XAU/USD Trend Today - Wide and Unpredictable Trading Range🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The price of gold (XAU/USD) continues its decline after reaching an all-time high on Thursday, though it remains above the $3,100 level in early European trading. Optimistic traders are taking profits and scaling back their positions amid mildly overbought conditions. However, persistent concerns over potential economic harm from President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs are expected to support the safe-haven appeal of the precious metal.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The effects of the gold price increase are too much. Therefore, the current decline in the gold price to the 3125 area compared to the peak of 3167 is just profit-taking by buyers. Consider strong technical resistance - support zones to get the best profit for you
➡️ Analyze based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3137 - 3150 - 3165
Support zone: 3113 - 3100 - 3184
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3150 - 3148 (Scalping)
❌SL: 354 | ✅TP: 3145 - 3142 - 3139
👉Sell Gold 3165- 3167
❌SL: 3172| ✅TP: 3160 – 3155 – 3150
👉Buy Gold 3086- 3084
❌SL: 3079| ✅TP: 3090 – 3095 – 3110
👉Buy Gold 3100- 3102 ( Scalping)
❌SL: 3095 | ✅TP: 3106 – 3112 – 3120
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Beyond Technical Analysis
The Leonardo (D)assaultIt is not a secret that Europe’s defence landscape has shifted dramatically to a pace unseen since the Cold War. In 2022, Central and Western Europe’s combined military outlays reached $345 billion, surpassing 1989 levels as the Cold War ended1. Where there is a commonly cited “peace dividend”, this is the era reaping the rearmament rewards. Even traditionally pacifist countries are upping their defence outlays, while frontline states like Poland and the Baltic nations are planning well above 2% of GDP (the NATO defence spending target) to bolster their militaries.
Of note, European officials, including the European Central Bank (ECB) (monetary) policymaker Olli Rehn, have explicitly called for joint EU programs to fund air defence and drone production to support Ukraine and strengthen Europe’s own defence, even if it means loosening fiscal rules2. When the monetary policy folks start weighing in on defence spending, it is best not to ignore it.
Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA, are integral to Europe’s defence-industrial base and they will be pivotal beneficiaries of the continent’s rearmament. Crucially, unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs)—from surveillance drones to combat-capable systems—are an area where both firms are actively developing capabilities, aligning with Europe’s defence priorities.
Dassault Aviation, long synonymous with fighter jets, spearheaded Europe’s stealth unmanned combat air vehicle (UCAV) demonstrator nEUROn. Launched in the 2000s as a multinational project, nEUROn was led by Dassault Aviation with contributions from several European partners including Leonardo SpA (then Alenia)3. nEUROn combines many of the critical components of modern warfare systems including autonomous flight controls and low-observable (stealth) design. The project is also demonstrative of pan-European collaboration in UAVs. Not to be outdone, Leonardo SpA has developed its own family of medium drones (such as the Falco UAV series). Not to mention, its collaborations with companies like BAE Systems in the Eurofighter Typhoon and next-gen Tempest/GCAP fighter programs.
In essence, Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA are key enablers of Europe’s push for strategic autonomy in defence and are poised to benefit from the pivot to UAVs—a shift that began slowly at the beginning of the 21st Century and accelerated meaningfully with the experience gained from the conflict in Ukraine. European militaries have been paying attention; drones have proven their value for reconnaissance, target acquisition, and even precision strikes, fundamentally changing battlefield dynamics. It is a UAV world; legacy tech is just living in it.
While Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA aren’t major producers of small drones, it is not as though the two are going to be left behind. Leonardo SpA is developing anti-drone defences and electronic jamming systems. This makes sense. Increased drone usage increases demand for counter-UAV technologies, an area where Leonardo SpA’s electronics division is poised to benefit from radar and laser-based drone neutralisation4.
Alliances are the way forward
The surge in European defence spending is expanding the pie for industry, but it’s also intensifying both competition and collaboration among defence contractors. Interestingly, in the realm of UAVs, collaboration is often seen as the fastest way to close capability gaps. Both Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA have shown a willingness to team up with traditional competitors or even non-European firms when strategic.
To this point, Leonardo SpA embarked on a joint venture with Turkey’s Baykar Technologies to produce UAVs in Italy to exploit Baykar’s Ukraine combat-proven designs with Leonardo’s sensors and electronics. In a rapid turnaround, the venture plans to deliver its first product (based on Baykar’s Akıncı heavy drone) within 18 months5. And this is unlikely to be a one-off. Leonardo SpA’s CEO recently emphasised “alliances would be the way forward” to boost defence production without excessive new infrastructure6. The underlying theme is straightforward – making more stuff quickly is the goal.
Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA find themselves at the nexus of this transformation—bolstered by macroeconomic trends and political resolve and delivering the technologies that will define European security in the coming decades. The unfolding emphasis on UAVs is a microcosm of the broader story: drones have moved from peripheral acquisitions to must-have capabilities. UAV development, in particular, stands out as both a growth avenue and a strategic imperative. Dassault Aviation and Leonardo SpA are leveraging their deep expertise and forging new partnerships to ensure Europe’s militaries have the drones they require.
Conclusion
The narrative? Reallocation and rearmament. The timeline might be best described as “defence for the long run”. The beneficiaries are those positioned to meet Europe’s capability gaps. Dassault Aviation carries the mantle of Europe’s aerospace prowess and is now backed by a strong wind of political will and funding.
Sources:
1World military expenditure reaches new record high as European spending surges | SIPRI
2ECB's Rehn calls for joint European investment in air defence, drones | Reuters
3Dassault nEUROn to fly again, driving France’s new combat drone development - AeroTime
4Leonardo projects €30 billion in revenue by 2029 | Shephard
5Italy's Leonardo, Turkey's Baykar to set up drone joint venture | Reuters
6Leonardo CEO denies talks with automakers on military production | Reuters
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research, or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees, or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
NQ: An ongoing storm after tariffs came into effect!Good day!
Finally tariffs are on! A response from worldwide is imminently expected.
NQ and all US equities, US dollar and Bonds and anything from US are in a free fall!
A definition of a self-inflicted destruction!
Anyhow...Today's plan: A shy bounce (23.6 Fib) during Asian session. Price created a bearish flag that is already broken. A retest around 38.2 fib (19115) is possible if Service data is inline.
Otherwise, price will continue the down move.
Data will be Bearish for GOLDAffected by tariffs and inflation news, gold fluctuated sharply before the market closed. The market was in a situation of double kills for both long and short positions, and the sentiment was still fermenting. At present, the bulls also took this opportunity to successfully break through the resistance, and the price returned to above 3140 again. From the perspective of the pattern, there is still room for growth in the short term.
Before the US market, you can look for trading opportunities in the 3158-3123 range. The unemployment benefit data will be released during the US market, and the data is expected to be bearish for gold. Therefore, within 30 minutes before the data is released, if you hold a long order, please be cautious. At that time, I will also send you the latest trading plan based on the market situation.
If you are currently in trouble and need help, you can leave me a message.
Another great trade for XAUUSD (GOLD) todayAfter seeing the price action of monday to wednesday, it gave a hint as to what to expect for today. Since i was expecting a consolidation reversal week i knew then that thursday will sweep monday to wednesday and do a reversal for today. Combining it with my multi timeframe analysis from daily to 1H with my entry in the 5m timeframe, i was able to capture this 1:7R trade for today...
For tomorrow my expectation would be an expansion friday candle going down targeting the daily +FVG to complete the ERL to IRL scenario...
Catrion Catering Holding 6004✈️ Aviation-Themed Trading Captions
"Every flight needs a runway — the market is just taxiing before takeoff."
"Before soaring to 179.8, it’s just aligning on the runway. Fasten your seatbelts!"
"Just like a Saudi Airlines jet — a slight dip for alignment, then full throttle to the skies!"
"Descending slightly, not to fall — but to gather momentum for liftoff!"
"Markets, like planes, don’t take off from mid-air — they need the runway first."
"Runway 102.8 cleared. Destination: 179.8. Ready for takeoff!"
"Don't fear the pullback — it's just taxiing before liftoff."
"From the runway at 102.8, straight up to cruising altitude 179.8 — fasten your trading seatbelts!"
USDPLN Retesting the break line and support zone LONGHello fellow traders,
Here is my idea for the pair USD PLN with major support level and retest of the break downtrend line. This is just an idea not a trading advise, always protect your capital, here I have a s/l below 3.76-3.65 when triggered I will manually react, with the T/P as indicated first at 4.2 and second 4.4 being Fob levels of usual reaction,
also, the tarrifs are now sorted, dollar has also dipped and with a chance for recovery following the tax relief for businesses settling in USA good chance for the prosperity of the country and their currency
all the best, good luck
Trading GBPUSD | Judas Swing Strategy 25/03/2025We had a good trading session with the Judas Swing Strategy two weeks ago, as the strategy delivered 3 solid setups, 2 on FX:EURUSD and 1 on $GBPUSD. And guess what? All three hit their targets!
That’s a massive 6% gain for the week! And with these impressive results we wanted to see how the strategy will perform last week.
The strategy did not produce any setups on the currency pair we monitor ( FX:EURUSD , FX:GBPUSD , FX:AUDUSD , OANDA:NZDUSD ) on Monday 24th March and instead of forcing setups like other traders would we sat that day out. Why was this possible? we had backtested the strategy and had enough data to prove that when we stick to this strategy long term we'd be in putting ourselves in a profitable position.
On Tuesday, we returned to the trading desk, scouting for setups, when we noticed a potential opportunity on $GBPUSD. The currency pair had swept liquidity at the high of our zone, signaling a possible shift in direction. We then shifted our focus to selling opportunities for the session. Our strategy required waiting for a break of structure to the downside, followed by a retracement into the FVG before executing a trade
After waiting for an hour and 15 minutes, we finally got the break of structure to the downside. The only step left was a retrace into the FVG. After some patience, the retrace materialized, meeting all the criteria on our entry checklist. We executed the trade, risking 1% of our account with a target return of 2%
Trade Details:
Entry: 1.29513
Stop Loss: 1.29611
Take Profit: 1.29311
After entering the trade, price consolidated around our entry point for a while, showing no clear direction. However, we remained unfazed, trusting our well-backtested strategy, which has a 50% win rate. With a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, we know that consistently following our strategy will yield profits in the long run. Since we had risked only what we could afford to lose, the slow price movement didn’t shake our confidence
Unfortunately, this trade didn’t go in our favor and ended up hitting our stop loss. This serves as a reminder that not every trade will reach take profit and that’s perfectly okay. Losses are an inevitable part of trading, but what truly matters is maintaining a solid risk management strategy, sticking to a proven system, and thinking long-term. As traders, our edge comes not from winning every trade, but from executing consistently and letting probabilities play out over time
Trump shakes up the markets: Strategies and impact on oilBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
Former President Donald Trump's recent decision to impose across-the-board tariffs has had a strong impact on global markets. European and Asian stock markets reacted with significant declines, while the oil market experienced notable volatility.
Impact on the oil market
The announcement of tariffs has affected global demand and economic expectations, generating downward pressure on crude oil prices. Both Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) recorded declines of more than 3%, reflecting uncertainty about economic growth and energy demand. In addition, the unexpected increase in US crude oil stocks has contributed to the bearish sentiment in the sector.
Possible scenarios and trading strategies
1. Technical perspective: The drop in oil prices has taken Brent to the $72 level and WTI to $69. If these key levels are lost, we could see an extension of the falls towards $70 and $67 respectively.
2. Hedging strategy: In the face of increased volatility, traders can consider hedging strategies through options or futures contracts, reducing exposure to risk.
3. Opportunities in safe-haven assets: Uncertainty could continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets such as gold and the Japanese yen. The VIX index has shown a rebound, indicating an increase in risk aversion.
BRENT Analysis
Yesterday the US market closed with a very pronounced bearish candle that de-escalated the price by more than 3 dollars. Despite having a previous sequence of candlesticks with relative volume, this did not prevent the day from closing negative for crude oil. Currently, after an Asian session without volume and the price recovering to the POC zone at $72.98, the European market has opened with a bearish session without excessive volume. A clearly oversold RSI can be seen at 29.55% so there could be a price reversal to the upside above the check point as soon as this downtrend eases. However, there has been a crossing of the 50-average below the 100-average that could indicate a bearish continuation until it meets the 200-average at a price that coincides around the indicated control point. It would not be unusual for the market to neutralize possible bullish attempts after a significant pullback after touching the high zone at least 3 times this week near the highs of $75.17. The central channel that has formed seems to be supporting at the lows of $71.88 so perhaps there could be a drop to this price zone to then gain momentum to the middle zone again. If this price does not hold, it could test the $70.27 area.
Conclusion
The U.S. tariff increase, bringing the average rate to 22% (its highest level since 1910), has dramatically changed the global economic landscape. Trade retaliation from the EU and China could further intensify volatility. In this context, it is crucial for investors to closely follow market trends and adapt their strategies to this new environment.
The Day Ahead Economic Data Releases (Market Impact)
US:
March ISM Services PMI – Key gauge of economic activity in the services sector. A higher-than-expected number could fuel rate hike concerns.
February Trade Balance – Trade deficit/surplus could influence USD sentiment.
Initial Jobless Claims – A lower figure may strengthen USD as it signals a strong labor market.
UK:
March Official Reserves Changes – Could impact GBP if there are significant shifts.
China:
March Caixin Services PMI – A strong reading could boost market sentiment, supporting risk assets.
Italy & Eurozone:
March Services PMI (Italy) & February PPI (Eurozone) – Weak data could reinforce ECB rate cut expectations, affecting EUR.
Canada:
February International Merchandise Trade – Affects CAD; trade surplus could strengthen the currency.
Switzerland:
March CPI – Inflation trends impact SNB policy expectations and CHF.
Central Bank Events (Market Moving)
US Fed Speakers (Jefferson, Cook) – Any hints on future rate hikes/cuts will drive USD and bond markets.
ECB March Meeting Account – Insight into ECB’s rate path; dovish tone may weaken EUR.
BoE March DMP Survey – Expectations on inflation and growth, potentially influencing GBP.
Geopolitical Event
NATO Foreign Ministers Meeting (April 3-4) – Any geopolitical developments could impact risk sentiment, affecting oil prices, defense stocks, and safe-haven assets.
Trading Relevance
USD: High impact from ISM Services PMI, jobless claims, and Fed speeches.
EUR: ECB minutes and Eurozone PPI could drive movement.
GBP: BoE survey and UK reserves data in focus.
CAD: Trade balance key for CAD direction.
CHF: Inflation print may influence SNB rate expectations.
Risk Sentiment: Watch China PMI and NATO meeting for broader market impact.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Buy Idea: Habib Bank Limited (HBL)📘 Buy Idea: Habib Bank Limited (HBL)
🔹 Timeframe: Monthly | Strategy: Structure + Type 1.4 + Context Targets
✅ Entry Zone:
Buy between 145 – 155 PKR (near the marked "M Type 1.4" level).
📉 Stop Loss (SL):
Below 92 PKR
("This low to be held as protected low" – the ITL zone).
🎯 Take-Profit Targets (TP):
Target Price (PKR) Gain % Description
TP1 240 ~60% First context target
TP2 314 ~120% Previous major high
TP3 411 ~165% Final potential rocket move 🚀
📌 Context & Narrative:
Price broke key structure levels and is forming a bullish base.
Multiple STL levels swept – shows smart money accumulation.
"M Type 1.4" indicates institutional interest.
Targets are based on historical price action and FVG-based projection.
💡 Position Strategy:
Buy 50% at current price (150–155)
Add 25% on a pullback to 140
Add 25% if price dips toward 130
GBPJPY BUYSWe are will bullish on GBPJPY, price is currently rejecting off an AOI around 192.41. We will ignore the London open trade as theres is no visible level of entry, we will how ever prepare for NYC open. where we will see price take out the London lows for a continuations of the bullish rally.
WILL ECOMATE MARK UP?This is Schematic #2 Rising Bottom of Re -Accumalation
I am attracted to the TriggerBar on 11/3/25, which succesfully commit above the upper trading range
In which subsequently reacted with a very low supply (Arrow)
Made a decision for EP
Going to expose progressively, if things improving from here on wards
Bursa KLCI has been under massive selling
Im expecting a volatility in upcoming weeks
PureWcykoff
The Power of a Trading System with the Right Mental State
📅 April 3, 2025
Over the years, I’ve learned that discipline in trading isn’t just about having a system — it’s about being in the right state of mind to follow that system. 🧘♂️📈
You can have the cleanest rules, the best strategy, and solid backtests … but if your mindset is off, none of it matters. That’s when hesitation creeps in. Or worse — revenge trades, FOMO, or doubt.
So I started focusing on one thing: my internal state before and during a trade. 🧭
🔄 How I Manage My Mindset
✅ 1. Pre-Trade Check-In
Before I trade, I ask:
How do I feel right now?
If I’m not grounded, I don’t trade. Simple. I’ve learned the hard way that it’s not worth it.
🔥 2. Anchoring a Disciplined State
I recall moments where I executed perfectly — calm, focused, in control. I mentally step into that version of myself before every session.
🧩 3. Staying Congruent
During a trade, I pay attention to my behavior. If I notice myself drifting from my plan — I pause, breathe, and realign.
🎯 Why This Works
A trading system gives structure.
But structure means nothing without mental discipline.
By mastering my emotional state, I stopped sabotaging my own edge.
No more reacting from fear. No more chasing. Just clean, committed execution. 🧘♂️✅
💬 Final Thought
Consistency doesn’t come from the market — it comes from me.
So now, before I look at the chart, I check in with myself first.
Because when my state is right, my trading flows. ⚖️✨
If this resonates, drop your thoughts below — let’s grow together.