Bill Williams Indicators
Looming AI Power Stock?
NASDAQ:MRVL The Chip Designer Company is a must watch stock especially this week with the upcoming earnings report.
This is my strategy:
Using Bollinger Bands and Fibonacci Retracement, we see a consistent trade volume and slight increase in volatility as the price drops below the SMA and nears the lower band. The price is currently $76.68. We can expect it to reach a price target of $77.75 (test strategy here) for uptrend confirmation.
Ultimate guide on Williams Fractals in crypto tradingIn today’s article we will reveal one of the most powerful tools in cryptocurrency trading which often ignored even by top crypto traders. We are talking about fractals. Best crypto traders just use fractal levels to find support and resistance and trade bounces and breakouts. Spoiler - the fractal breakout is a right way to use it, but support and resistances aren’t. A lot of people are using fractals even for their algorithmic trading bots. We remember when encoding our first automated crypto trading bot the fractals were used for support and resistance detection. It’s not surprise that it was not one of the profitable crypto trading strategies.
Now we researched a different ways to use fractals and assume that we have the great expertise in it to share our knowledge with you. It’s not a top secret that even Skyrex ai trading bot is using fractals in detecting potential trading opportunities. Please, read this article carefully and you will know build your own cryptocurrency trading strategy or even apply it to automated cryptocurrency trading. Let’s go!
Initiating fractal
First of all let’s understand what is the fractal and how it looks like. Fractal is not just a sequence of candles like it can seems on the first look. This is the change in behavior of traders on the market. When you see the fractal on the chart, this is the turning point where a lot of traders were too worried that current trend can be stopped here.
Technically fractal is very simple. If we talk about upfractal it’s just a consequence of bars where the central bar have the highest high than two preceding and two following bars. On the chart below you can see different fractal’s shapes. Don’t worry about it that much because on the TradingView you can find an indicator which find all fractals. Even if you build automated trading bots you can just copy the code of this indicator.
How to trade using fractal
Let’s go to the most interesting part of an article. How to execute trades using fractal? You will be surprised but it’s super easy. Let’s take a look at the picture and try to understand the concept of fractal start, signal and stop.
Fractal start is the fractal which precedes the another one fractal in the opposite direction
Fractal signal is the fractal which follows the fractal in the opposite direction
Now when we have this two fractal combination we can place our sell stop one tick below the fractal signal and go short if market reach this level. Now it’s time to place the stop loss. When your trade is open you shall chose the highest fractal from the last two and place stop loss order one tick above. Here you can have two cases A and B. Look carefully and try to find these formations on the real charts.
Conclusion
Next time we will look inside the fractal and try to understand how to trade during sideways. I think today you could understand that fractal trading is good in trend markets, but it’s not profitable during sideways. Price will hit your order every time and hit stop loss many times before the true trend move. For sure fractal breakout trade guarantees that you will not miss the big trend move, but you will have multiple losing trades in the range bounded market. Next time we will discuss how to avoid it.
WKHS a risky penny EV StockWorkhorse could start working again as the 50 minute chart is showing a suggestion of a reversal
after a long trend down. Price has passed over the longest moving average which is a SMA20.
The EMA cloud ( 100, 200, 300) is starting to turn up and price has crossed over it. All in all,
there are some golden crosses here. Blue buying volume spikes are seen on the relative
volume indicator and they are about six times the running mean. In a bit of divergence the
price volume trend has oscillated up. Overall, this is a penny stock with a price under $ 1.00
It appears to be starting a trend up. I will zoom into a lower time frame and find a optimal
entry. I amy get call options as well. The risk in the trade should be limited by a stop loss
wide enough to allow for a true range or even twice that. My target is about 1.15 the price level
at the time of the last good earnings report. This is about 300% upside. It will probably never
get there but hay you never know. Stranger things have happened.
Indicators for trading using Bill Williams' Profitunity strategyI published 3 indicators for trading using Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy. For each indicator, I have added a visual and detailed description in English and Russian. In this post I will briefly describe these indicators and how I use them together.
AFDSA indicator (Alligator + Fractals + Divergent & Squat Bars + Signal Alerts)
Includes Williams Alligator, Williams Fractals, Divergent Bars, Market Facilitation Index, Highest and Lowest Bars, maximum or minimum peak of the Awesome Oscillator, and signal alerts based on Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy:
Bullish and Bearish Divergent Bar Signal + Squat Bar + Green Bar + Fake Bar + Awesome Oscillator Color Change + AO Divergence.
Crossing the green line (Lips) of an open Alligator.
Formation of a fractal.
Signal about the breakdown of the last upper or lower fractal.
Signal about the appearance of a new maximum or minimum peak of AO in the interval of 140 bars from the last bar.
I also added an Alligator display for the higher timeframe, for example, if the chart timeframe is 1 hour, then the higher timeframe will automatically be 4 hours, if the chart timeframe is 4 hours, then the higher timeframe will be 1 day, etc.
AOE Oscillator (Awesome Oscillator + Bars count lines + EMA Line)
Includes the Awesome Oscillator with two vertical lines at a distance of 100 and 140 bars from the last bar to determine the third Elliott wave by the maximum peak of AO in the interval from 100 to 140 bars according to Bill Williams' Profitunity strategy. Additionally, a faster EMA line is displayed.
I also added display of the AO line for the lower timeframe instead of the EMA line if the Moving Average Line values (method, length and source) are equal to the Awesome Oscillator values in the indicator settings. For example, if the chart timeframe is 1 day, then the lower timeframe will automatically be 4 hours, if the chart timeframe is 4 hours, then the lower timeframe will be 1 hour, etc.
VBCHL indicator (Visible bars count on chart + highest/lowest bars, max/min AO)
The indicator displays the number of visible bars on the screen, including the prices of the highest and lowest bars, the maximum or minimum value of the Awesome Oscillator. The values change dynamically when scrolling or changing the scale of the chart, but with a delay of several seconds, so this feature is included in a separate indicator so as not to slow down the work of other indicators.
Indicator settings
In the AFDSA indicator I use the following settings:
By default, the Squat Bar is colored blue, and all other bars are colored to match the Awesome Oscillator color, except for the Fake bars, which are colored with a lighter AO color. But I also enable the display of "Green" Divergent bars in the "Green Bars > Show" field.
I enable the display of Alligator for higher timeframes in the "Alligator for higher timeframe > Enable" field.
In the indicator style settings, I disable the display of the highest and lowest bars, maximum and minimum AO peak labels, because these labels are also displayed by the VBCHL indicator depending on the number of visible bars in the chart window.
Only after opening a position, I enable all additional alerts in the “Enable all additional alerts” field (after changing this field, you need to re-create the alert for the current chart): crossing the green line of an open Alligator, formation of a fractal, appearance of a new maximum or minimum AO peak.
In the settings of the AOE oscillator, I enable the display of the AO line for the lower timeframe instead of the EMA line, setting the same values in the fields for the Moving Average Line (method, length and source) and Awesome Oscillator.
In the VBCHL indicator settings, I only enable the simple display text style for labels in the "Simple display text style for labels" field.
As a result, when analyzing the current chart, I immediately see all the signals on the chart, the location of the bars relative to the Alligator on the higher timeframe and changes in the Awesome Oscillator on the lower timeframe. And thanks to the VBCHL indicator, I quickly select the desired timeframe for analyzing the 5-wave Elliott impulse, focusing on the interval of 140 bars, and immediately see whether there is divergence between the maximum AO peak and the following lower AO peak in this interval.
BTC is falling to 52.000$?Hey guys!
Today, I'm seeing a rather dim picture for Bitcoin.
It appears that we're currently experiencing ABC Elliott correction waves. Furthermore, despite a minor uptick, I'm observing a bearish divergence, and overall, trading volumes seem somewhat weak. The weekly support line is situated around $52,000.
Additionally, historically, BTC tended to correct 2-3 weeks before halving events...
If you're considering trading this movement, don't forget to set up a stop-loss and follow a risk management strategy.
What are your thoughts, guys? Do you believe we'll retest $52,000, or are we headed back towards reaching $100,000?
BTC reaching 100.000$? When?Here is a long-term analysis aimed at understanding when BTC is likely to reach $100,000.
According to previous movements, we are currently in the Elliott Waves pattern, specifically in the 3rd wave, which typically represents the largest movement in the pattern. Therefore, during the summer, we can expect consolidation, characterized by ABC correction waves.
Around the beginning of the new year, we will likely enter the 5-wave model again, with the 3rd wave coinciding with the time approximately one year after the halving, typically around March-April. Subsequently, the 5th wave is projected to occur around the winter of 2025, with a target range of $100,000 to $110,000.
Additionally, based on analysis of previous years, BTC has exhibited growth in an descending progression. For instance, the first significant movement saw a 9000% increase, followed by around 3000% in the second, and approximately 1000% in last. Hence, it's reasonable to anticipate that the percentage increase in the next movement will likely be around 400-500%.
What are your thoughts, folks? When do you think BTC will reach $100,000 or higher?
Potential Bull Market Continuation (Elliott Wave)After reassessing the wave structure on TRX with Glenn Neely, particularly the structure which began at the high in 2021 up until now, it seems to indicate that we are in a complex correction which began with a triangle and is now ending with a diametric.
If this is correct, TRX should be beginning the next phase of the bull market now. This would mean that we see a move up to at a minimum over $1, and on the higher end could go over $10. This should happen over the next year.
To confirm this assessment, we should see a very strong move up this quarter, ideally about as strong as the red box that is drawn on the chart. Regardless of if we get a huge bull market here or not, it does seem like we should see some modest upside at the least. It's always much easier to see a top or bottom forming in real-time than it is to try to accurately predict the exact price any asset will be at some point in the future, and right now it seems like we have formed a bottom.
With inflation beginning to tick up again, this could be the rising sea that lifts all boats. Combine that with a steady and increasing burn rate on TRX and we could see some very high prices for TRX in the future.
KAS back to local support level as buy siognals flash on dailyEyes on KAS now as it retraced from its previous local high back to a local support level. A buy signal is also showing on the Stupid Willy indicator at the time of writing, though it may fall further yet. Hopefully it will get down to the golden pocket fib zone from its recent pump. 200EMA on the 4hr will be at 13 cents soon.
S&P500 3 Months Trading Channel Hey guys, didn't post new set-ups because the market is quite boring right now.
But explored some ETF and found an idea for stable trades. As we know, ETF's and some pairs are like to move in long channels, which is pretty easy to trade.
Here at the S&P500 we can see the raising channel from 5th January and I mark the zones, where you can open long positions, as the channel is raising I will recommend to trade only long positions.
What we're looking for before open the position:
1) The price have to cross the support level of the channel
2) As a help you can use Awesome Oscillator (if the oscillator is changing color and starting to raise up) you can use this as confirmation to open the position.
IMPORTANT! Don't forget to follow RM strategy. Use SL orders a bit lower from price crossing the support line!
Trade stocks and ETF at BingX with no special requests, only using crypto by my link: bingx.com
$BITO ETF for Bitcoin with Monthly DividendsIf you're planning to invest for the long term and want to bet on Bitcoin's growth while expecting a decline in the value of the US dollar, you might want to consider an Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) called $BITO. This ETF can be a good option.
What's interesting about this investment is that it offers a dividend yield of 14.49%, and this dividend is paid out every month. If you're considering entering the market, a good entry point could be around $22.52 per share. To manage your risk, it's advisable to set a stop-loss order at $21.84, ensuring you have some protection in case the investment doesn't go as planned.
It's suggested to remain optimistic about the investment as long as the price stays above the balance line of $21.82 at this moment.
BTC Bullish FlagOn the 4H chart we can see that the BTC is moving in a bullish flag pattern, so soon we can see the break-out, but be careful because we also can see that the volumes are descending, so this can be a manipulative movement and very fast!
IMPORTANT! Always follow the RM strategy while trading!
Bitcoin Stair stepping into Divergence?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
#Bitcoin 4H
Noticing a stair step pattern here.
One to keep an eye on.
If it the pattern breaks, could be an indication.
But for now, BTC looking good!
Nothing says it's done yet.
IF 53k breaks, sus.
Some Div on this high as well.
Short Gold PositionNow we are moving in a developing descending channel, and when the price reaches the rectangle area, you can open a short position.
Reasons for opening:
1. From this price, a descending movement observed several times.
2. When the price reaches the box area, you can see a sharp angle on the Williams' Alligator.
Important! Follow risk management and do not open a trade for more than 2% of your deposit. Place the stop-loss around 2050. TP in the down box.
BTC Short-term MovingAs we are right now moving in the consolidation box, we can try to trade short position with a take profit at around 51.200-51.400.
General reasons to open the position:
- Formalizing the sharp angle by BW alligator
- Volume descending
- Price consolidation after fast grow
IMPORTANT! Always follow your trading strategy and follow RM!
Bullish Spirits: Navigating $QQQ with ConfidenceIn the realm of NASDAQ:QQQ , my bullish outlook remains, above the key support level at $403. A celebration is in order as we set our sights on resistance, celebrating the market's recent making of a higher high!!!
Maintaining bullish sentiment, the strategy tells me staying above the support level. Cheers to the market making higher highs!
Potential for $USDJPY to Forge Higher HighsAs we peek in at FX:USDJPY , a bullish incline is showing, pointing towards the creation of higher highs, particularly when staying above the support at 144.870. My strategy revolves around maintaining a bullish stance above this pivotal level, refraining from any trade if the market ventures below.
In the upcoming week, the bullish outlook shows. Should a bearish sentiment show, risk management, and low-risk positions bearish.