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Bitcoin-btcusd-btc

Bitcoin - This Month Will Decide Everything!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still rather bullish: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 In December of 2024, we saw a little pause during the overall bullish crypto bullrun, which was actually quite expected after the recent rally of about +500%. This could still turn into a false breakout, but since everything looks rather bullish, new all time highs are much more likely. Levels to watch: $70.000, $300.000 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by basictradingtv
21
BITCOIN The minimum target of this Cycle is $185kIf you follow us for long, you know that we are very fond of using Fibonacci levels on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Cycles in order to project future tops and bottoms. Today is one of those analyses, in fact it is a strong variation of the following Inverse Head and Shoulders call: As you can see, that was based on the condition that BTC would make a first hit and rejection on the 0.786 Fib retracement and then (as it happened on the previous Cycle) would go for a Cycle Top on the 2.0 Fibonacci, which gives us a $165k Target. Since the 0.786 Fib never really offered the rejection of the previous 3 Cycles, we are introducing a variation model with new parameters. We take the Fib extension from the bottom of each Cycle to the moment it made contact with the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). As you can see by applying these conditions, every Cycle since BTC's inception has hit at least the 5.0 Fibonacci extension, with all Cycles in fact making a perfect Top there with the exception of 2017, which even exceeded it. As a result, we can claim that this Cycle will have a minimum peak at $185000. How realistic do you think this is for the 'bad case scenario'? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BITCOIN vs GOLD Cycles. Yellow metal leads, BTC lags.In our early years as a channel we used to do a lot of analyses on the similarities of Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Gold (XAUUSD) and how Gold Cycles could help predict BTC's future prices. The latter is called the 'digital Gold' after all. Going back to our roots, we present to you today our latest cross-cycle comparison between the two assets, which offers interesting insights. As you can see, the Cycles of those two aren't always aligned. The correlation tends to end when Gold peaks and when it bottoms. As you can see since 2018, when Gold starts a Bull Cycle, Bitcoin tends to lag behind, still being on its Bear Cycle. Then the two converge and correlate until Gold peaks and start its Bear Cycle. That is still relatively early for Bitcoin's bullish trend, which remains on its Bull Cycle, in fact has around 1 year ahead of it. As a result, the two start to diverge again. Based on this model, it appears that Gold's Bull Cycle has peaked and Bitcoin is entering (black circle) its last stage of its Bull Cycle, with a Parabolic Rally being prepared. Still not too late to buy the 'Digital Gold' on this Cycle. Do you agree with this correlation? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
5
BTCUSD: This is a consolidation and we've seen it before.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 51.151, MACD = -617.400, ADX = 24.376) as it hasn't escaped the right range it's been trading in since late December. The 1W MACD has converged but hasn't made the Cross yet and as long as it doesn't, based on the time cycles, this is most likely a short consolidation that has happened almost exactly during the same time both in January 2024 and 2023. When the 1W MACD made the Bearish Cross, we had the long consolidation phases. By next week we should see this consolidation break to the upside. Our target is the same with the early 2024 breakout, a +195% rise from the bottom (TP = 150,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
1
Bitcoin: Can't Rally Because Of Rates?Bitcoin is consolidating within what appears to be a broad head and shoulders pattern. In my previous week's article I wrote about the break of the inside bar highs which had 4K profit potential (see previous article). I mentioned NOT to expect much more from there. Bitcoin has retraced back into the 90K AREA support zone since. Along with that a similar two inside bar pattern is present after a buying attempt which brings me to what I anticipate next. The two inside bars after a larger bullish candle (see arrow) point to a mini consolidation which if broken can lead to a test of the 100K area (see illustration). Keep in mind, IF the inside bar lows are broken instead, the 90K area can be tested again. Since the broader trend is still bullish, and the 90K support is still intact, I believe there is still a better chance price breaks higher but without any major catalysts behind it, potential is likely limited. It better to take smaller profits in this environment until price can prove there is real buying behind it. What about the broad head and shoulders pattern? I do not give a lot of weight to such patterns, and would not jump to any conclusions just because one is present. Instead I focus on the key support level which is 90K. This also happens to be the low of the previous monthly BEARISH reversal candle. IF this low is compromised, it is possible to see a test of the 85K area sooner than not. Again this is not something that can be forecast, the market has to confirm one way or the other through price action before we can assess risk. One other thing worth mentioning is interest rates are nearing highs. While this may not have a major effect on Bitcoin (especially in recent times), it does strengthen the USD and puts pressure on anti inflationary assets like stocks, gold, etc. A breakout here can act as a another factor that can limit Bitcoin potential for the short term. So you can put your party hats away for a while. In this environment (consolidation), WAIT for support or resistance levels, WAIT for confirmations and look for small bites. Most importantly WAIT for the market to reveal its hand before committing. Thank for you considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
16
ALTSEASON to $3 Trillion with BITCOIN at $200k??This is not the first time we make the comparison of the current Altcoin (Crypto Total Market Cap excluding top 10) Cycle with the 2014 - 2017 one. But it is the first time that we make this comparison, including Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) Cycles. As you can see, there are striking similarities between the Alt Cycles: a) Both bottom formations were in the form of a Cup pattern b) A Pivot trend-line that turned from Resistance to Support c) The MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting once broken until the next Bear Cycle d) A Bull Flag after the MA50 break-out found support on the MA50 and 0.382 Fib and started the Altseason (green Channel Up) e) That Bull Flag started with a MACD Bearish Cross and ended on a Bullish Cross It appears that we are now on the stage where Alts have the 1st consolidation of the Parabolic Rally. What's remarkable and the key difference between the two Cycles, is that this time BTC has diverged massively and made a new All Time High (ATH), while alts haven't. Of course this is directly attributed to the Bitcoin ETF, which attracted enormous amounts of capital that pumped the asset beyond the technical restrictions of this model. This may be an indication however, that part of this capital may be diverted to Alts, once partial BTC profit taking takes place, as it has happened during every Altseason. In any event, if the Cycle continues to replicate the 2017 rally, it should reach the -1.5 Fibonacci extension, which would translate to at least a $3 Trillion Altcoin Market Cap, while Bitcoin would be close to the $200k level! That may seem unrealistic in terms of market cap, but so did the levels during the 2020/21 and 2017 rallies. It all depends on whether Bitcoin can continues to attract outside capital with this pace, which will in turn grow interest on the rest of the crypto market and also on the rate of adoption (companies, consumer use of crypto). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTOCAP:OTHERSLong
by TradingShot
2
BITCOIN A long term investment target.Bitcoin is trading inside a Channel Up since the top of the 2017 Cycle. It was supported by the 1W MA50 in August and that kept alive this Bull Cycle's Channel Up. The last year of the previous Cycle was 2021 and throught its course, the 1W MA50 was in support. Even if the 2025 Phase fails to peak at the top of the 8 year Channel Up, it can still complete the phase on the Channel's 0.75 Fib and technically looks like a minimum. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price as a long term investment. Targets: 1. 250000 (0.75 Fib and smaller Channel Up top). Tips: 1. The RSI (1w) should be near 90.00 when the Cycle top is priced. Use it as a complementary indicator in order to close the position earlier if 90.00 is reached before the price hits 250000. Please like, follow and comment!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingBrokersView
BITCOIN Cycle Top can be as high as $200kBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started 2025 on high volatility amidst geopolitical and economic news input. 2025 is the last year of this Bull Cycle, according to the Cycles Theory which for more than a decade has been very accurate at predicting Cycle Tops and Bottoms. ** LGC, MMB and Pi Cycle * On today's analysis we present to you this view in more detail by displaying Bitcoin's Logarithmic Growth Channel (LGC) with the addition of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) and the Pi Cycle trend-lines. From the MMB we use its extremes, the 3SD above (red trend-line), which is the Mayer Top and the 3SD below (black trend-line), which is the Mayer Bottom. From the Pi Cycle we use a tighter range, its top trend-line (orange) and bottom trend-line (green), which form a zone that typically serves as more of a 'Fair Value' before the Bear Cycle's extreme selling and Bull Cycle's extreme buying (Parabolic Rally). ** Current Cycle in 2025 ** As mentioned, BTC has entered the last year of its current Bull Cycle. Based on this cyclical pattern, the 3 previous Tops have been either on a November or December. As a result, we expect the new Cycle Top to start forming by November 2025. The last one was formed above the Pi Cycle Top (never hit the Mayer Top) and on the 2nd LGC Zone from the top. This suggests that even if the price barely tests the bottom for the LGC 2nd Zone from the Top, by November 2025 we should be close to $200000. Technically the projected Peak Zone should be within the 180k - 200k range. That may still be below the Pi Cycle Top, so technically we can argue that it is a fair scenario to expect and not an overly optimistic. Unrealistic or not, this is what 3 separate traditional long-term models suggest. But what do you think? Is a $180-200k Top a realistic expectation within 2025? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
46
BITCOIN New year, same thing..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just reclaimed the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) over the weekend and is so far successfully holding it below the price action, making it a Support. The exact same price action took place in January last year (2024). In fact, as these 1D charts very vividly illustrate, the whole sequence from the September 06 2024 Low to today, is very similar to the sequence from the September 11 2023 Low to (so far) January 2024. This incredible degree of symmetry is also extending to their 1D RSI and MACD fractals. The first formed Bearish Divergences under Lower Highs trend-lines, which when broken confirm the new rally, while the latter (MACD) was the early buy signal when it formed a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. If BTC continues to copy the January 2024 fractal, then we should be expecting a few more days of sideways price action, that will pave the way for the new (2nd) Rally Phase of the whole pattern. The 2nd rally peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 11 2023 Low, so if the pattern replication continues, we may see a peak above $150k. So do you think the early 2024 bullish break-out will be repeated? And if yes, are you expecting a peak as high as $150000? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Bitcoin: Bullish Until 90K Is Broken.Bitcoin has found support in the low 90K area (read my previous week's analysis). As long as 90K stays intact it is within reason to continue to have bullish expectations. Also wrote in the previous article that overly optimistic expectations are not in line with the developing price structure. Based on the inside bar formation that is developing now (see arrow), price is likely to test the 102,500 area minor resistance. IF it gets there, and what happens after is anyone's GUESS. The idea here is to be prepared for the coming week by coming to the market with a sense of context while at the same time being open to ANYTHING. The market decides what actually happens, the only thing we can do is adjust and follow. I like to think of everything within a limited range of scenarios. "If this scenario, then that" or "if this other scenario, then that other outcome". For example, IF the current candle closes as a doji and the high is cleared over the next day, price is likely to squeeze into the next resistance area which happens to be in the 102Ks (see thin rectangle). This information can help you to prepare for bullish setups and confirmations on smaller time frames to capture a portion of the 4K point potential. This is where a confirmation tool like my Trade Scanner Po comes into play. You come to the market with an idea and the tool provides an objective confirmation with defined risk and profit objective. IF the current candle develops into a bearish engulfing instead, that would cancel out the bullish idea and increase the likelihood of price retesting the 90K AREA support zone. A location where long setups should be anticipated UNTIL the level is compromised. Again the market moves first, and then from there we can better anticipate the following movement. At this point there is not much to do but wait for a confirmation one way or the other. The 100K area may also act as a psychological resistance so taking swing trades or positions with longer time horizons carries a lot more risk compared to signals around the low 90ks. How you navigate the market depends heavily on the time horizon you choose. Smaller time horizons have smaller associated risk, but a larger amount of noise and false signals. Larger time frames are less noisy and offer larger movements, but the risk is much greater. It is possible to operate on multiple time frames but requires a decent amount of experience. And while Bitcoin is still generally bullish, that does not mean it will stay that way. It is better to keep an open mind than to get married to an opinion ESPECIALLY if the source of that opinion came from some "expert". For better perspective, keep an eye on the weekly or monthly time frame. If the low of the current monthly candle is compromised, some kind of corrective move is likely to follow, NOT BTC 1.2 million. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
29
Bitcoin: 90K Break Monthly Sell Signal.Bitcoin has rejected the 99,500K resistance area establishing a LOWER HIGH (see arrow). This is a BEARISH sign that increases the chances of a 90K support break. At the same time, price is back inside of a broader support zone (90 to 95K) which may see a brief reversal develop as well. In order to utilize this information which may appear to be conflicting, you must know what time frame you are looking to capitalize on. The key is to be able to adjust when the market confirms one way of the other. Forecasting absolute scenarios is ineffective. The 90K support area is a key level. A bullish reversal is likely to appear somewhere in this zone which may be good for a brief retest of the mid to higher 90Ks, but I would not expect much more than that. It maybe worth a swing trade (upon confirmation) for 1 or 2K points. If 90K breaks instead, then this scenario is NO longer in play. The rejection of the 99,500 resistance signifies weakness that should be NO SURPRISE since price is coming off of a broader Wave 5. This move also establishes a BEARISH pin bar on the monthly chart. A break below the low of this candle will also constitute a broader time frame sell signal. This event CAN be the beginning of the next corrective structure that can see price retest the mid 80Ks or even as low as the 70K area (pre election peak) over the next quarter. Hard to believe after all the Michael Saylor thumbnails on Youtube recently. Lesson: Don't buy highs, especially when every Youtube thumbnail has his face on it along with an outrageous price objective. I think the only people fooled by this nowadays are little kids. The Wave 5 that has completed establishes a larger Wave 3 (the bottom of which is 15K). This means the coming corrective cycle Can persist for the next two years and may be very similar to a recent yearly Wave 4 in Gold which took two years to break out of. Wave 4s are typically consolidations and can be very confusing especially when they test their lows. This will be very important for long term investors to to aware of since it there are likely to be opportune dollar cost average prices (just make sure you understand how to weight and avoid leverage). Being familiar with wave counts is very helpful when it comes to recognizing important turning points and what to generally expect in the near future. It serves as an effective context to consider when utilizing other more specific pattern oriented strategies. The market provides the evidence, and then we adjust to improve probabilities, every else is a function of the risk we choose to take. Have a safe and Happy New Year and thank you again for considering my analysis.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
19
BITCOIN What lies ahead after this correction? The DXY x-factor.Bitcoin (BTCUS) is having in the past 2 weeks the technical correction is should based on the previous Bull Cycle. As you can see, since the U.S. elections it has rallied aggressively past its previous All Time High (ATH), same way it did in December 2020. ** Bitcoin and Doge during 2020 ** At the same time, the alt coin market was mostly consolidating in preparation of a bullish break-out. A representative example of such behavior would be Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) as seen in orange on this chart, which during BTC's December 2020 rally, it was consolidating/ pulling-back (green circle) from an initial rally. However it remained significantly below its previous ATH, the same way it is now. ** The DXY decline sparking crypto rallies ** Notice the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), displayed by the green trend-line on this chart. Right now it is has been rallying in the past three months, at the same time as Bitcoin has. In the previous Cycle in 2020, it hit a top during the COVID March 2020 market crash and with the smashing of the Interest Rates, it started a Channel Down decline that backed perfectly Bitcoin's rally. We has the exact same DXY-backed rally during Bitcoin's 2017 Bull Cycle. As a result, we are seeing a paradox on the current Cycle: BTC entering its most aggressive phase (Parabolic Rally) of the Bull Cycle and rallying despite DXY rising. That is attributed of course to a large extent to the huge ETF inflows (something that wasn't present in 2020). ** Overdue DXY decline? ** This leads us to believe that an overdue decline on the DXY, just as the Fed has initiated a new cut Cycle (as they did during the COVID crash), will push Bitcoin and especially the alts market, including Doge, to a new rally. Of course DXY's decline may not be as aggressive this time, as the stimulus shouldn't be that high (especially with Powell's recent remarks on a 2 rate cut expectation in 2025 instead of the previous projection of 4), but it could be enough to spark the final BTC rally of the Bull Cycle and the much anticipated Altseason. So do you think the market will rally once more on a potential 'delayed' DXY drop? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
BITCOIN Are you scared enough? Or need to see more pain?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) touched its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in more than 2 months (since October 11) and is rebounding. The first presence of short-term buyers was actually felt on Friday, when the price came close to the MA50 again and rebounded aggressively. This is a natural technical reaction during such aggressive uptrends. The key Support level during BTC Bull Cycles however is the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which has been supporting since March 2023 and was successfully tested (and held) twice on August 05 and September 06, the last of which was technically the start of the current Bullish Leg. ** The Fibonacci Channel Up ** Bullish Legs are technically part of Channels and this time is no different as Bitcoin has been trading on a Fibonacci Channel Up since the very bottom of the last Bear Cycle in November 21 2021. As you can see, we have classified the price action on this pattern in Phases, each of whom trades within one range upwards, which is why the Fibonacci Channel succeeds at accurately displaying BTC's current logarithmic rise during this Cycle. ** The Phases and the high symmetry ** Phase 1 (blue Channel) traded within the Fib 0.0 - 1.0 range, Phase 2 (green Channel) within the Fib 0.5 - 1.5 range and we expect a 3rd one, Phase 3 (red Channel) to trade within the Fib 1.0 - 2.0 range. As you may assume, there is high symmetry between sequences, Legs and pull-backs within this pattern and the one that stands out is that rallies so far tend to record +100% rises. More specifically, both the April 14 2023 and January 11 2024 Highs of +100% rallies, then pulled back towards the 0.382 Fib retracement level, the first didn't hit it, the second almost did. ** Will we test the 1D MA100? ** But that is the rally that displays the most similarities with the current one and after hitting its 1D MA50, it broke even lower and only found Support and bounced on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). You can see even how identical their 1D RSI sequences are, which are Channel Down patterns that started showing a bearish divergence much earlier than the top. Right now the RSI is holding the 45.00 neutral level, but the January 2024 and the 2023 fractals turned into a buy on the key 36.00 level, which is bearish territory. Even though Bull Cycles tend to get more and more aggressive as we approach the end of the Cycle and ignore previous Support levels, the 1D MA100 is currently at $79250 and rising, indicating that it can 'meet' the price on lower levels than currently, assuming how quickly the RSI also hits 36.00 (any of the two conditions hits first, the cyclical buy signal can be valid). ** The remainder of the Bull Cycle ** Beyond that, we expect the next High, as we've already entered Phase 3, to be on the -0.5 horizontal Fibonacci extension (as March 13 2024 was) and on the 2.0 Channel Fibonacci ext at a price of $150000, which is the next technical extension of the Channel. After that, you can see that both Phase 1 and 2 started multi-month Accumulation phases with a potential maximum correction to the 0.382 Fib again and as Phase 3 concludes (and possibly the whole Bull Cycle), we may see another +100% rally and a possible Top at $200000. So for the current situation the key question is as mentioned on the title: 'Are you scared enough?' now the 1D MA50 has been tested? Because we may very well drop as low as the 1D MA100 before the Fear & Greed Index turns market sentiment to 'Fear' again and makes the majority misjudge the market activity as they always have. What do you think will happen next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
2
Bitcoin: Time To Remove The Party Hats?Bitcoin may be on the verge of compromising the 90K support which I will interpret as a sign that the next broader corrective cycle MAY be beginning (Wave (IV)). IF this is the case, you can remove your Bitcoin 200K party hats for at least a YEAR or two. Gold had a similar outcome a few years back and persisted in a consolidation for two years before it broke out. A corrective cycle does NOT mean Bitcoin is going back to 50K (anything is possible though). It just means a prolonged consolidation may be on the horizon which will provide swing trade and investment opportunities for those who know what to WAIT for. The arrow on the chart points to the 92K support that is in play at the moment. At as long as 90K is not broken, I anticipate at least one more attempt to test the high. This short term up leg is likely to test the 100K area. IF the higher high (break of 108) does not culminate from the next price advance, then it would be wise to reduce risk, lock in profits and LOWER expectations until bullish short term price structure can rebuild itself. IF 90K is broken, the next inflection point on this time frame is the 86K area. Great profit objective for those bold enough to short this thing. If 86K is cleared, then its the low 80K area. Again this is one scenario of countless, the key is confirming the price action that supports this possibility, NOT to expect it. This is NOT a forecasting game, it is a interpreting and adjusting game. With the major holiday week on the horizon, it would be best NOT to expect a LOT of action. Volume typically declines, and movements become very muted or you can get slow grinds that just stubbornly persist to some key level. Either way, it is usually best to avoid such markets, ESPECIALLY if you look at smaller time frames. As far the the highs at 108K, anyone that bought anywhere above 100K is NOW at the mercy of the market. This is why I always warn my followers about buying into highs. Chances are you won't take your profits when the peak unfolds because you won't know its the peak until WAY after the fact. When I hear about people who have NO idea what Bitcoin is, now interested in "investing" in it, that screams THE PARTY IS OVER, for now. The best times to get in are usually when no one is paying attention, and for Bitcoin and the alt coins, that seems to take about a year or two from the peak. If you can't take the heat, don't play with fire (or Bitcoin). Thank for you considering y analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
18
BITCOIN → Bearish Pressure !!!Bitcoin has formed a bearish head and shoulders pattern on the hourly time frame. This pattern could potentially lead to a price drop to around $99,000 after the pattern breaks. But as long as this pattern does not break, we cannot say that the price is bearish. Therefore, we should wait for this pattern to break to confirm a bearish trend. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Short
by CobraVanguard
4
BITCOIN Will the Channel Up hold or has the Fed condemned it?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is having an impressive sustainable price action within the Channel Up pattern since November 12, which despite yesterday's Fed fueled pull-back, is still holding. If it holds, it may follow the same pattern that it did exactly 1 year ago. As you see, it was again in November 2023 that it traded within a Channel Up, which was supported by the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) since October 11. After it broke out, the price reached the 7.0 Fibonacci extension level from the October low, before correcting again. The situation is very similar today, the 4H MA200 is also holding since Oct 11, the price also formed a 4H Golden Cross on Sep 18, while both fractals started their impressive rallies around the same date (Sep 06 2023 and Sep 11 2024 respectively). As a result, if the 4H MA200 holds, we can expect BTC to target the 7.0 Fib ext next at $135000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
BITCOIN Next top is going to surprise you but it SHOULDN'T !!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke yet another benchmark, the psychological level of $100k. The market cap is growing and many claim that it can't keep rising as the capitalization would be at unrealistic levels. For one capital inflows seem to be very comfortable right now with BTC investments and there are still billions waiting at the side for the right investment in 2025. Fundamentals aside, Bitcoin's historic patterns and price action gives us even more reasons to expect (much) higher prices and a Cycle Top that could surprise many. ** Fibonacci Channel Up ** First of all, we've plotted a Channel Up starting from BTC's first Bear Cycle and displayed the Fibonacci retracement levels on it. As you can see, those fit perfectly and catch each Cycle's tops and bottoms very accurately: 1) June 2011 Top on the 0.618 Fib. November 2011 Bottom on the 0.0 Fib. 2) December 2013 Top on the 1.0 Fib. August 17 2015 Bottom on the 0.382 Fib. 3) December 2017 Top on the 1.0 Fib. December 2018 bottom on the 0.5 Fib. 4) April 2021 Top on the 0.786 Fib. November 2022 bottom on the 0.236 Fib. ** Pi Cycle and MM Bands ** Then we have applied the Pi Cycle trend-lines 1 (orange) and 2 (green), which are key trend Resistance and Support levels respectively, combined with the MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) and MMB SD3 below (black trend-line), which are also historically almost the absolute Resistance and Support levels respectively. In the middle of all these is the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which during the Parabolic Rally phases (like the one we are currently on), is Bitcoin's main upward force. ** Covering at least 4 Fib ranges ** As you can see, all Cycles broke above at least the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) before making a Top. The first two Cycles even hit the MMB SD3 above (red). Also each Cycle has a proportional Fibonacci Channel level range, covering at least 4 Fib bands (as described above). Cycle 1 covered Fibs 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236 and 0.0. Cycle 2 covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 3 also covered Fibs 1.0, 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382. Cycle 4 covered Fibs 0.786, 0.618, 0.5, 0.382, 0.236. ** Surprise Top ** The MMB SD3 above (red trend-line) is now below Fib 0.618 and it is less likely for BTC to hit it since Cycle 3 didn't. As a result, it is possible that the next Top will be on Fib 0.5 at best (maximum). If that is succeeded towards the end of 2025, and assuming that the Pi Cycle trend-line 1 (orange) breaks by then as it always has on every previous Cycle, that gives us a target range for the next Cycle Top within $250k - $350k! Do you still think that's unrealistic? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
8
BITCOIN The Volatility Index points to strong consolidation nextLast time we analyzed Bitcoin (BTCUSD) in relation to the Volatility Index (VIX), was 4 months ago (August 22, see chart below) and was an extremely successful projection as we took advantage of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) bottom and predicted the $100k Target, which recently got hit: Once more, we decided to seek the (mostly) negatively correlated patterns of VIX (chart on the right) to determine BTC's (chart on the left) price action in the coming months. Based on VIX's Channel Down, the fact that it broke below its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and now is rebounding indicates that BTC may be entering a weekly consolidation phase. As you can see on VIX's chart, every time it broke below the 1W MA50 and started rising, Bitcoin entered a multi-week consolidation phase that sometimes was quick and others many months in length. Its 1W RSI is also at a level that relates to all those consolidation phases. In our opinion this consolidation has more probabilities of being similar to December 04 2023 - January 29 2024, as the post August 2024 rally resembles more the rally that started on August 2023. This highlights the high degree of symmetry within Bitcoin's 2-year Channel Up. If it continues to replicate that huge Bullish Leg, then we might as well see the rally peaking upon a +195.27% rise again. That could target $145000 by May 2025, which technically would also be marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci Channel extension, similar to the March 11 2024 High. So what do you think? Is it possible for Bitcoin to enter a multi-week consolidation now? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
4