Bitcoin: The Path To 109K Is Now Open.In my previous article I describe the potential breakout if 88K was compromised. I pointed out, the compound double bottom in the 74 to 78K area implied a greater probability of price breaking out, it was just a matter of catalyst. IF anything this possibility should have told you that swing trade shorts are a lower probability and much riskier within that resistance zone. For those of you looking for precise calls, eventually you will learn there is no such thing, because markets adjust to new information as it becomes available but we can assign loose probabilities to scenarios. So what technical possibilities are we looking at for the upcoming week and how will this shape our expectations?
On my chart, the updated anticipated scenario (See illustration) points to a retrace back to the 90K area which is NOW a support. Since the broader trend is bullish it is within reason to expect this support to HOLD and NOT break. That means it is an ideal location for high probability swing trade longs UPON confirmation. Watch 93,250 break (see blue arrow) to confirm price is following the retrace scenario (break of previous candle low). IF this is not broken, then the retrace scenario is NOT in play.
Another fact I want to point out is a new minor impulse structure is now in effect (it is not numbered on the chart). The move from the 74K low to the current high contains 3 waves which means the next retrace is likely Wave 4 which would then open the possibility for the Wave 5 breakout beyond the 95K area. Wave 4 to 5 is the highest probability wave to anticipate because it requires 3 waves to be in place and has to adhere to the Wave 1 overlap rule. While this does not offer a specific setup to trade, it does help to shape a clear expectation. All you need from there is a system or method to confirm the bullish reversal (like the Trade Scanner Pro).
Other than that, If Bitcoin manages to maintain the support above 90K, this new rally may be the broader Wave 5 that I have talked about previously which implies a test of 109K over the next quarter. Again this is a game of gauging potential and then quantifying the risk that is associated with it. That is only the beginning of the trade idea because from there you must have a decision making process in place to manage the trade in a constantly CHANGING environment. IF you fail to have such a process then you face random results.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Bitcoin-btcusd
BITCOIN | 30M | IMPORTANT SUPPORT ZONE Hello, my friends,
Yesterday, I shared a Bitcoin analysis and stated that my target level is 97,300.
At the moment, we are within the blue support zone I highlighted in my analysis yesterday. Although this is not a very strong support zone, I am expecting an upward movement from here. However, the most critical support level lies between 92,000 and 91,000.
As I mentioned yesterday, as long as the price does not drop below the 92,000 - 91,000 levels, my target remains at 97,300.
Please don't forget to like.
Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
BTC Approaches Breakout Zone in Ascending Triangle – Key Resist,📈 Chart Overview
Instrument: BTC/USD
Timeframe: Likely 4H or Daily
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (Red) – 84,924.30
EMA 200 (Blue) – 85,558.47
🔍 Key Technical Observations
1. Ascending Triangle Formation
The chart shows a clear ascending triangle, a bullish continuation pattern.
Flat resistance zone: Around $88,700–$89,000.
Higher lows forming a solid upward sloping trendline, suggesting increasing buying pressure.
2. Price Above Key EMAs
Current price: $88,779.43, which is above both the 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
This indicates bullish momentum as price breaks above dynamic resistance levels.
3. Volume Consideration (Missing)
While volume is not visible on the chart, an ideal breakout from an ascending triangle should be accompanied by increasing volume to confirm validity.
🔄 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Breakout
A confirmed breakout above $89,000 with strong volume can lead to a measured move toward:
Target = Triangle height ≈ $13,000 → Potential target: $101,500 – $102,000
Next resistance levels to watch: $92,000, $95,000, and $100,000 psychological zone.
❌ Fakeout or Rejection
If BTC gets rejected at resistance, watch for:
Retest of support trendline (~$86,000).
EMA 50 and 200 as dynamic support around $84,900–$85,500.
Breakdown below the trendline may signal a short-term correction to $80,000–$82,500.
📊 Conclusion
BTC is at a crucial decision point. The ascending triangle suggests bullish potential, but a breakout confirmation is essential. Price is above both major EMAs, signaling strength, but a rejection from resistance could invite short-term bears.
Bitcoin - The Bottom Is In!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is reversing right now:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It was really just a matter of time until Bitcoin actually manages to create a potential short term and longer term bottom. With this monthly candle, bulls are taking over again and starting to buy cryptos quite heavily. The chart just tells us that this is not the end, but rather the continuation.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
GOLDMASTER1| BTCUSDT 15M ANALYSIS
" ANALYZING THE MARKET STRUCTURE ON THE 15-MINUTE CHART OF BTC/USDT :
The price action shows a Higher High (HH) followed by a Lower High (LH), indicating a potential shift in market trend.
A Break of Structure (BOS) is visible, confirming a change in the previous bullish trend.
We've identified a Fair Value Gap (FVG), which may act as a key level for price action.
The Bullish Orderblock suggests potential support for a possible reversal.
Stay cautious and manage your risk accordingly.
GOLDMASTERS1---
$BTC cycle projection. Upside to $134k-$160k, then to sub $33kHere's a chart of my cycle projection of bitcoin. I think it's likely that we find support in the $62k region over the next couple of weeks and then continue the bull run up to $129k-$137k.
In terms of gains from here, I think BTC is only a ~2x, however, I think we're going to see our biggest altcoin run since bitcoin's inception.
After we hit the top $134k-160k, I think we'll make a very large correction back down to the $20-30k region (supports on the chart) before the next long term cycle begins.
This is the final wave of the first cycle of bitcoin.
Lots of money to be made.
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Detailed Support & Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis for Bitcoin.
Resistance 1: 94300 - 95600 area
Resistance 2: 98300 - 100200 area
Resistance 3: 101400 - 102600 area
Support 1: 90500 - 92800 area
Support 2: 85300 - 88900 area
Support 3: 82600 - 83700 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Do you think I'm joking ???Chart is speaking itself...
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN Well well well.. The break-out happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed a massive break-out yesterday as it convincingly left the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) behind on its strongest 1D green candle since . The foundation of this was a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on the April 08 2025 Low.
This is the same kind of Bullish Divergence that took place on the September 06 2024 Low and resulted in a similar Lower Highs bullish break-out. After an October 02 2024 re-test of the 1D MA50, the trend-line became the new Support all the way to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension (measured from the last Lower High).
As a result, we expect BTC's next medium-term Target to be $130000 (just below the new 3.382 Fibonacci extension).
So do you think the pattern will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USD Eyes $109K After Bullish Breakout!!🧠 Chart Type and Indicators:
Chart Type: Candlestick
Indicators Used:
EMA 50 (red line): 85,335.18
EMA 200 (blue line): 85,657.29
🔍 Technical Pattern Analysis:
Pattern Identified: Ascending Triangle
The price has formed higher lows (ascending trendline support) while repeatedly testing a horizontal resistance zone (~$88,000), forming an ascending triangle.
This is typically a bullish continuation pattern when it occurs after an uptrend, though in this context, it's forming after a consolidation, giving more significance to the breakout.
🚀 Breakout Confirmation:
The price has broken above the horizontal resistance and is currently trading at $92,766.51.
Volume is not visible but should be increasing during a valid breakout.
Both EMAs have been decisively breached to the upside, signaling momentum shift in favor of bulls.
🧩 Key Levels:
Support Zone (Post-Breakout Retest): ~$88,000
Previously a resistance zone, now likely to act as support.
Immediate Resistance: ~$96,000
Historical resistance zone shown on the chart with a horizontal black line.
Extended Target (measured move): ~$109,420
Based on the height of the triangle projected from the breakout point.
📈 Price Action Forecast:
Two possible scenarios (depicted with arrows on the chart):
Bullish Continuation:
A retest of the $88,000 zone followed by continuation to $96,000, then $109,420.
Short-Term Pullback:
Price may dip to retest the breakout zone (~$88,000), consolidate, then rally higher.
✅ Bullish Signals Summary:
Breakout from a bullish ascending triangle.
EMAs crossed and price holding above them.
Clear higher highs and higher lows formation.
Momentum suggesting further upside.
🧨 Risks to Watch:
False Breakout Risk: If the price fails to hold above $88,000 and falls back into the triangle range.
Macro Factors: Bitcoin remains sensitive to macroeconomic news and regulations that could disrupt technical setups.
BITCOIN RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅BITCIN is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 94,900$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target at 91,000$
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bitcoin - This Is Just Unbelievable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is not dropping at all:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After we have been seeing one of the craziest weekly drops which I have experienced in my entire trading history, all major cryptos and especially Bitcoin are strongly holding their levels. Since bullish strength continues quite often, I do expect new all time highs on Bitcoin soon.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Bitcoin hits $90K for first time since MarchBitcoin has climbed above the $90K level for the first time since early March. Is this an indication of risk appetite improving, or are investors buying Bitcoin for the same reason they are buying gold? In any case, as traders, we care about the HOWs and WHEREs more than the WHYs.
With that in mind, it is worth keeping an eye on the next areas of potential support and resistance to see whether Bitcoin will break them.
Initial resistance comes in the area between $90,000 to $91,900. In this range, you have prior support meeting the 50% retracement level of the downswing from the January high. Above this, the 61.8% Fibonacci level is at $96K.
Support levels to watch now include the $88,500-$88,800 area, which was resistance previously and where the 200-day average comes into play. Below that, you have the point of origin of this week's breakout near $85,000.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Bitcoin Tests March HighsBTC tests March highs after 2 weeks of bullish price action and a double bottom / reversal pattern on Apr 9.
Currently testing significant price levels around FWB:88K and 1D 200MA, a decisive break above could signal a push towards $92k.
Failing to reclaim FWB:88K - GETTEX:89K could lead to a retest of $85k - $86k before attempting to reclaim previous R as S.
Bitcoin H4 | Potential pullback before bouncing higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 88,033.50 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 85,500.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 92,708.20 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bitcoin - All Time Highs Are Inevitable!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still massively bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Despite the correction of about -30% which we have been seeing lately, Bitcoin remains in a bullish market. Even if we see another drop of about -20%, this will still just turn into a textbook bullish break and retest and either way, new all time highs will follow on Bitcoin.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $400.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next (chart)b]📉 The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles Model: What Comes Next
Video idea here:
Friends, if you’ve seen my last two posts, you already know — we’re no longer relying on broken halving cycles or outdated narratives.
We’re now in the realm of The Bitcoin Trust Flow Cycles™ by FXPROFESSOR — a framework that maps how trust moves between Bitcoin and traditional assets like U.S. Treasuries .
And today’s update? It might be the most important one yet.
🔁 Quick Recap: What Is This Model?
This model tracks Bitcoin’s relationship to long-term U.S. Treasury Bonds (TLT), cycling between:
• Correlated Periods (Blue): BTC and TLT move in the same direction
• Inverted Periods (Green): BTC and TLT move in opposite directions
And here’s the magic:
These flips often occur right at key structural levels in the bond market.
🧠 Where Are We Now?
We’re still in an Inverted Period — the 6th major one.
• TLT (Treasuries) are dropping again
• Bitcoin is rising against that backdrop
• The previous support at ~86.8 failed — we are now sliding toward the next major level
That level?
📌 71.32 – the all-time structural support for TLT going back to 2004
It’s the same zone that sparked Bitcoin’s explosive moves in the past.
📉 My Expectation:
• TLT continues sliding lower
• It finds support around 71–76
• Once that happens, we enter a Reversion Phase — where Bitcoin and TLT rise together again
• Bitcoin doesn’t just “survive” the macro shakeout — it thrives on it
This would be the 6th inversion-to-correlation flip in the model — and historically, these have marked powerful Bitcoin trends.
📊 Why This Model Matters
This isn't just about price.
It’s about trust .
It’s about rotation .
It’s about macro capital flow .
Forget halving hype — this model focuses on how institutional trust migrates between old systems (bonds) and new systems (Bitcoin).
When TLT fails, Bitcoin rises.
When TLT finds support, Bitcoin joins in.
This is not just a macro hedge.
This is the new cycle narrative .
🔍 What to Watch:
• Does TLT drop to 71?
• Do we find a bottom and reverse?
• Does BTC correlate again and break out above 115?
If so — we may be on the cusp of a new correlated bull leg .
This post builds on the foundation I laid here:
📌
📌
This is part 3.
The signal is there.
The rotation is happening.
The trust is shifting.
Are you watching?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk IndicatorIn this idea, I’ll walk you through the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Top Risk Indicator — a tool based on the well-known Pi Cycle Top Indicator.
By the end, we’ll have a new lens to analyze INDEX:BTCUSD market cycles. 👇
First, a quick recap of the original Pi Cycle Top Indicator. It uses two moving averages:
— 111-day MA (111DMA)
— 350-day MA × 2 (350DMA x 2)
A bullish crossover (111DMA crossing above 350DMA×2) historically predicted BTC tops within 3 days.
However, one sould know that in 2021 the signal occurred in April (the first peak). The higher November peak didn’t trigger the indicator.
Now let’s take the ratio: 111DMA / (350DMA × 2) → this gives us the Pi Cycle Top Ratio (orange line). When the ratio crosses 1 from below, that’s equivalent to the original Pi Cycle Top signal.
As you can see: each new major peak is lower than the previous. In 2021, the ratio barely touched 1. This implies that in this cycle, the moving averages may not cross — and Pi Cycle Top Indicator may not generate a signal .
Can we forecast the next peak of the Ratio? (Keep in mind: Ratio peaks ≠ BTC price peaks but we'll get back to it later.)
Turns out the Ratio peaks fit nicely along a logarithmic curve — let’s plot it. And the lows sit on a straight line. We add both bounds, plus a midline.
Now we have a band within which the Ratio tends to move — useful for anticipating turning points.
Next, let’s normalize the Ratio within this band:
— bottom bound = 0
— top bound = 1
This gives us the Pi Cycle Top Risk indicator — a clean, scaled version of market risk.
Currently, it sits at 0.47 , right around the mid-range.
Now let’s compare Pi Cycle Top Risk to past BTC tops and bottoms (using daily closes).
We’ll treat April 2021 as the last cycle top.
The chart shows:
— BTC tops occurred when Risk ≥ 0.79
— Bottoms occurred when Risk ≤ 0.24 (or ≤ 0.10 excluding 2011)
Summary:
1. Right now, Pi Cycle Top Risk ≈ 0.47 and has been hovering near 0.5 for the past year.
This reflects a relatively low volatility during this market cycle — BTC has been rising steadily, with pauses for consolidation, no mania phase and blow-off top.
2. How can we use this going forward?
I can’t say whether the Risk will rise or fall — and there’s no guarantee it’ll hit the boundaries.
But if it's ever:
— Above 0.9 (bright-red zone) → strong signal to consider selling
— Below 0.1 (bright-green zone) → potentially good buy opportunities
Not financial advice.
We’ll keep tracking it.
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023.
The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024.
As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up.
In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run.
But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin: Watch For These Break Out Scenarios.Bitcoin is consolidating within a very tight range: between 83 and 86K. Which way it breaks is a matter of catalyst, but recognizing the break can help to better shape expectations on this time horizon. IF 83K breaks, I will be watching for the higher low scenario (see blue square), for confirmations to go long. IF 86K breaks, I will be anticipating a test of the 88 K resistance (see arrow). What happens after that is anyone's guess. This is NOT about forecasting the future, it is about considering multiple scenarios and then adjusting as the market offers new information.
This evaluation can be helpful on multiple time frames if you know how to use it. For example, a break of the 83K support can be a great day trade opportunity on time frames like the 5 minute. A test of the 78K to 80K area followed by a confirmation can offer a long opportunity on the swing trade or day trade time frames. A test of the 88K or 90K resistance levels can offer aggressive short opportunities on smaller time frames as well. You have to be prepared for the possibility of the corresponding pattern to appear (bullish/bearish reversal) and confirmation. From there risk can be effectively quantified and taking action becomes reasonable.
Getting stuck on 1 scenario rather then being prepared for multiple possibilities makes you inflexible because there is NO precision in financial markets (unless you're on the micro structure level MOST retail traders are NOT). The scenarios I explained here can unfold over the week or take longer, AGAIN is it a matter of catalyst or surprise news event.
As far as the bigger picture, nothing has changed. The 76K AREA low is a double bottom, which translates into a broader higher low when you look back over the year. This higher low structure implies Bitcoin is still generally BULLISH which means betting on resistance levels can be considered a lower probability outcome. This also means current prices are still attractive investment levels as long as you are sizing strategically. IF price manages to break below 65K over the next quarter, then I would say investing should be more limited since such a break implies the impulse structure is no longer in play.
Other than that, seasonal volume typically peaks around this time of year in the stock market, which means the next few months are more likely to be less eventful and contain smaller price ranges etc. There are always exceptions and news catalysts will still cause price spikes, but the dramatic nature like we have seen will likely be smaller. So unless there are any surprises in Bitcoin, be prepared for slow grinds or less eventful movements generally speaking.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.