Beyond Technical Analysis
Crude oil's Strong Return: Exclusive Trading Strategy and LayoutOverall, yesterday's market can be considered as a one-sided upward trend within the day. Both crude oil and gold gave a wonderful performance on the upward path yesterday. Gold reached a record high yesterday, and crude oil didn't show any weakness either, breaking through the $71 mark in one go. Traders who followed John's advice yesterday are believed to have reaped good profits. The data released by the US Energy Information Administration yesterday showed a decrease in production, which further pushed crude oil above $71 and to the current high of $71.8. Every time crude oil is at a crucial juncture and needs to choose a direction, there will be bullish news in the market to support it. This is caused by the excessive instability resulting from the current turbulent international situation, and Trump's fickle policies also lead to the dual nature of the market that makes it prone to fluctuations.
Crude oil reached around $71.8 at its highest point yesterday, and the trend and price levels basically met the expectations. Judging from the current trend of crude oil, there are signs of a continued rebound. The resistance levels above are $72.5, $73.3 and $74 respectively, while the support levels below are $70.9, $70.4 and $69.9 respectively.
USOIL
buy@70-70.5
tp:72-73
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Gold's April 2nd Swing: Tariffs Stir MarketsOn the morning of Wednesday, April 2nd, spot gold was trading in a narrow range, currently around $3,114 per ounce. Gold prices rose and then fell on Tuesday. Spot gold once rose to around the $3,150 mark earlier, reaching a new all - time high of $3,148.85 per ounce, but then declined due to profit - taking, closing at $3,114.03 per ounce, with a decline of about 0.3%. US President Trump planned to announce on April 2nd that comprehensive tariffs would be imposed on countries with which the US has a trade imbalance. This led to a large number of safe - haven buying orders, helping gold prices continue to rise. However, near the end, some bulls took profits in advance.
In terms of the 4 - hour - level trend, it is temporarily in a high - level range - bound oscillation, undergoing repair. Currently, the short - cycle moving averages are basically in a state of adhesion and flattening, suggesting that the trend is likely to remain in a high - level oscillation and repair within the day.
The 1 - hour moving averages of gold still show a bullish arrangement with a golden cross pointing upward. Although gold has broken below the moving average support, the strength of the bullish rebound of gold is still relatively strong. Coupled with the support of gold's safe - haven property, the bulls still have the upper hand. As long as the price does not break below $3,100, the bullish view remains unchanged. For intraday operations, it is recommended to focus on buying on dips. Pay attention to whether the support at yesterday's low of $3,100 holds. In the short term, pay attention to the resistance at $3,140 - $3,150 above.
XAUUSD
buy@3100-3110
tp:3130-3140-3150
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
XAUUSD Technical Breakdown (1H + 4H Combo)
gold can spike briefly in early Tokyo session if BOJ doesn’t act immediately.
NO, it won’t last if BOJ hits the market or USD/JPY reverses.
1. Price Action – Tension’s High
• 4H: Classic Evening Star showing up. That’s a solid bearish reversal — sellers are circling.
• 1H: Weak bullish candle trying to break out, but it’s soft. Feels like bulls are exposed.
• Inside Bar on 1H: Tight, coiled range. Something’s about to pop — either a breakout or a flush.
2. Range Game – Price is Trapped
• Right now, we’re chopping between 3,154 – 3,160.
• Price is teasing strength but keeps rejecting resistance.
• Trap zone is active — don’t chase a late bull move here, that’s how you get clipped.
3. Indicator Signals – Read Between the Lines
• VWAP on 1H: Flat. Price is just above, but there’s no real conviction.
• Volume:
• 1H: Dropping off — sellers may be setting the bait.
• 4H: Climbing — looks like big money is getting ready to pull the rug after drawing in late buyers.
4. Trend Check – Short-Term Pullback Brewing
• 1H: Price is pushing into resistance — feels toppy.
• 4H: Overbought vibes, and bearish divergence is starting to creep in.
5. Volume – Telling the Real Story
• 1H: Weak follow-through. Buyers are drying up.
• 4H: Volume’s picking up, but it could be climax buying — one last push before it rolls over.
6. Key Zones – Support & Resistance
• Resistance: 3,160 – 3,175. Price hit it and bounced like it ran into concrete.
• Support: 3,132 – 3,122. That’s where buyers show up with bags of cash.
• A clean break below 3,154 opens the trapdoor.
7. Momentum – Running Out of Gas
• Bulls tried. They’re tired.
• No solid follow-through = bears lining up to take control.
8. Elliott Wave – The Final Push
• This looks like a stretched-out Wave 5. It’s spent.
• Correction Wave A likely on deck — target: 3,132.
9. Harmonics – Pattern Breaking Down
• Bearish AB=CD pattern forming, but the D-point never reached 3,172.
• It’s rejecting early — could be a heads-up for reversal traders.
10. Volatility – Calm Before the Storm
• Nikkei’s dropping — that’s risk-off. Could give gold a short-term pop.
• But if the BOJ steps in and the yen strengthens, USDJPY drops, and gold might not hold gains.
• No major moves out of Cambodia/Vietnam yet, but keep an eye on JPY volatility.
⸻
Trade Setup – Asia Session Plan
• Order: Sell Stop @ 3,153.00 (wait for the breakdown)
• Take Profit: 3,132.00 (targeting the demand zone)
• Stop Loss: 3,163.00 (tight stop just above resistance)
• Confidence: 88%
⸻
Why This Trade Makes Sense:
• You’ve got a bearish reversal on the 4H and no real volume to support a bullish breakout.
• A breakdown from this range opens up a clean downside run.
• Asia’s risk-off, but gold already reacted — the juice might be gone.
• 2.1 R:R setup — tight, sharp, and efficient.
=========
SHORT-TERM: Gold’s Got a Window – But It’s Narrow
• Nikkei’s drop = risk-off vibes.
• Tariff tension = safe haven demand rises.
• Asian traders might push XAUUSD up a bit early, sniffing fear in the market.
• If BOJ stays silent, gold pumps toward 3,162 - 3,170.
LOOKING AT STRONG BUYif you look back a couple of weeks ago, the week of the 13 of March. US100 was sitting at a low price of 19143. This price was never swept the following week. US100 pushed further up until it reached its maximum price of 20322 for the last two weeks. Which was also support on 15 November 2024. Signaled a downward signaled a momentum, which eventually led to 1943 being swept by this downward movement (normally this would take 1 week any weekly high/low to be swiped). Now comes the case of the weekly high 20322(27/03/2025). Current price is pushing towards this price. However there is resistance level at 19800, which needs to be broken before we go for the weekly high(which is our TP).
USD/JPY Ready to Take Off: Golden Opportunity on 1H!Hi traders! Analyzing USD/JPY on the 1H timeframe, spotting a potential entry:
🔹 Entry: 150.08
🔹 TP: 150.589
🔹 SL: 149.547
USD/JPY is breaking out of a bullish pennant pattern, suggesting a potential upward move. The RSI is holding above 50, indicating bullish momentum building up. If the price sustains above 150.08, we could see a push toward 150.589. Keep your eyes on price action and manage your risk!
⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice. Trade responsibly.
Breaking: SPX6900 ($SPX) Surged 23% Today Amidst Market TurmoilThe price of SPX6900 ( SP:SPX ) Surged 23% today amidst market volatility. Albeit it wasn't only the crypto industry undergoing correction, the stock market has had its own fair share of the dip with about $1.5 trillion wiped out from US stock market at open today.
As of the time of writing, SP:SPX is up 16.36%, there is still room for price surge as hinted by the RSI at 53. A breakout above the 1-month pivot could cement the path for a move to the $1 pivot.
Similarly, a break below the 50% Fibonacci level could negate the aforementioned bullish thesis leading to a consolidation move to the 1-month low region.
SPX6900 Price Live Data
The live SPX6900 price today is $0.537989 USD with a 24-hour trading volume of $58,478,403 USD. SPX6900 is up 18.38% in the last 24 hours. The current CoinMarketCap ranking is #100, with a live market cap of $500,863,790 USD. It has a circulating supply of 930,993,090 SPX coins and a max. supply of 1,000,000,000 SPX coins.
BTC Futures : My first attempt with a target price of 0Hello friends; I think not believing in Bitcoin is as natural as believing in Bitcoin.
I can't express my opinion here with moving averages and/or RSI levels.
The Beyond Technical Analysis might make sense for this trade.
If we are wrong, what is important here is our position and risk management. We do not open a transaction to say "I told you so".
I cannot explain this with any technical analysis method, blockchain data, etc.
Technically; everything that will be built based on this is the same as building a sand castle.
I don't think Bitcoin has an equivalent.
If we consider serious inflation rates, it is obvious that people will have much bigger and more vital priorities than buying Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. I am not even talking about electricity costs.
I definitely don't think it can be in the same class as Gold.
This trade alone offers us a very good risk/reward ratio.
I chose the contract covering the next period ending on May 30th, not the continuous CME contract, in order to save time.
A good place for a first try.
I will definitely try something similar.
I don't think I will have any views other than the short side in the future.
For years I have been asked, "If you don't believe us, why don't you open a short position?" I will try to achieve this.
So there's also an experimental side to this.
HIGHLIGHTS
We are closing our position before the contract switch date of May 30, 2025, without looking at the price. If necessary, we will try again in the next contract.
The value of 113690 is our stop value. We end our trade at this value.
We choose the smallest value as the position size.
If you expect something to be 0,
you should choose trading instruments that evaluate your position in currencies rather than in BTC value.
I chose CME because it is suitable for this.
Contracts that are further away are definitely not liquid.
It may be difficult to find buyers even at high values.
Target : 0
Absolutely no margin addition.
Best regards.
USDJPY - LongThe tariffs (if they are maintained) are going to destroy Japans economy, which is heavily reliant on car exports to the US. As their trade balance goes red, and their domestic economy goes into recession, the yen will crater as the underlying debt crisis percolating in the background exasperates the issue.
XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party”📊 XAUUSD Market Recap – “Sniper Entry + NFP Chaos = Full TP Party” 🎯💣
✅ Sniper Sell @ 3135 – Textbook Execution
The daily plan's sell scenario from 3135–3145 played out perfectly:
Premium zone + valid OB
FVG rejection + bearish PA (M5/M15 CHoCH)
Three take-profits hit: 3120 → 3086 → 3054
Structure respected, price never looked back 🔫
🔥 Post-NFP Breakdown – April 5, 2025
📉 NFP (Actual): 228K vs. 140K Expected
📈 Strong surprise to the upside – job creation smashed expectations
📉 Unemployment Rate: 4.2% (vs 4.1%)
📉 Slight increase – softens the impact of strong jobs number
💬 Market Reaction?
Gold dumped hard post-data, as strong NFP spooked the market
Algorithmic move: sweep → push down → bounce on deep FVG
Market front-ran deeper demand (below 3054), tagging 3036 briefly
🔁 What Got Mitigated:
✅ Premium supply zone @ 3135–3145
✅ 3086–3100 OB demand fully tapped
✅ 3054–3040 imbalance filled
✅ Final reaction wick @ 3036–3038 bounced right off deeper imbalance
🧲 Still in Play / Unmitigated:
🟦 3029–2985 = untouched D1 imbalance
🟡 Small rejection gap @ 3081–3085 (may act as intraday retest zone)
🔴 Possible liquidity below 3000 still untouched
🧠 Summary:
✅ Plan respected
✅ NFP added fuel
✅ Gold respected PA structure to the pip
🎯 Sniper sell from 3135 = perfect execution
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Breakdown & Key Levels to WatchMarket Overview:
Bitcoin is trading at $84,185, showing a +1.63% increase. The price action suggests a potential breakout towards the upside.
🔹 Chart Structure:
BTC has been consolidating in a range-bound structure after a sharp upward move.
Previous rising wedge patterns led to corrections, but the price is holding key support levels.
A breakout setup is forming with a target towards $88,500 – $90,000.
🔹 Key Levels to Watch:
✅ Resistance: $85,249, $86,934, $88,500, $90,000
✅ Support: $82,000, $81,400
🔹 Potential Trade Setup:
📈 Bullish Scenario:
If BTC holds above $84,000, a push towards $86,500 – $88,500 is likely.
A breakout above $88,500 could lead to $90,000+.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
If BTC rejects $85,000, a pullback to $82,000 – $81,400 may occur before another move up.
🔹 Conclusion:
Bias: Bullish above $84,000
Target: $88,500 – $90,000
Invalidation: Below $81,400
Would you like a more detailed trade plan with stop-loss and entry points? 🚀
Bitcoin CME Short AnalysisChart Description
The chart shows a recent strong move up in BTC CME Futures, highlighted by the green Fibonacci retracement levels measuring the prior swing low to swing high.
Two red boxes are drawn near the top, marking a potential resistance/supply zone where price previously stalled.
A white downward arrow indicates your expectation of a pullback from this resistance area.
At the bottom, an oscillator (in yellow) appears to form lower highs (a potential divergence), suggesting fading momentum as price tested the red boxes.
What I Think Is Next
Given the resistance in the red box area and the potential momentum divergence, you anticipate a short-term correction or pullback.
Possible downside targets could include the nearby Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., 0.382 or 0.5), where BTC CME might find support and consolidate before the next move.
If price can’t hold those fib levels, a deeper correction toward lower support zones is possible. Conversely, a strong breakout above the red boxes and any key fib extensions could signal further upside continuation.
Call me crazy...but I'm scaling into DELL 2027 Calls💡Call me crazy… but I’m scaling into DELL 2027 calls.
Strike: $85
Cost: ~$20
Expiration: December 2027
Chart target? North of $230.
(Yes. You read that right.)
The market just served up a gift — and I’m grabbing it with both hands. Dell just dropped nearly 20% on tariff fears and algorithmic panic. But the long-term AI/data center megatrend is still intact.
This is not your grandma’s PC company anymore.
Sometimes you gotta step into the fire when no one else will.
> Risk? Defined.
> Reward? 5x+ potential.
> Time? Plenty of it.
If this thing even comes close to previous growth cycles…
we’ll be glad we were “crazy.”
#DELL #OptionsStrategy #LongTermConviction #TheAccidentalRetiree #BuyFear #SmartMoneyPlays #AI #TechStocks
LONG SNAP: Ooohhh SNAP Buy @ $8.35 set target for 40% With the exlcusion of double bottoms and minor noise in the trend, snap has risen 5 times from $8.35 to +40% gains with the highest at 114%. It just dropped below $8.35. Buy of it rises above $8.35, set your target at 40% or move up your stops using higher highs/higher lows.
Bitcoin: Tech Struggles in Policy StormsRecently, the Bitcoin market's been in a real tricky and changeable spot, what with all these complex factors mixing together. Bitcoin's sitting at $84,047 right now, up 1.10%, but it's still stuck in that key $90,000 resistance zone, and buyers just aren't that fired up.
On the macro side, Trump's new round of tariff measures are in place. The stock market's had a bit of a pullback, but it hasn't kicked off a full - on risk - off situation. Still, with the U.S. earnings season coming up and the ISM manufacturing index shrinking, the market outlook's looking pretty uncertain. If Trump rolls out policies like tax cuts or regulatory relaxations, on one hand, it might give Bitcoin a push up because of safe - haven demand. But on the other, it could also make money flow into traditional sectors, so there'll be less cash coming into Bitcoin.
When it comes to technical indicators, the 4 - hour K - line's bouncing around a lot. That last bearish candlestick shows the bears are winning in the short run. Also, trading volume's dropped, and the market's kind of dead. The MACD shows the bulls are getting a bit stronger, but it's still not clear which way things are going. The KDJ's in the oversold zone, which means the price might get adjusted soon.
Looking forward, if Bitcoin can break through that resistance level and there's good trading volume to back it up, we could see an uptrend start. But if the bad stuff in the macro - economy gets worse and shakes up the market, the price could get pushed down. So, investors really need to keep a close eye on where these tariff policies are going, any changes in macro - economic data, and how the technical indicators are changing. Weigh up the risks and chances, and make investment decisions carefully.
BTCUSDT
buy@82000-83000
tp:85000-86000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
Absolute craziness ! SP500 retesting 6k and SHORTHello fellow traders
This idea is mainly based on an assumption this craziness can't go any longer! Look at RSI, the divergency overheated level tested, price channel?? Early recession signs, AI bubble, etc
Please protect your capital, have a SL which won't cause you sleepless nights :D
This is just an idea not a trading advise! Good luck anyone who's with me