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Bill Williams Indicators

6/19 Gold Analysis and Trading SignalsGood morning! Yesterday, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision aligned with market expectations, bringing no major surprises. The market had already priced in bearish sentiment in advance, which led gold to trade within the Bollinger Bands' upper, middle, and lower bounds, with all three bands trending sideways, indicating limited intraday volatility. 🔍 Technical Overview: On the 30-minute chart, the Bollinger Bands began to tilt downward near the close, with price currently pressured by the middle band; However, MACD structure suggests the middle band may be broken, with potential for price to challenge the upper band resistance near 3392–3400; More importantly, on the 1D chart, the MACD is showing signs of a bearish crossover (death cross). If confirmed, it may break the bullish structure, weakening support from the weekly MA5; If gold sustains below the weekly MA10 at 3317, it could open the door for a broader correction, with a drop toward 3200 becoming increasingly likely. 📊 Fundamental Factors: Today’s U.S. market holiday means fewer economic data releases. As such, gold will likely be driven by technical structure and geopolitical headlines, especially those related to the Middle East. If no new developments emerge, selling on rallies remains the preferred strategy. 📌 Trading Plan (VIP-Focused): ✅ Sell Zone: 3392–3409 ✅ Buy Zone: 3338–3321 ✅ Scalp/Flexible Zones: 3387 / 3373 / 3364 / 3356 / 3345
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDShort
by China_MsWang
USDCAD – Bullish Reversal After Completed Wave 5 and AO DivergenAnalysis: The USDCAD daily chart shows a textbook completion of an Elliott Wave 12345 sequence. Wave (5) has just completed, supported by clear bullish divergence on the Awesome Oscillator (AO) – a classic signal suggesting exhaustion of bearish momentum. What strengthens the bullish reversal bias is the presence of a bullish engulfing candle at the end of Wave (5), right at a key structural low. This candle formation, combined with the divergence, provides strong evidence that a corrective wave (likely Wave A or a larger reversal) may be underway. 🔍 Key Confluences: Wave 5 ends in a falling wedge structure. AO shows higher low on Wave 5 compared to Wave 3 → Bullish Divergence. Bullish engulfing candle confirms momentum shift. Price action breaking out of the wedge pattern. 🎯 Trade Plan: I am waiting for a pullback toward the breakout zone to find an optimal buy entry. The ideal entry would be a retest of the bullish engulfing candle low or broken wedge resistance, turning into support. 📈 Targets: Initial short-term target: ~1.3850 (previous Wave 4 region). Mid-term potential: ~1.4050 depending on structure development. 🛑 Invalidation: A daily candle closing back below the low of the bullish engulfing will invalidate the bullish outlook.
Long
by AwesomeOscDad
Taming the Trend: Mastering the Williams Alligator IndicatorEver wondered how to spot when the market is sleeping or ready to roar? At Xuantify , we use the Williams Alligator Indicator to decode market behavior with precision. Whether you're trading crypto, forex, stocks, or indices — this tool adapts across all markets. Let's take a closer look using BINANCE:BTCUSDT 🧠 How We Use It at Xuantify We treat the Alligator as a trend confirmation and timing tool . We don’t just look for crossovers — we analyze the distance , angle , and alignment of the lines to gauge market momentum and trend maturity. It’s especially powerful when combined with volume and volatility filters. ⭐ Key Features Three Smoothed Moving Averages Jaw (Blue) : 13-period, shifted 8 bars forward Teeth (Red) : 8-period, shifted 5 bars forward Lips (Green) : 5-period, shifted 3 bars forward Visual Trend Clarity : The spacing and direction of the lines reveal trend strength and direction Built-in Delay : Forward shifting helps anticipate rather than react 💡 Benefits Compared to Other Indicators Trend Clarity Alligator : Strong — bold trend visualization Moving Averages : Moderate — can lag or overlap MACD : Good — clear histogram and signal line Noise Filtering Alligator : Excellent — smooths out market noise Moving Averages : Low — sensitive to short-term fluctuations MACD : Good — filters minor moves Early Signals Alligator : Moderate — waits for confirmation Moving Averages : Fast — quick crossovers MACD : Fast — early divergence signals Visual Simplicity Alligator : Clear — easy to interpret trend phases Moving Averages : Cluttered — multiple lines can overlap MACD : Complex — requires interpretation of histogram + lines ⚙️ Settings That Matter For shorter timeframes : Reduce periods (e.g., 8-5-3) for faster signals For longer timeframes : Stick with defaults or increase smoothing for clarity Shift values : Keep them forward-shifted to maintain predictive edge 📊 Enhancing Signal Accuracy Wait for clear separation between the lines Confirm with volume spikes or breakouts Use price action (e.g., higher highs/lows) as confirmation 🧩 Best Combinations with This Indicator Fractals : For entry/exit signals ATR : For dynamic stop-loss placement RSI or Stochastic : To avoid overbought/oversold traps Volume Profile : To validate breakout zones ⚠️ What to Watch Out For Flat Alligator = No Trade Zone : Avoid trading when lines are tangled Lag in Fast Markets : In high-volatility assets, the Alligator may react late Over-reliance : Always combine with other tools for confirmation 🚀 Final Thoughts The Williams Alligator isn’t just an indicator — it’s a market behavior model . At Xuantify, we use it to stay aligned with the market’s rhythm, avoid chop, and ride trends with confidence. 🔔 Follow us for more educational insights and strategy breakdowns!
Education
by Xuantify
1
XAUUSD (Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar) - Elliott Wave Count & Bullish 🌟 XAUUSD (GOLD/USD) ANALYSIS: ELLIOTT WAVE + BULLISH AO DIVERGENCE 🌟 🌊 ELLIOTT WAVE STRUCTURE • 🐻 Wave (1): Sharp decline from 3,440.00 → 3,400.00 • ⚖️ Wave (2): Shallow retracement to 3,440.00 (classic Wave 2 correction) • 📉 Wave (3): Extended drop to 3,350.00 (strongest bearish wave) • ➰ Wave (4): Sideways consolidation near 3,400.00 (Fibonacci-aligned) • 🎯 Wave (5): Final leg down to 3,184.58 (completes 5-wave impulse) 🔄 CURRENT PHASE: Potential ABC correction forming between 3,184.58 and 3,140.00, signaling reversal! ⸻ 📈 BULLISH AO DIVERGENCE • 🔽 Price Action: Wave 5 made a LOWER LOW (3,184.58 vs. Wave 3’s 3,350.00) • 📊 AO Momentum: Awesome Oscillator formed a HIGHER LOW (-60.00 vs. -100.00) • 💡 Interpretation: Bearish exhaustion → Reversal ahead! ⸻ 🎯 KEY LEVELS & STRATEGY • 🛡️ Support: 3,140.00 - 3,112.50 (must hold for bulls) • 🚀 Resistance: 3,200.00 (psych level) → 3,230.00 - 3,270.00 • ✅ Entry Trigger: Close above 3,200.00 🚨 or bullish candlestick (e.g., hammer 🕯️) • 🎯 Targets: 3,270.00 (initial) → 3,350.00 (secondary) • ⚠️ Stop Loss: Below 3,112.50 (risk management!) ⸻ 📜 CONCLUSION • 🐂 Bullish Case: 5-wave completion + AO divergence → Reversal likely above 3,200.00 • 🚫 Invalidation: Drop below 3,112.50 kills the setup ⸻ 💬 CTA: “LIKE if you spot the divergence! 🚀 Share your thoughts below ⬇️” ⚠️ DISCLAIMER: Not financial advice. Trade responsibly. ⸻ 🏷️ TAGS: #XAUUSD #GOLD #ELLIOTTWAVE #AO #DIVERGENCE
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by AwesomeOscDad
GOLD | Bearish Reversal Pattern – More Downside Ahead?### **Analysis & Description:** This is a **1-hour chart of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar)** from TradingView, highlighting a **bearish trend reversal pattern**. The price action forms a series of **lower highs and lower lows**, indicating a clear **downtrend formation**. #### **Key Observations:** 1. **Lower Highs & Lower Lows:** - The chart outlines a classic **bearish market structure** with multiple rejection points. - Each bullish rally is met with strong selling pressure, leading to a downward continuation. 2. **Momentum Weakness (MACD Indicator):** - The MACD at the bottom indicates **bearish momentum**, with both the MACD line and Signal line in negative territory. - This suggests that selling pressure dominates and further downside movement is likely. 3. **Price Projection:** - The final arrow suggests **further downside movement**, possibly breaking below key support zones. - If price breaks below the **$2,807 support**, it could accelerate selling toward **$2,780 – $2,750 zones**. 4. **Possible Trading Strategy:** - **Bearish Confirmation:** Traders should watch for a breakdown below **$2,807** for a short-selling opportunity. - **Bullish Reversal?:** If price forms a strong support at **$2,807**, we may see a bounce before further downside. ### **Conclusion:** Gold is currently in a **short-term downtrend**, and traders should be cautious of potential bearish continuation. However, **fundamental news events** could also impact price action, so it's essential to monitor economic data and market sentiment. #### **Key Levels to Watch:** - **Support:** $2,807 – $2,780 - **Resistance:** $2,846 – $2,880 📉 **What do you think? Will gold continue to drop, or will we see a reversal soon? Drop your thoughts below!** 🚀
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by NexusTradesZone
Bullish projections for GOLDA couple of confluences indicate that Gold will continue its bullish rally. First and most important is an overall trend quite bullish yet showing no signs of a proper reversal trend. Moreover, we can also see the pattern of AB=CD, and the values of this pattern are according to the standard which means that if "C" retracement happens at .5 then the projection of "BC=2" and in our case these conditions have been met. Right now price is almost touching the last HH of 2791.64 and in this scenario, we can see some healthy retracement or maybe bearish divergence which will push the price downwards and then surpass the last HH.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by faisal-101
TRX Perfect Bat Harmonic, Complex Correction, Double BottomTRX has created several simultaneous buy signals here. First we have the perfect bat harmonic, then we have wisemen on multiple timeframes, in a grey zone on the 4hr, perfect double bottom breaking all lows expect the final low, short-term momentum divergences, and a solid diametric count with at least 5 of 7 waves being time similar. All of these signs are pointing to a bottom forming right now, meaning the lows should not be violated and TRX will go to all time highs from here. If we do make new lows it is probably a good idea to stop and reverse, and look for a new potential bottom. For now, all signs are pointing up, especially the longer-term count which has us beginning a supercycle this quarter.
CRYPTO:TRXUSDLong
by Intuit
2
EUR/JPY: Tight range when other EUR-pairs are weak. HmmmDo you trade A) Before the breakout for a better price OR B) After the breakout for confirmation ? We usually prefer B) But it helps to think through some scenarios that could happen beforehand Looking at EUR/JPY - see how it is trading in a tight range? Well other EUR pairs like EUR/USD have been falling. That shows relative strength . Or put another way - the yen is relatively weak. The price could just break straight to the topside - or it could first try to break lower in a fakeout - before breaking to the topisde. If the latter does happen - it will be one of those occations we could trade before the =breakout ;) What do you think happens? Maybe the trend turns lower - and neither scenario above is right - could easily be.
Short
by jasperlawler
How to Use Trading Zones in CryptoHello, Skyrexians! Last two articles were the deep dive into the Awesome Oscillator and Acceleration Deceleration indicators by Bill Williams. In conjunction with the fractals and the alligator these indicators are the powerful concept in cryptocurrency trading. It can significantly boost your cryptocurrency trading strategy, crypto trading algorithm or you can implement it into trading bot. Today we will expand this concept with the trading zones - the periods on the market with the bullish or bearish superiority. Trading zones is not the popular concept in comparison to Awesome Oscillator, that's why using it can give you a huge advantage in crypto trading because even top crypto traders don't use it in their trading routine. Let's go through its concept. Before start observing the trading zones concept we have to understand what are the Awesome Oscillator and Acceleration/Deceleration. Awesome oscillator is the approximation of the market's driving force. Usually it starts moving before the price if this is an impulsive wave. During corrections it can flash the false signals. Before the driving force starts moving the acceleration changes its direction. That's why combination of these indicators is so important. What is the trading zone? As you know from AO and AC descriptions they can have 2 conditions: increasing (greed bars) and decreasing (red bars). According to this we can define 3 marker conditions: Green zone. Both AO and AC have the increasing columns. This is the strong bullish phase. Only long trades are allowed. Red zone. Both AO and AC have the decreasing columns. This is the strong bearish phase. Only short trades are allowed. Gray zone. AO and AC have the different directions. No signals can be generated by this trading zone
Education
by Skyrexio
Books on trading and Profitunity strategy by Bill WilliamsIn this article, I will share books that were useful for me in the process of studying trading and the Profitunity trading strategy by Bill Williams. Bill Williams "Trading Chaos 1 and 2" ♡ The first and third books by Bill Williams contain complete and up-to-date information on the Profitunity strategy. The second book "New Trading Dimensions" is intermediate and less relevant. The book Trading Chaos 1 includes trading psychology (an integral part of trading), the basics of understanding the markets, candlestick patterns (divergent bars and determining the trend based on a pair of bars, the market facilitation index, volume and squat bar), Elliott waves (characteristics, determining waves using the MACD 5/34/5 indicator, an analogue of the modern Awesome Oscillator, and the Fibonacci ratio), fractals, trading in waves (impulses 1-3-5 and ABC correction). And also very important topics — how to work with your internal structure and how our brain functions (Chapter 11). The book Trading Chaos 2 (co-authored by Bill Williams' daughter Justine Gregory) includes a description of the Alligator indicator in combination with the Awesome Oscillator, divergent bars and fractals. And also tools for working on yourself - morning pages (Chapter 13, from the book by Julia Cameron "The Artist's Way") and autogenic training for traders by Johannes Schultz (Appendix 3). Tom Hougaard "Best Loser Wins" ♡ The book greatly expands the perception of markets, the approach to trading and deeply describes the psychology of trading. The book was first published in 2022 and perfectly complements the books by Bill Williams. John J. Murphy "Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets" A basic book on classical (linear) technical analysis, which also contains up-to-date information on Elliott Wave Theory in addition to the corresponding section in the book by Bill Williams "Trading Chaos 1". Alexander Elder "Trading for a living" (How to Play and Win on the Stock Exchange) A book on the psychology of trading and classical chart analysis, includes a detailed description of popular indicators and a description of the basic strategy "Three Screens" (analysis of the chart on the senior and junior timeframes), as well as an important topic "Risk management". Steve Nison "Japanese Candlesticks" A basic book on classical candlestick (bar) analysis. Thomas DeMark "Technical Analysis - a new science" Constructing trend lines based on the support price minimums and maximums described in the book led me to search for an indicator that displays such bars, as a result, I first became acquainted with the Bill Williams Fractals indicator, even before I became acquainted with his strategy. Theodore Dreiser "The Financier" ☽ A novel published in 1912 based on the life story of the American millionaire Charles Yerkes (1837-1905). The book shows how the financial and economic environment surrounding the main character (Frank Cowperwood) already from childhood forms in him the psychology of a businessman and stock dealer... Robin Sharma "The 5 AM Club" ☆ This book is not about trading, but about healthy habits. But for me the book became useful, including in trading, because I made the following conclusion for myself - it is important to rest (take breaks) every day, and not only on weekends and vacations. And it is worth starting with the fact that after waking up there is free time (about 1 hour) before business activity begins, i.e. either wake up earlier, or move all things forward, so that you can start your day easily. And taking breaks in trading is very important, so I recommend paying attention, for example, to the algorithm for removing limitations using neurographics. (◉ ‿ ◉) There are many good books, as well as good strategies, but I am sure that only independent deep study, practice, good concentration and self-control will allow you to find your own understanding of the markets and your own approach to successful trading.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by grigorykov
1
Deep dive into Acceleration / Deceleration Indicator Hello, Skyrexians! Last time we discussed how you can use the Awesome Oscillator to create profitable crypto trading strategies and which type of signals it generates. Today we will deep dive into Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) the next Bill Williams indicator, which can also enhance your cryptocurrency trading strategy. This indicator also can be valuable not only for manual trades, but also for developing your crypto trading algorithm, crypto algo trading platform, crypto trading bot, ai trading bot or grid bot. The main thing is to understand what is the AC indicator and which signals it generate, which signals we shall use in crypto trading like top crypto traders. Let's go! What is Acceleration / Deceleration? The Acceleration/Deceleration Oscillator (AC) is a technical analysis indicator developed by Bill Williams, a notable trader and author known for his work in market psychology and trading systems. This indicator helps traders identify changes in market momentum and potential trend reversals. How the Acceleration/Deceleration (AC) Indicator Works? The AC indicator is based on the idea that the momentum of the market (speed of price movement) often changes before the price itself changes. By identifying these shifts in momentum early, traders can anticipate potential trend changes. The AC is derived from the Awesome Oscillator (AO), another indicator created by Bill Williams, which is the difference between a 34-period and a 5-period simple moving average of the median price (the average of high and low prices). The AC is calculated by subtracting a 5-period simple moving average of the AO from the AO itself. Mathematically, it can be represented as: AC = AO − SMA5(AO) Where AO is Awesome Oscillator (calculated as the difference between the 34-period SMA and the 5-period SMA of the median price). SMA5(AO) is 5-period simple moving average of the AO. Now let's consider which types of signals AC can generate.
Education
by Skyrexio
Deep dive into Awesome OscillatorsHello, Skyrexians! We continue our series of educational content. Today it's time to consider the Awesome Oscillator, the indicator introduced by Bill Williams in his book "Trading Chaos". It can be very useful in your crypto trading. A lot of crypto trading strategies use this indicator. You can combine it with other indicators to create your crypto trading algorithm, trading bot or manual cryptocurrency trading strategy. Most of top crypto traders and top crypto trading platforms use it in their automated crypto trading. If you will be aware you to trade using Awesome Oscillator will be able to enhance your automated trading bot, manual trading strategy or setup grid trading bot more effectively. We think there is enough arguments to learn how to use this indicator. Let's start our deep dive! What is Awesome Oscillator? The Awesome Oscillator (AO) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis to measure the strength and direction of a market trend. It was created by Bill Williams and is designed to help traders identify potential reversals or trend continuations. Key Features of the Awesome Oscillator: Momentum Measurement: The AO measures the difference between a short-term moving average and a long-term moving average, using midpoints of each candlestick rather than closing prices. This provides insights into the market's momentum. Histogram Representation: The indicator is typically displayed as a histogram, with bars oscillating above and below a zero line. Green bars represent increasing momentum (bullish), while red bars indicate decreasing momentum (bearish). The Awesome Oscillator is calculated using simple moving average(SMA) as follows: AO = SMA(5-period) − SMA(34-period) Now let's consider the signals which can be produced by Awesome Oscillator with the examples.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Skyrexio