POLY Token Has Surged More Than 180% | What Next???Hi friends hope you are well and welcome to the new update on Polymath token. The POLY token has surged more than 180% and we had to very obvious signal before this bullish rally. Let’s have a look on this signal and complete analysis.
Powerful signal a bullish Gartley move:
Second signal was very obvious Gartley move by the price action of Polymath. The formation of this statement was started from 25th January 2020 on 4 day chart. And the pattern was completed on the 2nd April 2020. Since then the price action was moving in the potential reversal zone of this pattern that starts from 0.618 and ends up 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. And finally in the month of May 2020 the price action took a powerful bullish divergence and produced more than 180% bullish rally so far.
Up channel formation:
After bullish move the priceline of POLY token started moving within an up channel on 12 hour chart. So far the price action is moving within this up channel and during this move it is hitting the support and resistance levels very well. At this time the priceline is at the support. I have also placed simple moving averages with the time period of 25 50 100 and 200 on this chart. And we can see that the smallest time period moving average is above all other simple moving averages and biggest time period moving average is below all the other moving averages. Therefore a complete open alligator mouth by the simple moving averages has been formed and that is very strong bullish signal. While the priceline is retesting the support of the channel it is also having the support of 25 simple moving averages as well.
Exponential moving averages are playing a good support role:
On the daily chart the price action crossed up the exponential moving averages with the time period of 10 in 21 on 15th may 2020. Since then the priceline is moving above the both exponential moving averages. If we take a closer look on the movement of price action above these EMAs then it can be easily observed that whenever the price action moves little bit down it uses these EMAs as support and moves up to start another bullish rally. At this time the price action is again retesting these exponential moving averages as support.
Should we buy here? And if someone bought it then where to exit?
Now if someone wants to buy the POLY token after when the price action has already been surged more than 180% then he or she can buy it at the support of the channel and make this support the stop loss. Because the support of this channel is very much strong and it is very obvious since the price action has started the bullish rally it has never broken down this support of channel.
Bill William alligator indicator and stop loss technique:
Here I would like to suggest another technique that I use to catch such bullish rallies. And that is the use of Bill William 3 lines that is also called the Bill William alligator indicator. This indicator is very useful to catch the bullish and bearish is rallies. This indicator is a combination of three moving averages. The smallest one is with the time period of 5 the other one is with the time period of 8 and the biggest time period moving average is 13. The smallest one called lips the middle one is called teeth and the biggest one is called jaw. Whenever the smallest time period moving average moves above all other moving averages and the biggest time period moving average moves below all other moving averages then it is called that the alligator mouth is opened. And this is a strong buying signal. And whenever the smallest time period moving average moves below all the moving averages and the biggest time period moving average moves above all MAs then it is called that the alligator mouth is closed and that is a strong is sell signal.
Even though this is very useful indicator but however the time period of these moving averages is very small. Therefor sometimes this indicator can give the false signals. In order to avoid the false signals by this indicator we should use some other combination of indicators as well. For example here I am using the simple moving averages with the time period of 25 50 100 and 200. Now for example if the alligator mouth will be closed then we can find that which one of other simple moving averages from 25 50 100 and 200 we have as recent support below the price action. Now for example if we have the 25 simple moving average then we should wait for the 25 SMA to be broken down. If this simple moving average will be broken down then we can take exit as stop loss. This method can save you from the false signals of alligator indicator and you will also not miss the next bullish rally.
Conclusion:
The up channel that has been formed on the 12 hour chart has very much significance for this bullish rally. If this up channel will be broken down that will be the first strongest signal that now the price action can start a correction rally or a bearish move. However, we should use some other combination of indicators like I have suggested to avoid any kind of false signals. If you have any strategy then you can also use that to avoid any unnecessary sell by getting trapped in a bear trap.
Note: This idea is education purpose only and not intended to be investment advice, please seek a duly licensed professional and do you own research before any investment.
Bill Williams Indicators
CCL in Wave4, Be careful !All information should not be taken as call to Action, this is my personal view of market situation.
Rule of thumb "Never trade in wave4".
Now it is exactly that situation when you look at chart and do not see good entry for long or short. Volatility increased and hunt after our stops begun.
Why Wave 4 ?! If you look at Sub-wave A there is only 3 waves, and this only allowed in (complex)correction. Big move(52->8$) = Always Wave3 of some timeframe.
Previously i was looking for short in 20-22 area, but we actually overshoot that upto 26$. That made Wave C 1.62 to A , what is according to rules. But from my observations in stocks, waves tend to like Fib ratio of 2 as well.
And if we look at chart now Fib2 will bring us to 29$ and this area corresponds to Fib Retracement of 0.5(52$) or 0.62(44$) depends how you calculate.
So my plan is to sit and wait for price to break below 16.50$( scenario 1 ), where i will start shorting on lower(1m,5m) timeframes as daytrader OR
Break upper resistance of 26$ and come to 29-31$ where we may look for good shorting opportunity.
But overall sentiment is still that we on vacation season where institutional traders enjoy their summer vacation and overall economical situation is not good.
You may like or hate my views. But most important, stay calm and do not give more money to the market than You Decide !!!
Binance: FTT/BTC Long. Is it time for the uptrend ?Taking a look at the 1D chart. You can see how FTT has been going through a period of accumulation (since around May 20th). Price relatively playing on the same range, with the last few days closing green, which it could be an indication that the trend has finally change and a move upwards is incoming. A daily closing under 2985 will invalidate the trade and will be a sign on the trend turning bearish on which a better setup should be found or re-enter at a better entry. Feel free to share your thoughts :)
Entry: 3000 - 3050
Short term/scalp target: 3200
TG1: 3415
TG2: 3595
TG3: 3780
TG4: 4000
HODL TG: 4200
Stop if daily closes under 2985
ZECUSD has strong support of MAs within channelHi friends hope you are well and welcome to the new update on Zcash. Today the ZEC has finally bounced from the support of an up channel where the price action was moving since after the mid of March 2020. I want have also placed exponential moving averages with the time period of 10 and 21 and since the price action has crossed up these EMAs it is using them as support very well. And this time the price action is also likely to use these EMAs as strong support again. I have also placed the moon phases indicator on this chart. On the upside, there are full moons and on the downside, there are dark moons. The new full moon is appeared at the resistance of the channel that is showing that it will be difficult for the price line to cross up this level and the dark moon is appeared at the support of the channel that is a signal that it would be difficult for the priceline to break down the support of this channel. Therefore there are some neutral signals by these indicators appeared on this daily chart.
Bill William’s 3 Lines Indicator and SMAs:
As the price action has bounced from the support of the channel and also likely to bounce from the exponential moving averages as well. However here I have used the Bill William’s 3 lines that is also called Bill William’s alligator indicator as stop loss. This is a very powerful indicator to identify and catch the bearish and bullish trends. I normally suggest not to not to sell the asset or not to take exit unless the price action breaks down these three lines. This indicator contains three moving averages the smallest one is the 5 the other one is 8 and the biggest moving average is 13. The smallest is called lips the middle moving average is called teeth and the biggest time period moving average is called jaw.
Whenever the smallest moving average moves above all the other moving averages and teeth moves to the center and the jaw moves below all other moving averages then it is called an opened alligator mouth that is a bullish single. And whenever smallest moving average moves down below all the other moving averages and the biggest moving average moves above all moving averages then it is called that the alligator mouth is closed and that is a bearish signal.
At this time the bill Williams lines are moving sideways and the price action is also moving sideways with these three lines, however, there is possibility that sometime these three lines give you the false signal. Because these lines are very fast moving averages with the time period of 5,8 and 13. Therefore I suggest to not use this indicator alone, always use this indicator with the combination of some other indicators. For example here I have used the simple moving averages with the time period of 25,50,100 and 200. And whenever the priceline cross down the bill William lines and the alligator mouth gets closed then we should see that whether the price action has broken down the support of the simple moving averages of 25, 50, 100 and 200. I yes then we can take exit from the trade as stop loss. If any of the moving average is saved and not broken then we should wait for the price fine to take bounce from the moving average or otherwise we should consider that the stop loss is triggered.
On the daily chart it can be easily seen that we have received such false signal from 11th May to 15th May 2020 when the price action broke down all 3 Bill William lines and alligator mouth was closed. But if we watch the simple moving averages with the bigger time period on the other chart then the price action was having very strong support of 200 simple moving average. Therefore price action bounced from this simple moving average and started next bullish move.
Bill William Indicator:
Simple moving averages:
This big bullish Gartley can lead the priceline to achieve the highest price:
now I would like to recall the very big Gartley move that is formed by the price action of Zcash on the monthly chart. I have already shared this pattern in my previous articles as well. At this time ZEC is entered in the potential reversal zone of this pattern and I am expecting that once the price action will cross up the 0.786 Fibonacci projection of A to D leg then it can lead the priceline of Zcash to achieve the highest price ever in the history of ZEC.
Conclusion:
So far the price action of Zcash is giving no clear signals to break out or break down however untill it has strong support of the moving averages it can make more upward moved.
CCL looks ready to revisit LOWSAll information should not be taken as call to Action, this is my personal view of market situation.
It is quite hard to say that from April we have some kind of trend. I see correction and to be more precise Wave 4.
So my expectation are, that Wave 4 will finish in 20$ - 21.50$ range, most probably in next 5-7days as per Fib trend time indicator.
Game plan is as follows:
If in long: (from before)
Take profit/close position - 20$
Stop-Loss - 14.90$
To go Short, we still need to see reversal and confirmation. Stay Tuned ;)
If Short will play out, expected levels to revisit 10$, 8$, Open upto 5$.