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NASDAQ #NAS100 #NQ BIG SHORT THIS WEEK?Market Makers' Bias: -Non-Commercial traders, including hedge funds and large institutional speculators, have significantly increased their net selling positions compared to the previous week. This shift indicates a strong bearish divergence, suggesting that market sentiment has turned decisively negative. Additional Fundamental Bias: -The Nasdaq appears overbought relative to U.S. Treasury bonds, suggesting that tech stocks within the Nasdaq Index, such as #AAPL, #META, and #GOOG already falling in prices. -We also have the Nasdaq Futures contract Rollover Price gaps, they normally act as a magnet to be filled. US-Election year Seasonality - Heavily Bearish this week. Technical Analysis portion: -We are just hit the weekly covered daily Supply zone, price may now be ready for a bearish this week. ***As always, trade safe and make sure to do your due diligence when analyzing the charts.*** Let’s see how this plays out... 👀👀
CME_MINI:NQ1!Short
by TradersPod
BTC TreysBTC to 33k for various reasons. 1. Since the beginning of Bitcoin, historical data shows BTC does yearly ATH and ATL's. What's interesting the pattern; every year since 2011 we have seen a correction of 60%-80% retracement from the ATH (followed by exponential gains) with the exception of 2024 which we have only seen a 20% retracement. 60-80% retracement for 2024 should put us at (BTC) 15k-30k. 2. Supreme Court grants US Government permission to sell (auction) 69k worth of BTC from Silk Road Case after legal win. Even if they do not sell, this will create a panic and fear and cause others to short therefore helping the price reach our target. 3. Monthly timeframe: we can see ineverted head and shoulder pattern at the bottom between 2022 and 2024 never retested. This is the key to our target as it is slightly above the 60% retracement from last ATH. BTC falling is also supported by the rejection/resistance on the Monthly supply zone which never broke and actually held pretty well. Pattern wise I can see a double top pretty much formed, closing above neckline and retesting the high (bull trap) so in my books this is ready for a sell. Candle wise we had a bearish engulfing followed by the retest of the high I just spoke about. However price failed to close above; still bearish. 4. Weekly timeframe: Pattern - clear bearish pattern anyway you want to look at it; triple top, head and shoulder or double top. Candle - beautiful price action, same as monthly with a bearish engulfing and retest of the high eventually closing under the neckline of bearish engulfing pattern. SPOILER:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TrueGoatTrading
1
#BTC #Bitcoin #Final #Update #Wychoff #Distribution #Eddy#BTC #Bitcoin #Final #Update #Eddy #Distribution #Schematic #1 : #Wychoff #Events & #Phases (("What you see in the picture is Schematic 1 in the distribution structure of Wychoff. Every increase on Bitcoin is considered as the last opportunity to open short position. I have identified and labeled the important points where you can seek confirmation for the short position ✍️ The price range of $44,000 and $45,000 are my entry points for sell trades by getting the necessary confirmations for the target of $22,500 and expecting Bitcoin to return to above $50,000 after chasing liquidity behind $20,000 is where the market maker scares everyone. And the seller makes them do heavy accumulation and purchase, and according to the approval of Bitcoin ETF, it is the best opportunity for investors to buy Bitcoin in the price range of $20,000. People who work on futures, be careful, $20,000 will be faked in the high time frame. Hunt points and creating fear in the market that can be touched: 17-19 thousand dollars. Anyway, this is my scenario and it may not be true, don't forget to get confirmation, there is no certainty in the digital currency market and we all look at the market based on our perspective and analysis of the technicals on the charts. Take care of your capital and invest with your strategy and reviews or use signals and analysis. Serious warning! This analysis is suitable for professionals. I recommend beginners to watch the tutorial.")) Analyses of Trading Ranges By : Dr. #Eddy SunShine 👨🏻‍💻 1/13/2024 ❤️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Eddy_Trade_
First Republic Bank | FRCFirst Republic stock plummets after revealing deposit exodus in March The stock of First Republic FRC dropped more than 43% Tuesday after the bank surprised investors and analysts by revealing an outflow of more than $100 billion in deposits in March. The disclosure made during the release of its first-quarter results on Monday afternoon raised new questions about the fate of a San Francisco lender that was at the center of last month's banking turmoil.the company outlined its survival strategy Monday. It said it plans to increase its insured deposits, trim the borrowings it used to cover customer withdrawals, shrink its balance sheet and reduce its workforce by 20-25% to cut expenses. It is also pursuing other “strategic” options, including a sale or raising more capital.the bank is considering divesting HKEX:50 billion to $100 billion of long-dated securities and mortgages to make an eventual capital raise easier. Its stock, which was already down more than 85% this year, was briefly halted for volatility on Tuesday. Other bank stocks also dropped, including some of First Republic's regional rivals. PacWest (PACW), a lender based in Beverly Hills that reports earnings after the market close, was down more than 6%. HomeStreet (HMST), a lender in Seattle that reported earnings Monday, sank more than 36%. analysts said First Republic faces a lot of uncertainty as it tries to recover from last month's chaos. “First Republic appears to be in a holding pattern and burning fuel,” Evercore analysts said in a new research note. Wells Fargo analysts said in a separate note that First Republic's existence "very much hangs in the balance." "The future of this company is very uncertain," added CI Roosevelt Associate Partner Jason Benowitz in an interview with Yahoo Finance. First Republic, he added, "lost so much in deposits, they have to replace that funding somehow, so they’re doing it with borrowing.” The borrowing will “really weigh on their profitability both in the reported quarter and going forward.” Wedbush lowered its earnings estimates for that very reason, noting that the heavy deposit losses would weigh on profits. “Where does First Republic go from here?” Wedbush said in its note. “Our base case is that First Republic continues to move forward as a standalone company,” referencing an earlier note in April that argued First Republic faces a "Hobson's choice." Even a sale of First Republic at $0 a share is unlikely, Wedbush said in that earlier note, because any buyer would still essentially have to pay billions to absorb the unrealized losses on its balance sheet. Carlyle Group co-founder David Rubenstein told Yahoo Finance earlier this month that the federal government will need to provide some help for First Republic to find a buyer due to this “hole” on the lender’s balance sheet. “I think First Republic Bank is clearly on a watchlist, and probably somebody at some point will buy it. But the challenge there is that it needs government assistance,” Rubenstein said earlier this month A lot of money is riding on its fate. Everyday investors have bet HKEX:245 million on First Republic stock since the fall of Silicon Valley Bank, according to Vanda Research, the third highest inflow to a specific bank stock behind Bank of America (BAC) and Charles Schwab (SCHW). It also has one of the highest levels of interest among so-called short sellers betting on the stock to decline, according to analytics firm S3 Partners, accounting for HKEX:480 million in such bets over the last 30 days. Its stock is now down more than 85% since the beginning of the year. First Republic "will be a bellwether of sentiment for the sector," Vanda said in a note last week. The new hand wringing about First Republic following the release of its first-quarter results Monday. Its first-quarter earnings of HKEX:269 million were down by 30% from the fourth quarter and 33% from the year earlier period. What surprised most observers is how many deposits it lost in March. As of March 9, the day before regulators seized Silicon Valley Bank, its deposits were $173.5 billion, down just slightly from the year end. On March 10, it began experiencing "unprecedented deposit outflows." The net total outflow by the end of March was HKEX:72 billion, but the actual number was above $100 million after stripping out a temporary infusion of HKEX:30 billion in uninsured deposits from 11 of the country’s largest banks. Those deposits have to stay at First Republic for 120 days, according to a person familiar with the rescue plan. The bank said Monday that outflows began to stabilize the week of March 27 and deposit activity "has remained stable" through April 21. Its balance as of Friday was $102.7 billion, a drop of 1.7% since the end of the quarter that the bank attributed to seasonal client tax payments. "Despite the uncertainty of the past two months, and while average account sizes have decreased, we have retained over 97% of client relationships that banked with us at the start of the first quarter," First Republic CEO Michael Roffler said on a conference call following the release of results. The company didn't take questions from analysts.
NYSE:FRCShort
by moonypto
BITCOIN SHORT TECHNICAL POINT OF VIEW From technical analysis point of view I would say that in next couple of weeks we can expect that price will reach 33.000$. Everything above 33.000$ is my area for placing sell orders. There are gaps which has to be filled. Every trendline should have at least 3 touches. From my analysis I can see that gap fill, perfectly connects with the 3rd touch of upper trend line. These gaps fills are also at 18.380$ ,14.280$ and 12.480$. 12.480$ is my target for next next couple of months. PSYCHOLOGICAL POINT OF VIEW Put yourself in head of other investors. Ask yourself: How are they thinking at this moment? Where they are placing their orders? Are they placing buy orders or sell orders? Are they expecting lower prices or higher prices? . . . I would say that currently we are in the phase of uncertainty. We need big push to the upside or big push to the downside to "trick" investors aka. create manipulation of the market which will cause placing more orders on false short term pump or dump which will reverse in much bigger move in right direction. FUNDAMENTAL POINT OF VIEW Regulation of cryptocurrencies will definitely affect markets. A lot of crypto projects will die through regulation process. I think we will hear a lot of bad news coming out before we start a new bull run. We need capitulation (big fall of prices) which usually is more than 30% in a single month. This capitulation will be the answer of bad news coming out. This is only my opinion what we can expect in next couple of months before new bull run. Nothing in this post should be used as financial advice.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Cognitiq
BTCUSDT: Dragon above the cloudsHello Traders! Welcome back to another trade with analyst Aadil1000x. The market is pumping really hard even after the big scandal by the banks. This is an Amazing move and this bullish run is about to end. There is a dragon above the clouds and it will come down to eat the bulls. We are ready to ride the Dragon. There is a True reversal point at 29327 and I am expecting that the market will drop exactly from that position and this will be the hard drop. There will be at least a 15% drop from this level which means the market will go below 25K. This is the overview of the market and we will trade each and every wave as we did before. Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
Short
by Aadil1000x
1
S&P 500 Are we about to drop it like it's hot?Tracking our wave count for the S&P 500 we could be about to drop hard this week, with CPI reports due out on Tuesday and the Fed due to deliver another hawkish statement on Wednesday we could be entering into the wave 3 of C which will be a very sharp move and will demolish a lot of wealth in a very short space of time. We will move away from the narrative of inflation peaking and into a new narrative of inflation not dissapating as quickly as hoped. In turn the Fed will have to keep interest rates higher for longer than anticipated (which they have signalled in the past few meetings). This is likely to scare investors out of stocks and into cash, namely the dollar. The 'bullish' move up that topped on the 1st of December was just a counter trend rally (completing wave 2 of C) and was designed as such to convice traders/investors that the bottom is in and we are heading to new highs, drawing in the bulls only to swing rapidly to lows not seen since the covid crash. We feel a conservative target for this wave 3 of C would be circa 3200, a very nice 750 points of profit from current prices.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by RAA_Trading
BNBETH [1W] // Diamond for whalesHi friends! This is not an easy time, which creates even more questions before the time ahead. In this idea, we see the strongest pattern "Diamond", which will definitely be worked out. Based on the logic and analysis of the chart at earlier stages (starting from November, not August as here), we tend to break the pattern down, but we cannot rule out an upward movement. We suggest subscribing to updates of this idea, since closer to the moment of a breakthrough, we will understand the market situation more clearly and will be able to predict the right direction of movement with a high degree of probability.
Short
by Gethodl
(TESLA) The Big Short Bill Gates has multi Billion dollar short position against Tesla since last year and elon sold over 8 billion dollars Tesla stock to buy the Twitter but can Tesla hit 90$? while elon has pointed to the Fed as reason for Tesla's declines, with the company's market cap shedding $600 billion on the year. Tesla shares were down 8% at $113 in premarket trading. The stock has dropped 60% since the start of October with investors citing concern about demand, including China, and the overhang of Chief Executive Elon Musk's involvement in Twitter and his recent Tesla share sales.Tesla suspended production at its Shanghai plant on Saturday, pulling forward an established plan to pause most work at the plant in the last week of December, Reuters has reported.Tesla's latest production cuts at Shanghai come amid a rising wave of infections after China stepped back from its zero COVID policy earlier this month. That move has been welcomed by businesses although it has disrupted manufacturing operations outside Tesla.Like other automakers, Tesla has also faced a downturn in demand in China, the world's largest auto market. Earlier this month, Tesla offered an additional incentive for buyers taking possession of vehicles in December. The company has cut prices for Model 3 and Model Y cars by up to 9% in China, in addition to a subsidy for insurance costs.Brokerage China Merchants Bank International said in a report issued on Tuesday that Tesla average daily retail sales in China from Dec. 1 through Dec. 25 were down 28% from a year earlier. It said Tesla recorded 36,533 retail sales in China from Dec. 1 through Dec. 25. The brokerage, which tracks week-by-week retail auto sales data in China as a snapshot of demand, said industry-wide sales were up almost 15% by the same metric through Dec. 25. It said average daily sales for BYD, Tesla's larger electric vehicle rival in China, were up 93% in that period.Tesla's Shanghai factory, the most important manufacturing hub for Musk's electric vehicle company, kept normal operations during the last week of December last year and took a three-day break for Chinese New Year.The Jan. 21 to Jan. 27 period in 2023 is a public holiday in China for Chinese New Year. Tesla's Shanghai plant, a complex that employs some 20,000 workers. accounted for more than half of Tesla's output in the first three quarters of 2022. Now most people stop buying Tesla cars because it's too expensive. Model3 2019 is $35K now is $60k for a little car the same size of a Toyota Corolla. Now the new Toyota Prius is 58 miles/G and half the price. so can Tesla hit 90$? YES my first Tesla analysis was at 205$ and here we are now, hope you made a good profit out of these signals and analysis
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by moonypto
6