BTC Short - Stretch to TP $77kWyckoff scenario planning for possible 2025 top formation.
- Possible Phase B Sign of Weakness incoming in the next few weeks.
Short at $100K with a tp target 1 at $86K. A stretch target 2 at $77K aligns with the bottom of the local channel and intersects with the 4-hour 200 MA.
Presents good Long entry to new ATH at $112k.
Best, Hard Forky
Bitcoin-btcusd
Trump/Elon’s Crypto Chaos!Bitcoin’s been on a rollercoaster in 2025, plummeting from $106K to $93K earlier this month, but I’m seeing a massive bullish setup on the 4H chart at $97,603. After a sharp sell-off, BTC’s forming a tight range near $96K support... classic accumulation before a breakout, or are we walking into a trap?
Here’s the tea: RSI’s at ~55 and climbing, signaling buyers are gaining momentum, while the 50/200 EMA crossover near GETTEX:97K screams bullish reversal. Volume’s ticked up over the last few candles, suggesting smart money’s piling in. We’re testing GETTEX:98K resistance right now, flip it, and I’m targeting $105K by early March, fueled by Trump’s pro-crypto policies and Elon’s unpredictable X-factor. But if we fail here, $93K’s the next stop, and bears could drag us lower.
This setup’s got me hyped, but the Trump/Elon wild card is wild... Trump’s deregulation talks could pump us past $100K, or Elon’s next tweet might send us spiraling. I’ve seen similar patterns in 2021 lead to 20%+ moves... History repeating?
What’s your hot take?
Bullish to $105K, or bearish back to $93K, where’s BTC headed?
Think Trump’s policies or Elon’s tweets will rocket us, or are they just noise?
Seen this pattern before? Drop your targets, indicators, or contrarian views!
I’ll reply to every comment and debate!
BTC/USD: Key Levels and Breakout Watch!!Market Overview:
The BTC/USD pair is currently in a consolidation phase, with price action contained between two key levels. This analysis aims to evaluate the market structure, potential breakout points, and the most likely directional move based on technical indicators. 📈
Price Structure & Key Zones:
Resistance Levels:
97,900 USD: This key resistance level has been tested multiple times. The market has recently interacted with it, showing signs of rejection. 🚧 Breaking above this zone would be a bullish sign. A sustained break would confirm a potential uptrend. 🚀
100,258 USD: The next critical resistance lies just above the previous level. A breakthrough here could confirm the market is ready to rally higher! 🎯
109,546 USD: The ultimate target zone, with further resistance likely. 🌌 A break through this area would confirm a significant bullish move.
Support Levels:
94,000-95,000 USD: Strong support in this range, where price has bounced higher before. 📉 A failure to hold this level could signal a bearish reversal. ⚠️
Trend Analysis:
200 EMA: The price is above the 200 EMA, showing a bullish short-term trend. 📊 A positive sign of upward momentum, confirming the current market sentiment is more inclined toward the upside. 🚀
Rising Wedge Formation: This is a continuation pattern, suggesting that the market could break higher if resistance is overcome. 🔼 The potential move toward 100,258 USD could be the next phase if the breakout occurs.
Volume & Momentum:
Volume has been relatively low, indicating consolidation. 💡 A breakout with higher volume would confirm the strength of any directional move. 💥
Potential Scenarios:
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above 97,900 USD, we can expect a bullish move toward 100,258 USD, with the 109,546 USD zone as the next target. 🚀📈
Bearish Scenario:
A failure to break resistance could lead to a pullback to 94,000-95,000 USD, or even lower if support breaks down. ⚠️ A downside move may signal a deeper correction.
Conclusion:
The market is at a crucial point. If Bitcoin can break through 97,900 USD, we may see a bullish rally toward 100,258 USD and 109,546 USD. 🚀 If resistance holds, expect a possible move toward lower support levels. 🛑 Keep an eye on volume and key levels! 🎯
Let’s stay alert and react accordingly! 📊📈
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis: Consolidation Before Breakout?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis
Market Structure and Price Action
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) daily chart exhibits a consolidation phase, with price movements constrained within a well-defined range. This range is highlighted by the blue rectangular area, indicating indecision in the market as neither buyers nor sellers have established clear dominance.
Key Technical Levels
1. Resistance Levels:
$100,000 - $103,787: Upper boundary of the consolidation zone, serving as a key resistance level. A breakout above this level could indicate renewed bullish momentum.
$108,734 - $110,266: Potential upside targets if resistance is breached.
2. Support Levels:
$96,484 - $97,065: Lower boundary of the consolidation zone, acting as short-term support. A breakdown below this level could signal increased selling pressure.
$89,533 - $84,773 (200-day EMA): Critical long-term support zone. The 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $84,773 serves as a major technical support level, historically acting as a strong demand zone in trending markets.
Technical Indicators and Market Outlook
200-Day EMA: The 200-day EMA at $84,773 reinforces long-term support, making it a key level to watch in case of a market correction.
Trendline Analysis: The chart indicates a previous uptrend, followed by a sideways consolidation. A breakout from this range will determine the next directional move.
Highlighted Zones:
Green-shaded areas suggest historical demand zones, indicating potential buying interest.
Orange-shaded areas represent previous supply zones, which may act as resistance in case of a price increase.
Potential Market Scenarios
1. Bullish Breakout:
A break above $103,787 could trigger a continuation of the upward trend, with potential price targets at $108,734 and $110,266.
Sustained bullish momentum may push the price towards new all-time highs beyond $120,000.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A break below $96,000 may indicate increased selling pressure, leading to a potential decline towards $89,533 - $85,000.
If Bitcoin loses support at the 200-day EMA ($84,773), further downside momentum could materialize, leading to an extended correction.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound phase, with price action indicating market indecision. A breakout above $103,787 would signal a resumption of the bullish trend, whereas a break below $96,000 could lead to further downside movement. The 200-day EMA remains a critical long-term support level, and traders should closely monitor price action around these key areas to determine the next market direction.
BTC | NEWS | Abu Dhabi Invests $436.9M in ETFAbu Dhabi's sovereign wealth fund, Mubadala Investment Company, has made a significant investment in Bitcoin by purchasing $436.9 million in shares of the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT).
This MUST be a clear indicator that they are bullish on BTC, at least for the longer term.
Investment firms most commonly invest with the eye on the longer term, and are usually unphased by short term swings like daily or even weekly corrections. This is, if anything, extremely bullish for BTC in the longer term (1 year and possibly beyond).
In similar news; the potential of the SEC approving XRP ETF is causing optimism for XRP.
XRP has recently made great progress in terms of fundamentals, more on that HERE:
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BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BITCOIN Is the USDT dominance about to spark new rally to $150k?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a fierce consolidation the past few weeks, a lagging price action not helped at all by the recent market fundamentals.
From a technical view point though, the current BTC market structure is a Re-accumulation Phase similar to the Re-accumulation Phases of both previous Bullish Legs since the November 2022 bottom.
Those Re-accumulation Phases took place when the USDT dominance (chart on the right) posted a peaking 1D RSI struture similar to today's and the DXY (blue trend-line) was having a pull-back.
The current technical sequences matches the exact Re-accumulation Phases of BTC, which took place around the 0.5 Fibonacci level. If we apply this Fib structure now, even assuming the less ideal scenario that the 0.5 Fib is on the January 13 Low and not in the middle of the Re-accumulation, we get a potential Target for the upcoming rally at $150k.
SO what do you think? Can this unique USDT dominance pattern spark a new rally on Bitcoin to 150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Priced in Gold Macro Resistance Rejection CorrectionBTCGOLD monthly line chart, which uses monthly close data.
Obvious long term resistance line and clear major topping pattern on the most recent maximum showing connection with the last market cycle top (both of them.)
What does it mean? It means there's useful information in the BTCGOLD chart that isn't priced in. It also means the most recent correction is a rejection at major resistance, which could indicate further downside risk.
Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range.
The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K.
If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
BTCUSD - Endless BullrunPlotting a trend channel shift that allows BTC to continue a legendary run
This curve is something I have seen online and thought it hodls merit
Vertical lines are tops along the channel with some speculative bars patterns showing how price may continue up
This chart removes my doubt that BTC may crash as it allows continuation
Weekly timeframe
Bitcoin - This Cycle Is Pretty Clear!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still 100% bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
It is actually quite a surprise that we did not see new all time highs on Bitcoin for the past two months. However we had the same thing happening back in 2017 before Bitcoin actually finished the cycle with a parabolic blow off top. So we all know what is very likely to happen next.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN Decoding the current consolidation. $112k to print soon.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating within roughly a 5000 range (100k - 94.1k) for the past 12 days. During all this time, it's been testing but never closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). There hasn't been a tighter consolidation of this duration in the past year and there is a technical explanation behind it.
The 3-month pattern has been a Channel Up and the last sub-1D MA50 consolidation before the current one, has been its previous bottom formation on its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D RSI sequences between the two bottom fractals are so far identical and it appears that we are now on the way to complete Leg (f), which is the final step before a Double Bottom is formed. A new 1D MACD Bullish Cross may come as confirmation of the new Bullish Leg.
As a result, the market is close to its most optimal buy opportunity. Given that a 1.5 Fibonacci extension Target has been a fair expectation within this Channel Up, our medium-term Target on BTC after the new Bullish Cross would be $112000, which is still below the 1.5 Fib ext and very close to the top of the Channel Up.
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Bitcoin: Range Break Out This Week?Bitcoin is stuck in a tight consolidation that can be very confusing and costly IF you get too wrapped up in opinions and typical internet propaganda. To participate effectively in this you either play the range levels on small times frames (see my previous week's analysis) or just stay out completely until a decisive break unfolds. When and which way it breaks is ANY ONE'S guess.
The range support is in the 94 to 93K area. Use time frames like the 5 minute or 15 minute to confirm bullish reversals here and look for small bites. The coming week is the same story as the previous week. The 99K AREA is the range resistance and should be used as a reference point to gauge profit potential for swing trade longs or to anticipate sell signals for aggressive shorts. That is the game plan for the week UNTIL Bitcoin clears one of these price points.
The anticipated move (illustration on chart) is the same as the week before. Please keep in mind this market is sensitive to a variety of catalysts and has a tendency to be affected by the Nasdaq on a intraday basis. Unexpected news can come out of no where and throw off any analysis, especially longer term. This is why it is so important to stay opinion free while focusing on potential opportunities around predetermined price locations, Either the market delivers or it does not.
Part of being a savvy trader/investor is knowing when to simply stay out. Consolidations offer opportunities at the range boundaries, while the WORST place to take action is around the mid point which is the most RANDOM area. There is not much more to say than that. When the market breaks one way or the other, new profit and risk expectations can be adjusted for only then.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTCUSD: Crossing of 4H MA100 brings enormous rally.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.096, MACD = -559.600, ADX = 41.025) as it is rising aggressively today and just hit the 1D MA50. This is its major Resistance level, which when crossed has caused the two main rallies of 2025 so far. The first (Dec 30th-Jan 7th) crossed the 0.618 Fibonacci before pulling back, while the second (Jan 9th-Jan 20th) made a full +20% rally. As you realize, if we do get a 1D candle close over the 1D MA50, the target for the modest scenario of Fib 0.618 is TP1 = 103,500 and if it continues (which as some point it will since the Bull Cycle has at least another 6-9 months more) for the good case scenario of +20%, the target will be TP2 = 113,000.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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BTC (Bitcoin) double top forming? The Bitcoin (BTC) price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since the spike to all time high of 109,000 on 20th January 2025, the BTC price action is starting to display some signs of bearish behaviour by potentially forming a double top reversal pattern.
The key trading level is at the “Neckline” 91,900 level, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 91900 level could target the upside resistance at 100,650 (20 day moving average) followed by the 105,590 and 109,460 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the “neckline” 91,900 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 85,275 support level followed by 79917 and 75060 ( 200 day moving average).
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin - Just Objectively Look At The Chart.Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) remains very bullish lately:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Many traders are actually calling the top on Bitcoin but if we objectively look at the chart, situation is entirely different. First, Bitcoin just broke above the previous cycle high with a massive candle and second, we still have a valid rising channel acting as a major support.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN bounced on last Cycle's Pivot and targets $125k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating every since the Double All Time High (ATH) formation of December and January. As we've pointed out in previous analyses, this is similar to the December 2023 - January 2024 consolidation.
What we haven't seen before and we bring it forward to you today, is that the January 2025 Low was priced exactly on the Higher Highs trend-line that emerged from the November 2021 and April 2021 Highs, i.e. the previous Cycle's tops!
To make things more interesting, we can see an identical Higher Highs trend-line that held the January 2024 Low (of the similar consolidation phase we discuss above) with an identical 1W RSI sequence as well. That was what initiated the February - March 2024 rally.
Assuming the current Low holds, BTC should kick start any time now the new 2025 Bullish Leg, which technically eyes the Higher Highs trend-line of the current Bull Cycle (dotted line). Even if it starts as early as this week, it should target at least $125000.
Do you think that is a plausible scenario, assuming the former Higher Highs trend-line, which has now turned to a pivot, holds? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD: 4H Bull Flag targeting 103,000Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.119, MACD = -816.800, ADX = 35.629) as it may have reached the 4H MA50 today but remains ranged inside a Channel Down since February 4th. According to the 4H RSI, this is technically a Bull Flag pattern like the one on Dec 26th-30th that was also formed during a 4H Death Cross. The Bull Flag bottomed and rebounded to the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. We can be bullish (TP = 103,000) at least on the short term.
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$BTC sideways for now, long-term uptrend intactI’m waiting for CRYPTOCAP:BTC to tap 102k again, or for the yearly open at 93k. Not much happening at the moment, but I see it moving higher.
Most likely, we’ll trade within January’s candle and form an inside bar. The inflection point will be at the extremes of that candle for short-term trades. If it decides to break January’s low, I’d see that as a potential re-entry point.
So, in short:
Continuation above 102k
First possible entry at the yearly open (I think many are watching that area)
Second entry at January’s low (optimal for me)
For now, it’s just consolidation.
Bitcoin bullish momentum ending very soon...Past Cycle Behavior:
Bitcoin showed strong bullish momentum in the past.
Many positive news updates came for Bitcoin and blockchain.
Despite this, Bitcoin completed its cycle and dumped for 13 months.
Current Market Situation (2025):
Bitcoin is now completing a 33-month bullish cycle in October 2025 (similar to past trends).
RSI divergence is forming, which often signals a trend reversal.
Again, positive news is coming for Bitcoin, just like before.
Time Cycle Theory in Trading:
Time cycles often work in financial markets, repeating past patterns.
However, this does not guarantee future price movements.
Risk Management (Important for Beginners):
Always set a Stop Loss (SL) to protect your capital.
Never risk more than 2% of your total trading balance on a single trade.
Even if the analysis is strong, market conditions can change anytime.
short 107900 with tp at 100500 sound legit target it will go here easily and i think much more or bit more
but for no risk i take this legit target after the rally he just done its amazing
i not make stop loss in this scenario coz if he go to 110 000 i will had 1 lot and keep my target
if he go 115 000 same...no leverage if u have small balance then apply your RR
BTCUSD: Falling Wedge close to breaking to $105.5kBitcoin is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.917, MACD = -782.200, ADX = 41.331) but neutral on both 1H and 4H, as it is close to conclude a Falling Wedge. Today the price held the 1H MA50 for the first time after a test of the pattern's top, which increases the chances of a bullish break out. Buy only if the break out happens and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 105,500), which happens to be just under the R1 level.
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Bitcoin is mimicking gold: Fractals are bullish!Bitcoin is following gold in its pattern formation. Fractal analysis of gold and Bitcoin reveals similarities in both charts. While gold is slightly ahead of Bitcoin, the same pattern is emerging on Bitcoin’s chart. If Bitcoin follows gold’s performance, it is likely to break out of this widening wedge pattern and reach new all-time highs, aligning with my previous analysis.