 32,536.119, the support line 32,408.426, then the support line 32,376.503. In conclusion, EGX30 is increasing in the pink region by 0.62%.
TAOP – Reverse Split | Momentum Coil | Pre-Breakout SetupCategory: Setup 5 / 10
Trigger: Reverse Split 1:30 (29.05.2025)
Float: ~12.7M | Short Float: ~31%
Sector: Tech / Smart City / Blockchain
Pattern: Compression Coil under EMA200
Volume: Building | BB tightening
News: Reverse Split + China Smart Terminal Contracts
Bias: Long – Awaiting Breakout Trigger
TAOP is forming a classic Split-Triggered Momentum Coil right under the EMA200.
The chart shows tight consolidation between EMA10/20 with multiple wick attempts to break above $0.30.
With a high short interest (~31%), a tiny float (~12M), and confirmed reverse split catalyst, the setup is in the final compression phase.
What we’re watching for:
Clean breakout + close over $0.305
Retest or micro-flag above resistance
Volume spike confirmation
Entry target: $0.305–0.315
SL: ~–3% under reclaim wick
TP zones: $0.34 / $0.36 / open sky if squeeze hits
Sentiment Watch:
Minimal hype so far – a stealth mover with delayed reaction possible
If social buzz kicks in → Squeeze potential is massive
Conclusion:
TAOP is a prime candidate for a delayed breakout. If volume steps in, the coil pops.
Still no entry until structure confirms – but high-alert status for today/tomorrow.
Realistic +15% Intraday Targets | TNGX | HOVR | GAMEHere are 3 real-world setups from today’s market:
Clear structure
+15% realistic target
Risk managed with predefined stop-loss
No hype – just logic
TNGX: Base break + volume = potential 15% move
HOVR: Parabolic base formation – entry over consolidation
GAME: VWAP reclaim with volume spike forming – strong TP15 structure
All entries and levels are marked. These are not theoretical – they are tradeable.
We’re papertrading, learning, refining, and soon… scaling.
Follow for more live setups, logic-first strategies and trade reviews.
Let’s build consistency.
Coinbase is an excellent instrument for exposure to cryptoTrading at roughly 2x the price of Bitcoin, Coinbase presents a unique opportunity for exposure to the crypto sector. Fundamentally it is better to invest money for the long term on a business that generates revenue. I am very bullish on crypto, but with limited funds I want to make sure I deploy my capital as intelligently as possible.
There is several interesting strategies Coinbase uses to generate revenue based on crypto and blockchain processes and capabilities. From being able to exchange currencies like traditional currency systems for payments or money transfers. Mining proof of work assets like Bitcoin have used far too much resources to not be considered "valuable, and scarce". Proof of stake where staking rewards payout better than most dividends. Recent institutional adoption by some of the most significant entities. Coinbase has a portfolio of most of the crypto currencies so it guarantees a diverse exposure to the sector.
Its very obvious the people are loving crypto currencies, I want to be exposed to crypto but also want to invest in the fundamentals of generating revenues. Coinbase is the perfect vehicle in my opinion for exposure to crypto they generate revenues based on commissions and spreads, I'm sure they have some other strategies they use to consistently generate income even if crypto is going down, so that makes me even more convicted in my decision to put my money on Coinbase stock. Only being listed on the Nasdaq for four years I believe we are in for a wild ride to the upside so long as Bitcoin and the crypto market as a whole continue with this volatile momentum.
Market next target ⚠️ 1. Bearish Momentum Remains Intact
The last few candles are strongly bearish, with steep declines and high red candle volume.
Attempting to project an upside target amid this current bearish drive lacks alignment with actual market sentiment.
---
📉 2. Lack of Reversal Candlestick Patterns
There is no clear bullish reversal pattern visible at the point of target placement:
No hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star pattern.
The price may just be pausing before continuing its downward trend.
---
🔊 3. Volume Discrepancy
The rising volume on red candles vs. low volume on recent green candles shows selling pressure outweighs buying interest.
A reliable bullish setup would typically come with higher buying volume after a selloff, which is not yet seen.
---
🧭 4. Misleading “Target” Location
The marked target is at a higher high, near 33.75–34.00 area, which:
Is not supported by immediate technical breakout
Seems to ignore the last failed attempt to break above that level
Appears overly optimistic given the current trend direction
Bullish Bias, Patient Mindset — Here’s What I’m WatchingAlmost a month ago, we talked about a bullish setup — and that perspective hasn’t changed. I mentioned then that I was “slightly bullish but waiting for confirmation,” and the market has continued to respect that bias.
We're still on that train. 🚆
Take a walk with me as I break down the key areas I'm watching for bullish plays — not just for the next day or two, but looking out into the coming weeks and months. These are the zones I’m monitoring closely for entries, reactions, or potential shifts in structure.
Confirmation is everything. Momentum is building, but patience is how we stay on the right side of the trade.
Potential 2:1 SetUP foir a Swing Trade
Buy levels: : 5940
Aggressive entry: 5890 (One opportunity given today)
Passive entry: 5940 (waiting on price)
Take profit : New High : 6166
Stoploss : 5755