Get started

BILI

Bilibili: Q2 2021 Results Surpass ExpectationsThe popular video platform has released its quarterly financial and operating results – which show a stellar performance. Bilibili maintained a high growth rate in Q2 and gained over USD 1 billion in the first half of 2021, which exceeded its expectations. The company has attracted a large number of active creators and increased its user numbers through diversified content and business model optimization. The company might set its orientation in innovative advertising and self-developed games for the next quarter, while the uncertainty of its new business and the problem of banned events will pose the main risks. On August 19, 2021, Bilibili held the Q2 2021 earnings call that revealed positive financial results beyond its best predictions. However, with negative impacts from the recent changes in the United States and China's listing-related policies, such outstanding financials have not boosted the stock price. Beating expectations Bilibili's second-quarter results topped the expectations of the market. During that period, the company achieved a revenue of CNY 4.50 billion, up 72% year over year. It is the first time the company has achieved over USD 1 billion in revenue (about CNY 6.5 billion) in half a year. However, its quarterly loss from the operation has expanded to CNY 1.52 billion, up 47.5% quarter over quarter and 149.3% year over year mainly due to the increasing sales and marketing expenses (from CNY 1 billion to CNY 1.40 billion). Though Bilibili received a higher investment income this quarter, its net loss increased to CNY 1.12 billion, up 23.9% quarter on quarter. Following 2020, the company's mobile game revenue has tended to be stable, with weak growth. However, its e-commerce, advertising and 'value-added services' (VAS) businesses have started to pick up and helped the company maintain momentum. This is good news for Bilibili as it has stabilized its profit model and improved its anti-risk abilities in light of fierce competition. Nevertheless, we think the company is still in a critical period of increasing accessible users. We believe that the company will maintain a relatively aggressive marketing strategy to improve brand awareness based on the increasing marketing expenses. At the same time, Bilibili has been further enriching content categories and broadening differential-age groups to achieve its user growth goals. The company has a sticky and loyal user base that allows it to maintain a high growth rate during this quarter. By the end of June 30, 2021, the average monthly active users (MAUs) of Bilibili reached 237.1 million, up 38% year on year, while its average daily active users (DAUs) reached 62.7 million, up 24% year on year. The average user time spent on its website and app rose to 81 minutes per user per day, setting a historical record. For the paid subscribers, this group grew to 20.9 million users, surging 62% compared with the level of June 30, 2020, which indicates users' increasing engagement. Diversifying businesses Over the past decade, Bilibili has continuously expanded its content coverage and improved its user experience. This platform has become one of the most popular online communities in China and attracted a large number of stable and active UGC creators and users with high stickiness. These features equip the company with high competitiveness in the video entertainment domain. By the end of the second quarter, the company had attracted 121 million official members, up 35% year over year, and its 12-month retention rates remained around 80%. In the second quarter, Bilibili incubated 2.4 million content creators, up 25% year over year. Video submission grew to 8.4 million in the period, up 41% year over year. Also, the number of content creators with more than 10,000 followers increased by 47% year-over-year. Starting in 2020, the company's mobile game revenue began to turn stable, but this segment's growth has been weak in the past years. However, its e-commerce, advertising and value-added services (VAS) business growth has started to pick up and help the company maintain steady growth. This may be a good thing for Bilibili, that is, it has changed from a single profit model to a more balanced one, improving its business agility and thus hedging against risks. Nevertheless, we think it is still in a critical period of expanding the range of accessible users. We believe that the company will maintain relatively aggressive marketing methods to improve brand awareness, the increasing marketing expenses can testify to this point. At the same time, further enriching content categories and broadening differential-age groups may help Bilibili achieve its user growth goals. For the business segments, we think Bilibili has two obvious developing directions: innovative advertising and self-developed games. On the one hand, according to the call, Bilibili said it will continue to explore new advertisement formats in areas like video advertising and embedded advertising. These new streams will contribute to the boom of its advertising revenue. As for the mobile game segment, the company announced in the earnings call's Q&A session that Bilibili will focus more on self-developed games in the second half of 2021. It has over 1,000 team members and multiple self-developed projects have been progressing. Considering the unbalanced nature of the demand and supply chains, we think Bilibili's mobile game business is approaching a turning point. However, it is hard to develop games that resonate with the company's unique community culture and user characteristics – other than ACG-related ones. Hence, we have some reservations about its effect on the near-future performance of the company. Valuation and bottom line Since Bilibili is yet to make a profit, we used the EV/revenue ratio and chose IQ, HUYA and DOYU as its competitors. From the chart, it is obvious that the ratio jumped compared with its competitors since Q4 2019, owing to its continuous high growth. Based on its current financial performance, momentum and competitive landscape, we think 17x is an appropriate valuation for Bilibili in 12 months, which corresponds to a target price of USD 98.90 apiece. Risks 1. The largest risk in the next quarter comes from the company's gaming business. Factors such as the slow development and the wayward demand for new games may lead to the slow growth of the mobile game segment in the next quarter. 2. Another risk comes from the ban of uploaders publishing inappropriate content. In 2021, two of the most popular uploaders in Bilibili, LexBurner and Dangmei (link in Chinese), were banned for such a reason, having repercussions for the whole community. Events of this kind normally hurt the platform's reputation in China, with users migrating to its alternatives. For the full article with the charts, please visit the original link.
NASDAQ:BILILong
by EqualOcean
China BigTech - KWEB ETF☝ KWEB - ETF of Chinese tech giants. It is traded on ARCA, but managed by a Chinese bank, so there is no threat of delisting. Price is at the bottom of the channel. Most likely it will be a bottom and there will be a reversal up at least 50% towards the resistance line of $70 by February 2022. The upcoming bullish reversal is confirmed by the MACD-histogram, which is already in a bullish divergence. However, in February 2021, there was a 19.83% move up from the channel. Such a pull-out can be repeated down to the $40 support line. Not a financial recommendation. GET RICH OR DIE TRYIN
AMEX:KWEBLong
by Dr_Chester
1
So perfect Fib Spiral top reversal pattern. BILI is not worth thI won't short BILI, I'm not sure where the top is, maybe 200$ / 300$, that's crazy. Long stop-loss price: 106.67 / 94.91 BILI is a interesting stock, but I won't touch BILI stock above 120$. Low liquidity of BILI options, and low leverage for margin trading. I have no idea why my money forced buying a stock like BILI. BILI is too young to forecast its stock price. One of risks is pirated videos on bilibili.com, those videos like a time bomb. There are lots of opportunities buying other stocks, and those stocks are uprising steadily. The only reason buying BILI above 120$ after 18 Jan 2021 is that buying BILI like a believer, being a long-term shareholder who firmly believe that BILI would be great than others. stock analysis by Jiucai334 16 Jan 2021
NASDAQ:BILI
by jiucai_pingfanzhilu
Are you investing in Live Commerce stocks yet ?In Singapore where I lived, the influencers online are mainly congregated in Youtube or FB Live. But in China where billions of people lived, there are many more live streaming channels that these young, trendy influencers used. Here's just 3 of them among the many. And Covid-19 making more people stay at home has been a catalyst for this live streaming business. Some say it is for the lazy, mindless shoppers who cannot make their own decisions and need influencers to help them decide while others view it as a way to get products at cheaper discount. After all, vendors can save tons of money from rentals and hiring Sales staff to man the stores and pay commissions. And if you have bought either of these 3 stocks after the sharp downfall in mid March and hold till now, you would have made at least 100% off them. From a sales perspective, ecommerce sites like Alibaba provide the platform for vendors to place their products online but a video session hosted by an actual person hawking and promoting your wares come alive and the interaction with users provide the interaction that is the missing ingredient when one is in the store face to face. Throw in the limited stocks and coupons and discounts, the "fear of missing out" frenzy will drive some users to become buyers. Perhaps culturally, in US and other parts of the world, live streaming has not catch on and consumers are still used to the traditional channels like visiting the stores or simply buying online from Amazon. References : Livestreaming is here to stay WeChat live streaming
NASDAQ:BILILong
by dchua1969
2