SUI Emerging as a True Market Leader in the Current Crypto CycleIn the ever-evolving crypto landscape, market leadership is about more than short-term gains—it’s about sustained outperformance, relative strength, and consistent behavior around key technical levels. One asset that continues to meet that standard is SUI.
🔍 Tracking Leadership From Key Bottoms
Since the August 5 bottom, SUI has consistently ranked among the top-performing assets, showcasing strong momentum and market structure. This wasn't just a one-off move—SUI established itself as a relative strength leader in a decisive phase of the market.
Fast forward to the April 7 potential low, and once again, SUI is outperforming—this time, ranking #1 in gains(121.92% from Bottom to Top) among the top 30 crypto assets. That kind of consistent leadership at key inflection points isn't luck—it’s the hallmark of a market leader.
📈 Technical Strength Confirmed
SUI is not only rallying—it's doing so with technical conviction:
✅ Trading above the 200 EMA, a critical long-term trend indicator.
✅ Clean breakout above $2.8316, now acting as support.
✅ Follow-Through Day (FTD) confirmation in the general market, suggesting institutional buying power is returning.
As William O’Neil emphasized in How to Make Money in Stocks, market leaders often reassert themselves quickly after an FTD, often delivering the largest gains early in a new uptrend. That’s exactly what we’re seeing from SUI right now.
🌐 Why It Matters
Identifying true leaders during recovery phases provides a real edge—these assets often attract institutional capital, deep liquidity, and community momentum. With its strong chart structure, bullish fundamentals, and ecosystem growth, SUI is positioning itself as one of the most compelling assets to watch this cycle.
If you're focused on strength over hype, SUI should be on your radar.
Beyond Technical Analysis
Long BOTIFYUSD Interesting Project - with a future of upside.
Check out there website - www.botify.cloud
Botify.cloud is a platform that simplifies cryptocurrency automation through an AI-powered, no-code ecosystem, often compared to "Shopify for crypto." Its primary value-add lies in enabling users—regardless of technical expertise—to create, deploy, and monetize AI-driven bots for various tasks, such as trading, social media management, and business operations.
This is the future I can easily see this over $0.10 - $0.20 and into the $1.00+ Ai Agents are the future.
Opening (IRA): SPY June 20th 490 Short Put... for a 5.26 credit.
Comments: Targeting the strike that is both at 16 delta or below and that is paying 1% of the strike price in credit ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect/Break Even: 484.72
Max Profit: 5.26
ROC at Max: 1.09%
Will generally look to ladder out at intervals, assuming I can get in at prices better than what I currently have on, roll out at 50% max ... .
EURJPY Short 4/25/2025EUR/JPY Short – 4th Rejection from Key Supply Zone + Bearish Engulfing Into Range
Looking for a short setup on EUR/JPY after a clean multi-timeframe rejection from the upper boundary of a well-respected zone.
Daily Chart:
Price has tested this trendline resistance zone four times this week — failing each time. Today’s rejection at 163.151 marks the 4th consecutive denial of higher ground. Structurally, this is shaping up as a textbook range trade.
4H Chart:
The latest 4-hour candle printed a sharp doji right at the supply zone — a strong indecision signal that often precedes reversal. Friday flows are light, so it’s likely a final tap before the weekend.
1H Chart:
Price respected the zone all London session. We now see several wick rejections, followed by a bearish engulfing candle on the most recent hourly close — confirming seller presence.
News Context:
No major upcoming data. Tokyo CPI dropped during Asia session and came in strong — that could lend strength to the yen and support downside momentum from here.
Target:
Looking for a move down to the bottom of the range near 161.142
Entry: Near 163.151
Stop: Above supply
Target: 1:3.69 R:R
Note: Could take time to play out — likely into next week if not into New York session follow-through.
This is a clean supply rejection play with a well-defined range and no macro news in the way.
Opening (IRA): TLT May 16th 84 Short Put... for a 1.59 credit.
Comments: High IVR; back in range of 52-week lows. Working both ends of the stick in 20 year+ paper with a covered call on one end of the stick, short puts on the other ... .
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 82.41/contract
Max Profit: 1.59
ROC at Max: 1.93%
50% Max: .80
ROC at 50% Max: .96%
Since I want to potentially pick up additional shares at a lower price, I will run this to expiry or approaching worthless (e.g., .05).
MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025MNQ1!/NQ1! Day Trade Plan for 04/25/2025
📈 19430 19580
📉 19140 18980
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
DXY 4H TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS Okay, here's a description of the image:
The image shows a 4-hour price chart for the DXY (US Dollar Index).
Key points:
Downtrend: The index is generally in a downtrend.
Support and Resistance: A resistance zone is visible around 110.175, and a support level is around 97.921. Another resistance level is near 102.925.
Recent Price Action: The price has recently broken below the 102.925 level and is currently fluctuating around 99.581.
[ TimeLine ] Gold 28-29 April 2025Hello everyone,
📅 Today is Friday, April 25, 2025
I will be using the High-Low price levels formed on the following dates as reference points for potential trade entries:
📌 April 28, 2025 (Monday)
📌 April 28 & 29, 2025 (Monday & Tuesday)
🧠 Trading Plan & Notes:
✅ Gold has broken its ATH multiple times over the past two weeks—volatility remains high
✅ Gold has significant reversal more than 2000pips from its ATH 3500 to 3260
⚠️ If the formed range is big, reversal entries or trades based on Fibonacci levels may be more appropriate
✅ I will personally trade both signals as part of my ongoing research and strategy
⚠️ If you're unsure or risk-averse, consider skipping April 28 & 29 signal
📋 Execution Plan:
🔹 Wait for the price range from the candles above to fully form (marked with green lines)
🔹 Entry will be triggered upon breakout, with a 60-pip buffer
🔹 If the trade hits Stop Loss (SL), switch direction and double the position size on the next valid entry for potential recovery
📉📈 Chart Reference:
🔗 Copy & paste this code into TradingView URL : TV/x/9932ommw/
SLC Brazilian Agricultural Producer and Farmland Investor ThesisExecutive Summary
We are overweighting SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) over U.S. agribusiness stocks (BG, ADM, MOS, CTVA, FPI) in the current macro environment. The key drivers are:
Geopolitical arbitrage (Trump-Russia détente benefits Brazilian exporters more than U.S. firms).
FX tailwinds (weaker USD boosts BRL-denominated farmland values).
Commodity cycle positioning (SLC’s cotton/soy mix outperforms U.S. corn/ethanol plays).
Valuation gap (SLCE3 trades at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. peers).
Top Trade:
Long SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ)
I. Macro & Geopolitical Edge: Why Brazil Wins
1. Trump’s Pro-Russia Policy Reshapes Fertilizer & Grain Flows
Sanctions Relief: Russian potash/phosphate exports resume → BrasilAgro (AGRO3) and SLC benefit from 25-30% lower input costs (U.S. farmers already hedged).
U.S. Grain Export Risk: If Trump pushes Ukraine grain deals, ADM/BG lose pricing power in EU/Asia markets.
2. USD Weakness Favors BRL-Linked Assets
Fed Cuts + Trump’s Dollar Policy: BRL appreciation (R$4.60/USD by 2026E) boosts:
SLC’s USD-linked revenue (68% of sales).
Land appraisals (Brazilian farmland up 18% CAGR in USD terms).
U.S. Companies Hurt: ADM/BG’s LatAm earnings face translation drag.
3. BRICS Neutrality vs. U.S.-China Decoupling
Brazil remains trusted supplier to both China and EU (no trade wars).
U.S. agribusiness (ADM/BG) exposed to:
China soy tariffs (if Trump escalates).
EU carbon taxes (ADM’s ethanol margins at risk).
II. Company-Specific Advantages: SLC vs. U.S. Peers
A. SLC Agrícola (SLCE3.BZ) – The Optimal Play
Metric SLC Agrícola U.S. Peers (ADM/BG/MOS)
P/E (2025E) 9.1x 12-18x
EBITDA Margin 38% (2025E) 8-15%
FX Benefit BRL appreciation USD translation drag
Geopolitical Shield Neutral (BRICS) Exposed to U.S.-China wars
Key Catalysts:
Cotton Supercycle: Trump’s EU-China trade war could spike prices (SLC has 40% exposure).
Hidden Water Rights: 120k hectares of irrigated land (R$3.2B unreported NAV).
Ferrogrão Railway Completion (2026): Cuts logistics costs by 18%.
B. U.S. Agribusiness: Relative Weaknesses
Stock Key Risk Mitigation
ADM Ethanol mandate cuts (Biden hangover) Divesting plants
BG Brazilian tax case (R$4.5B liability) Land asset cover
MOS Saudi JV delays (CFIUS scrutiny) Fertilizer optionality
CTVA Patent cliff (2027+) M&A speculation
FPI U.S. farmland cap rate compression Rent escalators
III. Conclusion: Why SLC Over U.S. Peers?
Geopolitical Arbitrage: Brazil avoids U.S.-China/EU trade wars.
FX Leverage: BRL appreciation boosts USD earnings + land values.
Commodity Mix: Cotton/soy > corn/ethanol in Trump’s policy regime.
Valuation: SLCE3 at 9.1x P/E vs. 14x+ for U.S. stocks.
XAUUSD 1H TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS The image displays a price chart for XAUUSD (Gold against the US Dollar) on a 1-hour timeframe.
Key observations:
Uptrend: The price has generally been in an upward trend from early April.
Recent Peak and Correction: There was a recent high around April 22nd, followed by a downward correction.
Support and Resistance Levels: Horizontal lines indicate potential support around 3,288.35 and resistance around 3,383.15. Another resistance level is visible higher up near 3,420. A lower support level is marked around 3,166.57, and a significant support zone is highlighted near 2,956.57Current Price Action: The price is currently fluctuating around the 3,309.20 level.
Option Insights – Trading the Greeks Part 3 of 4: Gamma ScalpingOption Insights – Trading the Greeks Part 3 of 4: Gamma Scalping
Gamma Scalping is a trading strategy that combines long option positions with a hedging position in the underlying asset to isolate and profit from the convexity of options. It is essentially a non-directional swing trading strategy that aims to capture price swings—regardless of direction—by neutralizing the linear component of option value changes and focusing on the convexity gains.
________________________________________
How It Works
Gamma Scalping begins by purchasing a single option or a strangle, and simultaneously entering a hedging position in the underlying to achieve Delta neutrality (the "Delta hedge"). The strategy then waits for a swing in the underlying price in either direction.
Because of the long Gamma position, the position’s value is a convex function of the underlying price. This means that the position will either:
• Gain more than the Delta hedge in a favorable move, or
• Lose less in an adverse move.
The combined position becomes profitable as the underlying moves, regardless of direction. The linear component of the option’s value change—driven by Delta—is hedged, so any residual profit comes from the convexity, i.e., the Gamma.
To realize this convexity profit, the Delta hedge is re-adjusted after the swing has played out. In other words, after the market appears to have reached a turning point, the position is brought back to Delta neutral.
The optimal adjustment points are at the sequential peaks and troughs of the market. Rebalancing at intermediate points captures some convexity value, but typically less than adjusting only at clear turning points.
This is illustrated in the two subcharts of the introductory chart.
________________________________________
How Does Gamma Scalping Make Money?
The change in the value of an option due to a change in the underlying price is approximately the sum of the Delta-weighted change in the underlying (the linear portion) plus a Gamma-weighted convexity component (convexity portion).
• The linear portion is hedged by the underlying.
• The convexity portion remains and represents the profit opportunity.
While the convexity component is typically smaller than the potential linear gain, it is always positive—unlike the linear term, which is only profitable when the direction is predicted correctly.
________________________________________
What’s Being Traded?
Gamma scalping involves adjusting the hedging position—not the options—at perceived turning points in price swings. The options position is kept intact as long as it maintains sufficient Gamma to deliver meaningful convexity.
Even in volatile markets that demand frequent trading, all activity is confined to the underlying, which tends to be liquid and low-cost to trade.
Once the option’s Gamma decays significantly, the entire position (options + hedge) may be reset to “refresh” the Gamma exposure.
________________________________________
What’s the Catch?
The convexity value isn’t free—it comes at the cost of time value decay, as measured by Theta.
If Delta neutrality isn’t re-established promptly during a swing, even a brief counter-move in the underlying can erode the accumulated convexity gains due to time decay. Gamma scalping thus becomes a race between capturing convexity and losing value to Theta.
The key challenge lies in timing:
• Too early: Frequent adjustments reduce overall convexity capture.
• Too late: Time decay eats into the gains.
• Too slow: As expiration approaches, the range in which sufficient Gamma exists narrows, shrinking the window of opportunity.
Despite these challenges, Gamma scalping offers an appealing alternative to traditional directional swing trading, with a more nuanced risk profile. However, it does require experience in managing Theta—especially with short-dated options.
________________________________________
Is Gamma Scalping the Opposite of Time Value Trading?
In a way, yes, but not quite.
Time value trading involves selling options and Delta hedging them—such as in volatility premium strategies (e.g., selling index strangles). These traders aim to minimize realized volatility and capture the decay of implied volatility.
By contrast, Gamma scalping buys options and seeks to maximize realized volatility—through the trader’s own hedging actions. The subtle differences in hedge execution distinguish these two approaches.
This contrast—and what it means to minimize or maximize realized volatility in a hedging strategy as well as time value trading itself—will be explored in more depth in Part 4 of the “Options Insights – Trading the Greeks” series.
________________________________________
Coming Up Next:
📘 Part 4: Time Value Trading and Volatility Premium
by parsifaltrading
Positive trade talks fuel USD recovery.🔔🔔🔔 USD/CAD news:
➡️ The USD/CAD pair rebounded from its recent losses seen in the previous session, trading around 1.3870 during Friday’s Asian session. The pair is stronger as the U.S. dollar gained traction, supported by optimism over potential U.S. trade deals. The greenback attracted some dip-buying interest after Thursday’s mild decline and found additional support from upbeat U.S. macroeconomic data.
Personal opinion:
➡️ USD is on the rebound and performing better than CAD. Therefore, the main trend for this pair is still bullish in the short term
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with SMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy USD/CAD 1.3866 - 1.3850
❌SL: 1.3830 | ✅TP: 1.3920 - 1.3970
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
April 25, 2025 - Trump’s Tango, Tech, and Insider DramaHello everyone, it’s April 25, 2025. We’re closing in on Trump’s 100-day mark back in the White House, and if there’s one word to sum up his impact on markets: chaos. With 137 executive orders signed already, he’s turned global markets into a high-stakes rollercoaster though this week saw signs of recovery, confidence remains fragile, and volatility is still running the show.
The main trigger? You guessed it: Trump and his tariff diplomacy. After weeks of U-turns, threats, and NYSE:TWTR meltdowns, he’s finally announced that talks with China have begun. That was enough to send the AMEX:SPY up 2%, pull the CME_MINI:NQ1! out of correction territory (+2.74%), and ignite a 5.63% jump in the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, even though it’s still miles below its all-time high.
OANDA:XAUUSD is sitting at $3,332, BLACKBULL:WTI hovers around $63.21, and INDEX:BTCUSD has skyrocketed to $93,200. Not bad for a week that started in total disarray.
Now here’s where things get fishy: US indices started climbing before Trump’s announcement—classic “somebody knew something.” Insider trading? Just your average Thursday. And while Trump claims talks are underway, the Chinese side played coy, denying any ongoing negotiations. Either someone’s lying, or the talks are happening over dim sum in DC.
Beyond geopolitics, NASDAQ:GOOG crushed earnings expectations and added a juicy dividend and GETTEX:70B in buybacks, exploding 6% after-hours. Meanwhile, NASDAQ:INTC flopped—flat profits, poor outlook, and a CEO trying to turn cost-cutting into a growth story. The market wasn’t buying it: down 5.7% after-hours.
NYSE:NOW , though, is living its best life. Strong results, AI momentum, and federal contracts boosted shares 15%. Other names like NASDAQ:PEP , NYSE:PG , and NASDAQ:AAL warned on the future thanks to—you guessed it—political and economic uncertainty.
On the macro front, ECONOMICS:USIJC (US jobless claims) ticked higher, inflation seems to be cooling, and if next week’s PCE and employment data confirm the slowdown, the Fed might just blink and cut rates in May. Market hopes are pinned on Powell holding steady—unless, of course, Trump decides to live-tweet through it.
Futures are up 0.37% ( CME_MINI:ES1! ) this morning, signaling optimism—possibly misplaced—in Trump’s “friendly” overtures toward China. Let’s just say we’re one golf game away from another market tantrum.
Enjoy your weekend, stay alert, and cross your fingers for a quiet Sunday tweet-wise.
April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340🎯 April 24 NY Recap – XAUUSD Buy Sniped from 3310 to 3340 💥our first TP
Today’s NY session was all about precision and patience.
🔹 The market opened with a calm continuation of the post-Claims structure, giving bulls a final chance to reenter from the 3310 sniper zone, previously posted in our daily plan.
📍 Breakdown of the 3310 Buy
• Zone: H1–H4 demand confluence
• Confirmation: Clean rejection on M15, followed by consolidation and impulsive breakout
• Confluence:
– Untouched OB + FVG
– Price locked above M30 EMA100
– Discounted fib zone
– RSI bounce on M15
• Execution: Buy 3310.70 → TP 3340.78
• Result: +300 pips
Not just a technical win — but a mindset win. Snipers don’t chase. They wait.
🧠 NY Session Notes
• No macro drivers today, which gave full control to pure PA + structure
• Liquidity was swept below 3310 before aggressive buying stepped in
• Once price reclaimed 3330–3340, we saw a clean continuation to premium
• TP hit with no retest — textbook sniper exit
💬 Let’s Talk – No Chart Needed
📈 Did you catch the 3310 buy?
💭 How did your NY session go?
👇 Drop your thoughts or reentry ideas below — we learn every session.
📲 Like, Comment, and Follow to keep this stream of real structure-based updates alive.
We don’t predict. We react.
And today, we reacted perfectly. 💛
The Day AheadMacro Data to Watch:
US: April Kansas City Fed Services Index – May give insight into regional business sentiment.
UK: April GfK Consumer Confidence – Early read on sentiment post-budget.
March Retail Sales – Important for GBP and rate expectations.
Japan: April Tokyo CPI – Key inflation indicator ahead of BoJ policy.
France: April Business Confidence – Watch for any signs of slowing Eurozone momentum.
Canada: February Retail Sales – Impacts CAD, potential rate path hints.
Central Bank Watch:
BoE’s Greene speaks – May offer clues on UK rate path amid inflation stickiness.
Earnings to Watch (Market Movers):
US: AbbVie, Colgate-Palmolive, HCA Healthcare, Charter Communications, Schlumberger, Centene, LyondellBasell
Focus on healthcare, consumer staples, and energy names for sector sentiment.
Asia: Ping An Insurance, Keyence, Advantest – Key bellwethers for China and Japan.
This lineup could drive volatility across FX (GBP, JPY, CAD), equity indices, and sector ETFs. Watch sentiment shifts based on inflation data and earnings surprises.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Monitoring to Entry – AN/PAGThis pair was added to our Awaiting Confirmation list on April 16 , after showing a potential setup for a long position based on price deviation.
As of April 17 , the setup evolved further:
The pair Started below the lower Bollinger Band , suggesting continued price dislocation.
Stochastic %K and %D were both under 20 , indicating an Oversold condition.
ADX = 12.0 – signaling a sideways market, favorable for mean reversion.
DI-/DI+ ratio = 1.86 – still shows dominance of sellers, but that value improved (decreased) from the previous day.
A strong bullish candle appeared, reinforcing the shift in momentum.
Conclusion:
Although not all indicators were aligned perfectly, the price structure and early momentum reversal were enough for me to trigger a long entry as of April 17.
Now, I am monitoring this position with close attention to DI dynamics and further stochastic confirmation.