Bitcoin-btcusd-btc
Bitcoin short-term update - 🚨Attention: Double Top🟠pattern Bitcoin short-term update
(a) BTC with pump to price resistance $18,355 incl. rising volume👀
(b) RSI overbought
(c) next bullish target $18,750🐂
(d) next bearish target $18,000🐻
🚨Attention: Double Top🟠pattern possible🚨
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
Bitcoin (BTC) Update 1/11/2022Bitcoin price surged yesterday as it closed with higher-than-average volume. The surge in price has continued until today as it tries to escape the trend channel as well as its current resistance price at 18300. This escape will likely be successful provided that it gets the same volume of trades as yesterday.
BITCOIN 1D Can break TrendLine? According to the drawn trend line and the resistance zone, we still have the resistance of the trend line and until this zone, if not broken the trend will not rise.
If the line breaks, the analysis process will be updated.
Its not Buy or Sell SIGNAL
DYOR
BY : M.TeriZ - @AtonicShark
Bitcoin short-term view - bearish divergence on RSI🚨Bitcoin short-term update
(a) BTC reached my mentioned target of $17,500
(b) bearish divergence on RSI🚨
(c) healthy consolidation to $17.190 likely IMO (meet SMA🟡EMA🔵🐻
(d) next bullish target $18,000🐂
Keep you updated dear Crypto Nation👀
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Disclaimer:
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Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
BITCOIN Major 1WRSI bullish breakout but heavy Resistances aboveBitcoin (BTCUSD) broke above its 1W RSI Lower Highs trend-line that was holding since January 2021! As you realize this is a major bullish break-out on the long-term scale and as the price turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into a Support, it is staging a bull run.
However there are still significant Resistance levels ahead. The first is the Lower Highs trend-line that started on the August 15 2022 High but perhaps the most critical one is the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), currently at 19545, which is unbroken since December 31 2021. The Lower Highs trend-line of the November 10 2021 High may be the oldest Resistance running, but technically there is more weight on the 1D MA200. Finally, breaking above the 25200 August 15 High, would mean the first Higher High since the 2021 market top.
There is still significant road to cover, as the Bullish Megaphone pattern that BTC is trading in since the November FTX crash could be another sell accumulation pattern, common within the 2021/22 Bear Cycle (see the dotted Rising Wedge, Channel Up patterns). As a result, a break below its bottom (Lower Lows) can lead to the 15500 Support again, even a new Low closer to 15000. But arguably the 1W RSI Lower Highs break-out after 2 years, is a signal that shouldn't go unnoticed but unfortunately such signals among extreme psychological states (greed/ fear) tend to go unnoticed near market tops of bottoms.
Do you think this is an early sign of a market bottom and bullish reversal? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Closed above 1D MA50 for the first time in 2 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has closed a 1D candle and is now comfortably trading above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2 months (since November 07 2022), turning it into a Support.
The pattern since the August 15 High is a Channel Down, within a Falling Wedge (since the June 18 2022 Low). Having lasted for almost 6 months, this can be viewed as a huge accumulation zone. In any case, there are certain fully distinct formation within this pattern.
The price action since the FTX crash started on November 06, is quite similar to that since the August 15 High. As you see both peaked on a (red) Channel, made their fist fake-out above the 1D MA50 on the (red) circle, second on the (red) Flag and the price is now back above it as it was on October 25/26, potentially forming the final Channel that will test the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down. There is also an inner Lower Highs trend-line involved (dashed).
The 1D RSI is also repeating a similar pattern. So where do we stand now? Well a break below the 1D MA50, or even more accurately the Internal (dotted) Higher Lows trend-line) should be bearish targeting the 15500 Support (November 21 Low) or even a Lower Low on the Falling Wedge's bottom.
On the upside, a break above the top of the Channel Down/ Wedge, is the first bullish sign but we won't consider it confirmed on its own. Ideally we want to see a closing above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been unbroken since 2021 (December 31), in order to justify a long-term bullish reversal. In that case, potential targets in succession will be the Fibonacci retracement levels, which as you see since the June Low, align (almost) perfectly with Support and Resistance levels.
What do you think will happen next? Do you expect BTC to break again below the 1D MA50 or hold it and finally test the 1D MA200 first? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Financial Wave. BTCOur preferred scenario in BTC brought prices to the target that we have indicated in past reviews. The movement in wave (c) looks almost complete, growth may stop in the range of $17337-17513, and we’ll need to evaluate the behavior of Bitcoin at these levels in order to understand its further prospects.
Bitcoin Inverted: BTC Macro Bearish3 Month Intervals, Log, Inverted. (inverting BTC can sometimes help avoid bias provide a different perspective on price. )
- Looking at this objectively (as possible), BTC looks like it has broken resistance at $17,200.
- RSI looks bearish with a 4 year divergence that has broken the 50 band across multiple exchanges.
- Expectation: Possible retest of $17,200 to start the year before move beyond $13k with initial low target of $7k supported by a trend-based Fib extension.
Harbouring a macro bearish bias across equities and perhaps too much Robert Prechter recently so taken with a pinch of salt.
Best, HF
Bitcoin short-term view - BTC near volume resistance $16,960👀Bictoin short-term update
(a) BTC with pump near volume resistance $16,960👀
(b) bullish if we break above - target $17,500🐂
(b) bearish if we lose SMA+EMA support - target $16,530🐻
Have a great Day dear Crypto Nation😎
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Disclaimer:
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Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
BITCOIN Perfect symmetry with 2015 shows recovery is imminentBitcoin (BTCUSD) has been practically flat since the early November FTX crash, which was a big blow fundamentally for the market. On the 1W time-frame, this is not the first time though we see similar RSI and MACD behavior. On this chart we compare Bitcoin's price action since the April 2021 High to the Bear Cycle of 2014/15.
** The true Cycle High **
As you see there are certain striking similarities. First of all, as we've mentioned numerous times on Tradingshot , BTC's true technical top of the previous Bull Cycle was in April 2021. The October/ November 2021 rise was the extension at the peak of the tech bubble caused by trillions of 2020 rescue packages.
** Lower Highs, 1W MA50/100, RSI and MACD **
The first similarity is that the duration between each Cycle's High 1 and High 2, which is where the Lower Highs trend-line (dashed) started, was 30 weeks in 2021 and 27 weeks in 2014. During that time, the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) was supporting.
After the price broke below it, following the start of the Lower Highs trend-line, it hit the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). During that whole time, the 1W MACD was on a decreasing rate, as the red histogram shows, while the 1W RSI formed an identical print.
After a rejection on the Lower Highs trend-line, Bitcoin broke below the 1W MA100 and dropped significantly, forming the lowest RSI level. That started a Higher Lows (RSI) trend-line, which is holding to this day. At the same time the MACD has flattened.
It is also interesting to see that the duration from the RSI Low up until the Bearish Cross between the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100 was 12 weeks in 2022 and 13 weeks in 2015. Again almost perfect symmetry between the two fractals.
** Where are we today? **
Getting closer to today, this time BTC maintains a considerably distance from its 1W MA50 (roughly at 26700 now) that it was in May/ June 2015 after breaking above the Lower Highs (dashed) trend-line. A rejection on the 1W MA50 caused one last low before the recovery started with Bitcoin never looking back on Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
This time however the MACD is already near the same distance as in July 2015. The last low in August 2015 was 18 weeks after the 1W MA50/100 Bearish Cross. Today, we are on the 17th week since the September 05 2022 1W MA50/100 Bearish Cross.
Does this mean that the recovery is imminent? It looks like even with a few weeks of delay, Bitcoin may be close to starting the first rally of the next Bull Cycle and never look back.
Do you agree? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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BTC is testing $17K and preparing for a possible drop to $15KAfter it failed to break the Fibo 38 level @ $17800, Bitcoin is testing Fibo 23 level @ $17000 and is preparing for a possible drop to $15000 and even $13000 levels, Signs of weakness appeared clearly especially on smaller time frames, where a reflective candle formed on the hourly chart, we still need to see how the daily candle will ends.
BITCOIN The January effect. Bottom's in?January of 2023 finds Bitcoin (BTCUSD) on an interesting place. There is a recurring pattern on every BTC Cycle in relation to the January after a Bear Market. As this 1W chart shows, every time Bitcoin is sitting within the MA350 (green trend-line) and Multiple 2 (blue trend-line), the market has already formed its Bottom and the price either consolidates or starts rising almost immediately.
This has previously happened on January 2019, January 2015 and January 2015. After the price broke above Multiple 2, it never looked back (exception COVID March 2020 Black Swan event) and rose for 1.5 - 2 years.
At the time of the January bottoms, the PSO was historically oversold at -1.00. Same level it is now. Do you think we have a new "January effect" and the market has bottomed? Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Bullish Consolidation - Coiling Up Ready to STRIKE!Hello!
On this chart you'll see that Bitcoin is coiling up in a bullish consolidation pattern called a SYMMETRICAL TRIANGLE.
Bitcoin LOVES Symmetrical Triangles. The LONGER they play out the STRONGER they are.
This one possibly has the power to sling Bitcoin to 100K.
Bitcoin has STRONG support in the 30K region and will likely be rejected by the 200 Daily MA and dip back down into this DEMAND ZONE before completing the pattern and BLASTING OFF INTO OUTER SPACE. This is obviously where the whales want to buy. Once their warehouses are full at this price they will HODL and cause a supply shock.
2022 is gonna be LIT.
Peace, Love, & Crypto,
B166er
Bitcoin🚨🚨🚨👀 - Next trial to break above $16,960Bitcoin🚨🚨🚨👀
Next trial to break above $16,960
THE mid-term volume profile level IMO
Fingers crossed dear BTC and Crypto Nation😎
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Disclaimer:
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Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
Bitcoin short-term view - BTC with second Fakeout below $16,5kBitcoin short-term update
(a) BTC with a second Fakeout below $16,530
(b) bearish target still $15,800 if we lose above mentioned support
(c) bullish if we break above resistance channel + SMA + EMA🐂
Have a great Day dear Crypto Nation😎
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Likes and Follow for updates appreciated🤗
Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
BITCOIN Happy New Year! 2023 the Year of Recovery?First and foremost on this second trading day of 2023, the TradingShot team would like to wish everyone on this community a Happy New Year, may each and everyone's goals be achieved!
2022 ended, took a whole of negative fundamentals with it (war, LUNA, FTX) and closed the yearly candle in (deep) red. As you see on this 12M (12 month) time-frame, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) had another two red 12M candles throughout its history and naturally those were the Bear Cycle years. Three green yearly candles followed after 2014 just as another three after the 2018 Bear Cycle candle.
Technically, the year that follows the red 12M candle is a recovery candle that hits and closes around the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line). That level is currently at 37627.10 and running flat (sideways). Do you expect history to repeat itself following the 2022 Bear Cycle candle and close 2023 around $37k before the Bull Cycle really takes off?
Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN, Wyckoff Dynamics to Setup HUGE ALTERATION!Hello Community,
the year 2022 has finished and the start of 2023 has been initiated. The year 2022 was a year of extremely volatile market conditions showing the results of a longer series of economic events like fallouts in supply chains and partial sectors on the verge of a completely new way of overthinking their place in the economy causing the financial markets to reiterate the positions of assets and showing massive disruptions within the financial markets and so also in the cryptocurrency market, huge chain-reaction events triggered massive volatility within the markets and caused the central banks to intervene against inflationary pressures spreading with the roots in several factors which fuel the heavy inflation like energy shortage, monetary expansion, and supply chain disruptions. And in all of this market turmoil remain Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency market while the price action was highly volatile with many peaks and valleys continuously through the year 2022 the technological adoption and preparedness of Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency to be adopted on a mass scale have not declined to pre-levels seen before 2022. Now with these given factors established in 2022 the question of how the dynamics will develop through the next times moving forward into 2023. With this lineup, it is preeminent to consider the technical analysis components as I have done it in my Wyckoff analysis put together the puzzle pieces of fundamentals and market behavior in the visual element of technical price action.
In my chart, you can watch the underlying Wyckoff dynamics within the Bitcoin price action and I am going to discuss them in the following, where Bitcoin is standing now out of the Wyckoff perspective and what movements are likely to be expected when applying the Wyckoff projections during the current market phase.
Completed Phases
Phase A:
Within the first phase of the Wyckoff accumulation dynamics to be watched with Bitcoin massive selling pressure hit the market and Bitcoin moved into important support zones to first establish the PS- Preliminary Support point where Bitcoin moved into previous supports and an initial inner price action bounce has showed up indicating that the area between $19,500 and $20,500 can be a good point of support for a potential reversal. Once Bitcoin completed the PS Bitcoin moved into the final SC- Selling Climax point where the most selling pressure in the whole structure unloaded in the price action and Bitcoin reached the initial low of $17,700 from where the first bounce emerged. Now the AR- Automatic Rally was driven by investor's and trader's silver lining to see a fast and strong recovery in the whole cryptocurrency market and a relief rally because of faster Web3, Metaverse, and NFT adoption and developments, this rally has been partially fulfilled with some solid volume coming in to establish new highs that preceded the PS lows.
Phase B:
The second phase B has been the phase in which the market literally prepared on the FTX collapse that caused Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies to dump sharply. The significant factor here is the 40- Moving Average of Bitcoin because the price action the whole time stayed below the 40-MA marked in blue in my chart this was the first important indication for Bitcoin to dump more sharply as Bitcoin did not managed to form new highs and indeed this was also a difficult time as the market also struggled because of the Luna, Celsius, and Voyager Digital crashes aftereffects. And then the final trigger for the massive dump and sharp decline to the downside has been the final FTX collapse with the information of misuse of customer funds in the FTX exchange the market reacted immediately on this news and Bitcoin as well as the whole Cryptocurrency price plummeted heavily to initiate the phase C in the Wyckoff accumulation dynamic.
Phase C:
This is the most determining phase in the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic to watch in my Bitcoin price chart because after the heavy FTX collapse the market managed to hold crucial support below the previous support level at the $15,500 zone and do not break below this level which was an important sign of strength within the market and Bitcoin showing that there is still potential for a reversal after the market crashes. while data showed that Bitcoin holders accumulate further Bitcoin and smart money market operator's open interest also increases in Bitcoin this caused the main stabilization in this area and Bitcoin initially rallied to test the previous support which is now still resistance at the $18,000 level. what is important in this phase C is also that right after the market crashed major volume moved into the market and caused the initial price rally, higher volume at such lower prices is always an central indicator of price stabilization.
Upcoming Phases
Phase D1:
Now as Bitcoin initiated the final test of the spring which is the most determining part of the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic this is a phase where Bitcoin is finally in the end-stage of the decision phase and when Bitcoin managed to bounce in this test area again and show a solid support dynamic from where Bitcoin breaks out above the $18,200 level this will be the sign that Bitcoin has the abilities to continue further and finish the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic as it is appropriate. Also a really paramount factor, in this case, will be the fact that when Bitcoin bounces above the $18,200 level this will be a setup from where Bitcoin also bounced above the 40-MA marking a final reversal of the 40-MA as the resistance and confirming it as support. With this setup, Bitcoin will provide the final cornerstone of a further completion of the whole Wyckoff accumulation dynamic.
Phase D2 and Phase E:
As phase D is the phase in which Bitcoin shows the final completion of the whole accumulation the second stage of phase D is where the initiation process into a new volatility area is going to emerge. Once Bitcoin has finalized the test and the breakout above the $18,200 zone together with the 40-MA this will be the point where Bitcoin is likely to bounce above the $21,400 resistance and above this area forming an LPS- Last Point of Supply in which Bitcoin will have good chances to stay above the previous resistance and confirm it as support, also a goos factor, in this case, will be when Bitcoin increases the volume moving forward to offer a final bounce into the upper areas and showing an SOS- Sign of Strength in which the volatility, price action, and volume should bounce massively to complete the whole Wyckoff accumulation with the final breakout into the phase E and continuation of the established positive trend dynamics.
Now as I described the underlying factors of the Bitcoin Wyckoff accumulation dynamics going on here we can already see that Bitcoin is moving into a really interesting and amazing decision phase in which Bitcoin will decide if the ability to convert into a massive expansion potential despite seemingly negative macroeconomic developments will unfold again as it happened several times in the past. What has to be mentioned is that this is not the first time Bitcoin is in such a market phase and it always turned out to be a silver lining as Bitcoin and the Cryptocurrency market always managed to come back stronger as established before and return to new heights. Especially as inflation is on a way to lower levels than established during 2022 and the FED looking to slow down more aggressive rate hikes this has good potential to be an additional positive factor contributing to the fact that Bitcoin completes the Wyckoff accumulation dynamic as it is projected. I am going to monitor the dynamic and see how the developments move in the further trading sessions.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching. Hopefully, everybody of you had a good start to the New Year of 2023 and in this manner let us move into the New Year together and celebrate a New Year also for Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency.
The information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
BITCOIN always rallied when these 3 indicators alignedThis is our last Bitcoin (BTCUSD) chart for 2022 and brings together the CN10Y (purple line), the U.S. Dollar Index (green trend-line) and the LTCBTC pair (orange trend-line). We've mentioned countless times in the past the importance of the DXY on Bitcoin and the strong effect that Litecoin (LTC) has as a leading indicator. Recently we've also made cases of the strong correlation of China's Bond Yields with BTC.
This cross study brings together all three and compares their price action against BTC. As you see, since BTC's early days, every time the CN10Y made a V-shaped reversal and started to rebound breaking its Lower Highs trend-line, while the DXY started to fall after a rejection on its Higher Highs trend-line and the LTCBTC pair broke above its Falling Wedge, Bitcoin was in the early stages of a hyper aggressive rally.
With the stock markets not at their best but having posted a 2 month recovery, while the cryptocurrency market's credibility viciously hammered by the FTX and LUNA collapses, will this strong 3 indicator emergence be enough to put Bitcoin back into long-term bullish territory?
Feel free to let me know in the comments section below!
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You may also TELL ME 🙋♀️🙋♂️ in the comments section which symbol you want me to analyze next and on which time-frame. The one with the most posts will be published tomorrow! 👏🎁
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Bitcoin mid-term view - watch out for $16,960 and $16,530🚨🚨$16,960 and $16,530🚨🚨
THAT are THE nearest mid-term volume profile levels to watch out for dear Bitcoin and Crypto Nation
That simple - that clear‼️
If we fall below further huge BTC discount might come into play💸
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
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Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion