TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #4👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, I'll be conducting a deep analysis of Bitcoin, often referred to as the king of crypto due to its significant market dominance and cap. We'll be exploring suitable futures triggers for the New York session and examining the effects of the recently released U.S. inflation rates, which have favored the U.S. dollar.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
As you can see, the long trigger we set yesterday was activated and has already yielded profits. The price approached our target resistance at 98482 but is currently being rejected from this area and is moving back down towards the support level at 95108.
🔍 This 95108 trigger remains robust, and if this area breaks, we can open a position. This support was effective yesterday, as you might have noticed—even though the news favored the U.S. dollar, this support prevented further price decline. Therefore, a break below this could likely initiate the next bearish leg for Bitcoin, with the first short position target at 92802.
📊 Excluding the news release time, market volume has generally been ranging and is progressively decreasing, indicating that a significant move is imminent. For long positions, the 98482 trigger remains suitable. The second long trigger is at 99946, with the primary trend-changing trigger still firmly at 101819.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As I mentioned yesterday, I observed significant bearish momentum in the BTC.D chart, with the 61.10 support now breached. The next nearest support for Bitcoin dominance is at 59.84.
👀 With Bitcoin's dominance declining, if the market moves upwards, the Total2 triggers I will identify could be more suitable than the long triggers for Bitcoin itself. However, if this breach proves to be a fakeout and dominance returns to its box and moves towards its upper boundary, it could inject strong bullish momentum into Bitcoin's dominance, making a long position in Bitcoin more favorable.
✅ If the market falls and Bitcoin's dominance continues to decrease, Bitcoin positions will likely be more profitable. Conversely, if Bitcoin's dominance rises, altcoins will drop more than Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, you can see that despite the decline in Bitcoin's dominance, Total2 has maintained its position better than Bitcoin itself. Notice that Bitcoin has reached its primary support, whereas Total2 has only retracted from a recent high at 1.24.
✨ The ceiling of 1.24 remains a suitable trigger for long positions, though it should be approached as a scalp to a target of 1.28. The main breakout trigger is the breach of 1.28, which would confirm a trend change. For short positions, the risky position at 1.19 and the main position at 1.16 remain valid, targeting 1.1.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let’s touch on USDT.D. This index could not maintain its position above its resistance, effectively causing the entire market to hold strong at support levels yesterday, contributing to the rejection of USDT.D from this area.
💥 Our triggers on USDT.D haven't changed significantly. For long positions, breaking 4.44 would be suitable as it would decrease Tether's dominance and potentially favor a market downturn; for short positions in a falling market, 4.62 is optimal, increasing Tether's dominance and potentially leading to a market decline.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitccoin
Market Response After the Launch of ETFsComparing Bitcoin and Ethereum Charts After ETF Launch.
Bitcoin's price dropped 20% after the ETF launch. We can expect a similar drop in ETH before it goes up. ETH price has already dropped 11% after the ETF launch, and we can expect the bearish move to continue for the next few days before we see a bullish move.
A good buying opportunity is expected once ETH experiences a 15-20% correction.
Regards
Hexa
Bitcoin Elliott wave count 1HBitcoin going up with an impulse?
Probably as we have 4th waves (red count) now but is this impulse something to build more upside move or we have the end of an extended flat correction(blue count)?!
I am expecting price to reach 29000 zone with the 5th wave and than probably will do a correction.
If the price will keep 27500 level (red line) from there it must start a bigger 3rd wave to the upside.
If the price will go below 27500 we may have the start of the Y wave to the downside that I talked in my previous count! (see the related idea)
4th wave (red count) at this moment corrected enough as price hit 0.382-0.5 fib retracement.
If price will go below 0.5 fib retracement level than this upside impulse count is wrong!!!
Good luck!
BTC/USDT 06.05.22 4H futures tradeHello everyone, if you like the idea, do not forget to support with a like and follow.
long ( 18x 14x ) short ( 18x 14x ) 😉
Entry price : 35818
SHORT :
T1.LowRisk : 31082 %185 14x
&
T1.HighRisk : 32230 %180 18x
T2.🔥 : 31082 %238 18x
LONG :
T1.LowRisk : 40434 %181 14x
&
T1.HighRisk : 39287 %174 18x
T2.🔥 : 40434 %231 18x
📅 06.05.22
📌
Clsk 🎈I was waiting for a wave 2 pullback, and it came sooner than expected due to the offering earlier this week; but the beautiful thing about this pullback, it landed directly into my golden zone where I became a buyer.
Wave 3 target is $55, will probably exit 75% of my position closer to there.
Longer term target sits at $97 for wave 5.
BTC (Prj.2019.P03.E11).Breakout imminent?There are some Fractal at play from 2017 bull run.
As per chart, we have a price that refuses to go down and consolidation taking place under a main resistance line.
Also some time back, I stated the level required to confirm its a bullish trend, open and closing on the daily to take it as a sign.
Fractal at play: Both have the same run up, ALT and then a formation of a bullish pattern and then a breakout, consolidation and up trend (expected)
Another common factor:
2 EMAs and 1 MA crossing over on the 4 HRLY has in the past, indicated a bullish uptrend.
Bitcoin, some more perspective!May have been a tiny bit early on my last call, but the message remains the same, 20k yuan is a sell. Just saying!