Bistendeksi
Bist[XU100] Simple Investment PlanDepending on the situation of wars and elections, Borsa Istanbul will determine its direction.
In this plan, I determined the possible levels and stop loss levels of the Borsa Istanbul index in 3 different time periods in which I wanted to invest.
If you are planning to invest in the short term (1-3 Months), you can make partial purchases between 7680 and 7480 levels, the cut-loss level for short-term investment is 7330.
If you are planning to invest in the medium term (3-12 months), partial purchases can be made between 6620 and 6420 levels, the cut-loss level for medium term investment is 6300.
If you are planning to invest in the long term (1-10 years), we can make partial purchases between 5675, 5425 and 5000 levels.
Please do not invest without determining your risk!!!
---- > You can read below for the Turkish Explanation.
Savaşların ve seçimin durumuna göre Borsa İstanbulda yönünü belirleyecektir.
Bu planda yatırım yapmak istenilen 3 farklı zaman diliminde Borsa İstanbul endeksinin gelebileceği seviyeleri ve zarar kes seviyelerini belirledim.
Kısa vade(1-3 Ay) yatırım yapmayı düşünüyorsanız 7680 ve 7480 seviyeleri arasında parçalı alım yapılabilir, kısa vade yatırım için zarar kes 7330 seviyesidir.
Orta vade(3-12 Ay) yatırım yapmayı düşünüyorsanız 6620 ve 6420 seviyeleri arasında parçalı alım yapılabilir, orta vade yatırım için zarar kes 6300 seviyesidir.
Uzun vade(1-10 Yıl) yatırım yapmayı düşünüyorsanız 5675, 5425 ve 5000 seviyelerinde parçalı alım yapılabiliriz.
Lütfen riskinizi belirlemeden yatırım yapmayın!!!
BIST100 XU100 ForecastBased on the information provided, the price has been range-bound for the last 80 days. Additionally, the last range lasted for 120 days before breaking out. This suggests that the current range may continue for some time, and traders should exercise caution when considering trading opportunities.
The technical analysis includes two scenarios: a bullish scenario represented by the blue line and a bearish scenario represented by the red line. Traders should wait for clear reactions from the zones indicated in these scenarios before initiating any trades.
In the bullish scenario, the price would need to break above the upper range boundary and hold above it for an extended period before traders can confidently enter long positions. This could indicate that buyers have gained control of the market, and the price may continue to rise.
On the other hand, in the bearish scenario, the price would need to break below the lower range boundary and hold below it for an extended period before traders can initiate short positions. This could indicate that sellers have gained control of the market, and the price may continue to decline.
Overall, traders should exercise caution when trading in a range-bound market and wait for clear indications of a breakout before initiating any positions. It is essential to monitor the price action closely and adjust trading strategies accordingly to stay ahead of the market.
BIST100 Long-Term2004 yılından başlayan aylık zaman periyodlu analizimde öncelikle çizdiğim kanal içerisinde ilerleyen bir hareket olduğu görülmektedir. 2016 Aralık ayında 70.000 seviyesinden başlayan ralli, üst kanal direnci ve Elliot Wave 1. dalgasının tavanı olan 121.000 seviyesine Ocak 2018'de ulaşmıştır. Şu anda Elliot Wave dalgasının 3. aşamasında olduğumuzu ve bu dalganın ve 2004 yılından başlayıp oluşan kanalımızın tavanı olan 135.000 seviyesine 2020 yılının yaz ayları civarında ulaşmasını bekliyorum. Son 2 haftada %10'un üzerinde kayıplar yaşan Dow Jones ve DAX borsalarının da bahar aylarında görülecek mevsimsel etki ile birlikte CoronaVirüs'ün etkisinin daha da zayıflamasının dünya borsalarına ve BİST endeksine olumlu yansıyacağını düşünüyorum. YTD. BIST:XU100
BIST possible scenario cast
As previously stated two analysis . First on 22 April
. The spill has been effective to 88,200 Level
And also after the spill , as we have stated with the run away gaps t the downside.
The second analysis of 12 JULY
Turkish manipulators, if necessary conditions are not strongly distrubed, have the tendency to close those gaps.
So expect to close 98,800 gap. Then a trial of 100.000
There will be a profit realization from 100.000 but ,most possibly these realizations will be short lived and the prices would head up. For a possible scenario of : creation of a huge head and shoulders formation.
The hypothesis to assume that prices will break 100.00 and go on depends mainly on the positive divergence of RSI and Momentum on daily and weekly basis.
which brings out the possibility of making of a huge H&S formation.
If this scenario holds, expect to see the right shoulder close to 110.000 levels.
As the analsysis is bullish , fundamentally BIST is weak so I am not issuing a long position here.
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Notice the runaway gaps to the downside.Notice the huge pressure to the downside and the general pattern is still very very bearish with a possible target of 75.000 ( the mean of the previous squueze channel)
Although Turkish Manipulators like to close all possible gaps when/if there is suitable environment, this gaps mean that there will be a huge pressure on the market to the mean 75.000.
It also coincedes with the Turkish Lira depreciation story.
Turkey has two major problems at the same time, lack of Savings and Lack of Foreign Exchange. The latter problem can not be solved via Turkish Lira nominated/settled swap auctions. There is a need for actual USD. Full Stop!
If market volatility calms down and manipulators try to close these gaps, that will be a great opportunity to sell long assets.